1 00:00:00,920 --> 00:00:01,960 Speaker 1: What's going on everybody. 2 00:00:01,960 --> 00:00:03,600 Speaker 2: Scott bog Bean here for betting pros to give you 3 00:00:03,640 --> 00:00:06,200 Speaker 2: my favorite picks and props for Week seven of the 4 00:00:06,200 --> 00:00:08,639 Speaker 2: college football season. And I want to remind you guys 5 00:00:08,640 --> 00:00:10,160 Speaker 2: before we dive in that we are brought to you 6 00:00:10,200 --> 00:00:14,400 Speaker 2: by our new presenting sponsor, the hard Rock Bet sportsbook app. 7 00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:16,320 Speaker 1: Roll with hard Rock Bet this season. 8 00:00:16,600 --> 00:00:18,919 Speaker 2: Sign up with the hard Rock Bet app to day 9 00:00:19,200 --> 00:00:21,480 Speaker 2: place your first five dollars bet and if it wins, 10 00:00:21,840 --> 00:00:24,000 Speaker 2: you will score one hundred and fifty dollars and bonus 11 00:00:24,040 --> 00:00:26,760 Speaker 2: bets on top of your winnings. 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In Indiana if you are something 38 00:01:41,280 --> 00:01:42,840 Speaker 3: you who know as a gambling problem and wants help, 39 00:01:43,000 --> 00:01:45,440 Speaker 3: call one eight hundred and nine with it. Gambling problem 40 00:01:45,440 --> 00:01:49,680 Speaker 3: called one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois. In New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 41 00:01:49,840 --> 00:01:52,760 Speaker 2: All right, let's dive into how we did last week. 42 00:01:53,360 --> 00:01:57,080 Speaker 2: Another sub five hundred week. Here, just barely six and 43 00:01:57,120 --> 00:02:00,400 Speaker 2: seven on my picks, five and six on the prop 44 00:02:00,440 --> 00:02:02,520 Speaker 2: spring us to twenty seven, thirty one on the picks 45 00:02:02,760 --> 00:02:04,880 Speaker 2: and thirty five and twenty nine on the props. We 46 00:02:04,920 --> 00:02:08,280 Speaker 2: didn't get Michigan minus seventeen and a half. This one 47 00:02:08,360 --> 00:02:10,240 Speaker 2: ended twenty four to ten. Michigan had a chance to 48 00:02:10,240 --> 00:02:12,960 Speaker 2: score at the end, they didn't need to and they 49 00:02:12,960 --> 00:02:14,720 Speaker 2: didn't punch it in Wisconsin. 50 00:02:14,760 --> 00:02:16,519 Speaker 1: Team total under thirteen and a half. That we got 51 00:02:16,520 --> 00:02:17,160 Speaker 1: that side of it. 52 00:02:17,560 --> 00:02:20,720 Speaker 2: Virginia Louisville. I had the over sixty one and a half. 53 00:02:20,760 --> 00:02:23,160 Speaker 2: I really liked what Virginia had done. They ended up 54 00:02:23,200 --> 00:02:25,520 Speaker 2: winning thirty to twenty seven, so fifty seven right on 55 00:02:25,560 --> 00:02:27,560 Speaker 2: the doorstep. We just didn't get all the way home there. 56 00:02:28,080 --> 00:02:30,480 Speaker 2: Cincinnati on the money line, we got that. I was 57 00:02:30,520 --> 00:02:33,560 Speaker 2: an easy win over Iowa State. I was completely wrong 58 00:02:33,600 --> 00:02:36,520 Speaker 2: about my Longhorns against Florida. Florida came out with their 59 00:02:36,520 --> 00:02:40,040 Speaker 2: new freshmen and just crushed everything, and they did not 60 00:02:40,200 --> 00:02:43,160 Speaker 2: have this team total under of eighteen and a half. 61 00:02:43,680 --> 00:02:47,680 Speaker 2: Real quick Texas stomped Houston thirty five to eleven, so 62 00:02:47,720 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 2: we got that one. Two weeks in a row is 63 00:02:50,320 --> 00:02:53,760 Speaker 2: completely wrong on the Aggies. They won thirty one to 64 00:02:53,880 --> 00:02:57,840 Speaker 2: nine against Mississippi State. Whatever was wrong with their defense 65 00:02:57,880 --> 00:03:00,000 Speaker 2: against Notre Dame they fixed two weeks in a row, 66 00:03:00,000 --> 00:03:02,960 Speaker 2: so their defense has been very, very strong. So we're 67 00:03:02,960 --> 00:03:04,560 Speaker 2: not going to bet against A and M at home 68 00:03:05,480 --> 00:03:08,520 Speaker 2: probably again the rest of the season. So Ohio State 69 00:03:08,600 --> 00:03:11,960 Speaker 2: versus Minnesota under forty three and a half, Well, Ohio 70 00:03:11,960 --> 00:03:14,480 Speaker 2: State scored forty two, but we did get the under 71 00:03:14,840 --> 00:03:17,440 Speaker 2: Minnesota team total of nine and a half because they 72 00:03:17,440 --> 00:03:20,160 Speaker 2: were held only three points pitt Miya six and a half. 73 00:03:20,200 --> 00:03:22,280 Speaker 2: First Boston College ended up being my best pick of 74 00:03:22,320 --> 00:03:25,720 Speaker 2: the year. Actually, forty eight to seven was the final there. 75 00:03:26,240 --> 00:03:28,800 Speaker 2: Maryland had the win on the money line in this 76 00:03:28,840 --> 00:03:31,000 Speaker 2: game most of the game, but Washington came back and 77 00:03:31,040 --> 00:03:33,400 Speaker 2: won twenty four to twenty. But they did not cover 78 00:03:33,520 --> 00:03:36,040 Speaker 2: our six and a half points that we got with Maryland, 79 00:03:36,040 --> 00:03:37,840 Speaker 2: so we got that one, and then Notre Dame just 80 00:03:37,840 --> 00:03:40,000 Speaker 2: couldn't put points up against Boise State played one of 81 00:03:40,040 --> 00:03:42,760 Speaker 2: their worst games of the season here and only twenty 82 00:03:42,760 --> 00:03:46,200 Speaker 2: eight points against Boise State at home. Was kind of sad. 83 00:03:46,280 --> 00:03:49,400 Speaker 2: But didn't get that one on the props five and six. 84 00:03:49,520 --> 00:03:52,360 Speaker 2: Like I said, worst week I probably ever had in 85 00:03:52,360 --> 00:03:55,200 Speaker 2: my touchdown calls. Singleton didn't have any because Cape Tron 86 00:03:55,240 --> 00:03:57,800 Speaker 2: Allen had a couple for Penn State, and you know 87 00:03:57,840 --> 00:04:00,360 Speaker 2: they scored points against UCLA. Just Singleton and get in 88 00:04:00,400 --> 00:04:04,080 Speaker 2: the end zone. Cameron Dicky did score, jeremih Smith did score, 89 00:04:04,160 --> 00:04:07,200 Speaker 2: Leveon Moss didn't for A and M and that game 90 00:04:07,240 --> 00:04:10,000 Speaker 2: scored fewer points and I thought anyway, and Bryant Westco. 91 00:04:10,080 --> 00:04:13,600 Speaker 2: I mean, Clemson had so many points early that at Westco. 92 00:04:13,800 --> 00:04:15,480 Speaker 2: Just if you didn't get your work done early, you 93 00:04:15,520 --> 00:04:17,560 Speaker 2: weren't getting it done. And that's what happened to Westco 94 00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:20,719 Speaker 2: in that game. So we didn't quite get home on those. 95 00:04:20,760 --> 00:04:24,360 Speaker 2: But let's take a look at what we got Week seven. 96 00:04:25,040 --> 00:04:27,800 Speaker 2: Feeling pretty good here. Look we're gonna double down on 97 00:04:27,839 --> 00:04:31,440 Speaker 2: a team total under against Ohio State, right Illinois seventeen 98 00:04:31,480 --> 00:04:34,560 Speaker 2: and a half points. Lukealtmeyer has a bad track record 99 00:04:34,760 --> 00:04:38,960 Speaker 2: against top ten defenses. Ohio State is playing lights out 100 00:04:39,000 --> 00:04:40,920 Speaker 2: right now. We got that under nine and a half 101 00:04:40,960 --> 00:04:43,720 Speaker 2: from Minnesota last week. This is a road game. I 102 00:04:43,800 --> 00:04:48,600 Speaker 2: understand that Illinois at home, right, Luke Altmeyer is a 103 00:04:48,720 --> 00:04:53,279 Speaker 2: very veteran presence at quarterback for the Aliini. But Ohio 104 00:04:53,320 --> 00:04:56,240 Speaker 2: State's defense has stopped everybody, and I don't think that's 105 00:04:56,279 --> 00:04:58,280 Speaker 2: going to change here. I think they're also going to 106 00:04:58,360 --> 00:05:00,280 Speaker 2: be able to possess the ball a lot, a lot 107 00:05:00,279 --> 00:05:03,039 Speaker 2: of injured players in the secondary for Illinois. More on 108 00:05:03,080 --> 00:05:06,000 Speaker 2: that when we get to the props here. But I 109 00:05:06,040 --> 00:05:07,920 Speaker 2: just don't think Illinois is going to hang very well 110 00:05:07,960 --> 00:05:12,880 Speaker 2: in this game, specifically because of Luke Altmeer's passed against 111 00:05:13,640 --> 00:05:16,039 Speaker 2: top defenses. His track record is not good. So we're 112 00:05:16,040 --> 00:05:18,880 Speaker 2: gonna take the under team total of Illinois at seventeen 113 00:05:18,920 --> 00:05:21,440 Speaker 2: and a half. I'm going to take the under still 114 00:05:21,520 --> 00:05:25,080 Speaker 2: on the Oklahoma Texas game. Now, John Mattier is listed 115 00:05:25,080 --> 00:05:28,320 Speaker 2: as probable, right. I understand if you don't want to 116 00:05:28,360 --> 00:05:31,960 Speaker 2: take it because of John Mattier, But I think John 117 00:05:32,000 --> 00:05:34,719 Speaker 2: Mittier is going to start and play. But I think 118 00:05:34,720 --> 00:05:37,520 Speaker 2: he's going to be packaged, right, Like, I think he's 119 00:05:37,560 --> 00:05:41,320 Speaker 2: going to come in and play this game at about 120 00:05:41,360 --> 00:05:44,479 Speaker 2: fifty percent, right. I mean, the dude had surgery September 121 00:05:44,520 --> 00:05:46,400 Speaker 2: twenty eighth or twenty six or whatever. 122 00:05:46,440 --> 00:05:46,800 Speaker 1: It was. 123 00:05:47,480 --> 00:05:49,120 Speaker 2: I just don't think he's going to be one hundred 124 00:05:49,120 --> 00:05:52,920 Speaker 2: percent back yet. So I know they said he's playing, 125 00:05:53,360 --> 00:05:56,120 Speaker 2: I don't really believe it. And Matier at less than 126 00:05:56,120 --> 00:05:58,839 Speaker 2: one hundred percent against a strong Texas defense, it's still 127 00:05:58,880 --> 00:06:00,640 Speaker 2: not going to put up many points. And arch Manning 128 00:06:00,920 --> 00:06:03,400 Speaker 2: has nothing right now. I mean, the Texas offense has 129 00:06:03,440 --> 00:06:05,520 Speaker 2: no identity right now at all, so they are not 130 00:06:05,560 --> 00:06:08,719 Speaker 2: gonna contribute very high to this total either. So I'm 131 00:06:08,720 --> 00:06:10,880 Speaker 2: gonna stick with the under and I'm gonna wait. Like 132 00:06:11,000 --> 00:06:13,680 Speaker 2: Matier's gonna play here, they're saying he's gonna play. I 133 00:06:13,720 --> 00:06:17,240 Speaker 2: think it's a little bit overblown, but he's gonna play. 134 00:06:17,279 --> 00:06:19,680 Speaker 2: And this total is gonna keep climbing. It has climbed 135 00:06:19,680 --> 00:06:21,680 Speaker 2: from forty three and a half to forty five and 136 00:06:21,680 --> 00:06:23,800 Speaker 2: a half in a day, so I think it's just 137 00:06:23,839 --> 00:06:25,160 Speaker 2: going to continue to ascend. 138 00:06:25,320 --> 00:06:26,880 Speaker 1: So wait, wait to take it. 139 00:06:26,960 --> 00:06:28,680 Speaker 2: Maybe it gets up to forty seven or forty eight 140 00:06:28,680 --> 00:06:30,680 Speaker 2: and a half by the time we get there, so 141 00:06:31,000 --> 00:06:33,360 Speaker 2: just wait and see what it does. I don't do 142 00:06:33,480 --> 00:06:36,760 Speaker 2: too many alt lines. I am gonna do two today, 143 00:06:37,040 --> 00:06:40,640 Speaker 2: but first one Oregon minus six and a half fors 144 00:06:40,720 --> 00:06:43,640 Speaker 2: Indiana it's minus one thirty two. You can get this 145 00:06:43,720 --> 00:06:46,440 Speaker 2: at seven. I just prefer to kill the hook. It 146 00:06:46,560 --> 00:06:51,080 Speaker 2: has been moving slightly towards Indiana. It opened up a 147 00:06:51,200 --> 00:06:53,680 Speaker 2: nine and a half, so I do think that this 148 00:06:54,240 --> 00:06:56,760 Speaker 2: could possibly slide to six and a half. But I 149 00:06:56,760 --> 00:06:58,520 Speaker 2: think it's gonna stay at seven and a half because 150 00:06:58,520 --> 00:07:01,800 Speaker 2: that hook. That's about right. But I think Oregon is 151 00:07:01,800 --> 00:07:04,159 Speaker 2: an incredibly hard place to play. There's gonna be rain, 152 00:07:04,720 --> 00:07:07,880 Speaker 2: weird elements. We saw Ohio State go there last year 153 00:07:07,960 --> 00:07:10,840 Speaker 2: and lose, and they won the national championship, right, So 154 00:07:11,160 --> 00:07:13,600 Speaker 2: I just don't think Indiana is going to be as 155 00:07:13,680 --> 00:07:15,840 Speaker 2: in this game as we're giving them credit for. And 156 00:07:15,840 --> 00:07:17,600 Speaker 2: I like Indiana a lot. You guys have heard me 157 00:07:18,040 --> 00:07:20,760 Speaker 2: speak very positively about the Hoosiers here, but I just 158 00:07:20,800 --> 00:07:23,520 Speaker 2: think the Ducks are a different breed right now. You know, 159 00:07:23,560 --> 00:07:26,280 Speaker 2: going into Penn State and winning that game was huge. 160 00:07:26,480 --> 00:07:28,880 Speaker 2: We have in then Penn State losing a UCLA, We've 161 00:07:28,880 --> 00:07:32,080 Speaker 2: had the Oregon hangover. Right, Teams that play Oregon are 162 00:07:32,160 --> 00:07:34,120 Speaker 2: usually bad, not just the week they play them, but 163 00:07:34,160 --> 00:07:38,840 Speaker 2: the week after as well. So I'm just not I 164 00:07:38,880 --> 00:07:40,680 Speaker 2: don't think Indiana can pull this off on the road. 165 00:07:40,720 --> 00:07:42,760 Speaker 2: If it was at home. I might be seeing a 166 00:07:42,760 --> 00:07:44,760 Speaker 2: different tune here, but I think Oregon at home is 167 00:07:44,960 --> 00:07:49,160 Speaker 2: really tough right now. So I'm gonna go anything less 168 00:07:49,160 --> 00:07:52,160 Speaker 2: than a touchdown. We're taking the ducks here. I'm gonna 169 00:07:52,200 --> 00:07:54,520 Speaker 2: go Michigan on the money line at USC. And I 170 00:07:54,600 --> 00:07:57,240 Speaker 2: know this isn't a lot of people's favorite bet that 171 00:07:57,280 --> 00:07:58,680 Speaker 2: I picked. I know a lot of people on the 172 00:07:58,760 --> 00:08:02,080 Speaker 2: USC us he can score here. The problem is is 173 00:08:02,200 --> 00:08:05,320 Speaker 2: USC can't stop anything on defense, and I think that 174 00:08:05,760 --> 00:08:08,160 Speaker 2: they will get stopped a little bit on offense by Michigan. 175 00:08:08,200 --> 00:08:10,240 Speaker 2: Michigan did a great job against them last year. They 176 00:08:10,280 --> 00:08:12,360 Speaker 2: actually won this game. This was a home game for 177 00:08:12,520 --> 00:08:16,960 Speaker 2: Michigan last year, but I'll submit that that team at 178 00:08:16,960 --> 00:08:19,200 Speaker 2: home was worse than this team will be on the 179 00:08:19,280 --> 00:08:21,120 Speaker 2: road now. I think USC is a better team than 180 00:08:21,160 --> 00:08:23,600 Speaker 2: they were last year as well. So you know it's 181 00:08:23,640 --> 00:08:26,000 Speaker 2: not you know, it's apples and oranges. We're not comparing 182 00:08:26,040 --> 00:08:29,520 Speaker 2: the same thing here, of course, But you know they 183 00:08:29,560 --> 00:08:31,160 Speaker 2: got gash last year on the run, and I think 184 00:08:31,200 --> 00:08:33,680 Speaker 2: that's gonna happen again this year. I think Michigan's gonna 185 00:08:33,720 --> 00:08:35,520 Speaker 2: run right down their throat. I think they're going to 186 00:08:35,600 --> 00:08:38,080 Speaker 2: dominate time of possession, and that's how you beat a 187 00:08:38,080 --> 00:08:40,240 Speaker 2: team like USC. You don't let them have the ball. 188 00:08:40,679 --> 00:08:42,480 Speaker 2: You make them panic when they do have the ball, 189 00:08:42,520 --> 00:08:44,560 Speaker 2: thinking we got to score, we got to score, and 190 00:08:44,600 --> 00:08:47,559 Speaker 2: you put pressure on them. So I think Michigan can 191 00:08:47,600 --> 00:08:49,440 Speaker 2: do this with their defense in their run game. Bryce 192 00:08:49,520 --> 00:08:52,600 Speaker 2: Underwood is the is the key here if he does 193 00:08:52,640 --> 00:08:55,240 Speaker 2: not make major mistakes like he did against Oklahoma. And 194 00:08:55,280 --> 00:08:58,640 Speaker 2: by the way, Oklahoma's defense way way better than USC. 195 00:08:59,559 --> 00:09:01,400 Speaker 2: I think this team is going to be pretty good 196 00:09:01,400 --> 00:09:03,080 Speaker 2: on the road. They're gonna put up a fight here. 197 00:09:03,800 --> 00:09:05,800 Speaker 2: I think they come away with a win on the 198 00:09:05,840 --> 00:09:10,080 Speaker 2: money line. So I'm gonna take the Wolverines at USC. Look, 199 00:09:10,240 --> 00:09:12,680 Speaker 2: I'm just gonna roll Texas Tech until they don't hit. 200 00:09:13,080 --> 00:09:17,520 Speaker 2: So I'm rolling down steam on this. BP didn't like it, 201 00:09:17,800 --> 00:09:20,440 Speaker 2: so you know you don't have to ride with me 202 00:09:20,480 --> 00:09:22,160 Speaker 2: on this when I understand this. But this is just 203 00:09:22,200 --> 00:09:24,160 Speaker 2: me backing Texas Tech. They're fourteen and a half point 204 00:09:24,240 --> 00:09:26,920 Speaker 2: favorites at home against Kansas. I think Kansas is a 205 00:09:26,920 --> 00:09:29,840 Speaker 2: pretty good team, but they've had some injuries, specifically on offense. 206 00:09:29,880 --> 00:09:31,839 Speaker 2: I think what they're going to rely on in this 207 00:09:31,880 --> 00:09:35,880 Speaker 2: game against this Texas Tech defense that has been awesome. 208 00:09:36,040 --> 00:09:39,240 Speaker 2: I mean, look, they haven't been super challenged, right, they 209 00:09:39,280 --> 00:09:42,080 Speaker 2: haven't had a really tough game yet. I mean, going 210 00:09:42,120 --> 00:09:45,320 Speaker 2: to Utah and winning is very impressive. But Utah is 211 00:09:45,320 --> 00:09:48,080 Speaker 2: probably not as good as we think. So you know, 212 00:09:48,400 --> 00:09:52,520 Speaker 2: Texas Tech. There are still some questions, but this looks 213 00:09:52,559 --> 00:09:54,360 Speaker 2: like an upper echelon team. To me, this looks like 214 00:09:54,400 --> 00:09:58,760 Speaker 2: a Big twelve title winner and a playoff contender. So 215 00:09:59,320 --> 00:10:01,600 Speaker 2: I'm gonna roll with Texas Technically the fourteen and a half. 216 00:10:01,640 --> 00:10:05,280 Speaker 2: I think they beat the breaks off of Kansas. This 217 00:10:05,320 --> 00:10:07,920 Speaker 2: one's weird. I've got a couple weird ones this week. 218 00:10:07,960 --> 00:10:11,000 Speaker 2: I don't usually get too granular, but let's go first 219 00:10:11,080 --> 00:10:14,040 Speaker 2: quarter over on LSU South Carolina. I might like the 220 00:10:14,160 --> 00:10:16,559 Speaker 2: under for the entire game because neither one of these 221 00:10:16,559 --> 00:10:20,360 Speaker 2: offenses have really done anything yet. But both teams coming 222 00:10:20,400 --> 00:10:22,680 Speaker 2: off by weeks, so you get two weeks to script 223 00:10:22,720 --> 00:10:25,079 Speaker 2: up drives. We just saw what that did for Florida, right, 224 00:10:25,520 --> 00:10:28,520 Speaker 2: So I think that this could be a really good 225 00:10:29,120 --> 00:10:32,400 Speaker 2: game for South Carolina and LSU to both put some 226 00:10:32,440 --> 00:10:34,959 Speaker 2: points up early on those scripted drives. So if they 227 00:10:34,960 --> 00:10:37,480 Speaker 2: both pay off, that's fourteen points. But if we get 228 00:10:37,520 --> 00:10:39,160 Speaker 2: one score and a touchdown and one kick in a 229 00:10:39,160 --> 00:10:41,280 Speaker 2: field goal. We're there too, So nine and a half 230 00:10:41,320 --> 00:10:42,800 Speaker 2: in the first quarter. We're going to go over that 231 00:10:43,040 --> 00:10:46,320 Speaker 2: for LSU South Carolina TCU minus two and a half 232 00:10:46,360 --> 00:10:49,280 Speaker 2: at Kansas State, we're gonna take the over fifty five 233 00:10:49,280 --> 00:10:51,640 Speaker 2: and a half two. Dylan Edwards is out for this game, 234 00:10:51,679 --> 00:10:54,000 Speaker 2: and I know Kansas State has been a better offense 235 00:10:54,040 --> 00:10:55,640 Speaker 2: when he's been healthy the last two weeks, but he 236 00:10:55,679 --> 00:10:57,400 Speaker 2: was banged up last week and they put up points. 237 00:10:57,720 --> 00:11:00,680 Speaker 2: And I think TCU can score on any buddy right now. 238 00:11:00,720 --> 00:11:03,600 Speaker 2: I know they're on the road here, but I do 239 00:11:03,640 --> 00:11:05,800 Speaker 2: not believe in this Kansas State team. They keep losing 240 00:11:05,840 --> 00:11:09,560 Speaker 2: one score games very frequently this season. I think three 241 00:11:10,240 --> 00:11:13,760 Speaker 2: three to one score losses already for k State might 242 00:11:13,760 --> 00:11:17,360 Speaker 2: be four, so a lot of won one game losses 243 00:11:17,520 --> 00:11:21,520 Speaker 2: for the Wildcats, and TCU is just doing this with offense. 244 00:11:21,559 --> 00:11:25,360 Speaker 2: I think Josh Hoover has been at excellent. Kansas State 245 00:11:25,480 --> 00:11:29,800 Speaker 2: is just middling on defense. So we've seen the give 246 00:11:29,880 --> 00:11:31,920 Speaker 2: up for k State as well. I've lost some money 247 00:11:31,960 --> 00:11:35,000 Speaker 2: on them, So we're gonna go with TCU here. I 248 00:11:35,040 --> 00:11:36,880 Speaker 2: just think they're a much better team than Kansas State 249 00:11:36,920 --> 00:11:40,120 Speaker 2: this season. No Dylan Edwards for Kansas State hurts a 250 00:11:40,120 --> 00:11:42,719 Speaker 2: little bit as well. But I think we're gonna get 251 00:11:42,720 --> 00:11:45,600 Speaker 2: thirty five from TCU. They keep passing the ball well, 252 00:11:45,600 --> 00:11:47,640 Speaker 2: I think they're gonna put up a lot of points here. 253 00:11:47,720 --> 00:11:50,839 Speaker 2: So can we get twenty one from Kansas State? I 254 00:11:50,880 --> 00:11:53,880 Speaker 2: think we can. So let's go thirty five to twenty 255 00:11:53,880 --> 00:11:57,960 Speaker 2: one TCU. That gets us more than home Maryland plus 256 00:11:58,000 --> 00:12:00,600 Speaker 2: six and a half for Nebraska. Look, Nebraska because a 257 00:12:00,640 --> 00:12:04,360 Speaker 2: good team, but Maryland just held their own at home 258 00:12:04,400 --> 00:12:08,600 Speaker 2: against Washington, right, So Nebraska's coming in here, and I 259 00:12:08,640 --> 00:12:12,200 Speaker 2: think their run problems have been overblown. Matt Rule talked 260 00:12:12,200 --> 00:12:14,400 Speaker 2: about it this week, like, hey, look, you know, our 261 00:12:14,440 --> 00:12:17,320 Speaker 2: running backs are great, but they've given up a lot 262 00:12:17,360 --> 00:12:19,640 Speaker 2: of sacks. It's not really the only line giving up 263 00:12:19,679 --> 00:12:22,080 Speaker 2: the sacks either. It's Rayela holding the ball too long 264 00:12:22,480 --> 00:12:25,480 Speaker 2: and you cannot do that against this Maryland teams. Maryland 265 00:12:25,480 --> 00:12:28,800 Speaker 2: team already is nineteen sacks this season. They will get 266 00:12:28,840 --> 00:12:31,760 Speaker 2: after the quarterback, so it's more for the defensive side. 267 00:12:31,760 --> 00:12:34,440 Speaker 2: To me, Although I do really like Malik Washington, I 268 00:12:34,480 --> 00:12:37,280 Speaker 2: also like just you know, I like him to be 269 00:12:37,360 --> 00:12:38,880 Speaker 2: able to pull the ball down and run it a 270 00:12:38,880 --> 00:12:40,599 Speaker 2: little bit against this team as well. 271 00:12:40,400 --> 00:12:41,920 Speaker 1: So rushing total. 272 00:12:41,960 --> 00:12:44,200 Speaker 2: I won't mess with him my props because he could 273 00:12:44,280 --> 00:12:46,520 Speaker 2: get sacked, right, But I think that's going to be 274 00:12:46,679 --> 00:12:50,199 Speaker 2: the difference maker for Maryland is I think Malik Washington's 275 00:12:50,280 --> 00:12:52,520 Speaker 2: legs on offense because they haven't had a particularly good 276 00:12:52,600 --> 00:12:56,440 Speaker 2: run game yet at Maryland, and it's strength on strength 277 00:12:56,520 --> 00:12:59,959 Speaker 2: versus Nebraska on offense. For Maryland, their passing game against 278 00:13:00,040 --> 00:13:01,840 Speaker 2: a very good coverage unit number one in the nation 279 00:13:02,120 --> 00:13:04,000 Speaker 2: in Nebraska, so they're gonna have to run the ball. 280 00:13:04,720 --> 00:13:07,000 Speaker 2: I think Lake Washington hasn't been asked to run the 281 00:13:07,040 --> 00:13:09,040 Speaker 2: ball that much this year as a true freshman, but 282 00:13:09,080 --> 00:13:10,360 Speaker 2: he's going to be able to do it here. 283 00:13:10,360 --> 00:13:11,560 Speaker 1: He is a dual threat. 284 00:13:11,760 --> 00:13:13,920 Speaker 2: He ran a lot in high school and it's a 285 00:13:13,960 --> 00:13:16,800 Speaker 2: tool in the tool belt that he has not unleashed yet. 286 00:13:17,440 --> 00:13:20,000 Speaker 2: We're gonna go Wisconsin team total under seventeen and a half. 287 00:13:20,000 --> 00:13:20,240 Speaker 1: Look. 288 00:13:20,640 --> 00:13:23,840 Speaker 2: Mark Gronowski is a question mark in this game. I 289 00:13:23,840 --> 00:13:27,240 Speaker 2: think he's going to play, though they're splitting practice reps 290 00:13:27,240 --> 00:13:30,719 Speaker 2: between all three quarterbacks that they could start at Iowa. 291 00:13:30,840 --> 00:13:35,640 Speaker 2: But Farrence said he was very encouraged on Wednesday and 292 00:13:35,679 --> 00:13:37,960 Speaker 2: everything is trending in the right direction. So I'm gonna 293 00:13:37,960 --> 00:13:40,080 Speaker 2: read between the lions and we're going to say that 294 00:13:40,120 --> 00:13:44,280 Speaker 2: Gronowski plays. Gronowski doesn't have to play for Wisconsin. Not 295 00:13:44,360 --> 00:13:47,560 Speaker 2: to score Wisconsin has been bad. They've been playing musical 296 00:13:47,640 --> 00:13:50,679 Speaker 2: chairs at quarterback as well. 297 00:13:50,800 --> 00:13:54,480 Speaker 1: So yeah, I think that I think that. 298 00:13:56,120 --> 00:13:58,800 Speaker 2: Wisconsin is going to not score seventeen and a half 299 00:13:58,840 --> 00:14:03,040 Speaker 2: points against Iowa. Iowa Indiana to twenty, right, So I 300 00:14:03,320 --> 00:14:06,800 Speaker 2: just this offense has been real rough for Wisconsin. I 301 00:14:06,880 --> 00:14:08,520 Speaker 2: do not think they get to seventeen and a half 302 00:14:08,559 --> 00:14:09,400 Speaker 2: points in this game. 303 00:14:09,440 --> 00:14:12,960 Speaker 1: This is a tall, tall ask, all right. 304 00:14:13,040 --> 00:14:15,800 Speaker 2: Before we get to the props, let me go ahead 305 00:14:16,360 --> 00:14:20,200 Speaker 2: and tell you guys about the VP Discord. If you're 306 00:14:20,240 --> 00:14:23,000 Speaker 2: looking to up your games in sports betting, join our 307 00:14:23,040 --> 00:14:26,840 Speaker 2: exclusive sports betting discord community at bettingpros dot com slash chat. 308 00:14:27,040 --> 00:14:30,240 Speaker 2: Not only can you connect with expert handicappers to provide 309 00:14:30,240 --> 00:14:33,720 Speaker 2: free picks for the NBA, NFL, MLBNHL player props, live betting, 310 00:14:33,760 --> 00:14:36,400 Speaker 2: and more, but now you can also participate in our 311 00:14:36,440 --> 00:14:39,240 Speaker 2: weekly community picks, cast your vote, see how your picks 312 00:14:39,240 --> 00:14:43,320 Speaker 2: stack up against the experts, and track your success, and 313 00:14:43,600 --> 00:14:47,400 Speaker 2: also check your bets with the app man the Betting 314 00:14:47,400 --> 00:14:50,240 Speaker 2: Pros app. Track your bets, stay accountable and level up 315 00:14:50,440 --> 00:14:54,040 Speaker 2: by downloading the Betting Pros app with Sportsbooks Sink, automatically 316 00:14:54,080 --> 00:14:57,840 Speaker 2: track your bets across all major sports books in one spot. 317 00:14:58,120 --> 00:15:01,560 Speaker 2: Easily monitor your bet performance by sport bet type, including 318 00:15:01,560 --> 00:15:05,120 Speaker 2: game picks, props, and parlays. Create custom betting systems to 319 00:15:05,200 --> 00:15:09,200 Speaker 2: find winning trends and profitable opportunities. Get a seven day 320 00:15:09,240 --> 00:15:13,280 Speaker 2: free trial of the Betting Pros Premium by using code 321 00:15:13,680 --> 00:15:19,520 Speaker 2: Juice Juice and activating your free trial on the upgrade screen. 322 00:15:19,920 --> 00:15:22,760 Speaker 2: All right, let's go over the props from last week. 323 00:15:22,840 --> 00:15:28,160 Speaker 2: Like I said, five and six touchdowns. We got two 324 00:15:28,200 --> 00:15:31,760 Speaker 2: of three here. Danie O'Neil didn't play. Sowresby got over. 325 00:15:32,560 --> 00:15:35,640 Speaker 2: Vegan did not get to seventy one and a half yards, 326 00:15:35,760 --> 00:15:38,200 Speaker 2: not even close. Jayden Paul was way over, he had 327 00:15:38,240 --> 00:15:41,400 Speaker 2: so many carries, Jamari Taylor missed it by a yard 328 00:15:41,400 --> 00:15:44,040 Speaker 2: and a half on the rushing yards. And Ramelo Brinson 329 00:15:44,120 --> 00:15:45,880 Speaker 2: we did get. We're going to double down on him 330 00:15:45,920 --> 00:15:49,120 Speaker 2: this week as well. So looking at the props that 331 00:15:49,160 --> 00:15:52,200 Speaker 2: I want to roll this week, we are going to 332 00:15:52,240 --> 00:15:55,320 Speaker 2: go with touchdown calls from Jeneium Price running back from 333 00:15:55,360 --> 00:15:59,080 Speaker 2: Notre Dame against NC State. I just think Notre Dame 334 00:15:59,120 --> 00:16:01,760 Speaker 2: is scoring on everybody. I think NC State is gonna 335 00:16:01,760 --> 00:16:03,680 Speaker 2: have no problem. They have a really bad run defense. 336 00:16:03,840 --> 00:16:05,640 Speaker 2: We're gonna go with k Tron Allen, who scored all 337 00:16:05,680 --> 00:16:09,400 Speaker 2: those touchdowns last week, to get another one against Northwestern. 338 00:16:09,560 --> 00:16:12,000 Speaker 2: I think, and our boys Seth who is a Penn 339 00:16:12,040 --> 00:16:15,720 Speaker 2: State fan. I just I think Penn State is going 340 00:16:15,800 --> 00:16:17,760 Speaker 2: to be angry. I think they're gonna roll Northwestern. I 341 00:16:17,760 --> 00:16:20,000 Speaker 2: think he's right about this. I think everybody gets a piece. 342 00:16:21,120 --> 00:16:24,160 Speaker 2: One of the highest overs of the week. Tennessee versus Arkansas. 343 00:16:24,240 --> 00:16:26,880 Speaker 2: Let's go with Tennessee running back to Shawn Bishop to 344 00:16:27,000 --> 00:16:28,880 Speaker 2: score a touchdown in that game. I think that one 345 00:16:28,960 --> 00:16:32,280 Speaker 2: is going to be an easy one. It's almost seventy points. 346 00:16:32,320 --> 00:16:34,160 Speaker 2: Believe it was sixty eight and a half when I 347 00:16:34,200 --> 00:16:37,520 Speaker 2: looked the other day. I consider taking the over man. 348 00:16:37,720 --> 00:16:40,280 Speaker 2: Tennessee can't stop anybody, and they score a lot. Arkansas 349 00:16:40,320 --> 00:16:42,360 Speaker 2: can't stop anybody either. That one is gonna be a 350 00:16:42,360 --> 00:16:47,000 Speaker 2: fun shootout. Michigan quarterback Bryce Underwood at usc usc just 351 00:16:47,000 --> 00:16:50,040 Speaker 2: giving up, you know, rushing touchdowns to quarterbacks all over 352 00:16:50,040 --> 00:16:53,200 Speaker 2: the place. Aden childs at two last week, so I 353 00:16:53,240 --> 00:16:56,320 Speaker 2: think that USC has been giving this up. Bryce Underwood 354 00:16:56,440 --> 00:16:57,840 Speaker 2: is going to have to pull it down and run. 355 00:16:58,000 --> 00:17:00,480 Speaker 2: I think he can get into the end zone as well. 356 00:17:01,080 --> 00:17:04,280 Speaker 2: As far as the props. Josh Hoover over one and 357 00:17:04,280 --> 00:17:06,840 Speaker 2: a half passing touchdowns at Kansas State. He has fifteen 358 00:17:06,880 --> 00:17:10,080 Speaker 2: touchdowns this season. Case State miden coverage real bad in 359 00:17:10,160 --> 00:17:12,879 Speaker 2: pass rush grade, so I don't think they're going to 360 00:17:12,960 --> 00:17:14,879 Speaker 2: put any pressure on Josh Hoover. It's part of the 361 00:17:14,920 --> 00:17:17,160 Speaker 2: reason why I'm taking TCU in this game. I think 362 00:17:17,160 --> 00:17:18,920 Speaker 2: he's gonna be able to sit back and pick them 363 00:17:18,920 --> 00:17:22,080 Speaker 2: apart and find the open man wherever. That guy should 364 00:17:22,119 --> 00:17:25,359 Speaker 2: be very high receiving grades for TCU as well. They 365 00:17:25,440 --> 00:17:28,480 Speaker 2: got a lot of good weapons there, so over one 366 00:17:28,480 --> 00:17:30,480 Speaker 2: and a half passing touchdowns should be pretty easy for 367 00:17:30,520 --> 00:17:32,719 Speaker 2: Hoover to get In that one. We're gonna go Virginia 368 00:17:32,760 --> 00:17:34,920 Speaker 2: Tech quarterback Kyron Drones over ten and a half rushing 369 00:17:34,960 --> 00:17:38,760 Speaker 2: attempts against Wake, averaging twelve per game, or Georgia Tech. 370 00:17:38,800 --> 00:17:41,760 Speaker 2: Excuse me, he's averaging twelve rush attempts per game. He's 371 00:17:41,840 --> 00:17:45,920 Speaker 2: hit this prop in three of four Power for matchups 372 00:17:46,960 --> 00:17:50,359 Speaker 2: or excuse me, I'm sorry, three or four quarterbacks against 373 00:17:50,400 --> 00:17:51,440 Speaker 2: Georgia Tech. 374 00:17:51,400 --> 00:17:53,560 Speaker 1: Have hit this prop. That is what I was trying 375 00:17:53,600 --> 00:17:54,000 Speaker 1: to say. 376 00:17:54,800 --> 00:17:56,680 Speaker 2: But ten and a half rush attemps for Kyeron Jones, 377 00:17:56,720 --> 00:17:58,720 Speaker 2: I think that could be pretty easy. 378 00:17:58,880 --> 00:18:00,840 Speaker 1: He's been pretty much there. Higher offense. 379 00:18:01,040 --> 00:18:03,280 Speaker 2: Ohio state wide receiver Jeremiah Smith over six and a 380 00:18:03,280 --> 00:18:06,479 Speaker 2: half receptions at Illinois. We talked about how Illinois has 381 00:18:06,480 --> 00:18:09,560 Speaker 2: a lot of dB issues so far this season and 382 00:18:11,000 --> 00:18:13,080 Speaker 2: didn't hit the first two weeks, but he's hit this 383 00:18:13,160 --> 00:18:14,600 Speaker 2: prop in three straight weeks. 384 00:18:14,960 --> 00:18:17,119 Speaker 1: Julian sand and Jeremiah Smith really working together. 385 00:18:17,200 --> 00:18:19,240 Speaker 2: Now. I told you we're going to double up on 386 00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:21,720 Speaker 2: SMU wide receiver Romelo Brinson over sixty five and a 387 00:18:21,720 --> 00:18:24,399 Speaker 2: half receiving yards over Stanford. Stanford is one hundred and 388 00:18:24,400 --> 00:18:28,560 Speaker 2: twenty second in coverage grade, and last week three San 389 00:18:28,640 --> 00:18:31,080 Speaker 2: Jose state wide receivers had over one hundred yards against 390 00:18:31,080 --> 00:18:34,000 Speaker 2: Stanford in four cleared sixty five and a half. So 391 00:18:34,760 --> 00:18:37,000 Speaker 2: I think we're Melo Brentson hits this one easy and 392 00:18:37,080 --> 00:18:40,800 Speaker 2: the last one. Iowa state wide receiver Brett Eskeltson over 393 00:18:40,840 --> 00:18:43,440 Speaker 2: forty and a half receiving yards at Colorado. He's hit 394 00:18:43,480 --> 00:18:46,280 Speaker 2: this in three of five weeks. Colorado one hundred and 395 00:18:46,320 --> 00:18:49,520 Speaker 2: thirty four of one hundred and thirty six graded teams 396 00:18:49,800 --> 00:18:53,439 Speaker 2: in coverage right now, So just not playing well on 397 00:18:53,480 --> 00:18:56,720 Speaker 2: the back end are the Buffaloes at all. Iowa State 398 00:18:56,760 --> 00:18:58,840 Speaker 2: doesn't pass the ball that much, but Eskelton has made 399 00:18:58,880 --> 00:19:01,080 Speaker 2: some big plays. He can get most of this in 400 00:19:01,200 --> 00:19:04,480 Speaker 2: one fell swoop. So just to double back to tell 401 00:19:04,480 --> 00:19:07,240 Speaker 2: you what all we are betting this week, I'm going 402 00:19:07,280 --> 00:19:10,560 Speaker 2: Illinois under seventeen and a half for Ohio State Oklahoma first, 403 00:19:10,600 --> 00:19:12,760 Speaker 2: Texas under forty five and a half wait for that 404 00:19:12,800 --> 00:19:15,520 Speaker 2: one because it is climbing Oregon. 405 00:19:15,600 --> 00:19:17,679 Speaker 1: I'm all lining this to minus six and a half. 406 00:19:18,000 --> 00:19:20,679 Speaker 2: The line is minus thirty two minus one thirty two 407 00:19:20,720 --> 00:19:22,960 Speaker 2: excuse me, and you get this at seven. But I 408 00:19:23,000 --> 00:19:26,000 Speaker 2: prefer to kill that hook. Michigan money line at USC 409 00:19:26,040 --> 00:19:29,160 Speaker 2: that's plus one ten. Texas Tech I'm laying fourteen and 410 00:19:29,240 --> 00:19:31,199 Speaker 2: the Hook versus Kansas I think they win that by 411 00:19:31,200 --> 00:19:34,159 Speaker 2: three touchdowns. LSU versus South Carolina over nine and a 412 00:19:34,200 --> 00:19:36,320 Speaker 2: half in the first quarter. Coming off BI weeks with 413 00:19:36,359 --> 00:19:39,040 Speaker 2: those scripted drives. TCU minus two and a half at 414 00:19:39,080 --> 00:19:41,119 Speaker 2: Kansas State and the over fifty five and a half. 415 00:19:41,160 --> 00:19:43,639 Speaker 2: We know TCU is going to score. Kansas State's offense 416 00:19:43,680 --> 00:19:46,000 Speaker 2: has looked improved the last two weeks. We're going to 417 00:19:46,000 --> 00:19:48,320 Speaker 2: bank on that. Maryland plus six and a half at 418 00:19:48,320 --> 00:19:51,360 Speaker 2: home versus Nebraska rail is holding the ball too long. 419 00:19:51,400 --> 00:19:53,320 Speaker 2: That Maryland pass rush is going to get to him 420 00:19:53,359 --> 00:19:55,640 Speaker 2: and make this one a tight one. Wisconsin team total 421 00:19:55,800 --> 00:19:57,879 Speaker 2: under seventeen and a half playing musical chairs at the 422 00:19:57,960 --> 00:20:02,119 Speaker 2: quarterback and IOSD is great. We don't care if Gronowski 423 00:20:02,160 --> 00:20:06,880 Speaker 2: plays or not. To get to the under for Wisconsin props. 424 00:20:07,119 --> 00:20:10,280 Speaker 2: We got touchdowns for Jeneeran Price, Ktron Allen, Deshaun Bishop, 425 00:20:10,320 --> 00:20:13,440 Speaker 2: and Bryce Underwood. Over one and a half, passing touchdowns 426 00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:15,560 Speaker 2: for Josh Hoover at k State, over ten and a 427 00:20:15,560 --> 00:20:18,640 Speaker 2: half rush attempts for Kyron Jones against Georgia Tech, over 428 00:20:18,720 --> 00:20:22,240 Speaker 2: six and a half, receptions at Illinois for Jeremiah Smith 429 00:20:22,760 --> 00:20:25,080 Speaker 2: and over sixty five and a half receiving yards for 430 00:20:25,200 --> 00:20:27,600 Speaker 2: Ramelo Brinson versus Stanford and over forty and a half 431 00:20:27,600 --> 00:20:30,399 Speaker 2: receiving yards for Brett Esklinson at Colorado. 432 00:20:30,960 --> 00:20:33,399 Speaker 1: That is it for me. Good luck everybody, and I 433 00:20:33,440 --> 00:20:35,480 Speaker 1: will see you next week. Take it easy. Thanks for 434 00:20:35,520 --> 00:20:37,280 Speaker 1: listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 435 00:20:37,520 --> 00:20:39,879 Speaker 2: If you love the show, the best freeway to support 436 00:20:39,960 --> 00:20:42,879 Speaker 2: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts 437 00:20:42,920 --> 00:20:45,960 Speaker 2: or Spotify. Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting 438 00:20:45,960 --> 00:20:49,760 Speaker 2: Pros and Instagram at betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to 439 00:20:49,800 --> 00:21:02,240 Speaker 2: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.