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Speaker 1: to hoops tonight, presented by Fandel here at the volume.

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Speaker 1: Happy Thursday, everybody. Help all of you guys had a

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Speaker 1: great week so far. Almost to the weekend. This is

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Speaker 1: our last show of the week. We're going over number

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Speaker 1: five in our power rankings. Next week it will be

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Speaker 1: number four, three, two and one during the Monday through

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Speaker 1: Thursday stretch of the week and then we are headed

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Speaker 1: right into basketball. When we come back the following Monday

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Speaker 1: we'll have a bunch of preseason games. I believe six

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Speaker 1: total preseason games worth of footage to react to that

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Speaker 1: following Monday. So I'm very, very excited for that. Real

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Speaker 1: basketball is right around the corner. Guys. You guys know

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Speaker 1: the drill. Before we get started, subscribe to the volumes

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Speaker 1: Youtube Channel so you don't miss any more of our videos.

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Speaker 1: Follow me on twitter at underscore Jason Lt so you

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Speaker 1: guys don't miss any show announcements. The last but not least,

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Speaker 1: if you can't finish one of these videos and you

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Speaker 1: also can't get over to youtube to finish them, we

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Speaker 1: do keep them in podcast form wherever you get your

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Speaker 1: podcasts under hoops tonight. And on that note, let's talk

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Speaker 1: some basketball. So number five, the Philadelphia Seventies sixers last year,

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Speaker 1: fifty one and thirty one. They lost in the second

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Speaker 1: round to Miami in six games, although it's important to

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Speaker 1: mention that Joel emb did miss the first two games

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Speaker 1: of that series with an orbital bone fracture that clearly

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Speaker 1: was bothering him at least a certain amount in terms

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Speaker 1: of just his overall engagement in the physicality of the game.

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Speaker 1: They finished the regular season eleventh and offense and twelfth

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Speaker 1: and defense, although those metrics, a lot of the metrics

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Speaker 1: that we look at for the team are skewed by

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Speaker 1: the fact that they added James Harden part way through

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Speaker 1: the season and so the entire dynamic of the offense

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Speaker 1: changed at that point. Silly things like how often Joel

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Speaker 1: embiid was used as a Rollman, the types of offensive

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Speaker 1: creation possessions from Tyrese Maxie and Tobias Harris, the defensive

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Speaker 1: matchups that those guys were pulling. You know, the best

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Speaker 1: defensive player was gonna Guard a Tyrese Maxie on the

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Speaker 1: perimeter in there before the trade, and then after the

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Speaker 1: trade that guy's going on James Harden and Tyrese Max

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Speaker 1: he's getting better matchups. So a lot of that data

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Speaker 1: is skewed a certain amounts. So you'll see as we

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Speaker 1: get to the offense portion, I'm gonna focus more on

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Speaker 1: the players than I do on the team. The Miami

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Speaker 1: series was interesting because, again, even even factoring in that

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Speaker 1: Joel Embiad was hurt and clearly bothered a little bit

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Speaker 1: by the face injury. Overall, um it wasn't a great

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Speaker 1: showing and particularly in the mental toughness areas of the

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Speaker 1: game of basketball, they seemed to wilt away a little

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Speaker 1: bit as the Miami Heat really pressed them. I think

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Speaker 1: there's a big part of why they went after P

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Speaker 1: J Tucker and Daniel House. James Harden's temperament is not

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Speaker 1: that of like a you know, he's got a foxhole

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Speaker 1: type of guy that's gonna go down swinging. He's very

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Speaker 1: like riding high when things are good and he can

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Speaker 1: tend to just kind of like wither away a little

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Speaker 1: bit when things start going bad. And Joel Embiad has

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Speaker 1: a little bit of that himself. Very very, very, very

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Speaker 1: involved in in energetic when things are going well, but

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Speaker 1: when things start to go poorly he can be a

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Speaker 1: little bit more reserved, and so having an Alpha dog

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Speaker 1: type of personality like P J Tucker who will help

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Speaker 1: keep them more mentally engaged in those moments, I think

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Speaker 1: will go a long way towards helping. And then Daniel House,

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Speaker 1: in my opinion, is like a lesser version of a

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Speaker 1: P J Tucker's addressing some specific needs there. But we

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Speaker 1: gotta give a bunch of credits to Miami because I

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Speaker 1: frequently called them the Golden State Warriors of the Eastern Conference.

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Speaker 1: I think they have the best coach in the Eastern Conference.

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Speaker 1: They're the best at winning the chess matches of NBA

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Speaker 1: playoffs series based on what can be controlled outside of talent.

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Speaker 1: That's that played a huge role in that particular series.

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Speaker 1: They held both Joel Embiid and James Harden under twenty

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Speaker 1: points per game. Embiad was percent outside of the restricted

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Speaker 1: area in that series, although in fairness that's kind of

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Speaker 1: a consistent theme in his career. He's a moderately efficient

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Speaker 1: perimeter player in the regular season. He's a dreadfully inefficient

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Speaker 1: perimeter player in the postseason. Pretty much anything that's not

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Speaker 1: a layup or a dunk in the playoffs he's gonna

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Speaker 1: make a third of them or less, and so that's

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Speaker 1: somewhat to be expected. The main strategy thing that swung

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Speaker 1: that series this is, you know, during the regular season

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Speaker 1: The Philadelphia The Philadelphia Seventy Sixers, ran more post ups

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Speaker 1: than any team in the entire league and in that

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Speaker 1: series Miami employed like a kind of a bracketing front

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Speaker 1: approach where they would front Joel Embiad in the post

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Speaker 1: and offer backside help to dissuade the over the top

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Speaker 1: lob and Phil. They had some counters where they swing

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Speaker 1: the ball around and do reverse seals and and working

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Speaker 1: around to have someone like, let's say Tobias Harris's man

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Speaker 1: was helping on the backside. They'd have him flash to

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Speaker 1: the high post and he gets some catches and scores there.

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Speaker 1: They had some counters, but the truth of the matter

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Speaker 1: was is Miami's bracketing, fronting approach really took philly out

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Speaker 1: of their offense and they held him to a hundred

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Speaker 1: and five points per one hundred possessions in that series,

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Speaker 1: which is a really good defensive number for Miami. And

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Speaker 1: again I just want to make sure before we move

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Speaker 1: on that we acknowledge the injury to do all embiid

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Speaker 1: and then James Harden was dealing with hamstring stuff, although

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Speaker 1: a lot of that is related to his own physical care.

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Speaker 1: But I have them all the way up at five

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Speaker 1: and you know, we talked a lot about you know

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Speaker 1: in this list how I value playoffs ceiling in my

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Speaker 1: decision making process. Like the Lakers are not the thirteenth

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Speaker 1: most talented team in this league. They're probably closer to

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Speaker 1: the twenty most talented team this league. After Lebron, James

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Speaker 1: Anthony Davis. They are devoid of starter level NBA talent.

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Speaker 1: Even the two guys they picked up this offseason are

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Speaker 1: very small guards, which can be exploited in playoff settings

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Speaker 1: in a lot of ways. The reason why they're up

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Speaker 1: at Thir team is because I believe in their top

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Speaker 1: end talent right, we're always going to factor in playoff success.

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Speaker 1: The Brooklyn Nets have so many question marks, but if

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Speaker 1: any of those things go right, they can beat anybody.

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Speaker 1: That's why they're as high as they are. There are

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Speaker 1: teams that I really like that are super talented, teams

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Speaker 1: like Memphis, teams like Cleveland that I have concerns about

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Speaker 1: their ability to reach their ultimate playoffs ceiling. So they're

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Speaker 1: lower than their talent would then you would think they're

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Speaker 1: talent would put you on this list. I think Philly

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Speaker 1: is one of the most talented teams in the league.

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Speaker 1: I think they're starting five might be the most talented

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Speaker 1: team in the entire league. I am super, super high

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Speaker 1: on tyres maxie. I think if Tobias Harris is your

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Speaker 1: fourth best player, that's a really good spot to be in. And,

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Speaker 1: most importantly, I think James Harden is going to have

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Speaker 1: a massive bound back season. I think the two guys

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Speaker 1: I keep an eye on for massive bounce back seasons

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Speaker 1: this year Anthony Davis and James Harden, although with Anthony Davis,

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Speaker 1: I think health will ultimately get in the way for him.

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Speaker 1: It just consistently does. I think you're foolish if you

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Speaker 1: bet on him to stay healthy for seventy plus games.

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Speaker 1: If he does, I think he'll be in the conversation

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Speaker 1: for the top six or seven players in the league.

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Speaker 1: The same goes for James Harden. I I think he

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Speaker 1: learned a lesson over the last couple of years, a

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Speaker 1: lesson that I'm learning in a more amateur sense right now,

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Speaker 1: which is you're in your early thirties, your metabolism is

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Speaker 1: not the same. You can't keep living the way you

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Speaker 1: were living like I. I joke about this all the

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Speaker 1: time with my with my family and friends, but like

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Speaker 1: I used to be that I could eat like absolute

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Speaker 1: crap and I could even take three or four days

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Speaker 1: away from the game of basketball if I needed to,

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Speaker 1: if we were going on a trip out of town

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Speaker 1: or something, and I'd be fine. And then in my

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Speaker 1: late twenties I noticed like when I would get away

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Speaker 1: from the game of basketball, I put on weight, but

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Speaker 1: then I quickly lose it in the three or four

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Speaker 1: days after I got back. And just in the last

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Speaker 1: couple of years here, in my early Thirties, I've noticed

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Speaker 1: like I put on the weight quickly when I get

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Speaker 1: away from the game and then I have to work

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Speaker 1: incredibly hard and be very attentive to my diet in

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Speaker 1: order to drop the weight. I put on about seventeen

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Speaker 1: pounds on a two week vacation to Alaska with my wife,

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Speaker 1: getting up to two and thirty seven pounds, and I've

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Speaker 1: only worked it down in the months since to about

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Speaker 1: two seven to twenty six. So like it's taken me

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Speaker 1: forever to get back down where I like to be,

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Speaker 1: and I think it's just the realities of aging. And

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Speaker 1: you know, I think James Harden lives a difficult life

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Speaker 1: on his body. I mean in terms of the way

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Speaker 1: that he likes to Party and have fun, which I

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Speaker 1: have literally no problem with, but it will impact you

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Speaker 1: physically with your health and I think he learned to

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Speaker 1: value a lesson over the last couple of years that

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Speaker 1: he's no longer capable of living that lifestyle if he

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Speaker 1: wants to be at the top of his game as

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Speaker 1: an NBA player. I think that we've seen some moderate

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Speaker 1: evidence of it this summer and some of the footage

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Speaker 1: and and uh pictures that I've seen of him. He

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Speaker 1: looks leaner, he looks more fit, he looks he's playing

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Speaker 1: a lot more. I think James Harden is going to

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Speaker 1: be not quite back to what he was in two

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Speaker 1: thousand eighteen, but I think James Harden will get very

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Speaker 1: close to that level this year. I think this is

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Speaker 1: his bounce back season. I think this is the year

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Speaker 1: that he cares for his body in a way that

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Speaker 1: that will get him back to that level of athleticism.

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Speaker 1: I expect a massive year from James Harden and I

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Speaker 1: believe at the end of this season we will be

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Speaker 1: unanimously considering him a top ten player in this league.

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Speaker 1: That is a huge part of where my optimism for

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Speaker 1: the Philadelphia seventies six years ago. I think that they

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Speaker 1: have two of the top eight or nine players in

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Speaker 1: the league. When James Harden is healthy, that automatically puts

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Speaker 1: you very close to the top of any list. We

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Speaker 1: have to factor that in when we're looking at potential

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Speaker 1: playoff outcomes here. I've never been the biggest James Harden Fan.

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Speaker 1: I've never been the biggest fan of the way he

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Speaker 1: plays the game or the way his game translates to

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Speaker 1: the playoffs. But you've got two players in that ilk.

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Speaker 1: This is not James Harden and Chris Paul. This is

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Speaker 1: not James didn't by himself. This is James Harden with

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Speaker 1: Joel embiid and that's where my optimism comes from. There's

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Speaker 1: also a really natural basketball fit there between the two

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Speaker 1: of them, which we'll get into here in a minute.

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Speaker 1: So this offseason they traded Danny Green and a first

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Speaker 1: round pick Ford Anthony Melton. He's a really good spot

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Speaker 1: up player that played for the Memphis Grizzlies last year.

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Speaker 1: Showed some flashes of on ball creation too, but it's

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Speaker 1: he's not actually efficient in that department yet, but he's

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Speaker 1: a good young spot up player off the bench who's guard.

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Speaker 1: I shot forty one percent on catching two jumpers last year.

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Speaker 1: That's obviously a natural fit. Only on pull up jumpers

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Speaker 1: a lot of his metrics and like pick and roll,

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Speaker 1: ball handler, isolation, the Uh you know, dribble handoffs, things

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Speaker 1: like that. He didn't put up great efficiency metrics last year,

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Speaker 1: but again he's young and uh Um. At the very

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Speaker 1: least you're trading Danny Green, a player who will be

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Speaker 1: unavailable either all of this year or most of this year,

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Speaker 1: for a useful rotation player and I think P J

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Speaker 1: Tucker kind of slides into that Danny Green Roll with

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Speaker 1: the starting lineup. And now you've given yourself a useful

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Speaker 1: player in depth, like I mentioned, they signed P J

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Speaker 1: Tucker and Daniel House. These are two really tough forwards

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Speaker 1: who consistently play hard and physical basketball. It fits a

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Speaker 1: personality need for this roster. They need guys that can

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Speaker 1: help uh inject toughness and fight into this group, which

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Speaker 1: is a specific weakness of Joel and beat and James Harden.

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Speaker 1: So I liked those moves a lot. I think Darryl

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Speaker 1: Moore knows James Harden really well and I think he

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Speaker 1: knows what kind of roster he needs to build around him.

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Speaker 1: Looking at their depth chart right now, at the guard position,

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Speaker 1: they have James Harden, the Anthony Melton, Tyrese maxie and

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Speaker 1: shake Milton on the wing. And again and again, as

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Speaker 1: we get to these top teams in the League, they're

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Speaker 1: always so deep on the wing, Tobias Harris, P J

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Speaker 1: Tucker fork on Cork, Maz Matisse, Thybul, Daniel House and

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Speaker 1: George's kneeing, and then biggs, Joel and beat and Paul

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Speaker 1: Reid and we might see a little bit of Charles

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Speaker 1: Bassi this year, depending on how things go with health

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Speaker 1: for em beat Um. On offense, kind of similar to

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Speaker 1: some of the other brute force teams in the League

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Speaker 1: like Brooklyn and and Dallas. They don't run as money

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Speaker 1: as much in the form in the way of sets

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Speaker 1: compared to the rest of the League. They do run

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Speaker 1: most of their UH, most of their organization is based

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Speaker 1: on four out, one in with them beat at the

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Speaker 1: top of the key, or they run some horn stuff

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Speaker 1: with Tobias Harris and Joel Embiad at the High Post.

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Speaker 1: They everything is some sort of interchange that flows into

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Speaker 1: some sort of screening action with them beats. So sometimes

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Speaker 1: they'll just have like James Harden run down and screen

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Speaker 1: for tyres Maxie, who tyris Maxie will then come up

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Speaker 1: off of the dribble handoff with Joe El Embat sometimes

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Speaker 1: James Harden will, you know, go do a dribble handoff

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Speaker 1: with Tobias Harris, who will then immediately flow into an

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Speaker 1: Mbat pick and roll, who will then hand off to,

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Speaker 1: you know, uh Tyrius maxie coming out of the corner,

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Speaker 1: and then he will come off of a ball screen

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Speaker 1: with Joel embiad. It's it's complications of like different ways

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Speaker 1: to enter into different screening actions and we're gonna talk

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Speaker 1: about a lot of different dribble handoffs and pick and

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Speaker 1: roll uh metrics and ideas today. Again, remember, dribble handoffs

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Speaker 1: are just another way to run a pick and roll.

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Speaker 1: It's a way that allows you to get into it

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Speaker 1: in an off ball sends to you as a as

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Speaker 1: the ball handler, the guard. You can work your defender

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Speaker 1: to a spot on the floor and then take off

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Speaker 1: from him and get initial separation, whereas if you have

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Speaker 1: a live dribble, they could be applying ball pressure. It's

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Speaker 1: just different ways to get into those actions. Um, they

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Speaker 1: also will run some stuff uh with like Tobias Harris

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Speaker 1: and and bead in horns, and then they'll just have

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Speaker 1: Tobias Harris like cross screen for Joel Em beat so

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Speaker 1: that he might be able to get a better matchup,

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Speaker 1: and then usually they'll just flow out of that into

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Speaker 1: a post up. Like I said earlier, there were the

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Speaker 1: most frequent post up team in the entire league. Um.

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Speaker 1: The last one that I mentioned, that that I that

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Speaker 1: I wanted to mention, that I saw on tape a

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Speaker 1: lot is tyris maxie. They run him off of those

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Speaker 1: horn sets like over Harris and him beat a lot

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Speaker 1: to get him to curl around because he's so gifted

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Speaker 1: at just catching and exploding off of one foot and

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Speaker 1: finishing at the rim. In pick and roll they were

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Speaker 1: fourth in ball handler efficiency and eighth in Rollman efficiency

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Speaker 1: as a team. Again, those numbers are somewhat skewed as

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Speaker 1: by the fact that harden didn't join until later in

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Speaker 1: the season. They have three different ball handlers that they

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Speaker 1: can run pick and roll with. James Harden had a

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Speaker 1: down year. He was at zero point eight, two points

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Speaker 1: per possession. I expect him to be much better this year.

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Speaker 1: Both tyres maxie and Bias Harris were outstanding pick and

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Speaker 1: roll ball ball handlers last year in the percentile or better.

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Speaker 1: I wanted to spend some time talking about in bead

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Speaker 1: rolling to the rim, because it's a huge part of

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Speaker 1: why I'm so excited about this particular team, especially with

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Speaker 1: James Harden. James Harden is pretty relentless hitting the role man.

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Speaker 1: He's he'll make the right read every time, especially because

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Speaker 1: he runs so many pick and rolls and, like we

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Speaker 1: talked about earlier, a lot of teams don't use their

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Speaker 1: role man very frequently. Guards are really quick to look

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Speaker 1: for their shot and pick and roll and and bead

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Speaker 1: is so good, particularly in the short role, that the

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Speaker 1: sixers are smart to use them as much as they do.

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Speaker 1: And beat is not a rim runner, he's not a

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Speaker 1: vertical space or he's not a guy that you're gonna

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Speaker 1: throw libs to, at least not often, but when he

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Speaker 1: catches the ball barreling down the lane in that ten

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Speaker 1: foot area, he's just damn near impossible to stop. First

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Speaker 1: of all, in the regular season he was on shot

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Speaker 1: attempts in the paint outside the restricted area. Obviously his

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Speaker 1: efficiency there dips in the playoffs, but he's got little

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Speaker 1: floaters and push shots and he can make that short

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Speaker 1: jump shot in the lane. Most importantly, when he barrels

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Speaker 1: down the lane. He's just impossible to stop without fouling.

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Speaker 1: He got fouled on twenty three of role possessions, so

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Speaker 1: almost one out of every time, at almost one out

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Speaker 1: of every four times someone hit and beat in the

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Speaker 1: short roll he got fouled. That was the second most

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Speaker 1: among centators who had two role Reps. only Gilbert had more.

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Speaker 1: But again, Gobert is a bad free throw shooter. So

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Speaker 1: many cases teams are just grabbing him with the intention

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Speaker 1: of sending him to the line rather than letting him

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Speaker 1: get a shot off. Um and beat overall was the

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Speaker 1: secon most frequently used Rollman in the entire league, and

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Speaker 1: I believe that would be even more this season with

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Speaker 1: James Harden in the fold. He averaged one point to

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Speaker 1: four points per role possession, which is absolutely outstanding. As

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Speaker 1: a team, they were also the second most efficient dribble

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Speaker 1: handoff team in basketball. A big part of that is

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Speaker 1: they ran a ton of dribble handoffs before James Harden

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Speaker 1: got around. It's one of Tobias Harris's favorite actions to

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Speaker 1: run um even like I said earlier, it's just another

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Speaker 1: way to run pick and roll. Everything that they do

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Speaker 1: offensively it's just variations and complications to try to get

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Speaker 1: Joel embiid into screening action with one of their perimeter

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Speaker 1: players and then rolling down the lane. Um in isolation situations,

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Speaker 1: James Harden was still one point zero seven points per

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Speaker 1: possession last year, which is really good. Isolation numbers are

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Speaker 1: typically a lot lower, and the reason why is he

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Speaker 1: still gets fouled on twenty eight percent of his ISOS.

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Speaker 1: So again, James Harden was one of the best is

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Speaker 1: a players in the league last year at one point

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Speaker 1: zero seven points per possession, despite only shooting thirty seven

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Speaker 1: percent from the field in those situations, because he gets

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Speaker 1: fouled on more almost a third of his possessions. The

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Speaker 1: the hardened foul drifting thing is alive and well and

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Speaker 1: stronger than it's ever been in the dip in his

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Speaker 1: athleticism has had no effect there. Joe Embiad has also

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Speaker 1: been solid in isolations this past season. Zero point nine

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Speaker 1: five points per possession, slightly above average Um. Moving on

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Speaker 1: to post ups. So No team in the NBA runs

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Speaker 1: more post ups than the sixers. They were fifth inefficiency.

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Speaker 1: Both Joel embiid and Tobias Harris are about the seventy

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Speaker 1: five percentile for post efficiency. There are two things that

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Speaker 1: I wanted to talk about their first of all, Tobias

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Speaker 1: Harris and getting favorable matchups. Again, like your most teams

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Speaker 1: are running one big four perimeter players. These days, they

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Speaker 1: might have a bigger, more athletic forward at the four

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Speaker 1: position to guard bigger players, but for the most part

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Speaker 1: you're putting your best perimeter defenders on Tyrese Maxi and

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Speaker 1: James Harden and you're putting your best post offender on

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Speaker 1: Joel embiid and you're offering help wherever Joel embiat is

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Speaker 1: on the floor. So all the time, Tobaris, Tobias Harris,

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Speaker 1: is gaining favorable matchups, whether that's running the floor in

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Speaker 1: transition to get a cross match or as the defense

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Speaker 1: gets in rotation, as people calls out on him, or

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Speaker 1: against certain teams just in the natural matchups of the game,

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Speaker 1: he's got a favorable matchup and he's got a good

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Speaker 1: back to the basket game and they'll just throw the

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Speaker 1: ball down to Tyrese Maxie and he's scoring down there

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Speaker 1: at a very efficient rate. Matchups are the number one

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Speaker 1: thing that that drive my optimism about this sixers team. offensively.

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Speaker 1: It's not just the James Harden and Joel embat thing,

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Speaker 1: it's Tyrese Maxie and Tobias Harris. Again, if Tobias Harris

404
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Speaker 1: is your best player or your second best player, yeah,

405
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Speaker 1: he's woefully underqualified for that role and you're gonna be

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Speaker 1: really dissatisfied with the results. That goes without saying. But

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Speaker 1: when he's your fourth best player, he gets to be

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Speaker 1: more picky with his shot selection and take shots that

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Speaker 1: he's more comfortable with. He doesn't have to force the

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Speaker 1: action as often and he's gonna draw favorable matchups. And

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Speaker 1: and that right there, that that's why, like it always

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Speaker 1: drives me nuts. I saw someone on twitter the other

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Speaker 1: day say something like, Oh, is Stephen Clay the best

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Speaker 1: duo in NBA history because they won four titles? or

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Speaker 1: I'll see something, I'll see things like oh, or Stephen

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Speaker 1: Katie the best duo, and I want to be like

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Speaker 1: those are Duos, those are that's four all star level players.

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Speaker 1: Like the part of the success of that team is

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Speaker 1: that when you've got Stephen Katie at the top, you

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Speaker 1: know Clay Thompson's getting very favorable matchups. And the same

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Speaker 1: thing goes for this Philadelphia Seventies sixers thing. This is

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Speaker 1: not a duo. Tyrese Maxie is a like. He's not

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Speaker 1: an all star, but he's in the tier right below

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Speaker 1: all star, and so is to bias Harris. These are

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Speaker 1: players that on any given night can give you thirty points,

426
00:21:46,320 --> 00:21:49,320
Speaker 1: that can create their own shot, that are incredibly confident

427
00:21:49,359 --> 00:21:51,720
Speaker 1: and have great strengths. To Bias Harris, mainly as a

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Speaker 1: post player and attacking closeouts. Tyrese Maxie as a ridiculous

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Speaker 1: transition threat which will get two in a minute, and

430
00:21:58,280 --> 00:21:59,959
Speaker 1: he's shooting the ball pretty well this year. I think

431
00:22:00,040 --> 00:22:03,480
Speaker 1: shot about pull up jump shots last year. That's really

432
00:22:03,560 --> 00:22:07,280
Speaker 1: damn good. So this is a damn good core four

433
00:22:07,320 --> 00:22:09,960
Speaker 1: players here and they're gonna be very difficult to match

434
00:22:10,040 --> 00:22:12,440
Speaker 1: up with any given night, and that's a huge part

435
00:22:12,440 --> 00:22:14,840
Speaker 1: of why I'm optimistic there. The second part of that

436
00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:18,160
Speaker 1: is spot up possessions. Defending the harden and bad pick

437
00:22:18,200 --> 00:22:20,480
Speaker 1: and roll is just a royal pain in the ASS.

438
00:22:20,480 --> 00:22:22,720
Speaker 1: Harden is really good at pinning the defender on his

439
00:22:22,760 --> 00:22:25,600
Speaker 1: backside so he can work down the lane. That dictates

440
00:22:25,640 --> 00:22:28,680
Speaker 1: that the big man screen defender has to corral James Harden.

441
00:22:29,119 --> 00:22:31,320
Speaker 1: That opens up the short role for Joel embid where

442
00:22:31,359 --> 00:22:34,119
Speaker 1: he's gonna kill you, so you almost always have to

443
00:22:34,160 --> 00:22:37,320
Speaker 1: tag him out of the week side corner. That opens

444
00:22:37,400 --> 00:22:39,880
Speaker 1: up that left handed skip pass for James Harden going

445
00:22:39,920 --> 00:22:43,040
Speaker 1: across the floor, and that's a borderline. I'll start level

446
00:22:43,280 --> 00:22:46,199
Speaker 1: level player that's catching that skip pass. It's gonna be

447
00:22:46,240 --> 00:22:49,840
Speaker 1: Tyres Maxie or Tobias Harris that's capitalizing on all that

448
00:22:49,920 --> 00:22:53,000
Speaker 1: defensive attention. That's where the talent shows up, in those

449
00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:56,560
Speaker 1: spot up possessions and in the matchups that those guys dictate.

450
00:22:57,560 --> 00:23:03,080
Speaker 1: Tyrs maxie transition. So tyres at ridges a ridiculous one, point, three,

451
00:23:03,160 --> 00:23:05,520
Speaker 1: five points per possession and transition, and he does it

452
00:23:05,560 --> 00:23:08,520
Speaker 1: about three times per game. You see him just absolutely

453
00:23:08,600 --> 00:23:11,280
Speaker 1: hit the jets and dust everybody down the floor and

454
00:23:11,320 --> 00:23:14,439
Speaker 1: make a layup or dunk. He has a ridiculous combination

455
00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:18,320
Speaker 1: of straight line speed with the explosiveness to take off

456
00:23:18,359 --> 00:23:20,480
Speaker 1: when you get there. I do this drill a lot

457
00:23:20,560 --> 00:23:22,159
Speaker 1: with my younger players and I do it all the

458
00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:23,840
Speaker 1: time because it's one of my favorite ways that I

459
00:23:23,840 --> 00:23:26,240
Speaker 1: play the game. But I'll start on the opposite end

460
00:23:26,240 --> 00:23:27,760
Speaker 1: of the floor and I'll throw the ball up off

461
00:23:27,760 --> 00:23:29,320
Speaker 1: the glass and I'll catch it as high as I

462
00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:31,600
Speaker 1: can and then I'll just take off at a full

463
00:23:31,640 --> 00:23:33,960
Speaker 1: sprint and dunk the basketball on the other end and

464
00:23:34,000 --> 00:23:35,840
Speaker 1: I'll just do that time and time again. I'll like

465
00:23:35,880 --> 00:23:37,360
Speaker 1: walk back down the floor do it again, and walk

466
00:23:37,400 --> 00:23:39,199
Speaker 1: back down the floor and do it again, and the

467
00:23:39,240 --> 00:23:41,960
Speaker 1: main reason why is, like going from a full sprint

468
00:23:42,560 --> 00:23:46,960
Speaker 1: into an upward jump at the rim is incredibly difficult.

469
00:23:47,080 --> 00:23:50,640
Speaker 1: It takes an enormous amount of like strength and it's

470
00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:53,320
Speaker 1: the kind of thing that when you see Tyrese can

471
00:23:53,320 --> 00:23:56,640
Speaker 1: make it look easy, but it's very difficult and it's

472
00:23:56,800 --> 00:24:00,479
Speaker 1: it's his rare bit of athleticism that all outs him

473
00:24:00,520 --> 00:24:02,720
Speaker 1: to succeed so much in transition. I wanted to get

474
00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:05,480
Speaker 1: it take a minute to to shout out tyres Maxi there.

475
00:24:06,720 --> 00:24:10,320
Speaker 1: So again my optimism for this team offensively is harden's

476
00:24:10,320 --> 00:24:12,560
Speaker 1: revenge tour, the idea of him getting back to where

477
00:24:12,560 --> 00:24:16,400
Speaker 1: he was. Uh, the natural synergy that exists between James

478
00:24:16,480 --> 00:24:19,200
Speaker 1: Harden and Joel embiide, who, when they're both top ten players,

479
00:24:19,240 --> 00:24:22,399
Speaker 1: will be incredibly difficult to deal with. Tyree's Maxi and

480
00:24:22,440 --> 00:24:27,160
Speaker 1: Tobias Harris, attacking matchups and attacking closeouts. It's an incredibly

481
00:24:27,160 --> 00:24:30,040
Speaker 1: talented roster and so I think that they're gonna be

482
00:24:30,080 --> 00:24:32,600
Speaker 1: a top five offense this year. I think they're gonna be.

483
00:24:32,880 --> 00:24:35,280
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be a really difficult closing five

484
00:24:35,320 --> 00:24:37,520
Speaker 1: and starting five to deal with. That's where my optimism

485
00:24:37,600 --> 00:24:42,000
Speaker 1: comes there. On the defensive end of the floor, they

486
00:24:42,000 --> 00:24:44,600
Speaker 1: were let's look at some metrics, because it doesn't paint

487
00:24:44,680 --> 00:24:48,480
Speaker 1: doc rivers in a very favorable light. Nineteen and defensive rebounding,

488
00:24:48,560 --> 00:24:51,040
Speaker 1: so they don't box out and crash very well, eighteenth

489
00:24:51,119 --> 00:24:53,119
Speaker 1: in defending the paint, so they don't take away layups

490
00:24:53,119 --> 00:24:55,640
Speaker 1: and dunks and things like that. They were twenty nine

491
00:24:55,680 --> 00:24:58,600
Speaker 1: and fast breakpoints allowed per one h possessions, according to

492
00:24:58,640 --> 00:25:02,240
Speaker 1: cleaning cleaning the glass, were the twenty seven ranked transition

493
00:25:02,320 --> 00:25:06,960
Speaker 1: defense overall. That speaks to what you heard from Uh

494
00:25:07,160 --> 00:25:09,600
Speaker 1: Kevin Nurayant after the Brooklyn Nets beat the crap out

495
00:25:09,640 --> 00:25:11,520
Speaker 1: of him in that one nationally televised game. He's like,

496
00:25:11,560 --> 00:25:13,639
Speaker 1: they're not, they're not a good transition team. So we

497
00:25:13,720 --> 00:25:15,920
Speaker 1: ran on him. He was absolutely right. They were not

498
00:25:15,960 --> 00:25:18,280
Speaker 1: a good transition defense last year. That means they're not

499
00:25:18,320 --> 00:25:21,320
Speaker 1: sprinting back, they're not communicating their complaining for fouls too

500
00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:22,880
Speaker 1: much on the other end of the floor. That leads

501
00:25:22,920 --> 00:25:25,720
Speaker 1: to bad transition defense and beats. Foot speed plays a

502
00:25:25,720 --> 00:25:27,200
Speaker 1: little bit of a role there, but we'll talk about

503
00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:30,080
Speaker 1: that in a second. Where the strength of their defense,

504
00:25:30,080 --> 00:25:32,840
Speaker 1: because again this team finished twelfth in defense. The strength

505
00:25:32,880 --> 00:25:34,760
Speaker 1: of their defense was they defended the three point line

506
00:25:34,800 --> 00:25:37,840
Speaker 1: really well. They were fourth and three pointers made allowed

507
00:25:38,200 --> 00:25:40,919
Speaker 1: per get per one possessions and they were ninth and steel.

508
00:25:41,040 --> 00:25:43,119
Speaker 1: So by defending the three point line, which is the

509
00:25:43,160 --> 00:25:47,360
Speaker 1: second most efficient shot in basketball, and by forcing turnovers,

510
00:25:47,720 --> 00:25:51,480
Speaker 1: they took a undisciplined defensive team and turned it into

511
00:25:51,520 --> 00:25:54,920
Speaker 1: the twelfth ranked defense in the League. They did make

512
00:25:55,080 --> 00:25:58,479
Speaker 1: massive improvements on the wing, defensively, in my opinion, by

513
00:25:58,520 --> 00:26:00,600
Speaker 1: bringing in Daniel House and P J Tuck. P J

514
00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:02,199
Speaker 1: Tucker just does a ton of stuff to help you

515
00:26:02,200 --> 00:26:05,080
Speaker 1: win games. He's a great offensive rebounder, he crashes the

516
00:26:05,080 --> 00:26:07,960
Speaker 1: glass relentlessly, he's a good cutter, he can knock down

517
00:26:07,960 --> 00:26:09,680
Speaker 1: corner threes, although that can be hit or miss and

518
00:26:09,720 --> 00:26:12,160
Speaker 1: streaky from time to time, and he can match up

519
00:26:12,160 --> 00:26:15,639
Speaker 1: with the bigger, bruising wings around the League, taking, you know,

520
00:26:15,720 --> 00:26:18,480
Speaker 1: the difficult defensive assignments that other guys on the roster

521
00:26:18,880 --> 00:26:21,000
Speaker 1: do not want to take. So I think that will

522
00:26:21,119 --> 00:26:25,120
Speaker 1: obviously improve things for them defensively. The big my one

523
00:26:25,200 --> 00:26:28,840
Speaker 1: big concern for them defensively is embeat in his slow footedness. Again,

524
00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:31,520
Speaker 1: like sixers fans swear by him beat on the defensive

525
00:26:31,560 --> 00:26:33,520
Speaker 1: end of the floor. I think he's good. I think

526
00:26:33,520 --> 00:26:35,040
Speaker 1: he's good when you can keep him around the rim,

527
00:26:35,080 --> 00:26:37,880
Speaker 1: but he does have some weaknesses. One in transition. He's

528
00:26:37,920 --> 00:26:40,880
Speaker 1: a huge part of why they're bad transition defense there.

529
00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:43,320
Speaker 1: This is a very athletic team that gets beat down

530
00:26:43,359 --> 00:26:45,600
Speaker 1: the floor a lot, in large part because he's slow

531
00:26:45,600 --> 00:26:47,879
Speaker 1: footed and he complains for fouls a lot on the

532
00:26:47,880 --> 00:26:49,760
Speaker 1: other end of the floor, and then when you put

533
00:26:49,840 --> 00:26:53,160
Speaker 1: him in space he struggles to contain ball handlers. There

534
00:26:53,200 --> 00:26:55,080
Speaker 1: was a stretch, I did a video on this during

535
00:26:55,080 --> 00:26:57,720
Speaker 1: that first round series. There was a stretch in one

536
00:26:57,760 --> 00:26:59,439
Speaker 1: of the Games that I want to say it was.

537
00:27:00,040 --> 00:27:02,840
Speaker 1: I want to say it was game five, Um, if

538
00:27:02,880 --> 00:27:06,520
Speaker 1: I remember correctly, but uh, in game five or late

539
00:27:06,560 --> 00:27:08,720
Speaker 1: in that series, there was a game in the second

540
00:27:08,800 --> 00:27:14,680
Speaker 1: half where Toronto on six consecutive possessions, targeted Joel embiide

541
00:27:14,720 --> 00:27:18,040
Speaker 1: in isolation with a live dribble and just dusted right

542
00:27:18,080 --> 00:27:21,280
Speaker 1: around him for layups. It's just it's his one key

543
00:27:21,359 --> 00:27:24,600
Speaker 1: weakness defensively is his foot speed. If you can keep

544
00:27:24,640 --> 00:27:26,640
Speaker 1: him around the rim, that's great. That's why he puts

545
00:27:26,680 --> 00:27:28,840
Speaker 1: up great metrics during the regular season. You keep him

546
00:27:28,840 --> 00:27:31,240
Speaker 1: in drop coverage, you keep him around the rim, he

547
00:27:31,320 --> 00:27:33,679
Speaker 1: does okay. But in a playoff setting when you can

548
00:27:33,720 --> 00:27:36,040
Speaker 1: attack him in transition and attack him in space, he

549
00:27:36,080 --> 00:27:39,119
Speaker 1: has some some struggles there. So I think there's somewhat

550
00:27:39,119 --> 00:27:41,280
Speaker 1: of a ceiling on this team defensively. But if they

551
00:27:41,280 --> 00:27:43,040
Speaker 1: can get around the top ten, if they can get

552
00:27:43,040 --> 00:27:46,360
Speaker 1: in that nine ten range while being a top five offense,

553
00:27:46,760 --> 00:27:50,679
Speaker 1: that's where you get the dangerous version of the SIXERS team. So,

554
00:27:50,800 --> 00:27:52,960
Speaker 1: looking at their best case scenario, this is one of

555
00:27:53,000 --> 00:27:54,720
Speaker 1: the most talented starting fives in the league. Like we

556
00:27:54,720 --> 00:27:56,840
Speaker 1: talked about, I expect P J Tucker to slide into

557
00:27:56,840 --> 00:27:59,439
Speaker 1: that Danny Green spot. I expect hardened to have one

558
00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:01,159
Speaker 1: of the best season of his career and to bounce

559
00:28:01,200 --> 00:28:03,959
Speaker 1: back from the rough couple of years. I expect him

560
00:28:04,000 --> 00:28:06,240
Speaker 1: be to have some better health luck he's been. You know,

561
00:28:06,280 --> 00:28:08,840
Speaker 1: it's really unfortunate when you're finally gonna kind of getting

562
00:28:08,840 --> 00:28:11,080
Speaker 1: into a good spot and then someone elbows you in

563
00:28:11,119 --> 00:28:13,000
Speaker 1: the face and kind of makes you dizzy for a

564
00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:16,360
Speaker 1: whole for a couple of weeks. Tyres maxie's blossoming. He's

565
00:28:16,359 --> 00:28:18,159
Speaker 1: just about to turn twenty two and he's one of

566
00:28:18,200 --> 00:28:21,200
Speaker 1: the most talented young guards in this league. The natural

567
00:28:21,280 --> 00:28:24,680
Speaker 1: difficulty of guarding the hardened and Beid pick and roll

568
00:28:25,040 --> 00:28:27,680
Speaker 1: in the bind that it puts you in as a defense,

569
00:28:28,200 --> 00:28:30,439
Speaker 1: and then they address their toughness need by bringing in

570
00:28:30,480 --> 00:28:33,400
Speaker 1: P J Tucker and Daniel House. If all of those

571
00:28:33,440 --> 00:28:36,919
Speaker 1: things manifest the way that I expect them to, especially

572
00:28:36,960 --> 00:28:39,000
Speaker 1: when you factor in the continuity of not having to

573
00:28:39,080 --> 00:28:43,760
Speaker 1: deal with a hardened uh without having to deal with

574
00:28:43,840 --> 00:28:46,480
Speaker 1: getting harden involved in your team in the middle of

575
00:28:46,480 --> 00:28:49,240
Speaker 1: a season, I think that this team's best case scenario

576
00:28:49,320 --> 00:28:51,520
Speaker 1: is absolutely winning the title. They will be able to

577
00:28:51,520 --> 00:28:55,600
Speaker 1: match up with everybody. They're gonna be, uh like I said,

578
00:28:55,640 --> 00:28:57,800
Speaker 1: one of the most talented starting five and closing fives

579
00:28:57,800 --> 00:29:00,600
Speaker 1: in basketball. I absolutely view them as a title threat.

580
00:29:00,640 --> 00:29:02,360
Speaker 1: That's why I have them up here at number five.

581
00:29:03,240 --> 00:29:05,160
Speaker 1: The worst case scenario is that they have a very

582
00:29:05,200 --> 00:29:07,479
Speaker 1: good regular season, like they usually do and that they

583
00:29:07,520 --> 00:29:09,200
Speaker 1: lose in the first or second round again, just like

584
00:29:09,240 --> 00:29:11,920
Speaker 1: you saw last year. In order for that to happen, though,

585
00:29:12,000 --> 00:29:13,760
Speaker 1: it needs to be more of the same from embid

586
00:29:13,840 --> 00:29:16,280
Speaker 1: and hardened. It needs to be embid breaking down and

587
00:29:16,320 --> 00:29:18,560
Speaker 1: shrinking a little bit when things get tough, and it

588
00:29:18,560 --> 00:29:21,000
Speaker 1: needs to be James Harden still being a little bit

589
00:29:21,040 --> 00:29:23,400
Speaker 1: out of shape, you know, struggling with health throughout the

590
00:29:23,440 --> 00:29:26,840
Speaker 1: season and not being explosive enough to get to the rim.

591
00:29:26,920 --> 00:29:31,480
Speaker 1: That explosiveness is everything, and that's why my x factor

592
00:29:31,520 --> 00:29:37,000
Speaker 1: for this team is James Harden. I think the okay. So,

593
00:29:38,280 --> 00:29:43,280
Speaker 1: when James Harden's body started to fail him, it caused

594
00:29:43,320 --> 00:29:48,520
Speaker 1: this cascading effect that limited him offensively, when he can't

595
00:29:48,560 --> 00:29:50,880
Speaker 1: beat people off the dribble as much as he used to.

596
00:29:51,680 --> 00:29:55,680
Speaker 1: There's a balance that changes there. When you're a defender,

597
00:29:55,920 --> 00:29:58,440
Speaker 1: you're either on your toes or you're on your heels

598
00:29:58,920 --> 00:30:02,360
Speaker 1: as a defensive player, and that's more less in terms

599
00:30:02,360 --> 00:30:04,640
Speaker 1: of the physiology of it and technique of it. It's

600
00:30:04,680 --> 00:30:07,600
Speaker 1: more of like a mental thing. You either feel confident

601
00:30:08,080 --> 00:30:11,720
Speaker 1: getting up into an offensive player, knowing that you can

602
00:30:11,760 --> 00:30:15,160
Speaker 1: contain him, or you're terrified of the drive and you

603
00:30:15,200 --> 00:30:18,160
Speaker 1: give space. That's kind of what I'm getting at here.

604
00:30:18,960 --> 00:30:22,120
Speaker 1: And when James Harden went was in his absolute prime.

605
00:30:23,160 --> 00:30:26,000
Speaker 1: He was so damned quick with his first step going

606
00:30:26,120 --> 00:30:29,880
Speaker 1: left and his left to right crossover was so hard

607
00:30:29,920 --> 00:30:32,640
Speaker 1: to guard that he could get to his step back

608
00:30:32,720 --> 00:30:35,360
Speaker 1: jump shot whenever he wanted because the defender was on

609
00:30:35,400 --> 00:30:38,680
Speaker 1: their heels, the defender was giving ground and as a

610
00:30:38,720 --> 00:30:41,720
Speaker 1: result he was just killing teams, shooting like something crazy,

611
00:30:41,800 --> 00:30:45,040
Speaker 1: liket on, like ten step back to easy game right.

612
00:30:46,680 --> 00:30:51,520
Speaker 1: But as his athleticism left him, suddenly it became that

613
00:30:51,600 --> 00:30:55,000
Speaker 1: guys felt more comfortable pressing up on him. Now he's

614
00:30:55,040 --> 00:30:58,120
Speaker 1: not getting as much separation on that step back. Now

615
00:30:58,160 --> 00:31:00,800
Speaker 1: that step back is turning into a lower percentage shot,

616
00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:04,720
Speaker 1: now that threat of the drive isn't there. So him

617
00:31:04,760 --> 00:31:09,360
Speaker 1: getting into shape, him regaining some of that explosiveness will

618
00:31:09,400 --> 00:31:13,080
Speaker 1: put everything back in order for him, where defenders have

619
00:31:13,160 --> 00:31:15,200
Speaker 1: to give him a little bit more space, where in

620
00:31:15,320 --> 00:31:18,320
Speaker 1: pick and roll teams have to account for him exploding

621
00:31:18,360 --> 00:31:21,120
Speaker 1: to the rim more frequently. When that comes back, I

622
00:31:21,160 --> 00:31:24,880
Speaker 1: think everything will open up for this Philadelphia Team and

623
00:31:25,000 --> 00:31:27,200
Speaker 1: James Harden getting back to that level, getting back to

624
00:31:27,240 --> 00:31:29,320
Speaker 1: that you know seventh or eighth best player in the League.

625
00:31:29,760 --> 00:31:33,360
Speaker 1: That's gonna be what puts this team in serious title contention.

626
00:31:33,800 --> 00:31:37,960
Speaker 1: That's why he is the x factor of this team.

627
00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:40,280
Speaker 1: If and beads the eighth best player in the League

628
00:31:40,560 --> 00:31:43,040
Speaker 1: and hardens the Fifteenth Best Player in the League, they're

629
00:31:43,040 --> 00:31:45,800
Speaker 1: not beating anybody at the top, but if and beads

630
00:31:45,840 --> 00:31:48,200
Speaker 1: the eighth best player in the League and hardens the

631
00:31:48,320 --> 00:31:50,760
Speaker 1: seventh or Ninth Best Player in the League, they can

632
00:31:50,760 --> 00:31:54,680
Speaker 1: beat anybody. He's the x factor. He's the guy to watch. Again,

633
00:31:54,720 --> 00:31:57,760
Speaker 1: I'm I'm I'm really it seems kind of backwards right

634
00:31:57,840 --> 00:32:00,840
Speaker 1: because I'm not a huge sixers fan. I don't like him,

635
00:32:00,840 --> 00:32:03,400
Speaker 1: bed and harden and the foul grift ing. I'm not

636
00:32:03,640 --> 00:32:07,400
Speaker 1: especially I I don't really uh think much of their

637
00:32:07,480 --> 00:32:11,200
Speaker 1: personalities as basketball players. They're not my favorite types of guys.

638
00:32:11,880 --> 00:32:15,240
Speaker 1: But this is an incredibly talented team and if anything

639
00:32:15,280 --> 00:32:17,320
Speaker 1: goes right for them this season, they're going to be

640
00:32:17,320 --> 00:32:18,680
Speaker 1: in the mix of things at the end of the year.

641
00:32:18,720 --> 00:32:20,560
Speaker 1: That's why I have him as high as I do.

642
00:32:20,640 --> 00:32:23,440
Speaker 1: All right, guys, I hope you all have a great weekend.

643
00:32:23,520 --> 00:32:26,800
Speaker 1: We will be back on Monday with number four, as always.

644
00:32:26,840 --> 00:32:29,440
Speaker 1: I sincerely appreciate your support and I'll see you after

645
00:32:29,480 --> 00:33:43,120
Speaker 1: the weekend. The Volume