1 00:00:01,000 --> 00:00:03,800 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,840 --> 00:00:06,680 Speaker 1: your bets. It's be Joey p Joe Pie's Apia and 3 00:00:06,720 --> 00:00:09,080 Speaker 1: it's week six. It's time to talk to some dfs. 4 00:00:09,160 --> 00:00:09,440 Speaker 1: De Bro. 5 00:00:09,560 --> 00:00:11,000 Speaker 2: Derek Brown, the King of Bro is going to join 6 00:00:11,080 --> 00:00:14,240 Speaker 2: us and we're going to talk a little DFS. 7 00:00:13,360 --> 00:00:14,080 Speaker 1: For you here. 8 00:00:14,440 --> 00:00:17,520 Speaker 2: Interesting Slate. Have a great bounce back from Joe Burrow. 9 00:00:17,800 --> 00:00:20,319 Speaker 2: The victory lap still going for Derek Brown. When he 10 00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:22,639 Speaker 2: gets off the victory lap, hopefully he'll join us and 11 00:00:22,680 --> 00:00:23,680 Speaker 2: sit down and talk. 12 00:00:23,600 --> 00:00:24,400 Speaker 1: About week six. 13 00:00:24,520 --> 00:00:28,120 Speaker 2: Just a reminder everybody, we are live on that AMP app. 14 00:00:28,160 --> 00:00:30,080 Speaker 2: If you haven't arady, make sure you download the AMP 15 00:00:30,080 --> 00:00:32,400 Speaker 2: app while it's still good to download and join us 16 00:00:32,400 --> 00:00:34,640 Speaker 2: at two pm Easter Live here for the show, or 17 00:00:34,760 --> 00:00:37,839 Speaker 2: just listen to us over on the Betting Pros podcast channel. 18 00:00:37,840 --> 00:00:40,400 Speaker 2: Subscribe to Betting Pros wherever you get your pods and 19 00:00:40,440 --> 00:00:44,320 Speaker 2: also download the Betting Pros app as well. Download is 20 00:00:44,440 --> 00:00:47,960 Speaker 2: free at iOS and Android. Make sure you sink all 21 00:00:48,000 --> 00:00:50,640 Speaker 2: your sports books. Start betting smarter, not harder. That's the 22 00:00:50,640 --> 00:00:53,279 Speaker 2: Betting Pros way. Use that prop at cheat sheet while 23 00:00:53,280 --> 00:00:55,360 Speaker 2: you're at it to in all the amazing tools Oh 24 00:00:55,400 --> 00:00:57,200 Speaker 2: there he is. Derek Brown finally just made it in. 25 00:00:57,240 --> 00:01:00,320 Speaker 2: He's out of breath de bro Week six is here again. 26 00:01:00,360 --> 00:01:02,160 Speaker 2: We've got a London Games. We're gonna let that bad 27 00:01:02,200 --> 00:01:04,680 Speaker 2: boy go talk about the main slate and let's start 28 00:01:04,680 --> 00:01:06,400 Speaker 2: with the one everybody can stop talking about. 29 00:01:06,440 --> 00:01:08,280 Speaker 1: The Washington Commanders and the Atlanta Falcons. 30 00:01:08,319 --> 00:01:10,360 Speaker 2: Let's go forty two is the number forty two and 31 00:01:10,400 --> 00:01:13,720 Speaker 2: a half in some other spots Logan Thomas and Bjeon Robinson. 32 00:01:13,800 --> 00:01:17,319 Speaker 2: Those are two pieces I'm curious about rostering this week. 33 00:01:17,360 --> 00:01:19,840 Speaker 2: Your thoughts on Washington Atlanta Derek. 34 00:01:19,920 --> 00:01:22,000 Speaker 3: Well, first shout out to you, Joey, the fact that 35 00:01:22,040 --> 00:01:23,759 Speaker 3: you said iOS and not iOS. 36 00:01:24,200 --> 00:01:25,679 Speaker 1: I think all the people, all. 37 00:01:25,640 --> 00:01:27,640 Speaker 3: The people at home need to understand how much of 38 00:01:27,680 --> 00:01:31,360 Speaker 3: a monumental. That's a big step for you, Joe, So 39 00:01:31,400 --> 00:01:33,880 Speaker 3: I want to I want to shout that out. But 40 00:01:34,120 --> 00:01:36,880 Speaker 3: besides that, Yeah, dude, I think this is a ministat 41 00:01:36,920 --> 00:01:38,039 Speaker 3: correlation kind of game. 42 00:01:38,120 --> 00:01:39,560 Speaker 1: I'm really interested in. Beijon. 43 00:01:39,680 --> 00:01:42,840 Speaker 3: People do not understand how bad the Commander's run defense 44 00:01:42,880 --> 00:01:44,760 Speaker 3: has been. So we're gonna go back to the well 45 00:01:44,840 --> 00:01:47,000 Speaker 3: with that. I know it didn't pay offers the Texans, 46 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:49,160 Speaker 3: but again, flop flag situation. 47 00:01:49,320 --> 00:01:50,120 Speaker 1: I'm in here for it. 48 00:01:50,280 --> 00:01:52,920 Speaker 3: And outside of that, yeah, man, I don't have a 49 00:01:52,920 --> 00:01:55,800 Speaker 3: lot of interest because I'm not a Desmond Ridder fan 50 00:01:55,840 --> 00:01:58,040 Speaker 3: and if you cannot get the ball deep, which is 51 00:01:58,120 --> 00:02:01,000 Speaker 3: questionable at best for Ridder, you can count me out 52 00:02:01,040 --> 00:02:03,320 Speaker 3: on Drake London in this game. But I like Bijon 53 00:02:03,480 --> 00:02:06,640 Speaker 3: on the Commander's side. I want to attack the slot 54 00:02:06,760 --> 00:02:09,200 Speaker 3: on the weekly basis against the offered, So I have 55 00:02:09,400 --> 00:02:12,240 Speaker 3: interest in Curtis Samuel, and I also have interest in 56 00:02:12,240 --> 00:02:15,639 Speaker 3: Logan Thomas Man and Lanta's allowed the fifth most receiving 57 00:02:15,680 --> 00:02:18,480 Speaker 3: yards and second most Fantasy points two tight ends, So 58 00:02:18,560 --> 00:02:20,320 Speaker 3: fire up Logan Thomas yet again. 59 00:02:20,800 --> 00:02:23,840 Speaker 2: Yeah like it, especially with Sam Laporta banged up. We're 60 00:02:23,840 --> 00:02:26,640 Speaker 2: waiting for injury report on him today. Hopefully it's going 61 00:02:26,680 --> 00:02:30,120 Speaker 2: in the right direction. But still Kelsey already played, Hawkinson. 62 00:02:29,680 --> 00:02:30,000 Speaker 1: Could be in. 63 00:02:30,240 --> 00:02:32,480 Speaker 3: If the Laborde is gonna be fine, I'm driving to Detroit. 64 00:02:32,520 --> 00:02:35,160 Speaker 3: I'm offering him by half right after this show, so 65 00:02:35,240 --> 00:02:36,200 Speaker 3: that's he'll be fine. 66 00:02:36,240 --> 00:02:38,799 Speaker 1: He'll be fine. Well, that's good the LEAs we'll get 67 00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:39,160 Speaker 1: some use. 68 00:02:39,400 --> 00:02:43,040 Speaker 2: Let's go to San Francisco, Cleveland. San Francisco defense probably 69 00:02:43,200 --> 00:02:45,320 Speaker 2: be very popular. In this one, PJ. Walker is gonna 70 00:02:45,320 --> 00:02:49,040 Speaker 2: be under center, and this time Cleveland Brown said, no, no, 71 00:02:49,120 --> 00:02:52,560 Speaker 2: Deshaun Watson. We are going to make sure that we 72 00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:55,160 Speaker 2: have somebody getting some reps with the first teamers here. 73 00:02:55,400 --> 00:02:57,000 Speaker 2: Thirty six and a half is the number four of 74 00:02:57,080 --> 00:03:00,080 Speaker 2: this contest. Luckily, if you watch the betting pro it 75 00:03:00,160 --> 00:03:01,919 Speaker 2: was Monday, look ahead, show you bet this one. 76 00:03:01,919 --> 00:03:05,680 Speaker 1: When it was five. You listen, uncle Joe, Now four 77 00:03:05,680 --> 00:03:08,200 Speaker 1: and a half. Joey, I was five. 78 00:03:08,440 --> 00:03:11,040 Speaker 2: It was five, and I and I lost my mind 79 00:03:11,040 --> 00:03:13,360 Speaker 2: about I teased you, guys. I was like, okay, so 80 00:03:13,480 --> 00:03:15,280 Speaker 2: Cleveland defense, and I was kind of making a half 81 00:03:15,280 --> 00:03:17,320 Speaker 2: assed joke. Now the numbers at ten, and I'm sure 82 00:03:17,320 --> 00:03:18,639 Speaker 2: it's gonna be twelve and a half by the time 83 00:03:18,639 --> 00:03:19,360 Speaker 2: I get the Sunday. 84 00:03:19,400 --> 00:03:21,600 Speaker 1: But I wish I'd put more units on it. That's 85 00:03:21,639 --> 00:03:24,120 Speaker 1: my only regret with it. That's it. Well, the trick 86 00:03:24,240 --> 00:03:25,880 Speaker 1: is now okay, so here you go. 87 00:03:25,960 --> 00:03:29,680 Speaker 2: So San Francisco Defense will be very expensive, but again 88 00:03:30,400 --> 00:03:33,280 Speaker 2: one would look at it as a real option of 89 00:03:33,320 --> 00:03:35,120 Speaker 2: worth paying up for if you can make it work. 90 00:03:35,440 --> 00:03:38,040 Speaker 2: The trouble is, do you see this one being a 91 00:03:38,040 --> 00:03:40,240 Speaker 2: game where it's again kind of one sided you know, 92 00:03:40,280 --> 00:03:42,400 Speaker 2: I know Peop would argue with Sunday Night was one 93 00:03:42,400 --> 00:03:44,480 Speaker 2: side of two, and they would be correct in that assumption. 94 00:03:44,960 --> 00:03:45,720 Speaker 1: But do you think that. 95 00:03:45,680 --> 00:03:47,480 Speaker 2: We're getting into a spot here where the forty nine ers, 96 00:03:47,480 --> 00:03:50,000 Speaker 2: because you know, you do have Christ McCaffrey very expensive 97 00:03:50,000 --> 00:03:52,320 Speaker 2: this week, I yuk is a very intriguing piece. Every 98 00:03:52,320 --> 00:03:54,680 Speaker 2: week Kid'll come off a three touchdown performance. I don't 99 00:03:54,680 --> 00:03:57,120 Speaker 2: know if we want to chase that necessarily. So how 100 00:03:57,160 --> 00:04:00,760 Speaker 2: do you approach San Francisco here, if at all on 101 00:04:00,800 --> 00:04:01,520 Speaker 2: this main slate? 102 00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:05,280 Speaker 3: I love San Francisco, and I think that what you're 103 00:04:05,320 --> 00:04:08,240 Speaker 3: looking at, I think that the way that you approach this. 104 00:04:08,360 --> 00:04:09,960 Speaker 3: And now I've got to go look at it because 105 00:04:09,960 --> 00:04:15,440 Speaker 3: I have not checked out. Where is mister brock Purty priced. Oh, 106 00:04:15,520 --> 00:04:19,040 Speaker 3: he's very affordable fifty six hundred, and he's not going 107 00:04:19,120 --> 00:04:21,360 Speaker 3: to be popular on this slate. He's only like he's 108 00:04:21,760 --> 00:04:25,560 Speaker 3: gonna be sub five percent rostered. I'm totally fine with 109 00:04:25,640 --> 00:04:27,200 Speaker 3: going party double stacks. 110 00:04:27,279 --> 00:04:27,520 Speaker 1: Man. 111 00:04:28,040 --> 00:04:30,159 Speaker 3: Everybody wants to talk about the Cleveland Browns defense. What 112 00:04:30,200 --> 00:04:32,080 Speaker 3: we really need to be talking about is this could 113 00:04:32,120 --> 00:04:35,120 Speaker 3: be another exact, just run it back type of production 114 00:04:35,240 --> 00:04:38,160 Speaker 3: week for the forty nine ers. You're looking at the 115 00:04:38,240 --> 00:04:41,000 Speaker 3: Dallas Cowboys last week run the most man coverage in 116 00:04:41,000 --> 00:04:41,560 Speaker 3: the NFL. 117 00:04:41,600 --> 00:04:42,800 Speaker 1: Well, guess who's number two. 118 00:04:43,200 --> 00:04:45,560 Speaker 3: That is Cleveland Brown's. And the way that the San 119 00:04:45,560 --> 00:04:47,840 Speaker 3: Francisco forty nine ers, this is easy man. The way 120 00:04:47,880 --> 00:04:50,159 Speaker 3: that they beat man coverage, it's a lot of Brandon 121 00:04:50,200 --> 00:04:53,279 Speaker 3: Ayuk and it's George Kittle. George Kittle has two point 122 00:04:53,320 --> 00:04:55,680 Speaker 3: three yards per route running a twenty percent target chair 123 00:04:56,080 --> 00:04:59,200 Speaker 3: against man coverage. So if CMC is going to be 124 00:04:59,240 --> 00:05:01,840 Speaker 3: popular this week, I think you can easily go opo 125 00:05:02,800 --> 00:05:04,440 Speaker 3: and go party in a double stack. 126 00:05:05,680 --> 00:05:07,640 Speaker 2: In the double stackch Just for the record for people, 127 00:05:07,760 --> 00:05:08,920 Speaker 2: is that Deebo and Nyuk? 128 00:05:09,000 --> 00:05:11,600 Speaker 1: Or is it that is Brandon Ayuk and Kittle in 129 00:05:11,720 --> 00:05:12,800 Speaker 1: Kittle yeahah yeah. 130 00:05:12,839 --> 00:05:15,520 Speaker 3: Deebo is all about zone coverage, So we're gonna put 131 00:05:15,560 --> 00:05:18,480 Speaker 3: Deebo in our pockets. So we're gonna save him for, 132 00:05:18,960 --> 00:05:22,080 Speaker 3: you know, the later weeks because those matchups are coming, 133 00:05:22,160 --> 00:05:24,920 Speaker 3: so we're gonna have debo games. But this week it's 134 00:05:25,000 --> 00:05:28,320 Speaker 3: all Brandon Ayuk, it is all George Kittle. And if 135 00:05:28,320 --> 00:05:30,039 Speaker 3: you want to sit here and play see MC, I 136 00:05:30,040 --> 00:05:34,400 Speaker 3: mean I'm fine with actually on slotting. San Francisco's offense here, 137 00:05:34,920 --> 00:05:36,800 Speaker 3: I'm totally in large field tournaments. 138 00:05:37,160 --> 00:05:39,159 Speaker 1: Nobody's gonna do that. I think it's in play. 139 00:05:39,520 --> 00:05:41,280 Speaker 2: All right, Let's move on to the next one here 140 00:05:41,440 --> 00:05:44,560 Speaker 2: the New Orleans Saints and the Houston Texans. Right now, 141 00:05:44,640 --> 00:05:46,039 Speaker 2: this number is at forty two and a half, so 142 00:05:46,120 --> 00:05:49,040 Speaker 2: pretty decent number here. Again, the last game, we're talking 143 00:05:49,040 --> 00:05:51,520 Speaker 2: about more of San Francisco holding up most of that 144 00:05:51,600 --> 00:05:53,400 Speaker 2: total as opposed to this one, which could be a 145 00:05:53,440 --> 00:05:55,800 Speaker 2: little bit of a back and forth. Alvin Kamara for me, 146 00:05:55,920 --> 00:05:59,240 Speaker 2: is again one always in play. His price is still 147 00:05:59,320 --> 00:06:02,479 Speaker 2: very middling by comparison to I think what his productivity is. 148 00:06:02,560 --> 00:06:04,720 Speaker 2: So he's been back for two weeks, two weeks, I've 149 00:06:04,720 --> 00:06:06,440 Speaker 2: played him two weeks. I'm perfectly fine. 150 00:06:06,960 --> 00:06:09,640 Speaker 1: Houston. Look, c J. Stroud has been really good. I 151 00:06:09,680 --> 00:06:11,000 Speaker 1: know there's some injuries right now. 152 00:06:11,040 --> 00:06:14,200 Speaker 2: Tank Dell doing with that concussion issue, so he'll probably 153 00:06:14,240 --> 00:06:17,640 Speaker 2: be inactive for this one. But pieces for this game here, 154 00:06:17,760 --> 00:06:19,640 Speaker 2: New Orleans defense is good, but are they a little 155 00:06:19,640 --> 00:06:23,000 Speaker 2: bit overrated coming off that giant victory last week? And 156 00:06:23,080 --> 00:06:25,279 Speaker 2: how would you approach this game from a DFS perspective? 157 00:06:25,320 --> 00:06:26,200 Speaker 2: Are there pieces you like? 158 00:06:26,320 --> 00:06:28,400 Speaker 3: There are pieces I like, I don't think that they're 159 00:06:28,440 --> 00:06:32,520 Speaker 3: overrated because their secondary. I'll stack their secondary up with 160 00:06:32,720 --> 00:06:35,760 Speaker 3: the best of the game. The trio of Alante Taylor, 161 00:06:35,800 --> 00:06:40,040 Speaker 3: Paulson Dedebo, and Marshall Latimore are playing amazing shutdown football. 162 00:06:40,720 --> 00:06:44,560 Speaker 3: So their starting quartering unit is fantastic. Now, in saying that, 163 00:06:45,480 --> 00:06:47,800 Speaker 3: I think that C. J. Stroud, his offensive line being 164 00:06:47,800 --> 00:06:50,080 Speaker 3: a little bit healthier, I think can help him. 165 00:06:50,080 --> 00:06:51,200 Speaker 1: I'm not playing Stroud. 166 00:06:51,320 --> 00:06:55,640 Speaker 3: This is another game where I think that you're looking 167 00:06:55,680 --> 00:06:57,560 Speaker 3: at it's just picking off hearts and pieces to put 168 00:06:57,560 --> 00:06:59,919 Speaker 3: around other stacks. So on the Houston side, I like 169 00:07:00,120 --> 00:07:03,479 Speaker 3: Nico Collins. He's been a man coverage beater. The Saints 170 00:07:03,560 --> 00:07:05,880 Speaker 3: run a lot of man coverage this year. And on 171 00:07:05,920 --> 00:07:09,040 Speaker 3: the same side, it's Kamara, it is Chris A Lave 172 00:07:09,920 --> 00:07:12,400 Speaker 3: and the other player that I have a ton of 173 00:07:12,400 --> 00:07:15,640 Speaker 3: interest in also is Rashie Shaheed, because Joe, when we've 174 00:07:15,640 --> 00:07:18,120 Speaker 3: talked about Rashik Shaheed, the two boxes we want to 175 00:07:18,160 --> 00:07:20,400 Speaker 3: talk about every single time that we're like, Okay, maybe 176 00:07:20,440 --> 00:07:22,680 Speaker 3: he's in play. Does the team run a lot of 177 00:07:22,680 --> 00:07:26,200 Speaker 3: his own coverage? Yes, Houston's second most in the NFL. 178 00:07:26,600 --> 00:07:28,680 Speaker 3: Does the team struggle versus deep passing. 179 00:07:29,400 --> 00:07:30,040 Speaker 1: Oh look at that. 180 00:07:30,160 --> 00:07:34,320 Speaker 3: Houston also bottom ten in deep ball passing metrics, So 181 00:07:35,240 --> 00:07:38,720 Speaker 3: I'm not saying to double up or play Derek carstacks 182 00:07:39,040 --> 00:07:44,440 Speaker 3: this week, So don't get this twisted. Alba Kamara, Chris olave, Rashi, 183 00:07:44,520 --> 00:07:47,080 Speaker 3: Chhaheed and Nico those parts of pieces that would be 184 00:07:47,120 --> 00:07:49,120 Speaker 3: mixing around my other mainstacks for the week. 185 00:07:49,560 --> 00:07:52,239 Speaker 2: Okay, let's move on to the next game on the sleg. 186 00:07:52,320 --> 00:07:55,040 Speaker 2: Caroline and Miami. Now another one that seems like a 187 00:07:55,040 --> 00:07:57,120 Speaker 2: pretty one sided affair. Forty seven and a half is 188 00:07:57,120 --> 00:07:58,880 Speaker 2: a total for this one, so a little bit higher. 189 00:07:59,160 --> 00:08:00,960 Speaker 2: Caroline giving up a lot of points of running backs 190 00:08:01,000 --> 00:08:02,640 Speaker 2: this year, so I think most are very much in 191 00:08:02,720 --> 00:08:05,360 Speaker 2: play in this one. I know Jeffrey Wilson, we're hoping, 192 00:08:05,520 --> 00:08:07,200 Speaker 2: you know, get some touches, but it's the first game 193 00:08:07,280 --> 00:08:10,600 Speaker 2: back even if he does in this one. Also, Jalen 194 00:08:10,640 --> 00:08:13,280 Speaker 2: Wattle would be my piece this week for sure. And 195 00:08:13,480 --> 00:08:16,560 Speaker 2: Adam Thielen continues to be that guy every week. He 196 00:08:16,680 --> 00:08:20,440 Speaker 2: is cheap on DraftKings, he's cheap on FanDuel. He's just 197 00:08:20,480 --> 00:08:23,120 Speaker 2: continuing to return. So when you're playing from behind in 198 00:08:23,200 --> 00:08:25,080 Speaker 2: this that one piece you can depend on. This offense 199 00:08:25,160 --> 00:08:28,000 Speaker 2: especially Miles Sanders out now Chewba Hubbard should get his 200 00:08:28,080 --> 00:08:30,240 Speaker 2: full run of that backfield. I mean to me, this 201 00:08:30,280 --> 00:08:32,319 Speaker 2: one makes a lot of sense where I feel like 202 00:08:32,400 --> 00:08:34,120 Speaker 2: this is a game people might overlook, but I think 203 00:08:34,160 --> 00:08:35,600 Speaker 2: one that people should be in on more. 204 00:08:36,280 --> 00:08:40,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree, Joe, you can interest me in two 205 00:08:40,080 --> 00:08:44,000 Speaker 3: of stacks this week. I'm gonna skinny it though I'm 206 00:08:44,040 --> 00:08:46,400 Speaker 3: not paying up for Tyreek Hill. We always talk about 207 00:08:46,480 --> 00:08:50,719 Speaker 3: Tyreek versus man coverage. He's actually been very active versus own. 208 00:08:50,800 --> 00:08:52,560 Speaker 3: But I think this is the Waddle week. I think 209 00:08:52,600 --> 00:08:55,000 Speaker 3: this is the week where Jalen Wattle just goes Ham. 210 00:08:55,760 --> 00:08:58,120 Speaker 3: So I'm gonna go overweight on Jalen Wattle. I'm gonna 211 00:08:58,160 --> 00:08:59,839 Speaker 3: have a ton of him. If you want to play 212 00:08:59,880 --> 00:09:02,600 Speaker 3: two and large field stuff, I get it again. Raheem 213 00:09:02,600 --> 00:09:05,160 Speaker 3: Mostert's fully in play on the Carolina side. It's easy. 214 00:09:05,200 --> 00:09:08,400 Speaker 3: I mean, it's it's Cuba and it's Adam Thlen. Outside 215 00:09:08,440 --> 00:09:10,319 Speaker 3: of that, you're not looking at anybody else in this game. 216 00:09:10,880 --> 00:09:11,280 Speaker 1: Okay. 217 00:09:11,320 --> 00:09:13,480 Speaker 2: In fact, Tank Dell is ruled out too, by the way, 218 00:09:13,480 --> 00:09:14,920 Speaker 2: in that other game, I just saw that and just 219 00:09:14,920 --> 00:09:16,280 Speaker 2: came across as we anticipated. 220 00:09:16,320 --> 00:09:18,280 Speaker 1: We have needs on Robert Woods. 221 00:09:18,320 --> 00:09:21,840 Speaker 3: Not that it matters for DFS, but just looking just 222 00:09:22,440 --> 00:09:24,680 Speaker 3: for anybody thinking about c Jstroud this week. 223 00:09:25,040 --> 00:09:27,199 Speaker 2: Yeah, not as of yet. We don't see that one yet, 224 00:09:27,240 --> 00:09:28,920 Speaker 2: so we'll keep it hot. Maybe during the show. We'll 225 00:09:28,960 --> 00:09:30,920 Speaker 2: get it as we continue on here in the next 226 00:09:30,920 --> 00:09:32,960 Speaker 2: game on the slate. This is one that we want 227 00:09:32,960 --> 00:09:35,000 Speaker 2: to be in. It's the chalk, but it's the good chalk. 228 00:09:35,880 --> 00:09:37,959 Speaker 2: It's the sticky icky. It's the forty five and a 229 00:09:37,960 --> 00:09:42,040 Speaker 2: half of the Cincinnati Bengals hosting the Seattle Seahawks. Yes, please, 230 00:09:42,320 --> 00:09:46,120 Speaker 2: can I have Simole Govna Kenneth Walker, He's super exit. 231 00:09:46,120 --> 00:09:48,240 Speaker 2: I've never seen an eighty five and the guy is 232 00:09:48,240 --> 00:09:50,680 Speaker 2: on fando a three. Idn't see a number that high 233 00:09:50,679 --> 00:09:52,400 Speaker 2: next to Ken Walker's name. You know what, I still 234 00:09:52,440 --> 00:09:55,840 Speaker 2: want it anyway. On top of which, I think you're 235 00:09:55,880 --> 00:10:00,520 Speaker 2: looking at Jamar Chase just smoking this secondary on Burrow 236 00:10:00,520 --> 00:10:03,920 Speaker 2: who's underpriced. I want Jamar Chase. I have already placed 237 00:10:03,920 --> 00:10:06,400 Speaker 2: a wager for Jamar Chase multiple touchdowns. You can get 238 00:10:06,400 --> 00:10:09,280 Speaker 2: it over on FanDuel at plus five sixty right now. 239 00:10:09,760 --> 00:10:12,880 Speaker 2: The two touchdowns, that's a big number. As I'm saying this, 240 00:10:12,960 --> 00:10:15,640 Speaker 2: I see the Welsh looking around, going wait what so yeah, 241 00:10:15,679 --> 00:10:18,240 Speaker 2: plus five sixty for two touchdowns, it's only minus one 242 00:10:18,280 --> 00:10:19,320 Speaker 2: ten for him to get the one. 243 00:10:19,920 --> 00:10:22,280 Speaker 3: But I know loves his ladder bets. Baby, we we 244 00:10:23,160 --> 00:10:25,520 Speaker 3: can ladder some Jamar Chase this week. I'm totally down 245 00:10:25,520 --> 00:10:26,120 Speaker 3: with that. 246 00:10:26,120 --> 00:10:28,160 Speaker 2: That that look, it's gonna be a good one. But look, 247 00:10:28,520 --> 00:10:31,079 Speaker 2: we always talk about this. You know, it's more important 248 00:10:31,120 --> 00:10:34,480 Speaker 2: to be right than different. This is right this week? 249 00:10:34,800 --> 00:10:36,400 Speaker 2: You an agreement or yes, oh. 250 00:10:36,320 --> 00:10:37,360 Speaker 1: Yes, big agreement. 251 00:10:37,720 --> 00:10:40,280 Speaker 3: We talked about it last week, Joey, what did I say, 252 00:10:40,320 --> 00:10:40,920 Speaker 3: Jamar Chase? 253 00:10:41,000 --> 00:10:42,400 Speaker 1: Why not coming you? 254 00:10:42,400 --> 00:10:44,880 Speaker 2: You nailed this, you had you were ready to love again. 255 00:10:45,559 --> 00:10:47,640 Speaker 2: I was still I wish I had listened more. 256 00:10:47,760 --> 00:10:50,760 Speaker 1: I didn't. I was wrong everyone listening to joe It's okay, 257 00:10:51,600 --> 00:10:52,000 Speaker 1: you know what. 258 00:10:52,080 --> 00:10:56,400 Speaker 2: My heart just keeps getting broke so many times through it. 259 00:10:56,640 --> 00:10:59,680 Speaker 3: We're gonna we're gonna cuddle on the couch until you 260 00:10:59,720 --> 00:11:02,120 Speaker 3: watch Hallmark, My Butt and Madden again, and then you 261 00:11:02,160 --> 00:11:05,319 Speaker 3: can go sleep in the dog huts. But anyway, anyway, 262 00:11:05,559 --> 00:11:07,160 Speaker 3: all right, that was terrible. We're not even going to 263 00:11:07,200 --> 00:11:09,280 Speaker 3: show the checkout screenshots ever again. 264 00:11:10,840 --> 00:11:17,720 Speaker 1: After the show touchdowns, La bet that one was in 265 00:11:17,800 --> 00:11:20,760 Speaker 1: three fifty seven. He ran for three fifty seven three. 266 00:11:21,440 --> 00:11:24,719 Speaker 1: It was five and four tunnies and he could have 267 00:11:24,840 --> 00:11:25,160 Speaker 1: that extra. 268 00:11:25,240 --> 00:11:28,120 Speaker 2: Remember I was trying to taunt you and I the 269 00:11:28,120 --> 00:11:31,079 Speaker 2: wrong button and the wrong button, and I laterlled the 270 00:11:31,120 --> 00:11:33,679 Speaker 2: ball backwards and I would have another touch shadow had 271 00:11:33,679 --> 00:11:34,160 Speaker 2: have been five. 272 00:11:35,440 --> 00:11:38,040 Speaker 1: And then it's very fast on Madden. He was very. 273 00:11:37,920 --> 00:11:42,199 Speaker 3: Fast game baby it is. It's all Joe Burrow, It's 274 00:11:42,240 --> 00:11:45,640 Speaker 3: all Jamar Chase. I don't want any Joe Mixon on 275 00:11:45,640 --> 00:11:48,480 Speaker 3: the Seattle side. It's really easy. I have a lot 276 00:11:48,520 --> 00:11:51,240 Speaker 3: of interest in Ken Walker as a stack partner or 277 00:11:51,559 --> 00:11:53,320 Speaker 3: if you want a mini stack this and just go 278 00:11:53,480 --> 00:11:55,160 Speaker 3: walk her and Chase and move on. 279 00:11:55,280 --> 00:11:57,240 Speaker 1: I think that's perfectly viable as well. 280 00:11:57,240 --> 00:11:58,319 Speaker 3: It's what I'm going to do in a lot of 281 00:11:58,360 --> 00:12:01,240 Speaker 3: my lineups as kind of searching for value. 282 00:12:01,240 --> 00:12:01,839 Speaker 1: On this week. 283 00:12:02,520 --> 00:12:05,320 Speaker 3: Another name that I'm gonna bring up here, and I 284 00:12:05,360 --> 00:12:08,560 Speaker 3: don't want to butcher his name, and I'm probably I 285 00:12:08,600 --> 00:12:12,439 Speaker 3: can't remember his name for the life. Trenton Irwin. Okay, 286 00:12:12,679 --> 00:12:16,680 Speaker 3: if t Higgins is out this week, Trenton Irwin could 287 00:12:16,760 --> 00:12:19,240 Speaker 3: get some more run. I was, I was kicking the 288 00:12:19,240 --> 00:12:21,360 Speaker 3: can around. Do I worry about him? 289 00:12:21,480 --> 00:12:22,120 Speaker 1: Last week? 290 00:12:22,160 --> 00:12:24,559 Speaker 3: And he went out there and got ten targets. Dude, 291 00:12:25,040 --> 00:12:28,880 Speaker 3: ten targets, eight receptions in sixty yards. He could put 292 00:12:28,960 --> 00:12:32,720 Speaker 3: up a very similar stat line against Seattle's burnable corners 293 00:12:32,760 --> 00:12:35,680 Speaker 3: this week. So if you're going to stack up Joe Burrow, 294 00:12:35,840 --> 00:12:38,400 Speaker 3: keep Irwin in your back pocket. If t Higgins is out, 295 00:12:38,440 --> 00:12:40,480 Speaker 3: consider him, especially in large field tournaments. 296 00:12:41,320 --> 00:12:43,480 Speaker 1: But yeah, it's Burrow, it's Chase, it's Walker. 297 00:12:43,920 --> 00:12:45,640 Speaker 3: I'm not really getting cute with a lot of the 298 00:12:45,679 --> 00:12:49,160 Speaker 3: other options for Seattle because the outside corners for Cincinnati 299 00:12:49,160 --> 00:12:51,480 Speaker 3: had played amazing in large field tournaments. And if you 300 00:12:51,520 --> 00:12:53,839 Speaker 3: want to go game stack like this game just goes 301 00:12:54,040 --> 00:12:57,120 Speaker 3: off the ass. The beaten path play that I would 302 00:12:57,200 --> 00:12:59,600 Speaker 3: like to mention here is Jackson Smith and Jacks I knew. 303 00:12:59,640 --> 00:13:01,160 Speaker 3: I knew that's where you're coming out of the by 304 00:13:01,320 --> 00:13:02,720 Speaker 3: man coming out of the bye. 305 00:13:03,360 --> 00:13:06,599 Speaker 1: It's cheap too, It's real cheap. Especially on DraftKings. I 306 00:13:06,960 --> 00:13:10,040 Speaker 1: think there's Draft Kings with the entry thing. 307 00:13:10,160 --> 00:13:12,480 Speaker 2: It's a DraftKings play more than because because Draft Kings 308 00:13:12,480 --> 00:13:14,640 Speaker 2: always looking for that guy who's cheap with talent to 309 00:13:14,920 --> 00:13:16,559 Speaker 2: you know, the good circumstance, and this. 310 00:13:16,520 --> 00:13:19,600 Speaker 3: Is he cheap, could he get you twelve to fifthe right. 311 00:13:19,640 --> 00:13:21,480 Speaker 3: It's not a fan super low. I know it's not 312 00:13:21,520 --> 00:13:24,160 Speaker 3: a fandom pay. I don't put his chances at scoring 313 00:13:24,200 --> 00:13:25,839 Speaker 3: a touchdown really high. I can't put him out on 314 00:13:25,880 --> 00:13:26,440 Speaker 3: a fandem. 315 00:13:26,640 --> 00:13:29,200 Speaker 2: Next one here Indianapolis at Jacksonville. Now, maybe I should 316 00:13:29,200 --> 00:13:31,240 Speaker 2: be more on Jacksonville than I am, but forty four 317 00:13:31,240 --> 00:13:33,480 Speaker 2: and a half is where I'm at. Downs and Pittman 318 00:13:33,520 --> 00:13:36,040 Speaker 2: are very interesting. Maybe this is the you know, sixty 319 00:13:36,120 --> 00:13:38,280 Speaker 2: forty swap here where you start to get more tailor 320 00:13:38,440 --> 00:13:41,240 Speaker 2: less Zach Moss, do you think that happens? And are 321 00:13:41,280 --> 00:13:43,640 Speaker 2: you interested in this game maybe outperforming this total and 322 00:13:43,679 --> 00:13:46,040 Speaker 2: being another one that could. I mean, look, it's this 323 00:13:46,120 --> 00:13:48,120 Speaker 2: total is right next to the Seattle Cincinnati one, but 324 00:13:48,200 --> 00:13:49,679 Speaker 2: I feel like this one was not getting nearly the 325 00:13:49,720 --> 00:13:50,120 Speaker 2: amount of. 326 00:13:50,080 --> 00:13:52,800 Speaker 3: Pub It's not, And I bet the over. We talked 327 00:13:52,800 --> 00:13:55,040 Speaker 3: about this on Monday, Joey. I bet the over on 328 00:13:55,080 --> 00:13:58,600 Speaker 3: this game on Monday, and this line has not moved 329 00:13:59,200 --> 00:14:03,000 Speaker 3: at all. So yes, I'm firmly still on the over. 330 00:14:03,160 --> 00:14:05,240 Speaker 3: I think that this game is gonna feature a lot 331 00:14:05,280 --> 00:14:09,000 Speaker 3: of play volume. The Colts are They're already leading the 332 00:14:09,080 --> 00:14:12,240 Speaker 3: league in neutral pace And I wrote this up in 333 00:14:12,280 --> 00:14:14,280 Speaker 3: the primer. So if anybody's not read the primer this week, 334 00:14:14,320 --> 00:14:17,480 Speaker 3: please go do so. I'm trying to help get you educated. 335 00:14:17,880 --> 00:14:21,480 Speaker 3: But with the Colts, they ran even faster with Gardner 336 00:14:21,480 --> 00:14:23,920 Speaker 3: Minshew under center against the Baltimore Ravens and the other 337 00:14:23,960 --> 00:14:26,800 Speaker 3: parts and pieces of how this offense changed. They threw 338 00:14:26,880 --> 00:14:29,720 Speaker 3: the ball more. Their neutral passing rate went up, and 339 00:14:29,800 --> 00:14:32,240 Speaker 3: the red zone passing rate went up. I know it's 340 00:14:32,280 --> 00:14:34,120 Speaker 3: crazy to say, but you don't want to sit here 341 00:14:34,160 --> 00:14:36,440 Speaker 3: and do the tush push with Gardner Minshew, but you 342 00:14:36,480 --> 00:14:39,520 Speaker 3: could with an Anthony Richardson. So they're gonna throw more 343 00:14:39,520 --> 00:14:42,040 Speaker 3: in the red zone. They're throwing more. In general, they're 344 00:14:42,080 --> 00:14:44,640 Speaker 3: running a faster offense. This all leads me back to 345 00:14:45,120 --> 00:14:47,520 Speaker 3: I'm going to play Gardner Minshew this week in DFS. 346 00:14:47,920 --> 00:14:50,680 Speaker 3: I have no problems double stacking him because it is 347 00:14:50,760 --> 00:14:54,040 Speaker 3: super affordable. I know Josh Downs is going to be popular. 348 00:14:54,440 --> 00:14:57,320 Speaker 3: I do not care I'm playing Josh Downs. I am 349 00:14:57,320 --> 00:15:00,560 Speaker 3: playing Michael Pittman. The matchup in the slot for Downs 350 00:15:00,640 --> 00:15:04,360 Speaker 3: is fantastic. On the Jaguars side. Give me all the 351 00:15:04,480 --> 00:15:09,080 Speaker 3: freaking Calvin Ridley I can stomach. He crushed the secondary 352 00:15:09,200 --> 00:15:12,880 Speaker 3: in Week one. He's gonna do it again. In week six. 353 00:15:13,200 --> 00:15:15,600 Speaker 3: He had a thirty five percent first read cheer. He 354 00:15:15,760 --> 00:15:18,680 Speaker 3: was back last week, so fire him up. If you 355 00:15:18,680 --> 00:15:20,960 Speaker 3: want to play Christian Kirk, I get it. I'm probably 356 00:15:20,960 --> 00:15:23,560 Speaker 3: not going to Trevor Lawrence in this game. Although I 357 00:15:23,640 --> 00:15:27,240 Speaker 3: do like Trevor Lawrence, I just I don't feel the 358 00:15:27,280 --> 00:15:29,760 Speaker 3: need to play Trevor Lawrence when if in the games 359 00:15:29,800 --> 00:15:32,440 Speaker 3: where he's done a lot, you can pretty much tie 360 00:15:32,480 --> 00:15:35,120 Speaker 3: it to one of his receivers when he's had really 361 00:15:35,160 --> 00:15:37,240 Speaker 3: good games. Christian Kirk has gone off when he's had 362 00:15:37,280 --> 00:15:39,400 Speaker 3: really good games, Calvin Ridley has gone off. 363 00:15:39,440 --> 00:15:40,440 Speaker 1: I'm just gonna go all in. 364 00:15:40,400 --> 00:15:43,240 Speaker 3: On Ridley with the idea that I can get most 365 00:15:43,280 --> 00:15:45,840 Speaker 3: of Trevor Lawrence production just by playing Ridley. 366 00:15:46,240 --> 00:15:48,080 Speaker 1: All right, interesting point of view that I like that. 367 00:15:48,120 --> 00:15:48,480 Speaker 1: I like. 368 00:15:48,800 --> 00:15:50,760 Speaker 2: I'm glad you lay that out there the way he did, 369 00:15:50,760 --> 00:15:53,120 Speaker 2: because that's been my struggle. It's like, how do I 370 00:15:53,120 --> 00:15:55,120 Speaker 2: get involved? Do I want ATM, do I want Ridley? 371 00:15:55,120 --> 00:15:56,440 Speaker 2: Do I need to run Lawrence there? 372 00:15:56,480 --> 00:15:59,120 Speaker 3: Because Andy's been tough against the run. I don't have 373 00:15:59,160 --> 00:16:01,360 Speaker 3: a lot of see so that's the problem. I but 374 00:16:01,680 --> 00:16:03,400 Speaker 3: Ridley on the one off running it back there with 375 00:16:03,480 --> 00:16:04,480 Speaker 3: Downs and Pittman. 376 00:16:04,240 --> 00:16:07,400 Speaker 1: And he's not popular. Dude, he is not popular right now. 377 00:16:07,400 --> 00:16:10,320 Speaker 3: I'm looking out on that, and you know what, I 378 00:16:10,400 --> 00:16:14,360 Speaker 3: understand projected a roster ship on him. 379 00:16:14,360 --> 00:16:17,440 Speaker 1: That that's insanity. Chicago hosting Minnesota. 380 00:16:17,480 --> 00:16:19,640 Speaker 2: The battle of the one and four is forty four 381 00:16:19,760 --> 00:16:22,640 Speaker 2: is the number on this game should be some weather implications, 382 00:16:22,680 --> 00:16:25,240 Speaker 2: but look Fields, DJ Moore, it's been as good as 383 00:16:25,240 --> 00:16:25,680 Speaker 2: it gets. 384 00:16:26,320 --> 00:16:27,360 Speaker 1: Cole Kmet certainly. 385 00:16:27,400 --> 00:16:29,600 Speaker 2: I know he was questionable coming into this week, but still, 386 00:16:29,880 --> 00:16:31,880 Speaker 2: if he's active, he's another piece in this one. And 387 00:16:31,920 --> 00:16:34,320 Speaker 2: then it becomes the Jordan Addison belief. This is a 388 00:16:34,360 --> 00:16:37,400 Speaker 2: good match up here and a good opportunity. Hockinson should 389 00:16:37,400 --> 00:16:40,200 Speaker 2: be in charge for more targets as well, with the 390 00:16:40,280 --> 00:16:43,200 Speaker 2: vacate of Dall the Justin Jefferson targets that he gets, 391 00:16:43,200 --> 00:16:45,720 Speaker 2: which is somewhere around a dozen a game, so there's 392 00:16:45,760 --> 00:16:48,240 Speaker 2: some opportunity here on these pieces. I think people will 393 00:16:48,960 --> 00:16:51,720 Speaker 2: probably chase kJ Osborne more than they should in DFS 394 00:16:51,760 --> 00:16:55,360 Speaker 2: this week. I would be chasing the usual suspects instead. 395 00:16:55,400 --> 00:16:56,960 Speaker 2: What do you think about Minnesota and Chicago? 396 00:16:57,920 --> 00:17:00,400 Speaker 3: I want Justin Fields is gonna be a core play. 397 00:17:00,560 --> 00:17:03,520 Speaker 3: He's probably gonna be my highest roster quarterback this week. Okay, 398 00:17:04,480 --> 00:17:07,359 Speaker 3: he's played out of his mind every single metric you 399 00:17:07,440 --> 00:17:10,480 Speaker 3: look at. He's top five, he's top ten, and that's 400 00:17:10,520 --> 00:17:12,640 Speaker 3: not a fluke people, And do we think that he's 401 00:17:12,680 --> 00:17:18,080 Speaker 3: not gonna produce even more versus the Vikings secondary? Come on, man, 402 00:17:18,960 --> 00:17:22,040 Speaker 3: So yes, I'm gonna play a ton of justin fields. 403 00:17:22,600 --> 00:17:24,840 Speaker 3: You could also interest me if you're gonna game stack 404 00:17:24,920 --> 00:17:28,280 Speaker 3: this and just play for the over, which in most 405 00:17:28,320 --> 00:17:30,480 Speaker 3: fields I'm not doing. But large fields, I think it's 406 00:17:30,560 --> 00:17:33,920 Speaker 3: viable going with one of Deontay Forman a Roshan whenever 407 00:17:33,920 --> 00:17:36,200 Speaker 3: we get news on whether Roshan plays or not this week. 408 00:17:36,400 --> 00:17:38,440 Speaker 3: But it's a lot of justin fields. It's a ton 409 00:17:38,480 --> 00:17:40,840 Speaker 3: of DJ Moore. DJ Moore is gonna be a core 410 00:17:40,920 --> 00:17:43,479 Speaker 3: play again for me this week. The Vikings do not 411 00:17:43,520 --> 00:17:45,560 Speaker 3: have a corner that can hang with DJ Moore, just 412 00:17:45,680 --> 00:17:48,920 Speaker 3: straight up they don't. So DJ Moore is gonna feast 413 00:17:49,000 --> 00:17:51,640 Speaker 3: yet again on the Viking side. And you could throw 414 00:17:51,720 --> 00:17:54,119 Speaker 3: Cole Kamt in there with him being banged up, I 415 00:17:54,160 --> 00:17:57,160 Speaker 3: think he's viable in the justin field stacks. I don't 416 00:17:57,160 --> 00:18:00,479 Speaker 3: think he's a must, but I think he's viable outside 417 00:18:00,480 --> 00:18:02,320 Speaker 3: of justin field stacks. I'm probably not gonna play a 418 00:18:02,400 --> 00:18:04,800 Speaker 3: ton of coal comet. But on the on the Viking side, 419 00:18:05,200 --> 00:18:08,040 Speaker 3: it's all Jordan Addison. Dude, like you can pay up 420 00:18:08,040 --> 00:18:10,560 Speaker 3: for Hockinson. I don't disagree. I think the target volume 421 00:18:10,600 --> 00:18:14,440 Speaker 3: is gonna be there. The matchup is is good to okay, 422 00:18:14,800 --> 00:18:19,080 Speaker 3: Like the Bears have allowed the tenth most receiving yards, 423 00:18:19,080 --> 00:18:21,960 Speaker 3: but they're also giving up the ninth lowest yards perception 424 00:18:22,119 --> 00:18:26,359 Speaker 3: two tight ends. So could volume out kick efficiency for 425 00:18:26,440 --> 00:18:29,160 Speaker 3: Hockinson this week. I think it's definitely possible. I think 426 00:18:29,200 --> 00:18:31,840 Speaker 3: I'm just gonna play the market with Hockinson if he 427 00:18:31,960 --> 00:18:35,200 Speaker 3: comes in super popular, which I'm pulling up his projection 428 00:18:35,320 --> 00:18:38,399 Speaker 3: right now. He's not looking popular right now, so I 429 00:18:38,400 --> 00:18:40,520 Speaker 3: am probably gonna be more on more in on Hockinson. 430 00:18:40,560 --> 00:18:43,560 Speaker 3: Like he's trending five, but he's in this long like 431 00:18:43,640 --> 00:18:45,840 Speaker 3: tier of like guys that are like hovering around five 432 00:18:45,880 --> 00:18:48,760 Speaker 3: to eight percent roster percentage. So I'm probably gonna be 433 00:18:48,880 --> 00:18:51,639 Speaker 3: more in on Hockinson than I thought I was. Uh, 434 00:18:51,680 --> 00:18:53,560 Speaker 3: But yeah, dude, it's it's a ton of Jordan Adison 435 00:18:53,720 --> 00:18:56,840 Speaker 3: and this is chalk where I think it is good chalk, 436 00:18:56,920 --> 00:18:59,000 Speaker 3: and it's chalk you should be eating this week and 437 00:18:59,119 --> 00:19:04,400 Speaker 3: looking at the Chicago Bears have played the fourth most 438 00:19:04,640 --> 00:19:07,040 Speaker 3: zone coverage at the fourth highest rate, should I say 439 00:19:07,359 --> 00:19:11,480 Speaker 3: in the NFL this year? Jordan Addison against zone coverage 440 00:19:11,720 --> 00:19:15,480 Speaker 3: seventy one qualifying wide receivers he has. He is twenty 441 00:19:15,600 --> 00:19:19,119 Speaker 3: second in yards per route run. He is fifteenth in 442 00:19:19,240 --> 00:19:23,080 Speaker 3: Fantasy points per route run. So those are electric numbers 443 00:19:23,080 --> 00:19:25,720 Speaker 3: for Jordan Addison. So yeah, dude, it's a lot of 444 00:19:25,800 --> 00:19:29,480 Speaker 3: Jordan Adison. It's a lot of fields. I just I 445 00:19:29,600 --> 00:19:30,080 Speaker 3: love this. 446 00:19:30,040 --> 00:19:33,120 Speaker 2: Game to go over the total all right, By the way, 447 00:19:33,520 --> 00:19:34,800 Speaker 2: what would the weather have to be to get you 448 00:19:34,840 --> 00:19:35,520 Speaker 2: off this game? 449 00:19:36,440 --> 00:19:37,040 Speaker 1: Uh? 450 00:19:37,280 --> 00:19:43,879 Speaker 3: Tsunami? Like okayrect, But people will sell the wins like 451 00:19:44,600 --> 00:19:46,119 Speaker 3: so it's more win than the rain too, because it's 452 00:19:46,160 --> 00:19:47,840 Speaker 3: gonna be more win in the rain. And the other 453 00:19:47,880 --> 00:19:50,040 Speaker 3: thing I'll throw out there too, is I am more 454 00:19:50,080 --> 00:19:53,080 Speaker 3: inclined than a lot of people to just fade all 455 00:19:53,119 --> 00:19:56,439 Speaker 3: the weather stuff because tell me this, Joe, every single 456 00:19:56,480 --> 00:19:58,919 Speaker 3: time we get any kind of weather concerns, what happens 457 00:19:58,960 --> 00:20:01,439 Speaker 3: to our timelines, what happens to social media, what happens 458 00:20:01,480 --> 00:20:03,040 Speaker 3: to everybody in the DFS, streets. 459 00:20:04,400 --> 00:20:07,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, and then that's. 460 00:20:07,119 --> 00:20:10,240 Speaker 3: Where but you're creating an edge like I don't have 461 00:20:10,280 --> 00:20:11,840 Speaker 3: to create the edge. 462 00:20:11,520 --> 00:20:14,840 Speaker 1: The weather Warriors create the edge for me. If the 463 00:20:14,920 --> 00:20:17,480 Speaker 1: roster percentages drop for these guys, give me more. 464 00:20:17,640 --> 00:20:19,560 Speaker 2: All right, let's get to a game that I don't 465 00:20:19,560 --> 00:20:21,440 Speaker 2: know how much we're gonna be into, maybe a little bit. 466 00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:24,639 Speaker 2: New England Patriots Las Vegas. Forty two is the number 467 00:20:24,640 --> 00:20:27,240 Speaker 2: for this one. Look, I know theoretically, on paper, Stevenson 468 00:20:27,240 --> 00:20:28,960 Speaker 2: should be a good play. I like to go be 469 00:20:29,040 --> 00:20:30,760 Speaker 2: Myers and this, as you well know, we've already had 470 00:20:30,760 --> 00:20:34,400 Speaker 2: these conversations earlier the week. But still this game, other 471 00:20:34,480 --> 00:20:37,000 Speaker 2: than like those two pieces, and even then, you know, 472 00:20:37,600 --> 00:20:40,359 Speaker 2: be I guess Derek's kind of tell us something, which 473 00:20:40,400 --> 00:20:41,960 Speaker 2: is he's off of it. Regardless, this is a hard 474 00:20:41,960 --> 00:20:42,800 Speaker 2: pass for you this game. 475 00:20:42,880 --> 00:20:45,880 Speaker 1: Full fade, full fit, I don't care, full fade, all right. 476 00:20:46,200 --> 00:20:48,680 Speaker 1: Moving on to the next one, Detroit and Tampa. 477 00:20:49,119 --> 00:20:51,959 Speaker 2: Again, we mentioned the health concerns here, Detroit having some 478 00:20:52,040 --> 00:20:55,639 Speaker 2: of them here. I think Tampa's a very interesting OPO 479 00:20:55,760 --> 00:20:58,600 Speaker 2: defensive play this week. I know that's going to surprise 480 00:20:58,640 --> 00:21:01,560 Speaker 2: a lot of people. But they are dirt cheap, they 481 00:21:01,560 --> 00:21:05,640 Speaker 2: are bottom of the barrel on DK and I think 482 00:21:05,680 --> 00:21:08,040 Speaker 2: that because I'm on Rol's not one hundre percent because 483 00:21:08,080 --> 00:21:10,680 Speaker 2: the port of obviously hopefully turning in the right direction, 484 00:21:10,760 --> 00:21:13,600 Speaker 2: but not one hundred percent. Gibbs probably doubtful for this game. 485 00:21:14,280 --> 00:21:16,600 Speaker 2: I think Detroit again, this is a spot where I'm 486 00:21:16,600 --> 00:21:18,200 Speaker 2: not saying that the Troy's gonna lose, but I think 487 00:21:18,200 --> 00:21:20,439 Speaker 2: this game might be more competitive than you realize. I know, 488 00:21:21,160 --> 00:21:23,600 Speaker 2: you know the Jared Goff indoor outdoor argument. This should 489 00:21:23,600 --> 00:21:26,000 Speaker 2: be good weather, so I'm not super concerned about golf here. 490 00:21:26,040 --> 00:21:28,600 Speaker 2: But I like Tampa's defense. That's the piece that's intriguing 491 00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:30,359 Speaker 2: to me the most. You think people are gonna go 492 00:21:30,359 --> 00:21:32,280 Speaker 2: back to Montgomery and some other pieces in this one, 493 00:21:32,880 --> 00:21:34,480 Speaker 2: people are not going back to Montgomery. 494 00:21:34,520 --> 00:21:38,520 Speaker 3: What I'm looking at, he's projected ten to twelve percent 495 00:21:38,640 --> 00:21:41,320 Speaker 3: roster percentage, Like he's in a long tier of guys. 496 00:21:41,880 --> 00:21:44,560 Speaker 3: If that's gonna be the case, good lord, give me 497 00:21:44,560 --> 00:21:47,160 Speaker 3: all the Montgomery dude, Like, what do we need to see? 498 00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:48,880 Speaker 3: What else do we need to see? The guy's gonna 499 00:21:48,880 --> 00:21:52,159 Speaker 3: sniff twenty five to thirty touches. You can run on Tampa. 500 00:21:52,520 --> 00:21:55,119 Speaker 3: If Tampa's not putting up points and Mike Evans doesn't 501 00:21:55,119 --> 00:21:58,680 Speaker 3: play this week, This just could be another David Montgomery game. 502 00:21:58,800 --> 00:22:01,160 Speaker 3: And he was on his way to a monster game 503 00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:02,800 Speaker 3: last week, and they kind of took their foot off 504 00:22:02,840 --> 00:22:04,960 Speaker 3: the gas a little bit and started using a little 505 00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:06,880 Speaker 3: more Craig Reynolds and things like that. 506 00:22:06,960 --> 00:22:08,280 Speaker 1: I don't think you fully see that. 507 00:22:08,320 --> 00:22:11,320 Speaker 3: If if the Buccaneers can push the Lions at all, 508 00:22:11,800 --> 00:22:16,399 Speaker 3: then maybe we see Monty, you know, go full Oh gosh, 509 00:22:16,440 --> 00:22:17,160 Speaker 3: I'm not I didn't. 510 00:22:17,000 --> 00:22:17,440 Speaker 1: Want to pick. 511 00:22:17,960 --> 00:22:20,479 Speaker 3: Me and Pat fitz Morris pushed back on each other 512 00:22:20,560 --> 00:22:23,040 Speaker 3: about rankings and what we look like for David Montgomery 513 00:22:23,040 --> 00:22:25,520 Speaker 3: the rest of the year. I'm gonna throw this out there. 514 00:22:26,560 --> 00:22:29,760 Speaker 3: You could see David Montgomery go very Derek Henry esque 515 00:22:30,080 --> 00:22:32,560 Speaker 3: in this game. He could get thirty carries, He could 516 00:22:32,600 --> 00:22:35,240 Speaker 3: go for one, twenty one, fifty and get multiple scores. 517 00:22:35,720 --> 00:22:38,840 Speaker 3: So if Montgomery's not gonna be extremely popular, just give 518 00:22:38,840 --> 00:22:42,120 Speaker 3: me more Montgomery. And on the Lion's side, I don't 519 00:22:42,160 --> 00:22:44,040 Speaker 3: have a lot of interest, man, Sammy ball game is 520 00:22:44,080 --> 00:22:46,840 Speaker 3: banged up. If Amana's back, you can count me in 521 00:22:46,880 --> 00:22:47,840 Speaker 3: on Amana because. 522 00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:48,879 Speaker 1: I don't think he'll be popular. 523 00:22:50,040 --> 00:22:55,320 Speaker 3: But the Detroit Lions it's the entire like structure of 524 00:22:55,359 --> 00:22:57,720 Speaker 3: their offense. They're just running and they're playing slow. So 525 00:22:57,840 --> 00:23:00,119 Speaker 3: you can't go with Jered Golf unless you're gonna a 526 00:23:00,160 --> 00:23:02,960 Speaker 3: bank on that he has this outlier touchdown production every 527 00:23:03,000 --> 00:23:06,560 Speaker 3: single week. So for the Detroit Lions, it's probably amorro 528 00:23:06,800 --> 00:23:11,199 Speaker 3: Is David Montgomery, And for the Buccaneers side, I do 529 00:23:11,280 --> 00:23:14,440 Speaker 3: have interest in I have a little bit of interest 530 00:23:14,520 --> 00:23:17,679 Speaker 3: him in Baker Mayfield and large field tournaments, uh, but 531 00:23:17,840 --> 00:23:21,680 Speaker 3: not a ton and one of Mike Evans or Chris Godwin, 532 00:23:21,720 --> 00:23:24,080 Speaker 3: depending on if Mike Evans is healthy or not. I 533 00:23:24,160 --> 00:23:27,840 Speaker 3: probably lean Evans, especially because with the injury concerns, if 534 00:23:27,840 --> 00:23:30,200 Speaker 3: he's a full go, he's probably not gonna be popular. 535 00:23:30,640 --> 00:23:33,840 Speaker 3: I could see Chris Godwin steamed up if the Evans 536 00:23:33,920 --> 00:23:35,720 Speaker 3: news comes out that he's you know. 537 00:23:35,720 --> 00:23:36,639 Speaker 1: Banged up a little bit. 538 00:23:36,680 --> 00:23:38,959 Speaker 3: But I'll bring up one other cheap piece here if 539 00:23:39,000 --> 00:23:41,320 Speaker 3: you wanted to just like play this game as a 540 00:23:41,359 --> 00:23:45,320 Speaker 3: mini and move on David Montgomery on one side, Kate 541 00:23:45,400 --> 00:23:48,640 Speaker 3: Todden on the other side, because Detroit has been. 542 00:23:48,840 --> 00:23:49,640 Speaker 1: Giving it. 543 00:23:52,600 --> 00:23:55,480 Speaker 3: And Caate Odden could be if you want exposure to 544 00:23:55,520 --> 00:24:00,480 Speaker 3: the Buccaneers passing attack, just take the savings and play 545 00:24:00,520 --> 00:24:01,720 Speaker 3: the total, play the game. 546 00:24:01,760 --> 00:24:04,439 Speaker 2: If it shoots out, just go with Kate Oden. Okay, 547 00:24:04,640 --> 00:24:06,359 Speaker 2: two more games left on the slate to get to. 548 00:24:06,440 --> 00:24:08,680 Speaker 2: But just a reminder, folks, make sure using our DFS 549 00:24:08,720 --> 00:24:11,639 Speaker 2: optimizer as well. You can put together one hundred and 550 00:24:11,640 --> 00:24:15,399 Speaker 2: fifty lineups at one time. That's almost again, almost as many. 551 00:24:15,280 --> 00:24:17,919 Speaker 1: As Derek Brown can do. But sometimes you can need 552 00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:18,560 Speaker 1: that extra help. 553 00:24:18,800 --> 00:24:21,480 Speaker 2: That's what we're here for, so make sure you're using 554 00:24:21,480 --> 00:24:24,040 Speaker 2: that again fastpros dot Com Slash Optimizer. That's where you 555 00:24:24,040 --> 00:24:25,679 Speaker 2: want to get that bad boy, So make sure you 556 00:24:25,720 --> 00:24:28,800 Speaker 2: go over and try that out. Harness all the power 557 00:24:28,800 --> 00:24:32,239 Speaker 2: of the projections of Fantasy Pros and start tinkering with 558 00:24:32,280 --> 00:24:35,320 Speaker 2: your lineups today. Use the DFS optimizer. Okay, here we go. 559 00:24:35,920 --> 00:24:38,200 Speaker 2: Two more here Arizona and Los Angeles. 560 00:24:38,320 --> 00:24:40,760 Speaker 1: Rams. Forty nine is the number for this one. I 561 00:24:40,800 --> 00:24:42,439 Speaker 1: love this game, Debro, I love it. 562 00:24:42,680 --> 00:24:45,280 Speaker 2: I like Pooka, I like cup I love Stafford, I 563 00:24:45,320 --> 00:24:47,760 Speaker 2: love everything about this. Kien Williams is in play. If 564 00:24:47,800 --> 00:24:50,199 Speaker 2: I'm going to full stack a team this week, to me, 565 00:24:50,359 --> 00:24:52,959 Speaker 2: it's the La Rams If you want to run it back. 566 00:24:53,000 --> 00:24:55,720 Speaker 2: De Marcado's very cheap and again we're unsure of that workload. 567 00:24:55,760 --> 00:24:58,239 Speaker 2: So it's a very risky play, but an intriguing one. 568 00:24:58,280 --> 00:25:00,680 Speaker 2: I know Marquis Brown was dealing with a I believe 569 00:25:00,720 --> 00:25:02,920 Speaker 2: during the week, But your thoughts on this one because 570 00:25:02,920 --> 00:25:04,440 Speaker 2: this is one of the higher totals on the week 571 00:25:04,480 --> 00:25:05,120 Speaker 2: at forty nine. 572 00:25:05,440 --> 00:25:09,960 Speaker 3: Oh, baby, we we are on board. We're loving life. 573 00:25:10,000 --> 00:25:14,000 Speaker 3: It is Matthew Stafford Premium double week. Baby, I went 574 00:25:14,119 --> 00:25:16,640 Speaker 3: Matthew Stafford, We're gonna wedge in Cooper Cup and we're 575 00:25:16,640 --> 00:25:19,640 Speaker 3: going Pokinakua and we're gonna love life because they're both 576 00:25:19,640 --> 00:25:23,359 Speaker 3: gonna crush this secondary. Arizona can't stop anybody. We just 577 00:25:23,359 --> 00:25:26,359 Speaker 3: saw Jamar Chase go off, and before that, Arizona still 578 00:25:26,440 --> 00:25:28,720 Speaker 3: wasn't good. And the other thing that I want to 579 00:25:28,720 --> 00:25:32,959 Speaker 3: bring up here Joey and what it gives Matthew Stafford 580 00:25:33,040 --> 00:25:37,879 Speaker 3: a ceiling. So the Rams have been extremely run heavy 581 00:25:37,960 --> 00:25:43,400 Speaker 3: in the red zone this year. That changed immensely. 582 00:25:42,800 --> 00:25:43,960 Speaker 1: Last week with Cooper Shore. 583 00:25:44,040 --> 00:25:47,560 Speaker 3: Last week, Yeah, they inside the twenty dude, they went 584 00:25:47,680 --> 00:25:52,160 Speaker 3: sixty six percent eighth highest last week and passing rate, 585 00:25:52,480 --> 00:25:55,400 Speaker 3: so the Stafford touchdowns ain't been there this whole year. 586 00:25:55,520 --> 00:25:57,920 Speaker 1: They're coming this week. I love Stafford. 587 00:25:57,960 --> 00:26:01,320 Speaker 3: He's gonna be popular and I do know care, So 588 00:26:02,040 --> 00:26:04,640 Speaker 3: I'm gonna play Stafford. I'm gonna pay up. I'm playing Cup. 589 00:26:04,720 --> 00:26:07,520 Speaker 3: I'm double stacking in with Puka. If you want to 590 00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:09,560 Speaker 3: play Kyron, I get it. But I just talked about it. 591 00:26:09,560 --> 00:26:11,600 Speaker 3: Stafford hits a ceiling by throwing for three or four 592 00:26:11,640 --> 00:26:14,359 Speaker 3: touchdowns that leaves Kyron out in the cold. On the 593 00:26:14,400 --> 00:26:17,919 Speaker 3: Arizona side, I'm not playing any Kyanta Ingram. You cannot 594 00:26:17,920 --> 00:26:20,640 Speaker 3: force me. People would have to pay me to play 595 00:26:20,680 --> 00:26:23,360 Speaker 3: Kante Ingram. I think if you're gonna go to the backfield, 596 00:26:23,400 --> 00:26:27,159 Speaker 3: it's Mari de Mercado if anybody. But honestly, the most interesting, 597 00:26:27,200 --> 00:26:29,440 Speaker 3: and we talked about this last week, Joey. We saw 598 00:26:29,520 --> 00:26:31,640 Speaker 3: him come out and have a big game. I want 599 00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:35,239 Speaker 3: to take the savings. Give me zach Ertz against this 600 00:26:35,400 --> 00:26:39,679 Speaker 3: pass funnel tight end spot versus the Rams. That's what 601 00:26:39,800 --> 00:26:42,720 Speaker 3: happens to every single team that faces the Rams. They say, oh, 602 00:26:42,760 --> 00:26:45,920 Speaker 3: dear Lord, your corners are really good. We're just gonna 603 00:26:45,920 --> 00:26:47,679 Speaker 3: pepper the tight end. You can't cover him with a 604 00:26:47,720 --> 00:26:52,040 Speaker 3: corner with Dallas Goddard's gonna happen with Zach Ertz. He 605 00:26:52,080 --> 00:26:54,040 Speaker 3: doesn't have to put up fifteen to twenty to sit 606 00:26:54,040 --> 00:26:56,120 Speaker 3: here and be in the optimal this week, he gets 607 00:26:56,119 --> 00:26:59,040 Speaker 3: a touchdown, he gets you twelve, ten to twelve, your backstroking, 608 00:26:59,080 --> 00:26:59,879 Speaker 3: you're loving life. 609 00:27:00,119 --> 00:27:03,560 Speaker 2: Last one here, We've got the Jets and the Philadelphia Eagles. 610 00:27:03,640 --> 00:27:06,720 Speaker 2: Forty one is the number for this game. I think 611 00:27:06,760 --> 00:27:09,960 Speaker 2: the Eagles defense will be very intriguing, especially way Zach 612 00:27:10,000 --> 00:27:11,879 Speaker 2: Wilson doesn't look downfield. I can see a lot of 613 00:27:11,880 --> 00:27:14,240 Speaker 2: sacks in this game. So that's a very intriguing piece. 614 00:27:14,280 --> 00:27:17,119 Speaker 2: Then on top of it, obviously DeAndre Swift has looked 615 00:27:17,160 --> 00:27:18,880 Speaker 2: great behind that offensive line. 616 00:27:19,040 --> 00:27:21,320 Speaker 1: It feels like more of a DeVante Smith game. I 617 00:27:21,320 --> 00:27:23,240 Speaker 1: would imagine. Do you agree with that? Is it Smith 618 00:27:23,320 --> 00:27:24,440 Speaker 1: or Brown for you? This week? 619 00:27:24,920 --> 00:27:28,240 Speaker 3: Big, big, big, big time DeVonta Smith. I think this 620 00:27:28,359 --> 00:27:31,280 Speaker 3: is the bounce back game for him this week. If 621 00:27:31,280 --> 00:27:33,280 Speaker 3: you look at and I wrote this up in the primer, 622 00:27:33,920 --> 00:27:38,200 Speaker 3: if you look at how and these really tough secondaries, 623 00:27:38,240 --> 00:27:40,199 Speaker 3: I love to go through the numbers and try to 624 00:27:40,200 --> 00:27:43,520 Speaker 3: pick apart. Okay, if there's a way a path to 625 00:27:43,720 --> 00:27:47,040 Speaker 3: a productive day, a ceiling game, how does that happen? 626 00:27:47,440 --> 00:27:50,080 Speaker 3: The Jets have been a very good pass defense, but 627 00:27:51,200 --> 00:27:55,439 Speaker 3: they struggle against play action passing. They're bottom twelve in 628 00:27:55,520 --> 00:27:58,280 Speaker 3: every metric that you can pull up against play action passing. 629 00:27:58,680 --> 00:28:02,440 Speaker 3: This leads me to DeVonta Smith, who has a twenty 630 00:28:02,760 --> 00:28:07,440 Speaker 3: nine percent target share on play action passes this year. 631 00:28:07,880 --> 00:28:10,160 Speaker 3: He and a lot of those have been big chunk plays. 632 00:28:10,680 --> 00:28:13,280 Speaker 3: So give me DeAndre Swift. I don't want to play 633 00:28:13,359 --> 00:28:15,440 Speaker 3: Jamin Hurts. I don't think it's a ceiling week for him, 634 00:28:15,560 --> 00:28:18,439 Speaker 3: but give me DeAndre Swift. Give me DeVonta Smith on 635 00:28:18,480 --> 00:28:20,679 Speaker 3: the other side again, if we're gonna game stack this 636 00:28:20,800 --> 00:28:23,360 Speaker 3: and if the Jets can offer any type of pushback, 637 00:28:23,640 --> 00:28:26,440 Speaker 3: I want to play Toywer Concline Man that the Eagles 638 00:28:26,440 --> 00:28:28,840 Speaker 3: have been vulnerable versus tight ends. I will be betting 639 00:28:28,880 --> 00:28:33,080 Speaker 3: the overs for Tower Conclins Props this week and adding 640 00:28:33,160 --> 00:28:35,000 Speaker 3: him to it as a write up for the primer 641 00:28:35,800 --> 00:28:38,320 Speaker 3: in the update that I'll have live tonight. 642 00:28:38,720 --> 00:28:40,840 Speaker 2: So all right, there you have it, everybody. That's the 643 00:28:40,880 --> 00:28:44,400 Speaker 2: main slate for DFS Again, go use the optimizer fantasypros 644 00:28:44,400 --> 00:28:47,960 Speaker 2: dot Com slash optimizer where you can go and run 645 00:28:48,000 --> 00:28:50,240 Speaker 2: and simulate a bunch of different lineups and get the 646 00:28:50,280 --> 00:28:53,160 Speaker 2: best there. Also, make sure you subscribe to the Betting 647 00:28:53,160 --> 00:28:54,680 Speaker 2: Pros podcast wherever you get your pods. 648 00:28:54,720 --> 00:28:56,760 Speaker 1: Subscribe over on YouTube. 649 00:28:56,280 --> 00:28:58,960 Speaker 2: As well, and drop the comments below. You might win 650 00:28:58,960 --> 00:29:01,120 Speaker 2: that Odell Beckham jersey. We're giving away lots of fun 651 00:29:01,160 --> 00:29:03,120 Speaker 2: stuff that'll do it for us, but the story of 652 00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:04,280 Speaker 2: the game goes on for Debro. 653 00:29:04,320 --> 00:29:08,200 Speaker 1: I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids. Thanks 654 00:29:08,240 --> 00:29:10,120 Speaker 1: for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 655 00:29:10,360 --> 00:29:13,000 Speaker 2: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 656 00:29:13,080 --> 00:29:14,920 Speaker 2: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. 657 00:29:15,360 --> 00:29:16,400 Speaker 1: Also subscribe to our 658 00:29:16,440 --> 00:29:19,280 Speaker 2: YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.