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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Sunday morning edition of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Paralt at Sports

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Speaker 2: Talk met on Twitter to follow me at Betting Pros

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Speaker 2: to follow Betting Pros on Twitter. We are here across

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Speaker 2: every audio platform on Betting pros dot com or YouTube

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Speaker 2: for the video by searching Betting Pros. This is always

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Speaker 2: being brought to you by BETMGM. You guys have the

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Speaker 2: offer new users ten dollars bet gets you one hundred

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Speaker 2: and fifty dollars on any event. Use that promo code

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Speaker 2: Juice one fifty when you set up for a new

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Speaker 2: account at BETMGM or betemgm dot com.

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Speaker 1: Look, last night sucked. There's no other way around that.

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Speaker 2: And sometimes you just have one of those days where

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Speaker 2: you're on the wrong side of a ton of bets

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Speaker 2: and you know, we hit a six twenty plus six

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Speaker 2: to twenty parlay one day, and then we go over

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Speaker 2: on all the big one unit plays and half unit

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Speaker 2: plays when two and four two and two rather two

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Speaker 2: out of four on the prop bets, but we get

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Speaker 2: the Titans wrong, Ryan Tannehillman, I mean Joe Burrow, I'm sorry.

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Speaker 1: I shouldn't have doubted you. That's my bad.

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Speaker 2: Shouldn't done it, Joe Burrow, but did, and we lost

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Speaker 2: that game and then came in with the Packers. I

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Speaker 2: thought there was no way in hell the Packers were

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Speaker 2: going to lose that game to the Niners. Just I mean,

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Speaker 2: I gave myself a little insurance by teasing both the

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Speaker 2: Niners and the Bengals up. So I had that teaser going,

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Speaker 2: which saved me a little bit on the bankroll side

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Speaker 2: of things, But you could have bet. I talked about

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Speaker 2: this on the on the on the Discord channel a

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Speaker 2: little bit, saying, hey, if you want to parlay Niners

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Speaker 2: Bengals money line, it was plus six eighty four plus

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Speaker 2: six eighty four on that. I mean, that's just one

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Speaker 2: of those beautiful The folks at MGM were talking publicly

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Speaker 2: to different writers saying that that was as bad as

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Speaker 2: good of a day as they can remember.

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Speaker 1: It wiped out everything.

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Speaker 2: All all teasers got wiped out, including mine, all moneyline

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Speaker 2: in parlay, it's got wiped out. I mean, everyone got

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Speaker 2: cleaned out. The books just torched the public with that,

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Speaker 2: and man, it was crazy, just an absolute crazy, crazy crazy.

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Speaker 1: Now they took it on the chin with the Ngano win.

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Speaker 2: But if you had told me that Francis and Ghana

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Speaker 2: was gonna win a fight after losing the first two

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Speaker 2: rounds and then win with grappling and win it by

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Speaker 2: basically taking down Cereal Gone and laying on him for

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Speaker 2: five minutes, I mean that was amazing. Ground control is

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Speaker 2: ground control. It is part of judging in the UFC.

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Speaker 2: But I didn't see that coming. I thought there was

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Speaker 2: no way if you told me before the fight, hey,

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Speaker 2: and Ghana was gonna win the fight by going in

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Speaker 2: the distance, please, and he's gonna win it with grappling

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Speaker 2: exchanges like what? Unbelievable, totally shocking. I thought Brandon Moreno

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Speaker 2: won the fight against Figuredo. It was a coin flip.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I thought it was three to two. But

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Speaker 2: I'm not mad I think. I mean, I'm mad at

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Speaker 2: the one judge who saw at four rounds to one though.

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Speaker 2: That's a joke, and I'm shocked it was a unanimous decision.

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Speaker 2: That's a joke, but I'm not. I'm not really overly

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Speaker 2: angry that Figaredo won that fight. I thought Moreno was

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Speaker 2: in it, but the more significant damaging strikes were landed

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Speaker 2: by Figaredo.

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Speaker 1: And the judges clearly.

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Speaker 2: And this is why judges suck, and judging in any sport,

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Speaker 2: judges suck, from skateboarding to boxing. It doesn't matter. Judges suck.

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Speaker 2: So what do they look like, what do they look at?

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Speaker 2: What do they value? You never know, there's no It's

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Speaker 2: why I'm a big proponent of a live scoring system

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Speaker 2: for boxing. In for MMA, I think the fighters in

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Speaker 2: the public should know who won what round before the

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Speaker 2: round starts.

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Speaker 1: I think there shouldn't be guessing.

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Speaker 2: I think we should know what the score is like

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Speaker 2: any other competition, like what's the score going into the

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Speaker 2: fifth round?

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Speaker 1: What's the score?

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Speaker 2: We should know this, and we don't in combat sports,

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Speaker 2: or in really anything, in any boxing match or any

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Speaker 2: combat sport, we don't know. And I think that's just

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Speaker 2: that's unfortunate. So but again I'm not overly mad that

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Speaker 2: Figuredo one. I would have given it to Marino three

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Speaker 2: to two, but easily three to two the other way around.

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Speaker 2: Not crazy. So we get the Joe Burrow and the

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Speaker 2: Jamar Chase stack, right, we get ninety yards out of

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Speaker 2: DeVante Adams ninety We need over ninety one and a half.

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Speaker 2: So we lose that by two yards. That stinks and

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Speaker 2: then under for Aaron Rodgers, who now is out. Aaron

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Speaker 2: Rodgers lost another game to the team. He said on

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Speaker 2: draft night he would make them pay for passing on him.

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Speaker 2: Zero to four in the playoffs for Aaron Rodgers with

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Speaker 2: the Green Bay Packers three years in a row, they

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Speaker 2: had everything lined up. Matt Lafleoor. We start to now

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Speaker 2: and this is when we start asking questions about Matt Lafleur.

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Speaker 2: Right back to back NFC Championship game losses back to back.

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Speaker 1: Or really what three right? Three in a row?

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Speaker 2: Losses at home two of them when you're the one

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Speaker 2: seed and you lose at home using that lambeau Field,

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Speaker 2: cold and snow warm weather team Garoppolo gave the game

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Speaker 2: to the Packers like he was like I don't want it,

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Speaker 2: you take it. And the Packers after that first touchdown drive,

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Speaker 2: just first drive of the game, everything went sideways, just crazy.

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Speaker 1: Everything went sideways.

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Speaker 2: So bad day, got crushed down three and a half

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Speaker 2: or so units on the day. Yuck, not good. I

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Speaker 2: mean we had a couple, I had a couple of

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Speaker 2: personal bets. The Bruins came in for us on another

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Speaker 2: first period over, we got that right today, I got

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Speaker 2: that teaser for the Bengals and the Niners got that

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Speaker 2: that saved a banker a little bit. But yeah, just

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Speaker 2: a pretty bad day. Officially, down three and a half units.

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Speaker 2: I think I wounded up. I wound up down personally

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Speaker 2: overall on the whole car. Down three units today, So

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Speaker 2: not good. Now, last year in the playoffs, I got

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Speaker 2: my lunch handed to me. Okay, So this is where

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Speaker 2: I'm a little bit aired and skittish about what's about

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Speaker 2: to happen here today.

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Speaker 1: Okay, So let me tell you.

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Speaker 2: I'll give you two plays that are one unit, and

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Speaker 2: then I'll tell you about the personal play that I'm

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Speaker 2: making as well that I'm not as confident on, but

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna give it to you anyway. Just tell you

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Speaker 2: what I'm betting. Okay, on the Discord channel. Well, first,

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Speaker 2: let me tell you about the live stream. Live stream

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Speaker 2: will happen coming up at eight o'clock in the morning Pacific,

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Speaker 2: eleven am Eastern.

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Speaker 1: Four prop bets.

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Speaker 2: Going on that live stream with me, no, no nobody else,

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Speaker 2: just me. We'll go twenty thirty minutes. We'll do it

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Speaker 2: like we did last week, and we'll go through all

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Speaker 2: the games and where the money is going, and where

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Speaker 2: the line movements are coming, and do we want to

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Speaker 2: make a teaser bet or anything like that.

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Speaker 1: So we'll get into that.

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Speaker 2: I told you in the Discord channel that we have

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Speaker 2: the Rams plus four, sorry, plus nine and under fifty

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Speaker 2: four for the Rams and the the Bucks. And to

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Speaker 2: be honest, you know, Rams might win the game out right,

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Speaker 2: given what happened yesterday. All though, maybe the favorites rule right,

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Speaker 2: maybe it's gonna be a blowout and the Rams to

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Speaker 2: get killed. I don't see it. I think tomorrow could

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Speaker 2: be the last game for Tom Brady. I've been talking

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Speaker 2: about this all week that this feels like this could

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Speaker 2: be the spot where Brady walks. And there are so

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Speaker 2: many injuries on that team, and we'll watch those offensive

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Speaker 2: linemen where the Tristan Wurfs is he gonna play? He's

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Speaker 2: literally a game time decision. But no Godwin, no Antonio Brown,

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Speaker 2: no running back help really to speak of. Really a

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Speaker 2: tough ask for that Bucks team going up against a

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Speaker 2: really hungry Rams team. If Matthew Stafford plays like Ryan Tannehill, though, yeah,

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Speaker 2: we could be right back having the Bucks in the

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Speaker 2: NFC Championship game. But the winner of that game is

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Speaker 2: going to host the NFC Championship game. So it's either

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Speaker 2: Rams where the Rams will be playing for the right

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Speaker 2: to stay home. How about that Rams could play the

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Speaker 2: NFC Championship game and the Super Bowl the next two

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Speaker 2: games could be in their home stadium. That's something else

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Speaker 2: that really would be crazy if that were to happen.

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Speaker 2: But it's looking like a dog type weekend. But I

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Speaker 2: have that teaser plus nine under fifty four from plus

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Speaker 2: three up I gave you on the Discord channel before

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Speaker 2: the line moved to minus two and a half. So

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Speaker 2: the line's moved back up to three. I think that

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Speaker 2: it's gone back up at the last look, that's where

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Speaker 2: the line did end up going back up. So let

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Speaker 2: me just quickly peruse a quick line just to see

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Speaker 2: where we are with that, because I do think that

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Speaker 2: that's Let me see here, where are we with the

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Speaker 2: odds in the game. We are back up to three. Yeah, okay,

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Speaker 2: so money came in on Tampa here it's minus three.

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Speaker 2: Must mean that Tristan Worth's gonna play. That must be

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Speaker 2: people hearing that Worfs is gonna play. So minus three

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Speaker 2: at Vandal's got one oh four Rams at plus three,

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Speaker 2: it's still mass one and a half for the Casey Chiefs,

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Speaker 2: so I'm taking that up to nine. Forty eight and

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Speaker 2: a half is the total. So you now could tease

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Speaker 2: up to fifty four and a half. Don't mind that either.

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Speaker 2: But my play was plus nine under fifty four, and

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Speaker 2: I have fifty four here for Rams and the Bucks

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Speaker 2: in game one for one unit second play.

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Speaker 1: I've been talking about this all week.

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Speaker 2: Look, I think the home teams, even though the Packers

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Speaker 2: and the Titans both lost yesterday, I thought the home

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Speaker 2: teams would rule. I can't see Rams and Bills both

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Speaker 2: winning if the road teams win all four games, Are

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Speaker 2: you kidding me? That would be absolutely insanity if that

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Speaker 2: were to happen. I'm taking the Chiefs. I'm laying the

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Speaker 2: one and a half points here. With Kansas City at home,

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Speaker 2: I think they didn't care that much in the first meeting.

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Speaker 2: It was revenge for the postseason last year. I got

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Speaker 2: Patrick Mahomes at home Chili but not too cold Arrowhead Stadium,

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Speaker 2: and I think this is a chance for this offense

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Speaker 2: to really go to work. I think Trey White being

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Speaker 2: gone for the Bills. It finally rears its head up here,

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Speaker 2: and I finally think this Bill secondary gets torched. I

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Speaker 2: think Patrick Mahomes is a big day throwing the football.

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Speaker 2: Kind of tip my hand on the prop bets, but

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Speaker 2: I think Patrick Mahomes throws the ball a lot here,

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Speaker 2: and I I think that he spreads the ball around.

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Speaker 2: I think he has a lot of completions. I'm not

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Speaker 2: expecting to run the ball all that much. And I

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Speaker 2: think that Josh Allen will have success. I think Josh

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Speaker 2: Allen and the Bills will score. And I like I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna have a personal play on the over. I like

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Speaker 2: the over fifty four, but the official play for the

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Speaker 2: Deli Juice is one unit on Kansas City minus one

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Speaker 2: and a half here to advance to the AFC Championship Game.

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Speaker 2: Those are the two bets Mis one twenty in Mis

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Speaker 2: one ten. You can fade those. I'm not gonna get mad.

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Speaker 2: I won't be angry. Like I mentioned, I got killed

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Speaker 2: last year in the postseason and wild Card weekend went okay.

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Speaker 2: Divisional round last year didn't go well for me. The

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Speaker 2: championship games didn't go well for me, and then I

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Speaker 2: went eight to zero in the Super Bowl. So I mean,

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Speaker 2: I don't know, we'll see how it all kind of goes.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, not feeling too great about my bets and

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Speaker 2: my picks.

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Speaker 1: Here where I am. So if you're a Bills.

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Speaker 2: Fan, you may be happy that I'm on the Chiefs

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Speaker 2: because that may be a good thing for you. You

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Speaker 2: may be to the AFT Championship game. Given where I've

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Speaker 2: been and how you know, these games are tough. It's

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Speaker 2: really really tough to bet these games. There's so much data.

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Speaker 2: There's so many games that come down to one or

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Speaker 2: two plays, and that's pretty much where it's going to

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Speaker 2: be here, I think for the Bucks and the Rams.

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Speaker 2: But that's why I'm taking the Rams up to plus nine.

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Speaker 2: But can the Bucks win by ten? Absolutely, Bucks win

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Speaker 2: by ten and cancel everything out? Absolutely, very very possible.

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Speaker 2: But or the game is super high scoring, back and

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Speaker 2: forth battle in Tampa, up and down.

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Speaker 1: You know, I don't know, we'll.

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Speaker 2: See, but I'm going under fifty four for this one, Okay.

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Speaker 2: So I will talk to you guys for the live

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Speaker 2: stream coming up here on Bettingpros dot com on the

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Speaker 2: YouTube channel. I'll give you four player props like I

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Speaker 2: always do, coming up for that, so we'll have one

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Speaker 2: more full unit in play coming up here with prop bets,

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Speaker 2: and then we'll see if there's a teaser or something

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Speaker 2: else we want to jump in on. Potentially later on

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Speaker 2: today if there's something else we want to play, But

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Speaker 2: for right now, I'm only planning and having three units

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Speaker 2: in play for the day.

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Speaker 1: Not going to go in your basketball and not going

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Speaker 1: to go go in your hockey.

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Speaker 2: I'm just going to kind of hopefully try to have

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Speaker 2: a decent small card in an okay day for us,

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Speaker 2: kind of have a bounce back. It's been backed up

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Speaker 2: a week. Right, bad day, good day, bad day, good day,

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Speaker 2: bad day, good day, yesterday, bad day. Are we due

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Speaker 2: to have a good day? The trends would say yes,

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Speaker 2: let's hope that that happens. Minus Matt Parogic can follow

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Speaker 2: me on Twitter at sports Doc Matt each day morning

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Speaker 2: It's Deally just podcast.

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Speaker 1: I was being brought to you by BETEMGM