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Speaker 1: What's up, guys, Good Sunday morning. How are you welcome

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Speaker 1: into a new episode of the Daily Juice podcast with

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Speaker 1: me Matt Perraltz. You guys can follow me across all

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Speaker 1: of my socials at Sports Talk Matt, and hopefully most

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Speaker 1: of you understood what was going on over the last

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Speaker 1: two days. Little break, little vacation, took a couple of

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Speaker 1: days just to kind of get away from it all,

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Speaker 1: and we were back here for Week eighteen of the NFL.

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Speaker 1: How this is going to go is you're going to

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Speaker 1: get the podcast here today and then the live stream

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Speaker 1: with myself and Seth Wilcock will have you at noon

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Speaker 1: Eastern time nine am Pacific time on the Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: YouTube channel. We will break down every game. It is

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Speaker 1: a smaller slate because of what has happened here in

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Speaker 1: the NFL, with the games yesterday, and with the games

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Speaker 1: that happened on Christmas and New Year's and all the

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Speaker 1: other things. I guess New Year's right, It all run

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Speaker 1: through here with Week eighteen, so we have a smaller

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Speaker 1: slate than what we normally would do here for no

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Speaker 1: Monday Night football. Obviously, as we've hit the end of

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Speaker 1: the NFL season, now to recap what happened yesterday and

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Speaker 1: a couple of days before. So the Oregon bet cashed.

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Speaker 1: The Texas Tech future did not. However, the Panthers yesterday

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Speaker 1: covered the three, so we missed. We might have missed

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Speaker 1: the Bucks future more than here in just one second,

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Speaker 1: but that did not get decided yet because Tampa won.

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Speaker 1: So Panthers plus three Panthers lose by two perfect scenario.

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Speaker 1: The Seahawks win last night, they covered the one and

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Speaker 1: a half that killed the Niners future, so that was flat.

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Speaker 1: So yesterday we go three and two up one unit

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Speaker 1: that is all dictated back onto twenty twenty five, so

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Speaker 1: that pushes us, you know, a unit there. We'll add

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Speaker 1: on to last year's the twenty twenty five record in

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Speaker 1: which we need to get everything decided. After today, we

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Speaker 1: will then recap at all. I'll do the full accounting,

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Speaker 1: and then we'll have some information. Hopefully by tomorrow, maybe Wednesday,

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Speaker 1: we'll have a full recap of the twenty twenty five year.

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Speaker 1: We'll take a look back at what was profitable, what

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Speaker 1: was not, what worked, what did not. Any adjustments I'm

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Speaker 1: going to make here coming up into the rest of

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Speaker 1: the football season, which is obviously playoff football for college

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Speaker 1: with four teams left into the postseason next week with

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Speaker 1: Wildcard weekend for the NFL. Now a couple programming notes

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Speaker 1: for news notes. Not only do the live stream coming

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Speaker 1: up here today for week eighteen, the live stream will

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Speaker 1: continue throughout the entire postseason. And Pat fitz Morris and

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Speaker 1: I are back for our Tuesday show looking ahead to

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Speaker 1: the weekend. So there are four games for Wildcard weekend.

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Speaker 1: We'll break down betts, picks and plays coming up for

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Speaker 1: you guys here as a look ahead numbers to jump

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Speaker 1: in early. Now there's no survivor to talk about, obvious,

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Speaker 1: but there are bets that you can make and plays

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Speaker 1: you can jump in with here for Tuesday before we

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Speaker 1: head to Sunday or Saturday and Sunday for wild Card weekend,

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Speaker 1: so stay tuned for that. During the week. You will

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Speaker 1: have the Daily Juice podcast each and every single week.

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Speaker 1: We do have a hard rock bet of the day

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Speaker 1: to give you guys coming up four today, But let's

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Speaker 1: begin with the Saints and the Falcons. Okay, this is

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Speaker 1: a game that has a ton of interests from me,

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Speaker 1: not from the public per se, but for me. Huge

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Speaker 1: let's talk about some of these numbers, okay, because there's

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Speaker 1: a variety of ways you can look at this. The

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Speaker 1: Saints have covered five straight games. They have won four

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Speaker 1: games in a row. Okay. This has been the first

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Speaker 1: time since forever where the Saints have won four more

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Speaker 1: games in a row. Since nineteen ninety, first time they've

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Speaker 1: won four games or more in a row. Okay. The

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Speaker 1: Falcons played on Monday night. The Falcons are four. We're

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Speaker 1: in two straight up in four and two ats on

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Speaker 1: short rest this season. The Saints were down by six

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Speaker 1: to the Titans. They again are awful in the first quarter.

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Speaker 1: If you want to make a bet here early in

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Speaker 1: the game, the Saints in the first quarter are no good. Okay.

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Speaker 1: They are two and fourteen two and fourteen against the

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Speaker 1: first quarter spread this season. That's awful, worst mark in

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Speaker 1: the NFL. Okay, they were actually entering the first quarter outright, oh,

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Speaker 1: thirteen and three on the first quarter of money line

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Speaker 1: to want to bet Saints, sorry, Falcons, first quarter of

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Speaker 1: money line not bad. Teams are seven and one against

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Speaker 1: the spread in the first quarter when the Saints are

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Speaker 1: on the road Falcons are at home. That's the worst

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Speaker 1: mark since twenty twenty one, when the Packers went two

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Speaker 1: and fifteen. Atlanta has won two games in a row

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Speaker 1: against the Saints at home. The Saints in the first

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Speaker 1: half are four and twelve to the first half spread.

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Speaker 1: That's tied with the Bills for the worst mark here

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Speaker 1: in the NFL. New Orleans is also twelve and four

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Speaker 1: in the second half. Ats wise, they're awful in the

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Speaker 1: first half. They're awful in the second half. They are

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Speaker 1: also awful in the first half just overall from an

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Speaker 1: under perspective. In the first half, they do not score

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Speaker 1: points early. Okay, they just don't. Kirk Cousins against the

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Speaker 1: Saints is five and four straight up. He's four and

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Speaker 1: five against the number at home or neutral. He is

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Speaker 1: one in three against the spread against New Orleans. So

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Speaker 1: here's how I think this game can go. You can

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Speaker 1: bet the Saints, sorry the Falcons, either to be leading

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Speaker 1: after the first quarter, the Falcons to be leading after

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Speaker 1: at the half, and in the Saints in the second half.

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Speaker 1: That's how this game can be bet from just a

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Speaker 1: streak perspective. Additionally, because of where we are here and

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Speaker 1: what we have done with the Tampa Bay bet, we

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Speaker 1: need the Saints to win the game outright, Okay, So

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Speaker 1: I'm going to be in game betting this game one

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Speaker 1: hundred percent. We're gonna bet this game in game if

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Speaker 1: I can get this number to a pick and I

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Speaker 1: need the Saints to be leading at some point in

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Speaker 1: this game, either in the third quarter, fourth quarter. It

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Speaker 1: always hasn't gone my way, and sometimes as you just

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Speaker 1: go ahead and lay the three and a half points.

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Speaker 1: But because of the Saints' ability to come from behind,

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Speaker 1: and because it's Kirk Cousins and everything else, Tyler Schuck

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Speaker 1: has played so well this season. I mean, he's just

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Speaker 1: been phenomenal. He's probably going to win the Offensive Rookie

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Speaker 1: of the Year given what he has played, how he's played,

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Speaker 1: how great he has been for this Saints team. I

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Speaker 1: think when you look at the game, I think the

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Speaker 1: best way of approaching it is by saying, Okay, we're

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Speaker 1: gonna bet officially, first half under twenty two and a

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Speaker 1: half points. Okay, I don't think we see offense here

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Speaker 1: from either the Saints or the Falcons. Needs to be

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Speaker 1: a low scoring game. You can bet the Falcons in

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Speaker 1: the first quarter. You can bet the Falcons in the

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Speaker 1: first half if you would like those trends are all

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Speaker 1: right there. But instead I'm just going to come in

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Speaker 1: on the first half under for the Saints and the Falcons,

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Speaker 1: and then in game because I think we got to

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Speaker 1: watch this. Okay, if it goes how we think it's

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Speaker 1: gonna be going, Falcons leading after one, Falcons leading at

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Speaker 1: the break, and then in the second half the Saints

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Speaker 1: will rise up and hopefully come back and win the game.

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Speaker 1: At some point, we want to try to come in

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Speaker 1: and hedge off the forty nine er future and if

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Speaker 1: we can sorr another story off of the Tampa Bay

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Speaker 1: Bucks future. Excuse me, the four nights of the Bucks future,

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Speaker 1: which is plus one ten. So if you have a

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Speaker 1: chance to get out of it. Okay, let's see if

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Speaker 1: the Saints get off to a really fast starts and

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Speaker 1: they're leading the whole game, and maybe we can find

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Speaker 1: them getting plus three or something on the Falcons in game,

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Speaker 1: that's even better. Okay, that's my target. My target number

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Speaker 1: is Falcons plus three. That's what I want or better. Okay,

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Speaker 1: if that number ever pops during the game, I will

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Speaker 1: take it Falcons plus three and try, like we do

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Speaker 1: with the with the Panthers, see if we can get

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Speaker 1: in the middle of it. But from an official play perspective,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna come in. We're gonna take the Saints first

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Speaker 1: half under twenty two and a half here live in game.

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Speaker 1: Falcons money line were coming in on Falcons money line

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Speaker 1: at some point. Falcons plus three three and a half

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Speaker 1: are better on this, but Falcons money line at minimum.

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Speaker 1: There will be a live bet. I will tell you

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Speaker 1: what number I've taken in the Discord channel bettingpros dot

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Speaker 1: com slash chat if you are so interested in that bet.

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Speaker 1: If you do have the fort nine Ers future, I

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Speaker 1: do think we are not Tampa Bay Bucks future. Sorry,

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Speaker 1: I do think we have to watch that game closely,

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Speaker 1: and if it does look like it's gonna slip away

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Speaker 1: from us, we're going to try to get out of

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Speaker 1: it here and just say, all right, you know, the

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Speaker 1: Falcons are going to win the game. Got to get

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Speaker 1: out of this bet with Tampa Bay. But Tampa at

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Speaker 1: plus one sixty or so sorry plus one ten rather

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Speaker 1: plus one t the forty nine ers plus and sixty

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Speaker 1: this plus one ten. So if we get a hedge opportunity,

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Speaker 1: maybe we just moneyline it and we wind up getting ourselves,

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Speaker 1: you know, zero point one up a half of a

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Speaker 1: tenth is It's not great, but it's better than losing money.

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Speaker 1: I don't want to lose the one. Like I said,

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Speaker 1: I have way more than that committee. This is my

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Speaker 1: biggest bet preseason was Tampa to win the division and

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Speaker 1: it's all coming down to the Saints and the Falcons,

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Speaker 1: which is like ridiculous, but fine is what it is.

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Speaker 1: Second bet officially for todate. Let's go to the Cowboys,

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Speaker 1: and again we're looking at trends Cowboys and the Giants.

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Speaker 1: The Cowboys team total of the Cowboys first half in

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Speaker 1: sixteen first half totals the over is fifteen and one

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Speaker 1: on the year. That's the best first half over mark

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Speaker 1: for really anyone since the two thousand and five season,

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Speaker 1: when the twenty nineteen Bucks, or since twenty nineteen seasons

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Speaker 1: since twenty eighteen Bucks were fourteen and two to the over,

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Speaker 1: So over the thirty years, it's one of the best

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Speaker 1: first half runs for an over for any team. The

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Speaker 1: Cowboys have beatn the Giants nine straight times. They've owned

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Speaker 1: this team. Cowboys winning this game doesn't really matter, but

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Speaker 1: the Giants need to lose this game from a first

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Speaker 1: half from an NFL draft perspective. They want to lose

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Speaker 1: this game. Make sure they're going to keep on getting

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Speaker 1: the second pick in the draft. They beat the Raiders

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Speaker 1: last week, so this is a game in which the

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Speaker 1: Giants absolutely want to lose. But it is a divisional

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Speaker 1: game and that always is a little scary, right, The

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Speaker 1: Raiders need to lose today. The Giants lose and the

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Speaker 1: Raiders lose, or they get Detroit, New Orleans, San Francisco

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Speaker 1: and Cincinnati New Orleans or San frans already lost, the

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Speaker 1: Giants would clinch the number one pick then, but most

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Speaker 1: likely Giants lose this game. Raiders lose the game, They're

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Speaker 1: going to fire Peak Kara most likely. So I mean,

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Speaker 1: Raiders fans very much want the number one pick. Overall,

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Speaker 1: it would be surprising to see the Raiders win that

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Speaker 1: game today, But you know, we'll see. We'll talk more

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Speaker 1: about that game coming up with a live stream. But Giants,

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Speaker 1: I think do lose. But it is Jackson Dart and

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Speaker 1: it is the Cowboys, and it is a rivalry game,

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Speaker 1: and I think you may see a better effort than

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Speaker 1: I'm not getting. I want to get involved with the

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Speaker 1: second half in this game, is what I'm saying instead,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna go first half over, keep the run going

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Speaker 1: for the Cowboys first half over twenty four and a half.

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Speaker 1: It is even money, so it's only a one unit play.

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Speaker 1: But let's get Cowboys Giants over twenty four and a half.

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Speaker 1: Nobody playing any defense coming up here for today, and

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Speaker 1: finally for us, we have a hard rock bet play

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Speaker 1: the Day Gay coming up a second. But for the

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Speaker 1: plays on the Juice, We're gonna come in and give

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Speaker 1: you a teaser, and I'm gonna take the Saints from

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Speaker 1: three and a half and I'm gonna tease the Saints

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Speaker 1: up to nine and a half. Just given like we're

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Speaker 1: talking about, with how this game has gone, how close

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Speaker 1: these games have been, and how good Tyler Shuck has

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Speaker 1: been in the second half, I think even if they're

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Speaker 1: down at halftime, they have a chance to rally. Don't

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Speaker 1: think the Saints get blown out today because the game

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Speaker 1: doesn't really matter for the Falcons. It matters for the Bucks,

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Speaker 1: but it doesn't matter for the Falcons. So Saints plus

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Speaker 1: nine and a half and I'm gonna go to the

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Speaker 1: Steelers and the Ravens game for the other half of

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Speaker 1: this teaser. A divisional game in which you take the dog,

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Speaker 1: which is three and a half. You can take the

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Speaker 1: Steelers just as is if you want. I think it's

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Speaker 1: a good play, but instead we're gonna tease it up.

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Speaker 1: Baltimore wins the AFC North and a four seed in

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Speaker 1: the playoffs with a win. The Steelers wins the AFC

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Speaker 1: North and a four seed if they win. Mike Tomlin

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Speaker 1: as a dog is thirty twelve and three ATS in

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Speaker 1: the regular season. As a dog, he's twenty five seven

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Speaker 1: and three ats. You've got the underdog in overall this

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Speaker 1: in this rivalry has been just ridiculous. As an underdog

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Speaker 1: against the Ravens, Mike Tomlin is fourteen to four and

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Speaker 1: one ats. Ravens are favored again against the Steelers for

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Speaker 1: their fifth straight meeting. Baltimore has never even been favored

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Speaker 1: in three straight meetings prior to this current streak, in

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Speaker 1: which now it's five straight for them the Steelers in

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Speaker 1: the Ravens games. In the last twelve meetings between these

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Speaker 1: two teams, the margin of victory has been five fourteen seventeen,

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Speaker 1: two seven seven three two three one five four. Since

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Speaker 1: fifth twenty fifteen, they've played twenty two times seventeen of

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Speaker 1: the twenty two games has had a final margin of

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Speaker 1: seven points or fewer. Don't know who wins. We're teasing it.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna go ahead and tease it up. Saints plus

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Speaker 1: nine and a half, Steelers plus nine and a half

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Speaker 1: at mis one twenty five for one point two five

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Speaker 1: units worth of work. Okay, time now for the hard

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Speaker 1: Rock Bet of the Day, being brought to you by

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Speaker 1: our friends at hard Rock Bet. Have you guys gone

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Speaker 1: and checked out hard Rock Bet yet, You guys can

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Speaker 1: easily do so. Week eighteen playoff spots are on the

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Speaker 1: line with Florida's Sports Book. They are the official book

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Speaker 1: of the Jags, the Buccaneers, also the Heat, Magic and Panthers.

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Speaker 1: You've got a lot going on here with hard Rock Bet,

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Speaker 1: and I've got a same game. Sorry, I've got a

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Speaker 1: parlay of a money line parlayd to give you guys

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Speaker 1: here for the hard rock Bet of the Day. I

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Speaker 1: never do this, but as Week eighteen, so I thought

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Speaker 1: it might be kind of fun to mix up the

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Speaker 1: hard rock Bet of the day. If you've got more

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Speaker 1: of a hardwood edge and a gridiron edge. You got

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Speaker 1: college basketball and NBA basketball every night on hard Rock Bet.

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Speaker 1: You also have the in game live betting as well.

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Speaker 1: You ever missed the start of the game, It's never

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Speaker 1: too late to get in on the action for football

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Speaker 1: or for basketball. And also hard Rock Bet still has

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Speaker 1: the offer of five dollars bet if it wins. You guys,

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Speaker 1: get your winnings, but they'll also give you one hundred

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Speaker 1: and fifty dollars in bonus bets with your first bet

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Speaker 1: at hard Rock Bet. They're the only legal sports book

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Speaker 1: in Florida, but they're also live in Arizona, Ohio, New Jersey, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Illinois,

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Speaker 1: Colorado in Michigan. Hard Rock BET's got new promos every

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Speaker 1: single day, So download the hard Rock Bet and make

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Speaker 1: your first deposit today. Four leg moneyline parlay never do this,

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Speaker 1: but it's week eighteen, and I thought, well why not.

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Speaker 1: There are some real trend opportunities to jump in here

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Speaker 1: with this. The Patriots need to win this game. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Denver is not going to lose today. I would be stunned.

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Speaker 1: But the Patriots need the two seed as much as

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Speaker 1: they need the one seed. Two seed would be great too.

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Speaker 1: It's a home playoff game, you know, Denver gets upset

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Speaker 1: in the divisional round. Maybe the Patriots host the AFC

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Speaker 1: Championship game. So the Patriots, and every time they've won

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Speaker 1: the Super Bowl, it's been a one or a two seed.

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Speaker 1: So Patriots want the one seed, and they also want

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Speaker 1: to beat the Dolphins. Mike McDaniel is zero to six

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Speaker 1: straight up and two and four ats when he's playing

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Speaker 1: in games under forty degrees. When I'm looking outside right now,

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Speaker 1: it is cold. It is currently nineteen degrees in New Hampshire.

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Speaker 1: It is freezing cold. This is not a fun day

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Speaker 1: to play outdoors. And Miami has lost thirteen games in

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Speaker 1: a row outright when the temperature is under forty degrees.

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Speaker 1: Patriots money line. The Buffalo Bills are hosting the New

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Speaker 1: York Jets. The Jets are completely done. The Jets have

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Speaker 1: been done for a while, and the Bills, frankly well,

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Speaker 1: they can be the five, six or seven seed. They

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Speaker 1: need to win. They need a couple of things to happen.

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Speaker 1: Losses wise, a Charger loss, Houston loss would be good

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Speaker 1: for them to wind up being the five seed or

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Speaker 1: the sixth seed or the seventh seed. It's possible, but

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Speaker 1: the Jets have won and covered sorry. The Bills have

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Speaker 1: won un covered four straight games against the Jets at home.

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Speaker 1: Buffalo has won five straight games outright, and the Jets

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Speaker 1: last win in Buffalo came back in twenty nineteen. This

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Speaker 1: is Brady Cook on the road in the weather. I look,

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Speaker 1: Buffalo is not losing this game today. I would be

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Speaker 1: stunned if Buffalo loses this game today given what they

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Speaker 1: have done at home this year. They have not been

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Speaker 1: great at home. But this is a awful Jets team

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Speaker 1: that cannot wait to get in. In December, the Jets

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Speaker 1: have been outscored by one hundred and seven points. That's

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Speaker 1: the worst December point differential by any team in NFL

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Speaker 1: history in a single month, which is nuts. And they're

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Speaker 1: still got to play today which could be a blowout loss.

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Speaker 1: So the Jets have lost four straight games by twenty

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Speaker 1: one points or more entering this game. If they lose

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Speaker 1: by two one one points are more, they'll be the

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Speaker 1: first team in the Super Bowl era to lose five

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Speaker 1: games in a season by twenty one points or more.

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Speaker 1: That's how bad the Jets are, and they are expected

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Speaker 1: to potentially move off of Aaron Glenn as well as

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Speaker 1: the head coach position. So those two Bill's Patriots. Third

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Speaker 1: bet of the four leg money line parlay, I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: give you guys here for the hard rock bet of

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Speaker 1: the day. We're going to go to the Texans. Texans

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Speaker 1: needs to win and Tennessee to beat Jacksonville to get

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Speaker 1: the South and the three seed. Okay, in the three seed.

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Speaker 1: Texans are beating the Colts four straight times. It's Houston's

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Speaker 1: first four game win streak over Indian franchise history. Riley

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Speaker 1: Leonard is starting against this ferocious defense for the Houston Texans.

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Speaker 1: They may not cover this big number, but I think

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Speaker 1: they win the game. I don't think the Colts are

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Speaker 1: playing for anything that they would really be all that

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Speaker 1: jacked up about here. I think they want to get

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Speaker 1: a better draft pick, and this game matters for Houston.

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Speaker 1: They give me the three, the five, the six, or

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Speaker 1: the seven. Okay, there's all these scenarios for Houston. Got

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Speaker 1: to win the game though, to get the best seed possible.

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Speaker 1: Texans money line, and finally we got the Jaguars, who

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Speaker 1: could be the number one seed. Potentially, it's not gonna happen,

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Speaker 1: but it's possible they could be the number one seed.

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Speaker 1: They get the three seed, Denver wins, New Orleans, New

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Speaker 1: England wins, Houston loses, or Denver wins and New England

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Speaker 1: wins plus a Houston loss, and they're the three. They

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Speaker 1: could be the two seed, they could be the one seed.

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Speaker 1: They could be the one, two, three, five, or six

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Speaker 1: seed entering this day. It's crazy, but it's cam Ward

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Speaker 1: and the Titans. I know they've been playing hard, but

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Speaker 1: the Jaguars have been really good at home. Their defense

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Speaker 1: has been ferocious. But you can't run on these guys,

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Speaker 1: the best rush defense in the NFL. Trevor Lawrence has

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Speaker 1: been great as a big favorite. Jacksonville is three to

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Speaker 1: oh straight up and three to ozh against the spread

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Speaker 1: when he is a double digit favorite, favored by six

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Speaker 1: points or more. More is double digits. But think that

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Speaker 1: they win the game. Here going Jaguars money line against

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Speaker 1: the Titans. So our hard rock bet of the day.

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Speaker 1: We're nine and six so far in this four leg

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Speaker 1: money line parlay. You guys have been asking for it.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna give it to you. Four leg money line

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Speaker 1: parlay of Jaguars Texans, Bill's Patriots, So Chalky four leg

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Speaker 1: only minus one twenty five. You can believe that, but

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Speaker 1: we're gonna jump in on that with a hard rock

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Speaker 1: bet of the day Jags Texans Bill's Patriots four leg

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Speaker 1: money line parlay at minus one twenty five. I will

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Speaker 1: talk to you at new in Eastern Time with Seth

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Speaker 1: and myself breaking down week eighteen on the Betting prodes

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Speaker 1: YouTube channel minus Matt Parole. You guys can follow me

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Speaker 1: across all my socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning

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Speaker 1: wherever you guys get your podcasts. It is the Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice