1 00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:16,840 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Monday 2 00:00:16,840 --> 00:00:19,480 Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is 3 00:00:19,480 --> 00:00:21,279 Speaker 1: Matt Parolt. You guys can follow mucus all of my 4 00:00:21,320 --> 00:00:24,599 Speaker 1: socials at Sports Talk Matt in this puckast being brought 5 00:00:24,600 --> 00:00:27,960 Speaker 1: to you by our friends at DraftKings. Okay, so down Sunday, 6 00:00:28,000 --> 00:00:29,760 Speaker 1: but it did not kill the week. We still were 7 00:00:29,800 --> 00:00:33,280 Speaker 1: up over three units on the week, which is good. 8 00:00:33,360 --> 00:00:36,879 Speaker 1: We had a decent week. We lost on Monday, slightly 9 00:00:37,000 --> 00:00:39,800 Speaker 1: lost on Tuesday, but then we won on Wednesday, one 10 00:00:39,880 --> 00:00:43,080 Speaker 1: big on Thursday, slightly down on Friday, one on Saturday, 11 00:00:43,080 --> 00:00:46,200 Speaker 1: and then down on Sunday. So overall a good week 12 00:00:46,240 --> 00:00:48,800 Speaker 1: for us, including what happened last night. Cardinals and the 13 00:00:48,880 --> 00:00:51,680 Speaker 1: Raiders both failed to come through for us. Unfortunately. The 14 00:00:51,760 --> 00:00:54,160 Speaker 1: under for the for' that's you say the Chiefs. I 15 00:00:54,400 --> 00:00:56,640 Speaker 1: didn't change that properly. Chiefs and the Chargers that game, 16 00:00:56,960 --> 00:00:59,040 Speaker 1: same game teaser came in too. I bet that as well. 17 00:00:59,040 --> 00:01:00,680 Speaker 1: I told you guys about that on the live stream. 18 00:01:00,960 --> 00:01:03,800 Speaker 1: That came in plus ten and under forty nine. The 19 00:01:03,840 --> 00:01:07,480 Speaker 1: teaser misses because the Bears got housed. That's unfortunate. Props 20 00:01:07,520 --> 00:01:09,840 Speaker 1: go two and two so we were flat there on 21 00:01:09,880 --> 00:01:12,080 Speaker 1: the on player props. We were down two point four 22 00:01:12,160 --> 00:01:15,560 Speaker 1: units on the day, going three and five on a Sunday. 23 00:01:15,600 --> 00:01:18,240 Speaker 1: It's our first losing Sunday in a while, but a 24 00:01:18,319 --> 00:01:21,679 Speaker 1: very good run in the NFL. So kind a typical thing, 25 00:01:22,120 --> 00:01:24,319 Speaker 1: somebody reminded me. So I'm gonna feed you on Sundays, 26 00:01:24,319 --> 00:01:26,160 Speaker 1: and okay, be careful. I was hot in the NFL, 27 00:01:26,200 --> 00:01:29,800 Speaker 1: but I went on Saturday, lose on Sunday or vice versa. 28 00:01:30,280 --> 00:01:33,160 Speaker 1: That doesn't mean much for Monday, however, And I've got 29 00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:35,800 Speaker 1: a play on the Monday night game. I've got two 30 00:01:35,880 --> 00:01:37,680 Speaker 1: player props to give you the I'm gonna bet at 31 00:01:37,680 --> 00:01:39,920 Speaker 1: a half a unit for each of them. And I've 32 00:01:39,959 --> 00:01:42,440 Speaker 1: got one college basketball bet for us coming at you 33 00:01:42,560 --> 00:01:45,640 Speaker 1: on a Monday. Not a very big card here for 34 00:01:45,800 --> 00:01:49,440 Speaker 1: college basketball, NBA or the hockey, and just one standalone 35 00:01:49,600 --> 00:01:52,760 Speaker 1: NFL game here. But we'll get to those picks in 36 00:01:52,800 --> 00:01:55,520 Speaker 1: place here in just one second. First and foremost, tell 37 00:01:55,560 --> 00:01:57,960 Speaker 1: you about our friends at DraftKings and the Pick six app. 38 00:01:58,600 --> 00:02:02,840 Speaker 1: I will give you a Draft Kings pick six in 39 00:02:02,880 --> 00:02:06,480 Speaker 1: the on the live on the Discord channel bettingpros dot 40 00:02:06,520 --> 00:02:11,000 Speaker 1: Com slash chat before I get to the game, I 41 00:02:11,000 --> 00:02:13,360 Speaker 1: will give it to you on the Discord channel, DraftKings 42 00:02:13,400 --> 00:02:16,000 Speaker 1: Pick six and the Daily Juice channel. If you're curious, 43 00:02:16,160 --> 00:02:18,240 Speaker 1: I will post it at some point during the day. 44 00:02:18,560 --> 00:02:21,240 Speaker 1: Goutsey was playing in this game. There's some questions about 45 00:02:21,320 --> 00:02:23,320 Speaker 1: guys and where we're going to go. This could be 46 00:02:23,360 --> 00:02:26,639 Speaker 1: a very fun over game. Download the DraftKings Pick six 47 00:02:26,720 --> 00:02:29,240 Speaker 1: play five dollars and get fifty dollars instantly in Pick 48 00:02:29,360 --> 00:02:32,840 Speaker 1: six credits for new users when they use the port 49 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:36,200 Speaker 1: promo code Juice at sign up for DraftKings and the 50 00:02:36,400 --> 00:02:42,480 Speaker 1: Pick six app for DraftKings. Gambling problem, Well, we've talked 51 00:02:42,520 --> 00:02:45,000 Speaker 1: about this a lot. Call eight eight eight seven eight 52 00:02:45,120 --> 00:02:48,680 Speaker 1: nine seven seven seven seven or visit CCPG dot org 53 00:02:48,720 --> 00:02:52,080 Speaker 1: in Connecticut eighteen plus in most eligible jurisdictions, but other 54 00:02:52,160 --> 00:02:54,840 Speaker 1: age and elibility resdictions may may apply. Ballot only in 55 00:02:54,919 --> 00:02:58,080 Speaker 1: jurisdictions where DraftKings Pick six operates. Pick six available everywhere, 56 00:02:58,160 --> 00:03:02,239 Speaker 1: including not limited to New York and kell Ontario four terms. 57 00:03:02,280 --> 00:03:06,040 Speaker 1: Go to Pick six dot DraftKings dot com slash promos 58 00:03:06,120 --> 00:03:10,600 Speaker 1: for more information. Okay, Monday Night Cowboys at the Sorry 59 00:03:10,639 --> 00:03:14,760 Speaker 1: Cowboys hosting the Bengals. Some news and notes some things 60 00:03:14,800 --> 00:03:17,440 Speaker 1: that are worthwhile talking about this, which is pretty interesting. 61 00:03:17,520 --> 00:03:19,959 Speaker 1: Cooper Rush has made ten career starts in the NFL. 62 00:03:19,960 --> 00:03:23,160 Speaker 1: He's now seven to three against the number. When he's 63 00:03:23,200 --> 00:03:26,400 Speaker 1: a dog of seven points or more, he's only two 64 00:03:26,400 --> 00:03:28,840 Speaker 1: and three against the number. But in any other situation 65 00:03:28,919 --> 00:03:30,840 Speaker 1: so far in his career, like tonight where he's catching 66 00:03:30,880 --> 00:03:33,760 Speaker 1: five and a half, he's five and oh ats, it's 67 00:03:33,840 --> 00:03:37,600 Speaker 1: bad news for the Bengals. The Cowboys in two thousand 68 00:03:37,640 --> 00:03:40,760 Speaker 1: and three have played twenty seven games on Monday Night football. 69 00:03:41,280 --> 00:03:44,000 Speaker 1: Dak Prescott starts their six and one against the number. 70 00:03:44,240 --> 00:03:48,400 Speaker 1: Anybody else seven and thirteen against the number. But the 71 00:03:48,440 --> 00:03:53,080 Speaker 1: Bengals are just not great over the last fifteen years. 72 00:03:53,120 --> 00:03:55,960 Speaker 1: The Bengals are just the ninth team in their thirteenth 73 00:03:56,000 --> 00:03:58,280 Speaker 1: game or later to have a win percentage of thirty 74 00:03:58,280 --> 00:04:02,560 Speaker 1: five percent or less, lose as a favorite the previous week, 75 00:04:02,600 --> 00:04:04,760 Speaker 1: and then turn around and get the points or lay 76 00:04:04,800 --> 00:04:08,080 Speaker 1: points as a favorite. Those teams were eight and oh 77 00:04:08,160 --> 00:04:11,600 Speaker 1: straight up and six and two ats. The last time 78 00:04:11,640 --> 00:04:15,200 Speaker 1: this happened was back in twenty twenty one against the Seahawks. 79 00:04:15,400 --> 00:04:17,320 Speaker 1: So what am I going to do in this game? Well? 80 00:04:17,680 --> 00:04:21,640 Speaker 1: Points Monday Night overs are twelve and four this year 81 00:04:21,800 --> 00:04:25,480 Speaker 1: twelve and four. They've gone over by at least six points, 82 00:04:25,760 --> 00:04:28,839 Speaker 1: six or more points every time it's gone over. This 83 00:04:28,920 --> 00:04:31,240 Speaker 1: is the second best year for overs on Monday Night 84 00:04:31,279 --> 00:04:34,440 Speaker 1: football in the last twenty years, just behind two thousand 85 00:04:34,440 --> 00:04:37,559 Speaker 1: and eight, in which overs went twelve three and two 86 00:04:38,920 --> 00:04:42,839 Speaker 1: totals forty nine and a half. Offense offense offense Joe 87 00:04:42,880 --> 00:04:46,880 Speaker 1: Burrow with thirty touchdown passes and five picks through twelve games. 88 00:04:47,000 --> 00:04:49,160 Speaker 1: The offense is going to go and slice and dice 89 00:04:49,200 --> 00:04:52,640 Speaker 1: against the Cowboys secondary. That's not good. But the Bengals 90 00:04:52,640 --> 00:04:56,600 Speaker 1: defense is god awful. Like we know this season, teams 91 00:04:56,600 --> 00:04:59,440 Speaker 1: that score thirty or more points are eighty and seven 92 00:04:59,480 --> 00:05:02,840 Speaker 1: straight up. The Bengals have four of those seven losses. 93 00:05:03,120 --> 00:05:05,680 Speaker 1: Since the first of November. They're twenty eight and two. 94 00:05:05,960 --> 00:05:09,359 Speaker 1: The Bengals have both those losses. Why their defense is 95 00:05:09,520 --> 00:05:14,080 Speaker 1: god awful. The Cowboys defense is equally god awful. Over 96 00:05:14,240 --> 00:05:17,600 Speaker 1: forty nine and a half here for us jumping on 97 00:05:17,680 --> 00:05:21,880 Speaker 1: that for one point one units number open at forty 98 00:05:21,920 --> 00:05:23,800 Speaker 1: four and a half spent all the way up, I 99 00:05:23,800 --> 00:05:26,039 Speaker 1: would go as high as fifty two to be quite honest, 100 00:05:26,240 --> 00:05:28,160 Speaker 1: or maybe even fifty one. But I wouldn't go I 101 00:05:28,160 --> 00:05:30,279 Speaker 1: wouldn't have dated it's fifty. I would have date forty 102 00:05:30,360 --> 00:05:32,440 Speaker 1: nine and a half. We're going over. We're okay with 103 00:05:32,520 --> 00:05:36,360 Speaker 1: going over here for this game. Couple of player props 104 00:05:36,360 --> 00:05:39,719 Speaker 1: for you, Cooper Rush. This is wild. So if I 105 00:05:39,839 --> 00:05:42,839 Speaker 1: like the over right, I like the over that means 106 00:05:43,000 --> 00:05:47,400 Speaker 1: I like offense. That means I like the ability for 107 00:05:47,440 --> 00:05:51,359 Speaker 1: this team to score, both teams to score. Cooper Rush 108 00:05:51,839 --> 00:05:55,240 Speaker 1: for his his touchdown prop to throw over one and 109 00:05:55,240 --> 00:06:00,640 Speaker 1: a half touchdowns is plus one forty eight. I don't 110 00:06:00,680 --> 00:06:05,240 Speaker 1: really understand that number, to be quite honest. Like Cooper 111 00:06:05,320 --> 00:06:10,560 Speaker 1: Rush threw two passing touchdowns against Washington, he threw one 112 00:06:10,600 --> 00:06:15,400 Speaker 1: against the Giants, but at home, you would think he's 113 00:06:15,440 --> 00:06:18,080 Speaker 1: gonna get an opportunity to have at least one. Will 114 00:06:18,080 --> 00:06:21,920 Speaker 1: he get two against this defense? I think he will. 115 00:06:22,360 --> 00:06:25,040 Speaker 1: I think it's worth the shot to go with Cooper 116 00:06:25,120 --> 00:06:28,080 Speaker 1: Rush over one and a half touchdown tosses at plus 117 00:06:28,120 --> 00:06:30,240 Speaker 1: one forty eight. I'm just gonna take a shot on that. 118 00:06:30,520 --> 00:06:33,240 Speaker 1: It's big plus money. I think he's got a real 119 00:06:33,279 --> 00:06:36,720 Speaker 1: good shot here to throw two touchdown tosses against this defense. 120 00:06:36,720 --> 00:06:39,760 Speaker 1: Because the defense stinks. I mean just straight up stinks. 121 00:06:40,360 --> 00:06:43,080 Speaker 1: And I'm gonna couple that with Ceedee Lamb to have 122 00:06:43,120 --> 00:06:46,640 Speaker 1: a big night receiving. Ceedee Lamb, I think could be, 123 00:06:47,520 --> 00:06:51,200 Speaker 1: you know, a real big problem for this secondary for 124 00:06:51,560 --> 00:06:56,040 Speaker 1: the Bengals who have given up yards and touchdowns to everyone. 125 00:06:56,760 --> 00:07:00,320 Speaker 1: Ceedee Lamb's number is sixty six and a half for him. 126 00:07:00,360 --> 00:07:05,080 Speaker 1: With that Ceedee Lamb went over. He's had sixty seven 127 00:07:05,120 --> 00:07:09,039 Speaker 1: against Washington, ninety three against Houston. He's gone over that 128 00:07:09,120 --> 00:07:12,840 Speaker 1: number in two of his last three games. It's primetime, 129 00:07:13,000 --> 00:07:16,400 Speaker 1: it's Monday night. You gotta think he wants to ball out. 130 00:07:16,880 --> 00:07:21,680 Speaker 1: He's averaging eleven yards per catch. Ceedee Lamb has a 131 00:07:21,680 --> 00:07:24,440 Speaker 1: big night tonight. Ceedee Lamb over six six and a 132 00:07:24,440 --> 00:07:28,080 Speaker 1: half yards receiving for a zero point five to five units, 133 00:07:28,240 --> 00:07:31,080 Speaker 1: So a half unit down on Cooper Rush to go 134 00:07:31,440 --> 00:07:33,920 Speaker 1: and throw two touchdown tosses at plus one forty eight 135 00:07:34,400 --> 00:07:37,960 Speaker 1: and then we'll go see Lamb over sixty six and 136 00:07:37,960 --> 00:07:41,600 Speaker 1: a half yards receiving for him here four point five 137 00:07:41,600 --> 00:07:45,360 Speaker 1: to five units. There is one college game to talk about. 138 00:07:45,440 --> 00:07:48,360 Speaker 1: There's Minnesota, who is at Indiana, and once again we're 139 00:07:48,360 --> 00:07:51,200 Speaker 1: talking about a team with their first true road game. 140 00:07:51,440 --> 00:07:54,800 Speaker 1: Ben Johnson, the coach for Minnesota. His team's coming off 141 00:07:54,840 --> 00:07:59,560 Speaker 1: of a ninety to seventy two home loss to Michigan State. Yikes. 142 00:08:00,120 --> 00:08:03,040 Speaker 1: On a neutral, they lost to Wake Forest. This team 143 00:08:03,120 --> 00:08:07,120 Speaker 1: lost at home to North Texas fifty four fifty one. 144 00:08:07,440 --> 00:08:12,400 Speaker 1: They have two home losses Indiana. Well, according to ken Palm, 145 00:08:12,440 --> 00:08:14,920 Speaker 1: this is a ten point win. The number is ten 146 00:08:15,320 --> 00:08:20,000 Speaker 1: for Indiana. Indiana's got two losses to Gonzaga and to Louisville, 147 00:08:20,280 --> 00:08:24,000 Speaker 1: but at home they've been housing people. They beat Miami 148 00:08:24,040 --> 00:08:27,400 Speaker 1: of Ohio seventy six fifty seven. They beat sam Houston 149 00:08:27,440 --> 00:08:30,920 Speaker 1: State ninety seven seventy one. They beat Providence eighty nine 150 00:08:31,200 --> 00:08:35,640 Speaker 1: to seventy three. They beat UNC Greensborough sixty nine fifty eight, 151 00:08:36,559 --> 00:08:40,600 Speaker 1: ten point win here by Ken Palm, seventy three to 152 00:08:40,760 --> 00:08:47,079 Speaker 1: sixty three. But Minnesota's defense is not great. Their offense 153 00:08:47,200 --> 00:08:51,360 Speaker 1: equally is not great. Their offense is currently two hundred 154 00:08:51,400 --> 00:08:54,679 Speaker 1: and thirty six in effective field goal percentage. They are 155 00:08:54,679 --> 00:08:58,199 Speaker 1: currently two hundred and ninety fourth in three point percentage. 156 00:08:58,280 --> 00:09:01,520 Speaker 1: They can't hit free throws, three hundred and fifty second 157 00:09:01,840 --> 00:09:07,439 Speaker 1: in free throw percentage. Yikes, Indiana's offense On the flip side, 158 00:09:07,480 --> 00:09:11,320 Speaker 1: they're forty seventh in offensive efficiency, forty first in effective 159 00:09:11,320 --> 00:09:15,240 Speaker 1: field goal percentage, seventy fourth and three point percentage, fifty 160 00:09:15,360 --> 00:09:18,960 Speaker 1: seventh in two point percentage, and they're thirty ninth in 161 00:09:19,040 --> 00:09:22,040 Speaker 1: free throw percentage. They hit their free throws. When it 162 00:09:22,080 --> 00:09:26,000 Speaker 1: comes to laying big numbers, you need free throws. Assembly 163 00:09:26,040 --> 00:09:28,120 Speaker 1: Hall is going to be rocking. I'll lay the ten 164 00:09:28,160 --> 00:09:33,600 Speaker 1: points Indiana minus ten up against Minnesota for one point 165 00:09:33,600 --> 00:09:37,160 Speaker 1: one units. Okay, so I'll give you the pick six 166 00:09:37,320 --> 00:09:40,880 Speaker 1: on the Discord channel later on today bettingpros dot Com 167 00:09:40,920 --> 00:09:43,199 Speaker 1: slash chat. Take it in with that. A bunch of 168 00:09:43,240 --> 00:09:45,880 Speaker 1: you were on our live chat for the college football 169 00:09:45,880 --> 00:09:48,559 Speaker 1: playoff breakdown last night. Thank you for being here. We 170 00:09:48,600 --> 00:09:50,320 Speaker 1: had about one hundred and fifty people on that. That 171 00:09:50,400 --> 00:09:52,080 Speaker 1: was a lot of fun to break that down with 172 00:09:52,200 --> 00:09:56,280 Speaker 1: the bracket tomorrow night, once it all kind of settles, 173 00:09:56,559 --> 00:09:59,480 Speaker 1: I will make bets on the games and make bets 174 00:09:59,520 --> 00:10:02,720 Speaker 1: on the future market coming up for tomorrow. Just want 175 00:10:02,720 --> 00:10:05,000 Speaker 1: to let it go for one night just to see 176 00:10:05,040 --> 00:10:07,520 Speaker 1: what the movement is here, to see if I'm right 177 00:10:07,600 --> 00:10:09,599 Speaker 1: when it comes to what I think is going to 178 00:10:09,640 --> 00:10:12,760 Speaker 1: happen from a value perspective, so we may jump in 179 00:10:12,840 --> 00:10:16,400 Speaker 1: on that, but I will have that on tomorrow night's 180 00:10:16,440 --> 00:10:19,559 Speaker 1: podcast or tomorrow morning's podcast. But for today, I'll give 181 00:10:19,559 --> 00:10:21,960 Speaker 1: you the DraftKings pick six. I'll post it in the 182 00:10:22,000 --> 00:10:25,200 Speaker 1: Discord channel, bettingpros dot com slash chat once again. The 183 00:10:25,200 --> 00:10:28,480 Speaker 1: plays for tonight Cincy Dallas over forty nine and a 184 00:10:28,520 --> 00:10:31,599 Speaker 1: half for one point one units. Cooper Rush to throw 185 00:10:31,920 --> 00:10:34,360 Speaker 1: over one and a half touchdowns at plus one forty 186 00:10:34,400 --> 00:10:36,440 Speaker 1: eight for a half a unit. Ceedee Lamb to go 187 00:10:36,559 --> 00:10:39,959 Speaker 1: over six six and a half yards receiving ato point 188 00:10:40,000 --> 00:10:41,560 Speaker 1: five to five units to win a half a unit. 189 00:10:41,600 --> 00:10:45,000 Speaker 1: Coming back in Indiana laying ten at home against Minnesota 190 00:10:45,040 --> 00:10:48,000 Speaker 1: for one point one units. Those are the plays for 191 00:10:48,120 --> 00:10:51,480 Speaker 1: us here on a Monday's Daily Juice podcast myna's Matt 192 00:10:51,480 --> 00:10:53,960 Speaker 1: Parol follow me gous all socials at sports Doc Matt. 193 00:10:54,040 --> 00:11:12,000 Speaker 1: Every morning It's the Deally Juice presented by DraftKings