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Speaker 1: It's time to place your bets. Let's talk to the pros.

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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's me, Joey p

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Speaker 1: Joepi's a Pia. That is Scott Bogman, and it's you,

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Speaker 1: and we're taking you through week seven in college football.

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Speaker 1: I can't believe it's week seven already. I know we

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Speaker 1: say that every single week. Some massive upsets last week,

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Speaker 1: including a loss for Alabama. We're gonna get into that.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna get into that Penn State Iowa game, and

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Speaker 1: of course we're gonna look ahead to week seven. Everything

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Speaker 1: else going on. The likes and the leans from Scott Bogman.

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Speaker 1: But Boggs, I gotta tell you, I watched Calzada play.

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Speaker 1: I was very impressed with him. He made some mistakes,

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Speaker 1: but he bounced back. That's what you have to do

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Speaker 1: with the quarterback position when you play a team like Alabama,

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Speaker 1: and I continue to bang the drama of I am

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Speaker 1: thoroughly unimpressed by Bryce Young. I understand he hasn't been

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Speaker 1: around very long, but you know he canntinues to get

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Speaker 1: propped up by the surrounding talent, and this time it

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Speaker 1: wasn't enough. As h eight and company really did put

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Speaker 1: a number on number one ranked Alabama and really changed

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Speaker 1: the dynamic of the VCS right now.

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Speaker 2: I mean, you know, they had just passed one hundred

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Speaker 2: straight games of beating unranked teams Alabama had and they

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Speaker 2: walked into Texas A and M, who looked like garbage

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Speaker 2: all year. I wrote in my article about how much

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Speaker 2: Alabama was going to smash them, So this one is

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Speaker 2: clearly on me. So my apologies Bama fans that this

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Speaker 2: loss is clearly on me because I picked Alabama and

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Speaker 2: the over. We only went five and five this week

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Speaker 2: on the article, but that was a huge one. And

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Speaker 2: you know we said it before in the show show

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Speaker 2: that Bama looked more beatable than ever.

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Speaker 1: Right they struggled with Florida. I feel like this is

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Speaker 1: a younger Alabama team and maybe the loss is a

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Speaker 1: good thing for them. Does that make sense? Like maybe

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Speaker 1: there's a there's a feeling of invincibility with them that

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Speaker 1: I think for a younger team that's you know, got

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Speaker 1: more sophomores and juniors than juniors and seniors on it,

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Speaker 1: Maybe maybe that turns around you actually build off of that.

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Speaker 1: It could be a positive thing long term.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, you should see the Bama fans. You know,

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Speaker 2: half of them want Saban fired or not half, but

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Speaker 2: a lot of them, you know.

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Speaker 1: And how idiotic is that.

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Speaker 3: It's just the toughest thing.

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Speaker 1: Ever, how good of a coach is Nick Saban?

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Speaker 2: I mean, come on, he's old. The game is passing by,

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Speaker 2: you know, and then passing.

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Speaker 1: By last year when he's winning national championship again.

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Speaker 2: Right exactly. So I mean it's just you know, reactionary

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Speaker 2: of course. But and M, they look good, man. This

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Speaker 2: is kind of the A and M we expected to

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Speaker 2: see this year with Haines king at the hell. But

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Speaker 2: Calzada came in and I'm telling you, he looked like

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Speaker 2: absolute garbage for the first three weeks. He had a

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Speaker 2: couple you know, you can see some stuff there, but

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Speaker 2: it was like he was just not ready and whatever.

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Speaker 2: He saved it all for Alabama and he looked great

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Speaker 2: and and they won and congrats to the Aggies, and

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Speaker 2: everyone around me is real happy this week. So that's

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Speaker 2: super annoying because I am depressed, Yes.

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Speaker 1: And he was depressed because Texas, let's put it, mildly,

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Speaker 1: choked against Oklahoma. Yeah, that's the that's a choking sound

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Speaker 1: from Scott Bokman.

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Speaker 3: There there you go.

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Speaker 1: That's what that is. And it's funny because I came

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Speaker 1: home and I saw that they had a lead. I

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Speaker 1: watched I don't know, like the second quarter or so,

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Speaker 1: and then I had to go back out, came home

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Speaker 1: and they had lost. So what happened here to Texas?

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Speaker 2: Well, they switched is Oklahoma switching from Spencer Ratler to

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Speaker 2: Caleb Williams, and they were not ready for it. Texas was.

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Speaker 2: I think they got a little comfortable in their lead.

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Speaker 2: They didn't go to beijon enough in the second half.

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Speaker 2: The save You're worthy, fumbled a kickoff. He had an

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Speaker 2: enormous game. He had over two hundred yards receiving, opened

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Speaker 2: up the game with the seventy five yard touchdown.

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Speaker 3: He's true freshman too, so.

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Speaker 2: And you know in spring there calling him Texas's version

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Speaker 2: of DeVante Smith because of course Stark coming over from Bama,

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Speaker 2: coached up to Avante Smith.

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Speaker 3: And he was fantastic in this game.

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Speaker 2: But he had that huge fumble and they couldn't stop

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Speaker 2: Kennedy Brooks. They got real tired in the second half.

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Speaker 2: The defense did run around trying to stop Caleb Williams

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Speaker 2: and he just got smoked, and it looks like Oklahoma

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Speaker 2: has their new starting quarterback. And you talk about someone

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Speaker 2: who lost a lot in that game, I think Spencer

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Speaker 2: Ratler lost more than Texas did because he was the

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Speaker 2: number one quarterback on the mock draft boards.

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Speaker 3: And now he's going to the bench.

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Speaker 1: So okay, Well is he going to the bench or

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Speaker 1: is he going to transfer somewhere else and stay in

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Speaker 1: another year.

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Speaker 2: Well, I think that's a smart idea for him, is

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Speaker 2: if he transfers. I think he wants to stick at

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Speaker 2: Oklahoma to see if he can keep this job. And

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Speaker 2: Lincoln Riley has said that he's not going to announce

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Speaker 2: a starter, but I don't know if he saw all

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Speaker 2: of this stuff. But some ou you know, newspaper kid

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Speaker 2: or whatever that is writing for the Sooners newspaper went

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Speaker 2: across to a pub look building with binoculars and then

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Speaker 2: watched who was taking first team.

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Speaker 3: Snaps and it was all Caleb Williams.

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Speaker 1: So no, I mean not.

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Speaker 2: Lincoln Riley subsequently canceled his media availability for the week,

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Speaker 2: I guess because he's upset about that. But come on, man,

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Speaker 2: like you look like garbage on offense all year long.

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Speaker 2: You put in Caleb Williams and you roll over a

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Speaker 2: team that had been beating you into the dirt for

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Speaker 2: the first quarter and a half. And this guy, the

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Speaker 2: way the kids reacted to him when he came into

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Speaker 2: you can't not go back to Caleb Williams.

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Speaker 3: I mean that is like a fire degree fence.

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Speaker 1: So I would agree. And look at for Rattler, I

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Speaker 1: mean his draft stock right now. I mean you've got

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Speaker 1: to go transfer someone else, stay in college. I mean

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Speaker 1: I'm sorry, like that's that's not gonna sit well. And look,

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Speaker 1: you have a path there. I mean, look at what

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Speaker 1: Jalhen Hurts was able to do, Look at what Joe

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Speaker 1: Burrow was able to do. I mean, it's not out

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Speaker 1: of ruma possibility that you could take your stock and

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Speaker 1: improve it again. So it's a smart thing to do.

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Speaker 1: You have Georgia Iowa Cincinnati Oklahoma the new Top four.

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Speaker 1: Iowa with that big win, played some great defense. We've

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Speaker 1: been talking about their defense all year against Penn State,

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Speaker 1: who was down to their second and then the third

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Speaker 1: string quarterback, and that gave it one point. So fascinating

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Speaker 1: to see just the one SEC team right now in

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Speaker 1: the top four it's not what we're used to.

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Speaker 2: Well, you know, we last week said it's just Georgia

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Speaker 2: and Alabama by far and a way better than everybody else.

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Speaker 3: I think it might just be Georgia.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, at this point, now that Alabama lost to

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Speaker 2: A and M, we can call that a hiccup whatever

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Speaker 2: you want to. I still think they're gonna make the

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Speaker 2: tournament here, but that's a rough loss to an unranked team,

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Speaker 2: So I don't know. Good luck Mississippi State against Bama

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Speaker 2: this week. That's all I have to say for them.

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Speaker 1: Well, let's start with the likes here and let's turn

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Speaker 1: the page two. Week seven in college football. Let's start

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Speaker 1: with twentieth rank Florida ten and a half point favorites

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Speaker 1: at LSU. The over under is fifty nine. So what

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Speaker 1: do we like about this one box?

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Speaker 2: Well, Florida is going to live and die by Emery

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Speaker 2: Jones and how he's playing, and he's been pretty damn

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Speaker 2: good this season without the obvious hiccup.

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Speaker 3: Two Kentucky LSU.

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Speaker 2: They've gotten stopped twice, first by UCLA, then last week

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Speaker 2: by Kentucky. Right now, I have no faith whatsoever in

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Speaker 2: their offense. They're one hundred and twenty seventh in rushing.

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Speaker 2: The three teams behind them are Arkansas State, Bowling Green,

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Speaker 2: and Mississippi State. So LSU's twenty second in passing offense.

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Speaker 2: But they did just lose their number one pass catcher

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Speaker 2: in Boutique, who has been on the receiving in of

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Speaker 2: twenty nine percent of their pass yards this season. So

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Speaker 2: I think this is Florida just dominating a one dimensional

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Speaker 2: offense in LSU. I don't think it's gonna be very close.

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Speaker 2: So I got Florida and I'll lay the points.

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Speaker 3: In this one.

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Speaker 1: All right, Let's move on to Auburn at Arkansas. Arkansas

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Speaker 1: rank seventeenth, Arkansas favored in this one at home. Three

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Speaker 1: and a half is the number. The over unders fifty

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Speaker 1: three bogs your thoughts on this one.

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Speaker 2: I mean, we didn't even talk about this game. It

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Speaker 2: might have been the most fun game to watch of

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Speaker 2: the week. I mean it was for me because my

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Speaker 2: game wasn't you know Arkansas and Ole Miss going down

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Speaker 2: to the wire and Arkansas losing by going for that

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Speaker 2: two point conversion, which is a call. I like, you know,

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Speaker 2: they're on the road. It's a tough game. You know

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Speaker 2: you're not gonna stop Old Miss in overtime. They've been

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Speaker 2: you know, put up fifty two points, so just go

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Speaker 2: for it. It didn't work, but I like the call Arkansas,

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Speaker 2: so they showed they have to be taken seriously. And

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Speaker 2: everyone has gotten beat down by Georgia and.

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Speaker 3: The close.

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Speaker 2: The closest game for for Arkansas here was tam Ou.

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Speaker 2: Outside of that Georgia beatdown, right, and they've beat everyone

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Speaker 2: else except for Old Miss in this game, I just

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Speaker 2: Auburn doesn't have it. Jefferson's back to being one hundred percent.

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Speaker 2: Auburn is in a slouch, and they match up well

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Speaker 2: on paper against Arkansas, but I just think the Razorbacks

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Speaker 2: are less likely to fold up. Bone Nicks has been

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Speaker 2: so unbelievably inconsistent. I gotta go with Arkansas in this game.

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Speaker 2: Three and a half. That's just not enough points. I

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Speaker 2: think that they're going to beat down Auburn. I don't

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Speaker 2: think it's going to be that close.

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Speaker 1: I know they've been hoping that Bonnicks developed into something more,

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Speaker 1: but it really just hasn't happened.

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Speaker 2: You know.

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Speaker 1: I understand it's a good story and the legacy and

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Speaker 1: the whole thing and all that stuff, but you know,

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Speaker 1: to me, bo Nix just doesn't have that other gear

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Speaker 1: that I can understand. A couple years ago them thinking that,

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Speaker 1: you know, over time, he was a.

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Speaker 3: Huge time you know, high school prospects.

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Speaker 1: I know, but sometimes that doesn't translate.

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Speaker 3: It just doesn't.

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Speaker 2: It doesn't translate for a lot of those guys, and

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Speaker 2: this is definitely one of them.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, let's move on to UCF at third rank. Cincinnati.

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Speaker 1: My boy, that has been ridder Cincinnati, huge number in

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Speaker 1: this game. Twenty and a half as enormous there, Uh,

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Speaker 1: fifty seven and a half is the over under Bogs.

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Speaker 1: Can Cincinnati cover the twenty and a half here?

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Speaker 2: I think they can and I like UCF going into

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Speaker 2: this year. But they're down their starting quarterback in Dylan Gabriel.

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Speaker 2: They're down their number one running back we think in

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Speaker 2: Isaiah Boujia this week he may or may not play.

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Speaker 3: He's in the air.

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Speaker 2: They're down their number one wide receiver and Jaalen Robinson.

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Speaker 2: They're a middle of the road team without those guys.

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Speaker 2: He just lost the Navy. So Cincinnati can absolutely not

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Speaker 2: afford to have anything go wrong for them. You cannot

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Speaker 2: give the playoff committee an excuse to exclude you, So

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Speaker 2: you have to beat down every single team you play

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Speaker 2: for the rest of the season.

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Speaker 3: Nope, you cannot take the foot off the gas.

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Speaker 2: It's got to stay on and they have to go

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Speaker 2: out there and destroy everyone they're playing. And I think

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Speaker 2: they roll in this one too. I just UCF is

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Speaker 2: not the same team without Dylan Gabriel. Mikey Keen is

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Speaker 2: doing all he can, but it's tough man. He is

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Speaker 2: no Gabriel, not yet anyway. So I got the Bearcats

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Speaker 2: and I'll lay the points for your boy, Ritter.

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Speaker 1: Eleventh rank. Kentucky visits Georgia number one in the nation

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Speaker 1: right now minus twenty three. That's where we are at.

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Speaker 1: Georgia is twenty three point favorites, so this one forty

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Speaker 1: four and a half. Kentucky's played well though this year.

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Speaker 1: Is there any chance Kentucky can make this a game

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Speaker 1: though against Georgia or is Georgia just in a whole

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Speaker 1: other class.

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Speaker 2: I think Georgia is in a place of their own. Now,

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Speaker 2: you know, I talked to my guys Nick and Xavier.

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Speaker 2: We do the c if You Winning Edge podcasts, and

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Speaker 2: I have great respect for those guys, and they both

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Speaker 2: think that Kentucky's going to cover and they're both from Georgia.

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Speaker 2: You know, Georgia fans, so but I just don't think

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Speaker 2: that any You know, what's the most point someone scored

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Speaker 2: on Georgia this year? Do you know, just off the

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Speaker 2: top of your head.

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Speaker 1: I don't thirteen? Oh is that hit?

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Speaker 3: Thirteen points?

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Speaker 2: South Carolina on a they scored a garbage touchdown in

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Speaker 2: the fourth quarter to get to thirteen.

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Speaker 3: Clemson put up seven against them. Yeah. Seven.

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Speaker 2: They've been having Cleumbs has been having offensive issues, of course,

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Speaker 2: but Kentucky's had a fantastic year six and oh beat Florida.

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Speaker 2: They beat the crap out of LSU forty two to

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Speaker 2: twenty one. The issue for Kentucky is that Georgia is

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Speaker 2: just they haven't allowed anyone to score. And Kentucky's, you know,

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Speaker 2: just statistically their one dimensional. They're twenty third and rushing,

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Speaker 2: they're ninety seventh in passing, you know, I know, by

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Speaker 2: analytics and stuff. I got Nick talked about this, how

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Speaker 2: they're you know, well, they're forty first in passing officials.

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Speaker 3: I don't care.

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Speaker 2: George fourth against the run, first in passing defense and scoring.

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Speaker 2: This could easily be another shutout for them. I think,

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Speaker 2: I don't think it will be, but I think that

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Speaker 2: they win this one going away. This is another you know,

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Speaker 2: thirty five to seven type of a game, and that's

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Speaker 2: just that's not going to play towards Kentucky at all.

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Speaker 2: So I've got Georgia rolling again.

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Speaker 1: Well, George is in the driver's seat right now, so

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Speaker 1: they better not let up because I mean, really, it's

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Speaker 1: theirs now, it's it's theirs to run away with quite

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Speaker 1: literally in their style, will play perdue at second right

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Speaker 1: to Iowa. Iowa eleven and a half point favorites in

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Speaker 1: this one. Forty three is the number. Is there any

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Speaker 1: room for an Iowa letdown after a very emotional game

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Speaker 1: last week with Penn State?

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Speaker 2: There could be, And that's you know, there's there's gonna

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Speaker 2: be a lot of talk about letdowns this week, and

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Speaker 2: that's why a lot of betting is going in the

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Speaker 2: opposite direction. There more money is going towards Kentucky than Georgia.

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Speaker 2: Right But in this game, the public is still hard

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Speaker 2: on Iowa. I mean talking ninety percent of cash on Iowa.

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Speaker 2: And Purdue has a pretty solid passing game and they're

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Speaker 2: led by quarterback Aidan O'Connell wide receiver David Bell, their

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Speaker 2: tenth in passing offense, but once again another one dimensional

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Speaker 2: team one hundred and twenty second in rushing. Purdue has

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Speaker 2: also had problems punching it in. They're one hundred and

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Speaker 2: second in scoring twenty three point six points per game.

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Speaker 3: That's it.

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Speaker 2: When you're fifth in passing, tenth in passing, I mean,

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Speaker 2: you should be scoring more than twenty three points a game.

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Speaker 2: They're going to face an Iowa defense that is fourth

289
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Speaker 2: in scoring. They're allowing thirteen points per game, twenty second

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Speaker 2: pass defense, less than two hundred yards per game, and

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Speaker 2: tenth against the run. Not that it's going to matter

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Speaker 2: because Purdue doesn't run, but the real difference is.

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Speaker 3: That Iowa picks the ball off a lot.

294
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Speaker 2: They have six picks this year, and they're going to

295
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Speaker 2: force Purdue into some bad looks They should get up,

296
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Speaker 2: so they're gonna be playing with pressure and pinning their

297
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Speaker 2: ears back here. You know, Iowa is not great on offense.

298
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Speaker 2: They're middle of the road. You know, they're a good

299
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Speaker 2: rushing team. They don't pass a ton and not efficiently,

300
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Speaker 2: but they're just gonna have more than enough to get

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Speaker 2: it done against Purdue here, I think the defense is

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Speaker 2: just too dominant.

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Speaker 3: So I'll lay that eleven and a half.

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Speaker 2: And I'll lay that eleven and a half with more

305
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Speaker 2: confidence than I would Georgia in twenty three or Cincinnati

306
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Speaker 2: and twenty and a half. So I really like Iowa

307
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Speaker 2: always a chance for a letdown, but I just don't

308
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Speaker 2: see it happening for them against Purdue.

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Speaker 1: Poor Mississippi State to host Alabama after Alabama taking the

310
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Speaker 1: loss last week. Alabama is favored by seventeen the numbers

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Speaker 1: fifty seven and a half. Yeah, I mean, I just

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Speaker 1: like I said, poor Mississippi State. That's all I gotta

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Speaker 1: say here.

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Speaker 3: They're gonna beat the but Jesus State.

315
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Speaker 2: I mean, I know they're on the road and everything,

316
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Speaker 2: but they're pissed coming off that loss to Texas A.

317
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Speaker 1: And m imagine what this week in practice has been

318
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Speaker 1: like for this.

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Speaker 3: Whole just horrific.

320
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Speaker 2: BAMA hasn't lost to Mississippi State since two thousand and seven.

321
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Speaker 2: They won by seventeen the last three years, and in

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Speaker 2: Mike Leach's first year coaching Mississippi State last year, they

323
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Speaker 2: shut them out forty one zip. This is a one

324
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Speaker 2: dimensional offense, they're fifth in passing, they're dead last in rushing.

325
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Speaker 2: So when you give when you give a Bama team

326
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Speaker 2: the blueprint on that, it's just not going to be

327
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Speaker 2: very pretty.

328
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Speaker 3: So I got and I.

329
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Speaker 2: Picked Bama last week and it didn't work out for

330
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Speaker 2: me in everyone well, but I.

331
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Speaker 1: Think everybody picks Bama every week because Bama is Bama.

332
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Speaker 3: They're not great against the spread, though, so I understand

333
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Speaker 3: this year.

334
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Speaker 1: They this year they've been a little bit more mortal.

335
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Speaker 1: They came out like Gangbusters, but then you saw a

336
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Speaker 1: little bit of a more mortal version.

337
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Speaker 3: Of chinking the armor.

338
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Speaker 2: Right.

339
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Speaker 1: Yeah, you saw the transition. You saw like the younger

340
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Speaker 1: guys taking over and living off of the old glory

341
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Speaker 1: a little bit, and then you got to execute. At

342
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Speaker 1: the end of the day, everyone's gunning for you because

343
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Speaker 1: you're Alabama. There's no letdowns, there's no you know, there's

344
00:16:06,680 --> 00:16:09,000
Speaker 1: no rest and I think sometimes it's good for a

345
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Speaker 1: younger football team to learn that. And look, they had

346
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Speaker 1: a ton of guys leave last year to go in

347
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Speaker 1: the draft, right, so this is a big turnover into

348
00:16:15,120 --> 00:16:17,440
Speaker 1: their roster and this is you know, learning things the

349
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Speaker 1: hard way. Unfortunately, TCU at Oklahoma. Oklahoma rank fourth. Thirteen

350
00:16:23,200 --> 00:16:25,800
Speaker 1: and a half is the number here. Oklahoma's favored by

351
00:16:25,960 --> 00:16:29,040
Speaker 1: sixty five is the number assuming Caleb Williams is the

352
00:16:29,080 --> 00:16:31,360
Speaker 1: starting quarterback. How do you see this one going?

353
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Speaker 2: Look, this is the letdown spot and the public is

354
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Speaker 2: betting it as the letdown spot. Eighty percent cash on

355
00:16:37,960 --> 00:16:41,160
Speaker 2: TCU as it stands right now as we're going here.

356
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Speaker 2: And I think it's for two reasons. Number One, it's

357
00:16:45,440 --> 00:16:48,800
Speaker 2: a huge letdown spot. So much emotion winning that game

358
00:16:48,840 --> 00:16:51,880
Speaker 2: against Texas and you know, comeback fashion and it being

359
00:16:51,880 --> 00:16:55,960
Speaker 2: one of the all time instant classic Red River rivalry games.

360
00:16:56,040 --> 00:17:01,840
Speaker 2: But TCU is not the tc If this was normal TCU,

361
00:17:02,160 --> 00:17:05,600
Speaker 2: I would be like, yep, they're gonna have that huge

362
00:17:05,680 --> 00:17:08,520
Speaker 2: letdown against someone Frogs. But there's not the same team

363
00:17:08,520 --> 00:17:11,920
Speaker 2: they've been in the past TCU this year. You know

364
00:17:12,520 --> 00:17:16,960
Speaker 2: they're they're also going to be down potentially. They're three

365
00:17:17,080 --> 00:17:20,280
Speaker 2: top players they have. Their top three guys are questionable.

366
00:17:20,520 --> 00:17:24,959
Speaker 2: Quarterback Max Dugan, who's having a fantastic year, running back

367
00:17:25,080 --> 00:17:28,760
Speaker 2: Zach Evans, and wide receiver Quinton Johnston all questionable. Now

368
00:17:28,840 --> 00:17:30,920
Speaker 2: those guys got banged up against Texas Tech, they still

369
00:17:30,920 --> 00:17:34,119
Speaker 2: wund up putting fifty two points up. But you know

370
00:17:34,280 --> 00:17:37,760
Speaker 2: Oklahoma and Texas Tech, so they've had a weird year.

371
00:17:37,800 --> 00:17:41,480
Speaker 2: They lost to Texas and had a bad loss to SMU.

372
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Speaker 2: I know this is a traditional letdown spot, but I

373
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Speaker 2: just I don't think this TCU team is the team

374
00:17:47,080 --> 00:17:49,879
Speaker 2: that does it. And I think that Oklahoma has founded

375
00:17:49,960 --> 00:17:53,119
Speaker 2: on offense with Kyle Williams. I mean, you know, I

376
00:17:53,160 --> 00:17:55,800
Speaker 2: play a lot of CFF Joe, you know that. And

377
00:17:56,200 --> 00:17:58,800
Speaker 2: this guy Marvin Mims for Oklahoma was a very very

378
00:17:58,840 --> 00:18:01,800
Speaker 2: high pick because Spencer Ratler was a very high pick. Right,

379
00:18:01,840 --> 00:18:04,480
Speaker 2: it was supposed to be these two connecting a bunch

380
00:18:04,800 --> 00:18:08,520
Speaker 2: on offense. He scored his first touchdown when Caleb Williams

381
00:18:08,520 --> 00:18:11,400
Speaker 2: threw it to him this week, So they just their

382
00:18:11,480 --> 00:18:15,240
Speaker 2: different beast on offense with Caleb, and you know, Spencer

383
00:18:15,320 --> 00:18:16,720
Speaker 2: Ratler just wouldn't get din't done.

384
00:18:16,760 --> 00:18:17,920
Speaker 3: So William's going to start.

385
00:18:17,960 --> 00:18:20,320
Speaker 2: I think Oklahoma starts to roll downhill a little bit,

386
00:18:20,640 --> 00:18:23,320
Speaker 2: and TCUs the first the first stop on that.

387
00:18:23,960 --> 00:18:26,040
Speaker 1: All right, let's do the last of the likes here.

388
00:18:26,480 --> 00:18:30,480
Speaker 1: Eighteenth ranked Arizona State one point favorites at Utah. The

389
00:18:30,560 --> 00:18:33,520
Speaker 1: numbers fifty and a half. This one's tight, Bogs. How

390
00:18:33,560 --> 00:18:34,920
Speaker 1: do you see this one shaking out?

391
00:18:35,440 --> 00:18:37,560
Speaker 2: I almost put this in the leans because I keep

392
00:18:37,640 --> 00:18:40,560
Speaker 2: screwing up ASU, like I can't seem to pick them

393
00:18:40,600 --> 00:18:41,760
Speaker 2: correct any week.

394
00:18:41,880 --> 00:18:44,879
Speaker 3: But I see this minus one. It's too tasty for me.

395
00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:48,919
Speaker 2: I gotta take it, and money's on Utah And I

396
00:18:49,000 --> 00:18:51,960
Speaker 2: understand that Utah is a good team, specifically at home,

397
00:18:52,000 --> 00:18:54,560
Speaker 2: but as U's been great this year. Their only loss

398
00:18:54,640 --> 00:18:57,120
Speaker 2: was to a tough BYU team on the road, where

399
00:18:57,119 --> 00:19:01,240
Speaker 2: they had sixteen penalties to three for b one. Utah

400
00:19:01,320 --> 00:19:04,760
Speaker 2: lost the same game against BYU, but BYU had more

401
00:19:04,800 --> 00:19:06,879
Speaker 2: penalties than them. They also had a weird loss to

402
00:19:06,920 --> 00:19:09,240
Speaker 2: San Diego State. Utah is just not the normal Selts

403
00:19:09,240 --> 00:19:11,880
Speaker 2: are kind of like the TCU of the Pac twelve here.

404
00:19:12,640 --> 00:19:15,040
Speaker 2: The only reason this line is close, in my opinion,

405
00:19:15,080 --> 00:19:17,639
Speaker 2: is because the UCH just beat down USC. But USC

406
00:19:17,720 --> 00:19:20,120
Speaker 2: is going through a lot with firing their head coach

407
00:19:20,160 --> 00:19:22,520
Speaker 2: and having an interim and all that stuff. I think

408
00:19:22,560 --> 00:19:25,439
Speaker 2: this one is in Arizona State beat down. I've been

409
00:19:25,480 --> 00:19:28,880
Speaker 2: wrong about them, But even if it's a close one,

410
00:19:29,160 --> 00:19:32,320
Speaker 2: you're only laying a point here. I think the line

411
00:19:32,359 --> 00:19:35,000
Speaker 2: should be closer to six or seven in Arizona State's

412
00:19:35,040 --> 00:19:39,440
Speaker 2: favor So I'll lay that point without issue for ASU.

413
00:19:39,520 --> 00:19:41,840
Speaker 2: I think they're a pretty solid team, and you know,

414
00:19:42,720 --> 00:19:44,920
Speaker 2: I know that there's a lot of turmoil going on

415
00:19:45,640 --> 00:19:47,800
Speaker 2: with the ASU on the outside, with herm Edwards and

416
00:19:47,840 --> 00:19:50,760
Speaker 2: the investigation and all that stuff, but the kids really

417
00:19:50,800 --> 00:19:53,479
Speaker 2: seem to be internalizing it and just playing for this season.

418
00:19:53,560 --> 00:19:55,280
Speaker 3: So I got the sun Devils in that one.

419
00:19:55,560 --> 00:19:57,240
Speaker 1: All right, those are the likes. So let's get to

420
00:19:57,280 --> 00:20:00,240
Speaker 1: the leans. We'll start with Clemson fourteen point favorit. It's

421
00:20:00,240 --> 00:20:03,919
Speaker 1: against Syracuse. The numbers forty five. Syracuse has not played

422
00:20:04,000 --> 00:20:05,840
Speaker 1: very well. Clemson just stomp.

423
00:20:05,720 --> 00:20:10,200
Speaker 2: Them, I I want to say that, but Clemson can't

424
00:20:10,200 --> 00:20:11,679
Speaker 2: seem to put it together on offense that are one

425
00:20:11,760 --> 00:20:15,280
Speaker 2: hundred and twelfth and scoring because of the pathetic passing game,

426
00:20:15,320 --> 00:20:18,600
Speaker 2: which is one hundred and thirty. This is Clemson. They're

427
00:20:18,600 --> 00:20:21,480
Speaker 2: one hundred and thirteenth in passing this year. The run

428
00:20:21,520 --> 00:20:24,440
Speaker 2: game is nothing right over there, eighty fourth. The good

429
00:20:24,480 --> 00:20:27,200
Speaker 2: news is they're still second in scoring defense, twenty first

430
00:20:27,200 --> 00:20:29,320
Speaker 2: against the run in forty first against the pass, so

431
00:20:29,520 --> 00:20:33,159
Speaker 2: they're still playing really well on defense. Syracuse is getting

432
00:20:33,160 --> 00:20:35,480
Speaker 2: it done right now running the ball and playing good

433
00:20:35,480 --> 00:20:38,399
Speaker 2: defense for thirty first against the run and pass sixty

434
00:20:38,400 --> 00:20:41,360
Speaker 2: fourth in scoring. I don't have any faith in anyone here.

435
00:20:41,440 --> 00:20:43,320
Speaker 2: Gune in my head, I'm gonna take Clemson and I'm

436
00:20:43,320 --> 00:20:46,240
Speaker 2: gonna take the over because it's so It's forty five

437
00:20:47,080 --> 00:20:49,760
Speaker 2: and I just can't believe a Clemson game is that low.

438
00:20:49,880 --> 00:20:53,120
Speaker 2: But you know they're coming off of bye week two.

439
00:20:53,160 --> 00:20:55,720
Speaker 2: I think the offense is ready to break out at

440
00:20:55,840 --> 00:20:58,919
Speaker 2: any point here. So Clemson is a little banged up,

441
00:20:58,920 --> 00:21:01,600
Speaker 2: but I'm still going to lean towards them. Will Shipley

442
00:21:01,640 --> 00:21:04,120
Speaker 2: might not play, but they've got a million running backs

443
00:21:04,119 --> 00:21:06,800
Speaker 2: to Clemson, so they'll be okay. So I'll take them.

444
00:21:06,920 --> 00:21:09,960
Speaker 2: But I don't know, man, They've been unbelievably disappointing. I'm

445
00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:11,840
Speaker 2: not doing it with a ton of confidence at all.

446
00:21:12,240 --> 00:21:14,720
Speaker 1: Oh that's why it's a lean and not alike. Ninth

447
00:21:14,800 --> 00:21:17,760
Speaker 1: ranked Oregon is going to host Cal. Oregon thirteen and

448
00:21:17,760 --> 00:21:19,960
Speaker 1: a half point favorites. The numbers fifty four. Your thoughts

449
00:21:20,040 --> 00:21:20,639
Speaker 1: on this one.

450
00:21:21,080 --> 00:21:24,119
Speaker 2: I can't figure out Oregon to save my life. They

451
00:21:24,119 --> 00:21:27,159
Speaker 2: beat Ohio State, then they lose to Stanford, and the

452
00:21:27,240 --> 00:21:28,680
Speaker 2: money is going towards Cal.

453
00:21:28,800 --> 00:21:31,000
Speaker 1: In this game organ if it's not a bad team. Though,

454
00:21:31,320 --> 00:21:33,560
Speaker 1: in all fairness, they might be the best team in

455
00:21:33,600 --> 00:21:34,399
Speaker 1: their conference.

456
00:21:35,240 --> 00:21:37,720
Speaker 3: You know what, what is that saying? Though it's a

457
00:21:37,920 --> 00:21:39,800
Speaker 3: lot back? Twelve is rough right?

458
00:21:39,880 --> 00:21:44,119
Speaker 2: I know, the best team, but it's honestly, it's probably

459
00:21:44,119 --> 00:21:47,199
Speaker 2: still Oregon. But they also just lost. They also just

460
00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:49,800
Speaker 2: lost their number one rusher in Cej Verdell. They have

461
00:21:49,880 --> 00:21:52,760
Speaker 2: a very capable backup of Travis Dye. He's a little

462
00:21:52,800 --> 00:21:54,520
Speaker 2: banged up. He had a concussion. I think he's going

463
00:21:54,560 --> 00:21:56,520
Speaker 2: to be okay this week though. But Cal's had won

464
00:21:56,560 --> 00:21:59,560
Speaker 2: the most brutal schedule so far, the four losses coming

465
00:21:59,560 --> 00:22:03,360
Speaker 2: against the that at TCU, Washington and Washington State. Oregon's

466
00:22:03,400 --> 00:22:06,280
Speaker 2: one and four against the spread, so they haven't been

467
00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:09,199
Speaker 2: great as far as betting on them this season, with

468
00:22:09,240 --> 00:22:12,240
Speaker 2: the one win being the upset win over Ohio State.

469
00:22:12,520 --> 00:22:15,320
Speaker 2: You know, Cal is two and two for what looks

470
00:22:15,359 --> 00:22:17,560
Speaker 2: like no rhyme or reason. So I'm gonna go with

471
00:22:17,640 --> 00:22:21,200
Speaker 2: Oregon because they can't afford to have another letdown week,

472
00:22:21,520 --> 00:22:25,200
Speaker 2: so I think they beat up on Cal. But every

473
00:22:25,240 --> 00:22:27,480
Speaker 2: time I pick Oregon, they screw me. And they're one

474
00:22:27,520 --> 00:22:30,000
Speaker 2: and four this year, so no confidence.

475
00:22:30,480 --> 00:22:33,320
Speaker 1: All right, very well, let's move on to the next

476
00:22:33,359 --> 00:22:36,440
Speaker 1: one here. Oklahoma State ranked twelveth in the nation at

477
00:22:36,560 --> 00:22:39,560
Speaker 1: twenty fifth ranked Texas Texas five and a half point

478
00:22:39,600 --> 00:22:44,000
Speaker 1: favorites the number sixty and a half Boggs. Does Texas

479
00:22:44,040 --> 00:22:46,720
Speaker 1: rebound after a very tough loss last week?

480
00:22:47,119 --> 00:22:48,960
Speaker 3: Well, see this, the betters don't think so.

481
00:22:49,280 --> 00:22:52,840
Speaker 2: I mean heavily in the favor of Oklahoma State right now.

482
00:22:53,080 --> 00:22:55,440
Speaker 2: I think as far as talent goes, I think Texas

483
00:22:55,480 --> 00:22:59,480
Speaker 2: hasn't beat but we get strong. Texas probably dominate their

484
00:22:59,520 --> 00:23:03,639
Speaker 2: at home. You know, it's big to you know, start

485
00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:06,480
Speaker 2: out well for your home crowd, get them really involved

486
00:23:06,520 --> 00:23:10,080
Speaker 2: in the game and all that stuff would be huge.

487
00:23:10,160 --> 00:23:14,000
Speaker 2: But Okay State has played some tough games and they're undefeated.

488
00:23:14,119 --> 00:23:14,280
Speaker 3: You know.

489
00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:18,840
Speaker 2: I think there's a difference between the offenses that they

490
00:23:18,960 --> 00:23:22,320
Speaker 2: faced and Texas. Texas is ninth and rushing, they're fifth

491
00:23:22,359 --> 00:23:24,439
Speaker 2: and scoring, and they're going to match up against the

492
00:23:24,480 --> 00:23:27,200
Speaker 2: Okay See defense that is twelfth against the run and

493
00:23:27,240 --> 00:23:29,320
Speaker 2: twenty fourth and scoring. So this is all going to

494
00:23:29,400 --> 00:23:33,439
Speaker 2: come down to Bijon Robinson in my opinion, because I

495
00:23:33,480 --> 00:23:37,440
Speaker 2: think after shying away from him in the second half

496
00:23:37,480 --> 00:23:39,600
Speaker 2: and not controlling the clock a little more. They just

497
00:23:39,640 --> 00:23:41,560
Speaker 2: have to go what the hell are we thinking, you know,

498
00:23:41,680 --> 00:23:44,320
Speaker 2: and give the ball to Bijon here in this game.

499
00:23:44,400 --> 00:23:47,400
Speaker 2: So I do like Texas in this one, but if

500
00:23:47,400 --> 00:23:51,920
Speaker 2: we get flat Texas, this is the ultimate Sark coaching

501
00:23:51,920 --> 00:23:55,399
Speaker 2: moment for me, is if you can get these guys

502
00:23:55,480 --> 00:23:56,280
Speaker 2: up to play.

503
00:23:56,160 --> 00:23:58,159
Speaker 3: After a bad emotional loss.

504
00:23:58,440 --> 00:24:01,160
Speaker 2: That's the big question because no other coach since Mac

505
00:24:01,520 --> 00:24:04,240
Speaker 2: has been able to do it so, and Mac wasn't

506
00:24:04,240 --> 00:24:07,000
Speaker 2: able to do it at the end either. So it's

507
00:24:07,080 --> 00:24:10,960
Speaker 2: a huge test for a new head coach and one

508
00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:13,760
Speaker 2: that I am looking forward to seeing how Texas responds.

509
00:24:14,400 --> 00:24:17,720
Speaker 1: Last year on the list, nineteenth ranks BYU at Baylor

510
00:24:18,160 --> 00:24:20,400
Speaker 1: Baylor six and a half point favorites in this one.

511
00:24:20,520 --> 00:24:23,119
Speaker 1: The number is fifty and a half. Your thoughts in

512
00:24:23,160 --> 00:24:23,639
Speaker 1: this one.

513
00:24:23,800 --> 00:24:26,160
Speaker 2: There's one I hate the most of the week right here.

514
00:24:26,280 --> 00:24:29,560
Speaker 2: I do not like it, Joe. I haven't been able

515
00:24:29,600 --> 00:24:32,840
Speaker 2: to figure out BYU at all. Baylor's look good. Baylor

516
00:24:32,960 --> 00:24:36,240
Speaker 2: smoked West Virginia last week and their only loss is

517
00:24:36,280 --> 00:24:38,480
Speaker 2: the twelfth rank to Okay State. BYU is having a

518
00:24:38,520 --> 00:24:40,960
Speaker 2: great year, but they're coming off their first loss against

519
00:24:40,960 --> 00:24:41,600
Speaker 2: Poise State.

520
00:24:41,680 --> 00:24:42,200
Speaker 3: Last week.

521
00:24:42,760 --> 00:24:45,320
Speaker 2: I think I like the way Baylor is playing right

522
00:24:45,359 --> 00:24:49,359
Speaker 2: now with quarterback Cherry Bohannon their sixteenth and rushing seventeenth

523
00:24:49,400 --> 00:24:52,399
Speaker 2: and scoring. BYU is better at stopping the run, but

524
00:24:52,480 --> 00:24:53,880
Speaker 2: they're kind of middle of the package.

525
00:24:53,960 --> 00:24:54,600
Speaker 3: Fifty first.

526
00:24:54,640 --> 00:24:58,520
Speaker 2: BYU is going to get their starting quarterback Jurnal haul

527
00:24:58,600 --> 00:24:59,320
Speaker 2: back this week.

528
00:25:00,040 --> 00:25:01,000
Speaker 3: Middle of the pack.

529
00:25:00,840 --> 00:25:04,000
Speaker 2: In every offensive stat so I don't think that they're

530
00:25:04,040 --> 00:25:06,240
Speaker 2: going to blow Baylor out of the water. I'm just

531
00:25:06,240 --> 00:25:09,000
Speaker 2: gonna take Baylor because of the home team here. Equit

532
00:25:09,080 --> 00:25:12,480
Speaker 2: Bohannan has done, but I can't seem to figure out

533
00:25:12,480 --> 00:25:15,240
Speaker 2: by U. So, like I said, I like Baylor, but

534
00:25:15,760 --> 00:25:17,560
Speaker 2: not with an enormous amount of confidence.

535
00:25:18,240 --> 00:25:20,359
Speaker 1: All right, check out all the rest over at Bettingpros

536
00:25:20,400 --> 00:25:24,199
Speaker 1: dot com, including Scott Bogman's picks every single week, and

537
00:25:24,320 --> 00:25:26,320
Speaker 1: make sure you subscribe to the podcast wherever you get

538
00:25:26,320 --> 00:25:29,280
Speaker 1: your podcasts, always great content. They're betting pros all the

539
00:25:29,320 --> 00:25:31,600
Speaker 1: consensus lines for all the houses. That way you can

540
00:25:31,680 --> 00:25:34,520
Speaker 1: make the best wagers to win yourself some cash. We'll

541
00:25:34,520 --> 00:25:36,680
Speaker 1: be back again next week to do it all again

542
00:25:36,760 --> 00:25:39,240
Speaker 1: and recap the week that was. In the meantime, that'll

543
00:25:39,240 --> 00:25:40,600
Speaker 1: do it for us. But the story of the game

544
00:25:40,640 --> 00:25:43,400
Speaker 1: goes on for Scott Bogman. I'm Joey P. We will

545
00:25:43,400 --> 00:26:01,400
Speaker 1: see you next time. Kids,