WEBVTT - Goldman CEO’s Year of Empty Offices

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanabek. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>radio show at two pm Eastern Time on Bloomberg Radio,

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<v Speaker 1>or watch us on YouTube search Bloomberg Global News. I

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<v Speaker 1>want to get right to our next guest. Mike al

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<v Speaker 1>Qaire is with US, president and CEO of the healthcare

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<v Speaker 1>improvement and supply chain company. It trades on the NASDAC

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<v Speaker 1>it's called Premier, and he is back with us on

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<v Speaker 1>the phone from Dallas. Mike, nice to have you back

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<v Speaker 1>with us. You guys are front and center when it

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<v Speaker 1>comes to the healthcare and COVID supply chain. What does

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<v Speaker 1>it look like right now? And first of all, how

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<v Speaker 1>are you do you have? Mike? Uh No, So okay,

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<v Speaker 1>We've got you. How are you hey? Good? Carol and Tim,

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<v Speaker 1>thanks for having me back. So just a quick update

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<v Speaker 1>on the vaccine distribution numbers. UM. Right now, we're doing

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<v Speaker 1>about two point three million vaccines per day. That compares

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<v Speaker 1>to about five forty thousand, uh the first six weeks

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<v Speaker 1>of the pandemic, So we're catching up. I think the

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<v Speaker 1>most important part that number is that we're on track

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<v Speaker 1>to exceed the Biden's administration goal of hitting hundred and

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<v Speaker 1>fifty million vaccinations in the first hundred days. That goal

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<v Speaker 1>was a little low though, right Well, I you know,

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<v Speaker 1>it's interesting. I think when people were thinking about when

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<v Speaker 1>he said it, it seemed a little bit high, but

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<v Speaker 1>and seemed aspirational. But I will tell you today, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>we seem to be attract to surpasses. What about when

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<v Speaker 1>it comes to Ppe? Right now, the story, if we

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<v Speaker 1>think back to a year ago, was do not buy

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<v Speaker 1>masks if you're a consumer, not just because you need

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<v Speaker 1>trees are of them for healthcare professionals and there was

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<v Speaker 1>a worldwide shortage, but also because we didn't know that

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<v Speaker 1>this was the type of thing that was so easily

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<v Speaker 1>transmittable through breathing. Where are we when it comes to Ppe,

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<v Speaker 1>not just for for us but for healthcare professionals right now,

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<v Speaker 1>what does the supply chain look like? Yeah, I just

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<v Speaker 1>I guess the first thing we've learned with this whole

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<v Speaker 1>issue with COVID as it relates to PE, is that

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<v Speaker 1>we've got to diverse supply our portfolio manufacturing, just like

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<v Speaker 1>you would hedge against risk if you've had an investment

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<v Speaker 1>portfolio and there was such an overdependence on China and

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<v Speaker 1>other Southeast Asian organizations or countries. Um. And I think

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<v Speaker 1>that you know today where we are premiers taking steps

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<v Speaker 1>along with a number of others, to try to create

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<v Speaker 1>more resiliency in that supply chain, where we've made investments

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<v Speaker 1>along with our healthcare systems and the domestic production of

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<v Speaker 1>face mask, made investments in the production of isolation gown uh.

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<v Speaker 1>And we're also doing similar stuff with exam gloves and

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<v Speaker 1>generic drugs because we think that obviously those uh uh,

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<v Speaker 1>these supply chains are have a lack of resiliency to them,

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<v Speaker 1>So we want to create a bit more resiliency and

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<v Speaker 1>obviously create more diversification the supply chains. Yeah, how easy

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<v Speaker 1>is that to do, especially when it's you know, we've

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<v Speaker 1>all kind of farmed everything out too in many ways,

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of emerging markets. So it's a great question. Look,

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<v Speaker 1>we've been talking about this for the last ten years.

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<v Speaker 1>It's been a significant issue on our minds, um and

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<v Speaker 1>and it's tougher now obviously to do it. But we

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<v Speaker 1>were able very very quickly to stand up exam glove

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<v Speaker 1>or I'm sorry, face masks and is inflation gowns. We

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<v Speaker 1>have a partner that's going to be able to stand

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<v Speaker 1>up exam gloves probably domestically in the next eighteen months.

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<v Speaker 1>I'll pull you while. While it's difficult, we have to

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<v Speaker 1>do it because, uh in, the only economy that crew

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<v Speaker 1>was China at six point five, and the US economy

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<v Speaker 1>shrank during the pandemic at almost four. So I think

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<v Speaker 1>that there's been this great shift of wealth from the

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<v Speaker 1>U s to obviously to China, and we've got to

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<v Speaker 1>rectify that by creating a more resilient supply chain. Easier

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<v Speaker 1>said than done, though it's absolute. The inswards have been done,

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<v Speaker 1>but we've got to start the hard work now. And

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<v Speaker 1>by the way, I heard a little bit of your

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<v Speaker 1>interview at the prior folks on what the administration is

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<v Speaker 1>doing from you know, really one of the next steps

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<v Speaker 1>they're thinking about through taxes and those kinds of things.

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<v Speaker 1>I think the administration has to be a lot more

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<v Speaker 1>proactive to supporting domestic manufacturing of a lot of these

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<v Speaker 1>critical items as well making it more more friendly to

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<v Speaker 1>actually manufacture. Here in the stage, so Mike, safe to say,

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<v Speaker 1>just got twenty five seconds left here, you would be

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<v Speaker 1>opposed to increasing the corporate tax rate. You know, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>going to stay out of the corporate tax rate. But

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<v Speaker 1>what I what I would like to say is that

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<v Speaker 1>we are very interested in the administration of making it

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<v Speaker 1>more friendly for domestic bottom understood. Hey, Mike, listen, thank

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<v Speaker 1>you so much and for going with the flow today,

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<v Speaker 1>especially as we had to step into the President for

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<v Speaker 1>his update on the COVID relief package. Alright, Mike, thank

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<v Speaker 1>you so much. Mikelaer, he's president and chief executive officer

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<v Speaker 1>at Premiere on the phone in Dallas. This is Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Business Week with Carol Masser and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim

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<v Speaker 1>Stinovich from Bloomberg Radio. So right now, the current issue

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<v Speaker 1>of Bloomberg Business Week features a deep dive into equality.

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<v Speaker 1>It's all part of our enhanced and you know, kind

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<v Speaker 1>of a reset we're doing on our equality vertical here

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<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg. It also coincides with the Bloomberg Ee Quality Summit,

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<v Speaker 1>UH this week. We've covered several of the stories in

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<v Speaker 1>the magazine on our air in the past week or so,

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<v Speaker 1>but one more we wanted to bring you, and this

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<v Speaker 1>tim is about the new data that exposes precisely how

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<v Speaker 1>white and male some US companies are. It's an interactive feature,

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<v Speaker 1>so I highly encourage you to check it out on

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<v Speaker 1>the website when you are done listening to us. Joel

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<v Speaker 1>Webber is editor of Bloomberg Business Week. Jeff Green is

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<v Speaker 1>Managing Diversity reporter at Bloomberg News. Joel, talk a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit about the presentation of this because that is a

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<v Speaker 1>big part of the story here. Yeah, and and to

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<v Speaker 1>be clear, the magazine and and me, which is a

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<v Speaker 1>very little credit for this poet. Same with we. We

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<v Speaker 1>we tried to make the team tried to make the

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<v Speaker 1>interactive be you know, the glory here and and we

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<v Speaker 1>were able to take a slice of this and bring

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<v Speaker 1>it into print because we thought it was such an

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<v Speaker 1>important topic. Um. And that is really like the heart

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<v Speaker 1>of this thing was to actually like look at corporate

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<v Speaker 1>America and and it does as you would expect. It

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<v Speaker 1>is very white. But to actually be Bloomberg and put

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<v Speaker 1>data behind that and actually attempt to show progress was

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<v Speaker 1>really what the this project was all about. So so

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<v Speaker 1>Jeff talked to us about how you went about getting

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<v Speaker 1>this data, what it revealed, and what you're starting to

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<v Speaker 1>watch as this is an ongoing project. Yeah, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>I think the really really key thing here is that

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<v Speaker 1>when we first did this last year, companies were agreeing

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<v Speaker 1>to show us this stata, which is not required to

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<v Speaker 1>be released publicly. In fact, the Supreme Court has made

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<v Speaker 1>it very clear they can't be compelled to do it,

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<v Speaker 1>so it has to be voluntary. And so in this

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<v Speaker 1>time around we have thirty seven with another thirty promising

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<v Speaker 1>yet this year to show so the among the SMP

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<v Speaker 1>one hundred, the hundred largest companies in the US, a majority,

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<v Speaker 1>a significant majority. By the end of this year, we'll

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<v Speaker 1>be sharing this data that they have been keeping private

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<v Speaker 1>for decades. So I mean that's almost more interesting than

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<v Speaker 1>what it's showing, which is kind of what we know,

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<v Speaker 1>but in a way that now makes them much more

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<v Speaker 1>accountable to it. We'll talk about this the e O

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<v Speaker 1>one form because that's where some of this data come from,

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<v Speaker 1>right right, And this is very important for people to

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<v Speaker 1>understand because there's been there were a lot of people said,

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<v Speaker 1>why are you being such a stickler, why are you

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<v Speaker 1>saying CEO one or nothing. Well, what happens is every

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<v Speaker 1>year all company these with more than a hundred employees

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<v Speaker 1>acceptoring COVID. They've been delayed, but they will be doing

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<v Speaker 1>it again. Basically next month. I have to report the

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<v Speaker 1>racial and gender breakdown of their workforce in detail. And

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<v Speaker 1>there's a it's very you know, very instructive, is how

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<v Speaker 1>to do it. So even if it's not shared publicly,

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<v Speaker 1>there is an aggregate database of the entire workforce for

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<v Speaker 1>the United States that that that we can see and

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<v Speaker 1>there's no such thing, there's no other source for this

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<v Speaker 1>kind of information. So when a company gives us their

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<v Speaker 1>individual form, we can compare them against their industry, we

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<v Speaker 1>can compare them against the country. We can do things

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<v Speaker 1>that you can't do with what people just throw up

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<v Speaker 1>on their diversity page and say this is what we're

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<v Speaker 1>showing you. Well, I always feel like the devils and

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<v Speaker 1>the details. The deeper you you really dive into numbers,

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<v Speaker 1>you really get a much truer picture, and it's really cool,

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<v Speaker 1>Like as to mention, it's interactive, so you can put

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<v Speaker 1>in down costco, Facebook, uh and video and really get

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<v Speaker 1>a good handle on how they're doing. Overall. Though, when

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<v Speaker 1>we do take that big odd look Jeff, how are

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<v Speaker 1>companies doing? What are the numbers? Well, I mean it's

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<v Speaker 1>kind of where we know they say they are, but

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<v Speaker 1>in a much more detailed way. And it also just

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<v Speaker 1>kind of shows how much diversity right now is sort

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<v Speaker 1>of focused on um Asian employees tend to be overrepresentative

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of where they where companies shift if they're

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<v Speaker 1>not a lot of the companies that have given us

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<v Speaker 1>their data actually are underrepresented in terms of white workers,

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<v Speaker 1>but where they shift to is um in Asian workers,

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<v Speaker 1>especially tech and Hispanic and black workers. The the I

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<v Speaker 1>guess the poor employees are not faring as well. There's

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<v Speaker 1>a few exceptions where you have companies that are maybe

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<v Speaker 1>in the consumer space. Um you look at McDonald's and

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<v Speaker 1>Starbucks have managed to move some of their employees from

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<v Speaker 1>from the workforce into the into the management ranks. But

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's it really kind of shows especially if you

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<v Speaker 1>if you look at it all as a big snapshot,

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<v Speaker 1>which you can do with one of the graphics kind

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<v Speaker 1>of where everything falls out. There's very few company that

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<v Speaker 1>are um overrepresented or even represented in terms of black

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<v Speaker 1>employees for example. Well, and that's interesting stuff because and

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<v Speaker 1>it makes me kind of red between the lines here

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<v Speaker 1>because just in in the wake of George Floyd social unrest,

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<v Speaker 1>like it's almost like the companies, and these are the

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<v Speaker 1>biggest companies in corporate America now recognize that they basically

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<v Speaker 1>have to put this out in the open and actually

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<v Speaker 1>like confront it and not try away from it. So

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<v Speaker 1>is that what kind of tone are you have you

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<v Speaker 1>been able to pick up on from the companies just

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of their willingness to finally cooperate. Yeah, I

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<v Speaker 1>think there's a very much a tone of like, you know, Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>this doesn't look good, but it's better than being like

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<v Speaker 1>cited is among the nose that won't share. Obviously, some

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<v Speaker 1>companies are still willing to you know, stand by. They

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<v Speaker 1>don't think this is a good measure. They have lots

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<v Speaker 1>of reasons why they don't want to show this to us.

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<v Speaker 1>But I think ultimately the you know, sort of the

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<v Speaker 1>momentum is against them now. And companies are basically saying

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<v Speaker 1>transparency is part of the is basically the cost of

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<v Speaker 1>entry now to show that you're you're serious about this.

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<v Speaker 1>Where a year or two ago, um, the focus was

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<v Speaker 1>on gender, which is a lot easier to show because

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<v Speaker 1>it's one measure. This is a lot more complicated and um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, asking people to present this in a way

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<v Speaker 1>that you can compare to other companies is key now.

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<v Speaker 1>Hence why we have this tool, and it's something that

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<v Speaker 1>will continue to develop as we go forward. M Jeff,

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<v Speaker 1>we kept you busy in the issue. I also want

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<v Speaker 1>to talk about the back page that you also wrote,

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<v Speaker 1>which is about the diversity officer hiring is pre It's

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<v Speaker 1>basically like within corporate America, they know they have this problem,

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<v Speaker 1>they're trying to address it. What what job if you're

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<v Speaker 1>if you want to be an executive in corporate America

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<v Speaker 1>right now, what's the best way to get that to

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<v Speaker 1>get hired? Yeah, well, I mean there are a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of companies hiring chief diversity officers for the first time

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<v Speaker 1>and and also kind of refreshing what their approach to it,

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<v Speaker 1>which is kind of part and parcel with people want

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<v Speaker 1>to show their showing their data they're more willing to share,

0:12:02.960 --> 0:12:05.560
<v Speaker 1>and they also want to show some sort of tangible

0:12:06.000 --> 0:12:07.880
<v Speaker 1>evidence that they're trying to do something. I mean, the

0:12:07.960 --> 0:12:10.319
<v Speaker 1>risk is that they hire a person and not with

0:12:10.400 --> 0:12:13.240
<v Speaker 1>the resources behind it, and not to the results and

0:12:13.280 --> 0:12:16.000
<v Speaker 1>then sort of say, see, I told you so, Um,

0:12:16.000 --> 0:12:19.040
<v Speaker 1>we tried and you know, nothing changed, which is kind

0:12:19.040 --> 0:12:21.920
<v Speaker 1>of where the pressure is now is to actually tie

0:12:22.000 --> 0:12:27.280
<v Speaker 1>these executives and all executives to outcomes. And so you're

0:12:27.320 --> 0:12:30.320
<v Speaker 1>you're seeing a lot of companies bringing their first chief

0:12:30.320 --> 0:12:33.120
<v Speaker 1>diversity officer, but they were now reporting to the CEO

0:12:33.360 --> 0:12:37.120
<v Speaker 1>as opposed to maybe through HR in a couple levels. Yeah,

0:12:37.120 --> 0:12:40.080
<v Speaker 1>it's definitely been up to um. Listen, those are the

0:12:40.120 --> 0:12:42.480
<v Speaker 1>both stories, just really really smart and full of lots

0:12:42.520 --> 0:12:45.000
<v Speaker 1>of information. It's in the current issue of Bloomberg Business

0:12:45.040 --> 0:12:48.040
<v Speaker 1>Week magazine. Jeff Green, thank you so much, Bloomberg News,

0:12:48.040 --> 0:12:51.360
<v Speaker 1>along which Old Weber, the editor of Bloomberg Business Week magazine.

0:12:51.600 --> 0:12:55.600
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and Bloomberg

0:12:55.720 --> 0:12:59.520
<v Speaker 1>Quick Takes Tim Stinovich from Bloomberg Radio. So we've been

0:12:59.520 --> 0:13:01.280
<v Speaker 1>talking about at this this is among our most right

0:13:01.320 --> 0:13:02.920
<v Speaker 1>on the Bloomberg And once we get into it. You

0:13:02.960 --> 0:13:05.200
<v Speaker 1>are going to totally know why it's among the most read.

0:13:05.360 --> 0:13:08.760
<v Speaker 1>It's about Goldman Sachs. It's about Goldman's modern CEO, David Solomon,

0:13:09.080 --> 0:13:13.360
<v Speaker 1>and it covers everything tim from empty offices to island getaways,

0:13:13.400 --> 0:13:16.280
<v Speaker 1>even with a stop in the Hampton's along the way.

0:13:17.480 --> 0:13:19.679
<v Speaker 1>On is Finance reporter for Bloomberg News, joins us on

0:13:19.720 --> 0:13:21.599
<v Speaker 1>the phone from New York Street. I'm so glad I

0:13:21.640 --> 0:13:23.560
<v Speaker 1>get to talk to you again about this story. We

0:13:23.559 --> 0:13:27.040
<v Speaker 1>spoke on quick Take earlier today. Um, look, what do

0:13:27.080 --> 0:13:30.080
<v Speaker 1>you think is the juiciest detail from what you learned

0:13:30.080 --> 0:13:34.719
<v Speaker 1>about Goldman Sacks over the last year. Then thanks. It's

0:13:34.760 --> 0:13:36.840
<v Speaker 1>always that it's always good to talk to you, whether

0:13:36.920 --> 0:13:39.360
<v Speaker 1>that's twice or more times in a day, and always

0:13:39.360 --> 0:13:42.120
<v Speaker 1>they're just speak to do Carol, thank you. And I'm

0:13:42.160 --> 0:13:43.920
<v Speaker 1>just being nice because I'm hoping when you get your

0:13:43.960 --> 0:13:46.960
<v Speaker 1>own jet you would take us along. I will, I will,

0:13:47.080 --> 0:13:52.040
<v Speaker 1>I promise. Look on gold Honestly, I think the bigger

0:13:52.080 --> 0:13:54.959
<v Speaker 1>picture is what's really important here. You have a film

0:13:55.040 --> 0:13:58.320
<v Speaker 1>that is doing, by all accounts, really really one of

0:13:58.360 --> 0:14:00.960
<v Speaker 1>the stock is it in all time high? It's obviously

0:14:01.240 --> 0:14:04.120
<v Speaker 1>Wall Street focused operation. It's one of the most premier

0:14:04.120 --> 0:14:06.960
<v Speaker 1>investment banks out It is the premier investment bank out there.

0:14:07.400 --> 0:14:11.280
<v Speaker 1>Great trading performance, great banking performance, in part aided by

0:14:11.320 --> 0:14:13.840
<v Speaker 1>the wings fall from the pandemic that has held so

0:14:13.920 --> 0:14:18.000
<v Speaker 1>many other big banks with their Wall Street operations. Then

0:14:18.000 --> 0:14:20.440
<v Speaker 1>why is it that when everything is supposed to be good,

0:14:20.480 --> 0:14:23.440
<v Speaker 1>there is still so much grumbling internally? And and and

0:14:23.640 --> 0:14:26.680
<v Speaker 1>that's that's the question that we've tried to explore here.

0:14:26.760 --> 0:14:30.760
<v Speaker 1>There's obviously some level of frustration with the CEO leadership style.

0:14:30.880 --> 0:14:34.400
<v Speaker 1>You've seen senior level defections, and at a time when

0:14:34.440 --> 0:14:40.640
<v Speaker 1>there are numerous lucrative opportunities for successful golden executives outside

0:14:40.720 --> 0:14:42.840
<v Speaker 1>of the banking space, and many of them seem to

0:14:42.840 --> 0:14:46.320
<v Speaker 1>be taking up on that opportunity. And there's without a

0:14:46.440 --> 0:14:50.080
<v Speaker 1>doubt the underlying theme of and it's something that affects

0:14:50.080 --> 0:14:53.880
<v Speaker 1>government but also every other large bank. As we think

0:14:53.920 --> 0:14:56.960
<v Speaker 1>about a wind down to the pandemic, hopeful wind down

0:14:57.000 --> 0:14:59.640
<v Speaker 1>to the pandemic, we're also trying to figure out what

0:14:59.760 --> 0:15:03.760
<v Speaker 1>the you normal will look like. How much flexibility will

0:15:03.800 --> 0:15:07.880
<v Speaker 1>bank provide And that's a key question because that will

0:15:07.920 --> 0:15:10.120
<v Speaker 1>play a big role in the kind of talent you

0:15:10.160 --> 0:15:12.920
<v Speaker 1>can attract so every company has to wrestle with it,

0:15:13.200 --> 0:15:15.840
<v Speaker 1>and that has also been a source of tension inside

0:15:15.840 --> 0:15:20.120
<v Speaker 1>Goldman Sex because of what appears to be a hardline

0:15:20.160 --> 0:15:23.840
<v Speaker 1>stance of the CEO David's owner. So, okay, so many

0:15:23.840 --> 0:15:25.960
<v Speaker 1>different places we could go, but first of all, I

0:15:26.080 --> 0:15:29.760
<v Speaker 1>kind of, you know, put a note to myself, let's

0:15:29.760 --> 0:15:33.640
<v Speaker 1>just start with the jet, because is that normal? I

0:15:33.680 --> 0:15:37.440
<v Speaker 1>feel like sure, if you go pre financial crisis, a

0:15:37.440 --> 0:15:40.080
<v Speaker 1>lot of corporations had their own private jet. It was

0:15:40.120 --> 0:15:43.440
<v Speaker 1>the norm. I don't think we would fingerpoint or anything.

0:15:43.440 --> 0:15:46.760
<v Speaker 1>It was just the way CEO has got around is

0:15:46.800 --> 0:15:49.200
<v Speaker 1>that the case for Wall Street? Was it that way?

0:15:49.280 --> 0:15:51.120
<v Speaker 1>And has it not been that way? And so it's

0:15:51.200 --> 0:15:54.880
<v Speaker 1>kind of a bit of an anomaly for Goldman. I

0:15:54.880 --> 0:15:58.400
<v Speaker 1>think it's an extremely fair point to make. Carol jets

0:15:58.520 --> 0:16:02.200
<v Speaker 1>by themselves are not normally on on Wall Street. An

0:16:02.200 --> 0:16:05.040
<v Speaker 1>executive jet might be seen as normal in fact, but

0:16:05.240 --> 0:16:08.800
<v Speaker 1>Goldman fact long may day point of not buying one,

0:16:08.880 --> 0:16:11.600
<v Speaker 1>not having its own private jet, because it was one

0:16:11.640 --> 0:16:14.800
<v Speaker 1>of the extravagance. But invite our public schand and even

0:16:14.880 --> 0:16:17.320
<v Speaker 1>those who have it, it would be hard to certifind

0:16:17.360 --> 0:16:21.680
<v Speaker 1>cases where they've used it. Extensively for personal trips, and

0:16:22.160 --> 0:16:24.920
<v Speaker 1>Goldman's only had jets for a few months now, and

0:16:25.480 --> 0:16:27.000
<v Speaker 1>from what we have been able to see in the

0:16:27.000 --> 0:16:29.560
<v Speaker 1>record we've seen, it seems half of those trips have

0:16:29.640 --> 0:16:32.680
<v Speaker 1>been these we can getaways. But then you also have

0:16:32.800 --> 0:16:36.160
<v Speaker 1>to juxtapose that with what is happening in the broader

0:16:36.200 --> 0:16:40.480
<v Speaker 1>world right now. You have a firm whose CEO has

0:16:40.600 --> 0:16:44.320
<v Speaker 1>access to the corporate asset to be able to escape

0:16:44.440 --> 0:16:47.640
<v Speaker 1>to these getaways, while at the same time his subordinate

0:16:47.920 --> 0:16:50.680
<v Speaker 1>and the public at large are still dealing with the

0:16:50.720 --> 0:16:55.000
<v Speaker 1>rigors of pandemic life. That brings a whole level of strain.

0:16:55.200 --> 0:16:58.480
<v Speaker 1>And when you know that your boss has access to

0:16:58.680 --> 0:17:01.640
<v Speaker 1>these getaway and at the same time want to back

0:17:01.680 --> 0:17:03.640
<v Speaker 1>in the city, want you back at the desk, because

0:17:03.680 --> 0:17:06.639
<v Speaker 1>he believed that is what will keep innovation going, and

0:17:06.680 --> 0:17:09.280
<v Speaker 1>that is what will make sure that the film continues

0:17:09.320 --> 0:17:12.239
<v Speaker 1>to strive. There is obviously a bit of a right

0:17:12.760 --> 0:17:15.840
<v Speaker 1>a level of fiction, and that messaging mismatch has to

0:17:15.840 --> 0:17:18.720
<v Speaker 1>be address. Listen that tension you get into so well

0:17:18.760 --> 0:17:20.719
<v Speaker 1>in this story, we can't go through it all and

0:17:20.760 --> 0:17:22.520
<v Speaker 1>it is really a must read. As we said, it

0:17:22.600 --> 0:17:25.119
<v Speaker 1>is among our most read on the Bloomberg. So I'll

0:17:25.160 --> 0:17:27.280
<v Speaker 1>put it out on Twitter and highly recommend everybody go

0:17:27.359 --> 0:17:29.480
<v Speaker 1>to Bloomberg dot com and check it out. Tree, thank

0:17:29.520 --> 0:17:32.320
<v Speaker 1>you so much. Tree. Not Jon finance reporter at Bloomberg

0:17:32.400 --> 0:17:34.520
<v Speaker 1>News joining us on the phone from New York City.

0:17:34.560 --> 0:17:36.600
<v Speaker 1>And that's really that important point that he said, come on,

0:17:36.640 --> 0:17:39.439
<v Speaker 1>I want people back at work, and yet he has

0:17:39.480 --> 0:17:42.160
<v Speaker 1>the luxury to kind of jet off to different places. Yeah,

0:17:42.160 --> 0:17:44.360
<v Speaker 1>that's a great point. I want people back at work too. Yeah.

0:17:44.400 --> 0:17:47.320
<v Speaker 1>I know. Well they're slowly coming back, slowly, slowly. This

0:17:47.600 --> 0:17:51.679
<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and Bloomberg Quick Takes.

0:17:51.720 --> 0:17:56.280
<v Speaker 1>Tim Stinovic from Bloomberg Radio. Let's get into our next guest,

0:17:56.359 --> 0:18:00.400
<v Speaker 1>because listen, we keep a watch on bitcoin every day.

0:18:00.440 --> 0:18:03.280
<v Speaker 1>Did drop back a little bit today after scaling a

0:18:03.280 --> 0:18:06.760
<v Speaker 1>fresh record on bets at some of the pandemic relief

0:18:06.760 --> 0:18:09.520
<v Speaker 1>payments in the US will end up chasing the digital

0:18:09.520 --> 0:18:13.440
<v Speaker 1>tokens towering rally. We've been writing about that, uh and

0:18:13.760 --> 0:18:18.000
<v Speaker 1>also writing about bitcoin. In his weekly column, he tackles

0:18:18.040 --> 0:18:21.840
<v Speaker 1>maybe how central banks get into the cryptocurrencies. Let's bring

0:18:21.880 --> 0:18:24.800
<v Speaker 1>in Bloomberg New Economy editorial director Andy Brown. He's with

0:18:24.880 --> 0:18:27.680
<v Speaker 1>us on the phone in New York City, Andy, good

0:18:27.720 --> 0:18:29.880
<v Speaker 1>to have you here with us. I feel like bitcoin

0:18:30.000 --> 0:18:31.840
<v Speaker 1>is one of those things as we continue to watch

0:18:31.880 --> 0:18:34.320
<v Speaker 1>it take out level after level, there's either people who

0:18:34.320 --> 0:18:37.080
<v Speaker 1>are all in on it are people who don't like

0:18:37.160 --> 0:18:41.080
<v Speaker 1>it at all. Yeah. Well, you know, just looking into

0:18:41.119 --> 0:18:45.800
<v Speaker 1>the whole issue of cryptocurrencies, in bitcoin, it strikes you

0:18:45.920 --> 0:18:51.200
<v Speaker 1>how how shockingly retrograde this whole thing is, right, I mean,

0:18:51.600 --> 0:18:54.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, you start, you start with the environment. I

0:18:54.119 --> 0:18:56.480
<v Speaker 1>know this is is a terribly unpopular thing to say

0:18:56.560 --> 0:18:59.040
<v Speaker 1>with bitcoin Enthusually, I have to will argue against it.

0:18:59.640 --> 0:19:02.760
<v Speaker 1>The true to the matter is that bitcoin in producing

0:19:02.800 --> 0:19:07.320
<v Speaker 1>bitcoin requires massive amounts of computing power and according to

0:19:07.400 --> 0:19:10.480
<v Speaker 1>the analysts, analysts that the researchers at Cambridge University equal

0:19:10.760 --> 0:19:14.720
<v Speaker 1>it equals the carbon emissions equal to the equal to

0:19:14.760 --> 0:19:18.000
<v Speaker 1>the entire output of Argentina. Okay, so it's terrible for

0:19:18.080 --> 0:19:21.600
<v Speaker 1>the terrible for the environment. In terms of a medium

0:19:21.640 --> 0:19:25.760
<v Speaker 1>of exchange, it's really super inefficient. Now there are layers

0:19:25.800 --> 0:19:28.440
<v Speaker 1>that are being built on top of the of bitcoin,

0:19:28.520 --> 0:19:30.720
<v Speaker 1>but right now you can do about four or five

0:19:30.800 --> 0:19:34.639
<v Speaker 1>or six transactions every second versus literally thousands that are

0:19:34.680 --> 0:19:37.560
<v Speaker 1>done by visa and master cards, so it's clunky. Janet

0:19:37.600 --> 0:19:42.080
<v Speaker 1>Yellen was just the other days saying this is extremely inefficient.

0:19:42.119 --> 0:19:43.719
<v Speaker 1>And then as a store of value, I mean this

0:19:43.760 --> 0:19:45.640
<v Speaker 1>time last year it was trading at something like less

0:19:45.640 --> 0:19:48.120
<v Speaker 1>than ten thousand. Now it's it's up as as as

0:19:48.160 --> 0:19:51.359
<v Speaker 1>you as you say, now hitting hitting new new records.

0:19:51.400 --> 0:19:55.320
<v Speaker 1>So you know, in terms of what it is, uh.

0:19:55.480 --> 0:19:58.480
<v Speaker 1>And of course nobody actually actually knows what what what

0:19:58.480 --> 0:20:02.840
<v Speaker 1>what value it represent beyond scarcity, right, so basically as

0:20:02.840 --> 0:20:06.320
<v Speaker 1>a string a string of software code. Uh. And and

0:20:06.359 --> 0:20:09.240
<v Speaker 1>there's this artificial scarce because only twenty one million bitcoin

0:20:09.560 --> 0:20:14.600
<v Speaker 1>will ever be produced or mind as as as they say, uh,

0:20:14.640 --> 0:20:17.800
<v Speaker 1>and yet it actually does represent right now, there's there's

0:20:18.119 --> 0:20:22.840
<v Speaker 1>a very fundamental threat uh to central banks um. And

0:20:22.920 --> 0:20:26.439
<v Speaker 1>central banks are really scrambling to come up with a

0:20:26.520 --> 0:20:30.320
<v Speaker 1>response to this thing. Um. And it does seem as

0:20:30.320 --> 0:20:33.479
<v Speaker 1>though China is at the forefront of the response to

0:20:33.480 --> 0:20:37.560
<v Speaker 1>this challenge by coming up with a central bank issued

0:20:38.119 --> 0:20:41.879
<v Speaker 1>digital currency. And again, you know, this is something that

0:20:41.920 --> 0:20:44.680
<v Speaker 1>banks are now looking at. They didn't want any part

0:20:44.720 --> 0:20:48.080
<v Speaker 1>of cryptocurrencies, but they're being forced to respond. Janet Yell

0:20:48.119 --> 0:20:51.040
<v Speaker 1>and the other day said, well, yeah, actually you know, uh,

0:20:51.600 --> 0:20:53.920
<v Speaker 1>maybe a digital dollar would be a good idea. Maybe

0:20:53.920 --> 0:20:57.280
<v Speaker 1>it would facilitate payments and so on. Um, you know,

0:20:57.359 --> 0:20:59.639
<v Speaker 1>and and and kind of the thought is that the

0:21:00.240 --> 0:21:04.560
<v Speaker 1>irony here is that you know, the the the people

0:21:04.560 --> 0:21:08.639
<v Speaker 1>who invented bitcoin. This this was very much a libertarian experiment,

0:21:08.680 --> 0:21:11.480
<v Speaker 1>a radical experiment and peer to peer money. You you

0:21:11.480 --> 0:21:14.439
<v Speaker 1>you took out the middle person, right that the banks,

0:21:14.840 --> 0:21:20.200
<v Speaker 1>the monetary authorities. What would you know the unintended consequences

0:21:20.240 --> 0:21:23.159
<v Speaker 1>of this, Maybe that they have that they're going to

0:21:23.280 --> 0:21:28.000
<v Speaker 1>spur the creation of these ultimate top down currencies issued

0:21:28.040 --> 0:21:31.840
<v Speaker 1>by monetary authorities, central banks, um, all over the world.

0:21:31.880 --> 0:21:34.840
<v Speaker 1>And actually, you know that may not be such a

0:21:34.960 --> 0:21:38.560
<v Speaker 1>terrible thing, to the extent that you know, you could

0:21:38.600 --> 0:21:42.720
<v Speaker 1>really blur the lines between monetary and fiscal policy. China

0:21:42.760 --> 0:21:46.879
<v Speaker 1>and China they're talking about, you know, using using central

0:21:46.880 --> 0:21:51.280
<v Speaker 1>bank issued currency, for instance, to you know, issue helicopter

0:21:51.400 --> 0:21:57.680
<v Speaker 1>money to businesses, right individuals, right unlimited queue for the

0:21:57.440 --> 0:22:00.840
<v Speaker 1>for the for the for for the masses, um, you know,

0:22:00.920 --> 0:22:03.640
<v Speaker 1>and and uh, it's it's it's just something that they're

0:22:03.680 --> 0:22:07.040
<v Speaker 1>actively considering. This is this isn't some kind of wild theory.

0:22:07.160 --> 0:22:10.280
<v Speaker 1>This is the practical application that they're talking about in China. Right, Well,

0:22:10.400 --> 0:22:12.399
<v Speaker 1>it's and it's fascinating. Like you mentioned John Yelle in

0:22:12.400 --> 0:22:14.200
<v Speaker 1>the one eight that she's done, but you do talk

0:22:14.200 --> 0:22:17.240
<v Speaker 1>about China. And listen, since we have you, we've got

0:22:17.280 --> 0:22:19.800
<v Speaker 1>to ask you about all of the headlines, the flur

0:22:19.920 --> 0:22:23.520
<v Speaker 1>of headlines, including one this morning coming out of China

0:22:24.080 --> 0:22:28.160
<v Speaker 1>about the Chinese government asking Ali Baba to sell media assets.

0:22:28.240 --> 0:22:31.639
<v Speaker 1>You know, we are seeing increasingly andy this campaign to

0:22:31.720 --> 0:22:35.560
<v Speaker 1>curb the influence of China's technology moguls um. We continue

0:22:35.600 --> 0:22:38.760
<v Speaker 1>to see that expand what's the endgame and what's what

0:22:38.840 --> 0:22:42.600
<v Speaker 1>does this ultimately mean in terms of especially China's plan

0:22:43.160 --> 0:22:49.560
<v Speaker 1>to be operating on a more sophisticated kind of industrialized scale. Yeah,

0:22:49.640 --> 0:22:51.359
<v Speaker 1>you know, look, I think you can look at this

0:22:51.440 --> 0:22:54.560
<v Speaker 1>in in in two ways. I mean, one way is

0:22:54.640 --> 0:22:57.720
<v Speaker 1>clearly they've launched the launching the mother of all antitrust

0:22:57.760 --> 0:23:03.520
<v Speaker 1>investigations now into UH into Ali Baba. Uh. It looks

0:23:03.560 --> 0:23:05.919
<v Speaker 1>as though this is now going to spread from Ali

0:23:05.960 --> 0:23:08.600
<v Speaker 1>Baba to ten Cent, And so you could say that

0:23:08.640 --> 0:23:11.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, as they're going through Ali Baba's business is

0:23:11.600 --> 0:23:15.040
<v Speaker 1>trying to figure out ways where it is abusing its monopoly,

0:23:15.200 --> 0:23:18.159
<v Speaker 1>perceived to be abusing its monopoly. Now they're taking a

0:23:18.160 --> 0:23:20.560
<v Speaker 1>look at the whole issue of media, and so according

0:23:20.560 --> 0:23:24.240
<v Speaker 1>to the Wolf's Reet Journal, Ali baba Is may have

0:23:24.400 --> 0:23:28.080
<v Speaker 1>to divest its media assets. You know, the other way

0:23:28.119 --> 0:23:30.800
<v Speaker 1>I look at this is, you know, from a from

0:23:30.840 --> 0:23:34.800
<v Speaker 1>a political perspective, I would say this is deeply negative

0:23:34.880 --> 0:23:40.560
<v Speaker 1>and deeply troubling for Jagna because in China, you know,

0:23:41.040 --> 0:23:44.160
<v Speaker 1>media is. Of course they're saying, oh, you know, we're

0:23:44.240 --> 0:23:47.119
<v Speaker 1>we're in media not because we want to control the message,

0:23:47.680 --> 0:23:49.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, not because we want to we we we

0:23:49.760 --> 0:23:52.600
<v Speaker 1>we we we want to have political influences, all about

0:23:52.720 --> 0:23:56.520
<v Speaker 1>leveraging technology to help media companies. That's not the way

0:23:56.560 --> 0:23:58.320
<v Speaker 1>regulators look at it at all, as far as they

0:23:58.400 --> 0:24:06.080
<v Speaker 1>concerned media politics, Media is propaganda. Propaganda is shaping public opinion.

0:24:06.200 --> 0:24:08.480
<v Speaker 1>And as far as the party is concerned in China,

0:24:08.600 --> 0:24:12.320
<v Speaker 1>that is a plank, a central plank all the way

0:24:12.760 --> 0:24:16.760
<v Speaker 1>it holds power and and and and perpetuates its rule.

0:24:17.240 --> 0:24:23.720
<v Speaker 1>This is deeply now a deeply political tone that the

0:24:23.760 --> 0:24:29.600
<v Speaker 1>antitrust investigation against Ali Baba has has has has has taken.

0:24:30.119 --> 0:24:32.639
<v Speaker 1>Yeah listen, and it just feels like almost every morning

0:24:32.720 --> 0:24:35.200
<v Speaker 1>or every day or every week that there's another headline

0:24:35.200 --> 0:24:38.440
<v Speaker 1>against one of the major Chinese players. Um, Andy, thank

0:24:38.440 --> 0:24:41.040
<v Speaker 1>you so much, really appreciate a. Bloomberg New Economy editorial

0:24:41.080 --> 0:24:42.919
<v Speaker 1>director Andy Brown with us on the phone in New

0:24:43.000 --> 0:24:50.240
<v Speaker 1>York City, macro a journal Now, but you let me drive?

0:24:50.520 --> 0:24:55.240
<v Speaker 1>Oh no, no, no, no no, please, I'll do the right

0:24:55.359 --> 0:25:06.159
<v Speaker 1>revel I want to try. Just drive, baby, question trying.

0:25:12.600 --> 0:25:16.320
<v Speaker 1>This is the drive to the globe. Thanks, we'll try

0:25:16.520 --> 0:25:20.240
<v Speaker 1>us on Bloomberg Radio. All right, just wout eleven minutes

0:25:20.280 --> 0:25:23.000
<v Speaker 1>left in the Monday trading session. The IDEs of March.

0:25:23.280 --> 0:25:26.520
<v Speaker 1>So it's happening, it's happening. Hey, Let's bring in J. J.

0:25:26.640 --> 0:25:28.520
<v Speaker 1>Ken In. He's chief market Strategies at t D A

0:25:28.560 --> 0:25:31.520
<v Speaker 1>Merge Trade, joining us once again on the phone from Chicago.

0:25:32.320 --> 0:25:36.359
<v Speaker 1>Are you spooked at all? Girl? I spook. No, not

0:25:36.480 --> 0:25:40.200
<v Speaker 1>at all. Let's get here. We're saying the IDEs of March,

0:25:40.400 --> 0:25:45.360
<v Speaker 1>you know, little nervousness here. Well, it is funny though,

0:25:45.440 --> 0:25:48.040
<v Speaker 1>isn't it. You know, as we set new records on Friday,

0:25:48.080 --> 0:25:51.720
<v Speaker 1>if I were reading the you know press over the weekend,

0:25:51.760 --> 0:25:54.000
<v Speaker 1>not knowing what happened, I would think that we were

0:25:54.440 --> 0:25:57.120
<v Speaker 1>in the middle of a terrible, terrible stock market right now.

0:25:57.520 --> 0:26:02.399
<v Speaker 1>That is amazing. I'm many people are just waiting for

0:26:02.440 --> 0:26:04.680
<v Speaker 1>the fall, so to speak, as we continue to rally.

0:26:04.800 --> 0:26:06.840
<v Speaker 1>Were they right to feel the way? And here I

0:26:06.840 --> 0:26:09.159
<v Speaker 1>am looking at the last few minutes of trading today

0:26:09.240 --> 0:26:12.280
<v Speaker 1>and we're seeing another leg up on the major equity

0:26:12.320 --> 0:26:16.760
<v Speaker 1>servicing buying into the clothes here, Um, but are investors

0:26:16.800 --> 0:26:20.160
<v Speaker 1>are individuals right to be a little nervous. Maybe it's

0:26:20.160 --> 0:26:22.480
<v Speaker 1>not even this this year's story, Maybe it's in the

0:26:22.520 --> 0:26:26.280
<v Speaker 1>next year's story. Well, I think, you know, you bring

0:26:26.359 --> 0:26:28.280
<v Speaker 1>up a great point. Part of it should depend on

0:26:28.320 --> 0:26:32.359
<v Speaker 1>your time frame quite a bit. But I do think

0:26:32.400 --> 0:26:36.760
<v Speaker 1>that healthy, healthy pessimism is always a good thing when

0:26:36.760 --> 0:26:40.320
<v Speaker 1>you are investing. There's no question about that. But you know,

0:26:40.840 --> 0:26:43.080
<v Speaker 1>you can't stop it for you can't. You can't let

0:26:43.119 --> 0:26:48.000
<v Speaker 1>that stop you from investing in quality names that are

0:26:48.080 --> 0:26:50.880
<v Speaker 1>doing wealth. And you know, as we talk right now,

0:26:50.920 --> 0:26:54.359
<v Speaker 1>we're seeing bonds rally quite a bit as the S

0:26:54.440 --> 0:26:57.000
<v Speaker 1>and P s rally quite a bit. I think the

0:26:57.040 --> 0:27:01.439
<v Speaker 1>thing that maybe people should be concerned out at the

0:27:01.520 --> 0:27:05.120
<v Speaker 1>moment is that the relationships are still a little bit askew,

0:27:05.480 --> 0:27:08.000
<v Speaker 1>and I would expect that to continue, and I would

0:27:08.000 --> 0:27:12.000
<v Speaker 1>expect actually volatility to continue for at least till the

0:27:12.080 --> 0:27:14.919
<v Speaker 1>end of the month, and certainly this week as we

0:27:15.000 --> 0:27:18.880
<v Speaker 1>have quade people witching exploration on Friday, and so it'll

0:27:18.920 --> 0:27:22.080
<v Speaker 1>be interesting for me to see how many people are

0:27:22.200 --> 0:27:25.359
<v Speaker 1>sort of rolling positions forward or are people going to

0:27:25.480 --> 0:27:29.400
<v Speaker 1>have the same enthusiasm for the summertime as they've had

0:27:29.600 --> 0:27:32.760
<v Speaker 1>for the uh, you know, first quarter of the Well,

0:27:32.800 --> 0:27:35.840
<v Speaker 1>speaking of enthusiasm, our colleague David Weston spoke with A

0:27:35.960 --> 0:27:39.960
<v Speaker 1>Bank of America's CEO, Brian moynihan earlier today, and one

0:27:40.000 --> 0:27:41.879
<v Speaker 1>thing that struck me from part of the interview that

0:27:42.000 --> 0:27:44.480
<v Speaker 1>we played right here on Bloomberg Radio is when he

0:27:44.480 --> 0:27:46.800
<v Speaker 1>talked about consumer spending and credit card use and the

0:27:46.840 --> 0:27:50.920
<v Speaker 1>way they were rebounding really strongly, seeing significant shifts after

0:27:50.960 --> 0:27:53.679
<v Speaker 1>people get vaccinated in April. Data will probably show quote

0:27:53.720 --> 0:27:57.200
<v Speaker 1>massive growth compared with what kind of preview does that

0:27:57.320 --> 0:27:59.520
<v Speaker 1>give you for what things look like on the other

0:27:59.520 --> 0:28:01.800
<v Speaker 1>side here and what is that and how much of

0:28:01.800 --> 0:28:03.760
<v Speaker 1>that is priced in already in stocks? Right? How much

0:28:03.800 --> 0:28:07.440
<v Speaker 1>of that optimism is already priced in? Well, I think

0:28:07.480 --> 0:28:09.680
<v Speaker 1>him that's really going to be the question that we hit,

0:28:10.480 --> 0:28:12.240
<v Speaker 1>in my opinion, out a couple of months. And the

0:28:12.280 --> 0:28:14.040
<v Speaker 1>reason I say that it's at the same time that

0:28:14.080 --> 0:28:16.520
<v Speaker 1>you're talking about that, you're also getting checks going in

0:28:16.560 --> 0:28:18.920
<v Speaker 1>the mail this week, so people get excited about that.

0:28:19.560 --> 0:28:22.679
<v Speaker 1>But where I think the real test comes is, you know,

0:28:23.000 --> 0:28:25.680
<v Speaker 1>but I believe and trying after May first, we're also

0:28:25.760 --> 0:28:27.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, every adult silso to get vaccinating. So let's

0:28:27.760 --> 0:28:30.920
<v Speaker 1>say they come to June. What happens then when people

0:28:30.960 --> 0:28:33.360
<v Speaker 1>who have been at a home for close to eighteen

0:28:33.359 --> 0:28:37.800
<v Speaker 1>months in many cases, will fall between twelve and eighteen. Uh, productivity,

0:28:37.840 --> 0:28:40.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, as they say, it's never been higher, creativity

0:28:40.280 --> 0:28:43.720
<v Speaker 1>never been lower because people have been working so much,

0:28:44.200 --> 0:28:47.560
<v Speaker 1>but not in groups, and everybody has a bunch of

0:28:47.600 --> 0:28:50.000
<v Speaker 1>vacation time saved up. What I'm worried about. To be

0:28:50.040 --> 0:28:52.640
<v Speaker 1>honest with you, it's third quarter GDP because you may

0:28:52.680 --> 0:28:55.000
<v Speaker 1>come to the situation where so many people say I'm

0:28:55.040 --> 0:28:58.720
<v Speaker 1>going outside. I don't care. I just want to enjoy

0:28:58.880 --> 0:29:01.320
<v Speaker 1>life for a little while, because I haven't really done that.

0:29:01.400 --> 0:29:04.560
<v Speaker 1>And I know, I mean, I say it kind of smirking,

0:29:05.040 --> 0:29:08.280
<v Speaker 1>but I do think it's a real threat to things,

0:29:08.600 --> 0:29:11.880
<v Speaker 1>uh for a core, because I really feel like you

0:29:11.920 --> 0:29:13.800
<v Speaker 1>live in New York, I live in Chicago. We know

0:29:13.880 --> 0:29:18.480
<v Speaker 1>how precious nice weather is. And I think that that's

0:29:18.480 --> 0:29:19.960
<v Speaker 1>a risk of the account. But but maybe that would

0:29:20.000 --> 0:29:22.520
<v Speaker 1>manifest in other consumer spending. Right if we think about

0:29:22.520 --> 0:29:25.400
<v Speaker 1>it from the perspective of the way that we hit

0:29:25.440 --> 0:29:28.320
<v Speaker 1>a hospitality right and traveling leisure like that could be

0:29:28.360 --> 0:29:31.480
<v Speaker 1>a boon, then that could be a boon, And I

0:29:31.880 --> 0:29:34.360
<v Speaker 1>I believe you're absolutely right, And actually theoretically, I think

0:29:34.400 --> 0:29:36.680
<v Speaker 1>it could be a boon for the energy market to

0:29:36.960 --> 0:29:41.200
<v Speaker 1>to be uh quite out oft also, but that also

0:29:41.240 --> 0:29:43.760
<v Speaker 1>has longer term effects. And so I think that if

0:29:43.760 --> 0:29:45.920
<v Speaker 1>you see GDP start could come down, even if it's

0:29:45.960 --> 0:29:48.680
<v Speaker 1>just for a quarter, then it's okay, how do we

0:29:48.720 --> 0:29:52.360
<v Speaker 1>recover from that, because hopefully we don't need any more

0:29:52.360 --> 0:29:55.120
<v Speaker 1>stimulus after this one, et cetera. And if it's that's

0:29:55.120 --> 0:29:56.760
<v Speaker 1>at the same time as we start to see some

0:29:56.800 --> 0:29:59.520
<v Speaker 1>text proposals, that's the only thing that I see concerns

0:29:59.560 --> 0:30:02.640
<v Speaker 1>me longer. Yeah, but we seem to somehow manager I

0:30:02.680 --> 0:30:05.040
<v Speaker 1>don't know, no offense, but I feel like companies figure

0:30:05.080 --> 0:30:07.560
<v Speaker 1>out a way in terms of their effective tax rate

0:30:07.600 --> 0:30:11.920
<v Speaker 1>to actually despite a you know, actual tax rate that

0:30:11.920 --> 0:30:14.800
<v Speaker 1>they're supposed to pay, they ultimately pay up less j J.

0:30:15.000 --> 0:30:21.080
<v Speaker 1>So it's not so onerous on the corporate community bottom line. No, No,

0:30:21.240 --> 0:30:25.880
<v Speaker 1>that's true, Carol, But I just mean spending in general, etcetera. Again,

0:30:26.160 --> 0:30:28.880
<v Speaker 1>I think it's great when you know people have this

0:30:28.960 --> 0:30:32.120
<v Speaker 1>optimism and there there's incredible optimism right now, and and

0:30:32.240 --> 0:30:34.680
<v Speaker 1>love to see it. Like I said, even though you know,

0:30:34.760 --> 0:30:37.400
<v Speaker 1>reading a lot of the reports of the market, you

0:30:37.440 --> 0:30:40.680
<v Speaker 1>wouldn't know there's an incredible optimism, But days like today

0:30:40.800 --> 0:30:43.360
<v Speaker 1>make me believe there is. I guess what I'm really

0:30:43.400 --> 0:30:45.800
<v Speaker 1>saying is I think anybody who believes sort of this

0:30:46.000 --> 0:30:50.120
<v Speaker 1>shorter term volatility is going away is probably a little

0:30:50.120 --> 0:30:55.360
<v Speaker 1>bit kidding themselves because there are things to worry about

0:30:55.440 --> 0:30:58.920
<v Speaker 1>in the shorter term. But as we look for the rest,

0:30:59.400 --> 0:31:01.880
<v Speaker 1>certainly for the rest of the next quarter, I just

0:31:01.920 --> 0:31:05.280
<v Speaker 1>feel like we have a lot of momentum. We have checksitting,

0:31:05.320 --> 0:31:08.120
<v Speaker 1>we have people anxious to spend money. It's the second

0:31:08.160 --> 0:31:10.440
<v Speaker 1>half of the year that I start to wonder about

0:31:10.480 --> 0:31:12.800
<v Speaker 1>a little bit and can we continue with this great

0:31:12.800 --> 0:31:15.880
<v Speaker 1>optimism prove all right? So having said that, then how

0:31:15.880 --> 0:31:19.040
<v Speaker 1>do you position a portfolio at this point? What's your

0:31:19.040 --> 0:31:23.880
<v Speaker 1>take well. I think, you know, financials as have been

0:31:23.880 --> 0:31:29.640
<v Speaker 1>a great uh contributor to the market so far this

0:31:29.720 --> 0:31:32.720
<v Speaker 1>year half to be there. You know, they they fought

0:31:32.800 --> 0:31:35.120
<v Speaker 1>for so many years the headwinds, and they were like

0:31:35.160 --> 0:31:37.360
<v Speaker 1>a great boxer that wouldn't go down and kept getting

0:31:37.360 --> 0:31:40.440
<v Speaker 1>punch in the face. And now with with the way

0:31:40.480 --> 0:31:43.800
<v Speaker 1>they managed their business, the ability to collect funds and

0:31:43.840 --> 0:31:47.320
<v Speaker 1>now they actually have true banking functions hopefully back and

0:31:47.600 --> 0:31:49.640
<v Speaker 1>a little bit of a spread even though again I

0:31:49.960 --> 0:31:52.480
<v Speaker 1>know I'm talking about at ten year rate, it's just

0:31:52.600 --> 0:31:56.400
<v Speaker 1>over one point six. As if it's unbelievable us, let's

0:31:56.440 --> 0:32:00.120
<v Speaker 1>face it. In perspective of historical it's nothing but the

0:32:00.160 --> 0:32:01.800
<v Speaker 1>trends in the right direction for them. And I think

0:32:01.840 --> 0:32:03.640
<v Speaker 1>Tommy hit on something on for a few minutes ago,

0:32:03.880 --> 0:32:07.480
<v Speaker 1>and that is the hospitality industry, you know, small businesses

0:32:07.760 --> 0:32:11.719
<v Speaker 1>all the way through these stocks and airlines. So I

0:32:11.760 --> 0:32:15.040
<v Speaker 1>do think they have a great opportunity. The only thing

0:32:15.120 --> 0:32:17.240
<v Speaker 1>that I think puts a little bit of a crimp

0:32:17.240 --> 0:32:19.120
<v Speaker 1>in there, and and I don't know what I'll slow

0:32:19.120 --> 0:32:21.160
<v Speaker 1>it down in the short term is actually a prude

0:32:21.400 --> 0:32:24.800
<v Speaker 1>Prices continue up above seventy as we speak right now.

0:32:24.840 --> 0:32:29.280
<v Speaker 1>You know West Texas is eight, but we uh, if

0:32:29.280 --> 0:32:31.360
<v Speaker 1>we get above seventy, I think that puts a little

0:32:31.360 --> 0:32:35.440
<v Speaker 1>bit of expense, perhaps back on airlines. J J. In

0:32:35.480 --> 0:32:37.800
<v Speaker 1>five seconds, is there a ten year yield number that

0:32:37.800 --> 0:32:42.120
<v Speaker 1>scares you? All? Right? Well, there it is, all right,

0:32:42.320 --> 0:32:47.760
<v Speaker 1>we're watching. Thanks for listening to Bloomberg Business Week. Download

0:32:47.800 --> 0:32:51.120
<v Speaker 1>the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg dot com, and

0:32:51.120 --> 0:32:52.840
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0:32:52.840 --> 0:32:55.680
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0:32:55.920 --> 0:33:01.960
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