1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:01,880 Speaker 1: The word that everybody uses is solid. 2 00:00:01,920 --> 00:00:03,840 Speaker 2: And you know, when you have Lorettamester coming up, the 3 00:00:03,880 --> 00:00:07,040 Speaker 2: answer solid doesn't cut it because a mathematicians going, what 4 00:00:07,120 --> 00:00:08,640 Speaker 2: in God's name is solid? 5 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:11,200 Speaker 1: But there are we have a solid economy? Well know 6 00:00:11,280 --> 00:00:11,879 Speaker 1: what that means? 7 00:00:11,960 --> 00:00:14,440 Speaker 3: Well, we'll find out from Lurettamester, who's sitting us. She 8 00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:17,279 Speaker 3: is former Cleveland FED President Loretta Master. This is the 9 00:00:17,320 --> 00:00:20,759 Speaker 3: first time that she's joining us as a non FED 10 00:00:20,800 --> 00:00:25,000 Speaker 3: member in ten years at this Jackson Hole meeting. Lorettamester, 11 00:00:25,239 --> 00:00:27,479 Speaker 3: President Mester, I will still call you that you've always 12 00:00:27,520 --> 00:00:31,240 Speaker 3: been a thought leader. How much do you hear more 13 00:00:31,600 --> 00:00:35,920 Speaker 3: dissent than usual among members at a time where we 14 00:00:36,040 --> 00:00:37,199 Speaker 3: really are at a pivot. 15 00:00:37,880 --> 00:00:40,239 Speaker 4: I'm not hearing that much to send Frankly, I think 16 00:00:40,280 --> 00:00:42,440 Speaker 4: we're in a good place in terms of where the 17 00:00:42,520 --> 00:00:45,639 Speaker 4: economy is. If you think about inflation, look how much 18 00:00:45,680 --> 00:00:46,360 Speaker 4: it's come down. 19 00:00:46,440 --> 00:00:47,680 Speaker 1: You know, we're in two and. 20 00:00:47,600 --> 00:00:51,239 Speaker 4: A half percent range and the lad market is moderating. 21 00:00:51,280 --> 00:00:55,120 Speaker 4: There's definite signs of that. But it's not weak, right, 22 00:00:55,160 --> 00:00:58,400 Speaker 4: It hasn't turned into a strong you know, weakness coming 23 00:00:58,440 --> 00:01:00,520 Speaker 4: into it. So we're in a good place spot. And 24 00:01:00,600 --> 00:01:03,800 Speaker 4: now what the FED needs to do is make sure 25 00:01:03,880 --> 00:01:07,240 Speaker 4: that it can maintain the momentum of inflation going all 26 00:01:07,280 --> 00:01:10,000 Speaker 4: the way back down to two percent while keeping the 27 00:01:10,080 --> 00:01:13,000 Speaker 4: labor market healthy. And I think that's where the focus 28 00:01:13,080 --> 00:01:15,160 Speaker 4: is gonna be. If you remember at the start of 29 00:01:15,240 --> 00:01:18,479 Speaker 4: the tightening cycle, you know, we had to go very 30 00:01:18,520 --> 00:01:23,000 Speaker 4: aggressively because policy wasn't well calibrated to where the economy 31 00:01:23,600 --> 00:01:26,240 Speaker 4: is and where it was going. Uh or was and 32 00:01:26,280 --> 00:01:29,000 Speaker 4: where it was going. And now we wanna make sure 33 00:01:29,040 --> 00:01:30,800 Speaker 4: that you know, the FED wants to make sure that 34 00:01:30,880 --> 00:01:34,960 Speaker 4: policy stays well calibrated to the economy. So the discussion now, 35 00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:37,920 Speaker 4: I think is about we have a dual mandate. We 36 00:01:37,959 --> 00:01:40,280 Speaker 4: have to focus on both parts of that. We have 37 00:01:40,400 --> 00:01:42,920 Speaker 4: to be forward looking. You know, it's where the economy 38 00:01:42,959 --> 00:01:46,080 Speaker 4: is going, not necessarily where it death is here today, 39 00:01:46,200 --> 00:01:48,840 Speaker 4: but where it's going. And that's why I think now 40 00:01:49,280 --> 00:01:52,760 Speaker 4: it's it's actually appropriate to really be thinking about, Okay, 41 00:01:52,800 --> 00:01:56,080 Speaker 4: it's time now to enter this new phase where we 42 00:01:56,120 --> 00:01:58,680 Speaker 4: can start normalizing the policy rate. 43 00:01:59,120 --> 00:02:03,520 Speaker 2: Wall Street and the financial media wants specificity, they want certitude, 44 00:02:03,600 --> 00:02:06,120 Speaker 2: they want single point statements. 45 00:02:05,600 --> 00:02:07,000 Speaker 1: About exactly where we are. 46 00:02:07,600 --> 00:02:10,320 Speaker 2: The reality is just to look at productivity is a 47 00:02:10,360 --> 00:02:14,440 Speaker 2: capital analysis, a labor analysis, and an all in analysis. 48 00:02:14,520 --> 00:02:18,440 Speaker 2: Call it total factor productivity. The noise in there, to 49 00:02:18,520 --> 00:02:23,080 Speaker 2: me with the overlay of technology is highly uncertain. Do 50 00:02:23,120 --> 00:02:27,040 Speaker 2: you have any handle of the overlay of productivity and 51 00:02:27,120 --> 00:02:30,760 Speaker 2: technologies effect that Cleveland and American economy. 52 00:02:31,160 --> 00:02:35,000 Speaker 4: Well, I mean we've seen over history, right, that technology 53 00:02:35,040 --> 00:02:38,160 Speaker 4: can be very additive to productivity growth, right, I mean, 54 00:02:38,200 --> 00:02:42,240 Speaker 4: that's kind of the engine of an economy that's increasing 55 00:02:42,320 --> 00:02:47,600 Speaker 4: and having potential growth rise. But in any point in time, 56 00:02:47,639 --> 00:02:50,160 Speaker 4: it's very hard to measure productivity growth. Even if we 57 00:02:50,200 --> 00:02:54,880 Speaker 4: didn't have this big technological innovation of AI, it's very 58 00:02:54,880 --> 00:02:57,239 Speaker 4: difficult to measure it. So you have to take into 59 00:02:57,280 --> 00:03:00,480 Speaker 4: account that there's uncertainty around productivity growth. I mean, some 60 00:03:00,600 --> 00:03:03,360 Speaker 4: estimates say that we're still in a low productivity regime. 61 00:03:04,760 --> 00:03:07,680 Speaker 4: Other restamates are saying, well, let's look forward, maybe we're 62 00:03:07,720 --> 00:03:09,800 Speaker 4: going to be in a higher But for the FED 63 00:03:09,960 --> 00:03:12,560 Speaker 4: right now, right, that's not sort of the focus. The 64 00:03:12,600 --> 00:03:17,880 Speaker 4: focus is, you know, are we calibrated, Well, it's policy calibrating. 65 00:03:17,919 --> 00:03:20,600 Speaker 1: Well, to the CAT, you've been great on this. She 66 00:03:20,800 --> 00:03:23,040 Speaker 1: just said they're not focused on productivity. 67 00:03:23,320 --> 00:03:27,519 Speaker 2: We have to be because business leaders every day are 68 00:03:27,560 --> 00:03:30,000 Speaker 2: focused on those outcomes, and they're investment. 69 00:03:30,040 --> 00:03:32,640 Speaker 5: Well, they've sort of been forced to by inflation and 70 00:03:32,680 --> 00:03:35,000 Speaker 5: a lack of workers, and they've been forced to put 71 00:03:35,800 --> 00:03:37,640 Speaker 5: investment into productivity. 72 00:03:37,720 --> 00:03:40,440 Speaker 1: We'll see if it starts to pay off. But Loretta 73 00:03:40,520 --> 00:03:40,840 Speaker 1: is right. 74 00:03:40,720 --> 00:03:42,960 Speaker 5: At the moment, you know, you don't, you're not seeing it. 75 00:03:43,040 --> 00:03:45,160 Speaker 1: But that's not the key for them. 76 00:03:45,640 --> 00:03:48,720 Speaker 5: But I do want to know how you respond to 77 00:03:48,760 --> 00:03:52,880 Speaker 5: the criticism that the Fed has not communicated well what 78 00:03:53,040 --> 00:03:57,440 Speaker 5: it's thinking and what it's planning, or if not planning, 79 00:03:57,480 --> 00:04:00,360 Speaker 5: you know, what are the potential outcomes because we've some 80 00:04:00,440 --> 00:04:03,080 Speaker 5: very wild swings in the markets as data comes around. 81 00:04:03,560 --> 00:04:05,680 Speaker 1: Have you said data dependent too much? 82 00:04:06,560 --> 00:04:09,720 Speaker 4: I think there's a misunderstanding what data dependant means, and 83 00:04:09,760 --> 00:04:13,760 Speaker 4: that means that I think Chairpal today will be explaining 84 00:04:14,360 --> 00:04:18,880 Speaker 4: where he sees policy going, not necessarily at the next meeting, 85 00:04:18,920 --> 00:04:21,279 Speaker 4: whether fifteen to twenty five, which in some sense is 86 00:04:21,320 --> 00:04:24,359 Speaker 4: really not the big issue. I know for financial markets 87 00:04:24,640 --> 00:04:27,120 Speaker 4: it is, but not in terms of monetary policy. It's 88 00:04:27,160 --> 00:04:30,599 Speaker 4: really what's the path forward? Are we beginning now to 89 00:04:30,760 --> 00:04:34,760 Speaker 4: bring policy down and the pace, of course, and the 90 00:04:35,000 --> 00:04:38,560 Speaker 4: magnitude eventually of how far our indust rates go down 91 00:04:38,640 --> 00:04:41,680 Speaker 4: that's going to depend on how the economy evolves, right, 92 00:04:41,720 --> 00:04:44,000 Speaker 4: But we're going to enter this new phase, I think, 93 00:04:44,120 --> 00:04:48,039 Speaker 4: and appropriately so in July. I probably wouldn't have supported 94 00:04:48,560 --> 00:04:50,640 Speaker 4: actually moving the rate down in July, and of course 95 00:04:50,680 --> 00:04:53,080 Speaker 4: the Committee didn't, but I could have made a case 96 00:04:53,160 --> 00:04:56,040 Speaker 4: for it. And that's a change, right, that's the economy 97 00:04:56,080 --> 00:04:59,000 Speaker 4: has changed enough, Inflation has come down quite a bit. 98 00:04:59,440 --> 00:05:01,640 Speaker 4: It's on a path I think where we can be 99 00:05:01,680 --> 00:05:04,200 Speaker 4: pretty confident it'll get back to two percent. And now 100 00:05:04,279 --> 00:05:06,359 Speaker 4: we really have to balance both sides of the mandate. 101 00:05:06,520 --> 00:05:10,040 Speaker 4: So it's basically keep the momentum going on inflation at 102 00:05:10,040 --> 00:05:13,560 Speaker 4: the same time making sure that labor markets remain healthy. 103 00:05:14,040 --> 00:05:16,320 Speaker 5: What do you think it would take for the committee 104 00:05:16,320 --> 00:05:18,920 Speaker 5: to decide you needed to do more than the standard 105 00:05:18,920 --> 00:05:20,880 Speaker 5: twenty five basis point cut? 106 00:05:21,160 --> 00:05:24,040 Speaker 4: So I think it would have to be that, you know, 107 00:05:24,560 --> 00:05:27,440 Speaker 4: somehow they thought they were a little behind and they 108 00:05:27,480 --> 00:05:29,640 Speaker 4: needed to catch up, and frankly, I don't see that 109 00:05:29,720 --> 00:05:31,839 Speaker 4: in the data. I think they're actually in a very 110 00:05:31,839 --> 00:05:35,080 Speaker 4: good place now. If it turns out that, you know, 111 00:05:35,160 --> 00:05:37,720 Speaker 4: the forecasts are saying, wow, you know, we may be 112 00:05:37,960 --> 00:05:43,760 Speaker 4: seeing the moderation in labor markets being more than moderation 113 00:05:43,839 --> 00:05:46,520 Speaker 4: and we actually see a weakening, they may have to 114 00:05:46,560 --> 00:05:49,720 Speaker 4: adjust that and then do more. But I think there's 115 00:05:49,720 --> 00:05:51,919 Speaker 4: sort of a record if you think about when we 116 00:05:52,000 --> 00:05:55,560 Speaker 4: started to raise rates, right, we started at the twenty five, 117 00:05:55,600 --> 00:05:57,640 Speaker 4: then at fifty, then we did our seventy five, and 118 00:05:57,680 --> 00:06:00,919 Speaker 4: that's sort of the preferred paths. That means you know, 119 00:06:01,320 --> 00:06:04,080 Speaker 4: you're not doing too much too ahead of time. And 120 00:06:04,120 --> 00:06:06,200 Speaker 4: the other thing I think I would be worried about 121 00:06:06,279 --> 00:06:09,200 Speaker 4: is if you do a fifty to start with the 122 00:06:09,240 --> 00:06:12,120 Speaker 4: market send you know, building even more. And I think 123 00:06:12,160 --> 00:06:14,400 Speaker 4: that's a calibration that you have to think about when 124 00:06:14,440 --> 00:06:18,760 Speaker 4: you're doing this. So I think being steady right, thinking 125 00:06:18,800 --> 00:06:22,080 Speaker 4: about what the right pace is gear to how the 126 00:06:22,120 --> 00:06:25,080 Speaker 4: economy is working and evolving, it's the right way to go. 127 00:06:25,360 --> 00:06:27,560 Speaker 3: You said that you expect j. Powell to come out 128 00:06:27,600 --> 00:06:29,279 Speaker 3: and give a sense of where we're going, and I 129 00:06:29,279 --> 00:06:31,200 Speaker 3: think that's actually the frustration for a lot of people 130 00:06:31,240 --> 00:06:33,680 Speaker 3: in markets. We don't know where we're going. We don't 131 00:06:33,720 --> 00:06:36,080 Speaker 3: have a sense of what the neutral rate is. Right now, 132 00:06:36,080 --> 00:06:38,360 Speaker 3: the market has about two hundred basis points of rate 133 00:06:38,400 --> 00:06:40,680 Speaker 3: cuts priced in by the end of next year. Is 134 00:06:40,720 --> 00:06:42,520 Speaker 3: that appropriate? What is neutral? 135 00:06:42,640 --> 00:06:45,919 Speaker 4: Well? Remember what the markets are doing is and appropriately 136 00:06:45,960 --> 00:06:48,599 Speaker 4: so looking at different scenarios, right, and they're waiting and 137 00:06:48,600 --> 00:06:50,800 Speaker 4: then when they when you get those kind of things 138 00:06:50,800 --> 00:06:52,719 Speaker 4: out of the financial markets about how many rate cuts, 139 00:06:52,720 --> 00:06:56,039 Speaker 4: it's balancing different scenarios. When the fence talking about you 140 00:06:56,080 --> 00:06:58,800 Speaker 4: know where they're seeing is they're talking about, here's what 141 00:06:58,839 --> 00:07:02,000 Speaker 4: we think is if the economy evolves as we expect, 142 00:07:02,520 --> 00:07:05,760 Speaker 4: wouldn't be appropriate policy path. But they also have to 143 00:07:05,800 --> 00:07:08,839 Speaker 4: think through alternative scenarios too, So it's kind of a 144 00:07:09,000 --> 00:07:13,280 Speaker 4: different answer or different question answer to a question, and 145 00:07:13,320 --> 00:07:17,080 Speaker 4: that's I think the frustration is that the FED is 146 00:07:17,120 --> 00:07:19,760 Speaker 4: trying to answer a different question is here's where we 147 00:07:19,800 --> 00:07:22,720 Speaker 4: see policy going, But of course they don't want to 148 00:07:22,720 --> 00:07:25,800 Speaker 4: commit themselves to something because the economy could evolve differently, 149 00:07:26,080 --> 00:07:27,600 Speaker 4: and that's been hard to communicate. 150 00:07:28,400 --> 00:07:33,520 Speaker 5: You founded an inflation lab at the Cleveland FED. 151 00:07:34,360 --> 00:07:37,040 Speaker 1: What do you think inflation dynamics are now? 152 00:07:37,120 --> 00:07:41,200 Speaker 5: Is this a completely different kind of situation post pandemic 153 00:07:41,560 --> 00:07:45,640 Speaker 5: than models coming out of other recessions have. 154 00:07:46,880 --> 00:07:49,480 Speaker 4: Worked with well, I think one thing that we saw 155 00:07:49,640 --> 00:07:53,160 Speaker 4: during the pandemic and the aftermath was that the supply side, 156 00:07:53,800 --> 00:07:56,800 Speaker 4: right had a lot to do with inflation dynamics. But 157 00:07:57,000 --> 00:08:00,640 Speaker 4: the key thing to remember is that those supplies shocks 158 00:08:01,040 --> 00:08:05,080 Speaker 4: would not have necessarily resulted in higher inflation if we 159 00:08:05,160 --> 00:08:08,720 Speaker 4: hadn't had a very strong demand side of the economy. 160 00:08:08,760 --> 00:08:11,920 Speaker 4: So it's this balance between supplying demand. Typically right in 161 00:08:11,960 --> 00:08:14,720 Speaker 4: the past, right, it was all about demand. Supply you 162 00:08:14,720 --> 00:08:17,920 Speaker 4: could sort of say it was sort of stable, and 163 00:08:17,960 --> 00:08:20,080 Speaker 4: it was all about how demand was moving around. In 164 00:08:20,120 --> 00:08:23,520 Speaker 4: this event, right, it was both supply and demand, and 165 00:08:23,560 --> 00:08:26,040 Speaker 4: that made it more challenging. And so in that sense, 166 00:08:26,120 --> 00:08:30,520 Speaker 4: I think there's a renewed understanding that dynamics on inflation. 167 00:08:31,200 --> 00:08:34,520 Speaker 4: It's both sides, it's supply and demand, and understanding both 168 00:08:34,960 --> 00:08:37,040 Speaker 4: I think is going to be a focus going forward. 169 00:08:37,160 --> 00:08:39,360 Speaker 5: Well as if it goes into its review process for 170 00:08:39,480 --> 00:08:44,640 Speaker 5: its monetary policy framework, does what happened change the way 171 00:08:44,679 --> 00:08:48,079 Speaker 5: you think the committee should look at policy? In other words, 172 00:08:48,200 --> 00:08:50,680 Speaker 5: maybe you want to be a little bit more preemptive 173 00:08:50,720 --> 00:08:51,240 Speaker 5: than you were. 174 00:08:51,840 --> 00:08:54,800 Speaker 4: So, I know a lot of people characterized the FED 175 00:08:55,200 --> 00:08:57,800 Speaker 4: in the framework that came out in twenty twenty as 176 00:08:58,440 --> 00:09:01,240 Speaker 4: walking away from being preempted, But if you actually look 177 00:09:01,240 --> 00:09:04,280 Speaker 4: at the language in there still says preempto. I agree 178 00:09:04,280 --> 00:09:07,079 Speaker 4: with you that it sounded like we were just being 179 00:09:07,160 --> 00:09:10,800 Speaker 4: data dependent in the moment, But we've always were focused 180 00:09:10,840 --> 00:09:13,640 Speaker 4: on where is the economy going? So it's data coming in. 181 00:09:14,400 --> 00:09:18,479 Speaker 4: Assess that data relative to your outlook. If it's materially 182 00:09:18,520 --> 00:09:20,920 Speaker 4: different than you expect, you might have to change your outlook, 183 00:09:21,000 --> 00:09:24,520 Speaker 4: and therefore you might have to change policy, your policy 184 00:09:24,559 --> 00:09:28,199 Speaker 4: expected policy paths. So I think we've always been forward looking. 185 00:09:28,320 --> 00:09:31,320 Speaker 4: I expect the FED to remain forward looking. They may 186 00:09:31,480 --> 00:09:34,480 Speaker 4: change the language in the statement so that that's a 187 00:09:34,480 --> 00:09:37,280 Speaker 4: little bit more transparent, if you will, so that people 188 00:09:37,280 --> 00:09:40,720 Speaker 4: actually understand that, you know, policy has to look forward. 189 00:09:41,000 --> 00:09:42,920 Speaker 2: I would never ask you this question if you're on 190 00:09:42,960 --> 00:09:45,400 Speaker 2: the watch, But now that you're gainfully retired and in 191 00:09:45,440 --> 00:09:47,440 Speaker 2: the real world, I'm going to ask you this question. 192 00:09:47,960 --> 00:09:52,559 Speaker 2: Cleveland has reasonable real estate, but Shaker Heights as a boom. 193 00:09:52,480 --> 00:09:53,840 Speaker 1: Real estate economy. 194 00:09:54,160 --> 00:09:57,280 Speaker 2: And part of that asset success of Shaker Heights in 195 00:09:57,320 --> 00:10:01,320 Speaker 2: the Shaker Heights of America is the gains the halves 196 00:10:01,400 --> 00:10:05,480 Speaker 2: are getting from this financial system. How does the FED 197 00:10:05,600 --> 00:10:10,079 Speaker 2: distribute the benefit more across America? Rather than this illusion 198 00:10:10,400 --> 00:10:13,080 Speaker 2: that only the have nots that own the havelves that 199 00:10:13,160 --> 00:10:14,880 Speaker 2: own Nvidia are making way. 200 00:10:14,960 --> 00:10:19,920 Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, the FED always focuses on the macro economy, right, 201 00:10:19,960 --> 00:10:23,280 Speaker 4: it doesn't have tools that can really do much about 202 00:10:23,440 --> 00:10:28,400 Speaker 4: red distributing or fairness or making sure that everyone gains. 203 00:10:28,440 --> 00:10:30,920 Speaker 4: But what we can do at the FED, and what 204 00:10:31,000 --> 00:10:33,200 Speaker 4: the new committee will be doing at the FED, is 205 00:10:33,280 --> 00:10:37,360 Speaker 4: making sure that we maintain healthy labor markets, which again 206 00:10:37,480 --> 00:10:43,040 Speaker 4: helps distribute and brings inflation, and you know, the inflation 207 00:10:43,200 --> 00:10:46,439 Speaker 4: rate down and getting back to price stability is also 208 00:10:46,600 --> 00:10:49,120 Speaker 4: very key to having a strong economy so that everyone 209 00:10:49,120 --> 00:10:52,080 Speaker 4: can prosper from the economy. The FED really can't do 210 00:10:52,160 --> 00:10:54,320 Speaker 4: the other part of what you're talking about, and that's 211 00:10:54,360 --> 00:10:57,440 Speaker 4: what the federal government policies are about, and the fiscal 212 00:10:57,480 --> 00:10:58,319 Speaker 4: policy is about. 213 00:10:58,640 --> 00:10:59,960 Speaker 3: We thought that you were going to retire and pelt 214 00:11:00,120 --> 00:11:03,880 Speaker 3: homes you try to offset some of the supply issues. Lreida, 215 00:11:03,920 --> 00:11:06,959 Speaker 3: there is this question Mike was talking about how the 216 00:11:07,000 --> 00:11:09,800 Speaker 3: Queen of Inflation studies and how the Cleveland FED really 217 00:11:09,800 --> 00:11:12,560 Speaker 3: does have an incredible metric for that. Do you have 218 00:11:12,600 --> 00:11:15,520 Speaker 3: a sense of how much more inflationary this post pandemic 219 00:11:15,520 --> 00:11:18,480 Speaker 3: economy is and that really speaks to what is the 220 00:11:18,520 --> 00:11:19,120 Speaker 3: new neutral. 221 00:11:21,320 --> 00:11:25,280 Speaker 4: Well, there are certain factors that really affect inflation, right, 222 00:11:25,320 --> 00:11:28,480 Speaker 4: But the basics are similar to what we saw before. Right. 223 00:11:28,640 --> 00:11:32,360 Speaker 4: Inflation expectations are still an important driver of inflation. Making 224 00:11:32,360 --> 00:11:36,680 Speaker 4: sure they remain stable is helping to keep inflation moving down, 225 00:11:36,760 --> 00:11:40,480 Speaker 4: which is important. Supply side conditions matter, and the labor 226 00:11:40,480 --> 00:11:42,720 Speaker 4: market tightness matters. We're going to hear a paper at 227 00:11:42,760 --> 00:11:46,240 Speaker 4: Jackson Home that's really addressing that how much tightness in 228 00:11:46,240 --> 00:11:50,240 Speaker 4: the labor market affects what you might see when demand 229 00:11:50,280 --> 00:11:53,200 Speaker 4: gets out of whack with supply. So again it's the 230 00:11:53,280 --> 00:11:56,520 Speaker 4: same basic factors, but of course the supply side during 231 00:11:56,520 --> 00:11:59,520 Speaker 4: the pandemic changed quite a bit, and those factors are 232 00:11:59,559 --> 00:12:02,200 Speaker 4: going to be I think more significant going forward than 233 00:12:02,320 --> 00:12:03,680 Speaker 4: perhaps they were in the past. 234 00:12:03,800 --> 00:12:05,720 Speaker 3: Are you having more fun now that you're not on 235 00:12:06,040 --> 00:12:06,719 Speaker 3: the committee? 236 00:12:06,800 --> 00:12:07,560 Speaker 4: I'm having fun. 237 00:12:08,960 --> 00:12:12,120 Speaker 3: Well, hopefully you can go hiking or enjoy the beautiful 238 00:12:12,240 --> 00:12:16,680 Speaker 3: Wyoming Lordemester formerly of the Cleveland Federal Reserve. Just going 239 00:12:16,720 --> 00:12:19,160 Speaker 3: back to the end of June when you step down, 240 00:12:19,240 --> 00:12:22,119 Speaker 3: and she is here for the first time in ten years, 241 00:12:22,760 --> 00:12:25,280 Speaker 3: not as a member of the committee, but as a 242 00:12:25,320 --> 00:12:28,120 Speaker 3: civilian who is planning to do lots of things in 243 00:12:28,160 --> 00:12:28,840 Speaker 3: her free time.