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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network.

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Speaker 1: I am Chad Mellman, chief content Officer of the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: If you are listening to us live on AMP, Welcome.

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Speaker 1: I am joined as I am every episode by my

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Speaker 1: co host, my companion, my bff, my compadre professional better,

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Speaker 1: Simon Hunter. Hello, Simon Hello. Chat on the road. I'm

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Speaker 1: on the road. So if it sounds a little bit quirky,

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Speaker 1: or if you're watching it on video, at some point

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Speaker 1: it looks a little bit quirkier than usual traveling this week,

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Speaker 1: but that doesn't keep us from doing what we do know,

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Speaker 1: which was recording our follow up episode, the second episode

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Speaker 1: of the week, to talk about Week ten NFL. As

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Speaker 1: a reminder, we will get through and finalize get closer

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Speaker 1: to finalizing our final five. We will give away our

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Speaker 1: big Balls Better the Week for the second week in

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Speaker 1: a row. I will have to yell big Balls Better

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Speaker 1: the Week from hotel and maybe maybe someone next door

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Speaker 1: is going to get a lucky break. We will pick

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Speaker 1: our scoot Roulette had a couple of complaints. We forgot again.

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Speaker 1: We were on the road last week. We forgot I

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Speaker 1: guess to put the scoot roulette in the app. No,

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Speaker 1: you know why because Matt Mitchell was putting scoot trow

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Speaker 1: putting our picks into the app while we were waiting

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Speaker 1: for our uber at Keenland, and he was asking me

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Speaker 1: what the picks were, and he asked me like seventeen times,

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Speaker 1: at the point where I thought I was talking to

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Speaker 1: one of my children. All right, all right, let's move on.

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Speaker 1: I didn't honestly notice that. But that's the exact reason

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Speaker 1: why we missed. Well, won't we won't listen again this

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Speaker 1: week and then check getting a lot of questions from

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Speaker 1: new listeners about who we are, what's our relationship? How

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Speaker 1: how did this show come about? And it's always funny

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Speaker 1: when you're constantly getting new listeners and people asking the

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Speaker 1: Chads my boss, So I would start with this chat

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Speaker 1: is my friend first. I look at Chad with sports

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Speaker 1: Spending as my little brother, but in media is my

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Speaker 1: big brother. I do have a contract with Action. I

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Speaker 1: work with Action Network. I do multiple shows with Action,

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Speaker 1: but I do work for a betting syndicate. I'm under

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Speaker 1: contract with a group. So I don't sell pics. Everything

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Speaker 1: I do is for free. Someday I might sell out.

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Speaker 1: I have no idea, but I am under contract where Yeah,

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Speaker 1: that'd be great to have a thousand people sign up

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Speaker 1: for my website, give me a hundred bucks each, Like,

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Speaker 1: who doesn't want a hundred k a week? But I

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Speaker 1: don't sell pics. Anyone that acts like they're me on

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Speaker 1: Twitter selling pics, that's never me. I've never sold picks,

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Speaker 1: never would on Twitter. Me and Chad's deal is show

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Speaker 1: up at these times, do the work that you're supposed

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Speaker 1: to do, and we never have any problems. So Chad

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Speaker 1: has never had to be a boss to me really

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Speaker 1: because I do my work. Chad's never, luckily had to

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Speaker 1: really yell at me. But we're friends first, So this

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Speaker 1: is your four which is crazy. We made the money

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Speaker 1: two years ago on Pace again to make the money

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Speaker 1: in the contest. So if I missed a show and

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Speaker 1: Chad had to give me a serious call, give me

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Speaker 1: a licking. I deserve it because he is my boss.

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Speaker 1: That's so interesting. I always forget that there will be

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Speaker 1: new people listening to what we're doing. So for Context

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Speaker 1: Action Network, which is the platform that Simon and I

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Speaker 1: work with. We launched four years ago. We are a

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Speaker 1: sports betting media company. We have an incredible app where

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Speaker 1: people track their picks. You can link out to sports

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Speaker 1: books to make your bets. We have this incredible partnership

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Speaker 1: with Fandel where you can get in linked directly to

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Speaker 1: Fandel and not have to search for the games that

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Speaker 1: you want to bet through a technology called quick Slip.

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Speaker 1: I've been doing a podcast about sports betting for ten years.

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Speaker 1: I was at ESPN forever. I was get in chief

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Speaker 1: of the magazine. I ran ESPN Digital and then when

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Speaker 1: I left ESPN to help launch Action, Simon reached out

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Speaker 1: to me DM me on Twitter and I called him

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Speaker 1: and I loved his story and he started come and

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Speaker 1: on the podcast for fifteen minutes at a time, and

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Speaker 1: the next season he was coming on every single week.

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Speaker 1: And he's been co hosting with me now for three years. Yeah. Uh.

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Speaker 1: He truly is might be ff. And Matt Mitchell is

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Speaker 1: our producer and he's brilliant at all of it. Anyways,

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Speaker 1: good round up, good reminder, Just to reminder that everything

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Speaker 1: we do here is free. We're not here to sell

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Speaker 1: you stuff. Sure, we would love you download the Action app.

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Speaker 1: But the goal of this we just want to give

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Speaker 1: out good info and have you think differently. I feel

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Speaker 1: like we've accomplished that goal where we're not out here

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Speaker 1: ben all the favorites. We're been ugly dogs usually week

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Speaker 1: the week, and we've proven it wins nine straight winning weeks.

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Speaker 1: The haters really can't say much like people love the show.

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Speaker 1: I've really been back us, supporting us, and it's actually

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Speaker 1: paying off for all of them. So reminder, our foxhol

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Speaker 1: pick this week Packers plus five, Simon says, was Brown's

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Speaker 1: plus four. It's down to two and a half. Exact

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Speaker 1: decision by Chad was Bears minus two and a half.

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Speaker 1: That's up to three. We will do Scooch Roulette, we

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Speaker 1: will do the money line round Robin, we will do

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Speaker 1: the big balls. Before we get to all of it,

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Speaker 1: we gotta go shark calls. What did the wise guys

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Speaker 1: call us about this week? Simon, Hello, who's there? I'm talking? Yeah,

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Speaker 1: a lot of calls. Actually, I would say the most

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Speaker 1: interesting thing was the pros are all over that Rams news.

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Speaker 1: I know a couple of pros that. Yeah, and we

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Speaker 1: liked that number two. We were talking about that. We

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Speaker 1: liked it at three. We liked it at three and

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Speaker 1: a half. I didn't really get why there was a

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Speaker 1: lot of guys bigger bets, but clearly they knew that

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Speaker 1: there was something going on with Stafford there. So we've

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Speaker 1: seen that actually only dropped to minus one and a half,

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Speaker 1: which is like a little telling the no one really

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Speaker 1: knows that Stafford is gonna play or not. So that's

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Speaker 1: a game we're gonna break down because again, it feels

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Speaker 1: like if you can get that in your contest at

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Speaker 1: three three and a half the Cardinals, that'd be hard

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Speaker 1: to pass on that when you know that Stafford is

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Speaker 1: not gonna play. Um, so that's that's when you can't

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Speaker 1: really bet now. But for contests, it's interesting. Chad was

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Speaker 1: spot on with his love for Pittsburgh. Again, I wasn't

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Speaker 1: on that one. A lot of pros I talked to

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Speaker 1: love this spot for pitts Burg. They're on that one

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Speaker 1: this week. Um maybe cha, Yeah, the same maybe Chack.

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Speaker 1: Before we came on, I said you, there's one game

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Speaker 1: that I felt like we didn't dig into deeply enough,

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Speaker 1: and I didn't tell you what it was. It was

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Speaker 1: the Steelers and the Steelers. When we spoke on Tuesday

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Speaker 1: was three. Now it's one and a half. Well, this

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Speaker 1: group that you know, I've got two guys that work

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Speaker 1: their NFL side and they're really sharp. Guys take smart

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Speaker 1: positions right there. Not in every weekend better they do

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Speaker 1: bet right, but they take positions on certain weeks. They

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Speaker 1: took three big positions this week, and this is the biggest.

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Speaker 1: One was Pittsburgh. So that jumped out to me where

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Speaker 1: it's like a game that was really my radar. And

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Speaker 1: then I'm hearing this group's on. It's like, Okay, that's

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Speaker 1: that's gonna be a smart side this week. So Mike

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Speaker 1: might be able to be convinced on that one. And

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Speaker 1: then again we touched on denver Um. Three different really

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Speaker 1: really really big money groups came in on them, and

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Speaker 1: I'm shocked it's still two and a half. I thought

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Speaker 1: he'd be down to two one and a half by now.

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Speaker 1: We'll see, we'll see what that number does the rest

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Speaker 1: of the week, but I can promise you that's gonna

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Speaker 1: be most likely in our contest. Just the the fact

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Speaker 1: that so many guys have come in on it, it

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Speaker 1: just feels like it's a smart number. Got scared where

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Speaker 1: I No One, No one's uh no, one's back in

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Speaker 1: our Green Bay love. Um, and the boys I talked to,

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Speaker 1: they love Cleveland at four. They still like the three

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Speaker 1: and a half, but they're just they think four is

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Speaker 1: the key number there with this Miami team. So, UM,

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Speaker 1: didn't get the news I wanted on Cleveland and the

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Speaker 1: Green Bay side because I thought everyone be on Green Bay.

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Speaker 1: I think they're looking at it like Rogers legit cooked

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Speaker 1: like something's wrong with that team. He doesn't look right. Um,

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Speaker 1: they could be right, but I just can't get over

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Speaker 1: how nice of a pot spotted this. So I would

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Speaker 1: definitely dive in more into that one. Um, But yeah,

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Speaker 1: interesting here in a lot of the biggest, biggest place

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Speaker 1: I heard this week, where Pittsburgh, Denver, Um, Arizona and

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Speaker 1: actually forty Niners, which we can also talk about because

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Speaker 1: we're on the other side of that one. God, I

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Speaker 1: don't like that. I don't like that at all because

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Speaker 1: I love the Chargers this week, all right, Um, so

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Speaker 1: let mean, look, we can start breaking it down. Let's

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Speaker 1: go to the Bears for a second, because I love

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Speaker 1: the Bears at two and a half. I don't know

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Speaker 1: what line we're going to get in the contest. And

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Speaker 1: again for people who are new to this and Simon,

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Speaker 1: it's makes a good point. Simon and I will enter

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Speaker 1: a contest high stakes contest every year. We will. You

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Speaker 1: gotta put in five picks. UM. You can follow those

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Speaker 1: picks in the Action Network app, follow the phase five.

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Speaker 1: The lines on these contests lock in the middle of

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Speaker 1: the week. We don't have to put our picks in

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Speaker 1: until Sunday, so we often wait because that's when we

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Speaker 1: can get some of the best value in the line

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Speaker 1: or the worst. When we've we've taken numbers, like child

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Speaker 1: Will said, they're awful numbers. But we just like that side.

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Speaker 1: But we try to narrow down the games in these

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Speaker 1: podcasts and give people real time info. Uh. And so

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Speaker 1: the games that we're talking about are all games that

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Speaker 1: we end up betting. Like I can tell you right now,

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Speaker 1: I've bet the Bears. I've bet the Packers, I bet

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Speaker 1: the Browns, I bet the Chargers, I bet the Steelers. UM.

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Speaker 1: So we're not saying anything that we're not betting. But

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Speaker 1: let's talk about the Bears. Everything I see about this

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Speaker 1: game makes me continue to love the Bears even more.

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Speaker 1: They are just getting better and better. UM. And in

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Speaker 1: a game in which I think the running game is

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Speaker 1: going to be a big difference, and they are still

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Speaker 1: getting in some places less than a field goal. I

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Speaker 1: don't know how you don't take the Bears with a

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Speaker 1: dominant rush offense. Yeah, and no surprise, the pros aren't

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Speaker 1: touching this game just because they probably viewed as we're

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Speaker 1: buying high right now in Justin Fields after he just

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Speaker 1: did something historical last week? Right, did he not break

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Speaker 1: Mike Vix's Russian record? Um? He said the single season

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Speaker 1: Russian record for most yards gained by a quarterback on

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Speaker 1: the ground in NFL history in a single game. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: so um, they could be right, But I feel like

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Speaker 1: everything means touched on it. So true about this Lions team,

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Speaker 1: there are a different team outside. They played different We've

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Speaker 1: seen they're often struggle outdoors. They have a bunch of

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Speaker 1: injuries to that team, where the Bears they don't really

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Speaker 1: have any injuries like right now. Yeah, they're not good,

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Speaker 1: but they're healthy that they and with Justin Fields playing

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Speaker 1: that the level is playing, that feels like such a

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Speaker 1: huge advantage to me. So I knew coming into it,

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Speaker 1: no pros and beyond it and just be it. Would

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Speaker 1: be one of those chalk plays that me and Chad love,

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Speaker 1: and I'm not gonna be gaud of it, Like, I

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Speaker 1: just think it's a great number, especially at two and

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Speaker 1: a half. Scary, of course that's not at three, and

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Speaker 1: as it stated three that some books are still letting

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Speaker 1: you get the two and a half because again it's

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Speaker 1: gonna be the most bad public side this week. But

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Speaker 1: I'm with chat, I'm willing to pay for this loss. Um,

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Speaker 1: that's what I feel like. We're doing the Bears here.

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Speaker 1: It's like, Okay, we know it's a sucker bet, but

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Speaker 1: sucker bets do win every now and then. The lines

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Speaker 1: have proven me nothing these last couple weeks that they

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Speaker 1: should only be catching three points here. Again, we think

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Speaker 1: this line would be much bigger. They dropped that game

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Speaker 1: to the Green Bay, which they easily could have and

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Speaker 1: the Bears could easily could have won their matchup. So

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Speaker 1: I feel like we're getting free points here, at least

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Speaker 1: half a point. That it's still under three. You're not

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Speaker 1: wrong of the bets of the money on the Bears,

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Speaker 1: and this thing is bringing up two and a half.

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Speaker 1: So that's all the everything you need to know that

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Speaker 1: Action Network podcast with Raybond and Stuckey that came out

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Speaker 1: this morning. Stucky loves the Packers in this spot, and

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Speaker 1: he's not the only one. I've heard a lot of

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Speaker 1: people who you and I both respect, really loving the

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Speaker 1: Packers in the spot. That the Packers are basically an

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Speaker 1: average team, and that if you look at the Packers

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Speaker 1: when they were playing against the Bills a few weeks ago,

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Speaker 1: the delta between what the line is for then and

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Speaker 1: what the line is now would basically say that the

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Speaker 1: Cowboys are even to the Bills at from Frank, which

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Speaker 1: they're not. So you're getting probably two points of value here.

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Speaker 1: I feel like, to me, this is a no brainer

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Speaker 1: for the contest. I love it. It is, and I'm

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Speaker 1: glad we were walking together. But it's the definition of

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Speaker 1: a sharp trap. And I just I just thought it

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Speaker 1: was interesting that no real pros are on it where

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Speaker 1: it's like all of us the minions are are on

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Speaker 1: it where they're like picking the other games. They're just

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Speaker 1: they're they're better spots where it's like, I don't know,

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Speaker 1: like I said, a couple of guys, how can you

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Speaker 1: not take green Bay here? Like you just said, this

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Speaker 1: is as low as it can get. We're getting at

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Speaker 1: least two points of free value just because green Bay

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Speaker 1: has been on absolute tailspin. Their view of it is,

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Speaker 1: why do you think the tailspin ends here? Like, why

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Speaker 1: won't they just keep you know, being horrible? You know

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Speaker 1: easily could see this game being twenty four to seven,

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Speaker 1: twenty four to six. Dallas just dominates green Bay because

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Speaker 1: the Dallas their defense is incredible. But I feel like

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Speaker 1: chat And nailed it where it's just like this is

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Speaker 1: the spot where you take Green Bay and a Dallas

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Speaker 1: team that I'm not gonna say they're gonna sleepwalk, but

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Speaker 1: they're coming out of a bye week playing an inferior

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Speaker 1: team in the game they think they're gonna dominate, and

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Speaker 1: that's usually where you get caught against the packersteam that

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Speaker 1: this is it, Like we're gonna talked about it last week.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, four and a half, five, five and a half,

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Speaker 1: whatever it is in the contest, I'm sure, I mean,

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Speaker 1: Chad will end up having it in there. It's just

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Speaker 1: a nice home ugly dog that we're the only ones

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Speaker 1: that are gonna be on it. Like he just said,

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Speaker 1: no one's betting this. No one is betting this. There's

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Speaker 1: gonna be a very small amount of us betting this number. Um,

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Speaker 1: I can't avoid it. There Again, there's a couple of

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Speaker 1: games this week we're gonna talk about. There's just some

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Speaker 1: games I feel like I can't avoid. This is one

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Speaker 1: of them. It's like we have finally have a losing

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Speaker 1: weekends because of this match up here. Won't be shocked,

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00:16:31,880 --> 00:16:33,720
Speaker 1: but it's just this is what's got us this point.

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Speaker 1: We keep playing these numbers in these positions, and it's

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Speaker 1: been good to us this year. Can we agree if

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Speaker 1: we have a losing this week this week, for those

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Speaker 1: who are listening, you have to take at least one

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Speaker 1: bye in this contest. Let's agree that if we have

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Speaker 1: a losing week this week, are we taking a bye

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Speaker 1: like the following week? Um? I don't. I wouldn't do that.

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Speaker 1: Like to me, that's like our get out of jail

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Speaker 1: thing where it's just like we're eventually gonna hit a

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Speaker 1: hit a week where we just hate and we can

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Speaker 1: finally use it. Um, we've just been so hot. That's

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Speaker 1: why I don't want to use it. It's just like

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00:17:05,359 --> 00:17:07,239
Speaker 1: we're rolling right now, if we go two and three,

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Speaker 1: I don't know if we should use it like that. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: that's a losing week, But I come on, that's that's

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Speaker 1: nothing for us two and three. So yeah, I know

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Speaker 1: we have to use it, Chad. That's that's the thing

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Speaker 1: to me. I was looking at the final week that

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Speaker 1: has the six teams on buy. So I think it's

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Speaker 1: either weeks Week thirteen or week fourteen. There's six teams

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Speaker 1: on a bye. That's what I was really saving A

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Speaker 1: four It's all right, that's the worst week. That's three

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Speaker 1: less games we normally get. Um, that's where I was

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Speaker 1: going to use it most likely, But now I just

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Speaker 1: gave out game three tery. When I was playing our contests,

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Speaker 1: I was just gonna say, I think we're gonna have

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Speaker 1: a couple of games in our contest this week in

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Speaker 1: our final five that are pretty ugly that other people

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Speaker 1: won't play. So this this could be moving week for us. Yeah. Again,

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Speaker 1: and that's towards the end of the year. Um, I

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Speaker 1: know Chad's probably ten percent believe what he said. We said.

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Speaker 1: He carried me through the first early a couple of weeks,

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Speaker 1: which is why I love chat. But like I had

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Speaker 1: in June. I had our first four weeks mapped out

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00:17:59,720 --> 00:18:02,240
Speaker 1: where like I knew that five in June, Like I

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Speaker 1: literally have no life. This is my life. As the

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Speaker 1: weeks go along, I feel like it was gonna get easier,

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00:18:07,040 --> 00:18:09,440
Speaker 1: and surprisingly it adds right Like I feel like most

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Speaker 1: weeks here we get the three and two, we get

377
00:18:12,119 --> 00:18:15,360
Speaker 1: the four and one. Um, this these the next couple

378
00:18:15,359 --> 00:18:17,600
Speaker 1: weeks coming up. I've looked at the lines. It just

379
00:18:17,680 --> 00:18:19,639
Speaker 1: feels tough. So that's why I like, I'm comfortable with

380
00:18:19,640 --> 00:18:21,800
Speaker 1: what you're talking about using to buy coming up here,

381
00:18:21,840 --> 00:18:23,639
Speaker 1: because there are some tough weeks coming up. The books

382
00:18:23,640 --> 00:18:29,040
Speaker 1: are just getting sharper, all right. Um, still like the Bears,

383
00:18:29,200 --> 00:18:32,800
Speaker 1: still like the Packers, as guys liked the Browns. Plus

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Speaker 1: three and a half plus four. Hopefully you can get

385
00:18:35,080 --> 00:18:37,200
Speaker 1: that plus four, Hopefully you can get it. For the record,

386
00:18:37,240 --> 00:18:38,680
Speaker 1: I bet at three and a half because I didn't

387
00:18:38,680 --> 00:18:41,720
Speaker 1: see any fours out there anymore. And the pros keep

388
00:18:41,720 --> 00:18:43,600
Speaker 1: buying every time it hits four, Like it hit four

389
00:18:43,640 --> 00:18:45,840
Speaker 1: this morning, I texted my runners. I grabbed that draft

390
00:18:45,920 --> 00:18:48,640
Speaker 1: Kings four. I just checked. Now it's already gone. So

391
00:18:49,280 --> 00:18:52,320
Speaker 1: the four pops up. It's gonna keep disappearing. You're probably right. Look,

392
00:18:52,760 --> 00:18:55,800
Speaker 1: the the Dolphins are five and oh and games decided

393
00:18:55,840 --> 00:19:00,400
Speaker 1: by six points or less. Um, justin Fields just said

394
00:19:00,440 --> 00:19:03,800
Speaker 1: a QB rushing record against Miami. What can Nick Chubb do?

395
00:19:04,440 --> 00:19:06,960
Speaker 1: Browns are one in four in games decided by six

396
00:19:06,960 --> 00:19:10,639
Speaker 1: points or less, So you know, I think these teams

397
00:19:10,640 --> 00:19:16,000
Speaker 1: are more evenly matched then the bookmakers are giving credit

398
00:19:16,080 --> 00:19:18,760
Speaker 1: to the Browns four. So even at three and a half,

399
00:19:18,760 --> 00:19:22,119
Speaker 1: you're still getting I think an extra half point of value.

400
00:19:22,240 --> 00:19:24,560
Speaker 1: The floor is better, but still like it at three

401
00:19:24,560 --> 00:19:27,880
Speaker 1: and a half. I just and honestly, the biggest reason

402
00:19:28,000 --> 00:19:29,840
Speaker 1: I love this spot is it feels like we're so

403
00:19:29,960 --> 00:19:33,200
Speaker 1: overdue for a bad too. Again this guy has had

404
00:19:33,960 --> 00:19:36,080
Speaker 1: every time I'm watching his game film, the amount of

405
00:19:36,160 --> 00:19:39,000
Speaker 1: drop picks he keeps getting away with it. Again, maybe

406
00:19:39,000 --> 00:19:40,760
Speaker 1: it's his throwing style, the way his ball comes in

407
00:19:40,760 --> 00:19:43,159
Speaker 1: there because he is a left ye I believe, Um,

408
00:19:43,160 --> 00:19:46,800
Speaker 1: maybe that throws off the Dbs. But in a matchup

409
00:19:46,840 --> 00:19:50,760
Speaker 1: like this, I just can't see Miami pulling away where

410
00:19:50,800 --> 00:19:52,840
Speaker 1: their defense isn't good enough to be fair by how

411
00:19:52,840 --> 00:19:55,040
Speaker 1: many points where they, like Chad just said, they give

412
00:19:55,119 --> 00:19:56,919
Speaker 1: up the Russian yards they can give up the passing

413
00:19:57,000 --> 00:19:59,600
Speaker 1: yards teams to move the ball on this Miami team

414
00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:02,840
Speaker 1: where flip the other side like Miami's offense. I love

415
00:20:02,920 --> 00:20:06,240
Speaker 1: it right like there the Wattle Tyreek kill. Thing. That

416
00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:08,200
Speaker 1: was by far the most fun game to watch last

417
00:20:08,240 --> 00:20:10,720
Speaker 1: week was watching that Bears Miami game. Just both offense

418
00:20:10,800 --> 00:20:14,639
Speaker 1: removing the ball up and down the field. I love

419
00:20:14,720 --> 00:20:18,200
Speaker 1: what they're doing. At the same time, you're one dimensional.

420
00:20:18,280 --> 00:20:21,159
Speaker 1: They're a one dimensional team Miami right now. So and

421
00:20:21,240 --> 00:20:23,600
Speaker 1: the match up here with Cleveland, they had an extra

422
00:20:23,640 --> 00:20:25,800
Speaker 1: week to prepare for this, right coming off their bye week.

423
00:20:26,280 --> 00:20:28,680
Speaker 1: I like that that they can scheme up against McDaniels

424
00:20:28,720 --> 00:20:32,040
Speaker 1: in this offense. So, um, that was the big, big

425
00:20:32,080 --> 00:20:35,120
Speaker 1: reason I love the three and a half. Just annoying

426
00:20:35,280 --> 00:20:37,119
Speaker 1: me right that it hasn't gone back to four. We

427
00:20:37,160 --> 00:20:39,800
Speaker 1: couldn't get it to four again. Um, but happy to

428
00:20:39,840 --> 00:20:41,119
Speaker 1: take the three and a half. I would take it

429
00:20:41,160 --> 00:20:45,520
Speaker 1: all way down to three. Uh, Miami, this is a

430
00:20:45,560 --> 00:20:47,800
Speaker 1: huge game for them, right, We're like, we're all assuming

431
00:20:47,800 --> 00:20:49,760
Speaker 1: the Bills are probably gonna drop this game here to

432
00:20:49,840 --> 00:20:52,280
Speaker 1: the Vikings. Um, it's a big deal. They're gonna have

433
00:20:52,320 --> 00:20:55,199
Speaker 1: a backup in there. That would be huge Miami, they

434
00:20:55,200 --> 00:20:58,879
Speaker 1: would take a lead in the division. Uh insane to

435
00:20:58,960 --> 00:21:02,760
Speaker 1: think at this position right, a new head coach to

436
00:21:03,080 --> 00:21:05,000
Speaker 1: all the stuff going on in the summer, the whole

437
00:21:05,000 --> 00:21:06,520
Speaker 1: thing going on, Tom Brady, the I'm trying to get

438
00:21:06,600 --> 00:21:09,959
Speaker 1: him in there, um incredible, how well Too has played

439
00:21:10,119 --> 00:21:12,719
Speaker 1: and the Tyre Kill move. I mean we haven't even

440
00:21:12,720 --> 00:21:14,680
Speaker 1: talked about it really, but he's like up there now

441
00:21:14,720 --> 00:21:17,600
Speaker 1: for Offensive Player of the Year. Incredible and like the

442
00:21:17,640 --> 00:21:20,360
Speaker 1: whole thing is just crazy. Where usually those things don't

443
00:21:20,359 --> 00:21:23,159
Speaker 1: work out for teams, It's all worked out for Miami

444
00:21:23,280 --> 00:21:26,440
Speaker 1: from this offseason. Dude, He's not just up there. I mean,

445
00:21:26,880 --> 00:21:29,760
Speaker 1: is he number one? He's I think pretty sure. I'm

446
00:21:29,840 --> 00:21:31,679
Speaker 1: checking in the Action Network app right now, but I

447
00:21:31,680 --> 00:21:34,320
Speaker 1: thought it Hurts would still be one fairly certain that

448
00:21:35,560 --> 00:21:40,400
Speaker 1: I'm checking right now. Player of the Year Tyreek Hill

449
00:21:41,200 --> 00:21:46,880
Speaker 1: plus three Wow, Tyreek Hill at fan Duel plus two

450
00:21:46,920 --> 00:21:52,880
Speaker 1: fifty Jalen Hurts plus four fifty. Yeah, now that's that's

451
00:21:52,920 --> 00:21:56,280
Speaker 1: that's crazy. So yeah, Tyreek, I think it's an awful bet.

452
00:21:56,359 --> 00:21:58,520
Speaker 1: He's a He's a day away from a hamshig being pulled.

453
00:21:58,520 --> 00:22:01,320
Speaker 1: People forget this is the guy that has soft soft

454
00:22:01,320 --> 00:22:05,040
Speaker 1: tissue injuries. But it's working right now. So crazy if

455
00:22:05,040 --> 00:22:07,760
Speaker 1: you got him fifty two one or better. Uh for

456
00:22:07,880 --> 00:22:10,159
Speaker 1: the season. All right, let's talk about the Steelers for

457
00:22:10,200 --> 00:22:13,600
Speaker 1: a second. First. It the other day and I was

458
00:22:13,640 --> 00:22:15,960
Speaker 1: disappointed because I said on the pod that I liked

459
00:22:15,960 --> 00:22:18,879
Speaker 1: it and we didn't dig into it. The line has moved.

460
00:22:19,359 --> 00:22:21,840
Speaker 1: I still like it. Mike Tomlin came out this week

461
00:22:21,880 --> 00:22:23,879
Speaker 1: said he was optimistic that t J. Watt was going

462
00:22:23,920 --> 00:22:27,840
Speaker 1: to come back. This is a significantly different when t

463
00:22:28,040 --> 00:22:30,280
Speaker 1: J Watt is playing. This is the top five defense

464
00:22:30,280 --> 00:22:33,440
Speaker 1: in the league when he's playing. Uh. I think Kenny

465
00:22:33,480 --> 00:22:35,920
Speaker 1: Pickett has been a gamer. Uh. He came in against

466
00:22:35,960 --> 00:22:38,000
Speaker 1: the Jets in the second half nearly beat him. That

467
00:22:38,040 --> 00:22:40,439
Speaker 1: looks more impressive given how well the Jets have played

468
00:22:41,280 --> 00:22:45,120
Speaker 1: too close against Miami. He beat the Bucks. You give

469
00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:48,160
Speaker 1: this guy the two weeks now after a bye week

470
00:22:48,400 --> 00:22:50,800
Speaker 1: to get a little more comfortable. They're playing at home

471
00:22:51,040 --> 00:22:53,919
Speaker 1: against a not very good Saints team, especially away from

472
00:22:53,960 --> 00:22:57,639
Speaker 1: the Dome. Uh. Rob Rob Mike Tomlin, when he's a

473
00:22:57,680 --> 00:23:00,440
Speaker 1: dog in this spot after week five, coverance any percent

474
00:23:00,480 --> 00:23:02,359
Speaker 1: of the time, that's a big data set. It's not

475
00:23:02,440 --> 00:23:08,320
Speaker 1: five games screaming you know what this is. I don't

476
00:23:08,320 --> 00:23:10,720
Speaker 1: think so actually really got another one you like better

477
00:23:10,720 --> 00:23:12,719
Speaker 1: than this maybe, but if you want to do this one,

478
00:23:12,720 --> 00:23:16,520
Speaker 1: I'll do this one. This doesn't feel honestly taking the

479
00:23:16,520 --> 00:23:19,280
Speaker 1: Steelers as home dogs with Mike, Tomlin and t Ji

480
00:23:19,400 --> 00:23:23,800
Speaker 1: coming back against the Saints team, that's it. That's that

481
00:23:23,880 --> 00:23:28,080
Speaker 1: doesn't feel like it takes big boss that. I'm right

482
00:23:28,119 --> 00:23:30,560
Speaker 1: there with you. I honestly didn't like it, just because

483
00:23:32,200 --> 00:23:34,600
Speaker 1: the Saints team has just been not that I want

484
00:23:34,600 --> 00:23:36,399
Speaker 1: to say you've been unlucky, but they really have. Like

485
00:23:36,440 --> 00:23:41,159
Speaker 1: they're just they've had bad injuries, they've had bad QB play.

486
00:23:41,320 --> 00:23:43,520
Speaker 1: But Chad's right, like, this is the spot you take

487
00:23:44,119 --> 00:23:48,520
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh every time Tomlin is a home dog. It's it

488
00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:50,680
Speaker 1: sucks it down in one half. I'd still take it there,

489
00:23:50,720 --> 00:23:52,840
Speaker 1: though hopefully you can get two and a half or

490
00:23:52,880 --> 00:23:57,960
Speaker 1: two in the contest. Um, you're right, Like I again,

491
00:23:58,000 --> 00:24:00,200
Speaker 1: I overlooked in the sense that it's probably my of

492
00:24:00,200 --> 00:24:06,879
Speaker 1: of the Saints here, but the Pittsburgh historically trends to

493
00:24:07,040 --> 00:24:09,000
Speaker 1: point to this is always a good spot to take

494
00:24:09,040 --> 00:24:12,000
Speaker 1: Tomlin and this Pittsburgh team. Now you bring in the

495
00:24:12,040 --> 00:24:14,720
Speaker 1: fact that what it's going to be back. That changes everything.

496
00:24:14,840 --> 00:24:17,040
Speaker 1: Like again, I did not see him coming back this week.

497
00:24:17,840 --> 00:24:19,479
Speaker 1: I think that's honestly the movement. I don't know if

498
00:24:19,480 --> 00:24:21,359
Speaker 1: it's professional money movement on line. I think it's the

499
00:24:21,400 --> 00:24:24,400
Speaker 1: Watt news because he's he's worth in my in my math,

500
00:24:24,400 --> 00:24:26,320
Speaker 1: he's worth at least a point and a half to

501
00:24:26,359 --> 00:24:29,120
Speaker 1: a point. So that's a big deal, even if he's

502
00:24:29,160 --> 00:24:32,240
Speaker 1: not even fully healthy. He's that dominant of a player

503
00:24:32,280 --> 00:24:33,760
Speaker 1: and he means that much of that team. You can

504
00:24:33,800 --> 00:24:35,640
Speaker 1: look at their record with him and without him, it's

505
00:24:35,640 --> 00:24:38,119
Speaker 1: a big discrepancy. So I'm going with each other. I

506
00:24:38,160 --> 00:24:40,600
Speaker 1: could put this one in and comes on to all Right.

507
00:24:40,760 --> 00:24:45,199
Speaker 1: I like it, so then the next one we can

508
00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:48,359
Speaker 1: go back to Denver. But I'm gonna say this. I

509
00:24:48,359 --> 00:24:51,320
Speaker 1: said it last week with Tennessee. I'll say it this

510
00:24:51,359 --> 00:24:57,920
Speaker 1: week with the Jacksonville Jaguars. Big balls better the week.

511
00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:04,919
Speaker 1: Jacksonville Jaguars plus nine and a half. Look, dude, we

512
00:25:05,000 --> 00:25:09,880
Speaker 1: talked about it on Tuesday. It's ugly. We know it's

513
00:25:09,920 --> 00:25:13,240
Speaker 1: the right spot. We know Mahomes doesn't cover as a

514
00:25:13,320 --> 00:25:16,159
Speaker 1: huge favorite at home. This is a team that has

515
00:25:16,160 --> 00:25:20,520
Speaker 1: been struggling to beat bad teams. At home. Look what

516
00:25:20,560 --> 00:25:23,400
Speaker 1: they did against Tennessee. Look what they did against the Raiders,

517
00:25:23,520 --> 00:25:26,119
Speaker 1: Look what they did against the Chargers. They lost to

518
00:25:26,200 --> 00:25:29,560
Speaker 1: a good team at home in the Bills. The Jags.

519
00:25:31,200 --> 00:25:34,760
Speaker 1: We love the Jacks. Yeah. The only question to me

520
00:25:34,880 --> 00:25:37,280
Speaker 1: is do we wait and try to get it at

521
00:25:37,359 --> 00:25:40,639
Speaker 1: ten because we know comes Sunday the public is gonna

522
00:25:40,680 --> 00:25:43,920
Speaker 1: come in on the Jags. But I think we gotta

523
00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:46,879
Speaker 1: be thinking Jacks right now. Yeah, and again that one

524
00:25:46,880 --> 00:25:49,159
Speaker 1: of them were talked about games this week from the boys.

525
00:25:49,320 --> 00:25:51,159
Speaker 1: I know one group that loves it as well. A

526
00:25:51,200 --> 00:25:53,280
Speaker 1: couple of guys listen to the show live now that

527
00:25:53,320 --> 00:25:56,080
Speaker 1: our pros and that I was an instinct text I

528
00:25:56,119 --> 00:25:59,760
Speaker 1: got afterwards was you're taking the Jags after a win?

529
00:26:00,200 --> 00:26:03,280
Speaker 1: And again I get I get that it's probably historically

530
00:26:03,359 --> 00:26:06,280
Speaker 1: terrible because they what they've had. She's man, they've had

531
00:26:06,320 --> 00:26:09,200
Speaker 1: what three or four wins, five wins the last two years.

532
00:26:09,280 --> 00:26:11,440
Speaker 1: I mean even going back last four or five years.

533
00:26:11,480 --> 00:26:14,680
Speaker 1: I can't imagine having more than twelve wins. It's been bad.

534
00:26:14,760 --> 00:26:16,879
Speaker 1: I get it, But like Chad just said, this is

535
00:26:16,920 --> 00:26:19,280
Speaker 1: more of a play on my homes right, like him

536
00:26:19,320 --> 00:26:21,600
Speaker 1: and these big spreads, he does not perform well. They

537
00:26:21,640 --> 00:26:24,560
Speaker 1: usually don't cover such big numbers like this. They usually

538
00:26:24,560 --> 00:26:27,119
Speaker 1: take the foot off the gas and the Jaguars can

539
00:26:27,160 --> 00:26:29,680
Speaker 1: move the ball. We've seen them with Travis etn move

540
00:26:29,760 --> 00:26:32,119
Speaker 1: the ball. If you look at early season the success

541
00:26:32,160 --> 00:26:34,280
Speaker 1: on the ad on offense, it sounds crazy, but it

542
00:26:34,320 --> 00:26:36,399
Speaker 1: ran through Christian Kirk. They were getting Christian Kirk the

543
00:26:36,400 --> 00:26:38,680
Speaker 1: ball and they were getting first downs moving the ball.

544
00:26:39,119 --> 00:26:40,600
Speaker 1: They went away from the middle of the season, we

545
00:26:40,640 --> 00:26:42,800
Speaker 1: saw they dropped a bunch of games. He said two

546
00:26:42,800 --> 00:26:44,240
Speaker 1: weeks ago they're gonna try to get in a nine

547
00:26:44,280 --> 00:26:47,199
Speaker 1: in ten touches per game. It's a big difference. Like

548
00:26:47,240 --> 00:26:49,919
Speaker 1: he's a performer for them and and again in this matchup,

549
00:26:49,960 --> 00:26:51,840
Speaker 1: this will be a good matchup for Christian Kirk. So

550
00:26:52,600 --> 00:26:55,080
Speaker 1: I hate it. So that's probably a great, great bet

551
00:26:55,119 --> 00:26:57,639
Speaker 1: for us Chad because it's like twisting my stomach, just

552
00:26:57,680 --> 00:27:00,480
Speaker 1: like Tennessee was going against my homes here, we gotta

553
00:27:00,520 --> 00:27:02,000
Speaker 1: do it. It's a big number. I would still take

554
00:27:02,000 --> 00:27:03,760
Speaker 1: the nine a half. I just don't see it getting

555
00:27:03,800 --> 00:27:05,680
Speaker 1: back to ten because I think the pros will buy

556
00:27:05,720 --> 00:27:09,159
Speaker 1: it again at ten. But yeads right, like come Sunday,

557
00:27:09,320 --> 00:27:11,000
Speaker 1: you might better get that bump. But if you want

558
00:27:11,000 --> 00:27:12,159
Speaker 1: to take the nine and a half just to be

559
00:27:12,200 --> 00:27:14,159
Speaker 1: safe in case it drops down to nine eight and

560
00:27:14,200 --> 00:27:16,199
Speaker 1: a half, I gotta know what you're doing it right now,

561
00:27:16,240 --> 00:27:18,640
Speaker 1: because I do think it could it could drop well,

562
00:27:18,720 --> 00:27:21,080
Speaker 1: Christian Kirk, that's a great point. Last week he had

563
00:27:21,160 --> 00:27:24,000
Speaker 1: nine targets, eight receptions, and he was a game changer

564
00:27:24,840 --> 00:27:28,479
Speaker 1: in that in that Raiders game. Yeah, and that's that's

565
00:27:28,560 --> 00:27:31,399
Speaker 1: Doug Peterson being aware of his faults, like that's my

566
00:27:31,440 --> 00:27:34,960
Speaker 1: favorite thing, and people being humble, being honest, and he was.

567
00:27:35,040 --> 00:27:37,040
Speaker 1: He was just like their team is messing up. It's

568
00:27:37,080 --> 00:27:40,119
Speaker 1: on me. I need to get our guys touches, like

569
00:27:40,240 --> 00:27:42,760
Speaker 1: that's how you can flip these things around. And yes,

570
00:27:42,840 --> 00:27:46,000
Speaker 1: he's gotten Christian Kirk touches. He's gotten Travisy etm more touches.

571
00:27:46,040 --> 00:27:48,280
Speaker 1: That's gonna turn their season around if they're able to

572
00:27:48,359 --> 00:27:55,720
Speaker 1: do that. Humility, honesty, humor. Simon, if I'm your media

573
00:27:55,760 --> 00:27:59,160
Speaker 1: big brother, I'm telling you right now, you follow the

574
00:27:59,280 --> 00:28:04,399
Speaker 1: Triple H cocktail, you will do just fine. This is

575
00:28:05,000 --> 00:28:12,159
Speaker 1: the Triple H Podcast. Humility, honesty, um um, all right,

576
00:28:12,359 --> 00:28:16,199
Speaker 1: you got to be a scientologist. Oh Jesus christ uh

577
00:28:17,880 --> 00:28:20,000
Speaker 1: I guess we should talk about the Chargers plus seven

578
00:28:20,240 --> 00:28:24,159
Speaker 1: and the Niners minus seven. We gave the big balls, um,

579
00:28:24,240 --> 00:28:28,240
Speaker 1: But because I love the Chargers in this game, I

580
00:28:28,280 --> 00:28:30,080
Speaker 1: think it's going to be a slow game. I know

581
00:28:30,119 --> 00:28:32,800
Speaker 1: the Chargers are missing so much, so many offensive weapons,

582
00:28:33,520 --> 00:28:36,639
Speaker 1: but I think that the I think it could be

583
00:28:36,680 --> 00:28:38,720
Speaker 1: a three point game, like I think it could be

584
00:28:38,840 --> 00:28:42,440
Speaker 1: seventeen fourteen. Yeah, And I just don't get it though,

585
00:28:42,480 --> 00:28:47,720
Speaker 1: Like it's I've seen the numbers, right, I've seen Herbert

586
00:28:47,840 --> 00:28:50,200
Speaker 1: he is dead last and getting the ball down the

587
00:28:50,240 --> 00:28:52,000
Speaker 1: field this season. Again I talked about I think his

588
00:28:52,080 --> 00:28:54,760
Speaker 1: coachings are the coaches failing him, but it's also the

589
00:28:54,840 --> 00:28:56,880
Speaker 1: key now and like Williams injuries like those are the

590
00:28:56,880 --> 00:28:59,200
Speaker 1: two big body guys who goes downfield too, they've been out.

591
00:28:59,240 --> 00:29:01,840
Speaker 1: So I'm trying to take too much away from a chat,

592
00:29:01,880 --> 00:29:05,520
Speaker 1: but it does give me pause. When you know a

593
00:29:05,560 --> 00:29:08,600
Speaker 1: guy I really respect, he's like, no, that's I'm taking

594
00:29:08,600 --> 00:29:10,400
Speaker 1: a huge stand this week on the fourth Niners. This

595
00:29:10,480 --> 00:29:13,520
Speaker 1: is a great matchup, great spot for them. And I

596
00:29:13,560 --> 00:29:14,959
Speaker 1: even said to him, said, have you ever looked at

597
00:29:14,960 --> 00:29:17,560
Speaker 1: the numbers of Shanahan as a favorite, and Shanahan in

598
00:29:17,600 --> 00:29:21,440
Speaker 1: prime time. It's it's not good. So I'm with you,

599
00:29:21,560 --> 00:29:24,000
Speaker 1: chat like it's gonna be really hard for me chat

600
00:29:24,040 --> 00:29:25,760
Speaker 1: on Sunday if this is seven and seven a half

601
00:29:25,760 --> 00:29:30,680
Speaker 1: in our contest to pass on it. Um, but fishy, fishy,

602
00:29:30,720 --> 00:29:33,800
Speaker 1: fishy fishy, because again, what you just talked about so true.

603
00:29:33,800 --> 00:29:35,760
Speaker 1: The Charges are always in all their games. Like the

604
00:29:35,800 --> 00:29:37,800
Speaker 1: issue for us is when the Charges are favorites, that's

605
00:29:37,800 --> 00:29:40,360
Speaker 1: when we like the fade to Chargers. But as dogs,

606
00:29:40,440 --> 00:29:42,040
Speaker 1: they always come back. I mean, just think about that

607
00:29:42,080 --> 00:29:45,200
Speaker 1: Chiefs game was that week two. Um, they were dead

608
00:29:45,240 --> 00:29:47,600
Speaker 1: in the water and they said came all the way back,

609
00:29:47,680 --> 00:29:49,400
Speaker 1: even the coaching was such a blunder and it was

610
00:29:49,400 --> 00:29:51,520
Speaker 1: stupid as hell, they still came all the way back

611
00:29:51,560 --> 00:29:52,920
Speaker 1: and covered the three and a half. And it's just

612
00:29:53,000 --> 00:29:54,960
Speaker 1: that's the kind of team they are where you know,

613
00:29:55,120 --> 00:29:58,400
Speaker 1: fourth and five, fourth and twelve, it doesn't matter to them.

614
00:29:58,440 --> 00:30:00,040
Speaker 1: That's annoying as hell. When you need them as a

615
00:30:00,040 --> 00:30:02,280
Speaker 1: favorite as a dog, we love that. It's like, yeah,

616
00:30:02,400 --> 00:30:06,400
Speaker 1: go for it, you're the dog here. So variance yea

617
00:30:06,920 --> 00:30:11,880
Speaker 1: variance and Chargers coaching decisions, you count them out as

618
00:30:12,880 --> 00:30:15,920
Speaker 1: big underdogs and you just nailed it. It's why we

619
00:30:15,920 --> 00:30:17,640
Speaker 1: don't like them as favorites. That's why we do like

620
00:30:17,720 --> 00:30:22,160
Speaker 1: them as underdogs, especially really big underdogs. Um. I think

621
00:30:22,160 --> 00:30:25,960
Speaker 1: we've got a really interesting collection of games to make

622
00:30:26,000 --> 00:30:29,960
Speaker 1: decisions from on Sunday. Uh, we like the Bears two

623
00:30:29,960 --> 00:30:32,720
Speaker 1: and a half. We like the Packers plus five, Browns

624
00:30:32,760 --> 00:30:35,720
Speaker 1: plus three and a half. Uh, Steelers plus one and

625
00:30:35,720 --> 00:30:39,760
Speaker 1: a half, Jack's plus nine and a half. Ah, and

626
00:30:39,840 --> 00:30:43,600
Speaker 1: so this is interesting. No, like a lot of games

627
00:30:43,600 --> 00:30:45,120
Speaker 1: this week. Again, we didn't even talk about it, but

628
00:30:46,160 --> 00:30:48,520
Speaker 1: games will might be. You might if you're in a contest,

629
00:30:48,640 --> 00:30:50,400
Speaker 1: right and you're looking at the lines that have moved

630
00:30:50,400 --> 00:30:52,800
Speaker 1: and you think there's good value. There's some good trap

631
00:30:52,880 --> 00:30:55,280
Speaker 1: games this week that me and Chad might walk right into.

632
00:30:55,400 --> 00:30:56,800
Speaker 1: And one of them is being the Vikings. If we

633
00:30:56,800 --> 00:30:59,360
Speaker 1: could get six six and a half, how do we

634
00:30:59,400 --> 00:31:02,040
Speaker 1: not take that right? If we could get Cardinals three

635
00:31:02,200 --> 00:31:04,280
Speaker 1: three and a half. Now they're down to one, could

636
00:31:04,280 --> 00:31:06,200
Speaker 1: be even down to a pick. But if it is Stafford,

637
00:31:06,200 --> 00:31:09,000
Speaker 1: that's out. We know the data. We know that the

638
00:31:10,320 --> 00:31:13,040
Speaker 1: Rams are twelve and one straight up against this Cardinals team,

639
00:31:13,080 --> 00:31:16,680
Speaker 1: their last thirteam. Like I get all those trends, It's

640
00:31:16,720 --> 00:31:18,720
Speaker 1: hard to not take those numbers though, when the value

641
00:31:18,760 --> 00:31:20,640
Speaker 1: is that good, like you're getting four points in some

642
00:31:20,680 --> 00:31:23,840
Speaker 1: of those games of value. So games. Just keep our

643
00:31:23,840 --> 00:31:25,360
Speaker 1: eye on in case people are shocked that we have

644
00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:27,680
Speaker 1: in there because we didn't really talk about them. Could

645
00:31:27,720 --> 00:31:29,640
Speaker 1: have great value in the car knows what Stafford out

646
00:31:29,640 --> 00:31:33,000
Speaker 1: could have great value on the vikings with Josh Allen

647
00:31:33,120 --> 00:31:34,560
Speaker 1: might be out. We don't know yet, right the coach

648
00:31:34,560 --> 00:31:37,160
Speaker 1: is kind of keeping close to his chest. Um. The

649
00:31:37,240 --> 00:31:38,960
Speaker 1: last one we didn't talk about because I don't know

650
00:31:38,960 --> 00:31:40,480
Speaker 1: what we're gonna do with it, because again we we

651
00:31:40,600 --> 00:31:45,280
Speaker 1: liked it was the Houston movement. Um, I don't know

652
00:31:45,320 --> 00:31:47,520
Speaker 1: who bet that. I I reached out to a bunch

653
00:31:47,520 --> 00:31:50,200
Speaker 1: of different guys and who's moving this line. No one's

654
00:31:50,240 --> 00:31:51,960
Speaker 1: taking credits, so that means no one did it. So

655
00:31:52,080 --> 00:31:54,560
Speaker 1: something something has happened with the books just adjusted off

656
00:31:54,560 --> 00:31:56,840
Speaker 1: their own lines, or someone I don't know hit that

657
00:31:56,960 --> 00:31:58,560
Speaker 1: and moved at a full point and a half two

658
00:31:58,560 --> 00:32:03,320
Speaker 1: points a big deal. Um, not sure why? Right? Damian Pierce, uh,

659
00:32:03,560 --> 00:32:05,640
Speaker 1: the best player on Houston, came up on injury port

660
00:32:05,720 --> 00:32:10,120
Speaker 1: this week. Um, yesterday line backed up to five, So

661
00:32:10,480 --> 00:32:11,640
Speaker 1: I don't know what to do with it. People have

662
00:32:11,680 --> 00:32:13,160
Speaker 1: been asking about it. I have no idea. I don't

663
00:32:13,160 --> 00:32:16,160
Speaker 1: know who bet it. Um don't go off of just

664
00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:17,760
Speaker 1: simply what I said last week. I thought that was

665
00:32:17,760 --> 00:32:19,800
Speaker 1: a good number. Or on Tuesday, that's a good number

666
00:32:19,800 --> 00:32:21,600
Speaker 1: at six and a half, like that's what I would

667
00:32:21,600 --> 00:32:23,960
Speaker 1: have taken Houston at down a four and a half five.

668
00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:26,080
Speaker 1: I don't know if I can back Houston at that number.

669
00:32:26,480 --> 00:32:30,640
Speaker 1: Foxhole Packers plus five. Simon says, Browns plus four, three

670
00:32:30,680 --> 00:32:33,840
Speaker 1: and a half, Exact Decision, Bears minus two and a half,

671
00:32:34,320 --> 00:32:37,760
Speaker 1: Big Balls, Jackson plus nine and a half. Simon, last

672
00:32:37,760 --> 00:32:39,960
Speaker 1: week you had Seattle plus two. I had the Bears

673
00:32:40,360 --> 00:32:44,560
Speaker 1: plus I think four. Whatever it was, Yeah, we both

674
00:32:44,560 --> 00:32:47,640
Speaker 1: want scootch Roulette. You were still on the lead. You

675
00:32:47,720 --> 00:32:51,560
Speaker 1: go first when all hope is lost, all this left

676
00:32:51,600 --> 00:32:59,080
Speaker 1: is relief. Let's plays Roulette eleven and two in the season.

677
00:32:59,160 --> 00:33:02,560
Speaker 1: Chad having in two? Does that mean? What does that

678
00:33:02,640 --> 00:33:06,719
Speaker 1: make me three and four? Your four and five or

679
00:33:06,760 --> 00:33:09,360
Speaker 1: five and four? How can I not do it? I

680
00:33:09,400 --> 00:33:12,120
Speaker 1: loved it, The pros love it. They're betting it. I

681
00:33:12,160 --> 00:33:13,880
Speaker 1: wish it was still a plus three, but I'll take

682
00:33:13,880 --> 00:33:16,360
Speaker 1: it anyway. Denver plus two and a half. All right,

683
00:33:16,520 --> 00:33:19,200
Speaker 1: I thought you were going to take the Steelers, and

684
00:33:19,240 --> 00:33:21,560
Speaker 1: now that's yours. I don't want to steal that. I

685
00:33:21,600 --> 00:33:23,760
Speaker 1: told you on Tuesday I was leaning towards the Saints.

686
00:33:23,800 --> 00:33:26,080
Speaker 1: But everything you said so true. It's like that, these

687
00:33:26,080 --> 00:33:28,479
Speaker 1: are the times you take Tom one. I'm taking this.

688
00:33:28,600 --> 00:33:30,680
Speaker 1: You're taking Denver plus two and a half. I'm taking

689
00:33:30,680 --> 00:33:33,360
Speaker 1: the Steelers plus one and a half. Let's do our

690
00:33:33,360 --> 00:33:40,840
Speaker 1: money line run robbin dog, your dog, your dog blocks dog.

691
00:33:41,760 --> 00:33:43,640
Speaker 1: I mean, I love this week. We haven't had a

692
00:33:43,680 --> 00:33:45,520
Speaker 1: good run here. We're like the dogs. They've been covering.

693
00:33:45,520 --> 00:33:48,080
Speaker 1: They just haven't win. In. Let's start off with Minnesota,

694
00:33:48,080 --> 00:33:50,640
Speaker 1: how queen not if Josh Allen's out, throw them in,

695
00:33:50,720 --> 00:33:53,080
Speaker 1: throw Cleveland in, I gotta throw the Chargers. And I

696
00:33:53,120 --> 00:33:55,640
Speaker 1: love that big number. I just we we see it

697
00:33:55,720 --> 00:33:57,560
Speaker 1: time and time again, the forty Niners when they when

698
00:33:57,560 --> 00:34:00,520
Speaker 1: they lose, they lose bad. Do you want to do

699
00:34:00,560 --> 00:34:02,400
Speaker 1: green Bay? Chack? Are you going to say we have

700
00:34:02,480 --> 00:34:06,000
Speaker 1: to do green Bay? We do? Right of course? Yeah

701
00:34:06,000 --> 00:34:10,920
Speaker 1: that's good. And then I think, um, so Minnesota, Cleveland, Denver,

702
00:34:11,320 --> 00:34:15,360
Speaker 1: Green Bay Chargers, Minnesota, Cleveland, or you do want to

703
00:34:15,360 --> 00:34:17,040
Speaker 1: do Denver? Because I would do the charge. I would

704
00:34:17,040 --> 00:34:19,160
Speaker 1: do the Steelers. Yeah. It's such a short number though,

705
00:34:19,360 --> 00:34:21,920
Speaker 1: all right, so do Denver. It's what's a plus one

706
00:34:22,000 --> 00:34:25,319
Speaker 1: or nine in the app? Okay, Denver is that's not

707
00:34:25,400 --> 00:34:27,799
Speaker 1: that much better? Plus one sixteen? Yeah, we can do

708
00:34:27,840 --> 00:34:29,720
Speaker 1: that if you want to switch out Denver, throw Pittsburgh.

709
00:34:30,239 --> 00:34:33,200
Speaker 1: I feel better about a home team as a dog.

710
00:34:33,480 --> 00:34:36,640
Speaker 1: All right, let's stay clean out. Let's stay Cleveland out though. Okay,

711
00:34:36,719 --> 00:34:42,560
Speaker 1: Cleveland's out, Denver's in Pittsburgh is So for those listening live,

712
00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:44,919
Speaker 1: I know Matt is putting these in the chat right now.

713
00:34:45,640 --> 00:34:54,520
Speaker 1: Minnesota ripping his air out, Minnesota, Denver, Chargers, Green Bay, Pittsburgh. Alright, listen.

714
00:34:54,600 --> 00:34:57,799
Speaker 1: Last week, Simon, we were right about Foxhole. We were

715
00:34:57,880 --> 00:35:00,960
Speaker 1: right about Simon Says, we were right about exact decision,

716
00:35:01,239 --> 00:35:03,799
Speaker 1: We were right on Scooch Roulette, we were right on

717
00:35:03,840 --> 00:35:05,960
Speaker 1: big Balls Better. The week we went four in one

718
00:35:05,960 --> 00:35:11,040
Speaker 1: of the contests. Things can only get worse, am Honestly,

719
00:35:11,239 --> 00:35:13,040
Speaker 1: the only way they can get better is if we

720
00:35:13,080 --> 00:35:15,160
Speaker 1: do all this and go five and oh and the contest.

721
00:35:15,520 --> 00:35:17,960
Speaker 1: So I feel bad for anyone who's just listening for

722
00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:20,480
Speaker 1: the first time this week because we were so brilliant

723
00:35:20,520 --> 00:35:25,920
Speaker 1: last week, though, That's it. This has been the favorites

724
00:35:26,120 --> 00:35:29,840
Speaker 1: from the Volume podcast Network. I am Chad Millman. He

725
00:35:29,960 --> 00:35:34,000
Speaker 1: is Simon Hunter, producer, Extraordinarires Matt Mitchell. Download us from

726
00:35:34,000 --> 00:35:38,840
Speaker 1: Apple podcasts, from Spotify, wherever you get your podcasts, rate reviews, subscribe,

727
00:35:38,920 --> 00:35:41,640
Speaker 1: leave us five stars, keep us in the top one hundred.

728
00:35:41,680 --> 00:35:43,239
Speaker 1: You guys have been doing it all season long. We

729
00:35:43,320 --> 00:35:46,240
Speaker 1: really appreciate it. Give us the five stars, say whatever

730
00:35:46,280 --> 00:35:50,840
Speaker 1: you want. Feedback is a gift. Until next time. W