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Speaker 1: Welcome to Sharper Square, presented by hard Rock bet We

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Speaker 1: are part of the Volume podcast network business V betting

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Speaker 1: show that makes the squares sharper and makes the wise

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Speaker 1: guy pay attention. I am Chad Nomand and I am

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Speaker 1: joined by my co host, my bff, my companion, my

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Speaker 1: campadre professional better Signmon Hunter.

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Speaker 2: Hello, Simon God, how you doing?

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Speaker 1: Amped? Amped for Sunday? This is the strip down in

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Speaker 1: the room ease dropping version of Sharper Square. You and

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Speaker 1: I are gonna nail down our final five picks. Now

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Speaker 1: that we've had injuries, which there have been some roster announcements,

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Speaker 1: we've seen some lines move Are you ready to roll

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Speaker 1: with my brother?

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Speaker 2: And wait?

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Speaker 1: I feel like I'm at peak energy and you're like

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Speaker 1: coming off a bender of having been up for ninety

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Speaker 1: seven hours betting on games.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and honestly, I'm I'm looking forward to taking like

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Speaker 3: a little hour nap here before kickoff. So I'm I'm

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Speaker 3: fired up these Uh. I'm sure people have seen all

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Speaker 3: the trends and all the stuff this week. It's it's

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Speaker 3: a known week for dog betters, like it's a good

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Speaker 3: week through betting dogs and uh yeah, it's uh it's

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Speaker 3: a busy week, and luckily, you know, we've talked about

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Speaker 3: all the games this week.

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Speaker 2: There's we up to five quarterbacks out or four quarterbacks

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Speaker 2: are out. We're not really hyper focused on those games,

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Speaker 2: thank god.

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Speaker 3: So uh, for me, it's like, you know, there wasn't

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Speaker 3: a lot of people complained about already having quarterbacks injuries

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Speaker 3: and everything like that, But to me, it's you can

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Speaker 3: avoid those games. There's so many good, good games this

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Speaker 3: week and so many good lines this week. So yeah,

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Speaker 3: not not too hyper focused on that Vikings Bengals game.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, there's plenty other ones we're gonna talk about.

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Speaker 1: Here, all right, So let's let's get into it. These

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Speaker 1: are the games we adzered in on the other day,

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Speaker 1: and a reminder a lot of times we get we're

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Speaker 1: in a contest. Those contest lines locked on Wednesday, The

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Speaker 1: lines move over the course of the past few days

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Speaker 1: oftentimes are the same. But if we can take advantage

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Speaker 1: of these contest lines on games that we already liked,

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Speaker 1: we do. The first one up Green Bay of Cleveland.

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Speaker 1: That line is pretty much painted seven and a half

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Speaker 1: across the board. We like Cleveland all week at eight

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Speaker 1: and a half. It is at eight and a half

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Speaker 1: in the contest. I still think i'd like Cleveland at

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Speaker 1: seven and a half for purposes of anyone listening or

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Speaker 1: watching the show right now. But you're not getting the

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Speaker 1: best of the number. So at eight and a half,

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Speaker 1: to me, it feels like we've played it. It's eight

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Speaker 1: and a half in the contest, feels like we want

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Speaker 1: to lock in on that one.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, another game we were never going to avoid. And

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Speaker 3: this is what I love about me and Chad doing

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Speaker 3: the show together, that there's some games that one of

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Speaker 3: us could talk to the other person out of this game.

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Speaker 3: As soon as I saw the number, I said, there's

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Speaker 3: no there's no way we don't take this number, let

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Speaker 3: alone having the contest.

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Speaker 2: And there's still one very public book.

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Speaker 3: Out there that has eight and a half. Yes, but

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Speaker 3: I don't mind grabbing the seven and a half at

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Speaker 3: hard rocket. If that's your heart, if that's the only

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Speaker 3: choice you have, you're still getting a really good number

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Speaker 3: with the hook. And let's be honest, the difference between

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Speaker 3: seven and a half eight and a half, it's just mental,

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Speaker 3: like the odds of it actually landing on eight. It's

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Speaker 3: obviously there's percent show chance, So that's why you want

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Speaker 3: the best of the number. But I just see this

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Speaker 3: one either being a field goal win by green Bay

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Speaker 3: honesty or somehow Cleveland pulls up the opposite.

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Speaker 2: You just again, we're in week three here.

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Speaker 3: Week three, you see a lot of really weird stuff

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Speaker 3: where there's teams that get heavily overvalued and there's teams

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Speaker 3: that get heavily undervalued, and you see the line reflect that.

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Speaker 3: And you've seen it here, right, it's been I mean,

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Speaker 3: there's a couple of books that are getting Cleveland money,

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Speaker 3: but the most most bookmakers I've talked through this week,

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Speaker 3: it's just all green Bay money. And they're very happy

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Speaker 3: when I come into bet on Cleveland. So they they

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Speaker 3: they've needed to help from their professionals balance in the

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Speaker 3: books just because of how how heavy they are with

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Speaker 3: the moneyline parlais, the teasers. Everything is just on green Bay,

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Speaker 3: Green Bay. You know, I don't know how many people

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Speaker 3: took them with their survivor pool, right, it's green Bay

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Speaker 3: on the road. But they're just people are doing that,

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Speaker 3: which is a crazy thing to think about, right. It's

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Speaker 3: it's just a variable love team right now. Because people

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Speaker 3: are so hyper focused on the defensive line and how

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Speaker 3: well Jordan loves to play for good reason. Right, they

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Speaker 3: look like the best team right now in the NFC,

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Speaker 3: but we see timetime again. It's really hard to be

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Speaker 3: at your best three four weeks in a row, especially

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Speaker 3: in the NFL, especially when you're going up against a

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Speaker 3: Cleveland defensive line. So yeah, me and Chad know the deal.

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Speaker 3: We are betting on Joe Flacco. We're gonna need a

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Speaker 3: back door. We're gonna need a miracle cover at some point,

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Speaker 3: and uh yeah, it's it's really us putting our faith

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Speaker 3: into this Cleveland defense and also that their offense is

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Speaker 3: as bad as the public reception is right now.

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Speaker 2: So Jed I I.

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Speaker 3: Unfortunately I thought on Thursday, maybe something will happen. I

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Speaker 3: can talk chat out of this one. But this is

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Speaker 3: I knew it right away last week on Sunday. This

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Speaker 3: is gonna be guaranteed in our contest, especially at eight

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Speaker 3: and a half.

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Speaker 1: Guy, I was never going to be talked out of

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Speaker 1: this one. Like I wanted you. I wanted you to

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Speaker 1: talk me out of it. I was desperate. I told

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Speaker 1: you I watched the condensed version of this game on

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Speaker 1: the rowing machine. That's how much I wanted to not

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Speaker 1: bet on Cleveland.

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Speaker 2: I was looking at.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, the Ravens Cleveland game. I was I was desperate

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Speaker 1: to not have to bet on the Browns. But I

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Speaker 1: just like the number. It's number one and number two

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Speaker 1: rush defenses in yards per carry. So if green Bay

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Speaker 1: is going to win this game, it's going to because

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Speaker 1: Jordan Love throws deep in over the top. But that

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Speaker 1: also plays itself, I think too, a lot more in completions,

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Speaker 1: a lot more potential plays in the game, So that

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Speaker 1: could favor Cleveland because it allows for a little more

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Speaker 1: variants and turnovers and things like that. So we're gonna

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Speaker 1: be on the Browns. We can try to rationalize it

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Speaker 1: any any way we want. Looking at the numbers, we're

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Speaker 1: on a elite, top tier defense at home against an

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Speaker 1: overvalued team versus an undervalued team. We're just gonna do it.

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Speaker 1: Love it Houston at Jacksonville. So this got to two

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Speaker 1: and a half. It's at one and a half right now. Wise,

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Speaker 1: guys have been hitting this the Jacksonville Jaguarser plus one

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Speaker 1: and a half. It got to two and a half

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Speaker 1: for like two hours in the middle of the week,

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Speaker 1: and then it kept moving down, down down, I think

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Speaker 1: for this game. We like Houston. We've bet Houston. We

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Speaker 1: really have to believe that the quality of the Texans

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Speaker 1: losses against the Bucks and the Rams shows that they

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Speaker 1: are the better team here and that their history of

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Speaker 1: consistently winning in their division is going to prove to

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Speaker 1: be the difference against a Jacks team. I don't think

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Speaker 1: we're sold on considering the two games they played so far.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and as hard don't want to beg at tale

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Speaker 3: for the Texans, there's a lot of things that are

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Speaker 3: shown up on tape that I think a lot of

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Speaker 3: people are seeing in the football world that is pretty

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Speaker 3: alarming on this Texans team and not something we think

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Speaker 3: they're gonna overnight fix.

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Speaker 2: Right.

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Speaker 3: Their run defense might be a major problem for them

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Speaker 3: going forward this season, and obviously they don't really have

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Speaker 3: a running game. And you know, we joke that Nick

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Speaker 3: Chubb touchdown. The more you watch it, the more you

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Speaker 3: do realize that was a.

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Speaker 2: Gimme, Right.

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Speaker 3: They just don't have that running back right now that

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Speaker 3: can offset CJ. And that's that's a big deal because

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Speaker 3: last year you did see Joe Mixon was very very

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Speaker 3: good for them, even if the numbers don't back it up.

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Speaker 2: He was an effective weapon, especially in the red zend

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Speaker 2: for them last year.

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Speaker 3: So this one with the Texans really is about us

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Speaker 3: trusting the numbers and once again teams or just I

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Speaker 3: should say, the public leaving these teams for dead. Right.

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Speaker 3: They're owing to oh and two against the spread and

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Speaker 3: it's only for professional money. The only the thing that

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Speaker 3: gives me hesitation with them is I don't know if

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Speaker 3: I don't know about you chat, I don't know if

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Speaker 3: I've talked to a single professional better that's on the Jaguars.

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Speaker 2: It's all Texans.

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Speaker 3: I know the public is on the Jaguars, and which

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Speaker 3: I totally understand, but it's always little nerve wrecking where

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Speaker 3: it's just like last week with the Jets, where it's

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Speaker 3: just all love for this side. And like you said,

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Speaker 3: the numbers come down our contest, it's plus a half,

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Speaker 3: but we're not even getting one and a half if

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Speaker 3: we take the Texans. We're literally we're saying they're gonna

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Speaker 3: win this game, like they're not. I mean, they're not

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Speaker 3: tying this game. So do we believe Houston can win

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Speaker 3: this game?

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Speaker 2: I do.

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Speaker 3: It's a team that has done really well against the Jaguars.

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Speaker 3: Doesn't matter who their coaches, who their quarterback is just

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Speaker 3: consistently they've matched up well against them, and we know

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Speaker 3: divisionally there's weird things like that, there's weird quirks like

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Speaker 3: that were different teams.

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Speaker 2: You know, just scheme up against well against other teams.

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Speaker 3: So it's we wouldn't be shocked Houston going over three.

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Speaker 3: They have major issues, but I love a deper team

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Speaker 3: like they are with a type of mentality. Happened Dmiico

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Speaker 3: Ryans in this spot against a Jacksonville team that could

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Speaker 3: be fraudulent, Like we gave him a lot of love

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Speaker 3: because they beat up on a Panthers defense and then

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Speaker 3: beat up on a Cincinnati defense.

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Speaker 2: Here we go. This is a true test.

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Speaker 3: You have an incredibly desperate Houston's team that got embarrassed

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Speaker 3: and there's no other way to put it. Like they

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Speaker 3: let Bucky and White run all over them last week

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Speaker 3: against the Buccaneers, as Buccaneers did whatever they want in

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Speaker 3: the run game. So I just tend to love these

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Speaker 3: teams in these exact spots and all the negativity around CJ,

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Speaker 3: I expect him to make some big plays for us

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Speaker 3: in this spot. I know he's hearing the noise and

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Speaker 3: he's feeling it after being and again just outplayed on

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Speaker 3: a Monday night primetime game. So we are not getting

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Speaker 3: the best of the number. Really, why force us to

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Speaker 3: take a number that's not the best of them. But

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Speaker 3: there's two games here that we have to pick between.

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Speaker 3: The Houston's one of them where it's like, I could

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Speaker 3: you talked out of it, Chader? I wanted to, but

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Speaker 3: I've been bet into it so heavy. I'm so confident

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Speaker 3: in the number. I obviously wish we had the one

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Speaker 3: and a half, but I'll take.

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Speaker 2: The half and I'll play it in our contest if

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Speaker 2: you want to.

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Speaker 1: Well, let's you had a whole journey there, because in

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Speaker 1: the beginning I thought you were gonna say that you're

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Speaker 1: not really comfortable with it, But then we came around

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Speaker 1: and we've both been into it. I feel like it's

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Speaker 1: on the edge, and so I'm with you on that,

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Speaker 1: you know, So we'll see, we'll see. I mean, look,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna turn this game on. The Texans are gonna

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Speaker 1: steamroll that. I'm gonna be like, are you freaking kidding me?

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Speaker 1: Like we even debated this at one and a half,

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Speaker 1: Like why are why are we getting in our heads

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Speaker 1: and dealing.

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Speaker 2: I know that's what I'm trying.

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Speaker 1: You know, sometimes picky you in details. Uh La Rams

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Speaker 1: at Philadelphia Eagles, it's three and a half. It's three

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Speaker 1: at hard Rock. If you can get the three, take

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Speaker 1: the Eagles. I live in Connecticut. I have been waiting

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Speaker 1: for this thing to get back down to three. It's

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Speaker 1: not gonna get there. I'm gonna have to bite the

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Speaker 1: bullet and take the three and a half. We are

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Speaker 1: against the wise guys on this. I hate that we

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Speaker 1: are not getting the three, I really really do. But

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Speaker 1: why can't I get over this Eagles team? Why do

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Speaker 1: I feel like the Rams had incredible games against two

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Speaker 1: teams one in the Texans one of the Titans that

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Speaker 1: haven't found their way yet, and the Eagles are like it,

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Speaker 1: that uber confident we can win at an eighty percent

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Speaker 1: level and not even open up our full back of

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Speaker 1: tricks yet. Stage and Saiquon Barkley could have run for

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Speaker 1: one thousand yards and eight touchdowns in this game.

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Speaker 3: And I will say this, respect the hard Rock for

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Speaker 3: a hole in the three, because it's no other book here,

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Speaker 3: especially in New Jersey, has been at the three.

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Speaker 1: And it looks like they've been taking the Rams money

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Speaker 1: and they're just moving the juice like I've been waiting

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Speaker 1: for four days for this thing to go to three somewhere.

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Speaker 3: It's and I was gonna say, you said the professional

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Speaker 3: size of Rams, it's not.

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Speaker 2: I told you it's not as profession Do you think it's.

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Speaker 3: It's a weird spot where it's not like I said,

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Speaker 3: it's not that it's the lazy professional bet, but it

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Speaker 3: is right, they're they're strictly looking at this is the

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Speaker 3: Rams have been playing better first two games of the year.

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Speaker 3: Eagles teams offense looks futrid. They don't look consistent, and

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Speaker 3: you know it's rare you have the defending super Bowl

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Speaker 3: champ who just beat the team they defeating the Super

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Speaker 3: Bowl on the road the week before, be just bad

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Speaker 3: mouthed by people. Right, it doesn't really happen that often

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Speaker 3: that the team starts too enough to winning Super Bowl

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Speaker 3: and people are just down on them. So I think

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Speaker 3: we're in the same line here of this is just

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Speaker 3: a surprisingly by low spot and a fade of an

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Speaker 3: overrated RAMS team that we have no doubt in their

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Speaker 3: talent level. Right Stafford with those weapons and he looks good, right,

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Speaker 3: I don't know if it's the shots he's take or

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Speaker 3: wherever it is. He looks in mid season form like

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Speaker 3: this is the best he's looked since. You know, I

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Speaker 3: would say that Bills game going back to last year

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Speaker 3: when he was at home against the Building, he put

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Speaker 3: up like forty two points. So you know, we haven't

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Speaker 3: had this Stafford in a long time. He just looks

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Speaker 3: totally in rhythm, solely confident. But when you break down

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Speaker 3: this Eagles defense and how they can attack it, I mean,

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Speaker 3: they haven't really had to have, you know, shown their

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Speaker 3: weakness year, but the offensive line is an actual weakness

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Speaker 3: to this Rams team. And you saw in that Houston game,

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Speaker 3: right there was a reason they were only have to

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Speaker 3: put up fourteen points against that Rams defense, and it

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Speaker 3: was just because Stafford was under rest and didn't have time.

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Speaker 3: And you look at this match for the Eagles team,

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Speaker 3: they actually surprisingly have been really really good at a

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Speaker 3: rushing the passer. And you saw that last week with Mahomes.

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Speaker 3: It didn't show up in the stats because he scrambled

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Speaker 3: so much. Stafford is not That's not a part of

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Speaker 3: Stafford's game at all. He is not the scrambling type.

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Speaker 2: So it's gonna ben issues of the game.

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Speaker 3: We're gonna look know pretty quick, right, if they can

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Speaker 3: get Stafford off his spot right or some out of

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Speaker 3: this or some out of the middle. That's a Jaalen

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Speaker 3: Carter stat if he can get up the middle, and

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Speaker 3: then it's about the Eagles getting back to the run game.

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Speaker 3: I know the whole questions have been about hurts in

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Speaker 3: the passing offense.

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Speaker 2: To me, I get what they're doing. Right.

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Speaker 3: There's the same thing you saw with Josh Allen did

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Speaker 3: on Thursday night. It's like, I'm just not gonna lose

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Speaker 3: this game, Like you're gonna make the mistake and I'll

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Speaker 3: trust in our defense and our offense play small enough

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Speaker 3: not to make that thurnover and you know, make that

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Speaker 3: huge mistake and you kind of see that that's the

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Speaker 3: way the NFL is going now. People are gonna start

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Speaker 3: playing more conservative, just safe for football and trying to

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Speaker 3: make the other guys blink first. And we've seen it

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Speaker 3: with Stafford. Stafford is an absolute gun slinger. If he

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Speaker 3: gets behind seven, he will start throwing to those tight

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Speaker 3: windows because that's just.

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Speaker 2: The type of player is.

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Speaker 3: You can't change who he is, right, he is what

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Speaker 3: he is so I love this number. It's funny where

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Speaker 3: if this was four, I would honestly have a different

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Speaker 3: tune on up. But the fact that it's three and

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Speaker 3: a half, I do think there's a really good value bet.

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Speaker 3: And I'm with Chad. If you can get the three

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Speaker 3: like you kind of hard rock, go get it. But

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Speaker 3: I no issues taking the.

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Speaker 2: Three and a half.

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Speaker 3: I bet a ton of three and a halfs this

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Speaker 3: week and next week. I am sure we're gonna be

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Speaker 3: fading this team, but yeah, I can't believe it. Back

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Speaker 3: to back weeks, we're gonna be taking the Eagles in

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Speaker 3: the contest.

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Speaker 1: All right, We'll stay tuned for tonight show around seven

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Speaker 1: thirty pm Eastern after the late afternoon game, so we

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Speaker 1: could talk about how we're fading the Eagles in week four.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, like your confidence in the Eagles, booy is

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Speaker 1: my confidence. And everyone's criticism of the Eagles offense right

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Speaker 1: now is actually why I kind of like the Eagles offense.

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Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts does not care what the public is saying.

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Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts only knows what's happening inside his building and

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Speaker 1: how he can manage this offense and doing exactly what

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Speaker 1: he needs to do to win, and if the Eagles

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Speaker 1: need Jalen Hurst to throw down field more to win

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Speaker 1: a game, then that's what he's going to figure out

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Speaker 1: how to do. And so to me, I am just

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Speaker 1: not that worried about the ineffectiveness of this Eagles offense

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Speaker 1: at certain spots in the games because Jalen Hurts knows

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Speaker 1: exactly who he is and what this team needs. Feels

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Speaker 1: like Eagles three and a half and Brown's eight and

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00:15:52,320 --> 00:15:57,640
Speaker 1: a half right now are making strong entries for positions

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Speaker 1: in the contest. We're on the fence about Houston. Today's

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Speaker 1: show is brought to you by our new presenting sponsor,

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Speaker 1: on eleven straight games. Well that continue. The Texans have

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Speaker 1: won eleven straight road games versus AFC South opponents. I

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00:16:27,560 --> 00:16:31,480
Speaker 1: definitely hope that continues. Brandon Cooks has sixteen plus receiving

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Speaker 1: yards for twenty eight September games.

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Speaker 2: In a row.

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Speaker 1: Yes, twenty eight. How about JK. Dobbins. He's rushed for

356
00:16:38,000 --> 00:16:41,880
Speaker 1: fifty plus yards in eight consecutive Sunday games. John news

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00:16:41,960 --> 00:16:44,280
Speaker 1: Smith has scored a touchdown in seven straight games versus

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Speaker 1: AFC opponents. The Titans have not covered the spread at

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00:16:48,320 --> 00:16:52,600
Speaker 1: home in nine consecutive games. The Patriots have lost eleven

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00:16:52,640 --> 00:16:56,040
Speaker 1: games in a row following the win they won last week.

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00:18:17,320 --> 00:18:24,560
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00:18:24,680 --> 00:18:29,159
Speaker 1: I want to bring up Dallas and Chicago. Chicago is

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00:18:29,200 --> 00:18:31,359
Speaker 1: a one and a half point underdog right now. That

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Speaker 1: was our brass Balls bet of the week. I have

388
00:18:33,640 --> 00:18:35,560
Speaker 1: bet the Bears at plus one and a half. I'm

389
00:18:35,560 --> 00:18:39,880
Speaker 1: pretty sure you have two. For some reason in our contest,

390
00:18:40,119 --> 00:18:43,080
Speaker 1: the Bears are one and a half point favorites. That

391
00:18:43,119 --> 00:18:45,280
Speaker 1: becomes a pass to me, a pass because I don't

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Speaker 1: like the way the market has moved, we'd be playing

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Speaker 1: into a number that goes against everything that we sort

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00:18:50,920 --> 00:18:55,720
Speaker 1: of practice when it comes to taking advantage of when

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Speaker 1: these lines lock. So this game becomes a pass for me.

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00:18:59,240 --> 00:19:01,000
Speaker 1: In the contest, the Bears are one and a half

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Speaker 1: point favorites.

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00:19:02,800 --> 00:19:06,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, my only preach on it is I've bet into

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00:19:06,720 --> 00:19:07,639
Speaker 3: this Bears line.

400
00:19:08,000 --> 00:19:12,280
Speaker 2: I love this Bears spot. And we've talked all week

401
00:19:12,320 --> 00:19:12,679
Speaker 2: about it.

402
00:19:12,720 --> 00:19:16,520
Speaker 3: If you bet the Dolphins on Thursday, if you're betting

403
00:19:16,560 --> 00:19:19,359
Speaker 3: the Texans tod if you've been in Denver today, you

404
00:19:19,520 --> 00:19:21,160
Speaker 3: have to bet this Bears line.

405
00:19:21,200 --> 00:19:23,160
Speaker 2: It's They're all pretty much the same.

406
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Speaker 1: There's no difference in the belief. There's no.

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00:19:27,320 --> 00:19:29,359
Speaker 3: Again, it's all every team is different, the matches are

408
00:19:29,359 --> 00:19:30,880
Speaker 3: all different like that. But at the end of the day,

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00:19:30,920 --> 00:19:35,320
Speaker 3: it's like this Bears team, this I can't believe it.

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00:19:35,400 --> 00:19:39,080
Speaker 3: Undervalued they are. And the fact that everyone I've talked,

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00:19:39,119 --> 00:19:42,520
Speaker 3: even professionals like the Cowboys, and they all give me

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Speaker 3: the same reasons. And you know, and if I'm trying

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Speaker 3: to make an argument for this Bears team, them being

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Speaker 3: their whole secondary being.

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Speaker 2: Out is a huge deal.

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00:19:52,280 --> 00:19:55,919
Speaker 3: I agree with everyone telling us that and you know,

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00:19:56,160 --> 00:19:58,160
Speaker 3: if you have to dream up a match for Dak

418
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Speaker 3: CD and Pickings, this is is it? The Bears are

419
00:20:03,280 --> 00:20:05,520
Speaker 3: They practice squad guys right now lining up at corner

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Speaker 3: going up against pro bowlers.

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Speaker 2: So that's the that's the nerve wrecking spot here. But

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00:20:13,040 --> 00:20:15,640
Speaker 2: I think mother nature might give us one here.

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00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:17,879
Speaker 3: I think it might rain, it might be a little windy,

424
00:20:17,920 --> 00:20:19,560
Speaker 3: it might be bad weather if we can get.

425
00:20:19,480 --> 00:20:20,480
Speaker 2: Lucky here in Chicago.

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Speaker 3: So I'm not going to force it in because it

427
00:20:23,280 --> 00:20:24,920
Speaker 3: is a bad number, like Chad said, but I do

428
00:20:25,520 --> 00:20:27,840
Speaker 3: think it comes down to Houston or the Bears here

429
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Speaker 3: where it's like, I know it's a bad number.

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00:20:30,320 --> 00:20:31,280
Speaker 2: I know it's minus one and a.

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00:20:31,240 --> 00:20:34,240
Speaker 3: Half in our contest, but I just I can't get

432
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Speaker 3: over how much I love the Bears in the spot

433
00:20:36,320 --> 00:20:41,240
Speaker 3: against the Cowboys team that Dak is gonna have stinker games,

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Speaker 3: and unfortunately he does well like I said, he like

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Speaker 3: you've seen I talked about his record against teams below

436
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Speaker 3: five hundred, he does really well against them. So, once again,

437
00:20:48,960 --> 00:20:50,560
Speaker 3: not going to force it because I said it to

438
00:20:50,640 --> 00:20:55,240
Speaker 3: Chad that this Bears team they might truly be a

439
00:20:55,320 --> 00:20:56,520
Speaker 3: bottom four team this league.

440
00:20:56,560 --> 00:20:58,080
Speaker 2: They might literally be that bad.

441
00:20:58,240 --> 00:21:00,959
Speaker 3: So I love this because this is truly a make

442
00:21:01,040 --> 00:21:03,280
Speaker 3: or break, opinion changing type of game where if they

443
00:21:03,280 --> 00:21:06,200
Speaker 3: can just come out, Caleb can put together a couple

444
00:21:06,200 --> 00:21:07,440
Speaker 3: of really good draps. I mean the over under I

445
00:21:07,480 --> 00:21:09,720
Speaker 3: think was fifty to fifteen and a half. Once again,

446
00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:11,440
Speaker 3: I like the under there where it's like I feel

447
00:21:11,480 --> 00:21:12,719
Speaker 3: like everyone.

448
00:21:12,760 --> 00:21:14,200
Speaker 2: Is gonna be taking Cowboys in the over.

449
00:21:15,080 --> 00:21:19,359
Speaker 3: I'm betting on hopefully some bad weather, loppy game giving

450
00:21:19,359 --> 00:21:22,879
Speaker 3: me the under, give me the Bears, and uh it's.

451
00:21:23,440 --> 00:21:25,639
Speaker 2: It's a really gross game, gross matchup.

452
00:21:25,680 --> 00:21:26,879
Speaker 3: So if we don't have to put it, I'd be

453
00:21:26,920 --> 00:21:29,879
Speaker 3: sad because me and Chad we both have a Sunday ticket.

454
00:21:30,480 --> 00:21:32,280
Speaker 3: If I don't need to make this in my four box,

455
00:21:32,720 --> 00:21:35,640
Speaker 3: I would honestly thank you Chad. But I'm glad you're

456
00:21:35,680 --> 00:21:38,560
Speaker 3: not as confident in it, because it's like it always

457
00:21:38,600 --> 00:21:40,720
Speaker 3: scares me when Bears fans are confident in the Bears.

458
00:21:41,800 --> 00:21:44,080
Speaker 2: It's the ships of the ships are barred. They're like

459
00:21:44,160 --> 00:21:45,400
Speaker 2: there are no Bears.

460
00:21:45,080 --> 00:21:47,439
Speaker 3: Fans I feel like left that are truly confident this

461
00:21:47,480 --> 00:21:50,520
Speaker 3: Bears team. But I have talked to a couple of guys,

462
00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:54,800
Speaker 3: you know, respected money, who are very, very confident in

463
00:21:54,840 --> 00:21:57,199
Speaker 3: this Bear side, but that I think what Chad's pointing out,

464
00:21:57,200 --> 00:21:59,359
Speaker 3: they're really confident at the plus one and a half. Yeah,

465
00:21:59,480 --> 00:22:01,160
Speaker 3: they just think to be a really close game where

466
00:22:01,760 --> 00:22:03,760
Speaker 3: I don't know, I still think it should be minus

467
00:22:03,760 --> 00:22:05,800
Speaker 3: three Bears, So I still think there's value in this line.

468
00:22:05,840 --> 00:22:08,200
Speaker 2: But once again, I much rather have.

469
00:22:08,160 --> 00:22:09,960
Speaker 3: Four and a half points of value to my model

470
00:22:10,160 --> 00:22:12,000
Speaker 3: on the one and a half on the Bears, enforcing

471
00:22:12,040 --> 00:22:14,040
Speaker 3: in them at one and a half. So yeah, sucks,

472
00:22:14,080 --> 00:22:17,080
Speaker 3: it's a bad number in our contest. But yeah, I

473
00:22:17,160 --> 00:22:19,199
Speaker 3: it's gross, but I too, I love I love the

474
00:22:19,240 --> 00:22:22,320
Speaker 3: Bears side, and I think their offense is gonna surprised me.

475
00:22:22,400 --> 00:22:24,639
Speaker 2: But Alb's not as bad as he's looked through the

476
00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:25,280
Speaker 2: first two weeks.

477
00:22:25,280 --> 00:22:28,320
Speaker 3: He's he's just been put in tough games, tough spots,

478
00:22:28,359 --> 00:22:31,760
Speaker 3: and you know, as we said, I think you'll keep

479
00:22:31,760 --> 00:22:34,240
Speaker 3: getting better every week as he gets more comfortable this offense.

480
00:22:34,640 --> 00:22:39,480
Speaker 1: Number One, I'm your bestie Bears fan, and I haven't

481
00:22:39,520 --> 00:22:46,040
Speaker 1: been confident in the Bears since Justin Fields circa twenty

482
00:22:46,160 --> 00:22:50,639
Speaker 1: twenty three. Number One, nobody who's a Bears fan is

483
00:22:50,720 --> 00:22:55,800
Speaker 1: confident in the Bears. Ever. We hate the organization, hit

484
00:22:55,840 --> 00:22:56,400
Speaker 1: the ownership.

485
00:22:56,840 --> 00:22:59,439
Speaker 2: You haven't managed Mitch MVP ticket.

486
00:22:59,480 --> 00:23:04,439
Speaker 1: Don't lie, dude, But then we're talking about what twenty seventeen,

487
00:23:04,880 --> 00:23:10,240
Speaker 1: twenty eighteen like it was real. It is everybody who

488
00:23:10,280 --> 00:23:13,879
Speaker 1: is a Bears fan is so angry, bitter, except for

489
00:23:13,880 --> 00:23:15,720
Speaker 1: the one dude who goes to every game still wearing

490
00:23:15,760 --> 00:23:19,440
Speaker 1: that literal Bear outfit, who my friends and I text

491
00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:21,280
Speaker 1: about it like we can't believe this guy is still

492
00:23:21,760 --> 00:23:26,520
Speaker 1: doing that for these games. Slight chance of precipitate if

493
00:23:26,560 --> 00:23:29,800
Speaker 1: it gets bad. I hope you're right, slight chance of precipitation.

494
00:23:29,960 --> 00:23:30,520
Speaker 2: Need the rain.

495
00:23:30,600 --> 00:23:35,359
Speaker 1: We need the rain. We need the rain like a

496
00:23:35,400 --> 00:23:39,120
Speaker 1: farmer needed rain during the dust bawl. We need the rain.

497
00:23:39,960 --> 00:23:41,320
Speaker 1: I don't know if the Bears make it here with

498
00:23:41,320 --> 00:23:44,040
Speaker 1: four and a half points of value being gone in

499
00:23:44,080 --> 00:23:45,840
Speaker 1: the contest, All right.

500
00:23:46,240 --> 00:23:46,480
Speaker 2: So.

501
00:23:48,040 --> 00:23:52,560
Speaker 1: Denver plus two and a half just hanging there like

502
00:23:52,600 --> 00:23:56,560
Speaker 1: a meatball? Is that something we put in? Like we're

503
00:23:56,600 --> 00:24:00,000
Speaker 1: sort of struggling here to find three four and five.

504
00:24:00,280 --> 00:24:02,040
Speaker 1: We feel good about the Browns, we feel good about

505
00:24:02,080 --> 00:24:03,240
Speaker 1: the Eagles. Who am I missing?

506
00:24:04,960 --> 00:24:06,679
Speaker 2: Yeah? I mean, obviously, you know what I mean.

507
00:24:06,760 --> 00:24:13,520
Speaker 3: I've I've loved Denver all week, really fascinating red number

508
00:24:13,560 --> 00:24:18,439
Speaker 3: and line because some books have gotten the Chargers up

509
00:24:18,480 --> 00:24:21,040
Speaker 3: to like minus one sixty five on the money line,

510
00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:25,440
Speaker 3: but they've held it at two and a half. Yeah,

511
00:24:25,800 --> 00:24:28,480
Speaker 3: I mean back in the day used to be like

512
00:24:28,560 --> 00:24:32,000
Speaker 3: what a minus one forty five a minus two and

513
00:24:32,000 --> 00:24:35,199
Speaker 3: a half, and now some books are holding it whe

514
00:24:35,240 --> 00:24:37,480
Speaker 3: they're pricing their money line up to one sixty five.

515
00:24:37,600 --> 00:24:40,359
Speaker 3: So I feel like the books and me are in

516
00:24:40,400 --> 00:24:44,000
Speaker 3: the same line of Chargers win a close one if

517
00:24:44,040 --> 00:24:46,480
Speaker 3: they do win, but they're just there's no way they

518
00:24:46,480 --> 00:24:50,040
Speaker 3: cover this number, like that's just and if lated line.

519
00:24:50,119 --> 00:24:52,560
Speaker 3: But I love this type of matchup because the Chargers

520
00:24:52,600 --> 00:24:56,560
Speaker 3: do cover this. Again, I don't know come January how

521
00:24:56,600 --> 00:24:59,840
Speaker 3: I feel about the Chargers, but this would literally my

522
00:25:00,119 --> 00:25:03,160
Speaker 3: not just my model, but bookmakers as well changed our

523
00:25:03,200 --> 00:25:06,439
Speaker 3: perspective on the Chargers team totally, where it's like, Okay,

524
00:25:06,480 --> 00:25:09,920
Speaker 3: we thought they were a top potentially a top ten

525
00:25:10,000 --> 00:25:13,640
Speaker 3: team after last week. You win this game, you win

526
00:25:13,680 --> 00:25:17,639
Speaker 3: three straight divisional games, and you blow out the Denver Broncos,

527
00:25:18,200 --> 00:25:21,840
Speaker 3: You're like, Okay, this is a juggernaut might win this

528
00:25:21,920 --> 00:25:25,800
Speaker 3: division type of team now because it's this is just

529
00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:28,159
Speaker 3: a bad spot Historically, I gave out the stats like

530
00:25:28,240 --> 00:25:32,240
Speaker 3: teams in this exact spot, So playing three straight divisional games,

531
00:25:33,040 --> 00:25:35,320
Speaker 3: they're one and six in the last seven this exact spot.

532
00:25:35,359 --> 00:25:39,000
Speaker 3: Teams just playing like they just played two straight primetime

533
00:25:39,080 --> 00:25:41,680
Speaker 3: night games coming to this spot. One in five in

534
00:25:41,680 --> 00:25:44,560
Speaker 3: the last six in the spot. So it's like not

535
00:25:44,680 --> 00:25:46,320
Speaker 3: a good spot for a Chargers team. And then we

536
00:25:46,359 --> 00:25:50,080
Speaker 3: talked about the public overrating them, overvaluing them, and just

537
00:25:50,200 --> 00:25:54,840
Speaker 3: inflating this where you know, tons of love once again

538
00:25:54,880 --> 00:25:56,879
Speaker 3: to a team that put up three points in that

539
00:25:56,880 --> 00:25:59,840
Speaker 3: second half against the Raiders, like you saw when the

540
00:26:00,119 --> 00:26:03,760
Speaker 3: justin We're made to Herbert he can't keep surviving with

541
00:26:03,800 --> 00:26:05,840
Speaker 3: no run game like he has through the first two weeks.

542
00:26:05,880 --> 00:26:09,159
Speaker 2: It's just that's not the offense horrible wants to be

543
00:26:09,200 --> 00:26:09,640
Speaker 2: running here.

544
00:26:09,720 --> 00:26:12,360
Speaker 3: So can they get it right with the run game

545
00:26:12,400 --> 00:26:14,679
Speaker 3: and the Chargers really become that totally complete team that

546
00:26:14,800 --> 00:26:17,959
Speaker 3: the general publican sports media, I've already painting them out

547
00:26:18,000 --> 00:26:20,919
Speaker 3: to be. I bet you they can't, Like, I really

548
00:26:21,280 --> 00:26:24,720
Speaker 3: really love this Denver spot. And bo Nicks, who hasn't

549
00:26:24,760 --> 00:26:28,160
Speaker 3: played well through the first two weeks, you expect Sean

550
00:26:28,200 --> 00:26:29,920
Speaker 3: Payton him to be able to get right here against

551
00:26:29,920 --> 00:26:32,879
Speaker 3: the Chargers defense. Like I said, they do have injuries

552
00:26:32,920 --> 00:26:35,280
Speaker 3: to that middle of the field, the linebackers in the secondary.

553
00:26:35,320 --> 00:26:37,960
Speaker 3: And you know, Darwin James obviously one of the best

554
00:26:37,960 --> 00:26:41,320
Speaker 3: safeties in football. He will be a total game changer

555
00:26:41,359 --> 00:26:43,159
Speaker 3: for us in the fact of how he plays this

556
00:26:43,240 --> 00:26:46,600
Speaker 3: and how he affects on knicks. But another game strictly

557
00:26:46,600 --> 00:26:50,280
Speaker 3: about the number, and we talked that unique spot, right,

558
00:26:50,600 --> 00:26:54,200
Speaker 3: It's just it fits Houston two oh and two teams

559
00:26:54,400 --> 00:26:58,920
Speaker 3: against the spread on the road against divisional foes. It's

560
00:26:58,960 --> 00:27:01,040
Speaker 3: on an historical run, it's on a thirteen to no

561
00:27:01,200 --> 00:27:04,600
Speaker 3: run in this exact spot. So the trends like it,

562
00:27:04,880 --> 00:27:08,520
Speaker 3: we like it, love the number, and uh yeah, this

563
00:27:08,760 --> 00:27:13,119
Speaker 3: is this is an incredibly, incredibly important game in the

564
00:27:13,160 --> 00:27:14,840
Speaker 3: sense that it really does feel like it's going to

565
00:27:14,920 --> 00:27:17,800
Speaker 3: dictate this division, where I do think the Chiefs will

566
00:27:17,800 --> 00:27:20,520
Speaker 3: be there at the end. But Denver, if Denver truly

567
00:27:20,560 --> 00:27:23,320
Speaker 3: wants to be the guy in this division, the top dog,

568
00:27:23,640 --> 00:27:25,520
Speaker 3: they have to win this. Sponix has to step up.

569
00:27:25,560 --> 00:27:28,600
Speaker 2: So yeah, gross one, hold your nose, take.

570
00:27:28,480 --> 00:27:30,880
Speaker 3: It plus plus two and a half. It's a couple

571
00:27:30,920 --> 00:27:33,280
Speaker 3: of threes out there right shop around. You can three

572
00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:35,000
Speaker 3: hard Rocks come to three a couple of times here

573
00:27:35,000 --> 00:27:37,920
Speaker 3: in Jersey, so definitely shut around for our contest. Though

574
00:27:38,520 --> 00:27:39,760
Speaker 3: I love the two and a half. I got no

575
00:27:39,840 --> 00:27:40,560
Speaker 3: problem put it in.

576
00:27:41,240 --> 00:27:45,480
Speaker 1: Wow, that's a all right, let's think about this for

577
00:27:45,480 --> 00:27:56,439
Speaker 1: a second. Brown's Eagles, Broncos. Let me just throw out

578
00:27:57,040 --> 00:28:01,160
Speaker 1: three other games where the lines are to our advantage.

579
00:28:02,520 --> 00:28:09,720
Speaker 1: We haven't bet them big, but and they're ugly. Jets

580
00:28:11,040 --> 00:28:16,760
Speaker 1: on the road at the Bucks, Panthers at home against

581
00:28:16,800 --> 00:28:22,480
Speaker 1: the Falcons, Saints on the road against the Seahawks. We

582
00:28:22,560 --> 00:28:25,960
Speaker 1: still need two more games.

583
00:28:29,080 --> 00:28:33,840
Speaker 3: I mean, right now I have Eagles Cleveland Denver, with

584
00:28:33,960 --> 00:28:35,920
Speaker 3: Houston as our fourth because we switched out.

585
00:28:36,280 --> 00:28:38,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, so maybe we need one more game.

586
00:28:38,800 --> 00:28:41,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, we can talk to you more. I mean, I

587
00:28:41,360 --> 00:28:44,560
Speaker 3: like Panthers. Am I willing to die in the hill

588
00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:46,600
Speaker 3: enforce US one? And I'm not like this?

589
00:28:47,040 --> 00:28:49,200
Speaker 1: Can we ask? Can we ask our audience to bet

590
00:28:49,200 --> 00:28:52,560
Speaker 1: the Panthers right now? That feels it feels unfair.

591
00:28:53,280 --> 00:28:55,360
Speaker 2: I know I'm betting it if they want to ride

592
00:28:55,400 --> 00:28:57,320
Speaker 2: with me. I do think it's a good number.

593
00:28:58,040 --> 00:29:00,560
Speaker 3: I mean, I'm looking at the live lines here. There's

594
00:29:00,600 --> 00:29:02,720
Speaker 3: still five and a half's out there. A couple of

595
00:29:02,720 --> 00:29:04,320
Speaker 3: books have moved to four and a half, which I

596
00:29:04,360 --> 00:29:07,480
Speaker 3: am shocked by, Like, I can't believe a professional group

597
00:29:07,560 --> 00:29:09,800
Speaker 3: was putting heavy money on this Panthers team.

598
00:29:09,800 --> 00:29:10,920
Speaker 2: There's just so many other good games.

599
00:29:10,920 --> 00:29:13,560
Speaker 3: But I told you earlier in the week, there's just

600
00:29:13,600 --> 00:29:15,560
Speaker 3: a lot of trends that people love in this spot,

601
00:29:15,720 --> 00:29:18,240
Speaker 3: and there's a lot of fading trends on this Atlanta

602
00:29:18,280 --> 00:29:23,480
Speaker 3: team on their road outdoors. Right, it's a unique spot,

603
00:29:23,520 --> 00:29:27,280
Speaker 3: I guess if you're looking at this Panthers team. But yeah,

604
00:29:27,320 --> 00:29:29,360
Speaker 3: it's just tough where it's like there's other games. I

605
00:29:29,440 --> 00:29:31,920
Speaker 3: like when I bet more so I get your I

606
00:29:31,920 --> 00:29:33,440
Speaker 3: get why you brought them up to Panthers.

607
00:29:33,480 --> 00:29:36,320
Speaker 2: I agree. We talked during the week.

608
00:29:36,400 --> 00:29:39,880
Speaker 3: The professionals we heard were on the Bucks, especially at

609
00:29:39,880 --> 00:29:43,200
Speaker 3: the six and a half. Our contest is seven and

610
00:29:43,240 --> 00:29:49,680
Speaker 3: a half Jets, and that we cannot overstate the offensive

611
00:29:49,720 --> 00:29:50,520
Speaker 3: line injuries.

612
00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:52,960
Speaker 2: That's what I'm thinking this team, and I.

613
00:29:52,880 --> 00:29:55,640
Speaker 3: Hate that though, because it is lazy, and I get

614
00:29:55,640 --> 00:29:58,640
Speaker 3: why people are complaining about it, where it's like we know,

615
00:29:58,680 --> 00:30:02,520
Speaker 3: we everyone knows the injury to this team, and obviously

616
00:30:02,520 --> 00:30:04,600
Speaker 3: if the Meca Buca was out would have been a

617
00:30:04,600 --> 00:30:06,320
Speaker 3: big deal for us. The kid has I think three

618
00:30:06,360 --> 00:30:08,760
Speaker 3: touchdowns through two games, a rookie from uh.

619
00:30:08,720 --> 00:30:10,600
Speaker 2: Ohio State that the books drafted.

620
00:30:10,600 --> 00:30:13,640
Speaker 3: He's, yeah, just looks like a gay game Day one

621
00:30:13,760 --> 00:30:17,560
Speaker 3: game or stud and that that would have handed me

622
00:30:17,560 --> 00:30:22,520
Speaker 3: feel a little more confident because the Jets, outside of

623
00:30:22,560 --> 00:30:24,800
Speaker 3: Sauce there their number two in our three corners, are

624
00:30:24,840 --> 00:30:30,440
Speaker 3: horrible and this bet really is about short week Baker

625
00:30:30,640 --> 00:30:33,960
Speaker 3: just getting into three car accidents in that game, right,

626
00:30:34,000 --> 00:30:36,960
Speaker 3: he was just beat up and now he's going to

627
00:30:37,000 --> 00:30:40,000
Speaker 3: get some pretty good defensive line with no alignment. Like

628
00:30:40,080 --> 00:30:42,280
Speaker 3: to me, this game is just them trying to survive.

629
00:30:43,320 --> 00:30:44,480
Speaker 2: And the same thing.

630
00:30:44,800 --> 00:30:47,120
Speaker 3: I mean, you talk about this Jets team, they fit

631
00:30:47,160 --> 00:30:48,720
Speaker 3: the zero to two miles, right, They're the zero and

632
00:30:48,800 --> 00:30:51,680
Speaker 3: two team desperate, playing for the season with a backup quarterback.

633
00:30:51,760 --> 00:30:54,200
Speaker 2: So I know, I hate it.

634
00:30:54,320 --> 00:30:56,280
Speaker 3: People probably saw coming the mile the way we're gonna

635
00:30:56,280 --> 00:30:58,120
Speaker 3: get stick on the Jets team. I tried to talk

636
00:30:58,200 --> 00:30:59,720
Speaker 3: us out of it, being like there's pros on it,

637
00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:02,440
Speaker 3: we could avoid it, but he was after our show.

638
00:31:02,480 --> 00:31:04,240
Speaker 3: I always put our pickse on Thursday and shoes. I

639
00:31:04,240 --> 00:31:07,120
Speaker 3: saw seven and a half on the Jets. It was like,

640
00:31:07,160 --> 00:31:09,680
Speaker 3: that's that's pretty interesting. So we'll put it as our

641
00:31:09,680 --> 00:31:12,600
Speaker 3: fifth for right now and we'll keep going through the

642
00:31:12,600 --> 00:31:14,800
Speaker 3: games here right. Definitely, that one definitely jumped out to

643
00:31:14,840 --> 00:31:17,440
Speaker 3: me of give me and chat to avoid it or

644
00:31:17,480 --> 00:31:18,120
Speaker 3: is it number two?

645
00:31:18,160 --> 00:31:18,440
Speaker 2: Good?

646
00:31:19,080 --> 00:31:23,200
Speaker 3: And you know this is just how how can the

647
00:31:23,200 --> 00:31:25,680
Speaker 3: Bucks overcome all those injuries to their offensive line?

648
00:31:25,680 --> 00:31:28,600
Speaker 2: It's it just feels like it's too much at this point.

649
00:31:28,800 --> 00:31:33,520
Speaker 1: It does? It does? I mentioned briefly Saint Seahawks. We

650
00:31:33,560 --> 00:31:36,000
Speaker 1: have the Seahawks and Survivor. I'm not interested in trying

651
00:31:36,000 --> 00:31:38,520
Speaker 1: to thread the needle on saying to at seven and

652
00:31:38,560 --> 00:31:44,920
Speaker 1: a half or seven and Seahawks and Survivor. I want

653
00:31:44,920 --> 00:31:49,160
Speaker 1: to bring up two more games. Chiefs minus five and

654
00:31:49,200 --> 00:31:51,960
Speaker 1: a half, that's the contest line at six most places,

655
00:31:53,600 --> 00:31:56,960
Speaker 1: Lions plus five and a half. On Monday night, it's

656
00:31:57,000 --> 00:31:58,840
Speaker 1: now down to four and a half, so we're getting

657
00:31:58,880 --> 00:32:04,120
Speaker 1: a little bit of an edge in both games. Do

658
00:32:04,200 --> 00:32:06,360
Speaker 1: we like either of them better than the Jets? I'm

659
00:32:06,360 --> 00:32:10,760
Speaker 1: not sure that I do, but they're available.

660
00:32:12,600 --> 00:32:16,760
Speaker 3: I can't I think, I'm just yeah, I just I'm

661
00:32:16,800 --> 00:32:18,400
Speaker 3: not confident enough and I don't have enough money on it.

662
00:32:18,400 --> 00:32:21,360
Speaker 3: Where like the Chiefs, My Chiefs bets have honestly just

663
00:32:21,360 --> 00:32:24,240
Speaker 3: been money line. Like if I'm if I'm putting big

664
00:32:24,280 --> 00:32:26,880
Speaker 3: money into it, I'm just going to totally take out

665
00:32:26,920 --> 00:32:28,520
Speaker 3: all the risk and just take the money line.

666
00:32:28,560 --> 00:32:32,280
Speaker 2: It's I can't trust the Chiefs team with a big number.

667
00:32:32,320 --> 00:32:35,600
Speaker 3: That's my issue right now, where it's like I just

668
00:32:36,080 --> 00:32:38,440
Speaker 3: I can just see them doing enough just to win.

669
00:32:38,520 --> 00:32:41,200
Speaker 3: They're they're not the type of team that can roll

670
00:32:41,240 --> 00:32:45,480
Speaker 3: teams and blow them out. And really, I've supported the

671
00:32:45,520 --> 00:32:47,440
Speaker 3: Chiefs bet all week, and I think we both agreed

672
00:32:47,480 --> 00:32:50,720
Speaker 3: on the five and a half just because we're really

673
00:32:50,720 --> 00:32:53,480
Speaker 3: betting on Russell Wilson struggling against this Chiefs defense and

674
00:32:53,480 --> 00:32:55,760
Speaker 3: there's been a great bounce back spot for Spags in

675
00:32:55,800 --> 00:33:00,240
Speaker 3: this defense. So yeah, I can't force it in. Again,

676
00:33:00,280 --> 00:33:02,760
Speaker 3: I like Houston better than both those teams.

677
00:33:02,360 --> 00:33:05,880
Speaker 2: Okay, spot, if I had to think I would.

678
00:33:06,520 --> 00:33:09,160
Speaker 3: If we're looking at chalk, I know we're not going

679
00:33:09,240 --> 00:33:11,520
Speaker 3: to do it, But our contest is cold.

680
00:33:11,400 --> 00:33:13,800
Speaker 2: Three and a half. That's an interesting one and.

681
00:33:15,800 --> 00:33:18,520
Speaker 1: Playing with fire where that is playing with fire.

682
00:33:18,760 --> 00:33:20,760
Speaker 3: Exactly where Like I don't want to put it in

683
00:33:20,800 --> 00:33:24,240
Speaker 3: just because it's a good number, and we both betted

684
00:33:24,240 --> 00:33:24,640
Speaker 3: at three.

685
00:33:25,120 --> 00:33:25,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, and.

686
00:33:27,040 --> 00:33:28,960
Speaker 3: You know, I was hoping, you know, this contest Arizona

687
00:33:28,960 --> 00:33:31,520
Speaker 3: will be three three and a half. They're one and

688
00:33:31,560 --> 00:33:33,480
Speaker 3: a half, So another game people have been asking about.

689
00:33:33,520 --> 00:33:35,560
Speaker 3: I'm on Arizona, but another game we're not going to

690
00:33:35,640 --> 00:33:37,160
Speaker 3: force in the contest, especially we don't even know who

691
00:33:37,160 --> 00:33:38,080
Speaker 3: the quarterback is here.

692
00:33:38,120 --> 00:33:41,080
Speaker 2: We are really early Sunday morning, so I don't know

693
00:33:41,120 --> 00:33:41,640
Speaker 2: Chad Fields.

694
00:33:41,680 --> 00:33:45,640
Speaker 3: We're kind of stuck with Denver, Cleveland, Houston Eagles, and

695
00:33:45,680 --> 00:33:48,440
Speaker 3: then the last one being that damn Jets team of

696
00:33:48,480 --> 00:33:51,920
Speaker 3: seven and a half. I think I agree, So no

697
00:33:51,920 --> 00:33:53,080
Speaker 3: no love for newing one from you.

698
00:33:53,880 --> 00:33:56,120
Speaker 1: Well, I just maybe I'm making too much of it.

699
00:33:56,200 --> 00:33:59,680
Speaker 1: But Christian Gonzales has been ruled out? Do I care

700
00:33:59,720 --> 00:34:03,320
Speaker 1: that much? Like he is? He is the game changer

701
00:34:03,360 --> 00:34:06,400
Speaker 1: for them in the back half of the defense. Obviously

702
00:34:06,440 --> 00:34:08,880
Speaker 1: he hasn't played in the first two games. Does it

703
00:34:09,000 --> 00:34:13,080
Speaker 1: matter as much as Drake May's ability to you know,

704
00:34:13,480 --> 00:34:17,480
Speaker 1: convert and be accurate? I don't know. Like I've actually

705
00:34:17,600 --> 00:34:21,560
Speaker 1: liked the Patriots all week. I saw some twos popping

706
00:34:22,040 --> 00:34:26,840
Speaker 1: because probably of Christian Gonzales. So I don't want to

707
00:34:26,960 --> 00:34:29,440
Speaker 1: forget about the game. I don't want to overreact to

708
00:34:29,520 --> 00:34:33,040
Speaker 1: Christian Gonzales. Right, do I feel better about the Patriots

709
00:34:33,080 --> 00:34:34,800
Speaker 1: at one and a half than I do about the

710
00:34:34,920 --> 00:34:37,200
Speaker 1: Jets at seven and a half. Patriots at one and

711
00:34:37,239 --> 00:34:42,799
Speaker 1: a half at home? Tomlin is a road favorite. I mean,

712
00:34:42,840 --> 00:34:44,399
Speaker 1: I could talk myself into it right now.

713
00:34:46,000 --> 00:34:46,200
Speaker 2: Yeah.

714
00:34:46,440 --> 00:34:48,200
Speaker 3: My hardest thing, I think you just mentioned his name,

715
00:34:48,320 --> 00:34:50,560
Speaker 3: Drake May. That's been my hardest time with that game

716
00:34:50,920 --> 00:34:55,440
Speaker 3: is he did get played well against Miami. I wouldn't

717
00:34:55,480 --> 00:34:58,319
Speaker 3: mind letting it play out and see him do it

718
00:34:58,320 --> 00:35:02,239
Speaker 3: another week. And I'm not forcing a bet on a

719
00:35:02,239 --> 00:35:04,960
Speaker 3: bad number because in our contest it is point point half.

720
00:35:06,760 --> 00:35:09,200
Speaker 1: Then I'd rather get the host at seven.

721
00:35:09,239 --> 00:35:11,319
Speaker 3: Hugly dogs in Cleveland eight and a half in the

722
00:35:11,400 --> 00:35:12,080
Speaker 3: Jets plus seven.

723
00:35:12,719 --> 00:35:15,040
Speaker 1: All right, So fair enough, all right? So this is

724
00:35:15,040 --> 00:35:18,399
Speaker 1: our final five, our final five. Here's where we land.

725
00:35:19,080 --> 00:35:22,680
Speaker 1: Cleveland plus eight and a half, Houston plus a half,

726
00:35:24,000 --> 00:35:28,799
Speaker 1: Eagles minus three and a half, Denver plus two and

727
00:35:28,800 --> 00:35:36,120
Speaker 1: a half, j e Ts, Jets, Jets, Jets plus seven

728
00:35:36,280 --> 00:35:40,200
Speaker 1: and a half against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. God, this

729
00:35:40,239 --> 00:35:44,359
Speaker 1: is going to be a miserable day. Miserable or it's

730
00:35:44,360 --> 00:35:47,040
Speaker 1: going to be the greatest day ever. That's the beauty

731
00:35:47,080 --> 00:35:50,040
Speaker 1: of Sunday mornings in the fall.

732
00:35:50,520 --> 00:35:51,560
Speaker 2: And nothing changed.

733
00:35:51,600 --> 00:35:55,160
Speaker 3: I know jsn Is came up on injury report for

734
00:35:55,360 --> 00:35:58,799
Speaker 3: the Seahawks, that's the number one receiver and came up

735
00:35:58,840 --> 00:36:02,560
Speaker 3: with an illness. Oh you know, better than a hamstring.

736
00:36:02,880 --> 00:36:07,879
Speaker 3: You just hope today you woke up feeling better. I

737
00:36:07,920 --> 00:36:11,480
Speaker 3: think I saw the one of the biggest Survivor contests

738
00:36:11,480 --> 00:36:14,440
Speaker 3: in America. Forty percent of the contest picks were on

739
00:36:14,480 --> 00:36:15,120
Speaker 3: the Seahawks.

740
00:36:15,120 --> 00:36:16,320
Speaker 1: So yeah, we're screwed.

741
00:36:17,239 --> 00:36:19,920
Speaker 3: Chad and I are on the very chalk public side,

742
00:36:20,440 --> 00:36:24,759
Speaker 3: and historical data shows in week three it's again.

743
00:36:24,840 --> 00:36:27,400
Speaker 2: It's it's crazy looking the numbers.

744
00:36:27,480 --> 00:36:31,080
Speaker 3: The upset of the seven and a half point favorites

745
00:36:31,760 --> 00:36:36,000
Speaker 3: tends to happen here in week three historically, So I

746
00:36:36,080 --> 00:36:38,840
Speaker 3: am praying, praying this gets to seven six and a

747
00:36:38,840 --> 00:36:41,080
Speaker 3: half by kickoff for the Seahawks team, so we can

748
00:36:41,160 --> 00:36:43,320
Speaker 3: feel a little better about that stupid trend not mattering

749
00:36:43,360 --> 00:36:43,839
Speaker 3: for our game.

750
00:36:43,920 --> 00:36:47,919
Speaker 2: But damn darnold Survivor crash course, here we go. Check.

751
00:36:49,040 --> 00:36:52,080
Speaker 1: This has been Sharper Square part of the Volume podcast network.

752
00:36:52,120 --> 00:36:54,719
Speaker 1: We will be back on Sharper Square YouTube tonight. It's

753
00:36:54,760 --> 00:37:00,640
Speaker 1: seven thirty live to recap all the misery and glory

754
00:37:00,760 --> 00:37:03,319
Speaker 1: of the day. Once again, we have no games that

755
00:37:03,360 --> 00:37:06,120
Speaker 1: we are putting into our final five for Sunday Night

756
00:37:06,120 --> 00:37:08,239
Speaker 1: and Monday Night, so we'll know the answers by the

757
00:37:08,280 --> 00:37:10,040
Speaker 1: time we get back on the air at seven thirty.

758
00:37:10,280 --> 00:37:12,839
Speaker 1: Watch or listen on YouTube at Sharper Square. Like this video,

759
00:37:12,880 --> 00:37:19,440
Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel. Also download from your favorite pod platform, Apple, Spotify,

760
00:37:19,480 --> 00:37:22,240
Speaker 1: wherever you get your pods. Rate review, subscribe us five stars,

761
00:37:22,280 --> 00:37:26,600
Speaker 1: say whatever you want. Feedback is a gift. Till tonight,

762
00:37:27,160 --> 00:37:27,600
Speaker 1: Love you,