1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:07,040 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:07,840 --> 00:00:10,399 Speaker 2: Let's bring in Ross Gerber. He has thoughts on both 3 00:00:10,400 --> 00:00:13,320 Speaker 2: of these companies. He's president and CEO of Gerber Kawasaki 4 00:00:13,400 --> 00:00:15,880 Speaker 2: Wealth and Investment Management. They've got about four billion in 5 00:00:15,920 --> 00:00:18,800 Speaker 2: assets under management, and he's with us from my bet 6 00:00:18,840 --> 00:00:21,520 Speaker 2: lovely Santa Monica, California. How warm is it by you? 7 00:00:22,720 --> 00:00:23,360 Speaker 3: Seventy five? 8 00:00:23,400 --> 00:00:25,599 Speaker 4: And Sonny, I'm right next to the beach too, so 9 00:00:25,640 --> 00:00:26,320 Speaker 4: I don't want to rub it. 10 00:00:26,520 --> 00:00:28,080 Speaker 1: That's enough, We're moving on. 11 00:00:28,160 --> 00:00:29,200 Speaker 2: We're done with you. 12 00:00:29,200 --> 00:00:30,960 Speaker 4: No, we're so glad to have you here. 13 00:00:31,160 --> 00:00:31,600 Speaker 3: Ask me. 14 00:00:31,800 --> 00:00:34,159 Speaker 2: I know, I know, I know, I'm a sucker for 15 00:00:34,240 --> 00:00:38,920 Speaker 2: paying here. Hey, what story is more interesting to you? Ross? 16 00:00:39,040 --> 00:00:42,760 Speaker 2: Is it Tesla and the possible combination of SpaceX x 17 00:00:42,840 --> 00:00:45,200 Speaker 2: AI or is it Disney? 18 00:00:45,600 --> 00:00:47,599 Speaker 4: Well, the Disney story is a little bit sad for 19 00:00:47,640 --> 00:00:50,479 Speaker 4: me because I'm just like, I've owned this compedy for 20 00:00:50,560 --> 00:00:51,320 Speaker 4: my whole life. 21 00:00:51,400 --> 00:00:53,120 Speaker 3: And and Iger has done. 22 00:00:52,960 --> 00:00:56,200 Speaker 4: A great job sort of refixing the business and getting 23 00:00:56,200 --> 00:00:58,880 Speaker 4: good movies back in the theaters and such, but they 24 00:00:59,000 --> 00:01:03,560 Speaker 4: just can't seem to get the momentum going. And the 25 00:01:03,680 --> 00:01:07,720 Speaker 4: valuation for Disney just makes no sense. It's so cheap 26 00:01:07,760 --> 00:01:10,880 Speaker 4: relative to what they're willing to play for Warner Brothers assets, 27 00:01:10,880 --> 00:01:14,240 Speaker 4: which are garbage compared to Disney. But they just seem like, 28 00:01:14,319 --> 00:01:17,120 Speaker 4: maybe this company needs to be broken up. Wow, that's 29 00:01:17,200 --> 00:01:18,840 Speaker 4: part of it, that's part of it. 30 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:20,600 Speaker 1: What does that look like? What does that breakup look like? 31 00:01:20,680 --> 00:01:21,040 Speaker 3: Ross? 32 00:01:21,440 --> 00:01:26,440 Speaker 4: Well, see, Josh and Dana are both great executives, so 33 00:01:26,560 --> 00:01:28,800 Speaker 4: like they have like the fact they have to pick 34 00:01:28,880 --> 00:01:32,000 Speaker 4: one is the problem because Dana runs entertainment and Josh 35 00:01:32,080 --> 00:01:34,600 Speaker 4: runs the theme parks and all this kind of stuff, 36 00:01:34,880 --> 00:01:38,360 Speaker 4: and they're just completely different businesses with different skill sets. 37 00:01:38,400 --> 00:01:41,600 Speaker 4: And maybe they should be co CEOs, even though I 38 00:01:41,680 --> 00:01:47,320 Speaker 4: hate that formula for businesses. Disney's just the parts are 39 00:01:47,319 --> 00:01:50,680 Speaker 4: worth more than the whole. And we've waited five plus 40 00:01:50,800 --> 00:01:53,320 Speaker 4: years since the pandemic for them to do something good 41 00:01:53,400 --> 00:01:56,160 Speaker 4: and they haven't. So it's time for change at Disney, 42 00:01:56,160 --> 00:01:58,600 Speaker 4: and I think it's breaking up the business and spinning 43 00:01:58,680 --> 00:01:59,680 Speaker 4: off ESPN. 44 00:02:00,040 --> 00:02:01,720 Speaker 1: Would that be the only thing spun off? It would 45 00:02:01,720 --> 00:02:02,840 Speaker 1: just ESPN would be. 46 00:02:02,800 --> 00:02:05,200 Speaker 4: No, it should be three companies the way I see. 47 00:02:05,000 --> 00:02:05,720 Speaker 1: It, what should they be? 48 00:02:06,920 --> 00:02:09,680 Speaker 4: Well, you have theme parks, resorts and experience. Oh that 49 00:02:09,400 --> 00:02:12,280 Speaker 4: the cruise ships is one, and then you have you know, 50 00:02:12,320 --> 00:02:14,960 Speaker 4: your streaming business as the other, and then you have 51 00:02:15,200 --> 00:02:17,920 Speaker 4: ESPN Sports as the third right, so you have entertainment 52 00:02:18,000 --> 00:02:21,000 Speaker 4: that's non sports, and then you have a pure sports play. 53 00:02:21,000 --> 00:02:23,200 Speaker 4: Would that they just sold ten percent to the NFL? 54 00:02:23,280 --> 00:02:26,560 Speaker 1: Would that work with all the cross pollination that happens 55 00:02:26,639 --> 00:02:28,480 Speaker 1: these days, Like you know, you go on a Disney 56 00:02:28,560 --> 00:02:32,240 Speaker 1: cruise and the Disney IP is everywhere you go see 57 00:02:32,400 --> 00:02:35,120 Speaker 1: a Disney film, and if it's a popular film, that 58 00:02:35,240 --> 00:02:37,920 Speaker 1: ends up becoming something that is an attraction at one 59 00:02:37,960 --> 00:02:40,080 Speaker 1: of the parking resorts. It's supposed to be this virtual 60 00:02:40,120 --> 00:02:42,840 Speaker 1: cycle that for years worked out really well. Could they 61 00:02:42,840 --> 00:02:44,200 Speaker 1: still do that as separate companies? 62 00:02:45,320 --> 00:02:48,760 Speaker 4: Yes, and I think it still works now that way, 63 00:02:48,919 --> 00:02:52,160 Speaker 4: you know, but like explain how the sports business really 64 00:02:52,200 --> 00:02:55,360 Speaker 4: matters when it comes to going, you know, on a cruise. 65 00:02:55,480 --> 00:02:58,360 Speaker 4: It's nice to have ESPN on the TV there, but 66 00:02:58,639 --> 00:03:01,600 Speaker 4: there's no relationship really. So I get when you're making 67 00:03:01,639 --> 00:03:03,440 Speaker 4: a movie you wanted to go through the streamers, but 68 00:03:03,480 --> 00:03:06,000 Speaker 4: I'm saying keep that all together. And then they licensed 69 00:03:06,120 --> 00:03:08,680 Speaker 4: all their IP to the theme parks and resorts anyway, 70 00:03:08,840 --> 00:03:11,440 Speaker 4: so it would just be an exclusive licensing agreement. 71 00:03:11,480 --> 00:03:12,800 Speaker 3: I think it's actually quite simple. 72 00:03:13,160 --> 00:03:16,240 Speaker 4: I think the real issue is extracting value from the 73 00:03:16,440 --> 00:03:20,400 Speaker 4: very valuable assets and IP that Disney has while everybody's 74 00:03:20,440 --> 00:03:24,400 Speaker 4: fighting over crappy IP and assets, like Disney has the 75 00:03:24,440 --> 00:03:25,720 Speaker 4: best assets in Hollywood. 76 00:03:25,760 --> 00:03:28,120 Speaker 3: So you know, I don't know. 77 00:03:28,400 --> 00:03:31,320 Speaker 4: I just don't think they have a future of the market, 78 00:03:31,400 --> 00:03:34,120 Speaker 4: saying like, wait, we don't see this future that you're 79 00:03:34,560 --> 00:03:37,280 Speaker 4: making for us. Iigers ready to leave, you know. So 80 00:03:37,400 --> 00:03:40,520 Speaker 4: I actually think this story is pretty interesting because you know, 81 00:03:40,560 --> 00:03:42,760 Speaker 4: the entertainment business is never going to be the same 82 00:03:42,840 --> 00:03:44,840 Speaker 4: after this murder goes through, and I don't know what 83 00:03:44,880 --> 00:03:46,160 Speaker 4: it looks like on the other side. 84 00:03:46,240 --> 00:03:49,520 Speaker 2: One more company, Well, I expect to you in one question. No, 85 00:03:49,600 --> 00:03:52,160 Speaker 2: forgive me, I broke in on you. But I do 86 00:03:52,280 --> 00:03:54,320 Speaker 2: wonder you know Roscoe back a few years and I 87 00:03:54,360 --> 00:03:57,120 Speaker 2: remember doing this deep dive on Disney and talking with 88 00:03:57,200 --> 00:04:00,000 Speaker 2: Bob and all the executives and just this whole idea, 89 00:04:00,240 --> 00:04:03,080 Speaker 2: like Tim said, this cross pollination and people. 90 00:04:02,960 --> 00:04:05,160 Speaker 1: Well before Bob left for the first time, yeah, this. 91 00:04:05,200 --> 00:04:08,120 Speaker 2: Is right exactly. And you know, people talked about the 92 00:04:08,200 --> 00:04:10,880 Speaker 2: value of ESPN, like it that's the value of the company. 93 00:04:10,880 --> 00:04:13,360 Speaker 2: But it sounds like there is value in a lot 94 00:04:13,360 --> 00:04:17,840 Speaker 2: of parts today and hence why you would argue for 95 00:04:18,080 --> 00:04:20,760 Speaker 2: breaking it up into three. Is that is that true? 96 00:04:20,960 --> 00:04:21,239 Speaker 3: Yeah? 97 00:04:21,279 --> 00:04:23,880 Speaker 4: I mean I love the parks and resorts and cruise business. 98 00:04:23,920 --> 00:04:26,080 Speaker 4: I mean that business is killing it for them. It's 99 00:04:26,160 --> 00:04:29,400 Speaker 4: tons of cash flow. Like people love the cruises. They 100 00:04:29,480 --> 00:04:32,760 Speaker 4: just launched a few ships. They've got a great business there. 101 00:04:33,080 --> 00:04:35,719 Speaker 4: I love the streaming business they finally, I mean, once 102 00:04:35,760 --> 00:04:39,000 Speaker 4: they get this all under one roof, under Disney plus Hulu, 103 00:04:39,040 --> 00:04:42,039 Speaker 4: Disney Plus is a is a great streamer and a 104 00:04:42,080 --> 00:04:45,240 Speaker 4: real competitor out there to the other streamers. And then 105 00:04:45,440 --> 00:04:49,119 Speaker 4: you got ESPN, which is now like dominating sports again 106 00:04:49,120 --> 00:04:52,640 Speaker 4: and really has a piece of every major you know 107 00:04:52,960 --> 00:04:57,520 Speaker 4: league out there from a broadcasting perspective. But ESPN financials 108 00:04:57,520 --> 00:05:00,720 Speaker 4: don't make any sense next to the cruise ship financials 109 00:05:00,760 --> 00:05:04,599 Speaker 4: because ESPN loses money having these big events you know 110 00:05:04,680 --> 00:05:07,159 Speaker 4: that we all want on ESPN, and they make money 111 00:05:07,279 --> 00:05:09,919 Speaker 4: when there aren't big events. Actually it's kind of a 112 00:05:09,960 --> 00:05:12,520 Speaker 4: weird business. So they just don't compliment each other. And 113 00:05:12,520 --> 00:05:14,800 Speaker 4: you saw it in the earning support, which was generally 114 00:05:14,880 --> 00:05:17,240 Speaker 4: a very good report for Disney, and the stock gets 115 00:05:17,240 --> 00:05:19,520 Speaker 4: hammered because when you look at all the moving parts. 116 00:05:19,560 --> 00:05:20,560 Speaker 3: It's never consistent. 117 00:05:20,920 --> 00:05:22,599 Speaker 4: And so I just think if they were able to 118 00:05:22,640 --> 00:05:25,360 Speaker 4: prove that these assets I think are worth closer to 119 00:05:25,360 --> 00:05:27,120 Speaker 4: one hundred and fifty dollars a share, and that's what 120 00:05:27,200 --> 00:05:29,200 Speaker 4: it was trading at, then I'd say I wouldn't be 121 00:05:29,200 --> 00:05:31,920 Speaker 4: saying this one hundred dollars a share. You got to 122 00:05:31,920 --> 00:05:34,719 Speaker 4: break up this company and find value for shareholders after 123 00:05:34,760 --> 00:05:36,040 Speaker 4: five years of waiting. 124 00:05:36,160 --> 00:05:38,160 Speaker 1: Okay, Disney down seven point four percent at one O 125 00:05:38,240 --> 00:05:41,640 Speaker 1: four forty three right now, from in your view, the 126 00:05:41,680 --> 00:05:43,919 Speaker 1: move to break up a company into separate parts, to 127 00:05:44,480 --> 00:05:49,080 Speaker 1: combine a company in two different companies intech to one company. 128 00:05:49,400 --> 00:05:51,760 Speaker 1: Let's talk a little bit about Elon Musk being in 129 00:05:51,800 --> 00:05:55,479 Speaker 1: advanced talks to combine SpaceX with Xai. This according to 130 00:05:55,520 --> 00:05:59,040 Speaker 1: people familiar with the matter. You had a really interesting 131 00:05:59,200 --> 00:06:01,719 Speaker 1: comment out on social media earlier today. You wrote, Yeah, 132 00:06:02,000 --> 00:06:05,279 Speaker 1: x was out of money, merged with Xai, Xai out 133 00:06:05,279 --> 00:06:09,200 Speaker 1: of money, merged with SpaceX, SpaceX out of money, merged 134 00:06:09,200 --> 00:06:12,920 Speaker 1: with Tesla when they are all out of money? Dot 135 00:06:12,960 --> 00:06:16,960 Speaker 1: dot dot. You obviously are not a fan of this idea. 136 00:06:17,160 --> 00:06:21,400 Speaker 4: No, you know, it's not that it's just first of all, 137 00:06:21,440 --> 00:06:25,599 Speaker 4: you're saying there Elon Musten talks with himself, like who's 138 00:06:25,640 --> 00:06:29,120 Speaker 4: he in talks with? I don't think Elon must talks 139 00:06:29,160 --> 00:06:32,320 Speaker 4: to anybody. He's gonna do this. So he's gonna merge 140 00:06:32,320 --> 00:06:34,960 Speaker 4: all three companies because he has to, and he needs 141 00:06:35,000 --> 00:06:37,360 Speaker 4: to because Tesla has forty four billion on the books 142 00:06:37,360 --> 00:06:39,520 Speaker 4: and they need the money. And every one of his 143 00:06:39,680 --> 00:06:42,560 Speaker 4: projects is well out into the future. So I'm not 144 00:06:42,600 --> 00:06:45,160 Speaker 4: going to tell you whether I think all these ideas 145 00:06:45,160 --> 00:06:46,440 Speaker 4: are going to work or not work. 146 00:06:46,520 --> 00:06:48,040 Speaker 3: I don't bet against Elon. 147 00:06:48,800 --> 00:06:52,040 Speaker 4: I think that's up for the future to determine, you know, 148 00:06:52,440 --> 00:06:57,200 Speaker 4: But all these businesses are incredibly capital intensive with very 149 00:06:57,320 --> 00:07:01,359 Speaker 4: very questionable profit margins or even viability, Like data centers 150 00:07:01,360 --> 00:07:03,800 Speaker 4: in space is not a viable business. Let's be real, 151 00:07:04,080 --> 00:07:06,559 Speaker 4: It's very expensive to build a data center on Earth. 152 00:07:06,880 --> 00:07:09,159 Speaker 4: Now imagine putting it up in space. Like this is 153 00:07:09,279 --> 00:07:12,600 Speaker 4: just we're getting into this level of absurdity. So that's 154 00:07:12,640 --> 00:07:15,679 Speaker 4: why I put it out there, like what happens next? 155 00:07:15,720 --> 00:07:19,600 Speaker 4: So I've got like eighteen projects that are incredibly capital intensive. 156 00:07:19,800 --> 00:07:23,400 Speaker 4: Will people just keep giving Elon Musk money forever? But 157 00:07:23,480 --> 00:07:25,920 Speaker 4: a lot of it's the same people who he's made 158 00:07:25,920 --> 00:07:28,320 Speaker 4: money for just giving him back the money they've made 159 00:07:28,600 --> 00:07:31,520 Speaker 4: for the next project. And so that's why I put 160 00:07:31,560 --> 00:07:33,880 Speaker 4: the dot dot dot. It's like, well, what happens when 161 00:07:33,920 --> 00:07:36,040 Speaker 4: this all comes together, because that's what's going to happen. 162 00:07:36,200 --> 00:07:38,440 Speaker 4: It's all going to come together as one, and then 163 00:07:38,480 --> 00:07:41,360 Speaker 4: what happens to that business looking forward? They'll have to 164 00:07:41,440 --> 00:07:44,520 Speaker 4: raise money. And so that's what this looks like in 165 00:07:44,560 --> 00:07:46,760 Speaker 4: my mind as we go out over the next twelve months. 166 00:07:46,840 --> 00:07:50,120 Speaker 2: As an investor. You have invested in shares of Tesla, 167 00:07:50,160 --> 00:07:52,080 Speaker 2: you buy and sell. You've done that, We've talked about 168 00:07:52,080 --> 00:07:55,920 Speaker 2: that a million times. You've owned you own Tesla Cars. 169 00:07:56,920 --> 00:07:58,480 Speaker 2: What is it for you that you need to own 170 00:07:58,640 --> 00:08:02,360 Speaker 2: X too? I own Xay, that's right, Okay, So I'm 171 00:08:02,400 --> 00:08:04,840 Speaker 2: just curious. So you obviously like what, you know a 172 00:08:04,840 --> 00:08:07,320 Speaker 2: lot of what Elon's doing. You know, what is it 173 00:08:07,440 --> 00:08:09,559 Speaker 2: that has to happen that makes you say I'm done? 174 00:08:09,600 --> 00:08:12,680 Speaker 4: No, I please don't say that I like what Elon's doing. 175 00:08:12,720 --> 00:08:14,000 Speaker 3: I actually abhor him. 176 00:08:14,240 --> 00:08:17,480 Speaker 4: Okay, He's doing horrendous things that I don't agree with 177 00:08:17,520 --> 00:08:20,040 Speaker 4: at all, and I want to make that very very clear. 178 00:08:20,320 --> 00:08:23,559 Speaker 4: On a personal level, I think his behavior is disgusting okay, 179 00:08:23,560 --> 00:08:26,400 Speaker 4: And I think his viewpoints are disgusting and he's destroyed 180 00:08:26,400 --> 00:08:29,480 Speaker 4: the brand. But he is one of the greatest engineers 181 00:08:29,480 --> 00:08:31,960 Speaker 4: of our time, and he's a great inventor and he 182 00:08:32,400 --> 00:08:35,040 Speaker 4: gets He's built a lot of amazing things. So I 183 00:08:35,040 --> 00:08:39,439 Speaker 4: don't discount that, and I'm invested in that. But that said, 184 00:08:40,200 --> 00:08:42,040 Speaker 4: you know, at some point this all has to come 185 00:08:42,080 --> 00:08:46,040 Speaker 4: together and actually work, and that's you know, you know, 186 00:08:46,080 --> 00:08:48,560 Speaker 4: the big question. So I don't bet against Elon, and 187 00:08:48,600 --> 00:08:52,000 Speaker 4: I am sort of betting for him, or I I 188 00:08:53,040 --> 00:08:55,040 Speaker 4: I Actually what I say is I bet with crazy 189 00:08:55,040 --> 00:08:57,800 Speaker 4: people sometimes and that's worked for me over my life. 190 00:08:58,240 --> 00:09:00,439 Speaker 4: And you know, so I have a certain path with him, 191 00:09:00,440 --> 00:09:02,199 Speaker 4: and I think he's crazy and maybe he pulls this 192 00:09:02,280 --> 00:09:03,000 Speaker 4: stuff off, you know. 193 00:09:03,200 --> 00:09:06,679 Speaker 2: Yeah, So you're willing to make the bet on Elon 194 00:09:06,840 --> 00:09:08,120 Speaker 2: still just got a bet, figu. 195 00:09:08,280 --> 00:09:09,680 Speaker 4: Well look at the other side of the coins. You 196 00:09:09,679 --> 00:09:12,360 Speaker 4: have Tim Cook at Apple. You won't do anything. This 197 00:09:12,400 --> 00:09:14,320 Speaker 4: guy is so risk adverse, he's scared to get in 198 00:09:14,360 --> 00:09:16,400 Speaker 4: the water, you know what I mean. And so like 199 00:09:16,520 --> 00:09:19,880 Speaker 4: Apple's just sitting on the cusp of the AI revolution, 200 00:09:20,320 --> 00:09:21,920 Speaker 4: like with binoculars, going. 201 00:09:22,480 --> 00:09:24,760 Speaker 3: Who do I pay next? Because I haven't done. 202 00:09:24,520 --> 00:09:27,480 Speaker 4: Anything, So you know you have Elon on one end 203 00:09:27,480 --> 00:09:29,400 Speaker 4: of the risk spectrum and you have Tim Ross. 204 00:09:29,720 --> 00:09:32,320 Speaker 2: We gotta go. Always love talking with you, Ross Gerber