1 00:00:08,960 --> 00:00:11,760 Speaker 1: Why from our nations this budget thing is going to 2 00:00:11,840 --> 00:00:14,560 Speaker 1: do nothing space forts. I still think it's interesting President 3 00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:18,280 Speaker 1: Trump not playing his cards yet. Headlines policy and politics 4 00:00:18,320 --> 00:00:23,759 Speaker 1: colliding to Floomberg Sound On the insiders, the influencers. I 5 00:00:23,760 --> 00:00:26,440 Speaker 1: would rather see a congressional solution. It's part of my DNA. 6 00:00:26,720 --> 00:00:29,360 Speaker 1: The Senate map in looks a lot different than it 7 00:00:29,360 --> 00:00:32,600 Speaker 1: looked in. President Trump was sent here to smash conventional 8 00:00:32,680 --> 00:00:35,680 Speaker 1: norms in a sense. Bernie Sanders has already w This 9 00:00:36,200 --> 00:00:42,520 Speaker 1: is Bloomberg Sound On with Kevin Surley on Bloomberg point 10 00:00:42,600 --> 00:00:47,120 Speaker 1: seven h D two school closures in Maryland as well 11 00:00:47,159 --> 00:00:50,120 Speaker 1: as surrounding areas. We're going to dive into the local 12 00:00:50,200 --> 00:00:54,600 Speaker 1: as well as the national response to the coronavirus. Every 13 00:00:54,680 --> 00:00:58,360 Speaker 1: angle covered the policy, the markets, and of course the 14 00:00:58,400 --> 00:01:00,880 Speaker 1: politics as well, with Bob q's editor in chief at 15 00:01:00,880 --> 00:01:04,320 Speaker 1: The Hill, Sarah Kim, Republican strategist, and David Livingston, senior 16 00:01:04,360 --> 00:01:07,440 Speaker 1: analysts now at the Euraisier Group, former Deputy Director of 17 00:01:07,480 --> 00:01:11,680 Speaker 1: Climate at Advanced Energy at the Atlantic Council. So lots 18 00:01:11,720 --> 00:01:14,360 Speaker 1: to get through. Bob Cusacks here, editor in Chief at 19 00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:16,679 Speaker 1: the Hill. I'm gonna start with you, Bob quickly. The 20 00:01:16,680 --> 00:01:23,320 Speaker 1: President last night giving that speech, UH, really canceling flights 21 00:01:23,319 --> 00:01:27,880 Speaker 1: from Europe, Uh, trying to get Congressional action. But twenty 22 00:01:27,880 --> 00:01:30,880 Speaker 1: four hours or so now out from that speech, where 23 00:01:30,880 --> 00:01:34,160 Speaker 1: do things stand in Washington from a political response to 24 00:01:34,160 --> 00:01:37,440 Speaker 1: to the coronavirus? Kevin, It's fair to say the administration 25 00:01:37,440 --> 00:01:41,039 Speaker 1: has really bungled this response. And the speech did nothing, 26 00:01:41,040 --> 00:01:43,800 Speaker 1: as we saw today to to calm markets. And it 27 00:01:43,920 --> 00:01:47,680 Speaker 1: wasn't a reassuring message from the president. Uh. And it 28 00:01:47,720 --> 00:01:51,640 Speaker 1: was surprising UH as far as his European move um 29 00:01:51,720 --> 00:01:54,760 Speaker 1: and and Congress is not gonna pass anything at least 30 00:01:54,800 --> 00:01:58,480 Speaker 1: anytime soon, maybe early next week. McConnell has said he's 31 00:01:58,520 --> 00:02:02,040 Speaker 1: gonna cancel recess. So overall, this is a pretty grim 32 00:02:02,040 --> 00:02:04,640 Speaker 1: outlook right now. I want to now bring into this 33 00:02:04,680 --> 00:02:08,200 Speaker 1: conversation Matthew McLeer, who's executive vice president and director of 34 00:02:08,240 --> 00:02:12,800 Speaker 1: Equity Strategies are Cumberland Advisers. The US stocks sink in 35 00:02:12,840 --> 00:02:22,560 Speaker 1: the worst day since Black Monday. Uh, Matthew, alarming day 36 00:02:22,600 --> 00:02:27,640 Speaker 1: for Wall Street traders, very alarming. You know, the words 37 00:02:27,720 --> 00:02:32,359 Speaker 1: panic and over sold, sometimes they're overused. Sometimes they're used, 38 00:02:33,600 --> 00:02:36,680 Speaker 1: you know, for mild pullbacks. But you've got a real 39 00:02:37,280 --> 00:02:41,079 Speaker 1: real dose of panic today today. By the way, I 40 00:02:41,480 --> 00:02:46,160 Speaker 1: haven't pulled the cbo ees equity only put call ratios, which, 41 00:02:46,200 --> 00:02:48,960 Speaker 1: by the way, in in an in a real panic 42 00:02:49,400 --> 00:02:51,720 Speaker 1: you've got we've all got to get away from trying 43 00:02:51,800 --> 00:02:57,800 Speaker 1: to think, you know what the economy is going to do, uh, 44 00:02:57,960 --> 00:03:01,600 Speaker 1: that type of nonsense. Excuse my language, excuse my description, 45 00:03:01,919 --> 00:03:05,240 Speaker 1: but we have to really look at analytics and internals 46 00:03:05,280 --> 00:03:08,720 Speaker 1: of what's going on within the market. And today will 47 00:03:08,720 --> 00:03:12,120 Speaker 1: be the third day this week that the equity only 48 00:03:12,240 --> 00:03:15,240 Speaker 1: not the index, but the equity only put call ratio 49 00:03:15,680 --> 00:03:19,320 Speaker 1: will have cracked one. That's you. That's that's that's through 50 00:03:20,480 --> 00:03:24,520 Speaker 1: eleven easily, by the way, that's through to any of 51 00:03:24,560 --> 00:03:27,720 Speaker 1: the panics in two thousand eight. So when I say panic, 52 00:03:28,000 --> 00:03:32,079 Speaker 1: you've got some panic, it's it's some real panic now 53 00:03:32,760 --> 00:03:40,320 Speaker 1: that normally normally will create some conditions for for some buying. Uh. 54 00:03:40,480 --> 00:03:43,360 Speaker 1: Now you have to have you know, maybe panicked a 55 00:03:43,400 --> 00:03:45,800 Speaker 1: little early and raised some cash and had cash in 56 00:03:45,840 --> 00:03:49,160 Speaker 1: your in your in your allocation here. But even if 57 00:03:49,200 --> 00:03:53,400 Speaker 1: you don't, even if you're still fully invested inequities, I 58 00:03:53,440 --> 00:03:55,600 Speaker 1: think what you have to be looking at doing here 59 00:03:55,680 --> 00:03:59,680 Speaker 1: is improving your portfolio. Matthew is on the line, so 60 00:04:00,440 --> 00:04:02,360 Speaker 1: just to just to bring everyone back up to speed. 61 00:04:02,360 --> 00:04:05,200 Speaker 1: He's the e v P and Director of Equity Strategies 62 00:04:05,200 --> 00:04:08,760 Speaker 1: at Cumberland Advisors. The SMP five hundred index giving back 63 00:04:08,800 --> 00:04:11,320 Speaker 1: all of its gains since the end of two thousand 64 00:04:11,360 --> 00:04:15,880 Speaker 1: and eighteen. The global stocks have have sank into a 65 00:04:15,880 --> 00:04:18,560 Speaker 1: bear market, and crude oil has retreated. I want to 66 00:04:18,560 --> 00:04:20,520 Speaker 1: read just the headline from the Bloomberg terminal. In a 67 00:04:20,560 --> 00:04:24,360 Speaker 1: week that brought the wildest market swings since the financial crisis, 68 00:04:24,400 --> 00:04:29,760 Speaker 1: Thursday hammered investors with something crazier, a ten percent drop 69 00:04:29,960 --> 00:04:32,800 Speaker 1: in the doll the end of the longest bull market 70 00:04:33,000 --> 00:04:38,400 Speaker 1: on record, and the biggest sell off since seven Black Monday. Matthew, 71 00:04:38,440 --> 00:04:39,880 Speaker 1: I want to play for a President Trump had to 72 00:04:39,880 --> 00:04:42,680 Speaker 1: say earlier today about the stock market. Here's the president 73 00:04:42,720 --> 00:04:45,239 Speaker 1: of the United States. The stock market, as an example, 74 00:04:45,279 --> 00:04:47,720 Speaker 1: is still much higher than when I got here, and 75 00:04:47,760 --> 00:04:50,080 Speaker 1: it's taking a big hit, but it's gonna all bounce back, 76 00:04:50,120 --> 00:04:52,400 Speaker 1: and it's gonna bounce back very big at the right time. 77 00:04:52,839 --> 00:04:57,320 Speaker 1: That's the President. Matthew. What what are investors looking at 78 00:04:57,880 --> 00:05:00,359 Speaker 1: or is there anything that that can be from a 79 00:05:00,400 --> 00:05:05,640 Speaker 1: policy standpoint coming out of the nation's capital. You know, 80 00:05:05,800 --> 00:05:08,920 Speaker 1: policy policy in a in a in a panic, and 81 00:05:08,960 --> 00:05:11,120 Speaker 1: really in a two week panic. Think about it. In 82 00:05:11,160 --> 00:05:13,920 Speaker 1: a two week panic, where do we make index eyes 83 00:05:13,960 --> 00:05:17,200 Speaker 1: on February eighteenth, So a three week panic like this, 84 00:05:17,720 --> 00:05:20,800 Speaker 1: you know, but policy can put a little sav on 85 00:05:20,800 --> 00:05:23,880 Speaker 1: on the panic. There's you know, when when you're talking 86 00:05:23,880 --> 00:05:27,200 Speaker 1: about a virus not which is causing so much panic 87 00:05:27,240 --> 00:05:30,560 Speaker 1: along with that crash in the oil markets. Uh, you know, 88 00:05:30,600 --> 00:05:34,279 Speaker 1: it's not like banks sitting on bad credit where you 89 00:05:34,279 --> 00:05:38,680 Speaker 1: can help help bail out banks. It's it's something uh, 90 00:05:38,760 --> 00:05:41,000 Speaker 1: you know that we haven't haven't really dealt with to 91 00:05:41,040 --> 00:05:45,680 Speaker 1: this extent before. Sure, stars and swine flew gave us 92 00:05:45,720 --> 00:05:49,320 Speaker 1: a couple of ripples, you know, down fifteen down, But 93 00:05:49,440 --> 00:05:52,040 Speaker 1: this is nasty. I don't know, there's a that there's 94 00:05:52,080 --> 00:05:55,800 Speaker 1: a ton the president can do. Uh you know, I 95 00:05:55,839 --> 00:05:59,440 Speaker 1: know politicians on both sides will will get very involved 96 00:05:59,480 --> 00:06:01,920 Speaker 1: in He's you know, he's doing a great job, He's 97 00:06:01,960 --> 00:06:06,039 Speaker 1: not doing enough. I think as investors and traders, you know, 98 00:06:06,120 --> 00:06:09,479 Speaker 1: you've got to try to block out some of that 99 00:06:09,800 --> 00:06:14,560 Speaker 1: and just create levels and prices where you're comfortable bidding 100 00:06:14,560 --> 00:06:17,159 Speaker 1: on stock. And what we've been doing is try to 101 00:06:17,200 --> 00:06:21,080 Speaker 1: bid under the market, be it underwear where great names 102 00:06:21,120 --> 00:06:24,840 Speaker 1: like Microsoft or Lily or Costco or Trading, and see 103 00:06:24,880 --> 00:06:26,599 Speaker 1: if we get hit. And if we get hit there, 104 00:06:26,600 --> 00:06:28,800 Speaker 1: we'll tuck it away and try to look through the 105 00:06:28,880 --> 00:06:30,719 Speaker 1: valley of the next three or six months. All Right, 106 00:06:30,800 --> 00:06:33,920 Speaker 1: My thanks to Matthew McLear, Executive vice president and director 107 00:06:33,960 --> 00:06:37,520 Speaker 1: of Equity Strategies at Cumberland Advisors. Matthew, truthfully, thanks for 108 00:06:37,520 --> 00:06:40,640 Speaker 1: calling in. I mean, it's just a stunning day, a 109 00:06:40,760 --> 00:06:44,360 Speaker 1: nasty day on Wall Street again, historic day in many 110 00:06:44,360 --> 00:06:46,400 Speaker 1: ways on Wall Street. So my thanks to you. I 111 00:06:46,400 --> 00:06:48,719 Speaker 1: want to bring back into the conversation Bob Czack, editor 112 00:06:48,760 --> 00:06:51,240 Speaker 1: in chief at The Hill, David Livingston, senior analyst at 113 00:06:51,240 --> 00:06:54,360 Speaker 1: the Eurasia Group, and Sarah Kim, Republican Strategists uh and 114 00:06:54,400 --> 00:06:57,800 Speaker 1: who has previously worked in the Trump administration. Sarah, let 115 00:06:57,800 --> 00:07:00,600 Speaker 1: me kick it over to you in the sense it uh. 116 00:07:00,920 --> 00:07:03,240 Speaker 1: I mean, now we've got like two minutes left so quickly. 117 00:07:03,640 --> 00:07:06,080 Speaker 1: What do you think needs to happen in the short 118 00:07:06,200 --> 00:07:10,120 Speaker 1: term to inject confidence not just for Wall Street but 119 00:07:10,200 --> 00:07:13,200 Speaker 1: also for Americans now that are staring down the reality 120 00:07:13,240 --> 00:07:15,600 Speaker 1: of massive school closures for the through the end of 121 00:07:15,600 --> 00:07:19,160 Speaker 1: the month. I would say two things. Once, in in 122 00:07:19,160 --> 00:07:23,080 Speaker 1: information dense society, we are operating in a lack of information, 123 00:07:23,240 --> 00:07:27,000 Speaker 1: and that information is that's well. That information is being 124 00:07:27,080 --> 00:07:30,880 Speaker 1: filled by speculators, people who have no access to facts, 125 00:07:30,960 --> 00:07:33,760 Speaker 1: who have no historical data, who are not relying upon 126 00:07:34,040 --> 00:07:37,080 Speaker 1: past pandemics. So I would say, if you have any questions, 127 00:07:37,120 --> 00:07:39,840 Speaker 1: go to this World Health organization, go to the CDC, 128 00:07:40,120 --> 00:07:42,440 Speaker 1: or just focus on the fact that even Wuhan, where 129 00:07:42,480 --> 00:07:45,240 Speaker 1: the virus started, is sending people back to work. And 130 00:07:45,280 --> 00:07:48,040 Speaker 1: the second thing that I would say is that markets, 131 00:07:48,440 --> 00:07:52,200 Speaker 1: the United States economy, the United States government, and the 132 00:07:52,240 --> 00:07:55,360 Speaker 1: world as a whole operate on confidence. We have to 133 00:07:55,680 --> 00:07:59,040 Speaker 1: We pay taxes because we believe if we don't, we're 134 00:07:59,040 --> 00:08:01,000 Speaker 1: going to get in trouble. We drive on the right 135 00:08:01,040 --> 00:08:03,440 Speaker 1: side of the road because we if we don't, we 136 00:08:03,480 --> 00:08:05,440 Speaker 1: believe we're going to get in trouble. And at the 137 00:08:05,560 --> 00:08:08,040 Speaker 1: end of the day, you have to have confidence in 138 00:08:08,080 --> 00:08:10,400 Speaker 1: your community and in the people that are around you 139 00:08:10,480 --> 00:08:15,240 Speaker 1: and the institution that it will all be okay. Be calm, 140 00:08:15,440 --> 00:08:18,440 Speaker 1: focus on the data, and just be a reasonable person. 141 00:08:18,680 --> 00:08:21,480 Speaker 1: All right. That was the Republican response coming up. We're 142 00:08:21,520 --> 00:08:23,160 Speaker 1: gonna die much more into the nuance. But I want 143 00:08:23,160 --> 00:08:24,400 Speaker 1: to talk about the z DC. I want to talk 144 00:08:24,400 --> 00:08:27,440 Speaker 1: about what President Trump is doing, what Democrats are proposing. 145 00:08:27,800 --> 00:08:31,560 Speaker 1: We're gonna check in with every one, and like I said, folks, 146 00:08:31,600 --> 00:08:34,040 Speaker 1: I mean this is we're an uncharted territories. I'm Kevin 147 00:08:34,080 --> 00:08:37,040 Speaker 1: SURRELLI Chief Washington corresponded for Bloomberg Television and Radio. Download 148 00:08:37,040 --> 00:08:39,280 Speaker 1: the Bloomberg Sound On podcast on Apple iTunes and Bloomberg 149 00:08:39,280 --> 00:08:41,480 Speaker 1: dot Com, or by downloading the Bloomberg Business App. You 150 00:08:41,480 --> 00:08:43,960 Speaker 1: can also find me on Radio dot Com, I Heart 151 00:08:44,040 --> 00:09:00,000 Speaker 1: Radio and Spotify. You're listening to Bloomberg. This is bloom 152 00:09:00,040 --> 00:09:05,000 Speaker 1: Burghs Sound On with Kevin Surlane on Bloomberg and one 153 00:09:05,080 --> 00:09:07,800 Speaker 1: or five point seven h D two. You have but 154 00:09:08,280 --> 00:09:10,920 Speaker 1: tens of thousands of people to travel to the United 155 00:09:10,960 --> 00:09:15,640 Speaker 1: States from Europe. Every day, se of new cases in 156 00:09:15,720 --> 00:09:19,640 Speaker 1: the world were in Europe. And when we looked yesterday 157 00:09:19,679 --> 00:09:23,320 Speaker 1: at at the what was then the thirty five states 158 00:09:23,320 --> 00:09:26,400 Speaker 1: where we had cases, about thirty of them could be 159 00:09:26,480 --> 00:09:29,800 Speaker 1: traced to contacts with Europe. That was Vice President Mike 160 00:09:29,800 --> 00:09:33,679 Speaker 1: Penn speaking earlier about how the administrations responding to the 161 00:09:33,720 --> 00:09:38,000 Speaker 1: coronavirus pandemic as described by the World Health Organization of 162 00:09:38,080 --> 00:09:40,640 Speaker 1: Kevin Sireli, chief Washington correspondent from Bloomer TV and Radio. 163 00:09:41,120 --> 00:09:45,600 Speaker 1: My panel for the hour a trio of talent Seray Kim, 164 00:09:45,720 --> 00:09:48,720 Speaker 1: David Livingston of the Eurasia Group, and Bobe Cuzack, editor 165 00:09:48,720 --> 00:09:50,760 Speaker 1: in chief of The Hill series of Republican Strategist and 166 00:09:50,800 --> 00:09:54,360 Speaker 1: worked previously uh AT in the Trump administration. Bob, why 167 00:09:54,400 --> 00:09:58,199 Speaker 1: are there no tests? That's that's a good question. Um. 168 00:09:58,360 --> 00:10:02,000 Speaker 1: Mike Pence said that believe four million would be available 169 00:10:02,000 --> 00:10:03,600 Speaker 1: this week at the end of this week. We're at 170 00:10:03,640 --> 00:10:05,280 Speaker 1: the end of this week and I've seen an estimate 171 00:10:05,360 --> 00:10:08,599 Speaker 1: around eleven twelve thousand people have been tested. And I 172 00:10:08,679 --> 00:10:11,160 Speaker 1: think that's adds to the uncertainty because we just need 173 00:10:11,200 --> 00:10:12,920 Speaker 1: to get on top of this problem or at least 174 00:10:12,920 --> 00:10:16,520 Speaker 1: know how bad the issue is, and we don't yet. Technically. 175 00:10:16,600 --> 00:10:20,120 Speaker 1: I don't know, though, Sara, why there are no tests 176 00:10:20,160 --> 00:10:23,520 Speaker 1: because the United States government refused to prepare after Stars. 177 00:10:23,840 --> 00:10:27,840 Speaker 1: What you see is China, Singapore, South Korea, and the 178 00:10:27,960 --> 00:10:31,600 Speaker 1: non white Tiger countries being prepared because after Stars, they 179 00:10:31,640 --> 00:10:35,120 Speaker 1: decided to create a stockpile of tests. The reason why 180 00:10:35,120 --> 00:10:37,080 Speaker 1: there are no masks in the United States is the 181 00:10:37,160 --> 00:10:40,280 Speaker 1: United States stop stockpiling in after two thousand and four. 182 00:10:40,559 --> 00:10:43,560 Speaker 1: The issue and problem with Washington d C being involved 183 00:10:43,760 --> 00:10:46,840 Speaker 1: and putting a political spin with adjective and adverbs about 184 00:10:46,880 --> 00:10:50,040 Speaker 1: this crisis is that they refused to prepare from the 185 00:10:50,080 --> 00:10:53,560 Speaker 1: previous experience and as a result of fifteen years of 186 00:10:53,640 --> 00:10:57,840 Speaker 1: government in activity and in attention, that's why we're here. 187 00:10:58,880 --> 00:11:04,439 Speaker 1: It's remarkable, Dave at Livingston, when you think of responses 188 00:11:04,480 --> 00:11:08,360 Speaker 1: to national disasters and the Bush administration and the Obama 189 00:11:08,360 --> 00:11:11,240 Speaker 1: administration and now on the Trump administration, it's a it's immune. 190 00:11:11,559 --> 00:11:16,640 Speaker 1: It's a political party. Uh, but it it strikes at 191 00:11:16,640 --> 00:11:20,880 Speaker 1: the core mistrust that people want to have. People want 192 00:11:20,960 --> 00:11:24,000 Speaker 1: to trust the government will be able to provide testing 193 00:11:24,000 --> 00:11:27,800 Speaker 1: and whatnot. But when Japan and South Korea are better 194 00:11:27,840 --> 00:11:31,080 Speaker 1: equipped to handle this than the United States, that's alarming. 195 00:11:31,600 --> 00:11:34,240 Speaker 1: They also spend more on health security and global health 196 00:11:34,280 --> 00:11:36,360 Speaker 1: security than the United States does, or at least in 197 00:11:36,400 --> 00:11:39,000 Speaker 1: the United States does. Now that's right, that's right there. 198 00:11:39,040 --> 00:11:41,240 Speaker 1: But but there have been significant cuts to the you know, 199 00:11:41,280 --> 00:11:43,360 Speaker 1: to the um the budget of the CDC and too 200 00:11:43,440 --> 00:11:46,840 Speaker 1: in particular to some of the global health security UH 201 00:11:47,000 --> 00:11:50,400 Speaker 1: funding that existed at the beginning of the administration, especially 202 00:11:50,480 --> 00:11:52,440 Speaker 1: kind of coming out of the momentum of addressing the 203 00:11:52,440 --> 00:11:57,160 Speaker 1: Ebola um crisis a number of years back. But you know, 204 00:11:57,200 --> 00:11:59,040 Speaker 1: the other interesting thing that I think will be a 205 00:11:59,080 --> 00:12:00,560 Speaker 1: result of this is we look forward in the role 206 00:12:00,559 --> 00:12:02,040 Speaker 1: of government is I think the government is not going 207 00:12:02,080 --> 00:12:03,400 Speaker 1: to get more out of the way. I think the 208 00:12:03,400 --> 00:12:05,560 Speaker 1: government's gonna get more involved, and we're going to see 209 00:12:05,640 --> 00:12:09,920 Speaker 1: more redundancy UH in terms of industrial policy to drive 210 00:12:10,280 --> 00:12:14,600 Speaker 1: domestic production capabilities for things like mass for medical equipment, etcetera. 211 00:12:15,280 --> 00:12:18,640 Speaker 1: And and so yesterday the Hill they put together bos 212 00:12:18,880 --> 00:12:21,800 Speaker 1: you know newspapers, they put together a great synopsis of 213 00:12:21,880 --> 00:12:25,920 Speaker 1: the pending legislation. But that bill does nothing to address 214 00:12:26,040 --> 00:12:29,360 Speaker 1: the situation awation at hand. When you were talking about 215 00:12:29,480 --> 00:12:32,280 Speaker 1: permanent payroll tax cuts, when you're talking about spending a 216 00:12:32,360 --> 00:12:35,240 Speaker 1: billion dollars to expand the high Amendment, when you're talking 217 00:12:35,320 --> 00:12:38,760 Speaker 1: about seven billion dollars to do all these things, and 218 00:12:38,920 --> 00:12:41,760 Speaker 1: ultimately it ends up in a trillion dollar impact That 219 00:12:42,160 --> 00:12:47,320 Speaker 1: is not the purpose of pandemic legislation. That is putting 220 00:12:47,520 --> 00:12:51,839 Speaker 1: all of your Christmas tree. Public health, political issues, saying 221 00:12:51,920 --> 00:12:54,520 Speaker 1: that you're helping people when in reality you're putting your 222 00:12:54,559 --> 00:12:58,840 Speaker 1: morality in there. There are dangers of moving legislation too quickly, 223 00:12:59,080 --> 00:13:01,160 Speaker 1: and then there's also benefits to that because that will 224 00:13:01,480 --> 00:13:04,199 Speaker 1: that will calm investors. And I do think that Washington 225 00:13:04,360 --> 00:13:07,120 Speaker 1: has to act but the normal routine. And when we 226 00:13:07,240 --> 00:13:09,599 Speaker 1: got up today we thought, okay that the House is 227 00:13:09,600 --> 00:13:12,320 Speaker 1: going to pass something, uh, and then that's what they 228 00:13:12,360 --> 00:13:15,199 Speaker 1: do and then maybe jam the Senate. You know, this 229 00:13:15,400 --> 00:13:18,600 Speaker 1: is this is a crisis. This is like nine eleven, 230 00:13:18,720 --> 00:13:21,280 Speaker 1: this is like the financial implosion. There's got to be 231 00:13:21,360 --> 00:13:24,160 Speaker 1: bi partisanship and from a macro sense, listen, you know 232 00:13:24,320 --> 00:13:27,040 Speaker 1: there hasn't been bi partisanship in ages, and that the 233 00:13:27,080 --> 00:13:29,560 Speaker 1: parties simply have to come together. Very short. I think 234 00:13:29,600 --> 00:13:33,320 Speaker 1: what you said, Bob is so on point in terms 235 00:13:33,360 --> 00:13:36,720 Speaker 1: of the timing of an economic package to calm the markets, 236 00:13:36,760 --> 00:13:38,520 Speaker 1: because if they would have, if they would have done 237 00:13:38,559 --> 00:13:41,040 Speaker 1: something today, the markets wouldn't have cared, you know, I 238 00:13:41,080 --> 00:13:44,000 Speaker 1: mean just because we're not. It hasn't been a flat 239 00:13:44,880 --> 00:13:46,640 Speaker 1: the flat and the curve is we've all been yeah, 240 00:13:47,320 --> 00:13:50,040 Speaker 1: And so I think until that happens, I think, correct 241 00:13:50,080 --> 00:13:52,160 Speaker 1: me if I'm wrong. But you think back to nine 242 00:13:52,200 --> 00:13:54,400 Speaker 1: eleven of all the lawmakers out on the capital steps. 243 00:13:54,480 --> 00:13:56,559 Speaker 1: You think back to after the financial crash, when there 244 00:13:56,720 --> 00:13:59,760 Speaker 1: was as you had disagreements within the party, but there 245 00:13:59,880 --> 00:14:03,559 Speaker 1: was as a core nuclear group on both parties. I 246 00:14:03,760 --> 00:14:06,000 Speaker 1: think what Americans for, kind of about Wall Street just 247 00:14:06,040 --> 00:14:08,319 Speaker 1: for a second, I think what Americans are craving is 248 00:14:08,400 --> 00:14:12,160 Speaker 1: that show of unity of their leaders. Yeah. Now, and 249 00:14:12,280 --> 00:14:14,920 Speaker 1: it's it's uh, it's been lacking, and there's been a 250 00:14:14,960 --> 00:14:17,600 Speaker 1: lot of positioning and partisanship, and of course we're an 251 00:14:17,640 --> 00:14:19,760 Speaker 1: election year and that's what makes this difficult. And that's 252 00:14:19,760 --> 00:14:21,840 Speaker 1: where I think our leaders both in the House and 253 00:14:21,840 --> 00:14:25,360 Speaker 1: they have to step up and they haven't. Joe Biden 254 00:14:25,560 --> 00:14:28,360 Speaker 1: and President Trump can't figure out that that's a failure 255 00:14:28,400 --> 00:14:30,600 Speaker 1: of leadership. Then that's and this is not hard you 256 00:14:30,680 --> 00:14:33,080 Speaker 1: can put. I think you've got to have a large bill. 257 00:14:33,160 --> 00:14:35,760 Speaker 1: It can't be modest, and Republicans get a lot of 258 00:14:35,800 --> 00:14:37,680 Speaker 1: what they want, Democrats get what they want, and it's 259 00:14:37,680 --> 00:14:40,160 Speaker 1: signed into law, and then maybe we get some more 260 00:14:40,360 --> 00:14:42,760 Speaker 1: information on the tests and and then then it calms 261 00:14:42,800 --> 00:14:44,560 Speaker 1: down just a bit. I think you gotta get the 262 00:14:44,600 --> 00:14:46,800 Speaker 1: tests out there, and we gotta see images of the 263 00:14:46,880 --> 00:14:49,040 Speaker 1: test getting out there, just to to to see that. 264 00:14:49,240 --> 00:14:51,720 Speaker 1: I think that the you know, Americans are heading into 265 00:14:51,760 --> 00:14:54,320 Speaker 1: two weeks with their kids staying home from schools, they're 266 00:14:54,360 --> 00:14:57,120 Speaker 1: heading home, they're working from home, they're working remotely. This 267 00:14:57,280 --> 00:15:00,040 Speaker 1: is impacted every day life. I want to play for 268 00:15:00,040 --> 00:15:01,800 Speaker 1: you what sent up already, Leader Chuck Schumer set on 269 00:15:01,840 --> 00:15:05,040 Speaker 1: Capitol Hill earlier today. Here is I plead. I plead 270 00:15:05,160 --> 00:15:08,880 Speaker 1: with my Republican Senate colleagues to pass this bill. Now. 271 00:15:10,000 --> 00:15:14,400 Speaker 1: It has been carefully thought out, Its programs are directly 272 00:15:14,480 --> 00:15:18,000 Speaker 1: aimed at people. They're not ideological, sir, I take it though, 273 00:15:18,520 --> 00:15:20,520 Speaker 1: I mean I hear on that front. So let's let's 274 00:15:20,560 --> 00:15:23,720 Speaker 1: divorce the politics for just one second. Though, Where is 275 00:15:23,800 --> 00:15:28,120 Speaker 1: their cohesiveness on where Republicans and Democrats could work together 276 00:15:28,280 --> 00:15:31,200 Speaker 1: to actually advance something that would help, that would help 277 00:15:31,280 --> 00:15:33,840 Speaker 1: flatten the curve. So there are two things the apples 278 00:15:33,880 --> 00:15:37,600 Speaker 1: to apples. Number one is the test. Currently CDC is 279 00:15:37,680 --> 00:15:40,240 Speaker 1: having to approve these in conjunction with the f d A. 280 00:15:40,600 --> 00:15:43,400 Speaker 1: Just let the private sector create the test, put them 281 00:15:43,440 --> 00:15:45,400 Speaker 1: out there on the market, because we know how to 282 00:15:45,480 --> 00:15:48,360 Speaker 1: find in disease for flu and the other apples to 283 00:15:48,440 --> 00:15:52,119 Speaker 1: Apples things is, look, we're running out of active product ingredients. 284 00:15:54,800 --> 00:15:57,160 Speaker 1: This is not a Republican fact or democratic fact. This 285 00:15:57,320 --> 00:16:01,800 Speaker 1: is from the Private Sector Act. If pharmaceutical ingredients are 286 00:16:01,880 --> 00:16:05,160 Speaker 1: made in China. I mean Marsha Blackburn on yesterday, she's 287 00:16:05,160 --> 00:16:07,480 Speaker 1: got a bill with Bob Menendez, a Democratic New Jersey. 288 00:16:07,680 --> 00:16:09,920 Speaker 1: I mean, I think you're gonna heart. We'll talk about 289 00:16:09,960 --> 00:16:12,960 Speaker 1: the China implications with Livingston in the second to finish 290 00:16:13,000 --> 00:16:15,960 Speaker 1: your So why if you want to do something fast, 291 00:16:16,040 --> 00:16:17,880 Speaker 1: if you want to do something big, if you want 292 00:16:17,880 --> 00:16:20,960 Speaker 1: to address the two major issues with his testing and 293 00:16:21,040 --> 00:16:24,240 Speaker 1: a cure, that's the Apples to Apple's bill. It would 294 00:16:24,280 --> 00:16:28,040 Speaker 1: be done in less than three hours if the legislative 295 00:16:28,040 --> 00:16:30,360 Speaker 1: attorneys can write the text. And I remember when I 296 00:16:30,480 --> 00:16:34,400 Speaker 1: was growing up in Senator John McCain and it stopped 297 00:16:34,440 --> 00:16:36,800 Speaker 1: his presidential campaign to get back to Washington, d C. 298 00:16:37,000 --> 00:16:39,280 Speaker 1: To deal with the O eight crash. That's the type 299 00:16:39,320 --> 00:16:41,920 Speaker 1: of stuff, for lack of a better word, that needs 300 00:16:41,960 --> 00:16:46,080 Speaker 1: to happen right now, because Calm August, this could be forgotten. 301 00:16:46,120 --> 00:16:48,360 Speaker 1: I want to forget about this, Calm August, but we 302 00:16:48,480 --> 00:16:50,840 Speaker 1: can't right now. I'm Kevin Sirelli. You're listening to Bloomberg. 303 00:16:58,960 --> 00:17:02,760 Speaker 1: This is bloom Burg Sound On with Kevin Surley on 304 00:17:02,920 --> 00:17:07,000 Speaker 1: Bloomberg and one oh five point seven f MHD two. 305 00:17:07,320 --> 00:17:12,080 Speaker 1: Their proposal appears to impose permanent, unfunded mandates owned businesses 306 00:17:12,760 --> 00:17:17,040 Speaker 1: that could cause massive job losses and put thousands of 307 00:17:17,119 --> 00:17:20,600 Speaker 1: small businesses at risk. That was sent a macharity leader 308 00:17:20,640 --> 00:17:23,840 Speaker 1: Mitch McConnell speaking earlier today about the Democrats proposal that 309 00:17:23,920 --> 00:17:29,240 Speaker 1: they put together with regards to combating the economic impacts 310 00:17:30,040 --> 00:17:32,840 Speaker 1: of the coronavirus. I'm Kevin Sirelli, Chief Washington correspondent for 311 00:17:32,880 --> 00:17:36,199 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Television and Bloomberg Radio. If you're just joining us. 312 00:17:36,240 --> 00:17:40,640 Speaker 1: The US stocks sunk today in the worst day since 313 00:17:40,720 --> 00:17:44,440 Speaker 1: Black Monday, the worst day since Black Monday. Just to 314 00:17:44,520 --> 00:17:47,040 Speaker 1: read more from the Bloomberg terminal. At the end of 315 00:17:47,080 --> 00:17:52,080 Speaker 1: the day, US stocks smoldered scent below records set barely 316 00:17:52,240 --> 00:17:55,959 Speaker 1: three weeks ago. Europe's benchmark index suffered its worst day 317 00:17:56,000 --> 00:18:00,200 Speaker 1: in history. Brazil's tumbled as much as at one point point, 318 00:18:00,600 --> 00:18:03,000 Speaker 1: and they have extended this year's lost to almost fifty 319 00:18:03,400 --> 00:18:07,840 Speaker 1: in dollar terms. Canada's main mean index was off more 320 00:18:07,880 --> 00:18:14,160 Speaker 1: than twelve percent in its worst day since n uncertainty, uncertainty, 321 00:18:14,320 --> 00:18:16,840 Speaker 1: but we are certainly grateful to have Bob Us acts 322 00:18:16,880 --> 00:18:20,520 Speaker 1: Serry Kim and David Livingston here with us. We were 323 00:18:20,560 --> 00:18:22,800 Speaker 1: talking in the break. I mean, so much of the 324 00:18:22,960 --> 00:18:26,000 Speaker 1: chatter now is economic stimulus when it will come first, 325 00:18:26,080 --> 00:18:28,520 Speaker 1: let's flatten the curve. But when we talk about economic 326 00:18:28,560 --> 00:18:32,399 Speaker 1: stimulus to it's a combat all of these differing dynamics. 327 00:18:33,160 --> 00:18:35,600 Speaker 1: I think one thing that's stuck out for me in 328 00:18:35,640 --> 00:18:38,399 Speaker 1: the President's comments last night was the fifty billion dollars 329 00:18:38,480 --> 00:18:41,840 Speaker 1: from the Small Business Administration s b A, because that 330 00:18:41,880 --> 00:18:45,720 Speaker 1: could free up liquidity, not for big businesses, not for 331 00:18:45,840 --> 00:18:49,520 Speaker 1: financial institutions and the big banks, but for small businesses, 332 00:18:49,920 --> 00:18:52,280 Speaker 1: for the mom and pop shops, for targeted loans, to 333 00:18:52,520 --> 00:18:55,800 Speaker 1: just really inject some shocks into the economy once we 334 00:18:55,880 --> 00:18:59,280 Speaker 1: flattened the curve of the coronavirus. David Livingston, I mean 335 00:18:59,320 --> 00:19:02,200 Speaker 1: you mentioned you use the terms. I'll let you describe it, 336 00:19:02,240 --> 00:19:05,440 Speaker 1: but you describe that it's important to combat another potential 337 00:19:05,480 --> 00:19:08,600 Speaker 1: brewing issue as we deal with getting out of this 338 00:19:08,720 --> 00:19:12,960 Speaker 1: whole that's blue collar versus white collar. Absolutely. I mean, well, 339 00:19:13,000 --> 00:19:15,080 Speaker 1: the point here is, uh, you know what will be 340 00:19:15,240 --> 00:19:17,560 Speaker 1: some of the impacts on some of our existing trends 341 00:19:17,600 --> 00:19:21,320 Speaker 1: political polarization, economic inequality. And I think that, you know, 342 00:19:21,440 --> 00:19:23,040 Speaker 1: despite the hope that we have that this is going 343 00:19:23,080 --> 00:19:24,960 Speaker 1: to be some pull together moment, because we kind of 344 00:19:25,000 --> 00:19:28,280 Speaker 1: have this common enemy, this common threat in the coronavirus 345 00:19:28,359 --> 00:19:31,520 Speaker 1: that we're facing, there's also the chance that, especially in 346 00:19:31,640 --> 00:19:35,879 Speaker 1: a very uh tense election season, you're going to have 347 00:19:36,040 --> 00:19:38,679 Speaker 1: white collar workers able to easily work from home. Right, 348 00:19:38,720 --> 00:19:40,920 Speaker 1: we can all just run this podcast, you know, over 349 00:19:41,280 --> 00:19:44,520 Speaker 1: over Skype from our respective living rooms. But what about 350 00:19:44,560 --> 00:19:46,320 Speaker 1: the people? What about the blue collar workers that are 351 00:19:46,320 --> 00:19:48,240 Speaker 1: taking out the trash? What about the blue collar workers 352 00:19:48,280 --> 00:19:50,479 Speaker 1: that are have to go into a refinery exactly who 353 00:19:50,520 --> 00:19:52,760 Speaker 1: have to go to a refinery, who have to ensure 354 00:19:52,880 --> 00:19:56,000 Speaker 1: that basically society can construction side. I mean, that's the 355 00:19:56,160 --> 00:19:58,080 Speaker 1: that's the side of it. I think that I totally 356 00:19:58,119 --> 00:20:00,840 Speaker 1: agree with you, David Livingston. People in this town don't 357 00:20:00,880 --> 00:20:03,800 Speaker 1: get go ahead, sir. And then, just to complicate it further, 358 00:20:03,880 --> 00:20:05,800 Speaker 1: what happens when they're when their kids are at home 359 00:20:05,840 --> 00:20:07,600 Speaker 1: because they can't be at school? Right, So now you 360 00:20:07,760 --> 00:20:11,040 Speaker 1: have just some some major exacerbation of some major pre 361 00:20:11,119 --> 00:20:14,000 Speaker 1: existing tensions in US society and the political economy in 362 00:20:14,040 --> 00:20:16,480 Speaker 1: this country. I mean, this is where speaker Ryan really 363 00:20:16,560 --> 00:20:18,840 Speaker 1: fell on his chance to make an impact. The issue 364 00:20:18,920 --> 00:20:22,879 Speaker 1: of the working poor is bipartisan, and I know my 365 00:20:23,320 --> 00:20:25,720 Speaker 1: I mean, let me just tell people, my parents do 366 00:20:25,880 --> 00:20:30,159 Speaker 1: not own Samsung. My mom was a janitor working two jobs. 367 00:20:30,320 --> 00:20:32,879 Speaker 1: My dad was a janitor working two jobs while he 368 00:20:32,960 --> 00:20:36,280 Speaker 1: got a PhD. They are the working poor, and these 369 00:20:36,320 --> 00:20:38,920 Speaker 1: people do not have the luxury to work from home. 370 00:20:39,280 --> 00:20:42,520 Speaker 1: And as we emphasize the need to make tests, and 371 00:20:42,680 --> 00:20:46,159 Speaker 1: as we emphasize the need to create awareness that is 372 00:20:46,240 --> 00:20:49,240 Speaker 1: done by the working poor. It's not like people get 373 00:20:49,280 --> 00:20:52,120 Speaker 1: paid a hundred thousand dollars a year to make tests. 374 00:20:52,359 --> 00:20:55,159 Speaker 1: Those are manufacturing jobs. So, Bob, I mean, so when 375 00:20:55,200 --> 00:20:59,040 Speaker 1: you're you're talking about SBA loans and fifty billion dollars 376 00:20:59,080 --> 00:21:02,199 Speaker 1: in liquidity, I mean, this issue right now, and we're 377 00:21:02,240 --> 00:21:03,920 Speaker 1: in the middle of it. So it's it's it's really 378 00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:06,800 Speaker 1: hard to it's hard for me as a as a journalist, 379 00:21:06,840 --> 00:21:09,920 Speaker 1: as a host to say, let's talk about the worst 380 00:21:10,000 --> 00:21:14,280 Speaker 1: day on the market history when literally local economies right 381 00:21:14,320 --> 00:21:18,040 Speaker 1: now are getting crushed and and and we don't even 382 00:21:18,160 --> 00:21:21,560 Speaker 1: know how long that's going to last because their everyday 383 00:21:21,680 --> 00:21:25,920 Speaker 1: life is being impacted. So how if you're inside of 384 00:21:26,720 --> 00:21:30,600 Speaker 1: Pennsylvania Avenue, if your Treasury secretary monution, if you're Larry Cudlow, 385 00:21:31,040 --> 00:21:35,040 Speaker 1: I mean, how do you plan for the inevitable flattening 386 00:21:35,119 --> 00:21:38,080 Speaker 1: of the curve from the from the virus outbreak to 387 00:21:38,280 --> 00:21:43,040 Speaker 1: getting life back rolling. And this is where the administration specifically, 388 00:21:43,119 --> 00:21:44,800 Speaker 1: and it's not a strong suit the President has to 389 00:21:44,840 --> 00:21:46,879 Speaker 1: show some patience because number one, we have to get 390 00:21:46,920 --> 00:21:50,040 Speaker 1: to a spot where Dr Faucci yesterday said it's gonna 391 00:21:50,040 --> 00:21:52,840 Speaker 1: get worse before it gets better. But so we have 392 00:21:52,920 --> 00:21:55,040 Speaker 1: to get to the point where it's we're beyond and 393 00:21:55,119 --> 00:21:57,920 Speaker 1: we're getting better. Now there's good news that both South 394 00:21:58,040 --> 00:22:00,240 Speaker 1: Korea and China, though you have to take it with 395 00:22:00,280 --> 00:22:03,040 Speaker 1: a grain of salt, say hey, they have peaked, they 396 00:22:03,119 --> 00:22:05,560 Speaker 1: have peaked, and now they're getting better. We've got to 397 00:22:05,640 --> 00:22:08,159 Speaker 1: get to that point. But the economic backlash of all 398 00:22:08,240 --> 00:22:11,040 Speaker 1: what we've been talking about, it is hard to imagine 399 00:22:11,080 --> 00:22:14,520 Speaker 1: that we don't go into some type of recession, perhaps 400 00:22:14,560 --> 00:22:17,480 Speaker 1: a major recession, and the global economy of course, is 401 00:22:17,520 --> 00:22:19,000 Speaker 1: going to be you know, pulled along with that. We 402 00:22:19,119 --> 00:22:20,600 Speaker 1: see major One of the things that I was looking 403 00:22:20,640 --> 00:22:22,920 Speaker 1: at this morning. We're seeing just some crazy signals in 404 00:22:23,040 --> 00:22:25,480 Speaker 1: terms of emerging market outflows, right, and so that's going 405 00:22:25,520 --> 00:22:30,359 Speaker 1: to require global coordination, a global, globally coordinated response. And 406 00:22:30,400 --> 00:22:33,280 Speaker 1: I think that's what the market is seems very tense about, 407 00:22:33,400 --> 00:22:34,879 Speaker 1: is is this are we going to see that like 408 00:22:34,960 --> 00:22:36,280 Speaker 1: we saw coming out of two thousand and eight, two 409 00:22:36,280 --> 00:22:39,840 Speaker 1: thousand nine, or do we actually lack the functioning institutions 410 00:22:39,960 --> 00:22:42,760 Speaker 1: and the trust and the trust and the institution exactly, 411 00:22:42,800 --> 00:22:44,800 Speaker 1: the trust and the institutions at a global level to 412 00:22:44,880 --> 00:22:48,119 Speaker 1: have a coordinated response. David Livingston of the Eurasia Groups here, 413 00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:51,040 Speaker 1: he previously worked at the Atlantic Council. David, I mean 414 00:22:51,280 --> 00:22:54,280 Speaker 1: Christine Lagar gets out there earlier today trying to inject 415 00:22:54,400 --> 00:22:58,600 Speaker 1: some confidence into into the global economy. Sarah Kim is 416 00:22:58,640 --> 00:23:01,199 Speaker 1: shaking your head. But let me ask you, I mean, 417 00:23:01,480 --> 00:23:05,080 Speaker 1: does that trust exists in the guard? I think the 418 00:23:05,119 --> 00:23:08,800 Speaker 1: trust exists in leguard. The question is whether the trusts 419 00:23:08,880 --> 00:23:11,240 Speaker 1: exists amongst the big players that also have to be 420 00:23:11,320 --> 00:23:13,879 Speaker 1: at the table. Right, this is a different economy than 421 00:23:13,960 --> 00:23:16,920 Speaker 1: it was more than a decade ago in two tho nine. 422 00:23:17,280 --> 00:23:19,639 Speaker 1: You need the I m F, you need the United States. 423 00:23:19,760 --> 00:23:23,080 Speaker 1: You need the EU and you need China along with 424 00:23:23,119 --> 00:23:25,760 Speaker 1: the course Japan and some other players. Sarah coming here 425 00:23:25,800 --> 00:23:26,879 Speaker 1: and then I want to come back to China. I 426 00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:29,040 Speaker 1: was gonna save that for segment four, but go ahead, Sarah. 427 00:23:29,160 --> 00:23:32,520 Speaker 1: I mean, this is where novice investors should just take 428 00:23:32,560 --> 00:23:36,199 Speaker 1: a breath. There was already negative yields in Europe. There 429 00:23:36,320 --> 00:23:38,560 Speaker 1: was always going to be issues as it relates to 430 00:23:38,640 --> 00:23:41,760 Speaker 1: the Brexit windout. There was always going to be manufacturing 431 00:23:41,840 --> 00:23:44,320 Speaker 1: problems as a result of the Phase one China deal 432 00:23:44,400 --> 00:23:46,880 Speaker 1: and the China US trade war. Well, and on top 433 00:23:46,960 --> 00:23:49,760 Speaker 1: of that, the fact that the United States put sanctions 434 00:23:49,880 --> 00:23:53,440 Speaker 1: on Russia is the reason why Saudi Abia flooded the 435 00:23:53,520 --> 00:23:57,320 Speaker 1: market and the reason why crude oil taint commodities move 436 00:23:57,640 --> 00:24:01,119 Speaker 1: based upon crude. They buy these in orders before. So 437 00:24:01,240 --> 00:24:04,000 Speaker 1: there were always going to be market fluctuations. It was 438 00:24:04,160 --> 00:24:06,960 Speaker 1: wild because of oil, it was wild because of Brexit, 439 00:24:07,320 --> 00:24:09,280 Speaker 1: was wild because of the U. S Trade war, and 440 00:24:09,359 --> 00:24:11,920 Speaker 1: then we got the flu. But that is not a 441 00:24:12,160 --> 00:24:18,439 Speaker 1: fact based problem. That is a confidence problem, because po exactly, 442 00:24:18,560 --> 00:24:22,800 Speaker 1: they are investing incorrectly, and they should listen to wise 443 00:24:22,960 --> 00:24:26,040 Speaker 1: people who are true and give you quality facts like 444 00:24:26,119 --> 00:24:28,000 Speaker 1: they do here at Bloomberg not just because I'm on 445 00:24:28,040 --> 00:24:30,119 Speaker 1: the shold I hear you. No, I mean I hear 446 00:24:30,160 --> 00:24:31,560 Speaker 1: you on that point. But let me let me ask 447 00:24:31,560 --> 00:24:34,159 Speaker 1: you this. I mean to come back to both of 448 00:24:34,240 --> 00:24:36,280 Speaker 1: you are saying. It's all of us are saying, China 449 00:24:36,359 --> 00:24:38,160 Speaker 1: is going to have to come to the table here. David, 450 00:24:38,200 --> 00:24:39,720 Speaker 1: I'm gonna put this back on you and bring it 451 00:24:39,800 --> 00:24:43,320 Speaker 1: back to you for a second. Do you think that 452 00:24:43,840 --> 00:24:48,160 Speaker 1: the global community is going to trust China after they're 453 00:24:48,240 --> 00:24:52,960 Speaker 1: handling of this? Can we trust them? It's not a 454 00:24:53,960 --> 00:24:57,120 Speaker 1: not Chinese. I'm talking about General Secretary shi Jing Ping 455 00:24:57,600 --> 00:25:00,720 Speaker 1: of the Communist Party of the Chinese government. Well, what 456 00:25:00,840 --> 00:25:03,359 Speaker 1: I'll just observe is this is exacerbating one of the 457 00:25:03,560 --> 00:25:06,119 Speaker 1: Eurasia Group's top risks that identified at the beginning of 458 00:25:06,160 --> 00:25:08,760 Speaker 1: the year, right decoupling between China and the US and 459 00:25:08,840 --> 00:25:11,760 Speaker 1: increasing rivalry between China and the US. And unfortunately we 460 00:25:11,880 --> 00:25:14,360 Speaker 1: see that starting to play out here. The initial response 461 00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:17,359 Speaker 1: from President Trump was actually be quite conciliatory towards China, 462 00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:19,879 Speaker 1: gave them additional room to comply with the Phase one 463 00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:22,000 Speaker 1: trade deal, right and sort of said, look, we we 464 00:25:22,080 --> 00:25:23,840 Speaker 1: support them, We're going to give them some time and 465 00:25:24,160 --> 00:25:27,000 Speaker 1: space and patients. Now you see, uh in the speech 466 00:25:27,080 --> 00:25:29,399 Speaker 1: last night or in the address last night, a noted 467 00:25:29,520 --> 00:25:33,000 Speaker 1: change of tack right more aggressive towards China. UM, you know, 468 00:25:33,440 --> 00:25:37,000 Speaker 1: talking about a a virus which originated in China. And 469 00:25:37,280 --> 00:25:39,320 Speaker 1: what you you know, what's also gonna be interesting now 470 00:25:39,440 --> 00:25:42,560 Speaker 1: is how that bleeds into the economic contagion here as well. 471 00:25:42,840 --> 00:25:45,920 Speaker 1: Secretary Minution has reiterated multiple times that he doesn't want 472 00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:48,679 Speaker 1: I m F funds going to pay back debt associated 473 00:25:48,720 --> 00:25:51,280 Speaker 1: with the Belton Road projects, for example. So where you're 474 00:25:51,280 --> 00:25:54,640 Speaker 1: gonna have competition between I m F U S EU 475 00:25:54,760 --> 00:25:58,600 Speaker 1: on one side, China UM and and and it's uh, 476 00:25:58,720 --> 00:26:00,600 Speaker 1: you know, lines of credit on the other side when 477 00:26:00,640 --> 00:26:02,880 Speaker 1: it comes to some of the emerging market in frontier 478 00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:05,000 Speaker 1: markets that have been hit the hardest here, David, I 479 00:26:05,040 --> 00:26:07,080 Speaker 1: think you've raised a lot of great points. I spoke 480 00:26:07,119 --> 00:26:09,240 Speaker 1: with the source at the State's Department within the last 481 00:26:09,280 --> 00:26:11,840 Speaker 1: twenty four hours, and I mean, you listen to the 482 00:26:11,920 --> 00:26:14,680 Speaker 1: public speeches that Secretary Pompeo has given in the past 483 00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:18,159 Speaker 1: six months about shi Jingping. You listen to to what 484 00:26:19,040 --> 00:26:22,159 Speaker 1: UH lawmakers on both sides of the aisle from Mark Warner, 485 00:26:22,320 --> 00:26:25,960 Speaker 1: the pop Democrat on Intel to Marshall Blackburn yesterday on 486 00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:30,800 Speaker 1: this program. I mean there once this flattens the curve 487 00:26:30,880 --> 00:26:33,439 Speaker 1: from the health perspective, China has a lot of questions 488 00:26:33,640 --> 00:26:36,359 Speaker 1: a minimum, China has a lot of questions to answer 489 00:26:36,720 --> 00:26:42,040 Speaker 1: about how transparent they were with the international community. I'm 490 00:26:42,080 --> 00:26:44,560 Speaker 1: Kevin Sirley, chief Washington correspondent for Bloomberg TV and Radio. 491 00:26:44,560 --> 00:26:53,920 Speaker 1: You're listening to Bloomberg. Is Bloomberg Sound on with Kevin 492 00:26:54,000 --> 00:26:58,240 Speaker 1: Shirley on Bloomberg and one oh five point seven f 493 00:26:58,359 --> 00:27:00,240 Speaker 1: M h D two. You know I was some with 494 00:27:00,760 --> 00:27:04,760 Speaker 1: Guy Snodgrass earlier today. You know he's a stoic. He 495 00:27:04,880 --> 00:27:08,600 Speaker 1: always reads stoicism, he studies the stoic philosophy, and he 496 00:27:08,760 --> 00:27:12,600 Speaker 1: was telling me in these times, just stay stoic, Stay stoic. 497 00:27:12,680 --> 00:27:16,040 Speaker 1: I'm Kevin smili chief Washington correspondent for Bloomberg Television and 498 00:27:16,160 --> 00:27:18,080 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio. We gotta get a guy back on the 499 00:27:18,119 --> 00:27:21,560 Speaker 1: program to to break down what what what everyone's doing, 500 00:27:21,600 --> 00:27:24,320 Speaker 1: what people are not doing in the international community. Bob 501 00:27:24,440 --> 00:27:28,840 Speaker 1: Cuzacs here, editor in chief at The Hill. Bob, what 502 00:27:28,920 --> 00:27:32,560 Speaker 1: do you think the next twenty four hours bring us? 503 00:27:32,760 --> 00:27:36,440 Speaker 1: I think it's such an optimist thought. You're gonna see 504 00:27:36,520 --> 00:27:39,280 Speaker 1: it's gonna become news when something is not canceled, because 505 00:27:39,359 --> 00:27:42,400 Speaker 1: everything is getting canceled, and you know, I think people 506 00:27:42,440 --> 00:27:46,440 Speaker 1: are craving. Is that image of all of the lawmakers 507 00:27:46,720 --> 00:27:50,240 Speaker 1: on Capitol Hill after nine eleven? People want to see? 508 00:27:50,520 --> 00:27:53,520 Speaker 1: I say in this, I mean, I I hope, I hope. 509 00:27:53,680 --> 00:27:56,680 Speaker 1: This is my this is my stoic prayer that the 510 00:27:56,800 --> 00:27:59,680 Speaker 1: championship game from March Madness, that there can be a crowd, 511 00:28:01,400 --> 00:28:03,480 Speaker 1: right I gotta have a March Madness though right there, 512 00:28:04,000 --> 00:28:05,760 Speaker 1: we're not even gonna get that, But I hope, I 513 00:28:05,880 --> 00:28:08,200 Speaker 1: hope that there's at least like a major sporting event 514 00:28:08,600 --> 00:28:11,320 Speaker 1: in a massive stadium where fans can go to in 515 00:28:11,400 --> 00:28:13,520 Speaker 1: like a month from now, will listen. I think you've 516 00:28:13,560 --> 00:28:15,320 Speaker 1: gotta I mean not to be depressing, but I think 517 00:28:15,320 --> 00:28:17,159 Speaker 1: you gotta look at the NFL season right now. I mean, 518 00:28:17,320 --> 00:28:20,920 Speaker 1: just because you're talking about baseball, March Madness is canceled. 519 00:28:21,440 --> 00:28:25,679 Speaker 1: Uh yeah, whichards Capitals, NHLs. But I mean it's all 520 00:28:26,000 --> 00:28:29,520 Speaker 1: that's why this is so this is so rough, all right, 521 00:28:30,960 --> 00:28:33,440 Speaker 1: rough times, but I'm an optimist. You gotta stay positive. 522 00:28:33,480 --> 00:28:35,840 Speaker 1: If anyone has any funny things to watch on Netflix 523 00:28:35,920 --> 00:28:37,719 Speaker 1: or a queue up? Let me know, Sary, what are 524 00:28:37,720 --> 00:28:39,640 Speaker 1: you watching that's funny? We gotta keep it up beat. 525 00:28:39,760 --> 00:28:42,040 Speaker 1: It's the worst day on the stock markets. It's black Monday. 526 00:28:42,200 --> 00:28:44,960 Speaker 1: I'm not watching anything funny. But I heard Love is Blind. 527 00:28:45,240 --> 00:28:49,400 Speaker 1: It's yeah we talked about on this show. Yeah, pre coronavirus. Um, 528 00:28:49,440 --> 00:28:52,080 Speaker 1: I'm watching better Call Saul. I don't know it's a funny. 529 00:28:52,080 --> 00:28:53,920 Speaker 1: I just want to laugh. That's a funny one. All right, 530 00:28:54,360 --> 00:28:56,200 Speaker 1: all right, maybe I'll check it out to you. Always 531 00:28:56,200 --> 00:28:59,080 Speaker 1: gotta wach Kirby enthusiasm. I could yes, Okay, I could 532 00:28:59,120 --> 00:29:01,600 Speaker 1: go back. I could go back. Uh, David Livingston, what's 533 00:29:01,600 --> 00:29:04,600 Speaker 1: on your radar? What's your quick take? Um? Gonna be 534 00:29:04,680 --> 00:29:07,480 Speaker 1: watching the geopolitical fall out of this? Uh? Will the 535 00:29:07,720 --> 00:29:11,960 Speaker 1: will the growing? Love is Blind? Or this mean exactly? 536 00:29:12,200 --> 00:29:14,200 Speaker 1: We hadn't last on the show and like a week 537 00:29:14,520 --> 00:29:16,680 Speaker 1: it used to be a fun show. Now it's like 538 00:29:18,000 --> 00:29:22,440 Speaker 1: go ahead, Um looking looking at the geopolitical fall out 539 00:29:22,480 --> 00:29:24,880 Speaker 1: of this? So you know, um is when when when 540 00:29:24,920 --> 00:29:27,520 Speaker 1: all the dust settles? Uh? You know who's going to 541 00:29:27,560 --> 00:29:29,720 Speaker 1: be stronger, who's going to be weaker? Um? Will the 542 00:29:29,800 --> 00:29:34,000 Speaker 1: tension growing tension between the US and and and the EU. UM, uh, 543 00:29:34,280 --> 00:29:37,480 Speaker 1: you know, kind of arrest the administration's attempt to bring 544 00:29:37,720 --> 00:29:39,640 Speaker 1: Europe back a little bit back into the fold and 545 00:29:39,840 --> 00:29:42,800 Speaker 1: and to keep them away from uh, you know, playing 546 00:29:43,000 --> 00:29:45,720 Speaker 1: playing ball with China and five gene issues like that. 547 00:29:46,280 --> 00:29:50,080 Speaker 1: Um you know is uh are a certain emerging markets 548 00:29:50,080 --> 00:29:52,400 Speaker 1: going to continue with Belton Road initiatives? Are they gonna 549 00:29:53,000 --> 00:29:55,560 Speaker 1: are they gonna default on some of their debts? You know? 550 00:29:55,600 --> 00:29:57,480 Speaker 1: What's what's going to be the net shake out there 551 00:29:57,560 --> 00:30:00,959 Speaker 1: in the break about how China is giving the Alliens masks. 552 00:30:01,480 --> 00:30:03,600 Speaker 1: That's right, there's yeah. I mean they're advertising a lot 553 00:30:03,640 --> 00:30:06,120 Speaker 1: of the humanitarian aid and masks which are now being 554 00:30:06,160 --> 00:30:08,880 Speaker 1: sent from China to Italy. Right, Which is there? So 555 00:30:09,080 --> 00:30:11,040 Speaker 1: so that you're you're what you said in the Bradin, 556 00:30:11,040 --> 00:30:12,800 Speaker 1: I don't want to I don't want to put words 557 00:30:12,800 --> 00:30:14,760 Speaker 1: in your mouth, but you raised the question, Well, the 558 00:30:14,840 --> 00:30:18,480 Speaker 1: Europeans look to China to be to be a cure 559 00:30:19,080 --> 00:30:21,760 Speaker 1: for this, yeah, or if not a cure at least 560 00:30:21,840 --> 00:30:23,920 Speaker 1: or they're going to be some soft power points scored 561 00:30:24,400 --> 00:30:26,000 Speaker 1: and put up on the board. And I think you 562 00:30:26,080 --> 00:30:29,720 Speaker 1: know that that's appears to already be the case. That's 563 00:30:31,120 --> 00:30:34,760 Speaker 1: back to the reality. I can't believe that. I honestly, 564 00:30:34,960 --> 00:30:37,440 Speaker 1: that's difficult for me to believe. But it's But you're 565 00:30:37,480 --> 00:30:39,960 Speaker 1: so right. That's why David Livingston here previously worked at 566 00:30:39,960 --> 00:30:41,840 Speaker 1: the Atlantic Council. Now he's after your Asia group. Sorry, 567 00:30:41,880 --> 00:30:44,600 Speaker 1: what's your quick take on your radar? So the United 568 00:30:44,640 --> 00:30:46,560 Speaker 1: States Census, it hasn't been on my radar for a 569 00:30:46,600 --> 00:30:49,560 Speaker 1: really long time. But in January they started to actually 570 00:30:49,640 --> 00:30:52,320 Speaker 1: knock on doors and collect the data. Not anymore. This 571 00:30:52,760 --> 00:30:55,560 Speaker 1: is the first week that they started to knock on 572 00:30:55,640 --> 00:31:00,480 Speaker 1: doors nationally. And when you interject this crisis of confidence 573 00:31:00,520 --> 00:31:03,520 Speaker 1: that coronavirus has caused, and you're saying that government workers 574 00:31:03,640 --> 00:31:05,720 Speaker 1: have to work from home, how do you take the 575 00:31:05,800 --> 00:31:09,360 Speaker 1: information in the United States sentence which attributes for the 576 00:31:09,440 --> 00:31:12,520 Speaker 1: social welfare programs that the Democratic Party loves to embrace. 577 00:31:12,880 --> 00:31:17,680 Speaker 1: There is no conversation about creating an infrastructure or filling 578 00:31:17,720 --> 00:31:20,800 Speaker 1: the two million dollar hole that they already have in 579 00:31:20,880 --> 00:31:23,880 Speaker 1: the lack of people to take these numbers. Do you 580 00:31:23,920 --> 00:31:26,480 Speaker 1: think they have to delay the sensus? You can't delay 581 00:31:26,560 --> 00:31:30,760 Speaker 1: the census. It's just it happens every time. Well, you 582 00:31:30,960 --> 00:31:34,360 Speaker 1: shouldn't because again that it is a bifurcated problem. Does 583 00:31:34,440 --> 00:31:37,400 Speaker 1: the health data require it No? Do the politicians want 584 00:31:37,440 --> 00:31:40,480 Speaker 1: to spin it? Yes? I think the only thing that 585 00:31:41,680 --> 00:31:44,600 Speaker 1: the only thing that will make people feel better is 586 00:31:44,680 --> 00:31:49,000 Speaker 1: if life goes on as normal. Yet, yes it can. 587 00:31:49,360 --> 00:31:51,800 Speaker 1: My life goes on. I'm totally fine. I travel three 588 00:31:51,840 --> 00:31:59,040 Speaker 1: times a week. According to Upside World Health Organization yesterday 589 00:31:59,080 --> 00:32:01,200 Speaker 1: said life can go on for dogs because apparently they 590 00:32:01,240 --> 00:32:03,800 Speaker 1: can't get you know, I read that. I do read 591 00:32:03,840 --> 00:32:07,040 Speaker 1: that someone had a good tweet that said, w h 592 00:32:07,280 --> 00:32:10,640 Speaker 1: let the dogs out. You know what I needed that. 593 00:32:10,760 --> 00:32:12,440 Speaker 1: I don't have a dog. You know, when all this 594 00:32:12,640 --> 00:32:14,800 Speaker 1: is I'm saying it on air right now, when all 595 00:32:14,880 --> 00:32:17,160 Speaker 1: this is handled, I'm getting a dog. Bob I got too. 596 00:32:17,240 --> 00:32:23,719 Speaker 1: So that's good news. Quickly, We're gonna have a debate 597 00:32:23,800 --> 00:32:28,120 Speaker 1: on Sunday, and I would predict that after Joe Biden 598 00:32:28,200 --> 00:32:31,400 Speaker 1: does very well on Tuesday that actually Sanders is going 599 00:32:31,440 --> 00:32:35,160 Speaker 1: to bout out Unlike what he did in a month ago, 600 00:32:35,240 --> 00:32:37,600 Speaker 1: Trump looked like a very solid bet to win re election. 601 00:32:37,840 --> 00:32:39,800 Speaker 1: Not so much anymore. Really, all right, let's say a 602 00:32:39,880 --> 00:32:44,520 Speaker 1: listen to what Joe Biden said earlier today talking about 603 00:32:44,840 --> 00:32:48,040 Speaker 1: the coronavirus serious. This is going to require a national 604 00:32:48,480 --> 00:32:52,680 Speaker 1: national response, not just from our electric leaders or public 605 00:32:52,760 --> 00:32:56,280 Speaker 1: health officials, but from all of us. And here's Bernie Sanders. 606 00:32:57,680 --> 00:32:59,880 Speaker 1: If we have the medical experts that I have talk 607 00:33:00,000 --> 00:33:05,200 Speaker 1: to dispute that there is a major shortage of ICU 608 00:33:05,600 --> 00:33:11,240 Speaker 1: units and ventils been on needed to respond to this crisis. 609 00:33:11,400 --> 00:33:14,080 Speaker 1: I mean, do you think I think Biden were when 610 00:33:14,080 --> 00:33:17,480 Speaker 1: you talk to their people, Uh, they said that they 611 00:33:17,560 --> 00:33:21,040 Speaker 1: wanted to have a contrast in Biden's response today with 612 00:33:21,360 --> 00:33:23,920 Speaker 1: Trump's response last night. I think he did well today. 613 00:33:24,000 --> 00:33:26,080 Speaker 1: He was sharp. He's not always been great in the debate. 614 00:33:26,200 --> 00:33:28,720 Speaker 1: Sometimes he has gas and words salent. Today he was sharp, 615 00:33:28,840 --> 00:33:30,520 Speaker 1: and that's that's a good thing for the buying campaign. 616 00:33:30,640 --> 00:33:34,200 Speaker 1: So Sarah, give us the Republican perspective on that, as 617 00:33:34,240 --> 00:33:36,320 Speaker 1: it looks like it will be Trump versus Biden. Well, 618 00:33:36,360 --> 00:33:39,000 Speaker 1: I don't understand why there hasn't been a national response, 619 00:33:39,080 --> 00:33:41,960 Speaker 1: and I don't understand why systemic issues in the hospital 620 00:33:42,080 --> 00:33:44,840 Speaker 1: equipment chain is all of a sudden a burden of 621 00:33:44,920 --> 00:33:47,960 Speaker 1: the Trump administration. This is what happens when you advertise 622 00:33:48,280 --> 00:33:51,480 Speaker 1: and put adjectives on a crisis. You can't do that. 623 00:33:51,680 --> 00:33:54,240 Speaker 1: Either the data supports it or it doesn't. The data 624 00:33:54,280 --> 00:33:57,320 Speaker 1: supports there has been a national response. The data supports 625 00:33:57,600 --> 00:34:01,760 Speaker 1: that hospitals have had equipment failure, and uh, that has 626 00:34:01,800 --> 00:34:04,080 Speaker 1: been something that is going on systemically. It's not like 627 00:34:04,240 --> 00:34:07,400 Speaker 1: this just all of a sudden happen. So the Democratic 628 00:34:07,480 --> 00:34:09,920 Speaker 1: Party and the Republican Party just needs to focus on 629 00:34:09,960 --> 00:34:13,520 Speaker 1: the facts. All right, Well, here's some more. Here's what's 630 00:34:13,560 --> 00:34:15,359 Speaker 1: on my radar. Just the list of headlines that we've 631 00:34:15,360 --> 00:34:17,640 Speaker 1: got to do every day. In New York City declared emergency. 632 00:34:18,040 --> 00:34:22,520 Speaker 1: France closed all schools. The Fed unveiled dramatic measures to 633 00:34:22,719 --> 00:34:26,160 Speaker 1: ease the market strain from the virus. And that's the 634 00:34:26,239 --> 00:34:28,160 Speaker 1: last point that I want to note on. The Federal 635 00:34:28,280 --> 00:34:31,759 Speaker 1: Reserve took aggressive steps to ease what it called temporary 636 00:34:31,880 --> 00:34:36,040 Speaker 1: disruptions and treasuries flooding the market with liquidity and widening 637 00:34:36,120 --> 00:34:39,279 Speaker 1: its purchases of US government securities in a measure that 638 00:34:39,400 --> 00:34:44,560 Speaker 1: recalls the quantitative easing it used during the financial crisis. 639 00:34:45,160 --> 00:34:48,719 Speaker 1: Do you think this is my last question? Yes or no? 640 00:34:48,800 --> 00:34:51,400 Speaker 1: Do you think the bounce back will be this summer, Bob, 641 00:34:52,280 --> 00:34:54,440 Speaker 1: I think it will be a limited bounce back. I 642 00:34:54,520 --> 00:34:56,839 Speaker 1: still I just I think it's gonna be It's gonna 643 00:34:56,880 --> 00:35:00,399 Speaker 1: be a rough rest of the year. Yeah, I say 644 00:35:00,440 --> 00:35:06,680 Speaker 1: in two weeks. Two weeks, all right, Livingston, Dr Livingston. 645 00:35:06,960 --> 00:35:12,920 Speaker 1: By all accounts that sorry, it sounds like Kevin University. 646 00:35:12,960 --> 00:35:16,400 Speaker 1: I'm taking that diploma and running with it. By all accounts, 647 00:35:16,440 --> 00:35:18,799 Speaker 1: it sounds like, um, there's a chance that this could, 648 00:35:18,920 --> 00:35:21,680 Speaker 1: you know, obviously be be seasonal bounce back again as 649 00:35:21,719 --> 00:35:23,879 Speaker 1: we get into the falling and the coming fall and winter. 650 00:35:24,000 --> 00:35:25,719 Speaker 1: And so I think that there will be a lot 651 00:35:25,760 --> 00:35:27,800 Speaker 1: of people anticipating that in waiting to see how that 652 00:35:27,920 --> 00:35:30,879 Speaker 1: plays out. Before you see any kind of great risk 653 00:35:30,920 --> 00:35:33,880 Speaker 1: appetite record back sports, I think that that will be 654 00:35:33,960 --> 00:35:36,680 Speaker 1: the side I agree with Bob. I honestly, I think 655 00:35:36,719 --> 00:35:38,960 Speaker 1: when you when you bring back the games, it'll be 656 00:35:39,239 --> 00:35:41,919 Speaker 1: a major sign of confidence. And I think it'll it'll 657 00:35:42,000 --> 00:35:46,160 Speaker 1: it'll allow for people to feel okay again, and uh, 658 00:35:46,480 --> 00:35:50,240 Speaker 1: it'll allow them to take trips. And that's what happened 659 00:35:50,239 --> 00:35:53,839 Speaker 1: within that total. I mean, and even the shows, the show, 660 00:35:54,680 --> 00:35:57,719 Speaker 1: the television programs have canceled live studio audiences. I mean, 661 00:35:57,840 --> 00:36:00,920 Speaker 1: I think once that like gets normal again and you know, 662 00:36:00,960 --> 00:36:02,480 Speaker 1: we're at least until the end of the month, Sarah. 663 00:36:02,480 --> 00:36:05,440 Speaker 1: I hope you're right that it's faster. Thanks everybody for listening, 664 00:36:05,480 --> 00:36:08,759 Speaker 1: Bob Serry and David and of course to Matthew as well. 665 00:36:08,760 --> 00:36:10,759 Speaker 1: At the top of the show, I'm Kevin SURRELLI you're 666 00:36:10,840 --> 00:36:15,560 Speaker 1: listening to Bloomberg. Yeah,