1 00:00:14,680 --> 00:00:17,400 Speaker 1: Happy Sunday, guys. What's up? Welcome in to another episode 2 00:00:17,400 --> 00:00:19,880 Speaker 1: of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Perrelt. 3 00:00:20,200 --> 00:00:22,799 Speaker 1: You guys can follow me across all socials at Sports 4 00:00:22,840 --> 00:00:26,079 Speaker 1: Talk Matt. It is a Sunday. We are going to 5 00:00:26,120 --> 00:00:28,280 Speaker 1: get baseball today. I have one baseball play that I'm 6 00:00:28,280 --> 00:00:30,720 Speaker 1: gonna give you, guys. I don't like betting baseball on Sundays, 7 00:00:30,760 --> 00:00:32,640 Speaker 1: and the reason being everyone's like, why do you like 8 00:00:32,680 --> 00:00:35,360 Speaker 1: betting baseball on Sundays? Well, the reason is because, again 9 00:00:35,440 --> 00:00:38,720 Speaker 1: to reiterate, Sunday is normally a day game after a 10 00:00:38,800 --> 00:00:42,240 Speaker 1: night game. It's normally the third game or the fourth game, 11 00:00:42,280 --> 00:00:45,560 Speaker 1: and the bullpens are text and there's a game tomorrow 12 00:00:45,680 --> 00:00:47,440 Speaker 1: in which they're most likely going to get on a 13 00:00:47,479 --> 00:00:49,360 Speaker 1: plane and they're going to want to get the heck 14 00:00:49,360 --> 00:00:51,839 Speaker 1: out of Dodge. So you get a lot of inconsistencies. 15 00:00:51,880 --> 00:00:55,320 Speaker 1: You get a lot of managers with quick hooks. You 16 00:00:55,400 --> 00:00:57,520 Speaker 1: got bullpens that are blown out and they give up 17 00:00:57,520 --> 00:00:59,800 Speaker 1: a lot of run. You got closers who maybe aren't 18 00:01:00,160 --> 00:01:04,120 Speaker 1: all that sharp. Day baseball versus night baseball. Guys are tired, 19 00:01:04,200 --> 00:01:07,880 Speaker 1: guys are sore. Blah blah blah, that's why the inconsistencies 20 00:01:07,880 --> 00:01:11,240 Speaker 1: of baseball are always there. But Sundays are really wonky. 21 00:01:11,319 --> 00:01:13,280 Speaker 1: But I do a baseball play for us on Sunday. 22 00:01:13,440 --> 00:01:16,119 Speaker 1: I got two bets in the WNBA three and oh 23 00:01:16,200 --> 00:01:19,640 Speaker 1: yesterday after going oh and three on Friday. That is 24 00:01:19,720 --> 00:01:23,560 Speaker 1: what this game is all about. I mean, that's betting, right, 25 00:01:23,640 --> 00:01:26,880 Speaker 1: I mean, that's just the craziness. You go oh and three, 26 00:01:27,319 --> 00:01:30,039 Speaker 1: you're down a bunch of units. It's like, Oh, everyone's 27 00:01:30,080 --> 00:01:32,720 Speaker 1: all mad, I'm bummed out, I'm ticked off. I mean 28 00:01:32,800 --> 00:01:36,440 Speaker 1: it's just like, ough, that really happened. And then you 29 00:01:36,480 --> 00:01:38,080 Speaker 1: come back and you sweep the board and go up 30 00:01:38,120 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 1: three units, you know, for us on the week. So 31 00:01:41,040 --> 00:01:43,120 Speaker 1: you know, that's where I think if you're going to 32 00:01:43,200 --> 00:01:45,600 Speaker 1: take a look at you know, how things have gone 33 00:01:45,600 --> 00:01:49,120 Speaker 1: and the way things are gone and everything else. Elder 34 00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:52,840 Speaker 1: Flowers under two and a half, Easy, under one, sixty 35 00:01:52,840 --> 00:01:56,720 Speaker 1: three and a half, Liberty Easy, Team Total Phillies eleven 36 00:01:56,800 --> 00:02:00,440 Speaker 1: runs easy, Easy, Easy Easy on Saturday three. You know 37 00:02:01,240 --> 00:02:03,960 Speaker 1: exactly what we like. So you know, as we now 38 00:02:04,040 --> 00:02:06,120 Speaker 1: hed sit here for the week and we're gonna have 39 00:02:06,120 --> 00:02:08,040 Speaker 1: to try to figure out what we're gonna do next, 40 00:02:08,040 --> 00:02:10,000 Speaker 1: and how we're gonna do it. You know, you go 41 00:02:10,040 --> 00:02:12,200 Speaker 1: two and one, two and one, two and one, you 42 00:02:12,280 --> 00:02:14,880 Speaker 1: go up point eight, up point nine, up point nine, 43 00:02:14,960 --> 00:02:17,320 Speaker 1: then you lose all three, so you lose all of that. 44 00:02:18,160 --> 00:02:23,640 Speaker 1: We were what down? We were down a unit and 45 00:02:23,680 --> 00:02:25,239 Speaker 1: a half maybe a little more than a unit and 46 00:02:25,320 --> 00:02:27,520 Speaker 1: a half going into yesterday, and we go up with 47 00:02:27,520 --> 00:02:29,400 Speaker 1: a three unit day, so we're up for the week. Okay, 48 00:02:29,440 --> 00:02:32,280 Speaker 1: So let's see if we can finish strong three bets 49 00:02:32,320 --> 00:02:34,400 Speaker 1: here for us on a Sunday and have another winning 50 00:02:34,440 --> 00:02:36,119 Speaker 1: week here and it will be our first winning week 51 00:02:36,160 --> 00:02:38,480 Speaker 1: for the month of July, which is good because well, 52 00:02:38,520 --> 00:02:41,160 Speaker 1: for week one was horrible. I don't know what we 53 00:02:41,160 --> 00:02:43,280 Speaker 1: wound up down, but it was not a good situation. 54 00:02:43,360 --> 00:02:45,840 Speaker 1: It was it was. It was bad bad. So, uh, 55 00:02:45,919 --> 00:02:48,679 Speaker 1: three units up three units yesterday is good. So got 56 00:02:48,720 --> 00:02:51,359 Speaker 1: the podcast back into the black two for the overall 57 00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:54,160 Speaker 1: podcast of the Daily Juice for the year for twenty 58 00:02:54,200 --> 00:02:57,839 Speaker 1: twenty four. So that's good. Let's start with WNBA. Let's 59 00:02:57,880 --> 00:03:00,440 Speaker 1: start with Las Vegas in Washington. Las Vegas on the 60 00:03:00,520 --> 00:03:02,720 Speaker 1: road at Washington Vegas is twelve and eight to the 61 00:03:02,760 --> 00:03:05,440 Speaker 1: over on the year, Washington thirteen and ten to the 62 00:03:05,480 --> 00:03:07,680 Speaker 1: over on the year. However, head to head, six and 63 00:03:07,760 --> 00:03:10,160 Speaker 1: four to the under the last ten times these teams 64 00:03:10,160 --> 00:03:14,160 Speaker 1: have played in games in Washington under one seventy four 65 00:03:14,560 --> 00:03:17,800 Speaker 1: and a half under one seventy the last two times 66 00:03:17,840 --> 00:03:21,320 Speaker 1: these teams played in Washington. For Vegas on the road, 67 00:03:21,720 --> 00:03:24,320 Speaker 1: they've been an under team on the road. Under against 68 00:03:24,320 --> 00:03:27,480 Speaker 1: Atlanta on the road, under against Seattle on the road, 69 00:03:27,520 --> 00:03:30,320 Speaker 1: did go over against LA that game went to overtime, 70 00:03:30,400 --> 00:03:33,200 Speaker 1: so it did go over, but under against Washington, the 71 00:03:33,240 --> 00:03:37,000 Speaker 1: same team they're playing here under one seventy four and 72 00:03:37,320 --> 00:03:40,040 Speaker 1: a half. That's three and one to the under over 73 00:03:40,080 --> 00:03:47,120 Speaker 1: the last four road games for Vegas. At home for Washington, 74 00:03:47,160 --> 00:03:49,160 Speaker 1: they've been I mean, they're seven and three to the 75 00:03:49,240 --> 00:03:51,800 Speaker 1: over over their last ten games, and a lot of 76 00:03:51,800 --> 00:03:54,480 Speaker 1: those games are being played on the road. They're coming 77 00:03:54,480 --> 00:03:56,720 Speaker 1: off of a four game road trip, so maybe some 78 00:03:56,840 --> 00:04:00,400 Speaker 1: tired legs here Vegas on the road. I'm going to 79 00:04:00,520 --> 00:04:03,880 Speaker 1: ride the Vegas road trend here. It's one seventy two 80 00:04:03,960 --> 00:04:06,480 Speaker 1: and a half at DraftKings at the time of taping. 81 00:04:06,760 --> 00:04:08,960 Speaker 1: We're going to go under one seventy two and a 82 00:04:09,000 --> 00:04:14,640 Speaker 1: half for Vegas and the Washington Mystics bet number two 83 00:04:14,760 --> 00:04:18,400 Speaker 1: for US. Here between Phoenix and Connecticut, these are the same, 84 00:04:18,520 --> 00:04:21,200 Speaker 1: very similar stats, but Connecticut eight and two to the 85 00:04:21,279 --> 00:04:24,720 Speaker 1: under over their last ten games, Phoenix six and four 86 00:04:24,760 --> 00:04:27,360 Speaker 1: to the under over their last ten games. When these 87 00:04:27,360 --> 00:04:30,240 Speaker 1: two teams have gotten together last ten times seven and 88 00:04:30,320 --> 00:04:33,039 Speaker 1: three to the under. If we take a look at 89 00:04:33,240 --> 00:04:36,880 Speaker 1: Phoenix and at home for Phoenix, they were over the 90 00:04:36,960 --> 00:04:40,160 Speaker 1: last game against Dallas, but under against Connecticut, the same 91 00:04:40,160 --> 00:04:43,480 Speaker 1: team that they're playing here when they were uh, it 92 00:04:43,520 --> 00:04:45,719 Speaker 1: was a one fifty seven and a half. The game 93 00:04:45,800 --> 00:04:49,920 Speaker 1: went under at home against Indiana for Phoenix. This game 94 00:04:49,960 --> 00:04:51,840 Speaker 1: is on the road, mind you, but you know they're 95 00:04:51,839 --> 00:04:55,599 Speaker 1: talking about against LA on the road under sixty seven 96 00:04:55,600 --> 00:04:58,000 Speaker 1: and a half. So the last three road games for 97 00:04:58,080 --> 00:05:01,800 Speaker 1: Phoenix they've gone two and one to the over. For Connecticut, however, 98 00:05:01,920 --> 00:05:05,159 Speaker 1: at home under against New York at one fifty nine, 99 00:05:05,279 --> 00:05:08,520 Speaker 1: under against Atlanta at one fifty and a half, over 100 00:05:08,560 --> 00:05:12,280 Speaker 1: against Atlanta at one fifty but under against the LA 101 00:05:12,360 --> 00:05:15,280 Speaker 1: Sparks at one fifty three and a half. This game 102 00:05:15,320 --> 00:05:17,560 Speaker 1: comes in the time of taping at one fifty five 103 00:05:18,040 --> 00:05:21,400 Speaker 1: and a half. Again, I think these numbers are juiced 104 00:05:21,760 --> 00:05:25,200 Speaker 1: because the public is coming in and betting more WNBA 105 00:05:25,279 --> 00:05:29,159 Speaker 1: games blindly without much experience in betting on the WNBA. 106 00:05:29,640 --> 00:05:32,600 Speaker 1: I think we're just seeing these numbers being overly inflated, 107 00:05:32,800 --> 00:05:35,000 Speaker 1: and I think we're seeing some benefit. Here's some opportunities 108 00:05:35,000 --> 00:05:37,800 Speaker 1: to bet unders under one fifty five and a half 109 00:05:37,839 --> 00:05:41,560 Speaker 1: for Phoenix and for Connecticut here for one point one units, 110 00:05:41,640 --> 00:05:45,640 Speaker 1: so a Sismistics under one seventy two and a half, 111 00:05:46,080 --> 00:05:50,200 Speaker 1: Mercury Sun under one fifty five and a half. Both 112 00:05:50,240 --> 00:05:53,880 Speaker 1: those bets for one point one units to baseball. And 113 00:05:53,920 --> 00:05:55,720 Speaker 1: we go to the Marlins and the Reds and it's 114 00:05:55,800 --> 00:05:59,640 Speaker 1: Nick Lodolo day up against Travis Rodgers. Travis Rodgers is 115 00:05:59,640 --> 00:06:01,919 Speaker 1: one in nine with a four point eight two ERA 116 00:06:02,160 --> 00:06:04,560 Speaker 1: and a one point five to nine whip. Nick Lodolo 117 00:06:04,680 --> 00:06:06,280 Speaker 1: is eight and three with a three point three to 118 00:06:06,279 --> 00:06:08,840 Speaker 1: three ERA and a one point one whip. First two 119 00:06:08,880 --> 00:06:12,719 Speaker 1: games of the series seven to four, ten six wins 120 00:06:12,839 --> 00:06:15,920 Speaker 1: for the Marlins wins. On the run line, the run 121 00:06:15,920 --> 00:06:22,159 Speaker 1: line is plus one fourteen here for the Reds at home, 122 00:06:22,320 --> 00:06:25,880 Speaker 1: nick Lodolo hasn't been outstanding. It's been good enough at home. 123 00:06:26,000 --> 00:06:29,080 Speaker 1: Last home start three and two thirds four earned runs, 124 00:06:29,080 --> 00:06:31,240 Speaker 1: but the team won the game. Twelve to six at 125 00:06:31,279 --> 00:06:33,719 Speaker 1: home against Boston four and two thirds, gave up three 126 00:06:33,760 --> 00:06:37,200 Speaker 1: earned runs, team lost seven to four. For that though 127 00:06:37,240 --> 00:06:40,560 Speaker 1: Cleveland six innings two earned runs in a four to 128 00:06:40,600 --> 00:06:43,400 Speaker 1: two win and six innings one earned run in a 129 00:06:43,440 --> 00:06:46,840 Speaker 1: three to two win over Chicago. Lodolo this year at 130 00:06:46,839 --> 00:06:48,800 Speaker 1: home was a four point zero seven ERA with a 131 00:06:48,800 --> 00:06:51,040 Speaker 1: four and two record, a two to sixty two opposing 132 00:06:51,120 --> 00:06:53,960 Speaker 1: betting average, nineteen earn runs in forty two innings worth 133 00:06:54,040 --> 00:06:56,320 Speaker 1: of work. But he's going up against the guy in 134 00:06:56,360 --> 00:07:00,040 Speaker 1: Travis Rodgers, who is not a gas can. But I 135 00:07:00,080 --> 00:07:02,480 Speaker 1: mean Trevor Rodgers. Excuse me, Trevor Rodgers is going to 136 00:07:02,560 --> 00:07:04,359 Speaker 1: guy I mean not gonna put many fear in people 137 00:07:04,440 --> 00:07:07,000 Speaker 1: on the road. Four point five four ERA, a one 138 00:07:07,000 --> 00:07:09,560 Speaker 1: in four record, a two eighty opposing batting average, twenty 139 00:07:09,600 --> 00:07:11,720 Speaker 1: one on runs, and forty one and two thirds innings 140 00:07:11,720 --> 00:07:14,160 Speaker 1: worth of work on the road for him against Houston 141 00:07:14,240 --> 00:07:16,360 Speaker 1: last time out, a four to three loss, five and 142 00:07:16,400 --> 00:07:18,600 Speaker 1: a third and two earned runs, a seven to four 143 00:07:18,680 --> 00:07:20,480 Speaker 1: winning it's Philly on the road for him and the 144 00:07:20,520 --> 00:07:22,960 Speaker 1: road for that and a four to nothing lost to Washington. 145 00:07:23,040 --> 00:07:25,480 Speaker 1: But you got a team here in Cincinnati. There are 146 00:07:25,520 --> 00:07:28,280 Speaker 1: fifty four and forty two on the run line that 147 00:07:28,400 --> 00:07:30,800 Speaker 1: is tied for the best record in baseball with the 148 00:07:30,840 --> 00:07:34,840 Speaker 1: Angels and the Washington Nationals for the best record for 149 00:07:35,320 --> 00:07:37,560 Speaker 1: games on the run line either plus one and a 150 00:07:37,600 --> 00:07:40,320 Speaker 1: half or minus one and a half. I'm gonna take 151 00:07:40,320 --> 00:07:42,800 Speaker 1: a shot here with the Reds to keep the streak alive, 152 00:07:42,880 --> 00:07:44,840 Speaker 1: to go and sweep the Marlins in the win by 153 00:07:44,880 --> 00:07:49,320 Speaker 1: more than one run here Reds run line minus one 154 00:07:49,320 --> 00:07:53,240 Speaker 1: and a half for plus one fourteen for one units. 155 00:07:53,360 --> 00:07:56,320 Speaker 1: So okay, three bets for us on a Sunday. Hopefully 156 00:07:56,360 --> 00:07:58,640 Speaker 1: we go two and one here, it's a winning week. 157 00:07:58,720 --> 00:08:00,680 Speaker 1: Even one and two it's a winning week. Oho to 158 00:08:00,760 --> 00:08:02,760 Speaker 1: three would hurt the week would have it be a 159 00:08:02,800 --> 00:08:05,800 Speaker 1: losing week. But under one seventy two and a half 160 00:08:05,880 --> 00:08:09,040 Speaker 1: asismistics under one fifty five and a half Mercury and 161 00:08:09,080 --> 00:08:11,480 Speaker 1: the Sun and the Reds on the run line at 162 00:08:11,520 --> 00:08:14,840 Speaker 1: plus one fourteen, we're putting in three point two units 163 00:08:14,880 --> 00:08:18,040 Speaker 1: in play here on a Sunday. Minus Matt Parol following 164 00:08:18,040 --> 00:08:21,200 Speaker 1: me across all socials at Sports Talk Matt every single morning. 165 00:08:21,560 --> 00:08:36,640 Speaker 1: Thanks to bedding pros, it's the daily Juice