WEBVTT - Bolivia: The World's Worst Coup

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<v Speaker 1>All Media. Welcome to you kadapp here a podcast that

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<v Speaker 1>is groaning under the oppression of whoever keeps changing the

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<v Speaker 1>stupid zoom interface. It's different every time. It always gets worse.

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<v Speaker 1>It never gets better. Please stop.

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<v Speaker 2>We had trads for zoom zoom layout.

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<v Speaker 1>Just get it, get it one time, put the recording

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<v Speaker 1>thing on the stupid panel on the bottom, and then

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<v Speaker 1>never change it. It simply never gets better. Yeah, this

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<v Speaker 1>is be a who's extremely annoyed at zoom with me?

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<v Speaker 3>Is James yep also extremely annoyed at zoom high just

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<v Speaker 3>in solidarity with Mia fuck him?

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, and also also extremely annoyed. Right now is the

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<v Speaker 1>man stages the world's worst coup? Ask to report to prison.

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<v Speaker 3>I don't think we can call it the world's worst coup. Mia,

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<v Speaker 3>that's a bold claim. You're forgetting silver Core.

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<v Speaker 1>No, so okay, here's the thing about Silver Court, right,

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<v Speaker 1>The guys who defeated Silver Court had guns.

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<v Speaker 2>But Silver Corp didn't. They had b B guns.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, but here's the thing, right they they those guys Again,

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<v Speaker 1>those guys did not have real guns, defeated by guys

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<v Speaker 1>with guns. These guys had guns. They had a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of guns. They were defeated by people with.

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<v Speaker 3>Flags Yeah yeah, and a guy standing in a doorway

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<v Speaker 3>being like, no, you can't come in, go home.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, so we we are.

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<v Speaker 1>I genuinely believe this is the worst cup I've ever

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<v Speaker 1>seen in my entire life.

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<v Speaker 2>And you know, we lived in Venezuela. One.

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<v Speaker 1>I distinctly remember stepping out of a post office and

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<v Speaker 1>checking my phone and getting eighteen messages from my friends

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<v Speaker 1>that said, do.

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<v Speaker 2>You do you?

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<v Speaker 1>What do you know about the coup and Turkey? That

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<v Speaker 1>was a terrible coup. Was they they could have they

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<v Speaker 1>could have just saved us all this trouble of shot

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<v Speaker 1>aired wh douf a jet fighter, but they didn't. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>there's there's been plenty of bad ones. There was that

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<v Speaker 1>that coup recently in the Democratic public of the Congo

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<v Speaker 1>to the fiasco. Yeah, hilariously, This coup Oblivia recovering today

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<v Speaker 1>happened exactly one year and three days after the the

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<v Speaker 1>march of the Wagner Corp.

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<v Speaker 2>Oh yeah, I've gotta forgot about that one. What if? Wow? Yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>well we wanted to try it.

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<v Speaker 3>Guys, if you believe you can achieve, give it a

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<v Speaker 3>go to a coup. If you want to why not

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<v Speaker 3>it's gonna trump paye try one did what very well? Yeah?

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I mean we really I also, I mean, we

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<v Speaker 1>can't forget January ninth, even the.

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<v Speaker 2>The well, I don't.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't because January sixth was already farce, but like

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<v Speaker 1>we forgot the farceest, farst version of it in Brazil.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah even there. Yeah, yeah, they owed a building coup.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, lots of lots of very stupid cues, but this

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<v Speaker 1>this is probably the worst one. And so we're going

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<v Speaker 1>to be explaining sort of what happened. But the thing

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<v Speaker 1>about this coup is that in order to understand what's

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<v Speaker 1>happening with this coup, we have to get through, I

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<v Speaker 1>think a part of Bolivian history that has not been

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<v Speaker 1>really well understood or talked about on the left, which

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<v Speaker 1>is effectively what happened in Bolivia.

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<v Speaker 2>After the coup in twenty nineteen.

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<v Speaker 1>I think I think people sort of know that there

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<v Speaker 1>was a coup and that got overturned, but coma that

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<v Speaker 1>was sort of the point at which which the sort

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<v Speaker 1>of Anglo media and like the sort of press that

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<v Speaker 1>hits the left here kind of just took off. So

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<v Speaker 1>you have your sort of twenty nineteen coup. The place

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<v Speaker 1>where sort of everything getting lost kind of starts is

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<v Speaker 1>that so there's this coup. The left sort of response

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<v Speaker 1>to the coup is not very strong because the sort

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<v Speaker 1>of social movements have been hallowed out by the sort

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<v Speaker 1>of incorporation into the Bolivian state, so they sort of

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<v Speaker 1>just don't have the juice to really kind of you know,

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<v Speaker 1>roll this coup back. This is this is this is

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<v Speaker 1>makes basically this is the twenty nineteen coup, not the

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<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty four coup.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>And you know the thing about the twenty nineteen coup

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<v Speaker 1>that makes it very different from this one is that

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<v Speaker 1>that one was you know, there was a broad base

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<v Speaker 1>of support for this right in this sort of in

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<v Speaker 1>this sort of like far right out of Santa Cruz

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<v Speaker 1>and also out of sort of like like more moderate

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<v Speaker 1>center right factions. So you know, there there are sort

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<v Speaker 1>of large street with favor of this. This is not

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<v Speaker 1>true if those recent.

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<v Speaker 3>One yeah, absolutely not.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, but you know in by by by twenty twenty,

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<v Speaker 1>as twenty twenty is sort of progressing a Anya's's coup

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<v Speaker 1>government is a fiasco. Their management of COVID is just terrible.

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<v Speaker 1>Enormous numbers of deaths. I mean, actually I mean not

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<v Speaker 1>by American standards, I guess, but you know, really really mismanaged.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, my I have friends there who were talking

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<v Speaker 1>about how if you were going to the hospital and

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<v Speaker 1>you needed to use like a piece of medical equipment,

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<v Speaker 1>you had to buy the medical equipment or a part

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<v Speaker 1>to fix a machine and then show up to the

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<v Speaker 1>hospital with the part because they couldn't order it.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 3>I've yeah, I've seen that in a few places in

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<v Speaker 3>the world. It's never, never a good time.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, it's it's not good. It was a real shit show.

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<v Speaker 1>And by by sort of I think about September early

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<v Speaker 1>September twenty ninth of twenty twenty, there are the left

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<v Speaker 1>has sort of gotten it shipped together and there are

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<v Speaker 1>these this massive set of roadblocks. Bolivian Blivion social politics

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<v Speaker 1>tends to sort of be about roadblocks because you know, country,

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of mountains, a lot of roads you can

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<v Speaker 1>very easily block off and then prevent anything from you know,

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<v Speaker 1>for example, entering a city, yep. Idea. So they're they're

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<v Speaker 1>able to just basically shut down the Blivion economy. The

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<v Speaker 1>government is once again on the Vergia collapse and once again,

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<v Speaker 1>and we'll get to the first time this happened, but

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<v Speaker 1>even Morallies once again sort of pulls the supporters off

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<v Speaker 1>of the barricade so you can go win an election

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<v Speaker 1>rather than you know, attempt to just bring down the

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<v Speaker 1>sort of coup government. So you know that eventually happens.

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<v Speaker 1>The government is forced to hold elections because you know,

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<v Speaker 1>they've they've lost control of the country, and them as Takes,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, wins this election by overwhelming margins. The MAS

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<v Speaker 1>is even Morales's party, it's the sort of like party.

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<v Speaker 2>Of the oblivion left. But yeah, the guy comes to

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<v Speaker 2>the power. As Lewis R.

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<v Speaker 1>Say, he's an interesting figure because he is kind of

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<v Speaker 1>We're going to get more into sort of what the

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<v Speaker 1>MS is in a bit, but he is from a

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<v Speaker 1>kind of right wing of the party that's not talked

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<v Speaker 1>about very much.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, he he is.

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<v Speaker 1>A you know, he's not a guy who comes from

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<v Speaker 1>the social movements in the way that sort of Morales did,

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<v Speaker 1>like he was. Even Morales was a guy from the

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<v Speaker 1>the he was like the president of the coca growers union.

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<v Speaker 1>Arsay is a banker. He's an an economist and a banker.

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<v Speaker 1>He comes out of the the Central Bank of Bolivia,

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<v Speaker 1>and he he has had been kind of the guy

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<v Speaker 1>running living economic policy. But but he is from the

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<v Speaker 1>developmentalist wing of the party, which means he is effectively

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<v Speaker 1>from the wing of the party that are the kind

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<v Speaker 1>of like center left capitalists that the social movements kind

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<v Speaker 1>of allied themselves to under Moralees in order to do

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<v Speaker 1>this sort of national economic development policy. So these are

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of these are a lot of minding sector guys.

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<v Speaker 1>These are a very specific sort of cadra of these

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<v Speaker 1>central bank guys, you know.

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<v Speaker 2>And and I think this is the part.

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<v Speaker 1>The thing about the MIAs that's kind of relevant here

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<v Speaker 1>is that it usually also has a base support among

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<v Speaker 1>people you wouldn't expect. I mean, there's a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>small business owners who support them, because, you know, the

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<v Speaker 1>Maas really did for most of the time they've been

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<v Speaker 1>in power preside over sort of astonishing economic growth. They

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<v Speaker 1>sort of did this by marrying these social movements to

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<v Speaker 1>this kind of national bourgeoisie developmentalist faction.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>And the other thing that that the MAAS sort of

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<v Speaker 1>does in the period between when they come back to

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<v Speaker 1>power in late twenty twenty one and now is they

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<v Speaker 1>do they actually go after the people who did the coup?

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<v Speaker 2>Right?

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<v Speaker 1>And yes, who was the previous president is just in

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<v Speaker 1>prison for helping you do the coup. The the other

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<v Speaker 1>big person who's been arrested is Luis Fernando Camacho, who

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<v Speaker 1>is a man who, in one hundred percent complete seriousness

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<v Speaker 1>calls himself Bascho Camacho. So that's that's a sign, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>that that's an oication of who this guy is, which

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<v Speaker 1>is he is a really fanatical, really fanatical Christian nationalist.

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<v Speaker 1>He's playing a very similar role to I mean, actually

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<v Speaker 1>I think even even in a lot of ways sort

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<v Speaker 1>of more radical role to what Bolsonaro played in Brazil,

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<v Speaker 1>where Camacho in Bolivia is this kind of he he's

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<v Speaker 1>the guy who's rallied both sort of Evangelicalism and Catholicism.

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<v Speaker 1>Althose rallied both of them into this sort of virulent

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<v Speaker 1>and and and specifically in Bolivia anti indigenous sort of

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<v Speaker 1>political force. The the twenty nineteen coup is seen in

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<v Speaker 1>very very explicitly is seen in religious terms.

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<v Speaker 2>Both ideas.

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<v Speaker 1>Kabacha talk about how like the Word of God is

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<v Speaker 1>back at the Capitol and the wheel, but like all

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<v Speaker 1>of the sort of indigenous various indigenous stuff is just

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<v Speaker 1>never going to come back. So Kabacho gets arrested in

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<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty two for you know, doing this coup, and

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<v Speaker 1>this sets off so he, by the way, like is

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<v Speaker 1>the governor of the state of Santa Cruz. And this

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<v Speaker 1>sets off a bunch of like a right wing general strike,

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<v Speaker 1>a bunch of riots, like hundreds of people are injured

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<v Speaker 1>in street fighting between his sort of fanatics and everyone

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<v Speaker 1>else in the country. It does an enormous amount of

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<v Speaker 1>economic damage. It sets off at a roadblocks the government,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean Kamacho I think also is still in prison,

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<v Speaker 1>but it kind of you know, the government's kind of

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<v Speaker 1>forced to make concessions.

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<v Speaker 2>To these people.

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<v Speaker 1>So, you know, the whole the whole sort of are say,

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<v Speaker 1>government is kind of on shaky footing from the beginning.

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<v Speaker 1>And all of this is before the Bolivian economy really

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<v Speaker 1>hits the ship. But before before we get to the

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<v Speaker 1>Bolivian economy. Do you know what else hits the ship?

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<v Speaker 2>Oh uh?

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<v Speaker 3>Is it the meal kit preparation delivery service that we

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<v Speaker 3>are not allowed to mention for legal reason. It is, yes, yeah, yes, yeah,

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<v Speaker 3>you'll be pooping your brains out, don't do it.

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<v Speaker 1>We are back. So let's talk about the other thing

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<v Speaker 1>that's popping in Bolithya.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, okay, see other.

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<v Speaker 1>Thing, the one of the four other things that's reppening

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<v Speaker 1>in Bolivia, and that.

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<v Speaker 2>Is the real sort of collapse of the Bolivian economy.

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<v Speaker 1>So the Bolivion economy Oblivia has been kind of different

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<v Speaker 1>from the rest of the sort of kind of left wing,

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<v Speaker 1>pink tied governments that were elected in the in the

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<v Speaker 1>in the sort of two thousands era sort of anti

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<v Speaker 1>globalization politics. Most of those countries' economies imploded a long

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<v Speaker 1>time ago, like Venezuela sort of obviously the most famous case,

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<v Speaker 1>but all of these economies fell apart because these were

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<v Speaker 1>all economies based on the commodity boom. We've talked about

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<v Speaker 1>this in some of our Brazil episodes. But the very

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<v Speaker 1>short version is that a lot of a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>countries that produce sort of primary commodities, so like you know,

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<v Speaker 1>your copper, your sort of your natural gas, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean things like soybeans to kind of fall in

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<v Speaker 1>this category, you know, so you're you're you're sort of

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<v Speaker 1>mining stuff or you're some some of some of your

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<v Speaker 1>farming stuff. All of these sort of industrial input primary

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<v Speaker 1>commodity stuff all got you know, massive price spikes in

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<v Speaker 1>early two thousands because the Chinese economy had integrated into

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<v Speaker 1>into the rest of the world economy fully by you know,

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<v Speaker 1>joining the joining the World Trade Organization, and this set

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<v Speaker 1>off this massive industrialization boom in China, and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the Chinese. The levels of sort of demand that this

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<v Speaker 1>induces is unbelievable because Chinese economic growth in that period

0:12:13.440 --> 0:12:16.800
<v Speaker 1>is unreal, and it's it's economic growth that is unreal

0:12:16.840 --> 0:12:19.000
<v Speaker 1>in a country with a billion people in it. So

0:12:19.640 --> 0:12:23.160
<v Speaker 1>this produced a kind of shock of demand for all

0:12:23.160 --> 0:12:27.080
<v Speaker 1>of these sort of mineral resources that was not entirely

0:12:27.160 --> 0:12:31.840
<v Speaker 1>unprecedented but enormously large, and also allowed all of these

0:12:31.880 --> 0:12:36.360
<v Speaker 1>sort of social democratic economies to you know, kind of

0:12:36.400 --> 0:12:39.800
<v Speaker 1>paper over the inherent contradictions of their base being both

0:12:39.840 --> 0:12:43.720
<v Speaker 1>capitalist and also a bunch of like unions by there

0:12:43.760 --> 0:12:46.480
<v Speaker 1>just sort of being enough state revenue from all of

0:12:46.480 --> 0:12:48.960
<v Speaker 1>these all of these exports to just kind of buy

0:12:48.960 --> 0:12:53.120
<v Speaker 1>everyone off of paper everything. Clantalism, yeah, yeah, and that

0:12:53.280 --> 0:12:56.760
<v Speaker 1>stops working when the economy goes under. But Bolivia's economy

0:12:56.840 --> 0:12:59.280
<v Speaker 1>does a lot better than the rest of the economies

0:12:59.360 --> 0:12:59.960
<v Speaker 1>in the region.

0:13:00.080 --> 0:13:01.560
<v Speaker 2>There are There are a lot of reasons for this.

0:13:01.640 --> 0:13:04.320
<v Speaker 1>Part of it is that, you know, are say, who

0:13:04.360 --> 0:13:07.160
<v Speaker 1>is running the economy of Bolivia in the sort of

0:13:07.160 --> 0:13:09.720
<v Speaker 1>the period like post two thousand and eight period, when

0:13:09.760 --> 0:13:13.480
<v Speaker 1>everyone else economies are collapsing. He is genuinely doing some

0:13:13.520 --> 0:13:18.920
<v Speaker 1>pretty interesting macroeconomic stuff. Also, the other thing that's going

0:13:19.000 --> 0:13:22.679
<v Speaker 1>on is that Bolivia main expert and people. Okay, so

0:13:22.920 --> 0:13:24.760
<v Speaker 1>people in the US tend to think of Bolivia as

0:13:24.760 --> 0:13:28.320
<v Speaker 1>a country that produces lithium. That's not true. That might

0:13:28.360 --> 0:13:30.959
<v Speaker 1>be true maybe thirty years in the future that will

0:13:31.000 --> 0:13:34.599
<v Speaker 1>be Bolivia's primary export. But Bolivia's primary export for the

0:13:34.679 --> 0:13:39.120
<v Speaker 1>last two decades has been natural gas, and natural gas

0:13:39.120 --> 0:13:41.440
<v Speaker 1>prices didn't quite do the same thing that sort of

0:13:41.520 --> 0:13:44.640
<v Speaker 1>oil prices did that kind of imploded the Venezuelan economy. Yeah,

0:13:45.800 --> 0:13:49.160
<v Speaker 1>and so through through sort of like economic management and

0:13:50.080 --> 0:13:54.400
<v Speaker 1>these sort of political alliances and you know, the high

0:13:54.400 --> 0:13:57.320
<v Speaker 1>price in natural gas, the Bolivian economy has sort of

0:13:57.320 --> 0:14:00.560
<v Speaker 1>been fine. Unfortunately, what's happening right now is that Bolivia

0:14:00.679 --> 0:14:03.120
<v Speaker 1>is running out of natural gas. And because it's running

0:14:03.120 --> 0:14:06.199
<v Speaker 1>out of natural gas, and also because their economy is

0:14:06.200 --> 0:14:08.160
<v Speaker 1>an export based economy based on natural.

0:14:07.880 --> 0:14:11.920
<v Speaker 2>Gas, not so good nutsge good vibes. Yeah, it's very bad.

0:14:11.960 --> 0:14:15.280
<v Speaker 1>The entire economy is falling apart because you know, this

0:14:15.440 --> 0:14:18.319
<v Speaker 1>is this is a very very classic kind of economic crisis,

0:14:18.440 --> 0:14:21.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, the economic crisis are having. I'm not seeing

0:14:21.320 --> 0:14:23.520
<v Speaker 1>it described as a balance of payments crisis, but that's

0:14:23.520 --> 0:14:26.560
<v Speaker 1>what it is, which is that the blivid economy works

0:14:26.720 --> 0:14:30.160
<v Speaker 1>on buying things with American dollars. So you know, like

0:14:30.160 --> 0:14:31.960
<v Speaker 1>a lot of the businesses in the country involved are

0:14:32.000 --> 0:14:34.720
<v Speaker 1>sort of import businesses, right, you know, I mean I

0:14:34.720 --> 0:14:37.360
<v Speaker 1>know people who run businesses like this in Bolivia where

0:14:37.400 --> 0:14:43.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, you're importing shoes or like motors, yeah, stuff

0:14:43.600 --> 0:14:45.240
<v Speaker 1>like that, and you buy them with American dollars and

0:14:45.240 --> 0:14:46.760
<v Speaker 1>you sell them in Bolivia. But the thing is this

0:14:46.800 --> 0:14:49.440
<v Speaker 1>requires a constant supply of American dollars to go buy

0:14:49.480 --> 0:14:53.000
<v Speaker 1>good manufacture goods from other places. Because Bolivia's manufacturing economy

0:14:53.000 --> 0:14:54.960
<v Speaker 1>is effectively is a joke. And this is something that

0:14:55.000 --> 0:14:57.680
<v Speaker 1>was true of all of these economies. I mean, Bolivia

0:14:58.080 --> 0:15:02.400
<v Speaker 1>never they kind we've tried to industrialize in the seventies,

0:15:02.400 --> 0:15:04.000
<v Speaker 1>but they've never got as far along with it as

0:15:04.040 --> 0:15:06.360
<v Speaker 1>a country like Brazil or country like Venezuela.

0:15:05.960 --> 0:15:06.680
<v Speaker 2>Did in the seventies.

0:15:07.440 --> 0:15:09.120
<v Speaker 1>And the other thing about these all these sort of

0:15:09.120 --> 0:15:11.400
<v Speaker 1>pink Tai governments is they all took power in economies

0:15:11.440 --> 0:15:14.000
<v Speaker 1>that have been completely deindustrialized maneoliberalism. Right.

0:15:14.080 --> 0:15:15.320
<v Speaker 2>We talked about this with Brazil.

0:15:15.400 --> 0:15:18.000
<v Speaker 1>Brazil went from a country that was a kind of

0:15:18.000 --> 0:15:20.160
<v Speaker 1>like effectively a first not quite a first, right, but

0:15:20.200 --> 0:15:23.960
<v Speaker 1>maybe a second tier a large, a powerful second tier

0:15:24.000 --> 0:15:28.040
<v Speaker 1>industrial power to a country whose economy is almost entirely

0:15:28.040 --> 0:15:30.960
<v Speaker 1>based on sort of primary commodity production and farming bullshit.

0:15:31.080 --> 0:15:33.400
<v Speaker 1>So they've they've moved down that they've moved down the

0:15:33.480 --> 0:15:36.240
<v Speaker 1>value chain. They've been manufacturing less stuff. They're producing shit

0:15:36.280 --> 0:15:38.880
<v Speaker 1>that's on the bottom. They're getting less value from the

0:15:39.040 --> 0:15:42.480
<v Speaker 1>value added bullshit moving up the chain. And this is

0:15:42.520 --> 0:15:44.360
<v Speaker 1>this is also the problem with the Blivion economy. And

0:15:44.400 --> 0:15:47.200
<v Speaker 1>because the natural gases is drying up, they don't have

0:15:47.360 --> 0:15:49.920
<v Speaker 1>enough dollars coming into the economy for people to use

0:15:50.480 --> 0:15:54.520
<v Speaker 1>to buy things. And the Bolivian currency is also pegged

0:15:54.560 --> 0:15:56.800
<v Speaker 1>to the dollar, right, so there's supposed to be an

0:15:56.800 --> 0:15:59.160
<v Speaker 1>official exchange rate at which you know, x amount of

0:15:59.640 --> 0:16:03.080
<v Speaker 1>money worth x amount of dollars and that's all falling apart.

0:16:03.120 --> 0:16:06.880
<v Speaker 1>People are sort of running around in the streets trying

0:16:06.880 --> 0:16:11.440
<v Speaker 1>to find people who will exchange like their currency for dollars.

0:16:12.240 --> 0:16:13.480
<v Speaker 1>This is this is you know, so this is this

0:16:13.520 --> 0:16:15.880
<v Speaker 1>is a classic short of balance of payments. Yeah, well

0:16:15.920 --> 0:16:17.280
<v Speaker 1>it's kind of because it's kind of like kind of

0:16:17.320 --> 0:16:19.840
<v Speaker 1>a balancing, but they're having a giant dollar shortage. This

0:16:19.920 --> 0:16:24.080
<v Speaker 1>is really really messing up. No, I mean not just

0:16:24.120 --> 0:16:26.840
<v Speaker 1>the economy, but the entire political system is really kind

0:16:26.880 --> 0:16:32.440
<v Speaker 1>of coming apart under this Now, okay, I I I

0:16:32.520 --> 0:16:35.680
<v Speaker 1>talked about things kind of coming apart there there there

0:16:35.760 --> 0:16:38.600
<v Speaker 1>is another thing that is coming apart in Bolivia, which

0:16:38.600 --> 0:16:42.320
<v Speaker 1>is the m A S is shattering, Yes, shattering, it's

0:16:42.320 --> 0:16:46.040
<v Speaker 1>it's it's splintering in two. So what is the m

0:16:46.080 --> 0:16:49.760
<v Speaker 1>A S. So the m AS is this part? Oh okay,

0:16:49.800 --> 0:16:52.800
<v Speaker 1>So it has a slightly weirder history, which is that

0:16:52.840 --> 0:16:55.160
<v Speaker 1>So the m A S was a completely random, actually

0:16:55.280 --> 0:17:00.480
<v Speaker 1>kind of kind of right wing political party, but it

0:17:00.560 --> 0:17:05.240
<v Speaker 1>had electoral status. So it's a party that was taken

0:17:05.320 --> 0:17:07.800
<v Speaker 1>over by the social movements at the end of the

0:17:07.840 --> 0:17:09.720
<v Speaker 1>sort of stuff we're going to get to in order

0:17:09.720 --> 0:17:12.000
<v Speaker 1>to be able to run like in order to be

0:17:12.000 --> 0:17:14.679
<v Speaker 1>able to run candidates for office. But this means that

0:17:14.720 --> 0:17:17.720
<v Speaker 1>because again because it was literally it was an existing, legal,

0:17:17.800 --> 0:17:20.160
<v Speaker 1>registered party that was taken over from the outside, and

0:17:20.280 --> 0:17:23.880
<v Speaker 1>because of how it emerged, it's always been seen as

0:17:24.320 --> 0:17:26.680
<v Speaker 1>sort of a movement party, right, it's supposed to be

0:17:26.760 --> 0:17:28.960
<v Speaker 1>like the assembly of Oblivia, sort of left.

0:17:28.840 --> 0:17:29.840
<v Speaker 2>Wing social movements.

0:17:30.640 --> 0:17:32.919
<v Speaker 1>And these left wing social movements are the movements that

0:17:33.560 --> 0:17:35.439
<v Speaker 1>emerges isn't quite the right word, but there the movements

0:17:35.480 --> 0:17:37.919
<v Speaker 1>that solidified and began to sort of exert their power

0:17:38.359 --> 0:17:40.679
<v Speaker 1>from two thousand and two thousand and six and in

0:17:40.760 --> 0:17:45.080
<v Speaker 1>this enormous sequence of social uprising against sort of Bolivia

0:17:45.080 --> 0:17:47.240
<v Speaker 1>and neoliberalism. Of the most famous of these are the

0:17:47.240 --> 0:17:51.200
<v Speaker 1>water and gas wars, which are these fights against water

0:17:51.240 --> 0:17:53.280
<v Speaker 1>privatization and the sort of gas line.

0:17:53.600 --> 0:17:55.800
<v Speaker 2>And this alliance of.

0:17:55.840 --> 0:17:59.720
<v Speaker 1>Peasant unions sort of the traditional sort of urban urban

0:18:00.400 --> 0:18:03.880
<v Speaker 1>sort of proletariat like traditional sort of like urban left.

0:18:04.520 --> 0:18:08.280
<v Speaker 1>These these new street movements, coca growers unions, miners unions,

0:18:08.320 --> 0:18:10.600
<v Speaker 1>and a whole array of indigenous groups that we frankly

0:18:10.680 --> 0:18:12.280
<v Speaker 1>do you don't have time to get into here because

0:18:12.640 --> 0:18:17.199
<v Speaker 1>the politics there are extremely the philosophy is extremely complicated.

0:18:17.160 --> 0:18:18.280
<v Speaker 1>I don't know if I've talked about this on the

0:18:18.320 --> 0:18:21.960
<v Speaker 1>show before, but one of the I mean we're talking

0:18:22.000 --> 0:18:25.480
<v Speaker 1>about like like they have like philosophical constructs that I

0:18:25.520 --> 0:18:29.640
<v Speaker 1>don't understand. It's this philosophical construct that's like a dialectic,

0:18:29.680 --> 0:18:32.040
<v Speaker 1>but there's three parts of it, and they don't it

0:18:32.040 --> 0:18:34.720
<v Speaker 1>doesn't resolve. They just all kind of grind intension with

0:18:34.760 --> 0:18:37.000
<v Speaker 1>each other, right, So like, Okay, we're not really going

0:18:37.080 --> 0:18:39.600
<v Speaker 1>to get into that. Yeah, yeah, it's outside the scope

0:18:39.640 --> 0:18:41.760
<v Speaker 1>of the show of If you're more interested in this,

0:18:42.960 --> 0:18:46.040
<v Speaker 1>read rhythms of the Patchacuti or get a doctorate.

0:18:46.160 --> 0:18:51.480
<v Speaker 2>I guess, yeah, yeah, we returned to grad school. Your

0:18:51.480 --> 0:18:52.560
<v Speaker 2>options are limited.

0:18:52.840 --> 0:18:54.720
<v Speaker 1>But you know, so there's this coalition of of all

0:18:54.760 --> 0:18:58.920
<v Speaker 1>of the kinds of unions, these rural unions, urban unions,

0:18:59.359 --> 0:19:03.200
<v Speaker 1>urban street moves, real straight movements, gathered together, gathered their strength,

0:19:03.440 --> 0:19:06.800
<v Speaker 1>set up a million roadblocks, and just.

0:19:06.960 --> 0:19:09.040
<v Speaker 2>Smash the neoliberal right. They are.

0:19:09.440 --> 0:19:14.359
<v Speaker 1>The Bolivia's right is basically completely destroyed from the period

0:19:14.400 --> 0:19:18.240
<v Speaker 1>of two thousand and six until twenty nineteen's that was

0:19:18.280 --> 0:19:20.080
<v Speaker 1>the first time they ever took power. They did it

0:19:20.200 --> 0:19:24.720
<v Speaker 1>in a coup and they held power for about one

0:19:24.840 --> 0:19:28.320
<v Speaker 1>year before they were kicked out of power again, so

0:19:28.560 --> 0:19:34.120
<v Speaker 1>they basically completely reshaped all of politics in Bolivia. Those

0:19:34.200 --> 0:19:37.360
<v Speaker 1>the second round of roadblocks very nearly destroyed the Bolivian

0:19:37.400 --> 0:19:39.800
<v Speaker 1>state until as I sort of allated to earlier even

0:19:39.800 --> 0:19:42.040
<v Speaker 1>where Allies pulled his supporters out the barricade in order

0:19:42.080 --> 0:19:44.240
<v Speaker 1>to get an election in two thousand and six. And

0:19:44.280 --> 0:19:47.879
<v Speaker 1>this is the election the MAAS one. And to understand

0:19:47.880 --> 0:19:49.960
<v Speaker 1>the kind of seismic change of this, right, the MAAS

0:19:50.080 --> 0:19:52.399
<v Speaker 1>is the first party in the history of Bolivia to

0:19:52.440 --> 0:19:54.680
<v Speaker 1>win a majority of the season of the Parliament by itself,

0:19:55.920 --> 0:19:59.200
<v Speaker 1>first party ever. It completely destroyed the existing sort of

0:19:59.240 --> 0:20:01.960
<v Speaker 1>political system. And again this this, this was supposed to

0:20:01.960 --> 0:20:04.120
<v Speaker 1>be a sort of a sort of new kind of party. Right.

0:20:04.640 --> 0:20:06.680
<v Speaker 1>The theory of the m AS is is the organization

0:20:06.720 --> 0:20:10.640
<v Speaker 1>of social movements. Former vice president and sometimes Marxist Garcia

0:20:10.720 --> 0:20:16.119
<v Speaker 1>Leneira described it as quote, there's a dialectical relationship between

0:20:16.160 --> 0:20:18.800
<v Speaker 1>the social movements and the party. Now this is a lie.

0:20:19.359 --> 0:20:25.280
<v Speaker 1>Or more precisely, if this is a dialectic, it is

0:20:25.320 --> 0:20:28.440
<v Speaker 1>not a Hegelian or a Marxist dialectic, where the subplation

0:20:28.600 --> 0:20:31.760
<v Speaker 1>of two parts creates a concrete totality or a whole

0:20:31.800 --> 0:20:33.520
<v Speaker 1>that is neither of the things that as for it.

0:20:33.960 --> 0:20:36.840
<v Speaker 1>This is a Maoist dialectic where two sides face off

0:20:36.880 --> 0:20:38.520
<v Speaker 1>each other with each other and one of them hits

0:20:38.520 --> 0:20:40.119
<v Speaker 1>the other side of the help with a hammer until

0:20:40.119 --> 0:20:40.680
<v Speaker 1>it dies.

0:20:41.080 --> 0:20:42.159
<v Speaker 2>It's just a conflict.

0:20:42.440 --> 0:20:45.040
<v Speaker 3>It's just there are two three people and they both

0:20:45.040 --> 0:20:47.600
<v Speaker 3>want to control the thing.

0:20:49.119 --> 0:20:52.360
<v Speaker 1>So it's just that's that's what ends up happening, right,

0:20:52.400 --> 0:20:55.159
<v Speaker 1>is so the social movements and the Indigenous movements in

0:20:55.200 --> 0:20:59.080
<v Speaker 1>particular have been fracturing for a decade. You know, they're

0:20:59.119 --> 0:21:02.320
<v Speaker 1>they're a whole series of large fights, even even in

0:21:02.359 --> 0:21:06.320
<v Speaker 1>sort of like the early twenty tens over sort of

0:21:06.320 --> 0:21:09.320
<v Speaker 1>over the NAS doing these infrastructure things that everyone else

0:21:09.359 --> 0:21:10.920
<v Speaker 1>in the country was like, why are you building a

0:21:11.000 --> 0:21:12.080
<v Speaker 1>road to indigenous land.

0:21:12.080 --> 0:21:14.480
<v Speaker 2>There's huge fights, many such cases.

0:21:15.160 --> 0:21:18.640
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, So, you know, this is the kind of hollowing

0:21:18.680 --> 0:21:20.960
<v Speaker 1>out in the kind of conflict that had led to

0:21:21.280 --> 0:21:24.200
<v Speaker 1>the social movements being completely unable to overturn the coup

0:21:24.240 --> 0:21:26.320
<v Speaker 1>in twenty nineteen, and it taking them until the end

0:21:26.320 --> 0:21:29.560
<v Speaker 1>of twenty twenty to really pull their shit together and

0:21:30.640 --> 0:21:33.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, overturn the coup and you know, you know

0:21:33.880 --> 0:21:39.639
<v Speaker 1>what else overturns coups.

0:21:39.440 --> 0:21:42.679
<v Speaker 2>That's a that's a fyrom. It is it arming the

0:21:42.760 --> 0:21:43.520
<v Speaker 2>working class.

0:21:44.000 --> 0:21:46.080
<v Speaker 1>It is ming the working class.

0:21:45.359 --> 0:21:50.040
<v Speaker 2>We are sponsored by yeah, or in the entire working class.

0:22:00.920 --> 0:22:03.840
<v Speaker 2>We're back. So okay, So now we get to the

0:22:04.160 --> 0:22:06.000
<v Speaker 2>present split of the social movements.

0:22:06.320 --> 0:22:10.359
<v Speaker 1>What has happened now is that you know, are Say

0:22:10.560 --> 0:22:15.440
<v Speaker 1>and and even Morales had always kind of gotten along usually,

0:22:16.080 --> 0:22:19.879
<v Speaker 1>but once you know, our Say took power, he instead

0:22:19.880 --> 0:22:22.520
<v Speaker 1>of he didn't want to sort of just be a

0:22:22.560 --> 0:22:24.639
<v Speaker 1>proxy for even Morales. He had his own sort of

0:22:24.680 --> 0:22:29.400
<v Speaker 1>actually like not great agenda either, a sort of more

0:22:29.440 --> 0:22:32.080
<v Speaker 1>technocratic agenda. Although you know, you have to sort of

0:22:32.160 --> 0:22:34.640
<v Speaker 1>ask Evil, like you're the one who brought these people

0:22:34.680 --> 0:22:36.680
<v Speaker 1>into the party, Like, I don't know what you were expecting.

0:22:37.920 --> 0:22:39.639
<v Speaker 1>He brought these people in that they weren't going to

0:22:40.000 --> 0:22:43.040
<v Speaker 1>as governed as a sort of center left technocratic capitalist government.

0:22:43.359 --> 0:22:45.600
<v Speaker 2>You know, you could have seen this coming.

0:22:46.240 --> 0:22:49.200
<v Speaker 1>But they they have been increasingly fighting, and the two

0:22:49.720 --> 0:22:53.399
<v Speaker 1>sides are now implacably hostile. They are saying evil fucking

0:22:53.400 --> 0:22:56.960
<v Speaker 1>hate each other. And this this divide has split every

0:22:57.000 --> 0:22:59.760
<v Speaker 1>single social movement in Bolivia from landless workers' movement, to

0:22:59.760 --> 0:23:02.080
<v Speaker 1>the co growers, to the indigenous federations, to the fucking

0:23:02.160 --> 0:23:04.800
<v Speaker 1>urban trade unions, to the miners unions. Every one of

0:23:04.840 --> 0:23:08.920
<v Speaker 1>these organizations either has officially split into two factions as

0:23:08.920 --> 0:23:10.760
<v Speaker 1>one's in EVO faction and ones in our Save faction,

0:23:11.320 --> 0:23:13.600
<v Speaker 1>or they are in the middle of the fight where

0:23:14.040 --> 0:23:17.159
<v Speaker 1>you know, they're they're they're both sides are still fighting.

0:23:16.920 --> 0:23:19.560
<v Speaker 2>For control over over you know, their union federation.

0:23:20.400 --> 0:23:23.320
<v Speaker 1>And this is not a clean left right split, which

0:23:23.320 --> 0:23:24.399
<v Speaker 1>is this is actually, I mean, that was kind of

0:23:24.400 --> 0:23:27.800
<v Speaker 1>what I was expecting ish when this fight started, that

0:23:27.800 --> 0:23:29.119
<v Speaker 1>I was sort of expecting that this was going to

0:23:29.200 --> 0:23:31.000
<v Speaker 1>end up as a fight between sort of you know,

0:23:31.040 --> 0:23:33.400
<v Speaker 1>the left of social movements and the sort of center

0:23:33.480 --> 0:23:33.840
<v Speaker 1>right base.

0:23:33.880 --> 0:23:35.000
<v Speaker 2>But that's not really what happens.

0:23:35.600 --> 0:23:40.280
<v Speaker 1>It is kind of a left right split, but you know,

0:23:40.400 --> 0:23:43.520
<v Speaker 1>it's also a split over the person of EVO himself.

0:23:43.880 --> 0:23:46.440
<v Speaker 1>And because partially a split over EVO himself, there's a

0:23:46.440 --> 0:23:48.520
<v Speaker 1>lot of like sort of more left wing groups that

0:23:49.200 --> 0:23:51.960
<v Speaker 1>are kind of are kind of backing our say, because

0:23:51.960 --> 0:23:53.640
<v Speaker 1>they don't want even more allies to come back into

0:23:53.680 --> 0:23:56.959
<v Speaker 1>power and re solidify his control over all of these

0:23:57.040 --> 0:23:58.879
<v Speaker 1>all the solo social movements and they're you know, angry

0:23:58.960 --> 0:24:03.120
<v Speaker 1>at him for a whole series of attempts to sort

0:24:03.119 --> 0:24:05.959
<v Speaker 1>of co opt their movements. It's also you know, it's

0:24:06.000 --> 0:24:08.480
<v Speaker 1>also it's also split about sort of how autonomous the

0:24:08.520 --> 0:24:10.359
<v Speaker 1>social movement should be, should be able to be from

0:24:10.400 --> 0:24:14.360
<v Speaker 1>government policy. It's it's a it's you know, it's kind

0:24:14.359 --> 0:24:16.399
<v Speaker 1>of external to this. But one of the other thing

0:24:16.440 --> 0:24:18.640
<v Speaker 1>that's going on is that EVO has been really unpopular

0:24:18.760 --> 0:24:20.320
<v Speaker 1>with a lot of feminist groups in Blivia for a

0:24:20.440 --> 0:24:24.600
<v Speaker 1>very long time for a lot of reasons, including I mean,

0:24:24.840 --> 0:24:28.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, one of the big ones is Bolivia's horrific

0:24:28.280 --> 0:24:30.399
<v Speaker 1>femicide crisis, which the MS has been in power for

0:24:30.440 --> 0:24:33.679
<v Speaker 1>almost twenty years and has done jack shit to actually

0:24:33.720 --> 0:24:37.040
<v Speaker 1>like deal with, right, you know, So there's there, there

0:24:37.080 --> 0:24:40.520
<v Speaker 1>are all of these sort of fractures breaking out. Partially also,

0:24:40.600 --> 0:24:44.000
<v Speaker 1>it's a war between for control of the maas, between

0:24:44.000 --> 0:24:47.760
<v Speaker 1>the coca goers unions and the miners unions. So this

0:24:47.840 --> 0:24:50.600
<v Speaker 1>is a shit show. It is a complete fiasca. And

0:24:50.600 --> 0:24:51.720
<v Speaker 1>then you know, the thing that makes it more with

0:24:51.800 --> 0:24:54.040
<v Speaker 1>fiasco is, you know, we talked about this sort of

0:24:54.160 --> 0:24:57.440
<v Speaker 1>with uh. We did an episode about kind of what's

0:24:57.480 --> 0:24:59.200
<v Speaker 1>been happening with with the sort of pink.

0:24:59.040 --> 0:25:01.200
<v Speaker 2>Tied governments a while back.

0:25:01.320 --> 0:25:03.120
<v Speaker 1>And you know, one of the things you talked about

0:25:03.119 --> 0:25:05.920
<v Speaker 1>in that episode was Ecuador, where Ecuador has this left

0:25:05.960 --> 0:25:09.159
<v Speaker 1>wing base that should win every single election until the

0:25:09.240 --> 0:25:11.639
<v Speaker 1>end of time, and they don't because they're constantly fighting

0:25:11.640 --> 0:25:14.719
<v Speaker 1>each other. And this is effectively the beginning of hopefully

0:25:14.760 --> 0:25:17.040
<v Speaker 1>it doesn't turn into that, but I mean, the ma

0:25:17.280 --> 0:25:19.760
<v Speaker 1>S if it is, if it is even sort of united,

0:25:19.920 --> 0:25:23.480
<v Speaker 1>is in unprecedented Bolivian political juggernaut. It should win every election,

0:25:24.440 --> 0:25:25.679
<v Speaker 1>like I mean, not till the end of time. They

0:25:25.680 --> 0:25:28.400
<v Speaker 1>probably probably should only win I don't know that they

0:25:28.440 --> 0:25:31.879
<v Speaker 1>have had demographic issues right now, but you know they

0:25:31.880 --> 0:25:35.119
<v Speaker 1>should still be winning effectively every every election and they're not.

0:25:35.240 --> 0:25:37.359
<v Speaker 1>And the reason that they're not is because of this

0:25:37.560 --> 0:25:40.000
<v Speaker 1>shit or loasion. They might not is because of because

0:25:40.000 --> 0:25:42.080
<v Speaker 1>of all of these, all all of these splits, and

0:25:42.280 --> 0:25:46.480
<v Speaker 1>these are very these this isn't a these are very

0:25:46.600 --> 0:25:49.720
<v Speaker 1>very serious political splits. I mean, uh, one of the

0:25:49.720 --> 0:25:53.480
<v Speaker 1>miners workers meetings, very famously, the two sides broke into

0:25:53.560 --> 0:25:55.879
<v Speaker 1>into fist fights. I think one hundred and forty people

0:25:55.880 --> 0:25:59.520
<v Speaker 1>were injured. So you know, this is this is the

0:25:59.600 --> 0:26:02.359
<v Speaker 1>these are the these are very serious fights. There's also

0:26:02.400 --> 0:26:04.679
<v Speaker 1>a whole disaster right now over who actually is the

0:26:04.720 --> 0:26:08.240
<v Speaker 1>candidate of the MAS. Because Evo held this Congress of

0:26:08.280 --> 0:26:10.560
<v Speaker 1>the NAS it was his supporters that Arsei was not

0:26:10.680 --> 0:26:12.520
<v Speaker 1>at and they said that because he didn't because Arsee

0:26:12.560 --> 0:26:14.680
<v Speaker 1>didn't show up, he was kicked out of the party.

0:26:16.400 --> 0:26:19.600
<v Speaker 2>Classic, so this is this whole thing. So he's typically

0:26:19.640 --> 0:26:20.280
<v Speaker 2>been expelled.

0:26:20.320 --> 0:26:22.600
<v Speaker 1>But like the courts got the electoral courts are now

0:26:22.640 --> 0:26:27.600
<v Speaker 1>involved because the electoral courts have to decide what like

0:26:28.240 --> 0:26:29.919
<v Speaker 1>you know that, they have to figure out what what

0:26:30.080 --> 0:26:35.280
<v Speaker 1>candidate their party's running. So it's this it's a complete catastrophe.

0:26:35.560 --> 0:26:40.239
<v Speaker 1>And in the midst of this complete catastrophe there is

0:26:41.520 --> 0:26:45.760
<v Speaker 1>the worst coup of the twenty first century. So a

0:26:45.760 --> 0:26:49.240
<v Speaker 1>lot of let's get into finally this coup. So this

0:26:49.280 --> 0:26:52.400
<v Speaker 1>coup is run by a guy named Kwan Jose Zunjega

0:26:52.440 --> 0:26:54.440
<v Speaker 1>is the he's the commander of the Bolivian Army. He

0:26:54.560 --> 0:26:57.040
<v Speaker 1>is hand picked by Arsaye to run the army, to

0:26:57.080 --> 0:26:57.960
<v Speaker 1>be the guy who.

0:26:57.880 --> 0:27:00.720
<v Speaker 2>Yes, say dude, yeah.

0:27:00.560 --> 0:27:03.440
<v Speaker 1>And this is you know this, this this has sort

0:27:03.480 --> 0:27:06.840
<v Speaker 1>of shades of the fact that Pinochet was sort of

0:27:06.880 --> 0:27:10.520
<v Speaker 1>elevated by by all End in the Social Democrats.

0:27:10.440 --> 0:27:13.520
<v Speaker 3>But reminds me of Franco as well, that getting promoted

0:27:13.520 --> 0:27:18.520
<v Speaker 3>about yeah this was this, those were tragedy, This is farce.

0:27:19.840 --> 0:27:24.159
<v Speaker 1>So what happens is that on Tuesday of last week,

0:27:24.560 --> 0:27:29.359
<v Speaker 1>Sniega goes on TV and says, I am going to

0:27:29.600 --> 0:27:33.120
<v Speaker 1>like Louis evil Brallies cannot be allowed to take power again.

0:27:33.240 --> 0:27:38.080
<v Speaker 1>I will stop him from taking power. And our say

0:27:38.320 --> 0:27:42.000
<v Speaker 1>is like, dude, what the fuck? Just immediately fires him,

0:27:42.240 --> 0:27:44.680
<v Speaker 1>because you know you can't do that.

0:27:45.760 --> 0:27:50.000
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, Like almost every every country with a codified constitution

0:27:50.160 --> 0:27:55.240
<v Speaker 3>has prohibitions on its military intervening and its politics, right, like, yeah,

0:27:55.280 --> 0:27:57.160
<v Speaker 3>the basics of democracy.

0:27:58.680 --> 0:28:02.280
<v Speaker 1>Bolivia has had a series of military governments and military

0:28:02.359 --> 0:28:07.440
<v Speaker 1>ques across the sort of twentieth century, including the god

0:28:07.440 --> 0:28:11.479
<v Speaker 1>the fucking cocaine coup that I've talked about at length

0:28:11.640 --> 0:28:13.840
<v Speaker 1>in Our World at the Communist League episodes that ends

0:28:13.880 --> 0:28:17.600
<v Speaker 1>with like Klaus Barbie fucking running around, right, So I mean,

0:28:17.680 --> 0:28:21.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, like, this is a country that has had

0:28:21.480 --> 0:28:26.080
<v Speaker 1>military ques quite literally staffed by actual Nazis, right, So

0:28:26.720 --> 0:28:28.720
<v Speaker 1>you know this this is a place that take that

0:28:28.800 --> 0:28:31.399
<v Speaker 1>takes the threat of a military queue, very very seriously,

0:28:31.800 --> 0:28:34.720
<v Speaker 1>there hasn't been one, blessedly in a long time, but

0:28:34.800 --> 0:28:36.520
<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of people who are fucking alive for

0:28:36.560 --> 0:28:39.960
<v Speaker 1>the last one, and you know, and so this this

0:28:40.120 --> 0:28:43.360
<v Speaker 1>is you know, people are extremely unhappy, even people who

0:28:43.440 --> 0:28:46.280
<v Speaker 1>I think in theory would be okay with, you know,

0:28:46.360 --> 0:28:50.280
<v Speaker 1>the government being deposed, like absolutely, under no circumstances want

0:28:50.280 --> 0:28:53.040
<v Speaker 1>the fucking military running the country because again, right, everyone

0:28:53.080 --> 0:28:56.320
<v Speaker 1>fucking remembers how bad that shit was. But what appearstrauff

0:28:56.360 --> 0:29:02.080
<v Speaker 1>happened is that Zaninka realizes that so he's just been fired, right,

0:29:02.120 --> 0:29:04.720
<v Speaker 1>which means that he has a very short time window

0:29:05.040 --> 0:29:07.200
<v Speaker 1>in which he could try to pull some shit, which

0:29:07.200 --> 0:29:09.280
<v Speaker 1>means that whatever whatever he may have been planning, I

0:29:09.280 --> 0:29:11.640
<v Speaker 1>don't know what his actual plans were, he may have

0:29:11.680 --> 0:29:13.600
<v Speaker 1>been actually planning a coup, he may not have been

0:29:13.680 --> 0:29:15.480
<v Speaker 1>until here, and which just immediately like, well, I guess

0:29:15.480 --> 0:29:17.440
<v Speaker 1>we have to do it now. If it was planning,

0:29:17.760 --> 0:29:20.880
<v Speaker 1>been planning very well, yeah, yeah, what results from this

0:29:21.000 --> 0:29:23.480
<v Speaker 1>for this very I think results on this very short

0:29:23.480 --> 0:29:26.680
<v Speaker 1>timetable is the worst coup I've ever seen. So what

0:29:26.720 --> 0:29:29.960
<v Speaker 1>appears to have happened is that on Wednesday, he gathers

0:29:30.480 --> 0:29:32.280
<v Speaker 1>the troops that he's able to gather, which is not

0:29:32.320 --> 0:29:36.000
<v Speaker 1>that I mean we're talking like a hundred guys. Maybe

0:29:36.480 --> 0:29:38.800
<v Speaker 1>it was not a you know, they had a decent

0:29:38.840 --> 0:29:40.880
<v Speaker 1>number of armored vehicles, but it was not like a

0:29:41.000 --> 0:29:41.960
<v Speaker 1>lot of troops.

0:29:43.400 --> 0:29:45.800
<v Speaker 3>It does not pay that he even had the support

0:29:45.880 --> 0:29:47.200
<v Speaker 3>of a lot of troops, right.

0:29:47.080 --> 0:29:49.479
<v Speaker 1>Like, yeah, a lot of the army suits have kind

0:29:49.520 --> 0:29:51.360
<v Speaker 1>of been sitting there going what the fuck is going on?

0:29:51.520 --> 0:29:55.040
<v Speaker 1>But it was you know, I was watching the videos

0:29:55.080 --> 0:29:58.200
<v Speaker 1>or were like the livestreams from journalism the ground of

0:29:58.280 --> 0:30:00.160
<v Speaker 1>these troops, and they're just they're just worth it, any

0:30:00.200 --> 0:30:01.360
<v Speaker 1>of them.

0:30:01.520 --> 0:30:02.960
<v Speaker 2>No, they really went like it was.

0:30:03.920 --> 0:30:08.640
<v Speaker 3>The whole thing was just really fucking shocking, like shocking bad.

0:30:08.720 --> 0:30:11.520
<v Speaker 2>They didn't even surround the building. They just went up

0:30:11.560 --> 0:30:12.200
<v Speaker 2>to one door.

0:30:12.720 --> 0:30:15.400
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, so so what happens is they used our vehicle

0:30:15.440 --> 0:30:18.520
<v Speaker 1>to ram the door of the presidential palace and they

0:30:18.520 --> 0:30:21.320
<v Speaker 1>try to take control of it. But the thing is right,

0:30:23.080 --> 0:30:26.200
<v Speaker 1>are saying, is it in the presidential palace? He and

0:30:26.240 --> 0:30:28.160
<v Speaker 1>his cabinet are in the next building over.

0:30:29.480 --> 0:30:31.320
<v Speaker 2>So they've taken the wrong building.

0:30:33.880 --> 0:30:36.360
<v Speaker 1>Things are going great, and again this this is not

0:30:36.560 --> 0:30:38.480
<v Speaker 1>a sort of you know, this is not a coupe

0:30:38.480 --> 0:30:42.640
<v Speaker 1>that follows the standard coup repertoire of I seize the

0:30:42.640 --> 0:30:46.680
<v Speaker 1>president's sees the radio station, sees the airport, sees the trains, right, yeah,

0:30:46.720 --> 0:30:48.880
<v Speaker 1>and have been tray control over the military barracks, which

0:30:48.920 --> 0:30:50.480
<v Speaker 1>is your short this is your sort of basic five

0:30:50.520 --> 0:30:51.840
<v Speaker 1>step plan to how to do a coup.

0:30:52.560 --> 0:30:56.040
<v Speaker 3>They will be doing that episode soon by the way. Yeah, yeah,

0:30:56.760 --> 0:30:59.000
<v Speaker 3>given today's to find court, we're in there.

0:30:59.080 --> 0:31:02.160
<v Speaker 1>Yeah yeah, we're in the yeah, planning to do a coup.

0:31:02.640 --> 0:31:05.480
<v Speaker 1>But you know, so they don't even receive a part one,

0:31:05.520 --> 0:31:07.880
<v Speaker 1>so they're they're kind of just kind of milling around

0:31:10.160 --> 0:31:12.880
<v Speaker 1>the front of the presidential palace and try to get

0:31:12.920 --> 0:31:17.000
<v Speaker 1>into the next building where the president actually is. So

0:31:17.040 --> 0:31:20.400
<v Speaker 1>it's also the demands are also very weird. So Nika

0:31:20.520 --> 0:31:24.040
<v Speaker 1>claims that he's not overthrowing the governments. He claims that

0:31:24.120 --> 0:31:26.440
<v Speaker 1>he's still loyal to our say, but he's going to

0:31:26.480 --> 0:31:27.600
<v Speaker 1>form a new cabinet.

0:31:28.560 --> 0:31:34.400
<v Speaker 2>Oh he's useful. Yeah, that's how you normally do that. Yeah.

0:31:34.480 --> 0:31:37.120
<v Speaker 1>So he's like yelling about the economic crisis, says he's

0:31:37.160 --> 0:31:41.400
<v Speaker 1>going to quote restored democracy and quote release political prisoners.

0:31:42.240 --> 0:31:44.240
<v Speaker 2>Which I kind of get.

0:31:44.680 --> 0:31:47.200
<v Speaker 1>Okay, So the political prisoner's thing, I think is about

0:31:47.320 --> 0:31:49.560
<v Speaker 1>the people who've been arrested for doing the twenty nineteen coup.

0:31:49.560 --> 0:31:51.960
<v Speaker 1>I have no idea what restored democracy means. I don't

0:31:51.960 --> 0:31:53.479
<v Speaker 1>know if he had any idea what he meant by

0:31:53.480 --> 0:31:57.120
<v Speaker 1>restored democracy. Something was happening. But the thing is the

0:31:57.160 --> 0:31:58.760
<v Speaker 1>other thing about this coup is that he has no

0:31:58.880 --> 0:32:00.840
<v Speaker 1>backing at all. I mean, it doesn't even have back

0:32:00.880 --> 0:32:02.560
<v Speaker 1>in the army. But it has no It doesn't even

0:32:02.560 --> 0:32:05.120
<v Speaker 1>have backing among the right. Both Macho Camacho and Jeanine

0:32:05.120 --> 0:32:08.200
<v Speaker 1>on Ony you with people who did like the last one,

0:32:08.720 --> 0:32:12.200
<v Speaker 1>both condemned the coup. So people she is trying to

0:32:12.320 --> 0:32:17.440
<v Speaker 1>break out of prison condemned the coup. Right, this is

0:32:17.480 --> 0:32:19.840
<v Speaker 1>going nowhere.

0:32:18.880 --> 0:32:20.000
<v Speaker 2>Worst coup I've ever seen.

0:32:20.680 --> 0:32:24.000
<v Speaker 1>So meanwhile are say it is cabinet are in the

0:32:24.040 --> 0:32:26.600
<v Speaker 1>next building over appointing a new commander of the army,

0:32:26.880 --> 0:32:28.520
<v Speaker 1>so that the new commander of the army can go

0:32:28.560 --> 0:32:30.960
<v Speaker 1>outside and order them order the troops to go back

0:32:30.960 --> 0:32:36.160
<v Speaker 1>to their barracks. This is kind of what's happening. But

0:32:36.200 --> 0:32:38.800
<v Speaker 1>also meanwhile outside so that these troops have like taken

0:32:38.880 --> 0:32:41.440
<v Speaker 1>over the square in front of the presidential Palace and

0:32:41.440 --> 0:32:44.160
<v Speaker 1>that they have sort of successfully managed to take over

0:32:44.200 --> 0:32:47.240
<v Speaker 1>the square with a bunch of sort of military police

0:32:47.280 --> 0:32:47.920
<v Speaker 1>and riot gear.

0:32:47.920 --> 0:32:49.640
<v Speaker 2>But there's this sort of crowd who's.

0:32:49.400 --> 0:32:52.000
<v Speaker 1>Come to yell at the army, right, and it's just

0:32:52.160 --> 0:32:54.640
<v Speaker 1>very weird spectacle because it's there's all these soldiers who

0:32:54.680 --> 0:32:57.760
<v Speaker 1>all have long guns, right, being protected by a light

0:32:57.800 --> 0:32:59.280
<v Speaker 1>of cops with riot shields.

0:32:59.400 --> 0:32:59.640
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:32:59.720 --> 0:33:04.360
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, like if you open up on the crowd like like, oh, yeah,

0:33:04.400 --> 0:33:07.280
<v Speaker 3>I have enough numbers to get.

0:33:06.880 --> 0:33:09.160
<v Speaker 1>Every every single one of you is going to be

0:33:09.240 --> 0:33:10.680
<v Speaker 1>individually executed.

0:33:11.120 --> 0:33:16.160
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, So they're all people are gonna have guns.

0:33:16.040 --> 0:33:17.960
<v Speaker 1>And unless they that that that you know, and when

0:33:17.960 --> 0:33:19.800
<v Speaker 1>I say execute, I mean they're they're gonna get executed

0:33:19.800 --> 0:33:21.920
<v Speaker 1>by the goverment. That that's assuming they live long enough

0:33:21.960 --> 0:33:23.640
<v Speaker 1>and are not just beaten to death by the crowd,

0:33:23.640 --> 0:33:28.360
<v Speaker 1>which is also a real possibility. But you know, so

0:33:28.840 --> 0:33:30.960
<v Speaker 1>this crowd is sort of approaching a lot of riot police.

0:33:30.960 --> 0:33:32.600
<v Speaker 1>They're getting tear gas a bit. But this is and

0:33:32.640 --> 0:33:35.040
<v Speaker 1>I kind of emphasize this enough, This is not a

0:33:35.120 --> 0:33:38.280
<v Speaker 1>kind of normal like highly organized Bolivian mass protest where

0:33:38.600 --> 0:33:40.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, all of the union, the Union's college general.

0:33:40.600 --> 0:33:41.720
<v Speaker 2>Strike in the middle of this.

0:33:41.800 --> 0:33:44.760
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, but again, this this whole thing lasts maybe two

0:33:44.800 --> 0:33:48.600
<v Speaker 1>and a half hours, so there's not time to do

0:33:48.680 --> 0:33:51.400
<v Speaker 1>the actual kind of sort of roadblocks and stuff like that.

0:33:51.400 --> 0:33:54.000
<v Speaker 1>There's not time to actually do the organization that you

0:33:54.000 --> 0:33:54.640
<v Speaker 1>would need to do.

0:33:54.720 --> 0:33:55.520
<v Speaker 2>Overturn this coup.

0:33:56.040 --> 0:33:59.600
<v Speaker 1>This coup falls apart so fast that people don't have

0:33:59.640 --> 0:34:03.920
<v Speaker 1>time to make protest signs only have our flags. They

0:34:04.000 --> 0:34:06.479
<v Speaker 1>do not have time to write signs out. That is

0:34:06.560 --> 0:34:08.560
<v Speaker 1>that they don't have time to go up with chance.

0:34:09.600 --> 0:34:11.680
<v Speaker 1>I was watching the funniest part about this whole thing.

0:34:11.719 --> 0:34:13.560
<v Speaker 1>So I was watching a live stream of the protesters,

0:34:13.560 --> 0:34:16.480
<v Speaker 1>and the protesters had gotten this kind of I guess

0:34:16.520 --> 0:34:18.360
<v Speaker 1>you call it sort of a kind of metal gate.

0:34:18.520 --> 0:34:21.280
<v Speaker 1>I guess it was this big sort of it almost

0:34:21.280 --> 0:34:23.120
<v Speaker 1>looked like, you know how there's you get this those

0:34:23.160 --> 0:34:25.239
<v Speaker 1>white shelves that have like metal bars, and it was

0:34:25.280 --> 0:34:26.760
<v Speaker 1>kind of like that like cross hashed.

0:34:26.760 --> 0:34:27.920
<v Speaker 2>It was, you know, it was pretty big.

0:34:28.400 --> 0:34:30.960
<v Speaker 1>I was like bigger than a person, and like three

0:34:30.960 --> 0:34:33.040
<v Speaker 1>people are like carrying in front of them, like going

0:34:33.040 --> 0:34:34.840
<v Speaker 1>to the police lane, presumably to use it as a

0:34:34.880 --> 0:34:39.600
<v Speaker 1>battering ram. But the troops run away so fast that

0:34:39.680 --> 0:34:42.400
<v Speaker 1>these guys couldn't get their gate up to the police

0:34:42.440 --> 0:34:45.000
<v Speaker 1>line fast enough to use it.

0:34:45.600 --> 0:34:47.040
<v Speaker 2>That's how you know it's going.

0:34:47.080 --> 0:34:51.040
<v Speaker 1>Well, it was staggering, it was amazing. So you know,

0:34:51.120 --> 0:34:55.120
<v Speaker 1>the entire coup calls apart. Zuniga gets arrested on Life TV.

0:34:56.680 --> 0:34:58.960
<v Speaker 1>It's like giving a press conference and they just like

0:34:59.080 --> 0:34:59.680
<v Speaker 1>arrest them.

0:35:00.200 --> 0:35:00.919
<v Speaker 3>Amazing.

0:35:01.640 --> 0:35:03.840
<v Speaker 1>But at the end of this, as it's falling apart,

0:35:03.880 --> 0:35:08.520
<v Speaker 1>the one genuinely masterful stroke that Zunjinga pulls in this

0:35:08.680 --> 0:35:12.520
<v Speaker 1>entire I mean it missed a just a cavalcade of failure.

0:35:13.160 --> 0:35:15.919
<v Speaker 1>The one actual genius line that he does is as

0:35:15.960 --> 0:35:18.279
<v Speaker 1>as he started being arrested, he says, it's in prison too.

0:35:18.840 --> 0:35:18.920
<v Speaker 3>Uh.

0:35:19.120 --> 0:35:21.520
<v Speaker 1>He claims that he's been ordered by Arsay to do

0:35:21.640 --> 0:35:25.000
<v Speaker 1>this in order to bolst Arsey's poll numbers, which are dogshit.

0:35:26.400 --> 0:35:30.480
<v Speaker 2>Fake yeah yeah, now okay.

0:35:30.440 --> 0:35:34.040
<v Speaker 1>This, this whole scheme begs the question, what was Arsay

0:35:34.160 --> 0:35:37.600
<v Speaker 1>supposed to get out of this? Sorry not again, why what?

0:35:37.600 --> 0:35:39.000
<v Speaker 2>What? What is? What does he get out of it?

0:35:39.080 --> 0:35:39.160
<v Speaker 1>Right?

0:35:39.160 --> 0:35:41.000
<v Speaker 2>Because she's just going to prison.

0:35:41.440 --> 0:35:43.319
<v Speaker 1>It's like, why would he do it if it was

0:35:43.360 --> 0:35:46.880
<v Speaker 1>just under orders from the president Because this is a

0:35:47.040 --> 0:35:50.360
<v Speaker 1>lose lose for him, so none of it makes any sense.

0:35:51.000 --> 0:35:55.840
<v Speaker 2>But coma. This is immediately picked up by morell I supporters.

0:35:55.920 --> 0:35:59.440
<v Speaker 1>You fucking hate her, say, and they all immediately begin

0:35:59.600 --> 0:36:01.520
<v Speaker 1>sort of peting is. And now this has become sort

0:36:01.520 --> 0:36:04.239
<v Speaker 1>of the official line. I mean, even Moreeles has been

0:36:04.360 --> 0:36:08.560
<v Speaker 1>on TV on social media is just saying, yeah, this

0:36:08.680 --> 0:36:10.399
<v Speaker 1>was this was a fake coup. This was a coup

0:36:10.480 --> 0:36:13.760
<v Speaker 1>that are say did against himself to help his poll numbers,

0:36:13.800 --> 0:36:17.239
<v Speaker 1>and this is you know, this is a This has

0:36:17.280 --> 0:36:18.680
<v Speaker 1>turned into a real thing, and there's a lot of

0:36:18.680 --> 0:36:22.680
<v Speaker 1>people who are sort of like, I don't know, the

0:36:22.680 --> 0:36:25.520
<v Speaker 1>whole coup was really weird, right, And there's a lot

0:36:25.560 --> 0:36:29.759
<v Speaker 1>of people who believe this because they're you know, I mean,

0:36:29.800 --> 0:36:32.040
<v Speaker 1>either because they want to believe it, or because you know,

0:36:32.160 --> 0:36:35.880
<v Speaker 1>I mean it does look weird, or because they fucking

0:36:35.920 --> 0:36:39.480
<v Speaker 1>just hate our say from the beginning, right, this is

0:36:39.600 --> 0:36:41.680
<v Speaker 1>all you know, as funny as it sort of is,

0:36:41.719 --> 0:36:44.560
<v Speaker 1>this has had a sort of catastrophic effect on sort

0:36:44.560 --> 0:36:49.320
<v Speaker 1>of just like regular oblivion people, because people are fucking terrified,

0:36:49.960 --> 0:36:52.279
<v Speaker 1>you know, they're terrified that this is the beginning of

0:36:52.320 --> 0:36:54.840
<v Speaker 1>the Army coming back into politics. They're terrified that someone

0:36:54.880 --> 0:36:57.040
<v Speaker 1>else is going to do a coup. I mean even

0:36:57.040 --> 0:37:00.239
<v Speaker 1>Morales has been saying for a very long time. Actually,

0:37:00.280 --> 0:37:02.279
<v Speaker 1>both of them have been trading accusations that the other

0:37:02.320 --> 0:37:05.000
<v Speaker 1>one is going to do a cue against them.

0:37:05.320 --> 0:37:08.319
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, they've been banging the coup drum for a little while.

0:37:08.440 --> 0:37:10.440
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, everyone, everyone has sort of been claiming that there's

0:37:10.440 --> 0:37:13.680
<v Speaker 1>going to be CU's happening. And all of this is

0:37:13.719 --> 0:37:17.040
<v Speaker 1>creating this sort of cauldron of things that are extremely

0:37:17.120 --> 0:37:21.600
<v Speaker 1>bad for the Bolivian left. The economic boom that wielded

0:37:21.640 --> 0:37:24.920
<v Speaker 1>their coalition together is over. It's not clear anyone can

0:37:24.920 --> 0:37:26.920
<v Speaker 1>bring it back, because again, this is a this is

0:37:26.960 --> 0:37:30.520
<v Speaker 1>a natural gas based thing, right. And the other problem

0:37:30.560 --> 0:37:32.920
<v Speaker 1>that they have is, you know, the problem that all

0:37:32.920 --> 0:37:35.560
<v Speaker 1>social democracies have, which is that they've created a middle

0:37:35.560 --> 0:37:38.960
<v Speaker 1>class base of small business owners and people with middle

0:37:39.000 --> 0:37:41.960
<v Speaker 1>class salaries and professional jobs. And we talked about this

0:37:42.000 --> 0:37:44.840
<v Speaker 1>in the Brazilian context, and this is something that Garcia

0:37:44.920 --> 0:37:47.399
<v Speaker 1>la n Earra has talked about too, which is that, well,

0:37:47.440 --> 0:37:49.319
<v Speaker 1>he doesn't say it in these words because he's a

0:37:49.360 --> 0:37:53.000
<v Speaker 1>coward and a capitalist, but social democracy produces its own

0:37:53.000 --> 0:37:55.520
<v Speaker 1>grave diggers by creating a middle class that despises them

0:37:55.520 --> 0:37:58.960
<v Speaker 1>and then eventually destroys everything. The social democrats thought to create,

0:37:59.560 --> 0:38:03.359
<v Speaker 1>and that this is very possible that what we are

0:38:03.360 --> 0:38:07.400
<v Speaker 1>in right now is the opening stages of of this

0:38:07.800 --> 0:38:11.000
<v Speaker 1>entire political project coming apart. Yeah.

0:38:11.200 --> 0:38:12.840
<v Speaker 2>I fucking hope it doesn't.

0:38:12.960 --> 0:38:14.960
<v Speaker 1>And I hope that, you know, but again, like the

0:38:15.080 --> 0:38:18.880
<v Speaker 1>the only, the only actual way to resolve the inherent

0:38:18.920 --> 0:38:21.640
<v Speaker 1>sort of political and social contradictions of attempting to have

0:38:21.719 --> 0:38:24.319
<v Speaker 1>a sort of left wing socialist political base and a

0:38:24.360 --> 0:38:27.600
<v Speaker 1>capitalist government is to eliminate the capitalist state. Yeah, so

0:38:27.800 --> 0:38:29.680
<v Speaker 1>either either you do that or you get another one

0:38:29.719 --> 0:38:30.840
<v Speaker 1>of these shitty fucking cues.

0:38:31.320 --> 0:38:33.719
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, you're just constantly vulnerable to this ship, right, like

0:38:33.800 --> 0:38:36.799
<v Speaker 3>at any point, Yeah, yeah, you're creating the condition switch a.

0:38:36.880 --> 0:38:39.480
<v Speaker 1>Wealthy and I mean, and we've we've we've already seen

0:38:39.719 --> 0:38:41.880
<v Speaker 1>the coup that's capable of knocking them out of power, right,

0:38:41.880 --> 0:38:43.720
<v Speaker 1>it's the cue that actually has sort of a mass,

0:38:43.760 --> 0:38:45.200
<v Speaker 1>like a mass backing from the right.

0:38:45.760 --> 0:38:48.560
<v Speaker 2>And this was not that cue. This was this was

0:38:48.600 --> 0:38:48.960
<v Speaker 2>this was.

0:38:48.920 --> 0:38:52.480
<v Speaker 1>The comedian's cup, This was the joker coup, This was the.

0:38:52.719 --> 0:38:54.400
<v Speaker 2>This is the worst coup.

0:38:56.920 --> 0:39:00.400
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, but you know, the next one, the next one

0:39:00.480 --> 0:39:00.879
<v Speaker 1>might not.

0:39:00.800 --> 0:39:03.959
<v Speaker 2>Be yes, and that's quite serious.

0:39:04.600 --> 0:39:07.920
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, So until then, hopefully hopefully we don't reach there.

0:39:07.960 --> 0:39:11.319
<v Speaker 1>But until this has been naked, happen here yet, you

0:39:11.440 --> 0:39:16.080
<v Speaker 1>too can overturn a coup by yelling, not even particularly

0:39:16.120 --> 0:39:17.520
<v Speaker 1>menacing at a muns your troops.

0:39:19.520 --> 0:39:22.440
<v Speaker 3>Yeah yeah, practice practice at home in case do you

0:39:22.480 --> 0:39:28.879
<v Speaker 3>have a need to do it.

0:39:28.880 --> 0:39:31.240
<v Speaker 4>It could happen here as a production of cool Zone Media.

0:39:31.480 --> 0:39:32.640
<v Speaker 2>For more podcasts from.

0:39:32.480 --> 0:39:35.480
<v Speaker 4>Cool Zone Media, visit our website cool zonemedia dot com,

0:39:35.560 --> 0:39:38.200
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0:39:38.280 --> 0:39:41.120
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0:39:41.120 --> 0:39:43.960
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0:39:44.040 --> 0:39:46.520
<v Speaker 4>dot com slash sources. Thanks for listening.