1 00:00:02,440 --> 00:00:06,800 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:11,720 --> 00:00:14,960 Speaker 2: Inflation is getting just becoming a very stubborn situation for 3 00:00:15,000 --> 00:00:15,320 Speaker 2: the Fed. 4 00:00:15,440 --> 00:00:16,759 Speaker 3: This is too much for the Fed. 5 00:00:16,840 --> 00:00:19,159 Speaker 4: Inflation is not doing what they wanted on average, and 6 00:00:19,200 --> 00:00:20,280 Speaker 4: this is a problem for them. 7 00:00:20,360 --> 00:00:22,239 Speaker 3: The sound that you heard there was the door slamming 8 00:00:22,239 --> 00:00:24,160 Speaker 3: on the June rate cuts. That's gone. 9 00:00:24,320 --> 00:00:26,840 Speaker 4: I do think it's just a door on a rate cut. 10 00:00:26,920 --> 00:00:29,000 Speaker 1: The Fed is not, in our opinion, is not going 11 00:00:29,040 --> 00:00:30,840 Speaker 1: to be making any moves anytime soon. 12 00:00:30,880 --> 00:00:33,120 Speaker 4: They're more likely to hold status quo, and. 13 00:00:33,159 --> 00:00:35,600 Speaker 2: Pretty good reason for them to remain on hold. 14 00:00:35,640 --> 00:00:37,120 Speaker 1: Here see how things go. 15 00:00:37,479 --> 00:00:41,360 Speaker 4: A rate cut in June, it seems to me would 16 00:00:41,440 --> 00:00:45,280 Speaker 4: be a dangerous and egregious. 17 00:00:44,840 --> 00:00:45,760 Speaker 3: Error at the moment. 18 00:00:45,800 --> 00:00:48,320 Speaker 1: I think they probably set up for September and December 19 00:00:48,520 --> 00:00:49,480 Speaker 1: to rate cuts this year. 20 00:00:49,479 --> 00:00:51,519 Speaker 3: As a real risk of no rate cuts. You know, 21 00:00:51,560 --> 00:00:53,120 Speaker 3: that's starting to come into the narrative and I think 22 00:00:53,159 --> 00:00:53,559 Speaker 3: that's new. 23 00:00:53,680 --> 00:00:56,840 Speaker 4: They're you know, creating a problem for themselves in terms 24 00:00:56,880 --> 00:00:59,840 Speaker 4: of the promises of rate cuts the inability to actually 25 00:01:00,080 --> 00:01:01,400 Speaker 4: secute on them. 26 00:01:01,760 --> 00:01:04,400 Speaker 5: Those were some Bloomberg TV guests reacting to today's CPI 27 00:01:04,480 --> 00:01:06,560 Speaker 5: print and whether or not delays the Federal reserves path 28 00:01:06,600 --> 00:01:08,959 Speaker 5: to cutting rates. Well, here on set to give her 29 00:01:09,000 --> 00:01:12,520 Speaker 5: many sens is Penny Pennington, CEO and managing partner at 30 00:01:12,640 --> 00:01:15,040 Speaker 5: Edward Jones. Penny, wonderful, wonderful and chat with you. 31 00:01:15,080 --> 00:01:17,000 Speaker 3: Thanks for being here. It's a pleasure. It's a great 32 00:01:17,080 --> 00:01:17,920 Speaker 3: day because. 33 00:01:17,640 --> 00:01:20,399 Speaker 5: I feel like you're really finally recalibrating a higher for 34 00:01:20,480 --> 00:01:22,280 Speaker 5: longer environment. I think we're looking at one and a 35 00:01:22,280 --> 00:01:25,880 Speaker 5: half cuts now, just based on expectations now in the market. 36 00:01:26,280 --> 00:01:29,640 Speaker 5: How does that make an investor rethink portfolio allocation? 37 00:01:30,120 --> 00:01:33,320 Speaker 1: Well, you're right to ask me, because I represent eight 38 00:01:33,440 --> 00:01:38,280 Speaker 1: million clients across North America, nineteen thousand financial advisors, two 39 00:01:38,280 --> 00:01:41,280 Speaker 1: trillion dollars of their assets that we are privileged to 40 00:01:41,319 --> 00:01:44,800 Speaker 1: care for. Five hundred thousand times a week, our financial 41 00:01:44,800 --> 00:01:47,000 Speaker 1: advisors are meeting with their clients. And I asked a 42 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:49,200 Speaker 1: couple of our financial advisors this morning when we got 43 00:01:49,200 --> 00:01:51,960 Speaker 1: the CPI print, what are your clients going to say 44 00:01:51,960 --> 00:01:52,520 Speaker 1: when they come in? 45 00:01:52,760 --> 00:01:53,840 Speaker 3: What are you saying to them? 46 00:01:54,360 --> 00:01:57,480 Speaker 1: One of my financial advisors said, they're not asking about CPI, 47 00:01:57,720 --> 00:02:00,320 Speaker 1: but we've been talking for a couple of years about 48 00:02:00,320 --> 00:02:01,440 Speaker 1: they're purchasing power. 49 00:02:01,800 --> 00:02:05,560 Speaker 3: They're purchasing power. Day to day. They're purchasing power for 50 00:02:05,640 --> 00:02:06,960 Speaker 3: the long term. Day to day. 51 00:02:07,520 --> 00:02:12,400 Speaker 1: Julia was just talking about car insurance rates have stayed high, 52 00:02:12,760 --> 00:02:14,200 Speaker 1: gasoline food. 53 00:02:14,760 --> 00:02:16,959 Speaker 3: It's just it's a truism. 54 00:02:16,520 --> 00:02:18,959 Speaker 1: That what you bought at the grocery store three years 55 00:02:19,000 --> 00:02:21,560 Speaker 1: ago now for one hundred dollars now costs one hundred 56 00:02:21,600 --> 00:02:25,840 Speaker 1: and thirty dollars. We are scenario planning with our clients 57 00:02:25,880 --> 00:02:30,320 Speaker 1: for what higher interest rates and higher prices will mean 58 00:02:30,400 --> 00:02:32,480 Speaker 1: for them for all of their goals for the retirement 59 00:02:32,560 --> 00:02:35,440 Speaker 1: planning for the shorter term spending that they want to do. 60 00:02:35,960 --> 00:02:41,000 Speaker 1: We are seeing clients continue to spend retirement dollars for experiences, 61 00:02:41,040 --> 00:02:42,600 Speaker 1: and this is one of the things I think that 62 00:02:42,680 --> 00:02:47,880 Speaker 1: maybe keeping service inflation where it is. An earlier report 63 00:02:47,960 --> 00:02:51,040 Speaker 1: talked about summer travel is going to be very high. 64 00:02:51,120 --> 00:02:54,919 Speaker 1: People are still spending money, and our retired investors are 65 00:02:54,919 --> 00:02:55,359 Speaker 1: doing that. 66 00:02:55,480 --> 00:02:56,960 Speaker 5: I wonder if also part of the reason is that 67 00:02:56,960 --> 00:02:58,920 Speaker 5: they can park their money in a two year bond 68 00:02:58,919 --> 00:03:00,600 Speaker 5: now and then they get on a spiper yield or 69 00:03:00,639 --> 00:03:02,359 Speaker 5: just put in a money market fund and get five 70 00:03:02,440 --> 00:03:03,079 Speaker 5: or six percent. 71 00:03:04,400 --> 00:03:05,400 Speaker 3: Are people actually doing that. 72 00:03:05,400 --> 00:03:07,040 Speaker 5: They're parking their money and there's taking the yield and 73 00:03:07,080 --> 00:03:07,880 Speaker 5: going and do something with it. 74 00:03:08,040 --> 00:03:12,200 Speaker 1: Sure, you're getting rewarded for shorter term money today where 75 00:03:12,240 --> 00:03:15,840 Speaker 1: you weren't five years ago, so that feels good. The 76 00:03:15,960 --> 00:03:19,239 Speaker 1: risk in that is parking money at four to five 77 00:03:19,320 --> 00:03:22,480 Speaker 1: percent when inflation is at three and a half percent 78 00:03:22,919 --> 00:03:25,320 Speaker 1: doesn't give you the long term return that's going to 79 00:03:25,320 --> 00:03:28,840 Speaker 1: help you meet your goals. So we always stress with 80 00:03:28,880 --> 00:03:33,600 Speaker 1: our clients the proper allocation of their assets cash, fixed 81 00:03:33,639 --> 00:03:39,040 Speaker 1: income equities, allocated appropriately for your risk tolerance, your time horizon, 82 00:03:39,080 --> 00:03:41,680 Speaker 1: and the kind of goals short, medium, and long term 83 00:03:41,720 --> 00:03:42,720 Speaker 1: that you're trying to achieve. 84 00:03:42,760 --> 00:03:44,640 Speaker 2: How does the higher interest rate and environment and the 85 00:03:44,680 --> 00:03:47,400 Speaker 2: idea that most people believe higher interest rates at least 86 00:03:47,400 --> 00:03:49,920 Speaker 2: relatively speaking, are kind of here to stay, how does 87 00:03:49,960 --> 00:03:51,200 Speaker 2: that change the long term planning? 88 00:03:51,240 --> 00:03:53,360 Speaker 1: Well, there's some puts and takes to that, right, So 89 00:03:53,480 --> 00:03:56,800 Speaker 1: we're getting rewarded for the shorter term money. But if 90 00:03:56,800 --> 00:04:00,560 Speaker 1: you're a parent or a grandparent who's thinking about or 91 00:04:00,960 --> 00:04:05,480 Speaker 1: a thirty something thinking about buying a house, that's a 92 00:04:05,520 --> 00:04:09,040 Speaker 1: different thing, right, So it depends on your goals, It 93 00:04:09,080 --> 00:04:12,200 Speaker 1: depends on what stage of life you're in as to 94 00:04:12,280 --> 00:04:15,680 Speaker 1: how you're going to see that higher for longer interest 95 00:04:15,720 --> 00:04:16,440 Speaker 1: rate environment. 96 00:04:16,640 --> 00:04:18,760 Speaker 2: I am curious about some of the longer term trends 97 00:04:18,800 --> 00:04:22,640 Speaker 2: that we've seen in investing with the individual investors, this 98 00:04:22,760 --> 00:04:25,880 Speaker 2: sort of gravitation to private markets, the idea that at 99 00:04:25,960 --> 00:04:28,839 Speaker 2: least on a risk reward balance, that there's something maybe 100 00:04:28,880 --> 00:04:30,680 Speaker 2: they're a little bit more attractive than what you're finding 101 00:04:30,720 --> 00:04:32,320 Speaker 2: in public markets. And we've already seen a lot of 102 00:04:32,360 --> 00:04:36,200 Speaker 2: high network individuals really diversify into that private space. Are 103 00:04:36,240 --> 00:04:38,520 Speaker 2: you seeing that trend sort of move down the line 104 00:04:38,560 --> 00:04:39,359 Speaker 2: the income spectrum. 105 00:04:39,360 --> 00:04:42,640 Speaker 1: Well, you're focusing on diversification, which I love, and you're 106 00:04:42,640 --> 00:04:46,120 Speaker 1: focusing on the fact that a certain kind of democratization 107 00:04:46,560 --> 00:04:50,680 Speaker 1: of assets and the ways to purchase asset occurs in 108 00:04:50,720 --> 00:04:52,000 Speaker 1: our capital market system. 109 00:04:52,400 --> 00:04:54,120 Speaker 3: That can be really healthy. 110 00:04:54,680 --> 00:04:59,760 Speaker 1: So the traditional asset allocation of cash, fixed income, and 111 00:05:00,000 --> 00:05:04,000 Speaker 1: public market equities still very sound and strong. But I 112 00:05:04,040 --> 00:05:07,000 Speaker 1: read a statistic the other day ninety two percent of 113 00:05:07,040 --> 00:05:09,720 Speaker 1: companies with one hundred million dollars of revenues or more 114 00:05:09,800 --> 00:05:13,919 Speaker 1: are private, and so it's important that we continue to 115 00:05:13,960 --> 00:05:18,200 Speaker 1: have a strong and thriving capital market system for capital creation. 116 00:05:19,120 --> 00:05:23,119 Speaker 1: It is likely also to be important sooner rather than later, 117 00:05:23,640 --> 00:05:28,520 Speaker 1: that access to private assets become more democratized. What is 118 00:05:28,560 --> 00:05:32,040 Speaker 1: going to be important though, is clients understanding that that 119 00:05:32,120 --> 00:05:35,640 Speaker 1: client experience is a little bit different than buying a 120 00:05:35,640 --> 00:05:39,120 Speaker 1: public equity or an etfor or a bond on the 121 00:05:39,440 --> 00:05:43,320 Speaker 1: bond market. But I do see that coming probably sooner 122 00:05:43,400 --> 00:05:43,960 Speaker 1: rather than like. 123 00:05:44,000 --> 00:05:48,160 Speaker 5: Do we know what percentage we'll be in those private markets? 124 00:05:48,640 --> 00:05:50,400 Speaker 5: Like part of me is also like, hey, go in 125 00:05:50,400 --> 00:05:51,920 Speaker 5: the private markets and then just pretend you're not going 126 00:05:51,960 --> 00:05:53,120 Speaker 5: to get that money back because you don't know what 127 00:05:53,120 --> 00:05:53,599 Speaker 5: it's going to do. 128 00:05:53,800 --> 00:05:55,560 Speaker 3: We don't have any test cases. 129 00:05:55,200 --> 00:05:56,080 Speaker 5: Really on this. 130 00:05:56,440 --> 00:05:57,799 Speaker 3: How much would you recommend? 131 00:05:58,080 --> 00:06:01,080 Speaker 1: It depends on one's risk tolerance. When you think about 132 00:06:01,080 --> 00:06:04,600 Speaker 1: liquidity as well, private markets are less liquid assets when 133 00:06:04,640 --> 00:06:06,960 Speaker 1: you think about that experience of how quickly do you 134 00:06:07,000 --> 00:06:09,839 Speaker 1: need to draw your money out and how long term 135 00:06:09,960 --> 00:06:14,440 Speaker 1: are your goals? The private markets less liquid and longer 136 00:06:14,560 --> 00:06:17,760 Speaker 1: term in their exit, longer term in nature in the exit. 137 00:06:18,200 --> 00:06:20,719 Speaker 1: So clients are just going to have to be very 138 00:06:20,760 --> 00:06:24,719 Speaker 1: thoughtful about that, which means our financial advisors are going 139 00:06:24,760 --> 00:06:26,279 Speaker 1: to be very thoughtful. 140 00:06:25,880 --> 00:06:28,320 Speaker 3: About that in advising them. What do you think about 141 00:06:28,320 --> 00:06:35,520 Speaker 3: bitcoin in crypto? Well, is crypto proven yet? No, it's not. 142 00:06:36,240 --> 00:06:39,400 Speaker 1: And when we as a company advise clients based on 143 00:06:39,440 --> 00:06:44,000 Speaker 1: the fundamentals of assets, based on their cash flows, their revenues, 144 00:06:44,200 --> 00:06:48,040 Speaker 1: their ability to be sustainable. It's really hard to analyze 145 00:06:48,360 --> 00:06:52,240 Speaker 1: cryptocurrency right now in that light. We are taking a 146 00:06:52,240 --> 00:06:54,360 Speaker 1: bit of a wait and see approach at this point. 147 00:06:54,440 --> 00:06:57,520 Speaker 1: Our clients are not purchasing crypto through US, but we 148 00:06:57,560 --> 00:06:59,159 Speaker 1: are actively monitoring. 149 00:06:59,400 --> 00:07:03,160 Speaker 2: That's I want to talk about the generational differences, if 150 00:07:03,200 --> 00:07:05,640 Speaker 2: you will, I mean, are there generational differences? We keep 151 00:07:05,680 --> 00:07:08,080 Speaker 2: talking about the idea of the boomers sort of aging 152 00:07:08,120 --> 00:07:10,080 Speaker 2: out and this great wealth transfer, and then you have 153 00:07:10,160 --> 00:07:12,800 Speaker 2: this younger generation of millennials and Gen xers, which they 154 00:07:12,840 --> 00:07:15,400 Speaker 2: always forget about us, and of course Gen Z who 155 00:07:15,440 --> 00:07:18,080 Speaker 2: have different priorities and are going to be coming into 156 00:07:18,080 --> 00:07:20,960 Speaker 2: this investment landscape from a much different starting point than 157 00:07:21,000 --> 00:07:21,800 Speaker 2: what the boomers did. 158 00:07:21,880 --> 00:07:24,840 Speaker 1: You're exactly right when I think about I'm a booby 159 00:07:25,040 --> 00:07:27,080 Speaker 1: baby boomer on the last year of the Baby Boomers, 160 00:07:27,080 --> 00:07:29,520 Speaker 1: so I can channel that, but I can also channel 161 00:07:29,560 --> 00:07:32,080 Speaker 1: my thirty year olds. So the boomers and the silent 162 00:07:32,160 --> 00:07:35,640 Speaker 1: generation are about to think about their emotion right now, 163 00:07:35,680 --> 00:07:39,280 Speaker 1: moving their assets to the next two generations. Baby boomers 164 00:07:39,280 --> 00:07:43,760 Speaker 1: in silent generation thinking about their long lives, remaining healthy 165 00:07:43,960 --> 00:07:46,840 Speaker 1: in their long lives and having a great quality of life, 166 00:07:47,120 --> 00:07:49,680 Speaker 1: while at the same time moving their assets to the 167 00:07:49,720 --> 00:07:53,440 Speaker 1: next two generations. Very interestingly, we just did some research 168 00:07:53,560 --> 00:07:57,360 Speaker 1: and only about thirty percent of families are planning on 169 00:07:57,480 --> 00:08:02,240 Speaker 1: having this conversation with the next two generations. That sets 170 00:08:02,280 --> 00:08:06,200 Speaker 1: those families up for some real anxiety and we found 171 00:08:06,240 --> 00:08:10,000 Speaker 1: that out in our research and perhaps some disharmony after 172 00:08:10,160 --> 00:08:13,080 Speaker 1: mom and dad or grandma and granddad are gone. And 173 00:08:13,160 --> 00:08:17,440 Speaker 1: so we would advise to with your financial advisor, take 174 00:08:17,480 --> 00:08:21,160 Speaker 1: the emotion out of this family conversation, but begin the 175 00:08:21,240 --> 00:08:25,160 Speaker 1: process of talking about moving your legacy and your values. 176 00:08:25,200 --> 00:08:27,200 Speaker 1: You don't have to talk about the dollar signs, this 177 00:08:27,240 --> 00:08:30,400 Speaker 1: is what makes people uncomfortable sometimes. But talk about the 178 00:08:30,480 --> 00:08:32,560 Speaker 1: legacy and the values that you want to pass on 179 00:08:32,640 --> 00:08:35,200 Speaker 1: to the next generation. And then one final thing, we 180 00:08:35,240 --> 00:08:38,160 Speaker 1: found out sixty eight percent of those who own the 181 00:08:38,240 --> 00:08:41,240 Speaker 1: assets today would like to move them to the next 182 00:08:41,280 --> 00:08:43,800 Speaker 1: two generations during their lifetimes. 183 00:08:44,320 --> 00:08:45,760 Speaker 3: So a financial. 184 00:08:45,240 --> 00:08:49,880 Speaker 1: Advisor helping a family scenario plan for a long life, 185 00:08:49,960 --> 00:08:51,600 Speaker 1: making sure they don't run out of money. 186 00:08:51,720 --> 00:08:52,080 Speaker 3: But the. 187 00:08:53,640 --> 00:08:57,240 Speaker 1: Beauty of the joy of seeing your children and your 188 00:08:57,240 --> 00:09:00,319 Speaker 1: grandchildren enjoy some of those assets during your life is 189 00:09:00,360 --> 00:09:01,000 Speaker 1: pretty special. 190 00:09:01,120 --> 00:09:03,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, and hopefully do it in a tax advantage way. 191 00:09:03,520 --> 00:09:06,360 Speaker 1: PRIs Eisley, I'm about to have my first grandchild. 192 00:09:06,520 --> 00:09:09,760 Speaker 3: My daughter is having her first child, so this is 193 00:09:09,880 --> 00:09:10,600 Speaker 3: very real for me. 194 00:09:10,720 --> 00:09:13,200 Speaker 2: Oh, congratulations, Thank you all right, Penny, it's been wonderful 195 00:09:13,240 --> 00:09:16,360 Speaker 2: to have you. Penny Pennington, CEO or AT Edward Jones