WEBVTT - Week 8 NFL Bets: Nick’s 5 Picks

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<v Speaker 1>disclosures and disclaimers at CBO dot com slash us Underscore disclaimers.

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<v Speaker 3>Welcome in episode eighty eight What's Right with Nick Right

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<v Speaker 3>the podcast and the YouTube show by the way, I've

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<v Speaker 3>been kind of pushing you guys subscribe on YouTube on

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<v Speaker 3>Mondays and Thursdays. We do our live show on YouTube

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<v Speaker 3>at ten thirty Eastern, and I do appreciate you guys

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<v Speaker 3>subscribing there. We're trying to get two hundred thousand subscribers

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<v Speaker 3>before New Year. So to Monts, I can get a

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<v Speaker 3>bonus that I think he thinks I'm paying out, but

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<v Speaker 3>I Blue Duck Media is gonna cut him a check.

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<v Speaker 3>The president of Blue Duck Media, the founder, by the way,

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<v Speaker 3>is here in studio. We might hear from him at

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<v Speaker 3>some point during today's show. However, I checked our podcast

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<v Speaker 3>Apple iTunes Spotify podcast rankings. We're plummeting. Oh we're outside

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<v Speaker 3>of the top one hundred, So go ahead and subscribe

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<v Speaker 3>there as well. Really, I care more about the YouTube

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<v Speaker 3>thing because I can see that and I can kind

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<v Speaker 3>of compare it to other shows. But the podcast stuff

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<v Speaker 3>would be good too. Okay, speaking of needing cash bonuses,

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<v Speaker 3>this is our gambling show and ear Muff's Kids. But

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<v Speaker 3>this has been a goddamn travesty. Demansay that'd been great

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<v Speaker 3>on two and three. Every single week, I give you

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<v Speaker 3>guys five picks. Here's how the gambling show works. We

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<v Speaker 3>give you five picks. Put every other game into three

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<v Speaker 3>different categories, stay away, be careful, and perfectly priced. And

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<v Speaker 3>every week this is what happens. I get two picks

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<v Speaker 3>dead on right, no question about it. I get one

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<v Speaker 3>pick way wrong. There's a game that is the spread's

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<v Speaker 3>gonna come down to the wire, I'm on the wrong

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<v Speaker 3>side of it. And then I lose my lock of

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<v Speaker 3>the week in the most heartbreaking fashion imaginable. This week

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<v Speaker 3>it was by a half point. I have lost the

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<v Speaker 3>right Move, otherwise know it as the lock of the week,

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<v Speaker 3>six consecutive shows. So let's show you last week slate.

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<v Speaker 3>We are now fifteen and twenty on the season. A

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<v Speaker 3>five and oh week only gets us to play to

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<v Speaker 3>five hundred hundred. However, we're one and six on the

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<v Speaker 3>right Move, which means we're fourteen and fourteen on regular

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<v Speaker 3>picks and just horrifying on our locks. That puts us

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<v Speaker 3>down seven units because unlike these other gambling shows, we

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<v Speaker 3>include the VIG, so we were five hunder five hundred

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<v Speaker 3>plus the VIIG. So we're down seven units after seven weeks.

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<v Speaker 3>Is that a disaster? No? Is it mortifying though?

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<v Speaker 2>Yes?

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<v Speaker 3>So let's discuss it. Last week, we have Detroit getting

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<v Speaker 3>seven against Dallas. They're down four in the fourth quarter

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<v Speaker 3>on the inch line, about to go up three, getting seven. Instead,

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<v Speaker 3>they lose by eighteen points. They fumble, never to score again.

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<v Speaker 3>We have Jacksonville minus three against the Giants. They have

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<v Speaker 3>a lead with six minutes left, a four point lead.

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<v Speaker 3>They lose by six. Cleveland plus six against Baltimore went

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<v Speaker 3>exactly the way we said it would. We told you

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<v Speaker 3>that was a three point game. Baltimore wins line was

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<v Speaker 3>too high. Seattle plus five and a half, aganst to

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<v Speaker 3>the Chargers. We told you Seattle could win out right

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<v Speaker 3>when just how we said and in the right move

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<v Speaker 3>Miami by six and a half or seven against Pittsburgh,

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<v Speaker 3>They're up sixteen to ten after the first half and

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<v Speaker 3>never score again. They win sixteen to ten. Toman's eight.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm gonna h oh, that's a fun graphic. They did

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<v Speaker 3>the little sonny in Philadelphia. Fella. I don't think the

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<v Speaker 3>process is wrong. I truly don't. I understand right now

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<v Speaker 3>that is hard to justify. Yeah, oh kidding, but we

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<v Speaker 3>to be It is so frustrating. We have done seven

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<v Speaker 3>weeks of shows. We have one three and two weeks

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<v Speaker 3>and six two and three.

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<v Speaker 2>Weeks, all just black, just mediocre.

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<v Speaker 3>Just mediocre, which is the only thing you don't want

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<v Speaker 3>to be in this format. You and but I mock

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<v Speaker 3>Victor last week. I'm like, oh, we went oh for five.

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<v Speaker 3>I think he went three and two this week. I

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<v Speaker 3>know my process is sound. I know I've been on

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<v Speaker 3>the unlucky side of some things, and I know that

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<v Speaker 3>what's going to happen this week. I already know it

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<v Speaker 3>because you guys held a little intervention with me on

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<v Speaker 3>Monday saying I can't bet the Jags anymore. Yep, and

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<v Speaker 3>I committed to you guys, I would take a break

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<v Speaker 3>from the Jags.

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<v Speaker 2>However, however, that's scary.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, this might be the last chance with human civilization

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<v Speaker 3>gets to bet against Nathaniel Hackett as an NFL head coach.

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<v Speaker 3>This could be Hackett's last stand across the pond in London.

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<v Speaker 3>The Jags are laying less than a field goal. I

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<v Speaker 3>could start my Sunday off with a glorious victory and

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<v Speaker 3>get rolling from there. But you guys have banned me

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<v Speaker 3>from betting the Jaguars. So let me tell you something

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<v Speaker 3>right now. I will keep my commitment because I am

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<v Speaker 3>a man of my word, and I will not include

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<v Speaker 3>the Jaguars and my picks, but they are in my

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<v Speaker 3>picks in my heart.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, yeah, I think you actually banned yourself.

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<v Speaker 3>No, no, I.

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<v Speaker 2>Don't think we told you.

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<v Speaker 3>You guys made me do it. You held a stupid

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<v Speaker 3>little intervention on Monday Show. And now I'm going to

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<v Speaker 3>be hate watching that game when the Broncos with Russell

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<v Speaker 3>Wilson on half a hamstring and as the corniest guy

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<v Speaker 3>in the history of professional Sports. It loses to the

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<v Speaker 3>Jaguars twenty four to nine. But we have picks to

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<v Speaker 3>give out here they are We have five picks for

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<v Speaker 3>the week. We are starting with Las Vegas minus one

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<v Speaker 3>and a half at New Orleans. I think the Raiders

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<v Speaker 3>are a good team. I think the Raiders are despite

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<v Speaker 3>their record of two to four have They obviously have

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<v Speaker 3>the better quarterback in this matchup. Everyone has the better

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<v Speaker 3>coach than Dennis Allen, who's a bottom five winning percentage

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<v Speaker 3>coach in the history of the NFL. They also have

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<v Speaker 3>had some They had some awful, awful luck early in

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<v Speaker 3>the season, and I think you saw them this past

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<v Speaker 3>weekend not even play their best game. Now, granted it

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<v Speaker 3>was against Houston, but they won that game by eighteen points.

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<v Speaker 3>So thus far on the season, Week one for the

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<v Speaker 3>Raiders Chargers game, they have the ball and the waning moments,

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<v Speaker 3>down five, Karth throws a pick. The Arizona game was

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<v Speaker 3>an all time epic collapse. They lose in overtime. They're

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<v Speaker 3>up sixteen in the fourth quarter Tennessee, they lose on

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<v Speaker 3>a failed two point conversion. Kansas City. They're up seventeen

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<v Speaker 3>to nothing, then Chiefs charge all the way back. DeVante

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<v Speaker 3>Adams don't get his feet and bounds. They lose by one,

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<v Speaker 3>and then they blow out Houston. New Orleans, on the

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<v Speaker 3>other hand, I believe stinks. New Orleans is two and five.

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<v Speaker 3>Their victories have come. They have Week one, they were

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<v Speaker 3>getting crushed by Atlanta. They stormed back in one. Week

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<v Speaker 3>five they played Seattle. Seattle team. They tried to blow

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<v Speaker 3>that game despite being up thirty one to twenty. I

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<v Speaker 3>think thirty one to nineteen. In that game, Seattle stormed

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<v Speaker 3>all the way back themselves. New Orleans then came back

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<v Speaker 3>and won at the very least in the waning moments.

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<v Speaker 3>I know it's a road dog, but it's a road

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<v Speaker 3>dog of less than a field goal. The question here,

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<v Speaker 3>truly is who do you think is going to win?

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<v Speaker 3>I also think low key. Thus far this season, Josh

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<v Speaker 3>Jacobs has been arguably the best running back in football.

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<v Speaker 3>It's a contract year. I think they're going to run

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<v Speaker 3>all over the Saints. I like the Raiders to win

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<v Speaker 3>this game outright, obviously, since I'm laying the point and

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<v Speaker 3>a half, I think it's twenty seven to twenty Las Vegas.

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<v Speaker 3>That's a win. How do you feel, Okay, about that one.

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<v Speaker 3>How are you feeling about that?

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<v Speaker 2>I like the logic behind that one. I get it.

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<v Speaker 2>I definitely don't have any faith in New Orleans.

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<v Speaker 3>So no, listen, New Orleans can tell itself all we're

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<v Speaker 3>a game out of first place because the division is

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<v Speaker 3>so crumby. But they're not good. And it's not only

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<v Speaker 3>that there. I mentioned how they've the they're only two wins.

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<v Speaker 3>Their losses have been they they haven't been blown out,

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<v Speaker 3>but they just lost this past Thursday to Arizona, and

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<v Speaker 3>Arizona team that was in total disarray and they were

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<v Speaker 3>down eighteen in that game. That and by the way, additionally,

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<v Speaker 3>I'm gonna say the one thing I don't love about

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<v Speaker 3>this game. New Orleans does have the extended week because

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<v Speaker 3>they played on Thursday, so that's not ideal. The against

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<v Speaker 3>the against the Bengals. In that game, they seemingly were

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<v Speaker 3>in control against the Bengals team that was trying to

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<v Speaker 3>turn it around, and then they collapsed down the stretch

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<v Speaker 3>against the Bengals. They lost to Carolina when Baker was

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<v Speaker 3>still starting. Team's a mess. So I like since I

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<v Speaker 3>like Las Vegas in this game, all right, next Minnesota

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<v Speaker 3>laying three and a half against Arizona. This is purely

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<v Speaker 3>a fade Cliff and Tyler game coming off a win.

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<v Speaker 3>I don't love that Arizona has the extra rest, and

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<v Speaker 3>I don't love the half point. But Minnesota is six

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<v Speaker 3>and one, and they know with the way Green Bays

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<v Speaker 3>go ahead, Minnesota sixth is one. Kirkan Cousins is Kirk

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<v Speaker 3>and Cousins. Kirk and Kirk Cousins again, two and five

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<v Speaker 3>against the spread after a bye week. It's not a

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<v Speaker 3>great number, is that true? That's true, kirkan Cousins. That's

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<v Speaker 3>a piece of information that I was in aware of.

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<v Speaker 3>Arizona's on extended rest. You can retreat to half point

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<v Speaker 3>more than I would like, you know what.

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<v Speaker 2>You know what, Jack speaking there, I promised it wouldn't.

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<v Speaker 3>But there's a different game that I was thinking about.

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<v Speaker 3>You know what, we're gonna do something we've never done.

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<v Speaker 3>This is how we're gonna break out of this two

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<v Speaker 3>and three, muck. I'm gonna listen to you. Two and

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<v Speaker 3>five kirk Cousins after a bye I was unaware. I

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<v Speaker 3>didn't love the fact that it was three and a half. Well,

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<v Speaker 3>you know what, revoked off the board not doing it

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<v Speaker 3>instead Let's go with a team whose quarterback we believe

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<v Speaker 3>in the anti Russell Wilson, the coolest quarterback in the league. Nope,

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<v Speaker 3>not the Seahawks. Cincinnati. Okay, they're also laying three and

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<v Speaker 3>a half. They happen to be on the road against Cleveland.

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<v Speaker 3>We don't love road dogs of more than a field

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<v Speaker 3>goaling divisional games. However, Cleveland knows they're seasons over. They

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<v Speaker 3>know it's done for them. Cincinnati, on the other hand,

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<v Speaker 3>understands now exactly who and what they need to be.

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<v Speaker 3>Stop trying to be an under center team. Stop trying

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<v Speaker 3>to establish the run. Have Burrow chuck it around the

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<v Speaker 3>field to Jamar Chase and t Higgins. That's their offense.

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<v Speaker 3>They could have scored sixty points against Atlanta this past week.

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<v Speaker 3>So Cincinnati, after that bad start, what we have seen

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<v Speaker 3>from Cincinnati is they beat down the Jets, they put

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<v Speaker 3>it on Miami, they beat New Orleans, who we mentioned,

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<v Speaker 3>they annihilated Atlanta, and they lost to Baltimore on a

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<v Speaker 3>field goal at the gun. Cleveland, on the other hand,

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<v Speaker 3>which is so screwed with the schedule they have coming

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<v Speaker 3>up Cleveland still, by the way, after Cincinnati, they have

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<v Speaker 3>the bye week at their first three after the bye

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<v Speaker 3>at Miami, at Buffalo, home for Tampa. Then a couple

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<v Speaker 3>weeks later they're at Cincinnati and then home for Baltimoreland's

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<v Speaker 3>going to be done before Deshaun gets back. I think

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<v Speaker 3>the players know it. I think Cleveland under I think

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<v Speaker 3>they're going to be looking ahead to the bye week.

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<v Speaker 3>Cleveland after their somewhat surprising start when they could have

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<v Speaker 3>been three and oh remember they blew that Jets game.

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<v Speaker 3>They lost to Atlanta, they lost to the Chargers, they

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<v Speaker 3>got blown out by the Patriots, and last week they

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<v Speaker 3>lost to Baltimore. Cincinnati throwing all over that Cleveland secondary,

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<v Speaker 3>which has never quite gotten it right despite investing a

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<v Speaker 3>lot of draft capital, including a top five pick in

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<v Speaker 3>that secondary a few years ago. Cincinnati, it's a pivot,

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<v Speaker 3>a mid show pivot. Appreciate the info, Sun. I didn't

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<v Speaker 3>know that stupid Kirk Cousin's number also DZA, which is

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<v Speaker 3>kind of like the nerdy football analysis to find value

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<v Speaker 3>over average. I think is what it is. Doesn't love

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<v Speaker 3>since it doesn't love Minnesota at all. I didn't love

0:13:55.880 --> 0:13:58.160
<v Speaker 3>that we were laying three and a half. Cincinnati minus

0:13:58.160 --> 0:14:02.959
<v Speaker 3>three and a half is the pivot next Washington getting

0:14:02.960 --> 0:14:07.160
<v Speaker 3>two and a half at Indy. The logic here is

0:14:07.240 --> 0:14:12.640
<v Speaker 3>very simple. Oh so Sam Ellener is not an NFL quarterback,

0:14:13.400 --> 0:14:20.440
<v Speaker 3>which is not and I'm getting points. Sam Ellinger is

0:14:20.640 --> 0:14:25.360
<v Speaker 3>favored in an NFL game. It should flatly never happen.

0:14:26.080 --> 0:14:26.360
<v Speaker 2>Indy.

0:14:26.480 --> 0:14:29.040
<v Speaker 3>On the other hand, we thought all year the story

0:14:29.160 --> 0:14:33.320
<v Speaker 3>was with Indy, and now I'm pivoting off Indy from preseason.

0:14:33.600 --> 0:14:36.160
<v Speaker 3>You guys know how much I liked that team. But

0:14:36.240 --> 0:14:38.480
<v Speaker 3>it's okay for me to pivot off them because they're

0:14:38.480 --> 0:14:42.520
<v Speaker 3>pivoting off themselves. They've announced that Matt Ryan's done for

0:14:42.600 --> 0:14:45.320
<v Speaker 3>the season that Sam Allener is going to be their

0:14:45.360 --> 0:14:49.760
<v Speaker 3>new starting quarterback. Jonathan Taylor, who had famously never missed

0:14:49.760 --> 0:14:53.680
<v Speaker 3>a practice in college or high school, has been banged

0:14:53.760 --> 0:14:56.880
<v Speaker 3>up this year and it's showing up. Week one of

0:14:56.920 --> 0:15:01.000
<v Speaker 3>the season, Jonathan Taylor had one hundred sixty one yards

0:15:01.080 --> 0:15:04.240
<v Speaker 3>rushing against Houston. He was awesome in that football game.

0:15:04.400 --> 0:15:07.400
<v Speaker 3>He had won sixty one in a touchdown. Since then,

0:15:08.400 --> 0:15:12.320
<v Speaker 3>he's played four games, he has two hundred and twenty

0:15:12.360 --> 0:15:16.720
<v Speaker 3>five yards total and zero touchdowns. So you have Sam

0:15:16.720 --> 0:15:19.680
<v Speaker 3>Ellinger at quarterback, which is cartoonish.

0:15:19.760 --> 0:15:20.520
<v Speaker 2>Cartoonish.

0:15:20.680 --> 0:15:24.640
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, you have a running back who is the whole

0:15:24.640 --> 0:15:27.120
<v Speaker 3>team is based around, who hasn't been great. You have

0:15:27.280 --> 0:15:32.520
<v Speaker 3>Washington on the other hand, who I believe Heineke is

0:15:32.560 --> 0:15:34.800
<v Speaker 3>an upgrade over Carson Wentz.

0:15:35.160 --> 0:15:38.160
<v Speaker 2>Washington, you think they're still riding that high from green Bay.

0:15:38.560 --> 0:15:41.600
<v Speaker 3>Well, and they won the previous week against Chicago. The

0:15:41.640 --> 0:15:46.440
<v Speaker 3>week before that, they were super competitive against Tennessee lose.

0:15:46.600 --> 0:15:48.600
<v Speaker 3>You know, they had a second half lead in that game.

0:15:48.640 --> 0:15:51.720
<v Speaker 3>They end up losing by four. They have been blown

0:15:51.760 --> 0:15:55.920
<v Speaker 3>out twice this year by Philly and Dallas. They beat

0:15:56.000 --> 0:15:58.480
<v Speaker 3>those frisky Jags in Week one. Don't forget about that.

0:15:59.320 --> 0:16:04.520
<v Speaker 3>I I just flatly don't think Sam Ellinger should be

0:16:04.560 --> 0:16:08.640
<v Speaker 3>a favorite. So I'm getting points with Washington, and that's

0:16:08.640 --> 0:16:11.120
<v Speaker 3>to me a must bet. You seem skeptical. What's the

0:16:11.120 --> 0:16:11.640
<v Speaker 3>problem here?

0:16:11.680 --> 0:16:17.080
<v Speaker 2>You earlier? I mean what, I don't know what this is,

0:16:17.080 --> 0:16:18.720
<v Speaker 2>this new found love for Washington.

0:16:18.960 --> 0:16:23.120
<v Speaker 3>It's not love for Washington. It's fading. It is saying,

0:16:23.680 --> 0:16:25.520
<v Speaker 3>you know what, I I don't like your lack of

0:16:25.560 --> 0:16:29.560
<v Speaker 3>confidence in my picks. It is saying that Indy should

0:16:29.560 --> 0:16:34.360
<v Speaker 3>not be a favorite. They're the f They have abandoned

0:16:34.400 --> 0:16:38.480
<v Speaker 3>Matt Ryan not like Matt Ryan was good. They are

0:16:38.280 --> 0:16:41.160
<v Speaker 3>their coaches on the hot seat, their owners giving out

0:16:41.240 --> 0:16:44.560
<v Speaker 3>quotes about uh oh that's the other thing. Oh, I

0:16:44.560 --> 0:16:46.760
<v Speaker 3>didn't even think about that. I feel better about this

0:16:46.760 --> 0:16:50.160
<v Speaker 3>pick now. Dan Snyder is one of the worst people

0:16:50.160 --> 0:16:54.440
<v Speaker 3>in professional sports. With that said, Dan Snyder revenge game,

0:16:54.720 --> 0:16:58.840
<v Speaker 3>little owner battle here, Jim Ursay called talked all this

0:16:58.920 --> 0:17:03.000
<v Speaker 3>trash about Dan Snyder. Dan Snyder owns Washington, Jimmers owns

0:17:03.040 --> 0:17:05.520
<v Speaker 3>the Colts, And I'm sure Dan Snyder's bad of a

0:17:05.560 --> 0:17:07.840
<v Speaker 3>guy as he is. He's like, wait, who talked trash

0:17:07.840 --> 0:17:11.040
<v Speaker 3>about me? Because Jim mrsay once upon a time, I'm

0:17:11.040 --> 0:17:13.639
<v Speaker 3>gonna say allegedly here, even though this definitely happened, just

0:17:13.680 --> 0:17:17.439
<v Speaker 3>because I don't have all the details exactly right, Jim Mersay,

0:17:17.440 --> 0:17:19.960
<v Speaker 3>once upon a time was pulled a few years ago,

0:17:20.200 --> 0:17:23.000
<v Speaker 3>was pulled over by the cops, had a sack of

0:17:23.400 --> 0:17:25.960
<v Speaker 3>thirty thousand dollars cash and a bunch of pills, and

0:17:26.040 --> 0:17:30.600
<v Speaker 3>I was like, ah, look at this rapscallion. Now, he

0:17:30.640 --> 0:17:32.520
<v Speaker 3>has since turned his life around, and I think he's

0:17:32.520 --> 0:17:34.280
<v Speaker 3>gotten sober and he's done a lot of good things.

0:17:34.440 --> 0:17:36.600
<v Speaker 3>But I'm sure Dan Snyder's like this is the guy

0:17:37.040 --> 0:17:40.160
<v Speaker 3>talking trash to me dance. Nobody's gonna have this take

0:17:40.160 --> 0:17:44.360
<v Speaker 3>because everybody hate San Snyder. Dan Snyder Revenge game. Washington

0:17:44.480 --> 0:17:46.480
<v Speaker 3>plus two and a half. You know what this feels like?

0:17:46.960 --> 0:17:49.160
<v Speaker 3>Vegas minus one and a half since Santi minus two

0:17:49.160 --> 0:17:52.479
<v Speaker 3>and a half and Washington plus since Sinnati minus three

0:17:52.480 --> 0:17:53.760
<v Speaker 3>and a half. Part of me in Washington plus two

0:17:53.760 --> 0:17:55.399
<v Speaker 3>and a half, you know what that feels.

0:17:55.160 --> 0:17:57.920
<v Speaker 2>And smells like, feels like three and oho.

0:17:57.960 --> 0:18:02.480
<v Speaker 3>Okay, next one, San Francisco minus a point and a

0:18:02.480 --> 0:18:08.359
<v Speaker 3>half at the Rams. This one's obvious and easy, and

0:18:08.440 --> 0:18:10.920
<v Speaker 3>I would say I'm going to make this the lock

0:18:11.000 --> 0:18:15.200
<v Speaker 3>of the week if I felt like that mattered at all. Instead,

0:18:15.240 --> 0:18:17.800
<v Speaker 3>I should probably just throw a dark The thing is this,

0:18:19.119 --> 0:18:22.760
<v Speaker 3>The Niners defense was banged up two weeks ago and

0:18:22.800 --> 0:18:25.159
<v Speaker 3>they lost to Atlanta, and last week they played the

0:18:25.160 --> 0:18:27.040
<v Speaker 3>greatest player in the history of the league and got

0:18:27.040 --> 0:18:32.639
<v Speaker 3>embarrassed bying. Now they are playing a broken offensive line.

0:18:32.760 --> 0:18:35.520
<v Speaker 3>They're on the road, but not really. They will have

0:18:35.560 --> 0:18:38.359
<v Speaker 3>more fans at so far more Niner fans than the

0:18:38.440 --> 0:18:41.879
<v Speaker 3>Rams will. It is a get right game against the

0:18:41.960 --> 0:18:46.080
<v Speaker 3>Rams offensive line. San Francisco, it is I think a

0:18:46.320 --> 0:18:49.800
<v Speaker 3>must win spot for them now it is. I will

0:18:49.840 --> 0:18:52.800
<v Speaker 3>admit the Rams coming off the bye, which I don't love,

0:18:53.280 --> 0:18:57.040
<v Speaker 3>but do I think San Francisco with a full week

0:18:57.080 --> 0:19:00.720
<v Speaker 3>to get McCaffrey into the offense. So that's the other

0:19:00.760 --> 0:19:02.760
<v Speaker 3>thing he was. He made a bit of an impact

0:19:02.800 --> 0:19:06.720
<v Speaker 3>in that Chiefs game early despite only being there for

0:19:06.720 --> 0:19:09.639
<v Speaker 3>forty eight hours. Now he has a full week. They've

0:19:09.640 --> 0:19:12.840
<v Speaker 3>lost back to back games. They are desperate. This is,

0:19:13.240 --> 0:19:18.520
<v Speaker 3>you know, the McVeigh or Shanahan has historically owned McVeigh,

0:19:18.560 --> 0:19:20.760
<v Speaker 3>with the exception I think yeah, with the exception of

0:19:20.800 --> 0:19:25.760
<v Speaker 3>the NFC Championship game last year when McVeigh finally got him.

0:19:25.920 --> 0:19:29.680
<v Speaker 3>I think he had lost seven straight. McVeagh lost seventh

0:19:29.640 --> 0:19:33.720
<v Speaker 3>straight to Shanahan prior to that San Francisco. Jimmy G

0:19:35.080 --> 0:19:42.639
<v Speaker 3>makes brutal decisions, but rarely has consecutive horrifying games. So

0:19:42.720 --> 0:19:44.879
<v Speaker 3>he had a bad game against the Chiefs. He had

0:19:44.920 --> 0:19:47.639
<v Speaker 3>a mediocre game against Atlanta. I think it's a Jimmy

0:19:47.680 --> 0:19:51.639
<v Speaker 3>G bounce back game. I think that it's a Christian McCaffrey, Deebo,

0:19:51.720 --> 0:19:55.959
<v Speaker 3>Samuel George Kittle game. The Niners are finally getting healthy.

0:19:56.359 --> 0:19:59.440
<v Speaker 3>For all those reasons, the Niners plus minus a point

0:19:59.480 --> 0:20:01.800
<v Speaker 3>and a half the Rams. I love that side. I

0:20:01.920 --> 0:20:06.879
<v Speaker 3>love that side. Love it last one. And this is

0:20:07.000 --> 0:20:11.080
<v Speaker 3>very simple and very straightforward. I do not think the

0:20:11.119 --> 0:20:11.960
<v Speaker 3>Packers are good.

0:20:12.480 --> 0:20:15.560
<v Speaker 2>This is that one's kind of crazy. What's going on?

0:20:15.640 --> 0:20:16.080
<v Speaker 2>I'm sorry?

0:20:16.160 --> 0:20:17.840
<v Speaker 3>Okay, well, let me explain it. I don't think the

0:20:17.840 --> 0:20:20.240
<v Speaker 3>Packers are good, and I don't think Aaron Rodgers playing well.

0:20:20.880 --> 0:20:27.760
<v Speaker 3>With that said, Aaron Rodgers and the Packers getting eleven

0:20:27.920 --> 0:20:31.040
<v Speaker 3>and a half points is a must bet.

0:20:31.440 --> 0:20:32.600
<v Speaker 2>I did look. I looked at it wrong.

0:20:32.800 --> 0:20:36.679
<v Speaker 3>Okay, Aaron. I understand they're in Buffalo. I know the

0:20:36.720 --> 0:20:39.560
<v Speaker 3>Bills are the three time defending Super Bowl champs with

0:20:39.640 --> 0:20:44.200
<v Speaker 3>the five time MVP at quarterback. I understand all of that. However,

0:20:45.080 --> 0:20:49.359
<v Speaker 3>eleven and a half points is why. Yeah, it is

0:20:49.440 --> 0:20:54.080
<v Speaker 3>a wild number, and it's just some people have a

0:20:54.119 --> 0:20:58.040
<v Speaker 3>strategy of if a lion is ever more than ten,

0:20:58.080 --> 0:21:01.840
<v Speaker 3>they're betting the dog. Usually when that happens, you are

0:21:01.840 --> 0:21:06.800
<v Speaker 3>betting on a terrible quarterback or a rookie quarterback. Instead,

0:21:07.440 --> 0:21:11.399
<v Speaker 3>it's Aaron Rodgers, who I had listen. I don't like

0:21:11.440 --> 0:21:13.240
<v Speaker 3>how he's played this year. I don't like how he's

0:21:13.240 --> 0:21:15.840
<v Speaker 3>handled a lot of things, and i's in the Bills

0:21:15.840 --> 0:21:21.480
<v Speaker 3>are coming off a bye. I wonder, however, if with

0:21:21.600 --> 0:21:25.160
<v Speaker 3>the way they were rolling, if that buy is as

0:21:25.200 --> 0:21:27.199
<v Speaker 3>helpful as it would be to other teams, if they

0:21:27.240 --> 0:21:30.600
<v Speaker 3>want to just keep going. The Packers are totally desperate,

0:21:31.080 --> 0:21:34.919
<v Speaker 3>and Aaron I think, even if they're down seventeen, is

0:21:34.960 --> 0:21:38.240
<v Speaker 3>going to keep chucking the ball around in order to

0:21:38.280 --> 0:21:41.560
<v Speaker 3>try to up his numbers. It's just too many points

0:21:42.080 --> 0:21:45.919
<v Speaker 3>green Bay. Is there a world where green Bay wins

0:21:45.960 --> 0:21:49.119
<v Speaker 3>this game? There is Rogers has a throwback game the

0:21:49.200 --> 0:21:52.480
<v Speaker 3>last year. Josh Allen makes a couple of mistakes where

0:21:52.560 --> 0:21:54.360
<v Speaker 3>it's one of those games where the Bills are eight

0:21:54.400 --> 0:21:57.040
<v Speaker 3>of eleven on third down. They're moving the ball up

0:21:57.080 --> 0:21:59.080
<v Speaker 3>and down the field, but they have red zone turnovers

0:21:59.280 --> 0:22:02.720
<v Speaker 3>like they did again Miami. That's on the board. There

0:22:02.800 --> 0:22:07.080
<v Speaker 3>is certainly a world that exists where this final score

0:22:07.080 --> 0:22:10.560
<v Speaker 3>of this game is twenty seven seventeen and I cover.

0:22:11.040 --> 0:22:13.960
<v Speaker 3>It's just too many points. Green Bay plus eleven and

0:22:14.000 --> 0:22:17.880
<v Speaker 3>a half. So there are five picks this week. Vegas

0:22:17.880 --> 0:22:21.439
<v Speaker 3>minus one and a half, the pivot to Cincinnati minus

0:22:21.440 --> 0:22:25.639
<v Speaker 3>three and a half, Washington plus two and a half,

0:22:26.000 --> 0:22:29.119
<v Speaker 3>green Bay plus eleven and a half and San Francisco

0:22:29.600 --> 0:22:32.480
<v Speaker 3>minus a point and a half. We now have the

0:22:32.480 --> 0:22:36.119
<v Speaker 3>rest of the slate to get into stay aways, be

0:22:36.320 --> 0:22:39.119
<v Speaker 3>carefuls and perfectly priced. We'll do that next.

0:22:39.160 --> 0:22:41.119
<v Speaker 2>What's Right? Just start doing like a little prayer.

0:22:41.520 --> 0:22:44.320
<v Speaker 3>Okay, stop consulting.

0:22:51.200 --> 0:22:53.960
<v Speaker 4>This episode is brought to you by Unstoppable. Discover the

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<v Speaker 3>All Right, welcome back in What's Right? Nick Wright, Episode

0:23:22.160 --> 0:23:25.880
<v Speaker 3>eighty eight hour, Week eight NFL Gambling Show. The week

0:23:25.920 --> 0:23:28.320
<v Speaker 3>we go five and zero, we get to five hundred

0:23:28.359 --> 0:23:31.880
<v Speaker 3>on the season, and we take off like a phoenix

0:23:31.960 --> 0:23:33.160
<v Speaker 3>rising from the ashes.

0:23:33.720 --> 0:23:34.359
<v Speaker 2>That's what we do.

0:23:34.640 --> 0:23:37.800
<v Speaker 3>Listen, that's gonna happen. There's gonna be a team fifteen

0:23:37.840 --> 0:23:39.440
<v Speaker 3>and twenty, which is what we are in the year,

0:23:39.960 --> 0:23:42.840
<v Speaker 3>is the exact same percentage wise as being three and four.

0:23:43.040 --> 0:23:45.400
<v Speaker 3>All right, I just want to tell America something real quick.

0:23:45.880 --> 0:23:50.840
<v Speaker 3>Here are the three and four teams currently in the NFL.

0:23:51.320 --> 0:23:56.200
<v Speaker 3>In the NFC, Washington take them out, San Francisco, Arizona,

0:23:56.560 --> 0:24:01.480
<v Speaker 3>Green Bay, Tampa, Atlanta. One of those five teams is

0:24:01.520 --> 0:24:04.399
<v Speaker 3>gonna catch fire the second half of the season. In

0:24:04.480 --> 0:24:07.880
<v Speaker 3>the AFC three and four teams, oh, there are none

0:24:08.000 --> 0:24:08.760
<v Speaker 3>except for New England.

0:24:08.760 --> 0:24:09.120
<v Speaker 2>New England.

0:24:09.119 --> 0:24:12.399
<v Speaker 3>It's not so we're gonna be like, I don't know

0:24:12.440 --> 0:24:16.520
<v Speaker 3>if it's the Tampa Bay Bucks, if it's not the Cardinals.

0:24:16.840 --> 0:24:20.560
<v Speaker 3>It's not the Cardinals. We're gonna be We're mediocre through

0:24:20.640 --> 0:24:22.679
<v Speaker 3>seven weeks, and then all of a sudden, have they

0:24:22.720 --> 0:24:25.439
<v Speaker 3>won six out of seven of their last If they

0:24:25.480 --> 0:24:29.160
<v Speaker 3>won six out of their last seven games, are they are?

0:24:29.160 --> 0:24:32.120
<v Speaker 3>They potentially gonna be the two seed. That's gonna be us.

0:24:32.600 --> 0:24:34.520
<v Speaker 3>I think it's gonna be San Francisco.

0:24:34.040 --> 0:24:34.520
<v Speaker 2>By the way.

0:24:34.960 --> 0:24:37.399
<v Speaker 3>In the NFL, I think it's gonna be us. On

0:24:37.440 --> 0:24:42.280
<v Speaker 3>the picks, we are fifteen and twenty. In seven weeks,

0:24:42.760 --> 0:24:46.080
<v Speaker 3>we'll have picked another thirty five games if we go,

0:24:47.280 --> 0:24:50.360
<v Speaker 3>you know what, we're shooting for twenty five and ten.

0:24:51.320 --> 0:24:54.240
<v Speaker 3>We're shooting for a big number, twenty five and ten,

0:24:54.640 --> 0:24:57.760
<v Speaker 3>which would put us at a nice tidy forty and

0:24:57.880 --> 0:25:02.240
<v Speaker 3>thirty going into the home stretch. Forty and thirties is great,

0:25:02.880 --> 0:25:06.600
<v Speaker 3>it's super profitable. Twenty five and ten. You know what,

0:25:06.760 --> 0:25:10.480
<v Speaker 3>add that, we're gonna keep our year long standings, but

0:25:10.560 --> 0:25:14.360
<v Speaker 3>I would like additional supplemental standings of this point forward

0:25:14.720 --> 0:25:17.399
<v Speaker 3>as we shoot for twenty five and ten. Okay, well,

0:25:17.400 --> 0:25:18.960
<v Speaker 3>I don't know what you're laughing about.

0:25:19.080 --> 0:25:20.800
<v Speaker 5>No, I'm just I'm really happy for you, I think

0:25:20.800 --> 0:25:23.520
<v Speaker 5>because I feel like it's I'm not scrutinized.

0:25:23.560 --> 0:25:24.840
<v Speaker 2>You're patronizing you right now.

0:25:25.880 --> 0:25:29.720
<v Speaker 3>Good pivot, Yeah, good pivot from scrutinized to patronized. No, no,

0:25:29.760 --> 0:25:35.879
<v Speaker 3>I appreciate that. All right, stay aways. Jags versus Denver,

0:25:36.000 --> 0:25:37.679
<v Speaker 3>Denver getting two and a half in London.

0:25:37.960 --> 0:25:39.480
<v Speaker 2>I want to tell you there we go.

0:25:40.680 --> 0:25:43.359
<v Speaker 3>Oh well, here's all of them, Jags versus Denver in London,

0:25:43.600 --> 0:25:46.560
<v Speaker 3>New England versus the Jets, Miami against the True Okay,

0:25:47.640 --> 0:25:50.399
<v Speaker 3>let's start with Jags vers Denver. Is this something you

0:25:50.440 --> 0:25:50.679
<v Speaker 3>want to.

0:25:50.680 --> 0:25:53.320
<v Speaker 5>First off, yeah, I'm really glad to see that they

0:25:53.320 --> 0:25:55.360
<v Speaker 5>were the first on there. I'm really glad to see

0:25:55.359 --> 0:25:57.639
<v Speaker 5>you walk away from them. I know, the prince that

0:25:57.760 --> 0:26:00.119
<v Speaker 5>wasn't profitable was very hard to walk away from, but

0:26:00.240 --> 0:26:01.920
<v Speaker 5>you did it. You always tell me when you're proud

0:26:01.960 --> 0:26:03.520
<v Speaker 5>of me. I want to take this opportunity to tell

0:26:03.560 --> 0:26:05.360
<v Speaker 5>you that how proud of you that I am?

0:26:05.640 --> 0:26:09.240
<v Speaker 3>Okay, which I am. Good job, Okay, that was patronizing.

0:26:12.359 --> 0:26:15.960
<v Speaker 3>Second of all, I don't like that I'm not betting this.

0:26:17.359 --> 0:26:20.399
<v Speaker 3>I can kind of tell I think it's a really

0:26:20.400 --> 0:26:24.360
<v Speaker 3>good side and it's really gonna make me mad. Now

0:26:24.440 --> 0:26:27.679
<v Speaker 3>I am in. I'm in this spot that you've been in,

0:26:27.720 --> 0:26:29.920
<v Speaker 3>now that you've started to dip your toe into gambling,

0:26:30.320 --> 0:26:32.880
<v Speaker 3>which is no matter what happens in this game, I'm

0:26:32.920 --> 0:26:37.000
<v Speaker 3>sad because, in fact, you know what, there is one

0:26:37.200 --> 0:26:40.520
<v Speaker 3>result that would not make me.

0:26:40.560 --> 0:26:42.920
<v Speaker 2>Sad, Denver blowing the Jags out.

0:26:43.040 --> 0:26:45.720
<v Speaker 3>No, that would make me very sad because the prince

0:26:45.720 --> 0:26:49.719
<v Speaker 3>that was promised needs to start delivering. So if Denver wins,

0:26:49.720 --> 0:26:55.879
<v Speaker 3>I'm sad. If Jacksonville wins, I'm angry that I didn't

0:26:55.920 --> 0:26:59.840
<v Speaker 3>bet it. So the one result is a Jags win

0:27:00.480 --> 0:27:03.720
<v Speaker 3>by one or two points. The Jags win in London,

0:27:03.920 --> 0:27:06.520
<v Speaker 3>where they win the game but they don't cover. But

0:27:06.600 --> 0:27:10.560
<v Speaker 3>let me tell you this, America. I know I'm supposed

0:27:10.560 --> 0:27:12.440
<v Speaker 3>to be explaining why this is a stay away. It's

0:27:12.480 --> 0:27:14.800
<v Speaker 3>only a stay away because I've been bullied into it.

0:27:15.680 --> 0:27:18.960
<v Speaker 3>Russell Wilson is doing high knees and jogging on the

0:27:19.040 --> 0:27:21.320
<v Speaker 3>team plane on the flight to London, all the more

0:27:21.359 --> 0:27:25.119
<v Speaker 3>reason to be fearful the Nathaniel Hackett's coaching for his

0:27:25.280 --> 0:27:29.480
<v Speaker 3>job the Jags. Do you realize the Jags have the

0:27:29.600 --> 0:27:32.879
<v Speaker 3>tenth best point differential in the entire NFL, and the

0:27:33.040 --> 0:27:35.760
<v Speaker 3>nine teams with a better point differential than them are

0:27:35.880 --> 0:27:39.080
<v Speaker 3>forty five and fifteen and the Jags are two and five.

0:27:39.400 --> 0:27:41.000
<v Speaker 3>But whatever, it's a stay away. You don't need to

0:27:41.000 --> 0:27:42.840
<v Speaker 3>spend more time talking about the Jags. Even though I'm

0:27:42.920 --> 0:27:48.359
<v Speaker 3>very upset New England at the Jets. The Jets are

0:27:48.520 --> 0:27:51.840
<v Speaker 3>getting two and a half points, all right. This is

0:27:51.880 --> 0:27:55.680
<v Speaker 3>a stay away purely because this is such an absurd

0:27:55.840 --> 0:28:00.840
<v Speaker 3>line and everyone in the world is right fully going

0:28:00.920 --> 0:28:04.000
<v Speaker 3>to be betting the Jets. The Patriots are starting the

0:28:04.040 --> 0:28:06.719
<v Speaker 3>worst of their two quarterbacks, and Mac Jones they're on

0:28:06.880 --> 0:28:10.199
<v Speaker 3>the road, they're coming off a mortifying loss, they're on

0:28:10.320 --> 0:28:13.479
<v Speaker 3>a short week, the Jets are five and two, and

0:28:13.560 --> 0:28:18.919
<v Speaker 3>New England is favored. It makes so little sense, it's

0:28:19.000 --> 0:28:23.280
<v Speaker 3>so ridiculous that you just have to stay away because

0:28:23.720 --> 0:28:26.359
<v Speaker 3>this is going to be a game where ninety percent

0:28:26.400 --> 0:28:30.080
<v Speaker 3>of the money is on the Jets. So I almost

0:28:30.080 --> 0:28:32.840
<v Speaker 3>should put it in the be careful category. That's really

0:28:32.880 --> 0:28:35.960
<v Speaker 3>what the be careful category is there for. However, the

0:28:36.040 --> 0:28:38.720
<v Speaker 3>reason I'm putting it in the stayaways is because I

0:28:38.800 --> 0:28:43.680
<v Speaker 3>do understand the logic for the Patriots, which is Zach Wilson, Sorry, Gabe,

0:28:44.280 --> 0:28:47.840
<v Speaker 3>Zach Wilson has not been good. The team's been good.

0:28:47.920 --> 0:28:49.880
<v Speaker 3>He has not been good. They've been leaning on Breis

0:28:49.920 --> 0:28:52.800
<v Speaker 3>Hall and he just blew out his knee unfortunately. So

0:28:52.800 --> 0:28:56.400
<v Speaker 3>I understand the logic of the Patriots being favored, but

0:28:56.600 --> 0:28:59.440
<v Speaker 3>everyone's going to be on the Jets. Last one Miami

0:28:59.640 --> 0:29:03.120
<v Speaker 3>at the Detroit Miami favored by three and a half

0:29:03.280 --> 0:29:07.000
<v Speaker 3>on the road in Detroit. This is a stay away

0:29:07.080 --> 0:29:13.280
<v Speaker 3>to me purely because I don't know what Miami's offense

0:29:13.480 --> 0:29:17.960
<v Speaker 3>is going to look like with Tua post concussion. They

0:29:18.760 --> 0:29:21.920
<v Speaker 3>escaped with a win. We saw this pass. What was

0:29:22.080 --> 0:29:26.040
<v Speaker 3>Thursday when they played? Yeah, it was Thursday night against Pittsburgh.

0:29:26.120 --> 0:29:28.800
<v Speaker 3>They escaped with a win, but Tua could have thrown

0:29:28.840 --> 0:29:33.800
<v Speaker 3>a hat trick of interceptions and they seem to be

0:29:34.720 --> 0:29:38.120
<v Speaker 3>very ineffective offensively after that first drive. I need to

0:29:38.160 --> 0:29:42.160
<v Speaker 3>see more from Tua post concussion before I can lay

0:29:42.240 --> 0:29:44.240
<v Speaker 3>more than a field goal. With Miami on the road.

0:29:44.120 --> 0:29:46.120
<v Speaker 2>Well, they are four and oh with their starting quarterback.

0:29:46.560 --> 0:29:49.320
<v Speaker 3>No, I get that, and I think they're gonna win.

0:29:50.080 --> 0:29:53.680
<v Speaker 3>But laying three and a half against a totally desperate

0:29:53.720 --> 0:29:56.400
<v Speaker 3>Detroit team that I do believe is better than a

0:29:56.440 --> 0:30:00.560
<v Speaker 3>record suggest half, I understand, but it's stay away to me.

0:30:00.640 --> 0:30:04.320
<v Speaker 3>That's stay away, all right? Next category, be careful. These

0:30:04.320 --> 0:30:07.800
<v Speaker 3>are games where I am certain everyone is going to

0:30:07.840 --> 0:30:10.760
<v Speaker 3>be on one side of it. So the three games

0:30:10.760 --> 0:30:13.960
<v Speaker 3>in the be careful category are Baltimore at Tampa, which

0:30:14.080 --> 0:30:17.520
<v Speaker 3>will have already happened. So we'll do that briefly, Carolina Atlanta,

0:30:17.600 --> 0:30:22.920
<v Speaker 3>and Tennessee at Houston. All right, Atlanta only laying four

0:30:22.920 --> 0:30:25.400
<v Speaker 3>and a half or no, We'll start with Baltimore at Tampa.

0:30:25.440 --> 0:30:29.640
<v Speaker 3>Pardon me, Baltimore at Tampa. The game will have already happened.

0:30:30.120 --> 0:30:34.520
<v Speaker 3>My guess is everyone is going to be on Baltimore

0:30:34.560 --> 0:30:40.400
<v Speaker 3>getting points. I think Tampa, with Brady's poor play, how

0:30:40.440 --> 0:30:45.640
<v Speaker 3>bad they've looked recently, scoring three points this past week,

0:30:46.720 --> 0:30:49.880
<v Speaker 3>I think the whole world is going to be on Baltimore.

0:30:50.480 --> 0:30:55.640
<v Speaker 3>Tampa is in a desperate spot. The Baltimore secondary greatly

0:30:55.720 --> 0:31:00.680
<v Speaker 3>concerns me. Lamar's play the last month greatly concerns me.

0:31:01.160 --> 0:31:04.320
<v Speaker 3>For all those reasons, I think you stay away from it.

0:31:04.680 --> 0:31:09.440
<v Speaker 3>Atlanta only laying four and a half, pardon me against

0:31:09.440 --> 0:31:14.040
<v Speaker 3>Carolina is a trap. Atlanta is six and one against

0:31:14.080 --> 0:31:18.400
<v Speaker 3>the spread. They they have played, They have played one

0:31:18.440 --> 0:31:21.880
<v Speaker 3>bad game all year. Everyone is going to say, why

0:31:21.960 --> 0:31:24.760
<v Speaker 3>is Atlanta not favored by six and a half. Why

0:31:24.800 --> 0:31:28.880
<v Speaker 3>is Atlanta not favored by seven? Carolina is starting a

0:31:29.840 --> 0:31:33.480
<v Speaker 3>fringe NFL quarterback. He went into the season their third

0:31:33.520 --> 0:31:37.480
<v Speaker 3>string quarterback. Carolina won their version of the Super Bowl

0:31:37.560 --> 0:31:41.480
<v Speaker 3>last week with the massive upset. I do not think that.

0:31:42.280 --> 0:31:45.240
<v Speaker 3>I don't think anyone's going to be on Carolina. I

0:31:45.320 --> 0:31:48.240
<v Speaker 3>would be on Atlanta. I think Atlanta is a fine team.

0:31:48.640 --> 0:31:50.440
<v Speaker 3>I think that this is going to be another game

0:31:50.720 --> 0:31:53.360
<v Speaker 3>where eighty five percent of the public money is on Atlanta.

0:31:53.600 --> 0:31:56.400
<v Speaker 3>So beat, I can't tell you in good conscience go

0:31:56.440 --> 0:31:59.320
<v Speaker 3>out and bet Carolina, but be very careful. If you're

0:31:59.320 --> 0:32:00.400
<v Speaker 3>thinking about betting Atlanta.

0:32:00.440 --> 0:32:00.760
<v Speaker 2>Go ahead.

0:32:00.800 --> 0:32:02.920
<v Speaker 5>If Carolina lost to Tampa last week, when the spread

0:32:02.920 --> 0:32:04.200
<v Speaker 5>be Atlanta by ten, is.

0:32:04.120 --> 0:32:04.840
<v Speaker 2>This not a steal?

0:32:06.320 --> 0:32:09.640
<v Speaker 3>So that's what I think everyone's gonna feel like. That's

0:32:09.680 --> 0:32:12.800
<v Speaker 3>exactly that's kind. I agree with what you're saying, and

0:32:12.840 --> 0:32:14.640
<v Speaker 3>I understand it, and I don't think it'd be Atlanta

0:32:14.680 --> 0:32:16.600
<v Speaker 3>by ten, but I think it would have been Atlanta

0:32:16.640 --> 0:32:19.080
<v Speaker 3>by seven that maybe gets pushed up to seven and

0:32:19.080 --> 0:32:21.280
<v Speaker 3>a half. The fact that it's four and a half

0:32:21.600 --> 0:32:24.120
<v Speaker 3>seems like they are daring you to bet the Falcons.

0:32:24.120 --> 0:32:27.480
<v Speaker 3>They're at home, barely favored by more than a field goal,

0:32:27.800 --> 0:32:29.560
<v Speaker 3>against a team that might be the worst team in

0:32:29.600 --> 0:32:33.000
<v Speaker 3>the league, that's just traded away its best player. Be careful.

0:32:33.240 --> 0:32:36.480
<v Speaker 3>And then last one, this line looked like a mistake.

0:32:37.680 --> 0:32:43.760
<v Speaker 3>Tennessee only laying two against Houston. I I don't know

0:32:43.840 --> 0:32:47.440
<v Speaker 3>who If you are betting Houston in this spot, you're

0:32:47.480 --> 0:32:49.880
<v Speaker 3>basically saying you think they can they'll win the game.

0:32:50.320 --> 0:32:52.920
<v Speaker 3>I mean, maybe you're saying that you think they'll lose

0:32:52.960 --> 0:32:59.480
<v Speaker 3>by one. And you'll win that way. But the Tennessee

0:33:00.800 --> 0:33:04.240
<v Speaker 3>was the one seed last year. Derek Henry's rounding back

0:33:04.280 --> 0:33:09.000
<v Speaker 3>into form. They have done very well against Houston since

0:33:09.120 --> 0:33:13.840
<v Speaker 3>Rabel's been there. The fact that it's only two, everyone

0:33:14.680 --> 0:33:20.600
<v Speaker 3>is going to be on Tennessee minus two, so be careful.

0:33:20.920 --> 0:33:25.520
<v Speaker 3>I would just I I And here's one other thing.

0:33:26.440 --> 0:33:30.520
<v Speaker 3>Houston got blown out again this past week. And I'm

0:33:30.520 --> 0:33:32.640
<v Speaker 3>gonna say this for folks in Survivor pools, and we

0:33:32.680 --> 0:33:38.440
<v Speaker 3>took Survivor later in the show. Careful with Houston in

0:33:38.480 --> 0:33:43.280
<v Speaker 3>that Houston is going to there's going that Houston is

0:33:43.320 --> 0:33:46.719
<v Speaker 3>going to do to a good team what the Colts

0:33:46.720 --> 0:33:49.520
<v Speaker 3>did to the Chiefs, which is the team takes them lightly,

0:33:49.920 --> 0:33:52.400
<v Speaker 3>doesn't you know what I mean? He's like, Okay, this is,

0:33:52.440 --> 0:33:54.480
<v Speaker 3>you know, one of our easier games of the year.

0:33:54.880 --> 0:33:57.080
<v Speaker 3>There's a couple bad luck moments and all of a sudden,

0:33:57.120 --> 0:33:59.680
<v Speaker 3>it's like, wait, Houston has a chance to win in

0:33:59.720 --> 0:34:04.120
<v Speaker 3>the final moments. I would have thought if we were

0:34:04.160 --> 0:34:06.360
<v Speaker 3>guessing the lines on this game, I would have said

0:34:06.360 --> 0:34:10.680
<v Speaker 3>it's Tennessee minus six in Houston. Instead it's minus two.

0:34:11.320 --> 0:34:14.600
<v Speaker 2>Be careful. Tannehill was at a walking boot last week. Yeah,

0:34:14.600 --> 0:34:16.600
<v Speaker 2>do you like them? If mcleak Willis, well, there you go.

0:34:16.640 --> 0:34:19.680
<v Speaker 3>There's another reason to be careful. I mean, we know nothing.

0:34:19.719 --> 0:34:22.000
<v Speaker 3>I think Milik Willis might be good one day. We

0:34:22.120 --> 0:34:24.480
<v Speaker 3>know nothing about him. Just be careful in this game.

0:34:24.520 --> 0:34:28.799
<v Speaker 3>And then, lastly, are perfectly priced Category three games. We

0:34:28.880 --> 0:34:32.640
<v Speaker 3>have the Giants at the Seahawks, Chicago at Dallas, and

0:34:32.680 --> 0:34:38.000
<v Speaker 3>Pittsburgh at Philadelphia. All be quick here the Giants going

0:34:38.080 --> 0:34:41.120
<v Speaker 3>all the way across the country against a team who,

0:34:41.120 --> 0:34:44.120
<v Speaker 3>despite having a worse record than them, is a similar

0:34:44.200 --> 0:34:47.200
<v Speaker 3>quality that it should be a field goal line. These

0:34:47.239 --> 0:34:50.800
<v Speaker 3>two teams are equivalent teams. That's perfectly priced. You refuse

0:34:50.840 --> 0:34:53.319
<v Speaker 3>to believe in the Giants. They're dogs in this games

0:34:53.320 --> 0:34:56.000
<v Speaker 3>and they're six and one. Yeah, I don't really care

0:34:56.000 --> 0:34:59.640
<v Speaker 3>about their record. Sorry, they have trailed in the fourth

0:34:59.680 --> 0:35:02.080
<v Speaker 3>quarter in every single game this year. How about that

0:35:02.080 --> 0:35:04.440
<v Speaker 3>they're six and one. They have trailed in the fourth

0:35:04.480 --> 0:35:08.080
<v Speaker 3>quarter in every game they've played. But it's just perfectly priced.

0:35:08.360 --> 0:35:11.440
<v Speaker 3>I'm not saying to pick either side. I'm saying Seattle

0:35:11.480 --> 0:35:15.240
<v Speaker 3>minus three is the right number. Chicago's at Dallas, Dallas

0:35:15.239 --> 0:35:18.720
<v Speaker 3>favored by nine and a half, That is the right number.

0:35:18.760 --> 0:35:20.800
<v Speaker 3>I don't think I think this is a two score

0:35:20.840 --> 0:35:23.719
<v Speaker 3>win by Dallas. I don't think Dallas's offense, however, is

0:35:23.760 --> 0:35:26.560
<v Speaker 3>good enough for you to confidently say they're gonna win

0:35:26.600 --> 0:35:31.000
<v Speaker 3>by fourteen. I think Chicago, another team on a short week,

0:35:31.040 --> 0:35:34.160
<v Speaker 3>by the way, short ish week playing on Monday, Chicago

0:35:35.120 --> 0:35:37.239
<v Speaker 3>on the road against any good teams has to be

0:35:37.320 --> 0:35:40.160
<v Speaker 3>laying more than a touchdown. So Dallas minus nine and

0:35:40.200 --> 0:35:43.040
<v Speaker 3>a half is the right number. And then Pittsburgh at

0:35:43.040 --> 0:35:47.440
<v Speaker 3>Philly Philly laying ten and a half, same thing, I wouldn't.

0:35:47.480 --> 0:35:52.040
<v Speaker 3>I listen, Tomlin has shown the ability to stand up

0:35:52.040 --> 0:35:56.400
<v Speaker 3>and get his team ready to go against the best teams,

0:35:56.880 --> 0:35:59.040
<v Speaker 3>and so I wouldn't feel comfortable laying the ten and

0:35:59.080 --> 0:36:02.080
<v Speaker 3>a half, especially with Philadelphia not being great in the

0:36:02.080 --> 0:36:08.440
<v Speaker 3>second half so far this year. However, Philly's undefeated, they

0:36:08.440 --> 0:36:10.520
<v Speaker 3>have been dominant in the first half of games, and

0:36:10.520 --> 0:36:12.520
<v Speaker 3>they're coming off a bye. Ten and a half to

0:36:12.560 --> 0:36:13.760
<v Speaker 3>me is just the right number.

0:36:14.000 --> 0:36:17.880
<v Speaker 5>Chicago, Dallas or Pittsburgh Philly. These are in Pittsburgh in Philly.

0:36:17.960 --> 0:36:18.800
<v Speaker 5>There's a great teaser.

0:36:18.840 --> 0:36:25.400
<v Speaker 3>Candidates, Uh well maybe, I mean you'd have to do

0:36:25.440 --> 0:36:29.080
<v Speaker 3>a ten point teaser though, so you'd need a third

0:36:29.080 --> 0:36:32.200
<v Speaker 3>team because you can't do a seven point teaser. You can,

0:36:32.320 --> 0:36:34.360
<v Speaker 3>but it'd be dumb to do a seven point teaser

0:36:34.800 --> 0:36:36.560
<v Speaker 3>on a ten and a half point line because you

0:36:36.560 --> 0:36:38.640
<v Speaker 3>want to get it through the three, you know what

0:36:38.680 --> 0:36:40.760
<v Speaker 3>I mean. So if you're gonna tease a team down,

0:36:41.080 --> 0:36:42.719
<v Speaker 3>you want to be getting them through all the key

0:36:42.800 --> 0:36:45.360
<v Speaker 3>numbers seven to six and three. So nine and a

0:36:45.400 --> 0:36:48.840
<v Speaker 3>half is a great seven point teaser candidate, right, you

0:36:48.920 --> 0:36:50.320
<v Speaker 3>tease them from nine and a half to two and

0:36:50.400 --> 0:36:52.439
<v Speaker 3>a half. Ten and a half is not a great

0:36:52.480 --> 0:36:55.879
<v Speaker 3>teaser candidate at all, really, because you're only teasing them

0:36:56.120 --> 0:36:57.520
<v Speaker 3>down to the three and a half, so you're not

0:36:57.520 --> 0:37:02.440
<v Speaker 3>getting enough value. So they're there's one teaser this week.

0:37:02.480 --> 0:37:05.359
<v Speaker 3>I kind of like we'll discuss that. We have a

0:37:05.520 --> 0:37:08.800
<v Speaker 3>very interesting survivor situation. I apologize for the new England

0:37:08.800 --> 0:37:10.839
<v Speaker 3>pick I gave you guys and Survivor this past week,

0:37:11.080 --> 0:37:13.760
<v Speaker 3>but we have to discuss the survivor situation in a moment.

0:37:14.120 --> 0:37:14.680
<v Speaker 2>We'll do that.

0:37:15.440 --> 0:37:17.399
<v Speaker 3>I'll reveal my lock of the week where I've lost

0:37:17.440 --> 0:37:19.279
<v Speaker 3>six straight. We'll do all that as we wrap the

0:37:19.280 --> 0:37:27.280
<v Speaker 3>gambling show next. All right, welcome back. In final segment,

0:37:27.360 --> 0:37:29.440
<v Speaker 3>What's right, Nick Right, Episode eighty eight, our Week eight

0:37:29.480 --> 0:37:33.400
<v Speaker 3>gambling show. So our five picks this week is Vegas

0:37:33.440 --> 0:37:36.359
<v Speaker 3>minus one and a half at New Orleans or Cincinnati

0:37:36.680 --> 0:37:40.360
<v Speaker 3>minus three and a half at Cleveland, San Francisco minus

0:37:40.360 --> 0:37:43.120
<v Speaker 3>one and a half at the Rams, Washington plus two

0:37:43.160 --> 0:37:46.520
<v Speaker 3>and a half at Indy, and Green Bay plus eleven

0:37:46.520 --> 0:37:48.840
<v Speaker 3>and a half at Buffalo. We have our on five

0:37:49.000 --> 0:37:54.920
<v Speaker 3>road teams, three road favorites, and now's the time for

0:37:54.920 --> 0:37:57.680
<v Speaker 3>the right move. Our lock of the week. We've lost

0:37:57.680 --> 0:38:02.600
<v Speaker 3>six in a row. Demant sa picket. I've never given

0:38:02.640 --> 0:38:05.080
<v Speaker 3>you this responsibility, but I gotta change.

0:38:04.840 --> 0:38:06.640
<v Speaker 2>The jujus pick the lock of the week.

0:38:06.800 --> 0:38:09.680
<v Speaker 3>Of those five you can pick from those five, picket,

0:38:10.400 --> 0:38:12.040
<v Speaker 3>just your gut reaction, go.

0:38:12.400 --> 0:38:13.279
<v Speaker 2>All right, what is it?

0:38:14.200 --> 0:38:14.680
<v Speaker 3>What a goal?

0:38:15.120 --> 0:38:16.520
<v Speaker 2>We're going with green Bay?

0:38:16.960 --> 0:38:18.960
<v Speaker 3>Oh that's not the one I'd have gone with, but

0:38:18.960 --> 0:38:22.000
<v Speaker 3>you know what, that's probably good green Bay catching eleven

0:38:22.040 --> 0:38:27.360
<v Speaker 3>and a half Sunday Night Football our lock of the week.

0:38:27.680 --> 0:38:31.560
<v Speaker 3>All right, Survivor. We've now lost two Survivor picks, so

0:38:31.560 --> 0:38:32.600
<v Speaker 3>we can't give them out to you.

0:38:32.640 --> 0:38:33.480
<v Speaker 2>Guys the rest of the year.

0:38:33.680 --> 0:38:38.799
<v Speaker 3>I do have an announcement to make, However, I'm in

0:38:38.840 --> 0:38:43.320
<v Speaker 3>a survivor pool that the year started. I've told you

0:38:43.360 --> 0:38:47.600
<v Speaker 3>guys about it. Twenty one thousand people in it. I

0:38:47.719 --> 0:38:52.840
<v Speaker 3>bought twenty entries. I have one in tree left.

0:38:53.320 --> 0:38:54.240
<v Speaker 2>There are one.

0:38:54.200 --> 0:38:59.040
<v Speaker 3>Hundred and eighteen people left in this pool. It is now.

0:38:59.840 --> 0:39:04.120
<v Speaker 3>I have created a full I showed demanse like document

0:39:04.719 --> 0:39:10.200
<v Speaker 3>planning out the rest of the year did This is

0:39:10.560 --> 0:39:15.400
<v Speaker 3>a very very, very exciting thing, and I will keep

0:39:15.480 --> 0:39:18.040
<v Speaker 3>you guys posted on it. But I'm not some of

0:39:18.040 --> 0:39:21.120
<v Speaker 3>the people in that pool will watch this podcast. So

0:39:21.200 --> 0:39:23.560
<v Speaker 3>now I am putting myself ahead of the audience. I'm

0:39:23.560 --> 0:39:26.720
<v Speaker 3>not giving out any more survivor picks. I'm not because

0:39:26.760 --> 0:39:29.160
<v Speaker 3>I can't let them know what I'm doing. Once we

0:39:29.239 --> 0:39:30.799
<v Speaker 3>get down to fifty people.

0:39:30.680 --> 0:39:32.759
<v Speaker 2>Oh, I give them. How about I do the lock

0:39:32.800 --> 0:39:33.520
<v Speaker 2>of the weekend.

0:39:33.320 --> 0:39:36.359
<v Speaker 3>The survivor All right, what's your survivor pick? You gotta

0:39:36.360 --> 0:39:36.960
<v Speaker 3>do it quick man.

0:39:37.239 --> 0:39:39.680
<v Speaker 2>The survivors San Francisco, the Rams.

0:39:40.360 --> 0:39:43.800
<v Speaker 3>Okay, that's a terrible survivor pick. I mean it's really awful.

0:39:44.360 --> 0:39:45.080
<v Speaker 2>Geez dude.

0:39:45.320 --> 0:39:47.279
<v Speaker 3>Well it's not because they're not gonna win. I think

0:39:47.320 --> 0:39:50.640
<v Speaker 3>they're gonna win America. Don't use the Niners this week,

0:39:51.040 --> 0:39:52.880
<v Speaker 3>but the whole idea of Survivors. You only use the

0:39:52.920 --> 0:39:55.359
<v Speaker 3>team once, so you want to use a team, You're

0:39:55.400 --> 0:39:57.480
<v Speaker 3>kind of screwing my whole process up here. I was

0:39:57.480 --> 0:39:59.720
<v Speaker 3>obviously trying to give bad info for those guys.

0:40:00.800 --> 0:40:03.200
<v Speaker 2>See no, okay, reveal the plot.

0:40:03.360 --> 0:40:04.200
<v Speaker 3>Okay, you know what?

0:40:04.360 --> 0:40:04.920
<v Speaker 2>Fair enough.

0:40:05.239 --> 0:40:07.600
<v Speaker 3>There is one teaser I like this week as far

0:40:07.640 --> 0:40:11.560
<v Speaker 3>as exotics go. By the way, I'm not gonna place this,

0:40:12.440 --> 0:40:15.919
<v Speaker 3>and well, I guess it doesn't matter because the teaser, you, guys,

0:40:15.960 --> 0:40:17.920
<v Speaker 3>by the time you hear this, it's too late. So

0:40:17.960 --> 0:40:21.920
<v Speaker 3>there's one teaser this week that makes sense. It's teasing

0:40:22.000 --> 0:40:25.360
<v Speaker 3>Baltimore from plus one and a half to plus seven

0:40:25.360 --> 0:40:28.880
<v Speaker 3>and a half and pairing them with the Jets teasing

0:40:28.920 --> 0:40:30.600
<v Speaker 3>them plus two and a half to plus eight and

0:40:30.640 --> 0:40:33.840
<v Speaker 3>a half. It's good teaser value there. And do you

0:40:33.880 --> 0:40:37.799
<v Speaker 3>think the Bucks or the Patriots are gonna be able

0:40:37.800 --> 0:40:39.680
<v Speaker 3>to win either one of those games by two scores?

0:40:39.760 --> 0:40:42.040
<v Speaker 3>I do not. That would be the one teaser I

0:40:42.160 --> 0:40:46.200
<v Speaker 3>like this week. And then Demons, you've got an offer.

0:40:46.239 --> 0:40:48.680
<v Speaker 2>I think yes, I call this one. The Prince and

0:40:48.719 --> 0:40:49.080
<v Speaker 2>the King.

0:40:49.560 --> 0:40:51.520
<v Speaker 6>You'd be betting the Lakers to lose their next three

0:40:51.560 --> 0:40:54.680
<v Speaker 6>games they play Minnesota Denver and New Orleans before our

0:40:54.680 --> 0:40:57.680
<v Speaker 6>next show, But the Jaguar, and but the Jaguars to

0:40:57.760 --> 0:41:00.320
<v Speaker 6>cover minus two and a half in London against Denver,

0:41:00.400 --> 0:41:00.920
<v Speaker 6>to heal.

0:41:00.760 --> 0:41:04.920
<v Speaker 2>Your broken heart. That is plus six twenty. Are we

0:41:05.040 --> 0:41:05.560
<v Speaker 2>taking it?

0:41:11.920 --> 0:41:13.160
<v Speaker 3>I'm thinking I'm right here.

0:41:13.400 --> 0:41:16.920
<v Speaker 2>Sorry, the Lakers lose their next three games.

0:41:18.520 --> 0:41:20.600
<v Speaker 3>We're taking it that way. I got some action on

0:41:20.640 --> 0:41:24.480
<v Speaker 3>Trevor Lawrence. I just need I need a little action

0:41:24.880 --> 0:41:25.720
<v Speaker 3>on Trevor Lawrence.

0:41:25.760 --> 0:41:26.120
<v Speaker 2>Good job.

0:41:26.160 --> 0:41:29.239
<v Speaker 3>Plus six twenty. We're taking it. Appreciate that. We'll talk

0:41:29.280 --> 0:41:31.640
<v Speaker 3>to you guys on Monday with episode eighty nine recapping

0:41:31.680 --> 0:41:34.320
<v Speaker 3>I'm sure a five and a week at Trevor Lawrence

0:41:34.400 --> 0:41:37.920
<v Speaker 3>kicking ass in London. Maybe they might be calling him

0:41:37.920 --> 0:41:40.080
<v Speaker 3>Sir Trevor Lawrence. After this week, we'll talk to you

0:41:40.120 --> 0:41:53.600
<v Speaker 3>guys then Bye.