1 00:00:10,920 --> 00:00:12,600 Speaker 1: All right, welcome in Lake Kick is Live. It is 2 00:00:12,640 --> 00:00:16,040 Speaker 1: Thursday night, October seventh year of Our Lord, twenty twenty one. 3 00:00:16,079 --> 00:00:18,239 Speaker 1: You better believe we're jam packed tonight. We've got one 4 00:00:18,280 --> 00:00:21,680 Speaker 1: of the biggest Saturdays of the season on deck. It 5 00:00:21,760 --> 00:00:24,400 Speaker 1: is week six. We are just about the halfway point 6 00:00:24,440 --> 00:00:26,319 Speaker 1: four just about every team in the country, and so 7 00:00:26,360 --> 00:00:27,960 Speaker 1: we're gonna cover a lot of games tonight that we 8 00:00:27,960 --> 00:00:30,000 Speaker 1: didn't even get to Tuesday night, just to give you 9 00:00:30,000 --> 00:00:32,760 Speaker 1: an idea of how loaded the week is. You know, 10 00:00:32,800 --> 00:00:34,640 Speaker 1: we have not made Colin has been a good day. 11 00:00:34,680 --> 00:00:36,440 Speaker 1: I mean really, we haven't made any death threats. We've 12 00:00:36,479 --> 00:00:38,479 Speaker 1: wished Babe a happy birthday, and a lot of this 13 00:00:38,600 --> 00:00:41,640 Speaker 1: is inside nomenclature, but boiled makes sense. In just a second, 14 00:00:41,960 --> 00:00:44,960 Speaker 1: I've got to talk about the state of LSU football. However, 15 00:00:45,040 --> 00:00:47,159 Speaker 1: it's gonna sound a lot different than the segment the 16 00:00:47,200 --> 00:00:49,040 Speaker 1: other night sounded because I got a lot of feedback 17 00:00:49,080 --> 00:00:51,440 Speaker 1: on that segment, and this is to me, one of, 18 00:00:51,440 --> 00:00:53,480 Speaker 1: if not the biggest stories in college football right now, 19 00:00:53,600 --> 00:00:55,480 Speaker 1: and it's totally independent, and I want to make this 20 00:00:55,520 --> 00:00:58,400 Speaker 1: clear of LSU's game against Kentucky Saturday, So there are 21 00:00:58,400 --> 00:00:59,880 Speaker 1: some things we need to talk about tonight, because I 22 00:00:59,880 --> 00:01:04,080 Speaker 1: think there are not one but two glaring misconceptions nationally 23 00:01:04,400 --> 00:01:07,520 Speaker 1: about LSU football and where they are right now. Things 24 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:10,480 Speaker 1: may not be nearly as bad as they appear on 25 00:01:10,520 --> 00:01:12,679 Speaker 1: the whole. There may just be a couple of areas 26 00:01:12,760 --> 00:01:15,800 Speaker 1: where it's maybe even worse than it looks. How about 27 00:01:15,840 --> 00:01:17,959 Speaker 1: all these undefeated teams out here. I think some of 28 00:01:17,959 --> 00:01:19,920 Speaker 1: them are legitimate. I think some of them may be 29 00:01:20,040 --> 00:01:22,959 Speaker 1: a little bit illusionary in nature. There are probably some 30 00:01:23,040 --> 00:01:26,360 Speaker 1: undefeated teams that have multiple losses coming in the not 31 00:01:26,400 --> 00:01:28,640 Speaker 1: too distant future. So we're gonna break down every undefeated 32 00:01:28,640 --> 00:01:30,760 Speaker 1: team tonight. We're gonna do it really really quick, obviously, 33 00:01:30,880 --> 00:01:33,240 Speaker 1: and I'm gonna give you my very very quick thoughts 34 00:01:33,280 --> 00:01:35,559 Speaker 1: on each I'm gonna kind of juxtapost where the AP 35 00:01:35,760 --> 00:01:37,840 Speaker 1: is versus where the JP pole is. One of you 36 00:01:38,080 --> 00:01:40,880 Speaker 1: actually suggested that the other day. As usual, your ideas 37 00:01:40,880 --> 00:01:42,720 Speaker 1: are better than mine. I got a bunch of Week 38 00:01:42,840 --> 00:01:44,920 Speaker 1: six games, as I said that, we still have to predict. 39 00:01:45,080 --> 00:01:47,200 Speaker 1: We're gonna go just down the list in a second. 40 00:01:47,640 --> 00:01:49,400 Speaker 1: All that, plus we've got some added best bets on 41 00:01:49,400 --> 00:01:51,840 Speaker 1: the Ram and Noodle Express. Make sure you're following on 42 00:01:51,840 --> 00:01:55,640 Speaker 1: Twitter and Instagram at Late Kick Josh, we put two 43 00:01:55,680 --> 00:01:57,600 Speaker 1: more best bets out there today. They've been out for 44 00:01:57,600 --> 00:01:59,280 Speaker 1: a couple of hours. I don't know if the lines 45 00:01:59,320 --> 00:02:01,600 Speaker 1: have moved. The best way to make sure that doesn't 46 00:02:01,640 --> 00:02:04,800 Speaker 1: happen to you is to be following it. Also, we 47 00:02:04,920 --> 00:02:06,720 Speaker 1: have to talk about something. I got to get your 48 00:02:06,720 --> 00:02:09,720 Speaker 1: input on this. We've had a little situation that unfolded 49 00:02:09,800 --> 00:02:13,120 Speaker 1: last Saturday. As I explained on the Sunday Show, it 50 00:02:13,200 --> 00:02:15,280 Speaker 1: turns out too many of you showed up to College 51 00:02:15,320 --> 00:02:18,560 Speaker 1: Game Day with Late Kick signs and Pate State posters, 52 00:02:18,880 --> 00:02:21,959 Speaker 1: and so they got eradicated, they got banned, we got 53 00:02:21,960 --> 00:02:24,359 Speaker 1: put on the band sign list, and so all the 54 00:02:24,440 --> 00:02:27,720 Speaker 1: Late Kick posters got taken to sign jail right there 55 00:02:27,760 --> 00:02:32,120 Speaker 1: in Athens, Georgia, and so College Game Day basically put 56 00:02:32,200 --> 00:02:34,840 Speaker 1: us on the band list. But I looked at it 57 00:02:35,280 --> 00:02:38,440 Speaker 1: through what I thought was a pair of sensible lenses, 58 00:02:38,480 --> 00:02:40,800 Speaker 1: and I said, you know what, Okay, I grew up 59 00:02:40,840 --> 00:02:45,440 Speaker 1: loving College Game Day. I grew up revering multiple figures 60 00:02:45,520 --> 00:02:48,440 Speaker 1: on that show. They have been institutions in whichever household 61 00:02:48,440 --> 00:02:50,720 Speaker 1: I happen to be in on any random Saturday morning 62 00:02:50,760 --> 00:02:53,519 Speaker 1: throughout my childhood and early adulthood and now whatever you 63 00:02:53,600 --> 00:02:57,680 Speaker 1: want to call me. And so I reached across the table, 64 00:02:58,320 --> 00:03:02,520 Speaker 1: doing what a mature YouTube posts should do, and I said, 65 00:03:02,960 --> 00:03:06,960 Speaker 1: truce dot dot I haven't heard back from college game Day, 66 00:03:07,000 --> 00:03:09,880 Speaker 1: and we tagged him on Twitter. And I am perfectly willing, 67 00:03:09,919 --> 00:03:11,600 Speaker 1: as I said, to bury the old hatchet. I don't 68 00:03:11,600 --> 00:03:13,760 Speaker 1: want to be messing up the background at college game Day. 69 00:03:14,040 --> 00:03:16,360 Speaker 1: But at the same time, I mean, come on, is 70 00:03:16,360 --> 00:03:18,839 Speaker 1: there not a modicum of respect on the other side 71 00:03:18,840 --> 00:03:20,760 Speaker 1: of the aisle here? Can we not even get a 72 00:03:20,800 --> 00:03:24,640 Speaker 1: token handshake emoji out of college game Day? If we can't, 73 00:03:25,440 --> 00:03:28,640 Speaker 1: I can't in good conscience honor this truce, and neither 74 00:03:28,680 --> 00:03:31,239 Speaker 1: can our friends in Dallas, Texas who are going to 75 00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:33,800 Speaker 1: be at the Cotton Bowl right along with us Saturday. 76 00:03:34,040 --> 00:03:36,600 Speaker 1: And so I don't want to be sitting here fomenting 77 00:03:36,760 --> 00:03:40,680 Speaker 1: poster insurrection. I just want to just want to be acknowledged. 78 00:03:40,760 --> 00:03:42,640 Speaker 1: We just want to be heard, that's all we want. 79 00:03:43,280 --> 00:03:46,560 Speaker 1: So Hey, for those of you looking for sign ideas 80 00:03:46,560 --> 00:03:49,640 Speaker 1: for game day Saturday, hang tight. As I said, our 81 00:03:49,720 --> 00:03:53,120 Speaker 1: balls are in their court, and that's all I'm gonna say. 82 00:03:53,120 --> 00:03:56,200 Speaker 1: All right, let's enter the show tonight. We've got we 83 00:03:56,320 --> 00:03:57,560 Speaker 1: got so much to get to be and I don't 84 00:03:57,560 --> 00:03:59,520 Speaker 1: think it's going to be an hour long show. We 85 00:03:59,080 --> 00:04:01,200 Speaker 1: just got to cram it in here kind of Vienna 86 00:04:01,200 --> 00:04:04,160 Speaker 1: Sausage style. Oh. I used to eat those things, Colin. 87 00:04:04,200 --> 00:04:06,760 Speaker 1: I used to eat those things by the by the canfull. 88 00:04:07,400 --> 00:04:10,000 Speaker 1: What was I thinking? Washed it down with Sunday Delight. 89 00:04:10,440 --> 00:04:13,840 Speaker 1: Vienna Sausage and Sunday Delight every meal takes about thirty 90 00:04:13,840 --> 00:04:15,800 Speaker 1: seven minutes off of your life if you combine the two. 91 00:04:16,600 --> 00:04:20,160 Speaker 1: All right, let's get serious here. The other night we 92 00:04:20,160 --> 00:04:22,880 Speaker 1: talked about LSU in great detail, but I want to 93 00:04:22,920 --> 00:04:25,440 Speaker 1: go maybe a couple of different directions tonight, Colin, let's 94 00:04:25,520 --> 00:04:29,640 Speaker 1: let's endpoint it right here. Three two one. What's the 95 00:04:29,680 --> 00:04:32,560 Speaker 1: state of LSU football? And whether you live in Casper, 96 00:04:32,600 --> 00:04:36,440 Speaker 1: Wyoming or Bosier, City of Louisiana will probably determine how 97 00:04:36,480 --> 00:04:38,120 Speaker 1: you answer that. I think the closer you get to 98 00:04:38,120 --> 00:04:42,000 Speaker 1: the LSU program, the more you probably understand what I'm 99 00:04:42,000 --> 00:04:44,680 Speaker 1: about to say is true. But nationally, I think the 100 00:04:44,720 --> 00:04:48,720 Speaker 1: whole quote unquote narrative out there nationally about LSU is 101 00:04:48,800 --> 00:04:51,640 Speaker 1: totally out of whack on two fronts. I've felt for 102 00:04:51,680 --> 00:04:53,839 Speaker 1: a long time. In fact, part of the motivation for 103 00:04:53,960 --> 00:04:56,159 Speaker 1: me starting my own show way back in the day 104 00:04:56,520 --> 00:05:00,640 Speaker 1: is I thought the national college football media apparatus lacked 105 00:05:00,640 --> 00:05:04,160 Speaker 1: connectivity with fan bases on the ground. It's very hard 106 00:05:04,200 --> 00:05:07,000 Speaker 1: to reside in a studio fifteen hundred miles away and 107 00:05:07,080 --> 00:05:09,599 Speaker 1: you never get into weeds, and you never get into culture, 108 00:05:09,640 --> 00:05:11,320 Speaker 1: and you're never on the board, you're never on the 109 00:05:11,360 --> 00:05:14,480 Speaker 1: talk radio shows, you're never in the stadium. How are 110 00:05:14,480 --> 00:05:17,240 Speaker 1: you gonna not live that life? But also understand what 111 00:05:17,279 --> 00:05:19,240 Speaker 1: college football fans are thinking, Well, the easy answer is 112 00:05:19,240 --> 00:05:21,719 Speaker 1: you're not. And so there was this void and so 113 00:05:21,760 --> 00:05:23,800 Speaker 1: we've tried to do our part to fill it. But 114 00:05:24,480 --> 00:05:27,440 Speaker 1: I think right now it's a perfect case study because 115 00:05:27,440 --> 00:05:29,919 Speaker 1: there's a lot of national conversation going on in the 116 00:05:29,960 --> 00:05:33,880 Speaker 1: whole media sphere about LSU. Things aren't great at LSU 117 00:05:34,000 --> 00:05:36,360 Speaker 1: right now. The on field product's bad. They've already lost 118 00:05:36,400 --> 00:05:38,120 Speaker 1: a couple of games. They're a dog of three and 119 00:05:38,160 --> 00:05:41,440 Speaker 1: a half points at Kentucky Saturday, and so yeah, there's 120 00:05:41,440 --> 00:05:43,599 Speaker 1: a lot of piling on. Some people accuse me of 121 00:05:43,600 --> 00:05:45,560 Speaker 1: doing that the other night. That's the last thing I did, 122 00:05:45,680 --> 00:05:49,200 Speaker 1: which I'll address momentarily but I think people are really 123 00:05:49,240 --> 00:05:52,520 Speaker 1: missing the boat here about the state of LSU football, 124 00:05:52,760 --> 00:05:54,840 Speaker 1: because I don't think it's terrible at all. I just 125 00:05:54,880 --> 00:05:56,919 Speaker 1: think they're in a bad spot right now. But there 126 00:05:56,960 --> 00:05:59,360 Speaker 1: are a lot of folks who think LSU football spiraling 127 00:05:59,360 --> 00:06:02,920 Speaker 1: into the abit. I am on the total opposite side 128 00:06:02,920 --> 00:06:05,280 Speaker 1: of that fence. I think the program's ready to explode, 129 00:06:05,800 --> 00:06:09,160 Speaker 1: just not this year, but there are so many pieces 130 00:06:09,160 --> 00:06:11,400 Speaker 1: in place for this program to take off like a 131 00:06:11,480 --> 00:06:14,799 Speaker 1: rocket ship. I don't think people quite realize how ready 132 00:06:14,839 --> 00:06:18,000 Speaker 1: set made that situation is. It's just probably going to 133 00:06:18,040 --> 00:06:21,800 Speaker 1: be for a new administration. So the other night I 134 00:06:21,880 --> 00:06:24,719 Speaker 1: mentioned the first kind of out of whack perception I 135 00:06:24,720 --> 00:06:27,320 Speaker 1: think exists nationally about LSU, and that is that a 136 00:06:27,360 --> 00:06:30,400 Speaker 1: lot of folks look and they say LSU fans are 137 00:06:30,400 --> 00:06:33,920 Speaker 1: out of whack with their expectation level and their perspective 138 00:06:33,960 --> 00:06:36,000 Speaker 1: because you're less than two full years removed from a 139 00:06:36,080 --> 00:06:39,080 Speaker 1: national championship and already you want to fire a head 140 00:06:39,080 --> 00:06:41,479 Speaker 1: coach and already you want to hit the dump button. Well, 141 00:06:41,520 --> 00:06:44,440 Speaker 1: first off, they don't want to hit the dump button entirely. 142 00:06:44,920 --> 00:06:47,640 Speaker 1: They do, I think, to a large degree, want to 143 00:06:47,680 --> 00:06:49,960 Speaker 1: hit the dump button on the head coach there. But 144 00:06:50,160 --> 00:06:53,880 Speaker 1: even having said that, the same devil's advocate voice would 145 00:06:53,880 --> 00:06:55,920 Speaker 1: come back and say, but okay, that's the guy who 146 00:06:56,040 --> 00:06:58,480 Speaker 1: led you to a national championship. I've had people reach 147 00:06:58,520 --> 00:07:01,400 Speaker 1: out to me, a ton of them, but enough for 148 00:07:01,440 --> 00:07:03,479 Speaker 1: me to acknowledge. I've had people reach out to me 149 00:07:03,680 --> 00:07:06,160 Speaker 1: over the past let's say, forty eight seventy two hours, 150 00:07:06,560 --> 00:07:09,760 Speaker 1: and they've said something along these lines. Wow. Bro, So 151 00:07:09,920 --> 00:07:12,800 Speaker 1: you were all on board with LSU back in twenty nineteen, 152 00:07:13,200 --> 00:07:15,680 Speaker 1: and now all of a sudden, when it's convenient you 153 00:07:15,720 --> 00:07:17,840 Speaker 1: want to turn on them, you want to turn on us. No, 154 00:07:18,040 --> 00:07:19,800 Speaker 1: that's about the last thing in the world I want 155 00:07:19,840 --> 00:07:21,880 Speaker 1: to do. If you've ever listened to this show, and 156 00:07:21,880 --> 00:07:23,640 Speaker 1: if you haven't, I don't really care about the opinion. 157 00:07:23,760 --> 00:07:26,200 Speaker 1: But if you've ever listened to this show, you understand 158 00:07:26,880 --> 00:07:30,040 Speaker 1: I fully root for guys like ed Orgeron or Sam 159 00:07:30,080 --> 00:07:33,360 Speaker 1: Pittman or Shane Beemer. We call them culture fits. It's 160 00:07:33,440 --> 00:07:36,560 Speaker 1: integral to the fabric of college football. My best case 161 00:07:36,600 --> 00:07:39,680 Speaker 1: scenario is a guy like ed Orzeron succeeding for the 162 00:07:39,720 --> 00:07:42,240 Speaker 1: rest of his life and residing in Baton Rouge, Louisiana 163 00:07:42,280 --> 00:07:45,080 Speaker 1: for the rest of his life. That ain't happening. That's 164 00:07:45,120 --> 00:07:49,640 Speaker 1: not happening. And also, it's not just Saturday problems. I 165 00:07:49,640 --> 00:07:52,440 Speaker 1: got a good coaching buddy of mine who labels these 166 00:07:52,480 --> 00:07:56,080 Speaker 1: sorts of things Wednesday problems. If it's a Saturday problem, 167 00:07:56,120 --> 00:07:58,720 Speaker 1: it means it's a pure football problem and it can 168 00:07:58,760 --> 00:08:02,640 Speaker 1: be fixed with good coach and better recruiting and development. YadA, YadA, YadA. 169 00:08:02,880 --> 00:08:06,880 Speaker 1: That is not the case here. If you're living nationally 170 00:08:06,920 --> 00:08:09,120 Speaker 1: and you're looking at this program from fifty thousand feet, 171 00:08:09,120 --> 00:08:11,120 Speaker 1: you don't get that. LSU fans are on the ground, 172 00:08:11,160 --> 00:08:12,679 Speaker 1: as I said the other night, they're in the house, 173 00:08:12,800 --> 00:08:15,720 Speaker 1: not looking from the sidewalk. They get it, and they 174 00:08:15,800 --> 00:08:20,560 Speaker 1: understand things are even further eroding during this season. They 175 00:08:20,600 --> 00:08:23,960 Speaker 1: don't see, they don't see the turnaround pad. They don't 176 00:08:23,960 --> 00:08:26,080 Speaker 1: see any way to correct it. And I think, for 177 00:08:26,160 --> 00:08:31,320 Speaker 1: the record, they're right about that. But this whole allegation 178 00:08:31,720 --> 00:08:34,400 Speaker 1: that if someone did something good a couple of years ago, 179 00:08:34,720 --> 00:08:38,120 Speaker 1: you cannot change your opinion on them is ignorant. It 180 00:08:38,200 --> 00:08:40,920 Speaker 1: doesn't exist in any other walk of life. If you 181 00:08:41,000 --> 00:08:43,560 Speaker 1: had a kid and the kid brought home all a's 182 00:08:43,640 --> 00:08:45,679 Speaker 1: on the report card, what would you do? Well, you'd 183 00:08:45,720 --> 00:08:49,640 Speaker 1: celebrate it. That's a momentous occasion. Your boy didn't really 184 00:08:49,640 --> 00:08:51,920 Speaker 1: get to experience that very often growing up. But then 185 00:08:52,000 --> 00:08:54,520 Speaker 1: what happens if he goes and steals a car and 186 00:08:54,559 --> 00:08:56,960 Speaker 1: then two days later he knocks off a convenience store, 187 00:08:57,559 --> 00:08:59,240 Speaker 1: and then four days after that he pushes a kid 188 00:08:59,280 --> 00:09:03,000 Speaker 1: off his bike. What do you keep doing? You keep saying, well, look, hey, 189 00:09:03,200 --> 00:09:05,559 Speaker 1: I don't love it, but you did make all ays. 190 00:09:05,960 --> 00:09:08,160 Speaker 1: How much do you put up with? Because that's kind 191 00:09:08,160 --> 00:09:10,920 Speaker 1: of what's happening at LSU right now. It's not a 192 00:09:11,040 --> 00:09:13,920 Speaker 1: volunteer job. Edwargs Heron makes a lot of money. This 193 00:09:13,960 --> 00:09:16,640 Speaker 1: sport doesn't sit still. It's a continuum. It just keeps 194 00:09:16,679 --> 00:09:18,960 Speaker 1: going and going and going. When Nick Saban wins a 195 00:09:18,960 --> 00:09:21,280 Speaker 1: title at Alabama, how long does he live off of it? 196 00:09:21,280 --> 00:09:23,880 Speaker 1: About five minutes and then he moves on? You got 197 00:09:23,880 --> 00:09:26,720 Speaker 1: to move on. Twenty nineteen was great, But no matter 198 00:09:26,760 --> 00:09:28,920 Speaker 1: how great it was, they give out a total of 199 00:09:29,000 --> 00:09:31,760 Speaker 1: one trophy for that year. Now it was a historic trophy, 200 00:09:31,840 --> 00:09:33,680 Speaker 1: but they give out one trophy for it. What do 201 00:09:33,720 --> 00:09:35,480 Speaker 1: you do get to take the next five years off? 202 00:09:35,880 --> 00:09:38,840 Speaker 1: Let me ask this question, what are the critical factors 203 00:09:39,240 --> 00:09:42,080 Speaker 1: for a winning program. What are the critical factors? Because 204 00:09:42,080 --> 00:09:45,439 Speaker 1: I would ask any detractor out there to maybe this attitude. 205 00:09:45,480 --> 00:09:47,599 Speaker 1: Anyone who thinks Edwards Ron is no longer fit for 206 00:09:47,640 --> 00:09:51,280 Speaker 1: this job? What are the critical factors? And you can 207 00:09:51,640 --> 00:09:53,840 Speaker 1: look up and down, like what are the key indicators 208 00:09:54,080 --> 00:09:57,000 Speaker 1: that things are turning around? And then tell me where 209 00:09:57,000 --> 00:09:59,120 Speaker 1: any one of them is lit green right now? Because 210 00:09:59,160 --> 00:10:01,480 Speaker 1: I don't think a single one of them is. There's 211 00:10:01,640 --> 00:10:05,360 Speaker 1: nothing short of emotion that you could base that argument on. 212 00:10:05,559 --> 00:10:08,880 Speaker 1: There is no logical pro ors're on argument for LSU 213 00:10:08,920 --> 00:10:11,920 Speaker 1: football right now. So anyone yelling at you about being 214 00:10:11,920 --> 00:10:14,440 Speaker 1: negative about the guy just has hurt feelings. I mean, 215 00:10:14,480 --> 00:10:17,680 Speaker 1: they don't have any logic. There's no tangible evidence to 216 00:10:17,720 --> 00:10:19,960 Speaker 1: base that off of. And then here's where it gets 217 00:10:19,960 --> 00:10:22,960 Speaker 1: a little more real. Here's what has LSU folks aggravated. 218 00:10:23,920 --> 00:10:26,319 Speaker 1: And this is what I think people are totally missing nationally. 219 00:10:27,360 --> 00:10:31,280 Speaker 1: What are the critical standards that ed Orzeron demands his 220 00:10:31,400 --> 00:10:34,960 Speaker 1: players to meet? And then once you define them, write 221 00:10:34,960 --> 00:10:36,760 Speaker 1: them down on a piece of paper for me and 222 00:10:36,800 --> 00:10:40,000 Speaker 1: then tell me is he meeting those standards? Is the 223 00:10:40,080 --> 00:10:44,160 Speaker 1: leader of the program meeting the standards that he demands 224 00:10:44,240 --> 00:10:47,880 Speaker 1: his players meet. The answer is no, he's not. People 225 00:10:47,880 --> 00:10:50,360 Speaker 1: in the program know that, people around the program know 226 00:10:50,440 --> 00:10:53,840 Speaker 1: that that is not a Saturday problem. That's a Wednesday problem. 227 00:10:54,040 --> 00:10:56,000 Speaker 1: That's not a fix your technique and will win the 228 00:10:56,000 --> 00:10:59,160 Speaker 1: game twenty to seventeenth problem. That's like a critical factor 229 00:10:59,160 --> 00:11:02,280 Speaker 1: problem that's not going to correct itself. The second part, 230 00:11:02,400 --> 00:11:06,600 Speaker 1: this is where the detachment is, is people nationally, a 231 00:11:06,600 --> 00:11:09,480 Speaker 1: lot of the national media types think the LSU program 232 00:11:09,559 --> 00:11:13,000 Speaker 1: is in disarray. The LSU program's not in disarray. Let 233 00:11:13,000 --> 00:11:14,800 Speaker 1: me tell you what a program in disarray looks like. 234 00:11:15,160 --> 00:11:18,280 Speaker 1: A program that's in disarray. You open your laptop every 235 00:11:18,360 --> 00:11:20,960 Speaker 1: other morning and you see another guy got arrested. Or 236 00:11:21,040 --> 00:11:23,240 Speaker 1: you open your laptop every other morning and two more 237 00:11:23,240 --> 00:11:25,320 Speaker 1: guys have hopped in the transfer portal. Or you open 238 00:11:25,360 --> 00:11:29,960 Speaker 1: your laptop every other morning and the few remaining respected, 239 00:11:30,120 --> 00:11:33,560 Speaker 1: admired administrative types are on the first thing smoking out 240 00:11:33,600 --> 00:11:36,760 Speaker 1: of town. None of that's happening at LSU. The kids 241 00:11:36,800 --> 00:11:40,160 Speaker 1: aren't the ones getting in trouble. Staff members aren't fleeing 242 00:11:40,240 --> 00:11:42,640 Speaker 1: left and right, kids aren't jumping in the transfer portal. 243 00:11:42,679 --> 00:11:45,439 Speaker 1: It's not a program in disarray. It's a head coach 244 00:11:45,720 --> 00:11:48,840 Speaker 1: in disarray. That's it, and that's all, and that's what's 245 00:11:48,840 --> 00:11:51,360 Speaker 1: going to make the decision whenever Scott Woodward and company 246 00:11:51,400 --> 00:11:54,520 Speaker 1: decide to make it so easy, because it's not a 247 00:11:54,880 --> 00:11:58,280 Speaker 1: top to bottom torch the barn kill lorats total rebuild. 248 00:11:58,800 --> 00:12:00,720 Speaker 1: They block off the next four year and don't give 249 00:12:00,760 --> 00:12:03,840 Speaker 1: us any expectation whoever ends up getting this job is 250 00:12:03,840 --> 00:12:07,480 Speaker 1: going to step into a rocket ship. That whole premise 251 00:12:07,920 --> 00:12:10,520 Speaker 1: is what has people so enraged down there. One of 252 00:12:10,600 --> 00:12:14,080 Speaker 1: the main things that on the surface is a good 253 00:12:14,120 --> 00:12:16,839 Speaker 1: axiom that comes out of at Ocheron's mouth is block 254 00:12:16,840 --> 00:12:19,000 Speaker 1: out the noise. Block out the noise. Block out the noise. 255 00:12:19,040 --> 00:12:22,000 Speaker 1: Block out the noise. Dude, he's the noise. The players 256 00:12:22,000 --> 00:12:24,920 Speaker 1: aren't the noise. The players have stayed in line. The 257 00:12:24,920 --> 00:12:26,959 Speaker 1: players have done what they're supposed to do. The staff's 258 00:12:26,960 --> 00:12:28,679 Speaker 1: done what they're supposed to do. The administration's done what 259 00:12:28,679 --> 00:12:30,520 Speaker 1: they're supposed to do. They got a lot of good 260 00:12:30,559 --> 00:12:32,400 Speaker 1: people down there, They got a lot of good kids 261 00:12:32,440 --> 00:12:34,760 Speaker 1: down there. They're doing what they're supposed to do. By 262 00:12:34,800 --> 00:12:36,760 Speaker 1: and large, you have not heard more than a hiccup 263 00:12:36,840 --> 00:12:40,040 Speaker 1: or two aside from the Dare Rosenthal deal. What else 264 00:12:40,040 --> 00:12:42,640 Speaker 1: have you heard out of LSU. Yeah, you've seen losses 265 00:12:42,679 --> 00:12:45,520 Speaker 1: on the field, but that's a team. The program's not 266 00:12:45,600 --> 00:12:48,440 Speaker 1: in disarray. So the state of LSU football, to me, 267 00:12:48,520 --> 00:12:51,360 Speaker 1: is not in a blender at all. What they're doing 268 00:12:51,440 --> 00:12:53,839 Speaker 1: is riding out a thunderstorm. But see if you pull 269 00:12:53,920 --> 00:12:56,600 Speaker 1: up the Oli Josh, you pull up the extended forecast. 270 00:12:56,880 --> 00:12:59,000 Speaker 1: It rained in Nashville two days ago. It was really 271 00:12:59,120 --> 00:13:01,640 Speaker 1: ugly outside. I'll tell you what helped me. What helped 272 00:13:01,679 --> 00:13:03,440 Speaker 1: me is when I pulled up the eight day forecast 273 00:13:03,679 --> 00:13:06,280 Speaker 1: and I saw those little sunshine icons. It can look 274 00:13:06,360 --> 00:13:09,559 Speaker 1: really bad outside in the moment, but the storms pass. 275 00:13:10,040 --> 00:13:11,880 Speaker 1: LSU is just in the middle of a storm. But 276 00:13:12,000 --> 00:13:14,720 Speaker 1: this thing's going to pass. And when it passes, you've 277 00:13:14,720 --> 00:13:18,559 Speaker 1: got a top to bottom organization that otherwise is built 278 00:13:18,600 --> 00:13:21,960 Speaker 1: for immediate success. That's why they got to nail this higher. 279 00:13:22,240 --> 00:13:24,840 Speaker 1: If they nail this higher, this is a program ready 280 00:13:24,840 --> 00:13:26,640 Speaker 1: to explode. I know it doesn't look like it right 281 00:13:26,679 --> 00:13:28,959 Speaker 1: now because it's not going to happen in twenty twenty one. 282 00:13:29,280 --> 00:13:32,320 Speaker 1: That's a program ready to explode. Everything is in place, 283 00:13:32,520 --> 00:13:35,720 Speaker 1: the administration is built the right way. One credit that 284 00:13:35,760 --> 00:13:38,000 Speaker 1: I will give ed Orzron and his staff. And this 285 00:13:38,040 --> 00:13:40,280 Speaker 1: is not to be overlooked is they have held recruiting 286 00:13:40,320 --> 00:13:42,679 Speaker 1: classes together. And you know what that means. When those 287 00:13:42,760 --> 00:13:44,520 Speaker 1: kids aren't jumping in the portal, you know what it means. 288 00:13:44,600 --> 00:13:46,920 Speaker 1: It means they love LSU. I don't think all of 289 00:13:46,920 --> 00:13:49,199 Speaker 1: them love the situation there. Right now, they got a 290 00:13:49,280 --> 00:13:51,520 Speaker 1: roster full of kids that love Louisiana. I don't think 291 00:13:51,520 --> 00:13:53,079 Speaker 1: they're going anywhere. I don't think there's going to be 292 00:13:53,120 --> 00:13:55,320 Speaker 1: a mass exodus. I don't think in that athletic department 293 00:13:55,320 --> 00:13:57,000 Speaker 1: there's going to be a mass exodus. I think there's 294 00:13:57,040 --> 00:13:59,800 Speaker 1: going to be one major move that's made. But that's 295 00:13:59,840 --> 00:14:02,040 Speaker 1: a lot easier to do when it's so clear that 296 00:14:02,160 --> 00:14:04,920 Speaker 1: the one move will circumvent the need to make fifteen 297 00:14:04,960 --> 00:14:07,480 Speaker 1: other moves. You make the move, they're going to make 298 00:14:07,480 --> 00:14:09,520 Speaker 1: the move. This has nothing to do with the coaches 299 00:14:09,559 --> 00:14:12,720 Speaker 1: show thing last night, although it was entertaining. I had 300 00:14:12,880 --> 00:14:14,880 Speaker 1: really no problem with it. I probably would have handled 301 00:14:14,920 --> 00:14:16,640 Speaker 1: it kind of like Editorzron did. To be honest with you, 302 00:14:16,840 --> 00:14:18,679 Speaker 1: That's why I couldn't be a head coach. As I've 303 00:14:18,679 --> 00:14:20,840 Speaker 1: told you Colin, I would probably make death threats. So 304 00:14:21,800 --> 00:14:24,040 Speaker 1: that's one of about forty seven reasons I'm never going 305 00:14:24,120 --> 00:14:26,240 Speaker 1: to be a head coach. The other thing is I 306 00:14:26,280 --> 00:14:29,000 Speaker 1: don't think it's going to change based on Saturday. I 307 00:14:29,080 --> 00:14:31,600 Speaker 1: got a couple of buddies who are adamant that well 308 00:14:31,720 --> 00:14:33,920 Speaker 1: ed Orszron's future is going to be decided this Saturday. 309 00:14:33,960 --> 00:14:35,440 Speaker 1: I don't care if they win thirty one seventeen. I 310 00:14:35,440 --> 00:14:37,440 Speaker 1: think he's going to be gone. They lose Saturday, it'll 311 00:14:37,400 --> 00:14:40,400 Speaker 1: exclamate it a lot more. It's not a Saturday problem 312 00:14:40,400 --> 00:14:42,040 Speaker 1: at this point. That's what I'm telling you. That's as 313 00:14:42,040 --> 00:14:44,000 Speaker 1: clear as I can make it. It's not a Saturday problem. 314 00:14:44,480 --> 00:14:47,320 Speaker 1: Loved what Edworzron did in twenty nineteen, the last thing 315 00:14:47,320 --> 00:14:48,600 Speaker 1: in the world I want to be saying. That's what 316 00:14:48,600 --> 00:14:51,960 Speaker 1: I'm saying right now. But no one has brought any 317 00:14:52,080 --> 00:14:55,680 Speaker 1: tangible sign that things are turning for the better down there. 318 00:14:56,000 --> 00:14:58,720 Speaker 1: Anytime you ask, it's only well, it's worse today than 319 00:14:58,760 --> 00:15:01,640 Speaker 1: it was yesterday. And these are not necessarily people who 320 00:15:01,640 --> 00:15:05,000 Speaker 1: are motivated to paint a crappy picture. They want to 321 00:15:05,040 --> 00:15:07,720 Speaker 1: paint a rosy picture. You can't you can't just make 322 00:15:07,760 --> 00:15:09,360 Speaker 1: it up out of thin air. Because they make you 323 00:15:09,360 --> 00:15:12,400 Speaker 1: play a football game every Saturday. LSUHO plays Kentucky Saturday. 324 00:15:12,760 --> 00:15:15,200 Speaker 1: They're an underdog of three and a half points to Kentucky. 325 00:15:15,760 --> 00:15:18,080 Speaker 1: And that's where things are right now. I don't think 326 00:15:18,080 --> 00:15:21,040 Speaker 1: that's where things will be for very long. Who Okay, 327 00:15:21,120 --> 00:15:22,800 Speaker 1: let's move on. Not a big fan of doing segments 328 00:15:22,880 --> 00:15:26,400 Speaker 1: like that. Academy Sports and Outdoors is essentially the best 329 00:15:26,400 --> 00:15:28,560 Speaker 1: partner we've ever had. You know why, because it's the 330 00:15:28,600 --> 00:15:30,920 Speaker 1: only partner that we've ever had on the program, and 331 00:15:31,360 --> 00:15:33,400 Speaker 1: to my estimation, Colin right now is the only one 332 00:15:33,440 --> 00:15:36,640 Speaker 1: we need. Just from the time I've been in the office, 333 00:15:36,720 --> 00:15:39,240 Speaker 1: which was came in this morning and got back in 334 00:15:39,360 --> 00:15:41,360 Speaker 1: about two hours ago. Two and a half hours ago, 335 00:15:41,520 --> 00:15:45,280 Speaker 1: I've gotten three messages from you guys that were showing 336 00:15:45,320 --> 00:15:48,400 Speaker 1: me varying degrees of pictures or receipts that you had 337 00:15:48,400 --> 00:15:51,360 Speaker 1: been at Academy Sports, which is essentially what our audience 338 00:15:51,440 --> 00:15:54,400 Speaker 1: is all about. Academy is over the moon. In fact, 339 00:15:55,400 --> 00:15:59,720 Speaker 1: you have been so suspiciously loyal. If I were Academy, 340 00:15:59,760 --> 00:16:02,200 Speaker 1: I think it was just a bunch of late kick burners. 341 00:16:02,200 --> 00:16:04,320 Speaker 1: Having said that, I guess they do have it in 342 00:16:04,360 --> 00:16:06,600 Speaker 1: their power to go and check the validity of these receipts, 343 00:16:06,640 --> 00:16:08,800 Speaker 1: So never mind. I think they're just over the moon. 344 00:16:08,840 --> 00:16:10,240 Speaker 1: And I know that because they talk to me about 345 00:16:10,280 --> 00:16:13,440 Speaker 1: it all the time. Academy Sports and Outdoors has everything 346 00:16:13,480 --> 00:16:16,560 Speaker 1: you need. And by you, I mean our audience because 347 00:16:16,560 --> 00:16:18,440 Speaker 1: I know you guys, because I'm one of you. We 348 00:16:18,480 --> 00:16:21,160 Speaker 1: go to tailgates, we go to games, but we also, 349 00:16:21,640 --> 00:16:24,040 Speaker 1: in lieu of paying one hundred and fifteen dollars for 350 00:16:24,040 --> 00:16:26,760 Speaker 1: a random collared shirt, just get something for a fraction 351 00:16:26,840 --> 00:16:28,560 Speaker 1: of the price that has a logo on the shirt 352 00:16:28,560 --> 00:16:30,680 Speaker 1: you actually want to wear. They got it all. You 353 00:16:30,680 --> 00:16:32,960 Speaker 1: want a grill, some meat, They got the grills. You 354 00:16:33,000 --> 00:16:35,440 Speaker 1: want to keep that forehead from getting sunburned. It's getting 355 00:16:35,440 --> 00:16:38,560 Speaker 1: really personal now. They got the canopies. They have everything 356 00:16:38,600 --> 00:16:40,280 Speaker 1: and then some that you need if you're headed to 357 00:16:40,280 --> 00:16:42,360 Speaker 1: a tailgate this weekend or you're just hanging out in 358 00:16:42,360 --> 00:16:46,120 Speaker 1: the backyard. Academy Sports and Outdoors that is why they 359 00:16:46,120 --> 00:16:49,280 Speaker 1: are the official outdoor sporting good supplier of the Big Twelve, 360 00:16:49,280 --> 00:16:52,120 Speaker 1: of the SEC and of Lake Kick. We love having 361 00:16:52,160 --> 00:16:54,800 Speaker 1: them here, and we only use the word love when 362 00:16:54,800 --> 00:16:58,200 Speaker 1: we're very serious about it. But this is a committed relationship. 363 00:16:58,760 --> 00:17:01,520 Speaker 1: If we're being serious that we're in with Academy Sports 364 00:17:01,560 --> 00:17:03,280 Speaker 1: Outdoors and if you cannot get to a store, that 365 00:17:03,360 --> 00:17:06,800 Speaker 1: is perfectly fine. Academy dot Com has your hook up. 366 00:17:07,080 --> 00:17:08,840 Speaker 1: And at the end of the day, what more could 367 00:17:08,880 --> 00:17:12,680 Speaker 1: you want in life? Academy has got you covered. Week 368 00:17:12,760 --> 00:17:15,199 Speaker 1: six is big, guys. Week six is really big, and 369 00:17:15,240 --> 00:17:17,200 Speaker 1: it's right around the corner. In fact, it's kind of 370 00:17:17,240 --> 00:17:21,080 Speaker 1: starting now. But don't turn the channel. If channels existed 371 00:17:21,080 --> 00:17:24,359 Speaker 1: on YouTube. I mean, we've got plenty of time. Let's 372 00:17:24,359 --> 00:17:26,560 Speaker 1: dive in, though, so a few more games that we 373 00:17:26,600 --> 00:17:28,280 Speaker 1: have not been able to get to so far. We 374 00:17:28,320 --> 00:17:30,200 Speaker 1: already did the big ones. We did Iowa, Penn State. 375 00:17:30,240 --> 00:17:32,520 Speaker 1: It's on the channel. We did when we do Colin 376 00:17:32,560 --> 00:17:36,120 Speaker 1: Georgia and Auburn. We off course did Red River Shootout 377 00:17:36,160 --> 00:17:38,600 Speaker 1: oh U, Texas. That's where we'll be Saturday. But let's 378 00:17:38,640 --> 00:17:41,040 Speaker 1: touch on some more of these games. Arkansas Ole miss 379 00:17:41,080 --> 00:17:43,760 Speaker 1: is a huge game in the SEC West. Both of 380 00:17:43,800 --> 00:17:47,119 Speaker 1: these teams, in all likelihood are coming off losses against 381 00:17:47,119 --> 00:17:49,600 Speaker 1: the number one and number two in the country any 382 00:17:49,640 --> 00:17:52,200 Speaker 1: given order. We got Bama number one by about one 383 00:17:52,200 --> 00:17:53,560 Speaker 1: and a quarter point right now. I'm going to talk 384 00:17:53,600 --> 00:17:56,879 Speaker 1: about that later, but this is the third consecutive week 385 00:17:57,160 --> 00:18:00,399 Speaker 1: on the road for Arkansas, which is a travel and 386 00:18:00,400 --> 00:18:03,080 Speaker 1: should never happen. But they've gone from getting on a 387 00:18:03,080 --> 00:18:05,359 Speaker 1: plane and flying to Dallas to getting on a plane 388 00:18:05,440 --> 00:18:07,480 Speaker 1: flying to Athens, to getting on a plane and flying 389 00:18:07,480 --> 00:18:10,119 Speaker 1: to Oxford. This is not New Mexico State. It is 390 00:18:10,160 --> 00:18:14,040 Speaker 1: the University of Arkansas. I've spoken my piece about their scheduling. 391 00:18:14,720 --> 00:18:19,119 Speaker 1: Erraticy if probably a problem not I don't like the 392 00:18:19,119 --> 00:18:22,440 Speaker 1: way Arkansas schedules, but that's another topic for another show. 393 00:18:23,520 --> 00:18:26,680 Speaker 1: I do like the matchup here. Now. The JP pole disagrees. 394 00:18:26,720 --> 00:18:28,560 Speaker 1: I was arguing with it for the better part of 395 00:18:28,560 --> 00:18:31,480 Speaker 1: an hour today, But I'm telling you, Arkansas, when I 396 00:18:31,480 --> 00:18:33,320 Speaker 1: look back at that Texas game, which I think is 397 00:18:33,320 --> 00:18:36,000 Speaker 1: the best indicator of how they handle Little Miss, they 398 00:18:36,040 --> 00:18:38,240 Speaker 1: gave up one hundred and eighteen yards through the air. 399 00:18:38,480 --> 00:18:40,920 Speaker 1: Have you seen what Texas has done since then? And 400 00:18:41,040 --> 00:18:43,120 Speaker 1: keep in mind Texas didn make the quarterback change during 401 00:18:43,160 --> 00:18:46,040 Speaker 1: that game. I really like the matchup. This one gave 402 00:18:46,200 --> 00:18:48,680 Speaker 1: ole Miss fits last year. And what I was talking 403 00:18:48,680 --> 00:18:52,240 Speaker 1: about with the JP Pole is our own numbers have 404 00:18:52,359 --> 00:18:55,399 Speaker 1: Ole Miss ranked higher on a neutral field than Arkansas, 405 00:18:55,840 --> 00:18:58,200 Speaker 1: so it stands to reason, certainly we would pick them 406 00:18:58,280 --> 00:19:01,959 Speaker 1: at home, right, just don't like the matchup, even if 407 00:19:02,000 --> 00:19:03,359 Speaker 1: we got them raided a higher I just don't like 408 00:19:03,400 --> 00:19:06,720 Speaker 1: the matchup. I mean, they owned Matt Corral last year 409 00:19:06,960 --> 00:19:09,920 Speaker 1: and I don't really see any reason to change that expectation. 410 00:19:10,240 --> 00:19:12,640 Speaker 1: What I don't like is I don't like the penalties 411 00:19:12,640 --> 00:19:16,040 Speaker 1: for Arkansas, and I don't like that it doesn't stand 412 00:19:16,080 --> 00:19:20,040 Speaker 1: to reason your level of discipline pre snap or whenever 413 00:19:20,080 --> 00:19:21,920 Speaker 1: you're getting fagged with all of a sudden tighten up 414 00:19:21,960 --> 00:19:24,359 Speaker 1: in your third consecutive week on the road. But even 415 00:19:24,400 --> 00:19:26,640 Speaker 1: having said that, I think Arkansas is going to find 416 00:19:26,680 --> 00:19:28,359 Speaker 1: a way to cover the five and a half, which 417 00:19:28,359 --> 00:19:29,840 Speaker 1: is the line, by the way, and I think they're 418 00:19:29,880 --> 00:19:31,320 Speaker 1: going to find a way to win in the process. 419 00:19:31,359 --> 00:19:33,800 Speaker 1: So we're gonna take Arkansas. It's not overly confident, but 420 00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:39,560 Speaker 1: we're gonna take Arkansas in this game. I cannot believe 421 00:19:39,960 --> 00:19:42,720 Speaker 1: that we did not see fit to do an Alabama, 422 00:19:42,760 --> 00:19:45,679 Speaker 1: Texas A and M breakdown. Think about this, Colin, you 423 00:19:45,720 --> 00:19:47,080 Speaker 1: could have gotten some money if you bet this in 424 00:19:47,119 --> 00:19:50,640 Speaker 1: the preseason. It's the CBS game of the year. It's 425 00:19:50,680 --> 00:19:53,440 Speaker 1: the one that we as a company circle with a 426 00:19:53,480 --> 00:19:57,640 Speaker 1: red SHARPI and say that one's going in primetime and 427 00:19:57,720 --> 00:20:01,600 Speaker 1: the spread is eighteen. Oh, we didn't even break it 428 00:20:01,640 --> 00:20:04,000 Speaker 1: down the other night. I tell you all the time, 429 00:20:04,880 --> 00:20:09,119 Speaker 1: our criteria for double digit spreads is we're only gonna 430 00:20:09,160 --> 00:20:12,159 Speaker 1: do a featured game breakdown if we think there's an 431 00:20:12,200 --> 00:20:15,280 Speaker 1: outside shot that the underdog can pull the upset. Guys, 432 00:20:15,520 --> 00:20:17,560 Speaker 1: we don't think Texas A and M can win the game. 433 00:20:18,280 --> 00:20:20,800 Speaker 1: I see no percentage chance that Texas A and M 434 00:20:20,840 --> 00:20:24,480 Speaker 1: wins the game. How would anyone have ever been able 435 00:20:24,520 --> 00:20:26,520 Speaker 1: to predict that sentence coming out of my mouth in 436 00:20:26,560 --> 00:20:30,040 Speaker 1: the preseason. So I have zero doubt about the outcome here. 437 00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:31,880 Speaker 1: I like Bama to win. I like Bama to cover. 438 00:20:32,359 --> 00:20:34,840 Speaker 1: There is something to watch here though, that could bear 439 00:20:35,040 --> 00:20:40,679 Speaker 1: some importance going forward. Alabama. Although they're being painted as 440 00:20:40,720 --> 00:20:43,720 Speaker 1: invincible right now, they're not. George is not invincible either, 441 00:20:43,800 --> 00:20:45,639 Speaker 1: Contrary to what they're telling you out there. They just 442 00:20:45,760 --> 00:20:47,240 Speaker 1: happen to be the best two teams in the country. 443 00:20:47,520 --> 00:20:50,399 Speaker 1: Bama's got some run in depth issues now. The running 444 00:20:50,400 --> 00:20:53,639 Speaker 1: back situation at the moment's okay because they haven't suffered 445 00:20:53,680 --> 00:20:56,240 Speaker 1: another injury. This is one of the more physical games 446 00:20:56,280 --> 00:20:58,159 Speaker 1: they will have left on the schedule. May not be 447 00:20:58,200 --> 00:21:01,679 Speaker 1: a quality opponent, but you know you can get banged 448 00:21:01,760 --> 00:21:04,680 Speaker 1: up in a three touchdown win. And so what I'm 449 00:21:04,800 --> 00:21:07,400 Speaker 1: very interested to watch here is the same thing they 450 00:21:07,440 --> 00:21:09,200 Speaker 1: started to do last week in the second half. Did 451 00:21:09,200 --> 00:21:12,120 Speaker 1: you notice when Nick Saban knew he had the game 452 00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:14,720 Speaker 1: in hand, they ran the ball nearly two to one 453 00:21:14,800 --> 00:21:18,960 Speaker 1: ratio to pass and secondly, they burned a whole lot 454 00:21:18,960 --> 00:21:21,480 Speaker 1: of clock. Now afterwards, in the postgame press or, I 455 00:21:21,560 --> 00:21:23,679 Speaker 1: was sitting right there, I think it was Ivan Mazel 456 00:21:24,119 --> 00:21:27,719 Speaker 1: asked is this the identity of this Alabama team? Or 457 00:21:27,760 --> 00:21:30,120 Speaker 1: is this just the game plan today? And Saban said 458 00:21:30,200 --> 00:21:32,240 Speaker 1: that's the way we thought we should go about it today. 459 00:21:32,840 --> 00:21:35,040 Speaker 1: I actually think there's a little truth to the front 460 00:21:35,119 --> 00:21:37,880 Speaker 1: end of that question. I think that's the way they're 461 00:21:37,920 --> 00:21:41,080 Speaker 1: going to go about handling games throughout the rest of 462 00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:43,240 Speaker 1: the regular season. Now, there's going to come a time 463 00:21:43,520 --> 00:21:45,919 Speaker 1: where they take the restrictor played out, but they got 464 00:21:45,960 --> 00:21:47,600 Speaker 1: to be healthy when they get there, and the best 465 00:21:47,600 --> 00:21:50,520 Speaker 1: way to do that is strangle the life out of 466 00:21:50,560 --> 00:21:53,480 Speaker 1: teams early and then in the game as quickly as possible. 467 00:21:53,560 --> 00:21:55,560 Speaker 1: I'll tell you what that sets up for Colin. A 468 00:21:55,560 --> 00:21:58,440 Speaker 1: lot of second half team total unders and a lot 469 00:21:58,440 --> 00:22:00,879 Speaker 1: of second half game total under. So we're gonna take 470 00:22:00,920 --> 00:22:04,120 Speaker 1: Bama to win, Bama to cover. This could be the sneaky, 471 00:22:04,400 --> 00:22:08,600 Speaker 1: most entertaining game of the day night or otherwise. Michigan 472 00:22:09,040 --> 00:22:11,800 Speaker 1: minus three and a half, not thirteen and a half. Friends, 473 00:22:12,040 --> 00:22:15,679 Speaker 1: Michigan minus three and a half on the road at Nebraska. 474 00:22:16,480 --> 00:22:20,240 Speaker 1: First off, congratulations to our friends in Lincoln, because the 475 00:22:20,280 --> 00:22:22,800 Speaker 1: last time anyone saw you, you were getting scraped off 476 00:22:22,800 --> 00:22:25,560 Speaker 1: the road in Week one against Illinois, and you guys 477 00:22:25,640 --> 00:22:27,920 Speaker 1: were doing the scraping for the record. Everyone had given 478 00:22:28,000 --> 00:22:29,840 Speaker 1: up on Nebraska, and yet here they are in a 479 00:22:29,880 --> 00:22:33,399 Speaker 1: primetime situation. They are three and three. Yeah, the three 480 00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:36,320 Speaker 1: and three on the year. They've played good ball over 481 00:22:36,359 --> 00:22:38,159 Speaker 1: the last few weeks. And that's what I think is 482 00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:40,600 Speaker 1: lost on a lot of people who cannot make sense 483 00:22:40,640 --> 00:22:44,200 Speaker 1: of this point spread. This is one of many purposes 484 00:22:44,240 --> 00:22:46,399 Speaker 1: for the JP pole, by the way, because if you 485 00:22:46,400 --> 00:22:48,439 Speaker 1: look at that undefeated versus three and three and you 486 00:22:48,480 --> 00:22:52,160 Speaker 1: say field goal, field goal in a hook? What come on? Now? 487 00:22:52,160 --> 00:22:54,520 Speaker 1: Don't you know record means everything? You are what your 488 00:22:54,520 --> 00:22:57,680 Speaker 1: record says you are? Right? Nope, you're not, at least 489 00:22:57,680 --> 00:23:00,520 Speaker 1: when it comes to looking to the future. Here's what 490 00:23:00,600 --> 00:23:04,200 Speaker 1: I think a lot of people remember about Nebraska. The reason, 491 00:23:04,240 --> 00:23:05,800 Speaker 1: as I told you the other night, the reason most 492 00:23:05,840 --> 00:23:09,399 Speaker 1: people lose money betting is because their mind works in 493 00:23:09,440 --> 00:23:13,560 Speaker 1: a method of snapshots. The snapshot you think about when 494 00:23:13,600 --> 00:23:16,280 Speaker 1: you think Nebraska football is what they lost in Week one. 495 00:23:16,320 --> 00:23:18,679 Speaker 1: You forgot about them, That's what you think. And then 496 00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:22,080 Speaker 1: the snapshot of Michigan is they run over people, they're undefeated. 497 00:23:22,280 --> 00:23:24,960 Speaker 1: Those are the snapshots. That is no way to wager money. 498 00:23:25,119 --> 00:23:27,080 Speaker 1: But yet that's the way a lot of people's minds think. Well, 499 00:23:27,080 --> 00:23:28,600 Speaker 1: here's the way an odds maker looks at it. And 500 00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:30,960 Speaker 1: this is a very dumb down version. What if I 501 00:23:31,040 --> 00:23:34,960 Speaker 1: told you the last few weeks, Nebraska has lost to 502 00:23:34,960 --> 00:23:38,880 Speaker 1: Oklahoma by seven, they went to overtime against another undefeated team, 503 00:23:38,920 --> 00:23:41,600 Speaker 1: Michigan State, they lost by three in overtime, and then 504 00:23:41,640 --> 00:23:45,719 Speaker 1: they completely splattered Northwestern last week fifty six to seven. 505 00:23:46,560 --> 00:23:49,120 Speaker 1: Does that sound like the same team you saw lose 506 00:23:49,200 --> 00:23:52,000 Speaker 1: to Illinois in Week one. The answer is no, because 507 00:23:52,040 --> 00:23:54,359 Speaker 1: teams never stay the same. They either get better or 508 00:23:54,359 --> 00:23:57,240 Speaker 1: get worse. They don't they don't just sit still. That's 509 00:23:57,280 --> 00:24:00,880 Speaker 1: why judging the future based off the past one percent 510 00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:03,800 Speaker 1: of the time is like lighting your money on fire. 511 00:24:04,400 --> 00:24:05,960 Speaker 1: And so we look at this game, it sounds like 512 00:24:06,000 --> 00:24:08,199 Speaker 1: I'm picking Nebraska. Sadly, I'm not. I'm just making the 513 00:24:08,240 --> 00:24:11,000 Speaker 1: case for the point spread. If they can pressure If 514 00:24:11,080 --> 00:24:14,439 Speaker 1: Nebraska can pressure Cade McNamara, which Michigan hasn't dealt with 515 00:24:14,520 --> 00:24:17,040 Speaker 1: this year, that turns this game because what that allows 516 00:24:17,080 --> 00:24:19,639 Speaker 1: the crowd to do is become a factor. And trust me, 517 00:24:19,840 --> 00:24:22,600 Speaker 1: there's nothing more that our friends in Nebraska want to 518 00:24:22,640 --> 00:24:24,280 Speaker 1: do than finally be a factor in a big game 519 00:24:24,320 --> 00:24:27,359 Speaker 1: on a national stage in primetime on ABC. It would 520 00:24:27,359 --> 00:24:30,720 Speaker 1: be big. It's big recruiting weekend for Nebraska. What I 521 00:24:30,760 --> 00:24:34,920 Speaker 1: worry about is I worry about Michigan's defense being a 522 00:24:34,920 --> 00:24:38,439 Speaker 1: little bit too much for Nebraska's offensive front, and I 523 00:24:38,480 --> 00:24:40,080 Speaker 1: think it is. So I think it's gonna be a 524 00:24:40,080 --> 00:24:42,160 Speaker 1: hard fought game, certainly not a blowout, But I do 525 00:24:42,280 --> 00:24:44,880 Speaker 1: in the end think Michigan is a little more than 526 00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:47,600 Speaker 1: just three and a half better here, So one possession 527 00:24:47,680 --> 00:24:49,720 Speaker 1: game a majority of the way, I do think Michigan 528 00:24:49,760 --> 00:24:53,679 Speaker 1: wins and covers very slight. If you hit me up 529 00:24:53,720 --> 00:24:56,800 Speaker 1: with a text message at oh probably about eleven PM, 530 00:24:57,040 --> 00:25:00,480 Speaker 1: when I will presumably already be back in Nashville counting 531 00:25:00,520 --> 00:25:02,960 Speaker 1: on you Southwest, and you told me Nebraska had won 532 00:25:03,000 --> 00:25:06,000 Speaker 1: this game, wouldn't be shocked. And I probably even come 533 00:25:06,040 --> 00:25:08,080 Speaker 1: on air the next night and say I told you 534 00:25:08,119 --> 00:25:11,320 Speaker 1: to watch out for Nebraska. That's called fence riding. And 535 00:25:11,400 --> 00:25:14,359 Speaker 1: we try and perfect the art around here, South Carolina 536 00:25:14,359 --> 00:25:17,920 Speaker 1: at Tennessee. Remember Colin, when we did a preseason segment 537 00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:20,320 Speaker 1: and we were talking about Week six and how big 538 00:25:20,400 --> 00:25:23,400 Speaker 1: these slate of games was going to be. I gave 539 00:25:23,440 --> 00:25:25,320 Speaker 1: a little I gave a little token shout out to 540 00:25:25,320 --> 00:25:28,359 Speaker 1: South Carolina and Tennessee, and a lot of you, a 541 00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:30,320 Speaker 1: lot of you slammed it. And It's not like this 542 00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:31,960 Speaker 1: is going to be on the Marquis this weekend, but 543 00:25:32,000 --> 00:25:35,040 Speaker 1: I'm going to be paying attention to it. Here's the 544 00:25:35,080 --> 00:25:38,240 Speaker 1: situation in the SEC East. It's a really funny dynamic. 545 00:25:38,960 --> 00:25:42,440 Speaker 1: South Carolina and Tennessee fans both think they should beat 546 00:25:42,440 --> 00:25:45,560 Speaker 1: the other every year. It's great. Kentucky is kind of 547 00:25:45,600 --> 00:25:48,280 Speaker 1: mixed into this little minase twa as well, pay me 548 00:25:48,320 --> 00:25:51,000 Speaker 1: ten dollars for work net reference, and but yet Tennessee's 549 00:25:51,000 --> 00:25:52,879 Speaker 1: favored by ten and a half in the game I 550 00:25:52,920 --> 00:25:55,199 Speaker 1: hate the matchup for South Carolina. I love some of 551 00:25:55,200 --> 00:25:57,680 Speaker 1: the recent energy Shane Biemers had. I was on radio 552 00:25:57,720 --> 00:26:00,360 Speaker 1: with Mark Ryan and Greenville today and he's said, Hey, 553 00:26:00,320 --> 00:26:03,240 Speaker 1: what'd you think about Shane Beemer challenging game Cock fans. 554 00:26:03,240 --> 00:26:05,199 Speaker 1: If you're not going to show up, give your tickets 555 00:26:05,240 --> 00:26:07,399 Speaker 1: away or give them to me. I'll give them away. 556 00:26:08,119 --> 00:26:10,359 Speaker 1: That's exactly what I want my head coach worried about. Hey, 557 00:26:10,359 --> 00:26:14,440 Speaker 1: for the record, I'm with you, Coach Beemer. I absolutely agree. Now. 558 00:26:14,520 --> 00:26:17,280 Speaker 1: I think that's kind of an epidemic that's being faced 559 00:26:17,280 --> 00:26:19,879 Speaker 1: by a lot of athletic departments when they price the 560 00:26:20,040 --> 00:26:22,360 Speaker 1: normal guy out of being able to get in the stadium, 561 00:26:22,680 --> 00:26:24,640 Speaker 1: and then they find out that the sweater vest bow 562 00:26:24,680 --> 00:26:27,000 Speaker 1: tie crowd doesn't want to come and watch you play Troy. 563 00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:30,040 Speaker 1: That's a separate set of issues, though, But I do 564 00:26:30,080 --> 00:26:32,080 Speaker 1: love the energy at South Carolina right now. Hate the 565 00:26:32,119 --> 00:26:34,760 Speaker 1: matchup this weekend. I think South Carolina is ill equipped 566 00:26:34,760 --> 00:26:37,600 Speaker 1: to deal with Tennessee out wide. You know that the 567 00:26:37,720 --> 00:26:39,639 Speaker 1: last thing image in your mind of Tennessee right now 568 00:26:39,720 --> 00:26:42,320 Speaker 1: is that blowout of Missouri. I think they could stretch 569 00:26:42,359 --> 00:26:44,920 Speaker 1: South Carolina too, maybe not hanging sixty plus on them. 570 00:26:45,080 --> 00:26:47,800 Speaker 1: But I do think that South Carolina has been plus 571 00:26:47,840 --> 00:26:51,000 Speaker 1: and turnovers so far. I don't think Tennessee's going to 572 00:26:51,080 --> 00:26:53,000 Speaker 1: turn it over. I really I don't think that's what's 573 00:26:53,040 --> 00:26:54,800 Speaker 1: going to decide this game. So give me the balls 574 00:26:54,840 --> 00:26:57,639 Speaker 1: and actually give me the balls to cover too. And 575 00:26:57,680 --> 00:26:59,760 Speaker 1: the last one, because I talked about LSU a lot 576 00:26:59,800 --> 00:27:01,560 Speaker 1: at beginning of the show, I didn't want to harp 577 00:27:01,560 --> 00:27:03,960 Speaker 1: on this game too much. But Kentucky is a three 578 00:27:04,000 --> 00:27:05,560 Speaker 1: to a three and a half point favorite right now, 579 00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:08,120 Speaker 1: depending on where you look against LSU. It's the seven 580 00:27:08,119 --> 00:27:11,960 Speaker 1: to thirty game on SEC Network. Derek Stingley is out, 581 00:27:12,400 --> 00:27:15,000 Speaker 1: Major Burns is out. Those are two obviously big blows 582 00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:17,679 Speaker 1: to the secondary. Now the follow up question logically, is 583 00:27:18,080 --> 00:27:19,720 Speaker 1: well is a team that failed to throw it for 584 00:27:19,760 --> 00:27:22,359 Speaker 1: one hundred yards last week equipped to take advantage of 585 00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:25,800 Speaker 1: holes in the secondary to some extent. I think they 586 00:27:25,840 --> 00:27:28,480 Speaker 1: will be. That's what they worked on all week, and 587 00:27:28,640 --> 00:27:30,880 Speaker 1: will Levis and Cohen coming in as the new OC, 588 00:27:31,520 --> 00:27:33,960 Speaker 1: they don't want to be duplicating that kind of stat line. 589 00:27:34,800 --> 00:27:36,639 Speaker 1: But here's my biggest concern and what I think the 590 00:27:36,680 --> 00:27:38,800 Speaker 1: turning point in the game will be as has been 591 00:27:38,800 --> 00:27:41,560 Speaker 1: well documented to the point of beating a dead pinata. 592 00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:44,520 Speaker 1: LSU's run game is non existent. I don't think it's 593 00:27:44,560 --> 00:27:47,080 Speaker 1: going to show up this week. But here's the problem. 594 00:27:47,359 --> 00:27:49,280 Speaker 1: That means, you got to throw it now. Max Johnson's 595 00:27:49,320 --> 00:27:52,440 Speaker 1: been decent at doing that. Kentucky's got the best defense 596 00:27:52,600 --> 00:27:55,960 Speaker 1: in the SEC when it comes to preventing the explosive 597 00:27:55,960 --> 00:27:58,760 Speaker 1: plays downfield, the twenty plus yard passes, they're the best 598 00:27:58,760 --> 00:28:01,320 Speaker 1: in the SEC. Don't know if you've noticed. There's some 599 00:28:01,359 --> 00:28:04,080 Speaker 1: pretty good defensive units down here right now, and so 600 00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:08,280 Speaker 1: Kentucky has is what blows my mind. Kentucky's been winning 601 00:28:08,720 --> 00:28:11,440 Speaker 1: and turning the ball over. What if Kentucky has a 602 00:28:11,520 --> 00:28:13,320 Speaker 1: night where they end up plus one or plus two 603 00:28:13,320 --> 00:28:16,639 Speaker 1: turnover margin at the very least. I think this is 604 00:28:16,680 --> 00:28:18,920 Speaker 1: their best shot at winning the turnover battle. Guys, I 605 00:28:18,960 --> 00:28:20,920 Speaker 1: think they're gonna win the game. I hate what I'm 606 00:28:20,920 --> 00:28:23,800 Speaker 1: hearing internally from LSU right now, so I think LSU 607 00:28:23,960 --> 00:28:26,480 Speaker 1: is going to drop this one. I want to stress 608 00:28:26,600 --> 00:28:28,560 Speaker 1: if they win it, it doesn't change a thing about 609 00:28:28,560 --> 00:28:30,359 Speaker 1: the way I feel about the program in the future. 610 00:28:30,800 --> 00:28:33,720 Speaker 1: Having said that, we have this studio painted blue for 611 00:28:33,760 --> 00:28:36,040 Speaker 1: a reason. It's not this, but I'm gonna pretend it's this. 612 00:28:36,080 --> 00:28:37,840 Speaker 1: We're going to take Kentucky to win the game and 613 00:28:37,960 --> 00:28:40,880 Speaker 1: Kentucky to cover. The last thing I wanted to do 614 00:28:41,000 --> 00:28:45,040 Speaker 1: right after I sip some water. Some people think that's 615 00:28:45,040 --> 00:28:47,080 Speaker 1: a prop cup column, but yes, there is liquid in it. 616 00:28:48,160 --> 00:28:50,120 Speaker 1: The last thing I wanted to do. One of you 617 00:28:50,200 --> 00:28:51,600 Speaker 1: suggested this the other night. I thought it was a 618 00:28:51,640 --> 00:28:55,360 Speaker 1: really good idea. There are well how many are out 619 00:28:55,360 --> 00:28:57,040 Speaker 1: too many to count. There are a lot of undefeated 620 00:28:57,040 --> 00:28:59,920 Speaker 1: teams left in the country right now. Some of them 621 00:29:00,040 --> 00:29:01,920 Speaker 1: are going to be their wire to wire. Some of 622 00:29:01,960 --> 00:29:04,280 Speaker 1: them you'll look back in mid November and say, man, 623 00:29:04,360 --> 00:29:06,600 Speaker 1: remember when that team was being hyped when they were undefeated. 624 00:29:06,640 --> 00:29:08,320 Speaker 1: Turns out they just hadn't really played anyone with a 625 00:29:08,320 --> 00:29:11,600 Speaker 1: pulse yet. So we need to separate the week from 626 00:29:11,640 --> 00:29:14,240 Speaker 1: the chaff. As they say back home, you know, being 627 00:29:14,280 --> 00:29:16,920 Speaker 1: the big farmer I was growing up Alabama and Georgia. 628 00:29:16,960 --> 00:29:18,160 Speaker 1: I don't think we need to waste a whole lot 629 00:29:18,160 --> 00:29:19,560 Speaker 1: of time on here now. I did want to tell 630 00:29:19,600 --> 00:29:21,320 Speaker 1: you I should have gotten a fancy graphic, mane. I 631 00:29:21,320 --> 00:29:23,640 Speaker 1: did want to tell you, for the record, our model, 632 00:29:24,120 --> 00:29:26,200 Speaker 1: which has a very good grasp on these programs and 633 00:29:26,240 --> 00:29:29,880 Speaker 1: always has has Bama minus one point two five points 634 00:29:29,920 --> 00:29:32,520 Speaker 1: on a neutral field, So Bama minus one essentially a 635 00:29:32,520 --> 00:29:34,200 Speaker 1: pick them. I mean, it seems it pretty much like 636 00:29:34,200 --> 00:29:36,680 Speaker 1: the rest of the country does. The question on everyone's 637 00:29:36,720 --> 00:29:39,680 Speaker 1: mind right now seems to be will anyone else emerge 638 00:29:39,720 --> 00:29:42,040 Speaker 1: to sort of close that gap? And how wide is 639 00:29:42,080 --> 00:29:45,880 Speaker 1: the gap between those two? At the expense of drawing 640 00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:48,400 Speaker 1: some ire from some of my best friends, these are 641 00:29:48,400 --> 00:29:52,360 Speaker 1: not invincible teams. I know that's unpopular to say right now. 642 00:29:52,720 --> 00:29:55,920 Speaker 1: Georgia has not faced a quarterback with a pulse at 643 00:29:56,040 --> 00:29:59,040 Speaker 1: least flowing through his right or left arm. That doesn't 644 00:29:59,080 --> 00:30:02,600 Speaker 1: mean they're not good, just telling you they're probably some 645 00:30:02,800 --> 00:30:07,000 Speaker 1: minor vulnerabilities that you haven't been able to see yet. Alabama, man, 646 00:30:07,080 --> 00:30:09,480 Speaker 1: I'm telling you there are parts of their offensive line 647 00:30:09,480 --> 00:30:12,560 Speaker 1: that are susceptible to a really good pass rush. They 648 00:30:12,600 --> 00:30:15,000 Speaker 1: had trouble all day snap in the ball last week. 649 00:30:15,080 --> 00:30:18,120 Speaker 1: It didn't bite them. Do you know, by the way, 650 00:30:18,320 --> 00:30:20,600 Speaker 1: what Alabama's going to look like if one more running 651 00:30:20,640 --> 00:30:23,160 Speaker 1: back is hobbled? Does anyone know what that looks like? 652 00:30:23,400 --> 00:30:26,000 Speaker 1: Do we know if more receiver talent is going to 653 00:30:26,040 --> 00:30:29,840 Speaker 1: emerge there. Have you seen the inability of Alabama's secondary 654 00:30:29,960 --> 00:30:34,080 Speaker 1: to tackle in some situations? It's all masked because they're winning. 655 00:30:34,160 --> 00:30:37,840 Speaker 1: And even though I'm pointing out these relative vulnerabilities, and 656 00:30:37,880 --> 00:30:40,400 Speaker 1: I do mean relative, it's likely no one on the 657 00:30:40,440 --> 00:30:42,280 Speaker 1: regular season schedule is gonna be able to beat them. 658 00:30:42,400 --> 00:30:45,560 Speaker 1: What I'm making these points to illustrate is it's not 659 00:30:45,720 --> 00:30:49,400 Speaker 1: insurmountable that someone out there, like Ohio State or like 660 00:30:49,440 --> 00:30:52,640 Speaker 1: Oklahoma can end up finding their groove and being able 661 00:30:52,640 --> 00:30:55,960 Speaker 1: to challenge those teams, not on October ninth or whenever 662 00:30:55,960 --> 00:30:59,240 Speaker 1: we're playing these games, but in late December early January. 663 00:30:59,400 --> 00:31:02,640 Speaker 1: It's fell. So what I'm saying is, don't write the 664 00:31:02,720 --> 00:31:05,000 Speaker 1: last chapter of the twenty twenty one college football season 665 00:31:05,000 --> 00:31:07,640 Speaker 1: in October. It's not that easy to figure out. Having 666 00:31:07,680 --> 00:31:09,840 Speaker 1: said that, yeah, I think they're a definitive one two 667 00:31:09,920 --> 00:31:13,600 Speaker 1: right now, then a pretty big gap in no particular order. 668 00:31:14,080 --> 00:31:15,800 Speaker 1: I do want to look at these other teams right quick. 669 00:31:15,840 --> 00:31:18,000 Speaker 1: So Iowa and I'm going to give you the AP 670 00:31:18,400 --> 00:31:21,160 Speaker 1: rank and then our rank. The AP has Iowa at 671 00:31:21,160 --> 00:31:23,320 Speaker 1: third right now, we have them in the JP poll 672 00:31:23,360 --> 00:31:26,000 Speaker 1: at tenth. We don't rank. This is not a ranking 673 00:31:26,040 --> 00:31:28,640 Speaker 1: it's a power rating, so I want to make that clear, 674 00:31:29,040 --> 00:31:32,000 Speaker 1: even though falls on deaf ears and they play Penn 675 00:31:32,000 --> 00:31:35,160 Speaker 1: State this week. So Penn State, AP and JP agree 676 00:31:35,280 --> 00:31:38,120 Speaker 1: four and four. This is the end of a critical 677 00:31:38,160 --> 00:31:40,760 Speaker 1: opening stretch for Penn State. Remember this is one of 678 00:31:40,800 --> 00:31:43,960 Speaker 1: the biggest talking points that we touched on numerous times 679 00:31:43,960 --> 00:31:46,600 Speaker 1: in August. We knew Penn State was coming off a 680 00:31:46,680 --> 00:31:49,320 Speaker 1: terrible year, and we knew that the fan base there 681 00:31:49,360 --> 00:31:51,600 Speaker 1: was willing to forgive it and explain it away due 682 00:31:51,600 --> 00:31:53,760 Speaker 1: to COVID, as were we. But there had to be 683 00:31:53,880 --> 00:31:56,920 Speaker 1: validation on the field to start the year. And they 684 00:31:57,000 --> 00:31:59,400 Speaker 1: got beaten the box score, but one on the scoreboard 685 00:31:59,400 --> 00:32:01,600 Speaker 1: against Wisconson, and then they came home a couple of 686 00:32:01,640 --> 00:32:04,640 Speaker 1: weeks later one possession went against Auburn, and now you're 687 00:32:04,720 --> 00:32:06,720 Speaker 1: kind of off to the races you got in Indiana. 688 00:32:06,760 --> 00:32:08,680 Speaker 1: They come in there, they get shut out, and this 689 00:32:08,720 --> 00:32:11,400 Speaker 1: is the fourth game. This is the one, the one 690 00:32:11,440 --> 00:32:13,960 Speaker 1: at Iowa. After they get through this, they got to buy. 691 00:32:14,400 --> 00:32:16,320 Speaker 1: So they're at the moment, I think a one point 692 00:32:16,360 --> 00:32:19,520 Speaker 1: dog on the road at Iowa. We picked Penn State 693 00:32:19,560 --> 00:32:22,080 Speaker 1: to win that game barely. So if Penn State wins 694 00:32:22,120 --> 00:32:23,920 Speaker 1: that game they got to buy. And then there's a 695 00:32:23,920 --> 00:32:26,080 Speaker 1: second stretch that comes up a couple of weeks down 696 00:32:26,120 --> 00:32:29,040 Speaker 1: the road. It goes at Ohio State, and then eventually 697 00:32:29,080 --> 00:32:30,840 Speaker 1: they're going to play Michigan and they're going to go 698 00:32:30,880 --> 00:32:33,520 Speaker 1: to Michigan State to end the year. The question is 699 00:32:33,560 --> 00:32:35,720 Speaker 1: going to be by that point will Penn State have 700 00:32:35,760 --> 00:32:39,000 Speaker 1: any wiggle room? The answer to that question will be 701 00:32:39,040 --> 00:32:42,120 Speaker 1: given to you this Saturday, four pm Eastern Time at 702 00:32:42,160 --> 00:32:45,440 Speaker 1: Kinnick Stadium. What about Oklahoma? When you think about Oklahoma, 703 00:32:45,480 --> 00:32:49,360 Speaker 1: there's a pretty pretty wide degree of differing opinion out 704 00:32:49,360 --> 00:32:53,080 Speaker 1: there about Oklahoma. Right now, AP has them five, JP 705 00:32:53,200 --> 00:32:56,120 Speaker 1: Poll has them eighth. They are in the middle of 706 00:32:56,840 --> 00:32:59,600 Speaker 1: probably the most treacherous stretch of their schedule and they're 707 00:32:59,600 --> 00:33:02,320 Speaker 1: still under defeated, and that's obviously very important. So they 708 00:33:02,360 --> 00:33:04,920 Speaker 1: went to Kansas State last week and they won. Doesn't 709 00:33:04,920 --> 00:33:06,920 Speaker 1: matter if you win by one or one hundred, if 710 00:33:06,960 --> 00:33:10,960 Speaker 1: you're Oklahoma and it's Manhattan Kansas just win. Just go 711 00:33:11,040 --> 00:33:13,320 Speaker 1: full Al Davis on them. Just win baby. Then they 712 00:33:13,320 --> 00:33:15,680 Speaker 1: got Texas this week, and then they've got TCU the 713 00:33:15,720 --> 00:33:18,640 Speaker 1: week after that. Then you get to cool off for 714 00:33:18,680 --> 00:33:21,200 Speaker 1: a second. Then there's a second stretch for Oklahoma that 715 00:33:21,280 --> 00:33:24,560 Speaker 1: goes at Baylor, Iowa State, at Oklahoma State. That's kind 716 00:33:24,560 --> 00:33:27,160 Speaker 1: of to end the year. So Oklahoma's in a good 717 00:33:27,160 --> 00:33:30,160 Speaker 1: spot right now. And here's the added bonus. They have 718 00:33:30,280 --> 00:33:32,959 Speaker 1: not played their best ball yet. Presumably I believe that 719 00:33:33,120 --> 00:33:34,920 Speaker 1: they have not played their best ball. Their best game 720 00:33:35,000 --> 00:33:37,640 Speaker 1: is still ahead. So if you're undefeated and you have 721 00:33:37,760 --> 00:33:40,880 Speaker 1: not put your a list effort together yet, that's a 722 00:33:40,880 --> 00:33:42,880 Speaker 1: good thing. Texas wants to know if it's going to 723 00:33:42,920 --> 00:33:45,040 Speaker 1: happen Saturday, so do I. But that's a good thing. 724 00:33:45,080 --> 00:33:47,640 Speaker 1: So I'll see Oklahoma in person Saturday for the first 725 00:33:47,680 --> 00:33:51,000 Speaker 1: time this year. What about Michigan talked about the Wolverines 726 00:33:51,000 --> 00:33:54,200 Speaker 1: on the road in Lincoln, Nebraska Saturday night. AP has 727 00:33:54,240 --> 00:33:56,320 Speaker 1: them eighth. We agree, we got them ninth, so we're 728 00:33:56,360 --> 00:33:58,800 Speaker 1: not really all that much different than the AP they 729 00:33:58,800 --> 00:34:02,400 Speaker 1: got Nebraska Saturday. Then they're going to go to Michigan 730 00:34:02,440 --> 00:34:04,800 Speaker 1: State in a few weeks, and they've got a road 731 00:34:04,880 --> 00:34:06,600 Speaker 1: game at Penn State coming up. They got a lot 732 00:34:06,600 --> 00:34:09,319 Speaker 1: of tough challenges on the road starting this week, and 733 00:34:09,360 --> 00:34:12,200 Speaker 1: then they've got Ohio State coming in there, and you're 734 00:34:12,200 --> 00:34:14,080 Speaker 1: gonna have to forgive me and a lot of other people. 735 00:34:14,640 --> 00:34:16,720 Speaker 1: If you don't see that gooseg in the lost column 736 00:34:16,760 --> 00:34:19,040 Speaker 1: from Michigan, and you don't let your mind start to 737 00:34:19,080 --> 00:34:21,120 Speaker 1: wonder just a second, as much as we don't believe 738 00:34:21,120 --> 00:34:23,719 Speaker 1: in looking down the road in the regular season, to 739 00:34:23,960 --> 00:34:27,200 Speaker 1: just think about the fact that Ohio State has stubbed 740 00:34:27,239 --> 00:34:29,200 Speaker 1: their toe of time or two already have a loss, 741 00:34:29,200 --> 00:34:32,040 Speaker 1: by the way, and you know Michigan doesn't, and you 742 00:34:32,120 --> 00:34:34,279 Speaker 1: know that streak is at like a quarter century at 743 00:34:34,320 --> 00:34:36,560 Speaker 1: this point, and you know that game is eventually going 744 00:34:36,640 --> 00:34:38,759 Speaker 1: to be played in an arbor, and me sitting here 745 00:34:38,800 --> 00:34:41,120 Speaker 1: knowing full well, I've never been able to go to 746 00:34:41,200 --> 00:34:44,120 Speaker 1: Ohio State Michigan in my life, and I am begging 747 00:34:44,239 --> 00:34:46,680 Speaker 1: I would pull money out of my pocket and put 748 00:34:46,719 --> 00:34:48,880 Speaker 1: it on the table if I had it, and if 749 00:34:48,920 --> 00:34:51,040 Speaker 1: it would work to be able to make that game 750 00:34:51,520 --> 00:34:54,160 Speaker 1: have consequence to that degree at the end of the year. 751 00:34:54,960 --> 00:34:58,239 Speaker 1: So Michigan, we kind of agree with the ap on them. Cincinnati, 752 00:34:58,320 --> 00:35:01,399 Speaker 1: we are dead even on a green. They got them six, 753 00:35:01,600 --> 00:35:05,319 Speaker 1: We got them six. It's important to note now, since 754 00:35:05,320 --> 00:35:08,160 Speaker 1: they've already gotten through these two games on the road 755 00:35:08,160 --> 00:35:10,959 Speaker 1: against Power five competition, they're gonna be a double digit 756 00:35:11,080 --> 00:35:14,719 Speaker 1: favorite in a couple of the biggest remaining games. Not 757 00:35:14,840 --> 00:35:16,880 Speaker 1: this week. I think they play Temple this week, but 758 00:35:16,960 --> 00:35:21,239 Speaker 1: they've got UCF coming into town next week and they're 759 00:35:21,280 --> 00:35:24,200 Speaker 1: gonna be a double digit favorite against them. And then 760 00:35:24,440 --> 00:35:27,479 Speaker 1: SMU they're still undefeated. I had our buddies at college 761 00:35:27,480 --> 00:35:29,319 Speaker 1: football on Limited dot Com. I had them run a 762 00:35:29,360 --> 00:35:32,879 Speaker 1: simulation for me on that game. What would the Cincinnati 763 00:35:33,000 --> 00:35:36,560 Speaker 1: SMU line be right now? According to their model because 764 00:35:36,560 --> 00:35:38,879 Speaker 1: I don't have the line simulation in my model, and 765 00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:42,520 Speaker 1: they would favor Cincinnati by sixteen. That's a pretty fat spread, 766 00:35:42,520 --> 00:35:45,440 Speaker 1: in fact, that their model would like them against SMU 767 00:35:45,480 --> 00:35:47,560 Speaker 1: more than they'd like them against UCF. Just to give 768 00:35:47,560 --> 00:35:49,920 Speaker 1: you an idea. So it's there to be had for 769 00:35:49,960 --> 00:35:52,960 Speaker 1: Cincinnati SMU. For the record, AP has them twenty fourth. 770 00:35:53,160 --> 00:35:55,920 Speaker 1: We have them twenty seventh. Still not taking them serious 771 00:35:56,239 --> 00:35:59,520 Speaker 1: as a legitimate undefeated kind of contender quite yet. We'll 772 00:35:59,520 --> 00:36:01,359 Speaker 1: see love for them to prove me wrong. All right, 773 00:36:01,400 --> 00:36:02,800 Speaker 1: some other ones right here. I'm just going to go 774 00:36:02,800 --> 00:36:04,719 Speaker 1: down the list, because I mean this would take an 775 00:36:04,719 --> 00:36:08,600 Speaker 1: hour if I didn't. Brigham Young is the biggest disagreement 776 00:36:08,680 --> 00:36:11,640 Speaker 1: right now. The AP has him tenth the jpeople has 777 00:36:11,680 --> 00:36:14,920 Speaker 1: him twenty ninth. We've made money off Brigham Young already 778 00:36:14,960 --> 00:36:18,480 Speaker 1: this year, and yet the jpeople's not taking them serious. 779 00:36:18,520 --> 00:36:20,839 Speaker 1: They've been winning games and yes, that's what counts. Blah 780 00:36:20,880 --> 00:36:23,640 Speaker 1: blah blah. And if they went out now, I do 781 00:36:23,760 --> 00:36:25,319 Speaker 1: want to stress this because I don't think it's going 782 00:36:25,360 --> 00:36:27,320 Speaker 1: to happen. But if I'm wrong, which has happened before, 783 00:36:27,480 --> 00:36:30,280 Speaker 1: and they went out, that is a schedule that warrants 784 00:36:30,320 --> 00:36:33,000 Speaker 1: a college football playoff spot, make no mistake about it, 785 00:36:33,200 --> 00:36:35,799 Speaker 1: that would be a more impressive resume than Cincinnati. I 786 00:36:35,840 --> 00:36:37,600 Speaker 1: don't think we're going to be having that conversation. That's 787 00:36:37,640 --> 00:36:40,920 Speaker 1: what I'm saying. They may lose Saturday against Boise. It 788 00:36:41,040 --> 00:36:43,640 Speaker 1: really has struck some people that I may not like 789 00:36:43,680 --> 00:36:45,640 Speaker 1: Brigham Young. And that is the furthest thing from the truth. 790 00:36:46,239 --> 00:36:49,040 Speaker 1: You guys wear the exact same wardrobe at games that 791 00:36:49,080 --> 00:36:51,799 Speaker 1: I were on the show. Why would I dislike Brigham Young. 792 00:36:52,320 --> 00:36:55,840 Speaker 1: Michigan State AP's got them eleven, we got them nineteenth. 793 00:36:56,120 --> 00:36:58,719 Speaker 1: Now they're at Rutgers Saturday, and then they got a 794 00:36:58,719 --> 00:37:00,719 Speaker 1: trip to Indiana, they got a buy and then they 795 00:37:00,719 --> 00:37:03,520 Speaker 1: got Michigan. So a really interesting stretch coming up. Here 796 00:37:03,600 --> 00:37:06,080 Speaker 1: for mel Tucker. They are not a team that is 797 00:37:06,120 --> 00:37:09,120 Speaker 1: deep and talented enough to overlook anyone. Like this game 798 00:37:09,120 --> 00:37:12,080 Speaker 1: against Rutgers. I think they're favored by five. They should 799 00:37:12,080 --> 00:37:14,319 Speaker 1: win the game, but it's not some blowout. This is 800 00:37:14,360 --> 00:37:17,640 Speaker 1: not the kind of team, as presently constructed, they can 801 00:37:17,680 --> 00:37:19,239 Speaker 1: afford to throw their helmet out there and win games 802 00:37:19,239 --> 00:37:22,960 Speaker 1: just cause they runna feed him. Oklahoma State Big variants here. 803 00:37:23,200 --> 00:37:26,239 Speaker 1: AP has them twelve. We have them twenty sixth. We 804 00:37:26,320 --> 00:37:28,680 Speaker 1: do not buy Oklahoma State as a legitimate Big twelve 805 00:37:28,719 --> 00:37:31,399 Speaker 1: contender right now, at least in terms of caliber of team. 806 00:37:31,880 --> 00:37:34,880 Speaker 1: You have to take them seriously in terms of record obviously, 807 00:37:35,200 --> 00:37:37,400 Speaker 1: but they've still got their biggest test coming up. A 808 00:37:37,480 --> 00:37:41,960 Speaker 1: couple of them actually, Kentucky. AP has them fourteen, We 809 00:37:42,080 --> 00:37:46,200 Speaker 1: have them eighteen. They play LSU Saturday. Kentucky then has 810 00:37:46,239 --> 00:37:49,480 Speaker 1: a trip to Georgia the following week, who knows the 811 00:37:49,480 --> 00:37:53,520 Speaker 1: Renaissance Tour, maybe in Athens next week Coastal Carolina. This 812 00:37:53,600 --> 00:37:57,400 Speaker 1: is to be expected wide discrepancy. AP has them fifteenth. 813 00:37:57,640 --> 00:38:01,920 Speaker 1: We have them thirtieth. Team. It's a great team for 814 00:38:02,080 --> 00:38:04,200 Speaker 1: the caliber of athlete they have. It is not a 815 00:38:04,200 --> 00:38:06,640 Speaker 1: team that matches up with even some of the two 816 00:38:06,719 --> 00:38:08,360 Speaker 1: loss teams out there right now. It is not a 817 00:38:08,360 --> 00:38:10,279 Speaker 1: team that matches up with them. And that's all I'm 818 00:38:10,280 --> 00:38:12,120 Speaker 1: gonna say. And I will get a lot of pushback 819 00:38:12,160 --> 00:38:15,040 Speaker 1: on that. And Wake Forest AP has them twenty we 820 00:38:15,160 --> 00:38:18,200 Speaker 1: have them at twenty five. Wake is an interesting team 821 00:38:18,239 --> 00:38:21,759 Speaker 1: there though, because I gotta give you full disclosure, there's 822 00:38:21,800 --> 00:38:24,400 Speaker 1: some teams our model has a better grip on than others. 823 00:38:24,960 --> 00:38:26,680 Speaker 1: I don't know if our model has a good grip 824 00:38:26,719 --> 00:38:29,120 Speaker 1: on Wake Forest. So there are a lot of people 825 00:38:29,160 --> 00:38:31,680 Speaker 1: who think Wake's the favorite to win the ACC right now. 826 00:38:31,760 --> 00:38:33,080 Speaker 1: I don't know that there is a favorite to win 827 00:38:33,080 --> 00:38:34,600 Speaker 1: the ACC. I just got a lot of teams that 828 00:38:34,640 --> 00:38:37,160 Speaker 1: I'm not favorable on. I don't know who the favorite is. 829 00:38:38,200 --> 00:38:41,120 Speaker 1: It could be could be one of the most inconsequential 830 00:38:41,160 --> 00:38:43,000 Speaker 1: ACC title games we've seen in quite some time. I 831 00:38:43,080 --> 00:38:45,160 Speaker 1: will say that. So those are some of the undefeated 832 00:38:45,200 --> 00:38:47,359 Speaker 1: teams right now, our thoughts on them. I think I'm 833 00:38:47,400 --> 00:38:50,040 Speaker 1: gonna start updating that list because the whole JP Pole 834 00:38:50,080 --> 00:38:53,840 Speaker 1: AP pole ranking normally what we see is towards the 835 00:38:53,920 --> 00:38:56,719 Speaker 1: end of the year, what the AP pole ranking ends 836 00:38:56,840 --> 00:38:59,319 Speaker 1: up being on those teams falls a lot more in 837 00:38:59,360 --> 00:39:01,400 Speaker 1: line with where we been for a little while. Not always, 838 00:39:01,400 --> 00:39:02,960 Speaker 1: we're gonna whiff on a couple of those teams, but 839 00:39:03,000 --> 00:39:04,960 Speaker 1: we'll be right more times than not. All right, let's 840 00:39:04,960 --> 00:39:07,320 Speaker 1: wrap it up with the added best bets on the 841 00:39:07,360 --> 00:39:10,120 Speaker 1: Raman Noodle Express. I have already given you one that's 842 00:39:10,200 --> 00:39:12,440 Speaker 1: moved a point and a half. We wanted to get 843 00:39:12,440 --> 00:39:15,480 Speaker 1: on it early. We did for this reason. So Memphis 844 00:39:15,520 --> 00:39:18,239 Speaker 1: plus four and a half at Tulsa. That was our 845 00:39:18,600 --> 00:39:20,680 Speaker 1: I called our best bet. We bet all of them equal, 846 00:39:20,719 --> 00:39:22,839 Speaker 1: it's just the one we moved on the earliest. It's 847 00:39:22,880 --> 00:39:27,399 Speaker 1: now down to three. We do still like it at three, 848 00:39:27,600 --> 00:39:29,480 Speaker 1: but we want it at four or four and a half. 849 00:39:29,480 --> 00:39:31,760 Speaker 1: So we got Memphis plus four and a half. Wake 850 00:39:31,880 --> 00:39:34,160 Speaker 1: minus six is one of the more public bets that 851 00:39:34,200 --> 00:39:38,000 Speaker 1: will be on all year. I called my aunt and said, 852 00:39:38,239 --> 00:39:40,560 Speaker 1: you ever bet football? Nope, but I'll tell you I'm 853 00:39:40,600 --> 00:39:43,959 Speaker 1: on WAKE this weekend. Makes me feel great. Wake minus six, 854 00:39:44,000 --> 00:39:47,240 Speaker 1: though we are on them. Nonetheless, San Jose State plus 855 00:39:47,280 --> 00:39:50,319 Speaker 1: two at Colorado State we are on. Here are the 856 00:39:50,320 --> 00:39:53,839 Speaker 1: two added best bets for today, Ball State or Ball's Tate, 857 00:39:53,920 --> 00:39:56,520 Speaker 1: depending on where you want to put the space plus 858 00:39:56,600 --> 00:40:01,920 Speaker 1: eleven at Western Michigan and then ut University of Texas 859 00:40:01,960 --> 00:40:05,160 Speaker 1: at San Antonio. At Western Kentucky. We're taking the road 860 00:40:05,239 --> 00:40:07,759 Speaker 1: Runners plus three and a half. It's a fact that 861 00:40:07,800 --> 00:40:10,960 Speaker 1: we're undefeated betting cartoon characters and food. So it was 862 00:40:11,040 --> 00:40:15,560 Speaker 1: Rice last week, it's UTSA this week, run run run 863 00:40:15,840 --> 00:40:18,120 Speaker 1: UTSA plus three and a half. Ball State plus eleven, 864 00:40:18,200 --> 00:40:21,640 Speaker 1: San Jose State plus two, Wake minus six, Memphis plus 865 00:40:21,719 --> 00:40:24,560 Speaker 1: four and a half. That's about it. That's all I 866 00:40:24,600 --> 00:40:26,239 Speaker 1: gotta say. This week. We are going to be in 867 00:40:26,320 --> 00:40:29,160 Speaker 1: Dallas Saturday. I would just keep an eyeppeal, Just keep 868 00:40:29,160 --> 00:40:32,799 Speaker 1: an eyeppealed on the social media accounts at Late Kick Josh, 869 00:40:33,320 --> 00:40:37,080 Speaker 1: we're just waiting. We are waiting to see if our 870 00:40:37,120 --> 00:40:39,240 Speaker 1: truce is accepted or not. The fine folks at college 871 00:40:39,239 --> 00:40:40,959 Speaker 1: game day. All you gotta do is say the word. 872 00:40:41,320 --> 00:40:43,640 Speaker 1: We will issue the cease and desist. No more Late 873 00:40:43,719 --> 00:40:47,239 Speaker 1: Kick posters. But if we don't hear back, then I 874 00:40:47,320 --> 00:40:49,799 Speaker 1: have no choice but to issue the order tomorrow. I 875 00:40:49,840 --> 00:40:52,239 Speaker 1: don't want to do it. It's like the Cold War. 876 00:40:52,280 --> 00:40:54,120 Speaker 1: I don't want to do it, but if you force 877 00:40:54,160 --> 00:40:56,360 Speaker 1: my hand, I'll have to do it. I know you 878 00:40:56,400 --> 00:40:59,040 Speaker 1: guys in Dallas are ready willing and able to assist 879 00:40:59,200 --> 00:41:01,680 Speaker 1: in that venture. So thank you so much for watching. 880 00:41:02,239 --> 00:41:04,200 Speaker 1: This is the second show we've done in our new studio. 881 00:41:04,239 --> 00:41:07,359 Speaker 1: Director Colin essentially built this entire thing by hand. I mean, 882 00:41:07,440 --> 00:41:09,799 Speaker 1: let's really be honest about it. There were some contractors, 883 00:41:09,840 --> 00:41:11,080 Speaker 1: you know, there were some other folks here and there, 884 00:41:11,080 --> 00:41:14,960 Speaker 1: but director Colin, he has been hammering and nailing himself 885 00:41:14,960 --> 00:41:18,040 Speaker 1: away in here. Look at these beautiful colors. Look at 886 00:41:18,040 --> 00:41:20,000 Speaker 1: the animations. Colin, I think you told me at last 887 00:41:20,040 --> 00:41:23,200 Speaker 1: Tek you drew these by hand. Wonderful and all made 888 00:41:23,200 --> 00:41:25,520 Speaker 1: possible by you. So thank you guys so much for that. 889 00:41:25,880 --> 00:41:28,640 Speaker 1: For Director Colin, for our entire crew in Fort Lauderdale, 890 00:41:28,640 --> 00:41:31,480 Speaker 1: I'm Josh Pate. Have a great start to your weekend. 891 00:41:31,680 --> 00:41:34,919 Speaker 1: We'll see in Dallas, Texas Saturday morning. Until then, take 892 00:41:34,960 --> 00:41:36,040 Speaker 1: care and God bless you.