1 00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:17,200 Speaker 1: Happy Sunday, guys. How are you welcome into another episode 2 00:00:17,239 --> 00:00:19,560 Speaker 1: of the Deal Juice Podcast with me Matt Parralt at 3 00:00:19,560 --> 00:00:22,360 Speaker 1: Sports Talk Mat on Twitter, at Betting Pros for Betting 4 00:00:22,360 --> 00:00:26,360 Speaker 1: Pros on Twitter, bet mgmtel sponsor. By now two years in, 5 00:00:26,480 --> 00:00:28,520 Speaker 1: you guys should know this by now. Ten other Bet 6 00:00:28,680 --> 00:00:31,120 Speaker 1: Juice one fifty buck fifty in your account with a 7 00:00:31,160 --> 00:00:33,800 Speaker 1: new account. All right, so we go too and one Again. 8 00:00:34,360 --> 00:00:38,480 Speaker 1: It's been an interesting week. So we've gone two in one, 9 00:00:38,800 --> 00:00:41,920 Speaker 1: one in one, two and one, two and two, two 10 00:00:41,960 --> 00:00:45,360 Speaker 1: and one, two and one, So that's a ten and 11 00:00:45,400 --> 00:00:47,760 Speaker 1: seven mark over the last six days, up one point 12 00:00:47,760 --> 00:00:53,280 Speaker 1: five units, largely thanks to base baseball, and again a 13 00:00:53,280 --> 00:00:57,040 Speaker 1: two and oh night yesterday in baseball puts us now 14 00:00:57,480 --> 00:01:00,840 Speaker 1: thirty eight and thirty thirty eight and thirty two and 15 00:01:00,880 --> 00:01:04,600 Speaker 1: now that's going to put us basically up to units 16 00:01:04,640 --> 00:01:06,920 Speaker 1: for Major League Baseball this year. So it's been a 17 00:01:06,920 --> 00:01:09,399 Speaker 1: pretty good run. We're closing the Juice out with me 18 00:01:09,440 --> 00:01:13,880 Speaker 1: as the host with a pretty nice run and in baseball, 19 00:01:13,920 --> 00:01:16,440 Speaker 1: which is good. So I got two more baseball plays 20 00:01:16,480 --> 00:01:18,000 Speaker 1: and then I got one hockey play to give you 21 00:01:18,000 --> 00:01:22,200 Speaker 1: guys here, and you know, as we get into the 22 00:01:22,280 --> 00:01:24,640 Speaker 1: last week, we'll start talking about some of the things 23 00:01:24,640 --> 00:01:26,520 Speaker 1: that we're happy about and psyched about. I'm not going 24 00:01:26,600 --> 00:01:28,440 Speaker 1: to do much of it, probably save it for Wednesday 25 00:01:28,480 --> 00:01:32,039 Speaker 1: or Thursday's podcast. But this has been a ton of 26 00:01:32,080 --> 00:01:34,960 Speaker 1: fun and I appreciate everyone has reached out and you guys, 27 00:01:35,000 --> 00:01:36,800 Speaker 1: my dms are always open you want to talk to me. 28 00:01:36,959 --> 00:01:40,880 Speaker 1: I've gotten some incredible, incredible dms from people. Got a 29 00:01:40,920 --> 00:01:44,040 Speaker 1: story from a woman today who got into bedding during 30 00:01:44,080 --> 00:01:47,000 Speaker 1: the pandemic and it's something with her and her dad, 31 00:01:47,840 --> 00:01:50,920 Speaker 1: and her dad has gotten her into gambling and gotten 32 00:01:50,920 --> 00:01:54,000 Speaker 1: her into using you know, bonus codes and promo codes, 33 00:01:54,040 --> 00:01:56,440 Speaker 1: and she has some fun with it. But she got 34 00:01:56,440 --> 00:01:59,000 Speaker 1: three kids and it's something she listens to every day 35 00:01:59,000 --> 00:02:00,440 Speaker 1: in the morning, on the way to work and on 36 00:02:00,440 --> 00:02:02,840 Speaker 1: the way dropping our kids off at school, and it's 37 00:02:02,920 --> 00:02:05,200 Speaker 1: just it was awesome first thing in the morning to 38 00:02:05,240 --> 00:02:07,480 Speaker 1: get that today. I know this podcast has meant a 39 00:02:07,480 --> 00:02:10,440 Speaker 1: lot to a lot of you, so I really truly 40 00:02:10,639 --> 00:02:12,600 Speaker 1: I read the messages. I try to respond as much 41 00:02:12,600 --> 00:02:14,760 Speaker 1: as I can, and I do really appreciate each and 42 00:02:14,760 --> 00:02:17,120 Speaker 1: every one of you for listening over the last two years. 43 00:02:17,160 --> 00:02:20,160 Speaker 1: It's been absolute rollercoaster over ride. It's been so fun 44 00:02:20,360 --> 00:02:24,880 Speaker 1: betting every single day with you guys. So Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday. Okay, 45 00:02:24,919 --> 00:02:27,440 Speaker 1: so let's finish strong, let's get it going here, and 46 00:02:27,560 --> 00:02:30,400 Speaker 1: let's get some winners to you guys. I'm not going 47 00:02:30,480 --> 00:02:34,240 Speaker 1: to handicap it too much. I have snapped my zero 48 00:02:34,280 --> 00:02:36,560 Speaker 1: to seven streak where I bet the Lightning on the 49 00:02:36,560 --> 00:02:39,919 Speaker 1: money line in the last game for Game five. I'm 50 00:02:39,919 --> 00:02:44,720 Speaker 1: gonna do it again. I mean, I don't I don't 51 00:02:44,720 --> 00:02:46,560 Speaker 1: love it. I'm not gonna see her and tell you 52 00:02:46,600 --> 00:02:49,680 Speaker 1: that I'm like all in on this. But at home 53 00:02:50,280 --> 00:02:55,520 Speaker 1: championship mentality, a chance to force a game seven. Yeah, 54 00:02:55,800 --> 00:02:58,560 Speaker 1: I'm gonna come back in. I've been talked into it 55 00:02:58,600 --> 00:03:00,640 Speaker 1: by a bunch of people saying, look, gonna win game six, 56 00:03:00,720 --> 00:03:02,880 Speaker 1: it's going to force a game seven. I'm not gonna 57 00:03:02,880 --> 00:03:04,520 Speaker 1: sit here and tell you that I'm one hundred percent 58 00:03:04,560 --> 00:03:07,080 Speaker 1: confident in this. But I got the plus one sixty 59 00:03:07,160 --> 00:03:10,000 Speaker 1: right last game in game five, it's minus one oh 60 00:03:10,040 --> 00:03:12,920 Speaker 1: five for a home kind of a home dog in 61 00:03:12,960 --> 00:03:16,520 Speaker 1: the Lightning. They have the better goaltender back at home. 62 00:03:17,960 --> 00:03:20,160 Speaker 1: I mean, I know it was tough on Colorado in 63 00:03:20,240 --> 00:03:23,160 Speaker 1: Game five when the Cup goes to the building, it's difficult. 64 00:03:23,200 --> 00:03:26,560 Speaker 1: Could I see them play much freer? Yeah, but you 65 00:03:26,600 --> 00:03:30,520 Speaker 1: gotta remember this game, this series could be totally different 66 00:03:30,639 --> 00:03:34,279 Speaker 1: if the overtimes went to Tampa and not to Colorado. 67 00:03:34,760 --> 00:03:37,320 Speaker 1: So maybe the bounces are starting to break for Tampa 68 00:03:37,360 --> 00:03:39,240 Speaker 1: and they'll get one of them tonight and maybe they win. 69 00:03:39,360 --> 00:03:41,440 Speaker 1: I lean under Okay, you wanna talk about an under? 70 00:03:41,480 --> 00:03:44,480 Speaker 1: Bet under six is a lean three to two win 71 00:03:44,560 --> 00:03:47,440 Speaker 1: for Tampa. Kind of the same bet, same play as 72 00:03:47,520 --> 00:03:51,200 Speaker 1: Game five three two win minus one oh five half 73 00:03:51,240 --> 00:03:54,360 Speaker 1: a unit play on the lightning to force a game seven. 74 00:03:55,320 --> 00:03:58,520 Speaker 1: A little more extra hockey. I was zero and seven, 75 00:03:58,640 --> 00:04:00,720 Speaker 1: now I'm one in seven. You want to fade that. 76 00:04:00,880 --> 00:04:03,160 Speaker 1: You may want to. If you're an Avalanche fan, you 77 00:04:03,240 --> 00:04:05,800 Speaker 1: might be happy that I'm betting officially on the lightning 78 00:04:06,040 --> 00:04:08,800 Speaker 1: to force a game seven. So we'll see. We got 79 00:04:08,800 --> 00:04:10,920 Speaker 1: hockey to watch today, that's exciting. In the Stanley Cup 80 00:04:10,920 --> 00:04:14,080 Speaker 1: finals here in late June, bet one, half a unit, 81 00:04:14,520 --> 00:04:17,000 Speaker 1: bet two. So I've been pretty good with the Red Sox, 82 00:04:17,160 --> 00:04:20,600 Speaker 1: and we were on the Red Sox under yesterday for 83 00:04:20,760 --> 00:04:24,040 Speaker 1: two win for Boston. So here's the thing. About today, 84 00:04:24,120 --> 00:04:27,159 Speaker 1: rich Hill goes to the mounds for Boston and rich 85 00:04:27,240 --> 00:04:30,760 Speaker 1: Hill has been pretty good. He's not been bad. And 86 00:04:31,320 --> 00:04:34,839 Speaker 1: you know automatically you're like, oh, rich Hill gonna get killed. 87 00:04:35,080 --> 00:04:38,279 Speaker 1: I mean, he's going up against Aaron Savali who is 88 00:04:38,279 --> 00:04:40,200 Speaker 1: two and three with a with a seven to two 89 00:04:40,360 --> 00:04:43,000 Speaker 1: five ERA and a one point four to seven whip. 90 00:04:43,279 --> 00:04:49,360 Speaker 1: And this guy's games are over machines eleven seven, twenty eleven, 91 00:04:49,640 --> 00:04:54,320 Speaker 1: seventeen runs the last five games pitched for Savelli. And 92 00:04:55,160 --> 00:04:57,640 Speaker 1: you've got a rich Hill. Like I mentioned, the Red 93 00:04:57,640 --> 00:04:59,880 Speaker 1: Sox are scoring for him. The Red Sox have one 94 00:05:00,000 --> 00:05:02,520 Speaker 1: six games in a row, six to three the final, 95 00:05:02,680 --> 00:05:05,400 Speaker 1: the first game four to the final. On Saturday, Redsicks 96 00:05:05,440 --> 00:05:07,560 Speaker 1: go for the sweep and their seventh consecutive win. I 97 00:05:07,640 --> 00:05:09,160 Speaker 1: lean Red Sox on the money line, but it's hard 98 00:05:09,160 --> 00:05:10,479 Speaker 1: to beat a team three times in a row at 99 00:05:10,480 --> 00:05:13,000 Speaker 1: the home on the road. And I think Richill is 100 00:05:13,040 --> 00:05:15,360 Speaker 1: kind of due left handed pitcher. I get the power 101 00:05:15,400 --> 00:05:20,400 Speaker 1: hitting lineup like Cleveland nine seven seven seven ten the 102 00:05:20,520 --> 00:05:23,360 Speaker 1: runs total runs for rich Hill. He's won three of 103 00:05:23,400 --> 00:05:27,240 Speaker 1: his last five starts, three earned, two earned, two earned, 104 00:05:27,320 --> 00:05:30,080 Speaker 1: one earned, six earned against Baltimore in that ten to 105 00:05:30,080 --> 00:05:32,279 Speaker 1: nothing lost back on the thirtieth of May. But the 106 00:05:32,320 --> 00:05:35,240 Speaker 1: last four starts, two of them on the road, three 107 00:05:35,240 --> 00:05:38,120 Speaker 1: earned runs, and those two road starts Seattle in Oakland, 108 00:05:38,400 --> 00:05:41,360 Speaker 1: Detroit and Oakland not really power hitting huge lineups. To 109 00:05:41,440 --> 00:05:43,640 Speaker 1: rich Hill is facing, he's still three and four with 110 00:05:43,800 --> 00:05:46,200 Speaker 1: a four point three to five e er. I'm gonna 111 00:05:46,200 --> 00:05:49,400 Speaker 1: need Cleveland to score at least four runs today. I 112 00:05:49,400 --> 00:05:52,800 Speaker 1: think Boston gets five or six, Cleveland gets four, and 113 00:05:52,839 --> 00:05:56,240 Speaker 1: we're good to the over nine nine minus one twenty 114 00:05:56,560 --> 00:05:59,800 Speaker 1: half a unit Red Sox Cleveland. We're going over with 115 00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:03,520 Speaker 1: Austin and Cleveland here over nine at minus one twenty 116 00:06:03,720 --> 00:06:06,960 Speaker 1: for the Red Sox and the Guardians. And then lastly, 117 00:06:07,400 --> 00:06:09,720 Speaker 1: this is kind of a feel bet to me. Oh, 118 00:06:09,760 --> 00:06:12,560 Speaker 1: by the way, Cleveland is thirty two, thirty and five 119 00:06:12,640 --> 00:06:15,080 Speaker 1: to the over. This year, Boston's been a real underteam 120 00:06:15,120 --> 00:06:17,599 Speaker 1: twenty eight, thirty seven and seven, but some of the 121 00:06:17,680 --> 00:06:20,160 Speaker 1: games do obviously go over, so there's no real big 122 00:06:20,200 --> 00:06:23,000 Speaker 1: trend to pull off that. But man, the White Sox 123 00:06:23,160 --> 00:06:28,680 Speaker 1: are reeling at the moment, and the Orioles have won 124 00:06:28,800 --> 00:06:30,680 Speaker 1: four games in a row. I know people say bet 125 00:06:30,760 --> 00:06:34,760 Speaker 1: the streak, some people fade the streak on this Baltimore 126 00:06:35,120 --> 00:06:37,920 Speaker 1: against the run line this year, they are the number 127 00:06:37,960 --> 00:06:40,839 Speaker 1: one team in baseball against the run line or with 128 00:06:40,920 --> 00:06:43,719 Speaker 1: the run line. They're forty six and twenty seven this year, 129 00:06:43,839 --> 00:06:47,000 Speaker 1: number one. So what am I gonna do today? I'm 130 00:06:47,040 --> 00:06:50,440 Speaker 1: gonna bet against them? Why? Because the White Sox need 131 00:06:50,480 --> 00:06:53,039 Speaker 1: to figure this out. Man. The White Sox are not 132 00:06:53,200 --> 00:06:57,200 Speaker 1: playing well. And they've lost three games in a row, 133 00:06:57,279 --> 00:06:59,680 Speaker 1: actually four games in a row now, lost to the 134 00:06:59,720 --> 00:07:02,200 Speaker 1: Blue Jays and then all three to the Orioles. Could 135 00:07:02,200 --> 00:07:05,680 Speaker 1: they lose a four game stretch here? I know they're 136 00:07:05,720 --> 00:07:08,279 Speaker 1: banged up. I know they're on the you know they 137 00:07:08,320 --> 00:07:10,360 Speaker 1: were asked to slow down on the base pass because 138 00:07:10,400 --> 00:07:15,440 Speaker 1: ten players are on the il here. I mean, it's bad, Okay, 139 00:07:15,440 --> 00:07:19,440 Speaker 1: there's no but this is the Orioles. And we've got 140 00:07:19,840 --> 00:07:22,200 Speaker 1: Dylan Cees to the mound five and three with a 141 00:07:22,240 --> 00:07:26,200 Speaker 1: two point six eight e RA against Jordan Lyles, who 142 00:07:26,280 --> 00:07:29,320 Speaker 1: is not good. You've got a know, winning four of 143 00:07:29,360 --> 00:07:32,720 Speaker 1: the last five games. Four Ceas for the White Sox 144 00:07:33,120 --> 00:07:35,960 Speaker 1: two point six eight ERA. He's been arguably their best pitcher. 145 00:07:36,360 --> 00:07:39,320 Speaker 1: He hasn't given up an earned run in like forever. 146 00:07:39,520 --> 00:07:41,320 Speaker 1: I mean, it's kind of crazy. But look at this 147 00:07:41,360 --> 00:07:43,280 Speaker 1: and go like, wait a minute, I mean, you give 148 00:07:43,360 --> 00:07:47,760 Speaker 1: up six unearned runs to the to the Dodgers on 149 00:07:47,840 --> 00:07:51,040 Speaker 1: four and two thirds. Not his fault. Clearly, he's been 150 00:07:51,080 --> 00:07:53,920 Speaker 1: striking guys out eleven kds against Toronto. Looked for his 151 00:07:54,000 --> 00:07:55,800 Speaker 1: k prop to what that is might be seven and 152 00:07:55,840 --> 00:07:58,360 Speaker 1: a half. I'm going to go over that eleven, eight, eight, 153 00:07:58,440 --> 00:08:03,160 Speaker 1: five and five for Dylan Cease. I'm gonna go run line. 154 00:08:03,320 --> 00:08:05,240 Speaker 1: I think the White Sox get it done here. I 155 00:08:05,280 --> 00:08:08,320 Speaker 1: think they snap the Orioles streak. I think Jordan Lyles 156 00:08:08,320 --> 00:08:12,200 Speaker 1: gets hit. I think they get some offense going. Lyles 157 00:08:12,240 --> 00:08:15,840 Speaker 1: has given up two, four, six, four and three earned runs. 158 00:08:16,440 --> 00:08:19,840 Speaker 1: He's lost four of his five starts three to nothing, 159 00:08:20,040 --> 00:08:22,360 Speaker 1: seven to five, seven to six, and five to three, 160 00:08:22,680 --> 00:08:24,800 Speaker 1: So three of the four on the run line that 161 00:08:24,840 --> 00:08:28,240 Speaker 1: he's lost. Even though yes, here we are with this 162 00:08:28,360 --> 00:08:30,920 Speaker 1: number one team for the Orioles against the run line 163 00:08:31,000 --> 00:08:33,240 Speaker 1: in or with the run line in Major League Baseball 164 00:08:33,600 --> 00:08:36,480 Speaker 1: minus one ten, I'm gonna go run line, White Sox 165 00:08:36,559 --> 00:08:38,560 Speaker 1: laying the run and a half at minus one ten 166 00:08:38,720 --> 00:08:41,360 Speaker 1: to snap their four game losing streak, to snap the 167 00:08:41,400 --> 00:08:45,480 Speaker 1: Orioles four game winning streak Sundays. Wonky things happen on 168 00:08:45,600 --> 00:08:49,160 Speaker 1: Sundays in baseball. Let's have some wonkiness go our way 169 00:08:49,240 --> 00:08:51,040 Speaker 1: for a change. Here with the White Sox on the 170 00:08:51,120 --> 00:08:54,679 Speaker 1: run line against the Baltimore Orioles. All right, lightning money 171 00:08:54,720 --> 00:08:57,400 Speaker 1: line minus one oh five half a unit. By the way, 172 00:08:57,480 --> 00:09:00,240 Speaker 1: Nathan McKinnon over four and a half shots. You want 173 00:09:00,240 --> 00:09:02,600 Speaker 1: to prop if it's four and a half again, bet 174 00:09:02,640 --> 00:09:06,600 Speaker 1: that it's been an absolute ATM machine here in this series. 175 00:09:06,920 --> 00:09:09,640 Speaker 1: Nathan McKinnon over four and a half shots, but Red 176 00:09:09,679 --> 00:09:12,440 Speaker 1: Sox over nine mice one twenty White Sox run line 177 00:09:12,679 --> 00:09:14,600 Speaker 1: minus one ten laying in one and a half one 178 00:09:14,600 --> 00:09:17,400 Speaker 1: and a half runs against the White Sox three bets 179 00:09:17,520 --> 00:09:20,560 Speaker 1: half a unit and play here on a Sunday. Best 180 00:09:20,559 --> 00:09:22,640 Speaker 1: of luck to us. Let's go two and one again. 181 00:09:23,440 --> 00:09:25,280 Speaker 1: Not gonna shake a stick at it. Two and One's 182 00:09:25,320 --> 00:09:27,959 Speaker 1: fine by me. Mynay's Matt Parreltz. Follow me on Twitter 183 00:09:28,000 --> 00:09:30,080 Speaker 1: at sports Doc Matt. Each and every morning It's the 184 00:09:30,080 --> 00:09:32,240 Speaker 1: Other Podcast. I was being brought to you by Bet. 185 00:09:32,280 --> 00:09:32,640 Speaker 1: I'm Jim