WEBVTT - SpaceX Fires Employees and Google's AI Issues

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<v Speaker 1>From the heart of where innovation, money and power COLLI

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<v Speaker 1>in Silicon Valley and beyond. This is Bloomberg Technology with

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<v Speaker 1>Emily jay I. Remember ly check in San Francisco and

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<v Speaker 1>this is Bloomberg Technology coming up the next hour. Multiple

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<v Speaker 1>SpaceX employees fired after an open letter criticizing Elon Musk.

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<v Speaker 1>What this says about his leadership and what it means

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<v Speaker 1>for Twitter Plus? Does AI have feelings? Google just suspended

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<v Speaker 1>an engineer who claims the answer to that question is yes.

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<v Speaker 1>We will have an in depth conversation with Google's former

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<v Speaker 1>AI ethicist about the limits and power of this technology

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<v Speaker 1>and cryptotraders go from feeling the fear of missing out

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<v Speaker 1>to straight up fear. We'll talk to micro Strategy CEO

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<v Speaker 1>Michael Saylor about his big bet on bitcoin and if

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<v Speaker 1>he has any regrets. SpaceX now has fired several employees

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<v Speaker 1>involved in an open letter criticizing the behavior of CEO

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<v Speaker 1>Elon Musk. This according to an internal memo that began

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<v Speaker 1>circulating among staff this week. The letter, seen by Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>called Musk's behavior and tweets quote a frequent source of

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<v Speaker 1>distraction and embarrassment, and called on SpaceX leadership to condemn

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<v Speaker 1>and distance itself from his quote personal brand. Bloomberg's bad

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<v Speaker 1>Ludlow here now to discuss. So Bloombook obtained a copy

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<v Speaker 1>of the Soper letter. What exactly did it say? Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>so this is a small select group of employees who

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<v Speaker 1>called on SpaceX Is management, including Gwin short World, the

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<v Speaker 1>CEO and president, to basically publicly distance itself from Musk

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<v Speaker 1>what he says, what he believes, what he was doing,

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<v Speaker 1>because they felt that it was quote, an embarrassment and

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<v Speaker 1>that it was basically impacting the work that space It

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<v Speaker 1>was trying to do. This was the view of a

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<v Speaker 1>small number of employees. It was shared as sort of

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<v Speaker 1>something you could sign vera QR code through internal messaging channels,

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<v Speaker 1>and it picked up some momentum. You know, they did

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<v Speaker 1>get signatures until management acted. What exactly did management then?

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<v Speaker 1>So in a second internal memo which was sent by

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<v Speaker 1>Gwyn shot Well, the company's CEO, which Blomberg has seen,

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<v Speaker 1>they basically said this wasn't helpful. You know, they conducted

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<v Speaker 1>an investigation into the origins of this open letter from staff,

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<v Speaker 1>and as you said, and I think we had the

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<v Speaker 1>quote from Gwyn shot Well about sort of the broader

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<v Speaker 1>impact of it. They ended up firing that what they

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<v Speaker 1>said a number of employees, we don't have a firm

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<v Speaker 1>number and how many it is. But this is what's interesting.

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<v Speaker 1>She calls this overreaching activism. You know, so clearly there's

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<v Speaker 1>a group of employees within the business who have strong opinion.

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<v Speaker 1>And this what she says elsewhere in the memo that's

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<v Speaker 1>frankly too long for us to share on the screen,

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<v Speaker 1>is that this select group of employees were putting pressure

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<v Speaker 1>on their peers to sign something that they didn't believe in.

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<v Speaker 1>These are paraphrasing Gwin Shotwell's words, did a bunch of

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<v Speaker 1>employees sign it? And are we've seen arranging numbers up

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<v Speaker 1>there from several hundreds several thousand. SpaceX has twelve thousand

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<v Speaker 1>employees around the world essentially, so it gained traction um.

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<v Speaker 1>But ultimately, you know, what Gwyn Shotwell goes on to

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<v Speaker 1>say in that memo is that this is a distraction

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<v Speaker 1>from their end goal and their own goals we know

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<v Speaker 1>is getting to mars Well. This isn't the first story

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<v Speaker 1>in the last few weeks about Elon Musk's behavior at SpaceX.

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<v Speaker 1>There was another story about accusing him of sexual harassment. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>and Gwen shot Well also defended him in that instance

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<v Speaker 1>as well. Correct. So last month, Business Insider reported that

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<v Speaker 1>the company space X settled with a former contract employee

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<v Speaker 1>in two thousand eighteen for two fifty thousand U S

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<v Speaker 1>dollars and that employee in question was a contract air

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<v Speaker 1>steward aboard a space x jet that Must would used

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<v Speaker 1>to travel. And straight away we should point out must

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<v Speaker 1>denies not only denies the claims made, but he actually

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<v Speaker 1>goes on to say in a series of tweets earlier

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<v Speaker 1>in the month or last month that he basically saw

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<v Speaker 1>this as a political attack on him, that it was

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<v Speaker 1>sort of a calculated initiative to to impact his reputation. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, and he questioned the source who is the

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<v Speaker 1>original source of the business inside of story. So regardless,

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<v Speaker 1>we don't get to the bottom of it. I should

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<v Speaker 1>point out SpaceX does have a comms team, a PR team.

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<v Speaker 1>I messaged them regularly. They are real people, but they

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<v Speaker 1>have not responded to multiple recomment on this story, on

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<v Speaker 1>the open letter story, so you know, what we have

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<v Speaker 1>to go on is these internal messages that Bloomberg has

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<v Speaker 1>scene interesting. There has been some other news for SpaceX

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<v Speaker 1>today they did have another successful life. I mean, this

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<v Speaker 1>is what it all comes back to down to. So

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<v Speaker 1>today was kind of another bog standard style launch, another

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<v Speaker 1>three fifty three Starlink satellites deployed to orbit. But it

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<v Speaker 1>was also a milestone for reusability. It was the hundred

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<v Speaker 1>of launch using a proven, a flight proven rocket or booster.

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<v Speaker 1>In other words, this is the hundred of time that

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<v Speaker 1>SpaceX has sent up a rocket that has previously flown

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<v Speaker 1>and landed it successfully, and it's just changed the game, right.

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<v Speaker 1>This is the whole point of the space X story

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<v Speaker 1>that this reusability angle allows them to go with such

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<v Speaker 1>regularity that it becomes routine, but also that it makes

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<v Speaker 1>access to space much more affordable for little satellite providers

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<v Speaker 1>and themselves building out the Starlink network. All right, well,

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<v Speaker 1>TBC to be continued as I'm sure this narrative will

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<v Speaker 1>be Thank you thanks. Earlier this week, a Google engineer

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<v Speaker 1>working on the company's AI development team was suspen ended

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<v Speaker 1>after claiming a chatbot actually has feelings. Blake Lemoyne was

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<v Speaker 1>placed on paid leave last week after he posted on

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<v Speaker 1>Medium that he had encountered a quote Sentien AI, igniting

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<v Speaker 1>a fiery debate about the possibilities and limits of this

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<v Speaker 1>cutting edge technology. Dr Margaret Mitchell, Hugging Face, Chief Ethics

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<v Speaker 1>Scientists and researcher and former Google AI employee who worked

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<v Speaker 1>on the AI development team, joins us now to discuss Margaret,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you so much for joining us, or I should say,

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Mitchell, given your expertise, do you think Blake Lemoyne

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<v Speaker 1>is right? Does this AI? Does this spot have feelings? Uh? Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>well no, I don't think it does. Um. I certainly

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<v Speaker 1>don't think it has feelings definitely not consciousness or sentience,

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<v Speaker 1>which which is what the claims have been. So what

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<v Speaker 1>does this, though tell us about the potential or power

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<v Speaker 1>four AI am bought to full human beings into thinking

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<v Speaker 1>that they're real. Yeah, there's a few things going on. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>On the one hand, we have uh psychological effects of

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<v Speaker 1>UM interacting with things that are human like UM. So uh,

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<v Speaker 1>we we tend to anthropomorphize UM. We tend to put

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<v Speaker 1>intentionality UM into things that we're that we're inter interacting

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<v Speaker 1>with that seem human like. I think people are sort

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<v Speaker 1>of used to doing this with our pets and things,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, creating like whole dialogues and conversations UM, but

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<v Speaker 1>also with like you know, uh, stuffed animals and tamagotchis

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<v Speaker 1>and things like that. And there's also been psychological studies

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<v Speaker 1>showing that we have a propensity to um impute intentionality

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<v Speaker 1>into um non conscious beings UM when they show some

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<v Speaker 1>sort of properties like speaking uh, like vulnerability UM or

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<v Speaker 1>or movement that's aligned with human like movement UM. On

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<v Speaker 1>the other hand, we also have a lot of companies

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<v Speaker 1>working in AI using the language of human cognition UM

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<v Speaker 1>so saying things like chain of thought, saying things like

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<v Speaker 1>reasoning um, you know, essentially comparing the models that they're

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<v Speaker 1>working with to the brain, which makes some sense, but

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<v Speaker 1>you really have to temper that with with the details

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<v Speaker 1>of this essentially being um a bunch of a bunch

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<v Speaker 1>of calculations UM. So we have a few things going on,

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<v Speaker 1>the psychological illusions UH and the language that companies are

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<v Speaker 1>using around the technology they're building. So, given the complexity

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<v Speaker 1>of this, what are your biggest concerns about? For example,

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<v Speaker 1>these transcripts that that Blake Lamoyne published where the computer

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<v Speaker 1>is saying I'm scared of dying, I'm scared of being

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<v Speaker 1>turned off. Yeah, I mean I I think I echo

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<v Speaker 1>UM a lot of researchers in this space, UM, where

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<v Speaker 1>I think we all sort of feel like sentience is

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<v Speaker 1>not the point here. UM. I think it's I think

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<v Speaker 1>it's important to note that we are not going to

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<v Speaker 1>get an agreement on sentience or consciousness anytime soon. People

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<v Speaker 1>are going to see sentience, people are going to see

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<v Speaker 1>consciousness UM, and that will probably go on, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>indefinitely where we just have a disagreement. UM. But when

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<v Speaker 1>you do have people starting to see sentience in consciousness, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>it starts to bring up things like, UM, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>like robot rights, all this work that's been done on

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<v Speaker 1>what the personhood of these models might be. UM. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>at the same time, you have technology that you know,

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<v Speaker 1>essentially discriminates, you know, against black, black and brown people, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>poorly represents women and reflects misogynistic viewpoints. Uh. So there's

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<v Speaker 1>something to be said for an obsession with the personhood

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<v Speaker 1>of AI and systems UM and thinking about the rights

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<v Speaker 1>that they might have while not actually doing good work

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<v Speaker 1>on the rights of actual people. UM. On top of Oh,

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<v Speaker 1>I have so much to say, but yeah, you have

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<v Speaker 1>another question. I'm sure well, you know, and of course

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<v Speaker 1>you know the history behind this is that you were

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<v Speaker 1>fired for your work and sounding the alarm about sexism

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<v Speaker 1>and racism in a in AI at Google. So it

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<v Speaker 1>sounds to me like you're saying, this isn't the problem.

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<v Speaker 1>We shouldn't be asking if robots have feelings and rights.

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<v Speaker 1>We should be asking if AI is gender blind and

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<v Speaker 1>color blind and making sure, um that we're focusing on

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<v Speaker 1>all of these other things that are far more important. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, so it's not gender blind, it's actually uh

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<v Speaker 1>targeting gender and negative ways. UM. And so for example,

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<v Speaker 1>we know that a lot of these systems are trained

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<v Speaker 1>on UM text data from from websites that have misogynistic

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<v Speaker 1>tendencies UM and UH websites that are predominantly white and

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<v Speaker 1>male UM and and actually US based. UM. So there's

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<v Speaker 1>all these kinds of things that are being UM propagated

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<v Speaker 1>by these systems that are really problematic. UM. And they

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<v Speaker 1>become even more problematic when people start to be affected

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<v Speaker 1>by the systems as they interact with them. UM. So,

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<v Speaker 1>in the case of consciousness, UM, you have the concern

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<v Speaker 1>that people might be persuaded to do horrible things. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>You also have you know, concerns around bullying and hate bots,

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<v Speaker 1>uh and these kinds of things that can you know,

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<v Speaker 1>really hurt people. Um. And then you know you also

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<v Speaker 1>have um, these subtle effects of you know, in search

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<v Speaker 1>ranking results, what will tend to appear at the top

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<v Speaker 1>of that ranking And if it's a function of these

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<v Speaker 1>sorts of language models um as Google, for exap people

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<v Speaker 1>has said, UM, they are, then you're going to have

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<v Speaker 1>these bias effects influencing search results in such a way

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<v Speaker 1>that you tend to see the viewpoints of white men,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, at the top of the search drinking results

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<v Speaker 1>as opposed to you know, black women, And that is

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<v Speaker 1>sort of a echo a chamber effects where it's like

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<v Speaker 1>the privileged gets more privileged, right, privilege gets privileged, while

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<v Speaker 1>the marginalized become more marginalized. Now Google has come out

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<v Speaker 1>saying that in this particular case, when it comes to

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<v Speaker 1>Blake Lemoyne, that you know, hundreds of researchers have interacted

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<v Speaker 1>with the same technology haven't expressed these concerns. I also

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<v Speaker 1>sat down with Alphabet and Google CEO Sundar pacha I

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<v Speaker 1>last year and asked him about concerns around AI from

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<v Speaker 1>within Google itself. From people like yourself. I asked him

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<v Speaker 1>what keeps him up at night? Take a listen to

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<v Speaker 1>what he had to say. Anytime you're developing technology, there

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<v Speaker 1>is a dual site to it. I think the journey

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<v Speaker 1>of humanity is harnessing the benefits while minimizing the downsides.

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<v Speaker 1>The good thing with AI is it's both going to

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<v Speaker 1>take time. I think I've seen more focus on the

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<v Speaker 1>downsides early on than most of the technology we've developed.

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<v Speaker 1>So in some ways I'm encouraged by how much concerned

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<v Speaker 1>there is. And you're right, even within Google, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>you know people think about it deeply. Margaret, Do you

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<v Speaker 1>think he and Google are leading on these issues in

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<v Speaker 1>the right way? No, clearly not. I mean everyone I think,

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<v Speaker 1>at least in tech is familiar with this notion of

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<v Speaker 1>tech solutionism UM. And there's no lack of pr and

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<v Speaker 1>calms around the benefits of AI and really trying to

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<v Speaker 1>push it as beneficial for humanity and all these sorts

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<v Speaker 1>of things. It's it's a very small minority who speaks

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<v Speaker 1>up about the downside. So I would say that UM

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<v Speaker 1>soon Dar's characteration characterization is false UM and frustrating false UM.

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<v Speaker 1>And one of the reasons. I think that there's a

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<v Speaker 1>desire to stay away from the downsides. UM. In addition

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<v Speaker 1>to you know, concern around profit is that it also

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<v Speaker 1>starts to open up liability. Right, so if you have

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<v Speaker 1>systems that you can show work worse on black women,

0:14:17.880 --> 0:14:20.480
<v Speaker 1>then now it starts to bring up questions of discrimination

0:14:20.560 --> 0:14:25.480
<v Speaker 1>within the systems. UM. So it behooves companies to try

0:14:25.520 --> 0:14:27.920
<v Speaker 1>and say, oh, the downsides are you know, are being

0:14:28.040 --> 0:14:32.200
<v Speaker 1>over examined, and try and kind of shut that conversation down.

0:14:32.640 --> 0:14:35.080
<v Speaker 1>But I think what's actually happening is that the small

0:14:35.160 --> 0:14:38.800
<v Speaker 1>set of people who have been speaking about ethical concerns

0:14:39.320 --> 0:14:42.920
<v Speaker 1>are starting to be listened to because people are seeing

0:14:43.040 --> 0:14:46.720
<v Speaker 1>the negative effects. UM. And I think that's really what's

0:14:46.760 --> 0:14:49.760
<v Speaker 1>happening is a desire on the corporate side to shut

0:14:49.840 --> 0:14:52.280
<v Speaker 1>the conversation down for a lot of sort of incentives

0:14:52.320 --> 0:14:55.920
<v Speaker 1>they have, and then people actually seeing the downside it's

0:14:55.960 --> 0:14:59.320
<v Speaker 1>and not having an effect on what gets reported. Do

0:14:59.400 --> 0:15:04.120
<v Speaker 1>you think a little wine should have been suspended? Uh? No,

0:15:04.440 --> 0:15:07.880
<v Speaker 1>I don't. UM. I so I should say that um.

0:15:08.280 --> 0:15:11.320
<v Speaker 1>Blake and I are really good friends. We worked together

0:15:11.400 --> 0:15:14.480
<v Speaker 1>at Google. We wrote a paper together actually on how

0:15:14.520 --> 0:15:21.640
<v Speaker 1>to um mitigate problematic biases in UM in machine learning systems. Um.

0:15:21.680 --> 0:15:26.040
<v Speaker 1>He's a very very bright guy. UM. So I'm a

0:15:26.040 --> 0:15:28.800
<v Speaker 1>little bit worried that there's sort of this reductive narrative

0:15:28.840 --> 0:15:32.640
<v Speaker 1>that there's something like fundamentally wrong with him or something. UM.

0:15:32.680 --> 0:15:35.440
<v Speaker 1>He he has a lot of dimensions. UM. And I

0:15:35.480 --> 0:15:38.400
<v Speaker 1>think Google could have done a much better job at

0:15:38.480 --> 0:15:43.480
<v Speaker 1>engaging with him rather than this you know, very alienating

0:15:43.920 --> 0:15:46.720
<v Speaker 1>sort of experience that they gave him instead. UM. I

0:15:46.720 --> 0:15:48.920
<v Speaker 1>think it shows a weakness on Google's part to be

0:15:49.040 --> 0:15:53.720
<v Speaker 1>able to um uh, to be able to be open

0:15:53.800 --> 0:15:58.120
<v Speaker 1>to different kinds of experiences and perspectives. So one, are

0:15:58.240 --> 0:16:02.800
<v Speaker 1>your biggest fears if Google continues to develop the technology

0:16:03.400 --> 0:16:06.840
<v Speaker 1>at the pace that it is developing, this technology continues

0:16:07.000 --> 0:16:10.280
<v Speaker 1>to you know, potentially not listen to this as you say,

0:16:10.400 --> 0:16:13.720
<v Speaker 1>minority of voices that are speaking up paint the picture

0:16:13.840 --> 0:16:16.680
<v Speaker 1>of of what you fear the world could look like

0:16:17.520 --> 0:16:22.480
<v Speaker 1>if Google continues on this path. Oh no, that is

0:16:22.520 --> 0:16:25.040
<v Speaker 1>a very big question. UM. And I'm not a good painter,

0:16:25.920 --> 0:16:28.680
<v Speaker 1>I should mention I'm a computer scientist, so I might

0:16:28.720 --> 0:16:31.400
<v Speaker 1>not you know, be as elephant at this UM. But

0:16:31.720 --> 0:16:35.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, we're already seeing a lot of what we

0:16:35.320 --> 0:16:39.240
<v Speaker 1>can expect to happen in the future, but even worse. UM.

0:16:39.320 --> 0:16:42.359
<v Speaker 1>So just recently, someone released a ton of hate thoughts

0:16:42.480 --> 0:16:46.320
<v Speaker 1>UM and then made the model available to the public UM.

0:16:46.400 --> 0:16:49.400
<v Speaker 1>And so we are going to likely see an increase

0:16:49.600 --> 0:16:56.320
<v Speaker 1>of hateful UM intelligence seeming systems across our interactions online

0:16:56.320 --> 0:16:59.120
<v Speaker 1>and on social media. UM. And this includes things like

0:16:59.160 --> 0:17:03.960
<v Speaker 1>bullying as is really problematic, persuasion into sort of more

0:17:04.320 --> 0:17:09.760
<v Speaker 1>extremist UM areas. UM. I think we're going to see

0:17:10.200 --> 0:17:15.720
<v Speaker 1>UH further sort of marginalization and worsening of power differentials.

0:17:15.760 --> 0:17:19.680
<v Speaker 1>So as you know, a company like Google a mass

0:17:19.800 --> 0:17:24.320
<v Speaker 1>is more and more um ability to affect people's sense

0:17:24.480 --> 0:17:27.640
<v Speaker 1>of of what's true in the world through search ranking results,

0:17:28.280 --> 0:17:32.160
<v Speaker 1>through the sort of UH products they're making. UM. It

0:17:32.200 --> 0:17:35.840
<v Speaker 1>means that the voices of people who have less access

0:17:35.880 --> 0:17:38.840
<v Speaker 1>to the Internet, for example, are going to disappear more

0:17:38.840 --> 0:17:41.280
<v Speaker 1>and more, while Google a mass is more and more

0:17:41.320 --> 0:17:45.800
<v Speaker 1>power UM. And so I'm very very concerned about how

0:17:45.880 --> 0:17:50.120
<v Speaker 1>much the sort of technology moving forward empowers Google UM

0:17:50.200 --> 0:17:54.159
<v Speaker 1>and sort of lack of respects that I've seen for

0:17:54.640 --> 0:17:58.960
<v Speaker 1>very serious ethical concerns. You know, misinformation obviously is one

0:17:59.040 --> 0:18:01.640
<v Speaker 1>alongside some of the models that have come out recently,

0:18:01.680 --> 0:18:04.080
<v Speaker 1>We're not gonna know what's real. There's going to be

0:18:04.320 --> 0:18:08.720
<v Speaker 1>text text based misinformation, so so news that's wrong, uh,

0:18:08.800 --> 0:18:12.600
<v Speaker 1>image based missed information so images that look real that

0:18:12.600 --> 0:18:16.119
<v Speaker 1>that are not real. UM. And video based as well,

0:18:16.359 --> 0:18:20.520
<v Speaker 1>and also audio based. So essentially all of the main

0:18:20.640 --> 0:18:26.040
<v Speaker 1>ways that we consume information online will now no longer

0:18:26.200 --> 0:18:31.680
<v Speaker 1>be very easy uh to trace back to reality. UM.

0:18:31.720 --> 0:18:39.480
<v Speaker 1>And that means mass misunderstanding. UM. So yeah, scary, Dr Mitchell. Uh.

0:18:40.280 --> 0:18:42.320
<v Speaker 1>This we could have this conversation for hours, and I

0:18:42.640 --> 0:18:44.560
<v Speaker 1>know we're gonna be having it for years. I'd love

0:18:44.720 --> 0:18:46.480
<v Speaker 1>to have you back to talk more about your work

0:18:46.480 --> 0:18:49.000
<v Speaker 1>at Hugging Face. I know that there you are taking

0:18:49.000 --> 0:18:51.280
<v Speaker 1>a different approach to a lot of these issues. UM,

0:18:51.280 --> 0:18:54.000
<v Speaker 1>But because of commercials, we're gonna have to leave it here. Um.

0:18:54.080 --> 0:18:57.720
<v Speaker 1>Dr Margaret Mitch and Mitchell Hugging Face chief ethics scientists

0:18:57.800 --> 0:19:01.520
<v Speaker 1>and researcher. UM, thank you uh for joining us today

0:19:01.520 --> 0:19:05.119
<v Speaker 1>and help us work through some of these very complex issues.

0:19:05.119 --> 0:19:07.920
<v Speaker 1>Will have much more ahead stay with us. This is Bloomberg.

0:19:17.440 --> 0:19:19.720
<v Speaker 1>TikTok says it has reached an agreement with Oracle to

0:19:19.800 --> 0:19:23.560
<v Speaker 1>store data from US users on Oracle servers. The deal

0:19:24.000 --> 0:19:27.440
<v Speaker 1>has been in the work since following concerns of security

0:19:27.560 --> 0:19:30.160
<v Speaker 1>risks linked to the Chinese owned app. This news comes

0:19:30.200 --> 0:19:34.840
<v Speaker 1>the same day BuzzFeed shared that leaked audio from dozens

0:19:34.840 --> 0:19:37.960
<v Speaker 1>of internal TikTok meetings revealed US user data has been

0:19:38.000 --> 0:19:50.520
<v Speaker 1>repeatedly accessed from China. Welcome back to bloomber Technology and

0:19:50.560 --> 0:19:52.480
<v Speaker 1>Emily Chang in San Francisco. I want to dig into

0:19:52.480 --> 0:19:55.280
<v Speaker 1>this and how the fed rate hike is impacting the

0:19:55.320 --> 0:19:59.879
<v Speaker 1>world of VC with Mike Volpi and partner at Index Ventures.

0:20:00.160 --> 0:20:02.520
<v Speaker 1>Might great to have you back with us. Look, it's

0:20:02.560 --> 0:20:04.560
<v Speaker 1>been an incredibly vi all of the week, a lot

0:20:04.600 --> 0:20:08.040
<v Speaker 1>of uncertainty about the future, a lot of people saying

0:20:08.720 --> 0:20:13.560
<v Speaker 1>the R word is inevitable. What do you think. Yeah,

0:20:13.600 --> 0:20:15.680
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna start by saying that I'm a Lakers fan,

0:20:15.760 --> 0:20:19.600
<v Speaker 1>so I'm relatively different all of the events. Well, we're

0:20:19.640 --> 0:20:25.440
<v Speaker 1>not sorry, but thank you for clarifying, Okay, So, um, yeah,

0:20:25.520 --> 0:20:29.840
<v Speaker 1>it's it's definitely a very tricky time right now. Um,

0:20:30.040 --> 0:20:33.159
<v Speaker 1>and I think that when we look at the portfolio

0:20:33.160 --> 0:20:36.400
<v Speaker 1>of companies that we look after, there are certainly ones

0:20:36.440 --> 0:20:38.399
<v Speaker 1>that are more in the consumer side of business that

0:20:38.440 --> 0:20:43.040
<v Speaker 1>are seeing some softness happened. They're seeing that consumers in

0:20:43.160 --> 0:20:47.080
<v Speaker 1>general have read enough in the news, seeing enough tweets

0:20:47.119 --> 0:20:51.200
<v Speaker 1>about inflation and interest rates and all that, and they

0:20:51.240 --> 0:20:54.080
<v Speaker 1>are moderating their behavior. And you can see that even

0:20:54.080 --> 0:20:56.000
<v Speaker 1>in the statements that the larger companies are making. So

0:20:56.119 --> 0:21:00.080
<v Speaker 1>whether it's Amazon or Target or Walmart saying they don't

0:21:00.080 --> 0:21:03.479
<v Speaker 1>the right inventory or they may not be expanding as

0:21:03.520 --> 0:21:06.680
<v Speaker 1>quickly as they thought, there's clearly something happening out there.

0:21:07.000 --> 0:21:08.800
<v Speaker 1>I think what we don't know is whether it's a

0:21:08.840 --> 0:21:11.280
<v Speaker 1>little Our recession, sort of like a quick one that's

0:21:11.359 --> 0:21:13.359
<v Speaker 1>you know, quick one a quarter or two where it

0:21:13.359 --> 0:21:16.600
<v Speaker 1>fixes things, or a big Our recession. But there's clearly

0:21:16.640 --> 0:21:19.800
<v Speaker 1>something signaling that's going on out there. And I would

0:21:19.800 --> 0:21:22.959
<v Speaker 1>say that on a relative basis, it's happening sooner than

0:21:23.000 --> 0:21:25.560
<v Speaker 1>people expected, because there was sort of this notion that, oh,

0:21:25.640 --> 0:21:29.240
<v Speaker 1>maybe next year. I don't think if something, if the

0:21:29.240 --> 0:21:32.520
<v Speaker 1>economy is to slow down with some significance, it's probably

0:21:32.560 --> 0:21:34.920
<v Speaker 1>not next year, but it's like next quarter or the

0:21:35.000 --> 0:21:38.600
<v Speaker 1>quarter after that. So just how bad then do you

0:21:38.640 --> 0:21:41.400
<v Speaker 1>think is the wreckage is going to be? How many

0:21:41.400 --> 0:21:44.320
<v Speaker 1>more companies will have layoffs? How many people will get

0:21:44.400 --> 0:21:47.199
<v Speaker 1>laid off? How many companies will make it out of this?

0:21:47.280 --> 0:21:51.879
<v Speaker 1>How long does this last? Yeah? In all candor, I

0:21:51.920 --> 0:21:53.800
<v Speaker 1>don't think it's going to be that bad. There will

0:21:53.880 --> 0:21:57.920
<v Speaker 1>be some high profile situations where well known companies are

0:21:58.000 --> 0:22:02.000
<v Speaker 1>letting people go, and that will be painful, undoubtedly, But

0:22:02.400 --> 0:22:06.119
<v Speaker 1>I think that generally speaking, over the last couple of years,

0:22:06.160 --> 0:22:11.440
<v Speaker 1>in and especially private companies have been able to raise

0:22:12.080 --> 0:22:15.399
<v Speaker 1>uh amounts of money that we've never seen in the past,

0:22:15.880 --> 0:22:18.600
<v Speaker 1>and that puts their balance sheets in a pretty good condition.

0:22:19.040 --> 0:22:21.840
<v Speaker 1>Now they may have over hired, so they might trim

0:22:21.880 --> 0:22:24.520
<v Speaker 1>a little bit here or there, but by and large,

0:22:24.560 --> 0:22:28.040
<v Speaker 1>I think the majority of companies have the strongest balance

0:22:28.080 --> 0:22:30.399
<v Speaker 1>sheets that they've had in a while, and in many

0:22:30.440 --> 0:22:33.080
<v Speaker 1>cases have enough in the tank to get through a

0:22:33.119 --> 0:22:36.000
<v Speaker 1>difficult period and to come out at the end of it.

0:22:36.240 --> 0:22:39.520
<v Speaker 1>So I do think that we will surely see uh

0:22:39.720 --> 0:22:42.840
<v Speaker 1>some challenges, and perhaps the ones that we most challenge

0:22:42.880 --> 0:22:45.520
<v Speaker 1>would be the public companies because they obviously have to

0:22:45.520 --> 0:22:48.320
<v Speaker 1>respond to a stock price and the fact that right

0:22:48.359 --> 0:22:52.240
<v Speaker 1>now investors want shorter term earnings or less losses in

0:22:52.280 --> 0:22:55.040
<v Speaker 1>the short term, so I think we'll see more from those,

0:22:55.080 --> 0:22:58.400
<v Speaker 1>But by and large. I don't see the kind of

0:22:58.760 --> 0:23:02.119
<v Speaker 1>quote wreckage that Mamy we saw in two thousand and

0:23:02.160 --> 0:23:05.320
<v Speaker 1>If anything, I would expect this to happen more quickly,

0:23:05.359 --> 0:23:08.800
<v Speaker 1>both the downturn and the upside to happen more quickly

0:23:08.840 --> 0:23:11.600
<v Speaker 1>than in the past. Let's talk about some of these

0:23:11.600 --> 0:23:15.280
<v Speaker 1>more high profile situations, and I want to focus on Cisco.

0:23:15.359 --> 0:23:18.760
<v Speaker 1>Cisco CEO Chuck Robbins was on the show earlier this week.

0:23:18.800 --> 0:23:21.520
<v Speaker 1>I asked for his perspective. Take a listen to what

0:23:21.560 --> 0:23:25.280
<v Speaker 1>he had to say. We are always planning for different scenarios,

0:23:25.280 --> 0:23:27.080
<v Speaker 1>but we've been around long enough and been through enough

0:23:27.119 --> 0:23:29.879
<v Speaker 1>downturns that we have playbooks and we know how to

0:23:30.000 --> 0:23:35.200
<v Speaker 1>we know how to deal with those appropriately. Now, Cisco

0:23:35.359 --> 0:23:37.320
<v Speaker 1>is one of the companies that hit its peak in

0:23:37.400 --> 0:23:41.399
<v Speaker 1>the dot com boom, and the stock Mike has never recovered.

0:23:41.440 --> 0:23:44.240
<v Speaker 1>And what's interesting is you worked there for over a

0:23:44.320 --> 0:23:48.200
<v Speaker 1>decade through the dot com boom and bust, and I'm

0:23:48.280 --> 0:23:52.800
<v Speaker 1>just so curious how you reflect on on the fact

0:23:52.840 --> 0:23:55.639
<v Speaker 1>that Cisco, you know, never has, at least from a

0:23:55.720 --> 0:24:00.960
<v Speaker 1>stock perspective, gone back to what it was. Yeah, I

0:24:01.000 --> 0:24:04.240
<v Speaker 1>think that there's a couple of things though that contribute

0:24:04.240 --> 0:24:05.639
<v Speaker 1>to that, and it's true, by the way, it was

0:24:05.680 --> 0:24:08.960
<v Speaker 1>incredibly unpleasant to go from eighty some dollars a share

0:24:09.040 --> 0:24:11.040
<v Speaker 1>to like nine dollars a share and the span of

0:24:11.080 --> 0:24:13.720
<v Speaker 1>six months when I used to work there. Um, But

0:24:13.880 --> 0:24:15.760
<v Speaker 1>I think that there's a couple of factors that are

0:24:15.760 --> 0:24:19.080
<v Speaker 1>happening in Cisco's case. If you look at where Cisco

0:24:19.160 --> 0:24:21.560
<v Speaker 1>is today, they're a single digit grower, you know, five

0:24:21.560 --> 0:24:24.960
<v Speaker 1>percent grow or three percent grower. And fundamentally what happened

0:24:24.960 --> 0:24:28.000
<v Speaker 1>there is, yes, there was a downturn, but in parallel

0:24:28.040 --> 0:24:31.800
<v Speaker 1>with that, the technologies that they were pervading became much

0:24:31.920 --> 0:24:36.320
<v Speaker 1>more broadly available commoditized, competitive, etcetera, etcetera, and the company

0:24:36.359 --> 0:24:41.040
<v Speaker 1>never really reachieved the kind of growth rate that occurred

0:24:41.240 --> 0:24:44.680
<v Speaker 1>during the pre dot COM's scenario. If you take another

0:24:44.720 --> 0:24:48.840
<v Speaker 1>example like Amazon all Contrair, they did much better afterwards

0:24:48.960 --> 0:24:53.160
<v Speaker 1>because they were able to strategically expand the product lines,

0:24:53.200 --> 0:24:56.520
<v Speaker 1>the capabilities, the offerings, the sectors that the company was in.

0:24:56.960 --> 0:24:58.960
<v Speaker 1>And so really what comes out of this is that

0:24:59.400 --> 0:25:02.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, companies go into a difficult downturn like this,

0:25:03.080 --> 0:25:05.159
<v Speaker 1>and when they come out of it, do they have

0:25:05.240 --> 0:25:08.160
<v Speaker 1>the correct strategy for coming out of it. Most people

0:25:08.160 --> 0:25:10.639
<v Speaker 1>will say exactly what Chuck said, which is, we have

0:25:10.720 --> 0:25:13.640
<v Speaker 1>a playbook, we know how to deal with crises, We're

0:25:13.640 --> 0:25:16.040
<v Speaker 1>gonna cut this, we're gonna cut that, and so forth.

0:25:16.440 --> 0:25:20.240
<v Speaker 1>It's actually much more about how do you strategically align

0:25:20.320 --> 0:25:23.080
<v Speaker 1>your business to come out of it than it is

0:25:23.119 --> 0:25:25.439
<v Speaker 1>how to survive that period. And if you look at

0:25:25.480 --> 0:25:29.639
<v Speaker 1>today's technology companies, the very very large majority of will

0:25:29.680 --> 0:25:32.680
<v Speaker 1>survive it. The question is do they have the strategy

0:25:32.720 --> 0:25:36.480
<v Speaker 1>to thrive afterwards? And the strategy has to be aligned

0:25:36.520 --> 0:25:39.600
<v Speaker 1>with the fact that things that may have been hot

0:25:39.920 --> 0:25:43.560
<v Speaker 1>before are no longer hot later. I don't have a

0:25:43.600 --> 0:25:46.959
<v Speaker 1>crystal ball. I couldn't say exactly what the differences will be,

0:25:47.000 --> 0:25:50.480
<v Speaker 1>but I'm pretty sure that pre the themes that matter

0:25:51.800 --> 0:25:55.320
<v Speaker 1>will not be exactly mirrored in the post. And the

0:25:55.400 --> 0:25:58.439
<v Speaker 1>companies that are more thoughtful and strategic about how to

0:25:58.480 --> 0:26:02.359
<v Speaker 1>be aggressive and answer in the recovery cycle, well, the

0:26:02.359 --> 0:26:04.879
<v Speaker 1>ones that will benefit and look more like Amazon, and

0:26:04.920 --> 0:26:06.840
<v Speaker 1>the ones that stick to their knitting and do the

0:26:06.880 --> 0:26:09.320
<v Speaker 1>same thing they were doing before, we'll probably end up

0:26:09.320 --> 0:26:11.320
<v Speaker 1>looking a little more aft Mole Cisco in terms of

0:26:11.320 --> 0:26:16.000
<v Speaker 1>their stock performance. Interesting, we'll really appreciate having your historical

0:26:16.200 --> 0:26:19.359
<v Speaker 1>perspective there, and I know you've been sharing some of

0:26:19.359 --> 0:26:22.760
<v Speaker 1>that advice with founders as well. Mike Volpi of Index

0:26:22.840 --> 0:26:26.080
<v Speaker 1>Venture is good to have you back with us coming

0:26:26.160 --> 0:26:31.160
<v Speaker 1>up micro Strategies Bitcoin Strategy. As crypto crashes, judds chairman

0:26:31.200 --> 0:26:36.000
<v Speaker 1>and CEO Michael Saylor, have any regrets, he joins me. Next,

0:26:36.359 --> 0:26:52.159
<v Speaker 1>this is Bloomberg time now for our crypto report, with

0:26:52.160 --> 0:26:56.760
<v Speaker 1>cryptocurrency and the market still seeing major fluctuations, prompting companies

0:26:56.800 --> 0:27:01.440
<v Speaker 1>as biggest coin base to cut costs. Bitcoin ow over

0:27:01.560 --> 0:27:04.760
<v Speaker 1>just the last five days, it's worse week in a year.

0:27:05.200 --> 0:27:08.199
<v Speaker 1>Let's bring in Michael Saylor now of micro Strategy for

0:27:08.280 --> 0:27:10.639
<v Speaker 1>more on his take. And Michael, I know this is

0:27:10.680 --> 0:27:14.960
<v Speaker 1>probably a rhetorical question, but do you have any regrets?

0:27:16.840 --> 0:27:19.920
<v Speaker 1>You know, UM we did a lot of a lot

0:27:19.960 --> 0:27:22.440
<v Speaker 1>of back testing, and I've gone back and I've looked

0:27:22.440 --> 0:27:27.080
<v Speaker 1>at the numbers and on August ten when we announced

0:27:27.080 --> 0:27:33.080
<v Speaker 1>our two million dollar bitcoined by UM. Since then, bitcoins up,

0:27:34.720 --> 0:27:40.080
<v Speaker 1>the money supplies up, the nazacs down two percent, goals

0:27:40.119 --> 0:27:44.520
<v Speaker 1>down nine, the S and P is up nine and

0:27:44.560 --> 0:27:46.560
<v Speaker 1>the only thing that looks better than the money supply

0:27:46.600 --> 0:27:52.080
<v Speaker 1>expansion is single family homes. I couldn't have bought billions

0:27:52.119 --> 0:27:55.399
<v Speaker 1>of dollars of single family homes and so that's not

0:27:55.480 --> 0:27:58.679
<v Speaker 1>been practical. So the bottom line is the bitcoin strategies

0:27:58.720 --> 0:28:02.440
<v Speaker 1>ten x better than any other alternative, and so now

0:28:02.760 --> 0:28:05.959
<v Speaker 1>I don't regret it. We've got two point eight billion

0:28:06.000 --> 0:28:08.440
<v Speaker 1>dollars worth the bitcoin on our balance sheet right now,

0:28:08.440 --> 0:28:11.560
<v Speaker 1>and we feel like we're positioned well for when the

0:28:11.640 --> 0:28:14.560
<v Speaker 1>markets turn around. And our only other choice would be

0:28:14.600 --> 0:28:16.800
<v Speaker 1>to give all the capital back to the shareholders, in

0:28:16.840 --> 0:28:20.560
<v Speaker 1>which case we would have nothing and we would be struggling,

0:28:21.240 --> 0:28:25.000
<v Speaker 1>uh to get by without any assets. Okay, how about

0:28:25.000 --> 0:28:30.399
<v Speaker 1>this is cash still trash? Yeah? I mean the money

0:28:30.400 --> 0:28:36.600
<v Speaker 1>supplies expanded by since January one, when we went into

0:28:36.640 --> 0:28:39.800
<v Speaker 1>this kind of COVID crisis, and we know that scarce

0:28:39.840 --> 0:28:42.479
<v Speaker 1>desirable assets are getting bit up in price. I mean

0:28:42.520 --> 0:28:45.760
<v Speaker 1>everybody wants to buy Rolex watches, they're buying luxury real estate,

0:28:45.800 --> 0:28:48.840
<v Speaker 1>they're buying everything to get their hands on, creating shortages.

0:28:49.640 --> 0:28:52.720
<v Speaker 1>So you know, we are an institution. We have to

0:28:52.720 --> 0:28:55.160
<v Speaker 1>take a ten year of you. And the only thing

0:28:55.200 --> 0:28:58.200
<v Speaker 1>that's for sure is if we hold cash over a decade,

0:28:58.240 --> 0:29:01.080
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna have a negative real yield. The only question

0:29:01.160 --> 0:29:03.719
<v Speaker 1>is how much. So we have to invest in something,

0:29:04.360 --> 0:29:07.560
<v Speaker 1>and we've chosen as a business strategy to FoST focus

0:29:07.680 --> 0:29:12.360
<v Speaker 1>on what we believe is the most exciting investment idea

0:29:12.440 --> 0:29:16.480
<v Speaker 1>because it's a digital commodity that's absolutely scarce and only

0:29:16.480 --> 0:29:20.440
<v Speaker 1>getting technically better every year. So are you considering buying

0:29:20.480 --> 0:29:25.320
<v Speaker 1>more bitcoin at these prices? I mean it's bitcoin on sale? Yeah,

0:29:25.360 --> 0:29:28.640
<v Speaker 1>I think it is on sale. Um. You know that

0:29:28.720 --> 0:29:31.720
<v Speaker 1>the number that I look at to figure out sort

0:29:31.720 --> 0:29:34.760
<v Speaker 1>of the a surrogate for the book value of bitcoin

0:29:35.040 --> 0:29:38.200
<v Speaker 1>is the four year simple moving average because it trades

0:29:38.280 --> 0:29:41.200
<v Speaker 1>billions of dollars a day, and so after fourteen hundred

0:29:41.320 --> 0:29:44.640
<v Speaker 1>days of billions of dollars a day, that number is

0:29:44.720 --> 0:29:50.320
<v Speaker 1>twenty one thousand, seven hundred. Bitcoin touched that in the

0:29:50.360 --> 0:29:55.960
<v Speaker 1>March crisis. It touched it around sev it's touching it

0:29:56.120 --> 0:29:59.840
<v Speaker 1>right now. Generally a trades above there. You know. Our

0:30:00.000 --> 0:30:03.600
<v Speaker 1>strategy is, uh, we're going to acquire bitcoin with our

0:30:03.640 --> 0:30:05.840
<v Speaker 1>free cash flows from time to time, so we're kind

0:30:05.880 --> 0:30:09.440
<v Speaker 1>of dollar cost averaging into bitcoin, and we're gonna hold

0:30:09.480 --> 0:30:13.040
<v Speaker 1>a bitcoin for the long term. And uh, and so

0:30:13.120 --> 0:30:18.400
<v Speaker 1>it wouldn't really matter whether the price was ten more, more,

0:30:18.560 --> 0:30:22.680
<v Speaker 1>fifty more. We're just going to progressive. We acquire more

0:30:22.720 --> 0:30:27.400
<v Speaker 1>bitcoin because that's our strategy. But you want in terms

0:30:27.400 --> 0:30:30.040
<v Speaker 1>of for sale, Yeah, I mean it's like not a

0:30:30.040 --> 0:30:33.280
<v Speaker 1>bad price and we will keep buying more. Okay, what

0:30:33.360 --> 0:30:38.000
<v Speaker 1>if it gets below that nineteen thousand, five eleven number,

0:30:38.040 --> 0:30:43.360
<v Speaker 1>which was that top of the I believe will run. Yeah,

0:30:43.400 --> 0:30:45.400
<v Speaker 1>what you know that is that a time to panic?

0:30:46.920 --> 0:30:49.960
<v Speaker 1>We don't panic. We have a we have a strategy.

0:30:50.440 --> 0:30:53.400
<v Speaker 1>We're not traders. If your time arising is less than

0:30:53.440 --> 0:30:55.520
<v Speaker 1>four years, you're sort of a trader. If it's in

0:30:55.560 --> 0:30:58.640
<v Speaker 1>the months, you're definitely a trader. I'm not an expert trader.

0:30:58.680 --> 0:31:00.440
<v Speaker 1>I don't have a crystal ball. I don't where the

0:31:00.440 --> 0:31:03.800
<v Speaker 1>market's going to go week by week, month by month. Uh.

0:31:03.840 --> 0:31:06.360
<v Speaker 1>If you're time arizon is more than four years, you're

0:31:06.360 --> 0:31:08.880
<v Speaker 1>an investor. And when you're time arizing is ten years,

0:31:08.920 --> 0:31:11.800
<v Speaker 1>you're kind of a saver. So we have a very

0:31:11.840 --> 0:31:16.160
<v Speaker 1>long term tenure time horizon, and our view is over

0:31:16.200 --> 0:31:19.200
<v Speaker 1>the ten years, bitcoin is going to be a good

0:31:19.240 --> 0:31:23.080
<v Speaker 1>idea and it's just going to keep a creating and value. Uh.

0:31:23.200 --> 0:31:26.200
<v Speaker 1>You know, I can't tell you whether it'll go down

0:31:26.280 --> 0:31:29.360
<v Speaker 1>a bit here and there. It's in the near term, Emily.

0:31:29.560 --> 0:31:32.960
<v Speaker 1>It trades like a high beta risk asset, and there's

0:31:32.960 --> 0:31:36.160
<v Speaker 1>no denying that. Over the long term, we believe it's

0:31:36.200 --> 0:31:40.280
<v Speaker 1>a low risk store of value asset. There's about ten

0:31:40.440 --> 0:31:43.680
<v Speaker 1>things that have to happen over the next decade to

0:31:43.760 --> 0:31:45.680
<v Speaker 1>make it a better asset, and we kind of know

0:31:45.720 --> 0:31:49.200
<v Speaker 1>what those ten things are. And so we're waiting and

0:31:49.400 --> 0:31:51.600
<v Speaker 1>uh and biding our time, and we think that it's

0:31:51.640 --> 0:31:55.520
<v Speaker 1>going to improve as an asset class over time, and

0:31:55.560 --> 0:31:59.920
<v Speaker 1>we're not in a hurry. So what do you see

0:32:00.120 --> 0:32:03.240
<v Speaker 1>in the let's talk to take this tenure horizon. For example,

0:32:03.360 --> 0:32:06.120
<v Speaker 1>we've seen what the FED is doing with rate hikes.

0:32:06.160 --> 0:32:08.840
<v Speaker 1>There's all of this concern we're heading into a recession,

0:32:08.880 --> 0:32:12.800
<v Speaker 1>whether it's a capital are or a lower case our recession.

0:32:13.360 --> 0:32:16.920
<v Speaker 1>What do you see on the road ahead? And how

0:32:17.040 --> 0:32:21.400
<v Speaker 1>is that impacting your strategy too? You know, just buy

0:32:21.480 --> 0:32:25.640
<v Speaker 1>more and hold. Yeah, so let's take the ten sources

0:32:25.680 --> 0:32:29.560
<v Speaker 1>of my pain. Um, there's no wash trading rules, so

0:32:29.640 --> 0:32:32.840
<v Speaker 1>people can they can sell their bitcoin and buy it

0:32:32.920 --> 0:32:35.320
<v Speaker 1>back and harvest the tax gain. And that's not the

0:32:35.360 --> 0:32:38.320
<v Speaker 1>same with Apple, So if that gets fixed by the

0:32:38.360 --> 0:32:40.880
<v Speaker 1>House Ways and Means Committee, that's a big plus for

0:32:40.920 --> 0:32:45.720
<v Speaker 1>the asset. There's five twenty unregistered crypto exchanges offering twenty

0:32:45.920 --> 0:32:49.000
<v Speaker 1>x leverage. That's a negative for the asset class. As

0:32:49.040 --> 0:32:51.560
<v Speaker 1>they get regulated, and I expect they will, and as

0:32:51.600 --> 0:32:54.360
<v Speaker 1>the twenty x leverage disappears, that will be a positive.

0:32:55.160 --> 0:32:59.080
<v Speaker 1>There's nineteen thousand unregistered securities in the crypto industry cross

0:32:59.120 --> 0:33:03.080
<v Speaker 1>collateralized to get bitcoin. As as those things have to

0:33:03.760 --> 0:33:06.160
<v Speaker 1>have to get eliminated or they have to convert them

0:33:06.200 --> 0:33:10.080
<v Speaker 1>into publicly traded instruments, that's going to decrease the volatility

0:33:10.120 --> 0:33:13.920
<v Speaker 1>to be a big shakeout. The wildcat banks like the

0:33:14.360 --> 0:33:17.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, the terrorism and Lunas and Celsius, they actually

0:33:17.560 --> 0:33:21.480
<v Speaker 1>create massive volatility. And as they get regulated and they

0:33:21.560 --> 0:33:25.360
<v Speaker 1>disappear and they grow up and become institutionalized banks. Uh,

0:33:25.440 --> 0:33:28.720
<v Speaker 1>the asset class, I'm mature. There's a lot of ignorance

0:33:28.720 --> 0:33:31.320
<v Speaker 1>and fear. People think crypto is the same as bitcoin.

0:33:31.800 --> 0:33:34.200
<v Speaker 1>If they think that, that means they don't understand either

0:33:34.280 --> 0:33:37.400
<v Speaker 1>of those two things. We don't have a stable coin

0:33:37.440 --> 0:33:41.800
<v Speaker 1>Emily like us t isn't a stable coin. Tether is

0:33:41.840 --> 0:33:46.120
<v Speaker 1>an opaque security. No one understands if we ever have

0:33:46.280 --> 0:33:49.480
<v Speaker 1>an f d i C issued stable coin or something

0:33:49.480 --> 0:33:52.800
<v Speaker 1>from a public entity that's endorsed by the SEC, that's

0:33:52.800 --> 0:33:56.400
<v Speaker 1>gonna be very bullish for the industry. There's no spot

0:33:56.480 --> 0:33:59.360
<v Speaker 1>et F. I think it's only a matter of time

0:33:59.440 --> 0:34:01.640
<v Speaker 1>before there is. Want to prove that will be very

0:34:01.720 --> 0:34:05.960
<v Speaker 1>bullish for the industry. The fast by accounting is detrimental.

0:34:06.120 --> 0:34:08.840
<v Speaker 1>The lack of f d i C guidance makes it difficult,

0:34:08.880 --> 0:34:12.279
<v Speaker 1>if not impossible, for banks to hold this stuff. We're

0:34:12.280 --> 0:34:17.080
<v Speaker 1>waiting for clear SEC CFTC guidance, and those ten things

0:34:17.719 --> 0:34:20.080
<v Speaker 1>they're gonna get cured over the next decade. They're just

0:34:20.120 --> 0:34:23.280
<v Speaker 1>not gonna get cured over the next ten weeks. Okay,

0:34:23.320 --> 0:34:25.640
<v Speaker 1>So how are you looking then, more broadly at what

0:34:25.680 --> 0:34:28.680
<v Speaker 1>happens to the industry after this? You know, we're seeing

0:34:28.800 --> 0:34:33.160
<v Speaker 1>coin Base and a number of different crypto companies having

0:34:33.719 --> 0:34:36.520
<v Speaker 1>major layoffs. Do you think we'll look back on this

0:34:36.560 --> 0:34:39.040
<v Speaker 1>moment as some sort of inflection point for the industry

0:34:39.080 --> 0:34:42.000
<v Speaker 1>And if so, how does it look different in the

0:34:42.000 --> 0:34:46.080
<v Speaker 1>fewer we're crossing the chasm? Uh, there's about a trillion

0:34:46.080 --> 0:34:49.480
<v Speaker 1>dollars in the asset class. Four billion is bitcoin, the

0:34:49.520 --> 0:34:54.320
<v Speaker 1>other four billion is nineteen thousand unregistered securities. We're moving

0:34:54.480 --> 0:35:00.040
<v Speaker 1>from the era of the off shore entrepreneur to the

0:35:00.520 --> 0:35:05.160
<v Speaker 1>to the onshore public institution. And it's pretty clear from

0:35:05.160 --> 0:35:07.680
<v Speaker 1>share gains Lare's comments that he made in the last

0:35:07.680 --> 0:35:10.560
<v Speaker 1>few days that uh, they want to see all the

0:35:10.560 --> 0:35:14.080
<v Speaker 1>crypto exchanges regulated. Uh, they want to they want to

0:35:14.120 --> 0:35:16.719
<v Speaker 1>clean up this industry. The stable coin is gonna have

0:35:16.719 --> 0:35:20.400
<v Speaker 1>to be cleaned up as well. And uh, the winners

0:35:20.440 --> 0:35:23.000
<v Speaker 1>are going to be the public investors in public banks

0:35:23.000 --> 0:35:25.920
<v Speaker 1>and public companies, and the losers are going to be

0:35:26.000 --> 0:35:30.680
<v Speaker 1>the wildcatters, you know, and the entrepreneurs the gots got started.

0:35:30.680 --> 0:35:33.279
<v Speaker 1>They're flying by the seat of their pants. And I

0:35:33.320 --> 0:35:35.359
<v Speaker 1>think it's essential for us to move from a one

0:35:35.360 --> 0:35:39.000
<v Speaker 1>trillion dollar industry to a ten trillion dollar industry, so

0:35:39.120 --> 0:35:42.080
<v Speaker 1>I welcome it. I think the bitcoin has been held

0:35:42.120 --> 0:35:46.040
<v Speaker 1>back by its association with the with the anything goes

0:35:46.080 --> 0:35:51.000
<v Speaker 1>crypto industry, and as that gets regulated, then that's going

0:35:51.080 --> 0:35:55.440
<v Speaker 1>to actually create a green light for public institutions and

0:35:55.600 --> 0:35:59.000
<v Speaker 1>public companies to get much more heavily involved in bitcoin

0:35:59.280 --> 0:36:01.880
<v Speaker 1>and is going to catalyze the next leg of the

0:36:01.920 --> 0:36:07.160
<v Speaker 1>bull run All right, Michael Sailor, who apparently has no regrets. Michael,

0:36:07.239 --> 0:36:09.840
<v Speaker 1>always good to have you here on the show. Chair

0:36:09.920 --> 0:36:22.120
<v Speaker 1>and CEO of micro Strategy, have a great weekend. Every

0:36:22.160 --> 0:36:25.520
<v Speaker 1>new generation of media has been subsidized by advertising, making

0:36:25.560 --> 0:36:28.920
<v Speaker 1>it cheaper or free for consumers. There's little reason to

0:36:28.960 --> 0:36:31.879
<v Speaker 1>think that the metaverse will be any different. But our

0:36:31.920 --> 0:36:36.200
<v Speaker 1>brands actually taking the metaverse seriously quick takes Alex Webb

0:36:36.280 --> 0:36:39.759
<v Speaker 1>walks us through what the future of advertising may or

0:36:40.040 --> 0:36:44.000
<v Speaker 1>may not look like in the metaverse. We've heard a

0:36:44.040 --> 0:36:46.120
<v Speaker 1>lot about the metaverse in the past year, but is

0:36:46.160 --> 0:36:48.640
<v Speaker 1>it really going to be creating new digital economies or

0:36:48.680 --> 0:36:53.919
<v Speaker 1>is it just about selling existing real world goods. Every

0:36:53.920 --> 0:36:57.399
<v Speaker 1>new generation of media has been subsidized by advertising, making

0:36:57.440 --> 0:37:00.719
<v Speaker 1>it cheap or even free for consumers, from newspapers to

0:37:00.800 --> 0:37:03.960
<v Speaker 1>the radio, to TV and indeed the Worldwide Web. There's

0:37:03.960 --> 0:37:06.160
<v Speaker 1>little reason to think that the metaverse will be any

0:37:06.200 --> 0:37:09.319
<v Speaker 1>different meta platforms. That's Facebook, You or me said so

0:37:09.360 --> 0:37:12.480
<v Speaker 1>explicitly when it unveiled its vision for the metaverse last year.

0:37:12.760 --> 0:37:16.120
<v Speaker 1>Businesses will be creators to building out digital spaces or

0:37:16.160 --> 0:37:18.560
<v Speaker 1>even digital worlds, and they'll be able to use ads

0:37:18.680 --> 0:37:21.640
<v Speaker 1>to ensure the rate customers find what they've created. So

0:37:21.680 --> 0:37:24.440
<v Speaker 1>there we have it. For Mark Zuckerberg and co. The

0:37:24.520 --> 0:37:26.600
<v Speaker 1>business model for the metaverse will be the same as

0:37:26.600 --> 0:37:29.960
<v Speaker 1>it was for social media ads. Pair that with a

0:37:30.160 --> 0:37:33.120
<v Speaker 1>R and VR's ability to track your eyeballs and maybe

0:37:33.160 --> 0:37:35.960
<v Speaker 1>even gauge your mood, and it starts to become a

0:37:35.960 --> 0:37:38.600
<v Speaker 1>little creepy. But to what extent a brand's taking the

0:37:38.640 --> 0:37:42.280
<v Speaker 1>metaverse seriously? Big names like Nike and Samsung are building

0:37:42.360 --> 0:37:47.160
<v Speaker 1>virtual worlds. Facebook meta has teams selling virtual billboards in

0:37:47.200 --> 0:37:50.560
<v Speaker 1>those worlds, but they remain a relatively small slice of

0:37:50.640 --> 0:37:54.040
<v Speaker 1>firms overall marketing governments, and you can see why. Just

0:37:54.200 --> 0:37:57.400
<v Speaker 1>sixty seven million Americans will experience v our content at

0:37:57.440 --> 0:38:00.360
<v Speaker 1>least once a month in two and they'll be split

0:38:00.400 --> 0:38:03.360
<v Speaker 1>between a range of different platforms and roadblocks to minecraft

0:38:03.360 --> 0:38:07.080
<v Speaker 1>and beyond. Facebook alone had two hundred and sixty three

0:38:07.239 --> 0:38:10.800
<v Speaker 1>million users in the start of this year in North America. Crucially,

0:38:10.800 --> 0:38:13.279
<v Speaker 1>though most of the efforts have so far focused on

0:38:13.320 --> 0:38:17.240
<v Speaker 1>selling real world goods, Nike wants you to buy actual sneakers, Samsung,

0:38:17.520 --> 0:38:20.520
<v Speaker 1>real cell phones. The luxury brand Burbery might have made

0:38:20.520 --> 0:38:23.919
<v Speaker 1>four hundred thousand dollars selling digital skins with an associated

0:38:24.040 --> 0:38:26.200
<v Speaker 1>n f T last year, but that's really just a

0:38:26.320 --> 0:38:29.320
<v Speaker 1>rounding era in its three billion dollars in annual revenue.

0:38:29.440 --> 0:38:32.280
<v Speaker 1>In other words, they were a marketing gimmick to attract

0:38:32.320 --> 0:38:36.120
<v Speaker 1>young crypto enthusiasts you might hope as a brand are wealthy.

0:38:36.360 --> 0:38:39.880
<v Speaker 1>Metas ideal is of brands to pay to advertise virtual

0:38:39.960 --> 0:38:42.720
<v Speaker 1>goods in the virtual world that will let it monitor

0:38:42.800 --> 0:38:46.000
<v Speaker 1>the entire customer journey from seeing the ad campaign to

0:38:46.120 --> 0:38:48.680
<v Speaker 1>buying the product, then even seeing how they use it.

0:38:48.680 --> 0:38:51.320
<v Speaker 1>It feels like we're a long way away from that happening.

0:38:51.440 --> 0:38:53.960
<v Speaker 1>Just yes, if the metaverse takes off, there of course

0:38:54.040 --> 0:38:56.600
<v Speaker 1>will be big money if you made in advertising. It

0:38:56.719 --> 0:38:59.440
<v Speaker 1>just seems we're a long way right now from that happening,

0:38:59.600 --> 0:39:05.920
<v Speaker 1>and face Swooke's vision is a distant prospect. H