WEBVTT - 2/19/26: Saagar Rips Trump Degeneracy, Dem Voter Revolt, Trump Voters Rail On AI 

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<v Speaker 1>Hey, guys, Saga and Crystal here.

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<v Speaker 1>dot com. There's a lot going on in the world.

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<v Speaker 1>You might have missed this. The Trump administration is currently

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<v Speaker 1>going to bat for the prediction markets masquerading as sports

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<v Speaker 1>gambling companies to nationalize sports gambling to dramatically enrich not

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<v Speaker 1>only the Trump family themselves, but also all of the

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<v Speaker 1>most degenerate executives in the United States. So I want

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<v Speaker 1>to go ahead and give a major shout out here

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<v Speaker 1>to the chairman of the CFTC, the Commodities Future Trading Commission,

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<v Speaker 1>which is responsible for regulating prediction markets, wo by the

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<v Speaker 1>way is actually a former crypto executive and is now

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<v Speaker 1>actually trying to preempt any state efforts to rein in

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<v Speaker 1>prediction markets backdoor sports gambling across the nation, violating state

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<v Speaker 1>sovereignty and their ability to regulate sports gambling internally. Here's

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<v Speaker 1>the chairman of the CFDC, Mike Sellig. Let's take a

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<v Speaker 1>listen to what he had to say.

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<v Speaker 3>CFDC Chairman Mike saliing here. Over the past year, American

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<v Speaker 3>prediction markets have been hit with an onslaught of state

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<v Speaker 3>led litigation. In response, the CFDC has today filed a

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<v Speaker 3>Friend of the Court brief to defend its exclusive jurisdiction

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<v Speaker 3>over these derivative markets. Today, the CFDC is taking an

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<v Speaker 3>important step to ensure that these markets have a place

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<v Speaker 3>here in America and have the integrity and resilience and

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<v Speaker 3>vibrancy that our derivatives' markets deserve. To those who seek

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<v Speaker 3>to challenge our authority in this space, let me be clear,

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<v Speaker 3>we will see you in court.

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<v Speaker 1>So what he is saying there is that states do

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<v Speaker 1>not have the right to regulate sports gambling, which goes

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<v Speaker 1>directly against the Supreme Court decision. Now, let me also explain,

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<v Speaker 1>because if you listen to that. You're like, oh, well,

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<v Speaker 1>he's talking about derivative markets and financial work. No, that's

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<v Speaker 1>not what this is about, literally at all. And don't

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<v Speaker 1>get to that here in a second. Let's put up

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<v Speaker 1>here Governor Spencer Cox of Utah's response. He says, Mike,

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<v Speaker 1>I appreciate you attempting this with a straight face, but

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<v Speaker 1>I don't remember the CFTC having authority over the derivative

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<v Speaker 1>market of Lebron James rebounds. These prediction markets you are

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<v Speaker 1>breathlessly defending are gambling, pure and simple. They are destroying

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<v Speaker 1>the lives of families and countless Americans, especially young men.

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<v Speaker 1>They have no place in Utah. Let me be clear,

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<v Speaker 1>I will use every resource within my disposal as governor

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<v Speaker 1>of the sovereign state of Utah and under the Constitution

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<v Speaker 1>of the United States, to beat you in court. So

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<v Speaker 1>that is a Republican governor. And this very much, Chrystal

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<v Speaker 1>resembles what happened with AI. You have these companies, you

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<v Speaker 1>have Calshi, you have Polymarket, you have DraftKings, FanDuel, all

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<v Speaker 1>of the gambling companies rushing to get into the prediction

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<v Speaker 1>market space. And let me explain this very clearly sports gambling,

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<v Speaker 1>as you all know, which I am massively against the

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<v Speaker 1>Fanduels and the DraftKings. They are more tightly regulated than

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<v Speaker 1>these prediction markets. What the prediction markets are arguing is

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<v Speaker 1>that because they are explicitly not gambling, that they are

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<v Speaker 1>legalized in all fifty states. And as we have also seen,

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<v Speaker 1>if go take a look at DraftKings stock and FanDuel stock,

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<v Speaker 1>they're down forty to fifty percent. The reason why is

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<v Speaker 1>they're bleeding money to these prediction markets. Vegas actually handled

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<v Speaker 1>way less money for the Super Bowl this year than

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<v Speaker 1>they did the year before. Why gambling is a loser

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<v Speaker 1>take all market. And what I mean by that is

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<v Speaker 1>whichever person is willing to offer the most degenerate bets,

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<v Speaker 1>that's the person who wins. And even as bad as

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<v Speaker 1>much as I hate DraftKings and FanDuel, you're not betting

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<v Speaker 1>on dildo colors on the floors on the basketball courts

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<v Speaker 1>of WNBA. Even they have a standard because they have

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<v Speaker 1>state regulators that they have to deal with, right they have.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, we're talking about the different colors of gatorade.

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<v Speaker 1>Like it's quoint to think about people in Vegas. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>every year betting on heads and tails. That used to

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<v Speaker 1>be the most the worst example of degenerous. No, like,

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<v Speaker 1>we are in a ten to fifteen to twenty thirty

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<v Speaker 1>times worse situation with the type of bets that are

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<v Speaker 1>being offered on this rife for insider trading. Remember the

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<v Speaker 1>Streaker one I told you about that literally happened. Somebody

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<v Speaker 1>actually did bet on Streaker and then did it. It

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<v Speaker 1>was an offshore book, to be clear, however, and his

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<v Speaker 1>bet was avoided. But I'm giving you an example of

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<v Speaker 1>exactly the type of things can happen. This is not

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<v Speaker 1>even to mention all the insider trading possibilities from that.

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<v Speaker 1>We saw the state of Israel just indicted multiple people

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<v Speaker 1>who were in the military and arrested them for betting

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<v Speaker 1>on operations that they knew was going to happen. You

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<v Speaker 1>cannot allow bets life and death. Very recently, there was

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<v Speaker 1>a market on whether a space booster was going to fail,

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<v Speaker 1>and they were like, wow, it's really cool to bet

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<v Speaker 1>on stuff which could literally result in the deaths of

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<v Speaker 1>the crew are involved. And they're like, well, to be clear,

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<v Speaker 1>it's just about a mechanical failure. It's like, yeah, mechanical

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<v Speaker 1>failure that could literally lead to it.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, what do you think is going to happen that

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<v Speaker 4>mechanical Right, So.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm just betting on whether Apollo thirteen is going to

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<v Speaker 1>take off or not. Guys, Right, it's a come on.

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<v Speaker 1>This is the nonsense, yeah, which has been This is

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<v Speaker 1>this is literally like the clearest example of total free

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<v Speaker 1>market capitalism, which is except as always in the American context,

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<v Speaker 1>completely backed now by the power of the state. The

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<v Speaker 1>United States federal government going to bat not just for

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<v Speaker 1>betting markets, but for betting markets that offer the worst,

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<v Speaker 1>most degenerate products that milk these people. You know, the

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<v Speaker 1>advertising of these companies. They're telling children out there, eighteen

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<v Speaker 1>nineteen year olds, guys, this is how you can make

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<v Speaker 1>your life savings. This is how you can pay your tuition.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, I'm getting reels of guys who are betting

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<v Speaker 1>on whether Trump is going to say the word low

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<v Speaker 1>IQ and they're watching, you know, an entire weeks worth

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<v Speaker 1>of news and then cheering and popping champagne whenever he

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<v Speaker 1>finally says it for a five hundred to one payout work.

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<v Speaker 1>This is insanity, like absolute insanity, and it's being backed

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<v Speaker 1>by the government because these people are making money hand

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<v Speaker 1>over fist. It's disgusting. This is gambling, pure and simple.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, well the gas lighting put D four up on

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<v Speaker 2>the screen of like this is a derivatives market where

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<v Speaker 2>Americans can hedge their risk against changing weather or no,

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<v Speaker 2>this is sports betting, okay, I mean the estimate here

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<v Speaker 2>is that ninety percent of Calshi's bets are on our sports.

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<v Speaker 2>Like that's that's primarily what these things are used for,

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<v Speaker 2>and not that it really would make it better if

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<v Speaker 2>it wasn't primarily sports. But you know, their dodge is factively, Oh,

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<v Speaker 2>this isn't really sports gambling. It's the sophisticated derivatives and

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<v Speaker 2>we're just democratizing the access to this technology. Blah blah blah.

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<v Speaker 2>Like the whole thing is just complete gas lighting. And

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<v Speaker 2>you know, I think to me, zooming out the two

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<v Speaker 2>major underlying stories here, the two things that are really

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<v Speaker 2>going on is number one, the corruption obviously, like you know,

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<v Speaker 2>I mean Don Junior's on the COUCHI board, like it's

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<v Speaker 2>you know, they're making tons of money, They're throughout the

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<v Speaker 2>whole government, So they want this gravy train to the

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<v Speaker 2>people in power are profiting off of this direct exploitation

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<v Speaker 2>of you know, ordinary Americans, and they want that gravy

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<v Speaker 2>train to keep going. We are at the stage in

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<v Speaker 2>capitalism where like the level of just predatory behavior is

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<v Speaker 2>completely brazen and completely overt. But I think the other

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<v Speaker 2>thing that is going on here is, you know, we've

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<v Speaker 2>always are Our national story has always had a bit

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<v Speaker 2>of like a casino lottery element to it, of like

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<v Speaker 2>you may not be rich today, but hey, here in America,

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<v Speaker 2>anything's possible. The previous story was about if you work

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<v Speaker 2>hard and you know, we have this grand meritocracy, and

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<v Speaker 2>there was some level of truth to that, right, not completely,

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<v Speaker 2>but there was some level, and people bought into it.

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<v Speaker 4>So it was like, okay, if.

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<v Speaker 2>We do the right and we go to school, we

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<v Speaker 2>work hard, and we start a great busines. Since we

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<v Speaker 2>make a great product, we too can join like the

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<v Speaker 2>class of the millionaires, We too can become one of

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<v Speaker 2>society's elites. Now that story has unraveled, So now the

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<v Speaker 2>story is just complete casino capitalism.

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<v Speaker 4>It's just complete. You know.

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<v Speaker 2>We use the example before. Maybe you too can get

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<v Speaker 2>cast as a plant in the Bad Bunny halftime show

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<v Speaker 2>and have insider knowledge of whether Lady Gaga and Ricky

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<v Speaker 2>Martin are going to be performing.

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<v Speaker 4>And be able to cash in.

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<v Speaker 2>That is, in the absence of, you know, a broader

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<v Speaker 2>redistribution of wealth. They are wrapping this explicitly predatory scheme

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<v Speaker 2>in a like promise of riches and wealth for ordinary

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<v Speaker 2>people who have lost all hope that there is any

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<v Speaker 2>other path to success, not even riches in wealth, but

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<v Speaker 2>just to like escape an entirely precarious existence. So I

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<v Speaker 2>think when you look at when you look at this

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<v Speaker 2>in a certain ways, when you look at the AI development,

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<v Speaker 2>certainly in the crypto space and the betting space, I

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<v Speaker 2>think part of what is going on here is not

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<v Speaker 2>just about the corruption. It's about selling a narrative to

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<v Speaker 2>people that this is going to be the new way

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<v Speaker 2>that you're able to make it big and.

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<v Speaker 1>Let me, you know, bring it out even deeper, just

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<v Speaker 1>show you how deep the rabbit hole goes. I wanted

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<v Speaker 1>to cover this a few weeks ago, but we weren't

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<v Speaker 1>able to put it in the show. Let's put C

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<v Speaker 1>three or D three up there on the screen. The

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<v Speaker 1>CFTC before this announcement, literally just a week before announced

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<v Speaker 1>the Innovation Advisory Committee. Let me name you some of

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<v Speaker 1>the people who are on there. The CEO of Coinbase,

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<v Speaker 1>the CEO of Polymarket, the CEO of Ripple, the CEO

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<v Speaker 1>of FanDuel, the CEO of Calshi, the CEO crypto dot Com,

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<v Speaker 1>the CEO of DraftKings, the CEO of Blockchain, the CEO

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<v Speaker 1>of Kraken, Gemini, Solana Labs, Robin Hood. I mean I

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<v Speaker 1>just named some of the worst companies in the United States.

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<v Speaker 1>Like these are the people who are getting phenomenally rich

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<v Speaker 1>basically making gambling as widely available to the American public

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<v Speaker 1>as they can using an buying In some cases the

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<v Speaker 1>power now of the power of the federal government to

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<v Speaker 1>basically enable their ability to legalize gambling across the nation.

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<v Speaker 1>I never even thought I would be in the business

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<v Speaker 1>of defending the DraftKings and the fan duels. But really

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<v Speaker 1>this is about state sovereignty. I massively opposed sports gambling.

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<v Speaker 1>I think we should make it completely illegal at the

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<v Speaker 1>online level. If people want to have gambling in their states,

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<v Speaker 1>they should have to go to a casino, and it

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<v Speaker 1>should be very tightly regulated in terms of the number

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<v Speaker 1>of bets to make sure that you know you can't

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<v Speaker 1>do prop bets for insider trading. And all of that,

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<v Speaker 1>et cetera. But at a sovereign level. From what the

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<v Speaker 1>Supreme Court said, it's up to the states. You cannot

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<v Speaker 1>allow the CFTC and the federal government to just say, hey, California,

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<v Speaker 1>you know they had a whole referendum on this. They

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<v Speaker 1>rejected it. They said, Nope, we're not going to do it.

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<v Speaker 1>We're going to keep it in the whatever in the

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<v Speaker 1>tribal casinos. Texas, same thing the gambling companies have taken

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<v Speaker 1>l after l in Texas. Texas legislature is like, nope,

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<v Speaker 1>we're not doing it, which cost Miriam Madlson all these

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<v Speaker 1>people a hell of a lot of money. But this

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<v Speaker 1>is how you get around it. It's literally making the

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<v Speaker 1>worst possible types of bets with zero regulation or at

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<v Speaker 1>least the least amount of regulation, taking it out of

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<v Speaker 1>the hands of the state and saying no, we're going

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<v Speaker 1>to make it widely available for all and none of

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<v Speaker 1>the proper safeguards that are currently in place for insider trading.

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<v Speaker 1>And these people are printing money. Remember the CALCI founder

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<v Speaker 1>who's like, I'm one of the youngest female billionaires in

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<v Speaker 1>the world. We should be ashamed of this. This is

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<v Speaker 1>shameful to become a billionaire by propping up gambling, and

0:11:34.880 --> 0:11:37.600
<v Speaker 1>you know everybody is like in the tech industry, everybody's

0:11:37.640 --> 0:11:40.360
<v Speaker 1>getting bought off. I recently saw a story of a guy,

0:11:40.400 --> 0:11:43.120
<v Speaker 1>a sports podcaster who criticized cal sheet. They reached out

0:11:43.160 --> 0:11:45.559
<v Speaker 1>to him the next week for They reach out to

0:11:45.640 --> 0:11:47.960
<v Speaker 1>him literally the week after to offer him a sponsorship.

0:11:48.240 --> 0:11:50.400
<v Speaker 1>And you know, nobody wants to talk about this because

0:11:50.400 --> 0:11:52.680
<v Speaker 1>they're all taking money from the same thing. And you

0:11:52.679 --> 0:11:55.360
<v Speaker 1>would think DraftKings and Fantool would be trying to do

0:11:55.400 --> 0:11:57.760
<v Speaker 1>something about No DraftKings is now, Oh, we're going to

0:11:57.800 --> 0:12:00.520
<v Speaker 1>get into the prediction business. This is a race to

0:12:00.600 --> 0:12:04.800
<v Speaker 1>the bottom to make it as completely unregulated, open for

0:12:04.880 --> 0:12:08.520
<v Speaker 1>insider trading, open for corruption as possible. But because they're

0:12:08.520 --> 0:12:12.120
<v Speaker 1>all making so much money milking all of these people,

0:12:12.600 --> 0:12:17.280
<v Speaker 1>regular sports fans, people who are losing hope, the bottom

0:12:17.400 --> 0:12:21.960
<v Speaker 1>level of society, like we are turning everyday Americans, especially

0:12:22.000 --> 0:12:24.480
<v Speaker 1>young men, into the same guys that you see at

0:12:24.480 --> 0:12:27.040
<v Speaker 1>the gas station doing scratch off tickets. That's what we're

0:12:27.080 --> 0:12:30.480
<v Speaker 1>doing for a whole nation, and it's like nobody wants

0:12:30.480 --> 0:12:32.800
<v Speaker 1>to stand up for it. Luckily, at least some are

0:12:32.920 --> 0:12:34.440
<v Speaker 1>let me put D five up here on the screen.

0:12:34.480 --> 0:12:38.440
<v Speaker 1>I want to give credit to Elizabeth Warren. She says

0:12:38.480 --> 0:12:42.120
<v Speaker 1>Trump's CFTC is trying to strip state authority to regulate

0:12:42.120 --> 0:12:45.080
<v Speaker 1>gambling within their borders, protect Americans from getting ripped off.

0:12:45.160 --> 0:12:48.320
<v Speaker 1>The CFTC should focus on ensuring our derivatives markets don't

0:12:48.320 --> 0:12:51.959
<v Speaker 1>blow up the economy again, not helping corrupt political insiders

0:12:52.160 --> 0:12:55.720
<v Speaker 1>cash in. Excellent, well said. And then finally D six,

0:12:55.920 --> 0:12:58.360
<v Speaker 1>Just if you're wondering where this is all coming from,

0:12:58.760 --> 0:13:02.440
<v Speaker 1>don't forget the Donald Trump's own truth Social company was

0:13:02.480 --> 0:13:06.559
<v Speaker 1>supposed to launch a polymarket competitor, and Donald Trump Junior

0:13:06.679 --> 0:13:10.440
<v Speaker 1>himself is literally a strategic advisor to both CALCI and

0:13:10.520 --> 0:13:14.840
<v Speaker 1>to Polymarket. We're currently on the CFTC Advisory committee and

0:13:14.880 --> 0:13:18.280
<v Speaker 1>who the new CFTC chairman is working on their behalf.

0:13:18.480 --> 0:13:21.400
<v Speaker 1>And by the way, even before this, the CFTC advisor

0:13:21.480 --> 0:13:24.480
<v Speaker 1>or the CFTC committee, he wasn't necessarily supposed to have

0:13:24.480 --> 0:13:26.599
<v Speaker 1>all this authority. There were a lot of shenanigans in

0:13:26.679 --> 0:13:29.000
<v Speaker 1>terms of making sure that nobody else was on the board,

0:13:29.040 --> 0:13:31.720
<v Speaker 1>similar to what they did here with the FTC. So

0:13:31.880 --> 0:13:33.720
<v Speaker 1>here we go. This is going to be a multi

0:13:33.800 --> 0:13:38.080
<v Speaker 1>billion dollar bonanza. The amount of people who are going

0:13:38.120 --> 0:13:41.920
<v Speaker 1>to lose money, it's astronomical, Like the amount of sports

0:13:41.920 --> 0:13:43.520
<v Speaker 1>betters and other people were going to be lured in.

0:13:43.760 --> 0:13:48.360
<v Speaker 1>There's no regulation for advertising, no regulation at the federal level.

0:13:48.520 --> 0:13:50.120
<v Speaker 1>It's going to be I mean, this is going to

0:13:50.160 --> 0:13:54.439
<v Speaker 1>be as close to a Rip and Roar eighteen ninety silver,

0:13:54.920 --> 0:13:59.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, pedaling, what were the snake oil We're going back.

0:13:59.480 --> 0:14:01.560
<v Speaker 1>This is what it's going to look like. And think

0:14:01.559 --> 0:14:04.800
<v Speaker 1>about how comulated, how many people suffered from that. But

0:14:05.040 --> 0:14:07.240
<v Speaker 1>I'm just glad that this tech executives are going to

0:14:07.240 --> 0:14:07.959
<v Speaker 1>get filthy.

0:14:07.720 --> 0:14:10.520
<v Speaker 2>Rich on steroids in the algorithm era too, where it's

0:14:10.559 --> 0:14:14.520
<v Speaker 2>like all super supercharged. I wanted to shout out Pedro Gonzalez.

0:14:14.559 --> 0:14:15.719
<v Speaker 2>I thought he had a good take on this, and

0:14:15.760 --> 0:14:18.120
<v Speaker 2>shout out to you as well for being like principled

0:14:18.160 --> 0:14:20.360
<v Speaker 2>and consistent in your position series. It's very funny that

0:14:20.400 --> 0:14:22.600
<v Speaker 2>the New Right does this save the West LARP and

0:14:22.600 --> 0:14:24.920
<v Speaker 2>then you look at its policy preferences and it's all

0:14:25.000 --> 0:14:28.400
<v Speaker 2>just legalizing crime, crypto scams, normalizing gambling, et cetera. It's

0:14:28.400 --> 0:14:30.960
<v Speaker 2>the movement of decline and profiting from decline. And I

0:14:30.960 --> 0:14:33.040
<v Speaker 2>mean You've been making this point about, like, you know,

0:14:33.200 --> 0:14:36.200
<v Speaker 2>the all of the quote unquote degenerate behavior is now

0:14:36.280 --> 0:14:39.640
<v Speaker 2>just like embraced and fully deregulated, and no one bothers

0:14:39.680 --> 0:14:42.320
<v Speaker 2>to pause and say, this seems a little inconsistent with

0:14:42.400 --> 0:14:44.200
<v Speaker 2>some of the other things a lot of political project

0:14:44.240 --> 0:14:44.720
<v Speaker 2>has been.

0:14:44.600 --> 0:14:46.400
<v Speaker 1>A lot of right wingers were so mad at me

0:14:46.480 --> 0:14:49.040
<v Speaker 1>yesterday for tweeting this, and I said that Trump is

0:14:49.080 --> 0:14:52.080
<v Speaker 1>now the most pro vice president in American history. He

0:14:52.160 --> 0:14:54.720
<v Speaker 1>in a single year, he is trying to deregulate and

0:14:54.880 --> 0:14:59.360
<v Speaker 1>legalize gambling in all fifty states. He is rescheduling marijuana

0:14:59.400 --> 0:15:02.520
<v Speaker 1>to enrich hit rich drug pedaling donors, and is now

0:15:02.520 --> 0:15:05.800
<v Speaker 1>pressuring banks to maintain access for only fans models. So

0:15:05.880 --> 0:15:07.680
<v Speaker 1>I mean, there you go. I mean, what else you have?

0:15:07.720 --> 0:15:11.160
<v Speaker 1>The most pro porn, pro wed, pro gambling president in

0:15:11.200 --> 0:15:14.960
<v Speaker 1>American history. Congratulations for many of us who you know,

0:15:15.040 --> 0:15:17.840
<v Speaker 1>at the very least you know thought, Look, I knew

0:15:17.880 --> 0:15:20.440
<v Speaker 1>the crypto thing was going to be a bonanza and whatever,

0:15:21.000 --> 0:15:24.120
<v Speaker 1>like that's bad, but it's kind of separate to gambling,

0:15:24.200 --> 0:15:28.080
<v Speaker 1>Like this is the most predatory industry with the highest

0:15:28.120 --> 0:15:31.960
<v Speaker 1>suicide rate. I mean, they're one third of American young

0:15:32.000 --> 0:15:35.480
<v Speaker 1>men have an open gambling account. The amount of addiction,

0:15:36.080 --> 0:15:38.840
<v Speaker 1>it's if you talk to the gambling hotlines and others,

0:15:38.920 --> 0:15:42.600
<v Speaker 1>it is horrible. And for those of you who think like, oh,

0:15:42.640 --> 0:15:44.760
<v Speaker 1>I don't gamble, so it doesn't affect me. When a

0:15:44.840 --> 0:15:48.840
<v Speaker 1>state legalizes online, a state legalizes gambling, the aggregate like

0:15:48.880 --> 0:15:52.360
<v Speaker 1>amount of credit goes down. It actually affects everybody. The

0:15:52.400 --> 0:15:55.880
<v Speaker 1>amount of domestic violence it goes up. The public resources

0:15:55.880 --> 0:15:58.000
<v Speaker 1>are going to have to be dedicated to dealing with this.

0:15:58.080 --> 0:16:00.120
<v Speaker 1>It's going to be like the cocaine crisis in the

0:16:00.200 --> 0:16:02.200
<v Speaker 1>eighteen nineties, when all of a sudden, we just said

0:16:02.280 --> 0:16:04.360
<v Speaker 1>junkies everywhere, and we didn't know what to do. It's

0:16:04.400 --> 0:16:06.840
<v Speaker 1>going to be very similar. Go to Vegas and you

0:16:06.880 --> 0:16:08.640
<v Speaker 1>see the bums that are on the street begging for

0:16:08.680 --> 0:16:10.960
<v Speaker 1>a dollar so they can get some food. That's going

0:16:11.040 --> 0:16:12.400
<v Speaker 1>to be the whole nation, you know.

0:16:12.480 --> 0:16:15.480
<v Speaker 4>And it's the adaption to pretend you're pro family.

0:16:16.080 --> 0:16:19.920
<v Speaker 2>Well you know, yeah, yeah, nothing will blow up in regularly.

0:16:19.600 --> 0:16:22.160
<v Speaker 1>Nothing will blow your life up like a gambling addiction.

0:16:22.200 --> 0:16:24.240
<v Speaker 1>I can tell you a story after story, lawsuit after

0:16:24.320 --> 0:16:27.520
<v Speaker 1>lawsuit after lawsuit, people who never placed a bet to

0:16:27.720 --> 0:16:30.480
<v Speaker 1>fully bankrupt divorce and on the verge of suicide in

0:16:30.520 --> 0:16:32.840
<v Speaker 1>the span of two or three years, gambling with their

0:16:32.880 --> 0:16:36.480
<v Speaker 1>kids Christmas presents, life savings, five twenty nine accounts, and

0:16:36.520 --> 0:16:38.880
<v Speaker 1>these people will take your money all day long. And

0:16:38.880 --> 0:16:40.760
<v Speaker 1>now it's going to be even less regularly, and it's.

0:16:40.640 --> 0:16:42.360
<v Speaker 4>Young men who will suffer the most.

0:16:42.400 --> 0:16:45.480
<v Speaker 2>Your most you know, easily is sort of like have

0:16:45.640 --> 0:16:48.320
<v Speaker 2>the psychology that's the most easily exploited by this stuff

0:16:48.360 --> 0:16:50.960
<v Speaker 2>that are overwhelmingly the largest percentage.

0:16:50.480 --> 0:16:52.440
<v Speaker 1>Of the bad. So bad, All right, let's get to

0:16:52.480 --> 0:16:52.920
<v Speaker 1>the next one.

0:16:55.640 --> 0:16:57.640
<v Speaker 2>So the New York Times had a very interesting focus

0:16:57.720 --> 0:17:00.520
<v Speaker 2>group of Democratic voters, which I feel like we don't

0:17:00.600 --> 0:17:03.200
<v Speaker 2>see that much. I feel like there's always because the

0:17:03.600 --> 0:17:06.560
<v Speaker 2>liberal media is kind of like more in tune with Democrats.

0:17:06.600 --> 0:17:10.200
<v Speaker 2>There's less curiosity about what's going on with the Democratic base.

0:17:10.240 --> 0:17:13.320
<v Speaker 2>So it's usually either like swing voters or Trump voters.

0:17:13.400 --> 0:17:15.880
<v Speaker 2>Let's go on safari and see what these strange creatures

0:17:15.920 --> 0:17:18.240
<v Speaker 2>think about the world. So they decided to do that

0:17:18.320 --> 0:17:21.360
<v Speaker 2>with the Democratic base, and you know, now, I think

0:17:21.520 --> 0:17:25.119
<v Speaker 2>liberal media has become more disconnected from where the Democratic bases,

0:17:25.160 --> 0:17:28.440
<v Speaker 2>and the Democratic party leadership certainly has become more disconnected

0:17:28.440 --> 0:17:30.520
<v Speaker 2>from where the Democratic bases. So anyway we can put

0:17:30.520 --> 0:17:33.280
<v Speaker 2>this F one up on the screen. This was the

0:17:33.560 --> 0:17:35.760
<v Speaker 2>headline for their focus group. They said, show up for

0:17:35.880 --> 0:17:40.000
<v Speaker 2>us thirteen Democratic voters on Trump Ice and their frustrations

0:17:40.359 --> 0:17:42.800
<v Speaker 2>with the Democratic Party and the thing they sees on

0:17:42.840 --> 0:17:45.640
<v Speaker 2>here at the top with these three voters is their

0:17:45.640 --> 0:17:48.320
<v Speaker 2>description of the Democratic Party. One says paralyzed and the

0:17:48.359 --> 0:17:51.240
<v Speaker 2>other says sold out, another says afraid. These are three

0:17:51.400 --> 0:17:55.280
<v Speaker 2>very different people, very different you know, backgrounds. So and

0:17:55.320 --> 0:17:57.959
<v Speaker 2>this was the conclusion across the board, let's go and

0:17:57.960 --> 0:18:00.400
<v Speaker 2>put F two up on the screen. This is probably

0:18:00.440 --> 0:18:02.679
<v Speaker 2>the slide that got the single most attention. Ryan, Emily

0:18:03.040 --> 0:18:05.199
<v Speaker 2>and Emily mentioned this in their show yesterday, but we

0:18:05.240 --> 0:18:07.879
<v Speaker 2>wanted to dig in a little bit more. They asked

0:18:07.880 --> 0:18:12.720
<v Speaker 2>their thirteen focused group participants what type of candidates they're

0:18:12.720 --> 0:18:14.200
<v Speaker 2>looking for, and they ask them, you know, would you

0:18:14.280 --> 0:18:17.600
<v Speaker 2>prefer someone who's young or you don't really care? And overwhelmingly,

0:18:17.600 --> 0:18:19.560
<v Speaker 2>of course, people say we like someone who's younger. What

0:18:19.680 --> 0:18:22.399
<v Speaker 2>sort of class background there is major preference for, you know,

0:18:22.440 --> 0:18:25.600
<v Speaker 2>middle or working class? They asked them, do you prefer

0:18:25.640 --> 0:18:29.000
<v Speaker 2>a candidate who identifies as progressive or a candidate who

0:18:29.040 --> 0:18:34.639
<v Speaker 2>identifies as moderate. Every single person said they prefer a

0:18:34.720 --> 0:18:40.440
<v Speaker 2>progressive candidate for a moderate candidate. Literally, no one raised

0:18:40.560 --> 0:18:42.919
<v Speaker 2>a hand. Okay, let me go ahead and put the

0:18:42.960 --> 0:18:45.320
<v Speaker 2>next piece up on the screen of data here. That

0:18:45.440 --> 0:18:49.200
<v Speaker 2>was also interesting. So this is where they're asking them. Okay, well,

0:18:49.200 --> 0:18:52.159
<v Speaker 2>tell me what you think about the Democratic Party if

0:18:52.240 --> 0:18:54.240
<v Speaker 2>you had to use one or two words to describe it,

0:18:54.560 --> 0:18:55.600
<v Speaker 2>what words would you pick?

0:18:55.600 --> 0:18:55.719
<v Speaker 4>Now?

0:18:55.760 --> 0:18:58.959
<v Speaker 2>I remind you, these are all Democrats, okay, these are

0:18:59.040 --> 0:19:04.720
<v Speaker 2>Democratic Party voters. Number one spineless, Number two, more complacent

0:19:04.760 --> 0:19:08.000
<v Speaker 2>than I thought they would be. Number three paralyzed, afraid, incompetent.

0:19:08.280 --> 0:19:11.720
<v Speaker 2>I guess suffocated or given up, sold out? Next one

0:19:13.520 --> 0:19:17.919
<v Speaker 2>sellouts and suckers immobilized. Can I say no balls, no kahonas,

0:19:18.240 --> 0:19:19.720
<v Speaker 2>I will say, there are a large number of young

0:19:19.760 --> 0:19:21.480
<v Speaker 2>Democrats that are really starting to climb the ranks in

0:19:21.480 --> 0:19:24.280
<v Speaker 2>the party, that are motivated. I'm hoping that that will

0:19:24.280 --> 0:19:27.520
<v Speaker 2>start to take over a little bit more so when

0:19:27.560 --> 0:19:30.399
<v Speaker 2>you see those numbers overall, of like the Democratic Party

0:19:30.440 --> 0:19:33.560
<v Speaker 2>being at its lowest approval rating in history. These type

0:19:33.560 --> 0:19:36.200
<v Speaker 2>of people are a big part of that story because

0:19:36.200 --> 0:19:39.480
<v Speaker 2>obviously Republicans are going to hate Democrats. There's a significant

0:19:39.520 --> 0:19:42.399
<v Speaker 2>number of independents who are obviously discussed with Democrats, but

0:19:42.480 --> 0:19:45.679
<v Speaker 2>it's their own voters being so disgusted and frustrated with

0:19:45.720 --> 0:19:48.359
<v Speaker 2>them that has really sent them to the lowest lows

0:19:48.400 --> 0:19:50.399
<v Speaker 2>and then last one. Then we can get, you know,

0:19:50.440 --> 0:19:53.200
<v Speaker 2>into our reaction to all of this. This is there

0:19:53.240 --> 0:19:55.360
<v Speaker 2>was a question about, Okay, well, is there anyone out

0:19:55.400 --> 0:19:58.320
<v Speaker 2>there that you think is you know, doing something good.

0:19:58.359 --> 0:20:01.560
<v Speaker 2>Has anybody seen anything from Democrat, any candidate or public

0:20:01.560 --> 0:20:03.680
<v Speaker 2>figure or someone locally that's made you say, oh.

0:20:03.680 --> 0:20:05.879
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, we need more of this. This is what we

0:20:05.880 --> 0:20:06.600
<v Speaker 4>should be doing.

0:20:06.760 --> 0:20:10.280
<v Speaker 2>More of this, guy, says Mike thirty three, white Democrat,

0:20:10.320 --> 0:20:14.560
<v Speaker 2>says Zoron Montani. Clear concise messaging. It's exactly what everybody wants.

0:20:14.560 --> 0:20:17.120
<v Speaker 2>It helps everybody. It's the perfect messaging because it's clear

0:20:17.119 --> 0:20:20.520
<v Speaker 2>and concise. Unlike Democrats, just like Bernie. Bernie has said

0:20:20.560 --> 0:20:22.240
<v Speaker 2>the same thing since the eighties. You've got a tax

0:20:22.280 --> 0:20:24.800
<v Speaker 2>of billionaires, you've got a tax upperclass. He's never changed.

0:20:25.160 --> 0:20:27.360
<v Speaker 2>That's the messaging. You've just got to drill it into them.

0:20:27.359 --> 0:20:31.280
<v Speaker 2>And Zoron did it. Man, it's beautiful. Diane seventy two

0:20:31.400 --> 0:20:33.800
<v Speaker 2>said Mike said it pretty clearly, and I can't really

0:20:33.840 --> 0:20:35.720
<v Speaker 2>think of anything to add to that. And there was

0:20:35.760 --> 0:20:38.240
<v Speaker 2>another person further down the list who also was like, yeah,

0:20:38.280 --> 0:20:39.760
<v Speaker 2>Mike said what I was going to say.

0:20:39.960 --> 0:20:40.960
<v Speaker 4>Now, I will temper that.

0:20:41.080 --> 0:20:43.679
<v Speaker 2>Zager with the fact that the other two names that

0:20:43.800 --> 0:20:46.360
<v Speaker 2>came up organically in the course of the conversation as

0:20:46.400 --> 0:20:50.360
<v Speaker 2>like democratic candidates that they were excited about were Jasmine

0:20:50.359 --> 0:20:51.960
<v Speaker 2>Crockett and Pete Booter.

0:20:52.080 --> 0:20:55.320
<v Speaker 1>I wanted everyone to know very careful because.

0:20:55.160 --> 0:20:57.400
<v Speaker 4>So what a progressive is is very.

0:20:57.240 --> 0:21:00.840
<v Speaker 1>Contested, as we have all discovered over the years of

0:21:00.880 --> 0:21:03.440
<v Speaker 1>the show. And I have no hate for the average American,

0:21:03.480 --> 0:21:06.520
<v Speaker 1>but it's not like people are very good at self identifying.

0:21:06.520 --> 0:21:08.720
<v Speaker 1>Somebody will be like, I'm a conservative, but that means

0:21:08.760 --> 0:21:10.480
<v Speaker 1>I want to tax billionaires and you're like, wait what

0:21:10.600 --> 0:21:13.800
<v Speaker 1>You're like, what are you talking about? Right? And then somebody, Look,

0:21:13.800 --> 0:21:16.280
<v Speaker 1>people are complicated. They don't think much about terms when

0:21:16.280 --> 0:21:19.080
<v Speaker 1>they hear the I mean, when I say the word progressive,

0:21:19.119 --> 0:21:20.639
<v Speaker 1>what do they think I want to move forward?

0:21:20.720 --> 0:21:20.800
<v Speaker 3>Right?

0:21:20.880 --> 0:21:22.320
<v Speaker 1>I mean can mean a lot of different things. Do

0:21:22.440 --> 0:21:25.879
<v Speaker 1>the activist class to the leftist base, that's an actual identity.

0:21:25.960 --> 0:21:28.880
<v Speaker 1>So like when I say I am a rightist. That's

0:21:28.920 --> 0:21:32.359
<v Speaker 1>because I've read a lot about politics. I don't identify

0:21:32.480 --> 0:21:35.639
<v Speaker 1>as a small C conservative. That's really not something that

0:21:35.800 --> 0:21:38.399
<v Speaker 1>is like that doesn't encompass like a belief right like

0:21:38.600 --> 0:21:41.119
<v Speaker 1>I would put myself much more in the vein of

0:21:41.160 --> 0:21:43.920
<v Speaker 1>like a European rightist. But most people don't think about

0:21:43.960 --> 0:21:46.640
<v Speaker 1>politics like. They don't read a lot about definitions. To them,

0:21:46.680 --> 0:21:49.280
<v Speaker 1>progressive means going forward, great, awesome right.

0:21:50.000 --> 0:21:52.120
<v Speaker 2>Just to add to that, at least one of them,

0:21:52.119 --> 0:21:54.639
<v Speaker 2>but maybe a number of them, brought up Joe Manchin

0:21:54.840 --> 0:21:57.520
<v Speaker 2>as why they do not want to moderate. And so

0:21:57.680 --> 0:22:00.840
<v Speaker 2>I think the combination of him, Kirson cinem and maybe

0:22:00.840 --> 0:22:03.240
<v Speaker 2>a handful of others, but those two being the primary villains,

0:22:03.520 --> 0:22:07.200
<v Speaker 2>they really destroyed the moderate label within the Democratic Party

0:22:07.400 --> 0:22:10.200
<v Speaker 2>because now moderate just seems like, oh, you're just gonna

0:22:10.200 --> 0:22:13.080
<v Speaker 2>obstruct anything good happening. You're just going to sell out

0:22:13.160 --> 0:22:15.000
<v Speaker 2>to like various corporate interests.

0:22:15.040 --> 0:22:16.679
<v Speaker 4>So no, of course we don't want that.

0:22:17.000 --> 0:22:18.919
<v Speaker 2>And then the other thing, and this is where you

0:22:18.960 --> 0:22:23.600
<v Speaker 2>know where it's dangerous, is there is a the Democratic

0:22:23.600 --> 0:22:26.840
<v Speaker 2>base is united in wanting to fight harder against Trump right.

0:22:26.880 --> 0:22:30.160
<v Speaker 2>They want someone who's pushing back effectively and is out

0:22:30.200 --> 0:22:33.240
<v Speaker 2>there and taking risks and is meeting the moment in

0:22:33.320 --> 0:22:36.040
<v Speaker 2>terms of the threat that they perceive to the country.

0:22:36.760 --> 0:22:39.159
<v Speaker 2>Sometimes though, that can be very amorphous. That's how you

0:22:39.280 --> 0:22:41.439
<v Speaker 2>end up with someone like Jasmine Crockett being named as

0:22:41.480 --> 0:22:44.560
<v Speaker 2>like she's a fighter will She is very rhetorically gifted,

0:22:44.880 --> 0:22:47.600
<v Speaker 2>she's very sassy. You know, she gets out there, she's

0:22:47.640 --> 0:22:50.919
<v Speaker 2>like quick with the quip, undeniably like talented and charismatic.

0:22:51.240 --> 0:22:53.360
<v Speaker 2>But if you dig underneath the surface, there's some real

0:22:53.359 --> 0:22:55.520
<v Speaker 2>problems there in terms of who she's taking money from

0:22:55.640 --> 0:22:58.000
<v Speaker 2>and the positions, how far she's willing to go, and she's.

0:22:57.880 --> 0:23:02.200
<v Speaker 1>Procrypt, she's identity pauled, like she's calling James Tallerico racist.

0:23:02.280 --> 0:23:04.119
<v Speaker 1>You know, she's the worst if you ask me. But

0:23:04.480 --> 0:23:05.200
<v Speaker 1>that's the issue.

0:23:05.200 --> 0:23:06.600
<v Speaker 4>But that's that's the challenge.

0:23:06.600 --> 0:23:09.400
<v Speaker 2>That's the question mark to me is not do Democrats

0:23:09.440 --> 0:23:11.400
<v Speaker 2>want to f They do, There's no doubt about it.

0:23:11.480 --> 0:23:14.080
<v Speaker 2>You know that that argument has been one and I

0:23:14.119 --> 0:23:16.440
<v Speaker 2>think the argument also has been one about like we're

0:23:16.480 --> 0:23:19.440
<v Speaker 2>not listening to these establishment boys like Chuck Shumeranha King, Jeffries,

0:23:19.600 --> 0:23:21.680
<v Speaker 2>go fuck yourself. We don't care what you have to say.

0:23:22.000 --> 0:23:24.840
<v Speaker 2>Even liberal you know, media institutions. I think there's been

0:23:24.880 --> 0:23:27.719
<v Speaker 2>a really breaking of the trust. But what it means

0:23:27.880 --> 0:23:31.240
<v Speaker 2>is being a progressive. Is that Gavin Newsome being on

0:23:31.280 --> 0:23:34.400
<v Speaker 2>Twitter and doing his like trolling routine, or is that,

0:23:34.760 --> 0:23:38.760
<v Speaker 2>you know, a Zoran mom Donnie type of politician where

0:23:38.800 --> 0:23:40.920
<v Speaker 2>not only do you have I mean Zora actually doesn't

0:23:40.960 --> 0:23:42.840
<v Speaker 2>do a lot of the like trope clapback or whatever,

0:23:43.040 --> 0:23:45.359
<v Speaker 2>but where you have an aggressive social media posture, but

0:23:45.440 --> 0:23:49.000
<v Speaker 2>it's backed up by specific policies as well. And so

0:23:49.320 --> 0:23:51.000
<v Speaker 2>that's the piece that you know, I think sort of

0:23:51.000 --> 0:23:54.080
<v Speaker 2>remains to be determined, and we're going to see. I

0:23:54.080 --> 0:23:56.520
<v Speaker 2>think we'll get a lot of indication of that from

0:23:56.840 --> 0:23:58.600
<v Speaker 2>some of the primaries that are going to play out

0:23:59.320 --> 0:24:01.760
<v Speaker 2>going to play out right now, and then certainly obviously

0:24:01.800 --> 0:24:04.280
<v Speaker 2>the biggest test of that will be in twenty twenty

0:24:04.320 --> 0:24:07.280
<v Speaker 2>eight whether someone like Gavin Newsom is going to be

0:24:07.359 --> 0:24:10.600
<v Speaker 2>able to position themselves as a quote unquote progressive even

0:24:10.640 --> 0:24:14.680
<v Speaker 2>as he is out there standing with billionaires to oppose

0:24:14.720 --> 0:24:17.800
<v Speaker 2>a wealth tax in his state. I am personally actually

0:24:18.040 --> 0:24:20.280
<v Speaker 2>hopeful that some of those things will be a problem,

0:24:20.520 --> 0:24:22.720
<v Speaker 2>Like you can see them mention in you know, a

0:24:22.760 --> 0:24:25.320
<v Speaker 2>bunch of the responses throughout this they talk about taxing

0:24:25.320 --> 0:24:27.760
<v Speaker 2>the rich as it's kind of like a litmus test issue,

0:24:27.920 --> 0:24:30.320
<v Speaker 2>and that would be a very hard one for a

0:24:30.400 --> 0:24:33.919
<v Speaker 2>Gavin Newsom's style candidate to you know, obviously he's like

0:24:33.960 --> 0:24:37.119
<v Speaker 2>already on the wrong side of that issue. So I

0:24:37.160 --> 0:24:41.480
<v Speaker 2>am hopeful that there actually will be a substantive policy

0:24:41.920 --> 0:24:44.959
<v Speaker 2>lens that the term progressive will be viewed for, But

0:24:45.040 --> 0:24:47.480
<v Speaker 2>I fully acknowledge that that is still a question mark

0:24:47.520 --> 0:24:47.960
<v Speaker 2>for sure.

0:24:48.320 --> 0:24:50.960
<v Speaker 1>As I have learned over the years, and I've watched

0:24:51.160 --> 0:24:54.639
<v Speaker 1>the words working class came to mean very different things.

0:24:54.920 --> 0:24:57.159
<v Speaker 1>To remember, Ted Cruz used to say that we're a

0:24:57.200 --> 0:25:00.479
<v Speaker 1>working class part. Ted Cruz called up a working class politician, okay,

0:25:00.680 --> 0:25:02.080
<v Speaker 1>And if you were to ask people, some of the

0:25:02.119 --> 0:25:03.960
<v Speaker 1>people who voted for him, they might even say, oh, yeah,

0:25:04.000 --> 0:25:06.480
<v Speaker 1>you sports the work, like be honest, like is there

0:25:06.520 --> 0:25:08.879
<v Speaker 1>a huge disconnect for all of it. I've seen the

0:25:08.960 --> 0:25:13.000
<v Speaker 1>term bastardized about populism or working class now in the

0:25:13.040 --> 0:25:15.880
<v Speaker 1>Republican Party, and it can be true at a rhetorical level,

0:25:15.960 --> 0:25:18.119
<v Speaker 1>wrong at a policy level. Turns out, a lot of

0:25:18.160 --> 0:25:20.640
<v Speaker 1>people don't care about the policy level. At the middle

0:25:20.760 --> 0:25:23.320
<v Speaker 1>of an election, you could very easily see how it

0:25:23.359 --> 0:25:25.560
<v Speaker 1>could be bastardized. And I mean for the people who

0:25:25.560 --> 0:25:27.399
<v Speaker 1>watch our show, it's going to be tough because you know,

0:25:27.480 --> 0:25:29.680
<v Speaker 1>you guys, if you're watching this, you're in the top

0:25:29.760 --> 0:25:33.159
<v Speaker 1>two five percent of people consume politics. You got to

0:25:33.160 --> 0:25:35.800
<v Speaker 1>think about your uncle or somebody who really doesn't pay

0:25:36.040 --> 0:25:38.439
<v Speaker 1>that much attention is pissed off about Trump because of

0:25:38.720 --> 0:25:40.840
<v Speaker 1>the White House lawn or something like that. You know

0:25:41.000 --> 0:25:44.200
<v Speaker 1>somebody who's cranky about decorum. What does the term progressive

0:25:44.280 --> 0:25:47.200
<v Speaker 1>mean to them? Probably nothing. And so when a Pete

0:25:47.200 --> 0:25:50.119
<v Speaker 1>boodhaj Edge can say that famous Hillary line, I'm a

0:25:50.160 --> 0:25:53.119
<v Speaker 1>progressive who likes to get things done, it might land

0:25:53.359 --> 0:25:56.280
<v Speaker 1>same with Gavin Newsom. I nobody's done more on climate

0:25:56.400 --> 0:26:00.440
<v Speaker 1>than me. The billionaire question. He's a very savvy political operator.

0:26:00.600 --> 0:26:04.480
<v Speaker 1>Times I'll give you some hope. I'll give you some hope,

0:26:04.520 --> 0:26:08.119
<v Speaker 1>which is for the Democratic base. Because the Democratic base

0:26:08.520 --> 0:26:13.159
<v Speaker 1>is now more overwhelmingly college educated than everyone else. They

0:26:13.200 --> 0:26:16.000
<v Speaker 1>are going to be a lot more well read and

0:26:16.240 --> 0:26:20.560
<v Speaker 1>grammatic literally grammatically, uh, let's think about the best way

0:26:20.560 --> 0:26:22.400
<v Speaker 1>to phrases. They're going to be a lot more educated

0:26:22.600 --> 0:26:25.280
<v Speaker 1>and a lot more have much more of an ability

0:26:25.400 --> 0:26:29.560
<v Speaker 1>to parse language and actually think about what these terms mean.

0:26:29.880 --> 0:26:32.800
<v Speaker 1>As opposed to what the current existing Republican base is

0:26:32.840 --> 0:26:36.040
<v Speaker 1>going to be, They're going to be way more heavier

0:26:36.119 --> 0:26:39.600
<v Speaker 1>news consumers, much more well read whenever it comes to politics,

0:26:40.119 --> 0:26:43.679
<v Speaker 1>probably care much more about policy. Richard Henania has the

0:26:43.720 --> 0:26:47.040
<v Speaker 1>famous thing about how conservatives watch TV and liberals read

0:26:47.200 --> 0:26:49.880
<v Speaker 1>that actually does matter whenever it comes to policy, prescription

0:26:50.080 --> 0:26:52.080
<v Speaker 1>and other things. Is if you're going to read a

0:26:52.119 --> 0:26:55.280
<v Speaker 1>policy position that already puts you pretty dramatically out of

0:26:55.280 --> 0:26:57.760
<v Speaker 1>step with some of the other base that is voting,

0:26:57.800 --> 0:26:59.560
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I'm just being real here in terms of

0:26:59.640 --> 0:27:01.919
<v Speaker 1>how that will look. So I think it will actually

0:27:01.920 --> 0:27:04.560
<v Speaker 1>look quite different. But the other thing that I'm not

0:27:05.080 --> 0:27:06.760
<v Speaker 1>I don't want to underestimate for a lot of the

0:27:06.760 --> 0:27:10.080
<v Speaker 1>people who are also Democrats is you should forget don't forget.

0:27:10.200 --> 0:27:12.439
<v Speaker 1>South Carolina could be the first state and that's a

0:27:12.760 --> 0:27:16.560
<v Speaker 1>very different Democratic primary. And then if you have lower

0:27:16.600 --> 0:27:20.040
<v Speaker 1>propensity voters who are upset at Trump who come out

0:27:20.080 --> 0:27:20.440
<v Speaker 1>to vote.

0:27:20.480 --> 0:27:22.680
<v Speaker 2>Although those people in South Carolina did not mess with

0:27:22.720 --> 0:27:25.600
<v Speaker 2>Pete Boodage, so I'm not worried about him doing well there, they.

0:27:25.520 --> 0:27:27.719
<v Speaker 1>Could mess with Crockett right, I could see that.

0:27:27.800 --> 0:27:29.320
<v Speaker 4>I mean, you think, don't you think she's going to

0:27:29.400 --> 0:27:29.960
<v Speaker 4>run for president?

0:27:30.119 --> 0:27:30.720
<v Speaker 3>Maybe? Why not?

0:27:30.840 --> 0:27:32.480
<v Speaker 4>I think he's not to win.

0:27:33.119 --> 0:27:36.240
<v Speaker 2>You know Texas, like the war senator from Texas.

0:27:35.880 --> 0:27:37.280
<v Speaker 1>Bato failed he ran for president.

0:27:37.400 --> 0:27:38.520
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, but how did that work out?

0:27:38.640 --> 0:27:39.560
<v Speaker 1>Sure he got two percent?

0:27:39.600 --> 0:27:40.479
<v Speaker 4>But yeah, I don't know.

0:27:40.760 --> 0:27:42.520
<v Speaker 1>What I need is Jim Clyburn to come in and

0:27:42.920 --> 0:27:45.359
<v Speaker 1>make you a king. Remember there's no Iowa, there's no

0:27:45.440 --> 0:27:46.960
<v Speaker 1>New Hampshire Clearinghouse this time.

0:27:47.000 --> 0:27:47.479
<v Speaker 4>Well it's not.

0:27:47.560 --> 0:27:49.600
<v Speaker 2>It's actually not clear what the order of the states

0:27:49.680 --> 0:27:51.040
<v Speaker 2>is going to be. Some of that is still up

0:27:51.040 --> 0:27:53.680
<v Speaker 2>for grounds. South Carolina will certainly be early and important

0:27:53.680 --> 0:27:54.360
<v Speaker 2>in the process.

0:27:54.400 --> 0:27:56.359
<v Speaker 4>But I mean, here's here's what I would say.

0:27:56.480 --> 0:27:58.600
<v Speaker 2>My own prediction is that there are going to be

0:27:58.640 --> 0:28:00.720
<v Speaker 2>a few issues that are Lippus test issues. I think

0:28:00.760 --> 0:28:03.920
<v Speaker 2>their money for maypack, I think they're taxing the rich,

0:28:04.560 --> 0:28:07.000
<v Speaker 2>and I think it's abolishing nice. I think those three

0:28:07.000 --> 0:28:10.199
<v Speaker 2>things are going to be actual litmus test issues, and

0:28:10.320 --> 0:28:12.880
<v Speaker 2>candidates who can't give clear cut answers on that are

0:28:12.880 --> 0:28:15.199
<v Speaker 2>going to struggle. And I think the testing ground for

0:28:15.240 --> 0:28:16.880
<v Speaker 2>that has been that I've had at podcast where you've

0:28:16.920 --> 0:28:20.760
<v Speaker 2>got you know, you've got lady, I mean, Jennifer and

0:28:20.840 --> 0:28:23.159
<v Speaker 2>Pumps at this point have really shifted a lot to

0:28:23.200 --> 0:28:25.480
<v Speaker 2>the left right. These were Hillary supporters who are now like,

0:28:25.520 --> 0:28:26.960
<v Speaker 2>you know what, Bernie was right and we should have

0:28:26.960 --> 0:28:29.600
<v Speaker 2>been there a lot. So they have shifted significantly. But

0:28:29.680 --> 0:28:32.119
<v Speaker 2>you know, their audience is very reflective of kind of

0:28:32.119 --> 0:28:35.480
<v Speaker 2>like the core liberal base of the Democratic Party. And

0:28:35.600 --> 0:28:38.440
<v Speaker 2>they are not speak not having it. They have not

0:28:38.640 --> 0:28:41.360
<v Speaker 2>having it with Corey Booker coming on and doing his

0:28:41.440 --> 0:28:43.520
<v Speaker 2>little tap dance or Ram Emmanuel whoever.

0:28:43.800 --> 0:28:45.720
<v Speaker 4>They are not having it with these people.

0:28:45.800 --> 0:28:48.200
<v Speaker 2>And so you know, that tells me there is kind

0:28:48.200 --> 0:28:50.520
<v Speaker 2>of a hard line and an expectation of we want

0:28:50.520 --> 0:28:53.480
<v Speaker 2>to hear not just you, you know, with a bunch

0:28:53.520 --> 0:28:56.200
<v Speaker 2>of word salad trying to massage an answer. We want

0:28:56.240 --> 0:28:58.560
<v Speaker 2>to hear yes or no answers to these few questions.

0:28:58.600 --> 0:29:00.560
<v Speaker 2>The other thing that gives me some hope, especially on

0:29:00.560 --> 0:29:02.040
<v Speaker 2>the identity politics front.

0:29:02.160 --> 0:29:06.480
<v Speaker 4>Is there is also the level of trickery that Hillary.

0:29:06.200 --> 0:29:09.240
<v Speaker 2>Clinton was able to engage in in her campaign against Bernie,

0:29:09.360 --> 0:29:13.640
<v Speaker 2>where she was positioning herself like using identity politics to

0:29:13.720 --> 0:29:16.600
<v Speaker 2>pretend like she was the more progressive candidate. I think

0:29:16.640 --> 0:29:20.440
<v Speaker 2>people see through that garbage entirely at this point, as

0:29:20.520 --> 0:29:23.360
<v Speaker 2>evidenced by the fact that Hailey Stevens, who is a

0:29:23.760 --> 0:29:26.320
<v Speaker 2>Michigan member of Congress, she's in the House right now

0:29:26.320 --> 0:29:29.000
<v Speaker 2>and is running for Senate. It's like the conservative or

0:29:29.040 --> 0:29:32.040
<v Speaker 2>moderate candidate in that race back by Tuck, Shoomer, etc.

0:29:32.720 --> 0:29:35.520
<v Speaker 2>She went and toured an ICE facility and she tro

0:29:35.640 --> 0:29:37.880
<v Speaker 2>When she came out, she was like, Oh, I felt

0:29:37.960 --> 0:29:40.880
<v Speaker 2>better because we've got female ICE agents who are running

0:29:40.880 --> 0:29:43.200
<v Speaker 2>the place, trying to do like a girl boss ice

0:29:43.240 --> 0:29:46.320
<v Speaker 2>agent situation. And people were not buying this whatsoever.

0:29:46.480 --> 0:29:49.120
<v Speaker 4>This is f five. Let's take aalism of noe.

0:29:49.160 --> 0:29:52.320
<v Speaker 1>There are female female leadership.

0:29:52.360 --> 0:29:55.280
<v Speaker 4>Here your female leadership, and there are women.

0:29:55.600 --> 0:30:00.320
<v Speaker 5>Who who walked with us today and explained on the

0:30:00.400 --> 0:30:04.440
<v Speaker 5>intake process how important it is to dream people with humanity,

0:30:04.520 --> 0:30:07.680
<v Speaker 5>and that obviously really stuck out to me because some

0:30:07.760 --> 0:30:10.320
<v Speaker 5>of the things that we are witnessing before our eyes

0:30:10.440 --> 0:30:13.320
<v Speaker 5>in our neighborhoods, in our streets is really a lack

0:30:13.360 --> 0:30:14.080
<v Speaker 5>of humanity.

0:30:14.680 --> 0:30:17.800
<v Speaker 2>So people were you know, this one did not land.

0:30:18.000 --> 0:30:22.640
<v Speaker 2>This did not land with the Democratic base whatsoever. I mean,

0:30:22.680 --> 0:30:25.160
<v Speaker 2>it's the name, right, It's like you know they're bombing.

0:30:24.800 --> 0:30:26.960
<v Speaker 1>But they're they're at least their female.

0:30:27.280 --> 0:30:30.400
<v Speaker 2>Right, they're female, and they're flying the gay pride flags. No, no, no,

0:30:30.440 --> 0:30:32.880
<v Speaker 2>where we see through that. Now, we're not doing this anymore.

0:30:33.120 --> 0:30:36.240
<v Speaker 1>Listen, I would I would welcome nothing more. More. Recently,

0:30:36.240 --> 0:30:39.000
<v Speaker 1>there's been a gay there's been a sassy gay ice

0:30:39.040 --> 0:30:41.520
<v Speaker 1>agent who's gone viral on the road. Oh, I thought

0:30:41.560 --> 0:30:46.080
<v Speaker 1>I saw that. I loved the same thing. If we

0:30:46.080 --> 0:30:49.520
<v Speaker 1>could turn them against we can turn against identity politics,

0:30:50.160 --> 0:30:52.680
<v Speaker 1>no one will be happier than me. Oh that was great.

0:30:55.840 --> 0:30:56.760
<v Speaker 1>Let's get to the next one.

0:30:56.880 --> 0:30:58.400
<v Speaker 4>Yeah. So this is an interesting story.

0:30:58.400 --> 0:31:00.280
<v Speaker 2>It kind of dovetails with some of the you know,

0:31:00.760 --> 0:31:03.800
<v Speaker 2>it's a cross coalitional I think backlash against the push

0:31:03.880 --> 0:31:06.520
<v Speaker 2>towards gambling. But the most clear place where we've had

0:31:06.520 --> 0:31:10.680
<v Speaker 2>this cross partisan backlash is in the fight against AI

0:31:10.760 --> 0:31:13.160
<v Speaker 2>more broadly, but specifically on the front lines with regards

0:31:13.160 --> 0:31:14.520
<v Speaker 2>to data centers. And we could put this up on

0:31:14.520 --> 0:31:17.920
<v Speaker 2>the screen. This is a scene from Claremore, Oklahoma. This

0:31:18.080 --> 0:31:23.920
<v Speaker 2>is like a local Oklahoma town meeting where this person

0:31:23.960 --> 0:31:26.040
<v Speaker 2>who was in Oklahoma says people are being arrested for

0:31:26.080 --> 0:31:28.719
<v Speaker 2>speaking out against AI data centers. Please keep standing up

0:31:28.720 --> 0:31:32.240
<v Speaker 2>for your community. There's another video that's gone viral this

0:31:32.320 --> 0:31:34.040
<v Speaker 2>morning that I saw you guys could take this down.

0:31:34.680 --> 0:31:37.200
<v Speaker 2>That I saw of another place I'm not sure if

0:31:37.200 --> 0:31:38.880
<v Speaker 2>it was a red state or not, but where there

0:31:38.880 --> 0:31:41.680
<v Speaker 2>had been significant protests against the data center and ultimately

0:31:41.720 --> 0:31:45.000
<v Speaker 2>the town backs down. The backlash against these places is

0:31:45.080 --> 0:31:47.480
<v Speaker 2>really building. And I was just listening to The New

0:31:47.560 --> 0:31:50.120
<v Speaker 2>York Times actually did a deep dive into a town

0:31:50.160 --> 0:31:52.760
<v Speaker 2>in Indiana that has become a hot spot for a

0:31:52.760 --> 0:31:54.000
<v Speaker 2>bunch of these data centers.

0:31:54.200 --> 0:31:56.320
<v Speaker 4>And the first ones kind of got built and.

0:31:56.320 --> 0:31:59.440
<v Speaker 2>People just like accepted it, and there wasn't they didn't

0:31:59.440 --> 0:32:01.840
<v Speaker 2>need any zone owing approval, so the town council like

0:32:01.880 --> 0:32:04.239
<v Speaker 2>it just kind of sailed through. And now people are

0:32:04.280 --> 0:32:07.720
<v Speaker 2>experiencing all of this increased traffic and noise, and they're

0:32:07.720 --> 0:32:10.280
<v Speaker 2>starting to research, Okay, what even is AI and what

0:32:10.360 --> 0:32:11.600
<v Speaker 2>is this going to mean, and what's it going to

0:32:11.880 --> 0:32:14.320
<v Speaker 2>mean long term? And how many jobs are even really created?

0:32:14.440 --> 0:32:16.400
<v Speaker 2>What is this going to mean for our community? And

0:32:16.480 --> 0:32:20.320
<v Speaker 2>now there was a huge backlash to this new data

0:32:20.320 --> 0:32:22.440
<v Speaker 2>center that they were trying to place there that did

0:32:22.520 --> 0:32:25.400
<v Speaker 2>require a zoning change, which meant that the town had

0:32:25.400 --> 0:32:29.240
<v Speaker 2>a chance to weigh in, so they held meetings overnight

0:32:29.400 --> 0:32:32.480
<v Speaker 2>and they first called for okay, who's in support of this?

0:32:32.920 --> 0:32:35.600
<v Speaker 2>And people got up and they spoke for there were like,

0:32:35.680 --> 0:32:38.080
<v Speaker 2>you know, enough to fill about twenty five minutes. Then

0:32:38.280 --> 0:32:41.280
<v Speaker 2>they opened it up for the opponents. The opponents there

0:32:41.280 --> 0:32:43.440
<v Speaker 2>were so many of them that the meeting went on

0:32:43.520 --> 0:32:47.120
<v Speaker 2>into four am assult ultimately, and this is a small town,

0:32:47.240 --> 0:32:49.600
<v Speaker 2>right and ultimately the town council is like, okay, yeah,

0:32:49.600 --> 0:32:51.680
<v Speaker 2>we're not going to do this. And so you are

0:32:51.720 --> 0:32:55.120
<v Speaker 2>seeing this huge backlash and a lot of these data

0:32:55.120 --> 0:32:58.400
<v Speaker 2>centers are being located in red states and red areas

0:32:58.400 --> 0:33:01.480
<v Speaker 2>because rural areas have more and rural areas tend to

0:33:01.560 --> 0:33:04.479
<v Speaker 2>be more Republican. Let's go and put G two up

0:33:04.480 --> 0:33:07.239
<v Speaker 2>on the screen. This was a fantastic report from the

0:33:07.240 --> 0:33:10.560
<v Speaker 2>Financial Times. They say Donald Trump's AI push fuel's revolt

0:33:10.920 --> 0:33:13.479
<v Speaker 2>in MAGA heartlands. On a cold Tuesday evening last week,

0:33:13.520 --> 0:33:17.520
<v Speaker 2>about two hundred Missourians, Missouri being another hotbed of AI

0:33:17.640 --> 0:33:20.760
<v Speaker 2>development and also backlash, crammed into a Methodist church to

0:33:20.800 --> 0:33:23.880
<v Speaker 2>share a message. The AI revolution embraced by Trump's White

0:33:23.880 --> 0:33:26.040
<v Speaker 2>House did not have their unqualified support.

0:33:26.360 --> 0:33:26.840
<v Speaker 1>Quote.

0:33:26.960 --> 0:33:29.800
<v Speaker 2>I voted for this administration and didn't really think about

0:33:29.800 --> 0:33:32.680
<v Speaker 2>AI until it started to affect me, said Lisa Garrett,

0:33:32.680 --> 0:33:35.360
<v Speaker 2>who lives beside the site of a rapidly greenlit six

0:33:35.440 --> 0:33:39.400
<v Speaker 2>point six billion dollars four hundred acre data center development

0:33:39.440 --> 0:33:42.440
<v Speaker 2>in the satellite city of Independence, just east of Kansas City.

0:33:42.680 --> 0:33:45.680
<v Speaker 2>A worker for a local ministry, Garrett's Onneyes extends beyond

0:33:45.680 --> 0:33:48.600
<v Speaker 2>the project's demand on local water and electricity supplies, to

0:33:48.640 --> 0:33:51.200
<v Speaker 2>the broader social impact of the industry it is being

0:33:51.200 --> 0:33:54.720
<v Speaker 2>built to support. I have grandchildren. It does concern me

0:33:54.840 --> 0:33:57.400
<v Speaker 2>that they're being drawn into a world that isn't real,

0:33:57.480 --> 0:33:59.880
<v Speaker 2>she said. Her concerns, which pull after poll has shown

0:33:59.880 --> 0:34:02.239
<v Speaker 2>her shared by much of Trump's space, are increasingly at

0:34:02.240 --> 0:34:06.160
<v Speaker 2>odds with the posture and policies of his administration. And actually, Sager,

0:34:06.240 --> 0:34:09.200
<v Speaker 2>I mean it is very like cross partisan the concerns

0:34:09.200 --> 0:34:12.480
<v Speaker 2>here about data centers in particular. But the recent pulling

0:34:12.480 --> 0:34:14.600
<v Speaker 2>that I saw show showed that the concerns were actually

0:34:14.680 --> 0:34:17.520
<v Speaker 2>higher on the right for reasons that you can understand,

0:34:17.520 --> 0:34:19.919
<v Speaker 2>because there tends to be more you know, more of

0:34:20.000 --> 0:34:22.680
<v Speaker 2>a rural base, more concern about, okay, what is this

0:34:22.680 --> 0:34:25.040
<v Speaker 2>community going to be, and more like sort of like

0:34:25.080 --> 0:34:28.719
<v Speaker 2>this rootedness in a certain place and so and more

0:34:28.800 --> 0:34:31.680
<v Speaker 2>quote unquote conservative views of like we aren't we are

0:34:31.719 --> 0:34:33.920
<v Speaker 2>a little wary of change. We don't necessarily want the

0:34:33.920 --> 0:34:35.719
<v Speaker 2>world to be turned upside down, not just in our

0:34:35.719 --> 0:34:38.920
<v Speaker 2>local community, but by whatever this means. So, you know,

0:34:39.000 --> 0:34:41.640
<v Speaker 2>I think this is one of the important fights as

0:34:41.680 --> 0:34:45.520
<v Speaker 2>we contemplate what AI is going to mean for our

0:34:45.560 --> 0:34:48.480
<v Speaker 2>social contract, and one of the places where you can

0:34:48.520 --> 0:34:50.920
<v Speaker 2>sort of like you know, throw sand in the gears

0:34:51.000 --> 0:34:53.680
<v Speaker 2>and at least slow the process down so that there

0:34:53.760 --> 0:34:56.200
<v Speaker 2>is more of a chance for democracy to be able.

0:34:56.080 --> 0:34:56.520
<v Speaker 1>To catch up.

0:34:56.600 --> 0:34:56.759
<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

0:34:56.800 --> 0:34:59.920
<v Speaker 1>I just think it's amazing, Like they're literally organic movements,

0:35:00.040 --> 0:35:03.440
<v Speaker 1>people with their children, no data center, because again, everyone

0:35:03.520 --> 0:35:06.719
<v Speaker 1>can feel this encroachment in their lives, especially if you

0:35:06.760 --> 0:35:08.960
<v Speaker 1>have a child. So there's all these viral threads that

0:35:09.000 --> 0:35:12.520
<v Speaker 1>are going around now about Spotify. For example, someone was like,

0:35:12.560 --> 0:35:15.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, I'm so careful I don't allow video, and

0:35:15.960 --> 0:35:18.280
<v Speaker 1>then what ended up happening is I gave my kids

0:35:18.280 --> 0:35:21.240
<v Speaker 1>access to my Spotify account, but now Spotify is including

0:35:21.360 --> 0:35:23.920
<v Speaker 1>music videos and it was like a workaround, and he's like,

0:35:23.960 --> 0:35:26.359
<v Speaker 1>now I have to take Spotify away from it. It's

0:35:26.400 --> 0:35:30.239
<v Speaker 1>like at every level you have parents who are bombarded

0:35:30.360 --> 0:35:33.360
<v Speaker 1>doing everything they possibly can, having to pay attention to

0:35:33.480 --> 0:35:36.799
<v Speaker 1>like every facet of modern life. More recently, you know

0:35:36.840 --> 0:35:39.600
<v Speaker 1>how they would give out chromebooks or computers. You have

0:35:39.680 --> 0:35:41.759
<v Speaker 1>teachers or you have parents who are turning them in.

0:35:41.800 --> 0:35:43.640
<v Speaker 1>They're like, I can't have my children on this. They're

0:35:43.719 --> 0:35:46.279
<v Speaker 1>using it as a workaround their screen time and all this.

0:35:46.560 --> 0:35:49.799
<v Speaker 1>They're demanding that schools go back to paper because they're like,

0:35:49.840 --> 0:35:52.600
<v Speaker 1>we have to just get rid of all this technology.

0:35:52.680 --> 0:35:55.520
<v Speaker 1>Nothing's good coming from this is rotting my child's brain.

0:35:55.760 --> 0:35:58.799
<v Speaker 1>And then you put the AI data center stuff into this,

0:35:59.200 --> 0:36:00.879
<v Speaker 1>and then you have to look at the promise. What

0:36:00.920 --> 0:36:05.000
<v Speaker 1>are we getting more claud agents that might like automate

0:36:05.120 --> 0:36:08.960
<v Speaker 1>all the jobs, or more slop that children can watch

0:36:08.960 --> 0:36:13.080
<v Speaker 1>on YouTube or YouTube shorts more. You know, now there's

0:36:13.080 --> 0:36:16.279
<v Speaker 1>all these new AI movies that people are competing for.

0:36:16.360 --> 0:36:19.160
<v Speaker 1>Everyone's like the bargain is not worth it. Higher electricity

0:36:19.200 --> 0:36:21.680
<v Speaker 1>price and trying to take my job, which you increasingly

0:36:22.040 --> 0:36:24.640
<v Speaker 1>brag about, and then general also just like propping up

0:36:24.680 --> 0:36:27.239
<v Speaker 1>a sham stock market all at the same time, it's

0:36:27.280 --> 0:36:30.640
<v Speaker 1>just is ridiculous. On top of corrupting a local community

0:36:31.200 --> 0:36:34.919
<v Speaker 1>energy usage power bills it's all about control. And yeah,

0:36:34.960 --> 0:36:37.279
<v Speaker 1>the most conservative impulse of all time is to like

0:36:37.600 --> 0:36:40.320
<v Speaker 1>the famous line is like stand thwart history and yell stop,

0:36:40.480 --> 0:36:42.120
<v Speaker 1>and like that's how a lot of people feel right now.

0:36:42.120 --> 0:36:43.320
<v Speaker 4>I feel like the way right now.

0:36:43.480 --> 0:36:46.319
<v Speaker 2>I feel that way because listen, you know, I think

0:36:46.360 --> 0:36:47.680
<v Speaker 2>the technology is cool.

0:36:47.880 --> 0:36:49.720
<v Speaker 4>Like I've been playing around with Claude.

0:36:50.120 --> 0:36:54.279
<v Speaker 2>I think the advances over the past year, the more

0:36:54.320 --> 0:36:57.600
<v Speaker 2>I dig into it, the more I realize is genuinely extraordinary.

0:36:57.719 --> 0:36:59.360
<v Speaker 2>You know, the things you're able to feed in the

0:36:59.360 --> 0:37:03.520
<v Speaker 2>hallucination have been diminished, the level the ability this part

0:37:03.560 --> 0:37:06.160
<v Speaker 2>I haven't been able to figure out yet. But you know,

0:37:07.000 --> 0:37:09.399
<v Speaker 2>you hear people who are not technical people or able

0:37:09.440 --> 0:37:11.279
<v Speaker 2>to just go and like create an app and it

0:37:11.280 --> 0:37:13.480
<v Speaker 2>doesn't even take very long and Claude spins it out

0:37:13.520 --> 0:37:14.080
<v Speaker 2>in a few minutes.

0:37:14.280 --> 0:37:16.319
<v Speaker 4>This is something. This is astonishing.

0:37:16.800 --> 0:37:20.440
<v Speaker 2>And if it was, if the ownership was done correctly

0:37:20.480 --> 0:37:23.600
<v Speaker 2>and the democratic control was done correctly, you can't imagine,

0:37:23.640 --> 0:37:26.000
<v Speaker 2>you know, a society that was not structured like ours,

0:37:26.200 --> 0:37:28.920
<v Speaker 2>where this would just be beneficial, where it would just

0:37:28.960 --> 0:37:30.960
<v Speaker 2>be exciting and we would figure out how to manage

0:37:30.960 --> 0:37:34.000
<v Speaker 2>the resources. I mean, the other risk that some of

0:37:34.000 --> 0:37:37.080
<v Speaker 2>the community members in Indiana we're talking about is they're like,

0:37:37.440 --> 0:37:39.960
<v Speaker 2>they're like, we looked into this and there are a

0:37:39.960 --> 0:37:42.919
<v Speaker 2>lot of models coming out of China that are much

0:37:43.000 --> 0:37:45.920
<v Speaker 2>less resource intensive. So you're going to build all of

0:37:45.960 --> 0:37:48.040
<v Speaker 2>these data centers out are they even going to be

0:37:48.080 --> 0:37:50.040
<v Speaker 2>needed in the future as these things become more and

0:37:50.080 --> 0:37:50.800
<v Speaker 2>more efficient?

0:37:51.080 --> 0:37:52.040
<v Speaker 4>So even that, you.

0:37:52.040 --> 0:37:54.480
<v Speaker 2>Know, and then we're left with this big hulking, you know,

0:37:54.680 --> 0:37:56.920
<v Speaker 2>decaying husk in our community.

0:37:56.960 --> 0:37:58.400
<v Speaker 4>And what does that ultimately look like?

0:37:58.440 --> 0:38:00.879
<v Speaker 2>So in any case, you know, we we would need

0:38:00.920 --> 0:38:04.319
<v Speaker 2>to have massive democratic input on the resource usage, on

0:38:04.480 --> 0:38:07.760
<v Speaker 2>the you know, capital expenditure, on how this is deployed,

0:38:07.840 --> 0:38:10.480
<v Speaker 2>on how it is used, all on you know, how

0:38:10.520 --> 0:38:15.600
<v Speaker 2>the how the fruits of this alleged productivity gains are

0:38:15.640 --> 0:38:18.040
<v Speaker 2>going to be distributed. I mean, that's like the essential

0:38:18.120 --> 0:38:21.240
<v Speaker 2>question in my view. But obviously we don't have any

0:38:21.280 --> 0:38:23.480
<v Speaker 2>of that, which is why again I think these fights

0:38:23.520 --> 0:38:26.440
<v Speaker 2>against data centers on a local basis, like that is

0:38:26.480 --> 0:38:29.600
<v Speaker 2>the most likely place where you can have any sort

0:38:29.880 --> 0:38:33.480
<v Speaker 2>of pushback, any sort of slow down in terms of

0:38:33.480 --> 0:38:35.440
<v Speaker 2>this development, because in terms of you know, from this

0:38:35.480 --> 0:38:38.239
<v Speaker 2>administration's perspective, it's just off to the races, and you know,

0:38:38.320 --> 0:38:43.399
<v Speaker 2>the dystopian parts of this are becoming are increasingly here.

0:38:43.719 --> 0:38:45.560
<v Speaker 4>Let's put G three up on the screen. We covered

0:38:45.560 --> 0:38:46.120
<v Speaker 4>this before.

0:38:46.160 --> 0:38:49.759
<v Speaker 2>There's this fight between Anthropic and the Pentagon where they're

0:38:49.800 --> 0:38:52.880
<v Speaker 2>threatening to cut off Anthropic in what is being described

0:38:52.920 --> 0:38:56.560
<v Speaker 2>here as an AI safeguards dispute, and the TLDR is

0:38:56.760 --> 0:39:00.600
<v Speaker 2>that the Anthropic people got concerned about the way that

0:39:00.719 --> 0:39:04.080
<v Speaker 2>Claude was used in the Venezuela rate. Now they have

0:39:04.320 --> 0:39:07.960
<v Speaker 2>some sort of partnership with Palenteer and Claude and Anthropics

0:39:08.000 --> 0:39:12.320
<v Speaker 2>products are generally more advanced in terms of government application,

0:39:12.440 --> 0:39:15.200
<v Speaker 2>so they have a big contract with the Pentagon, and

0:39:15.600 --> 0:39:18.440
<v Speaker 2>they're saying to the Pentagon, look, we have two red lines.

0:39:18.520 --> 0:39:20.640
<v Speaker 2>Number one, we don't want Claude to be used in

0:39:20.680 --> 0:39:24.799
<v Speaker 2>any sort of like autonomous killer robots, and number two,

0:39:24.840 --> 0:39:27.240
<v Speaker 2>we don't want to be used for mass surveillance against

0:39:27.280 --> 0:39:29.040
<v Speaker 2>American people. Now, I'm not sure why you have this

0:39:29.120 --> 0:39:31.880
<v Speaker 2>tie up with Palenteer if you have these concerns, but

0:39:32.239 --> 0:39:35.040
<v Speaker 2>that's where they're trying to draw a line. The other

0:39:35.080 --> 0:39:38.839
<v Speaker 2>AI companies do not have such moral red lines, and

0:39:38.920 --> 0:39:40.839
<v Speaker 2>I don't want to give Anthropic too much credit here.

0:39:40.880 --> 0:39:44.600
<v Speaker 2>Because I think it's incredibly, incredibly naive to think that

0:39:44.640 --> 0:39:46.680
<v Speaker 2>you would be able to hold the line on these

0:39:46.719 --> 0:39:50.960
<v Speaker 2>things and you as individual like business owner or capitalists,

0:39:51.000 --> 0:39:53.080
<v Speaker 2>are going to be able to tell the Department of

0:39:53.120 --> 0:39:57.719
<v Speaker 2>War and the United States government how your technology gets deployed. Like,

0:39:57.760 --> 0:40:00.759
<v Speaker 2>I think that was a very fanciful notion, but you

0:40:00.800 --> 0:40:03.680
<v Speaker 2>can see how already the Pentagon's like, no, we're not

0:40:03.719 --> 0:40:05.640
<v Speaker 2>going to listen to you. Not only are we not

0:40:05.680 --> 0:40:08.600
<v Speaker 2>going to abide by your little, your little moral red

0:40:08.640 --> 0:40:12.120
<v Speaker 2>lines against killer robots and mass surveillance, but we are

0:40:12.160 --> 0:40:14.799
<v Speaker 2>going to punish any company that does work with you

0:40:15.120 --> 0:40:18.000
<v Speaker 2>because you have the audacity to even try to put

0:40:18.040 --> 0:40:21.440
<v Speaker 2>any sort of red line on how your technology can

0:40:21.480 --> 0:40:25.960
<v Speaker 2>be deployed. So you know, there was Eric Schmidt, former

0:40:26.000 --> 0:40:29.440
<v Speaker 2>CEO of Google. He was talking about a year ago

0:40:29.680 --> 0:40:32.560
<v Speaker 2>saying that, you know, one of the things that all

0:40:32.600 --> 0:40:35.399
<v Speaker 2>the AI CEOs were basically in agreement with is if

0:40:35.400 --> 0:40:38.160
<v Speaker 2>this starts getting deployed and killer robots, they would pull

0:40:38.160 --> 0:40:40.759
<v Speaker 2>the plug. But what you realize is like you don't

0:40:40.760 --> 0:40:42.759
<v Speaker 2>actually have the ability to pull the plug even if

0:40:42.800 --> 0:40:45.360
<v Speaker 2>you wanted to then, and already they've all abandoned that

0:40:45.400 --> 0:40:47.640
<v Speaker 2>and like eh, well maybe killer Robert robots or okay,

0:40:47.680 --> 0:40:49.960
<v Speaker 2>maybe it's fine, no big deal, we could work around it.

0:40:50.440 --> 0:40:53.440
<v Speaker 2>But even if they did hold to their moral standards,

0:40:54.160 --> 0:40:57.320
<v Speaker 2>once that technology gets out, once the Pentagon has access

0:40:57.400 --> 0:40:59.640
<v Speaker 2>to it, like you're so cute to think that you're

0:40:59.680 --> 0:41:01.480
<v Speaker 2>going to be the one in charge to be able

0:41:01.520 --> 0:41:02.160
<v Speaker 2>to pull the plug on.

0:41:02.320 --> 0:41:04.000
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, it's always been like that. Is that once you

0:41:04.120 --> 0:41:06.719
<v Speaker 1>unleash the technology, once people get normalized, so we can

0:41:06.760 --> 0:41:08.880
<v Speaker 1>get open source, they can work from it, the government

0:41:08.960 --> 0:41:12.080
<v Speaker 1>can use however they want. This is the big danger

0:41:12.640 --> 0:41:16.120
<v Speaker 1>in all of this for defense technology. And ultimately, like

0:41:16.360 --> 0:41:19.080
<v Speaker 1>maybe you know, it's never really solvable, Like once the

0:41:19.160 --> 0:41:21.640
<v Speaker 1>tech exists, it will always be used for the lowest

0:41:21.640 --> 0:41:24.480
<v Speaker 1>common denominator, Like there's just no really way around it.

0:41:24.560 --> 0:41:27.360
<v Speaker 1>It's basically always been that way war often like blood,

0:41:27.480 --> 0:41:30.160
<v Speaker 1>is that the only thing that moves the wheels of history.

0:41:30.560 --> 0:41:33.040
<v Speaker 1>Let's put G four up there on the screen just

0:41:33.080 --> 0:41:36.000
<v Speaker 1>to give an example here. SpaceX is now going to

0:41:36.080 --> 0:41:41.320
<v Speaker 1>compete in the contest for autonomous drone technology and this

0:41:41.840 --> 0:41:46.640
<v Speaker 1>is the next frontier, you know, drone swarms and competition

0:41:46.840 --> 0:41:51.320
<v Speaker 1>for AI targeting and then who will build the targeting software,

0:41:51.320 --> 0:41:53.080
<v Speaker 1>and there's always one company that's going to be willing

0:41:53.120 --> 0:41:55.319
<v Speaker 1>to play ball and to make money. So there's really

0:41:55.360 --> 0:41:58.080
<v Speaker 1>no way around this. And also there's a competitor aspect.

0:41:58.200 --> 0:42:01.720
<v Speaker 1>China has been heavily invested in drones and drone swarms,

0:42:01.760 --> 0:42:04.320
<v Speaker 1>and it's often been like one of the dangers you know,

0:42:04.400 --> 0:42:07.399
<v Speaker 1>for some of these bigger US carriers and US Navy

0:42:07.480 --> 0:42:13.200
<v Speaker 1>destroyers or US Navy, US Navy vessels, that one of

0:42:13.239 --> 0:42:15.239
<v Speaker 1>the pain points that they see. And so then the

0:42:15.400 --> 0:42:17.440
<v Speaker 1>US says, well, well, now we need to create our

0:42:17.520 --> 0:42:20.960
<v Speaker 1>own drone technology, our own counter drone technology. This is

0:42:21.040 --> 0:42:24.520
<v Speaker 1>the danger, this in this entire thing, and we know this.

0:42:24.800 --> 0:42:27.279
<v Speaker 1>It will be used to some effect. They already used

0:42:27.280 --> 0:42:30.040
<v Speaker 1>Claude with Venezuela. We may be going to a major

0:42:30.080 --> 0:42:31.880
<v Speaker 1>war with Iran. There's going to be a ton of

0:42:31.920 --> 0:42:33.120
<v Speaker 1>AI whenever it comes in.

0:42:33.200 --> 0:42:35.960
<v Speaker 2>And we know how it was deployed in Gaza in

0:42:36.120 --> 0:42:38.560
<v Speaker 2>Palestine and the way it is deployed, you know, also

0:42:38.640 --> 0:42:41.680
<v Speaker 2>in the West Bank and a lot of ways. Gaza

0:42:41.880 --> 0:42:46.040
<v Speaker 2>is the testing ground for mass surveillance. You Palenteer, Microsoft,

0:42:46.120 --> 0:42:48.360
<v Speaker 2>like a bunch of these companies been caught involved in

0:42:48.400 --> 0:42:52.000
<v Speaker 2>the Gaza genocide. And so that has been the testing ground.

0:42:52.040 --> 0:42:55.160
<v Speaker 2>I think that helped you accelerate the incredibly dystopian place

0:42:55.239 --> 0:42:56.960
<v Speaker 2>that we're in. The last thing I'll say I was

0:42:57.280 --> 0:42:59.560
<v Speaker 2>Novar Media had a good, a good piece on this,

0:42:59.640 --> 0:43:01.839
<v Speaker 2>and they were saying, you know, when when scientists were

0:43:01.960 --> 0:43:05.160
<v Speaker 2>building the you know, we're developing nuclear weapons, like you

0:43:05.239 --> 0:43:08.799
<v Speaker 2>know Oppenheimer, they were not so foolish as to think

0:43:09.120 --> 0:43:12.719
<v Speaker 2>that they, as the developers and creators of this technology,

0:43:13.000 --> 0:43:14.680
<v Speaker 2>we're then going to get to tell the government how

0:43:14.719 --> 0:43:15.400
<v Speaker 2>it gets deployed.

0:43:15.400 --> 0:43:17.280
<v Speaker 1>Well, actually Oppenheimer was foolish enough.

0:43:17.160 --> 0:43:19.040
<v Speaker 4>To think that, but a lot of the well take

0:43:19.080 --> 0:43:19.279
<v Speaker 4>it out.

0:43:19.400 --> 0:43:20.960
<v Speaker 2>But I mean he I think he knew at the

0:43:21.040 --> 0:43:22.480
<v Speaker 2>end of the day, the President of the United States

0:43:22.560 --> 0:43:24.640
<v Speaker 2>is going to say how this is used, not me, right,

0:43:24.680 --> 0:43:27.279
<v Speaker 2>and so he made his case. But you know, I

0:43:27.320 --> 0:43:29.759
<v Speaker 2>don't think they they thought that, like, oh, we're going

0:43:29.840 --> 0:43:31.839
<v Speaker 2>to get to control how this is, how and when

0:43:31.960 --> 0:43:35.600
<v Speaker 2>and wherever. Now, many of them organized afterwards to try

0:43:35.719 --> 0:43:38.960
<v Speaker 2>to you know, check nuclear proliferation and try to check

0:43:39.000 --> 0:43:41.600
<v Speaker 2>the use and spread in advance of this technology, but

0:43:41.719 --> 0:43:44.120
<v Speaker 2>there was a much clearer understanding of like, no, we're

0:43:44.200 --> 0:43:47.320
<v Speaker 2>developing this for the US government, and they're going to

0:43:47.440 --> 0:43:50.880
<v Speaker 2>get to have to say over what comes. And I

0:43:51.440 --> 0:43:55.160
<v Speaker 2>you know, because we've lived in this like free market

0:43:55.320 --> 0:43:59.120
<v Speaker 2>capitalists sort of like delusion where government just cedes control

0:43:59.640 --> 0:44:02.640
<v Speaker 2>to listen too markets. I think these guys did delude

0:44:02.640 --> 0:44:06.360
<v Speaker 2>themselves into thinking like we're going to get to figure

0:44:06.400 --> 0:44:08.720
<v Speaker 2>out how this is deployed, and it's like it doesn't

0:44:08.800 --> 0:44:11.359
<v Speaker 2>work that way. So you know, when you did your

0:44:11.520 --> 0:44:14.239
<v Speaker 2>tie up with the Pentagon, and now you want to

0:44:14.280 --> 0:44:16.359
<v Speaker 2>set a moral red line, and I think they did

0:44:16.440 --> 0:44:18.799
<v Speaker 2>have that red line from the beginning. You know, you're

0:44:18.840 --> 0:44:20.960
<v Speaker 2>a fool if you think that they're going to abide

0:44:21.200 --> 0:44:23.360
<v Speaker 2>by what you want. They see themselves as in this

0:44:23.560 --> 0:44:25.680
<v Speaker 2>race with China and they're going to win at all costs,

0:44:25.840 --> 0:44:26.960
<v Speaker 2>at all costs.

0:44:27.160 --> 0:44:29.839
<v Speaker 1>And I'm look, war with Iran. Who knows how it's

0:44:29.880 --> 0:44:31.680
<v Speaker 1>going to go con spiral. It could go into this,

0:44:32.280 --> 0:44:33.799
<v Speaker 1>go into that next thing. You know, these things are

0:44:33.800 --> 0:44:36.520
<v Speaker 1>going to get nationalized, the Defense Production Act, your data

0:44:36.560 --> 0:44:38.680
<v Speaker 1>centers and all that will be seized and be put

0:44:38.719 --> 0:44:40.800
<v Speaker 1>to ford. I mean that can happen like this. You

0:44:40.880 --> 0:44:43.799
<v Speaker 1>know in wartime, go read a book about World War two.

0:44:43.920 --> 0:44:47.120
<v Speaker 1>Look how quickly you went from private industry to literally

0:44:47.200 --> 0:44:50.279
<v Speaker 1>the War production board managing with the Ford Factory is

0:44:50.320 --> 0:44:51.600
<v Speaker 1>plumbing out what you think? They're not going to do

0:44:51.680 --> 0:44:54.239
<v Speaker 1>that with AI and with everything else. If things get

0:44:54.280 --> 0:44:57.120
<v Speaker 1>truly existential, the laws already on the books. They have

0:44:57.239 --> 0:45:00.279
<v Speaker 1>monarchical powers if they want to. You're right, this is

0:45:00.320 --> 0:45:03.440
<v Speaker 1>deeply naive. All right, Thank you guys so much for watching.

0:45:03.760 --> 0:45:06.680
<v Speaker 1>We appreciate it. Please support us if you can. If not,

0:45:06.880 --> 0:45:08.480
<v Speaker 1>Friday show tomorrow. See you all then,