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Speaker 1: All right, welcome to tonight here at the Volume. Happy Wednesday,
Speaker 1: everybody hopeful. If you guys are having a great week
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Speaker 1: last minute tickets, lowest price guaranteed. All right, let's talk
Speaker 1: some basketball. Let's talk some New York Knicks. So little
Speaker 1: recap of the offseason. They lost Derek Rose and Obi Toppin,
Speaker 1: and they added Dylan Windler, was a shooting wing who
Speaker 1: won't play much, Nathan Knight, a backup big from Minnesota
Speaker 1: who probably won't play much as well, and then they
Speaker 1: added Dante. Devincenzo's very good role player. In my opinion,
Speaker 1: he's an outstanding spot up player. He averaged one point
Speaker 1: twenty five points per spot up possession last year with
Speaker 1: the Warriors. There were one hundred and twenty six players
Speaker 1: who logged at least two hundred spot up possessions last year,
Speaker 1: and Dante ranked fourth in efficiency last year, fourth out
Speaker 1: of one hundred and twenty six players. So one of
Speaker 1: the most efficient spot up guys in the league last year. Now,
Speaker 1: some of that's golden state, obviously, they tend to generate
Speaker 1: extremely high quality spot up looks with the nature of
Speaker 1: the way their offense works. But he's also just a
Speaker 1: lights out shooter. He was sixty four percent in effective
Speaker 1: field goal percentage on catch and shoot jump shots and
Speaker 1: seventy three percent effective field goal percentage on jump shots
Speaker 1: when he was unguarded. So a very very reliable spot
Speaker 1: up shooter. And this is a team in the Knicks
Speaker 1: that was not a good spot up shooting team last year,
Speaker 1: and I think that Dante will help in that specific ERAa.
Speaker 1: He's also a great athlete, which helps him in a
Speaker 1: bunch of different areas. Helps him on the glass. He's
Speaker 1: an excellent rebounding guard six point two rebounds per thirty
Speaker 1: six minutes last year, including two offensive rebounds per thirty
Speaker 1: six minutes. Really good at kind of like sneaking in
Speaker 1: behind the play to kind of disrupt stuff after the
Speaker 1: shot goes up, whether that's trying to poke the ball
Speaker 1: away from a rebounder or to sneak in from behind
Speaker 1: and grab offensive rebounds when guards aren't paying attention. It
Speaker 1: also helps him at the rim. He shot sixty three
Speaker 1: percent in the restricted area last year, which is awesome
Speaker 1: for a guard. Anything over sixty percent is awesome for
Speaker 1: a guard, and that's not just a Golden State thing.
Speaker 1: His last full healthy season with the Bucks back in
Speaker 1: twenty twenty, he shot over sixty percent in the restricted area.
Speaker 1: That season as well. I think sixty two percent if
Speaker 1: I remember correctly. He was also really good in Golden
Speaker 1: State's five out offense attacking off of off ball screens.
Speaker 1: He was one point twenty six points per possession coming
Speaker 1: off of an off ball screen, which was third best
Speaker 1: in the entire NBA out of the sixty one players
Speaker 1: who ran that type of action at least fifty times
Speaker 1: in the NBA season. He's got really good work footwork
Speaker 1: coming off of screens and rising up and shooting. He's
Speaker 1: definitely better with his right left than he is with
Speaker 1: his left right, meaning like when he's going to his left,
Speaker 1: he's better at rising and firing than he is going
Speaker 1: to his right. That's very typical for right handed shooters,
Speaker 1: mainly just because most right handed shooters have the right
Speaker 1: foot forward, So when you're running this way, your right
Speaker 1: foot's already forward, so it's easy to quick turn and
Speaker 1: plant that left foot. But when you're coming towards the
Speaker 1: right handed side, for right handed shooter, your right foot's
Speaker 1: behind the play. You have to like swing that foot
Speaker 1: around and you have to get a lot better lyft,
Speaker 1: and sometimes you have to square up in mid air.
Speaker 1: So that's pretty typical, but he was fourteen for twenty
Speaker 1: five coming off of wide pin downs for jump shots
Speaker 1: going to his left, and then he was four for
Speaker 1: thirteen going to his right, so not a big surprise there.
Speaker 1: He's also good off of dribble handoffs. He was twelve
Speaker 1: for twenty seven on movement jump shots coming off of
Speaker 1: dribble handoffs. So he's like legitimately a dangerous movement shooter
Speaker 1: and you have no choice in those actions but to
Speaker 1: chase Dante close over the top of those screens. I
Speaker 1: think that's a valuable weapon and it's gonna be an
Speaker 1: interesting fit here with the Knicks because the Knicks don't
Speaker 1: really run a lot of action in general, let alone
Speaker 1: off ball action. That's gonna be one of the big
Speaker 1: themes that we talk about when we get into their offense.
Speaker 1: This is a team that is very much a brute
Speaker 1: force offense. They're picking on matchups and they're just standing
Speaker 1: in spot up spots and giving a guy room to work,
Speaker 1: and it's it's very rudimentary in a lot of ways.
Speaker 1: And that's kind of unfortunate because Quentin Grimes is also
Speaker 1: a very good movement shooter, at least in terms of
Speaker 1: what he's capable of, but he didn't get a lot
Speaker 1: of opportunities last year. As matter of fact, the Knicks
Speaker 1: ran or took a shot off of an off ball
Speaker 1: screen just one hundred and ninety one times all year
Speaker 1: last year. That was the third least in the entire NBA.
Speaker 1: And to give you guys some perspective, the Warriors ran
Speaker 1: those types of actions nine hundred and fifty eight times.
Speaker 1: So nine hundred and fifty eight shots coming off of
Speaker 1: screens for the Warriors, one hundred and ninety one for
Speaker 1: the Knicks. So an example of why we got to
Speaker 1: find out that Dante has that in his game and
Speaker 1: an example of why it might be a funky fit
Speaker 1: with the Knicks. But in general, and again this is
Speaker 1: going to be a major theme in this particular season preview,
Speaker 1: I'd like to see the Knicks try to work that
Speaker 1: in a little bit to mix up their brute force
Speaker 1: attack that they use so often. But insummation, Dante's a
Speaker 1: really good player, and I think he fits a specific
Speaker 1: need for the Knicks ross as a guard off the bench.
Speaker 1: He's a very competitive player. He's a very good on
Speaker 1: ball defender who plays physical ball pressure defense. I actually
Speaker 1: thought he was one of Golden State's best point of
Speaker 1: attack defenders last year. I think Knicks fans are going
Speaker 1: to love him, so very very excited about the Dante
Speaker 1: DiVincenzo fit. So let's take a quick look at the
Speaker 1: depth chart before we move any further. At the guard position,
Speaker 1: Jalen Brunson, Quinton Grimes, Evan Fournier, Dante DiVincenzo, Emmanuel quickly
Speaker 1: induce McBride, so kind of similar to the Memphis Grizzly situation.
Speaker 1: Very deep at guard at forward, and these first two
Speaker 1: guys are are kind of like hybrid guard forwards because
Speaker 1: they're both a little undersized. But I'm considering R. J.
Speaker 1: Barrett and Josh Hart both forwards in this system just
Speaker 1: with the functionality the way they fill a role on
Speaker 1: both ends of the floor. They're both bigger, stronger, better athletes.
Speaker 1: They play more forward esque kind of positions on the floor.
Speaker 1: Julius Randall and Isaiah Robi and then at the center
Speaker 1: position Mitchell Robinson, Isaiah Hartenstein and Jericho SAMs. So a
Speaker 1: roster balance issue there. You've got six guards that can
Speaker 1: really play, and then you've got two somewhat undersized forwards
Speaker 1: and then forward, and Julius Randall that obviously has a
Speaker 1: lot of offensive responsibility which limits his ability to kind
Speaker 1: of devote energy to the dirty work, and as Isaiah Roby,
Speaker 1: who ideally should not be in your rotation right. So
Speaker 1: in this particular situation, I wouldn't be surprised if at
Speaker 1: some point during the season that the Knicks were one
Speaker 1: of the teams that was looking to potentially move somebody
Speaker 1: like Evan Fournier from a position where they have a
Speaker 1: lot of depth, looking for a forward to help bolster
Speaker 1: that position. But let's move to the offensive end of
Speaker 1: the four for second. So this is a slow, brute
Speaker 1: force offense. They don't run in transition much. They don't
Speaker 1: run a lot of action in the half court. They
Speaker 1: spend most of the time hunting matchups. They're gonna run
Speaker 1: a lot of Jalen Brunson pick and roll to try
Speaker 1: to either get switches or to try to get him
Speaker 1: looks for little short pull up jump shots and floaters
Speaker 1: in the mid range right, and then they're gonna run
Speaker 1: a certain amount of action with Julius Randall to try
Speaker 1: to get him switched on to a smaller defender so
Speaker 1: that he can post them up or face them up.
Speaker 1: Those two guys are basically match up hunting the entire game,
Speaker 1: and you know, it's important to identify the ups and
Speaker 1: downs of that specific play style because that we've seen
Speaker 1: championship teams that were brute force offenses. The twenty twenty
Speaker 1: Lakers were kind of an example of this, right, Like,
Speaker 1: when you have a team that matchup hunts a lot,
Speaker 1: they're gonna struggle a lot in the regular season offensively,
Speaker 1: because running a lot of action, having a lot of
Speaker 1: diversity in your attack works in the grand scheme of
Speaker 1: an eighty two game season when there's not a lot
Speaker 1: of scouting. But what ends up happening is you get
Speaker 1: to the playoffs and teams scout your actions and get
Speaker 1: in front of them, and then all of a sudden,
Speaker 1: it does become an area where brute force offense is
Speaker 1: more valuable. Like we see this every year with the
Speaker 1: Golden State Warriors. They run way more action than everybody
Speaker 1: else in the league. They take way more shots and
Speaker 1: off ball screens and things like that, and then they
Speaker 1: get to the playoffs and suddenly it's like, oh shit,
Speaker 1: we need Steph to run a million pick and rolls. Right,
Speaker 1: That's just kind of the nature of the way the
Speaker 1: game changes when you get to the postseason. But I
Speaker 1: think there's a happy medium there. I think there's a
Speaker 1: better version of this where you're a team that has
Speaker 1: that brute force attack but also can make things easier
Speaker 1: on themselves. And that's gonna be a theme for this
Speaker 1: particular show. But let's focus on their brute force attack
Speaker 1: for a minute, because it does work, and I think
Speaker 1: it's a big part of why they were able to
Speaker 1: beat Cleveland last year. And I think Julius randalls struggles
Speaker 1: in the postseason for more indicative of his injuries and
Speaker 1: the way they disrupted his rhythm and is possibly a
Speaker 1: positive indicator for what this team could be capable of
Speaker 1: this season if Julius Randall can get there when he's
Speaker 1: actually healthy. So they ran and fifty nine ISOs last year,
Speaker 1: which was the third most in the NBA, and they
Speaker 1: were good at it. One point zero three points per possession.
Speaker 1: That was the seventh best mark in the league. Jalen
Speaker 1: Brunson was the fifth best high volume ISO play in
Speaker 1: the entire NBA last year one point one zero points
Speaker 1: per possession. That was fifth out of twenty five players
Speaker 1: to run at least two hundred and fifty ISOs, and
Speaker 1: you all saw it in the postseason, whether he was
Speaker 1: attacking Cheedty Osman in the first round or he was
Speaker 1: attacking Gabe Vincent in the second round against the Heat,
Speaker 1: and just in general throughout the season, it's just he
Speaker 1: gets the matchup he wants and then he kind of
Speaker 1: methodically works to some kind of mid range pull up
Speaker 1: jump shot, and he's got all the dribble combinations and
Speaker 1: all the footwork. He can actually turn and post as well,
Speaker 1: better than most guards in the modern era can. Jalen
Speaker 1: Brunson has a really diverse matchup attacking approach, and that's
Speaker 1: why he's been so efficient in those specific situations. Julius
Speaker 1: Randall less efficient, but still over a point per possession.
Speaker 1: He was at one point zero two fifteenth on that
Speaker 1: same list of twenty five five volume ISO players. More
Speaker 1: of a power kind of face up game, so a
Speaker 1: lot of jab step jumpers and little step back jumpers
Speaker 1: and face up situations, and then he likes to rip through.
Speaker 1: And then when he rips through, if he gets cut off,
Speaker 1: that's when he'll turn his back and kind of turn
Speaker 1: it into a post up at that point, and he
Speaker 1: was a very very good post up player last year
Speaker 1: one point zero six points per possession, which was well
Speaker 1: above average as a team. The Knicks also run a
Speaker 1: ton of pick and roll. Jalen Brunson was one of
Speaker 1: the best pick and roll players in the league last year.
Speaker 1: Remember that high volume pick and roll list that I've
Speaker 1: been referencing all season, that one thousand minimum possessions list,
Speaker 1: There's fifteen guys who ran at least a thousand pick
Speaker 1: and rolls. Jalen Brunson came in at fifth on that
Speaker 1: list at one point zero eight points per possession. Really
Speaker 1: impressive when you consider the fact that the Knicks don't
Speaker 1: have fantastic role men and they don't have fantastic spot
Speaker 1: up talent, and when you factor that in, that tells
Speaker 1: you that there's a lot of really high level shot
Speaker 1: making going on from Jalen Brunson. He was fifty two
Speaker 1: percent an effective field goal percentage on pull up jump
Speaker 1: shots last year. There were fourteen players in the NBA
Speaker 1: who attempted at least five hundred pull up jump shots.
Speaker 1: Jalen Brunson ranked third in effective field goal percentage on
Speaker 1: that So one of the very best pull up jump
Speaker 1: shot maker in the league right now is Jalen Brunston.
Speaker 1: I again, I had a lot of people complain in
Speaker 1: about where how I had him so high on my list,
Speaker 1: and I had even yesterday like I had people complaining
Speaker 1: about me having Jalen Brunson over John Morant. Here's the thing.
Speaker 1: John Urant's gonna be better than Jalen Brunson in the
Speaker 1: long run. He's just got too much natural ability. But
Speaker 1: here's the reality. Jalen Brunson right now is a devastating
Speaker 1: playoff player. He led them to a win against the Calves.
Speaker 1: He was the guy who damn near beat the Heat
Speaker 1: in Game six and almost pushed that series to Game seven.
Speaker 1: Jalen Brunson right now is flat out a better basketball
Speaker 1: player than John Muran. It's not gonna be like that forever,
Speaker 1: but he is right now, Like we can. You have
Speaker 1: to separate the potential and the theoretical basketball player from
Speaker 1: the actual basketball player that's actually on the floor leading
Speaker 1: teams to victory. Right now, Jalen Brunson beat the Calves,
Speaker 1: who were one of the very best teams in the
Speaker 1: league last year. The John Morant playoff experience has been
Speaker 1: beating a bad Minnesota Timberwolves team two years ago and
Speaker 1: getting beat by veteran teams as soon as he faced them.
Speaker 1: And that's not to say that John Morant's not going
Speaker 1: to eventually have that opportunity and succeed. I expect him
Speaker 1: to eventually, but he's a kid and he's not quite
Speaker 1: what he's going to be yet. Jalen Brunson right now
Speaker 1: is a better, more reliable playoff player. I don't think
Speaker 1: that's a hot take. I think I'm very very confident
Speaker 1: in that specific stance, and I believe that that is
Speaker 1: the truth about those two as basketball players right now.
Speaker 1: I just think again, like, well, when you get to
Speaker 1: the playoffs, they are very specific things that work at
Speaker 1: a higher level than the regular season. And we've just
Speaker 1: seen too many examples over the years of young teams
Speaker 1: succeeding in the regular season and then struggling when they
Speaker 1: get to the real basketball and to me, Memphis kind
Speaker 1: of falls into that specific group. Let's see where we're at.
Speaker 1: Pick and roll. So Julius Randa also is pretty solid
Speaker 1: in pick and roll as well, one point zero seven
Speaker 1: point possession. He only did it about three times per game.
Speaker 1: Might want to look into doing that a little bit
Speaker 1: more this year. Remember we talked about like the dynamic
Speaker 1: of running pick and roll with a bigger player, You
Speaker 1: have to use a bigger defender, right, Julius Randall's a
Speaker 1: bully ball player, so you have to put a big,
Speaker 1: strong forward on him. Big strong forwards they do good
Speaker 1: guarding bullyball players, but they're not going at navigating screens.
Speaker 1: It's not something they practice when they're younger. So putting
Speaker 1: them in screening actions is actually a great way to
Speaker 1: get Julius Randall downhill against a slow footed big Have
Speaker 1: Mitchell Robinson set screens for Julius Randall, or have guards
Speaker 1: set screen for screens for Julius Randall more often, same
Speaker 1: type of thing. If guard gets a solid screen on
Speaker 1: that big strong forward, he's gonna get separation. Now Julius
Speaker 1: Randall's going downhill against a smaller player, or getting a
Speaker 1: switch against a smaller player that he can then take
Speaker 1: down to the post. That's another thing I'd like to
Speaker 1: see them do more, just to kind of add more
Speaker 1: variety to their offense. RJ. Barrett and Emmanuel quickly ran
Speaker 1: most of the rest of their pick and rolls. Both
Speaker 1: of them were just to touch below a point per possession,
Speaker 1: which is below age. So those two guys not great
Speaker 1: in pick and roll last season. The two main areas
Speaker 1: of opportunity I want to hit on, so obviously spot
Speaker 1: up efficiency. They were seventeenth in converting spot up possessions
Speaker 1: into points last year. Dante DiVincenzo will help with that,
Speaker 1: and then offensive organization, which is the second thing I
Speaker 1: want to hit on. This will also help with spot
Speaker 1: up possessions, which we'll get to in just a second.
Speaker 1: So we talked about this a lot. In the gosh
Speaker 1: which video was it, I can't even remember which team
Speaker 1: we were covering. It might have been Minnesota. But complications
Speaker 1: on offense are just little actions that you run to
Speaker 1: set up an action, right. We talked about like how
Speaker 1: before a play you can run a ram screen, so
Speaker 1: for instance, like downscreen for the ball screener, so that
Speaker 1: the screen defender is trailing the play when you run
Speaker 1: pick and roll, which gives you a better chance to
Speaker 1: get downhill. That's one thing you could do. We talked
Speaker 1: about Spain pick and roll, but putting a shooter in
Speaker 1: the middle of the floor and having him relocate to
Speaker 1: the top and maybe throw a little screen at the
Speaker 1: role man as he's rolling to the basket, or having
Speaker 1: the rollman screen down for the shooter. Those are little
Speaker 1: things you can do that make things easier for you
Speaker 1: to get better opportunities in pick and roll. What about
Speaker 1: action that flows into pick and roll, maybe like a
Speaker 1: dribble handoff that is so that at least the two
Speaker 1: guards involved might have to navigate a switch or have
Speaker 1: to fight through a screen before they get to the
Speaker 1: pick and roll. Little things like that just make it
Speaker 1: a little bit easier. And again, like we talked about
Speaker 1: brute force offense, and yeah, you're right, in a seven
Speaker 1: game series, they're gonna find ways to shut those actions down.
Speaker 1: But this team does very little of that even during
Speaker 1: the regular season. And the problem with that is it
Speaker 1: just makes it harder than it needs to be. And like, again,
Speaker 1: there's nothing wrong with the brute force offense, you guys know,
Speaker 1: I believe in it as a playoff weapon, but have
Speaker 1: that be something that you use as part of a
Speaker 1: bigger picture in the offense. This team, I think needs
Speaker 1: to look to add a little bit more complication to
Speaker 1: what they do offensively. And here's the other thing too.
Speaker 1: Having movement shooters like Quinton Grimes and Dante DiVincenzo. That
Speaker 1: opens up more off ball action. So like if you're
Speaker 1: running pick and roll on the right side of the
Speaker 1: floor and Julius Randall and Jalen Brunson are playing two
Speaker 1: man game to try to get some sort of advantage,
Speaker 1: if your other three shooters are just standing on the
Speaker 1: opposite of the floor I should say two shooters and
Speaker 1: Mitchell Robinson's in the dunker spot, those three defenders don't
Speaker 1: have to be paying attention. They can have a foot
Speaker 1: in the paint and be staring at your two man game.
Speaker 1: But if you're running some sort of interchange, if you
Speaker 1: have Mitchell Robinson and Josh Harder or whoever it is,
Speaker 1: it's on the other side of the floor setting a
Speaker 1: pin down for Quentin Grimes or setting a pin down
Speaker 1: for Dante DiVincenzo, Suddenly those three help defenders have to
Speaker 1: be at least paying attention to what's taking place on
Speaker 1: the week side of the floor. And this has been
Speaker 1: a thing with Tom Thibodeaux forever. He's more of a
Speaker 1: defensive minded coach. He's a pack to paint guy. We're
Speaker 1: gonna talk about that in a minute. He's a very
Speaker 1: traditional approach in that sense. But like at the end
Speaker 1: of the day, like it doesn't have to be this hard.
Speaker 1: This team is capable of being a better offensive team
Speaker 1: than they actually are, and I'd like to see them
Speaker 1: add some more complications to their offense to make that easier.
Speaker 1: Now here's the thing, when we get to the postseason,
Speaker 1: the brute force approach, I do think is capable of
Speaker 1: working to a higher level than it did, And for
Speaker 1: the record, it did work. They upset the Cleveland Cavaliers
Speaker 1: in the first round. That was a very good team
Speaker 1: that they beat. Without home court advantage, right, you had
Speaker 1: a chance in a one possession game at the end
Speaker 1: to push Miami to a Game seven, and in that
Speaker 1: situation you would have had Game seven at home and
Speaker 1: had a pretty good chance to win this series. So
Speaker 1: they were this close to being a conference finals team
Speaker 1: last year. And that was despite the fact that Julius
Speaker 1: Randall was awful, awful, awful seventeen eight and four in
Speaker 1: the postseason. I'm forty nine percent true shooting. He made
Speaker 1: his wide open jump shots. He was ten for twenty
Speaker 1: one on unguarded catch and shoot jump shots. But he
Speaker 1: basically missed everything else. He was sixteen for sixty six
Speaker 1: on all other jump shots. He shot just fifty six
Speaker 1: percent at the rim, which is bad for a big
Speaker 1: forward like him. He was zero for four on hooks
Speaker 1: and floaters. His post up offficiency tanked. He had a
Speaker 1: bad postseason, and I'm not blaming Julius Randall. He had
Speaker 1: an injury. He went into the postseason with an injury
Speaker 1: and was completely out of rhythm. Again, all of you
Speaker 1: guys who have actually played the game know exactly what
Speaker 1: I'm talking about. There is a process that goes from
Speaker 1: being off the court with an injury to being on
Speaker 1: the court as you return. Then there's a process to
Speaker 1: get from there to in rhythm and ready to go.
Speaker 1: If you had an ankle sprain and you were out
Speaker 1: for a week and a half and you've only done
Speaker 1: some light shooting and you go to play, you're not
Speaker 1: gonna be the best version of yourself, not even close.
Speaker 1: You won't be close to the best version of yourself.
Speaker 1: There's a version of you that has command of the game,
Speaker 1: command of your game, and you only get there after
Speaker 1: a couple of weeks of really good rhythm where you
Speaker 1: get great work in every day, you don't get any
Speaker 1: sort of nagging, injury or set back. You have good
Speaker 1: nutrition to build up that to recover from those workouts,
Speaker 1: and over time you build your conditioning. And then when
Speaker 1: you get to that point where conditioning is set and
Speaker 1: your rhythm is set and your jump shot feels good
Speaker 1: and your timing is set, that's when you start to
Speaker 1: play like the best version of yourself. And if Julius
Speaker 1: Randall goes into the postseason with a month straight of
Speaker 1: playing good basketball, maybe he plays better than he did,
Speaker 1: and that literally could have been the difference between them
Speaker 1: being a team that lost in the second round and
Speaker 1: makes a deeper run into the conference finals, or maybe
Speaker 1: has a chance to contend with Boston and potentially make
Speaker 1: it to the finals. I think this Knicks team is
Speaker 1: capable of being very, very good. A couple of complications
Speaker 1: added to their offense, making better use of their off
Speaker 1: ball players and getting to the playoffs with Julius Randall
Speaker 1: and Jalen Brunson healthy could be the difference between this
Speaker 1: team having a chance and them not having a chance.
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about the defensive end of the
Speaker 1: four for a second. So they were nineteenth in defensive
Speaker 1: rating last year twentieth and half court defense according to
Speaker 1: Cleaning the Glass, so not good, slightly above average. And
Speaker 1: transition defense, they were an average transition defense from the
Speaker 1: standpoint of efficiency, but they did a very good job
Speaker 1: of keeping teams out of transition, limiting transition opportunities, so
Speaker 1: I'd call the most slightly above average transition defense. Like
Speaker 1: most to Thibodeau teams, they overly defend the paint. They're
Speaker 1: guarding pick and roll three on two, they're helping out
Speaker 1: of the weak side corner, they're digging down into driving lanes.
Speaker 1: They overprotect the paint. They allowed just forty six point
Speaker 1: three points in the paint per one hundred possessions. That
Speaker 1: was the best mark in the entire NBA, best paint
Speaker 1: defense in the league, yet a bottom twelve defense. You
Speaker 1: can see where this is going, right. Opponents shot just
Speaker 1: sixty three point five percent in the restricted area against
Speaker 1: the Knicks, that was the fourth best mark in the
Speaker 1: entire league. But you can guess what the tradeoff was.
Speaker 1: They gave up thirty seven opponent three point attempts per game,
Speaker 1: that was the fourth most in the entire NBA. Thirteen
Speaker 1: made opponent threes per game that was the fourth most
Speaker 1: in the NBA. And then obviously, when a team allows
Speaker 1: a lot of threes, it allows a lot of long rebounds,
Speaker 1: which can hurt you in rebounding situations. This was the
Speaker 1: second best rebounding team in the league overall, but they
Speaker 1: were only the twelfth best defensive rebounding team, So that
Speaker 1: might be something they want to shift in their approach.
Speaker 1: And it's gonna be hard to convince an older coach
Speaker 1: that's been in the league for a long time, like
Speaker 1: Tom Thibodeau, of this. But the reality is is professional
Speaker 1: basketball players make threes at an extremely high clip now,
Speaker 1: and if you were, you have to as a team
Speaker 1: do a good job in order to be an elite defense.
Speaker 1: You can't just be a good paint defense anymore. It
Speaker 1: used to be that that was enough. That's not enough anymore.
Speaker 1: You have to guard the paint well, and you have
Speaker 1: to guard the three point line well because those are
Speaker 1: the two most efficient shots in basketball. And it used
Speaker 1: to be that the paint was the most efficient shot
Speaker 1: in basketball. Huge gap, then the three, then everything else,
Speaker 1: because there wasn't that much shooting talent in the league. Now,
Speaker 1: shooting talent in the league is so good that you
Speaker 1: could argue defending the three point line is more important
Speaker 1: than defending the paint. You could argue, now, I think
Speaker 1: foundationally you should start with the paint then guard the
Speaker 1: three point line. But in this particular case, like you
Speaker 1: can no longer just concede three point shots. The NBA
Speaker 1: is two good at converting those shots into points, and
Speaker 1: so you're actually better off guarding two man game two
Speaker 1: on two, guarding ISOs and post ups one on one,
Speaker 1: staying closer to shooters and forcing guys into taking into
Speaker 1: making tougher contested shots at the rim, because if you
Speaker 1: can hold them to fifty four percent on a driving
Speaker 1: layup over a contest, that's actually a more efficient shot
Speaker 1: or a better more efficient shot for your defense than
Speaker 1: a kickout three to a guy who's making thirty seven
Speaker 1: percent of them, because that's gonna put you at like
Speaker 1: fifty four percent or whatever in effective field goal percentage.
Speaker 1: So like it, it's a situation now where it's becoming
Speaker 1: a more precarious decision to make. You're actually better off
Speaker 1: in a lot of cases allowing teams to get dribble
Speaker 1: penetration over contests. Then you are giving up catch and
Speaker 1: shoot threes. Now, obviously there's a line there, like if
Speaker 1: you're just getting toasted at the perimeter and you're giving
Speaker 1: up wide open layups, then you have to help because
Speaker 1: now that math equation is shifted too far in the
Speaker 1: other direction. But it may be time for the Knicks
Speaker 1: to potentially change their defensive approach a little bit. But
Speaker 1: it's not just overhelping and protecting the paint. They don't
Speaker 1: have a lot of size and athleticism on the perimeter,
Speaker 1: which hurts their point of attack defense. Like the guy
Speaker 1: they throw out opposing wings, the guy they had guard
Speaker 1: Jimmy Butler for the most part was Quentin Grimes, who is,
Speaker 1: you know, a good player, but a below average wing defender.
Speaker 1: You know, RJ. Barrett is a good defender, but Jalen
Speaker 1: Brunson is average at best in point of attack situations.
Speaker 1: Julius Randall is average at best. And those two guys
Speaker 1: have such a huge offensive low that the not devoting
Speaker 1: a lot of energy there. Right, they don't have a
Speaker 1: classic wing defender on the roster. They don't have a
Speaker 1: Jaden McDaniels. They don't have an Andrew Wiggins or a
Speaker 1: Jared Vanderbilt. They don't have like a six ' eight
Speaker 1: six ' nine long armed freak athlete that they can
Speaker 1: throw at the other team's best perimeter player. That player
Speaker 1: does not exist on this particular roster, and it's a
Speaker 1: real shortcoming of their defense. The Knicks were one of
Speaker 1: the worst pick and roll defenses in the league last year.
Speaker 1: They give up six hundred and twenty seven made shots
Speaker 1: to pick and roll ball handlers, which was the fifth
Speaker 1: most in the entire NBA. And I don't think it's
Speaker 1: Mitchell Robinson's fault. I actually think he's a solid drop
Speaker 1: coverage big I watched a lot of film on him
Speaker 1: this morning. It does a really nice job of showing
Speaker 1: on ball handlers and recovering back to roll men and
Speaker 1: protecting the rim well. I think it's a point of
Speaker 1: attack issue, and so, as I mentioned earlier in the episode,
Speaker 1: I would like to see the Knicks eventually kind of
Speaker 1: balance their roster a little better by moving one or
Speaker 1: two of their guards for some type of forward defender
Speaker 1: that can help them take primary defensive assignments. Little prediction
Speaker 1: on the season, I think if Julius Randall can make
Speaker 1: it to the playoffs healthy and in rhythm. They have
Speaker 1: a legitimate chance to make it to the conference finals,
Speaker 1: and they were pretty close last year already. Like we said,
Speaker 1: I think there's a top tier in the East. I
Speaker 1: think you have Miami, Boston, and Milwaukee. But I think
Speaker 1: the Knicks actually have a lot of potential in that
Speaker 1: second tier to be a team that gets out of
Speaker 1: the Eastern Conference. They have that brute force matchup attacking approach.
Speaker 1: They have that high level defensive capability if they can
Speaker 1: orient their defense properly, you know. And like when I
Speaker 1: look at teams that I have ranked above them in
Speaker 1: this list, like teams like Philly, like they're gonna be
Speaker 1: better regular season team, right, Like they have the better
Speaker 1: player in Joel Embiid, but they get to the postseason
Speaker 1: and they go down in effectiveness because of Embiid's limitations,
Speaker 1: because of James Harden's limitations. Even though I don't think
Speaker 1: James Harden's gonna be there this year when it's all
Speaker 1: said and done, But like that's the thing is, like
Speaker 1: the Knicks are kind of in that unique group of
Speaker 1: teams that actually becomes more dangerous when you get to
Speaker 1: the postseason. And so I actually think they have a
Speaker 1: decent chance to get out of the conference should things
Speaker 1: break right, and I would feel a lot better about
Speaker 1: that if they make a trade for some sort of
Speaker 1: athletic forward at some point during the season. All right,
Speaker 1: let's take a look at the mailbag. So before we
Speaker 1: get to the mailbag, ad one thing. I wanted to
Speaker 1: talk about Grizzlies fans and then complaining about the low ranking.
Speaker 1: So many people like back to back seasons where they
Speaker 1: were a top two seed. How can they be a
Speaker 1: middle of the pack team. We have to differentiate between
Speaker 1: regular seas success and postseason success. We have to figure
Speaker 1: that out. Like, let's look at the rankings. Who we
Speaker 1: had Sacramento, Cleveland, Memphis all win a shit ton of
Speaker 1: regular season games. Then what happened? This happens every year.
Speaker 1: I mean even the in twenty twenty one or twenty
Speaker 1: twenty two, you have this Phoenix Suns team that just
Speaker 1: runs through everybody in the regular season and then loses
Speaker 1: the Dallas in the second round. Right now, like it
Speaker 1: doesn't mean anything anymore for a team to win a
Speaker 1: lot of regular season games. Let's take the Knicks for instance,
Speaker 1: who do you think deserves to be ranked higher A
Speaker 1: Grizzlies team that was a two seed twice and then
Speaker 1: barely beat Minnesota literally could have lost that series if
Speaker 1: it wasn't for Minnesota choking away games in crunch time,
Speaker 1: then losing to Golden State, or losing to the seven
Speaker 1: seed Lakers that everyone took talk shit about and made
Speaker 1: fun of all season, or a Knicks team that went
Speaker 1: and beat the Calves without home court advantage, a very
Speaker 1: very good Calves team, a Calves team that was better
Speaker 1: than a million times better than the Minnesota Timberwolves team
Speaker 1: from two years ago that the Grizzlies beat. The Knicks
Speaker 1: have clearly demonstrated they are a better and more dangerous
Speaker 1: playoff team than the Memphis Grizzlies. They have, And so
Speaker 1: that's the thing. Like, yeah, I'm sorry, guys, but like
Speaker 1: I'm not going to rank teams higher just because they
Speaker 1: want a shit ton of regular season games. That's never
Speaker 1: going to be a thing that determines this list. I'm
Speaker 1: ranking teams based on their playoff potential. And right now,
Speaker 1: a Memphis Grizzlies team with a young, immature point guard,
Speaker 1: you know, a really good two guard who's not an
Speaker 1: All star, a really good rim protector, who's not one
Speaker 1: of the best in the league at it and no forwards.
Speaker 1: I'm not going to pick them over proven playoff teams
Speaker 1: until they demonstrate that. And I don't think they have
Speaker 1: that juice this season. I think they've got to make
Speaker 1: some changes, as we talked about in that video. And
Speaker 1: so again, like, if you're expecting me to rank teams
Speaker 1: highly just because of their regular season record, this isn't
Speaker 1: the show for that. That's not the way that I
Speaker 1: that's not the way that my personal process works. And
Speaker 1: I understand that Grizzlies fans might disagree with me. And look,
Speaker 1: here's the deal, Like maybe they'll go beat everybody and
Speaker 1: win the title this year, but that would be a big,
Speaker 1: you know, move away from what they did in the
Speaker 1: last couple of years. All right, let's talk mail back questions.
Speaker 1: First one from Luke, what are your thoughts on the
Speaker 1: Warriors potentially signing Dwight Howard Assuming they returned the best
Speaker 1: starting five in the league with a bench including CP three,
Speaker 1: Gary Payton and the young guys Dario Sarich and Dwight,
Speaker 1: it feels like they'd check every box that you look
Speaker 1: for in a championship contender. So couple things. I obviously
Speaker 1: covered Dwight very closely with the Lakers in twenty twenty
Speaker 1: and again in twenty twenty two. He was awesome in
Speaker 1: twenty twenty, like legitimately was one of the top five
Speaker 1: players on that team. Only came off the bench as
Speaker 1: like a personality test for him because he had come
Speaker 1: off of a couple of weird seasons in other cities.
Speaker 1: Right with that Lakers team, he consistently brought energy off
Speaker 1: the bench. He was an excellent drop coverage defender in
Speaker 1: their system. He had great pick and roll chemistry with Lebron.
Speaker 1: He played hard all the time. He had great energy,
Speaker 1: He was a great leader in the locker room. He
Speaker 1: was a weapon to guard Nikole Yolkis when they got
Speaker 1: to the postseason. Dwight was great, but I covered him
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty two as well, and he had aged
Speaker 1: a lot in that two year span. And basically what
Speaker 1: twenty twenty two was like was it dependent on the
Speaker 1: year or on the game. Like one game he'd go
Speaker 1: out and he'd look like the Dwight from the championship
Speaker 1: season and he'd be incredibly impactful. But then he'd go
Speaker 1: out two nights later and be destructive because he wasn't
Speaker 1: moving well and he didn't have that pop, and him
Speaker 1: being a step slow was hurting him on defense, and
Speaker 1: he wasn't finishing around the rim like he needed to,
Speaker 1: and it was kind of like really up and down.
Speaker 1: That was twenty twenty two. Now we're going into the
Speaker 1: twenty twenty four season, so we're an additional two years
Speaker 1: down the line. So like, here's the thing. Maybe twenty
Speaker 1: twenty two he was dealing with some injuries that were unusual,
Speaker 1: and maybe he comes in and he's super healthy and
Speaker 1: he recaptures some of that twenty twenty magic. But in
Speaker 1: my opinion, the more likely scenario is that it's a
Speaker 1: more volatile version of twenty twenty two. Maybe he's good
Speaker 1: one out of every three games now. But here's the thing.
Speaker 1: They with the way that they're oriented with Kevon Looney
Speaker 1: and Draymond Green, maybe they only need him one every
Speaker 1: three nights, and maybe Steve Kirk can limit his minutes
Speaker 1: and use him in really short bursts, and maybe it works.
Speaker 1: It's a fine pickup because there's just not anybody markedly
Speaker 1: better out there. But I don't think like I want
Speaker 1: to caution Warriors fans against thinking that they're getting twenty
Speaker 1: twenty Dwight because they just probably aren't. And I've seen
Speaker 1: what it looked like in years since as someone who
Speaker 1: rooted for him closely, and I like Dwight, but I
Speaker 1: just don't think he's going to be a major needle
Speaker 1: mover for the Warriors. Now, as for the Warrior, this
Speaker 1: Warrior's roster, and we're gonna talk about it in a
Speaker 1: lot more detail when we get there, but the short
Speaker 1: version is I think that they're a better playoff team.
Speaker 1: Obviously bringing in Chris Paul is a more reliable playoff player,
Speaker 1: getting the Jordan Poole situation out of the locker room,
Speaker 1: a couple smart veteran signing guys like Dario Sarch right,
Speaker 1: you know, Moses Moody and Johnathan Kaminga getting a year older.
Speaker 1: But some of the core problems remain. Jonathan Kaminga is
Speaker 1: still gonna be really concerned about his playing time all season,
Speaker 1: and so you're you're lying to yourself if you're pretending
Speaker 1: there's not going to be any drama in the locker
Speaker 1: room this season, right, You're still incredibly small on the perimeter.
Speaker 1: This is a team that the reporting says is going
Speaker 1: to start Chris Paul. If you start Chris Paul, Steph Curry,
Speaker 1: Klay Thompson, Andrew Wiggins, and Draymond Green, you are probably
Speaker 1: the smallest starting lineup in the entire NBA, and that
Speaker 1: is going to hurt them in a lot of situations.
Speaker 1: I actually expect this Warriors team to struggle in the
Speaker 1: regular season in similar ways do they have in years past.
Speaker 1: I don't see this as a top three seed. I
Speaker 1: see this as maybe a little better than last year,
Speaker 1: but probably in the five to six range, and they
Speaker 1: were a six seed last year, so but I expect
Speaker 1: them to be a more dangerous playoff team. So I
Speaker 1: like the moves they've made, but unless if they dramatically
Speaker 1: increase their size in athleticism, which they did not, I
Speaker 1: don't see them running through the regular season the way
Speaker 1: they did in years past. And again, just like we
Speaker 1: talked about the gap between twenty twenty and twenty twenty
Speaker 1: two for Dwight Howard, there's gonna be a gap between
Speaker 1: twenty twenty two and twenty twenty four for some of
Speaker 1: these veteran players that they have on the roster. Now.
Speaker 1: I think one of the big swing factors. There could
Speaker 1: be Klay Thompson. There's a lot of intel. Zach Lowe
Speaker 1: reported yesterday that Klay Thompson's having a great offseason. He
Speaker 1: did not have a great offseason last year, came into
Speaker 1: the camp out of shape. In general, I think he's
Speaker 1: highly motivated after getting out played by Austin Reeves in
Speaker 1: that Lakers series. So maybe Klay Thompson comes back and
Speaker 1: has this crazy throwback season and that influx of talent
Speaker 1: shifts things a little bit. But here's the thing. Why
Speaker 1: did the Warriors lose last year a lot in the
Speaker 1: regular season on the road because they didn't defend and
Speaker 1: rebound defense and rebounding comes down to size and athleticism.
Speaker 1: That's the key weakness on this rock and they did
Speaker 1: not fix that. So I don't see this as a
Speaker 1: regular season juggernaut. I see this as a long as
Speaker 1: like a playoff puncher's chance team essentially. But we'll talk
Speaker 1: more about the Warriors when we get to them down
Speaker 1: the line. Next question from Kleb Theoretically, with enough work,
Speaker 1: could any NBA player become a star if perhaps just
Speaker 1: in another system. This is an interesting question. So I
Speaker 1: think that obviously every player has like a range of outcomes, right,
Speaker 1: like their floor versus their ceiling. Right, But I think
Speaker 1: the ceiling is limited for players who are non stars
Speaker 1: versus players that are stars. And what allows players to
Speaker 1: push to that next level and potentially become a star.
Speaker 1: I put down three things. One a true love of
Speaker 1: the game. I think in order to put in the
Speaker 1: requisite amount of work, you have to love basketball at
Speaker 1: a level that is different than other players. And for
Speaker 1: the record, and many NBA players have said this, not
Speaker 1: every NBA player loves basketball to this same extent that
Speaker 1: the guys at the top of the league do. You
Speaker 1: have to always be wanting to play basketball to be
Speaker 1: motivated to put in that necessary work. So that's step
Speaker 1: one too. A hatred of losing. This is that competitiveness piece.
Speaker 1: There's a difference between becoming the most skilled basketball player
Speaker 1: you can be and building out a list of call
Speaker 1: them habits. But the willingness to do the dirty work,
Speaker 1: which comes down to not a love of basketball but
Speaker 1: a competitive thing. That's a hatred of losing. These playoff
Speaker 1: games are rock fights, and guys have to get their
Speaker 1: hands dirty, and so I think that's a big part
Speaker 1: of it. And then Lastly, I put audacity. So there
Speaker 1: are a lot of players that have skill, but they
Speaker 1: don't have the crazy confidence that a rational confidence. I
Speaker 1: love the word audacity because it's like it's like I
Speaker 1: imagine being on the floor with nine other NBA players
Speaker 1: and taking a step back three, like, do you confident
Speaker 1: you have to be in your ability to look off
Speaker 1: four other players and attack a set NBA defense by
Speaker 1: taking a tough shot. Like, it's not just a skill piece,
Speaker 1: there's an audacity to it. You need guys who are
Speaker 1: crazy enough to take the big shots, and that that
Speaker 1: to me, is a difference for the stars. And there's
Speaker 1: a lot of players that come up in the game
Speaker 1: of basketball that just are a little too like Meek, right,
Speaker 1: They're just a little too like willing to play in
Speaker 1: the background, right, And I think that that's an important
Speaker 1: part as well. So like even some of the most
Speaker 1: talented players of all time talented, you know, many of
Speaker 1: them are lacking that audacity piece and it limits them
Speaker 1: from their ultimate potential in the long run. But yeah,
Speaker 1: like you've got to be certain, you have to love
Speaker 1: the game, you have to hate losing, and you've got
Speaker 1: to have a certain amount of irrational confidence. I think
Speaker 1: those are the three pieces that separates stars in terms
Speaker 1: of their high end potential from the guys that don't
Speaker 1: ever get to that level. Last mail back question, Hey Jason,
Speaker 1: do you play any video games at all? And if
Speaker 1: you do, which is your favorite? So nowhere near as
Speaker 1: much as I used to. I did just buy a
Speaker 1: PS five a few months ago for the Jedi Survivor game.
Speaker 1: Many of you guys know I'm a diehard Star Wars fan.
Speaker 1: I will play just about any Star Wars game that
Speaker 1: comes out. I also I really enjoyed I've just in
Speaker 1: general been a big fan of sci fi and kind
Speaker 1: of like big picture of fantasy type stuff. So like,
Speaker 1: I really enjoyed the Mass Effect series. I really enjoyed
Speaker 1: the God of War games. Although I haven't played the
Speaker 1: new one yet, that's kind of on my to do list.
Speaker 1: My favorite video game that I've ever played is Breath
Speaker 1: of the Wild, and I did just get Tears of
Speaker 1: the Kingdom. I just haven't actually gotten around of playing
Speaker 1: it yet. I think when we get into the season
Speaker 1: and I start working more at night, I will have
Speaker 1: some more time to do that. But the truth is is,
Speaker 1: like as I've gotten older, Like my schedule's just gotten
Speaker 1: more full. We talked about this when we did that
Speaker 1: ad for Factor when we were talking about food. But
Speaker 1: like I between, like your your your family, your wife's family,
Speaker 1: your friends, your wife's friends, the friends you made together,
Speaker 1: like all of all of a sudden, your friends start
Speaker 1: having kids. Then your brothers and sisters start having kids.
Speaker 1: You know, I'm a I'm an uncle to like got
Speaker 1: how many now, like like five or six nieces and
Speaker 1: nephews like it? Just then they all have birthday parties.
Speaker 1: And then all your friends have kids, and then they
Speaker 1: all have birthday parties. Like you know, my buddy Luke,
Speaker 1: who I do the Two Sons podcast with the Star
Speaker 1: Wars podcast, Like, now he has a kid, you know,
Speaker 1: like we're and what ends up happening is your social
Speaker 1: calendar gets full. Now I coach basketball too, so like
Speaker 1: twice a week I do workouts with a high school
Speaker 1: team here in town. I play obviously a lot, and
Speaker 1: then I have this job and all the time that
Speaker 1: that takes. And so you suddenly like don't have a
Speaker 1: lot of time to sit down and pick up a
Speaker 1: controller and play. You know, I'm sure most of you
Speaker 1: guys who are closer to my age are are fully
Speaker 1: aware of what I'm talking about. And then like you have,
Speaker 1: like my wife and I have a house and we're
Speaker 1: remodeling now, we're remodeling our master suite, so there's a
Speaker 1: lot of work involved with that. So I just haven't
Speaker 1: had the time that I like to have for that
Speaker 1: sort of thing, but maybe that'll change in the long run.
Speaker 1: And I do enjoy playing video games. A couple other
Speaker 1: ones that I really like. I've always enjoyed the Fallout games.
Speaker 1: If they ever make a sequel to that, i'd like
Speaker 1: to play them. Never was big into sports games unfortunately,
Speaker 1: So yeah, Like if you're wondering if I play NBA
Speaker 1: two K, the answer is no, and you'd probably kick
Speaker 1: my ass if we tried. I used to when I
Speaker 1: was younger, but not much anymore. But we'll see. Hopefully
Speaker 1: i'll play some more when we get into the season,
Speaker 1: because I want to play through Tiers of the Kingdom.
Speaker 1: And then I kind of ripped through Jedi Survivor and
Speaker 1: I want to play it again on a higher difficulty
Speaker 1: because I just basically went through the story mode so
Speaker 1: I could kind of figure out the story, which was great,
Speaker 1: all right, guys, that is all I have for today.
Speaker 1: We'll be back tomorrow with number thirteen and some more
Speaker 1: mailbag questions. Don't forget to drop those in the YouTube
Speaker 1: count comments. As always, I appreciate you guys, and I'll
Speaker 1: see you next time. The volume