1 00:00:15,356 --> 00:00:27,076 Speaker 1: Pushkin. Michael lewis here, Welcome back to Against the Rules. 2 00:00:28,116 --> 00:00:29,956 Speaker 1: You might have noticed from the early episodes of this 3 00:00:29,996 --> 00:00:32,196 Speaker 1: season that I've got a weakness for the old school 4 00:00:32,236 --> 00:00:35,036 Speaker 1: sports gambler, the kind who found a hard way to 5 00:00:35,076 --> 00:00:38,236 Speaker 1: make an easy living and then somehow made it even harder, 6 00:00:39,116 --> 00:00:41,836 Speaker 1: who screwed up and lived large, and took crazy risks 7 00:00:42,196 --> 00:00:46,476 Speaker 1: and eventually found some edge. No one screwed up quite 8 00:00:46,476 --> 00:00:49,756 Speaker 1: so much, or live quite so large, or found such 9 00:00:49,796 --> 00:00:53,036 Speaker 1: a sharp edge as Billy Walders. He's maybe the most 10 00:00:53,076 --> 00:00:57,116 Speaker 1: famous sports better in American history. He was born poor 11 00:00:57,156 --> 00:01:00,196 Speaker 1: in Kentucky and betting on anything that moved before he 12 00:01:00,236 --> 00:01:03,036 Speaker 1: was old enough to drink. Then he started drinking and 13 00:01:03,036 --> 00:01:07,156 Speaker 1: bet even more. He's been a car dealer, a poker champion, 14 00:01:07,636 --> 00:01:10,436 Speaker 1: and also an inmate at a federal prison after he 15 00:01:10,516 --> 00:01:14,316 Speaker 1: was convicted of insider trading. President Trump pardoned him back 16 00:01:14,316 --> 00:01:17,876 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty one. But let me let him tell 17 00:01:17,876 --> 00:01:21,036 Speaker 1: you about himself. Here he is reading from his memoir 18 00:01:21,796 --> 00:01:23,836 Speaker 1: titled Simply Gambler. 19 00:01:24,836 --> 00:01:29,036 Speaker 2: I'm a gambler, but not just any gambler. My wager 20 00:01:29,076 --> 00:01:33,996 Speaker 2: has ran the spectrum, pitching pennies and dingy racetrack bathrooms, 21 00:01:34,516 --> 00:01:39,436 Speaker 2: hustling pool and back road shanties, betting thousands of dollars 22 00:01:39,476 --> 00:01:43,556 Speaker 2: on a single putt on golf courses, and losing millions 23 00:01:43,556 --> 00:01:47,956 Speaker 2: in Las Vegas casinos. And that does include betting billions 24 00:01:47,996 --> 00:01:51,076 Speaker 2: of dollars collectively on every American sport. 25 00:01:52,996 --> 00:01:55,116 Speaker 1: Billy Walters has a lot to say about the life 26 00:01:55,116 --> 00:01:57,996 Speaker 1: he's lived in the state of legalized sports betting in 27 00:01:58,036 --> 00:02:01,076 Speaker 1: the US today. He knows where the bodies are buried, 28 00:02:01,436 --> 00:02:05,396 Speaker 1: and only narrowly escaped being buried there himself. So I 29 00:02:05,396 --> 00:02:08,756 Speaker 1: wanted to devote a whole episode to our conversation. I 30 00:02:08,756 --> 00:02:13,916 Speaker 1: know you'll enjoy it. When did you first realize I 31 00:02:14,036 --> 00:02:14,796 Speaker 1: like to gamble? 32 00:02:15,636 --> 00:02:19,116 Speaker 2: From the second I was introduced to the I don't know. 33 00:02:19,196 --> 00:02:25,876 Speaker 2: I was around five years old. Probably my grandmother started 34 00:02:25,996 --> 00:02:28,316 Speaker 2: leaving me my uncle's pool room when I was four. 35 00:02:30,636 --> 00:02:32,756 Speaker 2: I know for sure the time I was six, I 36 00:02:32,796 --> 00:02:36,156 Speaker 2: was playing penny nine ball. But the first time I 37 00:02:36,156 --> 00:02:39,476 Speaker 2: did any type of gambling, it was like, you know, 38 00:02:39,516 --> 00:02:40,996 Speaker 2: a child being introduced to sugar. 39 00:02:41,676 --> 00:02:42,596 Speaker 3: I really enjoyed it. 40 00:02:43,076 --> 00:02:44,756 Speaker 1: Why do you think you enjoyed it? You wouldn't have 41 00:02:44,956 --> 00:02:46,756 Speaker 1: put it into words when you're six years old, But 42 00:02:46,756 --> 00:02:48,156 Speaker 1: when you look back on it, What do you think 43 00:02:48,196 --> 00:02:48,956 Speaker 1: you liked about it? 44 00:02:50,876 --> 00:02:53,636 Speaker 2: I think even at that age, although I never consciously 45 00:02:53,796 --> 00:02:55,436 Speaker 2: thought about it, I got a rush out of it. 46 00:02:57,036 --> 00:02:59,556 Speaker 3: I think there was. I think there was a rush. 47 00:02:59,636 --> 00:03:01,716 Speaker 3: I think there was, you know. 48 00:03:02,076 --> 00:03:06,116 Speaker 2: I mean, who who doesn't like to win? From as 49 00:03:06,156 --> 00:03:11,636 Speaker 2: far back as I can remember, I've been competitive, But 50 00:03:11,756 --> 00:03:14,156 Speaker 2: the gambling part, I think the main reason is. 51 00:03:14,156 --> 00:03:17,636 Speaker 3: The rush from it. You had that rush right away, 52 00:03:17,836 --> 00:03:18,476 Speaker 3: Oh for sure. 53 00:03:19,036 --> 00:03:22,156 Speaker 1: I kind of want to fast forward to this transition 54 00:03:22,276 --> 00:03:25,556 Speaker 1: in your career where you go from being what you 55 00:03:25,636 --> 00:03:28,876 Speaker 1: described as a degenerate gambler to an edge player. 56 00:03:29,756 --> 00:03:33,556 Speaker 2: When I lived in a small town in Kentucky, Muffordville, 57 00:03:34,196 --> 00:03:36,796 Speaker 2: I became a pretty good pool player. And then when 58 00:03:36,796 --> 00:03:39,316 Speaker 2: I got out of high school, I wanted the automobile business, 59 00:03:39,636 --> 00:03:44,076 Speaker 2: and I started making more money than I'd ever imagined. 60 00:03:44,116 --> 00:03:46,556 Speaker 2: And as a result, I had access to more money 61 00:03:47,356 --> 00:03:53,276 Speaker 2: and started betting sports and started playing poker. And really 62 00:03:53,316 --> 00:03:56,916 Speaker 2: I had no reason to have any type of an age. 63 00:03:56,956 --> 00:04:00,756 Speaker 2: I mean, I'm using a goal sheet and picking all 64 00:04:00,836 --> 00:04:03,156 Speaker 2: games out of that. I mean, I wasn't better on 65 00:04:03,276 --> 00:04:05,276 Speaker 2: my favorite teams. I wasn't dumb enough to do that. 66 00:04:05,436 --> 00:04:07,756 Speaker 2: But I was probably even dumber. I had a goal 67 00:04:07,836 --> 00:04:11,316 Speaker 2: sheet and thought I knew something about it, and that's 68 00:04:11,316 --> 00:04:15,036 Speaker 2: how initially started betting sports and then golf from day one. 69 00:04:15,156 --> 00:04:17,556 Speaker 2: Though I was never really a sucker when it came 70 00:04:17,596 --> 00:04:19,396 Speaker 2: to match it up playing golf because it was a 71 00:04:19,396 --> 00:04:22,556 Speaker 2: lot like pool, So I didn't take any of the 72 00:04:22,636 --> 00:04:23,836 Speaker 2: worst of it playing golf. 73 00:04:24,516 --> 00:04:26,756 Speaker 1: Ever, where did you take the worst of it? 74 00:04:27,796 --> 00:04:30,476 Speaker 2: I took the worst of it betting sports. And this 75 00:04:30,556 --> 00:04:33,756 Speaker 2: is the reason that I have concerns about, you know, 76 00:04:33,956 --> 00:04:39,156 Speaker 2: the potential addiction in the way things are going with 77 00:04:39,836 --> 00:04:43,956 Speaker 2: legalized sports betting. There's a tremendous amount of addiction out 78 00:04:43,956 --> 00:04:44,876 Speaker 2: there that exists. 79 00:04:44,916 --> 00:04:45,116 Speaker 3: Now. 80 00:04:45,716 --> 00:04:47,556 Speaker 2: I was one of those people. That's the reason I 81 00:04:47,556 --> 00:04:49,836 Speaker 2: can talk about this. The only person that doesn't have 82 00:04:49,876 --> 00:04:51,836 Speaker 2: a place at the table right now is a player. 83 00:04:52,676 --> 00:04:56,116 Speaker 2: You know, you've got regulators, you've got operators, and regulators 84 00:04:56,156 --> 00:04:58,596 Speaker 2: don't know anything about it. They've been told what to 85 00:04:58,676 --> 00:05:03,236 Speaker 2: do by basically the lobbyists who were either ex regulators 86 00:05:03,316 --> 00:05:07,236 Speaker 2: or ex politicians who the operators have hired. So essentially, 87 00:05:07,556 --> 00:05:10,836 Speaker 2: the operators have created a vironment where it's you know, 88 00:05:10,916 --> 00:05:14,876 Speaker 2: it's very very conducive to their business into them but 89 00:05:15,476 --> 00:05:18,716 Speaker 2: it's not in the long term best interest of legalized 90 00:05:18,756 --> 00:05:21,316 Speaker 2: sports betting, you know. And I got introduced to sports 91 00:05:21,396 --> 00:05:24,076 Speaker 2: betting and I had money, and uh, you know, it's 92 00:05:24,076 --> 00:05:26,156 Speaker 2: the same old story. You know, you get loser, and 93 00:05:26,196 --> 00:05:28,796 Speaker 2: you tell yourself the story. You know, as soon as 94 00:05:28,796 --> 00:05:31,996 Speaker 2: I get even, I'm gonna quit. Well, two things either happen. 95 00:05:32,076 --> 00:05:34,916 Speaker 2: You never you never get even, or you do get even, 96 00:05:34,956 --> 00:05:36,356 Speaker 2: you think, well, I got to figure it out. Now 97 00:05:36,396 --> 00:05:38,196 Speaker 2: I'm going to beat them, and you still don't quit. 98 00:05:38,996 --> 00:05:43,316 Speaker 2: And uh, you know, you're you definitely have a mathematical 99 00:05:43,356 --> 00:05:47,596 Speaker 2: disadvantage if you're just picking bowl games with no information whatsoever. 100 00:05:48,316 --> 00:05:51,836 Speaker 2: But as I got access to more money, I got 101 00:05:51,876 --> 00:05:55,156 Speaker 2: invited to go to Las Vegas, and uh, and you know, 102 00:05:55,516 --> 00:05:58,556 Speaker 2: clearly that was an eye opener. I mean it's like 103 00:05:59,676 --> 00:06:01,956 Speaker 2: you know, a wild dog in a meet house. I mean, 104 00:06:02,036 --> 00:06:05,436 Speaker 2: I'm in Louisville, Kentucky. The games were always too small, 105 00:06:05,836 --> 00:06:07,916 Speaker 2: nobody would ever play for a lot of money. But 106 00:06:07,956 --> 00:06:09,996 Speaker 2: when I got to Las Vegas, I was different. And 107 00:06:10,156 --> 00:06:13,276 Speaker 2: of course I'm playing games I had a mathematical advantage in, 108 00:06:13,396 --> 00:06:16,316 Speaker 2: but the limits were they were much higher. So, man, 109 00:06:16,636 --> 00:06:20,076 Speaker 2: Las Vegas, I love that, But my problem during that 110 00:06:20,116 --> 00:06:23,796 Speaker 2: period of time was drinking. When I didn't drink, I 111 00:06:23,956 --> 00:06:25,956 Speaker 2: was a really tough guy to beat down his money, 112 00:06:26,876 --> 00:06:29,596 Speaker 2: you know, whether it was poker, whether it was golf. 113 00:06:30,556 --> 00:06:32,836 Speaker 2: As a matter of fact, I was a winning player. 114 00:06:33,556 --> 00:06:36,676 Speaker 2: But the problem was a drinking and I didn't think 115 00:06:36,676 --> 00:06:39,236 Speaker 2: I had a problem with it because I didn't really 116 00:06:39,356 --> 00:06:42,396 Speaker 2: drink that often. You know, I would drink, and when 117 00:06:42,436 --> 00:06:45,116 Speaker 2: I did drink, I would get hammered and the dumbest 118 00:06:45,156 --> 00:06:48,556 Speaker 2: decisions I were made. I mean I made those while 119 00:06:48,596 --> 00:06:53,596 Speaker 2: I was drinking, But once that night was over, I 120 00:06:53,596 --> 00:06:56,956 Speaker 2: didn't drink again for like three weeks months sometime. 121 00:06:57,116 --> 00:06:57,476 Speaker 3: Huh. 122 00:06:57,516 --> 00:06:59,436 Speaker 2: So I never dreamed I really had a problem of 123 00:06:59,516 --> 00:07:03,396 Speaker 2: drinking until after a number of years. I kept looking back, 124 00:07:03,396 --> 00:07:05,716 Speaker 2: and every problem that I ever created for myself, whether 125 00:07:05,716 --> 00:07:09,076 Speaker 2: it be financial or personal, they all came from drink. 126 00:07:10,796 --> 00:07:12,956 Speaker 1: When do you cease to be a degenerate gambler and 127 00:07:12,956 --> 00:07:14,276 Speaker 1: when do you become something else? 128 00:07:15,996 --> 00:07:18,396 Speaker 2: When I moved to Las, say yes, my money management 129 00:07:18,476 --> 00:07:25,356 Speaker 2: skills were blow average. I had a difficult time going 130 00:07:25,356 --> 00:07:29,556 Speaker 2: to bed loser regardless of of you know, whether I 131 00:07:29,596 --> 00:07:32,596 Speaker 2: had the best of it or not. But anyway, once 132 00:07:32,676 --> 00:07:35,476 Speaker 2: Chip became my partner. He probably was as good a 133 00:07:35,516 --> 00:07:40,796 Speaker 2: manager with managing money as any gambler I ever met 134 00:07:40,876 --> 00:07:43,356 Speaker 2: in my life. And I think there were times probably 135 00:07:43,436 --> 00:07:46,676 Speaker 2: that he was a little too conservative, but overall, at 136 00:07:46,676 --> 00:07:50,196 Speaker 2: the end of the day, looking back at it, I 137 00:07:50,236 --> 00:07:53,636 Speaker 2: think he made the best decisions of anyone I've seen, 138 00:07:54,756 --> 00:07:58,316 Speaker 2: and by being his partner, you know, after a period 139 00:07:58,356 --> 00:08:00,756 Speaker 2: of time, I saw what he was doing was right. 140 00:08:01,316 --> 00:08:03,356 Speaker 1: What kind of things was he doing that you weren't 141 00:08:03,396 --> 00:08:04,996 Speaker 1: doing well? 142 00:08:05,316 --> 00:08:09,276 Speaker 2: As example, I mean, if we had eight games to 143 00:08:09,276 --> 00:08:11,436 Speaker 2: bet on a Sunday, if we were to go one 144 00:08:11,516 --> 00:08:15,596 Speaker 2: in seven and we had one play left, we didn't 145 00:08:15,636 --> 00:08:17,836 Speaker 2: bet any more any less on that game than what 146 00:08:17,876 --> 00:08:20,036 Speaker 2: we were supposed to bet, or if we had no 147 00:08:20,076 --> 00:08:23,076 Speaker 2: plays left, we went to bed. What I was doing 148 00:08:23,236 --> 00:08:25,116 Speaker 2: is if we'd gone one in seven, there was one 149 00:08:25,116 --> 00:08:26,636 Speaker 2: game left, whether I had a better or not, I 150 00:08:26,676 --> 00:08:29,116 Speaker 2: was going to bet on it. And then the other 151 00:08:29,396 --> 00:08:31,916 Speaker 2: thing I would do, if it was a small, I 152 00:08:31,916 --> 00:08:34,156 Speaker 2: would end up playing it as a large or something 153 00:08:34,196 --> 00:08:36,836 Speaker 2: such as that. So that was Those are the main 154 00:08:36,916 --> 00:08:39,756 Speaker 2: things that he was doing that I wasn't doing. 155 00:08:40,276 --> 00:08:43,556 Speaker 3: He was rule based very much, so yes, yes, you 156 00:08:43,596 --> 00:08:51,516 Speaker 3: weren't not in the least no, but anyway, so after 157 00:08:51,996 --> 00:08:54,116 Speaker 3: a very short period of time, I saw he was right, 158 00:08:54,156 --> 00:08:56,196 Speaker 3: and then I became le based on everything that I 159 00:08:56,236 --> 00:09:00,716 Speaker 3: did until I drank. And then, you know, as the example, 160 00:09:00,756 --> 00:09:03,716 Speaker 3: I accumulated a million dollars and I went out one 161 00:09:03,796 --> 00:09:08,276 Speaker 3: night again drinking, got drunk, lost the entire million dollars. 162 00:09:08,276 --> 00:09:12,116 Speaker 3: Once another two thousand dollars. I did that again, only 163 00:09:12,156 --> 00:09:14,516 Speaker 3: the next time it was a two million dollars. And 164 00:09:14,556 --> 00:09:18,476 Speaker 3: then finally there was an incident that came up that 165 00:09:18,836 --> 00:09:21,476 Speaker 3: made me decide that I was never going to drink again. 166 00:09:22,956 --> 00:09:25,636 Speaker 1: We're going to take a quick break. Then hear all 167 00:09:25,676 --> 00:09:39,196 Speaker 1: about that incident. I'm back with Billy Walters talking about 168 00:09:39,196 --> 00:09:42,196 Speaker 1: the sensational turn his gambling life took back in nineteen 169 00:09:42,236 --> 00:09:44,836 Speaker 1: eighty seven after he quit drinking. 170 00:09:46,636 --> 00:09:48,836 Speaker 2: I had a good friend. His name was Freddie Ferris, 171 00:09:49,356 --> 00:09:53,476 Speaker 2: his nickname was Sarge. He was a poker player in 172 00:09:53,516 --> 00:09:59,156 Speaker 2: Las Vegas, very successful poker player, and he had been 173 00:09:59,236 --> 00:10:03,716 Speaker 2: diagnosed with a terminal brain tumor and lung cancer. And 174 00:10:04,196 --> 00:10:08,476 Speaker 2: I was a smoker at the time, and I went 175 00:10:08,516 --> 00:10:11,556 Speaker 2: out that night with another friend. I was really depressed, 176 00:10:12,596 --> 00:10:15,996 Speaker 2: started drinking. I went to the horseshoe started gambling and 177 00:10:17,076 --> 00:10:20,036 Speaker 2: had an incident with one of the owners, Ted Benyon, 178 00:10:20,836 --> 00:10:24,996 Speaker 2: and really made a fool of myself. I got up 179 00:10:24,996 --> 00:10:29,436 Speaker 2: the next day and I felt so bad about, you know, 180 00:10:29,756 --> 00:10:31,516 Speaker 2: the incident, so I called up. 181 00:10:33,116 --> 00:10:34,796 Speaker 3: Check Benion, his older brother. 182 00:10:34,676 --> 00:10:38,796 Speaker 2: Apologized, He accepted my apology, and I decided that that 183 00:10:38,956 --> 00:10:41,676 Speaker 2: day that look, I'm not going to make a fool 184 00:10:41,716 --> 00:10:45,276 Speaker 2: of myself anymore. This will be the last call I 185 00:10:45,396 --> 00:10:48,516 Speaker 2: left to make and make this apology. So I quit 186 00:10:48,596 --> 00:10:51,076 Speaker 2: drinking and I quit smoking the same day. I knew 187 00:10:51,116 --> 00:10:53,836 Speaker 2: at that point in time that smoking was harmful. I 188 00:10:53,876 --> 00:10:58,596 Speaker 2: was addicted like everyone else was. But when Sarage, when 189 00:10:58,596 --> 00:11:03,116 Speaker 2: he was diagnosed, you know, that was a final deciding 190 00:11:03,196 --> 00:11:03,836 Speaker 2: factor for me. 191 00:11:04,876 --> 00:11:08,516 Speaker 1: So you are probably a rare person who went to 192 00:11:08,596 --> 00:11:11,596 Speaker 1: Vegas and shed himself advices. 193 00:11:11,636 --> 00:11:14,956 Speaker 2: True, very rare, because at the time I was also 194 00:11:15,076 --> 00:11:19,516 Speaker 2: a professional poker player along with betting sports, and I 195 00:11:19,556 --> 00:11:22,676 Speaker 2: had just won the Super Bowl of Poker that year 196 00:11:22,676 --> 00:11:25,596 Speaker 2: I think it was in eighty six. And when I 197 00:11:25,676 --> 00:11:29,276 Speaker 2: decided to quit smoking, I decided to quit playing poker too, 198 00:11:29,356 --> 00:11:32,196 Speaker 2: because the court rooms at that time. 199 00:11:32,076 --> 00:11:35,836 Speaker 3: Were full of smoke. So I quit playing poker. 200 00:11:37,116 --> 00:11:42,196 Speaker 2: And basically quit playing high stakes, golf, and I really 201 00:11:42,236 --> 00:11:45,876 Speaker 2: focused on nothing but sports betting. I was doing sports 202 00:11:45,916 --> 00:11:50,436 Speaker 2: three hunder and sixty five days a year. Baseball, basketball, golf, hockey, tennis. 203 00:11:50,236 --> 00:11:53,356 Speaker 1: Was the sports at that point consistently profitable. 204 00:11:53,556 --> 00:11:54,316 Speaker 3: Yeah, very much. 205 00:11:54,316 --> 00:11:56,996 Speaker 2: So what happened with me in the sports is Michael 206 00:11:57,116 --> 00:12:02,356 Speaker 2: Kent was the first guy who had written a software 207 00:12:02,396 --> 00:12:06,636 Speaker 2: program to handicapped sports. Up until that point, everyone was 208 00:12:06,676 --> 00:12:08,916 Speaker 2: doing sports with a pencil and piece of paper, and 209 00:12:11,556 --> 00:12:16,556 Speaker 2: Michael really revolutionized the way that handicapping was done. He 210 00:12:16,676 --> 00:12:20,636 Speaker 2: was a mathematician, but he also loved sports. But I 211 00:12:20,716 --> 00:12:24,316 Speaker 2: realized after we became associated within a couple of years, 212 00:12:24,396 --> 00:12:30,076 Speaker 2: that he eventually was going to lose his entire competitive 213 00:12:30,116 --> 00:12:36,116 Speaker 2: advantage if he couldn't continue to find things that others 214 00:12:36,356 --> 00:12:43,956 Speaker 2: didn't recognize. So I started recruiting other people with similar 215 00:12:43,956 --> 00:12:48,636 Speaker 2: skill sets, and I also started recruiting people who knew 216 00:12:48,716 --> 00:12:53,756 Speaker 2: the qualitative side of the sports business very well. And then, 217 00:12:54,556 --> 00:12:58,196 Speaker 2: of course, you know, I've been doing it for some 218 00:12:58,396 --> 00:13:02,316 Speaker 2: time and have become pretty good being able to manage 219 00:13:02,316 --> 00:13:06,196 Speaker 2: a market of it. So I was essentially taking a 220 00:13:06,236 --> 00:13:11,716 Speaker 2: consensus of what these people were doing and then factoring 221 00:13:11,756 --> 00:13:15,476 Speaker 2: in both their strengths and weaknesses, and then factoring in, 222 00:13:16,676 --> 00:13:19,716 Speaker 2: you know, a gambler side of the thing that they 223 00:13:19,756 --> 00:13:23,236 Speaker 2: didn't understand. And and and that's what I was doing 224 00:13:23,236 --> 00:13:24,036 Speaker 2: betting sports. 225 00:13:24,796 --> 00:13:26,196 Speaker 1: Is that is that the computer group. 226 00:13:26,756 --> 00:13:28,756 Speaker 3: The computer group was Michael Kent. 227 00:13:29,276 --> 00:13:33,756 Speaker 1: Whi's the first thing you see where he has predictive 228 00:13:33,796 --> 00:13:35,396 Speaker 1: power that you can put to use. 229 00:13:36,836 --> 00:13:40,356 Speaker 2: Before I came to Las Vegas and Kentucky, I was, 230 00:13:40,836 --> 00:13:44,036 Speaker 2: I was betting sports, and I was booking sports, and 231 00:13:44,076 --> 00:13:46,876 Speaker 2: I was handicapping sports myself. I didn't do anything at all 232 00:13:46,796 --> 00:13:49,076 Speaker 2: about computers. I did everything with pencil and paper. I 233 00:13:49,156 --> 00:13:51,716 Speaker 2: was I had power ratings, and of course I had 234 00:13:51,796 --> 00:13:54,676 Speaker 2: player values. I had all those things. But I'm betting 235 00:13:54,676 --> 00:13:57,316 Speaker 2: sports and I'm booking, and I'm shading my numbers based 236 00:13:57,396 --> 00:14:01,956 Speaker 2: upon my opinion. And then uh, there's a guy that 237 00:14:01,996 --> 00:14:04,596 Speaker 2: I knew that was betting me from Pittsburgh, and uh, 238 00:14:05,276 --> 00:14:07,716 Speaker 2: the guy was consistently went and I saw after about 239 00:14:07,716 --> 00:14:10,676 Speaker 2: three weeks, I said, this guy's a showy. The money 240 00:14:10,716 --> 00:14:16,196 Speaker 2: was coming from Kent, the so called computer group, and 241 00:14:16,476 --> 00:14:19,996 Speaker 2: take their bets. I would adjust my numbers accordingly, and 242 00:14:20,036 --> 00:14:21,916 Speaker 2: then I would get rid of their bets and go 243 00:14:21,956 --> 00:14:22,316 Speaker 2: with it. 244 00:14:23,156 --> 00:14:23,636 Speaker 3: And then. 245 00:14:25,516 --> 00:14:29,476 Speaker 2: As the more successful that they became, that they needed 246 00:14:29,516 --> 00:14:32,956 Speaker 2: more market, and they all had market in New York 247 00:14:32,996 --> 00:14:35,356 Speaker 2: and in Las Vegas. I basically had the rest of 248 00:14:35,396 --> 00:14:40,116 Speaker 2: the country. And so they approached me about, you know, 249 00:14:40,436 --> 00:14:42,716 Speaker 2: giving me the order instead of betting me and I 250 00:14:42,716 --> 00:14:45,676 Speaker 2: would move the order and share the order of them, 251 00:14:45,716 --> 00:14:46,596 Speaker 2: and I agreed. 252 00:14:46,316 --> 00:14:46,716 Speaker 3: To do that. 253 00:14:47,476 --> 00:14:49,996 Speaker 1: This is really interesting to me because it's the birth 254 00:14:49,996 --> 00:14:51,356 Speaker 1: of something new in gambling. 255 00:14:51,916 --> 00:14:55,476 Speaker 3: It's like the sand wedge and golf. It is. 256 00:14:55,916 --> 00:14:59,396 Speaker 2: It really was, and there's no question about it. It 257 00:14:59,436 --> 00:15:02,116 Speaker 2: was like the sand wedge and golf. As you know, 258 00:15:02,156 --> 00:15:05,556 Speaker 2: when you really think about sports, how many things have 259 00:15:05,716 --> 00:15:09,476 Speaker 2: happened in regards to sports as far as handicapping sports 260 00:15:09,476 --> 00:15:13,636 Speaker 2: are concerned. That truly make a difference. But as you 261 00:15:14,716 --> 00:15:19,276 Speaker 2: noted earlier and very correctly, so, you know, it's computer 262 00:15:19,316 --> 00:15:22,716 Speaker 2: and software are worth nothing. The information is the only 263 00:15:22,796 --> 00:15:26,956 Speaker 2: thing that's inside of that software that has any value. 264 00:15:27,156 --> 00:15:30,636 Speaker 2: And you know, when I wrote the book that I wrote, 265 00:15:31,156 --> 00:15:33,796 Speaker 2: I put everything in the world in there that I 266 00:15:33,876 --> 00:15:38,396 Speaker 2: know about handicapping sports. I also put everything I knew 267 00:15:38,396 --> 00:15:41,796 Speaker 2: in there about basic betting strategy, which frankly, between you 268 00:15:41,836 --> 00:15:44,956 Speaker 2: and I, I think that's more important. 269 00:15:44,716 --> 00:15:48,276 Speaker 1: Giving me example of a betting strategy that doesn't naturally 270 00:15:48,316 --> 00:15:50,716 Speaker 1: occur to people when they enter a market. 271 00:15:51,076 --> 00:15:54,156 Speaker 2: Well, I'm going to explain to you what probably ninety 272 00:15:54,156 --> 00:15:56,436 Speaker 2: plus percent of these new betters are doing. They have 273 00:15:56,556 --> 00:16:00,596 Speaker 2: one account. Someone paid them a bonus. They have one 274 00:16:00,636 --> 00:16:03,116 Speaker 2: account at the very most. They have to you know, 275 00:16:03,236 --> 00:16:08,316 Speaker 2: they have no ideas for strategies concerned in regards to 276 00:16:08,396 --> 00:16:10,676 Speaker 2: which way the line is going to move or isn't 277 00:16:10,676 --> 00:16:15,156 Speaker 2: going to move, and they probably really don't understand the 278 00:16:15,316 --> 00:16:18,596 Speaker 2: value of certain numbers. Well, if a game six and 279 00:16:18,636 --> 00:16:20,596 Speaker 2: a half and you're looking to take seven, why it's 280 00:16:20,596 --> 00:16:22,476 Speaker 2: so important to wait and try to get some of 281 00:16:22,516 --> 00:16:26,316 Speaker 2: them instead of taking six and a half. Most of 282 00:16:26,356 --> 00:16:30,516 Speaker 2: them don't have any money management system at all. So 283 00:16:30,796 --> 00:16:33,516 Speaker 2: the basic betting strategy I put in there was real simple, 284 00:16:34,356 --> 00:16:36,836 Speaker 2: get as many accounts as you can that are illegal, 285 00:16:36,876 --> 00:16:39,076 Speaker 2: and you feel like some you know, you get paid. 286 00:16:40,516 --> 00:16:43,076 Speaker 2: It's just like any any type shopping. I mean, if 287 00:16:43,116 --> 00:16:46,876 Speaker 2: you decide you want to buy, you know, a pair 288 00:16:46,876 --> 00:16:49,316 Speaker 2: of shoes and a brand name pair of shoes, you 289 00:16:49,316 --> 00:16:52,316 Speaker 2: can go up on the internet and there's probably one 290 00:16:52,356 --> 00:16:56,036 Speaker 2: hundred places you shop for for you know, for different sizes, colors, 291 00:16:56,036 --> 00:17:00,756 Speaker 2: and prices. With sports vetting, basically they've created one operating 292 00:17:00,756 --> 00:17:03,196 Speaker 2: the United States. You've got a handful of companies to 293 00:17:03,196 --> 00:17:07,836 Speaker 2: control the entire thing. So what they've done as a result, 294 00:17:08,156 --> 00:17:13,116 Speaker 2: as situations I've described with the average new better, they've 295 00:17:13,156 --> 00:17:16,196 Speaker 2: got one account maybe two of the most. Okay, if 296 00:17:16,196 --> 00:17:20,996 Speaker 2: there's better numbers out there, they're completely oblivious to that. 297 00:17:21,676 --> 00:17:22,396 Speaker 3: They have no. 298 00:17:24,276 --> 00:17:28,476 Speaker 2: Clue about how the money line compares to the point spread. 299 00:17:29,596 --> 00:17:33,756 Speaker 2: The other thing is a betting strategy, the importance of numbers. 300 00:17:33,836 --> 00:17:35,636 Speaker 2: You know the value of three, the number of the 301 00:17:35,676 --> 00:17:39,596 Speaker 2: value is seven, six, ten. Okay, some numbers are a 302 00:17:39,596 --> 00:17:42,276 Speaker 2: lot more important than other numbers are. If you don't 303 00:17:42,356 --> 00:17:45,516 Speaker 2: understand that when it comes to betting strategy, you know 304 00:17:46,196 --> 00:17:48,956 Speaker 2: you could be making some huge mistakes. A lot of 305 00:17:48,996 --> 00:17:51,276 Speaker 2: times you're better off betting on a money line than 306 00:17:51,316 --> 00:17:55,436 Speaker 2: you are the point spread, because you know they offer 307 00:17:55,476 --> 00:17:58,716 Speaker 2: money lines out there. Okay, let's say the line on 308 00:17:58,716 --> 00:18:02,276 Speaker 2: the game I use three as the example is three. Well, 309 00:18:02,396 --> 00:18:04,716 Speaker 2: if you're betting on the underdog, you may be able 310 00:18:04,716 --> 00:18:08,676 Speaker 2: to take a money line price. This equivalent to taking 311 00:18:08,716 --> 00:18:10,596 Speaker 2: three in a quarter, three and a third, or even 312 00:18:10,596 --> 00:18:13,196 Speaker 2: three and a half sometimes, But if you don't know 313 00:18:13,836 --> 00:18:16,156 Speaker 2: how to compare those two the true value of those 314 00:18:18,316 --> 00:18:21,876 Speaker 2: how would you know, right, Because there's there's no legitimate 315 00:18:21,996 --> 00:18:25,836 Speaker 2: place that you can go to that's accurate. If you're 316 00:18:25,876 --> 00:18:27,476 Speaker 2: not a handicapper, you're not anything. 317 00:18:28,556 --> 00:18:32,196 Speaker 1: When you first meet Michael Kent, what you're bringing to 318 00:18:32,236 --> 00:18:35,716 Speaker 1: the table is both access to markets and betting strategy. 319 00:18:36,516 --> 00:18:39,956 Speaker 2: Access to market and betting strategy is correct because when 320 00:18:39,956 --> 00:18:43,116 Speaker 2: it became the betting strategy, he was an office himself, 321 00:18:44,316 --> 00:18:48,436 Speaker 2: and you know, the things, the things that I could 322 00:18:48,476 --> 00:18:51,796 Speaker 2: do was you know, was not only the betting strategy, 323 00:18:51,796 --> 00:18:56,116 Speaker 2: but I could bet you know, larger, much larger amounts 324 00:18:56,116 --> 00:18:58,036 Speaker 2: of money than he could ever bet. 325 00:18:58,316 --> 00:19:00,516 Speaker 1: But he had a superior ability to predict what was 326 00:19:00,516 --> 00:19:01,916 Speaker 1: going to happen in the games. 327 00:19:01,876 --> 00:19:05,156 Speaker 3: No question at the time, at the time I met him, 328 00:19:05,276 --> 00:19:06,476 Speaker 3: and for a period. 329 00:19:06,156 --> 00:19:12,916 Speaker 2: Of uh I would say four years, he was an 330 00:19:12,956 --> 00:19:13,876 Speaker 2: illege of his own. 331 00:19:14,636 --> 00:19:16,476 Speaker 1: You know, in your book, where it gets to me 332 00:19:16,716 --> 00:19:20,076 Speaker 1: especially interesting in them in the insights that you all 333 00:19:20,156 --> 00:19:23,596 Speaker 1: generate is when you're telling me things about the sport 334 00:19:24,196 --> 00:19:27,676 Speaker 1: that I didn't appreciate that you know, for example, Josh Allen, 335 00:19:27,716 --> 00:19:30,236 Speaker 1: Buffalo Bill's quarterback is better in warm weather than in 336 00:19:30,276 --> 00:19:34,236 Speaker 1: cold weather, or Aaron Rodgers is the reverse. Was there 337 00:19:34,276 --> 00:19:36,956 Speaker 1: a lot of that kind of stuff early on, like 338 00:19:37,356 --> 00:19:41,556 Speaker 1: player tendencies, how teams performed in certain in different environments, 339 00:19:41,316 --> 00:19:43,596 Speaker 1: the kind of this is the predictive stuff. 340 00:19:43,636 --> 00:19:47,756 Speaker 2: It's just well, I've kind of generally I've known that 341 00:19:47,996 --> 00:19:51,756 Speaker 2: since the early eighties. It's you know, it's all gotten 342 00:19:51,756 --> 00:19:55,076 Speaker 2: better over the years, and that information is than a book, 343 00:19:55,596 --> 00:19:58,956 Speaker 2: you know. Yeah, it goes back to the seventies. I mean, 344 00:19:59,116 --> 00:20:02,036 Speaker 2: so you're talking about information that's been collected over a 345 00:20:02,036 --> 00:20:06,836 Speaker 2: period of fifty years, and it's been as the world's changed, 346 00:20:06,996 --> 00:20:12,036 Speaker 2: as players have changed, have changed, as stadiums have changed. 347 00:20:12,396 --> 00:20:13,956 Speaker 2: That's all been refined accordingly. 348 00:20:16,356 --> 00:20:18,876 Speaker 1: Another break here. When we come back, it'll be to 349 00:20:18,876 --> 00:20:32,916 Speaker 1: find the FBI knocking on Billy Walters front door. I'm 350 00:20:32,916 --> 00:20:38,996 Speaker 1: back with sports gambler. Billy Walters described for me, just 351 00:20:38,996 --> 00:20:42,076 Speaker 1: pay me a picture of the difference between the illegal 352 00:20:42,156 --> 00:20:43,916 Speaker 1: and the legal sports betting markets. 353 00:20:45,516 --> 00:20:48,356 Speaker 2: Is there any difference, Yeah, there's a master difference. There 354 00:20:48,476 --> 00:20:50,876 Speaker 2: was a master efference back in those days. The legal 355 00:20:51,516 --> 00:20:53,676 Speaker 2: betting markets to Las Vegas, you could bet a lot 356 00:20:53,676 --> 00:20:55,276 Speaker 2: more money in the early eighties and you can bet 357 00:20:55,316 --> 00:20:58,596 Speaker 2: there today. Frankly, who you talk to in Las Vegas, 358 00:20:58,596 --> 00:21:00,636 Speaker 2: they'll tell you it's been very bad for Las Vegas. 359 00:21:01,596 --> 00:21:04,596 Speaker 2: You've got four or five companies have created a monopoly 360 00:21:04,596 --> 00:21:07,556 Speaker 2: in Las Vegas. So in the early eighties, you had 361 00:21:07,676 --> 00:21:11,436 Speaker 2: say thirty casinos and they all had sportsbooks, and you 362 00:21:11,516 --> 00:21:17,196 Speaker 2: had thirty thirty different you know, business men entrepreneurs running them, 363 00:21:17,236 --> 00:21:20,756 Speaker 2: and they were competing against each other. And today you've 364 00:21:20,796 --> 00:21:25,676 Speaker 2: got four or five and they've got a monopoly. The 365 00:21:25,716 --> 00:21:32,276 Speaker 2: illegal sports betting world. Up until things got regulated in 366 00:21:32,356 --> 00:21:35,676 Speaker 2: other parts of the US, I would say you could 367 00:21:35,716 --> 00:21:38,516 Speaker 2: probably bet twenty times as much money. 368 00:21:38,316 --> 00:21:41,556 Speaker 3: As you could bet in Las Vegas. Oh yeah, maybe 369 00:21:41,596 --> 00:21:46,516 Speaker 3: twenty five times back then. Yeah, And even today you 370 00:21:46,556 --> 00:21:49,516 Speaker 3: could bet probably five times as much money and the 371 00:21:49,596 --> 00:21:52,716 Speaker 3: illegal market as you could bet. You bet more than that. 372 00:21:52,756 --> 00:21:55,796 Speaker 2: You can probably bet ten times morning and the illegal 373 00:21:55,876 --> 00:21:58,436 Speaker 2: market than you could. You look at it, I mean 374 00:21:59,276 --> 00:22:02,916 Speaker 2: so called legalized sports betting in the world. Today, you've 375 00:22:02,916 --> 00:22:08,476 Speaker 2: got Fandel, You've got you've got Caesar's, You've got MGM, 376 00:22:08,556 --> 00:22:09,916 Speaker 2: and you've got DraftKings. 377 00:22:10,076 --> 00:22:12,356 Speaker 3: You got basically four of them to control the entire market. 378 00:22:13,396 --> 00:22:16,716 Speaker 1: How did the FBI mistake. The Computer Group is a bookie. 379 00:22:18,036 --> 00:22:21,756 Speaker 2: First of all, there never been any there never been 380 00:22:21,956 --> 00:22:26,796 Speaker 2: any organized group of sports betters ever. Okay, So if 381 00:22:26,796 --> 00:22:28,836 Speaker 2: you're an FBI agent, the only thing you've seen up 382 00:22:28,876 --> 00:22:32,916 Speaker 2: on this point in time that the people that were 383 00:22:32,996 --> 00:22:37,436 Speaker 2: organized were bookmakers and the mob. Okay, and and and 384 00:22:38,236 --> 00:22:41,916 Speaker 2: you know major metropolitan cities, you know the bookmakers were, 385 00:22:42,356 --> 00:22:44,396 Speaker 2: you know they were. Everybody says they were part of 386 00:22:44,396 --> 00:22:45,596 Speaker 2: the mob. I can tell you what part of the 387 00:22:45,596 --> 00:22:47,316 Speaker 2: mob they were. They were being shut down and they 388 00:22:47,356 --> 00:22:50,116 Speaker 2: didn't pay them. Mob they kill them. So if you 389 00:22:50,156 --> 00:22:51,516 Speaker 2: want to make them part of the mob, that makes 390 00:22:51,556 --> 00:22:55,196 Speaker 2: them part of the mob. So Computer Group comes along 391 00:22:55,316 --> 00:22:58,596 Speaker 2: and in Las Leg it's a time we probably had 392 00:22:58,596 --> 00:23:01,996 Speaker 2: thirty thirty five people and we're betting millions of dollars 393 00:23:02,036 --> 00:23:05,956 Speaker 2: on sports. And then on top of that, the guy 394 00:23:06,676 --> 00:23:08,796 Speaker 2: was one of the original members of the Computer Group 395 00:23:09,356 --> 00:23:14,716 Speaker 2: was Ivan Mendelein, and unbknownst to anyone in the group 396 00:23:14,756 --> 00:23:19,596 Speaker 2: at the time, he was doing business with an organized 397 00:23:19,596 --> 00:23:24,676 Speaker 2: crime figure, the guy named Dominic Spinelle and Ivan Mendelein 398 00:23:24,756 --> 00:23:27,476 Speaker 2: had opened up a sports betting account at the Startust 399 00:23:27,476 --> 00:23:33,356 Speaker 2: hotel in Dominic Spinelli's name and he was betting on 400 00:23:33,436 --> 00:23:34,756 Speaker 2: sports on that account. 401 00:23:35,036 --> 00:23:35,876 Speaker 3: And what Ivan. 402 00:23:35,636 --> 00:23:38,676 Speaker 2: Mendela was doing is is he in an agreement with 403 00:23:38,756 --> 00:23:42,436 Speaker 2: the computer guys that basically going to be ran like 404 00:23:42,516 --> 00:23:46,236 Speaker 2: a a corporation. You know, they were going to make 405 00:23:46,236 --> 00:23:48,956 Speaker 2: their bets. Each person had a certain percentage, but they 406 00:23:48,956 --> 00:23:51,396 Speaker 2: weren't going to bet outside the group. They weren't going 407 00:23:51,436 --> 00:23:53,796 Speaker 2: to do you know, they weren't allowed to do that. Well, 408 00:23:54,076 --> 00:23:57,716 Speaker 2: he was cheating. He was doing that and one of 409 00:23:57,716 --> 00:23:59,516 Speaker 2: the people he was doing it with was this guy, 410 00:23:59,636 --> 00:24:03,956 Speaker 2: Dominic Spinelle. When FBI sees this, they begin an investigation, 411 00:24:04,276 --> 00:24:07,756 Speaker 2: and then they learned that he's also associated with Michael 412 00:24:07,836 --> 00:24:11,516 Speaker 2: Kent with me, with others, and then they see all 413 00:24:11,516 --> 00:24:15,396 Speaker 2: these people. They see millions of dollars and they'd never 414 00:24:15,436 --> 00:24:21,116 Speaker 2: seen a group of legalized sports betters before, so they 415 00:24:21,156 --> 00:24:25,636 Speaker 2: begin their investigation. That part I totally understand. I get it, okay, 416 00:24:26,476 --> 00:24:30,156 Speaker 2: But here's the part that you know, you can't understand. 417 00:24:30,156 --> 00:24:32,916 Speaker 2: After that, they put war taps on our phones. For 418 00:24:32,996 --> 00:24:39,156 Speaker 2: sixty days, no one ever took a bet. There were 419 00:24:39,356 --> 00:24:42,996 Speaker 2: only bets made, and it was extremely obvious. No one 420 00:24:43,076 --> 00:24:46,396 Speaker 2: in the group knew Dominic Spinelli, not one person or 421 00:24:46,436 --> 00:24:49,236 Speaker 2: there was no one in the group associated or affiliated 422 00:24:49,276 --> 00:24:54,236 Speaker 2: with any kind of an organized crime figure. Well, then 423 00:24:54,356 --> 00:24:58,156 Speaker 2: after the sixty days of gathering that information, they decided 424 00:24:58,196 --> 00:25:02,516 Speaker 2: the whole mass raids sixteen or seventeen of them throughout 425 00:25:02,516 --> 00:25:06,236 Speaker 2: the United States and January of eighty five, and they 426 00:25:06,556 --> 00:25:10,036 Speaker 2: confiscated all kinds of records and information. Thinks such is 427 00:25:10,076 --> 00:25:14,476 Speaker 2: that when they looked at that, it confirmed again we 428 00:25:14,476 --> 00:25:18,196 Speaker 2: were not bookmakers, no one was associated with organized crime. 429 00:25:19,116 --> 00:25:24,716 Speaker 2: And then the case was essentially dropped for almost five years, 430 00:25:24,756 --> 00:25:28,036 Speaker 2: just before the statute of limitations right now. And then 431 00:25:28,076 --> 00:25:29,956 Speaker 2: there was a guy who wrote a book. It was 432 00:25:29,996 --> 00:25:34,596 Speaker 2: called Interference. And in this guy's book, there was a 433 00:25:34,716 --> 00:25:39,236 Speaker 2: chapter that he wrote about the Computer Group, and Peach 434 00:25:39,276 --> 00:25:42,716 Speaker 2: said the Computer group was super successful, that it had 435 00:25:42,756 --> 00:25:46,356 Speaker 2: won eight twenty five million dollars in one year, and 436 00:25:46,396 --> 00:25:52,036 Speaker 2: it referred to this case. And he inferred in there 437 00:25:52,196 --> 00:25:55,556 Speaker 2: that the government never pursued the case was because one 438 00:25:55,556 --> 00:25:57,556 Speaker 2: of the members of the group, a guy the named 439 00:25:57,556 --> 00:26:02,316 Speaker 2: merv Adelson, was married to Barbara Walters, and that Barbara 440 00:26:02,316 --> 00:26:08,076 Speaker 2: Walters was Nancy Reagan's best friend. And essentially that's the 441 00:26:08,116 --> 00:26:11,076 Speaker 2: reason they never the case. As if there were there 442 00:26:11,156 --> 00:26:15,196 Speaker 2: was a fix in which wasn't true. But as a 443 00:26:15,236 --> 00:26:19,636 Speaker 2: result of that book, Uh, and from what I understand, 444 00:26:20,636 --> 00:26:23,516 Speaker 2: it went back to Kansas City at the time, I 445 00:26:23,556 --> 00:26:27,396 Speaker 2: think was making the decisions on indictments in regards to 446 00:26:27,436 --> 00:26:30,596 Speaker 2: the strike Force, and there was a fellow back there 447 00:26:30,756 --> 00:26:33,476 Speaker 2: who read this book and said, bullshit, there's there's no 448 00:26:33,596 --> 00:26:37,436 Speaker 2: fixes in the strike force and ordered the case to 449 00:26:37,516 --> 00:26:38,436 Speaker 2: go forward. 450 00:26:38,876 --> 00:26:44,596 Speaker 1: Huh, it's when all this is happening. Is there any 451 00:26:44,676 --> 00:26:48,396 Speaker 1: sign to you that other people are trying to imitate 452 00:26:48,516 --> 00:26:49,676 Speaker 1: or copy the Computer group? 453 00:26:50,196 --> 00:26:50,436 Speaker 3: No? 454 00:26:50,436 --> 00:26:52,676 Speaker 2: No, there were other groups out there that were betting, 455 00:26:52,676 --> 00:26:58,076 Speaker 2: that clearly organized, that were that knew what they were doing. 456 00:26:58,236 --> 00:27:01,396 Speaker 2: I mean they they weren't as good as we were. 457 00:27:01,436 --> 00:27:04,716 Speaker 2: They weren't remotely as good as we were, but you 458 00:27:04,756 --> 00:27:06,196 Speaker 2: know they they weren't ady. 459 00:27:06,276 --> 00:27:06,676 Speaker 3: It's either. 460 00:27:07,356 --> 00:27:09,356 Speaker 2: But you know, there were other groups out there that 461 00:27:09,436 --> 00:27:12,796 Speaker 2: had started betting that I never used in some type 462 00:27:12,796 --> 00:27:18,556 Speaker 2: of you know, computerized data thinks it's just that. But 463 00:27:18,716 --> 00:27:22,796 Speaker 2: mostly those people were specialists. They would bet on one sport, 464 00:27:23,196 --> 00:27:26,356 Speaker 2: or they would bet you know, within one sport. They 465 00:27:26,396 --> 00:27:30,036 Speaker 2: would bet on like only maybe on two, two or 466 00:27:30,076 --> 00:27:34,316 Speaker 2: three conferences. But I saw no one out there that 467 00:27:34,436 --> 00:27:37,156 Speaker 2: bet all the sports. Kent didn't bet all the sports either. 468 00:27:37,676 --> 00:27:40,116 Speaker 2: I mean I have the right I bet all the 469 00:27:40,156 --> 00:27:43,316 Speaker 2: sports because I had so many different handicappers. You know, 470 00:27:43,476 --> 00:27:48,236 Speaker 2: Kent can only he bet on college football, college basketball, 471 00:27:49,116 --> 00:27:52,396 Speaker 2: pro football for a period of time. But he really 472 00:27:52,436 --> 00:27:58,556 Speaker 2: never bet on baseball. He never bet on golf, never 473 00:27:58,636 --> 00:28:02,356 Speaker 2: bet on no one, never bet on hockey. He never 474 00:28:02,356 --> 00:28:05,516 Speaker 2: been on tennis. And you bet on all those yes, sir, 475 00:28:05,596 --> 00:28:05,876 Speaker 2: I did. 476 00:28:06,636 --> 00:28:07,996 Speaker 1: Are you still doing it? 477 00:28:08,796 --> 00:28:12,036 Speaker 2: I'm not betting on all those sports. I still got 478 00:28:12,036 --> 00:28:16,076 Speaker 2: on football. I bet on football because I'm one. I 479 00:28:16,156 --> 00:28:19,156 Speaker 2: love sports. Number two, I'm still very good at I 480 00:28:19,236 --> 00:28:22,076 Speaker 2: still beat it, and if I didn't, I would quit. 481 00:28:23,116 --> 00:28:25,796 Speaker 1: What's the different skill set required to be a really 482 00:28:25,836 --> 00:28:27,956 Speaker 1: good book either as a really good sports candler. 483 00:28:29,236 --> 00:28:33,916 Speaker 2: Well, it's really kind of the same thing. I mean, 484 00:28:33,956 --> 00:28:36,716 Speaker 2: you have a built in advantage. You're getting eleven to ten. Okay, 485 00:28:36,756 --> 00:28:40,036 Speaker 2: So okay, that's number one. Okay, number two. If you 486 00:28:40,036 --> 00:28:42,396 Speaker 2: want to write as much business as you can possibly 487 00:28:42,396 --> 00:28:45,636 Speaker 2: write at good prices, you could have the sharpest numbers 488 00:28:45,676 --> 00:28:47,316 Speaker 2: in the world. If you don't write any business, you're 489 00:28:47,316 --> 00:28:48,756 Speaker 2: not going to make any money as a bookmaker. 490 00:28:49,156 --> 00:28:50,796 Speaker 3: On the other hand, you could write. 491 00:28:50,596 --> 00:28:52,996 Speaker 2: Billions of dollars or the business with bad numbers, you're 492 00:28:52,996 --> 00:28:55,676 Speaker 2: not going to make any money, So you want to 493 00:28:55,716 --> 00:28:59,356 Speaker 2: be able to do both. And I would say ninety 494 00:28:59,356 --> 00:29:03,156 Speaker 2: percent of people who are out there betting today, they're 495 00:29:03,156 --> 00:29:05,756 Speaker 2: giving their money to you. They can't win. Let's say 496 00:29:05,756 --> 00:29:11,356 Speaker 2: there's ten left that okay, to some degree, you need to. 497 00:29:13,396 --> 00:29:15,396 Speaker 3: Factory in what they're doing. Okay. 498 00:29:15,476 --> 00:29:17,556 Speaker 2: So if you're a bookmaker and let's say you got 499 00:29:17,756 --> 00:29:22,076 Speaker 2: Billy Walter's betting you, okay, the key with that is 500 00:29:22,156 --> 00:29:24,196 Speaker 2: number one, you would want me betting you because you 501 00:29:24,236 --> 00:29:28,516 Speaker 2: would want to know what I'm betting on. Then you 502 00:29:28,596 --> 00:29:31,756 Speaker 2: need to be able to take the information that you 503 00:29:31,876 --> 00:29:35,396 Speaker 2: got from me betting you and then make that useful 504 00:29:35,476 --> 00:29:37,756 Speaker 2: to you. And the way you do it, you would 505 00:29:37,796 --> 00:29:42,276 Speaker 2: move your line accordingly. And the real key is you 506 00:29:42,356 --> 00:29:44,156 Speaker 2: want to get the bet as early as you can. 507 00:29:44,516 --> 00:29:46,636 Speaker 2: Early the bet you get, the more time you have 508 00:29:46,796 --> 00:29:49,756 Speaker 2: to get actions back the other way. The later you 509 00:29:49,796 --> 00:29:53,716 Speaker 2: take the bet and you're frozen with it, you're gambling, 510 00:29:53,716 --> 00:29:58,436 Speaker 2: which is stupid and smart bookmakers the only profession that 511 00:29:58,516 --> 00:30:02,036 Speaker 2: I've seen, Michael that has regressed in the last twenty years, 512 00:30:02,116 --> 00:30:09,676 Speaker 2: or bookmakers. Bookmakers twenty years ago were much much smarter 513 00:30:09,876 --> 00:30:13,036 Speaker 2: and much better at book making than the guys you 514 00:30:13,116 --> 00:30:13,676 Speaker 2: have today. 515 00:30:14,876 --> 00:30:16,676 Speaker 1: Why has the book making regressed? 516 00:30:17,476 --> 00:30:22,076 Speaker 3: Or give an example, especially today with the dissemination of 517 00:30:22,116 --> 00:30:25,316 Speaker 3: information the way it is today with Twitter, with all 518 00:30:25,356 --> 00:30:29,356 Speaker 3: these different things out there. Let's say you have an 519 00:30:29,436 --> 00:30:34,436 Speaker 3: injury with a sports team. Literally the betting public knows 520 00:30:34,436 --> 00:30:35,756 Speaker 3: about it in a matter. 521 00:30:35,556 --> 00:30:39,596 Speaker 2: Of you know, seconds. And let's say you're sitting there 522 00:30:39,636 --> 00:30:41,636 Speaker 2: and you're running a sports book and you don't know 523 00:30:41,716 --> 00:30:43,796 Speaker 2: about it in a matter of seconds, and you don't 524 00:30:43,876 --> 00:30:46,076 Speaker 2: change your line or you don't take your game down 525 00:30:46,076 --> 00:30:48,676 Speaker 2: off the board, you're going to get bet by a 526 00:30:48,796 --> 00:30:50,836 Speaker 2: number of people that know about it. And the only 527 00:30:50,876 --> 00:30:54,636 Speaker 2: thing they know is okay, Well the quarterbacks out okay, 528 00:30:54,636 --> 00:30:56,556 Speaker 2: But they got no sense to know that that that's 529 00:30:56,556 --> 00:31:00,036 Speaker 2: a good player and that's winning bet betting on those 530 00:31:00,076 --> 00:31:04,116 Speaker 2: type situations. Well, that sportsbook corporator sitting there, he's sleepy, 531 00:31:04,156 --> 00:31:06,396 Speaker 2: he had moved his line, and so he gets nailed. 532 00:31:06,396 --> 00:31:09,036 Speaker 2: He gets a bet from one of these people. Well, 533 00:31:09,716 --> 00:31:13,156 Speaker 2: automatically he throws the guy out for betty. Well, he 534 00:31:13,156 --> 00:31:16,116 Speaker 2: shouldn't tell the guy, that guy that made that bet. 535 00:31:16,556 --> 00:31:18,076 Speaker 2: Ninety nine percent of them are going to lose their 536 00:31:18,116 --> 00:31:20,396 Speaker 2: money because they're going to bet on other games they 537 00:31:20,396 --> 00:31:21,956 Speaker 2: don't have any information on. 538 00:31:21,996 --> 00:31:22,796 Speaker 3: It's going to happen. 539 00:31:23,156 --> 00:31:25,276 Speaker 2: But the only reason he got bet is because he 540 00:31:25,356 --> 00:31:28,316 Speaker 2: was sitting her sound asleep. If he had been paying 541 00:31:28,316 --> 00:31:30,796 Speaker 2: attention to the business, or had people paying attention to 542 00:31:30,796 --> 00:31:32,036 Speaker 2: his business. 543 00:31:31,796 --> 00:31:33,276 Speaker 3: He wouldn't have got bet. He wouldn't have. 544 00:31:33,276 --> 00:31:35,076 Speaker 2: Had a coal line. That's what do you call a 545 00:31:35,076 --> 00:31:37,436 Speaker 2: coal line? When when you got a dumb bookmaker or 546 00:31:37,476 --> 00:31:41,116 Speaker 2: a lazy bookmaker that hasn't adjusted his numbers. The smart 547 00:31:41,116 --> 00:31:43,596 Speaker 2: bookmakers of the world, the guys are on top of 548 00:31:43,636 --> 00:31:45,196 Speaker 2: their game. You could never bet them on a game 549 00:31:45,236 --> 00:31:47,436 Speaker 2: like that. Hell, they'd have a game scratched before before 550 00:31:47,516 --> 00:31:49,796 Speaker 2: the information ever came out, or when it came out, 551 00:31:49,996 --> 00:31:54,436 Speaker 2: wellin two seconds that be scratched. Okay, So you look 552 00:31:54,476 --> 00:31:58,236 Speaker 2: at CIRCA. Okay, you got a join in downtown Las Vegas. 553 00:31:59,116 --> 00:32:02,716 Speaker 2: The only people they have there are tough guys. All 554 00:32:02,796 --> 00:32:06,316 Speaker 2: they've got are guys that are you know, that eat 555 00:32:06,436 --> 00:32:09,996 Speaker 2: sleep and breeze sports three hundred six five days a year. 556 00:32:10,116 --> 00:32:13,116 Speaker 2: Professional betters, professional gamblers. They don't get any of that. 557 00:32:13,196 --> 00:32:14,996 Speaker 2: Walk in traffic out of the strip where you got 558 00:32:14,996 --> 00:32:17,956 Speaker 2: suckers come into town or just giving you your money. 559 00:32:18,156 --> 00:32:21,796 Speaker 2: They got nothing but the toughest business in town, and 560 00:32:21,836 --> 00:32:25,156 Speaker 2: they beat it. They beat it because they know how 561 00:32:25,196 --> 00:32:25,676 Speaker 2: to book. 562 00:32:26,796 --> 00:32:29,396 Speaker 1: It's a kind of a relationship to information. They want 563 00:32:29,396 --> 00:32:31,396 Speaker 1: the information one hundred percent. 564 00:32:31,476 --> 00:32:33,476 Speaker 3: You want the information instead. 565 00:32:33,156 --> 00:32:35,796 Speaker 1: Of dodging it. All right, I got one last question 566 00:32:35,836 --> 00:32:37,556 Speaker 1: for you that I'm going to let you go. Sure, 567 00:32:38,556 --> 00:32:41,396 Speaker 1: kid walks into your knocks on your door and says 568 00:32:41,756 --> 00:32:45,036 Speaker 1: mister Walt, as I followed your career, I'm thinking about 569 00:32:45,036 --> 00:32:48,196 Speaker 1: a career in sports gambling. What do you tell them? 570 00:32:49,036 --> 00:32:53,556 Speaker 2: I wouldn't do it as as a professional better. Clearly, 571 00:32:53,636 --> 00:32:56,156 Speaker 2: if you want to get into the book making side 572 00:32:56,236 --> 00:32:57,916 Speaker 2: of it, you want to get on the marketing side 573 00:32:57,916 --> 00:32:59,996 Speaker 2: of it. Whatever you want to get in, you know, 574 00:33:00,116 --> 00:33:03,356 Speaker 2: if that's your passion, man, go for it. Because I 575 00:33:03,356 --> 00:33:05,316 Speaker 2: think it's a business is going to grow and I 576 00:33:05,396 --> 00:33:07,116 Speaker 2: think there's going to be a lot of opportunity in it. 577 00:33:07,156 --> 00:33:10,436 Speaker 2: But as far as the sports better is concerned, I 578 00:33:10,476 --> 00:33:14,996 Speaker 2: would not do it. Why Well, I was successful for 579 00:33:15,276 --> 00:33:18,916 Speaker 2: I mean, if you read my book, you realize, I 580 00:33:18,916 --> 00:33:21,556 Speaker 2: guess if there's one theme in my book, it's resiliency. 581 00:33:22,196 --> 00:33:25,716 Speaker 2: And when you look at the situation you got out there. 582 00:33:25,796 --> 00:33:28,596 Speaker 2: Now in the United States, you're going to bet on sports. 583 00:33:29,076 --> 00:33:32,516 Speaker 2: A taxation is a joke here. Also, the operators came 584 00:33:32,556 --> 00:33:35,996 Speaker 2: in and they got all this legalization done. But you know, 585 00:33:36,276 --> 00:33:38,516 Speaker 2: you got an underlying thing out there with taxes that 586 00:33:38,836 --> 00:33:40,916 Speaker 2: the people betting on sports aren't even aware of it. 587 00:33:41,356 --> 00:33:44,916 Speaker 2: But in this country, any money you win, you're subject 588 00:33:44,956 --> 00:33:48,236 Speaker 2: to federal and state tax, and a federal tax you're 589 00:33:48,236 --> 00:33:50,996 Speaker 2: paying tax on ordinary income. It's the only thing in 590 00:33:51,036 --> 00:33:53,836 Speaker 2: the entire United States tax code you can't carry forward 591 00:33:53,876 --> 00:33:55,316 Speaker 2: or loss in one year to the next. 592 00:33:55,556 --> 00:33:57,116 Speaker 1: Well, that just kills it as a business. 593 00:33:57,276 --> 00:33:58,796 Speaker 3: Well, it totally kills it. 594 00:33:59,796 --> 00:34:03,596 Speaker 2: I could easily see where you could really grow this business. 595 00:34:03,716 --> 00:34:06,156 Speaker 2: I mean, I'm talking about wealthy, smart people with bet 596 00:34:06,156 --> 00:34:08,756 Speaker 2: sports because number one is so much fun. It's number two, 597 00:34:08,756 --> 00:34:10,716 Speaker 2: it's addictive and now it's so. 598 00:34:10,636 --> 00:34:11,316 Speaker 3: Easy to do. 599 00:34:12,036 --> 00:34:14,676 Speaker 2: If they could pay twenty percent tax on whatever money 600 00:34:14,676 --> 00:34:16,476 Speaker 2: they want, they could care for the loss in one 601 00:34:16,516 --> 00:34:17,356 Speaker 2: year or the next. 602 00:34:17,196 --> 00:34:18,596 Speaker 3: Like you do with stocks. 603 00:34:19,076 --> 00:34:22,036 Speaker 2: You'd have all kinds of people who aren't putting sports. 604 00:34:22,076 --> 00:34:23,996 Speaker 2: They would bet sports, and they would bet, they would 605 00:34:23,996 --> 00:34:26,476 Speaker 2: play sports high and you would see a tremendous amount of. 606 00:34:26,476 --> 00:34:30,356 Speaker 1: Growth if you remove tax considerations and the young person 607 00:34:30,436 --> 00:34:33,996 Speaker 1: is there saying, should I pursue a career in sports gambling. 608 00:34:34,436 --> 00:34:35,516 Speaker 3: Well, then that's different. 609 00:34:35,676 --> 00:34:38,676 Speaker 2: If it were to be taxed fairly, then yeah, I 610 00:34:38,716 --> 00:34:41,596 Speaker 2: think you can beat sports, and I think sports can. 611 00:34:41,956 --> 00:34:44,796 Speaker 2: It's going to be way more work than you ever dream, 612 00:34:45,156 --> 00:34:49,076 Speaker 2: and ever dream. The market's going to be much smaller 613 00:34:49,116 --> 00:34:50,476 Speaker 2: than you can ever imagine. 614 00:34:50,476 --> 00:34:54,916 Speaker 3: It's it's not. It's mini school compared to the stock exchange. 615 00:34:55,636 --> 00:34:58,196 Speaker 1: I'm kind of wondering, is if you think it's been 616 00:34:59,116 --> 00:35:00,996 Speaker 1: a good way to go through life, Well. 617 00:35:00,916 --> 00:35:01,196 Speaker 3: It's been. 618 00:35:01,276 --> 00:35:03,356 Speaker 2: It's been a great way to go through life for me. Clearly, 619 00:35:03,396 --> 00:35:05,396 Speaker 2: I've had issues with it. As you know, I've been 620 00:35:05,396 --> 00:35:10,716 Speaker 2: indicted five times. When I look back over my life. 621 00:35:10,716 --> 00:35:12,436 Speaker 2: Would I do this again if I know what I 622 00:35:12,476 --> 00:35:16,516 Speaker 2: know now, Yeah, I probably would, because look, I loved 623 00:35:16,756 --> 00:35:19,556 Speaker 2: every day that I did this, Michael. You know, I 624 00:35:19,596 --> 00:35:21,836 Speaker 2: got up being able to do something every day that 625 00:35:21,876 --> 00:35:24,116 Speaker 2: I absolutely enjoyed doing. 626 00:35:24,196 --> 00:35:25,396 Speaker 3: I loved doing. 627 00:35:25,156 --> 00:35:31,556 Speaker 2: It, and it so Yeah, from my perspective, yes it was. 628 00:35:31,796 --> 00:35:32,596 Speaker 1: That's my answer. 629 00:35:32,916 --> 00:35:34,676 Speaker 2: But if I were a young guy and I were 630 00:35:34,676 --> 00:35:38,036 Speaker 2: going to become a handicapper. I would specialize in fantasy 631 00:35:38,036 --> 00:35:40,436 Speaker 2: sports is what I would specialize and the reason I 632 00:35:40,476 --> 00:35:43,556 Speaker 2: would do that. I think ninety percent of people who 633 00:35:43,556 --> 00:35:46,556 Speaker 2: bet on fantasy sports have no chance. They're just giving 634 00:35:46,556 --> 00:35:49,116 Speaker 2: their money away. I think I think you got ten 635 00:35:49,156 --> 00:35:51,876 Speaker 2: percent of people betting on fantasy sports are going to win, 636 00:35:52,676 --> 00:35:57,316 Speaker 2: win all the money. And whereas betting on sides, it's 637 00:35:57,396 --> 00:36:01,036 Speaker 2: a lot tougher, a lot more competitive. The handicappers have 638 00:36:01,156 --> 00:36:04,516 Speaker 2: a much bigger advantage, and in fantasy sports they don't care. 639 00:36:05,356 --> 00:36:06,276 Speaker 3: So if I were going. 640 00:36:06,276 --> 00:36:07,876 Speaker 2: To be a young handicapper and I were going to 641 00:36:07,916 --> 00:36:12,476 Speaker 2: start all over, would become a professional handicapper with fantasy sports. 642 00:36:13,076 --> 00:36:15,796 Speaker 1: Thank you for your time, Thank you, and joined the 643 00:36:15,876 --> 00:36:20,116 Speaker 1: visit a foreign to meeting you one day. Billy Walters 644 00:36:20,116 --> 00:36:23,316 Speaker 1: has written a book about his life. It's called Gambler 645 00:36:23,876 --> 00:36:27,756 Speaker 1: Secrets from a Life at Risk and it's great. Next 646 00:36:27,836 --> 00:36:30,196 Speaker 1: week we hear from some of the old school Vegas 647 00:36:30,196 --> 00:36:34,596 Speaker 1: bookies on the other side of Billy Walters. Bets Against 648 00:36:34,596 --> 00:36:37,116 Speaker 1: the Rules is written and hosted by me Michael Lewis 649 00:36:37,596 --> 00:36:42,116 Speaker 1: and produced by Lydia gene Kott, Catherine Gerardeau, and Ariella Markowitz. 650 00:36:42,556 --> 00:36:46,156 Speaker 1: Our editor is Julia Barton. Our engineer is Sarah Bruguier. 651 00:36:46,996 --> 00:36:50,076 Speaker 1: Against the Rules is a production of Pushkin Industries. To 652 00:36:50,156 --> 00:36:55,236 Speaker 1: find more Pushkin podcasts, listen on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, 653 00:36:55,676 --> 00:36:58,716 Speaker 1: or wherever you listen to podcasts, and if you'd like 654 00:36:58,796 --> 00:37:02,196 Speaker 1: to listen to ad free and learn about other exclusive offerings, 655 00:37:02,636 --> 00:37:05,476 Speaker 1: don't forget to sign up for a Pushkin Plus subscription 656 00:37:05,876 --> 00:37:12,236 Speaker 1: at pushkin, dot fm, slash Plus on our Apple showcage