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Speaker 1: And welcome to the Linking is Live.

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Speaker 2: It is Tuesday night, August twenty third, the year of

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Speaker 2: our lawer, twenty twenty two, every given Saturday. That's what

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Speaker 2: the show is about. That's the entire ethos, that's our mantra.

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Speaker 2: But that's especially what tonight is about.

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Speaker 1: For more reasons than just the usual reasons.

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Speaker 2: We are jam packed high a top a hopeful downtown

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Speaker 2: Nashville as Vanderbilt is out on the Big Island of

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Speaker 2: Hawaii getting ready to play a week zero game, and

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Speaker 2: contrary to some reports out there, it is called week zero.

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Speaker 2: Now that we've gotten that out of the way, let

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Speaker 2: me tell you what we're talking about tonight. The most

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Speaker 2: pressure games, not for the whole season, but easily in

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Speaker 2: September and early October. I've got several that I want

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Speaker 2: to discuss with you tonight. I had the mail bag

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Speaker 2: open earlier this morning, and a number of you asked

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Speaker 2: a number of questions that we'll get to on tonight's show,

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Speaker 2: But a couple of them were just why do you

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Speaker 2: hate the playoff? Or do you hate the playoff? Or

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Speaker 2: if we expand the playoff, will it fix this or that?

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Speaker 2: So we're going to just bundle that all up and

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Speaker 2: I will answer that tonight because a lot of you

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Speaker 2: are new, so you don't know why I have this

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Speaker 2: disdain in my voice when I talk about the postseason

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Speaker 2: in college football, and I think there's some maybe misconceptions

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Speaker 2: out there. So we'll clear that up tonight. Nick Saban

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Speaker 2: is rich. That's not breaking news. But what is breaking

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Speaker 2: news is he is richer? How much richer? And some

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Speaker 2: mind boggling stats to give you tonight. Also another great

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Speaker 2: question in the inbox that it's well pass time to answer.

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Speaker 2: How do you avoid being a casual? It's the biggest

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Speaker 2: pejorative in the college football universe these days. You don't

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Speaker 2: want to be a casual. Don't lose to food, don't

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Speaker 2: be a casual. Those are really the only two rules

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Speaker 2: we have around here. We don't even have a dress code.

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Speaker 2: I want to give you some very simple instructions to

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Speaker 2: live your life by tonight, Jackson, Tennessee. They're tuned in Allentown, PA,

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Speaker 2: tuned in Jupiter, Florida, and weberg loose on the pronunciation there,

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Speaker 2: but it's in Sweden.

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Speaker 1: They are tuned in Huge show. This evening.

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Speaker 2: We're coming off our two hour Extravaganza Sunday night. If

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Speaker 2: you haven't watched it, that's the full season prediction show.

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Speaker 2: We're still getting a ton of traffic. It was our

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Speaker 2: most watched show ever through the first twenty four hours.

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Speaker 2: Thank you, thank you, thank you. But also we've come

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Speaker 2: off that and then we're going into tonight. It's going

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Speaker 2: to be a totally different show tonight, totally different format.

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Speaker 2: So we're very much chameleons around here. But tonight's big

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Speaker 2: because we are going to announce before we go off

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Speaker 2: the air our destination for week one of the Every

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Speaker 2: Given Saturday Tour. And man, we've been waiting on this

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Speaker 2: one for a while, so stay tuned.

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Speaker 1: That's coming up. Can't wait.

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Speaker 2: See the hand it was shaken the other night, It's

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Speaker 2: shaken even more tonight.

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Speaker 1: Can't wait.

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Speaker 2: Let's dive into tonight's show. I wanted to talk to

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Speaker 2: you about some pressure games, and I'm specifically talking about

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Speaker 2: the kind of pressure that's above and beyond just every

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Speaker 2: Saturday in college football. We love every Given Saturday for

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Speaker 2: a reason. But these games that we have circled, I've

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Speaker 2: got five of them here.

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Speaker 1: These have some extra juice to them.

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Speaker 2: I'm not going in chronological order, but all of these

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Speaker 2: are happening in the first five weeks of the season.

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Speaker 2: Penn State at Auburn. This is in week three. This

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Speaker 2: is so huge. I've told you before my favorite pro

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Speaker 2: wrestling event growing up was WrestleMania seventeen.

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Speaker 1: I'm not alone in that. And as Austin and Rock.

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Speaker 2: Are doing that walk to the ring before they're going

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Speaker 2: to go to the pre match bumper, Paul Hayman says,

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Speaker 2: it's the match that both men need to win and

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Speaker 2: neither man can afford to lose. That was in two

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Speaker 2: thousand and one. I still remember that vividly even today.

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Speaker 2: I feel the same way about this game. Kind of

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Speaker 2: a game that both teams need to win and neither

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Speaker 2: team can afford to lose.

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Speaker 1: And you may think, to yourself.

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Speaker 2: How can that be. It's an out of conference game.

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Speaker 2: It's week three, Yes it is. Now let's remember the context,

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Speaker 2: remember what happened in what the casuals would deem the

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Speaker 2: offseason with Brian Harson and Auburn, they're not working with

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Speaker 2: the same link, the rope that maybe the over underwin

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Speaker 2: total would lead you to believe they're working with. I

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Speaker 2: know their over underwin total is six seven and five

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Speaker 2: runs the real risk of Brian Harson losing his job

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Speaker 2: down there this year. Not that it should, but it does.

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Speaker 2: So we're not endorsing the methodology down there. We're just

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Speaker 2: calling it like we see it with James Franklin eleven

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Speaker 2: and eleven the past two years.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 2: Obviously JP Pole has Penn State entering the season at

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Speaker 2: number ten. I believe in Penn State. That doesn't mean

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Speaker 2: I'm right. It could go sideways. And if they open

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Speaker 2: the season with a loss either at Purdue or two

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Speaker 2: weeks later in this game at Auburn, it'll be very uncomfortable.

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Speaker 2: But my question is this, what if they do open

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Speaker 2: the season with a loss already at Purdue and then

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Speaker 2: they're coming into this game at Auburn. It's pressure packed regardless,

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Speaker 2: but what if they're running the risk of starting one

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Speaker 2: to two. Think about that and then also think about

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Speaker 2: Auburn's second half of their schedule and why it is

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Speaker 2: so necessary, if not mandatory, for them to start fast.

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Speaker 2: I've repeated it, but I'll do it once more for

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Speaker 2: the podcast crowd. They got a couple of layups and

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Speaker 2: then they got Penn State, Missouri and LSU. Those are

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Speaker 2: home games, and then it feels like they don't ever

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Speaker 2: play at home again the rest of the way. And

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Speaker 2: they got a bunch of ranked teams and power rated teams.

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Speaker 2: The only one that they could feel semi confident in

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Speaker 2: penciling in as a w is Western Kentucky. And I

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Speaker 2: only tell you to pencil that went in because you

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Speaker 2: don't know how battered and beat up you could be

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Speaker 2: by them point being kind of a game that both

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Speaker 2: need to win, neither can afford to lose. Next up,

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Speaker 2: also a week three game here, Brigham Young goes to Oregon,

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Speaker 2: and Oregon will have already played Georgia by this point,

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Speaker 2: you know, Brigham Young will have already played Baylor, or yeah, Baylor.

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Speaker 1: I think it's time to pause and.

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Speaker 2: Remind you, because I've seen some of you ask in

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Speaker 2: the comment section why I don't say the initials for

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Speaker 2: Brigham Young. It's nothing personal. It's a personal problem I have,

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Speaker 2: but it's nothing personal against the university. I just really

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Speaker 2: struggle saying the letter why when there's a letter before

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Speaker 2: it and after it just sounds ridiculous.

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Speaker 1: So I say, Brigham Young, assue me.

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Speaker 2: Brigham Young at Oregon in week three, I guess there's

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Speaker 2: an outside shot the ever given Saturday Tour could be here.

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Speaker 2: Think about what would happen, Think about how the perspective

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Speaker 2: nationally on this game would change if Oregon beat Georgia

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Speaker 2: in week one and then especially if Brigham Young beat

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Speaker 2: Baylor in week two and they're both undefeated playing here.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, let's keep that one on the radar. But regardless,

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Speaker 2: let's just say the point spreads hold. And let's say

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Speaker 2: University of Oregon, for example, does lose in week one

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Speaker 2: to Georgia.

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Speaker 1: Well, then Dan.

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Speaker 2: Lanning and his company they come home.

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Speaker 1: It's not a.

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Speaker 2: Huge deal to lose to last year's national champ in

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Speaker 2: their backyard. That's something that most.

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Speaker 1: People, I think expect.

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Speaker 2: But what you can have is you can't have yourself

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Speaker 2: being bullied twice in the first three weeks, including once

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Speaker 2: at home. You can't be out physical twice. And Brigham

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Speaker 2: Young is going to come into Eugene, Oregon, and it'll

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Speaker 2: probably remind people a lot of the physical challenge you

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Speaker 2: had against Utah last year. And I don't think I

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Speaker 2: need to remind anyone how those Oregon versus Utah games went.

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Speaker 2: So if you want to talk pressure, I know that

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Speaker 2: they've barely broken into their new office. Is there, but

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Speaker 2: Dan Lanning and his coaching staff will fill the pressure

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Speaker 2: in that Week three game against Brigham Young. And then

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Speaker 2: also there's the pressure on Brigham Young's side of virtually

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Speaker 2: everyone returning, and there's such high hopes this year. Look

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Speaker 2: at how many opportunities they have. They play Baylor in

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Speaker 2: week two, they go to Oregon the game we're talking

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Speaker 2: about in week three. Later you know they've gotten Notre Dame.

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Speaker 2: Arkansas goes to Provo to play them. So they got

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Speaker 2: so many opportunities. There's not that one game. It's not

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Speaker 2: like Cincinnati schedule where you say they play Arkansas, but

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Speaker 2: then the rest of it is G five competition. No,

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Speaker 2: they got multiple shots here. That's the byproduct of having

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Speaker 2: an independent schedule. So that's the second one I'm looking at.

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Speaker 2: The third one is a week prior. It's in Week two.

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Speaker 2: South Carolina at Arkansas, huge pressure, pressure packed game.

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Speaker 1: Here.

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Speaker 2: Where is each of these programs perceptionally? Where are they

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Speaker 2: right now? They're on the climb.

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Speaker 1: Right.

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Speaker 2: South Carolina did a lot more than you probably thought

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Speaker 2: they would last year, and the locals and I think

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Speaker 2: nationally also perceive that program to still be ascending.

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Speaker 1: Dittoh.

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Speaker 2: With Arkansas, they did more than you thought they'd do

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Speaker 2: last year, and the locals, myself included, perceive the program

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Speaker 2: to still be in ascension mode.

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Speaker 1: Neither have peaked.

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Speaker 2: In other words, I think it's fair to say that's

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Speaker 2: the national perception. Yet they play in week two this year,

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Speaker 2: and so South Carolina's got Georgia the following week and

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Speaker 2: they will be a healthy home underdog in that game.

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Speaker 2: So on one hand, you got some real positive momentum

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Speaker 2: that could be shot already if you start one and two.

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Speaker 2: And then over on the Arkansas side, if you think

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Speaker 2: about what all they have out of conference and in

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Speaker 2: conference they open against Cincinnati the next week, is this

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Speaker 2: game South Carolina coming in there.

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Speaker 1: You already know.

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Speaker 2: If you lose that game, that's a conference loss.

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Speaker 1: And if you lose that game, that's.

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Speaker 2: Before you play A and M. That's before you play Bama,

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Speaker 2: that's before you go to Mississippi State. You got a

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Speaker 2: trip to Auburn later in the year, LSU comes to town,

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Speaker 2: Ole miss comes to town. So you've got so much

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Speaker 2: left that I guarantee you anyone in and around Fayetteville,

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Speaker 2: Arkansas who has done the old win loss win loss

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Speaker 2: exercise on their helmet grid schedule. They've got both of

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Speaker 2: these first two games as wins.

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Speaker 1: Now they may.

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Speaker 2: Say they'll be good, they'll be good stiff competition, but

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Speaker 2: we're not losing to Cincinnati. We're not losing to South Carolina,

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Speaker 2: and all of a sudden, if you lose either one

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Speaker 2: of those, and especially this one, because it's a.

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Speaker 1: Conference game, things feel like they change a.

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Speaker 2: Little bit quicker than you thought they would this year.

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Speaker 2: How about we go all the way to Week five,

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Speaker 2: Let's go to the ACC. This is the one pretty

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Speaker 2: much everyone has circled in this conference. NC State at

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Speaker 2: Clemson Week five, Everyone's got it circled. I've got it circled.

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Speaker 2: Jesse and Colin have it circled. I'm pretty sure our

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Speaker 2: production executives have it circled. Success or failure for Clemson

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Speaker 2: this year is point blank winning the ACC championship at

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Speaker 2: the very at least getting back to the game. I

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Speaker 2: think we would all agree with that. And yet this

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Speaker 2: is a division opponent of theirs, and this is not

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Speaker 2: the Pac twelve where they just take the two best teams.

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Speaker 2: You still got to win your division in the ACC

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Speaker 2: as of this moment at least to make it to

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Speaker 2: Charlotte for the ACC Championship game. And so NC State

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Speaker 2: got the better of them last year twenty seven to

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Speaker 2: twenty I want to say was the final score. I

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Speaker 2: think that was an overtime game. You see the over

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Speaker 2: underwin totals if you're listening on podcasts. Clemson is a

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Speaker 2: solid two games above NC State from an odds maker's

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Speaker 2: perspective when it comes to preseason win totals, and a

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Speaker 2: big part of that is Clemson gets NC State at home.

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Speaker 1: Just think this through with me.

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Speaker 2: Think about how much the division and the league could

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Speaker 2: change on that given Saturday. Every given Saturday, this one, especially,

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Speaker 2: If NC State goes to Clemson boom twenty four to

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Speaker 2: twenty one, they pull off the upset, they essentially hold

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Speaker 2: a game.

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Speaker 1: And a half lead over them in the Division State.

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Speaker 2: So it's going to take a couple of losses for

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Speaker 2: Clemson to climb over them, and it's going to take

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Speaker 2: Clemson not losing again. And that's where I want you

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Speaker 2: to look at the rest of NC State schedule. They

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Speaker 2: don't play Miami in the regular season, so their other

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Speaker 2: stiffest conference tests would be Florida State at home, Virginia

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Speaker 2: Tech at home, Wake at home, Boston College at home.

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Speaker 2: Their only other two road games of any note in

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Speaker 2: the ACC are at Louisville and at North Carolina. Now,

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Speaker 2: for the record, those are the last two games of

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Speaker 2: the year, but by then, man, that defense is zoned

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Speaker 2: in offensively your team. You just are what you are

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Speaker 2: at that point, and chances are you're favored even in

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Speaker 2: road environments.

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Speaker 1: So this one's huge.

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Speaker 2: You can talk all you want to about power ratings,

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Speaker 2: and we do it on this show, and you can

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Speaker 2: talk about who'd be favored on the neutral field. NC

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Speaker 2: State at Clemson. That's essentially what the ACC, at least

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Speaker 2: in that division may come down to on that Saturday.

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Speaker 2: And one week before that, I got to talk about

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Speaker 2: a big one in the Big Ten Michigan at Iowa.

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Speaker 2: This is a rematch of your Big Ten championship game

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Speaker 2: last year, and if you don't remember that, it's because

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Speaker 2: the final was forty.

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Speaker 1: Two to three.

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Speaker 2: It was a splattering Michigan over Iowa. So the first

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Speaker 2: time we're going to see pressure applied to Michigan this year,

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Speaker 2: unless Maryland pull something off into Big House, it'll be

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Speaker 2: the first time that they have to go on the road, period,

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Speaker 2: and it'll be the first time, easily the first time

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Speaker 2: they face a team physically that can match up with them.

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Speaker 2: And this is also where we get to put one

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Speaker 2: of the big statements that's circulating out there about Michigan

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Speaker 2: to the test. That statement, which I don't endorse obviously,

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Speaker 2: is they are a shell of what they were last year.

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Speaker 2: They'll fall back, they'll come back to the pack. Last

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Speaker 2: year was great, but you had to off the field

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Speaker 2: drama with Harball, which I care less and less about

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Speaker 2: as the days go on, and you lost some guys

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Speaker 2: like Hutchinson and a job Boat to the NFL.

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Speaker 1: You just can't replicate that.

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Speaker 2: I'm a believer this team will be every bit as good,

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Speaker 2: if not maybe even better than last year. And I've

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Speaker 2: spelled that out for you. I've given you the reasons why. Well, anyway,

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Speaker 2: the beauty of this game is we get to test

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Speaker 2: it all. Because if they go on the road against

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Speaker 2: the team that they housed in the Big Ten championship

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Speaker 2: game and they either get upset or it's a struggle

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Speaker 2: down to the wire and offensively they can't move the

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Speaker 2: ball with then all of a sudden maybe.

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Speaker 1: Depending on how the game shakes out.

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Speaker 2: We're looking at it and we're saying, hmm, either the

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Speaker 2: Michigan Dowters were right and I was wrong, or maybe

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Speaker 2: they handle them. And by the way, this is an

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Speaker 2: extremely difficult place to go into. Everybody in the Big

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Speaker 2: Ten talks about this. I grew up in the South.

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Speaker 2: People don't talk about Kennick Stadium. That's only cause no

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Speaker 2: Southern teams go in there. Everybody who goes in there

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Speaker 2: talks about, especially early in the year when I was

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Speaker 2: got everything in front of them to play for, where

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Speaker 2: everyone talks about how difficult an environment that is, and

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Speaker 2: they always cross their fingers. This is where the Fox

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Speaker 2: contract is huge for road teams. They all want that

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Speaker 2: noon game, Penn State and Michigan, all the folks who

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Speaker 2: have to go into Iowa City, they want that noon kickoff.

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Speaker 2: They despise it. I know the folks in Iowa despise it.

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Speaker 2: They want to play I don't want They don't want

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Speaker 2: it to be nighttime when they kick that thing off.

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Speaker 2: So Michigan at Iowa, NC State at Clemson, South Carolina

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Speaker 2: at Arkansas, Bring Him Young at Oregon, and Penn State

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Speaker 2: at Auburn. Those are some not an exhaustive list, but

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Speaker 2: some of the pressure games I've got my eye on.

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Speaker 2: I wonder where we're going to open our next Academy

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Speaker 2: Sports and Outdoors.

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Speaker 1: I have not heard from them.

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Speaker 2: We do have a big change coming up in the

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Speaker 2: next what week or week and a half with Academy.

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Speaker 2: But I appreciate you guys so much for doing what

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Speaker 2: you did last week. And for those of you who

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Speaker 2: are kind of new around here, We've had two grand

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Speaker 2: openings of stores, one in Panama City and one in Richmond, Virginia,

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Speaker 2: and Academy, well, they essentially put it on us to

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Speaker 2: handle it however we want to. They are our exclusive partner,

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Speaker 2: and we don't have fifteen other sponsors around here because

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Speaker 2: they totally take care of us. And they said, hey,

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Speaker 2: why don't you plug those stores? Why don't you?

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Speaker 1: And so we did.

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Speaker 2: And I challenged you guys, you go there on those

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Speaker 2: grand opening weekends and you prove it to me, then

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Speaker 2: I'm going to send you. I'm going to send five

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Speaker 2: or so of you Chalice of supremacy. And that's that

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Speaker 2: little glass figuring there for those unfamiliar. You learn more

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Speaker 2: and more about the layers associated with the show as

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Speaker 2: you tune in more often, and those are for the

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Speaker 2: record about to be shipped out later this week. But man,

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Speaker 2: we have done big time business with both of those

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Speaker 2: grand openings. And you don't have to live in those

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Speaker 2: two cities. Obviously you probably have one close to you

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Speaker 2: brick and mortar, but if you don't, Academy dot Com

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Speaker 2: is there. So all I do is I put it

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Speaker 2: to you like this if you need outdoor gear, periods,

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Speaker 2: sporting goods and otherwise clothing, shoes, whatever the case may be.

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Speaker 2: If you need it and you like the show, Academy

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Speaker 2: is the place for you to go because I cannot

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Speaker 2: overstate enough how much they do to help our show.

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Speaker 2: All this stuff you see in the way that we

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Speaker 2: make it free and we never have to sweat any

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Speaker 2: of those budgetary details.

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Speaker 1: It's because of them.

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Speaker 2: So if you already need that stuff in your life,

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Speaker 2: Academy dot Com or Academy Sports and Outdoors in person,

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Speaker 2: I would encourage you to go in there because you'll

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Speaker 2: probably find fifth ten or twenty things you didn't know

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Speaker 2: they carried that as it turns out you need.

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Speaker 1: It's time for.

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Speaker 2: Us to talk about a topic that comes up a lot,

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Speaker 2: but I don't just immediately tackle it head on. Well,

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Speaker 2: it's time to tackle it head on tonight, Colin. I

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Speaker 2: think this will be a good intro for you for

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Speaker 2: the individual video. What do you really think about the playoff?

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Speaker 2: What do I really think about the Playoff? I had

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Speaker 2: two of you ask me different questions that we can

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Speaker 2: wrap into the same segment tonight, and I'm going to

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Speaker 2: read them to you.

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Speaker 1: First question, honest question.

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Speaker 2: Do you think an expanded playoff more teams going to

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Speaker 2: have a shot at getting blue chip five star recruits?

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Speaker 2: The same six teams get the best recruits because they

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Speaker 2: make the playoff and vice versa. It seems that it

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Speaker 2: has a chance to increase parody. So the first question

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Speaker 2: is if we expand the playoff, are the recruits going

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Speaker 2: to go more places than just the top programs. I'll

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Speaker 2: answer that in a second. The second question was could

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Speaker 2: you explain your strong dislike of the postseason for the

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Speaker 2: new viewers? Of course I can, so I think it

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Speaker 2: is a little bit misunderstood. First question, will expansion spread

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Speaker 2: out the talent?

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Speaker 1: No, it will not.

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Speaker 2: I have explained my thoughts on this several times. I

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Speaker 2: want to be nice about this, and I don't want

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Speaker 2: to paint with a broad brush, but I found one

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Speaker 2: of the biggest discrepancies in the perception of the way

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Speaker 2: this sport works is how much a lot of us

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Speaker 2: value the college football Playoff and access to it versus

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Speaker 2: how much recruits value access to it. We do these

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Speaker 2: signing day shows, we take these commitments live on air

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Speaker 2: all the time, and we talk to kids behind the

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Speaker 2: scenes a lot.

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Speaker 1: I swear to.

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Speaker 2: You, guys, if they care about access to the college

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Speaker 2: football Playoff, it is the biggest kept secret in all

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Speaker 2: of recruiting. They don't talk about it. They may mention

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Speaker 2: it on the periphery. If you ask a kid, hey,

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Speaker 2: do you want to make it to the playoffs?

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Speaker 1: They're not going to say no.

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Speaker 2: I'm not telling you they don't care about I'm saying

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Speaker 2: if you really injected them with truth serum, which is illegal.

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Speaker 2: But if you were to inject them with truth serum

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Speaker 2: and you got their true list of priorities, it would

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Speaker 2: be like sixth or seventh. They just don't care about

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Speaker 2: access to the playoff like you think they do.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 2: The perception, the working theory amongst expansionists is well, once

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Speaker 2: some of those programs are able to make the playoff,

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Speaker 2: then they're able to market themselves differently, and they're able

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Speaker 2: to get a different caliber athlete, and therefore they're able

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Speaker 2: to year over year build a more sustainable and higher

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Speaker 2: level functioning product.

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Speaker 1: It just I love weather.

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Speaker 2: I love atmospheric science. The reason I'm not an on

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Speaker 2: air meteorologist, the reason I did not pursue a career

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Speaker 2: in that field, is because I am a victim of

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Speaker 2: what the James Spans of the world would accurately describe

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Speaker 2: as wish casting. I've got what I want to happen

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Speaker 2: in my head, and I don't care what the model

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Speaker 2: data says. I don't care what the output says. I

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Speaker 2: will put my own spin on that. If I've got

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Speaker 2: one hundred different model scenarios for what next Thursday is

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Speaker 2: gonna be like in Nashville and only six of them

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Speaker 2: really paint a scenario that I like, I'll just find

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Speaker 2: a way for one of the six to work its

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Speaker 2: way into my forecast. That's not real, but that's wish casting.

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Speaker 2: That's one of those things where, yeah, it could happen,

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Speaker 2: just like the twenty six point week one underdog could win.

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Speaker 1: So I'm gonna predict them to win. Well, you're wish casting.

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Speaker 2: You're talking about what you hope will happen, not what's

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Speaker 2: most likely to happen, what's most likely to happen. When

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Speaker 2: you expand that playoff is watering down the regular season,

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Speaker 2: don't yell. I'm gonna get to that in just a second.

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Speaker 2: Don't yell at me yet. You're gonna water down the

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Speaker 2: regular season. You're gonna take all consequence off of the

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Speaker 2: games that used to be the biggest ones. You're gonna

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Speaker 2: put some manufactured consequence on games that won't mean anything

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Speaker 2: in the grand scheme of things when it comes to

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Speaker 2: your precious playoff, and kids are still gonna go where

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Speaker 2: they've always gone. Answer me this, please anyone in the room,

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Speaker 2: Jesse and Colin, anyone If access to the playoff is

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Speaker 2: the end all be all for how you up your

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Speaker 2: game in recruiting? How in the world did Texas A

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Speaker 2: and M just do what they did? And then, as

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Speaker 2: you answer that question, isn't that the future of recruiting

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Speaker 2: like in the NIL era? Whatever your answer to that

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Speaker 2: A and M question is, By the way, isn't that

439
00:20:24,119 --> 00:20:27,960
Speaker 2: the direction of sports headed? Therefore, doesn't it make the

440
00:20:28,000 --> 00:20:32,919
Speaker 2: most sense that the best resourced programs are going to

441
00:20:32,960 --> 00:20:34,600
Speaker 2: still be the ones at the end of the day,

442
00:20:35,480 --> 00:20:37,399
Speaker 2: at the top of the recruiting rankings, the ones that

443
00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:40,040
Speaker 2: can develop the talent the best, the ones that have

444
00:20:40,160 --> 00:20:42,119
Speaker 2: the track record in pedigree of sending kids to the

445
00:20:42,200 --> 00:20:44,280
Speaker 2: NFL the most. Those are the ones at the end

446
00:20:44,280 --> 00:20:46,919
Speaker 2: of the day, I would suggest that are still going

447
00:20:46,960 --> 00:20:48,880
Speaker 2: to be at the top of the recruiting rankings. You're

448
00:20:48,920 --> 00:20:50,840
Speaker 2: trying to tell me, no, if you lock down an

449
00:20:50,880 --> 00:20:53,040
Speaker 2: eleven seed and go get your brains beat out in

450
00:20:53,040 --> 00:20:55,560
Speaker 2: the first round, doesn't matter, because you can all of

451
00:20:55,600 --> 00:20:57,679
Speaker 2: a sudden go into a living room and say, look,

452
00:20:58,080 --> 00:21:01,680
Speaker 2: we got an eleven seed. That kid's like, look, I've

453
00:21:01,680 --> 00:21:04,520
Speaker 2: still got an offer from Georgia, so he's still going

454
00:21:04,560 --> 00:21:07,480
Speaker 2: to Georgia. You're not plucking any kids away from those

455
00:21:07,480 --> 00:21:11,159
Speaker 2: elite programs that you already weren't gonna get. So no,

456
00:21:11,480 --> 00:21:15,960
Speaker 2: I don't think it's nearly the disruption mechanism inserted into

457
00:21:15,960 --> 00:21:19,959
Speaker 2: the recruiting landscape that some people think it is. And

458
00:21:20,000 --> 00:21:22,639
Speaker 2: I would say otherwise. Trust me, I'm not against parody.

459
00:21:22,680 --> 00:21:26,560
Speaker 2: I'm not against competitive balance. I'm against very very jack

460
00:21:26,640 --> 00:21:29,159
Speaker 2: legged theories of how to accomplish it, the first time

461
00:21:29,200 --> 00:21:32,400
Speaker 2: we've ever said Jack leg on the show. Second accusation

462
00:21:33,119 --> 00:21:35,880
Speaker 2: that you wanted me to address is do I hate

463
00:21:35,880 --> 00:21:39,200
Speaker 2: the postseason? It was interesting they said postseason and not playoff.

464
00:21:39,200 --> 00:21:41,760
Speaker 2: I certainly don't hate the postseason. I love the postseason.

465
00:21:41,840 --> 00:21:45,760
Speaker 2: I love bowl season. I don't mind the playoff. So

466
00:21:46,240 --> 00:21:48,600
Speaker 2: I'm just gonna here's what we're gonna do, executive decision.

467
00:21:48,600 --> 00:21:52,160
Speaker 2: We're gonna pretend that the question was, can you explain

468
00:21:52,200 --> 00:21:55,119
Speaker 2: your hatred for the playoff? And I'm gonna answer that

469
00:21:55,320 --> 00:21:56,880
Speaker 2: hypothetical question certainly I can.

470
00:21:57,800 --> 00:21:58,720
Speaker 1: I don't hate the playoff.

471
00:22:00,200 --> 00:22:01,720
Speaker 2: I get asked this all the time, so I finally

472
00:22:01,720 --> 00:22:04,080
Speaker 2: got asked on the record. I don't hate the college

473
00:22:04,080 --> 00:22:06,800
Speaker 2: football playoff. I don't mind crowning a national champion at

474
00:22:06,800 --> 00:22:09,080
Speaker 2: the end of the year. I hate skipping the meal

475
00:22:09,400 --> 00:22:11,280
Speaker 2: to get right to the dessert. That's what I hate.

476
00:22:11,280 --> 00:22:14,280
Speaker 2: And I hate the propensity for a lot of folks,

477
00:22:14,359 --> 00:22:18,359
Speaker 2: both fans and at the national media level, of advocating

478
00:22:18,400 --> 00:22:21,080
Speaker 2: for that mentality. Let's skip right past the regular season,

479
00:22:21,280 --> 00:22:24,399
Speaker 2: and let's just focus our entire attention on a college

480
00:22:24,400 --> 00:22:28,240
Speaker 2: football playoff, and we skip the best thing in all

481
00:22:28,240 --> 00:22:31,720
Speaker 2: of sports. In my opinion, the focus even in Week two,

482
00:22:31,800 --> 00:22:35,040
Speaker 2: in Week three is not on this game. It's boy

483
00:22:35,080 --> 00:22:37,800
Speaker 2: Penn State Auburn. How does this impact the playoff picture?

484
00:22:37,920 --> 00:22:41,280
Speaker 2: Forget the playoff picture. It's Penn State playing in Jordan

485
00:22:41,359 --> 00:22:44,720
Speaker 2: Air Stadium. I don't need the backdrop of the college

486
00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:47,520
Speaker 2: football playoff. Here's the thing I've learned about December and

487
00:22:47,600 --> 00:22:52,040
Speaker 2: January every year of my existence. It eventually gets here.

488
00:22:52,840 --> 00:22:54,840
Speaker 2: I don't have to hit the fast forward button. It

489
00:22:54,840 --> 00:22:57,000
Speaker 2: doesn't matter how much I look forward to it or

490
00:22:57,040 --> 00:22:59,160
Speaker 2: I resist it. It just gets here in the same

491
00:22:59,200 --> 00:23:01,600
Speaker 2: amount of time that it always has taken it to

492
00:23:01,600 --> 00:23:04,520
Speaker 2: get here. College football playoffs same way it gets here.

493
00:23:04,840 --> 00:23:07,280
Speaker 2: You don't have to promote it going into and out

494
00:23:07,320 --> 00:23:09,840
Speaker 2: of every commercial break on networks that happen to own

495
00:23:10,160 --> 00:23:11,520
Speaker 2: the contract for that playoff.

496
00:23:11,760 --> 00:23:13,760
Speaker 1: You don't have to constantly.

497
00:23:13,359 --> 00:23:17,920
Speaker 2: Inject playoff ramifications for a game to mean something. They

498
00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:21,400
Speaker 2: already mean something. That's why we're playing them. There are

499
00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:25,359
Speaker 2: some folks, myself included, who pride ourselves as an every

500
00:23:25,400 --> 00:23:28,920
Speaker 2: given Saturday type because we love the Saturdays, and then

501
00:23:29,040 --> 00:23:32,240
Speaker 2: anything above and beyond will take it. But it's the

502
00:23:32,280 --> 00:23:34,080
Speaker 2: dessert that's our cheesecake.

503
00:23:34,160 --> 00:23:35,320
Speaker 1: That's not the steak.

504
00:23:35,760 --> 00:23:39,720
Speaker 2: Now you may say cheesecake's great, it is, but man

505
00:23:39,800 --> 00:23:43,159
Speaker 2: cannot live on cheesecake alone. It's the Book of josh

506
00:23:43,240 --> 00:23:45,520
Speaker 2: not the Book of Joshua, just the Book of josh

507
00:23:45,760 --> 00:23:50,920
Speaker 2: Take the Ua off. So that's essentially my stance. There's

508
00:23:50,960 --> 00:23:53,760
Speaker 2: no hatred. I go to the playoff games every year.

509
00:23:53,960 --> 00:23:56,240
Speaker 2: I go to the National championship game every year. We

510
00:23:56,359 --> 00:23:59,000
Speaker 2: have a ton of fun at those games. But what

511
00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:04,639
Speaker 2: I really don't like is I don't enjoy the I

512
00:24:04,680 --> 00:24:08,960
Speaker 2: don't enjoy the kind of the decrease in value placed

513
00:24:09,000 --> 00:24:12,560
Speaker 2: on regular season at the expense of a playoff. And

514
00:24:12,560 --> 00:24:16,800
Speaker 2: then there's this other kind of line of thinking that

515
00:24:16,840 --> 00:24:20,680
Speaker 2: I've discussed many times. I will admit to you readily.

516
00:24:20,920 --> 00:24:23,600
Speaker 2: It doesn't matter what I think about this. I'm going

517
00:24:23,680 --> 00:24:26,200
Speaker 2: to dedicate this entire next two minutes to Brady Quinn.

518
00:24:26,359 --> 00:24:28,480
Speaker 2: It doesn't matter what I think. I know that because

519
00:24:28,520 --> 00:24:30,879
Speaker 2: I know that we're headed a direction that's inevitable at

520
00:24:30,880 --> 00:24:33,760
Speaker 2: this point. Expansion is inevitable, so as death. I don't

521
00:24:33,760 --> 00:24:35,439
Speaker 2: have to embrace it, and I can resist it as

522
00:24:35,480 --> 00:24:37,399
Speaker 2: much as I want to. But yeah, we're going to

523
00:24:37,480 --> 00:24:42,080
Speaker 2: expand I just I take a lot of exception to

524
00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:45,080
Speaker 2: the notion that expansion is not going to water down

525
00:24:45,119 --> 00:24:49,080
Speaker 2: the regular season. Nay, it's actually going to put more

526
00:24:49,119 --> 00:24:52,919
Speaker 2: emphasis on more games, because why more games will have

527
00:24:53,080 --> 00:24:57,439
Speaker 2: playoff meaning. Well, that's true. You always assume, though, that

528
00:24:57,480 --> 00:25:02,360
Speaker 2: when you increase the amount of spots that sentence playoff

529
00:25:02,400 --> 00:25:04,000
Speaker 2: meaning will carry the same value.

530
00:25:04,040 --> 00:25:04,480
Speaker 1: It won't.

531
00:25:05,040 --> 00:25:06,600
Speaker 2: But you're gonna have to learn that the hard way,

532
00:25:06,760 --> 00:25:08,600
Speaker 2: and that'll come and do time. The other thing that

533
00:25:08,640 --> 00:25:10,080
Speaker 2: I want to ask you, though, is do you really

534
00:25:10,080 --> 00:25:12,560
Speaker 2: get what you're saying when you talk about more games

535
00:25:12,600 --> 00:25:15,080
Speaker 2: with meaning? Well, you also have games with less meaning

536
00:25:15,760 --> 00:25:18,280
Speaker 2: as it relates to your precious playoff. And I want

537
00:25:18,280 --> 00:25:20,320
Speaker 2: to ask you because a lot of you who advocate

538
00:25:20,320 --> 00:25:23,120
Speaker 2: for expanding the playoff you admit to me all the time, Oh,

539
00:25:23,160 --> 00:25:25,120
Speaker 2: I know, we're not going to change the championship.

540
00:25:25,440 --> 00:25:27,840
Speaker 1: The same elite teams will win the championship.

541
00:25:28,040 --> 00:25:30,000
Speaker 2: We just want to make the regular season a little

542
00:25:30,000 --> 00:25:32,840
Speaker 2: bit more exciting at the end and put some ramifications

543
00:25:32,880 --> 00:25:36,040
Speaker 2: on the line so that these games aren't meaningless. Biggest

544
00:25:36,040 --> 00:25:38,440
Speaker 2: casual sentence in the world, By the way, anyone who

545
00:25:38,520 --> 00:25:41,640
Speaker 2: calls college football regular season games meaningless if there aren't

546
00:25:41,640 --> 00:25:44,080
Speaker 2: playoff spots on the line, go tell them to sit

547
00:25:44,119 --> 00:25:45,840
Speaker 2: by the garbage, get them out of your life. They

548
00:25:45,840 --> 00:25:48,760
Speaker 2: don't have any business around any show like this or

549
00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:51,879
Speaker 2: any person like you. But let's just entertain it for

550
00:25:52,040 --> 00:25:55,119
Speaker 2: entertainment's sake. You tell me that we're going to have

551
00:25:55,160 --> 00:25:58,600
Speaker 2: more games with playoff ramifications attached to them.

552
00:25:59,000 --> 00:26:01,000
Speaker 1: That's true. I ask you this.

553
00:26:01,920 --> 00:26:05,320
Speaker 2: You yourselves sometimes tell me, eh, they're not going to

554
00:26:05,400 --> 00:26:08,320
Speaker 2: win the title, but getting into the playoff will be fun.

555
00:26:08,880 --> 00:26:11,760
Speaker 2: So what you're doing when you expand that field is

556
00:26:11,800 --> 00:26:15,400
Speaker 2: you're taking the playoff ramifications off of the games that

557
00:26:15,480 --> 00:26:18,800
Speaker 2: feature teams actually capable of winning the thing, like Ohio

558
00:26:18,840 --> 00:26:22,920
Speaker 2: State Michigan last year, or Bama any given year when

559
00:26:23,040 --> 00:26:24,840
Speaker 2: they're in a must win game at the end of

560
00:26:24,840 --> 00:26:28,720
Speaker 2: the season, SEC championship game last year, Iron Bowl twenty thirteen.

561
00:26:28,960 --> 00:26:32,520
Speaker 2: You're taking the ramifications off the games that feature the

562
00:26:32,560 --> 00:26:34,840
Speaker 2: teams that actually are capable of winning. You just put

563
00:26:34,840 --> 00:26:37,679
Speaker 2: this giant safety net under them. They're going to be

564
00:26:37,720 --> 00:26:39,800
Speaker 2: in unless they lose four games, which they never do.

565
00:26:40,040 --> 00:26:44,240
Speaker 2: And instead you're taking the ramifications and you're putting them

566
00:26:44,280 --> 00:26:46,760
Speaker 2: on games that feature teams that won't.

567
00:26:46,480 --> 00:26:47,960
Speaker 1: Be capable of winning the title.

568
00:26:48,119 --> 00:26:50,720
Speaker 2: Now you explain to me in the long term, how

569
00:26:50,760 --> 00:26:53,520
Speaker 2: that's more healthy for the sport. You explain to me

570
00:26:53,600 --> 00:26:56,200
Speaker 2: long term, how that's more exciting. What's going to happen

571
00:26:56,280 --> 00:26:58,560
Speaker 2: is initially it would be exciting, would be amazing for

572
00:26:58,600 --> 00:27:01,000
Speaker 2: a couple of years. Then you would program your mind

573
00:27:01,119 --> 00:27:03,680
Speaker 2: because you would see some teams fight tooth and nail

574
00:27:03,720 --> 00:27:06,160
Speaker 2: and they get in the playoff, and then what happens

575
00:27:06,160 --> 00:27:08,520
Speaker 2: to them in the playoff is what will always happen

576
00:27:08,560 --> 00:27:10,919
Speaker 2: when the fourteenth or fifteenth best team in the country

577
00:27:11,119 --> 00:27:12,720
Speaker 2: goes up against one of the top two or three

578
00:27:12,720 --> 00:27:15,000
Speaker 2: teams in the country. And then your mind will have

579
00:27:15,119 --> 00:27:19,040
Speaker 2: learned in twenty twenty nine and thirty and thirty one,

580
00:27:19,040 --> 00:27:22,800
Speaker 2: those playoff ramification games, they don't quite mean as much.

581
00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:26,600
Speaker 2: And I'll also suggest to you this, the value of

582
00:27:26,680 --> 00:27:29,240
Speaker 2: making the playoff will not carry the kind of value

583
00:27:29,240 --> 00:27:32,120
Speaker 2: it does when you only have four spots, because since

584
00:27:32,160 --> 00:27:34,000
Speaker 2: the beginning of time and until the end of time,

585
00:27:34,200 --> 00:27:36,440
Speaker 2: you can't increase the amount of something and maintain the

586
00:27:36,520 --> 00:27:39,439
Speaker 2: value of something. Scarcity means something, and we got it

587
00:27:39,520 --> 00:27:41,680
Speaker 2: right now, you won't have it in the future. So anyway,

588
00:27:41,920 --> 00:27:44,160
Speaker 2: In case you can't tell I get a little worked

589
00:27:44,240 --> 00:27:47,239
Speaker 2: up over this. It's just one man's opinion. I know

590
00:27:47,280 --> 00:27:49,040
Speaker 2: what the pros are. You don't have to give me

591
00:27:49,119 --> 00:27:52,000
Speaker 2: any pro playoff expansion argument. I've heard them all. I

592
00:27:52,000 --> 00:27:54,160
Speaker 2: don't agree with them. You're probably not going to change

593
00:27:54,160 --> 00:27:57,960
Speaker 2: my mind on this. But I'll tell you the lamest,

594
00:27:58,320 --> 00:28:01,040
Speaker 2: the lamest softball that anyone throws at me at fourteen

595
00:28:01,080 --> 00:28:02,960
Speaker 2: miles an hour and they think they got you with it.

596
00:28:03,040 --> 00:28:06,359
Speaker 2: This is the definition of a casual How could you

597
00:28:06,359 --> 00:28:09,040
Speaker 2: be against more football the same way I'm against printing

598
00:28:09,080 --> 00:28:12,600
Speaker 2: more money when we can't back it. Do you increase

599
00:28:12,640 --> 00:28:14,920
Speaker 2: the value of the dollar bill in my hand when

600
00:28:14,920 --> 00:28:17,040
Speaker 2: you print ten more over there? No, you decrease the

601
00:28:17,119 --> 00:28:19,040
Speaker 2: value of it, just like you decrease the value of

602
00:28:19,080 --> 00:28:21,239
Speaker 2: what it means to make the playoff when you all

603
00:28:21,240 --> 00:28:22,520
Speaker 2: of a sudden just throw out a bunch of more

604
00:28:22,520 --> 00:28:26,160
Speaker 2: playoff spots. But you know what, maybe the entire laws

605
00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:29,000
Speaker 2: of humanity will be changed by the playoff committee that

606
00:28:29,200 --> 00:28:32,000
Speaker 2: you know what. That's probably the more likely track we're on.

607
00:28:33,720 --> 00:28:34,960
Speaker 2: Those of you who have tuned in for a while

608
00:28:35,000 --> 00:28:37,240
Speaker 2: know what the paper pop means. We please move on.

609
00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:40,280
Speaker 2: It's a solo hosted show. Yes, okay, so we're moving on.

610
00:28:41,160 --> 00:28:44,200
Speaker 2: Jackson asked earlier today, which teams do you think have

611
00:28:44,280 --> 00:28:48,200
Speaker 2: the largest likelihood of beating the model and which teams

612
00:28:48,200 --> 00:28:51,120
Speaker 2: have the largest likelihood of not living up to the model.

613
00:28:51,120 --> 00:28:54,480
Speaker 2: The model, of course, is the Pate State Model, which

614
00:28:54,560 --> 00:28:57,280
Speaker 2: spits out the JP pole. That's our own personal internal

615
00:28:57,320 --> 00:29:01,880
Speaker 2: Top twenty five, produced by our own internal model. The

616
00:29:01,880 --> 00:29:03,840
Speaker 2: model has been very good to us over the course

617
00:29:03,840 --> 00:29:05,200
Speaker 2: of history. No, I'm not going to show you the

618
00:29:05,200 --> 00:29:06,680
Speaker 2: stats right now because we don't have time. You're just

619
00:29:06,680 --> 00:29:07,360
Speaker 2: gonna have to take.

620
00:29:07,200 --> 00:29:09,080
Speaker 1: My word for it or call me a liar. I

621
00:29:09,120 --> 00:29:09,680
Speaker 1: don't really care.

622
00:29:10,160 --> 00:29:12,200
Speaker 2: But there are some teams I think that we are

623
00:29:12,240 --> 00:29:15,560
Speaker 2: a little bit exposed on that could embarrass us this year.

624
00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:18,400
Speaker 2: It's going to happen somewhere. No model is flawless, so

625
00:29:18,440 --> 00:29:22,240
Speaker 2: we're gonna get embarrassed somewhere. Michigan we've got at number four.

626
00:29:22,840 --> 00:29:26,600
Speaker 2: The AP has him at number eight. So yeah, I

627
00:29:26,640 --> 00:29:28,160
Speaker 2: took a lot of flat because I put Michigan in

628
00:29:28,200 --> 00:29:30,160
Speaker 2: the playoff actually the other day, and I took a

629
00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:33,520
Speaker 2: lot of flat because obviously people think if you have

630
00:29:33,600 --> 00:29:35,520
Speaker 2: your coach, try and go to the NFL and then

631
00:29:35,560 --> 00:29:38,000
Speaker 2: come back and you lose both coordinators, and you lose

632
00:29:38,040 --> 00:29:41,080
Speaker 2: a top five NFL draft pick and a premier edge rusher.

633
00:29:41,240 --> 00:29:42,640
Speaker 2: You're not going to be as good as you were

634
00:29:42,760 --> 00:29:45,520
Speaker 2: last year. And I get the logic behind it. My

635
00:29:45,600 --> 00:29:49,080
Speaker 2: counter has been, you're talking so much about what they lost,

636
00:29:49,440 --> 00:29:51,680
Speaker 2: you haven't spoken a word to me about what they

637
00:29:51,720 --> 00:29:54,280
Speaker 2: have and who they have, and who they have are

638
00:29:54,320 --> 00:29:57,200
Speaker 2: really good players. Who they have in those coordinator spots

639
00:29:57,240 --> 00:29:59,080
Speaker 2: are guys who are already in the building. Last year,

640
00:29:59,320 --> 00:30:02,720
Speaker 2: they didn't the need to go out externally and do

641
00:30:02,760 --> 00:30:05,600
Speaker 2: a national coaching search. Harball didn't, at least because he

642
00:30:05,680 --> 00:30:08,840
Speaker 2: thought he had his guys already around. The offensive coordinators,

643
00:30:08,840 --> 00:30:12,520
Speaker 2: for example, we're already there. So anyway, that doesn't mean

644
00:30:12,720 --> 00:30:15,840
Speaker 2: it's a foregone conclusion that Michigan's going to fulfill all

645
00:30:15,880 --> 00:30:19,360
Speaker 2: my expectations. In fact, this segment is about what could happen.

646
00:30:19,560 --> 00:30:23,600
Speaker 2: What could happen is they aren't able to bring the

647
00:30:23,640 --> 00:30:26,800
Speaker 2: same fastball they did last year and they do drop

648
00:30:26,840 --> 00:30:29,640
Speaker 2: some close games, or maybe they are not able to

649
00:30:29,680 --> 00:30:31,680
Speaker 2: get off the field on third down as effectively as

650
00:30:31,680 --> 00:30:34,680
Speaker 2: they were last year, and maybe the expectation for that

651
00:30:34,760 --> 00:30:37,480
Speaker 2: offense to take the next step production wise. Maybe it's

652
00:30:37,520 --> 00:30:41,200
Speaker 2: just not there. All these things are possibilities. I'm banking

653
00:30:41,280 --> 00:30:44,600
Speaker 2: on the fact that I'm right. But in the spirit

654
00:30:44,640 --> 00:30:47,320
Speaker 2: of this segment, sure, sure, and I'll tell you what

655
00:30:47,320 --> 00:30:49,240
Speaker 2: else could happen. As you look at their schedule, it's

656
00:30:49,280 --> 00:30:52,240
Speaker 2: not the toughest schedule in the world, so some of

657
00:30:52,280 --> 00:30:54,960
Speaker 2: these problems could be masked. One of our favorite metaphors

658
00:30:54,960 --> 00:30:57,080
Speaker 2: on the show is the dam and the water pressure,

659
00:30:57,480 --> 00:31:01,040
Speaker 2: and a dam's cracks are only visible if you apply

660
00:31:01,160 --> 00:31:01,959
Speaker 2: enough pressure to it.

661
00:31:02,040 --> 00:31:03,080
Speaker 1: Otherwise, especially if you.

662
00:31:03,080 --> 00:31:05,040
Speaker 2: Stand a long way away from a crack dam, you

663
00:31:05,080 --> 00:31:07,680
Speaker 2: can't tell that thing's cracked. It just it looks really big,

664
00:31:07,720 --> 00:31:11,160
Speaker 2: it looks really impressive. Well, when you go to Iowa,

665
00:31:11,440 --> 00:31:14,400
Speaker 2: do they have enough offensive punch to expose your cracks?

666
00:31:14,960 --> 00:31:17,120
Speaker 2: Does Penn State at home? Are they going to possess

667
00:31:17,360 --> 00:31:20,800
Speaker 2: enough firepower to expose your cracks? Michigan State, Like you

668
00:31:20,800 --> 00:31:22,800
Speaker 2: can go up and down the line, it's really not

669
00:31:22,960 --> 00:31:24,720
Speaker 2: until you go to Ohio State at the end of

670
00:31:24,760 --> 00:31:27,040
Speaker 2: the year, at least as you look at the schedule,

671
00:31:27,280 --> 00:31:30,240
Speaker 2: where you're one hundred percent sure, Hey, if no one

672
00:31:30,240 --> 00:31:32,920
Speaker 2: else takes care of it. That team will expose your cracks.

673
00:31:33,760 --> 00:31:36,560
Speaker 2: I'm betting the cracks are small. Some of you think

674
00:31:36,600 --> 00:31:41,160
Speaker 2: the cracks are bigger. Rest assured, either way, one of

675
00:31:41,200 --> 00:31:43,240
Speaker 2: us will be proven right by the time they get

676
00:31:43,280 --> 00:31:43,520
Speaker 2: to the.

677
00:31:43,520 --> 00:31:44,120
Speaker 1: End of the season.

678
00:31:46,640 --> 00:31:49,840
Speaker 2: The next team on the list is Clemson. We've got

679
00:31:49,880 --> 00:31:54,400
Speaker 2: them JP Poll rated number five. The AP's got them higher.

680
00:31:54,440 --> 00:31:55,960
Speaker 2: So I don't I don't know why we got a

681
00:31:56,000 --> 00:31:59,560
Speaker 2: lot of pushback on this, but we did. And this

682
00:31:59,600 --> 00:32:02,360
Speaker 2: one's not hard to figure out. We could be wrong

683
00:32:02,480 --> 00:32:05,800
Speaker 2: on Clemson because the same problems could persist this year

684
00:32:06,160 --> 00:32:10,160
Speaker 2: as did last year, and that's just offensive ineptitude. And

685
00:32:10,200 --> 00:32:12,840
Speaker 2: then we add in the fact that we lost Brenton

686
00:32:12,920 --> 00:32:16,080
Speaker 2: Venables as our defensive coordinator. We lost Tony Elliott. This

687
00:32:16,120 --> 00:32:18,200
Speaker 2: is all preview magazine stuff. You already know all that,

688
00:32:18,880 --> 00:32:20,280
Speaker 2: But we haven't played a season.

689
00:32:20,840 --> 00:32:21,000
Speaker 1: You know.

690
00:32:21,080 --> 00:32:25,640
Speaker 2: Sometimes I've noticed I've done this too. In June, especially

691
00:32:25,640 --> 00:32:28,280
Speaker 2: if you're a year round type college football fan, you

692
00:32:28,360 --> 00:32:31,560
Speaker 2: start getting your thoughts ready for the season, right, and

693
00:32:31,640 --> 00:32:35,600
Speaker 2: so in June you tell yourself, if you believe it, ooh,

694
00:32:35,600 --> 00:32:38,800
Speaker 2: Clemson's going to really miss Brinton Venables. And then in

695
00:32:38,880 --> 00:32:42,280
Speaker 2: July you're telling yourself, ooh, Clemson's really going to miss

696
00:32:42,320 --> 00:32:44,840
Speaker 2: Brint Venables. But then by the time August comes around,

697
00:32:45,080 --> 00:32:46,880
Speaker 2: you don't want to sound like a casual and just

698
00:32:46,920 --> 00:32:49,400
Speaker 2: repeat the same old stuff. You want to sound like

699
00:32:49,440 --> 00:32:51,240
Speaker 2: you're a little bit smarter than everyone in the room,

700
00:32:51,280 --> 00:32:54,800
Speaker 2: So you all of a sudden avoid talking about Brenton Venables.

701
00:32:54,880 --> 00:32:57,400
Speaker 2: But here's the thing. If it's going to be a problem,

702
00:32:57,520 --> 00:32:59,520
Speaker 2: it's going to be a problem. It doesn't matter how.

703
00:32:59,400 --> 00:33:00,479
Speaker 1: Often you say it.

704
00:33:00,560 --> 00:33:04,320
Speaker 2: So I've gotten away from talking about the coordinators leaving

705
00:33:04,440 --> 00:33:06,840
Speaker 2: because well, number one, it would make me sound like

706
00:33:06,840 --> 00:33:08,360
Speaker 2: a hypocrite, because I just told you I don't think

707
00:33:08,360 --> 00:33:10,880
Speaker 2: it's going to matter much with Michigan. I will say

708
00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:13,960
Speaker 2: this is not an apples to apples scenario Clemson Michigan.

709
00:33:14,360 --> 00:33:17,760
Speaker 2: But also I've gotten away from talking about it because, well,

710
00:33:18,160 --> 00:33:21,720
Speaker 2: I kind of am the person that I just referenced.

711
00:33:22,200 --> 00:33:24,480
Speaker 2: I just think everyone knows it by now. But if

712
00:33:24,480 --> 00:33:25,880
Speaker 2: it's going to be an impact, it's going to be

713
00:33:25,880 --> 00:33:28,200
Speaker 2: an impact. And if we're wrong about Clemson, this is

714
00:33:28,240 --> 00:33:30,400
Speaker 2: going to be why we're wrong. We've got him at

715
00:33:30,480 --> 00:33:33,600
Speaker 2: number five and they just won't live up to it

716
00:33:33,680 --> 00:33:36,560
Speaker 2: because they're still missing those pieces because DJ isn't at

717
00:33:36,640 --> 00:33:39,959
Speaker 2: quarterback what he was ever expected to be, and some

718
00:33:40,000 --> 00:33:41,960
Speaker 2: of the problems last year are still problems this year.

719
00:33:42,120 --> 00:33:44,040
Speaker 2: And maybe even if they put k club and again,

720
00:33:44,240 --> 00:33:47,240
Speaker 2: which by the way, sounds more and more by the

721
00:33:47,320 --> 00:33:50,520
Speaker 2: day like a possibility up there, maybe he has true

722
00:33:50,560 --> 00:33:54,440
Speaker 2: freshman struggle. So yes, the problems could still be there.

723
00:33:54,800 --> 00:33:57,680
Speaker 2: We just you got to judge teams, not in a vacuum,

724
00:33:57,680 --> 00:33:59,520
Speaker 2: but you got to judge them against every other team.

725
00:34:00,120 --> 00:34:02,920
Speaker 2: So this Clemson team, I wouldn't like their odds against

726
00:34:02,920 --> 00:34:05,960
Speaker 2: twenty eighteen Clemson. That's not who they're playing. They're playing

727
00:34:06,000 --> 00:34:09,279
Speaker 2: Wake Forest of twenty twenty two. They're playing NC State,

728
00:34:09,320 --> 00:34:11,960
Speaker 2: They're playing Boston College, Notre Dame. None of these teams,

729
00:34:12,320 --> 00:34:16,480
Speaker 2: aside from Notre Dame in Miami, can even come close

730
00:34:16,520 --> 00:34:19,480
Speaker 2: to comparing to the overall talent roster they've assembled. That's

731
00:34:19,520 --> 00:34:22,640
Speaker 2: not the team that always wins, but man, you have

732
00:34:22,719 --> 00:34:25,120
Speaker 2: to have it to when it's one of the key ingredients.

733
00:34:25,560 --> 00:34:28,040
Speaker 2: So I still believe in Dablos twenty two. That's another

734
00:34:28,120 --> 00:34:31,439
Speaker 2: little side note. I also need to talk about Penn State.

735
00:34:31,640 --> 00:34:35,000
Speaker 2: Penn State was one of our biggest differentiation teams. We've

736
00:34:35,040 --> 00:34:38,960
Speaker 2: got Penn State Power rated number ten. Ap Pole doesn't

737
00:34:39,000 --> 00:34:41,200
Speaker 2: even have them ranked, which is kind of laughable. Even

738
00:34:41,239 --> 00:34:42,839
Speaker 2: if you don't think they belong in the top ten,

739
00:34:43,120 --> 00:34:45,640
Speaker 2: I can understand that this is one of the twenty

740
00:34:45,640 --> 00:34:47,560
Speaker 2: five best teams in the country.

741
00:34:47,760 --> 00:34:49,279
Speaker 1: Now, if you don't believe it.

742
00:34:49,200 --> 00:34:52,400
Speaker 2: You're obviously drawing on the last two years and the

743
00:34:52,520 --> 00:34:58,080
Speaker 2: record and stuff. And I've explained windshield versus rearview mirror mentality.

744
00:34:58,120 --> 00:35:00,719
Speaker 2: It hardly ever pays off to live in the rear

745
00:35:00,800 --> 00:35:03,120
Speaker 2: view mirror when it comes to trying to make money

746
00:35:03,200 --> 00:35:06,640
Speaker 2: betting off this sport or just trying to accurately predict

747
00:35:06,680 --> 00:35:09,920
Speaker 2: the sport having a really good pulse. It's not smart

748
00:35:09,960 --> 00:35:12,680
Speaker 2: to blindly favor teams just because they return a bunch

749
00:35:12,719 --> 00:35:15,840
Speaker 2: of starters. And it's not smart too blindly be against

750
00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:17,880
Speaker 2: teams because they have a bunch of pieces back from

751
00:35:17,920 --> 00:35:20,920
Speaker 2: a team that wasn't good. Million and one factors go

752
00:35:21,040 --> 00:35:23,239
Speaker 2: into the outcome of a season. So with Penn State

753
00:35:23,239 --> 00:35:25,359
Speaker 2: at number ten, I'm a believer in them. But if

754
00:35:25,400 --> 00:35:29,600
Speaker 2: we're wrong, we'll be wrong, probably because of injury, because

755
00:35:29,640 --> 00:35:31,520
Speaker 2: that's normally how it happens with us in Penn State.

756
00:35:31,560 --> 00:35:34,440
Speaker 2: But the other reason would be maybe offensively they're just

757
00:35:34,520 --> 00:35:38,040
Speaker 2: tapped out. Maybe even though they got Tensley in there

758
00:35:38,040 --> 00:35:40,120
Speaker 2: from Western Kentucky and they think they have a really

759
00:35:40,120 --> 00:35:44,400
Speaker 2: solid one two combot receiver with Ian Parker Washington, maybe

760
00:35:45,640 --> 00:35:49,680
Speaker 2: it never clicks because maybe that offensive line isn't as

761
00:35:49,760 --> 00:35:52,480
Speaker 2: promising as it has sounded like it is, and maybe

762
00:35:52,480 --> 00:35:55,560
Speaker 2: therefore that running game never gets going. All this is complimentary,

763
00:35:55,600 --> 00:35:57,319
Speaker 2: of course, you need one to impact the other to

764
00:35:57,320 --> 00:36:00,960
Speaker 2: impact the other. And if that's that's the case, then

765
00:36:01,280 --> 00:36:03,840
Speaker 2: they could easily lose two of their first three games.

766
00:36:03,840 --> 00:36:06,759
Speaker 2: They're vulnerable there. They could lose obviously at Michigan. They

767
00:36:06,760 --> 00:36:09,680
Speaker 2: play Ohio State a couple weeks later Minnesota. Between those

768
00:36:09,680 --> 00:36:12,800
Speaker 2: two is no lay up whatsoever. You lose to Illinois

769
00:36:12,840 --> 00:36:16,080
Speaker 2: at home, nothing's a lay up. I will never ever

770
00:36:16,200 --> 00:36:18,759
Speaker 2: forget that I was in the Alabama press box. I

771
00:36:18,840 --> 00:36:21,319
Speaker 2: think watching that game in disbelief. I don't care who

772
00:36:21,400 --> 00:36:24,839
Speaker 2: started at quarterback, was in disbelief. And also they end

773
00:36:24,840 --> 00:36:27,080
Speaker 2: the season against Michigan State. So yeah, there are multiple

774
00:36:27,080 --> 00:36:29,360
Speaker 2: losable games there. I believe we predicted them to go

775
00:36:29,480 --> 00:36:32,080
Speaker 2: nine to three. That was our most likely with I

776
00:36:32,160 --> 00:36:33,759
Speaker 2: think ten and two or eleven and one is the

777
00:36:33,800 --> 00:36:36,440
Speaker 2: best case. I believe in Penn State this year, I

778
00:36:36,440 --> 00:36:38,520
Speaker 2: think they'll be very good. But if we're wrong, that's

779
00:36:38,520 --> 00:36:41,719
Speaker 2: why we'll be wrong. Now, the teams were lower on

780
00:36:42,360 --> 00:36:46,319
Speaker 2: than the national types are, and I feel like we're

781
00:36:46,320 --> 00:36:51,040
Speaker 2: a little bit exposed here, Ole Miss. We are the model.

782
00:36:51,040 --> 00:36:51,640
Speaker 2: It's the model.

783
00:36:51,680 --> 00:36:52,040
Speaker 1: It's not me.

784
00:36:52,680 --> 00:36:55,600
Speaker 2: I love Ole Miss. It's the model for the record.

785
00:36:55,680 --> 00:36:58,600
Speaker 2: Any team that we have rated lower than the public does,

786
00:36:58,640 --> 00:37:01,200
Speaker 2: it's the model. It's not me, So Ole Miss. We

787
00:37:01,320 --> 00:37:05,320
Speaker 2: have Power rated twenty one, but we project their record

788
00:37:05,360 --> 00:37:09,279
Speaker 2: at six and six, last in the SEC West. And

789
00:37:09,360 --> 00:37:11,959
Speaker 2: here's the really bad part about it. This is where

790
00:37:12,000 --> 00:37:15,800
Speaker 2: you really just start to ask yourself, for the model, model,

791
00:37:15,840 --> 00:37:18,520
Speaker 2: how do you expect this to happen? Because model, have

792
00:37:18,600 --> 00:37:20,719
Speaker 2: you looked at all Miss's schedule? Just talking to the

793
00:37:20,760 --> 00:37:26,000
Speaker 2: model now you're just eavesdropping. Ole Missus schedule is as follows.

794
00:37:26,040 --> 00:37:29,520
Speaker 2: Think about this start Troy Central, Arkansas, Georgia Tech, Tulsa.

795
00:37:30,120 --> 00:37:31,200
Speaker 1: Those are four wins.

796
00:37:31,239 --> 00:37:33,799
Speaker 2: If they're not, they got much bigger issues than even

797
00:37:33,800 --> 00:37:37,239
Speaker 2: and I thought they get Kentucky at home, then they

798
00:37:37,239 --> 00:37:40,279
Speaker 2: got Vanderbilt on the road. Okay, so one, two, three, four,

799
00:37:40,360 --> 00:37:42,239
Speaker 2: or five six games to start the year, they'll be

800
00:37:42,280 --> 00:37:45,160
Speaker 2: favored in all of them. The only one who should

801
00:37:45,200 --> 00:37:48,200
Speaker 2: be able to give you legitimate pushback is Kentucky at home.

802
00:37:48,760 --> 00:37:50,879
Speaker 2: Now it gets very difficult after that. But if you're

803
00:37:50,880 --> 00:37:54,320
Speaker 2: thinking about our model, you just saw them play six

804
00:37:54,440 --> 00:37:57,480
Speaker 2: games that they'll be ranked in five, you're very confident

805
00:37:57,480 --> 00:38:00,319
Speaker 2: they'll win well man, no matter how how hard.

806
00:38:00,320 --> 00:38:01,200
Speaker 1: The rest of the way is.

807
00:38:01,440 --> 00:38:03,840
Speaker 2: They only got to win one or two more to

808
00:38:03,920 --> 00:38:07,520
Speaker 2: surpass your expectation. And that's accurate. I see that just

809
00:38:07,560 --> 00:38:09,200
Speaker 2: like you guys do. And by the way, that gives

810
00:38:09,200 --> 00:38:11,600
Speaker 2: you a lot of time to get all those loose

811
00:38:11,640 --> 00:38:15,279
Speaker 2: pieces from the transfer portal into something that resembles just

812
00:38:15,360 --> 00:38:16,640
Speaker 2: a cohesive unit.

813
00:38:16,680 --> 00:38:18,800
Speaker 1: Or as you might call it, a team.

814
00:38:19,560 --> 00:38:21,520
Speaker 2: And if we're wrong about Ole Miss, that's why we'll

815
00:38:21,520 --> 00:38:25,480
Speaker 2: be wrong, because obviously by that time, whatever you have

816
00:38:25,560 --> 00:38:28,200
Speaker 2: at quarterback, you will long since have figured out Zach

817
00:38:28,239 --> 00:38:30,919
Speaker 2: Evans will be rolling and hanging one hundred and thirty

818
00:38:31,000 --> 00:38:33,480
Speaker 2: yards per game on the ground. So yeah, they'll be

819
00:38:33,600 --> 00:38:36,320
Speaker 2: very good this year. I just I'm not It sounds

820
00:38:36,400 --> 00:38:36,920
Speaker 2: very weird.

821
00:38:37,360 --> 00:38:40,480
Speaker 1: I'm not down on them. I think they're a good team.

822
00:38:40,520 --> 00:38:42,120
Speaker 2: If I were down on them, I wouldn't have them

823
00:38:42,320 --> 00:38:44,760
Speaker 2: power rated in the top twenty five. They just play

824
00:38:44,760 --> 00:38:49,080
Speaker 2: a lot of good teams, and there's if you're simulating things,

825
00:38:49,560 --> 00:38:52,759
Speaker 2: a bunch of scenarios where the transfer portal approach just

826
00:38:52,800 --> 00:38:54,879
Speaker 2: doesn't work out like you hope it does. You've got

827
00:38:54,880 --> 00:38:58,040
Speaker 2: to acknowledge that it's a possibility, if you want others

828
00:38:58,040 --> 00:39:00,880
Speaker 2: to acknowledge its possibility that it all works. So you know,

829
00:39:00,920 --> 00:39:03,560
Speaker 2: not everyone can be Michigan State from last year. LSU

830
00:39:03,640 --> 00:39:05,200
Speaker 2: is another team I need to talk about. So I

831
00:39:05,239 --> 00:39:07,240
Speaker 2: was supposed to go on Jordi Colatti's show this morning

832
00:39:07,400 --> 00:39:11,480
Speaker 2: or Colada, not Colate, he's not Italian, and we had

833
00:39:11,960 --> 00:39:15,480
Speaker 2: Phone Grimlins eating that interview up, so I couldn't do

834
00:39:15,520 --> 00:39:17,879
Speaker 2: it this morning, and I was looking in his live

835
00:39:18,000 --> 00:39:21,520
Speaker 2: chat and some of Jordi's audience thought that I had

836
00:39:21,560 --> 00:39:23,799
Speaker 2: bailed because I did not want to come on the

837
00:39:23,840 --> 00:39:27,560
Speaker 2: show and defend my prediction of LSU going seven and five.

838
00:39:27,640 --> 00:39:30,200
Speaker 2: I have no problem doing that. Like I told you guys,

839
00:39:30,239 --> 00:39:30,960
Speaker 2: it's the model.

840
00:39:31,000 --> 00:39:34,279
Speaker 1: It's not me. Blame the computer. Don't blame me.

841
00:39:34,840 --> 00:39:37,480
Speaker 2: I mean, off the record, probably eleven and one or

842
00:39:37,480 --> 00:39:39,960
Speaker 2: twelve and Ozero for LSU, but the model says otherwise,

843
00:39:40,880 --> 00:39:43,640
Speaker 2: I would just ask you this. Can you see right now?

844
00:39:43,680 --> 00:39:46,920
Speaker 2: Do you see what this screen says? Vegas odds makers,

845
00:39:47,239 --> 00:39:50,600
Speaker 2: the people who set numbers that were able to build

846
00:39:50,600 --> 00:39:51,720
Speaker 2: that entire city.

847
00:39:52,480 --> 00:39:54,600
Speaker 1: Have you at seven wins as the over under.

848
00:39:54,840 --> 00:39:58,080
Speaker 2: So it's not the craziest concept in the world to

849
00:39:58,280 --> 00:39:59,799
Speaker 2: envision this path.

850
00:40:00,200 --> 00:40:02,560
Speaker 1: LSU is seven and five. It's not crazy.

851
00:40:03,200 --> 00:40:05,640
Speaker 2: I know that the glasses are always half full down there,

852
00:40:06,320 --> 00:40:08,960
Speaker 2: or more than half full, and that's what I love

853
00:40:09,000 --> 00:40:11,359
Speaker 2: about you. I would love to be wrong. I would

854
00:40:11,440 --> 00:40:13,319
Speaker 2: love for the model to be wrong. I have a

855
00:40:13,320 --> 00:40:16,880
Speaker 2: soft spot in my heart for LSU. However, let's just

856
00:40:17,040 --> 00:40:19,120
Speaker 2: entertain this because that's what the segment's about. If we

857
00:40:19,160 --> 00:40:21,080
Speaker 2: are wrong, how would it happen. Well, it would happen

858
00:40:21,160 --> 00:40:23,800
Speaker 2: with a win in week one, I believe. For the record,

859
00:40:24,200 --> 00:40:26,720
Speaker 2: that's one of our best bets. We love LSU minus

860
00:40:26,760 --> 00:40:27,680
Speaker 2: three in week one.

861
00:40:28,320 --> 00:40:29,600
Speaker 1: Here is where I'm worried.

862
00:40:30,640 --> 00:40:32,799
Speaker 2: And this is something that does not jibe with a

863
00:40:32,800 --> 00:40:35,279
Speaker 2: lot of what you've heard from Brian Kelly lately, and

864
00:40:35,360 --> 00:40:39,120
Speaker 2: it does not sync up with what you're reading from

865
00:40:39,120 --> 00:40:44,280
Speaker 2: insiders and hearing from practice. I am still not sold

866
00:40:44,600 --> 00:40:47,399
Speaker 2: on LSU's ability to play at a high enough level

867
00:40:47,440 --> 00:40:50,359
Speaker 2: at corner. I'm just flat out telling you I know

868
00:40:50,440 --> 00:40:52,799
Speaker 2: what's being said. I get it, I get it, I

869
00:40:52,840 --> 00:40:56,080
Speaker 2: get it, and I hope they're right. I also know

870
00:40:56,560 --> 00:40:58,680
Speaker 2: that there have been many good things said about many

871
00:40:58,680 --> 00:41:00,960
Speaker 2: good position groups in the past, and then all of

872
00:41:01,000 --> 00:41:03,799
Speaker 2: a sudden, the season starts and by halftime of week

873
00:41:03,840 --> 00:41:05,719
Speaker 2: two or week three, you're on the message where saying

874
00:41:06,160 --> 00:41:08,600
Speaker 2: what happened all the promise and confidence we had in

875
00:41:08,640 --> 00:41:12,960
Speaker 2: this unit or that unit, just telling you it's not

876
00:41:13,120 --> 00:41:15,080
Speaker 2: really until week three of where you're start to find

877
00:41:15,080 --> 00:41:17,360
Speaker 2: it out, because it's not until week three that you

878
00:41:17,360 --> 00:41:20,200
Speaker 2: get the kind of passing attack against Mississippi State where

879
00:41:20,520 --> 00:41:22,720
Speaker 2: they really leverage.

880
00:41:22,320 --> 00:41:24,720
Speaker 1: You, and not just your number one or two corner.

881
00:41:24,920 --> 00:41:27,440
Speaker 2: You find out in that nickel and that dime package,

882
00:41:27,480 --> 00:41:30,120
Speaker 2: which four or five other teams on your schedule are

883
00:41:30,120 --> 00:41:32,279
Speaker 2: built to exploit. If you have a weakness, you find

884
00:41:32,280 --> 00:41:35,000
Speaker 2: out about your corner depth. It's not just one or

885
00:41:35,000 --> 00:41:37,280
Speaker 2: two guys. You find out about that depth at that point,

886
00:41:37,600 --> 00:41:41,000
Speaker 2: and if they are a little bit exposed there, then

887
00:41:41,520 --> 00:41:42,920
Speaker 2: that's the way it could go sideways.

888
00:41:42,960 --> 00:41:44,880
Speaker 1: So that's my take. That's why we have.

889
00:41:45,040 --> 00:41:47,880
Speaker 2: A healthy balance of promise but also a little bit

890
00:41:47,880 --> 00:41:48,600
Speaker 2: of skepticism.

891
00:41:48,840 --> 00:41:51,600
Speaker 1: But if I'm wrong, then that's where I'll be wrong.

892
00:41:51,600 --> 00:41:54,319
Speaker 2: Because if I'm wrong, if we're wrong, if the model's off,

893
00:41:54,560 --> 00:41:57,799
Speaker 2: it's cause I will have whiffed on my perception of

894
00:41:57,840 --> 00:41:59,920
Speaker 2: them at corner. Now, if you're an LSU fan in

895
00:42:00,000 --> 00:42:02,920
Speaker 2: you're listening to that and you're thinking, wait, the entire

896
00:42:03,000 --> 00:42:06,160
Speaker 2: premise of us only winning seven games is based on

897
00:42:06,200 --> 00:42:08,920
Speaker 2: our secondary not being up to snuff. Well, you guys

898
00:42:09,000 --> 00:42:11,080
Speaker 2: know what you're hearing from practice. You guys know what

899
00:42:11,080 --> 00:42:14,600
Speaker 2: Brian Kelly said. So if they're right and I'm not right,

900
00:42:14,960 --> 00:42:16,719
Speaker 2: I don't like to say wrong. If I'm not right,

901
00:42:16,920 --> 00:42:19,160
Speaker 2: then yeah, they're gonna win more than seven games.

902
00:42:18,880 --> 00:42:20,160
Speaker 1: That's all there is to it.

903
00:42:20,200 --> 00:42:24,040
Speaker 2: And then obviously the quarterback battle is the entire backdrop.

904
00:42:24,680 --> 00:42:26,040
Speaker 2: I don't really feel like we need to talk about

905
00:42:26,040 --> 00:42:28,839
Speaker 2: that because everyone's talking about that. It also wouldn't hurt

906
00:42:28,880 --> 00:42:31,399
Speaker 2: to have a competent run game this year, But they

907
00:42:31,520 --> 00:42:33,839
Speaker 2: still have a lot of talent down there, and they

908
00:42:33,880 --> 00:42:36,960
Speaker 2: still have a path to one, two, three, four, five,

909
00:42:37,040 --> 00:42:39,360
Speaker 2: They got their own path to six and zero. You know,

910
00:42:39,600 --> 00:42:41,880
Speaker 2: they'll be favored in almost, if not every one of

911
00:42:41,920 --> 00:42:44,640
Speaker 2: those games. They got a game at Auburn October first,

912
00:42:44,719 --> 00:42:47,759
Speaker 2: the next week, Tennessee at home, the next week on

913
00:42:47,800 --> 00:42:50,680
Speaker 2: the road at Florida, the next week Ole miss at home.

914
00:42:50,760 --> 00:42:54,080
Speaker 2: Take a break, then you get Bama at home, and

915
00:42:54,120 --> 00:42:56,080
Speaker 2: then it's just at Arkansas and at Texas A and

916
00:42:56,160 --> 00:42:57,799
Speaker 2: M last two weeks of the season, or not two

917
00:42:57,840 --> 00:42:59,839
Speaker 2: of the last three weeks of the season, it's going

918
00:42:59,880 --> 00:43:02,680
Speaker 2: to get very, very difficult at the end of the year.

919
00:43:03,239 --> 00:43:05,040
Speaker 2: It's kind of the same way with LSU it is

920
00:43:05,040 --> 00:43:07,240
Speaker 2: with Auburn. Can you just rack up nothing but wins

921
00:43:07,280 --> 00:43:10,000
Speaker 2: on the front end, where if you grab one or

922
00:43:10,040 --> 00:43:11,719
Speaker 2: two of them on the back end, call it a

923
00:43:11,719 --> 00:43:14,560
Speaker 2: good year? Or do you drop a game earlier than

924
00:43:14,600 --> 00:43:16,799
Speaker 2: you expect to? Because I think even LSU fans would

925
00:43:16,800 --> 00:43:19,640
Speaker 2: agree with me. If you lose to FSU, or if

926
00:43:19,680 --> 00:43:23,120
Speaker 2: you lose to Mississippi State, that throws an entire wrench

927
00:43:23,160 --> 00:43:27,080
Speaker 2: into everyone's plan because everyone's simulation of the LSU season

928
00:43:27,880 --> 00:43:30,280
Speaker 2: in LSU country includes winning those games.

929
00:43:30,600 --> 00:43:31,640
Speaker 1: Do you know that? And I know that?

930
00:43:31,719 --> 00:43:33,440
Speaker 2: So if you lose one of those, it's going to

931
00:43:33,480 --> 00:43:35,200
Speaker 2: be tight point spreads. If you lose one of those,

932
00:43:35,360 --> 00:43:38,879
Speaker 2: then everything changes. But that's where I could be wrong

933
00:43:38,880 --> 00:43:41,600
Speaker 2: with LSU. Where could I be wrong with Oregon? We

934
00:43:41,640 --> 00:43:44,799
Speaker 2: don't have them power rated top twenty five. It's one

935
00:43:44,800 --> 00:43:47,839
Speaker 2: of our other big discrepancy teams. They're over under win

936
00:43:47,920 --> 00:43:51,400
Speaker 2: totals nine. We've got them going nine to three. So

937
00:43:51,440 --> 00:43:52,960
Speaker 2: you may ask yourself, how are they going to win

938
00:43:53,040 --> 00:43:54,640
Speaker 2: nine games but you don't have them power rated top

939
00:43:54,680 --> 00:43:56,840
Speaker 2: twenty five. Well, it's because of the relative strength of

940
00:43:56,840 --> 00:43:59,080
Speaker 2: schedule to some of the other teams ahead of them

941
00:43:59,360 --> 00:44:01,680
Speaker 2: number two. There's not a big gap. The gap from

942
00:44:01,680 --> 00:44:03,960
Speaker 2: like no man, I got something of my nose. The

943
00:44:04,000 --> 00:44:07,760
Speaker 2: gap between like fifteen and twenty seven is three points,

944
00:44:07,800 --> 00:44:10,000
Speaker 2: so there's not a big gap at all. So it's

945
00:44:10,000 --> 00:44:14,200
Speaker 2: a lot worse than it it actually is. But Oregon

946
00:44:14,239 --> 00:44:16,560
Speaker 2: plays Georgia in week one, they got bringing me on

947
00:44:16,640 --> 00:44:18,880
Speaker 2: in week three. We've talked about that already. If I'm wrong,

948
00:44:19,080 --> 00:44:23,080
Speaker 2: if Oregon is much better than we have them power rated,

949
00:44:23,480 --> 00:44:25,640
Speaker 2: and they are more in line with what the AP says,

950
00:44:25,640 --> 00:44:29,839
Speaker 2: which is number eleven, it'll be because defensively, a lot

951
00:44:29,880 --> 00:44:32,320
Speaker 2: of those guys that Mario Christobal and his staff recruited,

952
00:44:32,760 --> 00:44:35,520
Speaker 2: they play up to the potential that you always thought

953
00:44:35,520 --> 00:44:38,960
Speaker 2: they would. And also you just flat out get more

954
00:44:39,040 --> 00:44:41,560
Speaker 2: offensively than I expect them to get because I think

955
00:44:41,560 --> 00:44:44,719
Speaker 2: they've got some promising but unproven pieces at receiver. I

956
00:44:44,760 --> 00:44:46,960
Speaker 2: don't like that they lost Travis Dye to USC. I

957
00:44:47,000 --> 00:44:48,960
Speaker 2: don't think anyone likes it, but I think it's going

958
00:44:49,000 --> 00:44:51,320
Speaker 2: to have a pretty big impact on them. I don't

959
00:44:51,360 --> 00:44:54,760
Speaker 2: know just blindly that I can trust their quarterback situation.

960
00:44:54,880 --> 00:44:57,040
Speaker 2: I don't know that I can just fully endorse bon Nicks.

961
00:44:57,200 --> 00:44:59,440
Speaker 2: You're talking to a guy who followed I covered him

962
00:44:59,440 --> 00:44:59,959
Speaker 2: in high school.

963
00:45:00,320 --> 00:45:01,040
Speaker 1: I've followed bon.

964
00:45:01,040 --> 00:45:04,919
Speaker 2: Nicks's entire career and I've always said he's underrated. But man,

965
00:45:04,920 --> 00:45:07,480
Speaker 2: he doesn't have three years invested in the system out there.

966
00:45:07,480 --> 00:45:11,480
Speaker 2: He just got there. So because of those reasons, I

967
00:45:11,719 --> 00:45:14,799
Speaker 2: just have a little skepticism. But if I'm wrong, it's

968
00:45:14,840 --> 00:45:18,319
Speaker 2: gonna be because bo Nicks knows Kenny Dillingham's system, so

969
00:45:18,320 --> 00:45:20,680
Speaker 2: it's not anything new for him. And those receivers do

970
00:45:20,800 --> 00:45:23,719
Speaker 2: shine even more with this coaching staff than they did

971
00:45:23,719 --> 00:45:26,840
Speaker 2: with the last one. And defense just is what everyone

972
00:45:26,880 --> 00:45:30,000
Speaker 2: thinks Oregon's defense can be. If that's the case, that's

973
00:45:30,000 --> 00:45:32,719
Speaker 2: a double digit win team. That's a PAC twelve championship

974
00:45:32,719 --> 00:45:35,120
Speaker 2: caliber team. So if I'm wrong on him, that's how

975
00:45:35,160 --> 00:45:38,719
Speaker 2: I would be wrong. So you see, friends, I even

976
00:45:38,800 --> 00:45:41,919
Speaker 2: I understand there is a path where the JP poll

977
00:45:42,320 --> 00:45:44,400
Speaker 2: just goes up in smoke, little puffs of smoke, the

978
00:45:44,440 --> 00:45:46,680
Speaker 2: whole thing. Never we're too good for that. But there

979
00:45:46,680 --> 00:45:48,560
Speaker 2: could be some teams out there that harpoon us. So

980
00:45:48,880 --> 00:45:54,239
Speaker 2: if it's gonna happen, that's where it's gonna happen. Did

981
00:45:54,320 --> 00:45:56,239
Speaker 2: you keep an eye on news today? Did you see

982
00:45:56,280 --> 00:45:58,239
Speaker 2: what was happening today? Let me tell you where they're

983
00:45:58,239 --> 00:45:59,839
Speaker 2: watching us, and then I'll tell you what I'm talking about.

984
00:46:00,000 --> 00:46:04,320
Speaker 2: People's Italy tuned in New Orleans, Louisiana, tuned in Roanoke, Virginia,

985
00:46:04,640 --> 00:46:08,280
Speaker 2: tuned in Nick Saban got a new contract today?

986
00:46:08,360 --> 00:46:09,440
Speaker 1: Yeah you know that.

987
00:46:09,880 --> 00:46:13,040
Speaker 2: So I got a question here, and as I'm asking it,

988
00:46:13,080 --> 00:46:15,320
Speaker 2: please like the video and subscribe to the channel.

989
00:46:15,560 --> 00:46:17,480
Speaker 1: Why because Jesse just typed it in.

990
00:46:17,440 --> 00:46:21,520
Speaker 2: The chat or the prompter if you will. So Nick

991
00:46:21,560 --> 00:46:24,680
Speaker 2: Saban gets a new deal today, Ted asks, what are

992
00:46:24,719 --> 00:46:28,560
Speaker 2: your thoughts on Nick Saban's new contract from Lubbock, Texas? Well,

993
00:46:28,600 --> 00:46:30,640
Speaker 2: if you just got home from work, Yeah, Nick Saban

994
00:46:30,680 --> 00:46:32,080
Speaker 2: signed a new deal today. He was not going to

995
00:46:32,160 --> 00:46:34,200
Speaker 2: let Kirby Smart remain the highest paid coach in the

996
00:46:34,200 --> 00:46:37,360
Speaker 2: sport for very long. So far, Saban's made about one

997
00:46:37,440 --> 00:46:40,040
Speaker 2: hundred million dollars in his time at Alabama as the

998
00:46:40,040 --> 00:46:42,520
Speaker 2: head coach. That's before bonuses, by the way, So just

999
00:46:42,560 --> 00:46:46,319
Speaker 2: his base pay, he's gotten about one hundred mili. Not bad,

1000
00:46:46,640 --> 00:46:50,080
Speaker 2: not bad at all. His new contract is for eight years.

1001
00:46:50,960 --> 00:46:54,080
Speaker 2: It will land him about another ninety three million dollars

1002
00:46:54,120 --> 00:46:56,880
Speaker 2: and it goes from ten point seven million in the

1003
00:46:56,880 --> 00:46:59,640
Speaker 2: first year up to twelve point seven million in the

1004
00:46:59,640 --> 00:47:02,319
Speaker 2: twenty twenty nine season. So if he were to run

1005
00:47:02,360 --> 00:47:04,600
Speaker 2: out the link of this thing, he will have made

1006
00:47:04,640 --> 00:47:08,600
Speaker 2: one hundred and ninety three million dollars during his time

1007
00:47:08,719 --> 00:47:09,480
Speaker 2: at Alabama.

1008
00:47:09,880 --> 00:47:10,680
Speaker 1: And really, with.

1009
00:47:10,719 --> 00:47:12,680
Speaker 2: Inflation the way it is, you need to be up

1010
00:47:12,719 --> 00:47:15,160
Speaker 2: in the one ninety million range for it to really matter,

1011
00:47:15,280 --> 00:47:15,640
Speaker 2: don't you.

1012
00:47:15,800 --> 00:47:16,640
Speaker 1: I think so?

1013
00:47:16,640 --> 00:47:20,439
Speaker 2: So, I told producer Jesse, because unlike the Sunday Show,

1014
00:47:20,480 --> 00:47:23,360
Speaker 2: he actually had some time on his hands today. I said, Jesse,

1015
00:47:23,760 --> 00:47:26,520
Speaker 2: I don't know what numbers you're gonna find. Just go

1016
00:47:27,120 --> 00:47:29,160
Speaker 2: sit in a room for twenty minutes. Find me some

1017
00:47:29,200 --> 00:47:33,160
Speaker 2: impressive numbers because I am of the belief, as is

1018
00:47:33,200 --> 00:47:36,239
Speaker 2: anyone who understands economics, that you could pay Saban twenty

1019
00:47:36,280 --> 00:47:38,800
Speaker 2: million a year and he's probably still underpaid. I saw

1020
00:47:38,960 --> 00:47:42,080
Speaker 2: Darren Ravel tweet out earlier today that Saban makes more

1021
00:47:42,120 --> 00:47:47,040
Speaker 2: per day than the annual tuition at Alabama. Well, that

1022
00:47:47,120 --> 00:47:49,239
Speaker 2: just means a couple of things. Number One, he's probably

1023
00:47:49,280 --> 00:47:52,480
Speaker 2: still underpaid. Number Two, college tuition still insanely high.

1024
00:47:52,600 --> 00:47:53,319
Speaker 1: That's all that.

1025
00:47:53,280 --> 00:47:55,719
Speaker 2: Proves it wasn't the gotcha that he thought it was.

1026
00:47:56,160 --> 00:47:59,319
Speaker 2: Rarely is it, by the way. So Jesse comes to

1027
00:47:59,360 --> 00:48:02,879
Speaker 2: me and he says, okay, so you know that he's

1028
00:48:02,920 --> 00:48:05,239
Speaker 2: got more What does he have? He's got more first

1029
00:48:05,320 --> 00:48:07,120
Speaker 2: round draft picks than total losses.

1030
00:48:07,239 --> 00:48:07,520
Speaker 1: Yep.

1031
00:48:07,719 --> 00:48:10,359
Speaker 2: He's got more national championships than anyone all time.

1032
00:48:10,440 --> 00:48:10,720
Speaker 1: Yep.

1033
00:48:11,040 --> 00:48:13,640
Speaker 2: He's got four Heisman winners. Before he got there, they

1034
00:48:13,680 --> 00:48:14,560
Speaker 2: had never won one.

1035
00:48:14,640 --> 00:48:14,879
Speaker 1: Yep.

1036
00:48:15,280 --> 00:48:18,440
Speaker 2: They've had one hundred and six weeks as the number

1037
00:48:18,440 --> 00:48:19,879
Speaker 2: one team in the AP poll.

1038
00:48:19,960 --> 00:48:20,200
Speaker 1: YEP.

1039
00:48:20,320 --> 00:48:22,359
Speaker 2: I know all that. All right, give me something that

1040
00:48:22,400 --> 00:48:24,120
Speaker 2: I would not know off the top of my head.

1041
00:48:24,400 --> 00:48:27,440
Speaker 2: So Jesse comes to me and he says, let's talk recruiting.

1042
00:48:28,360 --> 00:48:32,799
Speaker 2: And I said, let's he said. Since twenty ten, that's

1043
00:48:32,840 --> 00:48:37,600
Speaker 2: thirteen recruiting cycles, Alabama has finished top five every year.

1044
00:48:37,719 --> 00:48:40,399
Speaker 2: Talent acquisition, if that's the name of the game, that's

1045
00:48:40,400 --> 00:48:43,560
Speaker 2: where you want to be. So the past thirteen recruiting cycles,

1046
00:48:43,600 --> 00:48:46,879
Speaker 2: Bama's been top five every year. They've been number one

1047
00:48:47,480 --> 00:48:51,680
Speaker 2: nine of those thirteen years. Who's the second best. Who's

1048
00:48:51,760 --> 00:48:55,359
Speaker 2: the next closest recruiting machine to Alabama. It probably won't

1049
00:48:55,360 --> 00:48:58,239
Speaker 2: surprise you to know it's Ohio State. Over the past

1050
00:48:58,280 --> 00:49:02,040
Speaker 2: thirteen years, Ohio State has had nine top five classes.

1051
00:49:02,080 --> 00:49:05,120
Speaker 2: They've never finished number one. They've had nine top five classes.

1052
00:49:05,400 --> 00:49:08,920
Speaker 2: That's how many number one classes Sabans had over that

1053
00:49:08,960 --> 00:49:11,480
Speaker 2: time period. And it gets even juicier. How about this

1054
00:49:11,880 --> 00:49:15,919
Speaker 2: the number three and number four most impressive teams over

1055
00:49:15,920 --> 00:49:17,040
Speaker 2: the past thirteen cycles.

1056
00:49:17,080 --> 00:49:18,920
Speaker 1: That will be Texas and LSU.

1057
00:49:19,320 --> 00:49:23,120
Speaker 2: Texas and LSU over the past thirteen cycles, the third

1058
00:49:23,160 --> 00:49:26,239
Speaker 2: and fourth best recruiting programs over the last thirteen years.

1059
00:49:26,280 --> 00:49:29,680
Speaker 2: Of Texas and LSU, they've got to combined twelve top

1060
00:49:29,719 --> 00:49:33,680
Speaker 2: five classes. Bama's got more than that by themselves. Over

1061
00:49:33,719 --> 00:49:36,600
Speaker 2: the past thirteen They've been top five every year. They've

1062
00:49:36,640 --> 00:49:41,799
Speaker 2: been number one nine times. So by my calculations, that's

1063
00:49:41,840 --> 00:49:45,400
Speaker 2: pretty good. But that's not what I really wanted to

1064
00:49:45,400 --> 00:49:48,640
Speaker 2: show you tonight. I don't think that's the hammer. The hammer,

1065
00:49:49,200 --> 00:49:52,239
Speaker 2: and for our college audience, as I take a very

1066
00:49:52,280 --> 00:49:55,800
Speaker 2: relaxed posture here, for some reason, our college audience is massive.

1067
00:49:55,960 --> 00:49:58,800
Speaker 2: It's the biggest chunk of audiences, our biggest demographics eighteen

1068
00:49:58,840 --> 00:50:03,359
Speaker 2: to twenty four. You guys have only known prosperous times

1069
00:50:03,400 --> 00:50:08,040
Speaker 2: at Alabama. Wasn't always that way, children, But since you've

1070
00:50:08,080 --> 00:50:11,080
Speaker 2: known prosperous times at Alabama, I want to take you

1071
00:50:11,200 --> 00:50:14,040
Speaker 2: back a little ways because on the front end of

1072
00:50:14,080 --> 00:50:16,040
Speaker 2: his run there, you know, if you're in high school,

1073
00:50:16,040 --> 00:50:19,120
Speaker 2: if you're an early college age kid right now, you

1074
00:50:19,200 --> 00:50:23,520
Speaker 2: don't really remember Houston Nutt in the SEC. You don't

1075
00:50:23,560 --> 00:50:27,280
Speaker 2: remember Tommy Tubberville. You just know that some dude in politics.

1076
00:50:27,360 --> 00:50:29,200
Speaker 2: You don't know he was the head coach at Auburn.

1077
00:50:29,600 --> 00:50:34,040
Speaker 2: You don't remember that Philip Fulmer actually roamed the sidelines

1078
00:50:34,080 --> 00:50:37,080
Speaker 2: of Niland Stadium, And you don't remember that because Saban

1079
00:50:37,160 --> 00:50:41,200
Speaker 2: put every one of them out to pasture. So I

1080
00:50:41,280 --> 00:50:45,920
Speaker 2: told producer Jesse how much carnage has he inflicted on

1081
00:50:46,000 --> 00:50:50,440
Speaker 2: this conference? How many careers. Has he completely torpedoed? How

1082
00:50:50,480 --> 00:50:54,000
Speaker 2: many programs has he sent into a decades long Abyss

1083
00:50:54,239 --> 00:50:57,120
Speaker 2: and Jesse put together a graphic and in the words

1084
00:50:57,120 --> 00:51:00,080
Speaker 2: of Dan Lust, one of the best legal minds and

1085
00:51:00,120 --> 00:51:03,640
Speaker 2: all of social media, take a look at this graphic

1086
00:51:03,880 --> 00:51:06,279
Speaker 2: of the folks he's run out of this conference again.

1087
00:51:06,320 --> 00:51:09,080
Speaker 2: I cannot stress enough, in the words of Dan Lust,

1088
00:51:09,400 --> 00:51:12,400
Speaker 2: one of the great legal minds on social media.

1089
00:51:11,880 --> 00:51:15,680
Speaker 1: Assault, This is assault. Look at these names.

1090
00:51:16,160 --> 00:51:20,080
Speaker 2: Film Fohmer's there, Urban's there, Less Miles, spur Your Derek Dooley,

1091
00:51:20,120 --> 00:51:24,160
Speaker 2: There's all kinds of Tennessee coloring year, Augus Mauzan must

1092
00:51:24,239 --> 00:51:28,000
Speaker 2: Champ remember him Zell? Remember Hugh Freeze, the Jim mcelwaine

1093
00:51:28,120 --> 00:51:33,280
Speaker 2: era at Florida? Does anyone remember Less Miles at LSU?

1094
00:51:34,239 --> 00:51:38,360
Speaker 2: Saban has seen them all come and go, Jeremy Pruitt

1095
00:51:38,440 --> 00:51:42,320
Speaker 2: at Tennessee ed or Jeron even after that fiery speech

1096
00:51:42,600 --> 00:51:46,719
Speaker 2: post twenty nineteen at LSU, and then since there were

1097
00:51:46,760 --> 00:51:49,760
Speaker 2: only thirty one of them, but we had thirty two slots,

1098
00:51:49,800 --> 00:51:53,320
Speaker 2: we just added in more to come. Look at those names.

1099
00:51:53,360 --> 00:51:55,360
Speaker 2: I almost want to just leave it up and admire

1100
00:51:55,400 --> 00:51:58,960
Speaker 2: it for a second. Immunity because those those are a

1101
00:51:58,960 --> 00:52:02,319
Speaker 2: lot of names, and I was thinking to myself, if

1102
00:52:02,320 --> 00:52:06,560
Speaker 2: we expanded beyond the SEC really, truth be told, there

1103
00:52:06,600 --> 00:52:10,080
Speaker 2: are more coaches nationally who have been fired that don't

1104
00:52:10,120 --> 00:52:13,360
Speaker 2: even have an SEC sticker on their team's helmet, that

1105
00:52:13,480 --> 00:52:16,279
Speaker 2: are gone because they weren't matching what Nick Saban does.

1106
00:52:16,360 --> 00:52:19,879
Speaker 2: So Nick Saban got himself a new contract today. I

1107
00:52:19,920 --> 00:52:21,800
Speaker 2: know a lot of you don't like him. One of

1108
00:52:21,800 --> 00:52:23,640
Speaker 2: the biggest complaints we have on the show is you

1109
00:52:23,680 --> 00:52:26,040
Speaker 2: talk about him too much. I just want to ask

1110
00:52:26,120 --> 00:52:28,759
Speaker 2: you this, if you had your own college football show

1111
00:52:29,040 --> 00:52:31,600
Speaker 2: and you were watching the greatest to ever do it

1112
00:52:31,680 --> 00:52:34,200
Speaker 2: in the midst of the greatest dynasty in the history

1113
00:52:34,200 --> 00:52:36,760
Speaker 2: of the sport. Oh and by the way, the traffic

1114
00:52:36,840 --> 00:52:39,200
Speaker 2: on videos in which you talk about him were about

1115
00:52:39,280 --> 00:52:42,040
Speaker 2: twenty three percent above and beyond what normal traffic was,

1116
00:52:42,320 --> 00:52:47,080
Speaker 2: how would you format your show? We move on. I

1117
00:52:47,160 --> 00:52:50,279
Speaker 2: had another question today. This is almost what we're going

1118
00:52:50,320 --> 00:52:52,440
Speaker 2: to end the show with. We can't end it because

1119
00:52:52,440 --> 00:52:54,239
Speaker 2: we have a major announcement at the end of the show.

1120
00:52:55,360 --> 00:52:58,040
Speaker 2: Evan came in just in the nick of time and said,

1121
00:52:58,160 --> 00:53:00,720
Speaker 2: what are three ways not to think like a casual

1122
00:53:00,719 --> 00:53:01,280
Speaker 2: from Houston?

1123
00:53:01,320 --> 00:53:01,759
Speaker 1: See Evan.

1124
00:53:01,800 --> 00:53:04,640
Speaker 2: I admire this because Evan sounds like a guy who

1125
00:53:04,760 --> 00:53:07,120
Speaker 2: is unsure of himself, but he wants to be better.

1126
00:53:07,400 --> 00:53:09,040
Speaker 1: And so I've got some simple rules.

1127
00:53:09,040 --> 00:53:10,880
Speaker 2: If you follow this show for any length of time,

1128
00:53:11,160 --> 00:53:13,239
Speaker 2: or even if you haven't, you know what a casual is.

1129
00:53:13,600 --> 00:53:16,520
Speaker 2: The casual is just the squarest of the square, says

1130
00:53:16,560 --> 00:53:19,000
Speaker 2: the most common, sensical and nonsensical things.

1131
00:53:19,080 --> 00:53:21,080
Speaker 1: Ever thinks they're right on everything.

1132
00:53:21,120 --> 00:53:24,120
Speaker 2: They subscribe to what we call fortune cookie logic, bumper

1133
00:53:24,160 --> 00:53:26,640
Speaker 2: sticker mentality. That's that kind of stuff that sounds good

1134
00:53:26,680 --> 00:53:29,799
Speaker 2: on the surface, but it doesn't stand up against any

1135
00:53:29,920 --> 00:53:32,600
Speaker 2: kind of harsh critique. The first thing you can do

1136
00:53:33,000 --> 00:53:36,359
Speaker 2: to avoid thinking like a casual is don't ever call

1137
00:53:36,400 --> 00:53:40,000
Speaker 2: a college football game a meaningless game. That is like

1138
00:53:40,040 --> 00:53:43,040
Speaker 2: a giant red flag right above your head that screams

1139
00:53:43,280 --> 00:53:46,279
Speaker 2: casual alert, casual alert, casual alert, and you just need

1140
00:53:46,280 --> 00:53:49,800
Speaker 2: to go sit by the garbage. You have been infiltrated.

1141
00:53:49,840 --> 00:53:53,400
Speaker 2: Your mind has been infiltrated with Sunday logic. But this

1142
00:53:53,600 --> 00:53:56,080
Speaker 2: is a Saturday game. We don't think like they do

1143
00:53:56,200 --> 00:53:56,800
Speaker 2: on Sunday.

1144
00:53:56,960 --> 00:53:58,720
Speaker 1: This is our sport, that's their sport.

1145
00:53:58,760 --> 00:54:00,560
Speaker 2: Now I'll get to that in just say SEC, but

1146
00:54:01,440 --> 00:54:08,000
Speaker 2: anyone who talks about meaningless games is probably not capable of.

1147
00:54:07,960 --> 00:54:08,719
Speaker 1: Going you know what.

1148
00:54:08,719 --> 00:54:12,000
Speaker 2: I hesitate to say this because it's not just eighteen

1149
00:54:12,080 --> 00:54:14,200
Speaker 2: year olds who say this. There are fifty eight year

1150
00:54:14,239 --> 00:54:18,399
Speaker 2: olds who call some November college football games meaningless because

1151
00:54:18,400 --> 00:54:22,560
Speaker 2: they're not tied to the playoff. It's just it's casual AF,

1152
00:54:22,719 --> 00:54:26,680
Speaker 2: as Memel would say, casual AF. Next up, speaking of

1153
00:54:26,719 --> 00:54:30,280
Speaker 2: the Sunday logic, don't compare college football to pro sports.

1154
00:54:30,360 --> 00:54:32,719
Speaker 1: Please don't be the kind of casual who does that.

1155
00:54:33,320 --> 00:54:36,480
Speaker 2: They're numerous out there, copious amounts of casuals walk in

1156
00:54:36,520 --> 00:54:39,279
Speaker 2: the streets amongst us, with the same rights to drive

1157
00:54:39,320 --> 00:54:42,279
Speaker 2: an automobile and vote as you and I have. It's disgusting.

1158
00:54:42,560 --> 00:54:45,359
Speaker 2: And they talk about how this should be the case

1159
00:54:45,400 --> 00:54:48,719
Speaker 2: in college football. Why because they do it and every

1160
00:54:48,719 --> 00:54:51,840
Speaker 2: other pro sport. Well, this is not every other pro sport.

1161
00:54:51,880 --> 00:54:54,600
Speaker 2: In fact, what we like about our sport is different

1162
00:54:54,640 --> 00:54:57,160
Speaker 2: than everything else. So the last thing on this planet

1163
00:54:57,160 --> 00:54:59,959
Speaker 2: we would want to do is have it resemble everything else.

1164
00:55:00,080 --> 00:55:00,680
Speaker 1: Do you get that?

1165
00:55:00,880 --> 00:55:04,120
Speaker 2: It's not like anything else, so it shouldn't resemble everything else.

1166
00:55:05,000 --> 00:55:07,160
Speaker 2: That's the kind of fortune cookie logic that we can

1167
00:55:07,200 --> 00:55:11,160
Speaker 2: live our lives in accordance with you will have I

1168
00:55:11,239 --> 00:55:14,120
Speaker 2: guarantee you every week of the college football season, if

1169
00:55:14,120 --> 00:55:16,440
Speaker 2: you expose if you expose yourself to enough opinion out

1170
00:55:16,440 --> 00:55:21,120
Speaker 2: there every Saturday and beyond, someone's gonna come at you

1171
00:55:21,280 --> 00:55:23,680
Speaker 2: and they're going to tell you that something's wrong with

1172
00:55:23,719 --> 00:55:28,040
Speaker 2: our sport because it doesn't resemble what exists in pro sports.

1173
00:55:28,760 --> 00:55:31,160
Speaker 2: Never mind the fact that no pro sport comes anywhere

1174
00:55:31,160 --> 00:55:33,560
Speaker 2: close to being constructed the same way that college football is.

1175
00:55:34,520 --> 00:55:36,880
Speaker 2: It's just that's the way it should be. Why because

1176
00:55:36,880 --> 00:55:38,960
Speaker 2: that's the way they do it on Sunday. Well, you

1177
00:55:39,000 --> 00:55:40,759
Speaker 2: know what you can do on Sunday. You can watch

1178
00:55:40,760 --> 00:55:43,520
Speaker 2: the Sunday game. You can leave us alone over here.

1179
00:55:43,640 --> 00:55:46,360
Speaker 2: And then there's this other group of people, believe it

1180
00:55:46,440 --> 00:55:49,120
Speaker 2: or not, who find a way to love college football

1181
00:55:49,200 --> 00:55:51,400
Speaker 2: for what it is, and then they love the NFL

1182
00:55:51,440 --> 00:55:54,040
Speaker 2: for what it is, and they just leave the Berlin

1183
00:55:54,120 --> 00:55:56,000
Speaker 2: Wall between the two. And the only time they really

1184
00:55:56,000 --> 00:55:59,680
Speaker 2: break it down is on NFL Draft night when players

1185
00:55:59,760 --> 00:56:02,040
Speaker 2: go from one side of the wall and they just

1186
00:56:02,200 --> 00:56:02,880
Speaker 2: they gorb.

1187
00:56:02,680 --> 00:56:04,480
Speaker 1: A chef, they tear that thing down. They go right

1188
00:56:04,520 --> 00:56:05,240
Speaker 1: to the other side.

1189
00:56:05,360 --> 00:56:07,560
Speaker 2: But then there's a door on the wall and you

1190
00:56:07,600 --> 00:56:10,520
Speaker 2: close the door after that. That's the way it's supposed

1191
00:56:10,520 --> 00:56:12,799
Speaker 2: to work. Don't be a casual. Don't tear down the

1192
00:56:12,800 --> 00:56:16,800
Speaker 2: wall more often than it should be torn down. It's

1193
00:56:16,840 --> 00:56:21,520
Speaker 2: like the anti eighties approach. I want to also talk

1194
00:56:21,560 --> 00:56:23,560
Speaker 2: to you for just a second about how not to

1195
00:56:23,600 --> 00:56:25,600
Speaker 2: be a casual, and the way to do that is

1196
00:56:25,640 --> 00:56:28,040
Speaker 2: to avoid the big lies. The big lies in college

1197
00:56:28,040 --> 00:56:30,839
Speaker 2: football sound a little something like this, Well, you.

1198
00:56:30,800 --> 00:56:32,120
Speaker 1: Are what your record says you are.

1199
00:56:32,320 --> 00:56:34,239
Speaker 2: No, you're not. No. If I go twelve and zero

1200
00:56:34,239 --> 00:56:36,520
Speaker 2: in the MAC, I go nine to three against Arkansas schedule,

1201
00:56:36,640 --> 00:56:38,479
Speaker 2: I can promise you I'm probably better than the twelve

1202
00:56:38,520 --> 00:56:40,680
Speaker 2: and ozero team. You aren't what your record says you are.

1203
00:56:40,920 --> 00:56:43,880
Speaker 2: That's Sunday logic. This is the Saturday game. It takes

1204
00:56:43,960 --> 00:56:47,040
Speaker 2: a little bit of diving beneath the surface to find out,

1205
00:56:47,120 --> 00:56:49,439
Speaker 2: regardless of your record, what kind of team you are.

1206
00:56:49,840 --> 00:56:52,719
Speaker 2: Second big lie in college football, a win is a win.

1207
00:56:53,320 --> 00:56:56,680
Speaker 2: It's not there's subjectivity in this sport. There's a committee,

1208
00:56:56,680 --> 00:56:59,160
Speaker 2: whether you like it or not, that decides who goes

1209
00:56:59,200 --> 00:57:02,920
Speaker 2: to the college football Playoff. And so if I'm favored

1210
00:57:02,920 --> 00:57:06,239
Speaker 2: by thirty eight and I win, by three, and you're

1211
00:57:06,280 --> 00:57:08,839
Speaker 2: favored by thirty eight and you win by forty three.

1212
00:57:09,280 --> 00:57:13,120
Speaker 2: We did not accomplish the same thing. No one thinks

1213
00:57:13,160 --> 00:57:18,040
Speaker 2: we did. Why repeat this absurdity. If I am playing

1214
00:57:18,080 --> 00:57:20,560
Speaker 2: the New York Jets Sunday and you're playing the La

1215
00:57:20,720 --> 00:57:24,320
Speaker 2: Rams and we each win by three, we did accomplish

1216
00:57:24,400 --> 00:57:29,360
Speaker 2: the same thing. Why Because it is professional sports, and

1217
00:57:29,400 --> 00:57:29,800
Speaker 2: that's the.

1218
00:57:29,760 --> 00:57:30,880
Speaker 1: Way pro sports work.

1219
00:57:31,040 --> 00:57:33,080
Speaker 2: College sports don't work that way. College football doesn't work

1220
00:57:33,120 --> 00:57:33,400
Speaker 2: that way.

1221
00:57:34,040 --> 00:57:35,160
Speaker 1: So I just want I just.

1222
00:57:35,160 --> 00:57:38,480
Speaker 2: Want you to be on the lookout for this. And

1223
00:57:38,640 --> 00:57:42,360
Speaker 2: maybe you are a reformed casual and you used to

1224
00:57:42,400 --> 00:57:45,880
Speaker 2: traffic in this sort of nonsense. I commend you, I

1225
00:57:46,120 --> 00:57:49,400
Speaker 2: applaud you, and our numbers hopefully are growing by the day.

1226
00:57:49,640 --> 00:57:52,360
Speaker 1: But if you see a chance, in.

1227
00:57:52,360 --> 00:57:55,480
Speaker 2: The words of Steve Winwood, take it to help some

1228
00:57:55,560 --> 00:57:58,160
Speaker 2: of some of the more exposed casuals out there.

1229
00:57:58,280 --> 00:58:00,200
Speaker 1: Because there's a home for you here.

1230
00:58:00,520 --> 00:58:02,680
Speaker 2: There's a home for you here, but you got to

1231
00:58:02,680 --> 00:58:05,240
Speaker 2: clean yourself up before you come in. We're ready to

1232
00:58:05,240 --> 00:58:08,400
Speaker 2: announce the every given Saturday Tour Week one destination. This

1233
00:58:08,480 --> 00:58:11,240
Speaker 2: is something that we did last year. We called it

1234
00:58:11,280 --> 00:58:15,400
Speaker 2: the Renaissance Tour. CBS gives us. What do you call

1235
00:58:15,440 --> 00:58:19,240
Speaker 2: it carte blanc, even though it's spelled like blanche. They

1236
00:58:19,240 --> 00:58:22,320
Speaker 2: give us the ability, let's put it that way, to

1237
00:58:22,400 --> 00:58:24,520
Speaker 2: choose the game we want to go to, and we

1238
00:58:24,640 --> 00:58:26,840
Speaker 2: go to any game in the country, and we have

1239
00:58:26,920 --> 00:58:29,800
Speaker 2: a specific set of criteria we're looking for. We want

1240
00:58:29,800 --> 00:58:32,240
Speaker 2: to go to as many places as possible, we want

1241
00:58:32,240 --> 00:58:34,640
Speaker 2: to see as many venues as possible. We want to

1242
00:58:34,680 --> 00:58:38,320
Speaker 2: be in a competitive environment every Saturday. We don't want

1243
00:58:38,360 --> 00:58:40,640
Speaker 2: to see any blowouts if we can avoid it at all.

1244
00:58:41,000 --> 00:58:43,400
Speaker 2: But we also want to be in the biggest spots,

1245
00:58:43,680 --> 00:58:45,200
Speaker 2: the games that everyone's got circle.

1246
00:58:45,240 --> 00:58:46,560
Speaker 1: That's where we want to be. We want to see

1247
00:58:46,560 --> 00:58:47,680
Speaker 1: as many teams as we can.

1248
00:58:48,320 --> 00:58:52,720
Speaker 2: And so sometimes the game that you think we would

1249
00:58:52,760 --> 00:58:55,720
Speaker 2: be at is not always the game we're at. For example,

1250
00:58:56,040 --> 00:58:58,480
Speaker 2: if we had Bama playing a big game in week one,

1251
00:58:58,840 --> 00:59:02,200
Speaker 2: I'd be less likely to go to it because inevitably

1252
00:59:02,240 --> 00:59:04,360
Speaker 2: we're gonna end up at one or two or maybe

1253
00:59:04,360 --> 00:59:07,760
Speaker 2: three Bama games. So, especially earlier in the year, you're

1254
00:59:07,760 --> 00:59:09,840
Speaker 2: trying to get to places that you don't know you'll

1255
00:59:09,880 --> 00:59:11,200
Speaker 2: be able to get to later, and you're trying to

1256
00:59:11,240 --> 00:59:13,120
Speaker 2: see teams you don't know if you'll be able to

1257
00:59:13,120 --> 00:59:16,160
Speaker 2: see later. But you just also want to go where

1258
00:59:16,200 --> 00:59:19,640
Speaker 2: you want to go. So where are we going? The

1259
00:59:19,680 --> 00:59:22,760
Speaker 2: Every Given Saturday Tour? It's what we're calling this year's tour.

1260
00:59:22,840 --> 00:59:25,560
Speaker 2: Last year was the Renaissance Tour. This year it's the

1261
00:59:25,600 --> 00:59:29,880
Speaker 2: Every Given Saturday Tour. You know where we're going. We're

1262
00:59:29,880 --> 00:59:33,600
Speaker 2: going to Fayetteville, Arkansas for Week one. Cincinnati at Arkansas.

1263
00:59:33,640 --> 00:59:36,120
Speaker 2: I've never been to a game. I have only recently

1264
00:59:36,160 --> 00:59:38,840
Speaker 2: been to Fayetteville, and that was on a storm chasing excursion.

1265
00:59:39,240 --> 00:59:42,080
Speaker 2: I have been counting down the days for me to

1266
00:59:42,120 --> 00:59:45,240
Speaker 2: finally be able to say late. Kick is taking our

1267
00:59:45,280 --> 00:59:47,440
Speaker 2: operation on the road, and we're going to the University

1268
00:59:47,480 --> 00:59:49,880
Speaker 2: of Arkansas. Since he at Arkansas is a three thirty

1269
00:59:49,880 --> 00:59:53,200
Speaker 2: Eastern time, Kick Reynolds Razorback Stadium will be packed to

1270
00:59:53,240 --> 00:59:55,320
Speaker 2: the gills and there'll be thousands of folks outside who

1271
00:59:55,360 --> 00:59:57,920
Speaker 2: couldn't get in. This is a team in Cincinnati that

1272
00:59:58,040 --> 01:00:00,360
Speaker 2: went to the playoff last year and even though they

1273
01:00:00,440 --> 01:00:03,200
Speaker 2: lost a lot, this is a seven point spread, guys,

1274
01:00:03,400 --> 01:00:05,680
Speaker 2: and the model agrees. In fact, the model makes it

1275
01:00:05,720 --> 01:00:09,240
Speaker 2: even tighter than the Vegas number. Does Sam Pittman and

1276
01:00:09,280 --> 01:00:11,240
Speaker 2: his staff. I think no they're in for a fight.

1277
01:00:12,240 --> 01:00:14,160
Speaker 2: I don't know if the rest of the country is

1278
01:00:14,200 --> 01:00:16,560
Speaker 2: as focused on this game yet as they need to be,

1279
01:00:16,680 --> 01:00:18,240
Speaker 2: or we'll do our part to make sure you are

1280
01:00:18,280 --> 01:00:23,120
Speaker 2: come next week. But we're going finally to see Arkansas

1281
01:00:23,200 --> 01:00:26,960
Speaker 2: play in person. And I would be lying to you

1282
01:00:27,440 --> 01:00:29,800
Speaker 2: if I didn't say it's one of the top five

1283
01:00:29,840 --> 01:00:32,880
Speaker 2: most excited moments of my life. So Cincinnati at Arkansas,

1284
01:00:33,440 --> 01:00:36,720
Speaker 2: cannot wait, cannot wait, cannot wait. And you know what

1285
01:00:36,800 --> 01:00:39,160
Speaker 2: the added bonus is, we get to hang out with

1286
01:00:39,160 --> 01:00:42,320
Speaker 2: Trey Biddy. So it's a win win win for everyone involved.

1287
01:00:42,480 --> 01:00:45,200
Speaker 2: Every given Saturday Tour week one destination fate of a

1288
01:00:45,360 --> 01:00:47,720
Speaker 2: Arkansas Cincinnati versus Arkansas.

1289
01:00:47,920 --> 01:00:49,200
Speaker 1: All right, we got to get out of here.

1290
01:00:49,200 --> 01:00:51,440
Speaker 2: Do me a favor on your way out, Just drop alike,

1291
01:00:51,640 --> 01:00:54,120
Speaker 2: Just hit the thumbs up button, Just click it, and

1292
01:00:54,120 --> 01:00:57,360
Speaker 2: then you're gone, unless you haven't subscribed to the channel,

1293
01:00:57,480 --> 01:01:00,000
Speaker 2: in which case you should also click that red subscribe button.

1294
01:01:00,240 --> 01:01:01,640
Speaker 2: You guys have been doing a great job of that.

1295
01:01:01,760 --> 01:01:03,760
Speaker 2: I see it in our numbers. I get a report

1296
01:01:03,760 --> 01:01:06,480
Speaker 2: every day, and I appreciate it. If you're listening on podcasts,

1297
01:01:06,480 --> 01:01:07,960
Speaker 2: same thing, keep listening.

1298
01:01:08,440 --> 01:01:09,160
Speaker 1: Just subscribe.

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01:01:09,200 --> 01:01:11,880
Speaker 2: Most of our audience is still not subscribed, and there's

1300
01:01:11,880 --> 01:01:14,320
Speaker 2: no reason for it because it's free, So subscribe and

1301
01:01:14,360 --> 01:01:16,440
Speaker 2: otherwise keep doing what you're doing. Appreciate you guys so

1302
01:01:16,520 --> 01:01:18,960
Speaker 2: much for direct Colin. For producer Jesse, I'm Josh Fate.

1303
01:01:19,040 --> 01:01:21,800
Speaker 2: We are out of here same time Thursday night. Until then,

1304
01:01:21,920 --> 01:01:22,880
Speaker 2: take care and God blas