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Speaker 3: Welcome in episode eighty eight What's Right with Nick Right
Speaker 3: the podcast and the YouTube show by the way, I've
Speaker 3: been kind of pushing you guys subscribe on YouTube on
Speaker 3: Mondays and Thursdays. We do our live show on YouTube
Speaker 3: at ten thirty Eastern, and I do appreciate you guys
Speaker 3: subscribing there. We're trying to get two hundred thousand subscribers
Speaker 3: before New Year. So to Monts, I can get a
Speaker 3: bonus that I think he thinks I'm paying out, but
Speaker 3: I Blue Duck Media is gonna cut him a check.
Speaker 3: The president of Blue Duck Media, the founder, by the way,
Speaker 3: is here in studio. We might hear from him at
Speaker 3: some point during today's show. However, I checked our podcast
Speaker 3: Apple iTunes Spotify podcast rankings. We're plummeting. Oh we're outside
Speaker 3: of the top one hundred, So go ahead and subscribe
Speaker 3: there as well. Really, I care more about the YouTube
Speaker 3: thing because I can see that and I can kind
Speaker 3: of compare it to other shows. But the podcast stuff
Speaker 3: would be good too. Okay, speaking of needing cash bonuses,
Speaker 3: this is our gambling show and ear Muff's Kids. But
Speaker 3: this has been a goddamn travesty. Demansay that'd been great
Speaker 3: on two and three. Every single week, I give you
Speaker 3: guys five picks. Here's how the gambling show works. We
Speaker 3: give you five picks. Put every other game into three
Speaker 3: different categories, stay away, be careful, and perfectly priced. And
Speaker 3: every week this is what happens. I get two picks
Speaker 3: dead on right, no question about it. I get one
Speaker 3: pick way wrong. There's a game that is the spread's
Speaker 3: gonna come down to the wire, I'm on the wrong
Speaker 3: side of it. And then I lose my lock of
Speaker 3: the week in the most heartbreaking fashion imaginable. This week
Speaker 3: it was by a half point. I have lost the
Speaker 3: right Move, otherwise know it as the lock of the week,
Speaker 3: six consecutive shows. So let's show you last week slate.
Speaker 3: We are now fifteen and twenty on the season. A
Speaker 3: five and oh week only gets us to play to
Speaker 3: five hundred hundred. However, we're one and six on the
Speaker 3: right Move, which means we're fourteen and fourteen on regular
Speaker 3: picks and just horrifying on our locks. That puts us
Speaker 3: down seven units because unlike these other gambling shows, we
Speaker 3: include the VIG, so we were five hunder five hundred
Speaker 3: plus the VIIG. So we're down seven units after seven weeks.
Speaker 3: Is that a disaster? No? Is it mortifying though?
Speaker 2: Yes?
Speaker 3: So let's discuss it. Last week, we have Detroit getting
Speaker 3: seven against Dallas. They're down four in the fourth quarter
Speaker 3: on the inch line, about to go up three, getting seven. Instead,
Speaker 3: they lose by eighteen points. They fumble, never to score again.
Speaker 3: We have Jacksonville minus three against the Giants. They have
Speaker 3: a lead with six minutes left, a four point lead.
Speaker 3: They lose by six. Cleveland plus six against Baltimore went
Speaker 3: exactly the way we said it would. We told you
Speaker 3: that was a three point game. Baltimore wins line was
Speaker 3: too high. Seattle plus five and a half, aganst to
Speaker 3: the Chargers. We told you Seattle could win out right
Speaker 3: when just how we said and in the right move
Speaker 3: Miami by six and a half or seven against Pittsburgh,
Speaker 3: They're up sixteen to ten after the first half and
Speaker 3: never score again. They win sixteen to ten. Toman's eight.
Speaker 3: I'm gonna h oh, that's a fun graphic. They did
Speaker 3: the little sonny in Philadelphia. Fella. I don't think the
Speaker 3: process is wrong. I truly don't. I understand right now
Speaker 3: that is hard to justify. Yeah, oh kidding, but we
Speaker 3: to be It is so frustrating. We have done seven
Speaker 3: weeks of shows. We have one three and two weeks
Speaker 3: and six two and three.
Speaker 2: Weeks, all just black, just mediocre.
Speaker 3: Just mediocre, which is the only thing you don't want
Speaker 3: to be in this format. You and but I mock
Speaker 3: Victor last week. I'm like, oh, we went oh for five.
Speaker 3: I think he went three and two this week. I
Speaker 3: know my process is sound. I know I've been on
Speaker 3: the unlucky side of some things, and I know that
Speaker 3: what's going to happen this week. I already know it
Speaker 3: because you guys held a little intervention with me on
Speaker 3: Monday saying I can't bet the Jags anymore. Yep, and
Speaker 3: I committed to you guys, I would take a break
Speaker 3: from the Jags.
Speaker 2: However, however, that's scary.
Speaker 3: Well, this might be the last chance with human civilization
Speaker 3: gets to bet against Nathaniel Hackett as an NFL head coach.
Speaker 3: This could be Hackett's last stand across the pond in London.
Speaker 3: The Jags are laying less than a field goal. I
Speaker 3: could start my Sunday off with a glorious victory and
Speaker 3: get rolling from there. But you guys have banned me
Speaker 3: from betting the Jaguars. So let me tell you something
Speaker 3: right now. I will keep my commitment because I am
Speaker 3: a man of my word, and I will not include
Speaker 3: the Jaguars and my picks, but they are in my
Speaker 3: picks in my heart.
Speaker 2: Well, yeah, I think you actually banned yourself.
Speaker 3: No, no, I.
Speaker 2: Don't think we told you.
Speaker 3: You guys made me do it. You held a stupid
Speaker 3: little intervention on Monday Show. And now I'm going to
Speaker 3: be hate watching that game when the Broncos with Russell
Speaker 3: Wilson on half a hamstring and as the corniest guy
Speaker 3: in the history of professional Sports. It loses to the
Speaker 3: Jaguars twenty four to nine. But we have picks to
Speaker 3: give out here they are We have five picks for
Speaker 3: the week. We are starting with Las Vegas minus one
Speaker 3: and a half at New Orleans. I think the Raiders
Speaker 3: are a good team. I think the Raiders are despite
Speaker 3: their record of two to four have They obviously have
Speaker 3: the better quarterback in this matchup. Everyone has the better
Speaker 3: coach than Dennis Allen, who's a bottom five winning percentage
Speaker 3: coach in the history of the NFL. They also have
Speaker 3: had some They had some awful, awful luck early in
Speaker 3: the season, and I think you saw them this past
Speaker 3: weekend not even play their best game. Now, granted it
Speaker 3: was against Houston, but they won that game by eighteen points.
Speaker 3: So thus far on the season, Week one for the
Speaker 3: Raiders Chargers game, they have the ball and the waning moments,
Speaker 3: down five, Karth throws a pick. The Arizona game was
Speaker 3: an all time epic collapse. They lose in overtime. They're
Speaker 3: up sixteen in the fourth quarter Tennessee, they lose on
Speaker 3: a failed two point conversion. Kansas City. They're up seventeen
Speaker 3: to nothing, then Chiefs charge all the way back. DeVante
Speaker 3: Adams don't get his feet and bounds. They lose by one,
Speaker 3: and then they blow out Houston. New Orleans, on the
Speaker 3: other hand, I believe stinks. New Orleans is two and five.
Speaker 3: Their victories have come. They have Week one, they were
Speaker 3: getting crushed by Atlanta. They stormed back in one. Week
Speaker 3: five they played Seattle. Seattle team. They tried to blow
Speaker 3: that game despite being up thirty one to twenty. I
Speaker 3: think thirty one to nineteen. In that game, Seattle stormed
Speaker 3: all the way back themselves. New Orleans then came back
Speaker 3: and won at the very least in the waning moments.
Speaker 3: I know it's a road dog, but it's a road
Speaker 3: dog of less than a field goal. The question here,
Speaker 3: truly is who do you think is going to win?
Speaker 3: I also think low key. Thus far this season, Josh
Speaker 3: Jacobs has been arguably the best running back in football.
Speaker 3: It's a contract year. I think they're going to run
Speaker 3: all over the Saints. I like the Raiders to win
Speaker 3: this game outright, obviously, since I'm laying the point and
Speaker 3: a half, I think it's twenty seven to twenty Las Vegas.
Speaker 3: That's a win. How do you feel, Okay, about that one.
Speaker 3: How are you feeling about that?
Speaker 2: I like the logic behind that one. I get it.
Speaker 2: I definitely don't have any faith in New Orleans.
Speaker 3: So no, listen, New Orleans can tell itself all we're
Speaker 3: a game out of first place because the division is
Speaker 3: so crumby. But they're not good. And it's not only
Speaker 3: that there. I mentioned how they've the they're only two wins.
Speaker 3: Their losses have been they they haven't been blown out,
Speaker 3: but they just lost this past Thursday to Arizona, and
Speaker 3: Arizona team that was in total disarray and they were
Speaker 3: down eighteen in that game. That and by the way, additionally,
Speaker 3: I'm gonna say the one thing I don't love about
Speaker 3: this game. New Orleans does have the extended week because
Speaker 3: they played on Thursday, so that's not ideal. The against
Speaker 3: the against the Bengals. In that game, they seemingly were
Speaker 3: in control against the Bengals team that was trying to
Speaker 3: turn it around, and then they collapsed down the stretch
Speaker 3: against the Bengals. They lost to Carolina when Baker was
Speaker 3: still starting. Team's a mess. So I like since I
Speaker 3: like Las Vegas in this game, all right, next Minnesota
Speaker 3: laying three and a half against Arizona. This is purely
Speaker 3: a fade Cliff and Tyler game coming off a win.
Speaker 3: I don't love that Arizona has the extra rest, and
Speaker 3: I don't love the half point. But Minnesota is six
Speaker 3: and one, and they know with the way Green Bays
Speaker 3: go ahead, Minnesota sixth is one. Kirkan Cousins is Kirk
Speaker 3: and Cousins. Kirk and Kirk Cousins again, two and five
Speaker 3: against the spread after a bye week. It's not a
Speaker 3: great number, is that true? That's true, kirkan Cousins. That's
Speaker 3: a piece of information that I was in aware of.
Speaker 3: Arizona's on extended rest. You can retreat to half point
Speaker 3: more than I would like, you know what.
Speaker 2: You know what, Jack speaking there, I promised it wouldn't.
Speaker 3: But there's a different game that I was thinking about.
Speaker 3: You know what, we're gonna do something we've never done.
Speaker 3: This is how we're gonna break out of this two
Speaker 3: and three, muck. I'm gonna listen to you. Two and
Speaker 3: five kirk Cousins after a bye I was unaware. I
Speaker 3: didn't love the fact that it was three and a half. Well,
Speaker 3: you know what, revoked off the board not doing it
Speaker 3: instead Let's go with a team whose quarterback we believe
Speaker 3: in the anti Russell Wilson, the coolest quarterback in the league. Nope,
Speaker 3: not the Seahawks. Cincinnati. Okay, they're also laying three and
Speaker 3: a half. They happen to be on the road against Cleveland.
Speaker 3: We don't love road dogs of more than a field
Speaker 3: goaling divisional games. However, Cleveland knows they're seasons over. They
Speaker 3: know it's done for them. Cincinnati, on the other hand,
Speaker 3: understands now exactly who and what they need to be.
Speaker 3: Stop trying to be an under center team. Stop trying
Speaker 3: to establish the run. Have Burrow chuck it around the
Speaker 3: field to Jamar Chase and t Higgins. That's their offense.
Speaker 3: They could have scored sixty points against Atlanta this past week.
Speaker 3: So Cincinnati, after that bad start, what we have seen
Speaker 3: from Cincinnati is they beat down the Jets, they put
Speaker 3: it on Miami, they beat New Orleans, who we mentioned,
Speaker 3: they annihilated Atlanta, and they lost to Baltimore on a
Speaker 3: field goal at the gun. Cleveland, on the other hand,
Speaker 3: which is so screwed with the schedule they have coming
Speaker 3: up Cleveland still, by the way, after Cincinnati, they have
Speaker 3: the bye week at their first three after the bye
Speaker 3: at Miami, at Buffalo, home for Tampa. Then a couple
Speaker 3: weeks later they're at Cincinnati and then home for Baltimoreland's
Speaker 3: going to be done before Deshaun gets back. I think
Speaker 3: the players know it. I think Cleveland under I think
Speaker 3: they're going to be looking ahead to the bye week.
Speaker 3: Cleveland after their somewhat surprising start when they could have
Speaker 3: been three and oh remember they blew that Jets game.
Speaker 3: They lost to Atlanta, they lost to the Chargers, they
Speaker 3: got blown out by the Patriots, and last week they
Speaker 3: lost to Baltimore. Cincinnati throwing all over that Cleveland secondary,
Speaker 3: which has never quite gotten it right despite investing a
Speaker 3: lot of draft capital, including a top five pick in
Speaker 3: that secondary a few years ago. Cincinnati, it's a pivot,
Speaker 3: a mid show pivot. Appreciate the info, Sun. I didn't
Speaker 3: know that stupid Kirk Cousin's number also DZA, which is
Speaker 3: kind of like the nerdy football analysis to find value
Speaker 3: over average. I think is what it is. Doesn't love
Speaker 3: since it doesn't love Minnesota at all. I didn't love
Speaker 3: that we were laying three and a half. Cincinnati minus
Speaker 3: three and a half is the pivot next Washington getting
Speaker 3: two and a half at Indy. The logic here is
Speaker 3: very simple. Oh so Sam Ellener is not an NFL quarterback,
Speaker 3: which is not and I'm getting points. Sam Ellinger is
Speaker 3: favored in an NFL game. It should flatly never happen.
Speaker 2: Indy.
Speaker 3: On the other hand, we thought all year the story
Speaker 3: was with Indy, and now I'm pivoting off Indy from preseason.
Speaker 3: You guys know how much I liked that team. But
Speaker 3: it's okay for me to pivot off them because they're
Speaker 3: pivoting off themselves. They've announced that Matt Ryan's done for
Speaker 3: the season that Sam Allener is going to be their
Speaker 3: new starting quarterback. Jonathan Taylor, who had famously never missed
Speaker 3: a practice in college or high school, has been banged
Speaker 3: up this year and it's showing up. Week one of
Speaker 3: the season, Jonathan Taylor had one hundred sixty one yards
Speaker 3: rushing against Houston. He was awesome in that football game.
Speaker 3: He had won sixty one in a touchdown. Since then,
Speaker 3: he's played four games, he has two hundred and twenty
Speaker 3: five yards total and zero touchdowns. So you have Sam
Speaker 3: Ellinger at quarterback, which is cartoonish.
Speaker 2: Cartoonish.
Speaker 3: Yeah, you have a running back who is the whole
Speaker 3: team is based around, who hasn't been great. You have
Speaker 3: Washington on the other hand, who I believe Heineke is
Speaker 3: an upgrade over Carson Wentz.
Speaker 2: Washington, you think they're still riding that high from green Bay.
Speaker 3: Well, and they won the previous week against Chicago. The
Speaker 3: week before that, they were super competitive against Tennessee lose.
Speaker 3: You know, they had a second half lead in that game.
Speaker 3: They end up losing by four. They have been blown
Speaker 3: out twice this year by Philly and Dallas. They beat
Speaker 3: those frisky Jags in Week one. Don't forget about that.
Speaker 3: I I just flatly don't think Sam Ellinger should be
Speaker 3: a favorite. So I'm getting points with Washington, and that's
Speaker 3: to me a must bet. You seem skeptical. What's the
Speaker 3: problem here?
Speaker 2: You earlier? I mean what, I don't know what this is,
Speaker 2: this new found love for Washington.
Speaker 3: It's not love for Washington. It's fading. It is saying,
Speaker 3: you know what, I I don't like your lack of
Speaker 3: confidence in my picks. It is saying that Indy should
Speaker 3: not be a favorite. They're the f They have abandoned
Speaker 3: Matt Ryan not like Matt Ryan was good. They are
Speaker 3: their coaches on the hot seat, their owners giving out
Speaker 3: quotes about uh oh that's the other thing. Oh, I
Speaker 3: didn't even think about that. I feel better about this
Speaker 3: pick now. Dan Snyder is one of the worst people
Speaker 3: in professional sports. With that said, Dan Snyder revenge game,
Speaker 3: little owner battle here, Jim Ursay called talked all this
Speaker 3: trash about Dan Snyder. Dan Snyder owns Washington, Jimmers owns
Speaker 3: the Colts, And I'm sure Dan Snyder's bad of a
Speaker 3: guy as he is. He's like, wait, who talked trash
Speaker 3: about me? Because Jim mrsay once upon a time, I'm
Speaker 3: gonna say allegedly here, even though this definitely happened, just
Speaker 3: because I don't have all the details exactly right, Jim Mersay,
Speaker 3: once upon a time was pulled a few years ago,
Speaker 3: was pulled over by the cops, had a sack of
Speaker 3: thirty thousand dollars cash and a bunch of pills, and
Speaker 3: I was like, ah, look at this rapscallion. Now, he
Speaker 3: has since turned his life around, and I think he's
Speaker 3: gotten sober and he's done a lot of good things.
Speaker 3: But I'm sure Dan Snyder's like this is the guy
Speaker 3: talking trash to me dance. Nobody's gonna have this take
Speaker 3: because everybody hate San Snyder. Dan Snyder Revenge game. Washington
Speaker 3: plus two and a half. You know what this feels like?
Speaker 3: Vegas minus one and a half since Santi minus two
Speaker 3: and a half and Washington plus since Sinnati minus three
Speaker 3: and a half. Part of me in Washington plus two
Speaker 3: and a half, you know what that feels.
Speaker 2: And smells like, feels like three and oho.
Speaker 3: Okay, next one, San Francisco minus a point and a
Speaker 3: half at the Rams. This one's obvious and easy, and
Speaker 3: I would say I'm going to make this the lock
Speaker 3: of the week if I felt like that mattered at all. Instead,
Speaker 3: I should probably just throw a dark The thing is this,
Speaker 3: The Niners defense was banged up two weeks ago and
Speaker 3: they lost to Atlanta, and last week they played the
Speaker 3: greatest player in the history of the league and got
Speaker 3: embarrassed bying. Now they are playing a broken offensive line.
Speaker 3: They're on the road, but not really. They will have
Speaker 3: more fans at so far more Niner fans than the
Speaker 3: Rams will. It is a get right game against the
Speaker 3: Rams offensive line. San Francisco, it is I think a
Speaker 3: must win spot for them now it is. I will
Speaker 3: admit the Rams coming off the bye, which I don't love,
Speaker 3: but do I think San Francisco with a full week
Speaker 3: to get McCaffrey into the offense. So that's the other
Speaker 3: thing he was. He made a bit of an impact
Speaker 3: in that Chiefs game early despite only being there for
Speaker 3: forty eight hours. Now he has a full week. They've
Speaker 3: lost back to back games. They are desperate. This is,
Speaker 3: you know, the McVeigh or Shanahan has historically owned McVeigh,
Speaker 3: with the exception I think yeah, with the exception of
Speaker 3: the NFC Championship game last year when McVeigh finally got him.
Speaker 3: I think he had lost seven straight. McVeagh lost seventh
Speaker 3: straight to Shanahan prior to that San Francisco. Jimmy G
Speaker 3: makes brutal decisions, but rarely has consecutive horrifying games. So
Speaker 3: he had a bad game against the Chiefs. He had
Speaker 3: a mediocre game against Atlanta. I think it's a Jimmy
Speaker 3: G bounce back game. I think that it's a Christian McCaffrey, Deebo,
Speaker 3: Samuel George Kittle game. The Niners are finally getting healthy.
Speaker 3: For all those reasons, the Niners plus minus a point
Speaker 3: and a half the Rams. I love that side. I
Speaker 3: love that side. Love it last one. And this is
Speaker 3: very simple and very straightforward. I do not think the
Speaker 3: Packers are good.
Speaker 2: This is that one's kind of crazy. What's going on?
Speaker 2: I'm sorry?
Speaker 3: Okay, well, let me explain it. I don't think the
Speaker 3: Packers are good, and I don't think Aaron Rodgers playing well.
Speaker 3: With that said, Aaron Rodgers and the Packers getting eleven
Speaker 3: and a half points is a must bet.
Speaker 2: I did look. I looked at it wrong.
Speaker 3: Okay, Aaron. I understand they're in Buffalo. I know the
Speaker 3: Bills are the three time defending Super Bowl champs with
Speaker 3: the five time MVP at quarterback. I understand all of that. However,
Speaker 3: eleven and a half points is why. Yeah, it is
Speaker 3: a wild number, and it's just some people have a
Speaker 3: strategy of if a lion is ever more than ten,
Speaker 3: they're betting the dog. Usually when that happens, you are
Speaker 3: betting on a terrible quarterback or a rookie quarterback. Instead,
Speaker 3: it's Aaron Rodgers, who I had listen. I don't like
Speaker 3: how he's played this year. I don't like how he's
Speaker 3: handled a lot of things, and i's in the Bills
Speaker 3: are coming off a bye. I wonder, however, if with
Speaker 3: the way they were rolling, if that buy is as
Speaker 3: helpful as it would be to other teams, if they
Speaker 3: want to just keep going. The Packers are totally desperate,
Speaker 3: and Aaron I think, even if they're down seventeen, is
Speaker 3: going to keep chucking the ball around in order to
Speaker 3: try to up his numbers. It's just too many points
Speaker 3: green Bay. Is there a world where green Bay wins
Speaker 3: this game? There is Rogers has a throwback game the
Speaker 3: last year. Josh Allen makes a couple of mistakes where
Speaker 3: it's one of those games where the Bills are eight
Speaker 3: of eleven on third down. They're moving the ball up
Speaker 3: and down the field, but they have red zone turnovers
Speaker 3: like they did again Miami. That's on the board. There
Speaker 3: is certainly a world that exists where this final score
Speaker 3: of this game is twenty seven seventeen and I cover.
Speaker 3: It's just too many points. Green Bay plus eleven and
Speaker 3: a half. So there are five picks this week. Vegas
Speaker 3: minus one and a half, the pivot to Cincinnati minus
Speaker 3: three and a half, Washington plus two and a half,
Speaker 3: green Bay plus eleven and a half and San Francisco
Speaker 3: minus a point and a half. We now have the
Speaker 3: rest of the slate to get into stay aways, be
Speaker 3: carefuls and perfectly priced. We'll do that next.
Speaker 2: What's Right? Just start doing like a little prayer.
Speaker 3: Okay, stop consulting.
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Speaker 3: All Right, welcome back in What's Right? Nick Wright, Episode
Speaker 3: eighty eight hour, Week eight NFL Gambling Show. The week
Speaker 3: we go five and zero, we get to five hundred
Speaker 3: on the season, and we take off like a phoenix
Speaker 3: rising from the ashes.
Speaker 2: That's what we do.
Speaker 3: Listen, that's gonna happen. There's gonna be a team fifteen
Speaker 3: and twenty, which is what we are in the year,
Speaker 3: is the exact same percentage wise as being three and four.
Speaker 3: All right, I just want to tell America something real quick.
Speaker 3: Here are the three and four teams currently in the NFL.
Speaker 3: In the NFC, Washington take them out, San Francisco, Arizona,
Speaker 3: Green Bay, Tampa, Atlanta. One of those five teams is
Speaker 3: gonna catch fire the second half of the season. In
Speaker 3: the AFC three and four teams, oh, there are none
Speaker 3: except for New England.
Speaker 2: New England.
Speaker 3: It's not so we're gonna be like, I don't know
Speaker 3: if it's the Tampa Bay Bucks, if it's not the Cardinals.
Speaker 3: It's not the Cardinals. We're gonna be We're mediocre through
Speaker 3: seven weeks, and then all of a sudden, have they
Speaker 3: won six out of seven of their last If they
Speaker 3: won six out of their last seven games, are they are?
Speaker 3: They potentially gonna be the two seed. That's gonna be us.
Speaker 3: I think it's gonna be San Francisco.
Speaker 2: By the way.
Speaker 3: In the NFL, I think it's gonna be us. On
Speaker 3: the picks, we are fifteen and twenty. In seven weeks,
Speaker 3: we'll have picked another thirty five games if we go,
Speaker 3: you know what, we're shooting for twenty five and ten.
Speaker 3: We're shooting for a big number, twenty five and ten,
Speaker 3: which would put us at a nice tidy forty and
Speaker 3: thirty going into the home stretch. Forty and thirties is great,
Speaker 3: it's super profitable. Twenty five and ten. You know what,
Speaker 3: add that, we're gonna keep our year long standings, but
Speaker 3: I would like additional supplemental standings of this point forward
Speaker 3: as we shoot for twenty five and ten. Okay, well,
Speaker 3: I don't know what you're laughing about.
Speaker 5: No, I'm just I'm really happy for you, I think
Speaker 5: because I feel like it's I'm not scrutinized.
Speaker 2: You're patronizing you right now.
Speaker 3: Good pivot, Yeah, good pivot from scrutinized to patronized. No, no,
Speaker 3: I appreciate that. All right, stay aways. Jags versus Denver,
Speaker 3: Denver getting two and a half in London.
Speaker 2: I want to tell you there we go.
Speaker 3: Oh well, here's all of them, Jags versus Denver in London,
Speaker 3: New England versus the Jets, Miami against the True Okay,
Speaker 3: let's start with Jags vers Denver. Is this something you
Speaker 3: want to.
Speaker 5: First off, yeah, I'm really glad to see that they
Speaker 5: were the first on there. I'm really glad to see
Speaker 5: you walk away from them. I know, the prince that
Speaker 5: wasn't profitable was very hard to walk away from, but
Speaker 5: you did it. You always tell me when you're proud
Speaker 5: of me. I want to take this opportunity to tell
Speaker 5: you that how proud of you that I am?
Speaker 3: Okay, which I am. Good job, Okay, that was patronizing.
Speaker 3: Second of all, I don't like that I'm not betting this.
Speaker 3: I can kind of tell I think it's a really
Speaker 3: good side and it's really gonna make me mad. Now
Speaker 3: I am in. I'm in this spot that you've been in,
Speaker 3: now that you've started to dip your toe into gambling,
Speaker 3: which is no matter what happens in this game, I'm
Speaker 3: sad because, in fact, you know what, there is one
Speaker 3: result that would not make me.
Speaker 2: Sad, Denver blowing the Jags out.
Speaker 3: No, that would make me very sad because the prince
Speaker 3: that was promised needs to start delivering. So if Denver wins,
Speaker 3: I'm sad. If Jacksonville wins, I'm angry that I didn't
Speaker 3: bet it. So the one result is a Jags win
Speaker 3: by one or two points. The Jags win in London,
Speaker 3: where they win the game but they don't cover. But
Speaker 3: let me tell you this, America. I know I'm supposed
Speaker 3: to be explaining why this is a stay away. It's
Speaker 3: only a stay away because I've been bullied into it.
Speaker 3: Russell Wilson is doing high knees and jogging on the
Speaker 3: team plane on the flight to London, all the more
Speaker 3: reason to be fearful the Nathaniel Hackett's coaching for his
Speaker 3: job the Jags. Do you realize the Jags have the
Speaker 3: tenth best point differential in the entire NFL, and the
Speaker 3: nine teams with a better point differential than them are
Speaker 3: forty five and fifteen and the Jags are two and five.
Speaker 3: But whatever, it's a stay away. You don't need to
Speaker 3: spend more time talking about the Jags. Even though I'm
Speaker 3: very upset New England at the Jets. The Jets are
Speaker 3: getting two and a half points, all right. This is
Speaker 3: a stay away purely because this is such an absurd
Speaker 3: line and everyone in the world is right fully going
Speaker 3: to be betting the Jets. The Patriots are starting the
Speaker 3: worst of their two quarterbacks, and Mac Jones they're on
Speaker 3: the road, they're coming off a mortifying loss, they're on
Speaker 3: a short week, the Jets are five and two, and
Speaker 3: New England is favored. It makes so little sense, it's
Speaker 3: so ridiculous that you just have to stay away because
Speaker 3: this is going to be a game where ninety percent
Speaker 3: of the money is on the Jets. So I almost
Speaker 3: should put it in the be careful category. That's really
Speaker 3: what the be careful category is there for. However, the
Speaker 3: reason I'm putting it in the stayaways is because I
Speaker 3: do understand the logic for the Patriots, which is Zach Wilson, Sorry, Gabe,
Speaker 3: Zach Wilson has not been good. The team's been good.
Speaker 3: He has not been good. They've been leaning on Breis
Speaker 3: Hall and he just blew out his knee unfortunately. So
Speaker 3: I understand the logic of the Patriots being favored, but
Speaker 3: everyone's going to be on the Jets. Last one Miami
Speaker 3: at the Detroit Miami favored by three and a half
Speaker 3: on the road in Detroit. This is a stay away
Speaker 3: to me purely because I don't know what Miami's offense
Speaker 3: is going to look like with Tua post concussion. They
Speaker 3: escaped with a win. We saw this pass. What was
Speaker 3: Thursday when they played? Yeah, it was Thursday night against Pittsburgh.
Speaker 3: They escaped with a win, but Tua could have thrown
Speaker 3: a hat trick of interceptions and they seem to be
Speaker 3: very ineffective offensively after that first drive. I need to
Speaker 3: see more from Tua post concussion before I can lay
Speaker 3: more than a field goal. With Miami on the road.
Speaker 2: Well, they are four and oh with their starting quarterback.
Speaker 3: No, I get that, and I think they're gonna win.
Speaker 3: But laying three and a half against a totally desperate
Speaker 3: Detroit team that I do believe is better than a
Speaker 3: record suggest half, I understand, but it's stay away to me.
Speaker 3: That's stay away, all right? Next category, be careful. These
Speaker 3: are games where I am certain everyone is going to
Speaker 3: be on one side of it. So the three games
Speaker 3: in the be careful category are Baltimore at Tampa, which
Speaker 3: will have already happened. So we'll do that briefly, Carolina Atlanta,
Speaker 3: and Tennessee at Houston. All right, Atlanta only laying four
Speaker 3: and a half or no, We'll start with Baltimore at Tampa.
Speaker 3: Pardon me, Baltimore at Tampa. The game will have already happened.
Speaker 3: My guess is everyone is going to be on Baltimore
Speaker 3: getting points. I think Tampa, with Brady's poor play, how
Speaker 3: bad they've looked recently, scoring three points this past week,
Speaker 3: I think the whole world is going to be on Baltimore.
Speaker 3: Tampa is in a desperate spot. The Baltimore secondary greatly
Speaker 3: concerns me. Lamar's play the last month greatly concerns me.
Speaker 3: For all those reasons, I think you stay away from it.
Speaker 3: Atlanta only laying four and a half, pardon me against
Speaker 3: Carolina is a trap. Atlanta is six and one against
Speaker 3: the spread. They they have played, They have played one
Speaker 3: bad game all year. Everyone is going to say, why
Speaker 3: is Atlanta not favored by six and a half. Why
Speaker 3: is Atlanta not favored by seven? Carolina is starting a
Speaker 3: fringe NFL quarterback. He went into the season their third
Speaker 3: string quarterback. Carolina won their version of the Super Bowl
Speaker 3: last week with the massive upset. I do not think that.
Speaker 3: I don't think anyone's going to be on Carolina. I
Speaker 3: would be on Atlanta. I think Atlanta is a fine team.
Speaker 3: I think that this is going to be another game
Speaker 3: where eighty five percent of the public money is on Atlanta.
Speaker 3: So beat, I can't tell you in good conscience go
Speaker 3: out and bet Carolina, but be very careful. If you're
Speaker 3: thinking about betting Atlanta.
Speaker 2: Go ahead.
Speaker 5: If Carolina lost to Tampa last week, when the spread
Speaker 5: be Atlanta by ten, is.
Speaker 2: This not a steal?
Speaker 3: So that's what I think everyone's gonna feel like. That's
Speaker 3: exactly that's kind. I agree with what you're saying, and
Speaker 3: I understand it, and I don't think it'd be Atlanta
Speaker 3: by ten, but I think it would have been Atlanta
Speaker 3: by seven that maybe gets pushed up to seven and
Speaker 3: a half. The fact that it's four and a half
Speaker 3: seems like they are daring you to bet the Falcons.
Speaker 3: They're at home, barely favored by more than a field goal,
Speaker 3: against a team that might be the worst team in
Speaker 3: the league, that's just traded away its best player. Be careful.
Speaker 3: And then last one, this line looked like a mistake.
Speaker 3: Tennessee only laying two against Houston. I I don't know
Speaker 3: who If you are betting Houston in this spot, you're
Speaker 3: basically saying you think they can they'll win the game.
Speaker 3: I mean, maybe you're saying that you think they'll lose
Speaker 3: by one. And you'll win that way. But the Tennessee
Speaker 3: was the one seed last year. Derek Henry's rounding back
Speaker 3: into form. They have done very well against Houston since
Speaker 3: Rabel's been there. The fact that it's only two, everyone
Speaker 3: is going to be on Tennessee minus two, so be careful.
Speaker 3: I would just I I And here's one other thing.
Speaker 3: Houston got blown out again this past week. And I'm
Speaker 3: gonna say this for folks in Survivor pools, and we
Speaker 3: took Survivor later in the show. Careful with Houston in
Speaker 3: that Houston is going to there's going that Houston is
Speaker 3: going to do to a good team what the Colts
Speaker 3: did to the Chiefs, which is the team takes them lightly,
Speaker 3: doesn't you know what I mean? He's like, Okay, this is,
Speaker 3: you know, one of our easier games of the year.
Speaker 3: There's a couple bad luck moments and all of a sudden,
Speaker 3: it's like, wait, Houston has a chance to win in
Speaker 3: the final moments. I would have thought if we were
Speaker 3: guessing the lines on this game, I would have said
Speaker 3: it's Tennessee minus six in Houston. Instead it's minus two.
Speaker 2: Be careful. Tannehill was at a walking boot last week. Yeah,
Speaker 2: do you like them? If mcleak Willis, well, there you go.
Speaker 3: There's another reason to be careful. I mean, we know nothing.
Speaker 3: I think Milik Willis might be good one day. We
Speaker 3: know nothing about him. Just be careful in this game.
Speaker 3: And then, lastly, are perfectly priced Category three games. We
Speaker 3: have the Giants at the Seahawks, Chicago at Dallas, and
Speaker 3: Pittsburgh at Philadelphia. All be quick here the Giants going
Speaker 3: all the way across the country against a team who,
Speaker 3: despite having a worse record than them, is a similar
Speaker 3: quality that it should be a field goal line. These
Speaker 3: two teams are equivalent teams. That's perfectly priced. You refuse
Speaker 3: to believe in the Giants. They're dogs in this games
Speaker 3: and they're six and one. Yeah, I don't really care
Speaker 3: about their record. Sorry, they have trailed in the fourth
Speaker 3: quarter in every single game this year. How about that
Speaker 3: they're six and one. They have trailed in the fourth
Speaker 3: quarter in every game they've played. But it's just perfectly priced.
Speaker 3: I'm not saying to pick either side. I'm saying Seattle
Speaker 3: minus three is the right number. Chicago's at Dallas, Dallas
Speaker 3: favored by nine and a half, That is the right number.
Speaker 3: I don't think I think this is a two score
Speaker 3: win by Dallas. I don't think Dallas's offense, however, is
Speaker 3: good enough for you to confidently say they're gonna win
Speaker 3: by fourteen. I think Chicago, another team on a short week,
Speaker 3: by the way, short ish week playing on Monday, Chicago
Speaker 3: on the road against any good teams has to be
Speaker 3: laying more than a touchdown. So Dallas minus nine and
Speaker 3: a half is the right number. And then Pittsburgh at
Speaker 3: Philly Philly laying ten and a half, same thing, I wouldn't.
Speaker 3: I listen, Tomlin has shown the ability to stand up
Speaker 3: and get his team ready to go against the best teams,
Speaker 3: and so I wouldn't feel comfortable laying the ten and
Speaker 3: a half, especially with Philadelphia not being great in the
Speaker 3: second half so far this year. However, Philly's undefeated, they
Speaker 3: have been dominant in the first half of games, and
Speaker 3: they're coming off a bye. Ten and a half to
Speaker 3: me is just the right number.
Speaker 5: Chicago, Dallas or Pittsburgh Philly. These are in Pittsburgh in Philly.
Speaker 5: There's a great teaser.
Speaker 3: Candidates, Uh well maybe, I mean you'd have to do
Speaker 3: a ten point teaser though, so you'd need a third
Speaker 3: team because you can't do a seven point teaser. You can,
Speaker 3: but it'd be dumb to do a seven point teaser
Speaker 3: on a ten and a half point line because you
Speaker 3: want to get it through the three, you know what
Speaker 3: I mean. So if you're gonna tease a team down,
Speaker 3: you want to be getting them through all the key
Speaker 3: numbers seven to six and three. So nine and a
Speaker 3: half is a great seven point teaser candidate, right, you
Speaker 3: tease them from nine and a half to two and
Speaker 3: a half. Ten and a half is not a great
Speaker 3: teaser candidate at all, really, because you're only teasing them
Speaker 3: down to the three and a half, so you're not
Speaker 3: getting enough value. So they're there's one teaser this week.
Speaker 3: I kind of like we'll discuss that. We have a
Speaker 3: very interesting survivor situation. I apologize for the new England
Speaker 3: pick I gave you guys and Survivor this past week,
Speaker 3: but we have to discuss the survivor situation in a moment.
Speaker 2: We'll do that.
Speaker 3: I'll reveal my lock of the week where I've lost
Speaker 3: six straight. We'll do all that as we wrap the
Speaker 3: gambling show next. All right, welcome back. In final segment,
Speaker 3: What's right, Nick Right, Episode eighty eight, our Week eight
Speaker 3: gambling show. So our five picks this week is Vegas
Speaker 3: minus one and a half at New Orleans or Cincinnati
Speaker 3: minus three and a half at Cleveland, San Francisco minus
Speaker 3: one and a half at the Rams, Washington plus two
Speaker 3: and a half at Indy, and Green Bay plus eleven
Speaker 3: and a half at Buffalo. We have our on five
Speaker 3: road teams, three road favorites, and now's the time for
Speaker 3: the right move. Our lock of the week. We've lost
Speaker 3: six in a row. Demant sa picket. I've never given
Speaker 3: you this responsibility, but I gotta change.
Speaker 2: The jujus pick the lock of the week.
Speaker 3: Of those five you can pick from those five, picket,
Speaker 3: just your gut reaction, go.
Speaker 2: All right, what is it?
Speaker 3: What a goal?
Speaker 2: We're going with green Bay?
Speaker 3: Oh that's not the one I'd have gone with, but
Speaker 3: you know what, that's probably good green Bay catching eleven
Speaker 3: and a half Sunday Night Football our lock of the week.
Speaker 3: All right, Survivor. We've now lost two Survivor picks, so
Speaker 3: we can't give them out to you.
Speaker 2: Guys the rest of the year.
Speaker 3: I do have an announcement to make, However, I'm in
Speaker 3: a survivor pool that the year started. I've told you
Speaker 3: guys about it. Twenty one thousand people in it. I
Speaker 3: bought twenty entries. I have one in tree left.
Speaker 2: There are one.
Speaker 3: Hundred and eighteen people left in this pool. It is now.
Speaker 3: I have created a full I showed demanse like document
Speaker 3: planning out the rest of the year did This is
Speaker 3: a very very, very exciting thing, and I will keep
Speaker 3: you guys posted on it. But I'm not some of
Speaker 3: the people in that pool will watch this podcast. So
Speaker 3: now I am putting myself ahead of the audience. I'm
Speaker 3: not giving out any more survivor picks. I'm not because
Speaker 3: I can't let them know what I'm doing. Once we
Speaker 3: get down to fifty people.
Speaker 2: Oh, I give them. How about I do the lock
Speaker 2: of the weekend.
Speaker 3: The survivor All right, what's your survivor pick? You gotta
Speaker 3: do it quick man.
Speaker 2: The survivors San Francisco, the Rams.
Speaker 3: Okay, that's a terrible survivor pick. I mean it's really awful.
Speaker 2: Geez dude.
Speaker 3: Well it's not because they're not gonna win. I think
Speaker 3: they're gonna win America. Don't use the Niners this week,
Speaker 3: but the whole idea of Survivors. You only use the
Speaker 3: team once, so you want to use a team, You're
Speaker 3: kind of screwing my whole process up here. I was
Speaker 3: obviously trying to give bad info for those guys.
Speaker 2: See no, okay, reveal the plot.
Speaker 3: Okay, you know what?
Speaker 2: Fair enough.
Speaker 3: There is one teaser I like this week as far
Speaker 3: as exotics go. By the way, I'm not gonna place this,
Speaker 3: and well, I guess it doesn't matter because the teaser, you, guys,
Speaker 3: by the time you hear this, it's too late. So
Speaker 3: there's one teaser this week that makes sense. It's teasing
Speaker 3: Baltimore from plus one and a half to plus seven
Speaker 3: and a half and pairing them with the Jets teasing
Speaker 3: them plus two and a half to plus eight and
Speaker 3: a half. It's good teaser value there. And do you
Speaker 3: think the Bucks or the Patriots are gonna be able
Speaker 3: to win either one of those games by two scores?
Speaker 3: I do not. That would be the one teaser I
Speaker 3: like this week. And then Demons, you've got an offer.
Speaker 2: I think yes, I call this one. The Prince and
Speaker 2: the King.
Speaker 6: You'd be betting the Lakers to lose their next three
Speaker 6: games they play Minnesota Denver and New Orleans before our
Speaker 6: next show, But the Jaguar, and but the Jaguars to
Speaker 6: cover minus two and a half in London against Denver,
Speaker 6: to heal.
Speaker 2: Your broken heart. That is plus six twenty. Are we
Speaker 2: taking it?
Speaker 3: I'm thinking I'm right here.
Speaker 2: Sorry, the Lakers lose their next three games.
Speaker 3: We're taking it that way. I got some action on
Speaker 3: Trevor Lawrence. I just need I need a little action
Speaker 3: on Trevor Lawrence.
Speaker 2: Good job.
Speaker 3: Plus six twenty. We're taking it. Appreciate that. We'll talk
Speaker 3: to you guys on Monday with episode eighty nine recapping
Speaker 3: I'm sure a five and a week at Trevor Lawrence
Speaker 3: kicking ass in London. Maybe they might be calling him
Speaker 3: Sir Trevor Lawrence. After this week, we'll talk to you
Speaker 3: guys then Bye.