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Speaker 1: The Volume. All right, welcome to Hoops to Night. Here

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Speaker 1: at the Volume, Happy Thursday, everybody. Coverage of the NBA

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Speaker 1: Finals Here Hoops Tonight is brought to you by Chase

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Speaker 1: Freedom Unlimited. How do you cash back? All right? So

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Speaker 1: the Denver Nuggets go up to one on the Miami Heat.

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Speaker 1: We broke it down on a more like instant reaction

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Speaker 1: type of format with Colin Cowhard last night. In case

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Speaker 1: you guys missed it, you can find that a little

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Speaker 1: bit further back on the YouTube feed. Today we're diving

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Speaker 1: into the film watch it all this morning, dug into

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Speaker 1: the numbers, have a bunch of stuff to go over

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Speaker 1: with you guys. You guys know the joke before we

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Speaker 1: get started. Subscribe to the Volumes YouTube channels. You don't

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Speaker 1: miss any more of our videos. Follow me on Twitter

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Speaker 1: at Underscore Jason lt so you guys don't miss any

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Speaker 1: show announcements. And if, for whatever reason, you guys miss

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Speaker 1: one of these videos and you can't get back over

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Speaker 1: to YouTube to finish, don't forget. You can find them

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Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcasts under Hoops Tonight and last

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Speaker 1: lowest price guaranteed. All right, talk some basketball, So a

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Speaker 1: bunch of stuff that I want to hit from last

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Speaker 1: night's game. You know, it's funny. We talked about how

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Speaker 1: the two things that Miami had done to kind of

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Speaker 1: disrupt my Denver's offense was Jimmy Butler on Jamal Murray

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Speaker 1: and bam on Nikol Jokic kind of credibly guarding the

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Speaker 1: Jokic Murray two man game two on two, which was

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Speaker 1: allowing them to stay home off the ball and then

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Speaker 1: some of the success that their own defense had. And

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Speaker 1: one of the many counters that I had put out

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Speaker 1: there was like, hey, try to run more dribble handoffs

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Speaker 1: in action with maybe some off ball action like wide

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Speaker 1: pin downs for KCP and Michael Porter Junior, to try

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Speaker 1: to get them into a rhythm more in game three

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Speaker 1: so that they're more available to you to make big

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Speaker 1: shots when it matters. And that was the exact opposite

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Speaker 1: of what Denver did. They leaned entirely into the Murray

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Speaker 1: Jokic two man game, which ended up being a smart decision.

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Speaker 1: You saw it, like KCP and Michael Porter Junior both

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Speaker 1: played way better than they did in Game two, particularly

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Speaker 1: on the defensive end of the floor. I thought Michael

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Speaker 1: Porter Junior actually had a really good game. I was

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Speaker 1: talking with liv Liv Moods are resident Nuggets fan here

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Speaker 1: at the volume in a show two days ago, and

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Speaker 1: she was like, over under MPG game three fourteen points,

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Speaker 1: and I said, under, but I expected him to play

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Speaker 1: way better. And I said, it's because I don't really

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Speaker 1: expect as part of the scheme for him to get

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Speaker 1: a ton of points. But he is a six to

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Speaker 1: ten athlete and he's got to make plays on the

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Speaker 1: defensive end of the floor. And those guys were much better.

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Speaker 1: But it was the two main game for Denver that

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Speaker 1: they just leaned one hundred percent into on the offensive

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Speaker 1: end of the floor. And it was working in large

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Speaker 1: part because Jimmy Butler in particular wasn't as good as

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Speaker 1: he was in game two. In Game two, Jimmy Butler's

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Speaker 1: back pressure was hillatious. He was right on Jamal's backside

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Speaker 1: the entire game. It's a couple of different things, like

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Speaker 1: Jokicic not doing quite as good of a job screening

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Speaker 1: as he did in Game three, Jimmy just being more

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Speaker 1: locked in defensively. He was clearly a step slow last night,

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Speaker 1: and Jamal just made him pay for it. To give

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Speaker 1: you an idea, there were only five possessions in game

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Speaker 1: where Jamal Murray was able to either get a shot

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Speaker 1: off in pick and roll or make a pass to

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Speaker 1: a guy who was able to get a shot off.

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Speaker 1: Only five in the entire game. He had six in

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Speaker 1: just the first quarter of Game three, fourteen total in

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Speaker 1: the game. So he was able to shake free of

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Speaker 1: Jimmy Butler far more frequently in this particular game than

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Speaker 1: he was in Game two. And this is like where

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Speaker 1: that unguardability concept comes in. Jamal kind of provides that

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Speaker 1: unique combination of pull up jump shooting that forces you

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Speaker 1: to stay attached chasing over the top. And he's kind

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Speaker 1: of an underrated rim attacker. He's got a good amount

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Speaker 1: of size in athleticism, He's got a great floater, he

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Speaker 1: can finish around the rim with either hand. He just

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Speaker 1: flat out for the record, has played at a superstar

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Speaker 1: level in this entire postseason through the playoffs so far

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Speaker 1: to this point, twenty seven six and seven on sixty

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Speaker 1: percent true shooting in the finals, twenty six, seven and

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Speaker 1: ten on sixty one percent true shooting. That's tennisis per game.

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Speaker 1: That's thirty assists. He's leading the series for both teams,

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Speaker 1: including Jokic in assists. He's having an amazing playmaking postseason.

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Speaker 1: Seven assists per game in an entire postseason tennisis per

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Speaker 1: game in a finals. That's really impressive playmaking from Jamal Murray. That,

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Speaker 1: in combination with everything we said last night about Nicolea

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Speaker 1: Jokic being the master of size, leverage, shot making and

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Speaker 1: playmaking together makes that action extremely difficult to guard. And

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Speaker 1: if you guard that two on two, you have to

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Speaker 1: be nearly perfect in your defensive execution, and Miami just

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Speaker 1: wasn't as sharp as they were, And like it's hard,

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Speaker 1: I get it. They're an extremely difficult team to guard.

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Speaker 1: I mean, they can even go to a pick and

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Speaker 1: pop type of thing with Nikola Jokic and he's shooting

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Speaker 1: damn near fifty percent from three in this playoff run.

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Speaker 1: So I'm not sitting here acting like it's just like, hey,

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Speaker 1: go do your job and it'll work. But we've seen

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Speaker 1: in game two that Miami has been better at guarding

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Speaker 1: this action than they were in Game three. A couple

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Speaker 1: of things i'd like to see again. Jimmy just has

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Speaker 1: to do a better job chasing. But i'd like to

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Speaker 1: see the mix in some switching, particularly in late clock situations.

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Speaker 1: So if you run a switch and there's fourteen seconds

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Speaker 1: on the shot clock, they have plenty of time to

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Speaker 1: target you in a post up. But if they run

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Speaker 1: a two man game because you dissuade the first one

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Speaker 1: and they turn around and run it again and there's

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Speaker 1: only seven seconds on the shot clock, you can get

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Speaker 1: away with a switch there, because it's just gonna be

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Speaker 1: really hard if they come off the action seven six, five, Okay,

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Speaker 1: you identify it's a switch, You dribble back out four.

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Speaker 1: Now he's posting up. You throw it to him. He

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Speaker 1: has to turn and shoot right away to get a

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Speaker 1: decent look, which allows your defender to not have to

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Speaker 1: worry about pivots and fakes and things along those lines

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Speaker 1: from Nikole Jokis. So i'd like to see them mix

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Speaker 1: in some switching in late clock situations. I liked how

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Speaker 1: they brought out the blitz a little bit too. I'd

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Speaker 1: like to see them use that specifically, just not like

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Speaker 1: repping at every single possession, but just randomly because there

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Speaker 1: were possessions where Jamal was caught off guard by it

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Speaker 1: and he just started retreating out to half court because

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Speaker 1: he didn't know what to do. And then there were

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Speaker 1: possessions where Jamal made the read quickly and got that

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Speaker 1: drop off pass and started that four on three and

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Speaker 1: Denver got good looks. So the timing of the blitz

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Speaker 1: I think has to be very careful, if that makes sense.

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Speaker 1: But I do think Miami's capable of doing a much

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Speaker 1: better job in that two man game than they did

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Speaker 1: in Game one. Denver's defense, like I said at the

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Speaker 1: beginning of the show last night with Colin, they cut

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Speaker 1: it off in the YouTube one, but we talked about

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Speaker 1: it on AMP for those of you guys who listened

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Speaker 1: to it there. But I thought Denver's defense was by

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Speaker 1: far the biggest element to their win last night and

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Speaker 1: on tape, and just everything was better. Just the execution

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Speaker 1: was better. They're over the top, pursuit on guards was better.

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Speaker 1: Their rotations were better, especially on pick and roll situations

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Speaker 1: with bam Adebayo. To give you an idea look at

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Speaker 1: these numbers. In pick and roll, Miami scored one point

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Speaker 1: four to seven points per possession in game two down

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Speaker 1: to zero point eight to one points per possession in

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Speaker 1: game three. That's almost half so so so so much better.

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Speaker 1: Rollman possessions two point one to three points per possession

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Speaker 1: in game two, one point per possession in game three.

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Speaker 1: That's less than half. Spot up situations Miami one point

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Speaker 1: sixty seven points per possession in game two, way too

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Speaker 1: many comfortable in rhythm catch and shoot shots for good shooters.

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Speaker 1: In game two they limited those a little bit. In

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Speaker 1: game three they were down to one point zero eight

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Speaker 1: points per possession. I talked about this a lot with

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Speaker 1: Live in the show that we did two days ago.

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Speaker 1: But like, again, to me, there is luck in any

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Speaker 1: one shot, right, Like if I have a catch and

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Speaker 1: shoot jumper on the move, I might you know, a

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Speaker 1: good NBA shooter in a game, if it's a good

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Speaker 1: look from three, he's gonna make fifty percent of them, right,

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Speaker 1: like a good looks. Right, So there's luck, right, half

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Speaker 1: of them he's making, half of them he's missing. They're

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Speaker 1: pretty good looks. But the thing is is that over

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Speaker 1: the course of a game, your team might take forty

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Speaker 1: or fifty jump shots, so the luck kind of evens out.

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Speaker 1: It's kind of like I was talking about with the

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Speaker 1: voting pool for MVP and the eye test. I think

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Speaker 1: I was having this conversation with uh, I'm trying to

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Speaker 1: remember who it was I was talking with. I think

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Speaker 1: it was with my Titus from barstool, But I was

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Speaker 1: talking about how like the voter pool compensates for the

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Speaker 1: mistakes and the eye test, Like the eye test is imperfect,

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Speaker 1: but get one hundred guys together. There are one hundred

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Speaker 1: men and women together, they're probably going to center around

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Speaker 1: what the reality is. Right. That's kind of the way

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Speaker 1: I feel about shot variants. If you're taking forty to

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Speaker 1: fifty jump shots in a game, while there is luck

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Speaker 1: or variance in any one shot over the course of

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Speaker 1: forty or fifty jump shots, it's probably going to result

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Speaker 1: in something based on what the defense is allowing. Right,

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Speaker 1: If you're getting good in rhythm looks, the vast majority

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Speaker 1: of those luck situations are gonna be favorable for you.

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Speaker 1: In over forty or fifty jump shots, you're gonna get

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Speaker 1: one point sixty seven points per possession. But when you

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Speaker 1: defend better and the easy in rhythm catch and shoot

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Speaker 1: jumpers are few and far between, and as a result,

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Speaker 1: all the shooters are in less rhythm all of a sudden,

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Speaker 1: it is more likely that over forty or fifty shots,

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Speaker 1: you're gonna hold them to one point zero eight points

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Speaker 1: per possession in spot up situations. Generally speaking, I think

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Speaker 1: it's a loser mantality, and I think it's a loser

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Speaker 1: mentality to focus on luck as it pertains to shooting

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Speaker 1: and as a team. If that was the case, then

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Speaker 1: what's the point of doing anything If it's literally just

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Speaker 1: a slot machine. That's not the case. Your defense controls

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Speaker 1: the shooting outcome. Denver had, I thought, their worst defensive

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Speaker 1: performance of the postseason. In Game two, they gave up

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Speaker 1: a million good looks. Miami made him pay. In Game three,

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Speaker 1: they were much better. Miami came back down to earth.

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Speaker 1: That's the reason why it wasn't just because they hit

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Speaker 1: the slot machine again. In the zone I talked a

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Speaker 1: lot about and again we're still staying on Denver's defense,

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Speaker 1: but for their zone offense, if you guys remember I

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Speaker 1: listed a bunch of potential counters. I mentioned like bringing

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Speaker 1: the guy out of the corner to screen away, which

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Speaker 1: we did not see any of. I mentioned driving the zone,

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Speaker 1: which we saw a lot of which we'll talk about later.

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Speaker 1: And if you remember, I said defense, defense, defense, I said,

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Speaker 1: by far, the best way for them to get away

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Speaker 1: from attacking Miamis zone is just get stops, because Miami

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Speaker 1: will not run their zone unless it's a made basket

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Speaker 1: or a dead ball situation. So by getting stops, you

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Speaker 1: avoid having to attack Miami's zone. Well, I tweeted at

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Speaker 1: the end of the third quarter, I was like, Denver's

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Speaker 1: in great shape, but the zone is coming in the

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Speaker 1: fourth quarter. They've got one last test they need to

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Speaker 1: pass to get out of here. Well, Denver got stops

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Speaker 1: on ten of their first thirteen possessions in the fourth quarter,

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Speaker 1: ten of their first thirteen. As a result, by the

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Speaker 1: time that thirteenth possession had happened, they were already up eighteen.

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Speaker 1: The game was over, and so Spolster barely used the zone.

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Speaker 1: He only used it four possessions in the fourth quarter.

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Speaker 1: So Denver's defense literally kept them from having to attack

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Speaker 1: Miami's zone and put them on this massive run and

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Speaker 1: the game was over. And I thought Spolstra kind of

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Speaker 1: smartly pulled back from the zone the rest of the

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Speaker 1: fourth quarter, essentially saying we're not getting this one. Let's

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Speaker 1: save it because maybe we can disrupt their rhythm a

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Speaker 1: little bit in a later game in this series. So

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Speaker 1: let's now into Denver's offense against the zone. Because in

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Speaker 1: the four possessions they ran it. In the fourth quarter,

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Speaker 1: Jokic had a miss in an offensive rebound, they immediately scored,

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Speaker 1: and then they scored on the last two. So it

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Speaker 1: was four possessions, but technically three total defensive stops that

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Speaker 1: flew in that flowed into Denver possessions, and Denver scored

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Speaker 1: on all three of them. So I want to talk

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Speaker 1: a little bit about what they did. Angie's list is

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Speaker 1: Or on Saturday, we were having a pool party, I

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Speaker 1: had to use a couple outlets that I hadn't used

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Speaker 1: a NGI dot com. First of all, the defense, like

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Speaker 1: we talked about, by defending, you keep them out of

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Speaker 1: their zone. But they did. One of the interesting counters

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Speaker 1: that Mike Malone had was, if you remember, Miami Zone

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Speaker 1: was taking a top guy in fronting Jokic at the

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Speaker 1: high post to prevent the high post entry. Which is

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Speaker 1: the best place to enter a zone. Why is that

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Speaker 1: the best place to enter the zone. It's the one

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Speaker 1: place where it kind of overlaps a bunch of responsibilities. Right.

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Speaker 1: If I've got two guys at the top, a guy

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Speaker 1: under the basket, and two guys on the wing, the

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Speaker 1: guy in the high post is right in the middle,

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Speaker 1: and so it's very easy to get the defense to

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Speaker 1: collapse as multiple guys kind of converge on that spot. Well,

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Speaker 1: the other best place to enter is the short corner.

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Speaker 1: Same concept on the wings. The zone is lined up

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Speaker 1: for you, they're ready for you. If you're in the

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Speaker 1: corner on the wings, they're ready for you. But that

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Speaker 1: short corner in between where Bam is and a guy

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Speaker 1: on the wing is another soft spot where if you

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Speaker 1: catch there, you can attract multiple bodies. They ended up

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Speaker 1: getting two buckets out of Jokic operating out of the

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Speaker 1: short corner in this game one at the late third quarter.

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Speaker 1: Actually the Spoltra actually brought out the zone a little

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Speaker 1: bit earlier, but they dumped it to Yokic on the

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Speaker 1: short corner. Multiple bodies came in. Christian Brown attacked a

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Speaker 1: cut out of the top of the key, Yokic hit

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Speaker 1: him for a layup. In the fourth quarter, the mist

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Speaker 1: that they had was another action where they started Jokic

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Speaker 1: in the short corner on the left side, and what

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Speaker 1: they did is they waited, and they had Jamal Murray

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Speaker 1: downscreen on BAM and Jokic flashed high posts. They hit

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Speaker 1: him on the move before the front could come, and

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Speaker 1: he actually ended up getting a nice little fl one

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Speaker 1: that Jokic normally makes. He just missed it off the

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Speaker 1: right side of the rim, but he saw it come

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Speaker 1: in and chase it down, got the offensive rebound, and

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Speaker 1: they got back into their zone attack. So I thought

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Speaker 1: that was a really interesting wrinkle, either catching Jokic in

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Speaker 1: the short corner or starting out of the short corner

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Speaker 1: and quick flashing so that the guard doesn't have an

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Speaker 1: opportunity to front the post because he's catching before he

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Speaker 1: even gets there. Even so smart adjustments from Mike Malone

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Speaker 1: and then the other one. Like I said, if you

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Speaker 1: guys remember driving the zone. I broke this down after

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Speaker 1: Game two. I said, in his own defense, they're not

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Speaker 1: double teaming you. Like, if I'm dribbling the ball on

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Speaker 1: the left wing and Jokic is at the high post

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Speaker 1: and he's getting fronted, Kyle Lowery is coming out of

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Speaker 1: the top to deny that swing pass and Duncan Robinson's

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Speaker 1: over here and he's denying that swing pass and Bam

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Speaker 1: is waiting under the basket. Yeah, they're taking away the

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Speaker 1: post entry, but the fundamental beginning of the defense is

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Speaker 1: still Jamal Murray dribbling the basketball with one defender in

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Speaker 1: front of him, and so if he can beat that

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Speaker 1: one defender, he will engage another defender, which will start

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Speaker 1: to create openings. That's like the driving the zone. You

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Speaker 1: don't see it a ton at the lower levels because

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Speaker 1: ball handling is not good enough in high school and

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Speaker 1: in college for guys to penetrate the zone off the dribble,

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Speaker 1: But in the NBA it's one of the best ways

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Speaker 1: to attack. That's why a lot of times in the

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Speaker 1: NBA teams will run their man to man offense against

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Speaker 1: zone defenses, because if you can get dribble penetration, it

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Speaker 1: accomplishes the same thing as the pass. Well, those three

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Speaker 1: buckets that they scored three for three in the fourth quarter,

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Speaker 1: all three of them were on dribble penetration. First one,

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Speaker 1: Jamal Murray dribbling at the top. He's got Caleb Martin

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Speaker 1: on him, beats him to the right. Caleb Martin takes

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Speaker 1: a couple hard recovery steps, but Jamal like does a

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Speaker 1: little bump off dribble, Caleb's gone and he's shooting a

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Speaker 1: wide open, like ten foot jump shot at the lane

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Speaker 1: line that he of course makes because he's in good rhythm.

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Speaker 1: And then back to back possessions were Christian Brown, who

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Speaker 1: was phenomenal last night. I'm not gonna go too much

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Speaker 1: further into it because I talked about it a lot

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Speaker 1: with Colin Coward last night, but he just beat Caleb

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Speaker 1: Martin off the dribble, drew that second defender, dropped it

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Speaker 1: off to Nikole Jokic, who made a little short jump shot.

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Speaker 1: And then there was another possession where Christian Brown caught

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Speaker 1: it in the corner on the left side and did

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Speaker 1: a rip th remove over the top on Jimmy Butler,

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Speaker 1: beat Jimmy Butler to the middle, brought Bam up, occupied

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Speaker 1: Bam dropped it to Jokic. Bam was out of position,

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Speaker 1: so he closed out too hard on Jokic and ended

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Speaker 1: up fouling Yokic, and he made both free throws. So

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Speaker 1: all three of their buckets against the zone in the

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Speaker 1: fourth quarter were from just driving the zone, so a

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Speaker 1: very good adjustment there from Mike Malone, and it was

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Speaker 1: kind of the obvious adjustment when they're denying the easy

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Speaker 1: entry passes. If they're going to do that, that's the

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Speaker 1: only counter you have, really is I mentioned a couple others,

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Speaker 1: some complicated screening things, but it's a lot easier to

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Speaker 1: just be like, hey, I'm faster than you and I'm

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Speaker 1: a better ball handler. Let me beat you to the

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Speaker 1: basket and we can go from there. But big time

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Speaker 1: game from Christian Brown. I excellent, defensively, excellent in transition.

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Speaker 1: He's just so athletic, so difficult to guard. I tweeted

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Speaker 1: this out last night. But he's the latest in a

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Speaker 1: long line of kind of like smaller guards that are

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Speaker 1: succeeding at this level I should say, smaller wings that

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Speaker 1: are succeeding in the late rounds of the playoffs. These

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Speaker 1: guys that are between like six three and six six,

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Speaker 1: but are built like trucks, freaky athletic, low centers of gravity,

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Speaker 1: that are difficult to screen, that run and transition well,

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Speaker 1: that can beat guys off the dribble. All that stuff

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Speaker 1: is super valuable. You saw that this year with Christian Brown.

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Speaker 1: You saw this year again with Bruce Brown has been

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Speaker 1: a very similar type of player for Denver last year,

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Speaker 1: a guy like Gary Payton, the second impossible to screen,

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Speaker 1: brings a bunch of stuff to the table. There. As

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Speaker 1: an athlete Alex Cruso on the twenty twenty Lakers, Pat

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Speaker 1: Conneton was a little bit like this. In the twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty one Bucks. We talked so much about these six

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Speaker 1: to eight wings that are super long armed and can

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Speaker 1: do all these things defensively. The problem with most wings

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Speaker 1: is most of them are very upright, have high centers

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Speaker 1: of gravity and aren't as strong, and so they're easier

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Speaker 1: to screen, and so they can struggle. Sometimes in these situations,

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Speaker 1: they're the guys that you can bump off their spots.

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Speaker 1: So sometimes those lower center of gravity wings have more success.

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Speaker 1: I think that's an interesting trend in the NBA, So

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Speaker 1: shout out to Christian Brown. But I thought, even in

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Speaker 1: spite of all that stuff that I said, I still

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Speaker 1: think zone is the best option for Miami to get stops.

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Speaker 1: So Denver had some nice counters. They got three buckets

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Speaker 1: against the zone in the fourth quarter, two buckets in

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Speaker 1: a foul for two free throws in the fourth quarter,

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Speaker 1: but they ran eight zone possessions in the second and

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Speaker 1: third quarters and got stops on six of those six

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Speaker 1: of those eight possessions, including three stops in five possessions

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Speaker 1: with Nikolea Jokic on the floor. They were right over

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Speaker 1: just over eight tenths of a possession overall eight tenths

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Speaker 1: of a point per possession overall in last night's game

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Speaker 1: against the zone, which is not very good. Right, So

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Speaker 1: Miami's defense has consistently been better in this series. When

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Speaker 1: they run zone versus man de man, it takes Denver

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Speaker 1: out of their two man game, it disrupts their rhythm.

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Speaker 1: That's been clearly one of their best options. So for Miami,

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Speaker 1: they might have to consider running their zone after missus.

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Speaker 1: They might have to consider like at least giving Bam

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Speaker 1: the authority to call out zone and transition situations when

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Speaker 1: he's back, and he could just be like zone, zone, zone,

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Speaker 1: and everybody kind of gets into it, and then when

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Speaker 1: Denver's really pushing the pace and attacking in transition, maybe

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Speaker 1: they stay with man to man, but they might have

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Speaker 1: to try to at least experiment with running zone and

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Speaker 1: live ball situations instead of made baskets and dead ball situations.

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Speaker 1: Because I think they need to try to find a

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00:20:28,880 --> 00:20:31,480
Speaker 1: way to get more than twelve possessions a game. In

431
00:20:31,560 --> 00:20:36,080
Speaker 1: of zone Miami's offense, I thought their process was fine.

432
00:20:36,119 --> 00:20:38,440
Speaker 1: When I went back and looked at the film. They

433
00:20:38,440 --> 00:20:40,640
Speaker 1: had twenty five spot at possessions for one point zero

434
00:20:40,640 --> 00:20:43,560
Speaker 1: eight points per possession, which is better than Denver did.

435
00:20:43,760 --> 00:20:46,440
Speaker 1: So like Denver didn't shoot well, Miami Astra shot better again,

436
00:20:47,640 --> 00:20:49,440
Speaker 1: But I thought the difference of the game was they

437
00:20:49,480 --> 00:20:51,560
Speaker 1: just missed way too many shots in the paint. They

438
00:20:51,560 --> 00:20:54,280
Speaker 1: were seventeen for forty six, and the paint Jimmy and

439
00:20:54,320 --> 00:20:57,560
Speaker 1: Bam miss a ton of bunnies. That's just thirty seven percent.

440
00:20:57,640 --> 00:21:00,320
Speaker 1: By the way, I do want to give Denver's defense credit,

441
00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:02,560
Speaker 1: they were much better rotation to Cooley, Jokis was much

442
00:21:02,560 --> 00:21:05,160
Speaker 1: more active with his hands around the basket to suading guys.

443
00:21:05,400 --> 00:21:08,280
Speaker 1: But Bam and Jimmy both missed a lot of bunnies,

444
00:21:08,320 --> 00:21:09,919
Speaker 1: and so that's something they're gonna have to clean up,

445
00:21:09,920 --> 00:21:13,320
Speaker 1: and that causes a chain reaction, like if you have

446
00:21:13,520 --> 00:21:17,040
Speaker 1: rim misses against Denver, that equals death, especially when Jimmy

447
00:21:17,040 --> 00:21:19,240
Speaker 1: and Bam are your two best athletes and they're under

448
00:21:19,280 --> 00:21:22,800
Speaker 1: the basket they're under the opposing basket, Denver's looking to

449
00:21:22,840 --> 00:21:26,720
Speaker 1: push in transition. A miss at the rim often leads

450
00:21:26,720 --> 00:21:29,640
Speaker 1: to transition opportunities unless you can get an offensive rebound,

451
00:21:30,000 --> 00:21:33,280
Speaker 1: and look, Denver missed. Here's the thing. Miami had ten

452
00:21:33,320 --> 00:21:35,720
Speaker 1: offensive rebounds last night, but that's just because they missed

453
00:21:35,840 --> 00:21:39,359
Speaker 1: so many damn shots. Denver usually is going to control

454
00:21:39,400 --> 00:21:44,200
Speaker 1: the defensive glass and get out in transition. Those paint

455
00:21:44,280 --> 00:21:47,439
Speaker 1: misses are the beginning of an ugly chain reaction. Not

456
00:21:47,520 --> 00:21:51,160
Speaker 1: only those transition situations, but every time you make one

457
00:21:51,200 --> 00:21:53,680
Speaker 1: of those bunnies, that's an opportunity for you to set

458
00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:57,359
Speaker 1: your defense or to set your zone. Like we talked about,

459
00:21:57,920 --> 00:22:01,919
Speaker 1: more paint makes equals more reactive help from Denver's wings.

460
00:22:02,160 --> 00:22:05,440
Speaker 1: If Jimmy and Bam go twenty seven for forty six

461
00:22:05,480 --> 00:22:08,160
Speaker 1: instead of seventeen for forty six when they get into

462
00:22:08,200 --> 00:22:11,080
Speaker 1: the paint, it's human nature that those wings will just

463
00:22:11,119 --> 00:22:14,400
Speaker 1: coalesce more around them while they're trying to shoot as

464
00:22:14,440 --> 00:22:17,959
Speaker 1: part of Denver's health defense, which generates the higher quality

465
00:22:18,000 --> 00:22:20,520
Speaker 1: three point shots that they got in game two. So

466
00:22:21,600 --> 00:22:24,480
Speaker 1: that is the chain reaction they need to reverse. Instead,

467
00:22:24,520 --> 00:22:27,760
Speaker 1: they got the opposite of that so better focus and

468
00:22:28,359 --> 00:22:30,760
Speaker 1: lyft in particular around the rim from Jimmy and Bam

469
00:22:30,760 --> 00:22:34,000
Speaker 1: will go a long way to reversing that trend for

470
00:22:34,119 --> 00:22:38,879
Speaker 1: the heat, so kind of insummation Miami's adjustments. Jimmy has

471
00:22:38,920 --> 00:22:41,040
Speaker 1: to do a much better job of chasing Murray overscreens,

472
00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:42,679
Speaker 1: and we know he's capable of it because he did

473
00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:45,600
Speaker 1: it in Game two. They need to switch any Murray

474
00:22:45,640 --> 00:22:47,919
Speaker 1: Yokic action that happens with less than ten seconds on

475
00:22:47,960 --> 00:22:50,280
Speaker 1: the shot clock. It'll make it much more difficult for

476
00:22:50,320 --> 00:22:52,679
Speaker 1: Denver to post up mismatches were in the posts they

477
00:22:52,720 --> 00:22:55,600
Speaker 1: continue to dominate. They need to mix in the occasional

478
00:22:55,640 --> 00:22:58,320
Speaker 1: blitz to throw off Jamal Murray's rhythm and just the

479
00:22:58,359 --> 00:23:01,320
Speaker 1: overall rhythm of the action. They need to run more zone.

480
00:23:01,440 --> 00:23:03,840
Speaker 1: It's been by far their most effective defense in the series,

481
00:23:04,080 --> 00:23:06,080
Speaker 1: and they need to consider running it on misses when

482
00:23:06,080 --> 00:23:09,360
Speaker 1: Denver is not on the attack. Give Bam that leeway

483
00:23:09,400 --> 00:23:11,320
Speaker 1: to kind of call it out. Last, but not least,

484
00:23:11,400 --> 00:23:13,879
Speaker 1: Jimmy and Bam have to make their short shots in

485
00:23:13,920 --> 00:23:17,080
Speaker 1: the lane to start the chain reaction of drawing more help,

486
00:23:17,480 --> 00:23:20,160
Speaker 1: getting more high quality three point shots, and allowing them

487
00:23:20,440 --> 00:23:23,880
Speaker 1: to set their defense so after Game two I did

488
00:23:23,920 --> 00:23:26,800
Speaker 1: say with liv I predicted Denver would win comfortably in

489
00:23:26,840 --> 00:23:29,080
Speaker 1: Game three and that Game four would be the most

490
00:23:29,080 --> 00:23:31,760
Speaker 1: competitive game of the series. I do believe that's what's

491
00:23:31,800 --> 00:23:33,919
Speaker 1: going to happen. I think Jimmy Butler will have his

492
00:23:33,920 --> 00:23:36,120
Speaker 1: best defensive game of the series. I think the Heat

493
00:23:36,119 --> 00:23:38,000
Speaker 1: will finish in the paint better and make more threes.

494
00:23:38,320 --> 00:23:40,320
Speaker 1: I also think Denver will shoot better. They really haven't

495
00:23:40,359 --> 00:23:42,879
Speaker 1: shot well in the last couple of games, so I

496
00:23:43,680 --> 00:23:45,600
Speaker 1: think this is going to be a really close game

497
00:23:45,800 --> 00:23:48,280
Speaker 1: with a crunch time situation that's going to come down

498
00:23:48,280 --> 00:23:52,040
Speaker 1: to the final few possessions. I really don't have any idea,

499
00:23:52,680 --> 00:23:54,840
Speaker 1: and I hate making predictions. If I have to, I'll

500
00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:57,600
Speaker 1: pick Miami to win closely and tie the series at two,

501
00:23:57,880 --> 00:23:59,640
Speaker 1: but I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if Denver

502
00:23:59,680 --> 00:24:01,960
Speaker 1: came out on top of that situation. I think Game

503
00:24:01,960 --> 00:24:03,600
Speaker 1: four is going to be the most entertaining game of

504
00:24:03,600 --> 00:24:06,359
Speaker 1: the series, and I am very, very excited to see it.

505
00:24:06,400 --> 00:24:08,480
Speaker 1: We will be going live with Colin Coward again after

506
00:24:08,480 --> 00:24:10,760
Speaker 1: the final buzzer of Game four, before we break down

507
00:24:10,800 --> 00:24:13,760
Speaker 1: the film on Saturday morning. As always, I sincerely appreciate

508
00:24:13,800 --> 00:24:38,880
Speaker 1: you guys, and I'll see you tomorrow night. The volume