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Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game. Juus prow read.

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Speaker 2: Enough they're up for running a game.

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Speaker 1: So smoothe so sweet, splendid.

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Speaker 2: Sixteen just glorious text the.

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Speaker 1: Tuition, guys, all I'm looking for is sixty percent effort,

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Speaker 1: four thousand percent of the time.

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Speaker 3: How shot with that shop of fine bod buddy, And

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Speaker 3: that's why you see your beautiful tiers lookdish movements the.

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Speaker 2: Most dangerous a mountain.

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Speaker 3: Of the planet.

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Speaker 1: Nobody kitchen them.

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Speaker 2: Shut up. I'm trying.

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Speaker 3: Below, it's left to one the wide eyed drill bibus

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Speaker 3: how old Earth.

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Speaker 1: Pick that happens?

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Speaker 3: Hello, and welcome to Wonder Goal, the soccer betting podcast

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Speaker 3: from the Action Network, presented by a Bet three sixty five.

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Speaker 1: I'm your host b J Cunningham, and this is.

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Speaker 3: Your World Cup group's betting preview, Part one, as we

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Speaker 3: go through how to approach the groups A through D

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Speaker 3: from a betting perspective. I'll be joined in a second

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Speaker 3: by my co host and friend Anthony Dubundo. But first,

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Speaker 3: before we get into everything, This edition of One to

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Speaker 3: Go Live is presented by BET three sixty five, the

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Speaker 3: world's favorite sportsbook brand. Sign up a promo code Action

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Speaker 3: to get Bet three six fives exclusive sign up offer.

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Speaker 3: Bet one dollar on any game and get two hundred

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Speaker 3: dollars in bonus.

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Speaker 1: Bets.

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Speaker 3: Must be twenty one years or older. Offer is available

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Speaker 3: in Colorado, New Jersey, Ohio, Virginia, and Iowa. If you

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Speaker 3: have a gambling problem, please call her text one eight

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Speaker 3: hundred gambler. All right, we are back from our month

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Speaker 3: and a half long break because the Women's World Cup

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Speaker 3: is kicking off on July twentieth in Australia and New Zealand.

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Speaker 3: It's an expanded World Cup field for the first time.

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Speaker 3: We'll see thirty two teams in eight groups here at.

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Speaker 1: The World Cup.

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Speaker 3: Before we get started, let's take a quick run through

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Speaker 3: through the odds on who is going to win the

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Speaker 3: World Cup, and as always, these odds are presented by

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Speaker 3: our good sponsors at Bet three sixty five. The United States,

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Speaker 3: the two time defending World Cup champions are your favorites

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Speaker 3: at thirteen to five, England sitting at nine to two,

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Speaker 3: Spain also at ninety two, Germany eight to one, France

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Speaker 3: sitting at twelve to one, Australia ten to one, Netherlands

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Speaker 3: twenty to one, Sweden twenty to one, as well Japan

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Speaker 3: twenty five to one, Brazil thirty three to one, Canada

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Speaker 3: thirty three to one, Norway fifty to one, Denmark sixty

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Speaker 3: six to one. Italy is one hundred to one. Portugal

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Speaker 3: is also one hundred to one. Colombia two hundred to one.

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Speaker 3: New Zealand one of the hosts, sitting at two hundred

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Speaker 3: and fifty to one. Switzerland as well at two hundred

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Speaker 3: and fifty to one China, Argentina, South Korea, Ireland also

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Speaker 3: at two hundred and fifty to one, Nigeria four hundred

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Speaker 3: and one, Zambia five hundred to one, Jamaica five hundred

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Speaker 3: to one, Haiti five hundred to one, South Africa seven

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Speaker 3: hundred and fifty to one. Costa Rica and Morocco are

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Speaker 3: both one thousand to one, Vietnam fifteen hundred to one,

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Speaker 3: Panama two thousand to one, and the longest shot in

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Speaker 3: the field the Philippines sitting at four thousand to one.

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Speaker 3: But we're going to kick things off here. This is

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Speaker 3: your group by group preview. We're going to start here

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Speaker 3: with Group A. Norway is the favorites here in Group A,

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Speaker 3: sitting at minus three hundred, Switzerland and New Zealand are

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Speaker 3: a close second here to win this group, both sitting

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Speaker 3: at five to one, and then Philippines a very long

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Speaker 3: shot at five hundred to one. Anthony, I just spoke

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Speaker 3: for a really long time there. How are you attacking

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Speaker 3: this first group Group A?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, so kind of One of the bigger differences between

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Speaker 2: like a men's World Cup and a women's World Cup

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Speaker 2: is that as the women's game continues to kind of

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Speaker 2: grow and expand across the world, there still is a

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Speaker 2: little bit of a lag in the competitiveness in some

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Speaker 2: of these groups. So you will see with eight new

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Speaker 2: debutants making their World Cup debuts, you're going to see

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Speaker 2: some more blowouts, and you're going to see a lot

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Speaker 2: in longer odds, especially on these Pot four fourth place

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Speaker 2: teams that come into these groups projected as such, and

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Speaker 2: you're going to see just general, much bigger favorites to

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Speaker 2: win a lot of these groups. And then we start

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Speaker 2: in Group A, which I think is arguably the weakest

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Speaker 2: of the of the eight groups. With New Zealand being

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Speaker 2: the host getting automatically placed in Group A. There isn't

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Speaker 2: like a Pot one top tier contender in this group,

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Speaker 2: which I think ultimately opens the door for a Norway

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Speaker 2: as the clear favorite. I don't really see them having

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Speaker 2: a ton of issues. They come into this World Cup

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Speaker 2: with with relatively inconsistent form. They've been up and down.

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Speaker 2: They got pasted at the Euros by England last year,

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Speaker 2: lost by eight goals, So I think that kind of

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Speaker 2: gets to the point where like, this is really a

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Speaker 2: team that I can see making a deep run and

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Speaker 2: going toe to toe with what I see as the

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Speaker 2: five favorites to win this entire tournament. But I do

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Speaker 2: think that they are clearly better than New Zealand in

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Speaker 2: this cycle, and if you look at New Zealand, I

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Speaker 2: think it's a real question mark as to whether they

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Speaker 2: would have even qualified if they weren't the hosts. They've

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Speaker 2: been to the World Cup a bunch in their history,

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Speaker 2: They've never won. They've played fifteen games here, five different appearances,

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Speaker 2: three games each time, and like I said, they've never

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Speaker 2: won a match. They are the only they have the

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Speaker 2: longest team or they've played the most games without having

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Speaker 2: won a game in the World Cup, and their form

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Speaker 2: has really gone downhill in this cycle as well. Two

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Speaker 2: loss to the United States by four and five goals,

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Speaker 2: they lost by five to Portugal, swept by Argentina in

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Speaker 2: a home and home, lost to Nigeria, lost to Italy.

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Speaker 2: The only win they've had really in the last calendar

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Speaker 2: year was a two zero win against Vietnam, which, considering

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Speaker 2: Vietnam's current place in their footballing history, it's not really

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Speaker 2: that impressive of a victory. So when you compare them

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Speaker 2: to Switzerland, I think Switzerland is the clearly better team

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Speaker 2: on paper. They've also kind of been inconsistent in general,

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Speaker 2: but they've had a few results you can kind of

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Speaker 2: hang your hat on and say, Okay, that's a team

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Speaker 2: that I can trust in this tournament. They have a

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Speaker 2: new manager and so Switzerland just has a general higher

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Speaker 2: base of talent to the point where you know, even

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Speaker 2: with home field advantage, which certainly matters for the New

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Speaker 2: Zealand side here, the fact that the Swiss were able

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Speaker 2: to kind of get some decent results last year gives

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Speaker 2: me some cautious optimism that they're gonna be the second

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Speaker 2: best team here. So you can actually bet New Zealand

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Speaker 2: minus one twenty to not advance, and that's my favorite

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Speaker 2: bet in Group A with all of the uncertainty surrounding them,

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Speaker 2: and the poor form.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's gonna be my best bet too.

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Speaker 3: I love the New Zealand not to advance the minus

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Speaker 3: one twenty because here's the problem and you mentioned it

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Speaker 3: with New Zealand. You know, all of those friendlies that

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Speaker 3: they had leading up here, if you exclude the one

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Speaker 3: against Vietnam, they've been outscored twenty two to one. Like

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Speaker 3: they have been not competitive whatsoever, and so they're getting

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Speaker 3: a little bit of bump because they have home field

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Speaker 3: advantage and their style of play really don't lend it

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Speaker 3: a good hand to themselves given how Norway is going

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Speaker 3: to set up and how Switzerland's going to set up,

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Speaker 3: because New Zealand wants to play at a four four two,

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Speaker 3: but they also want to come out and press and

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Speaker 3: they want to try to, you know, make disrupt build

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Speaker 3: up play and make life hell for their their opponents.

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Speaker 3: But it hasn't been successful and once they fall behind,

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Speaker 3: that's when you see the goals start to pile on

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Speaker 3: when you face good build up teams. Norway is a

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Speaker 3: very very interesting team in that their path to get

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Speaker 3: through here. I mean, we'll get to that and weet

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Speaker 3: our best bets, but it's not as difficult as some

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Speaker 3: of the other teams, and you know they're sitting at

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Speaker 3: a longer price. They have one of the best strikers

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Speaker 3: in the women's game and at a Hegerberg, who you know,

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Speaker 3: won the Ballador in twenty eighteen. She was injured for

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Speaker 3: most of the season for Leone, who's one of the

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Speaker 3: best teams in the women's game. But if you look

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Speaker 3: at the two seasons prior, like she's been a point

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Speaker 3: nine xtgre per minute striker, Like she's really really good.

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Speaker 1: And Norway plays.

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Speaker 3: Uber aggressive vertical football, trying to get forward, trying to

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Speaker 3: put pressure on the back line. So that's why you

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Speaker 3: see them losing you know eight nothing to England and

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Speaker 3: having all these high scoring event type matches. But they

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Speaker 3: are clearly the best team in this group. So it

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Speaker 3: really comes down to is like who's better, Like you mentioned,

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Speaker 3: who's better between Switzerland and New Zealand, because the Philippines,

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Speaker 3: as we mentioned, is the longest shot in this tournament

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Speaker 3: and really doesn't have any talents I compete with any

169
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Speaker 3: of these teams. I mean there are there are two

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Speaker 3: goal underdogs Switzerland in the first game. Switzerland is a

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Speaker 3: very very slow build up style team that likes to

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Speaker 3: use a lot of short combination passes and really just

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Speaker 3: you know, drain the life.

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Speaker 1: Out of you.

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Speaker 3: They're not very good when they get into the final third.

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Speaker 3: But if you look through their roster, they have a

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Speaker 3: lot of talent that's playing in the women's super League,

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Speaker 3: whether it be the Buondesliga, you know, a lot of

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Speaker 3: the top leagues around the world, and you compare that

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Speaker 3: to New Zealand, and you know, the disparity of talent

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Speaker 3: is is pretty drastic between the two. So it's really

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Speaker 3: going to come down to that game of who wins

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Speaker 3: versus Switzerland and New Zealand. And given how short this

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Speaker 3: price is, you know, the Swiss, given the talent that

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Speaker 3: they have. I agree with you that New Zealand they

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Speaker 3: have not been competitive whatsoever. And they'll lead up to

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Speaker 3: this and basically we're getting close to a pick them

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Speaker 3: on whether they would advance or not against the team

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Speaker 3: actually does have talent.

190
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Speaker 1: I agree with you, New Zealand not to advance. A

191
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Speaker 1: minus one twenty is gonna be my best bet.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, And I think the other interesting thing, like if

193
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Speaker 2: it comes down to a tiebreaker, which is certainly possible,

194
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Speaker 2: I mean, if both these teams lose to Norway and

195
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Speaker 2: New Zealand plays Switzerland and they end up playing to withdraw,

196
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Speaker 2: which is certainly possible. It may well come down to

197
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Speaker 2: who can run up the score. More on the Philippines

198
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Speaker 2: and the entire New Zealand attack is basically just Hannah

199
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Speaker 2: Wilkinson from Melbourne City. They don't have much depth around her,

200
00:09:26,360 --> 00:09:28,400
Speaker 2: and they haven't done a very good job and obviously

201
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Speaker 2: they've only scored one goal in doing a very good

202
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Speaker 2: job of kind of providing service for her. So I

203
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Speaker 2: think as a one man attacking group, Switzerlan has more depth.

204
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Speaker 2: And it is interesting how kind of women's teams and

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Speaker 2: men's teams kind of have synergy and how they play

206
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Speaker 2: within the country, like you'll see this with Spain, You'll

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Speaker 2: see this with Germany, and you certainly see this with

208
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Speaker 2: the Swiss with their slow build up, very pragmatic approach,

209
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Speaker 2: and how that can kind of inhibit their ability to

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Speaker 2: create in the final third. But again, the overall level

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Speaker 2: of talent I think is just a tier higher than

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Speaker 2: New Zealand. Here the Ferns.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree, Yeah, So New Zealand not to advance

214
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Speaker 3: is going to be our best bed.

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Speaker 1: Look at that we already have a consensus here in

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Speaker 1: Group A.

217
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Speaker 3: Let's move on to Group B. One of the other hosts,

218
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Speaker 3: Australia is the favorite to win this group. They're sitting

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Speaker 3: at minus two hundred. Canada the twenty twenty one Olympic champions,

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Speaker 3: they are two to one to win this group. Ireland,

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Speaker 3: making their World Cup debut, is sitting at sixteen to one,

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Speaker 3: and Nigeria is the biggest long shot in this group

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Speaker 3: at thirty three to one. A very very interesting group, Anthony. Obviously,

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Speaker 3: Australia is one of the hosts. They're going to play

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Speaker 3: all of their matches at home, and they do have

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Speaker 3: a lot of talent. But I think you're gonna agree

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Speaker 3: with me here that this price is maybe just a

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Speaker 3: tad too high on them to win this group.

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Speaker 2: Well, we're already in Group B. It's time to put

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Speaker 2: my tinfoil hat on the way that this group sets up.

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Speaker 2: The likely most likely scenario is that Australia and Canada

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Speaker 2: will be the two best teams. They are the two

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Speaker 2: best teams on paper, and they play the other two

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Speaker 2: teams in their group first, So one will play Nigeria,

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Speaker 2: one will play Ireland. Then they'll flop. So the odds

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Speaker 2: are that both of these teams will have six points

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Speaker 2: heading into the final group game against one another. It's

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Speaker 2: kind of similar to what happened with England and Belgium

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Speaker 2: two World Cups ago, and the way that this bracket

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Speaker 2: sets up, it actually could be more beneficial to lose

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Speaker 2: that game and be the second team just based on

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Speaker 2: how kind of the bracket could work out. So I

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Speaker 2: will be interested to see if they go for that

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Speaker 2: approach and kind of how that game gets played out

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Speaker 2: based on you know, we'll know more as we get

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Speaker 2: closer to the group, but ultimately I don't see a

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Speaker 2: huge gap between these two teams. I think that they're

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Speaker 2: roughly in that kind of six to ten competitors tier.

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Speaker 2: Australia has what I think is the best player in

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Speaker 2: this tournament in Sam Kerr, the Chelsea striker who has

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Speaker 2: been dominant in the Women's Super League and carrying that

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Speaker 2: into the Champions League as well. She's been incredible for them.

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Speaker 2: But I think overall, when you look at Canada's resume,

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Speaker 2: I mean having one goal at the Epics took the

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Speaker 2: US in the CONCACAFF final last year. It was a

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Speaker 2: one nail game that was very even that they easily

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Speaker 2: could have won if some chances and some big moments

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Speaker 2: had kind of gone their way a little bit. But

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Speaker 2: on the basis of the ninety minutes was a very

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Speaker 2: even contest. I don't think there's a huge gap here.

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Speaker 2: Now you can look at Australia's results too. They have

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Speaker 2: some really encouraging performances and results in the last year.

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Speaker 2: They just ended England's on beaten streak. The England had

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Speaker 2: not lost in thirty matches. They finally did. They lost

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Speaker 2: the hands of the Aussie's But overall, you know, given

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Speaker 2: the parody in this group between the top two teams,

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Speaker 2: I think that just getting the two to one price

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Speaker 2: on Canada is a little bit of value here, given

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Speaker 2: that I think that they're going to end up playing

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Speaker 2: each other on the final day and both be sitting

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Speaker 2: on six and it will be interesting to see how

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Speaker 2: the game theory works into that. Could there be some rotation,

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Speaker 2: you know, could the Ausies sit you know, cur to

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Speaker 2: get ready for the knockout stage depending on where they

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Speaker 2: end up in their group permutation. So we won't know

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Speaker 2: that now. But heading into the tournament at two to

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Speaker 2: one with Canada, I think that's where I'm gonna end

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Speaker 2: up here in that one.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree.

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Speaker 3: I think the price is just a little too high,

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Speaker 3: and I think you're just getting a little bit of

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Speaker 3: a home field advantage of bump here for Australia. And

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Speaker 3: you know, the thing is is that Canada and Australia

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Speaker 3: have played each other. They played twice in a lead

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Speaker 3: up to this World Cup. It was quite a lot

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Speaker 3: long time ago, but Canada won both of those matches

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Speaker 3: that they played. It was I believe both of them

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Speaker 3: were played in Canada. But yeah, you know, Australia, it's

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Speaker 3: very very interesting because, like you mentioned, they have widely

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Speaker 3: regarded as the best player in the women's game in

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Speaker 3: Sam Kerr, and they also have a ton of talent

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Speaker 3: that's playing in the Women's Super League and a lot

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Speaker 3: of the other top leagues around the world, like an

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Speaker 3: Ellie Carpenter, Steph Catley plays for Arsenal.

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Speaker 1: They're gonna play out of a four four two and

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Speaker 1: where they're at their.

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Speaker 3: Best is they have outstanding fullback to the two of

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Speaker 3: them I just mentioned, and outstanding wide midfielders as well.

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Speaker 3: So they love to just create overloads in the wide

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Speaker 3: areas of the pitch to pull defenders away from Sam

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Speaker 3: Kurr and just send in a chacrosses to her.

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Speaker 1: That's how they play.

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Speaker 3: It's kind of similar to how the men's men's Australian

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Speaker 3: team played at the twenty twenty two World Cup. And

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Speaker 3: I mean there's no doubt that Australia has a ton

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Speaker 3: of talent and like you mentioned, they have had a

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Speaker 3: ton of encouraging results in the lead up to this.

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Speaker 3: But Canada, I mean, they have just as much talent

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Speaker 3: as Australia. And you know, they still have Christine Sinclair

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Speaker 3: who's forty years old now but it's still putting up

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Speaker 3: really really good numbers for the Portland Thorns in the NWSL.

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Speaker 3: And if you look around there are other you know,

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Speaker 3: Julia Grosso is a fantastic midfielder for Juventus. Sam Curtis

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Speaker 3: Chelsea teammate Jesse Fleming had a fantastic season for them,

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Speaker 3: and the Women's Super League, like Canada, has a ton

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Speaker 3: of talent and they put a big time premium on

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Speaker 3: getting the highest quality chance possible and it's proven to

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Speaker 3: be successful for them. I mean they've had they've tested themselves,

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Speaker 3: they've played one of the most difficult schedules of you know,

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Speaker 3: in terms of friendlies of any team leading up to

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Speaker 3: this World Cup.

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Speaker 1: So they are battle tested.

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Speaker 3: Like we already mentioned, they're the twenty twenty one Olympic champions,

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Speaker 3: so they have experienced getting deep in a tournament like this.

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Speaker 3: So at a price of two to one, and when

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Speaker 3: it comes down to that final group stage match, we'll

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Speaker 3: see what happens. But yeah, I think that a price

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Speaker 3: of two to one is a tad too long for

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Speaker 3: a Canadian team that has just as much talent as Australia,

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Speaker 3: who's getting a little bit of bump the other two

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Speaker 3: teams in the scrip we probably mentioned. Ireland is going

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Speaker 3: to be a very very low block centric type team

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Speaker 3: five to four one essentially, you know, rely on a

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Speaker 3: lot of direct counter attacking opportunities. And Nigeria has two

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Speaker 3: incredibly talented attackers. Osceola, who plays for Barcelona, had a

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Speaker 3: one point four xg P ninety minute scoring rate this season,

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Speaker 3: so they're gonna be a fun underdog team to bet

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Speaker 3: to score. But again, you know, a team like Nigeria

339
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Speaker 3: doesn't have much talent in terms of their defense, and

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Speaker 3: they've really struggled in that aspect, but will be you know,

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Speaker 3: a fun underdog team if you want to bet, you know,

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Speaker 3: maybe both teams to score on that.

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Speaker 1: But that's it for Group B, both of us in alignment.

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Speaker 2: Again, Nigeria is really interesting because there's a lot of

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Speaker 2: off the field stuff happening with this team right now

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Speaker 2: and so it comes difficult to kind of figure out

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Speaker 2: where they are. There could be a strike heading into

348
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Speaker 2: the first match because of pay compensation issues with the

349
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Speaker 2: Nigerian Football Federation, and they have been in the World

350
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Speaker 2: Cup a lot in their history. They've qualified for every tournament,

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Speaker 2: but they've only have four wins in twenty six matches.

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Speaker 2: You mentioned, you know, the firepower, the attacking firepower. Ossola

353
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Speaker 2: third most goals in all of Europe's top five leagues

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Speaker 2: last year, so certainly is firepower and you'll see that

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Speaker 2: with some of these lower teams that are really interesting.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna get to Zambia later. Like there are a

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Speaker 2: few other teams even like a China who have a

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Speaker 2: bunch of really good attackers who can really make this

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00:16:41,440 --> 00:16:45,840
Speaker 2: an interesting contest. But the overall midfield and defensive issues

360
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Speaker 2: are going to make these teams very vulnerable once they

361
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Speaker 2: go up against more complete teams above them in the latter,

362
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Speaker 2: So yeah, Ireland wouldn't shock me of Ireland finished last.

363
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Speaker 2: Y're gonna see Ireland be a trendy pick, as like

364
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Speaker 2: a sneaky underdog, because they have had some good form,

365
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Speaker 2: But overall, I don't really see the overall talent level

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Speaker 2: being high enough, even though they've had, like I said,

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Speaker 2: a decent run of form here.

368
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Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to groups.

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Speaker 3: See Spain, one of your tournament favorites, is sitting at

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Speaker 3: minus six hundred to win this group, Japan sitting at

371
00:17:18,600 --> 00:17:21,359
Speaker 3: four to one, Zambia one hundred to one. In Costa Rica,

372
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Speaker 3: there's the longest shot in this group at five.

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Speaker 1: Hundred to one. This is a really really interesting group.

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Speaker 1: And if you looked at this just.

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Speaker 3: From a straightforward lens and didn't pay attention to anything

376
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Speaker 3: that's happening off the field, it seemed pretty straightforward that

377
00:17:35,920 --> 00:17:37,840
Speaker 3: Spain would win this group in a run away, because

378
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Speaker 3: they have probably some of the the most talent of

379
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Speaker 3: anybody in this entire World Cup field. But Anthony, there's

380
00:17:45,080 --> 00:17:48,359
Speaker 3: some some off the field stuff happening with Spain right

381
00:17:48,440 --> 00:17:52,120
Speaker 3: now that gives me a lot of pause. On whether

382
00:17:52,240 --> 00:17:53,639
Speaker 3: they're not only going to win this group, but I

383
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Speaker 3: even go far in this World Cup.

384
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Speaker 2: I feel like somebody needs to put like dramatic music

385
00:17:57,720 --> 00:18:00,320
Speaker 2: behind me as I tell the story of JORGEVI and

386
00:18:00,400 --> 00:18:02,600
Speaker 2: like what's happened with the Spanish national team. But basically,

387
00:18:03,080 --> 00:18:05,840
Speaker 2: last year, if you haven't be paying attention, last September,

388
00:18:06,160 --> 00:18:09,520
Speaker 2: fifteen players wrote a letter to the Spanish Soccer Federation

389
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Speaker 2: basically demanding that Wielda be removed. They claimed emotional abus

390
00:18:15,560 --> 00:18:17,040
Speaker 2: and that he was too hard and that he was

391
00:18:17,160 --> 00:18:19,920
Speaker 2: not fair and they wanted him out basically, and the

392
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Speaker 2: Spanish Soccer Federation interestingly did not. And we're not talking

393
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Speaker 2: about like fifteen just random squad players. There's a lot

394
00:18:26,320 --> 00:18:28,359
Speaker 2: of very talented players, some of the best players on

395
00:18:28,560 --> 00:18:31,840
Speaker 2: the Spanish roster. And the result of that is that

396
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Speaker 2: they kept the manager and said we're not going to

397
00:18:34,400 --> 00:18:38,080
Speaker 2: just you know, give in to the demands. So he's

398
00:18:38,119 --> 00:18:41,960
Speaker 2: still managing the team, and there's been a kind of

399
00:18:42,080 --> 00:18:44,720
Speaker 2: three different groups of players. Some players have said we

400
00:18:44,840 --> 00:18:46,680
Speaker 2: will not play for him, and so there's a couple

401
00:18:46,720 --> 00:18:49,800
Speaker 2: of players that would have been contributing squad players that

402
00:18:49,840 --> 00:18:52,520
Speaker 2: are not in this team. There are some who under

403
00:18:52,560 --> 00:18:54,680
Speaker 2: the pressure I guess of being wanting to play for

404
00:18:54,760 --> 00:18:56,679
Speaker 2: their nation in the World Cup have kind of come

405
00:18:56,800 --> 00:19:00,680
Speaker 2: crawling back to Wilda and said, you know, I still

406
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Speaker 2: have my problems, but I want to play, I want

407
00:19:02,440 --> 00:19:05,000
Speaker 2: to contribute, I want to play for my country. They

408
00:19:05,040 --> 00:19:07,920
Speaker 2: were accepted back, and then there were some players I

409
00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:10,520
Speaker 2: think where the relationship had gotten so sour that even

410
00:19:10,560 --> 00:19:13,080
Speaker 2: though they asked to come back, Wilda said no and

411
00:19:13,200 --> 00:19:16,480
Speaker 2: left them off the squad. When you look at Spain's

412
00:19:16,560 --> 00:19:20,680
Speaker 2: team on paper, they're as good an attack as anybody

413
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Speaker 2: in this tournament. They have a ton of kind of

414
00:19:22,720 --> 00:19:26,120
Speaker 2: creative midfielders, they play similar to the Spanish men's national team,

415
00:19:26,440 --> 00:19:28,120
Speaker 2: and that they want to have a ton of possession.

416
00:19:28,440 --> 00:19:32,119
Speaker 2: There are major question marks about their defensive ability, especially

417
00:19:32,200 --> 00:19:34,800
Speaker 2: defending without the ball, because they have so much possession,

418
00:19:34,840 --> 00:19:37,960
Speaker 2: and we saw that just in December in Guitar with

419
00:19:38,080 --> 00:19:40,000
Speaker 2: the men's team, that when they didn't have the ball,

420
00:19:40,080 --> 00:19:42,920
Speaker 2: they looked really shaky out of possession defensively, and I

421
00:19:42,960 --> 00:19:45,040
Speaker 2: think you're going to see similar issues for Spain on

422
00:19:45,200 --> 00:19:49,399
Speaker 2: set pieces and in those areas here. But with Alexis Petoelis,

423
00:19:49,400 --> 00:19:51,160
Speaker 2: who's one of the best players in the whole World

424
00:19:51,720 --> 00:19:55,040
Speaker 2: ballindor winner herself, like they have all of the attacking

425
00:19:55,160 --> 00:19:58,040
Speaker 2: talent they have Barcelona being the best women's team in

426
00:19:58,080 --> 00:20:00,359
Speaker 2: the world right now, they're pulling a a bunch of

427
00:20:00,400 --> 00:20:03,840
Speaker 2: players from that team to play for the Spanish national team.

428
00:20:04,040 --> 00:20:06,440
Speaker 2: But the question is how do we power rate and

429
00:20:06,480 --> 00:20:09,080
Speaker 2: how do we assess how good this team is if

430
00:20:09,160 --> 00:20:11,560
Speaker 2: we know that the players don't really like the manager.

431
00:20:11,600 --> 00:20:14,480
Speaker 2: And we've seen this in the past where one of

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00:20:14,520 --> 00:20:17,240
Speaker 2: the leading causes of underperformance of a very talented team

433
00:20:17,280 --> 00:20:20,960
Speaker 2: at a World Cup is often because they players just

434
00:20:21,040 --> 00:20:22,800
Speaker 2: don't care, they don't want to play for the manager.

435
00:20:23,200 --> 00:20:25,359
Speaker 2: The manager has it out for certain players, so he

436
00:20:25,480 --> 00:20:27,879
Speaker 2: leaves them out of the team. It's very hard to

437
00:20:27,960 --> 00:20:30,600
Speaker 2: get a real read on this Spanish team because coming

438
00:20:30,640 --> 00:20:32,240
Speaker 2: into the tournament they were a team I was hoping

439
00:20:32,280 --> 00:20:34,080
Speaker 2: to bet as an outright and I think they've got

440
00:20:34,119 --> 00:20:37,000
Speaker 2: a pretty favorable draw, Like if they win their group,

441
00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:39,600
Speaker 2: like Switzerland potentially in the set in the round of sixteen,

442
00:20:39,680 --> 00:20:42,520
Speaker 2: then Sweden in the quarterfinal, Like, that's a pretty favorable

443
00:20:42,600 --> 00:20:44,680
Speaker 2: draw to the Semis, where they would be the better team.

444
00:20:45,040 --> 00:20:49,040
Speaker 2: But again, like can we trust them? I can't. There's

445
00:20:49,080 --> 00:20:52,320
Speaker 2: just too much drama going on behind the scenes with

446
00:20:52,400 --> 00:20:53,080
Speaker 2: the Spanish team.

447
00:20:54,320 --> 00:20:57,399
Speaker 3: I agree, Yeah, it's it's tough because I know when

448
00:20:57,400 --> 00:20:58,840
Speaker 3: I was doing my prep for this, you know, I

449
00:20:59,040 --> 00:21:00,960
Speaker 3: came into it being like, I want to bet Spain.

450
00:21:01,000 --> 00:21:03,280
Speaker 3: They have so much talent and they probably should be

451
00:21:03,320 --> 00:21:06,640
Speaker 3: the second favorites, but everything that's happening off the field

452
00:21:06,720 --> 00:21:09,879
Speaker 3: gives so much pause. And we've seen it, like you mentioned,

453
00:21:10,080 --> 00:21:13,440
Speaker 3: we've seen with international tournaments time and time again, when

454
00:21:13,440 --> 00:21:16,840
Speaker 3: there's turmoil heading into a tournament, teams often don't perform

455
00:21:17,040 --> 00:21:21,680
Speaker 3: very well. So that leads me in this group to

456
00:21:21,760 --> 00:21:24,960
Speaker 3: bet a team like Japan to win the group in

457
00:21:25,040 --> 00:21:26,520
Speaker 3: the best price you can find out there right now

458
00:21:26,640 --> 00:21:28,760
Speaker 3: is five to one. You know, the Japanese team doesn't

459
00:21:28,840 --> 00:21:31,399
Speaker 3: have near the talent that the Spanish team does, but

460
00:21:31,560 --> 00:21:34,680
Speaker 3: what they do have is a very very versatile style

461
00:21:34,760 --> 00:21:37,040
Speaker 3: of play where they can be a possession dominant team,

462
00:21:37,560 --> 00:21:40,159
Speaker 3: or they can sit back and they can press you

463
00:21:40,400 --> 00:21:43,720
Speaker 3: and then they can play in transition. The way they press, though,

464
00:21:43,840 --> 00:21:46,359
Speaker 3: is going to set up perfectly to do essentially what

465
00:21:46,440 --> 00:21:50,280
Speaker 3: the Japanese men's team to Spain at the Men's World Cup,

466
00:21:50,320 --> 00:21:52,959
Speaker 3: where they love to kind of sit back, set these

467
00:21:53,000 --> 00:21:56,000
Speaker 3: pressing traps and then just punish you on the counter.

468
00:21:56,320 --> 00:21:58,960
Speaker 3: And listen, Japan and Spain have played each other in

469
00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:01,720
Speaker 3: a friendly before Spain won the match one nothing. They

470
00:22:01,800 --> 00:22:04,159
Speaker 3: scored in the eighth minute and Japan went on to

471
00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:06,840
Speaker 3: create one point six expected goals and now shot Spain

472
00:22:06,880 --> 00:22:09,680
Speaker 3: eleven to six. So for a Spanish team, like you

473
00:22:09,760 --> 00:22:13,040
Speaker 3: mentioned that out of possession is not good in transition defense,

474
00:22:13,560 --> 00:22:16,600
Speaker 3: playing a Japanese team that is very, very good in transition,

475
00:22:16,760 --> 00:22:19,120
Speaker 3: has been battle tested, played at the She Beliefs Cup,

476
00:22:19,359 --> 00:22:23,080
Speaker 3: has played tested themselves at a lot of difficult competition

477
00:22:23,160 --> 00:22:26,720
Speaker 3: throughout friendlies. It's not out of the room possibility that

478
00:22:27,240 --> 00:22:30,119
Speaker 3: Japan comes away with this group and wins it, just

479
00:22:30,200 --> 00:22:32,639
Speaker 3: like the men's team did at the World Cup and

480
00:22:32,840 --> 00:22:35,320
Speaker 3: the other two teams in this group. Zambia is going

481
00:22:35,359 --> 00:22:36,960
Speaker 3: to be a fun team. The price on them to

482
00:22:37,040 --> 00:22:39,080
Speaker 3: advance is a tad too low for me, and I

483
00:22:39,119 --> 00:22:40,840
Speaker 3: can't get on, you know, five to one. If you

484
00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:42,119
Speaker 3: gave me ten to one, maybe all.

485
00:22:42,440 --> 00:22:43,800
Speaker 1: I'll take a stab at it.

486
00:22:43,880 --> 00:22:48,200
Speaker 3: They have two great strikers, Chanda and Kundananji, who both

487
00:22:48,200 --> 00:22:52,320
Speaker 3: played for Madrid. Say FAFA, who finished fifth in Spain

488
00:22:52,440 --> 00:22:57,480
Speaker 3: this season. You know, Kudanananji bagged twenty five goals and

489
00:22:57,640 --> 00:22:59,920
Speaker 3: was you know second in the Golden Boot race in Spain.

490
00:23:00,000 --> 00:23:00,960
Speaker 1: And so they're a team.

491
00:23:01,280 --> 00:23:03,720
Speaker 3: Much like Nigeria, who's going to set up and four

492
00:23:03,720 --> 00:23:06,000
Speaker 3: to ford too, play very very direct, but they have

493
00:23:06,080 --> 00:23:08,560
Speaker 3: a ton of pace going forward, a ton of power.

494
00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:11,399
Speaker 3: Two great strikers can give a lot of problems. And

495
00:23:11,520 --> 00:23:13,720
Speaker 3: Zambia leading up to this World Cup has had some

496
00:23:13,880 --> 00:23:16,920
Speaker 3: impressive results. They lost to Ireland three to two, but

497
00:23:17,000 --> 00:23:19,000
Speaker 3: won the XG battle two point one to one point five.

498
00:23:19,040 --> 00:23:21,000
Speaker 3: They drew Switzerland and three to three, won the x

499
00:23:21,080 --> 00:23:23,040
Speaker 3: G battle there and then they beat one of the

500
00:23:23,080 --> 00:23:25,679
Speaker 3: turn the favorites Germany three to to although Germany kind

501
00:23:25,680 --> 00:23:27,720
Speaker 3: of dominated them on NEXTG but it's still it's very,

502
00:23:27,840 --> 00:23:32,120
Speaker 3: very impressive for this Zambian team who made a deep

503
00:23:32,240 --> 00:23:34,159
Speaker 3: run in the Africa Cup of Nations making it to

504
00:23:34,200 --> 00:23:37,920
Speaker 3: the semifinals, to potentially get out of this group. You know,

505
00:23:38,000 --> 00:23:39,879
Speaker 3: in the other team, Costa Rica, it just really doesn't

506
00:23:39,920 --> 00:23:42,040
Speaker 3: have the talent to compete. You know, nineteen of their

507
00:23:42,119 --> 00:23:47,320
Speaker 3: thirty players are playing domestically in Costa Rica, so you know,

508
00:23:47,520 --> 00:23:49,520
Speaker 3: when Zambia plays Costa Rica, if we can get a

509
00:23:49,560 --> 00:23:50,600
Speaker 3: decentough prizal better than that.

510
00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:52,760
Speaker 1: But Zambia, much like much.

511
00:23:52,680 --> 00:23:55,000
Speaker 3: Like Nigeria, is going to be a very very fun

512
00:23:55,080 --> 00:23:59,320
Speaker 3: team to bet to score against both Japan and against Spain.

513
00:23:59,760 --> 00:24:01,639
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think when you look at Zambia, so they

514
00:24:01,720 --> 00:24:04,000
Speaker 2: kind of broke onto the scene in the Olympics when

515
00:24:04,000 --> 00:24:05,800
Speaker 2: they had a first they had a ten to three

516
00:24:05,840 --> 00:24:08,200
Speaker 2: loss to the Dutch, so that wasn't a great opening game,

517
00:24:08,280 --> 00:24:10,399
Speaker 2: but you know, scoring three goals on the Dutch is

518
00:24:10,760 --> 00:24:14,000
Speaker 2: not nothing to be sneezed at. And then they you know,

519
00:24:14,119 --> 00:24:16,719
Speaker 2: had a comeback draw against China for four and then

520
00:24:16,760 --> 00:24:19,960
Speaker 2: played Brazil pretty much even they you know, they defended

521
00:24:20,000 --> 00:24:22,159
Speaker 2: deep and were dangerous and Transition lost one nil, but

522
00:24:22,160 --> 00:24:23,720
Speaker 2: they were pretty good in that. Everybody was like, Okay,

523
00:24:23,720 --> 00:24:25,760
Speaker 2: this Zambia team might be on the rise.

524
00:24:25,840 --> 00:24:25,959
Speaker 3: Now.

525
00:24:26,000 --> 00:24:29,200
Speaker 2: They've tried to be more defensive and in the AFCON

526
00:24:29,400 --> 00:24:33,200
Speaker 2: they were better defensively, but again, like, how good is

527
00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:37,040
Speaker 2: the level of competition in AFCON. It's not nearly the

528
00:24:37,119 --> 00:24:38,399
Speaker 2: level that they're going to be seeing in this tournament.

529
00:24:38,440 --> 00:24:41,520
Speaker 2: They only conceded three total goals in that af COON

530
00:24:42,119 --> 00:24:44,160
Speaker 2: finished third. None of the goals came from open and play.

531
00:24:44,480 --> 00:24:46,320
Speaker 2: Then they had a couple of friendlies with Columbia that

532
00:24:46,320 --> 00:24:49,359
Speaker 2: they lost, So yeah, in a different group, I would

533
00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:51,960
Speaker 2: have been really into Zambia. I just think the Japanese

534
00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:55,280
Speaker 2: floor is pretty high. Of course, like Spain could have

535
00:24:55,560 --> 00:24:58,840
Speaker 2: like this mutiny could just be that detrimental. But even

536
00:24:58,920 --> 00:25:01,280
Speaker 2: still with Spain, like there's so much talent. They have

537
00:25:01,400 --> 00:25:04,200
Speaker 2: three players in the top twelve and the Golden Budodds,

538
00:25:04,240 --> 00:25:07,240
Speaker 2: including Rodondo from Lavonte who was the leading goal scorer

539
00:25:07,280 --> 00:25:10,440
Speaker 2: in Spain this year. She's awesome, Like they're going to

540
00:25:10,520 --> 00:25:13,840
Speaker 2: have so much firepower, and those three players doesn't even mention,

541
00:25:14,840 --> 00:25:17,359
Speaker 2: you know, with Gonzales and Hermoso and then and put Petuelis,

542
00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:20,080
Speaker 2: Like they have so much talent in going forward that

543
00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:21,720
Speaker 2: I think they're going to score a lot of goals

544
00:25:22,040 --> 00:25:24,720
Speaker 2: on Zambia, which is gonna be a problem for them

545
00:25:24,760 --> 00:25:27,119
Speaker 2: to advance. So yeah, not a good enough number on

546
00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:30,400
Speaker 2: Zambia to advance. But I think the Japanese floor, even

547
00:25:30,400 --> 00:25:33,159
Speaker 2: though this is not the Japan of the last decade,

548
00:25:33,200 --> 00:25:35,760
Speaker 2: like that generation has definitely turned over and this one

549
00:25:35,840 --> 00:25:38,480
Speaker 2: is just not quite as talented. Japan is more in

550
00:25:38,600 --> 00:25:40,960
Speaker 2: that like ten to fifteen range for me than a

551
00:25:41,040 --> 00:25:43,080
Speaker 2: normal top top contender.

552
00:25:43,480 --> 00:25:46,040
Speaker 3: Right, and I you know, this is also kind of

553
00:25:46,160 --> 00:25:49,360
Speaker 3: a good picture on the lens of like the disparity

554
00:25:49,400 --> 00:25:52,440
Speaker 3: of talent and the women's game Spain. You know, some

555
00:25:52,560 --> 00:25:54,840
Speaker 3: of some of the World Cup qualifiers happened before the

556
00:25:54,920 --> 00:25:57,600
Speaker 3: euros so and then some of them happened after they

557
00:25:57,640 --> 00:26:01,040
Speaker 3: outscored their opponents fifty three to nothing the World Cup qualifiers,

558
00:26:01,200 --> 00:26:03,080
Speaker 3: which is going to be similar to you know, England

559
00:26:03,119 --> 00:26:04,960
Speaker 3: and all these other top teams where they just punished

560
00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:08,000
Speaker 3: everybody throughout World Cup qualifying. So you can't really take

561
00:26:08,000 --> 00:26:12,400
Speaker 3: into account those matches, you know, against the Farol Islands, Hungary, Ukraine, Scotland,

562
00:26:12,520 --> 00:26:14,119
Speaker 3: you know, some of the teams that are in this

563
00:26:14,200 --> 00:26:17,480
Speaker 3: World Cup. But we'll see, I mean, yeah, well, when

564
00:26:17,520 --> 00:26:20,600
Speaker 3: we get into the individual matches, I think Zambia will

565
00:26:20,640 --> 00:26:24,239
Speaker 3: be a very very fun team to bet. All right,

566
00:26:24,320 --> 00:26:28,040
Speaker 3: let's move on to Group D. One of the tournament favorites.

567
00:26:28,119 --> 00:26:31,560
Speaker 3: England is one of the biggest favorites to win a

568
00:26:31,600 --> 00:26:35,560
Speaker 3: group at over minus three thousand. Denmark is twelve to

569
00:26:35,640 --> 00:26:39,080
Speaker 3: one to win this group. China sitting at forty to

570
00:26:39,160 --> 00:26:42,119
Speaker 3: one to win this group, and Haiti is the longest

571
00:26:42,160 --> 00:26:45,639
Speaker 3: shot at eighty to one. This seems like one of

572
00:26:45,680 --> 00:26:49,359
Speaker 3: the more straightforward groups in my opinion that I believe

573
00:26:49,400 --> 00:26:51,200
Speaker 3: that England and Denmark are just going to go through,

574
00:26:51,280 --> 00:26:53,199
Speaker 3: and I think that the odds are just.

575
00:26:53,200 --> 00:26:55,400
Speaker 1: A tag too high, and first of all, in England.

576
00:26:55,200 --> 00:26:56,960
Speaker 3: To win this group into advance, I mean, there's no

577
00:26:56,960 --> 00:26:59,760
Speaker 3: way I'm gonna pay that durassic of a price. I

578
00:26:59,800 --> 00:27:02,720
Speaker 3: mean in England is pretty straightforward. You know, the second

579
00:27:02,800 --> 00:27:07,600
Speaker 3: or third best team talent wise in the world. And Denmark,

580
00:27:07,880 --> 00:27:10,200
Speaker 3: you know who does have a lot of talent. I

581
00:27:10,240 --> 00:27:12,200
Speaker 3: would have loved to get them in this group over China,

582
00:27:12,280 --> 00:27:13,920
Speaker 3: but the odds have just kind of gotten too big

583
00:27:13,960 --> 00:27:16,200
Speaker 3: on them, so I am passing on this group.

584
00:27:16,240 --> 00:27:18,040
Speaker 1: Do you have any thoughts here on Group D?

585
00:27:19,040 --> 00:27:21,159
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I think England is a little overvalued.

586
00:27:21,640 --> 00:27:24,080
Speaker 2: I am not seeing what everybody else is just given

587
00:27:24,080 --> 00:27:27,800
Speaker 2: the injury situation. I get why England is priced where

588
00:27:27,800 --> 00:27:29,320
Speaker 2: they are, and I get why they're minus three thirty

589
00:27:29,320 --> 00:27:31,480
Speaker 2: to win this group. I get it. They won the

590
00:27:31,560 --> 00:27:35,000
Speaker 2: Euros last season. Last summer, they beat Germany in the final,

591
00:27:35,640 --> 00:27:39,360
Speaker 2: but they lose Leah Williamson, who's their captain and their

592
00:27:39,400 --> 00:27:42,520
Speaker 2: best defender. They lose Beth Mead, who was the leading

593
00:27:42,560 --> 00:27:45,840
Speaker 2: goal scorer at the Euros. They lose fran Kirby to injury.

594
00:27:45,960 --> 00:27:49,520
Speaker 2: Now they have lost a ton of depth and key

595
00:27:49,600 --> 00:27:52,880
Speaker 2: pieces in every part of this team, even if Mary

596
00:27:52,960 --> 00:27:55,040
Speaker 2: IRPs is the best goalkeeper in the world, and that's

597
00:27:55,119 --> 00:27:57,119
Speaker 2: still going to be a huge strength for them. Like,

598
00:27:57,320 --> 00:28:00,200
Speaker 2: this is a dangerous path for the English and I

599
00:28:00,280 --> 00:28:02,760
Speaker 2: can't get to the number in terms of just speaking outrights,

600
00:28:02,760 --> 00:28:04,080
Speaker 2: and we're going to do more kind of on the

601
00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:07,840
Speaker 2: general picture of the whole field tomorrow on our show.

602
00:28:08,240 --> 00:28:11,000
Speaker 2: But I think that the injuries here are going to

603
00:28:11,000 --> 00:28:13,440
Speaker 2: be a problem when you consider that they're going to

604
00:28:13,480 --> 00:28:18,280
Speaker 2: potentially have a path of Canada or Australia, then Germany,

605
00:28:18,840 --> 00:28:20,920
Speaker 2: then France and then the United States. That's like the

606
00:28:20,960 --> 00:28:22,560
Speaker 2: hardest path they could fake. They might have to beat

607
00:28:22,600 --> 00:28:25,400
Speaker 2: the four other best teams in the world to win

608
00:28:25,520 --> 00:28:27,240
Speaker 2: this tournament, and you're only getting like plus four to

609
00:28:27,280 --> 00:28:28,800
Speaker 2: thirty on them to win the whole thing, plus four

610
00:28:28,840 --> 00:28:33,000
Speaker 2: to fifty. I know how good Vegman's been since she

611
00:28:33,080 --> 00:28:36,320
Speaker 2: came in thirty wins and thirty one games it's very impressive,

612
00:28:36,680 --> 00:28:39,560
Speaker 2: but you're buying the peak value on them. And if

613
00:28:39,600 --> 00:28:41,560
Speaker 2: you go back to that Euro final, like I had

614
00:28:41,640 --> 00:28:45,160
Speaker 2: Germany in the final journey, didn't have Alexander Popp was

615
00:28:45,200 --> 00:28:47,680
Speaker 2: their best player, their best striker, and Germany still had

616
00:28:47,720 --> 00:28:50,600
Speaker 2: more shots, more expected goals, created more chances, like just

617
00:28:50,800 --> 00:28:52,960
Speaker 2: kind of controlled the flow of the game. Lost to

618
00:28:53,120 --> 00:28:56,040
Speaker 2: on an extra time. This England team was at home

619
00:28:56,480 --> 00:28:59,760
Speaker 2: for the whole tournament and still didn't dominate the way

620
00:28:59,800 --> 00:29:02,160
Speaker 2: that I thought they could have. The quarterfinal game was

621
00:29:02,200 --> 00:29:05,480
Speaker 2: also very even. They had one impressive win against the Swedes.

622
00:29:05,560 --> 00:29:09,040
Speaker 2: So I think that there's some holes in this English

623
00:29:09,080 --> 00:29:11,360
Speaker 2: team just because of all the injuries, and I think

624
00:29:11,400 --> 00:29:15,000
Speaker 2: that's going to make them a little bit vulnerable even

625
00:29:15,040 --> 00:29:18,120
Speaker 2: if they probably win this group going away, I just

626
00:29:18,120 --> 00:29:19,680
Speaker 2: don't think it's going to show up in this group.

627
00:29:20,040 --> 00:29:24,040
Speaker 2: When you look at Denmark, like Denmark has it's kind

628
00:29:24,080 --> 00:29:25,760
Speaker 2: of similar to the men's in the same way that

629
00:29:25,800 --> 00:29:28,680
Speaker 2: they had that magical Euro run back in twenty seventeen,

630
00:29:28,800 --> 00:29:30,840
Speaker 2: and then they've been trying to recreate that magic and

631
00:29:31,520 --> 00:29:33,560
Speaker 2: like we saw last year at the World Cup and

632
00:29:33,600 --> 00:29:35,960
Speaker 2: the men's they weren't able to recreate it they do

633
00:29:36,120 --> 00:29:39,120
Speaker 2: get harder back. She was expected to potentially miss this.

634
00:29:39,560 --> 00:29:42,880
Speaker 2: She's their best player in terms of scoring goals, creating chances.

635
00:29:43,600 --> 00:29:45,560
Speaker 2: They just signed She's just going to sign with Byron

636
00:29:46,240 --> 00:29:48,880
Speaker 2: and then Saunder Guard's last ride as manager. So, like,

637
00:29:49,040 --> 00:29:51,680
Speaker 2: you know, can they recreate the magic with them in charge?

638
00:29:52,080 --> 00:29:54,200
Speaker 2: We'll see. I think their matchup with China is going

639
00:29:54,240 --> 00:29:56,160
Speaker 2: to be really interesting because there is a lot of

640
00:29:57,200 --> 00:29:58,840
Speaker 2: two teams that want to have the ball, two teams

641
00:29:58,880 --> 00:30:03,280
Speaker 2: that press a lot, two teams that have attacking talent

642
00:30:03,400 --> 00:30:05,600
Speaker 2: to create chances. But I think that Denmark's much better

643
00:30:05,680 --> 00:30:08,680
Speaker 2: out of possession, that's better defensively, and I think that's

644
00:30:08,760 --> 00:30:10,720
Speaker 2: ultimately what gets them out of this group. I thought

645
00:30:10,720 --> 00:30:13,000
Speaker 2: it would be closer to a coin toss, and I

646
00:30:13,000 --> 00:30:15,720
Speaker 2: would have laid Denmark. We talked about this just before

647
00:30:15,760 --> 00:30:18,320
Speaker 2: the show. Like Denmark at you know, minus two fifty

648
00:30:18,320 --> 00:30:20,720
Speaker 2: two advance, probably right about where it should be, Whereas

649
00:30:20,720 --> 00:30:22,480
Speaker 2: if they had, you know, come in under minus two hundred,

650
00:30:22,480 --> 00:30:24,800
Speaker 2: I would have laid it on the Danes to advance.

651
00:30:24,840 --> 00:30:26,640
Speaker 2: I do think they advance, but I don't really see

652
00:30:26,640 --> 00:30:28,960
Speaker 2: a ton of upside here. The winner whatever comes in

653
00:30:29,040 --> 00:30:30,640
Speaker 2: second in this group is going to get the Aussie

654
00:30:30,720 --> 00:30:35,920
Speaker 2: Canada winner, so that would be a potential underdog spot there,

655
00:30:35,920 --> 00:30:38,240
Speaker 2: although they could scare those teams and then they would

656
00:30:38,240 --> 00:30:40,239
Speaker 2: get France potentially the quarterfinal, where I think they'd run

657
00:30:40,240 --> 00:30:42,400
Speaker 2: out of gas. So I don't really see a ton

658
00:30:42,440 --> 00:30:45,800
Speaker 2: of upside for the Danes. But in this group it's

659
00:30:45,840 --> 00:30:47,280
Speaker 2: really England and then everybody else.

660
00:30:48,360 --> 00:30:49,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree.

661
00:30:49,120 --> 00:30:51,960
Speaker 3: You know the thing about China, it's very interesting because

662
00:30:51,960 --> 00:30:55,040
Speaker 3: they are the you know, the Asian Cup champions. You know,

663
00:30:55,080 --> 00:30:58,080
Speaker 3: they'd beat Japan and South Korea on the way to

664
00:30:58,120 --> 00:31:02,320
Speaker 3: win that, but then they've been really poor in the

665
00:31:02,400 --> 00:31:05,440
Speaker 3: lead up to this, Like they've got dominated by Sweden

666
00:31:05,480 --> 00:31:07,840
Speaker 3: for nothing. They drew Ireland and Switzerman zero zero, and

667
00:31:07,880 --> 00:31:10,880
Speaker 3: then got thrashed through nothing by Spain just before and

668
00:31:10,920 --> 00:31:13,520
Speaker 3: then even today they played against Columbia and drew them

669
00:31:13,560 --> 00:31:17,120
Speaker 3: too too. So there's you know, like you mentioned, like

670
00:31:17,160 --> 00:31:18,680
Speaker 3: they're a four to four to two team that likes

671
00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:20,080
Speaker 3: to do you know a lot of like like Japan,

672
00:31:20,120 --> 00:31:22,520
Speaker 3: a lot of pressing traps, sit back kind of in

673
00:31:22,560 --> 00:31:24,440
Speaker 3: a low block, but they will come out and press

674
00:31:24,480 --> 00:31:27,800
Speaker 3: you and they are successful in doing that. They're gonna

675
00:31:27,800 --> 00:31:30,080
Speaker 3: be a team that you know, basically all their players

676
00:31:30,120 --> 00:31:32,680
Speaker 3: played domestically in China, which is not a horrible league

677
00:31:32,760 --> 00:31:35,240
Speaker 3: in terms of talent level, but it's not up to

678
00:31:35,280 --> 00:31:36,920
Speaker 3: the par of the level of some of the other

679
00:31:37,000 --> 00:31:40,080
Speaker 3: top leagues around the world throughout you know, Europe and Australia,

680
00:31:40,160 --> 00:31:43,040
Speaker 3: the United States, you know, to mention a few. So

681
00:31:43,160 --> 00:31:46,080
Speaker 3: it's very, very difficult to get behind China given their

682
00:31:46,120 --> 00:31:48,280
Speaker 3: poor results coming into this World Cup, even though they

683
00:31:48,320 --> 00:31:51,480
Speaker 3: are the Asian champions. Yeah, like you mentioned, you know,

684
00:31:51,520 --> 00:31:54,000
Speaker 3: Denmarket minus two fifty a team that has a lot

685
00:31:54,080 --> 00:31:56,360
Speaker 3: of a lot of you know, a pretty decent amount

686
00:31:56,360 --> 00:31:58,360
Speaker 3: of talent, you know, with heart, especially getting harder back

687
00:31:58,840 --> 00:32:00,520
Speaker 3: you know, broad plays for lay on one of the

688
00:32:00,520 --> 00:32:03,760
Speaker 3: best French teams in the world. So very very difficult

689
00:32:03,800 --> 00:32:05,480
Speaker 3: to get by in China to advance in the scrip.

690
00:32:05,520 --> 00:32:06,680
Speaker 3: So I think this is one of those groups where

691
00:32:06,680 --> 00:32:09,160
Speaker 3: you just kind of have to pass and let it go.

692
00:32:09,200 --> 00:32:10,920
Speaker 3: But yeah, the Denmark China game will be very very

693
00:32:10,960 --> 00:32:13,840
Speaker 3: interesting and pretty much ultimately decide who is going to

694
00:32:13,920 --> 00:32:15,480
Speaker 3: go through in this group.

695
00:32:16,640 --> 00:32:18,640
Speaker 2: It's incredibly cool. I'm want to talk about Haiti real quick.

696
00:32:18,680 --> 00:32:20,200
Speaker 2: It is very cool that they made it to this tournament,

697
00:32:20,200 --> 00:32:22,800
Speaker 2: and I actually think that, like, had they been in

698
00:32:22,880 --> 00:32:25,160
Speaker 2: a group with a weaker second and third team, they

699
00:32:25,360 --> 00:32:28,960
Speaker 2: might have had a chance maybe BA Yeah, like if

700
00:32:29,000 --> 00:32:30,440
Speaker 2: they had been put in Group age or even like

701
00:32:30,480 --> 00:32:32,320
Speaker 2: a Group A with New Zealand and the Swiss, like

702
00:32:32,320 --> 00:32:35,120
Speaker 2: I would have been more interested in them. They have

703
00:32:35,680 --> 00:32:38,000
Speaker 2: a lot of young talent. They're pulling a lot, and

704
00:32:38,040 --> 00:32:40,360
Speaker 2: they've had a real plan. They've gotten a lot of

705
00:32:40,360 --> 00:32:44,400
Speaker 2: their top players into the French League and kind of

706
00:32:44,520 --> 00:32:47,240
Speaker 2: tried to build it from there. They look really young.

707
00:32:47,280 --> 00:32:49,280
Speaker 2: They're one of the youngest teams on paper in terms

708
00:32:49,280 --> 00:32:51,280
Speaker 2: of like where their squad is relative to peak age.

709
00:32:51,880 --> 00:32:54,120
Speaker 2: They probably lack like top end technical quality as a

710
00:32:54,160 --> 00:32:58,080
Speaker 2: result of that, But like they just had Melchi Dumernet

711
00:32:58,200 --> 00:33:01,440
Speaker 2: join Leon, she's nineteen. I feel like this Haiti team,

712
00:33:01,560 --> 00:33:04,560
Speaker 2: they keep them together the next cycle. This could be

713
00:33:04,680 --> 00:33:06,800
Speaker 2: like a golden generation of Haiti where they could actually

714
00:33:06,800 --> 00:33:08,560
Speaker 2: get out of a group and it wouldn't shock me.

715
00:33:09,200 --> 00:33:12,000
Speaker 2: But again, like they're probably still a cycle away. They

716
00:33:12,040 --> 00:33:14,680
Speaker 2: are going to be interesting. They were competitive. They had

717
00:33:15,240 --> 00:33:18,160
Speaker 2: pre tournament friendlies with Korea and Nigeria that they lost

718
00:33:18,200 --> 00:33:21,440
Speaker 2: by just a single goal. In the CONCACAF Women's Tournament

719
00:33:21,520 --> 00:33:24,680
Speaker 2: last year, they were significantly less competitive, lost to Jamaica

720
00:33:24,760 --> 00:33:27,880
Speaker 2: by four, the United States by three, and lost to

721
00:33:27,880 --> 00:33:29,680
Speaker 2: Costa Rica and a friendly prior to that. So, like,

722
00:33:29,760 --> 00:33:32,440
Speaker 2: there haven't been a ton, but you can see the

723
00:33:32,600 --> 00:33:34,760
Speaker 2: signs that they're building towards something. I just think that's

724
00:33:34,800 --> 00:33:38,080
Speaker 2: something is probably another cycle away. I'm not really convinced

725
00:33:38,400 --> 00:33:41,120
Speaker 2: that they have the experience or the current talent to

726
00:33:41,160 --> 00:33:42,440
Speaker 2: get there right now.

727
00:33:43,600 --> 00:33:45,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree, you know, it is encouraging, you know,

728
00:33:45,840 --> 00:33:47,200
Speaker 3: like you said, like with a lot of other players

729
00:33:47,240 --> 00:33:50,320
Speaker 3: playing over in France does give you encouragement as opposed

730
00:33:50,360 --> 00:33:52,240
Speaker 3: to some of these other long shots who a lot

731
00:33:52,280 --> 00:33:54,520
Speaker 3: of their players are just playing domestically in whatever country.

732
00:33:55,320 --> 00:33:58,760
Speaker 3: They are so encouraging stuff for Haiti, you know there,

733
00:33:59,240 --> 00:34:02,360
Speaker 3: I believe they're i've goal underdogs against England in the

734
00:34:02,400 --> 00:34:06,200
Speaker 3: first game, which you know, maybe maybe we can you.

735
00:34:06,240 --> 00:34:09,600
Speaker 1: Know, talk ourselves into that one, but probably not.

736
00:34:14,000 --> 00:34:16,600
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737
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738
00:34:19,000 --> 00:34:20,360
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745
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746
00:34:42,440 --> 00:34:45,040
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747
00:34:45,560 --> 00:34:48,879
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748
00:34:48,920 --> 00:34:52,080
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749
00:34:52,400 --> 00:34:54,160
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750
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751
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