1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:01,599 Speaker 1: Hey, guys, Saga and Crystal here. 2 00:00:01,680 --> 00:00:05,240 Speaker 2: Independent media just played a truly massive role in this election, 3 00:00:05,360 --> 00:00:07,840 Speaker 2: and we are so excited about what that means for 4 00:00:07,880 --> 00:00:08,720 Speaker 2: the future of this show. 5 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:10,719 Speaker 3: This is the only place where you can find honest 6 00:00:10,760 --> 00:00:13,280 Speaker 3: perspectives from the left and the right that simply does 7 00:00:13,320 --> 00:00:14,680 Speaker 3: not exist anywhere else. 8 00:00:14,760 --> 00:00:17,080 Speaker 2: So if that is something that's important to you, please 9 00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:19,599 Speaker 2: go to Breakingpoints dot com. Become a member today and 10 00:00:19,640 --> 00:00:22,800 Speaker 2: you'll get access to our full shows, unedited, ad free, 11 00:00:22,800 --> 00:00:25,600 Speaker 2: and all put together for you every morning in your inbox. 12 00:00:25,680 --> 00:00:27,560 Speaker 3: We need your help to build the future of independent 13 00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:29,920 Speaker 3: news media and we hope to see you at Breakingpoints 14 00:00:29,960 --> 00:00:35,800 Speaker 3: dot com. Good morning, everybody, Happy Tuesday. We're going to 15 00:00:35,840 --> 00:00:37,800 Speaker 3: get right into the news day because things are moving 16 00:00:37,920 --> 00:00:40,400 Speaker 3: very very quickly, say the least. 17 00:00:40,640 --> 00:00:43,000 Speaker 2: We are going to have Professor Jeffrey Sachs join us 18 00:00:43,080 --> 00:00:44,720 Speaker 2: later in the show, so really looking forward to that. 19 00:00:44,760 --> 00:00:46,199 Speaker 2: Emily is going to go through some of the key 20 00:00:46,200 --> 00:00:49,280 Speaker 2: clips from our interview with Tucker, but yeah, we want 21 00:00:49,280 --> 00:00:51,040 Speaker 2: to just jump right in because things are moving so 22 00:00:51,120 --> 00:00:55,440 Speaker 2: incredibly quickly. This morning, Donald Trump coming out guns blazing, 23 00:00:55,840 --> 00:00:59,880 Speaker 2: threatening both Israel and Iron not to violate a ceasefire 24 00:01:00,200 --> 00:01:02,920 Speaker 2: that he helps a broker yesterday. I'm going to play 25 00:01:02,960 --> 00:01:05,440 Speaker 2: the full comments here so you can really get a 26 00:01:05,480 --> 00:01:07,520 Speaker 2: full sense of what is going on, and then after 27 00:01:07,560 --> 00:01:10,920 Speaker 2: that I'll back up and we'll walk you through exactly 28 00:01:10,959 --> 00:01:12,640 Speaker 2: how we got to this point. Go ahead and take 29 00:01:12,640 --> 00:01:13,039 Speaker 2: a listen. 30 00:01:14,880 --> 00:01:15,319 Speaker 3: Agreement. 31 00:01:15,560 --> 00:01:18,759 Speaker 4: Do you believe that a ron so for many to see? 32 00:01:18,680 --> 00:01:19,039 Speaker 3: Yea, I do. 33 00:01:19,520 --> 00:01:24,440 Speaker 5: They violated it, But Israel violated it too. Israel as 34 00:01:24,480 --> 00:01:26,440 Speaker 5: soon as we made the deal, they came out and 35 00:01:26,480 --> 00:01:28,640 Speaker 5: they dropped the load of Bob's the likes of which 36 00:01:28,680 --> 00:01:31,600 Speaker 5: I've never seen before, the biggest load that we've seen. 37 00:01:31,920 --> 00:01:35,160 Speaker 5: I'm not happy with Israel. You know, when I say, okay, 38 00:01:35,200 --> 00:01:37,720 Speaker 5: now you have twelve hours, you don't go out in 39 00:01:37,760 --> 00:01:40,280 Speaker 5: the first hour. It just drop everything you have on them. 40 00:01:40,280 --> 00:01:42,720 Speaker 5: So I'm not happy with them. I'm not happy with 41 00:01:42,760 --> 00:01:46,160 Speaker 5: Iron either, But I'm really unhappy if Israel's going out 42 00:01:46,160 --> 00:01:49,240 Speaker 5: this morning because the one rocket that didn't land, that 43 00:01:49,400 --> 00:01:52,800 Speaker 5: was shot perhaps by mistake, that didn't land, I'm not 44 00:01:52,840 --> 00:01:57,400 Speaker 5: happy about that. You know what we have, We basically 45 00:01:57,440 --> 00:02:00,800 Speaker 5: have two countries that have been fighting so long and 46 00:02:00,880 --> 00:02:04,000 Speaker 5: so hard that they don't know what the fuck they're doing. 47 00:02:04,040 --> 00:02:05,080 Speaker 5: Do you understand that. 48 00:02:07,280 --> 00:02:08,400 Speaker 6: On a suppering apprograle. 49 00:02:08,600 --> 00:02:11,720 Speaker 5: I mean Iran will never rebuild a duklin from there, 50 00:02:12,040 --> 00:02:16,239 Speaker 5: absolutely not. That place is under rock. That place is demolished. 51 00:02:16,760 --> 00:02:19,200 Speaker 5: The b two pilots did their job. They did it 52 00:02:19,240 --> 00:02:22,440 Speaker 5: better than anybody could even imagine. They hit late in 53 00:02:22,440 --> 00:02:25,360 Speaker 5: the evening, it was dark with no moon, and they 54 00:02:25,440 --> 00:02:27,760 Speaker 5: hit that target with every one of those things. And 55 00:02:28,120 --> 00:02:31,320 Speaker 5: that place is gone. But when I see CNN all 56 00:02:31,400 --> 00:02:34,200 Speaker 5: night long, they're trying to say, well, maybe it wasn't 57 00:02:34,280 --> 00:02:37,520 Speaker 5: really as demolished as we thought. There was demolished, and 58 00:02:37,560 --> 00:02:40,160 Speaker 5: you take a look at the pinpricks and you see 59 00:02:40,440 --> 00:02:43,280 Speaker 5: that place is gone. And I will say, I think 60 00:02:43,320 --> 00:02:46,440 Speaker 5: CNN or to apologize to the pilots of the V twos, 61 00:02:46,919 --> 00:02:50,760 Speaker 5: I think that MSD and ZO to apologize. 62 00:02:50,080 --> 00:02:53,400 Speaker 2: So very habit present saying he is very unhappy with 63 00:02:53,600 --> 00:02:57,560 Speaker 2: Israel dropping a load of bombs, also saying that he 64 00:02:57,600 --> 00:02:59,600 Speaker 2: thinks these are two countries that have been fighting for 65 00:02:59,680 --> 00:03:01,400 Speaker 2: so hard and so long, they don't know what the 66 00:03:01,560 --> 00:03:03,200 Speaker 2: f they're doing dropping. 67 00:03:02,919 --> 00:03:03,679 Speaker 7: The F bomb here. 68 00:03:04,560 --> 00:03:07,040 Speaker 2: This comes on the heels of a whole lot. I'll 69 00:03:07,080 --> 00:03:09,520 Speaker 2: just go ahead and put up the or read through 70 00:03:10,000 --> 00:03:13,280 Speaker 2: the true social posts that have come out just this morning. Again, 71 00:03:13,320 --> 00:03:14,840 Speaker 2: this is in the context and I'll show you all 72 00:03:14,919 --> 00:03:17,680 Speaker 2: of this in just a moment of a ceasefire deal 73 00:03:17,840 --> 00:03:20,320 Speaker 2: that the President announced yesterday evening. 74 00:03:20,720 --> 00:03:21,760 Speaker 7: So first thing we. 75 00:03:21,720 --> 00:03:25,400 Speaker 2: Got this morning is President Trump posted, Israel, do not 76 00:03:25,600 --> 00:03:28,520 Speaker 2: drop those bombs. If you do, it is a major violation. 77 00:03:28,800 --> 00:03:31,440 Speaker 2: Bring your pilots home now, Donald J. Trump, President the 78 00:03:31,520 --> 00:03:35,560 Speaker 2: United States. Next, he posted, Israel is not going to 79 00:03:35,600 --> 00:03:39,120 Speaker 2: attack Iran. All planes will turn around and head home. 80 00:03:39,520 --> 00:03:42,360 Speaker 2: While doing a friendly plane wave. He puts in quotes 81 00:03:42,400 --> 00:03:43,920 Speaker 2: to Iran, nobody. 82 00:03:43,600 --> 00:03:44,160 Speaker 7: Will be hurt. 83 00:03:44,280 --> 00:03:47,000 Speaker 2: The ceasefire is in effect. Thank you for your attention 84 00:03:47,080 --> 00:03:50,400 Speaker 2: to this matter. And then the latest one that we gotten, 85 00:03:50,440 --> 00:03:52,200 Speaker 2: by the way, recording this at eight oh eight am 86 00:03:52,240 --> 00:03:54,160 Speaker 2: this morning. This is from about half an hour ago. 87 00:03:54,440 --> 00:03:58,040 Speaker 2: Iran will never rebuild their nuclear facilities. And that was 88 00:03:58,040 --> 00:04:01,280 Speaker 2: the other significant part saga of what the President was 89 00:04:01,400 --> 00:04:04,000 Speaker 2: insisting on there and his rant and screen against CNN 90 00:04:04,040 --> 00:04:07,840 Speaker 2: and MSNBC, DNC as he was calling it is the 91 00:04:07,880 --> 00:04:11,120 Speaker 2: fact that insisting that the nuclear facilities that we bombed 92 00:04:11,120 --> 00:04:14,840 Speaker 2: were completely obliterated. I think this being significant because he 93 00:04:14,880 --> 00:04:17,200 Speaker 2: wants to be able to claim that something was accomplished 94 00:04:17,600 --> 00:04:21,960 Speaker 2: with this incredibly dangerous and escalatory mission that he engaged in. 95 00:04:22,040 --> 00:04:24,240 Speaker 3: Yeah, before look, I mean I think even before we 96 00:04:24,279 --> 00:04:26,919 Speaker 3: get to the macro. It's really just worth ruminating on 97 00:04:26,960 --> 00:04:30,279 Speaker 3: the last twelve hours because originally we had the ceasefire. 98 00:04:30,360 --> 00:04:32,120 Speaker 3: We can actually put that up on the screen, A 99 00:04:32,240 --> 00:04:34,880 Speaker 3: one please, just to show everybody this is how things 100 00:04:34,880 --> 00:04:37,960 Speaker 3: started out. Congratulations to everyone. It's been fully agreed there'll 101 00:04:37,960 --> 00:04:41,880 Speaker 3: be a ceasefire. Then this is the confusing part. Officially, 102 00:04:41,920 --> 00:04:44,279 Speaker 3: Iran will start the ceasefire, and upon the twelfth hour, 103 00:04:44,400 --> 00:04:46,920 Speaker 3: Israel will start the ceasefire, and upon the twenty fourth hour, 104 00:04:47,160 --> 00:04:49,520 Speaker 3: an official end to the twelve day war will be 105 00:04:49,600 --> 00:04:52,800 Speaker 3: saluted by the world. Now, immediately after that, there was 106 00:04:52,800 --> 00:04:55,680 Speaker 3: some confusion and some reporting that came out as to 107 00:04:55,720 --> 00:04:58,440 Speaker 3: whether it was all even true. Putting a two please 108 00:04:58,600 --> 00:05:00,520 Speaker 3: up on the screen so you can see it was 109 00:05:00,560 --> 00:05:03,760 Speaker 3: like Trump, Israel, and Israel and around agreed to a ceasfire. 110 00:05:03,960 --> 00:05:06,960 Speaker 3: Then Iran, we have not received any cspire proposal. Israel, 111 00:05:07,000 --> 00:05:09,600 Speaker 3: we are declining to comment on any ceasfire. Iran says 112 00:05:09,600 --> 00:05:11,640 Speaker 3: they have agreed to the US proposed cease fire, but 113 00:05:11,800 --> 00:05:14,359 Speaker 3: they proposed a different timeline than the one that was 114 00:05:14,360 --> 00:05:18,000 Speaker 3: offered by Trump three thirty am Jerusalem time, and initially 115 00:05:18,240 --> 00:05:21,560 Speaker 3: then we see reports that Israel actually carries out its 116 00:05:21,600 --> 00:05:25,520 Speaker 3: strongest strikes ever of the entire campaign, all across the 117 00:05:25,560 --> 00:05:29,320 Speaker 3: city of Tehran, something that Trump mentioned in his tirade saying, 118 00:05:29,360 --> 00:05:31,680 Speaker 3: who in the first hour of ceasefire goes in there 119 00:05:31,839 --> 00:05:33,839 Speaker 3: and blows it up. We were like, oh, interesting, you know, 120 00:05:33,880 --> 00:05:36,080 Speaker 3: we're starting to pay attention a little bit here to 121 00:05:36,160 --> 00:05:39,440 Speaker 3: what these Israeli strikes actually are going to do. Then 122 00:05:39,600 --> 00:05:43,240 Speaker 3: what happens is that the Iranians fire missiles also after 123 00:05:43,440 --> 00:05:46,119 Speaker 3: their so called four am deadline that their own foreign 124 00:05:46,120 --> 00:05:49,800 Speaker 3: minister announces last night, actually a significant amount of missiles 125 00:05:49,880 --> 00:05:53,080 Speaker 3: for civilians were killed inside of Israel, was a significant 126 00:05:53,080 --> 00:05:56,640 Speaker 3: amount of damage. Then this was roughly three hours before 127 00:05:56,800 --> 00:05:59,479 Speaker 3: we're filming. The IDF announces that they are going to 128 00:05:59,600 --> 00:06:02,679 Speaker 3: a bliter or eight Tehran. They're going to strike back 129 00:06:02,880 --> 00:06:07,719 Speaker 3: the warmant. The war Cabinet approves itv Ben Gavier posts 130 00:06:07,760 --> 00:06:10,240 Speaker 3: one of those things being like, you guys asked for it, 131 00:06:10,480 --> 00:06:14,320 Speaker 3: We're coming for you. Is IDF jets are literally over 132 00:06:14,400 --> 00:06:17,159 Speaker 3: the skies of Tehran, and then Trump walks out onto 133 00:06:17,200 --> 00:06:19,560 Speaker 3: the South Lawn and that's where he gives his tyrone, 134 00:06:19,560 --> 00:06:20,080 Speaker 3: the tyrate. 135 00:06:20,160 --> 00:06:22,040 Speaker 1: They don't know what the fuck they're doing. I'm very 136 00:06:22,120 --> 00:06:22,680 Speaker 1: upset with. 137 00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:27,080 Speaker 3: Israel orders Israel by truth social to stop. And so 138 00:06:27,320 --> 00:06:30,600 Speaker 3: that's where things stand as for right now. It has 139 00:06:30,680 --> 00:06:34,640 Speaker 3: been like an absolutely insane twenty four hour period. But yeah, 140 00:06:34,720 --> 00:06:37,800 Speaker 3: let's then take a step back and actually look analytically 141 00:06:37,839 --> 00:06:41,039 Speaker 3: at everything that's This is the fakest end of a 142 00:06:41,120 --> 00:06:44,400 Speaker 3: conflict and beginning of a conflict of all time. So 143 00:06:44,839 --> 00:06:46,560 Speaker 3: Israel and we haven't even gotten to the fact that 144 00:06:46,839 --> 00:06:50,360 Speaker 3: the Iran, you know, launched fourteen missiles at a US 145 00:06:50,400 --> 00:06:51,400 Speaker 3: air base in. 146 00:06:51,360 --> 00:06:53,359 Speaker 7: Qatar, our largest airbase in the region, the. 147 00:06:53,400 --> 00:06:56,680 Speaker 3: Largest airbase in the region, a huge logistics hub. I've 148 00:06:56,680 --> 00:06:59,320 Speaker 3: talked a lot about it yesterday. Actually, can we put 149 00:06:59,320 --> 00:07:02,919 Speaker 3: some of the vo of that place a seven guys. 150 00:07:02,960 --> 00:07:04,640 Speaker 1: Can we go in and show it to everybody? 151 00:07:04,960 --> 00:07:08,160 Speaker 3: You got some US service members that are cheering all 152 00:07:08,200 --> 00:07:11,040 Speaker 3: the Patriot batteries and the show. I mean, it's pretty surreal. 153 00:07:11,320 --> 00:07:13,400 Speaker 3: As people know, I went to high school in Guitar, 154 00:07:13,480 --> 00:07:17,119 Speaker 3: so it's pretty insane. Literally, I've been to that air base, 155 00:07:17,200 --> 00:07:19,040 Speaker 3: you know, I went to high school there. I knew 156 00:07:19,040 --> 00:07:21,800 Speaker 3: some people who still live in the country. It's pretty 157 00:07:21,840 --> 00:07:24,840 Speaker 3: wild that the airspace was closed. You know, Qatar Airways 158 00:07:24,920 --> 00:07:27,440 Speaker 3: one of the largest carriers in the world, turning planes 159 00:07:27,480 --> 00:07:28,559 Speaker 3: around in the middle of the sky. 160 00:07:28,760 --> 00:07:31,440 Speaker 1: It was a very dangerous situation. So that is happening. 161 00:07:31,680 --> 00:07:34,960 Speaker 3: Immediately afterwards, the Iranians, it basically the news comes out 162 00:07:35,000 --> 00:07:37,120 Speaker 3: that they coordinated their strike with Qatar and gave a 163 00:07:37,160 --> 00:07:39,520 Speaker 3: heads up to the United States. It was a very 164 00:07:39,600 --> 00:07:42,240 Speaker 3: very calibrated response. It was the off ramp. Trump takes 165 00:07:42,240 --> 00:07:44,320 Speaker 3: the off ramp and he's like, thank you Iran for 166 00:07:44,480 --> 00:07:46,800 Speaker 3: giving us a heads up about the strike. There's been 167 00:07:46,840 --> 00:07:49,760 Speaker 3: no damage here at the airbase, no Americans were killed. 168 00:07:49,880 --> 00:07:53,920 Speaker 3: Now it's time for world peace. So Iran executes a 169 00:07:53,920 --> 00:07:58,520 Speaker 3: fake attack on America. America does basically a fake claim. 170 00:07:58,560 --> 00:08:01,840 Speaker 3: We get to pretend that Iran's nuclear program is gone. 171 00:08:01,960 --> 00:08:04,040 Speaker 3: This is all of fugazy, let's all be honest. Yeah, 172 00:08:04,040 --> 00:08:07,280 Speaker 3: and then Israel gets to, I guess, pretend that this 173 00:08:07,440 --> 00:08:09,880 Speaker 3: was really about the nuclear program and not about regime 174 00:08:09,960 --> 00:08:13,040 Speaker 3: change this entire time. So it's just it's a fake 175 00:08:13,120 --> 00:08:17,760 Speaker 3: It's fake literally all around. Everyone is pretending at every level. 176 00:08:17,800 --> 00:08:20,360 Speaker 3: I mean, the truth is is that the Iranian nuclear 177 00:08:20,400 --> 00:08:23,760 Speaker 3: program and the uranium stockpile remains intact despite whatever they 178 00:08:23,760 --> 00:08:25,880 Speaker 3: want to claim. I still the Vice President on Fox 179 00:08:25,920 --> 00:08:27,920 Speaker 3: News me like it's been buried and actually it's no 180 00:08:28,000 --> 00:08:30,880 Speaker 3: longer a problem. There's an act literally non a scrap 181 00:08:30,880 --> 00:08:33,200 Speaker 3: of evidence to back that up. In fact, all arms 182 00:08:33,520 --> 00:08:35,880 Speaker 3: Control people are saying, actually, we know exactly where it is, 183 00:08:35,920 --> 00:08:38,800 Speaker 3: and they do have still some secret facilities. They're roughly 184 00:08:38,800 --> 00:08:41,560 Speaker 3: three to five years away likely from being able to 185 00:08:41,840 --> 00:08:44,880 Speaker 3: create a nuclear bomb if they wanted to. In fact, 186 00:08:44,920 --> 00:08:47,640 Speaker 3: the strategic logic of doing so probably has never existed. 187 00:08:47,640 --> 00:08:51,240 Speaker 3: More on the Israeli side, I mean, it's pretty obvious 188 00:08:51,360 --> 00:08:53,720 Speaker 3: that from day one none of this was really about 189 00:08:53,720 --> 00:08:56,840 Speaker 3: the nuclear weapons program because they're blowing up half of 190 00:08:56,880 --> 00:09:00,480 Speaker 3: the regime and executing all of these people, Okay. And 191 00:09:00,520 --> 00:09:03,040 Speaker 3: then again on the Iranian side, I mean, look, we can't. 192 00:09:03,160 --> 00:09:05,960 Speaker 3: You know, it's like it's been embarrassing for them as well. 193 00:09:06,000 --> 00:09:08,880 Speaker 3: I mean, they had their entire command and control basically exit, 194 00:09:08,920 --> 00:09:12,360 Speaker 3: you know, basically infiltrated by Mosad. Yes, they were able 195 00:09:12,400 --> 00:09:15,040 Speaker 3: to establish some credible ballistic missile deterrment, but they had 196 00:09:15,080 --> 00:09:17,480 Speaker 3: their whole air defense systems that were wiped out. And 197 00:09:17,480 --> 00:09:19,679 Speaker 3: the reason they took their off ramp is because at 198 00:09:19,679 --> 00:09:21,440 Speaker 3: the end of the day they were getting pounded and 199 00:09:21,520 --> 00:09:22,920 Speaker 3: they were at serious risk. 200 00:09:23,080 --> 00:09:25,720 Speaker 2: I think Iranians, I mean, they weren't the ones on 201 00:09:25,800 --> 00:09:28,240 Speaker 2: the on ramp to start with, so like for them 202 00:09:28,280 --> 00:09:30,480 Speaker 2: to take the off ramp, it was because they didn't 203 00:09:30,520 --> 00:09:31,760 Speaker 2: want this war to begin with. 204 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:34,520 Speaker 3: That's also the strategic logic of this, where you know, 205 00:09:34,640 --> 00:09:39,120 Speaker 3: on the one hand, iran is a regime of Nazis 206 00:09:39,200 --> 00:09:42,400 Speaker 3: who chant death to America, but then on the other 207 00:09:42,920 --> 00:09:47,040 Speaker 3: they are a restrained and rational party giving you know, 208 00:09:47,200 --> 00:09:49,920 Speaker 3: heads up to the United States of America as Israel 209 00:09:50,040 --> 00:09:53,000 Speaker 3: and taking the first chance at an off ramp are 210 00:09:53,360 --> 00:09:54,000 Speaker 3: So which one is it? 211 00:09:54,120 --> 00:09:56,760 Speaker 2: Can we hold on that point because I want people 212 00:09:56,880 --> 00:09:58,960 Speaker 2: to really think about this. I want you to think 213 00:09:59,000 --> 00:10:02,240 Speaker 2: about the way that the Iranians have been portrayed in 214 00:10:02,440 --> 00:10:05,479 Speaker 2: mass American media, certainly my entire. 215 00:10:05,240 --> 00:10:08,200 Speaker 7: Life, as this Nazi esque. 216 00:10:08,360 --> 00:10:11,440 Speaker 2: Belligerent regime that the moment they got a nuke was 217 00:10:11,480 --> 00:10:13,360 Speaker 2: going to come and blow up New York City. Right, 218 00:10:13,440 --> 00:10:16,679 Speaker 2: That's how we're supposed to understand them, But not only 219 00:10:16,760 --> 00:10:17,480 Speaker 2: in this conflict. 220 00:10:17,480 --> 00:10:19,679 Speaker 7: Okay, let's be really clear. 221 00:10:19,920 --> 00:10:23,520 Speaker 2: The Iranians are the ones that de escalated and created 222 00:10:23,520 --> 00:10:28,000 Speaker 2: the possibility of de escalation because our actions of dropping 223 00:10:28,080 --> 00:10:32,800 Speaker 2: a dozen bunker buster bombs on their nuclear facilities, our 224 00:10:32,880 --> 00:10:37,800 Speaker 2: actions were incredibly inflammatory in escalatory. Their reaction to that 225 00:10:38,480 --> 00:10:41,200 Speaker 2: was to tell us, hey, listen, we got to do 226 00:10:41,280 --> 00:10:44,000 Speaker 2: something in response to this, but here's where it's going 227 00:10:44,080 --> 00:10:46,200 Speaker 2: to be, Here's when it's going to be. So we 228 00:10:46,280 --> 00:10:49,120 Speaker 2: can just do a performative strike that is not going 229 00:10:49,200 --> 00:10:51,600 Speaker 2: to actually cause any damage, which it didn't, and certainly 230 00:10:51,640 --> 00:10:54,400 Speaker 2: no casualties, which it also didn't, so that we have 231 00:10:54,480 --> 00:10:58,959 Speaker 2: a chance at taking the tensions down incredibly. Look, I mean, 232 00:10:59,040 --> 00:11:00,680 Speaker 2: I'm not sure it was the right to decision. In fact, 233 00:11:00,679 --> 00:11:03,880 Speaker 2: I think if there's any critique strategically just tactically of 234 00:11:03,920 --> 00:11:07,400 Speaker 2: the Iranian government, it's actually that they've been too weak 235 00:11:07,640 --> 00:11:11,560 Speaker 2: in response to provocations, especially the provocations from Israel and 236 00:11:11,679 --> 00:11:13,839 Speaker 2: also the you know, provocations from Trump in his first 237 00:11:13,920 --> 00:11:16,200 Speaker 2: term when he assassinated cost him solo money. What he 238 00:11:16,320 --> 00:11:18,320 Speaker 2: learned from that is there's no price to be paid 239 00:11:18,480 --> 00:11:21,280 Speaker 2: from messing with them, and so that's, you know, if 240 00:11:21,320 --> 00:11:24,560 Speaker 2: anything tactically that would be the critique of them. And 241 00:11:24,640 --> 00:11:27,079 Speaker 2: yet we're supposed to believe that they are hell bent 242 00:11:27,120 --> 00:11:29,440 Speaker 2: on getting a nuclear weapon and that the second they do, 243 00:11:29,480 --> 00:11:31,640 Speaker 2: they're going to drop it on Kansas or Missouri or 244 00:11:31,720 --> 00:11:36,080 Speaker 2: New York City or whatever. This is preposterous. It's total 245 00:11:36,120 --> 00:11:39,400 Speaker 2: and complete nonsense. The people who have been behaving like 246 00:11:39,440 --> 00:11:44,600 Speaker 2: the biggest maniacs, psychopaths and completely rogue regime that do 247 00:11:44,760 --> 00:11:49,440 Speaker 2: actually have a secret nuclear program are the Israelis. They 248 00:11:49,480 --> 00:11:53,080 Speaker 2: are the provocateurs here. Now listen, Trump does not get 249 00:11:53,080 --> 00:11:56,640 Speaker 2: off the hook. He decided that he wanted to engage 250 00:11:56,679 --> 00:12:02,160 Speaker 2: with Israel in this incredibly stupid, foolish danger is game. 251 00:12:02,679 --> 00:12:04,880 Speaker 2: And now he's pretending, to your point about the fakery, 252 00:12:05,160 --> 00:12:07,320 Speaker 2: he's pretending, Oh, we obliterated their nuclear birth. 253 00:12:07,760 --> 00:12:09,360 Speaker 1: Okay, look that's what we know. 254 00:12:09,800 --> 00:12:13,000 Speaker 7: That's what you mean to pretend, and we're to get it. Sure. 255 00:12:13,760 --> 00:12:16,840 Speaker 2: But the reality is, what have we in those of 256 00:12:16,920 --> 00:12:19,080 Speaker 2: us who are living in the real world, what have 257 00:12:19,160 --> 00:12:22,600 Speaker 2: we actually gained. What we've actually gained is we provided 258 00:12:22,960 --> 00:12:27,120 Speaker 2: more incentive for the Iranians to pursue a nuclear weapon. 259 00:12:27,440 --> 00:12:30,439 Speaker 2: We have allowed Israel to You know, you give those 260 00:12:30,440 --> 00:12:32,480 Speaker 2: people an inch, they take a mile. If you think 261 00:12:32,520 --> 00:12:34,520 Speaker 2: this is it and it's over, and it's done. You 262 00:12:34,559 --> 00:12:36,839 Speaker 2: think BBN Yahu is about to wake up today and say, 263 00:12:36,840 --> 00:12:39,440 Speaker 2: you know, regime change in Iran. I don't really need that. 264 00:12:39,559 --> 00:12:40,040 Speaker 7: I'm good. 265 00:12:40,480 --> 00:12:42,679 Speaker 2: You know now that they drop their bunker busters and 266 00:12:42,880 --> 00:12:45,280 Speaker 2: the nuclear program is not at all does mean I'm good. 267 00:12:45,640 --> 00:12:47,640 Speaker 2: I can just sit back and it'll be fun. No, 268 00:12:48,320 --> 00:12:51,480 Speaker 2: he and his allies, of which he has many in 269 00:12:51,520 --> 00:12:54,600 Speaker 2: this town. As Lord knows we've seen and the media, 270 00:12:55,000 --> 00:12:58,559 Speaker 2: he and his allies will keep pushing, keep pushing. There 271 00:12:58,559 --> 00:13:01,600 Speaker 2: will be another. Oh, Iran violated the ceasefire. Now we 272 00:13:01,679 --> 00:13:03,640 Speaker 2: have to bond this. This will not be the last time, 273 00:13:03,640 --> 00:13:06,400 Speaker 2: because they roll out this playbook every single time. I 274 00:13:06,440 --> 00:13:08,360 Speaker 2: don't know if there's ever been a ceasefire agreement that 275 00:13:08,440 --> 00:13:10,280 Speaker 2: Israel has agreed to that they haven't had happen. 276 00:13:10,080 --> 00:13:11,079 Speaker 1: In Lebanon exactly. 277 00:13:11,160 --> 00:13:13,600 Speaker 3: And look, I mean this is again why this hole 278 00:13:13,640 --> 00:13:17,280 Speaker 3: Maga cope is driving me crazy because what you're watching 279 00:13:17,400 --> 00:13:22,240 Speaker 3: here is not some grand master plan. It is utterly schizophrenic. 280 00:13:22,320 --> 00:13:24,880 Speaker 3: And we know this. I even know it. I've spent 281 00:13:24,920 --> 00:13:27,320 Speaker 3: the last two weeks of my life on the phone. 282 00:13:27,360 --> 00:13:29,839 Speaker 3: And it's ironic because they're like, oh, we trusted the 283 00:13:29,880 --> 00:13:31,719 Speaker 3: plan all along, and I'm like, do you want to 284 00:13:31,760 --> 00:13:32,480 Speaker 3: know who didn't. 285 00:13:32,240 --> 00:13:32,880 Speaker 1: Trust the plan? 286 00:13:33,200 --> 00:13:37,439 Speaker 3: A massive number of people with top secret security clearance 287 00:13:37,640 --> 00:13:40,839 Speaker 3: working in national security in this White House situation room 288 00:13:41,040 --> 00:13:43,319 Speaker 3: or around it in the Pentagon and the State Department, 289 00:13:43,360 --> 00:13:45,760 Speaker 3: in the intelligence community, who thought that we were this 290 00:13:46,040 --> 00:13:48,599 Speaker 3: close to the brink of war because of the capricious 291 00:13:48,679 --> 00:13:51,200 Speaker 3: nature of the way Trump has done this. Remember, let's 292 00:13:51,200 --> 00:13:53,200 Speaker 3: just look again at the public statements just from the 293 00:13:53,400 --> 00:13:57,960 Speaker 3: and again there's no actually, there's really no plan behind this. Initially, 294 00:13:58,080 --> 00:13:59,760 Speaker 3: America has nothing to do with the strike because it's 295 00:13:59,760 --> 00:14:02,280 Speaker 3: a yellow light, and Trump gets excited, and then we're 296 00:14:02,280 --> 00:14:04,720 Speaker 3: going all in. We're actually okay with all of it, 297 00:14:04,800 --> 00:14:07,120 Speaker 3: and then America is gonna come in. We give him 298 00:14:07,120 --> 00:14:09,520 Speaker 3: a two week pause, but actually bomb them. After two days, 299 00:14:09,600 --> 00:14:13,000 Speaker 3: we demand unconditional surrender, and we sign a cease fire 300 00:14:13,720 --> 00:14:17,720 Speaker 3: within forty eight hours of after bombing them. What it's like, 301 00:14:17,800 --> 00:14:20,920 Speaker 3: by your own admission, literally nothing of what you said 302 00:14:21,240 --> 00:14:24,320 Speaker 3: makes any sense. The diplomacy was used as a ruse, 303 00:14:24,520 --> 00:14:26,400 Speaker 3: and then you demand region and then you're saying we're 304 00:14:26,400 --> 00:14:27,400 Speaker 3: gonna have regime change. 305 00:14:27,600 --> 00:14:30,080 Speaker 1: So what happened to unconditional surrender? Which is it? 306 00:14:30,240 --> 00:14:32,720 Speaker 3: And This is exactly the problem is that the israelis 307 00:14:32,920 --> 00:14:36,200 Speaker 3: having a major strategic opening here if they need it. 308 00:14:36,240 --> 00:14:40,479 Speaker 3: Trump is angry because he didn't get his pr win initially. 309 00:14:40,800 --> 00:14:43,240 Speaker 3: Now they get to go right back to work on him, 310 00:14:43,280 --> 00:14:46,800 Speaker 3: just like they did with the negotiations. Remember, if this 311 00:14:46,800 --> 00:14:49,120 Speaker 3: does not end today, Trump wants a to end today, 312 00:14:49,200 --> 00:14:51,120 Speaker 3: But what will happen already today? 313 00:14:51,160 --> 00:14:51,720 Speaker 7: Trump wants it. 314 00:14:52,080 --> 00:14:54,640 Speaker 3: So. Trump wants it exactly. Trump wants it to end today. 315 00:14:54,640 --> 00:14:56,640 Speaker 3: He's like, we will now have peace for all time. 316 00:14:56,720 --> 00:14:57,480 Speaker 3: He literally said that. 317 00:14:57,520 --> 00:15:00,000 Speaker 1: I'm not joking. I'm like, Okay, well. 318 00:15:00,080 --> 00:15:02,480 Speaker 3: What I've already watched, and I follow all of these 319 00:15:02,480 --> 00:15:06,760 Speaker 3: people religiously. Mark Dubowitz, Jason BRODSKT, all these other United 320 00:15:06,800 --> 00:15:10,400 Speaker 3: against Nuclear Iran, the Foundation for Defensive Democracies, all of 321 00:15:10,440 --> 00:15:14,720 Speaker 3: the actual neo con operatives here in Washington whose job 322 00:15:14,840 --> 00:15:17,280 Speaker 3: is to lobby against deals, all of them are already 323 00:15:17,280 --> 00:15:19,280 Speaker 3: be like, listen, look, Trump, ceasefire. 324 00:15:19,320 --> 00:15:20,800 Speaker 1: It's a historic achievement. 325 00:15:20,840 --> 00:15:23,320 Speaker 3: However, as long as the Islamic regime remains in place, 326 00:15:23,560 --> 00:15:26,080 Speaker 3: Israel is no longer safe or now we have to 327 00:15:26,120 --> 00:15:28,640 Speaker 3: get back to the negotiating table. And when we get 328 00:15:28,680 --> 00:15:31,440 Speaker 3: back to that negotiating table. We cannot let the Iranians 329 00:15:31,560 --> 00:15:34,240 Speaker 3: put in any poison pills. They are laying the ground 330 00:15:34,280 --> 00:15:38,400 Speaker 3: there for more violations of potential cease fire, future Israeli action, 331 00:15:38,600 --> 00:15:41,400 Speaker 3: more pushing the United States. And look at the vector 332 00:15:41,640 --> 00:15:43,040 Speaker 3: now that they have on Donald Trump. 333 00:15:43,080 --> 00:15:44,000 Speaker 1: All they have to do. 334 00:15:44,200 --> 00:15:47,400 Speaker 3: Is to convince him that he's been humiliated by Iran 335 00:15:47,520 --> 00:15:49,600 Speaker 3: or something like that, and of course he could change 336 00:15:49,600 --> 00:15:53,640 Speaker 3: his mind immediately. Mark Levin is immediately on his radio 337 00:15:53,720 --> 00:15:57,760 Speaker 3: show saying that doing a ceasefire with Nazis is terrible strategy, 338 00:15:58,240 --> 00:16:02,040 Speaker 3: hard against Donald Trump. I'm watching the same thing. Half 339 00:16:02,080 --> 00:16:05,920 Speaker 3: of these like neocon agitating accounts. They're furious with Trump 340 00:16:06,000 --> 00:16:08,840 Speaker 3: actually for restraining Israel because Iran. 341 00:16:08,560 --> 00:16:09,440 Speaker 1: Broke the ceasefire. 342 00:16:09,480 --> 00:16:11,080 Speaker 3: Look, I don't even know who broke the cease fire 343 00:16:11,080 --> 00:16:13,000 Speaker 3: because I don't know when the damn seaspire even started. 344 00:16:13,000 --> 00:16:15,440 Speaker 3: I don't think you read that tweet and you tell 345 00:16:15,440 --> 00:16:17,480 Speaker 3: me if you can decipher what it is. And by 346 00:16:17,480 --> 00:16:18,960 Speaker 3: the way, it's not just me, the Israelis and the 347 00:16:18,960 --> 00:16:22,240 Speaker 3: Iranians are confused as well. So look, we're still in 348 00:16:22,280 --> 00:16:25,800 Speaker 3: a bad situation. This is very very mission accomplished to me, 349 00:16:26,080 --> 00:16:28,560 Speaker 3: you know, it's oh, it's he wants he wanted to 350 00:16:28,560 --> 00:16:30,360 Speaker 3: be the Twelve Day War, and you can see it 351 00:16:30,360 --> 00:16:31,440 Speaker 3: in his television brain. 352 00:16:31,760 --> 00:16:34,720 Speaker 1: This is pr but this is real life. And by 353 00:16:34,720 --> 00:16:35,720 Speaker 1: the way, even if it was. 354 00:16:35,720 --> 00:16:38,280 Speaker 3: Like such a grand strategics success, did a single thing 355 00:16:38,320 --> 00:16:41,200 Speaker 3: get accomplished that couldn't have been accomplished with Steve Wickcoff. 356 00:16:41,280 --> 00:16:43,960 Speaker 1: I just don't believe it, right Ques specially No, it 357 00:16:44,040 --> 00:16:45,920 Speaker 1: set us back. Yeah, that's that's what I'm saying. 358 00:16:45,920 --> 00:16:48,840 Speaker 3: The strategic logic of going for a bomb has literally 359 00:16:48,880 --> 00:16:51,920 Speaker 3: never made In fact, the neocon logic may actually be 360 00:16:52,040 --> 00:16:54,800 Speaker 3: more correct today that the Iranian incentive would be to 361 00:16:54,800 --> 00:16:57,600 Speaker 3: string along the West, to agree to some you know, 362 00:16:57,760 --> 00:17:00,640 Speaker 3: half assed deal or whatever, and sprint to a bomb. 363 00:17:00,840 --> 00:17:02,520 Speaker 1: I'm telling you that's what I would do. Now. 364 00:17:02,560 --> 00:17:05,360 Speaker 3: Look, the Iranians are weak, you know, they've been humiliated, 365 00:17:06,000 --> 00:17:10,560 Speaker 3: but they still they remain to fight another day. If again, 366 00:17:10,720 --> 00:17:14,240 Speaker 3: like the logic of a shelter, you know, shelter in place, 367 00:17:15,040 --> 00:17:18,320 Speaker 3: bunker down, build as many ballistic missiles, and sprint to 368 00:17:18,359 --> 00:17:21,560 Speaker 3: a nuke has literally never made more sense. Their country 369 00:17:21,840 --> 00:17:25,600 Speaker 3: was almost destroyed, Like they got their air defenses gone, 370 00:17:25,680 --> 00:17:28,840 Speaker 3: they got their nuclear facilities bombed. They all their attempts 371 00:17:28,840 --> 00:17:31,720 Speaker 3: at diplomacy were failures, so they'll take the out where 372 00:17:31,720 --> 00:17:34,080 Speaker 3: they can. But I mean, you know, if you are 373 00:17:34,160 --> 00:17:38,160 Speaker 3: one of those negotiation pedlers inside the Iranian regime, what 374 00:17:38,280 --> 00:17:41,600 Speaker 3: legitimacy do you have now with the security establishment? Again 375 00:17:41,640 --> 00:17:45,000 Speaker 3: half striss in some strategic empathy. So they're not suicidal, 376 00:17:45,280 --> 00:17:47,840 Speaker 3: but also they live to fight another day, and in 377 00:17:47,920 --> 00:17:50,199 Speaker 3: a certain sense, like what has happened to them is 378 00:17:50,240 --> 00:17:53,360 Speaker 3: so humiliating now on the world stage that I don't 379 00:17:53,359 --> 00:17:55,440 Speaker 3: know if they really have a choice to go otherwise. 380 00:17:55,440 --> 00:17:57,359 Speaker 3: And I'm not even really sure what assurance is we 381 00:17:57,400 --> 00:17:59,960 Speaker 3: can offer them to say that this won't ever happen again, 382 00:18:00,440 --> 00:18:02,719 Speaker 3: considering you know, the last ten years of year probacy, 383 00:18:02,760 --> 00:18:03,359 Speaker 3: what are they going to do? 384 00:18:03,440 --> 00:18:05,320 Speaker 7: There's zero assurance we could offer them. 385 00:18:07,960 --> 00:18:12,080 Speaker 2: The minute that they give up their nuclear You know, 386 00:18:12,160 --> 00:18:14,680 Speaker 2: what they have right now is the sixty percent highly 387 00:18:14,720 --> 00:18:17,479 Speaker 2: enrich uranium, which we've heard endlessly about. They have that 388 00:18:17,560 --> 00:18:19,760 Speaker 2: as a bargaining chip. They have that as something they 389 00:18:19,840 --> 00:18:23,640 Speaker 2: can get rid of in order to get some sort 390 00:18:23,640 --> 00:18:27,240 Speaker 2: of a deal in sanctions relief and whatever. They give 391 00:18:27,320 --> 00:18:30,360 Speaker 2: that up, they are just sitting ducks, you know, that 392 00:18:30,520 --> 00:18:33,639 Speaker 2: and if they give up even the pretense of, you know, 393 00:18:34,119 --> 00:18:37,480 Speaker 2: pursuing some sort of nuclear weapon, which again they weren't 394 00:18:37,480 --> 00:18:40,080 Speaker 2: according to our intelligence. According to the IEA, they were 395 00:18:40,119 --> 00:18:43,359 Speaker 2: not pursuing a nuclear weapon. They were using the sixty 396 00:18:43,400 --> 00:18:46,600 Speaker 2: percent in richeranium as a bargaining chip in the negotiations. 397 00:18:46,640 --> 00:18:49,040 Speaker 2: But yeah, the minute you give all of that up, 398 00:18:49,320 --> 00:18:50,440 Speaker 2: you're sitting duck and you. 399 00:18:50,359 --> 00:18:51,720 Speaker 7: Can't trust are you kidding me? 400 00:18:52,240 --> 00:18:52,800 Speaker 4: Trust us? 401 00:18:53,280 --> 00:18:56,000 Speaker 2: We use this diplomacy as a ruse to allow the 402 00:18:56,119 --> 00:18:59,119 Speaker 2: Israelis the element of surprise, you know, extent they were 403 00:18:59,160 --> 00:19:00,280 Speaker 2: able to achieve that. 404 00:19:00,640 --> 00:19:01,480 Speaker 7: Then we used a. 405 00:19:01,400 --> 00:19:04,200 Speaker 2: Second diplomatic effort as a resistant even to talk about 406 00:19:04,200 --> 00:19:07,480 Speaker 2: the fact we actually used a diplomatic ruse to assassinate Costumslulmany. 407 00:19:07,520 --> 00:19:11,000 Speaker 2: To begin with, you can't trust us. Weren't there floating 408 00:19:11,080 --> 00:19:15,159 Speaker 2: assassination of your leader of the Ayatola and you know, 409 00:19:15,280 --> 00:19:17,879 Speaker 2: partner with these psychos who will do it at moments 410 00:19:17,880 --> 00:19:21,199 Speaker 2: known as the second they get a chance. So, I mean, 411 00:19:21,240 --> 00:19:22,680 Speaker 2: you'd have to be a fool to trust this in 412 00:19:22,720 --> 00:19:26,040 Speaker 2: those negotiations and trust any sort of assurances that we're 413 00:19:26,040 --> 00:19:28,200 Speaker 2: going to let you live and let your country be. 414 00:19:28,840 --> 00:19:31,840 Speaker 7: There's no way. So that's where we are. 415 00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:36,200 Speaker 2: I mean, you've you, I think genuinely had a shot 416 00:19:36,359 --> 00:19:39,720 Speaker 2: with the Witcoff negotiations at the back in the beginning, 417 00:19:40,240 --> 00:19:43,480 Speaker 2: when Witcoff and Trump's position seemed to be that there 418 00:19:43,520 --> 00:19:45,000 Speaker 2: was some sort of a deal that could be struck 419 00:19:45,040 --> 00:19:50,080 Speaker 2: with regard to civilian nuclear usage, some sort of regional consortion, 420 00:19:50,240 --> 00:19:52,880 Speaker 2: that there was some creative solution that could be worked out. 421 00:19:52,920 --> 00:19:55,080 Speaker 2: I think you genuinely had a shot at a deal. 422 00:19:55,520 --> 00:19:58,480 Speaker 2: The minute it was zero percent enriched uranium, then that 423 00:19:58,600 --> 00:20:01,000 Speaker 2: was a poison pill meant to kill those negotiations. 424 00:20:01,320 --> 00:20:03,480 Speaker 7: And then when you use the final round. 425 00:20:03,280 --> 00:20:06,040 Speaker 2: As a ruse at least that's the public portrayal as 426 00:20:06,080 --> 00:20:09,000 Speaker 2: a ruse in order to allow the Israelis to attack, 427 00:20:09,440 --> 00:20:14,719 Speaker 2: then you have probably completely closed the possibility of working 428 00:20:14,720 --> 00:20:17,560 Speaker 2: this out through diplomatic means. Which, listen, there are no 429 00:20:17,640 --> 00:20:21,320 Speaker 2: guarantees in life. Would that have completely guaranteed that they 430 00:20:21,320 --> 00:20:23,879 Speaker 2: could never and would never pursue a nuclear weapon? No, 431 00:20:24,119 --> 00:20:26,800 Speaker 2: there's no guarantees in life. Was that a much better 432 00:20:26,880 --> 00:20:30,159 Speaker 2: course that was much more likely to result in the 433 00:20:30,200 --> 00:20:32,360 Speaker 2: outcome that you claim to want to achieve. 434 00:20:33,080 --> 00:20:34,480 Speaker 7: Yes, But that's the. 435 00:20:34,480 --> 00:20:37,360 Speaker 2: Thing, guys, This was never for the people who are 436 00:20:37,400 --> 00:20:41,600 Speaker 2: pushing this policy. This is never about the nuclear weapons program. 437 00:20:41,920 --> 00:20:45,479 Speaker 2: They want the Iranian state to collapse. They want it 438 00:20:45,520 --> 00:20:47,960 Speaker 2: to be a failed state. They would be happy to 439 00:20:48,000 --> 00:20:52,719 Speaker 2: see some disastrous civil war, some disastrous and deadly civil 440 00:20:52,800 --> 00:20:55,879 Speaker 2: war that is spiraling out of control, that would create 441 00:20:55,960 --> 00:20:59,040 Speaker 2: a massive refugee crisis. That's what the Israelis and their 442 00:20:59,119 --> 00:21:02,280 Speaker 2: allies and the new kons want to see, so that 443 00:21:02,600 --> 00:21:06,520 Speaker 2: there is no challenge to complete in total Israeli hegemony 444 00:21:06,560 --> 00:21:08,960 Speaker 2: in the region. That is the goal, that has always 445 00:21:08,960 --> 00:21:10,840 Speaker 2: been the goal. The Israelis are not shy about saying 446 00:21:10,960 --> 00:21:13,080 Speaker 2: ultimately that that is the goal. And that's why all 447 00:21:13,119 --> 00:21:15,159 Speaker 2: these people, you know, the Marklevin's of the world and whoever, 448 00:21:15,200 --> 00:21:19,200 Speaker 2: are just utterly outrage that there's even a possibility that 449 00:21:19,400 --> 00:21:22,560 Speaker 2: this is the off ramp that we take. But you know, listen, 450 00:21:23,080 --> 00:21:27,160 Speaker 2: everyone should be very skeptical that it ends here. Even 451 00:21:27,200 --> 00:21:29,320 Speaker 2: if it ends here, this has been disastrous, so let's 452 00:21:29,320 --> 00:21:32,239 Speaker 2: be clear, but you should also be skeptical that it 453 00:21:32,280 --> 00:21:35,040 Speaker 2: actually ends here because Soccer is right. You were right 454 00:21:35,119 --> 00:21:37,919 Speaker 2: in the beginning when you said, listen, the people who 455 00:21:38,000 --> 00:21:41,600 Speaker 2: want diplomacy, they have to win the battle every single day. 456 00:21:42,000 --> 00:21:44,640 Speaker 2: The psychos only have to win it once. They only 457 00:21:44,640 --> 00:21:46,479 Speaker 2: have to get you know, a Fox News segment that 458 00:21:46,520 --> 00:21:49,800 Speaker 2: convinces Trump one time, and suddenly you're off to the 459 00:21:49,880 --> 00:21:53,720 Speaker 2: races again. The Israelis, because they are so hell bent, 460 00:21:53,920 --> 00:21:56,359 Speaker 2: not in particular, but the Israelis in general is so 461 00:21:56,520 --> 00:22:00,960 Speaker 2: hell bent on this outcome of regime collapse. They are 462 00:22:01,000 --> 00:22:04,159 Speaker 2: not going to stop trying to pull us in and 463 00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:07,119 Speaker 2: make sure that they get their fondest wish. 464 00:22:07,280 --> 00:22:08,000 Speaker 7: That is their goal. 465 00:22:08,359 --> 00:22:11,240 Speaker 2: They are completely and utterly committed to it. And unless 466 00:22:11,280 --> 00:22:13,440 Speaker 2: you have someone on the other side in Trump who 467 00:22:13,560 --> 00:22:17,360 Speaker 2: is who is completely and utterly committed to an alternative outcome, 468 00:22:17,560 --> 00:22:20,640 Speaker 2: which would be actual peace and diplomacy, they are going 469 00:22:20,680 --> 00:22:23,080 Speaker 2: to be able to ultimately get their way because no 470 00:22:23,240 --> 00:22:27,200 Speaker 2: ideology is not a match for an ideology and ideological 471 00:22:27,440 --> 00:22:31,240 Speaker 2: an ideological goal that you are dead set on effectuating. 472 00:22:31,359 --> 00:22:33,240 Speaker 7: So I think we continue to be. 473 00:22:33,320 --> 00:22:37,040 Speaker 2: In an incredibly dangerous and unstable place as is seen 474 00:22:37,160 --> 00:22:38,760 Speaker 2: this morning. And also, I mean, the last thing I'll 475 00:22:38,800 --> 00:22:41,439 Speaker 2: say here is, like, you know, Trump is making a 476 00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:43,720 Speaker 2: big show this morning. We also know that a bunch 477 00:22:43,760 --> 00:22:45,240 Speaker 2: of the things he said in the past were completely 478 00:22:45,280 --> 00:22:48,200 Speaker 2: and totally fake. So yeah, and we're meant as a show. 479 00:22:48,640 --> 00:22:50,840 Speaker 2: So you also can't put that off the table, that 480 00:22:50,880 --> 00:22:54,159 Speaker 2: this is another show. We just genuinely don't know. It 481 00:22:54,200 --> 00:22:56,360 Speaker 2: seems like he's genuinely frustrated with the Israelis. 482 00:22:56,520 --> 00:22:58,400 Speaker 7: That would be my guest, I think, But you can't 483 00:22:58,400 --> 00:23:01,120 Speaker 7: put that possibility off the table and shifts so quickly. 484 00:23:01,280 --> 00:23:03,520 Speaker 3: I don't think that there's in fact, I know that 485 00:23:03,560 --> 00:23:06,000 Speaker 3: there's not a level of intention behind it, because all 486 00:23:06,000 --> 00:23:08,120 Speaker 3: of it really is just about like how he feels 487 00:23:08,480 --> 00:23:09,160 Speaker 3: in this moment. 488 00:23:09,240 --> 00:23:11,840 Speaker 1: It's about the show. He loves Trump the peacemaker. 489 00:23:12,119 --> 00:23:14,280 Speaker 3: As you can all see, he's desperate to win the 490 00:23:14,359 --> 00:23:17,399 Speaker 3: Nobel Peace Prize because Barack Obama, I mean, you know, 491 00:23:17,520 --> 00:23:20,240 Speaker 3: falsely got one in two thousand and nine. But the 492 00:23:20,320 --> 00:23:24,119 Speaker 3: point remains like that's what he wants at this moment, 493 00:23:24,440 --> 00:23:27,199 Speaker 3: but he also wanted to appear tough and strong and 494 00:23:27,240 --> 00:23:29,640 Speaker 3: got dragged basically, or at least went along with it 495 00:23:29,840 --> 00:23:33,080 Speaker 3: based upon with Fox Newsy. Of course the man has agency. 496 00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:36,119 Speaker 3: But yeah, I mean there's the incredible amount of like 497 00:23:36,240 --> 00:23:41,360 Speaker 3: trust the plan and all of this. It's so utterly preposterous. 498 00:23:41,440 --> 00:23:42,440 Speaker 1: There was no plan. 499 00:23:42,800 --> 00:23:45,520 Speaker 3: It was moving about from day to day we came 500 00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:47,520 Speaker 3: to the brink of war like this. 501 00:23:48,080 --> 00:23:49,840 Speaker 1: The only reason, by the way, that. 502 00:23:49,800 --> 00:23:52,560 Speaker 3: There was an off ramp was because of restraint from 503 00:23:52,600 --> 00:23:55,639 Speaker 3: the Iranian side. You know, somebody riddled me that in 504 00:23:55,720 --> 00:24:00,199 Speaker 3: terms of what that means, basically, everyone reiterate again, is 505 00:24:00,240 --> 00:24:03,440 Speaker 3: pretending that all of its major goals were accomplished. The 506 00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:06,520 Speaker 3: Iranians are lying, the Americans are lying, and the Israelis 507 00:24:06,560 --> 00:24:09,000 Speaker 3: are lying. Now, I guess you know that's far preferable 508 00:24:09,240 --> 00:24:10,160 Speaker 3: to war breaking out. 509 00:24:10,200 --> 00:24:11,119 Speaker 1: I'm happy and listen. 510 00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:15,080 Speaker 3: I would love to see an actual diplomatic solution that 511 00:24:15,160 --> 00:24:19,159 Speaker 3: comes you know, that actually happens with Steve Wikoff and 512 00:24:19,200 --> 00:24:23,040 Speaker 3: some future negotiation between Israel, Iran, and the United States. 513 00:24:23,119 --> 00:24:25,679 Speaker 3: But what it would require is the Donald Trump of 514 00:24:25,720 --> 00:24:29,600 Speaker 3: today basically coming hard against the Israelis. And we have 515 00:24:30,359 --> 00:24:32,400 Speaker 3: day I was gonna say, and the problem with that 516 00:24:32,720 --> 00:24:35,160 Speaker 3: is we've seen it once or twice. Oh, you can't 517 00:24:35,160 --> 00:24:38,680 Speaker 3: attack Iran. I'm frustrated with you. You're going to take 518 00:24:38,680 --> 00:24:41,840 Speaker 3: the ceasefire in Gaza. But what's usually the story. The 519 00:24:41,880 --> 00:24:45,600 Speaker 3: ceasefire in Gaza happens, and then what collapses sixty days later, 520 00:24:45,720 --> 00:24:47,679 Speaker 3: and now they're roll in Gaza. I mean, it's probably 521 00:24:47,720 --> 00:24:50,560 Speaker 3: never been worse than it is today. And then what 522 00:24:50,680 --> 00:24:54,440 Speaker 3: happened again, Oh, you can't attack Iran in April sixty 523 00:24:54,440 --> 00:24:58,000 Speaker 3: one days later, boom they attack Iran. So we have 524 00:24:58,080 --> 00:25:01,560 Speaker 3: a proven track record here. Now hopefully he learns from that. Again, 525 00:25:01,600 --> 00:25:05,440 Speaker 3: I am very, very hopeful. But I think that the 526 00:25:05,520 --> 00:25:09,720 Speaker 3: pro the pro war side is riding so high right 527 00:25:09,760 --> 00:25:12,760 Speaker 3: now from being able to even just accomplish this, and 528 00:25:12,840 --> 00:25:16,399 Speaker 3: they're going to claim a lot of credibility. And you know, 529 00:25:16,800 --> 00:25:20,880 Speaker 3: Trump is a person who really can see like where 530 00:25:20,920 --> 00:25:22,720 Speaker 3: his media and of course the media is playing a 531 00:25:22,760 --> 00:25:25,600 Speaker 3: role CNNs yesterday talking about this is one of the 532 00:25:25,680 --> 00:25:28,399 Speaker 3: greatest achievements of Donald Trump's entire president is one of 533 00:25:28,440 --> 00:25:30,760 Speaker 3: the greatest legacies, you know in the Middle East, right, 534 00:25:30,880 --> 00:25:34,240 Speaker 3: Like he's a showman. He can see and eats all 535 00:25:34,280 --> 00:25:37,119 Speaker 3: of this stuff up. So yeah, for me, very mission 536 00:25:37,119 --> 00:25:39,480 Speaker 3: accomplished vibe. Like the idea this is really going to 537 00:25:39,600 --> 00:25:42,359 Speaker 3: end on day thirteen, I just think it's preposterous. And 538 00:25:42,400 --> 00:25:45,640 Speaker 3: I actually think he's just opened up like a Pandora's 539 00:25:45,680 --> 00:25:48,840 Speaker 3: box and this problem will now bedevil him for four years. 540 00:25:48,960 --> 00:25:51,720 Speaker 3: It will just constantly rear its ugly head, Can you 541 00:25:51,880 --> 00:25:54,440 Speaker 3: really forced the Israelis to accept it be a deal? 542 00:25:54,640 --> 00:25:54,960 Speaker 1: Maybe? 543 00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:57,200 Speaker 3: I mean, honestly, if any president could, he could do it, 544 00:25:57,320 --> 00:25:58,879 Speaker 3: but then he would have to want to do it. 545 00:25:58,960 --> 00:25:59,960 Speaker 1: No, and I just don't know. 546 00:26:00,000 --> 00:26:01,360 Speaker 7: Well, of course he could do it. 547 00:26:01,520 --> 00:26:04,240 Speaker 2: Of course, any American president can say to the Israelis 548 00:26:04,240 --> 00:26:06,879 Speaker 2: at any time like that's it. Your aight is pold, 549 00:26:06,920 --> 00:26:08,440 Speaker 2: You're not getting those weapons, any. 550 00:26:08,280 --> 00:26:09,320 Speaker 7: War, You're done. 551 00:26:10,920 --> 00:26:13,920 Speaker 2: If it was not already clear to you how dependent 552 00:26:14,000 --> 00:26:19,000 Speaker 2: on us they are in order to do anything, then 553 00:26:19,080 --> 00:26:22,840 Speaker 2: I mean, I think this whole provocation and war that 554 00:26:22,880 --> 00:26:26,439 Speaker 2: the Israelis launched should have proved that to you, because 555 00:26:26,480 --> 00:26:29,679 Speaker 2: they came in knowing that they could not come close 556 00:26:29,840 --> 00:26:33,440 Speaker 2: to achieving their goals without getting us to come in. 557 00:26:33,840 --> 00:26:35,280 Speaker 7: They were running low on interceptors. 558 00:26:35,320 --> 00:26:37,639 Speaker 2: I mean, I actually think I think that's another important 559 00:26:37,680 --> 00:26:39,479 Speaker 2: aspect of like, Okay, if you ask, well, why did 560 00:26:39,480 --> 00:26:42,040 Speaker 2: they agree to this at this point, I think, yes, 561 00:26:42,160 --> 00:26:44,600 Speaker 2: the Iranians. It doesn't surprise me they were looking for 562 00:26:44,640 --> 00:26:46,480 Speaker 2: an off ramp because as I said before, they were 563 00:26:46,480 --> 00:26:48,679 Speaker 2: not looking for an on ramp to begin with. For 564 00:26:48,760 --> 00:26:51,680 Speaker 2: the Israelis. I think they likely agreed to it because 565 00:26:51,800 --> 00:26:55,720 Speaker 2: they were having this issue with interceptors running low. We 566 00:26:55,800 --> 00:26:57,840 Speaker 2: don't know how much damage they were taking, but they 567 00:26:57,840 --> 00:27:02,040 Speaker 2: took some significant amount of image in Tel Aviv and 568 00:27:02,040 --> 00:27:06,040 Speaker 2: Haifa and other places. And so I think they accepted 569 00:27:06,080 --> 00:27:10,080 Speaker 2: this as a way to effectively regroup and you know, 570 00:27:10,160 --> 00:27:12,720 Speaker 2: have this sort of planned down as like a phased 571 00:27:13,040 --> 00:27:16,879 Speaker 2: war approach. And so that's likely why they were willing 572 00:27:17,040 --> 00:27:19,560 Speaker 2: to say, Okay, fine, we will do a ceasefire. Do 573 00:27:19,600 --> 00:27:22,280 Speaker 2: you think they mean we're now going to have permanent peace? 574 00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:24,680 Speaker 2: You think that No, of course not. Because the other 575 00:27:24,720 --> 00:27:27,080 Speaker 2: piece of this, and it does get lost sometimes is 576 00:27:27,119 --> 00:27:30,120 Speaker 2: really important to highlight, is not only do you have 577 00:27:30,359 --> 00:27:33,080 Speaker 2: you know, this is a multi decade goal of Netanyahu 578 00:27:33,320 --> 00:27:37,200 Speaker 2: and other Israeli governments, A huge mass is really public 579 00:27:37,280 --> 00:27:40,040 Speaker 2: support for it as well, but this also what are 580 00:27:40,040 --> 00:27:42,600 Speaker 2: we not having as much time to talk about when 581 00:27:42,640 --> 00:27:45,200 Speaker 2: we are endlessly having to cover whether we are you know, 582 00:27:45,400 --> 00:27:47,080 Speaker 2: in this war and not in this war, and what 583 00:27:47,119 --> 00:27:49,880 Speaker 2: bombs were dropping and what it accomplished whatever. It makes 584 00:27:49,880 --> 00:27:52,000 Speaker 2: it very difficult to really focus on what is happening 585 00:27:52,000 --> 00:27:55,120 Speaker 2: in Gaza, and what is happening in Gaza is horrific. 586 00:27:55,200 --> 00:27:57,119 Speaker 2: I mean, it really may be some of the worst 587 00:27:57,119 --> 00:27:58,200 Speaker 2: things we have ever seen. 588 00:27:58,240 --> 00:27:59,920 Speaker 7: The entire population crowded. 589 00:27:59,560 --> 00:28:04,040 Speaker 2: Into a heiny space, rampant you know, disease and waste 590 00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:07,520 Speaker 2: and horror. And then you have these near daily, if 591 00:28:07,560 --> 00:28:10,400 Speaker 2: not daily, aid massacres that are just ongoing. I mean, 592 00:28:10,400 --> 00:28:13,280 Speaker 2: this is just what's happening in Gaza right now. And 593 00:28:13,400 --> 00:28:17,480 Speaker 2: so ron Is also provides cover for net Yahoo to 594 00:28:17,520 --> 00:28:21,639 Speaker 2: be able to finish his ethnic cleansing and genocide in 595 00:28:21,920 --> 00:28:24,720 Speaker 2: Gaza and in the West Bank as well. That is 596 00:28:25,000 --> 00:28:27,719 Speaker 2: that is the you know, another big piece of this 597 00:28:27,760 --> 00:28:30,000 Speaker 2: picture that we can't move miss out on, which is 598 00:28:30,000 --> 00:28:33,840 Speaker 2: something that Professor Mehersheimer highlighted yesterday as well, that that's 599 00:28:33,960 --> 00:28:37,159 Speaker 2: a really important piece of understanding their motivations and what 600 00:28:37,280 --> 00:28:39,880 Speaker 2: is going on here. So that motivation is not going 601 00:28:39,880 --> 00:28:44,320 Speaker 2: to go away. The longtime desire to destroy Iran and 602 00:28:44,360 --> 00:28:46,800 Speaker 2: make it so it cannot possibly be anything approaching a 603 00:28:46,840 --> 00:28:49,760 Speaker 2: competitor to Israel in the region, that is gone. And 604 00:28:50,160 --> 00:28:51,960 Speaker 2: let me just say, you know, for the for the 605 00:28:52,000 --> 00:28:55,280 Speaker 2: neocons out there who say, you know, good, let's let's 606 00:28:55,400 --> 00:28:57,480 Speaker 2: let that happen and let's make Ran a failed state 607 00:28:57,600 --> 00:29:00,000 Speaker 2: or install the Sharer, whatever fairy tale fantasy. 608 00:29:00,080 --> 00:29:03,920 Speaker 7: The outcome they have in mind. You think it stops. 609 00:29:03,560 --> 00:29:05,880 Speaker 2: There, I mean next then they'll say, well, what about Pakistan? 610 00:29:05,960 --> 00:29:07,840 Speaker 2: Pakistan could be a challenge to us, or maybe it's 611 00:29:07,840 --> 00:29:09,800 Speaker 2: what about Turkey. Turkey could be a challenge to us, 612 00:29:09,840 --> 00:29:13,080 Speaker 2: Like you cannot bomb your way to safety and security 613 00:29:13,080 --> 00:29:15,880 Speaker 2: in the region. Israel is making themselves the most hated 614 00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:17,840 Speaker 2: country in the world right now. That is not a 615 00:29:17,880 --> 00:29:20,360 Speaker 2: way to make you and your people and your security. 616 00:29:20,880 --> 00:29:23,160 Speaker 2: There is not a way to create safety for your 617 00:29:23,200 --> 00:29:26,840 Speaker 2: own people. So this logic never stops. Even if they 618 00:29:27,240 --> 00:29:30,000 Speaker 2: get their disastrous war, you know that ends in complete 619 00:29:30,040 --> 00:29:34,480 Speaker 2: chaos and misery in Iran, Even then, the logic doesn't stop. 620 00:29:34,920 --> 00:29:37,080 Speaker 7: So that's where we are. 621 00:29:37,720 --> 00:29:40,240 Speaker 2: Any any other thoughts on this saga before we move on, 622 00:29:40,320 --> 00:29:42,080 Speaker 2: because we do, we do have some other things we 623 00:29:42,120 --> 00:29:45,760 Speaker 2: want to cover. But I think it's it's very very 624 00:29:45,800 --> 00:29:48,880 Speaker 2: as we record this this morning, is very uncertain what 625 00:29:49,040 --> 00:29:51,000 Speaker 2: is ultimately going to unfolden where we're going now. 626 00:29:51,040 --> 00:29:52,760 Speaker 3: The Prime Minister's office just came out and be like 627 00:29:52,800 --> 00:29:56,080 Speaker 3: all the wars goals have been accomplished from these res 628 00:29:56,160 --> 00:30:00,479 Speaker 3: which again, you know, it's ridiculous. My last closing is 629 00:30:00,960 --> 00:30:02,880 Speaker 3: I guess it turns out Trump can order net and 630 00:30:02,920 --> 00:30:03,840 Speaker 3: Yahoo in the IDF. 631 00:30:03,960 --> 00:30:04,120 Speaker 7: Right. 632 00:30:04,480 --> 00:30:07,560 Speaker 3: Interesting, Now, that's actually that's so that's a pretty key point. 633 00:30:07,680 --> 00:30:11,800 Speaker 3: So if the president can indeed order the Israeli Prime 634 00:30:11,800 --> 00:30:15,440 Speaker 3: Minister and the IDF to do whatever he wants to do, 635 00:30:15,920 --> 00:30:18,000 Speaker 3: you should take note of that, because we were told 636 00:30:18,040 --> 00:30:20,720 Speaker 3: what Israel is an independent country, they're going on their own. 637 00:30:20,800 --> 00:30:22,880 Speaker 1: He couldn't stop them. What's he gonna do? Tell them? No, 638 00:30:23,200 --> 00:30:23,760 Speaker 1: he just did. 639 00:30:24,080 --> 00:30:26,880 Speaker 3: Their planes literally turned around in the sky. Yes, they 640 00:30:26,920 --> 00:30:29,880 Speaker 3: still dropped a bomb on Tehran, but apparently it was 641 00:30:29,920 --> 00:30:32,760 Speaker 3: like a radar installation and it didn't kill anybody at 642 00:30:32,840 --> 00:30:35,200 Speaker 3: least according to the initial reports right now. And they 643 00:30:35,200 --> 00:30:37,320 Speaker 3: were actually going in to basically raise the place to 644 00:30:37,360 --> 00:30:40,240 Speaker 3: the ground in response to these ballistic missiles. So I 645 00:30:40,280 --> 00:30:42,440 Speaker 3: think that's a very interesting lesson, isn't it, Because we 646 00:30:42,440 --> 00:30:45,520 Speaker 3: were told repeatedly that that's not possible. It's it's definitely 647 00:30:45,560 --> 00:30:49,520 Speaker 3: possible if if it's if it's something that you want 648 00:30:49,560 --> 00:30:52,280 Speaker 3: to do. And by the way, Trump now tells reporters 649 00:30:52,280 --> 00:30:54,600 Speaker 3: aboard Air Force One, he's not looking for regime change 650 00:30:54,640 --> 00:30:57,680 Speaker 3: as long as a tentative. As a tentative ceasefire takes hold, 651 00:30:57,760 --> 00:31:01,120 Speaker 3: So things are changing. Yeah, it's like things can change 652 00:31:01,240 --> 00:31:03,800 Speaker 3: every single day. It would be funny, except hundreds of 653 00:31:03,800 --> 00:31:05,760 Speaker 3: people are actually dead, you know, as a result of this, 654 00:31:05,800 --> 00:31:08,800 Speaker 3: innocent civilians in Tehran and in Tel Aviv and all 655 00:31:08,800 --> 00:31:10,280 Speaker 3: across of Israel. 656 00:31:10,440 --> 00:31:12,760 Speaker 1: And who knows where things will go in terms of this. 657 00:31:12,840 --> 00:31:15,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, nuclear pro and you've made it much more likely 658 00:31:15,640 --> 00:31:16,240 Speaker 2: that Israel. 659 00:31:16,360 --> 00:31:17,040 Speaker 7: I mean that Iran. 660 00:31:17,320 --> 00:31:20,720 Speaker 2: Israel already has large nuclear word one hundreds of nuclear 661 00:31:20,720 --> 00:31:23,000 Speaker 2: web Yeah, at least ninety that we know of for sure, 662 00:31:23,280 --> 00:31:24,600 Speaker 2: that's two hundred. 663 00:31:24,680 --> 00:31:26,920 Speaker 1: I think Colin Powell said two hundred. Really, Wiki leagues, 664 00:31:26,920 --> 00:31:28,480 Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure I have to go back. It's been 665 00:31:28,520 --> 00:31:29,560 Speaker 1: a while since I looked at it. 666 00:31:29,600 --> 00:31:30,200 Speaker 7: They have a lot. 667 00:31:30,400 --> 00:31:33,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, Iran has zero, and now Iran has much more 668 00:31:33,080 --> 00:31:35,400 Speaker 2: motivation and pursue one. So great, and by the way, 669 00:31:35,520 --> 00:31:38,800 Speaker 2: around the world, other countries are watching those going really, yeah, 670 00:31:38,840 --> 00:31:40,240 Speaker 2: I really need to get Maybe I need a nuke 671 00:31:40,320 --> 00:31:42,520 Speaker 2: so these people can fuck with me, because that seems 672 00:31:42,560 --> 00:31:44,720 Speaker 2: to be the only thing that will deter us and 673 00:31:44,760 --> 00:31:47,240 Speaker 2: the Israelis from coming in and trying to destroy your 674 00:31:47,360 --> 00:31:52,600 Speaker 2: entire country. Here we go, all right, It is primary 675 00:31:52,680 --> 00:31:56,720 Speaker 2: day in the New York City mayoral race. As a reminder, 676 00:31:56,800 --> 00:31:59,840 Speaker 2: Griffin and Ryan will be in New York City too 677 00:32:00,160 --> 00:32:05,200 Speaker 2: night at the Zoron Mom Donnie election night watch party, 678 00:32:05,400 --> 00:32:07,720 Speaker 2: so hopefully we're going to be able to grab Zoron. 679 00:32:07,800 --> 00:32:09,880 Speaker 2: We've got some other people that we're going to be 680 00:32:09,880 --> 00:32:11,280 Speaker 2: able to talk to that I think you're going to 681 00:32:11,320 --> 00:32:12,920 Speaker 2: be excited about. Emily and I are going to be 682 00:32:13,360 --> 00:32:16,760 Speaker 2: here at home sort of head heading that live stream 683 00:32:16,840 --> 00:32:20,280 Speaker 2: or whatever, being playing quarterback on that live stream so 684 00:32:20,360 --> 00:32:22,160 Speaker 2: that they can go and grab people. And we're also 685 00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:25,160 Speaker 2: going to cover whatever news comes down today because God 686 00:32:25,240 --> 00:32:28,239 Speaker 2: knows by tonight what state of the world we're going 687 00:32:28,280 --> 00:32:30,120 Speaker 2: to be in. So that's going to kick off at 688 00:32:30,160 --> 00:32:33,080 Speaker 2: eight point thirty. Thank you so much the premium subscribers 689 00:32:33,120 --> 00:32:35,640 Speaker 2: who made this possible, you know, to do an extra 690 00:32:35,720 --> 00:32:38,720 Speaker 2: show today obviously cost to be able to travel and 691 00:32:38,880 --> 00:32:40,680 Speaker 2: get the right equipment and get the set up and 692 00:32:40,800 --> 00:32:43,120 Speaker 2: all of that sort of stuff, So really really appreciate 693 00:32:43,120 --> 00:32:44,960 Speaker 2: you guys. If you all can support us at Breakingpoints 694 00:32:45,000 --> 00:32:47,160 Speaker 2: dot com, that's where you can also become a premium 695 00:32:47,160 --> 00:32:48,120 Speaker 2: subscriber and get. 696 00:32:47,960 --> 00:32:49,920 Speaker 7: All the goodies that that entails. 697 00:32:50,080 --> 00:32:53,960 Speaker 2: So all of that being said, Zoron mom Donnie and 698 00:32:54,480 --> 00:32:57,120 Speaker 2: Brad Lander, who have cross endorsed each other. 699 00:32:57,680 --> 00:32:58,800 Speaker 7: Lander is another. 700 00:32:59,240 --> 00:33:04,440 Speaker 2: Local elected official who's progressive, has a close alliance with AOC, 701 00:33:05,120 --> 00:33:07,680 Speaker 2: so they cross endorsed each other. It's also significant because 702 00:33:07,760 --> 00:33:12,000 Speaker 2: Lander is the highest Jewish elected official in the city. 703 00:33:12,400 --> 00:33:15,560 Speaker 2: And given the fact that a core strategy of the 704 00:33:15,560 --> 00:33:19,160 Speaker 2: Cuomo campaign has been to smear Zoron as an anti Semite, 705 00:33:19,560 --> 00:33:25,760 Speaker 2: that cross endorsement and you know, plan to say like, Okay, 706 00:33:25,840 --> 00:33:27,920 Speaker 2: my supporters, you need to rank Zoron and zorn support 707 00:33:28,120 --> 00:33:31,360 Speaker 2: supporters need to rank Brad Lander. That has been I 708 00:33:31,360 --> 00:33:33,800 Speaker 2: think very significant, very important to his campaign. So the 709 00:33:33,840 --> 00:33:38,480 Speaker 2: two of them went on Colbert last night together and 710 00:33:39,920 --> 00:33:44,960 Speaker 2: lo and behold. Zoron faced questions from Stephen Colbert exactly 711 00:33:45,000 --> 00:33:47,560 Speaker 2: along these lines of basically, are you an anti Semite 712 00:33:47,640 --> 00:33:47,800 Speaker 2: or not? 713 00:33:48,040 --> 00:33:50,600 Speaker 7: Let's go ahead and take a listen to how he responded. 714 00:33:50,200 --> 00:33:52,479 Speaker 8: Mister mom donney, same question. Does the state of Israel 715 00:33:52,640 --> 00:33:53,520 Speaker 8: have the right to exist? 716 00:33:53,560 --> 00:33:55,040 Speaker 9: Yes, like all nations, I believe it has a right 717 00:33:55,080 --> 00:33:57,440 Speaker 9: to exist in a responsibility also to uphold international law. 718 00:33:57,480 --> 00:33:59,240 Speaker 8: Okay, well, let's let's talk about the elephant the room 719 00:33:59,280 --> 00:34:00,760 Speaker 8: is that there are many people new York, even people 720 00:34:00,800 --> 00:34:03,760 Speaker 8: who would support your candidacy otherwise who don't want to 721 00:34:03,800 --> 00:34:08,120 Speaker 8: support you because of the Jewish communities, fear of the 722 00:34:08,360 --> 00:34:11,000 Speaker 8: true and rising anti Semitism, not only around the world, 723 00:34:11,040 --> 00:34:13,640 Speaker 8: but in this country and shamefully in New York, which 724 00:34:13,640 --> 00:34:15,759 Speaker 8: is the largest Jewish population of any city other than 725 00:34:15,760 --> 00:34:18,440 Speaker 8: Tel Aviv in the whole world. And they are worried. 726 00:34:18,520 --> 00:34:21,120 Speaker 8: They're very upset by some of the things that you've 727 00:34:21,120 --> 00:34:23,480 Speaker 8: said in the past, and they are afraid that your 728 00:34:23,640 --> 00:34:27,440 Speaker 8: mayorship would actually lead to increased anti Semitism, that they 729 00:34:27,440 --> 00:34:29,719 Speaker 8: believe that would be more dangerous for them. What do 730 00:34:29,719 --> 00:34:32,600 Speaker 8: you say to those New Yorkers who are afraid that 731 00:34:32,600 --> 00:34:35,040 Speaker 8: you wouldn't be their mayor that you wouldn't protect them. 732 00:34:35,760 --> 00:34:37,680 Speaker 9: I know where that fear is coming from. It's a 733 00:34:37,719 --> 00:34:40,719 Speaker 9: fear that is based upon the horrific attacks we've seen 734 00:34:40,800 --> 00:34:43,040 Speaker 9: in Washington, d C. In Boulder, Colorado. 735 00:34:43,239 --> 00:34:45,560 Speaker 8: It's all the way from Jews not replace us to today. 736 00:34:45,680 --> 00:34:47,480 Speaker 9: And it's a fear that I hear also from New 737 00:34:47,560 --> 00:34:49,279 Speaker 9: Yorkers themselves. You know, just a few days after the 738 00:34:49,320 --> 00:34:51,480 Speaker 9: horrific war crime of October seventh, a friend of mine 739 00:34:51,520 --> 00:34:53,040 Speaker 9: told me about how he went to his synagogue for 740 00:34:53,040 --> 00:34:55,520 Speaker 9: Schabbot services, and he heard the door open behind him, 741 00:34:55,840 --> 00:34:58,279 Speaker 9: and a tremor went up his spine as he turned around, 742 00:34:58,320 --> 00:34:59,959 Speaker 9: not knowing who was there and what they meant for him. 743 00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:02,000 Speaker 9: I spoke to a Jewish man in Williamsburg just months 744 00:35:02,000 --> 00:35:04,000 Speaker 9: ago who told me that the door he left unlocked 745 00:35:04,000 --> 00:35:06,360 Speaker 9: for decades is now one that he locks. And ultimately, 746 00:35:06,360 --> 00:35:08,960 Speaker 9: this is because we're seeing a crisis of antisemitism, and 747 00:35:09,000 --> 00:35:11,440 Speaker 9: that's why at the heart of my proposal for Department 748 00:35:11,480 --> 00:35:14,520 Speaker 9: of Community Safety is a commitment to increase funding for 749 00:35:14,640 --> 00:35:18,640 Speaker 9: anti hate crime programming by eight hundred percent, Because to 750 00:35:21,719 --> 00:35:23,960 Speaker 9: your point, anti Semitism is not simply something that we 751 00:35:24,000 --> 00:35:25,560 Speaker 9: should talk about. It's something that we have to tackle. 752 00:35:25,600 --> 00:35:27,000 Speaker 9: We have to make clear there's no room for it 753 00:35:27,080 --> 00:35:28,880 Speaker 9: in the city, in this country, in this world. 754 00:35:28,840 --> 00:35:30,879 Speaker 8: And no justifications for violence of any kind. 755 00:35:30,960 --> 00:35:32,800 Speaker 9: No, there is no room for violence. 756 00:35:32,880 --> 00:35:35,239 Speaker 10: I'm a proud Jewish New Yorker raised in two Jewish kids. 757 00:35:35,280 --> 00:35:37,000 Speaker 10: Here is the joy of my life. I'm the highest 758 00:35:37,080 --> 00:35:39,839 Speaker 10: ranking Jewish elected official in New York City government. I'm 759 00:35:39,880 --> 00:35:43,759 Speaker 10: nervous about rising anti semitism, and also I believe in 760 00:35:43,840 --> 00:35:47,279 Speaker 10: the humanity and the human rights of Palestinians. And I 761 00:35:47,360 --> 00:35:51,480 Speaker 10: know that it is possible hate what I support that 762 00:35:51,560 --> 00:35:53,480 Speaker 10: vision of Israel's Jewish democratic state, but I hate what 763 00:35:53,480 --> 00:35:56,160 Speaker 10: the Netan Yahoo government is doing in Gaza. And I've 764 00:35:56,160 --> 00:35:58,400 Speaker 10: been saying that a long time. And look, you know, 765 00:35:58,480 --> 00:36:00,160 Speaker 10: Mayor is going to be responsible for what happen in 766 00:36:00,200 --> 00:36:02,759 Speaker 10: the Middle East. But there is something quite remarkable about 767 00:36:02,760 --> 00:36:04,960 Speaker 10: a Jewish New Yorker and a Muslim New Yorker coming 768 00:36:05,000 --> 00:36:07,759 Speaker 10: together to say, here's how we protect all New Yorkers. 769 00:36:08,000 --> 00:36:12,239 Speaker 1: Jews, Jewish New. 770 00:36:12,200 --> 00:36:14,040 Speaker 10: Yorkers and Muslim New Yorkers are not going to be 771 00:36:14,080 --> 00:36:16,200 Speaker 10: divided from each other. We build a city where you 772 00:36:16,239 --> 00:36:19,560 Speaker 10: have affordable housing and good schools and safe neighborhoods for everyone. 773 00:36:19,880 --> 00:36:22,439 Speaker 2: So Sagra, I'm interested for your reaction. I mean, it's 774 00:36:22,440 --> 00:36:25,640 Speaker 2: just preposterous to me that Israel and this, you know, 775 00:36:25,680 --> 00:36:27,920 Speaker 2: smear of Zoran as a n anti Zemite has become 776 00:36:27,960 --> 00:36:30,759 Speaker 2: so central in this campaign. I almost can't blame though 777 00:36:30,760 --> 00:36:35,520 Speaker 2: Colbert for asking him about it, because Culomo has put 778 00:36:35,560 --> 00:36:39,360 Speaker 2: it so it's front and center. And to be honest, 779 00:36:39,440 --> 00:36:42,680 Speaker 2: I thought that answer from Zoren was fantastic, I mean classic, Like, 780 00:36:43,000 --> 00:36:45,880 Speaker 2: first he connects on an emotional level with these personal stories, 781 00:36:45,920 --> 00:36:47,960 Speaker 2: and then he's like, and that's why, here's my policy. 782 00:36:48,320 --> 00:36:50,960 Speaker 2: And you're sitting there next to brad Lander, who then 783 00:36:51,200 --> 00:36:53,880 Speaker 2: comes in after Zoran speaks and is like, you know, 784 00:36:53,960 --> 00:36:56,839 Speaker 2: and defends him, and in a way that I think 785 00:36:56,880 --> 00:36:59,640 Speaker 2: also was you know, was very powerful. So I actually 786 00:36:59,680 --> 00:37:02,719 Speaker 2: think that moment probably listen, I mean, the cake is 787 00:37:02,719 --> 00:37:05,399 Speaker 2: probably baked at this point anyway, But I actually think 788 00:37:05,440 --> 00:37:07,640 Speaker 2: that moment ends up serving him because he handled it 789 00:37:07,680 --> 00:37:09,600 Speaker 2: so well. You hear the audience with him, You've got 790 00:37:09,600 --> 00:37:12,480 Speaker 2: Brent brad Lander there to also sort of validate what 791 00:37:12,520 --> 00:37:15,360 Speaker 2: he's saying, and so to me, it was actually a 792 00:37:15,400 --> 00:37:18,880 Speaker 2: positive opportunity that he handled quite well here going into election. 793 00:37:19,320 --> 00:37:21,200 Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't disagree. I guess for me, it's just 794 00:37:21,239 --> 00:37:23,919 Speaker 3: so tiresome that the New York City. Look, I don't 795 00:37:23,920 --> 00:37:24,560 Speaker 3: live in New York. 796 00:37:24,640 --> 00:37:26,480 Speaker 1: I'm not a New Yorker. New Yorkers, you do what 797 00:37:26,520 --> 00:37:26,839 Speaker 1: you want. 798 00:37:26,920 --> 00:37:29,080 Speaker 3: But my point is is like, look, the last thing 799 00:37:29,120 --> 00:37:31,840 Speaker 3: that I honestly care about from the mayor's point of 800 00:37:31,920 --> 00:37:35,279 Speaker 3: view is their views on the Israeli Palestinian conflict. You know, 801 00:37:35,480 --> 00:37:37,680 Speaker 3: I've lived here, and why I actually have no idea 802 00:37:37,719 --> 00:37:41,120 Speaker 3: what my own personal mayor's views are on various foreign conflicts. 803 00:37:41,160 --> 00:37:43,359 Speaker 3: And I don't really care for me, it's about crosswalks, 804 00:37:43,640 --> 00:37:45,399 Speaker 3: trash collection, property tax. 805 00:37:45,640 --> 00:37:50,360 Speaker 2: You didn't vote on which floor, Tony, I. 806 00:37:50,239 --> 00:37:53,160 Speaker 3: Care less, I really, you know, I mean, I live here, 807 00:37:53,560 --> 00:37:55,000 Speaker 3: or I used to live here in Washington, d C. 808 00:37:55,400 --> 00:37:59,320 Speaker 3: The nation's capital, allegedly supposedly somebody with a very powerful mayor, 809 00:37:59,400 --> 00:38:02,280 Speaker 3: especially with home rule and all that. I never once 810 00:38:02,480 --> 00:38:05,760 Speaker 3: was like, hey, Mayor Bowser, what are your views on Ghana? 811 00:38:05,960 --> 00:38:08,600 Speaker 3: Even though she's spending plenty of time on those fours and. 812 00:38:08,640 --> 00:38:11,880 Speaker 2: You promised we'll go to Israel? Then how many times. 813 00:38:11,719 --> 00:38:13,320 Speaker 1: I was like, can you do something about crime? 814 00:38:13,560 --> 00:38:16,440 Speaker 3: And trash collection is really annoying, and the homeless problem 815 00:38:16,520 --> 00:38:18,799 Speaker 3: is really out of control, and there's too many drug 816 00:38:18,800 --> 00:38:21,239 Speaker 3: addicts that are around the city. That's literally it. That's 817 00:38:21,280 --> 00:38:25,400 Speaker 3: all I care about. So just the fact that everybody 818 00:38:25,440 --> 00:38:27,399 Speaker 3: and all of us are like supposed to care so much. 819 00:38:27,600 --> 00:38:30,400 Speaker 3: I guess, you know, in a certain sense, I understand it. 820 00:38:30,440 --> 00:38:32,319 Speaker 3: This whole talking point like, oh, New York is the 821 00:38:32,360 --> 00:38:35,520 Speaker 3: largest Jewish population, But again, you know, you know, we're 822 00:38:35,520 --> 00:38:39,360 Speaker 3: conflating this idea the Jews of New York how the 823 00:38:39,480 --> 00:38:42,879 Speaker 3: state of Israel is like directly, you know, and their 824 00:38:42,960 --> 00:38:46,200 Speaker 3: views on that topic comports to the policy of their 825 00:38:46,280 --> 00:38:49,120 Speaker 3: daily life in wherever they at Brooklyn, wherever. 826 00:38:48,840 --> 00:38:51,239 Speaker 1: They happen to live. It also is just preposterous. 827 00:38:51,320 --> 00:38:54,200 Speaker 2: It also erases the fact that Zoren actually has a 828 00:38:54,239 --> 00:38:57,000 Speaker 2: lot of Jewish support. I mean, Brad Lander is one 829 00:38:57,080 --> 00:39:00,320 Speaker 2: very high profile example on this coalition that they have 830 00:39:00,440 --> 00:39:02,560 Speaker 2: formed together. And this is also something that's interesting about 831 00:39:02,600 --> 00:39:05,359 Speaker 2: ranked choice voting is allows the possibility of these sort 832 00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:08,960 Speaker 2: of cross endorsements. Michael Blake and Zorin have also cross endorsed, 833 00:39:09,280 --> 00:39:12,440 Speaker 2: So that's one thing that you know, creates interesting possibilities 834 00:39:12,440 --> 00:39:14,600 Speaker 2: in ranked choice voting. You know something else that brad 835 00:39:14,640 --> 00:39:17,680 Speaker 2: Lander said, he was like, he was like, listen, I 836 00:39:17,719 --> 00:39:20,880 Speaker 2: don't think that your views on Israel should you know, 837 00:39:21,320 --> 00:39:25,919 Speaker 2: necessarily be central to New York City mayoral race. However, look, 838 00:39:25,920 --> 00:39:30,960 Speaker 2: there is something powerful about this city having this alliance 839 00:39:31,120 --> 00:39:34,600 Speaker 2: between you know, prominent Jewish official and a prominent Muslim official, 840 00:39:34,680 --> 00:39:37,120 Speaker 2: Like that is actually a really positive and really beautiful thing, 841 00:39:37,120 --> 00:39:39,359 Speaker 2: which I thought, again was like a good response to 842 00:39:39,440 --> 00:39:42,280 Speaker 2: the question, But it is crazy the way that they've 843 00:39:42,440 --> 00:39:45,319 Speaker 2: made this central and put it, you know, tried to 844 00:39:45,320 --> 00:39:48,920 Speaker 2: persuade people that he is hates Jews and it's going 845 00:39:48,960 --> 00:39:50,719 Speaker 2: to be bad for Jewish people. I mean, some of 846 00:39:50,800 --> 00:39:52,760 Speaker 2: the deranged things that I've seen out. 847 00:39:52,560 --> 00:39:55,000 Speaker 7: There are truly truly wild. 848 00:39:55,719 --> 00:39:59,960 Speaker 2: But in reality, there is no official that has Zoro 849 00:40:00,280 --> 00:40:03,600 Speaker 2: actually gets second highest Jewish support in the entire race. 850 00:40:04,080 --> 00:40:06,040 Speaker 7: So what is anti. 851 00:40:05,680 --> 00:40:10,120 Speaker 2: Semitic is to expect that every single Jewish voter is 852 00:40:10,160 --> 00:40:13,080 Speaker 2: going to approach these questions in the same way and 853 00:40:13,120 --> 00:40:14,280 Speaker 2: have the same views. 854 00:40:14,360 --> 00:40:15,359 Speaker 7: What is anti. 855 00:40:15,040 --> 00:40:18,400 Speaker 2: Semitic is to force every Jewish person to alide with 856 00:40:18,440 --> 00:40:21,160 Speaker 2: the state that is currently committing a genocide and act 857 00:40:21,239 --> 00:40:23,279 Speaker 2: like that represents every Jew in the city of New 858 00:40:23,360 --> 00:40:27,279 Speaker 2: York's or around the world. So in any case, that 859 00:40:27,360 --> 00:40:30,120 Speaker 2: has been very central. In terms of where the polls are, 860 00:40:30,440 --> 00:40:33,399 Speaker 2: there's been a mixed bag. But we did get one 861 00:40:34,080 --> 00:40:36,719 Speaker 2: poll here, you know, going right into election that we 862 00:40:36,760 --> 00:40:39,080 Speaker 2: mentioned yesterday from Emerson. Can put this up on the screen. 863 00:40:39,080 --> 00:40:43,600 Speaker 2: This is B two that has Zoron winning. So it 864 00:40:43,640 --> 00:40:45,600 Speaker 2: has him. This is after you do all the rank 865 00:40:45,760 --> 00:40:48,160 Speaker 2: choice and this and then that and whatever, and at 866 00:40:48,160 --> 00:40:51,000 Speaker 2: the end in the final round, it has Zoron at 867 00:40:51,000 --> 00:40:54,319 Speaker 2: fifty two percent and Cuomo at forty eight percent. Let's 868 00:40:54,360 --> 00:40:56,879 Speaker 2: put the demographic split up here on the screen because 869 00:40:56,920 --> 00:41:00,800 Speaker 2: this is also very interesting. You have zora On winning 870 00:41:00,840 --> 00:41:03,880 Speaker 2: overall and surging by the way. The way he has 871 00:41:03,880 --> 00:41:07,479 Speaker 2: come from behind has been extraordinary. He wins significantly among 872 00:41:07,480 --> 00:41:11,400 Speaker 2: white voters. Cuomo's strongest base of support is among black voters. 873 00:41:11,680 --> 00:41:16,320 Speaker 2: Cuomo wins Hispanic voters sixty forty, and Zoron romps among 874 00:41:16,360 --> 00:41:20,200 Speaker 2: Asian voters seventy nine twenty one. Now, this is interesting. 875 00:41:20,719 --> 00:41:24,920 Speaker 2: Zoron does better with men than with women. Cuomo narrowly 876 00:41:24,920 --> 00:41:28,640 Speaker 2: wins women, Zoron wins a little bit by a larger 877 00:41:28,640 --> 00:41:33,240 Speaker 2: margin among men. Zoran does very well among college educated, 878 00:41:33,320 --> 00:41:38,799 Speaker 2: Cuomo's bases among non college educated. The generational divide here 879 00:41:39,000 --> 00:41:43,120 Speaker 2: is also extraordinary. You have people under the age of fifty. 880 00:41:43,560 --> 00:41:47,680 Speaker 2: Zoron wins sixty seven to thirty three, Cuomo wins fifty 881 00:41:47,719 --> 00:41:50,200 Speaker 2: to fifty nine, and you've got you know, sixty plus, 882 00:41:50,239 --> 00:41:53,879 Speaker 2: also very much in the Cuomo kaev Actually, apparently Cuomo's 883 00:41:54,160 --> 00:41:56,919 Speaker 2: strongest age demographics is actually fifty to fifty nine, which 884 00:41:56,960 --> 00:42:00,759 Speaker 2: is kind of interesting. So in any case, you've got 885 00:42:00,800 --> 00:42:07,000 Speaker 2: this sort of like young, college educated, white and Asian 886 00:42:07,640 --> 00:42:12,120 Speaker 2: bro dominated coalition for Zoron and then for Cuomo. You 887 00:42:12,239 --> 00:42:15,440 Speaker 2: have his base as sort of like older black voters. 888 00:42:15,760 --> 00:42:20,440 Speaker 2: And as we've been looking at the early voting numbers 889 00:42:20,520 --> 00:42:23,560 Speaker 2: so far, they do look to be favorite like, they 890 00:42:23,600 --> 00:42:27,600 Speaker 2: looks to be much more energy behind Zoron. The areas 891 00:42:27,640 --> 00:42:30,200 Speaker 2: of the city in particular, you know, areas of Brooklyn 892 00:42:30,239 --> 00:42:32,719 Speaker 2: where he is absolutely the strongest, have been showing up 893 00:42:32,719 --> 00:42:35,600 Speaker 2: in droves. Young people have been showing up in a 894 00:42:35,640 --> 00:42:39,640 Speaker 2: way that you know is highly unusual, if not unprecedented 895 00:42:39,960 --> 00:42:42,520 Speaker 2: for early voting. And one other thing that people are 896 00:42:42,560 --> 00:42:45,560 Speaker 2: pointing to Sager is the heat in the city today 897 00:42:45,840 --> 00:42:48,719 Speaker 2: is unbelievable. Griffin was just texting as supposed to be 898 00:42:48,719 --> 00:42:52,240 Speaker 2: like one hundred and fourteen in the Bronx, the Bronx 899 00:42:52,280 --> 00:42:55,000 Speaker 2: and Staten Island being the two boroughs that are strongest 900 00:42:55,120 --> 00:42:59,800 Speaker 2: for Cuomos. So, you know, given that his base Zoron 901 00:42:59,880 --> 00:43:02,000 Speaker 2: is almost certainly ahead in the early vote, which is 902 00:43:02,200 --> 00:43:06,680 Speaker 2: pretty impressive. He has a massive number of volunteers. Coulomo 903 00:43:06,800 --> 00:43:10,359 Speaker 2: really has to depend on strong election day turnout, and 904 00:43:10,480 --> 00:43:12,920 Speaker 2: his base is more elderly. That's why the heat can 905 00:43:13,120 --> 00:43:16,799 Speaker 2: potentially come into play. But listen, that's one poll. Most 906 00:43:16,840 --> 00:43:19,200 Speaker 2: of the poles have shown Cuomo winning. Some of them 907 00:43:19,200 --> 00:43:21,080 Speaker 2: have shown him winning by you know, as much as 908 00:43:21,160 --> 00:43:25,600 Speaker 2: ten points. So this is really it's anybody's game. It 909 00:43:25,640 --> 00:43:27,239 Speaker 2: could truly go either way at this point. 910 00:43:27,280 --> 00:43:29,799 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, and you know what's fascinating to me 911 00:43:30,120 --> 00:43:33,160 Speaker 3: is for Cuomo is the fact that it's even this 912 00:43:33,320 --> 00:43:36,200 Speaker 3: close is honestly humiliating. And actually one of his Flowers 913 00:43:36,280 --> 00:43:38,960 Speaker 3: advisors did a very good job of summing it up. 914 00:43:39,080 --> 00:43:41,560 Speaker 3: Let's put B three please up on the screen again. 915 00:43:41,600 --> 00:43:43,319 Speaker 3: I reiterate, this is a guy who used to work 916 00:43:43,360 --> 00:43:47,319 Speaker 3: for Andrew Cuomo. A grim and joyless campaign as befits, 917 00:43:47,400 --> 00:43:50,760 Speaker 3: a battle for a prize never wanted, one long viewed 918 00:43:50,800 --> 00:43:54,280 Speaker 3: with disdain and contempt, as a trifle that only lesser 919 00:43:54,320 --> 00:43:57,720 Speaker 3: men would debase themselves to seek victory if it comes 920 00:43:57,719 --> 00:44:00,880 Speaker 3: at all, will be bandaged with tinmy fan fa strident 921 00:44:00,960 --> 00:44:03,439 Speaker 3: gloat to muffle the voice at the center that won't 922 00:44:03,480 --> 00:44:04,240 Speaker 3: stop whispering. 923 00:44:04,640 --> 00:44:08,480 Speaker 1: I'm hollow, brutal man, I mean, that is savage. This 924 00:44:08,560 --> 00:44:08,959 Speaker 1: is how. 925 00:44:11,520 --> 00:44:12,000 Speaker 7: This dude. 926 00:44:12,000 --> 00:44:14,640 Speaker 1: Hey, listen, honestly, it's poetic. That's that's well written. 927 00:44:14,680 --> 00:44:16,840 Speaker 3: I could never come up with something like that just 928 00:44:16,920 --> 00:44:19,279 Speaker 3: off the top of my head, but it does demonstrate, 929 00:44:19,400 --> 00:44:22,040 Speaker 3: you know, the real problems that they have. I will 930 00:44:22,080 --> 00:44:24,359 Speaker 3: say a couple of things for Zorn. First of all, 931 00:44:24,400 --> 00:44:27,560 Speaker 3: obviously he's run a decent campaign. I mean, he's running 932 00:44:27,600 --> 00:44:30,719 Speaker 3: nice a good campaign, got a lot of a lot 933 00:44:30,719 --> 00:44:35,560 Speaker 3: of excitement, a lot of lower propensity voters, use social media, podcasting, 934 00:44:35,800 --> 00:44:38,200 Speaker 3: et cetera to really get his message out there, got 935 00:44:38,200 --> 00:44:39,839 Speaker 3: a lot of progressives to endorse him. 936 00:44:39,960 --> 00:44:40,560 Speaker 1: So there's that. 937 00:44:40,600 --> 00:44:43,799 Speaker 3: But second, it's equally a tale of the failure of 938 00:44:43,800 --> 00:44:46,680 Speaker 3: the New York Democratic establishment, because the New York Democratic 939 00:44:46,760 --> 00:44:50,480 Speaker 3: Establishment correctly kicked Andrew Croomo out of office over me too. 940 00:44:50,719 --> 00:44:52,200 Speaker 1: But really what they should have kicked him out for 941 00:44:52,400 --> 00:44:53,440 Speaker 1: was his handling of COVID. 942 00:44:53,719 --> 00:44:54,400 Speaker 3: It was a disaster. 943 00:44:54,440 --> 00:44:55,719 Speaker 1: This guy's there his blood. 944 00:44:55,440 --> 00:44:58,240 Speaker 3: On his hands of elderly people because of his policy 945 00:44:58,320 --> 00:45:01,759 Speaker 3: and then light about and all of this is confirmed 946 00:45:01,800 --> 00:45:04,799 Speaker 3: I mean by his own government basically at the time. 947 00:45:04,880 --> 00:45:07,360 Speaker 3: And yet they still allowed him to like trapes on 948 00:45:07,520 --> 00:45:10,080 Speaker 3: in and to try and to seize it based. 949 00:45:09,800 --> 00:45:12,960 Speaker 1: On his own name recognition alone. So there's those two. 950 00:45:13,000 --> 00:45:15,080 Speaker 3: It's really a Hillary dynamic to be honest, like a 951 00:45:15,120 --> 00:45:18,719 Speaker 3: deeply terrible candidate who comes in here and is just 952 00:45:18,760 --> 00:45:20,360 Speaker 3: like I'm the king or the queen. 953 00:45:20,640 --> 00:45:21,480 Speaker 1: I deserve this. 954 00:45:21,680 --> 00:45:24,160 Speaker 3: It's my time because of who I am and my 955 00:45:24,360 --> 00:45:27,200 Speaker 3: last name, and then you have upstart campaign. I also 956 00:45:27,200 --> 00:45:30,320 Speaker 3: think Zoron has a lot of political benefit or a 957 00:45:30,360 --> 00:45:33,600 Speaker 3: lot of political wins at his back. Cuomo's out here 958 00:45:33,640 --> 00:45:36,680 Speaker 3: supporting the Iran strike, like Cuomo's out here running the 959 00:45:36,680 --> 00:45:40,279 Speaker 3: whole anti semi you know thing against so Soron is 960 00:45:40,280 --> 00:45:43,240 Speaker 3: the guy who's got, you know, the anti Trump energy 961 00:45:43,560 --> 00:45:45,839 Speaker 3: really at his back at a very critical time when 962 00:45:45,840 --> 00:45:49,160 Speaker 3: the Democratic base is very, very fired up. So look, 963 00:45:49,200 --> 00:45:53,319 Speaker 3: it's a classic insurgent versus you know, you just ostified 964 00:45:53,760 --> 00:45:56,400 Speaker 3: establishment story. If he does win, and even if he 965 00:45:56,400 --> 00:45:58,600 Speaker 3: does come close, again, it's embarrassing. 966 00:45:58,680 --> 00:46:00,960 Speaker 1: It's deeply embarrassing for Andrew Kuama. 967 00:46:01,040 --> 00:46:03,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, So to that point about the different campaigns that 968 00:46:03,719 --> 00:46:09,720 Speaker 2: they have run, Zorn concluded his campaign walking the length 969 00:46:09,960 --> 00:46:14,080 Speaker 2: of the island of Manhattan, recording these videos with supporters. 970 00:46:14,800 --> 00:46:16,680 Speaker 2: I read an account from a journalist who walked with 971 00:46:16,760 --> 00:46:19,520 Speaker 2: him that entire length and was sort of expecting that 972 00:46:19,640 --> 00:46:22,920 Speaker 2: in northern Manhattan, you know, these are more and I 973 00:46:23,040 --> 00:46:24,799 Speaker 2: used to live in this area. There's are more like 974 00:46:24,960 --> 00:46:28,200 Speaker 2: working class areas. There's a lot of rent stabilized apartments, 975 00:46:28,280 --> 00:46:31,680 Speaker 2: very diverse in particularly walking through areas that are majority Dominican, 976 00:46:31,920 --> 00:46:33,560 Speaker 2: Spanish language speakers, et cetera. 977 00:46:34,000 --> 00:46:35,239 Speaker 7: And this reporter was like. 978 00:46:35,160 --> 00:46:37,040 Speaker 2: You know, I kind of expected he wouldn't get as 979 00:46:37,080 --> 00:46:40,200 Speaker 2: much hype there because that's not my impression of what 980 00:46:40,280 --> 00:46:40,920 Speaker 2: his base was. 981 00:46:41,160 --> 00:46:43,040 Speaker 7: And he was like people were flooding. 982 00:46:42,800 --> 00:46:46,080 Speaker 2: Him, every mobbing him everywhere anyway, was a celebrity everywhere 983 00:46:46,120 --> 00:46:48,600 Speaker 2: he went throughout the entire city. And so let's go 984 00:46:48,640 --> 00:46:50,640 Speaker 2: ahead and take a look at a little bit of 985 00:46:50,680 --> 00:46:53,800 Speaker 2: the video and the vibe from that walk down the 986 00:46:53,880 --> 00:46:55,440 Speaker 2: length of the island of Manhattan. 987 00:46:55,480 --> 00:46:56,960 Speaker 7: This is before guys go ahead and play this. 988 00:46:57,520 --> 00:47:01,440 Speaker 9: We have just begun our walk through the entirety Manhattan. 989 00:47:01,480 --> 00:47:03,080 Speaker 9: Where inwood Hill Park at. 990 00:47:03,000 --> 00:47:06,240 Speaker 11: The tip top we're outside because New York is deserving 991 00:47:06,320 --> 00:47:08,799 Speaker 11: mayna that they can see, they can hear, they can 992 00:47:08,840 --> 00:47:19,040 Speaker 11: even yell up, good bro elections on Tuesday, Tuesday. 993 00:47:19,440 --> 00:47:21,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, everybody pray. 994 00:47:24,920 --> 00:47:28,040 Speaker 9: Yes, sir, yes, sir, Thank you brother. 995 00:47:28,440 --> 00:47:31,400 Speaker 11: You have climbed six floor walk ups and braved the 996 00:47:31,440 --> 00:47:34,800 Speaker 11: pouring rain to canvas hour City. Wait, we both have 997 00:47:34,960 --> 00:47:40,360 Speaker 11: canvas for you. 998 00:47:41,280 --> 00:47:44,520 Speaker 4: I am sorry, but the days of moral victories are 999 00:47:44,560 --> 00:47:50,160 Speaker 4: over because this is a campaign that is going to 1000 00:47:50,360 --> 00:47:51,960 Speaker 4: win on June twenty four. 1001 00:47:55,000 --> 00:47:56,680 Speaker 5: All right, where are we headed? 1002 00:47:57,440 --> 00:47:58,880 Speaker 7: A lot of bros in that video? Sorry? 1003 00:47:58,960 --> 00:48:01,960 Speaker 2: You know the Democratic Party is serious about, like, hey, 1004 00:48:01,960 --> 00:48:04,200 Speaker 2: how do we win back these young men? They might 1005 00:48:04,239 --> 00:48:06,799 Speaker 2: want to do something other than just do everything they 1006 00:48:06,840 --> 00:48:09,359 Speaker 2: can to try to destroy this candidate who clearly shows 1007 00:48:09,360 --> 00:48:11,360 Speaker 2: some promis and is like struck a nerve and it 1008 00:48:11,400 --> 00:48:14,360 Speaker 2: really does tell you everything about like just how terrible 1009 00:48:15,000 --> 00:48:19,600 Speaker 2: the Democrats truly are and why they are so stuck 1010 00:48:19,880 --> 00:48:23,400 Speaker 2: and why they lose. I mean, this is a talented politician, 1011 00:48:23,680 --> 00:48:27,200 Speaker 2: Like he is a talented guy. He from this come 1012 00:48:27,239 --> 00:48:30,400 Speaker 2: from behind campaign, lightning in a bottle. Whether or not 1013 00:48:30,440 --> 00:48:35,239 Speaker 2: he wins, vastly exceeded anyone's expectations. And their reaction to 1014 00:48:35,280 --> 00:48:38,239 Speaker 2: that is to do everything they possibly can to crush it. So, 1015 00:48:38,320 --> 00:48:42,360 Speaker 2: in contrast to how Zoran is closing his campaign, Cuomo 1016 00:48:42,560 --> 00:48:44,680 Speaker 2: is closing his campaign. First of all, Griffin went out 1017 00:48:44,680 --> 00:48:46,479 Speaker 2: and was like, I really am having trouble even finding 1018 00:48:46,520 --> 00:48:49,480 Speaker 2: a video a Cromo like in his campaign closing here, 1019 00:48:49,520 --> 00:48:51,759 Speaker 2: and I think everyone would acknowledge Ross Barkin, who was 1020 00:48:51,800 --> 00:48:53,120 Speaker 2: a great New York journalist who've had. 1021 00:48:53,080 --> 00:48:53,520 Speaker 7: On the show. 1022 00:48:53,719 --> 00:48:59,279 Speaker 2: Coulomo's run an absolutely abysmal, lazy, tired campaign, But his 1023 00:49:00,080 --> 00:49:04,160 Speaker 2: final move here was to go deep back to the 1024 00:49:04,160 --> 00:49:09,280 Speaker 2: Democratic well and enlist former President Bill Clinton to record 1025 00:49:09,360 --> 00:49:13,160 Speaker 2: an ad for him. I guess sex past stick together. 1026 00:49:13,320 --> 00:49:15,480 Speaker 2: Let's go ahead and take a listen to B seven. 1027 00:49:15,840 --> 00:49:19,480 Speaker 6: Hello, this is President Bill Clinton. I'm calling to urge 1028 00:49:19,480 --> 00:49:21,319 Speaker 6: you to vote for Andrew Cuomo for Mayor of New 1029 00:49:21,360 --> 00:49:25,360 Speaker 6: York City. Early voting is open now in election days 1030 00:49:25,360 --> 00:49:29,520 Speaker 6: this Tuesday. I chose Andrew to be my Secretary of 1031 00:49:29,520 --> 00:49:32,359 Speaker 6: Housing in Urban Development because he knew how to get 1032 00:49:32,400 --> 00:49:36,840 Speaker 6: things done. Together. We worked for years delivering for working people, 1033 00:49:37,440 --> 00:49:42,719 Speaker 6: lowering homelessness, revitalizing neighborhoods, and bringing real investment to communities 1034 00:49:42,960 --> 00:49:46,560 Speaker 6: that had been left behind. As governor, he built a 1035 00:49:46,560 --> 00:49:51,400 Speaker 6: new Laguadia, expanded public transit, raised the minimum wage, and 1036 00:49:51,560 --> 00:49:56,279 Speaker 6: passed marriage equality. Now New York needs real leadership on 1037 00:49:56,360 --> 00:50:02,880 Speaker 6: affordable housing, public safety, and genuine opportunity. And Andrew's ready 1038 00:50:02,920 --> 00:50:06,080 Speaker 6: to deliver. He's a fighter who knows how to make 1039 00:50:06,160 --> 00:50:09,399 Speaker 6: government work. And at a time when our basic rights 1040 00:50:09,440 --> 00:50:13,239 Speaker 6: are under assault. No, he'll stand up and protect the 1041 00:50:13,320 --> 00:50:17,640 Speaker 6: people in this city. So make your voice heard. Vote 1042 00:50:17,680 --> 00:50:21,640 Speaker 6: early or show up on Tuesday, and please vote for 1043 00:50:21,680 --> 00:50:23,920 Speaker 6: Andrew Cuomo for Mayor of New York City. 1044 00:50:24,320 --> 00:50:27,359 Speaker 1: Inspiring stuff soccer, yes, deeply, but who knows. 1045 00:50:27,400 --> 00:50:29,960 Speaker 3: I mean, look, it could still work. I guess we 1046 00:50:30,000 --> 00:50:33,120 Speaker 3: also have this attack from Andrew Cuomo. B eight guys, 1047 00:50:33,280 --> 00:50:34,040 Speaker 3: let's take a listen. 1048 00:50:34,600 --> 00:50:37,600 Speaker 12: LA's and chaos. Now Trump's coming for New York. You 1049 00:50:37,640 --> 00:50:40,200 Speaker 12: think a thirty three year old legislator who's passed three 1050 00:50:40,239 --> 00:50:43,160 Speaker 12: bills can stop him. Andrew Cuomo's managed to state and 1051 00:50:43,239 --> 00:50:47,080 Speaker 12: manage crises from COVID to Trump. We need someone experience 1052 00:50:47,160 --> 00:50:49,399 Speaker 12: to stop him. People by Cuomo for NYC Inc. 1053 00:50:49,800 --> 00:50:52,360 Speaker 3: There's been ocean of money coming in from Oh yeah, Clomo. 1054 00:50:52,480 --> 00:50:54,440 Speaker 3: I mean, somebody showed me a bar chart and it 1055 00:50:54,480 --> 00:50:57,040 Speaker 3: was insane. It's like ten to one margin in terms 1056 00:50:57,360 --> 00:50:59,360 Speaker 3: of his spending. So if he does win, it'll be 1057 00:50:59,400 --> 00:51:02,640 Speaker 3: at a very very very low margin, and largely it 1058 00:51:02,719 --> 00:51:05,280 Speaker 3: will probably be a story of what it's like older 1059 00:51:05,360 --> 00:51:09,040 Speaker 3: black voters, right Jewish voters as well, basically who save him? 1060 00:51:09,080 --> 00:51:12,600 Speaker 3: It's probably really a tale of name recognition if I 1061 00:51:12,600 --> 00:51:14,600 Speaker 3: had to guess, oh yeah, you know, on his side. 1062 00:51:14,640 --> 00:51:16,279 Speaker 1: So, I mean, look, that's the other thing here. 1063 00:51:16,280 --> 00:51:19,439 Speaker 3: I'm not going to underestimate the Democratic establishment, even as 1064 00:51:19,520 --> 00:51:22,479 Speaker 3: weak and you know, horrible, disgusting all of that as 1065 00:51:22,520 --> 00:51:23,520 Speaker 3: they can be, they. 1066 00:51:23,360 --> 00:51:25,080 Speaker 1: Still have a couple of tricks and things up there. 1067 00:51:25,120 --> 00:51:29,680 Speaker 3: Sleep Jim Clyburn came out for Andrew Croma, which what, like, 1068 00:51:29,760 --> 00:51:31,600 Speaker 3: I know, dude, you're from South Carolina. 1069 00:51:32,480 --> 00:51:34,680 Speaker 1: What do you even have an incentive here? It's like, wow, 1070 00:51:34,719 --> 00:51:35,520 Speaker 1: we know the incentive. 1071 00:51:35,600 --> 00:51:38,759 Speaker 7: Yeah, I'm shocked. Actually Obama didn't decide to jump in 1072 00:51:38,800 --> 00:51:40,080 Speaker 7: and make sure of that too. 1073 00:51:40,239 --> 00:51:42,080 Speaker 3: Actually yeah, I mean Clinton kind of makes sense. I 1074 00:51:42,080 --> 00:51:43,760 Speaker 3: think he lives in New York so and he spends 1075 00:51:43,760 --> 00:51:45,880 Speaker 3: a lot of time in New York City, but whatever. 1076 00:51:46,080 --> 00:51:47,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, but his headquarters. 1077 00:51:47,280 --> 00:51:50,439 Speaker 3: Whatever, the Clinton Global Initiative, I think, is in Harlem. 1078 00:51:50,600 --> 00:51:50,839 Speaker 1: Yeah. 1079 00:51:50,880 --> 00:51:53,480 Speaker 3: But you know, the other corollary to this is if 1080 00:51:53,560 --> 00:51:57,359 Speaker 3: Zorn does win, will just be the billionaire freak out. 1081 00:51:58,719 --> 00:51:59,960 Speaker 7: It's gonna be delicious. 1082 00:52:00,239 --> 00:52:02,840 Speaker 2: They're already proof for you to out, that's preloaded, is 1083 00:52:02,880 --> 00:52:04,080 Speaker 2: locked and loaded, ready to go. 1084 00:52:04,360 --> 00:52:06,480 Speaker 3: All because I actually think it would be very healthy 1085 00:52:06,520 --> 00:52:09,920 Speaker 3: for New York because New York's taxation system is completely 1086 00:52:09,960 --> 00:52:12,840 Speaker 3: stupid and it's like ten people pay like forty percent 1087 00:52:13,120 --> 00:52:15,640 Speaker 3: of the taxes. They basically designed it so that it's 1088 00:52:15,719 --> 00:52:19,040 Speaker 3: basically it's heavily reliant on Wall Street and ulter rich 1089 00:52:19,160 --> 00:52:22,560 Speaker 3: financiers and a lot of the more working class, middle 1090 00:52:22,600 --> 00:52:24,960 Speaker 3: class and even upper middle class like have less of 1091 00:52:25,000 --> 00:52:27,719 Speaker 3: a stake like in how things are all run. This 1092 00:52:27,840 --> 00:52:29,960 Speaker 3: is bad because it actually gives way too much outsize 1093 00:52:29,960 --> 00:52:31,920 Speaker 3: power to these guys and be like, I'm gonna move 1094 00:52:31,960 --> 00:52:33,920 Speaker 3: to Palm Beach and they're like, no, please don't. 1095 00:52:34,000 --> 00:52:36,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, we can't pay our bills if you don't. 1096 00:52:36,200 --> 00:52:39,120 Speaker 3: So their whole financing structure actually does need to be 1097 00:52:39,440 --> 00:52:41,680 Speaker 3: totally redone. So it would be good. It would actually 1098 00:52:41,760 --> 00:52:43,440 Speaker 3: be a good thing if all of the super rich 1099 00:52:43,480 --> 00:52:44,320 Speaker 3: left New York City. 1100 00:52:44,440 --> 00:52:45,240 Speaker 1: It would be affordable. 1101 00:52:45,280 --> 00:52:48,000 Speaker 2: Again, Like they threatened to do this over build a 1102 00:52:48,040 --> 00:52:51,160 Speaker 2: Blasio too, and they didn't. And but actually the n 1103 00:52:51,160 --> 00:52:52,799 Speaker 2: I saw chart the number of millionaires went. 1104 00:52:52,719 --> 00:52:54,680 Speaker 7: Up in the city after de Blasio gets elected. 1105 00:52:54,760 --> 00:52:57,200 Speaker 3: So but see it's actually it's really not a millionaire question. 1106 00:52:57,360 --> 00:52:59,960 Speaker 3: It's more like one hundred millionaire because that's again the insanity. 1107 00:53:00,080 --> 00:53:02,200 Speaker 3: The New York system is how much is reliant on 1108 00:53:02,280 --> 00:53:04,800 Speaker 3: the people who make like two or three hundred million 1109 00:53:05,120 --> 00:53:06,520 Speaker 3: and or are billionaires. 1110 00:53:06,520 --> 00:53:08,240 Speaker 1: But yeah, is Wall Street going to go anywhere? 1111 00:53:08,280 --> 00:53:08,360 Speaker 6: No? 1112 00:53:08,480 --> 00:53:11,080 Speaker 3: I don't think so, we'll see. I means it'll be fun. 1113 00:53:11,160 --> 00:53:14,000 Speaker 3: I personally, it'll be fun to watch no matter what. 1114 00:53:14,080 --> 00:53:16,480 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, absolutely so again, guys, we'll be covering it 1115 00:53:16,520 --> 00:53:17,200 Speaker 2: live tonight. 1116 00:53:17,280 --> 00:53:18,160 Speaker 7: Make sure you tune in. 1117 00:53:18,680 --> 00:53:21,239 Speaker 2: Emily and I will be here, Ryan and Griffin will 1118 00:53:21,280 --> 00:53:23,680 Speaker 2: be up in New York covering this live, and we 1119 00:53:23,719 --> 00:53:26,000 Speaker 2: will all find out together what happens. Assuming they're aim 1120 00:53:26,480 --> 00:53:38,960 Speaker 2: about their ballots. That's right, big question mark.