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Speaker 1: I'm so happy. I think it's going to be a

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Speaker 1: happy show. We like that kind of show. We're proudly

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Speaker 1: brought to you by Academy Sports and Outdoors Hi a

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Speaker 1: top a pulsating downtown Nashville, Tennessee, on this Sunday night,

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Speaker 1: June twenty ninth, the Year of Our Lord, twenty twenty five.

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Speaker 1: You know, it's been a long spring slash early summer.

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Speaker 1: There's been a fair amount to complain about in college football,

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Speaker 1: and we do from time to time. But what else

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Speaker 1: do we want to do? Children? We want to make

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Speaker 1: sure that we shine a bright white spotlight on things

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Speaker 1: that are going good. And I think something that had

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Speaker 1: gone bad for a little while maybe going good again, maybe,

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Speaker 1: just maybe? Do you do you pay attention to recruiting anymore?

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Speaker 1: And even if you don't care about recruiting in the

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Speaker 1: weeds per se, have you just noted the general flavor,

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Speaker 1: the general tone that recruiting has taken. Your answer may

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Speaker 1: be no, So I'm here to inform you recruiting may

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Speaker 1: be back. Recruiting may be back. So I love what

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Speaker 1: I'm hearing and seeing on that front. We don't talk

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Speaker 1: recruiting on this show a lot, so It's not like

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Speaker 1: I'm breaking down everyone's class per se, but I'm I'm

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Speaker 1: going to give you an early indicator that some of

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Speaker 1: the changes that are being made in college football may

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Speaker 1: be working. And imagine this for a change the way

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Speaker 1: we want them to. I want to also ask you

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Speaker 1: a question on this show here tonight, and I want

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Speaker 1: to ask you, as one of you asked me, is

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Speaker 1: there even a team to beat in college football? I

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Speaker 1: don't know. I'm going to leave the show with it.

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Speaker 1: I've got ten games that I personally am most excited about. See.

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Speaker 1: I learned over the past week when I did my

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Speaker 1: Toughest Places to Play in College Football that even if

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Speaker 1: you offer your opinion, it can be incorrect. Notice, my

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Speaker 1: opinion can be factually incorrect. So I can only imagine

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Speaker 1: Jesse and Bradley what the internet shall do with my

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Speaker 1: list of games that I myself personally am most looking

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Speaker 1: forward to. I had a dude, dead serious look me

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Speaker 1: in the not on Twitter at the gym yesterday and

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Speaker 1: tell me with a smile on his face that my

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Speaker 1: Toughest Places to Play list was incorrect. I said, but

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Speaker 1: it's my opinion. He said, yeah, but your opinion is

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Speaker 1: factually incorrect. Anna. Then he started talking about decibel readings

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Speaker 1: on home scoreboards in stadium, like, yeah, there's the science

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Speaker 1: I was looking for. All that plus chaos, bold predictions.

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Speaker 1: We got a jam packed show, as every show we

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Speaker 1: do here is. They're watching this in Saint Louis, Missouri, Eugene, Oregon, Hinesville, Georgia,

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Speaker 1: home of Raquon McMillan, and Crown Point, Indiana. There's a

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Speaker 1: lot going on around here. I can't tell you anything

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Speaker 1: about it quite yet, but there's a whole lot going on.

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Speaker 1: We are trying to maintain as much semblance of normalcy

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Speaker 1: as possible. That's why the set looks the same. Everything

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Speaker 1: looks the same, the T shirt looks the same. But man,

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Speaker 1: a lot of good change is coming to the show.

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Speaker 1: But that is for then. This is for now. Let's

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Speaker 1: dive in tonight. I don't normally lead with questions because

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Speaker 1: we want to lead with answers. I'm gonna give you

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Speaker 1: an answer. Jeffrey from Boise sent me a question that

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Speaker 1: I thought was good enough. I'm just gonna lead the

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Speaker 1: show with it tonight. He said. I love the fact

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Speaker 1: that y'all grind through college football content during the down months.

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Speaker 1: It keeps me sane. But after listening to your shows,

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Speaker 1: I've got to ask you, who's the team to beat

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Speaker 1: this season or your top team coming into twenty twenty five.

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Speaker 1: I'll have a top team. I mean, if you do

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Speaker 1: power ratings or you do rankings, either one of them.

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Speaker 1: Of course you're gonna have a number one, Jeffrey. But

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Speaker 1: number one is relative to what the rest of the field.

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Speaker 1: In other words, my number one in twenty twenty five

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Speaker 1: may have been like number six if that team existed

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Speaker 1: in twenty nineteen, or vice versa. Anyway, I say all

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Speaker 1: that to say this, Jeffrey, I don't remember the last

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Speaker 1: time I would have said this. There's not a team

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Speaker 1: to beat in college football in the preseason this year,

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Speaker 1: or may be one that emerges. Is in fact, I

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Speaker 1: would suspect one will emerge, or maybe two or three

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Speaker 1: will emerge during the season, there's not a team to beat.

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Speaker 1: The team to beat in my lifetime has been that

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Speaker 1: team that you look at in August or even July

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Speaker 1: or June or whatever, and that's that team you look

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Speaker 1: at in the spring or the summer, and you say

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Speaker 1: that team may not win the national championship. But whoever

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Speaker 1: wins it, I think is going to have to go

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Speaker 1: through that team. And normally it's a team that has

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Speaker 1: a start quarterback or they're returning like nine or ten

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Speaker 1: starters off a top ten defense, or their entire offensive line,

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Speaker 1: and the dominant tailbacks coming back. Got a couple of

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Speaker 1: wide receivers, each of whom you could see challenge for

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Speaker 1: the bolitannikof Award something like that. That doesn't exist this year. Jeffrey,

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Speaker 1: I'm not mad at you. I sound mad. I'm just

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Speaker 1: a little fired up about it, because that means we

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Speaker 1: could see a season that goes off the rails, and

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Speaker 1: in this case, derailment would be a good thing. Goes

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Speaker 1: off the rails early, you know last year was, and

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Speaker 1: we could be looking at more of the same, even

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Speaker 1: more so this year. So there are the odds to

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Speaker 1: win the national championship right now. If you're listening on podcast,

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Speaker 1: just to give you a quick rundown, it's Texas, Ohio State, Georgia,

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Speaker 1: Penn State, Oregon, Alabama, Clemson, notre name, LSU's a little

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Speaker 1: bit lower than I thought they were because I haven't

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Speaker 1: looked at this in a little while. So what the

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Speaker 1: team to beat is the team to beat Texas, is

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Speaker 1: the team to beat Ohio State, the team to beat Georgia.

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Speaker 1: They all got new quarterbacks. Those top three all got

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Speaker 1: new quarterbacks. They're no better than eighty second in the

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Speaker 1: country in returning production. Now, we had gotten conditioned for

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Speaker 1: a little while to think, oh, returning production is not

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Speaker 1: that big a deal for the Georgias of the world,

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Speaker 1: or under Nick Saban for the Alabamas of the world,

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Speaker 1: or Dabbo's Clemson teams of the mid twenty teens and whatnot.

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Speaker 1: And that was true. That is not necessarily the case anymore.

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Speaker 1: That is not necessarily case. You look at the ingredients.

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Speaker 1: The past two national champions have had Ohio State one

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Speaker 1: because they brought back a nucleus of guys that had

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Speaker 1: been there for a while. Michigan the year before, they

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Speaker 1: won with a nucleus of guys. Now, you're still pretty

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Speaker 1: new in this sort of portal era of redefining ones

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Speaker 1: thinking about rosters, because it wasn't that long ago. It

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Speaker 1: wasn't but like thirty six months ago, forty eight months

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Speaker 1: ago that you still saw Kirby and Georgia winning in

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Speaker 1: some cases with a bunch of guys who were new starters.

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Speaker 1: But that was when you could stack two or three

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Speaker 1: deep of future Sunday players. Nobody's doing that anymore. So

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Speaker 1: those returning production numbers, while they do, have to be

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Speaker 1: taken into the proper context. If you're eighty second or lower,

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Speaker 1: I'm not calling you the team to beat. Like You're

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Speaker 1: not the preemptive favorite in anyone's eyes. You may warrant

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Speaker 1: a top five consideration out of lack of other options

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Speaker 1: out there, But if you're telling me that Texas is

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Speaker 1: the team to beat, I could pick apart any of these.

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Speaker 1: Like I believe in Texas relatively speaking, I believe in Georgia.

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Speaker 1: I believe in Ohio State. Yet, sure I believe in them,

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Speaker 1: but to the point where i'd call them the team

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Speaker 1: to beat. I look at this list, Texas, you got

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Speaker 1: a second year in a row that you're having to

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Speaker 1: replenish the core of your defensive line. I don't know

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Speaker 1: definitively what arch Manning's gonna be. Hey, man, I don't

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Speaker 1: know about Texas winning big games yet. They went over

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Speaker 1: against Georgia last year. They got beat by Ohio State

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Speaker 1: in the playoffs, So do I know that yet? Georgia quarterback.

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Speaker 1: Do I know? Do I know they can run the ball? Again?

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Speaker 1: Do I know that they can play specifically on the

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Speaker 1: defensive line the way that Kirby's teams need to be

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Speaker 1: to be dominant, to be the team to beat Ohio

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Speaker 1: State same thing, defensive line, new offensive coordinator, new defensive coordinator,

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Speaker 1: entirely new team. There is no team to beat. So

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Speaker 1: I remember back to last year. This is where this

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Speaker 1: is all kind of going. I remember back to last

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Speaker 1: year and how crazy some of the stuff we saw was,

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Speaker 1: and then I think, well, that was kind of with

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Speaker 1: somewhat of an established hierarchy, at least we thought we knew.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I would have looked at Ohio State's team

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Speaker 1: going into last year and I would have said, that's

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Speaker 1: the team to beat in the Big Ten, that's the

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Speaker 1: team to beat. I think most of the country looked

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Speaker 1: at Georgia going into the season last year and said

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Speaker 1: in the SEC, that's the team to beat. We weren't

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Speaker 1: quite as high on Georgia last year, but we were

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Speaker 1: the exception. The rule was Carson Beck's the Heisman favorite,

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Speaker 1: George is the favorite, and whether people were right or not,

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Speaker 1: there was an established pecking order in the preseason. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so what if I would have told you in June

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Speaker 1: or July of last year, Hey, I think Bama's gonna

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Speaker 1: get out to a four touchdown lead against Georgia. They're

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Speaker 1: gonna go on to win, but they're gonna get beat

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Speaker 1: by Vandy the next week. You would have said, yeah,

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Speaker 1: maybe one of those things gonna happen, but both of

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Speaker 1: those things aren't gonna happen. Ha ha ha. Laugh them

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Speaker 1: out of the building. Yeah, well it happened. What if

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Speaker 1: I would have told you Northern Illinois is gonna beat

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame, but way for it. Notre Dame is gonna

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Speaker 1: go on to play for the national championship, you would

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Speaker 1: have said, one of them's gonna happen. Both of those

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Speaker 1: things are not gonna happen. In fact, you probably would

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Speaker 1: have told me, in no world is Notre Dame gonna

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Speaker 1: play for a national championship. Hahaha, laugh them out of

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Speaker 1: the building. Well it happened. What if I also told

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Speaker 1: you Ohio State gonna lose to Oregon Classic Game, but

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Speaker 1: then they're gonna also lose as nearly a three touchdown

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Speaker 1: favorite to Michigan, but then go on to win the

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Speaker 1: national championship. You would have said, in what world do

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Speaker 1: all of those things happen in the same year? Ha

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Speaker 1: ha ha Oh. By the way, Arizona State second worst

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Speaker 1: odds in the Big Twelve, They're gonna go win the

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Speaker 1: Big Twelve. They're gonna win the conference championship. Indiana's gonna

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Speaker 1: go to the playoff. SMU is gonna go to the playoff.

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Speaker 1: Every one of those would have been laughed at, which

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Speaker 1: go go back to Mimaw's age old assertion, and that is,

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Speaker 1: there are no stupid predictions in college football, because anyone

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Speaker 1: at any given point in the history of this game

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Speaker 1: who would have accurately predicted what was to come in

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Speaker 1: a season in July, by the very definition of how

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Speaker 1: insane this sport is, would have had to sound crazy

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Speaker 1: in the summer. Think back to the most structured year

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Speaker 1: where everything went according to script. Even in those years,

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Speaker 1: there's some craziness that you would have sounded ridiculous predicting

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Speaker 1: in July. So if we start to wade out into

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Speaker 1: the water a little bit and we don't have perceived structure,

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Speaker 1: there is no team to be There is no really,

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Speaker 1: there is no hierarchy to speak of. The likes of

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Speaker 1: which we used to have. There's no goliath to slay,

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Speaker 1: there are no monsters that you have to overcome. They're

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Speaker 1: just hurdles of differing degrees of height. But a bunch

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Speaker 1: of folks could clear them. If that's the case, and

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Speaker 1: if we're not just missing an elite team ready to

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Speaker 1: ready to sprout up during the season, then you could

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Speaker 1: have unforetold amounts of insanity the likes of which we

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Speaker 1: speak about. You know, with seasons like seven in the past,

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Speaker 1: I'd say twenty twenty one was pretty crazy. You got

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Speaker 1: Georgia winning a national championship after losing to the team

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Speaker 1: they beat the national title in the conference championship game,

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Speaker 1: and then the road to that title game was just

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Speaker 1: littered with upsets all over the place. I just think

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Speaker 1: a team to beat or two may emerge. But Jeffrey,

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Speaker 1: to answer your question, I don't know where the team

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Speaker 1: to beat is. I mean the top five of the

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Speaker 1: top six. Bradley, throw those odds up again, just to

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Speaker 1: hammer this point home one more time. You got a

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Speaker 1: FanDuel right now. The odds to win the national championship

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Speaker 1: look pretty familiar. I just read them to you a

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Speaker 1: second ago. Five of those top six teams are starting

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Speaker 1: new quarterbacks. There is no SEC team in the odds

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Speaker 1: market right now with a win total above nine and

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Speaker 1: a half. Do you realize that now? That means there's

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Speaker 1: probably going to be a whole lot of relative competitive

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Speaker 1: balance in the SEC. But that's the whole point. And

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Speaker 1: then the other thing to take home is where are

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Speaker 1: the proven commodities at quarterback? Penn State, Clemson? That's really

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Speaker 1: what we're talking about there. You know as well as

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Speaker 1: I do that you look at Penn State and Clemson

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Speaker 1: right now the same way you looked at Notre Dame

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Speaker 1: up until last year. They may make the National Championship Game,

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Speaker 1: but you're gonna have to see it to believe it.

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Speaker 1: I don't even have any problem with that kind of logic.

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Speaker 1: Penn State has not earned the benefit of the doubt

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Speaker 1: for us to say, hey got a couple of thousand

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Speaker 1: yard rushers, good offensive line, quarterback like what they did

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Speaker 1: in the portal at wide receiver, good defense happens there

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Speaker 1: every year. Yeah, this is the year I think they'll

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Speaker 1: make it to the title game. No, this year they

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Speaker 1: may possibly make it there, they're not team to beat

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Speaker 1: material Penn State's not team to beat material Clemson. Clemson

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Speaker 1: has not played the caliber of ball at wide receiver

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Speaker 1: or defense in a little while that you to play

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Speaker 1: to earn that benefit of the doubt. The difference is

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Speaker 1: you've seen Clemson do it before, so it may be

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Speaker 1: a little easier for you to buy Clemson. But be real,

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Speaker 1: I think it was Chris Drew I believe the other

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Speaker 1: day was making the point that, hey, the most stable

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Speaker 1: commodities Penn State, for example, in the Big Ten, or

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Speaker 1: Clemson in the ACC. They are these teams that nobody

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Speaker 1: has a problem anointing. Right now, I'm doing it Like

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Speaker 1: with Penn State. I've got no problem telling you, hey,

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Speaker 1: I think I think very highly of Penn State, and

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Speaker 1: I've got far more questions about Ohio State. But you

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Speaker 1: think I'm about to pick Penn State to win a

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Speaker 1: national title before I pick Ohio State to do it again?

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Speaker 1: Just blindly, I will give benefit of the doubt to

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Speaker 1: unproven players and coordinators all over the roster at Ohio

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Speaker 1: State before I give it to Penn State. And the

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Speaker 1: reason is because I've watched this sport for a long time,

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Speaker 1: so that doesn't mean you can't break through it just

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Speaker 1: means that's the task you've got to break through. And

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Speaker 1: that's sort of the beauty of the setup right here.

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Speaker 1: The setup is the place is where you do know

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Speaker 1: the quarterback and you've got continuity on the coaching staff,

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Speaker 1: or they upgraded the staffs, and Clemson and Penn State

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Speaker 1: both did that. Even then, do you really believe they're

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Speaker 1: gonna win a national title? Make a lot of money?

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Speaker 1: If you do believe that they're watching us all over

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Speaker 1: the place. We appreciate that we got a good live

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Speaker 1: audience watching this tonight. You may have an Academy Sports

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Speaker 1: and Outdoors in your backyard. If you do, and you

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Speaker 1: live a normal life like most of us do, there's

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Speaker 1: something for you at Academy Sports and Outdoors. Now it

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Speaker 1: could be grilling equipment, it could be fishing equipment, it

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Speaker 1: could be soccer equipment, baseball equipment, football season. I'm told

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Speaker 1: we'll eventually get here. You can gear up, and you

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Speaker 1: can gear up at Academy Sports and Outdoors. They are

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Speaker 1: the presenting partner of our show. But let's say, like Matthew,

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Speaker 1: you live like somewhere where there's not an Academy Sports

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Speaker 1: and Outdoors in your backyard, Internet's there for you, Academy

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Speaker 1: dot Com, and you can make purchases there or purchase

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Speaker 1: plural purchases there that are plural purchase that you're gonna

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Speaker 1: have to make them anyway. You can just help us

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Speaker 1: in the process because they make the show free and

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Speaker 1: they have for a long time, and we appreciate them.

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Speaker 1: Let's roll on. I want to keep a nice, steady

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Speaker 1: tempo tonight. Yeah. By the way, I got a lot

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Speaker 1: of people in the live chat asking about recruiting. Oh, yes, Oh,

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Speaker 1: I've noticed. Yes, friends, I've noticed what's been going on.

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame. I see what you're doing, Bama. I saw

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Speaker 1: what they did today, Georgia landing a recruit every hour

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Speaker 1: on the hour for about the past month. Yeah, I've noticed,

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Speaker 1: and I'm gonna talk about it, and I'm gonna talk

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Speaker 1: about something that even people who don't care about recruiting

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Speaker 1: need to stick around and pay attention to. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: get to that in a second. Several of you have

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Speaker 1: asked us to do the schedule draft that we used

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Speaker 1: to do, and I'll probably do that closer to the season.

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Speaker 1: But I'll tell you what, Bradley, here's a good endpoint

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Speaker 1: for you in the meantime. I was looking at the

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Speaker 1: schedule earlier today and I got like fifty million games

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Speaker 1: on the board. But I was drilling it down. If

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Speaker 1: I just applied my own personal interests as a filter,

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Speaker 1: which games am I personally just the most excited about seeing.

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Speaker 1: I put ten of them on the sheet tonight. I

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Speaker 1: could go like fifty deep on this Ohio state at Michigan,

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Speaker 1: even though it's the very end of the year. I

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Speaker 1: don't know how you start anywhere other than that. We're

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Speaker 1: talking about a streak now, especially the latter stage of

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Speaker 1: that street last year that defies all explanation. I went

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Speaker 1: back and watched that game over the weekend, and knowing

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Speaker 1: the ending, it's even more baffling, just amazing. And so

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Speaker 1: they go to ann Arbor this year and they're replacing

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Speaker 1: a lot of pieces, and we've seen them favored by

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Speaker 1: a little we've seen favored by a lot that they've

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Speaker 1: gone over for several years against Michigan now, and so

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Speaker 1: I think about the puckering effect. There's the puckering effect,

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Speaker 1: and how much more puckering you have the closer and

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Speaker 1: closer that game gets. Here We've learned that the age

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Speaker 1: old adage you throw the records out the window actually

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Speaker 1: does apply in this game. So I'm looking forward to

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Speaker 1: that one much earlier in the year, so I'll reel

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Speaker 1: it all the way back into Week five. I think

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Speaker 1: it's the biggest rivalry in the SEC has been for

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Speaker 1: several years right now, or the most important rivalry in

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Speaker 1: the SEC. That is Alabama Georgia. They played last year

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Speaker 1: in Tuscaloosa. Bama goes to Georgia in Week five. That

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Speaker 1: one's way up there on the excitement scale. I think

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Speaker 1: the story between those two brands, I mean they're going

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Speaker 1: head to head and recruiting they do every year. There

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Speaker 1: is like there's like sort of a Cold War hostility

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Speaker 1: between one and the other. They're not historic rivals. It's

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Speaker 1: not like Bama Auburn. It's not like Georgia Florida. But

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Speaker 1: the Mark Rick thing, and then the Nick Saban coming

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Speaker 1: in and supplanting Georgia, and then Georgia taking Kirby Smart,

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Speaker 1: and then those two just going head to head and

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Speaker 1: Saban gets the better of him most of the time,

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Speaker 1: but then Kirby tops Nick Saban to win the national championship.

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Speaker 1: In all the while, you're just you got Georgia measuring

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Speaker 1: themselves against Alabama, and the fan bases border each other.

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Speaker 1: It's just I grew up on the banks of the

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Speaker 1: Chattahoochee River, and so I have very unique perspective in

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Speaker 1: the dynamic between Alabama and Georgia and Alabama, when's the

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Speaker 1: last time they went to Athens, like ten years ago?

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Speaker 1: Basically that one's going to be a really good one.

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Speaker 1: The same day as that happens, in fact, the same

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Speaker 1: hour that that game happens, we'll have Oregon versus Penn State.

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Speaker 1: It's one of the trade offs of this sport. It's

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Speaker 1: one of the trade offs of getting a Penn State

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Speaker 1: big game finally in white out primetime, is it was

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Speaker 1: going to overlap with another big game. That's okay, we

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Speaker 1: have dealt with this before. We do have the means

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Speaker 1: of technology at our disposal. Hey Dan landing in Oregon

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Speaker 1: replacing a lot as well, and they go into Happy

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Speaker 1: Valley pretty early in the year, and the you know,

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Speaker 1: the book on James Franklin and Penn State has been

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Speaker 1: what really good in a lot of areas not elite,

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Speaker 1: and part of the beef that even the home fans

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Speaker 1: have there is we got to beat big teams. Well,

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Speaker 1: here's your first shot. You really have two of those

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Speaker 1: shots this year. You know, James Franklin's got to take

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Speaker 1: every game seriously. But as far as people who just

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Speaker 1: get to sit in the stands or they get to

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Speaker 1: talking to microphone, you're looking at Oregon on September twenty seventh.

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Speaker 1: You're looking at at Ohio State November. First. It's not

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Speaker 1: that other folks can't beat you, but those are the

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Speaker 1: two opponents you'll be measured against. Can you go one

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Speaker 1: and two against them this year? That's the really good

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Speaker 1: shot against Oregon on September twenty seventh, and I cannot

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Speaker 1: wait to just look at that atmosphere. It's one of

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Speaker 1: those games where it's nice to have audio, but it

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Speaker 1: doesn't matter if you have that one on mute. Penn

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Speaker 1: State wide outs are the kind of game where even

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Speaker 1: if the TV's on mute, you can still hear it.

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Speaker 1: For it already, I can't wait for it. What about

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Speaker 1: week one? I didn't forget about Week one. LSU goes

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Speaker 1: to Clemson in Week one. LSU has had this ridiculous

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Speaker 1: stretch of not being able to win in week one.

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Speaker 1: Now I credit them because they could dial up a

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Speaker 1: cupcake and get themselves a w right now if they

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Speaker 1: needed to, But they keep scheduling up in week one.

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Speaker 1: That's the good part. The bad part is got to

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Speaker 1: win one of these things eventually. And this is not

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Speaker 1: neutral site. God bless them for it. It's not neutral site.

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Speaker 1: So they're going into Clemson, and I mean, I'm going

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Speaker 1: to talk about this later in the show, but you

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Speaker 1: think about how big that week is for LSU. Well,

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Speaker 1: I also think about how big it is for Clemson

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Speaker 1: and to somewhat lesser but still relative extent, the ACC

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Speaker 1: and then that matters way on down the road. But

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Speaker 1: the whole proven commodity thing at quarterback, we talked about

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Speaker 1: Klubnick a little while ago. You know, we talked about

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Speaker 1: Drew Aller a little while ago. Garrett nus Meyer's in

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Speaker 1: that category two. So I mean, we get two of

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Speaker 1: the most proven commodities at quarterback facing off against each other,

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Speaker 1: if you want to put it that way, in week one.

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Speaker 1: They're never on the field at the same time. But

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Speaker 1: you also, I mean, think about how bad Brian Kelly

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Speaker 1: needs this one. Think about the impact if Clemson goes

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Speaker 1: in there and wins that thing and the loser of

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Speaker 1: that game is not out of anything, you know, because

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Speaker 1: you can lose two or three games and make the playoff,

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Speaker 1: but just the immediate pressure cooker that you're under because

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Speaker 1: they're going to have sky high expectations at both places

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Speaker 1: and someone's got to lose in week one, and then

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Speaker 1: of course you ask, well, what was the margin? Three

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Speaker 1: point game? Not a big deal. If someone losing by seventeen,

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Speaker 1: that's a little bit different. The number five game I

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Speaker 1: have is in week six. Not many people are talking

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Speaker 1: about this game. It's got game of the year potential

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Speaker 1: written all over it, It's got atmosphere of the year

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Speaker 1: potential written all over it. Texas at Florida, I man,

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Speaker 1: I'm telling you, Texas at Florida has the makings of

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Speaker 1: a great one that no one's really talking about it

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Speaker 1: out of traditional rivalry. Texas blew a DJ Lagway list

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Speaker 1: Florida out last year, so it's not really on many

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Speaker 1: people's radars. But I was in Austin a couple of

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Speaker 1: months ago. I promise you it's on their radar, I

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Speaker 1: promise you. And no one's taking it. No one's taking

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Speaker 1: it for granted, no one's taking that trip lightly in Austin.

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Speaker 1: But I think the college football public is Florida will

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Speaker 1: have already been tested several times by the time this

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Speaker 1: one rolls around. Texas will have already gone to Ohio State,

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Speaker 1: and so this is the second really really tough road

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Speaker 1: game for them. But think about the fact that this

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Speaker 1: is either going to be mid afternoon or a night kickoff.

428
00:22:37,040 --> 00:22:41,040
Speaker 1: I'd put my money on a primetime kickoff. Florida is

429
00:22:42,200 --> 00:22:46,520
Speaker 1: not a bigger conversation piece in the national championship picture,

430
00:22:46,960 --> 00:22:50,760
Speaker 1: mainly because of their schedule. But the thing about a

431
00:22:50,840 --> 00:22:53,320
Speaker 1: schedule is you don't play a schedule any given week.

432
00:22:53,359 --> 00:22:56,560
Speaker 1: You play one opponent on that schedule, and that's kind

433
00:22:56,600 --> 00:22:59,480
Speaker 1: of the way you got to tackle that psychologically, Texas

434
00:22:59,480 --> 00:23:01,600
Speaker 1: going in there, You think about Florida just being up

435
00:23:01,600 --> 00:23:04,800
Speaker 1: ten to nothing late first quarter, going into the second quarter,

436
00:23:05,119 --> 00:23:07,280
Speaker 1: it's ten to three. I mean, think about what the

437
00:23:07,280 --> 00:23:10,359
Speaker 1: Swamp could sound like. I am waiting for the Swamp

438
00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:13,960
Speaker 1: to sort of be reintroduced on the national scene. A

439
00:23:13,960 --> 00:23:16,119
Speaker 1: lot of people when we did our Toughest Places to

440
00:23:16,160 --> 00:23:19,160
Speaker 1: Play list last week, they said, hey, if Florida is elite,

441
00:23:19,600 --> 00:23:22,159
Speaker 1: the Swamp should be number one. Well, you know what,

442
00:23:22,200 --> 00:23:24,000
Speaker 1: I don't disagree with that. It's been a long time

443
00:23:24,359 --> 00:23:26,880
Speaker 1: since Florida has been elite, so maybe that's this year.

444
00:23:27,680 --> 00:23:32,720
Speaker 1: We turned the paper over here. Number six. I struggled

445
00:23:32,720 --> 00:23:37,040
Speaker 1: with where to place this one. But this also could

446
00:23:37,040 --> 00:23:39,520
Speaker 1: be a game of the year. Texas Tech plays Arizona

447
00:23:39,520 --> 00:23:42,879
Speaker 1: State this year. I don't really know. The odds market

448
00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:44,719
Speaker 1: can say what it says. These are my two favorites

449
00:23:44,760 --> 00:23:47,640
Speaker 1: in the conference this year. Texas Tech goes to Arizona State.

450
00:23:47,680 --> 00:23:51,159
Speaker 1: Arizona State and Texas Tech sort of a dichotomy. And

451
00:23:51,200 --> 00:23:53,800
Speaker 1: the way these rosters were put together, you got the

452
00:23:54,000 --> 00:23:56,879
Speaker 1: Big Twelve chant from a year ago. You got a

453
00:23:56,920 --> 00:23:59,400
Speaker 1: program that is geared up to win one this year.

454
00:23:59,520 --> 00:24:01,280
Speaker 1: I mean they've on all out in the portal to

455
00:24:01,320 --> 00:24:04,800
Speaker 1: win one this year. Incredible time to be in Lubbock,

456
00:24:04,840 --> 00:24:07,680
Speaker 1: But this game's in Tempe and it's in Week eight.

457
00:24:08,560 --> 00:24:10,640
Speaker 1: It could be one of two times that they play

458
00:24:10,680 --> 00:24:12,960
Speaker 1: each other this year. The odds to win the Big

459
00:24:12,960 --> 00:24:16,880
Speaker 1: Twelve Championship have fluctuated a lot. You look on your

460
00:24:17,000 --> 00:24:21,320
Speaker 1: screen right now, you've got one, two, three, four, five,

461
00:24:21,480 --> 00:24:25,280
Speaker 1: really six teams with pretty comparable odds. So you get

462
00:24:25,320 --> 00:24:27,600
Speaker 1: half a dozen teams that are kind of like a

463
00:24:27,600 --> 00:24:32,960
Speaker 1: little accordion just packed together. Kansas State's won Utah, Texas Tech,

464
00:24:33,000 --> 00:24:36,600
Speaker 1: Arizona State all have the same odds. If I'm running

465
00:24:36,600 --> 00:24:39,680
Speaker 1: a sports book, it's Texas Tech, Arizona State one two

466
00:24:39,720 --> 00:24:43,720
Speaker 1: in any given order. But that one has instant classic

467
00:24:43,720 --> 00:24:46,320
Speaker 1: written all over it. It's got game of the year

468
00:24:46,359 --> 00:24:48,959
Speaker 1: atmosphere in the Big twelve written all over it. I

469
00:24:49,040 --> 00:24:51,920
Speaker 1: was in Tempe for Brigham Young coming in there last

470
00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:56,199
Speaker 1: year place is amazing. What about week one? Just go

471
00:24:56,320 --> 00:24:59,679
Speaker 1: back to week one for a second. I'm flying all

472
00:24:59,680 --> 00:25:03,200
Speaker 1: around the map right now. Notre Dame goes to Miami

473
00:25:03,240 --> 00:25:09,200
Speaker 1: in week one? Notre Dame at Miami, what do we expect? Well,

474
00:25:09,560 --> 00:25:12,080
Speaker 1: the whole thing about Carson Beck going to Miami is

475
00:25:12,080 --> 00:25:14,600
Speaker 1: it's a good move for them and probably a good

476
00:25:14,600 --> 00:25:16,960
Speaker 1: move for him as well. But he's coming off the

477
00:25:17,000 --> 00:25:21,879
Speaker 1: injury and you hear that he's throwing. I mean, Mario

478
00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:24,400
Speaker 1: came on our show and gave us an update. He's

479
00:25:24,760 --> 00:25:27,000
Speaker 1: he's throwing, and this is like a month ago. We

480
00:25:27,040 --> 00:25:30,720
Speaker 1: expect him to be full go for week one? Okay?

481
00:25:30,520 --> 00:25:32,920
Speaker 1: Is he full go for week one? And by that

482
00:25:33,000 --> 00:25:35,120
Speaker 1: I don't mean like, is he cleared medically. I mean,

483
00:25:35,160 --> 00:25:39,359
Speaker 1: when we turn on this game, is Carson Beck one

484
00:25:39,440 --> 00:25:42,719
Speaker 1: hundred percent of himself against Notre Dame. Now that's not

485
00:25:42,760 --> 00:25:44,679
Speaker 1: all it takes to win. Then you got to have

486
00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:47,520
Speaker 1: that Miami offensive line stand up. You got to have

487
00:25:47,640 --> 00:25:50,400
Speaker 1: receivers catch the ball for him, because he didn't necessarily

488
00:25:50,480 --> 00:25:52,520
Speaker 1: have that all the time last year. Oh and by

489
00:25:52,600 --> 00:25:53,800
Speaker 1: the way, they got to be able to move the

490
00:25:53,800 --> 00:25:56,879
Speaker 1: ball against a really, really good Notre Dame defense. And

491
00:25:56,920 --> 00:26:00,119
Speaker 1: then on the other side, we're watching CJ. Carr and

492
00:26:00,119 --> 00:26:02,800
Speaker 1: we're watching a new Notre Dame quarterback. There. We're also

493
00:26:03,280 --> 00:26:06,359
Speaker 1: watching hopefully a Miami defense that's playing a lot better

494
00:26:06,640 --> 00:26:09,040
Speaker 1: than it did last year with a new coordinator. Point is,

495
00:26:09,320 --> 00:26:10,960
Speaker 1: there's a whole bunch of if, and there's a whole

496
00:26:11,000 --> 00:26:14,359
Speaker 1: bunch of mystery and intrigue. And it's week one and

497
00:26:14,440 --> 00:26:16,000
Speaker 1: I know a lot of you like to dog the

498
00:26:16,040 --> 00:26:18,960
Speaker 1: atmosphere at Miami games. I bet you that one sold

499
00:26:18,960 --> 00:26:24,240
Speaker 1: out last time Notre Dame went down there. Go search

500
00:26:24,320 --> 00:26:27,679
Speaker 1: that one on YouTube. You will not believe that's a

501
00:26:27,720 --> 00:26:30,520
Speaker 1: Miami home game. And Miami smoked them. And it's just

502
00:26:30,600 --> 00:26:34,240
Speaker 1: this little taste of what even hard rock stadium can

503
00:26:34,280 --> 00:26:37,879
Speaker 1: be on any given night, any given Saturday night, although

504
00:26:37,920 --> 00:26:40,600
Speaker 1: I think this is a Sunday night game. But point

505
00:26:40,680 --> 00:26:44,119
Speaker 1: stands there, if you get a winning team on the field,

506
00:26:44,359 --> 00:26:46,920
Speaker 1: it helps if you have Notre Dame in town. So

507
00:26:47,000 --> 00:26:49,120
Speaker 1: I'm looking forward to that one also in week one,

508
00:26:49,480 --> 00:26:54,760
Speaker 1: earlier in the day the previous day, so Saturday at noon. Famously,

509
00:26:55,520 --> 00:26:59,120
Speaker 1: Texas at Ohio State. We may be at this game

510
00:26:59,240 --> 00:27:02,840
Speaker 1: for all I know. But Texas at Ohio State, I

511
00:27:02,840 --> 00:27:05,439
Speaker 1: don't really need to hype a whole lot. They just

512
00:27:05,600 --> 00:27:09,080
Speaker 1: met in the playoffs. Last year, they are in any

513
00:27:09,240 --> 00:27:12,320
Speaker 1: odds market fan duel included two of the favorites to

514
00:27:12,359 --> 00:27:14,360
Speaker 1: win it all. This year, they're the favorites and their

515
00:27:14,359 --> 00:27:18,320
Speaker 1: respective conferences, and yet question marks all over the place.

516
00:27:18,680 --> 00:27:21,320
Speaker 1: This is one where you know, if you're around a

517
00:27:21,400 --> 00:27:24,480
Speaker 1: tailgate scene on the Saturday of a big game and

518
00:27:24,520 --> 00:27:27,359
Speaker 1: you're interacting with the opposing fans, there're gonna be a

519
00:27:27,440 --> 00:27:30,119
Speaker 1: lot of Texas Longhorn fans in Columbus, Ohio for the

520
00:27:30,200 --> 00:27:34,400
Speaker 1: first time, and so you know they'll interact with the locals,

521
00:27:34,400 --> 00:27:37,240
Speaker 1: and I guarantee you this will be set a whole lot. Hey,

522
00:27:37,240 --> 00:27:39,359
Speaker 1: It'll be a good game either way. I don't know

523
00:27:39,359 --> 00:27:41,359
Speaker 1: if it'll be a good game. Someone could lose this

524
00:27:41,440 --> 00:27:45,600
Speaker 1: by thirty. I don't know. There's so much variance and

525
00:27:45,680 --> 00:27:49,600
Speaker 1: potential outcome here. If I simulated this game one hundred times,

526
00:27:50,640 --> 00:27:55,200
Speaker 1: do you realize how scatterplotted the potential outcomes would be,

527
00:27:55,640 --> 00:27:58,879
Speaker 1: you know, relative to that LSU Clemson game, Like I

528
00:27:58,920 --> 00:28:01,640
Speaker 1: think most of the time that's close game. I could

529
00:28:01,640 --> 00:28:04,200
Speaker 1: see Texas or Ohio State winning this thing twenty seven

530
00:28:04,280 --> 00:28:07,160
Speaker 1: to ten, either one of them. I could see that theoretically,

531
00:28:07,560 --> 00:28:13,159
Speaker 1: And that's what makes it so intriguing. Love it. What

532
00:28:13,280 --> 00:28:16,600
Speaker 1: about week three, we haven't had a whole lot of

533
00:28:16,640 --> 00:28:20,600
Speaker 1: ACC flavor. The ACC game I'm looking forward to most,

534
00:28:21,480 --> 00:28:25,760
Speaker 1: maybe the whole year, is Clemson at Georgia Tech in

535
00:28:25,800 --> 00:28:29,359
Speaker 1: week three, because as you know, I'm very high on

536
00:28:29,440 --> 00:28:32,760
Speaker 1: Georgia Tech. Clemson's going in there, and think about this,

537
00:28:32,840 --> 00:28:36,200
Speaker 1: So this is only week three. The Clemson's already played LSU,

538
00:28:36,520 --> 00:28:38,640
Speaker 1: not in a conference game, but they already played LSU. Now,

539
00:28:38,920 --> 00:28:42,640
Speaker 1: if Clemson won that game, then everyone's hyping them up

540
00:28:42,680 --> 00:28:45,719
Speaker 1: as a national championship contender even more so than they

541
00:28:45,720 --> 00:28:51,400
Speaker 1: already are. Georgia Tech's already played Colorado by now, and

542
00:28:51,520 --> 00:28:55,200
Speaker 1: so we don't necessarily know what that'll look like. Georgia

543
00:28:55,240 --> 00:28:57,480
Speaker 1: Tech will be a short favorite, I would imagine in

544
00:28:57,560 --> 00:29:01,719
Speaker 1: that game. But this right here, it's where if Georgia

545
00:29:01,760 --> 00:29:04,160
Speaker 1: Tech's going to be a player, we may find out.

546
00:29:04,400 --> 00:29:07,680
Speaker 1: Don't even necessarily need to beat Clemson. But I mean,

547
00:29:07,760 --> 00:29:11,000
Speaker 1: remember Georgia Tech last year they beat Miami at home.

548
00:29:11,320 --> 00:29:13,680
Speaker 1: They took Georgia to half a dozen overtimes. I wish

549
00:29:13,720 --> 00:29:15,600
Speaker 1: that was a joke, but that's a real headline. They

550
00:29:15,640 --> 00:29:19,000
Speaker 1: lost to Syracuse by three. I think they lost a

551
00:29:19,000 --> 00:29:21,640
Speaker 1: couple of games without Haines King. I think that team

552
00:29:21,720 --> 00:29:24,400
Speaker 1: was better last year than their record indicating, and I

553
00:29:24,400 --> 00:29:26,640
Speaker 1: think they're a dark horse player for a playoff spot

554
00:29:26,640 --> 00:29:29,600
Speaker 1: this year. So if I'm right about that, we will

555
00:29:29,880 --> 00:29:32,880
Speaker 1: start to find out in that Week three game, and

556
00:29:32,920 --> 00:29:35,040
Speaker 1: then also a couple of teams I haven't mentioned yet.

557
00:29:35,120 --> 00:29:37,320
Speaker 1: Just to sort of round out this list, which is

558
00:29:37,320 --> 00:29:40,160
Speaker 1: a list of my opinion. I want to stress this

559
00:29:40,160 --> 00:29:42,760
Speaker 1: this is not the opinion of any company at large.

560
00:29:42,800 --> 00:29:46,800
Speaker 1: It is just it's not the biggest playoff implication games.

561
00:29:46,800 --> 00:29:50,200
Speaker 1: It's just the games that I'm personally looking at, and

562
00:29:50,280 --> 00:29:53,360
Speaker 1: I've circled them I'm looking forward to and South Carolina

563
00:29:53,400 --> 00:29:56,680
Speaker 1: at Old Miss. That's just another game that's randomly thrown

564
00:29:56,680 --> 00:30:00,400
Speaker 1: in the SEC slate. That's in week ten. All right,

565
00:30:00,480 --> 00:30:05,240
Speaker 1: So so last year we watch Ole Miss. Inexcusable that

566
00:30:05,240 --> 00:30:07,120
Speaker 1: team didn't find a way to make it to the playoff.

567
00:30:07,280 --> 00:30:10,520
Speaker 1: So now this year, a little bit more questions. Defensively

568
00:30:10,600 --> 00:30:12,960
Speaker 1: Austin Simmons, what's it going to be at quarterback? But

569
00:30:13,120 --> 00:30:15,640
Speaker 1: that's in the preseason. This is by week ten, so

570
00:30:15,760 --> 00:30:18,320
Speaker 1: we've we've hopefully figured that out. Well, what if he's

571
00:30:18,360 --> 00:30:22,920
Speaker 1: really good? What if Leonora Sellers has wide receivers to

572
00:30:23,000 --> 00:30:25,680
Speaker 1: throw too, What if the tailback room gets figured out there?

573
00:30:26,160 --> 00:30:29,640
Speaker 1: What if those defensive departures didn't cripple South Carolina and

574
00:30:31,040 --> 00:30:33,480
Speaker 1: they're going on a road and these are two contenders

575
00:30:33,480 --> 00:30:36,120
Speaker 1: to go to the SEC championship game. What if they're

576
00:30:36,200 --> 00:30:39,600
Speaker 1: fringe playoff contenders. I just think that one is a game.

577
00:30:39,640 --> 00:30:42,360
Speaker 1: I also looked at ou South Carolina, but that's a

578
00:30:42,440 --> 00:30:44,920
Speaker 1: game in the interest of getting as many teams on

579
00:30:44,960 --> 00:30:47,400
Speaker 1: here as possible that I also think could carry a

580
00:30:47,440 --> 00:30:50,360
Speaker 1: lot of weight. So those are just ten games out

581
00:30:50,400 --> 00:30:52,960
Speaker 1: of the million or two million that I'm looking forward

582
00:30:53,000 --> 00:30:55,240
Speaker 1: to this year. All right, let's move it on. I

583
00:30:55,240 --> 00:30:58,000
Speaker 1: got to crack open the ZVA for this. I felt bad,

584
00:30:58,560 --> 00:31:01,880
Speaker 1: really bad about uh home, let me make sure that's

585
00:31:01,880 --> 00:31:04,880
Speaker 1: not shaken up. All right, we're good. I felt really bad.

586
00:31:05,600 --> 00:31:10,040
Speaker 1: Not that I apologize for touting orange creamsickles z Evia lately,

587
00:31:10,040 --> 00:31:14,240
Speaker 1: because it's incredible. I feel like I've thrown cream soda

588
00:31:14,320 --> 00:31:16,760
Speaker 1: under the bus a little bit, and so I've already

589
00:31:16,840 --> 00:31:20,800
Speaker 1: expressed this to him slash her privately. It's more an

590
00:31:20,800 --> 00:31:24,760
Speaker 1: androgynous can I think. Yeah, I don't know. I don't

591
00:31:24,760 --> 00:31:27,480
Speaker 1: know what it is. But I have expressed this to

592
00:31:27,520 --> 00:31:30,360
Speaker 1: cream soda privately. But I want to say publicly, there's

593
00:31:30,400 --> 00:31:33,880
Speaker 1: still plenty of room in my pantry for you, and

594
00:31:34,240 --> 00:31:36,960
Speaker 1: plenty of room in my fridge for you. I haven't

595
00:31:37,000 --> 00:31:39,200
Speaker 1: knocked you out of the running. Number two is still

596
00:31:39,240 --> 00:31:41,960
Speaker 1: a really good place to be on the power ratings,

597
00:31:42,280 --> 00:31:47,240
Speaker 1: and it's no knock on them. I'm look, does that

598
00:31:47,280 --> 00:31:49,440
Speaker 1: look like it was painful to do? If you're listening

599
00:31:49,440 --> 00:31:53,400
Speaker 1: on podcasts, Hardly any of that made sense. But Zvas

600
00:31:53,400 --> 00:31:56,080
Speaker 1: shipped me some orange cream sickle and it just it

601
00:31:56,200 --> 00:31:59,240
Speaker 1: rocketed up to the top of my power ratings. But

602
00:31:59,320 --> 00:32:01,960
Speaker 1: Cream so still right there. Cream Sawda my first love

603
00:32:02,600 --> 00:32:05,479
Speaker 1: of the Zevia brand. It was my first love, so

604
00:32:05,720 --> 00:32:13,400
Speaker 1: we appreciate them. Okay, Caine hit me from Bethany, Indiana.

605
00:32:13,600 --> 00:32:16,000
Speaker 1: I feel like we've gotten to know you pretty well

606
00:32:16,000 --> 00:32:18,120
Speaker 1: over the years. But I want to know what the

607
00:32:18,160 --> 00:32:21,960
Speaker 1: biggest regrets of your life are. If you don't mind sharing.

608
00:32:22,240 --> 00:32:25,640
Speaker 1: Oh no, Kine, not at all. Absolutely on this college

609
00:32:25,640 --> 00:32:29,640
Speaker 1: football show, let me delve deeply into my personal bag

610
00:32:29,680 --> 00:32:32,920
Speaker 1: of issues. So they're like half a dozen regrets that

611
00:32:33,080 --> 00:32:35,360
Speaker 1: I can't share on air now there aren't really I

612
00:32:35,400 --> 00:32:37,720
Speaker 1: don't have a ton of regrets. But Jesse asked me

613
00:32:37,760 --> 00:32:41,360
Speaker 1: this earlier today. I'm gonna give you one non football.

614
00:32:41,360 --> 00:32:47,360
Speaker 1: I'm gonna give you one football. So I was a kid.

615
00:32:47,920 --> 00:32:50,680
Speaker 1: It was summertime. I was over at Memo's house. I

616
00:32:50,680 --> 00:32:52,160
Speaker 1: stayed at me Moo's house during the day in the

617
00:32:52,160 --> 00:32:54,960
Speaker 1: summer and during the school year until my parents picked

618
00:32:54,960 --> 00:32:57,200
Speaker 1: me up after work. So I'm over at me Mo's house.

619
00:32:57,200 --> 00:33:00,840
Speaker 1: I'm on her driveway in Phoenix City, Alabama, thirty fifth

620
00:33:00,840 --> 00:33:05,320
Speaker 1: Street for those interested, And I saw roly Poly on

621
00:33:05,360 --> 00:33:07,720
Speaker 1: the ground. I assume most of you know what a

622
00:33:07,800 --> 00:33:09,720
Speaker 1: roly polyy is. You may have different names for him,

623
00:33:09,720 --> 00:33:11,720
Speaker 1: but they're just those little bugs that roll up in

624
00:33:11,760 --> 00:33:14,160
Speaker 1: a ball when they're scared. And I used to play

625
00:33:14,200 --> 00:33:15,640
Speaker 1: with the roly polies all the time, you know, you

626
00:33:15,720 --> 00:33:17,520
Speaker 1: let them crawl up your arm and stuff like that.

627
00:33:17,680 --> 00:33:20,479
Speaker 1: They mainly just tickle. They don't bite, and they're very friendly.

628
00:33:21,520 --> 00:33:23,440
Speaker 1: And I'm on my bike one day. Okay, so there's

629
00:33:23,480 --> 00:33:26,600
Speaker 1: one on her driveway. I've never done any harm to

630
00:33:26,640 --> 00:33:30,200
Speaker 1: animals like before or since. I rolled my bike tire

631
00:33:30,320 --> 00:33:37,080
Speaker 1: intentionally over the roly polyly. I killed it. I cried, still,

632
00:33:37,080 --> 00:33:39,120
Speaker 1: not fully over it. I don't know why it stuck

633
00:33:39,160 --> 00:33:42,000
Speaker 1: with me all these years. Mem did me no favors

634
00:33:42,080 --> 00:33:45,520
Speaker 1: that day. In the interest of teaching me a lasting lesson.

635
00:33:46,000 --> 00:33:48,480
Speaker 1: Mema said things like, what did he do to you?

636
00:33:49,120 --> 00:33:51,960
Speaker 1: Do you really think he deserved that? He didn't mean

637
00:33:52,000 --> 00:33:56,360
Speaker 1: you any harm? It worked. It worked. Not that I

638
00:33:56,400 --> 00:33:57,960
Speaker 1: was ever going to be prone to any kind of

639
00:33:58,040 --> 00:34:02,080
Speaker 1: animal cruelty, but if I ever was, Memo corrected the

640
00:34:02,120 --> 00:34:05,640
Speaker 1: behavior that day. I don't know why. Like I could

641
00:34:05,640 --> 00:34:08,560
Speaker 1: not tell you what I had for lunch three days ago,

642
00:34:08,640 --> 00:34:10,719
Speaker 1: but I remember the murder of the roly polly on

643
00:34:10,719 --> 00:34:13,440
Speaker 1: Memo's driveway in the summer of whatever year that was.

644
00:34:13,760 --> 00:34:17,279
Speaker 1: So that's a personal life regret. I wish I could

645
00:34:17,280 --> 00:34:20,440
Speaker 1: bring that roly Poly back to life. The football regret.

646
00:34:20,560 --> 00:34:24,440
Speaker 1: I have told you on this show before. I many many,

647
00:34:24,480 --> 00:34:28,799
Speaker 1: many times on these airwaves, have said that it is

648
00:34:28,920 --> 00:34:33,000
Speaker 1: my goal one day to have access to private aviation

649
00:34:33,160 --> 00:34:35,200
Speaker 1: where we can go to multiple games in the same day.

650
00:34:37,000 --> 00:34:39,680
Speaker 1: But in the meantime, what I was gonna need was

651
00:34:39,840 --> 00:34:42,239
Speaker 1: a noon game and then the ability to get to

652
00:34:42,320 --> 00:34:44,319
Speaker 1: a primetime game. And I wanted to go to like

653
00:34:44,360 --> 00:34:46,279
Speaker 1: two big games in the same day. So a few

654
00:34:46,360 --> 00:34:49,960
Speaker 1: years ago I go to the red River Shootout, a

655
00:34:50,040 --> 00:34:52,800
Speaker 1: game known by no other name than that on this show,

656
00:34:52,960 --> 00:34:56,760
Speaker 1: and that was I believe that's the game that Lincoln

657
00:34:56,840 --> 00:35:00,160
Speaker 1: put Caleb Williams in Ou comes back to win my

658
00:35:00,160 --> 00:35:02,759
Speaker 1: first red River game. So I'm at that game. If

659
00:35:02,840 --> 00:35:04,920
Speaker 1: I remember this correctly, I know I was in Dallas

660
00:35:04,960 --> 00:35:07,919
Speaker 1: at OU Texas, and so that game happens and it's

661
00:35:08,000 --> 00:35:11,160
Speaker 1: it's a phenomenal game. And then that's the night that

662
00:35:11,200 --> 00:35:14,400
Speaker 1: Bama was playing at AMM, so I had time to

663
00:35:14,440 --> 00:35:17,000
Speaker 1: get down to College Station. But if you'll remember, Bama

664
00:35:17,040 --> 00:35:20,680
Speaker 1: was favored by between three and four touchdowns. They were

665
00:35:20,719 --> 00:35:26,520
Speaker 1: in the twenties as a favorite. So I've gone through

666
00:35:26,560 --> 00:35:30,160
Speaker 1: this like decade plus worth of watching Nick Saban teams

667
00:35:30,239 --> 00:35:33,319
Speaker 1: lay waste to the competition. And I mean it was

668
00:35:33,440 --> 00:35:35,359
Speaker 1: very common to turn on a Bama game and they're

669
00:35:35,400 --> 00:35:38,200
Speaker 1: up forty two to ten in the fourth quarter. And

670
00:35:38,239 --> 00:35:40,160
Speaker 1: so I thought to myself, Man, do I really want

671
00:35:40,200 --> 00:35:43,120
Speaker 1: to pass up the opportunity to fly home and get

672
00:35:43,200 --> 00:35:47,239
Speaker 1: back to Nashville before the sun goes down versus going

673
00:35:47,280 --> 00:35:49,640
Speaker 1: down to college station and then you're watching a blowout

674
00:35:49,680 --> 00:35:51,160
Speaker 1: and then you got to wait till the next morning

675
00:35:51,520 --> 00:35:53,160
Speaker 1: to get back home on the same day you're going

676
00:35:53,200 --> 00:35:56,319
Speaker 1: to do a show. So I was weak mentally. I

677
00:35:56,400 --> 00:35:58,719
Speaker 1: was just weak enough at that moment. And so I

678
00:35:58,800 --> 00:36:03,080
Speaker 1: go over to the air Important Austin and I'm getting

679
00:36:03,080 --> 00:36:06,160
Speaker 1: on my flight and I'm flying home. Then we were

680
00:36:06,200 --> 00:36:09,680
Speaker 1: over I don't know where we were. We were over

681
00:36:09,719 --> 00:36:13,520
Speaker 1: like Arkansas when you realized, yeah, you've made a big mistake,

682
00:36:13,840 --> 00:36:16,920
Speaker 1: and then of course you're home. About the time Seth Small,

683
00:36:16,960 --> 00:36:19,040
Speaker 1: I think was the kicker he hits the game when

684
00:36:19,040 --> 00:36:22,319
Speaker 1: he kicked to beat Alabama. They stormed the field and

685
00:36:22,520 --> 00:36:26,000
Speaker 1: like an idiot. I've got a credential in my book

686
00:36:26,080 --> 00:36:31,080
Speaker 1: bag and I'm in Nashville while everyone else it looks

687
00:36:31,120 --> 00:36:33,600
Speaker 1: like they kicked over an ant bet on Kyle Field

688
00:36:33,920 --> 00:36:37,600
Speaker 1: and everyone's just swarmed the field. There I was. That's

689
00:36:37,600 --> 00:36:40,640
Speaker 1: a regret. That's a regret I still have to this day.

690
00:36:41,280 --> 00:36:45,680
Speaker 1: Can we do anything about it? No? Can we use

691
00:36:45,719 --> 00:36:49,240
Speaker 1: it to inform our decision making in the future, Yes,

692
00:36:49,400 --> 00:36:52,640
Speaker 1: we can, and we will. Let's move on. We got

693
00:36:52,640 --> 00:36:55,440
Speaker 1: something really important talk about here, really really important. Not

694
00:36:55,520 --> 00:36:58,960
Speaker 1: that that wasn't important. Don't murder roly pollies go to

695
00:36:59,040 --> 00:37:01,839
Speaker 1: multiple games in the same day if you can. All right,

696
00:37:01,920 --> 00:37:04,120
Speaker 1: I hope you wrote both of those down. Kids. We

697
00:37:04,160 --> 00:37:06,640
Speaker 1: try and be informative as a show here at Payton State.

698
00:37:06,960 --> 00:37:10,840
Speaker 1: We are an educational institution after all, so we do

699
00:37:10,960 --> 00:37:15,560
Speaker 1: care about teaching. Recruiting has not been what it used

700
00:37:15,600 --> 00:37:17,640
Speaker 1: to be for a little while. I've had a big

701
00:37:17,680 --> 00:37:19,560
Speaker 1: problem with it. I have felt like it's been one

702
00:37:19,600 --> 00:37:24,400
Speaker 1: of the more underreported problems in college football, and I

703
00:37:24,400 --> 00:37:26,879
Speaker 1: think people have hesitated to touch it because they've been

704
00:37:27,760 --> 00:37:30,880
Speaker 1: touching like the cause is instead of one of the symptoms. Well,

705
00:37:30,960 --> 00:37:34,080
Speaker 1: this has been one of the symptoms. Well, I think

706
00:37:34,120 --> 00:37:36,919
Speaker 1: recruiting is correcting itself in a major way. I think

707
00:37:36,960 --> 00:37:39,720
Speaker 1: recruiting is on the way to maybe, if not becoming

708
00:37:39,760 --> 00:37:43,600
Speaker 1: great again, becoming really, really really good again. So I'm

709
00:37:43,640 --> 00:37:45,160
Speaker 1: going to tell you what I mean by that. Let

710
00:37:45,160 --> 00:37:46,840
Speaker 1: me get you caught up on what's been happening. So,

711
00:37:47,280 --> 00:37:50,680
Speaker 1: what used to happen in January now happens in July.

712
00:37:51,239 --> 00:37:54,080
Speaker 1: Back in the traditional days where National Signing Day was

713
00:37:54,120 --> 00:37:56,680
Speaker 1: the first Wednesday in February, you know, you got done

714
00:37:56,680 --> 00:38:00,560
Speaker 1: with the season, and then there was like early January, January,

715
00:38:00,680 --> 00:38:03,719
Speaker 1: late January, you had all the official visits happening, and

716
00:38:03,800 --> 00:38:06,760
Speaker 1: people are like locking down their commitments and maybe somebody's

717
00:38:06,800 --> 00:38:09,879
Speaker 1: gonna make a decision on signing Day. Well, that all

718
00:38:09,960 --> 00:38:12,640
Speaker 1: happens because of the early signing day. Now that all

719
00:38:12,640 --> 00:38:17,040
Speaker 1: happens in the summer before those kids senior years. It's

720
00:38:17,080 --> 00:38:20,239
Speaker 1: a difference, but it's okay. If everything else stayed the same,

721
00:38:20,239 --> 00:38:24,239
Speaker 1: that'd be okay. So it didn't all stay the same,

722
00:38:24,600 --> 00:38:26,319
Speaker 1: and that's been one of the problems. But I'll get

723
00:38:26,320 --> 00:38:28,480
Speaker 1: to that in a second. First thing I've noticed lately,

724
00:38:28,920 --> 00:38:31,279
Speaker 1: just to get you caught up on what's happening, notre

725
00:38:31,360 --> 00:38:33,879
Speaker 1: Dame has the number three class in the country. Notre

726
00:38:33,960 --> 00:38:36,200
Speaker 1: Dame has been on a roll. It's a very, very

727
00:38:36,239 --> 00:38:39,560
Speaker 1: big deal, only because there was shake up there this

728
00:38:39,640 --> 00:38:43,520
Speaker 1: past cycle at the general manager position. You'll notice a

729
00:38:43,520 --> 00:38:46,440
Speaker 1: lot of the noise USC has been making. There's a

730
00:38:46,480 --> 00:38:49,120
Speaker 1: lot of talk and controversy around that. I don't care.

731
00:38:49,200 --> 00:38:50,960
Speaker 1: I just want to let it play out. And I

732
00:38:50,960 --> 00:38:52,840
Speaker 1: felt the same way about Notre Dame. A lot of

733
00:38:52,880 --> 00:38:55,439
Speaker 1: people had looked at Notre Dame and they said, hey,

734
00:38:56,840 --> 00:38:59,759
Speaker 1: Chad Bowden, he left there, he went to USC, So

735
00:39:00,120 --> 00:39:02,759
Speaker 1: that place they're gonna lose their way in recruiting. And

736
00:39:02,800 --> 00:39:05,360
Speaker 1: I was like, maybe they will, maybe they won't. Let's

737
00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:08,319
Speaker 1: just wait and see early returns. Our Notre Dame is

738
00:39:08,320 --> 00:39:11,720
Speaker 1: going to be just fine recruiting. Not that USC hasn't

739
00:39:11,760 --> 00:39:14,319
Speaker 1: improved as well, but it looks like both sides of

740
00:39:14,320 --> 00:39:18,359
Speaker 1: that coin right now are okay. And this is it

741
00:39:18,400 --> 00:39:20,480
Speaker 1: looks like one of the best classes Freeman will have

742
00:39:20,520 --> 00:39:23,880
Speaker 1: ever landed. Of course, we have to add it in, guys.

743
00:39:24,400 --> 00:39:27,439
Speaker 1: Let's toss up the red flair. Let's burn our first

744
00:39:27,520 --> 00:39:31,360
Speaker 1: and final time out. Let me lean forward for effect.

745
00:39:32,080 --> 00:39:35,760
Speaker 1: I know none of this is official until they sign

746
00:39:35,960 --> 00:39:42,080
Speaker 1: an enroll. I know, I know, I know. So if

747
00:39:42,120 --> 00:39:45,520
Speaker 1: you were thinking about going to the comment section and saying,

748
00:39:46,040 --> 00:39:49,719
Speaker 1: we'll see what happens in December, let me save you

749
00:39:49,760 --> 00:39:53,600
Speaker 1: the time. I know. Did everyone hear it? Was? I

750
00:39:53,680 --> 00:39:58,360
Speaker 1: clear enough? Okay? That is considered stated and understood. For

751
00:39:58,600 --> 00:40:01,520
Speaker 1: every comment that I ever make about recruiting in June

752
00:40:01,600 --> 00:40:04,520
Speaker 1: or July from now until eternity. We all know it's

753
00:40:04,560 --> 00:40:08,719
Speaker 1: not official until they sign an enroll. Having said that,

754
00:40:09,480 --> 00:40:12,440
Speaker 1: as we've said many times, vast majority of verbal commits

755
00:40:12,520 --> 00:40:15,200
Speaker 1: right now will enroll at the school they're committed to.

756
00:40:15,600 --> 00:40:17,960
Speaker 1: And you can't throw exceptions to the rule at me

757
00:40:18,080 --> 00:40:20,360
Speaker 1: and say, ah see, you were wrong. I'm not wrong.

758
00:40:20,719 --> 00:40:23,359
Speaker 1: I know, I'm not wrong. I offer the offer every year,

759
00:40:23,440 --> 00:40:25,760
Speaker 1: no one ever takes it. I'll give you one thousand

760
00:40:25,840 --> 00:40:28,000
Speaker 1: dollars for every d commitment if you give me a

761
00:40:28,080 --> 00:40:30,719
Speaker 1: thousand for every commitment that sticks in the history of

762
00:40:30,719 --> 00:40:33,760
Speaker 1: the show, no one's ever taken it. So verbal commits

763
00:40:33,840 --> 00:40:36,719
Speaker 1: must mean at least something, not everything, but something. So

764
00:40:36,880 --> 00:40:41,560
Speaker 1: Notre Dame's been rolling Georgia, I don't know. They've probably

765
00:40:41,560 --> 00:40:44,600
Speaker 1: gotten three more commits since the show started. Tonight. Georgia's

766
00:40:44,600 --> 00:40:46,520
Speaker 1: gotten the number two class in the country right now.

767
00:40:47,239 --> 00:40:51,360
Speaker 1: It is June twenty ninth. Georgia's got fourteen commits this month,

768
00:40:52,400 --> 00:40:55,880
Speaker 1: a lot of in state kids, a lot of in

769
00:40:56,000 --> 00:41:00,920
Speaker 1: state kids. We've talked to Kirby about that before on

770
00:41:01,000 --> 00:41:02,600
Speaker 1: how many in state kids you want to take. You

771
00:41:02,640 --> 00:41:04,640
Speaker 1: want to take the best kids. You'd love to have

772
00:41:04,719 --> 00:41:06,920
Speaker 1: them be from the state of Georgia. But even a

773
00:41:06,960 --> 00:41:08,880
Speaker 1: state is loaded as Georgia, it's not always going to

774
00:41:08,920 --> 00:41:12,960
Speaker 1: provide you a perfect recruited class, like a perfect subset

775
00:41:13,000 --> 00:41:14,600
Speaker 1: of what you want your roster to be. So you

776
00:41:14,680 --> 00:41:18,760
Speaker 1: got to recruit nationally, and you can if you're Georgia. However,

777
00:41:19,760 --> 00:41:22,600
Speaker 1: I think maybe even that staff would tell you. If

778
00:41:22,600 --> 00:41:26,399
Speaker 1: we're talking degrees of difference, and that head coach there,

779
00:41:26,480 --> 00:41:30,000
Speaker 1: Kirby Smart's talking about prioritizing guys that will go over

780
00:41:30,040 --> 00:41:33,799
Speaker 1: the cliff and play for the g you probably have

781
00:41:33,880 --> 00:41:38,239
Speaker 1: had to collect yourself a little bit and maybe look

782
00:41:38,320 --> 00:41:42,160
Speaker 1: back in state more, or maybe lean five or ten

783
00:41:42,200 --> 00:41:44,960
Speaker 1: degrees more in state than you would have been two

784
00:41:45,080 --> 00:41:48,200
Speaker 1: or three years ago. I think that's probably an accurate

785
00:41:48,239 --> 00:41:51,680
Speaker 1: way of stating what their strategy there is, and it's

786
00:41:51,680 --> 00:41:54,160
Speaker 1: paying off and it'll continue to pay off causes Georgia.

787
00:41:55,160 --> 00:41:57,000
Speaker 1: You want to know who else is red hot right now?

788
00:41:57,480 --> 00:42:05,560
Speaker 1: Alabama is killing it. And I have just headline after

789
00:42:05,719 --> 00:42:10,600
Speaker 1: headline here about how terrible Kaylin de Bor is gonna

790
00:42:10,640 --> 00:42:13,719
Speaker 1: find the way of recruiting in the SEC. I mean,

791
00:42:14,120 --> 00:42:17,400
Speaker 1: Kaylen de Bor is gonna have to basically, he's gonna

792
00:42:17,440 --> 00:42:20,560
Speaker 1: have to put a welfare roster together and just gonna

793
00:42:20,560 --> 00:42:22,520
Speaker 1: have to settle for the scraps of everyone else and

794
00:42:22,880 --> 00:42:26,919
Speaker 1: hope to, you know, play on the margins and light

795
00:42:27,000 --> 00:42:29,680
Speaker 1: all that on fire. They're killing it in recruiting. They

796
00:42:29,719 --> 00:42:32,480
Speaker 1: just landed Xavier Griffin today. That's the number one edge

797
00:42:32,480 --> 00:42:34,240
Speaker 1: player in the country. You got a five star running

798
00:42:34,239 --> 00:42:41,120
Speaker 1: back earlier this week. Look, there's a lot going on

799
00:42:41,239 --> 00:42:44,319
Speaker 1: right now in recruiting. I don't cover recruiting a whole lot.

800
00:42:45,480 --> 00:42:48,080
Speaker 1: I normally don't get in the weeds of it, but

801
00:42:48,160 --> 00:42:50,399
Speaker 1: I'm telling you at a more fifty thousand foot level.

802
00:42:51,040 --> 00:42:53,960
Speaker 1: I said something earlier today, and I want to triple

803
00:42:54,000 --> 00:42:57,080
Speaker 1: down on it right now. Show me the tweet. Bradley

804
00:42:57,320 --> 00:43:00,720
Speaker 1: and I actually put this out earlier today. I said,

805
00:43:00,840 --> 00:43:04,560
Speaker 1: recruiting has felt way more like recruiting again this cycle

806
00:43:04,960 --> 00:43:09,640
Speaker 1: than the previous several years. And I was smiling when

807
00:43:09,680 --> 00:43:12,920
Speaker 1: I type that. Of course, many of you asked, what

808
00:43:12,960 --> 00:43:16,959
Speaker 1: do you mean by that? Well, first I want to ask,

809
00:43:17,000 --> 00:43:19,880
Speaker 1: do you feel any differently about recruiting this cycle? Now?

810
00:43:20,280 --> 00:43:22,719
Speaker 1: I know that many of you have given up on

811
00:43:22,760 --> 00:43:26,200
Speaker 1: recruiting and you just stop paying attention to it. That's fair.

812
00:43:26,280 --> 00:43:29,360
Speaker 1: I did. I paid less attention to it, so I

813
00:43:29,440 --> 00:43:32,800
Speaker 1: get it, like many, many, many people had been turned

814
00:43:32,800 --> 00:43:36,200
Speaker 1: off by recruiting that they used to follow hardcore because

815
00:43:36,239 --> 00:43:39,920
Speaker 1: of what the total lack of structure in college football

816
00:43:40,560 --> 00:43:44,600
Speaker 1: had done to recruiting. We've had, we've had a critical

817
00:43:44,680 --> 00:43:46,800
Speaker 1: lack of structure in college football for a long time,

818
00:43:47,000 --> 00:43:49,239
Speaker 1: and it's hurt many things. One of the things that

819
00:43:49,360 --> 00:43:52,239
Speaker 1: killed was interest in recruiting because a lot of people

820
00:43:52,280 --> 00:43:54,120
Speaker 1: looked around and said, if it's just going to be

821
00:43:54,200 --> 00:43:57,560
Speaker 1: nothing but a bidding war and relationships don't matter, that's

822
00:43:57,600 --> 00:43:59,359
Speaker 1: not as fun to follow. Oh and by the way,

823
00:43:59,480 --> 00:44:03,239
Speaker 1: if if you're teaching me through my observed experience that

824
00:44:03,320 --> 00:44:05,920
Speaker 1: once a kid gets on campus, he may just transfer

825
00:44:06,040 --> 00:44:08,719
Speaker 1: three times in a four year span. And not only

826
00:44:08,800 --> 00:44:11,880
Speaker 1: does a commitment not mean anything but a signed scholarship

827
00:44:11,920 --> 00:44:14,440
Speaker 1: doesn't even mean anything more. Why should I invest my

828
00:44:14,520 --> 00:44:17,560
Speaker 1: time and energy and emotion into this. I know many

829
00:44:17,600 --> 00:44:20,080
Speaker 1: of you feel that way. The data backs it up.

830
00:44:20,440 --> 00:44:24,359
Speaker 1: I felt that way. I have been of the same ideology.

831
00:44:24,440 --> 00:44:29,040
Speaker 1: So I've got great news for you if you feel

832
00:44:29,040 --> 00:44:32,400
Speaker 1: that way. I think things have changed. I think things

833
00:44:32,400 --> 00:44:36,120
Speaker 1: have changed radically this cycle. I think things have changed.

834
00:44:36,120 --> 00:44:38,799
Speaker 1: And I can't quantify it for you yet because we

835
00:44:38,840 --> 00:44:41,920
Speaker 1: haven't even finished the cycle. But I'm telling you it's different.

836
00:44:42,520 --> 00:44:45,640
Speaker 1: I'm telling you, yes, yes, yes, there are still bidding

837
00:44:45,680 --> 00:44:48,879
Speaker 1: wars out there, but more so than ever before. Let

838
00:44:48,880 --> 00:44:52,319
Speaker 1: me tell you the word that I'm seeing reintroduced into

839
00:44:52,360 --> 00:44:57,480
Speaker 1: the recruiting lexicon, and that is relationship. So these new

840
00:44:57,560 --> 00:45:01,200
Speaker 1: rules that were just passed a bypropduct of the House Settlement,

841
00:45:01,920 --> 00:45:04,840
Speaker 1: multi billion dollar question was is everyone going to adhere

842
00:45:04,880 --> 00:45:07,920
Speaker 1: to these rules? Like You've got the revenue sharing number

843
00:45:08,600 --> 00:45:13,360
Speaker 1: twenty million whatever it is, and the University of Tennessee knows,

844
00:45:13,719 --> 00:45:15,920
Speaker 1: and the University of Georgia knows, they can divvy up

845
00:45:15,920 --> 00:45:19,399
Speaker 1: that money however much they want to. But after that,

846
00:45:19,600 --> 00:45:22,719
Speaker 1: nil has got to really be nil. You know, you

847
00:45:22,719 --> 00:45:25,040
Speaker 1: can't just use it as a pay for play mechanism.

848
00:45:25,480 --> 00:45:28,479
Speaker 1: Well yeah, but everyone kind of assumed when the House

849
00:45:28,480 --> 00:45:31,799
Speaker 1: Settlement was passed that's ripe to be challenged in court,

850
00:45:31,960 --> 00:45:36,080
Speaker 1: and it will be challenged in court. The good news

851
00:45:36,120 --> 00:45:39,319
Speaker 1: that I can give you is in the interim, a

852
00:45:39,560 --> 00:45:45,840
Speaker 1: shocking number of coaching staffs have voluntarily sort of chosen

853
00:45:45,880 --> 00:45:49,160
Speaker 1: to abide by those guidelines. Not all of them. There

854
00:45:49,200 --> 00:45:52,399
Speaker 1: are rogue exceptions. It is not even worthwhile to get

855
00:45:52,440 --> 00:45:54,520
Speaker 1: into it on the show tonight. I think if people

856
00:45:54,560 --> 00:45:59,200
Speaker 1: follow recruiting hardcore, most of you know which programs may

857
00:45:59,200 --> 00:46:01,919
Speaker 1: be the exception to that rule right now. But by

858
00:46:02,040 --> 00:46:05,680
Speaker 1: and large, a lot of these staffs have taken it

859
00:46:05,719 --> 00:46:08,080
Speaker 1: upon themselves. And I think maybe at the conference level,

860
00:46:08,440 --> 00:46:11,200
Speaker 1: a lot of these commissioners have, as me Ma would say,

861
00:46:11,320 --> 00:46:13,759
Speaker 1: jerk them not in a lot of people and made

862
00:46:13,800 --> 00:46:15,919
Speaker 1: them toe the line a whole lot more. And what

863
00:46:15,960 --> 00:46:20,680
Speaker 1: you're seeing as a result is this really really quick

864
00:46:21,120 --> 00:46:24,960
Speaker 1: like jolt back to the flavor that recruiting had ten

865
00:46:25,040 --> 00:46:28,799
Speaker 1: years ago, where hey, we're still offering kids a whole

866
00:46:28,800 --> 00:46:32,040
Speaker 1: bunch of money now, So you're still offering kids, relatively speaking,

867
00:46:32,520 --> 00:46:34,839
Speaker 1: way more than they will have been offered ten years ago.

868
00:46:34,920 --> 00:46:37,759
Speaker 1: But here's the difference. Like if I'm PAYT State and

869
00:46:37,840 --> 00:46:42,480
Speaker 1: I'm competing against Oklahoma, obviously this is a theoretical and

870
00:46:42,760 --> 00:46:45,800
Speaker 1: I offer the kid three hundred and fifty thousand dollars

871
00:46:45,800 --> 00:46:47,640
Speaker 1: to come to pay State and OU comes in with

872
00:46:47,719 --> 00:46:50,399
Speaker 1: a million, he's going to owe you. That's a ton

873
00:46:50,440 --> 00:46:53,279
Speaker 1: of money. Even if he loves the coaching staff here,

874
00:46:53,800 --> 00:46:57,160
Speaker 1: even if I have a proven track record of established

875
00:46:57,400 --> 00:47:00,680
Speaker 1: development in his position, it's a million dollars. He's gonna

876
00:47:00,719 --> 00:47:04,799
Speaker 1: go there. However, if paid State's offering him two eighty

877
00:47:04,880 --> 00:47:09,000
Speaker 1: and OU's offering him three ten, well that gap is

878
00:47:09,040 --> 00:47:11,680
Speaker 1: no longer enough to overcome all the advantages I have

879
00:47:12,200 --> 00:47:16,000
Speaker 1: because I'm doing business the right way. Over here. We're

880
00:47:16,040 --> 00:47:18,680
Speaker 1: seeing that a lot, is my point. We're seeing that

881
00:47:18,719 --> 00:47:21,879
Speaker 1: a lot. And as much as people want to just assume, oh,

882
00:47:21,880 --> 00:47:24,600
Speaker 1: it's still a bidding war, Oh all these kids, it's

883
00:47:24,640 --> 00:47:28,279
Speaker 1: just a bidding war. Money's involved, I can only tell

884
00:47:28,320 --> 00:47:32,040
Speaker 1: you the feedback I'm getting and my observed experience as well.

885
00:47:32,680 --> 00:47:35,080
Speaker 1: It's not anywhere close to what it was even last

886
00:47:35,120 --> 00:47:40,239
Speaker 1: cycle and even two cycles ago. And I'll let other

887
00:47:40,239 --> 00:47:42,440
Speaker 1: guys report on this. I'm telling you a lot of

888
00:47:42,440 --> 00:47:44,640
Speaker 1: these hot a lot of these top rated kids are

889
00:47:44,640 --> 00:47:47,680
Speaker 1: not going to the highest bidder, not even close. In

890
00:47:48,360 --> 00:47:51,840
Speaker 1: many high profile examples, these kids aren't going to the

891
00:47:51,920 --> 00:47:55,440
Speaker 1: highest bidder. They're going to a place that's gonna compensate

892
00:47:55,480 --> 00:47:59,000
Speaker 1: them enough. Those places have probably also sold them that

893
00:47:59,760 --> 00:48:03,000
Speaker 1: on the front end, we're gonna guarantee you less, sort

894
00:48:03,000 --> 00:48:04,920
Speaker 1: of an mg A minimum guarantee. That's gonna be a

895
00:48:04,960 --> 00:48:07,680
Speaker 1: little less. But you know what the hockey stick effect is,

896
00:48:08,080 --> 00:48:11,480
Speaker 1: that's your earnings potential down the road. That's your next

897
00:48:11,560 --> 00:48:14,080
Speaker 1: forty years instead of four years. If you come to

898
00:48:14,120 --> 00:48:16,520
Speaker 1: the place that develops you the right way, where you

899
00:48:16,560 --> 00:48:19,120
Speaker 1: have the best relationships, where you fit the best, and

900
00:48:19,400 --> 00:48:22,200
Speaker 1: that used to be a norm in recruiting, and then

901
00:48:22,239 --> 00:48:26,920
Speaker 1: it went away for a little while. That's back. That's back,

902
00:48:27,040 --> 00:48:29,960
Speaker 1: at least in the short term. That's back. It's very

903
00:48:30,040 --> 00:48:33,840
Speaker 1: encouraging to me because I'm not sitting here rooting for

904
00:48:33,880 --> 00:48:35,719
Speaker 1: any one team to have the number one class in

905
00:48:35,760 --> 00:48:41,239
Speaker 1: the country. What I want is classes that consist of

906
00:48:41,360 --> 00:48:43,960
Speaker 1: guys that committed to a place for the right reasons,

907
00:48:45,360 --> 00:48:50,240
Speaker 1: and the right reasons aren't always what landed their agent

908
00:48:50,440 --> 00:48:55,960
Speaker 1: the biggest commission. The right reasons are I'm a linebacker.

909
00:48:56,320 --> 00:48:58,480
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go play at this school because they've pumped

910
00:48:58,520 --> 00:49:02,440
Speaker 1: guys into the NFL at my position. I love that position. Coach,

911
00:49:03,000 --> 00:49:06,000
Speaker 1: my family loved the official visit. I felt at home

912
00:49:06,400 --> 00:49:09,680
Speaker 1: on campus. If I take care of business there and

913
00:49:09,719 --> 00:49:12,840
Speaker 1: I'm right about the developmental aspect and the relational aspect,

914
00:49:12,920 --> 00:49:15,600
Speaker 1: I'm gonna make a ton of money anyway there and

915
00:49:15,719 --> 00:49:17,879
Speaker 1: at the next level. But even if I don't play

916
00:49:17,920 --> 00:49:19,799
Speaker 1: at the next level, if I'm right on the front

917
00:49:19,880 --> 00:49:23,759
Speaker 1: end about my observation of that program, I'm gonna be

918
00:49:23,800 --> 00:49:25,600
Speaker 1: able to market my name until the end of time

919
00:49:25,680 --> 00:49:28,719
Speaker 1: as having played there, as having been a member of

920
00:49:28,760 --> 00:49:32,200
Speaker 1: that family that's recruiting. That's what it's supposed to be.

921
00:49:32,880 --> 00:49:36,480
Speaker 1: That's what makes it fun to follow as well, instead

922
00:49:36,480 --> 00:49:39,720
Speaker 1: of this ridiculous version of it that you've had force

923
00:49:39,760 --> 00:49:43,600
Speaker 1: fed to you. Lately. It's been so underreported because it's

924
00:49:43,640 --> 00:49:45,840
Speaker 1: been more of a symptom instead of the problem. But

925
00:49:46,120 --> 00:49:50,160
Speaker 1: it's been a huge, huge symptom, a negative symptom of

926
00:49:50,200 --> 00:49:53,640
Speaker 1: the problems of lack of structure in college football. And

927
00:49:54,040 --> 00:49:56,960
Speaker 1: I just look at the NFL. I mean, imagine the

928
00:49:57,040 --> 00:50:01,000
Speaker 1: National Football League if something happened to it that made

929
00:50:01,719 --> 00:50:05,160
Speaker 1: eighty percent of the audience lose interest in the draft overnight.

930
00:50:06,200 --> 00:50:10,200
Speaker 1: The NFL wouldn't disappear. Yes, you'd still watch Chargers versus

931
00:50:10,280 --> 00:50:13,080
Speaker 1: Chiefs on Sunday in the fall, but there would be

932
00:50:13,160 --> 00:50:18,760
Speaker 1: this critical layer of connectivity between you and the league

933
00:50:19,200 --> 00:50:23,800
Speaker 1: that was gone. That's happened over the past five years

934
00:50:24,239 --> 00:50:27,840
Speaker 1: in college football. You've got people who, in some cases,

935
00:50:27,840 --> 00:50:30,840
Speaker 1: they loved recruiting as much as they loved the sport itself.

936
00:50:31,160 --> 00:50:34,480
Speaker 1: It's that much of a second season, it's that much

937
00:50:34,520 --> 00:50:38,160
Speaker 1: of a second competitive arena for many people. I grew

938
00:50:38,200 --> 00:50:41,319
Speaker 1: up like that. I mean I was glued to message boards.

939
00:50:41,360 --> 00:50:46,040
Speaker 1: I was glued to recruiting rankings, player ratings. The passion

940
00:50:46,040 --> 00:50:49,240
Speaker 1: for that disappeared because college football couldn't get its back together,

941
00:50:50,640 --> 00:50:53,000
Speaker 1: and so you lost a lot of people. And you

942
00:50:53,040 --> 00:50:55,319
Speaker 1: didn't lose them. They didn't stop watching the games per se,

943
00:50:55,400 --> 00:51:00,239
Speaker 1: but the connective tissue weakened between your core audience in

944
00:51:00,280 --> 00:51:03,600
Speaker 1: your product. So it's up to you to rectify that.

945
00:51:05,480 --> 00:51:10,040
Speaker 1: And again, fingers crossed. It's still very early in what

946
00:51:10,200 --> 00:51:12,560
Speaker 1: may be a new era, but I feel really good

947
00:51:12,680 --> 00:51:17,200
Speaker 1: that a massively needed shift might be happening, might be

948
00:51:17,600 --> 00:51:22,200
Speaker 1: They're watching SNL Paso, Texas. Liverpool, England is tuned in Edgewater,

949
00:51:22,320 --> 00:51:25,600
Speaker 1: Florida is watching. Louisville, Kentucky is watching I got over.

950
00:51:26,040 --> 00:51:27,960
Speaker 1: Who knows how many thousand watching live right now? I

951
00:51:28,040 --> 00:51:30,839
Speaker 1: see two thousand on YouTube. We appreciate it. I mean, look, hey,

952
00:51:30,840 --> 00:51:34,640
Speaker 1: there's some people out there who think that we should

953
00:51:34,640 --> 00:51:39,120
Speaker 1: take several months off in the summer, recharge the batteries

954
00:51:39,640 --> 00:51:42,880
Speaker 1: whatever that means. No, No, We're just going to do

955
00:51:42,920 --> 00:51:45,400
Speaker 1: it year round. We appreciate the advice, though. I'm going

956
00:51:45,440 --> 00:51:50,200
Speaker 1: to appreciate it. I'm interested in several teams. Are they

957
00:51:50,239 --> 00:51:52,359
Speaker 1: going to be better or worse than they were last year?

958
00:51:52,480 --> 00:51:54,399
Speaker 1: We did this little project the other night. At least

959
00:51:54,440 --> 00:51:56,640
Speaker 1: we started it. I want to continue tonight. Let's talk

960
00:51:56,680 --> 00:52:00,440
Speaker 1: about Florida. Florida was seven and five last year. Florida's

961
00:52:00,440 --> 00:52:03,200
Speaker 1: over underwent total is seven and a half this year.

962
00:52:04,480 --> 00:52:06,359
Speaker 1: Are they going to be better or worse than they

963
00:52:06,360 --> 00:52:09,239
Speaker 1: were last year? I've got Florida as better this year.

964
00:52:09,880 --> 00:52:11,600
Speaker 1: I know a lot of this is about their schedule,

965
00:52:11,960 --> 00:52:13,840
Speaker 1: trust me, I know that. I think they played the

966
00:52:13,840 --> 00:52:16,920
Speaker 1: toughest schedule in the country this year. That team lacked

967
00:52:16,920 --> 00:52:18,879
Speaker 1: an identity at the beginning of the year. Last year,

968
00:52:18,920 --> 00:52:22,239
Speaker 1: they found one as the year went on. I don't

969
00:52:22,280 --> 00:52:25,000
Speaker 1: think they come into this season searching for that. DJ

970
00:52:25,120 --> 00:52:28,799
Speaker 1: Lagway is already somewhat of a star. I think he

971
00:52:28,800 --> 00:52:32,920
Speaker 1: could blossom as a household name nationwide this year. But

972
00:52:33,040 --> 00:52:36,200
Speaker 1: also I think that cause he doesn't have to do

973
00:52:36,239 --> 00:52:39,279
Speaker 1: it all by himself. I can trust their offensive line.

974
00:52:39,280 --> 00:52:41,440
Speaker 1: I can trust that they can run the ball. I

975
00:52:41,440 --> 00:52:46,440
Speaker 1: think the versatility of personnel they have defensively is really

976
00:52:46,760 --> 00:52:50,840
Speaker 1: potentially high level intriguing. But also, I mean, that's a

977
00:52:50,880 --> 00:52:54,120
Speaker 1: team with twenty underclassmen that played two hundred plus snaps

978
00:52:54,160 --> 00:52:58,120
Speaker 1: last year, and like I said, they got tests. We

979
00:52:58,160 --> 00:53:01,480
Speaker 1: don't have to relitigate their schedule. I just think they're

980
00:53:01,480 --> 00:53:04,000
Speaker 1: a really good team. Man. So I'm gonna go above

981
00:53:04,040 --> 00:53:06,520
Speaker 1: seven and a half wins or seven and five season

982
00:53:06,560 --> 00:53:08,080
Speaker 1: last year, so I'm gonna go I'm gonna go eight

983
00:53:08,160 --> 00:53:09,720
Speaker 1: wins or better for him this year. I think Florida

984
00:53:09,760 --> 00:53:13,279
Speaker 1: will be better. Arizona State's a little different story. Not

985
00:53:13,360 --> 00:53:15,480
Speaker 1: that I'm down on Arizona State, but Arizona State was

986
00:53:15,520 --> 00:53:17,319
Speaker 1: ten and two in the regular season last year. This

987
00:53:17,360 --> 00:53:19,960
Speaker 1: is just regular season that we're talking about their win

988
00:53:20,000 --> 00:53:23,359
Speaker 1: totals eight and a half. Right now, I'm gonna I'm

989
00:53:23,360 --> 00:53:25,640
Speaker 1: gonna cop out a little bit on Arizona State. I'm

990
00:53:25,640 --> 00:53:29,239
Speaker 1: gonna say same. I think of them as as kind

991
00:53:29,280 --> 00:53:33,200
Speaker 1: of a ten win caliber team. That's very lofty, by

992
00:53:33,239 --> 00:53:38,320
Speaker 1: the way, given the the volatility of the Big Twelve.

993
00:53:38,920 --> 00:53:42,200
Speaker 1: There's a lot to love about Arizona State. But if

994
00:53:42,239 --> 00:53:45,320
Speaker 1: you tried to ask yourself, okay, how could it go wrong?

995
00:53:46,760 --> 00:53:50,760
Speaker 1: The defense was good last year, not elite Campscattaboy's gone

996
00:53:51,280 --> 00:53:55,920
Speaker 1: at tailback. And also the intangible part is you never

997
00:53:56,160 --> 00:53:59,400
Speaker 1: know what the follow up is. We've seen teams burst

998
00:53:59,480 --> 00:54:03,440
Speaker 1: onto the sea dozens of times in this sports history,

999
00:54:03,480 --> 00:54:06,400
Speaker 1: and so then what happens, Well, naturally you expect a

1000
00:54:06,520 --> 00:54:09,880
Speaker 1: follow up effort that's equal to or better then, especially

1001
00:54:09,960 --> 00:54:11,880
Speaker 1: when you return a lot of your players and the

1002
00:54:12,000 --> 00:54:16,160
Speaker 1: entire coaching staff's back, which is not to be overlooked.

1003
00:54:16,760 --> 00:54:20,400
Speaker 1: That's great, that looks good on paper. This game's not

1004
00:54:20,440 --> 00:54:23,440
Speaker 1: played on paper, and they've got They go to Baylor,

1005
00:54:24,040 --> 00:54:26,799
Speaker 1: they go to Utah, they go to Iowa State. That

1006
00:54:26,880 --> 00:54:29,000
Speaker 1: Texas Tech game at home could be one of the

1007
00:54:29,000 --> 00:54:32,080
Speaker 1: games of the year. TCUs are really tough out sandwich

1008
00:54:32,160 --> 00:54:34,440
Speaker 1: between Baylor and Utah. There's I think a bye week

1009
00:54:34,480 --> 00:54:42,920
Speaker 1: in there. I'm saying same, and I think I think

1010
00:54:42,920 --> 00:54:44,799
Speaker 1: they gets them in the playoff again. They gets them

1011
00:54:44,880 --> 00:54:48,120
Speaker 1: right there in the Big twelve Championship again. What about Michigan.

1012
00:54:49,560 --> 00:54:51,879
Speaker 1: Michigan's a weird team because everyone remembers how they ended

1013
00:54:51,880 --> 00:54:54,760
Speaker 1: the year last year. So Michigan went seven and five,

1014
00:54:55,600 --> 00:54:57,680
Speaker 1: but the last two things you saw them do was

1015
00:54:57,960 --> 00:55:02,759
Speaker 1: beat Ohio State and beat Alabama. Okay, so that's like

1016
00:55:03,680 --> 00:55:06,560
Speaker 1: an evil canevel ramp jump into the next year. But

1017
00:55:06,600 --> 00:55:09,600
Speaker 1: that's also not how this sport works. Momentum year to

1018
00:55:09,680 --> 00:55:12,799
Speaker 1: year is not a real thing. It's talked about a lot,

1019
00:55:12,840 --> 00:55:14,680
Speaker 1: but it's not a real thing. They're over under went

1020
00:55:14,719 --> 00:55:18,360
Speaker 1: totals nine and a half. So Michigan is a team

1021
00:55:18,440 --> 00:55:20,760
Speaker 1: that I think is in sort of a year before

1022
00:55:20,840 --> 00:55:24,400
Speaker 1: the year kind of mentality for me. That the vibe

1023
00:55:24,480 --> 00:55:28,160
Speaker 1: is this is like the year before the year. I

1024
00:55:28,239 --> 00:55:30,320
Speaker 1: still think they'll be better than seven and five, though,

1025
00:55:30,719 --> 00:55:32,239
Speaker 1: So if I had to go better or worse, I'd

1026
00:55:32,280 --> 00:55:34,920
Speaker 1: go better on Michigan. They feel one year away. But

1027
00:55:34,960 --> 00:55:38,120
Speaker 1: they play Ohio State at home. They don't play Oregon.

1028
00:55:38,160 --> 00:55:40,920
Speaker 1: They don't play Penn State at least in the regular season.

1029
00:55:42,719 --> 00:55:45,239
Speaker 1: The whole question about Bryce Underwood is he going to

1030
00:55:45,280 --> 00:55:48,120
Speaker 1: be their starter at quarterback? Well, if he's not, I mean,

1031
00:55:48,160 --> 00:55:50,759
Speaker 1: Mikey Kings play a whole lot of football, so it's

1032
00:55:50,800 --> 00:55:53,799
Speaker 1: not that they'll be. They certainly can't be any worse

1033
00:55:53,840 --> 00:55:55,719
Speaker 1: at quarterback than they were last year. Let me put

1034
00:55:55,760 --> 00:55:57,960
Speaker 1: it that way. I mean, they were abysmal at quarterback

1035
00:55:58,000 --> 00:56:00,800
Speaker 1: last year. They were in the one thirties passing numbers

1036
00:56:00,840 --> 00:56:04,080
Speaker 1: last year. So look, I think they may go under

1037
00:56:04,120 --> 00:56:06,000
Speaker 1: their win total and still be better than they were

1038
00:56:06,080 --> 00:56:09,759
Speaker 1: last year. And lastly, team I talked about a little

1039
00:56:09,760 --> 00:56:13,520
Speaker 1: while ago, Georgia Tech. I mean, I'm going glass half

1040
00:56:13,520 --> 00:56:16,920
Speaker 1: full on like everybody tonight, I got Georgia Tech is

1041
00:56:16,960 --> 00:56:18,880
Speaker 1: better than they were last year. They were seven and

1042
00:56:18,960 --> 00:56:23,120
Speaker 1: five in the regular season, so close, so close to

1043
00:56:23,120 --> 00:56:27,359
Speaker 1: beating Georgia. They beat Miami. They had a couple of

1044
00:56:27,360 --> 00:56:30,800
Speaker 1: losses I think against Notre Dame and Virginia Tech where

1045
00:56:31,480 --> 00:56:35,000
Speaker 1: Haines King didn't play. He was hurt. But I think

1046
00:56:35,000 --> 00:56:39,120
Speaker 1: they're an ACC championship dark horse and I trust the

1047
00:56:39,200 --> 00:56:43,200
Speaker 1: identity of the team. I love the way their schedule

1048
00:56:43,239 --> 00:56:47,600
Speaker 1: sets up. They get their two best opponents in Atlanta Clemson.

1049
00:56:47,640 --> 00:56:50,279
Speaker 1: They play at home. Georgia they play in Mercedes Benz

1050
00:56:50,320 --> 00:56:53,279
Speaker 1: Stadium because that's where Georgia plays every road game. Now,

1051
00:56:54,360 --> 00:56:56,319
Speaker 1: outside of that, they could be favored in every game.

1052
00:56:56,560 --> 00:56:58,799
Speaker 1: Like I'm very, very confident, and I've already bet this.

1053
00:56:58,880 --> 00:57:00,560
Speaker 1: I bet it a long time ago. So I got

1054
00:57:00,560 --> 00:57:02,839
Speaker 1: Georgia Tech is better than seven to five. They're over

1055
00:57:02,880 --> 00:57:05,600
Speaker 1: underwent total is seven and a half, so we're basically

1056
00:57:05,640 --> 00:57:09,200
Speaker 1: betting the total there over or under. You can drive

1057
00:57:09,239 --> 00:57:11,600
Speaker 1: to a lot of those games. You know, you stop

1058
00:57:11,600 --> 00:57:14,200
Speaker 1: at quick trip along the way. A lot of you.

1059
00:57:14,840 --> 00:57:16,680
Speaker 1: I don't know what happened this past week, and a

1060
00:57:16,680 --> 00:57:19,800
Speaker 1: ton of folks took pictures of themselves in a quick

1061
00:57:19,840 --> 00:57:22,320
Speaker 1: trip parking lot. I'm not opposed to it. I'm just

1062
00:57:22,360 --> 00:57:24,600
Speaker 1: saying it. It was like, I didn't remember did we

1063
00:57:24,640 --> 00:57:28,160
Speaker 1: send out a call to action on that last week? Anyway,

1064
00:57:28,200 --> 00:57:30,400
Speaker 1: when you do it, make sure you tag them, tag us.

1065
00:57:31,440 --> 00:57:33,360
Speaker 1: You could get free gas out of it, but either

1066
00:57:33,360 --> 00:57:36,280
Speaker 1: way it helps us. We appreciate them. They're fueling us

1067
00:57:36,320 --> 00:57:39,160
Speaker 1: every step of the way. The entire tour, the Speaker

1068
00:57:39,280 --> 00:57:46,240
Speaker 1: series in the spring, they fueled it up. All right,

1069
00:57:46,280 --> 00:57:51,520
Speaker 1: let's continue. We got some chaos to talk about. Jesse,

1070
00:57:51,640 --> 00:57:54,120
Speaker 1: I may make Jesse, I'm calling an audible. I'm letting

1071
00:57:54,120 --> 00:57:56,840
Speaker 1: you know well ahead of time though. The thing we

1072
00:57:56,840 --> 00:57:59,600
Speaker 1: were going to talk about after this, the BV thing,

1073
00:58:00,480 --> 00:58:02,960
Speaker 1: let's save that for next show. I'm gonna put that

1074
00:58:02,960 --> 00:58:07,840
Speaker 1: piece of paper over here. Okay, got that, that's well

1075
00:58:07,880 --> 00:58:13,000
Speaker 1: ahead of time. In the meantime, we've been talking about

1076
00:58:13,040 --> 00:58:16,040
Speaker 1: chaos a lot on the show. What are some of

1077
00:58:16,080 --> 00:58:18,680
Speaker 1: the things that could really happen this year that would

1078
00:58:18,680 --> 00:58:22,000
Speaker 1: throw everything into a blender? And I was looking at

1079
00:58:22,000 --> 00:58:28,400
Speaker 1: the ACC and guys, not that it will happen, not

1080
00:58:28,520 --> 00:58:31,160
Speaker 1: that I'm predicting it, but I'm gonna pop the paper here.

1081
00:58:32,520 --> 00:58:35,760
Speaker 1: It could go really sideways for the ACC quickly this

1082
00:58:35,880 --> 00:58:39,800
Speaker 1: year as a conference. Week one is so important for

1083
00:58:39,880 --> 00:58:42,439
Speaker 1: this league because it could be great and it could

1084
00:58:42,480 --> 00:58:45,440
Speaker 1: set them up to be a multi bid league, maybe

1085
00:58:45,440 --> 00:58:47,840
Speaker 1: like a two or three bid league in the College

1086
00:58:47,880 --> 00:58:50,880
Speaker 1: Football Playoff. But I'm telling you, if it goes south,

1087
00:58:51,560 --> 00:58:54,360
Speaker 1: and it could go really south in Week one, they

1088
00:58:54,360 --> 00:58:57,480
Speaker 1: could completely cut their legs out from under themselves and

1089
00:58:57,880 --> 00:59:01,360
Speaker 1: be a one bid league max. And the thing about

1090
00:59:01,400 --> 00:59:03,360
Speaker 1: it is listen to these out of conference games, so

1091
00:59:03,640 --> 00:59:08,280
Speaker 1: we know LSU plays Clemson. Clemson's short favorite. BAMA is

1092
00:59:08,320 --> 00:59:12,720
Speaker 1: a double digit favorite against Florida State. Georgia Tech's favored

1093
00:59:12,720 --> 00:59:14,320
Speaker 1: by four and a half on the road, but they're

1094
00:59:14,320 --> 00:59:17,640
Speaker 1: going on the road to Colorado. Notre Dame's favored by

1095
00:59:17,680 --> 00:59:21,200
Speaker 1: three at Miami TCUs favored by three and a half

1096
00:59:21,240 --> 00:59:25,120
Speaker 1: at North Carolina Tennessee. They'll probably be a two touchdown

1097
00:59:25,160 --> 00:59:28,440
Speaker 1: favorite against Syracuse by the time that game happens. South

1098
00:59:28,480 --> 00:59:31,080
Speaker 1: Carolina is nearly a double digit favorite against Virginia Tech.

1099
00:59:31,080 --> 00:59:35,880
Speaker 1: And my point is it's unlikely that the ACC whiffs

1100
00:59:35,880 --> 00:59:38,720
Speaker 1: here and goes oh to seven. It is not out

1101
00:59:38,760 --> 00:59:41,440
Speaker 1: of the roman possibility that they could go to seven

1102
00:59:41,520 --> 00:59:44,680
Speaker 1: or like one and six. And so the point there is, well,

1103
00:59:44,720 --> 00:59:48,200
Speaker 1: that doesn't affect the conference championship race. You're right, it doesn't.

1104
00:59:49,120 --> 00:59:52,240
Speaker 1: The question becomes if you get way down the road

1105
00:59:52,880 --> 00:59:57,040
Speaker 1: and it's selection Sunday, the ACC champ let's say Clemson

1106
00:59:57,040 --> 01:00:00,720
Speaker 1: won the league. They're in and let's say you got

1107
01:00:00,760 --> 01:00:03,760
Speaker 1: like Miami and Louisville and Georgia Tech or something like that,

1108
01:00:03,800 --> 01:00:06,040
Speaker 1: and they're they're fighting to get a second spot in and

1109
01:00:06,120 --> 01:00:09,720
Speaker 1: it's like a seesaw that them against a nine to

1110
01:00:09,760 --> 01:00:12,880
Speaker 1: three Florida or or them and get against Michigan or

1111
01:00:12,880 --> 01:00:17,200
Speaker 1: someone like that. You know how quickly someone's gonna pull

1112
01:00:17,200 --> 01:00:20,880
Speaker 1: out that out of conference record disaster of week one

1113
01:00:21,560 --> 01:00:23,600
Speaker 1: up that should happen, by the way, that's the way

1114
01:00:23,640 --> 01:00:27,600
Speaker 1: it should work. We don't always get a great sample

1115
01:00:27,720 --> 01:00:31,360
Speaker 1: size of conference versus conference, but for the ACC, at

1116
01:00:31,440 --> 01:00:34,880
Speaker 1: least this year, they're gonna have a really healthy sampling.

1117
01:00:35,800 --> 01:00:37,960
Speaker 1: Not to mention, at the end of the year, you know,

1118
01:00:38,000 --> 01:00:40,680
Speaker 1: you get Florida State, Florida, you got Georgia, Georgia Tech,

1119
01:00:40,800 --> 01:00:43,440
Speaker 1: so Clemson, South Carolina, Like, you got a bunch of

1120
01:00:43,440 --> 01:00:45,520
Speaker 1: it on the front end and the back end community.

1121
01:00:45,680 --> 01:00:47,600
Speaker 1: You got a bunch of it that'll go a long

1122
01:00:47,680 --> 01:00:50,960
Speaker 1: way in determining the relative strength of that conference. And

1123
01:00:51,080 --> 01:00:54,360
Speaker 1: I just I look at week one and you want

1124
01:00:54,360 --> 01:00:58,360
Speaker 1: to talk about chaotic, like think about how great the

1125
01:00:58,400 --> 01:01:02,040
Speaker 1: ACC could set itself up up in the non chaotic scenario.

1126
01:01:02,280 --> 01:01:05,360
Speaker 1: But in the chaotic scenario, if you come out of

1127
01:01:05,360 --> 01:01:08,440
Speaker 1: that one and six and the one win is like,

1128
01:01:10,040 --> 01:01:13,920
Speaker 1: you know, Georgia Tech over Colorado or something like that.

1129
01:01:14,040 --> 01:01:16,480
Speaker 1: The kind of game where people look and say, yeah,

1130
01:01:16,560 --> 01:01:18,560
Speaker 1: you beat Colorado. Colorado is not going to be any

1131
01:01:18,560 --> 01:01:20,520
Speaker 1: good this year. The games that mattered, you know, the

1132
01:01:20,520 --> 01:01:24,320
Speaker 1: games that really counted, you all got smoked. Y'all got blanked. Yeah,

1133
01:01:24,440 --> 01:01:27,000
Speaker 1: that could happen, And if that happens, you got no

1134
01:01:27,000 --> 01:01:30,200
Speaker 1: one to blame but yourself, because like Miami's bringing a

1135
01:01:30,200 --> 01:01:34,800
Speaker 1: Notre Dame into their house, Clemson is bringing LSU into

1136
01:01:34,840 --> 01:01:38,720
Speaker 1: their house. TCU is going to North Carolina. VA Tech

1137
01:01:38,800 --> 01:01:41,800
Speaker 1: in South Carolina is a neutral site game. In fact,

1138
01:01:42,520 --> 01:01:47,640
Speaker 1: almost none of these games take the ACC into hostile territory.

1139
01:01:47,760 --> 01:01:51,440
Speaker 1: Bama's at Florida State, so I mean Georgia Tech Colorado

1140
01:01:51,480 --> 01:01:53,320
Speaker 1: is the only really big one I think where the

1141
01:01:53,400 --> 01:01:55,280
Speaker 1: ACC team goes on the road. So the more I

1142
01:01:55,400 --> 01:01:58,040
Speaker 1: taught myself through it, you gotta get it done if

1143
01:01:58,040 --> 01:02:00,320
Speaker 1: you're the ACC in week one, or I won't be

1144
01:02:00,360 --> 01:02:03,520
Speaker 1: complaining at the end of the year. If you know,

1145
01:02:03,560 --> 01:02:06,160
Speaker 1: if they're if they're not giving you benefit of the doubt,

1146
01:02:07,280 --> 01:02:11,960
Speaker 1: and you may say to yourself, the canullification of the

1147
01:02:12,000 --> 01:02:14,600
Speaker 1: conversation around all this is, oh, well, the SEC gets

1148
01:02:14,600 --> 01:02:17,040
Speaker 1: benefit of the doubt. They're always going to old Big

1149
01:02:17,080 --> 01:02:18,960
Speaker 1: ten gets benefit of the doubt they're always going to

1150
01:02:19,400 --> 01:02:22,400
Speaker 1: They're deeper in better conferences than you are. They have

1151
01:02:22,520 --> 01:02:25,480
Speaker 1: been for a little while, probably will be again this year.

1152
01:02:25,920 --> 01:02:29,479
Speaker 1: So you've got you can't leave it in the hands

1153
01:02:29,520 --> 01:02:32,320
Speaker 1: of the committee, is the point, Just like you don't

1154
01:02:32,360 --> 01:02:35,280
Speaker 1: want to if you're favored by four touchdowns and it

1155
01:02:35,360 --> 01:02:37,720
Speaker 1: comes down to the last second and there's like a

1156
01:02:37,800 --> 01:02:41,080
Speaker 1: holding call and oh, the officials missed it. Don't leave

1157
01:02:41,080 --> 01:02:43,240
Speaker 1: it in the hands of the officials. Or if you're

1158
01:02:43,280 --> 01:02:46,720
Speaker 1: the ac C, you got a bunch of opportunities on

1159
01:02:46,760 --> 01:02:49,680
Speaker 1: your home turf or at worst neutral site, you got

1160
01:02:49,720 --> 01:02:52,560
Speaker 1: to take care of business in week one. Those games

1161
01:02:52,560 --> 01:02:55,120
Speaker 1: are able to be bet right now because FanDuel already

1162
01:02:55,160 --> 01:02:57,960
Speaker 1: has the numbers up. And also, let me let me

1163
01:02:57,960 --> 01:03:01,880
Speaker 1: tell you something else that's happening. We've got a bold

1164
01:03:01,880 --> 01:03:04,920
Speaker 1: prediction coming up in a second, Like it has to

1165
01:03:04,960 --> 01:03:08,200
Speaker 1: do with a team winning ten games. Okay, Well, that

1166
01:03:08,280 --> 01:03:11,800
Speaker 1: team's actual win totals only seven and a half. So

1167
01:03:11,840 --> 01:03:14,320
Speaker 1: you would think to yourself, well, if you're predicting on

1168
01:03:14,440 --> 01:03:16,360
Speaker 1: win ten, just go bet the over at seven and

1169
01:03:16,400 --> 01:03:18,080
Speaker 1: a half. And you could do that, but you know

1170
01:03:18,120 --> 01:03:19,800
Speaker 1: what else you could do at FanDuel right now they

1171
01:03:19,840 --> 01:03:25,479
Speaker 1: have alt wind totals at FanDuel, So like take pay state.

1172
01:03:25,480 --> 01:03:27,520
Speaker 1: For example, if our over under win total was seven

1173
01:03:27,560 --> 01:03:29,160
Speaker 1: and a half, but you looked at it and said

1174
01:03:29,520 --> 01:03:32,040
Speaker 1: seven and a half, Dude, they're gonna win eleven this year.

1175
01:03:32,480 --> 01:03:35,000
Speaker 1: If you want to make more money than you would

1176
01:03:35,080 --> 01:03:37,280
Speaker 1: betting just over seven and a half, you get a

1177
01:03:37,280 --> 01:03:39,840
Speaker 1: FanDuel right now and bet us to win more than

1178
01:03:39,840 --> 01:03:44,280
Speaker 1: ten games, and instead of returning it at minus one

1179
01:03:44,400 --> 01:03:48,040
Speaker 1: ten juice, you probably return your winnings at plus six

1180
01:03:48,200 --> 01:03:51,720
Speaker 1: fifty juice. Something along those lines. Just letting you know

1181
01:03:51,800 --> 01:03:54,600
Speaker 1: there's a whole lot right now, a whole lot of

1182
01:03:54,640 --> 01:03:58,040
Speaker 1: markets above and beyond just betting the spread and betting

1183
01:03:58,080 --> 01:04:01,200
Speaker 1: normal win totals, both of which you can do. You

1184
01:04:01,240 --> 01:04:03,720
Speaker 1: can do many things at fandel Exclusive odds provider of

1185
01:04:03,760 --> 01:04:07,080
Speaker 1: the show. Sign up for FanDuel at FanDuel dot com.

1186
01:04:07,080 --> 01:04:10,840
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1187
01:04:10,880 --> 01:04:14,760
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1188
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1189
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1190
01:04:24,040 --> 01:04:27,320
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1191
01:04:27,360 --> 01:04:30,960
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1192
01:04:31,040 --> 01:04:35,080
Speaker 1: call one eight hundred gambler or visitfanduel dot com backslash

1193
01:04:35,200 --> 01:04:38,680
Speaker 1: RG call one eight eight eight seven eight nine seven

1194
01:04:38,800 --> 01:04:43,280
Speaker 1: seven seven seven, or visit CCPG dot org backslash chat

1195
01:04:43,280 --> 01:04:47,280
Speaker 1: in Connecticut, or visit MD gamblinghelp dot org in Maryland.

1196
01:04:47,680 --> 01:04:51,840
Speaker 1: Hope is here. Visit gambling heelplinema dot org. Or call

1197
01:04:51,920 --> 01:04:54,720
Speaker 1: eight hundred three two seven fifty fifty for twenty four

1198
01:04:54,800 --> 01:04:58,200
Speaker 1: seven support in Massachusetts. Or call one eight seven seven

1199
01:04:58,200 --> 01:05:02,640
Speaker 1: eight hope N why or text hop E n Y

1200
01:05:02,960 --> 01:05:05,680
Speaker 1: in New York. Okay, let's wrap the show tonight with

1201
01:05:05,760 --> 01:05:09,640
Speaker 1: bold predictions. I got bold predictions in my hand, not mine.

1202
01:05:09,840 --> 01:05:13,400
Speaker 1: They're your predictions that you claim you would bet your

1203
01:05:13,440 --> 01:05:18,400
Speaker 1: own hard earned money on. Well, let's see for ourselves.

1204
01:05:18,560 --> 01:05:22,040
Speaker 1: Noel from Fort Myers, Florida said, out of the twelve

1205
01:05:22,040 --> 01:05:25,800
Speaker 1: teams that made the playoff last year, only six of

1206
01:05:25,840 --> 01:05:28,560
Speaker 1: them will make it this year, and he listed the

1207
01:05:28,600 --> 01:05:35,120
Speaker 1: exact six. So Notre Dame, SMU, Clemson, Penn State, Texas, Georgia.

1208
01:05:35,720 --> 01:05:40,400
Speaker 1: They're gonna make it. But that also means no Arizona State,

1209
01:05:40,560 --> 01:05:45,920
Speaker 1: No Ohio State, no Oregon, no Boise, no Indiana, no Tennessee.

1210
01:05:46,320 --> 01:05:49,800
Speaker 1: Basically we have like a twelve team parlay here. Yeh,

1211
01:05:50,680 --> 01:05:53,840
Speaker 1: I suvered just thinking about it. This is a ten

1212
01:05:54,560 --> 01:05:58,840
Speaker 1: obviously on the boldness scale. Now out of the many

1213
01:05:59,160 --> 01:06:00,720
Speaker 1: out of the many holes I could poke in this,

1214
01:06:01,160 --> 01:06:03,840
Speaker 1: just think about the Big ten conundrum that you have

1215
01:06:04,320 --> 01:06:08,640
Speaker 1: on hand. If you're telling me that Penn State makes it, okay,

1216
01:06:08,680 --> 01:06:11,880
Speaker 1: that's not crazy. But you're also telling me Ohio State

1217
01:06:11,880 --> 01:06:14,880
Speaker 1: and Oregon don't make it at all. I want to

1218
01:06:14,880 --> 01:06:18,200
Speaker 1: know what happened to them. You're telling me Indiana doesn't

1219
01:06:18,200 --> 01:06:20,360
Speaker 1: make it either, So who makes it? Is Michigan in

1220
01:06:21,160 --> 01:06:25,080
Speaker 1: is usc and like what happened in the Big Ten.

1221
01:06:26,120 --> 01:06:28,400
Speaker 1: So this is a ten for many reasons. That's a ten.

1222
01:06:29,000 --> 01:06:31,560
Speaker 1: Staying in the Big ten for a second, it's time

1223
01:06:31,560 --> 01:06:36,040
Speaker 1: to talk Heisman. Well, not according to me, but according

1224
01:06:36,080 --> 01:06:41,320
Speaker 1: to one of you, Drew Ahler wins the Heisman Trophy.

1225
01:06:41,680 --> 01:06:44,800
Speaker 1: That prediction coming to us from Tampa, Florida. I'm going

1226
01:06:44,840 --> 01:06:47,760
Speaker 1: to put a nine and a quarter on the boldness

1227
01:06:47,880 --> 01:06:51,800
Speaker 1: level here is this even in Penn State's best interest.

1228
01:06:51,880 --> 01:06:54,120
Speaker 1: I'm sure that'll love for their quarterback to win the Heisman.

1229
01:06:54,160 --> 01:06:56,320
Speaker 1: But if Drew Aller wins the Heisman, and he does

1230
01:06:56,360 --> 01:06:59,600
Speaker 1: have the fifth best odds at FanDuel, right now, is

1231
01:07:00,400 --> 01:07:04,720
Speaker 1: what did Penn State do? Because I think about the

1232
01:07:04,760 --> 01:07:08,200
Speaker 1: style that team needs to play, it's not really conducive

1233
01:07:08,240 --> 01:07:10,800
Speaker 1: to Drewaler winning the Heisman. Now, it could be that

1234
01:07:10,840 --> 01:07:13,760
Speaker 1: these portal additions they made at receiver, they just killed

1235
01:07:13,800 --> 01:07:17,800
Speaker 1: it on all of them. And who knows, maybe they're

1236
01:07:17,800 --> 01:07:20,080
Speaker 1: a little banged up at running back this year, or

1237
01:07:20,120 --> 01:07:22,880
Speaker 1: maybe the defense is maybe a little more leaky than

1238
01:07:22,920 --> 01:07:24,600
Speaker 1: we thought it would be. Maybe they have to score

1239
01:07:24,640 --> 01:07:26,000
Speaker 1: a little bit more, maybe they have to throw the

1240
01:07:26,040 --> 01:07:28,320
Speaker 1: ball a little bit more. I guess it could happen.

1241
01:07:28,360 --> 01:07:31,560
Speaker 1: But they were seventieth in pass yards per game last year.

1242
01:07:33,200 --> 01:07:36,200
Speaker 1: I mean, the amount of elevation in their passing game

1243
01:07:37,080 --> 01:07:39,240
Speaker 1: and consistency in that passing game that they need to

1244
01:07:39,280 --> 01:07:42,040
Speaker 1: have for Drewala to win the Heisman would be substantial.

1245
01:07:42,200 --> 01:07:44,000
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna call that a nine point twenty five.

1246
01:07:44,880 --> 01:07:46,920
Speaker 1: Next up, this is the team I was just talking

1247
01:07:46,920 --> 01:07:51,120
Speaker 1: about a second ago, Missouri. According to DeVante out of

1248
01:07:51,120 --> 01:07:55,200
Speaker 1: Columbia Missouri, he said that Missouri has an above average offense.

1249
01:07:55,280 --> 01:07:58,400
Speaker 1: They finished ten to two or better. Well, their win

1250
01:07:58,480 --> 01:08:01,920
Speaker 1: total seven and a half. So clearly you need to

1251
01:08:01,960 --> 01:08:04,640
Speaker 1: go bet the house on the over if you believe that.

1252
01:08:04,720 --> 01:08:07,479
Speaker 1: But also we just went over to FanDuel. We said,

1253
01:08:07,480 --> 01:08:10,360
Speaker 1: what if we happened to know that Missouri was going

1254
01:08:10,440 --> 01:08:12,520
Speaker 1: to be ten and two or better, you can go

1255
01:08:12,560 --> 01:08:14,960
Speaker 1: bet the all number over there right now. You can

1256
01:08:15,000 --> 01:08:17,519
Speaker 1: go bet Missouri to win ten or more games, and

1257
01:08:17,600 --> 01:08:20,640
Speaker 1: it returns plus six fifty. Just an fyi, like, you

1258
01:08:20,680 --> 01:08:25,559
Speaker 1: can bet them top twenty defense last year and they

1259
01:08:25,600 --> 01:08:30,200
Speaker 1: are top ten in returning defensive production from a unit

1260
01:08:30,320 --> 01:08:32,600
Speaker 1: that was top twenty last year, so they should be

1261
01:08:32,680 --> 01:08:38,040
Speaker 1: good defensively. Quarterback portal running back portal probably got a

1262
01:08:38,080 --> 01:08:41,719
Speaker 1: really good one, but portal offensive line portal pieces wide

1263
01:08:41,760 --> 01:08:44,599
Speaker 1: receiver went to the portal there too. It could all

1264
01:08:44,640 --> 01:08:46,800
Speaker 1: pan out, and if it does, they will probably be

1265
01:08:47,200 --> 01:08:49,599
Speaker 1: a ten win team. They play three of the bottom

1266
01:08:49,640 --> 01:08:54,040
Speaker 1: four teams in the SEC odds market. They play South

1267
01:08:54,040 --> 01:08:56,680
Speaker 1: Carolina but they get them at home. They play Bama,

1268
01:08:56,760 --> 01:08:58,920
Speaker 1: but they get him at home. They play A and M,

1269
01:08:59,160 --> 01:09:01,760
Speaker 1: but they get him at home. There is absolutely a

1270
01:09:01,800 --> 01:09:04,120
Speaker 1: world where this happens. I'm gonna call it an eight

1271
01:09:04,160 --> 01:09:08,639
Speaker 1: point seventy five on the boldness scale. Not totally crazy though.

1272
01:09:08,800 --> 01:09:14,240
Speaker 1: And lastly, this is pretty bold buster said, UCF is

1273
01:09:14,320 --> 01:09:17,720
Speaker 1: Arizona State from last year, so I assume that means

1274
01:09:17,760 --> 01:09:21,240
Speaker 1: they're gonna win the Big Twelve. Well, that's a nine

1275
01:09:21,240 --> 01:09:24,400
Speaker 1: point seventy five. They got the worst odds in the

1276
01:09:24,400 --> 01:09:27,000
Speaker 1: Big Twelve. That in and of itself doesn't mean a

1277
01:09:27,040 --> 01:09:29,240
Speaker 1: whole lot, because Arizona State had the second to worst

1278
01:09:29,240 --> 01:09:33,839
Speaker 1: odds last year and they won the league. Scott Frost

1279
01:09:34,200 --> 01:09:37,760
Speaker 1: is back at UCF and he's got forty one new transfers.

1280
01:09:38,280 --> 01:09:40,320
Speaker 1: No one has any idea what the team's gonna be,

1281
01:09:40,439 --> 01:09:45,320
Speaker 1: including Scott Frost. There will also be, I believe a

1282
01:09:45,479 --> 01:09:48,559
Speaker 1: Tier one that forms in the Big Twelve this year.

1283
01:09:48,840 --> 01:09:50,680
Speaker 1: I still think it'll be a crazy league, but I

1284
01:09:50,720 --> 01:09:53,879
Speaker 1: do think that there's gonna be two or three teams

1285
01:09:54,600 --> 01:09:58,559
Speaker 1: that sort of kind of separate themselves in quality from

1286
01:09:58,600 --> 01:10:01,519
Speaker 1: the rest of the league. And no, in fact, I

1287
01:10:01,520 --> 01:10:03,559
Speaker 1: think I do know UCF won't be a part of

1288
01:10:03,560 --> 01:10:06,920
Speaker 1: that this year. So for that reason, I'm gonna make

1289
01:10:06,960 --> 01:10:10,799
Speaker 1: it a nine point seventy five. All right, really solid

1290
01:10:10,800 --> 01:10:14,240
Speaker 1: show tonight. Getting into a busy week around here on

1291
01:10:14,280 --> 01:10:16,960
Speaker 1: the campus of Pate State. I think we're gonna throw

1292
01:10:16,960 --> 01:10:20,040
Speaker 1: a Tuesday show at you this week so that the

1293
01:10:20,040 --> 01:10:23,639
Speaker 1: staff can get out of town for Independence Day. It's

1294
01:10:23,640 --> 01:10:26,880
Speaker 1: gonna be a weird July. There's just there's a whole

1295
01:10:26,880 --> 01:10:29,800
Speaker 1: lot going on here. It's all really good stuff, but

1296
01:10:29,840 --> 01:10:32,559
Speaker 1: there's a whole lot going on here. So basically what

1297
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Speaker 1: I'm saying is stick with me on the socials at

1298
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Speaker 1: Josh Pate CFB. I'll let you know when we're doing shows.

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Speaker 1: I'll let you know where to find them. It's gonna

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Speaker 1: be a weird schedule. I'm just going ahead and let

1301
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Speaker 1: you know right now. But that's what God made youly

1302
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Speaker 1: Fort Media DA's coming up. We're gonna be on the

1303
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Speaker 1: road a lot too. In the meantime, we got to

1304
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Speaker 1: go home because Bradley's got to eat for Director Bradley,

1305
01:10:51,200 --> 01:10:54,040
Speaker 1: Producer Jesse. I'm Josh Pate. Take care, have a great

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