WEBVTT - Trump Plans His Tariff ‘Liberation Day’ With More Targeted Push 

0:00:02.520 --> 0:00:07.000
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news.

0:00:08.640 --> 0:00:12.680
<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Business Week Insight from the reporters and

0:00:12.840 --> 0:00:16.800
<v Speaker 2>editors that bring you America's most trusted business magazine, plus

0:00:17.000 --> 0:00:20.799
<v Speaker 2>global business, finance and tech news. The Bloomberg Business Week

0:00:20.840 --> 0:00:25.760
<v Speaker 2>Podcast with Carol Masser and Tim Stenovek on Bloomberg Radio.

0:00:26.840 --> 0:00:28.479
<v Speaker 3>Check your calendars, Mark your calendars.

0:00:28.520 --> 0:00:30.560
<v Speaker 4>We're just about one week away from what President Trump

0:00:30.560 --> 0:00:34.760
<v Speaker 4>calls a Liberation Day tariff announcement, unveiling so called reciprocal

0:00:34.800 --> 0:00:38.240
<v Speaker 4>tariffs he sees as retribution for tariffs and other barriers

0:00:38.240 --> 0:00:41.880
<v Speaker 4>from other countries. This is including some of those longtime

0:00:42.040 --> 0:00:43.000
<v Speaker 4>US allies.

0:00:43.600 --> 0:00:43.800
<v Speaker 5>Yeah.

0:00:43.840 --> 0:00:47.360
<v Speaker 6>Well, the announcement would remain a very significant expansion of

0:00:47.479 --> 0:00:50.519
<v Speaker 6>US tariffs. It is shaping up as more focused than

0:00:50.560 --> 0:00:54.400
<v Speaker 6>the sprawling, fully global effort that Trump has otherwise mused about.

0:00:54.400 --> 0:00:56.760
<v Speaker 6>This is according to people familiar with the matter.

0:00:56.880 --> 0:00:58.960
<v Speaker 4>Meantime, just about ninety minutes or so ago, at a

0:00:59.000 --> 0:01:01.240
<v Speaker 4>White House Cabinet meetia being President, Trump also says he

0:01:01.280 --> 0:01:04.640
<v Speaker 4>will be announcing tariffs on cars very shortly and on

0:01:04.680 --> 0:01:07.640
<v Speaker 4>pharmaceuticals at some point in the not too distant future.

0:01:07.720 --> 0:01:11.840
<v Speaker 4>Those time parameters were his words directly let's get more

0:01:11.880 --> 0:01:14.960
<v Speaker 4>on the president's plans. We head to our Bloomberg News

0:01:15.000 --> 0:01:17.600
<v Speaker 4>Washington DC bureau and to Bloomberg News senior White House

0:01:17.600 --> 0:01:21.800
<v Speaker 4>correspondent Josh Wingrove. Josh, thank you for being with us.

0:01:21.800 --> 0:01:23.720
<v Speaker 4>We know it's super busy just trying to keep track

0:01:24.080 --> 0:01:26.840
<v Speaker 4>of all of the tariff news. President Trump talks about

0:01:26.840 --> 0:01:30.000
<v Speaker 4>liberation day, What exactly does he mean liberation from what

0:01:31.319 --> 0:01:31.840
<v Speaker 4>he thinks.

0:01:31.680 --> 0:01:34.080
<v Speaker 7>The US is being ripped off and that the tariffs

0:01:34.120 --> 0:01:38.440
<v Speaker 7>put in US exports by other countries exceed those, you know,

0:01:38.480 --> 0:01:40.800
<v Speaker 7>the ones that are in place for the US for

0:01:40.800 --> 0:01:42.800
<v Speaker 7>those countries to sell here. And in a lot of

0:01:42.800 --> 0:01:46.440
<v Speaker 7>cases he's right, there is an imbalance of export or

0:01:46.440 --> 0:01:49.280
<v Speaker 7>of tariff levels. But you know a lot of independent

0:01:49.280 --> 0:01:51.200
<v Speaker 7>economists would say they're just simply a function of being

0:01:51.240 --> 0:01:54.720
<v Speaker 7>the world's biggest economy, a consumer driven economy. So that's

0:01:54.760 --> 0:01:56.600
<v Speaker 7>why you don't have a lot of those mainstream sort

0:01:56.600 --> 0:01:59.200
<v Speaker 7>of economists on board with this. But the whole question

0:01:59.240 --> 0:02:01.360
<v Speaker 7>has been you know, what is he going to do?

0:02:01.440 --> 0:02:03.960
<v Speaker 7>And so if you're having trouble tracking the follow the

0:02:03.960 --> 0:02:06.600
<v Speaker 7>ball on this one, I hear you join the club.

0:02:07.440 --> 0:02:09.400
<v Speaker 7>Those stories of a couple of days ago that you

0:02:09.480 --> 0:02:12.400
<v Speaker 7>alluded to. You know, that story is that we think

0:02:12.440 --> 0:02:14.919
<v Speaker 7>that the plan coming on April second, as of now,

0:02:15.040 --> 0:02:17.680
<v Speaker 7>is taking shape as a narrower plan than he's mused

0:02:17.680 --> 0:02:20.840
<v Speaker 7>about in the past, chiefly because he's long since sort

0:02:20.880 --> 0:02:23.400
<v Speaker 7>of moved off the plan for a global tariff, and

0:02:23.440 --> 0:02:25.760
<v Speaker 7>now we'll do these reciprocal tariffs, but not necessarily in

0:02:25.800 --> 0:02:28.440
<v Speaker 7>every country, and that the plan as of now does

0:02:28.480 --> 0:02:31.000
<v Speaker 7>not firmly include, as we report a couple of days ago,

0:02:31.160 --> 0:02:34.359
<v Speaker 7>those sectoral tariffs. Now, as you note, we're told today

0:02:34.360 --> 0:02:37.040
<v Speaker 7>a couple of things. White is official telling us today

0:02:37.040 --> 0:02:40.480
<v Speaker 7>that sectoral tariffs remain on the table, and Trump, of

0:02:40.480 --> 0:02:43.840
<v Speaker 7>course himself alluding to a couple of them, autos and pharmaceuticals,

0:02:44.040 --> 0:02:46.480
<v Speaker 7>not really saying the timeframe, and he's kind of been

0:02:46.520 --> 0:02:50.360
<v Speaker 7>conflating autos and reciprocals as well. So these are a

0:02:50.360 --> 0:02:54.320
<v Speaker 7>lot of tea leaves to read. Tariffs are coming. The

0:02:54.360 --> 0:02:57.960
<v Speaker 7>exact sequencing, the scale of them, and on what day

0:02:58.040 --> 0:03:00.880
<v Speaker 7>and whether they're broken into batches remains unclear, but the

0:03:00.919 --> 0:03:03.960
<v Speaker 7>White House is obviously grappling with how wide to go.

0:03:04.440 --> 0:03:08.680
<v Speaker 7>There are internal discussions around that. Ceah Steve Myron telling

0:03:08.720 --> 0:03:11.520
<v Speaker 7>Slay Emosen on Bloomberg Television in the last hour that

0:03:11.560 --> 0:03:13.960
<v Speaker 7>those discussions are ongoing. So it's all TVD.

0:03:14.280 --> 0:03:17.120
<v Speaker 6>Well, what is We know it's all TBD, and we

0:03:17.200 --> 0:03:20.160
<v Speaker 6>know that, you know, Liberation Day, as the President calls it,

0:03:20.240 --> 0:03:22.720
<v Speaker 6>is just about a little over a week out at

0:03:22.720 --> 0:03:26.600
<v Speaker 6>this point. But what, Josh do we know about his

0:03:26.720 --> 0:03:31.360
<v Speaker 6>thinking and why maybe he's making this more targeted push

0:03:31.440 --> 0:03:33.600
<v Speaker 6>than he previously announced.

0:03:35.400 --> 0:03:37.720
<v Speaker 7>The implication is, and we don't know for sure, but

0:03:37.800 --> 0:03:40.880
<v Speaker 7>you know, markets have been reacting poorly to not only

0:03:40.880 --> 0:03:43.560
<v Speaker 7>the tariff threat and the specter of even more tariffs,

0:03:43.920 --> 0:03:47.280
<v Speaker 7>but the uncertainty around it, the whipsaw effect. Right He imposed,

0:03:47.320 --> 0:03:50.880
<v Speaker 7>for instance, those tariffs on Canada and Mexico, then clawed

0:03:50.880 --> 0:03:54.560
<v Speaker 7>them heavily back temporarily, I'd ad you know, a couple

0:03:54.560 --> 0:03:57.320
<v Speaker 7>of days later. What happens to those remains very much

0:03:57.360 --> 0:03:59.440
<v Speaker 7>in the air. That's the third leg of the stool,

0:03:59.480 --> 0:04:02.480
<v Speaker 7>those fent null related tariffs. Remember, of course, he already

0:04:02.480 --> 0:04:04.880
<v Speaker 7>has tariffs in place on China that twenty percent rate.

0:04:05.120 --> 0:04:09.480
<v Speaker 7>Whether that's adjusted or added to by the reciprocal rate

0:04:09.520 --> 0:04:13.160
<v Speaker 7>that presumably will include China to some extent, we don't know.

0:04:13.520 --> 0:04:17.440
<v Speaker 7>But right now Trump himself is an avowed believer of tariffs.

0:04:17.480 --> 0:04:19.760
<v Speaker 7>Markets have been sort of betting that he would use

0:04:19.760 --> 0:04:23.200
<v Speaker 7>it more as a negotiating tool than a firm policy outcome.

0:04:23.520 --> 0:04:25.880
<v Speaker 7>I think it's pretty clear that Donald Trump wants tariffs

0:04:25.920 --> 0:04:27.640
<v Speaker 7>a big part of the equation, in part because they

0:04:27.640 --> 0:04:29.640
<v Speaker 7>want to book the revenue from it, as they have

0:04:29.760 --> 0:04:32.880
<v Speaker 7>these talks on Capitol Hill towards a reconciliation package to

0:04:32.920 --> 0:04:35.919
<v Speaker 7>extend those Trump tax cuts and enact other tax cuts

0:04:36.000 --> 0:04:38.080
<v Speaker 7>that he wants. So Trump wants to shift the revenue

0:04:38.080 --> 0:04:40.880
<v Speaker 7>base partially to tariffs. He thinks that sounds better. He

0:04:40.880 --> 0:04:42.760
<v Speaker 7>thinks he can sell it better. He thinks it prevents

0:04:43.120 --> 0:04:45.880
<v Speaker 7>or prevents sort of industries from moving away and can

0:04:45.920 --> 0:04:49.320
<v Speaker 7>help rekindle things like the auto sector and steel industry.

0:04:49.720 --> 0:04:52.560
<v Speaker 7>The industry groups themselves are just much much more mixed,

0:04:52.680 --> 0:04:56.240
<v Speaker 7>very nervous about this. Remember, of course, many American manufacturers,

0:04:56.279 --> 0:04:59.120
<v Speaker 7>for instance, rely on important materials as part of their

0:04:59.120 --> 0:05:01.760
<v Speaker 7>own supply chains. They'll be hit by this as well

0:05:01.760 --> 0:05:04.320
<v Speaker 7>if these start going pretty widespread. And of course, the

0:05:04.360 --> 0:05:05.560
<v Speaker 7>one thing we don't know is we just don't know

0:05:05.560 --> 0:05:07.280
<v Speaker 7>what the number is going to be, right Like, if

0:05:07.279 --> 0:05:10.440
<v Speaker 7>he comes out and says five percent or ten percent,

0:05:11.279 --> 0:05:14.040
<v Speaker 7>you know, versus a twenty five on a bunch of countries, right,

0:05:14.040 --> 0:05:15.960
<v Speaker 7>that's going to be such a big difference. We just

0:05:16.000 --> 0:05:19.280
<v Speaker 7>have no indication right now what that sort of reciprocal

0:05:19.360 --> 0:05:22.719
<v Speaker 7>number will be. But he's talked about sort of bigger

0:05:22.760 --> 0:05:24.720
<v Speaker 7>numbers when he has he's about it. For instance, he's

0:05:24.720 --> 0:05:27.719
<v Speaker 7>talked about a twenty percent viat tax in Europe that

0:05:27.720 --> 0:05:29.320
<v Speaker 7>he's going to count as a tariff. Well, if he

0:05:29.360 --> 0:05:31.640
<v Speaker 7>counts that dollar for dollar and we start looking at

0:05:31.640 --> 0:05:33.560
<v Speaker 7>that twenty five percent or something like that in Europe,

0:05:33.600 --> 0:05:36.000
<v Speaker 7>that's that's a big number. But we just simply don't know.

0:05:36.160 --> 0:05:37.719
<v Speaker 3>I mean, well we ever know the math, Josh?

0:05:37.760 --> 0:05:39.480
<v Speaker 4>And the only reason I ask is, as you note

0:05:39.480 --> 0:05:43.039
<v Speaker 4>in your article, you know, what the president does around

0:05:43.080 --> 0:05:46.600
<v Speaker 4>tariffs in particular, policy in general can be so fluid,

0:05:47.040 --> 0:05:49.279
<v Speaker 4>So like, will we ever really know the math about

0:05:49.360 --> 0:05:52.200
<v Speaker 4>tariffs versus tax revenue? I mean, obviously tax revenue would

0:05:52.200 --> 0:05:54.560
<v Speaker 4>be something passed through Congress and they'll be rules and stuff.

0:05:54.720 --> 0:05:56.200
<v Speaker 4>But when it comes to tariffs, I mean, he can

0:05:56.240 --> 0:05:58.919
<v Speaker 4>impose more pull back like it's hard.

0:05:58.720 --> 0:06:04.400
<v Speaker 7>Right totally, And they're making these numbers up essentially, right,

0:06:04.440 --> 0:06:06.720
<v Speaker 7>like they're counting things that are terrorists as well as

0:06:06.720 --> 0:06:09.360
<v Speaker 7>non tariff barriers. So there's an eye of the beholder

0:06:09.400 --> 0:06:12.080
<v Speaker 7>factor to this. Whatever Trump decides to count in his math,

0:06:12.160 --> 0:06:14.240
<v Speaker 7>they're going to count. So I think that's important to

0:06:14.640 --> 0:06:16.640
<v Speaker 7>sort of keep in mind. He's also made clear that

0:06:16.680 --> 0:06:18.760
<v Speaker 7>he can roll these things back, so you know, we

0:06:18.800 --> 0:06:22.039
<v Speaker 7>saw that twice now with the Mexicans and Canadians, once

0:06:22.120 --> 0:06:24.279
<v Speaker 7>a one month deferral and then another one a sort

0:06:24.279 --> 0:06:26.839
<v Speaker 7>of clawback for a month. And so there's also the

0:06:26.839 --> 0:06:29.440
<v Speaker 7>potential that some of these things could be enacted or

0:06:29.480 --> 0:06:32.800
<v Speaker 7>announced on the second maybe enacted immediately and then rolled

0:06:32.800 --> 0:06:35.880
<v Speaker 7>back potentially if other countries respond with lowering tariffs of

0:06:35.920 --> 0:06:38.360
<v Speaker 7>their own, or we could have an announcement where they're

0:06:38.400 --> 0:06:42.880
<v Speaker 7>announced but not immediately implemented, and then people can negotiate

0:06:42.920 --> 0:06:45.640
<v Speaker 7>presumably in that interim period. You know, it's just we

0:06:45.680 --> 0:06:47.960
<v Speaker 7>don't know. But that long leg time factor we have

0:06:48.080 --> 0:06:50.800
<v Speaker 7>been there before was stealing aluminum and then resolved as

0:06:50.880 --> 0:06:53.200
<v Speaker 7>they went in as scheduled. No one got an exemption,

0:06:53.320 --> 0:06:55.640
<v Speaker 7>So people should not hold their breath necessarily. That a

0:06:55.680 --> 0:06:58.880
<v Speaker 7>long implementation means that there's a window for some grand bargain.

0:06:59.000 --> 0:07:03.520
<v Speaker 6>Are there certain geographic regions that are more likely to

0:07:03.520 --> 0:07:05.920
<v Speaker 6>be rolled back or could be more temporary. I mean

0:07:06.000 --> 0:07:08.839
<v Speaker 6>Mexico in Canada the off ramp Josh for this is

0:07:08.880 --> 0:07:11.480
<v Speaker 6>related to fentanyl. The other tariffs that the President has

0:07:11.480 --> 0:07:14.320
<v Speaker 6>announced don't necessarily have those off ramps.

0:07:15.640 --> 0:07:18.040
<v Speaker 7>Yeah. I think he wants countries to announce the lowering

0:07:18.080 --> 0:07:20.720
<v Speaker 7>of their own tariffs, and we'll see whether they do that.

0:07:20.880 --> 0:07:23.800
<v Speaker 7>Mexico has taken a much more sort of muted approach

0:07:23.800 --> 0:07:26.240
<v Speaker 7>in their negotiations with that. There's been sort of positive

0:07:26.240 --> 0:07:29.200
<v Speaker 7>signs that the administration likes that they've got a new

0:07:29.240 --> 0:07:31.560
<v Speaker 7>prime minister in Canada. Of course, yesterday called a general

0:07:31.600 --> 0:07:33.640
<v Speaker 7>election that could lead to yet another new prime minister

0:07:33.720 --> 0:07:35.640
<v Speaker 7>in Canada in a month's time. So I think that

0:07:35.760 --> 0:07:39.320
<v Speaker 7>you know TVD on that one. Whether the Europeans announced

0:07:39.320 --> 0:07:42.640
<v Speaker 7>some sort of terror production deal in the EU, I

0:07:42.680 --> 0:07:45.080
<v Speaker 7>think really remains the case. He keeps talking about the EU,

0:07:45.440 --> 0:07:47.800
<v Speaker 7>but the countries that are really sort of on him

0:07:47.920 --> 0:07:50.200
<v Speaker 7>are countries that trade a lot with the US, that

0:07:50.320 --> 0:07:53.480
<v Speaker 7>have goods deficits in trade, or that the US as

0:07:53.480 --> 0:07:56.480
<v Speaker 7>a trade deficit of goods. That's an important one because

0:07:56.480 --> 0:07:58.880
<v Speaker 7>he doesn't tend to count services trade. It's only goods

0:07:58.920 --> 0:08:01.880
<v Speaker 7>trade typically that he count. And so by definition, if

0:08:01.920 --> 0:08:04.280
<v Speaker 7>you're hitting the people that you have big trade relationships with,

0:08:04.320 --> 0:08:06.120
<v Speaker 7>you're hitting the countries that you tend to be on

0:08:06.160 --> 0:08:08.760
<v Speaker 7>better terms with. Usually. Of course, there's big exceptions to that,

0:08:08.840 --> 0:08:11.960
<v Speaker 7>chiefly China. But that's what's sort of rattling things right

0:08:11.960 --> 0:08:14.200
<v Speaker 7>now is the ones that seem to be in the

0:08:14.200 --> 0:08:17.600
<v Speaker 7>line of fire right include many allies like Canada, like

0:08:17.640 --> 0:08:20.240
<v Speaker 7>the EU, like the Japanese, like the South Koreans.

0:08:20.480 --> 0:08:23.320
<v Speaker 4>Josh one last question and just about thirty seconds here,

0:08:23.360 --> 0:08:25.320
<v Speaker 4>but the White Houses argue that tariffs will make the

0:08:25.360 --> 0:08:28.280
<v Speaker 4>US more competitive a tract for an investment. We've seen

0:08:28.560 --> 0:08:32.080
<v Speaker 4>some announcements from global companies around that pledges of money

0:08:32.120 --> 0:08:35.080
<v Speaker 4>to be spent in the US. Pledges mean exactly what

0:08:35.320 --> 0:08:39.239
<v Speaker 4>it's promises, but not necessarily reality. I mean, does tariffs

0:08:39.440 --> 0:08:41.959
<v Speaker 4>lead to more investment into a country just quickly?

0:08:42.679 --> 0:08:45.640
<v Speaker 7>So far, there have been announcements of investment that you

0:08:45.720 --> 0:08:48.920
<v Speaker 7>could link to the threat of tariffs. Whether those investments

0:08:48.920 --> 0:08:53.360
<v Speaker 7>materialize remains to be seen, and of course the other

0:08:53.440 --> 0:08:55.360
<v Speaker 7>side of that coin also remains to be seen. In

0:08:55.360 --> 0:08:57.959
<v Speaker 7>other words, companies might announce their coming, but other ones

0:08:58.080 --> 0:08:59.679
<v Speaker 7>might not be able to survive the tariffs and they

0:08:59.679 --> 0:09:01.240
<v Speaker 7>have to shop.

0:09:00.640 --> 0:09:01.520
<v Speaker 3>All right, good stuff.

0:09:01.800 --> 0:09:04.000
<v Speaker 4>Obviously one of our big stories, if not our big story.

0:09:04.120 --> 0:09:06.640
<v Speaker 4>Certainly the markets are watching today. Josh, thank you so much,

0:09:06.720 --> 0:09:09.360
<v Speaker 4>Josh wein Grove. He has senior White House correspondent Bloomberg

0:09:09.440 --> 0:09:10.960
<v Speaker 4>News there in our DC bureau.

0:09:11.559 --> 0:09:15.120
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

0:09:15.200 --> 0:09:18.640
<v Speaker 2>live weekday afternoons from two to five pm Eastern. Listen

0:09:18.679 --> 0:09:22.199
<v Speaker 2>on Apple CarPlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app,

0:09:22.360 --> 0:09:24.200
<v Speaker 2>or watch us live on YouTube.

0:09:25.040 --> 0:09:27.720
<v Speaker 4>At the beginning of the year, our Boomberg Opinions team

0:09:27.760 --> 0:09:30.800
<v Speaker 4>featured a column and Tim noted crypto could go rogue.

0:09:30.840 --> 0:09:33.280
<v Speaker 4>At twenty twenty five, again it was a bunch of

0:09:33.320 --> 0:09:36.120
<v Speaker 4>opinion writers like weighing in. They noted that when Donald

0:09:36.160 --> 0:09:37.760
<v Speaker 4>Trump returned to the White House, which of course we

0:09:37.800 --> 0:09:41.320
<v Speaker 4>know he did, digital currencies may either go mainstream or

0:09:41.600 --> 0:09:43.920
<v Speaker 4>till they could be brought down by a cast of villain.

0:09:44.160 --> 0:09:46.920
<v Speaker 6>We haven't seen him brought down yet. Our next guest

0:09:47.000 --> 0:09:50.120
<v Speaker 6>company provides tools for ferreting out crypto related crimes. Joining

0:09:50.200 --> 0:09:54.120
<v Speaker 6>us as Marianna Maria Haustova, chief operating officer at the

0:09:54.160 --> 0:09:58.720
<v Speaker 6>Blockchain Analytics from Crystal Intelligence. She joins us from Dubai. Marina,

0:09:58.800 --> 0:10:02.199
<v Speaker 6>good to have you on the program this afternoon. What

0:10:02.320 --> 0:10:07.240
<v Speaker 6>are you seeing at Crystal Intelligence when it comes to analytics,

0:10:07.360 --> 0:10:10.520
<v Speaker 6>who's using the platform and who in your view, is

0:10:10.679 --> 0:10:13.160
<v Speaker 6>using crypto for illicit purposes?

0:10:14.240 --> 0:10:16.840
<v Speaker 8>Oh, thank you so much, heirs for having me today.

0:10:17.000 --> 0:10:18.120
<v Speaker 8>I'm happy to be here.

0:10:18.760 --> 0:10:18.960
<v Speaker 5>Yeah.

0:10:19.040 --> 0:10:23.320
<v Speaker 8>Well, our customers are coming from two sides, from financial

0:10:23.360 --> 0:10:27.079
<v Speaker 8>institutions and institutions care about what kind of assets do

0:10:27.160 --> 0:10:30.680
<v Speaker 8>they accept as payments, so for compliance teams, and another

0:10:31.160 --> 0:10:33.960
<v Speaker 8>cohort of our customers are governmental bodies and law enforcement

0:10:34.000 --> 0:10:38.439
<v Speaker 8>agencies around the world, who, of course fight crime. And

0:10:38.720 --> 0:10:43.600
<v Speaker 8>when we talk about who uses that, of course, right now,

0:10:43.720 --> 0:10:46.839
<v Speaker 8>crypt steel stays as one of the avenues, you know.

0:10:47.000 --> 0:10:49.199
<v Speaker 8>So one of the methods for money lounder is to

0:10:49.360 --> 0:10:51.800
<v Speaker 8>try to hide money, and especially for those type of

0:10:51.880 --> 0:10:57.600
<v Speaker 8>criminals who are trying to attack or hack particular financial institutions,

0:10:57.640 --> 0:11:01.040
<v Speaker 8>steal their crypto funds and then try to go away

0:11:01.080 --> 0:11:04.040
<v Speaker 8>with them. So yeah, this is the usual case that

0:11:04.080 --> 0:11:04.520
<v Speaker 8>we're doing with.

0:11:04.840 --> 0:11:07.839
<v Speaker 6>Well, whatever I bring up to crypto folks that you know,

0:11:07.960 --> 0:11:12.559
<v Speaker 6>the one criticism of cryptocurrency is that it can be

0:11:12.679 --> 0:11:15.480
<v Speaker 6>used for illicted purposes. They always push back against me

0:11:15.559 --> 0:11:18.840
<v Speaker 6>and say, hey, criminals have been using cash since cash

0:11:19.000 --> 0:11:24.160
<v Speaker 6>was around for money laundering for illicit purposes. This is

0:11:24.240 --> 0:11:28.560
<v Speaker 6>no different. It's actually more easy to track crypto because

0:11:28.559 --> 0:11:30.679
<v Speaker 6>of the blockchain. Depending on what we're talking about. We

0:11:30.760 --> 0:11:33.920
<v Speaker 6>should note not all crypto is the same. But in

0:11:34.040 --> 0:11:36.079
<v Speaker 6>your view, how do you take that criticism?

0:11:39.520 --> 0:11:43.480
<v Speaker 8>Well, to me, cryptocurrency is transparent and vie DeVault and

0:11:43.679 --> 0:11:45.959
<v Speaker 8>cash is not so much. So that's why I'm here

0:11:46.000 --> 0:11:49.559
<v Speaker 8>in this industry. And yeah, that's what we've seen for many,

0:11:49.640 --> 0:11:54.800
<v Speaker 8>many years. Basically, the blockchain technology enables us to track

0:11:55.120 --> 0:11:57.600
<v Speaker 8>through all the movements to understand, you know, what actors

0:11:57.720 --> 0:12:01.280
<v Speaker 8>are involved in the particular transactions. So to me, the

0:12:01.320 --> 0:12:05.000
<v Speaker 8>transparency that we're bringing is just something incomparable to what

0:12:05.160 --> 0:12:09.120
<v Speaker 8>is possible to achieve through traditional financial methods. And yeah,

0:12:09.280 --> 0:12:11.760
<v Speaker 8>a lot of possibilities. We are, of course have to

0:12:11.800 --> 0:12:15.120
<v Speaker 8>compete to the with the bad actress because they're also

0:12:15.240 --> 0:12:18.079
<v Speaker 8>like very inventive. We work twenty for seven on like

0:12:18.840 --> 0:12:21.640
<v Speaker 8>combating crime, and they work twenty for seven trying to

0:12:21.760 --> 0:12:22.680
<v Speaker 8>you know, outrace us.

0:12:23.679 --> 0:12:26.199
<v Speaker 4>You know, Marina, we have definitely talked about and covered

0:12:26.200 --> 0:12:29.240
<v Speaker 4>a lot here at Bloomberg. You know, crypto crimes or

0:12:29.280 --> 0:12:32.439
<v Speaker 4>crypto related crimes. What are the most common types of

0:12:32.520 --> 0:12:35.600
<v Speaker 4>crypto related crimes and who happens to do them the most?

0:12:35.760 --> 0:12:37.960
<v Speaker 6>I mean, what if Carol were to do a crime,

0:12:38.440 --> 0:12:40.319
<v Speaker 6>what crime would you recommend for Carol to do?

0:12:41.320 --> 0:12:41.600
<v Speaker 1>I'm just.

0:12:43.800 --> 0:12:44.839
<v Speaker 3>I think hypothetical.

0:12:46.080 --> 0:12:50.120
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, we can take the biggest heighst that happened recently,

0:12:50.720 --> 0:12:54.040
<v Speaker 8>the bigger cryptocurrency exchange was hacked and the billions was

0:12:54.080 --> 0:12:59.839
<v Speaker 8>still and the big, big team and we expect that

0:13:00.040 --> 0:13:02.520
<v Speaker 8>these team is very much connected with North Korea, has

0:13:02.600 --> 0:13:05.959
<v Speaker 8>been actually working on these cases to make it happen

0:13:06.400 --> 0:13:08.960
<v Speaker 8>for many many months until they found the right moment

0:13:09.040 --> 0:13:12.400
<v Speaker 8>for that. So then what we see is a huge

0:13:12.480 --> 0:13:16.680
<v Speaker 8>team trying to launder these funds. So they are constantly

0:13:16.800 --> 0:13:21.920
<v Speaker 8>trying to find locations through which these money can be digitalized, right,

0:13:23.120 --> 0:13:26.440
<v Speaker 8>can be moved around so that they don't get frozen

0:13:27.040 --> 0:13:31.520
<v Speaker 8>by financial institutions following regulations and having an ability, you know,

0:13:31.600 --> 0:13:34.280
<v Speaker 8>to stop this fund or free this funds. So for

0:13:34.360 --> 0:13:36.640
<v Speaker 8>the last like two or three weeks that we are

0:13:37.480 --> 0:13:40.520
<v Speaker 8>actually tracking this particular case along with the rest of

0:13:40.600 --> 0:13:44.960
<v Speaker 8>the industry. Yeah, it has been a very very yeah,

0:13:45.200 --> 0:13:47.960
<v Speaker 8>a very dramatic case, taking a lot of resources from us,

0:13:48.920 --> 0:13:52.480
<v Speaker 8>And yeah, I don't think it's the last case of

0:13:52.600 --> 0:13:54.959
<v Speaker 8>such kind that we're going to see. So a lot

0:13:55.040 --> 0:13:58.600
<v Speaker 8>of work for us to do and a lot more

0:13:58.760 --> 0:14:02.480
<v Speaker 8>actually yet to come, and we don't know yet, you

0:14:02.559 --> 0:14:04.880
<v Speaker 8>know what kind of new trends are there in development

0:14:05.200 --> 0:14:08.199
<v Speaker 8>because changes so fast and the regulations are not so

0:14:08.400 --> 0:14:12.040
<v Speaker 8>fast to define what actually, you know, where actually everyone

0:14:12.080 --> 0:14:15.160
<v Speaker 8>should look at at this particular moment, We're.

0:14:15.040 --> 0:14:17.800
<v Speaker 6>Gonna have to leave it there. Marina Hastova, chief operating

0:14:17.840 --> 0:14:20.479
<v Speaker 6>officer at the blockchain analytics firm Crystal Intelligence.

0:14:22.760 --> 0:14:26.520
<v Speaker 2>This is the Bloomberg Business Week Podcast. Listen live each

0:14:26.560 --> 0:14:29.240
<v Speaker 2>weekday starting at two pm Eastern up on Apple car

0:14:29.360 --> 0:14:32.120
<v Speaker 2>Play and the Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app.

0:14:32.240 --> 0:14:34.960
<v Speaker 2>You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our

0:14:35.040 --> 0:14:39.320
<v Speaker 2>flagship New York station, Just Say Alexa played Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:14:41.000 --> 0:14:43.840
<v Speaker 6>News in the World of Weight Loss Today, Carol Masser

0:14:43.920 --> 0:14:47.240
<v Speaker 6>no one nor This has agreed to pay United Laboratories

0:14:47.320 --> 0:14:51.520
<v Speaker 6>International Holdings as much as two billion dollars for next

0:14:51.600 --> 0:14:54.400
<v Speaker 6>gen OBCD drug. It's the Danish of ozembic maker's latest

0:14:54.440 --> 0:14:58.840
<v Speaker 6>move to refill its pipeline of experimental treatments. Also last week,

0:14:58.920 --> 0:15:02.000
<v Speaker 6>Eli Lilly again selling it's blockbuster weight loss and diabetes

0:15:02.080 --> 0:15:04.320
<v Speaker 6>drug Munjaro in India. It's a country that has the

0:15:04.360 --> 0:15:07.000
<v Speaker 6>world's third largest number of obese people.

0:15:07.800 --> 0:15:10.920
<v Speaker 4>We continue to see this marketplace grow expand, and we

0:15:11.000 --> 0:15:13.720
<v Speaker 4>continue to see each of these major drug players look

0:15:13.840 --> 0:15:18.160
<v Speaker 4>for their next offering. When it comes to GLP one.

0:15:18.640 --> 0:15:22.080
<v Speaker 4>We do talk about these weight loss drugs an awful lot,

0:15:22.160 --> 0:15:24.960
<v Speaker 4>especially from a business perspective. Investors have really sent shares

0:15:25.000 --> 0:15:28.119
<v Speaker 4>of these companies higher than lower. There's some been some volatility,

0:15:28.720 --> 0:15:31.520
<v Speaker 4>certainly over the past couple of years. Doctor Sue Dakotis

0:15:31.680 --> 0:15:34.640
<v Speaker 4>is a New York based physician, a Board certified medical internist,

0:15:34.720 --> 0:15:37.080
<v Speaker 4>and a weight loss specialist. She is an attending physician

0:15:37.400 --> 0:15:40.000
<v Speaker 4>at NYU Medical Center, joining us right here in New

0:15:40.080 --> 0:15:40.520
<v Speaker 4>York City.

0:15:40.800 --> 0:15:43.480
<v Speaker 3>Doctor Dakotas, good to have you here on BusinessWeek.

0:15:44.040 --> 0:15:47.080
<v Speaker 4>This is something we are We've been covering NonStop, to

0:15:47.120 --> 0:15:48.840
<v Speaker 4>be quite honest, over the last two years.

0:15:48.920 --> 0:15:51.000
<v Speaker 3>We have a reporter that's devoted to it.

0:15:51.600 --> 0:15:56.120
<v Speaker 4>To really understand the offerings, the nuances between the different drugs,

0:15:57.040 --> 0:15:59.360
<v Speaker 4>and the expansion as we continue to see new offerings

0:15:59.440 --> 0:16:01.960
<v Speaker 4>come out. Tell us about from your perspective what you've

0:16:02.000 --> 0:16:03.800
<v Speaker 4>seen over the last couple of years in terms of

0:16:03.880 --> 0:16:07.600
<v Speaker 4>the uptick in the usage and whether or not it

0:16:07.760 --> 0:16:11.320
<v Speaker 4>really is a significant change when it comes to treating

0:16:11.440 --> 0:16:14.680
<v Speaker 4>weight loss and actually making people healthier in the longer term.

0:16:15.840 --> 0:16:17.560
<v Speaker 9>Well, in my practice in New York City, I have

0:16:17.680 --> 0:16:21.080
<v Speaker 9>had tremendous results in my patient population with using these

0:16:21.200 --> 0:16:24.440
<v Speaker 9>new GLP one drugs, and I've used just about all

0:16:24.480 --> 0:16:27.240
<v Speaker 9>of the ones that are available, and I'm really excited

0:16:27.280 --> 0:16:31.760
<v Speaker 9>about the new drugs that are coming out. So, as

0:16:31.840 --> 0:16:35.360
<v Speaker 9>you know, there's something called Cagrisima that Nova Nordisk is

0:16:35.400 --> 0:16:37.200
<v Speaker 9>going to come out with, which is a new drug

0:16:37.280 --> 0:16:41.560
<v Speaker 9>called cagrilinotide that they are combining with the ozepic. The

0:16:41.600 --> 0:16:46.320
<v Speaker 9>semi glue tide and reddititruetide is coming out from Lily

0:16:46.760 --> 0:16:50.480
<v Speaker 9>and that actually is a three receptor drug. So what

0:16:50.640 --> 0:16:53.640
<v Speaker 9>we see is that these drugs get more sophisticated and

0:16:53.720 --> 0:16:56.800
<v Speaker 9>affect more receptors, and I think more patients are going

0:16:56.840 --> 0:16:59.280
<v Speaker 9>to have good results. The problems that we have is

0:16:59.360 --> 0:17:02.080
<v Speaker 9>semiglue tied in the beginning before we had access to

0:17:02.200 --> 0:17:06.920
<v Speaker 9>Manjarro trezepetide, is that many very overweight patients hit the wall,

0:17:07.400 --> 0:17:10.160
<v Speaker 9>meaning they couldn't lose weight after a certain period of time,

0:17:10.200 --> 0:17:13.240
<v Speaker 9>and that was very frustrating. And we found that we're trezepetite,

0:17:13.280 --> 0:17:16.560
<v Speaker 9>being that we're hitting a second receptor, patients actually lost

0:17:16.640 --> 0:17:19.840
<v Speaker 9>more fat and weight loss continued. And I look forward

0:17:19.880 --> 0:17:22.200
<v Speaker 9>to that with some of the new drugs that we have,

0:17:22.720 --> 0:17:24.160
<v Speaker 9>so I think we're going to be able to reach

0:17:24.320 --> 0:17:28.040
<v Speaker 9>larger numbers of patients. But what I always hear is

0:17:28.119 --> 0:17:31.320
<v Speaker 9>so many people are saying these are lifetime drugs, meaning

0:17:31.400 --> 0:17:33.080
<v Speaker 9>you have to be on this for a lifetime. I

0:17:33.240 --> 0:17:36.320
<v Speaker 9>really disagree. And my practice in New York City, I've

0:17:36.359 --> 0:17:38.920
<v Speaker 9>been able to get most of my patients off these

0:17:39.000 --> 0:17:41.920
<v Speaker 9>drugs if they're not diabetics. And I think a lot

0:17:41.960 --> 0:17:44.680
<v Speaker 9>of times we're missing the point with these drugs. People

0:17:44.840 --> 0:17:47.840
<v Speaker 9>know that they're appetite suppressants. They also know that they're

0:17:47.920 --> 0:17:52.000
<v Speaker 9>great to stabilize insulin and that they're great to reverse

0:17:52.080 --> 0:17:55.320
<v Speaker 9>insulin resistance, and that's all they're thinking about, and then

0:17:55.359 --> 0:17:58.200
<v Speaker 9>the person loses weight and then they go off the

0:17:58.280 --> 0:18:01.480
<v Speaker 9>drugs sometimes abruptly or they stay on it forever. What

0:18:01.640 --> 0:18:03.600
<v Speaker 9>I do in my practice is I use a body

0:18:03.680 --> 0:18:07.960
<v Speaker 9>composition skit. Okay, so I'm closely monitoring people's body fat

0:18:08.400 --> 0:18:11.159
<v Speaker 9>and that's really the key. I think if we can

0:18:11.240 --> 0:18:14.359
<v Speaker 9>get that body fat down into this sweet spot, I

0:18:14.440 --> 0:18:17.359
<v Speaker 9>think that's where we get the long term health effects

0:18:17.400 --> 0:18:20.480
<v Speaker 9>that everyone is talking about. So that's where we're getting

0:18:20.520 --> 0:18:24.080
<v Speaker 9>the huge anti inflammatory effect. That's where we're having the

0:18:24.160 --> 0:18:29.760
<v Speaker 9>appetite regulatory system really being rebooted on a permanent basis,

0:18:29.840 --> 0:18:32.720
<v Speaker 9>so that person doesn't crave the foods they used to crave,

0:18:33.119 --> 0:18:33.480
<v Speaker 9>and they.

0:18:33.440 --> 0:18:34.240
<v Speaker 8>Have a much.

0:18:35.560 --> 0:18:39.320
<v Speaker 9>They have a lesser appetite long term, it's really really important.

0:18:39.560 --> 0:18:42.600
<v Speaker 6>Are you seeing this doctor in your office? Combined with

0:18:43.000 --> 0:18:47.320
<v Speaker 6>other methods of losing weight, is important that your patients

0:18:47.400 --> 0:18:49.960
<v Speaker 6>also remain active or get active.

0:18:51.560 --> 0:18:55.520
<v Speaker 9>Shot enough well, everyone, we always start out with them.

0:18:55.600 --> 0:18:58.000
<v Speaker 9>We know our patients well, taking a really good history.

0:18:59.160 --> 0:19:03.200
<v Speaker 9>Whatever you're eating, it's been what is your lifestyle like

0:19:03.760 --> 0:19:06.159
<v Speaker 9>and being practicing in New York City. Many patients are

0:19:06.160 --> 0:19:09.320
<v Speaker 9>pretty sophisticated, you know, they already have a pretty good lifestyle.

0:19:10.359 --> 0:19:14.280
<v Speaker 9>They may not come into the office very very obese.

0:19:14.359 --> 0:19:18.119
<v Speaker 9>They may be barely overweight, or their BMI, which you

0:19:18.200 --> 0:19:21.360
<v Speaker 9>know is a heightened weight parameter, maybe normal, but their

0:19:21.440 --> 0:19:23.359
<v Speaker 9>body fat is higher than they'd like it to be.

0:19:23.720 --> 0:19:26.200
<v Speaker 9>And as they get older, you know, maybe their menopausal,

0:19:26.320 --> 0:19:29.719
<v Speaker 9>they're getting into middle age, they find that their body

0:19:29.800 --> 0:19:33.720
<v Speaker 9>has changed. They don't feel as good, They're clothes fit differently,

0:19:34.080 --> 0:19:36.679
<v Speaker 9>they don't get as much out of exercise that they

0:19:36.840 --> 0:19:40.120
<v Speaker 9>used to. So then we really we really help those

0:19:40.200 --> 0:19:42.520
<v Speaker 9>people reach an optimal state of health by getting body

0:19:42.600 --> 0:19:46.120
<v Speaker 9>fat down. But yes, of course diet and exercise is important.

0:19:46.480 --> 0:19:49.520
<v Speaker 9>But when you're insulin resistant, when you have hormonal problems,

0:19:49.560 --> 0:19:53.120
<v Speaker 9>there are other genetic and environmental issues that we're hearing

0:19:53.200 --> 0:19:56.320
<v Speaker 9>about so much now, aren't we all these environmental things

0:19:56.320 --> 0:20:00.600
<v Speaker 9>that were affecting our metabolism so many people you're already

0:20:00.880 --> 0:20:03.320
<v Speaker 9>hearing to a good lifestyle. I just need that ex

0:20:03.400 --> 0:20:03.800
<v Speaker 9>for help.

0:20:03.880 --> 0:20:05.560
<v Speaker 3>I'm getting hungry, That's what I'm gonna say.

0:20:07.240 --> 0:20:10.040
<v Speaker 4>I thought I sastomic and I'm like, I'm gurgling over here,

0:20:10.160 --> 0:20:10.960
<v Speaker 4>and I'm kind of hungry.

0:20:11.680 --> 0:20:11.760
<v Speaker 5>Now.

0:20:11.840 --> 0:20:13.880
<v Speaker 4>What I want to ask you, though, is I've seen

0:20:13.920 --> 0:20:15.920
<v Speaker 4>people who get on it lose a lot of weight,

0:20:16.440 --> 0:20:19.399
<v Speaker 4>but they also lose a lot of muscle mass, and

0:20:19.480 --> 0:20:21.760
<v Speaker 4>I'm kind of amazed by that. I've seen them where

0:20:21.800 --> 0:20:24.520
<v Speaker 4>they their legs are very thin, like all their muscle

0:20:24.640 --> 0:20:26.640
<v Speaker 4>is gone, which can't be a good thing.

0:20:27.720 --> 0:20:30.639
<v Speaker 9>Well, it gets back to that question that i'm you know,

0:20:30.720 --> 0:20:33.240
<v Speaker 9>the issue here is what is their body fat? Is

0:20:33.320 --> 0:20:37.400
<v Speaker 9>anybody monitoring that? So if the patient is not monitored carefully,

0:20:37.720 --> 0:20:41.280
<v Speaker 9>so they're not really given diatritic nutritional support because as

0:20:41.359 --> 0:20:44.560
<v Speaker 9>you know, this can these medications can really turn your

0:20:44.560 --> 0:20:46.639
<v Speaker 9>appetite off, so sometimes you don't feel like eating anything,

0:20:46.800 --> 0:20:49.960
<v Speaker 9>So we have to watch that carefully. Also, hydration is key.

0:20:50.520 --> 0:20:52.919
<v Speaker 9>If people are not really well hydrated, they wind up

0:20:52.920 --> 0:20:55.639
<v Speaker 9>burning muscle, you know, because the body is kind of

0:20:55.720 --> 0:20:57.880
<v Speaker 9>protection and you're burning fat, you're losing a lot of water,

0:20:58.280 --> 0:21:01.119
<v Speaker 9>so the body protects you from so it assumes that

0:21:02.000 --> 0:21:04.639
<v Speaker 9>you're getting dehydrated. This could be very dangerous and then

0:21:04.680 --> 0:21:07.840
<v Speaker 9>it can switch to burning muscle as a last resort,

0:21:07.920 --> 0:21:10.399
<v Speaker 9>which is not a good thing. Not of my patients

0:21:10.440 --> 0:21:13.479
<v Speaker 9>of lost muscle because I'm watching it, Yeah, very careful,

0:21:13.560 --> 0:21:15.960
<v Speaker 9>so by weighing them and they're drinking a lot of water.

0:21:16.119 --> 0:21:18.920
<v Speaker 4>As someone who's been practicing for a while, how do

0:21:18.960 --> 0:21:22.680
<v Speaker 4>you think about this medicine? I think there's some that think, wow,

0:21:22.800 --> 0:21:25.120
<v Speaker 4>is it just too good to be true? We kind

0:21:25.160 --> 0:21:29.159
<v Speaker 4>of joke with our reporter who covers it, like, is

0:21:29.240 --> 0:21:31.560
<v Speaker 4>this the drug that's going to, you know, kind of

0:21:31.600 --> 0:21:35.000
<v Speaker 4>cover everything that ails us or fix everything that ails us?

0:21:36.160 --> 0:21:39.320
<v Speaker 4>Or is it too early to know if there's going

0:21:39.400 --> 0:21:42.000
<v Speaker 4>to be some kind of complications down the road from

0:21:42.080 --> 0:21:42.480
<v Speaker 4>taking it.

0:21:43.359 --> 0:21:43.479
<v Speaker 5>Now.

0:21:43.560 --> 0:21:45.520
<v Speaker 9>That's a very good question. I mean, I've been using

0:21:45.600 --> 0:21:48.159
<v Speaker 9>these drugs for about twelve years now, because you know,

0:21:48.280 --> 0:21:51.280
<v Speaker 9>before ozepic, you know, made its big splash, there were

0:21:51.320 --> 0:21:53.480
<v Speaker 9>other drugs that we used in the same family that

0:21:53.520 --> 0:21:57.000
<v Speaker 9>weren't as effective. These drugs are peptides, and what peptides

0:21:57.119 --> 0:22:02.000
<v Speaker 9>are are basically simple chains acids, So I think that

0:22:02.119 --> 0:22:05.600
<v Speaker 9>there as far as the pharmacologic structure of the drug,

0:22:06.040 --> 0:22:08.679
<v Speaker 9>it's simpler than aspirin. So I think that the body

0:22:09.240 --> 0:22:12.320
<v Speaker 9>knows how the body. These are not complicated drugs in

0:22:12.359 --> 0:22:15.119
<v Speaker 9>their structure, so therefore it's easy for the body to

0:22:15.160 --> 0:22:17.239
<v Speaker 9>break them down. And we use peptides for a lot

0:22:17.320 --> 0:22:19.639
<v Speaker 9>of things in anti aging medicine. I think they have

0:22:19.760 --> 0:22:23.920
<v Speaker 9>a very high safety profile. But what concerns me is

0:22:23.960 --> 0:22:26.760
<v Speaker 9>that so many people are accessing the wrong kind of care,

0:22:27.160 --> 0:22:30.040
<v Speaker 9>you know. They're going on these online platforms, you know,

0:22:30.200 --> 0:22:33.240
<v Speaker 9>and really just like having a meeting like we're having

0:22:33.359 --> 0:22:36.159
<v Speaker 9>right now. They're not getting seen by the physician there,

0:22:36.200 --> 0:22:38.640
<v Speaker 9>may not be in contact with the position at all,

0:22:39.240 --> 0:22:42.119
<v Speaker 9>and if they are, it's probably not a weight loss position.

0:22:42.200 --> 0:22:45.320
<v Speaker 9>They're not getting weighed by any matter or certainly not

0:22:45.400 --> 0:22:48.119
<v Speaker 9>a body composition scale. So those, I think are the

0:22:48.200 --> 0:22:50.600
<v Speaker 9>patients that are not having great results, and so many

0:22:50.640 --> 0:22:55.040
<v Speaker 9>people are resorting to these online platforms and even Lily

0:22:55.200 --> 0:22:59.080
<v Speaker 9>Now and No Honors. I understand they're going to have

0:22:59.440 --> 0:23:02.240
<v Speaker 9>a place where somebody can get the drug directly from them.

0:23:03.160 --> 0:23:05.560
<v Speaker 9>So they'll probably have a consult with a PA or

0:23:05.600 --> 0:23:09.320
<v Speaker 9>a doctor via zoom maybe once every couple of months,

0:23:09.359 --> 0:23:11.000
<v Speaker 9>and that's what they call getting medical care.

0:23:11.400 --> 0:23:13.240
<v Speaker 3>So that's where I think we're going to have problems.

0:23:13.880 --> 0:23:15.359
<v Speaker 6>It doesn't sound like you're a fan of that. Hey,

0:23:15.400 --> 0:23:16.840
<v Speaker 6>we'll have a couple of minutes left, so I want

0:23:16.880 --> 0:23:19.239
<v Speaker 6>to make sure to get in some last questions here.

0:23:19.400 --> 0:23:19.800
<v Speaker 5>Oh sure.

0:23:19.840 --> 0:23:24.439
<v Speaker 6>Back in October, RFK Junior, who is leading the Department

0:23:24.440 --> 0:23:27.359
<v Speaker 6>of Health and Human Services, He says that delivering healthy

0:23:27.359 --> 0:23:29.160
<v Speaker 6>food He said this in October to the American public

0:23:29.200 --> 0:23:33.119
<v Speaker 6>could quote solve the obesity and diabetic diabetes crisis for

0:23:33.160 --> 0:23:36.360
<v Speaker 6>a fraction of the cost of obesity drugs. My understanding

0:23:36.400 --> 0:23:39.120
<v Speaker 6>is he's since said different things about the GLP ones,

0:23:39.160 --> 0:23:41.360
<v Speaker 6>but in general he's not a huge fan and thinks

0:23:41.400 --> 0:23:43.600
<v Speaker 6>the stuff could be solved through diet and exercise.

0:23:43.640 --> 0:23:44.240
<v Speaker 7>How do you view that.

0:23:45.400 --> 0:23:48.280
<v Speaker 9>I think that's incorrect. I mean, I think if you

0:23:48.440 --> 0:23:51.359
<v Speaker 9>look at people that are markedly obese across the country,

0:23:51.800 --> 0:23:54.520
<v Speaker 9>certainly food and lack of exercise has something to.

0:23:54.560 --> 0:23:54.879
<v Speaker 5>Do with it.

0:23:55.200 --> 0:23:59.040
<v Speaker 9>And especially for future generations, If the young children today

0:23:59.080 --> 0:24:02.000
<v Speaker 9>and children who will be born, if they're exposed to

0:24:02.080 --> 0:24:04.359
<v Speaker 9>a really healthy food supply, I think that's going to

0:24:04.400 --> 0:24:07.520
<v Speaker 9>be great. But for the young adults, adults and above

0:24:07.800 --> 0:24:10.359
<v Speaker 9>who are obese, I don't think that just eating healthy

0:24:10.520 --> 0:24:13.440
<v Speaker 9>is going to be the answer. Now, these drugs are expensive.

0:24:13.600 --> 0:24:16.560
<v Speaker 9>So most patients that I see have tried diet exercise.

0:24:17.119 --> 0:24:20.320
<v Speaker 9>You know, they've tried every keto and paleo and a

0:24:20.440 --> 0:24:24.280
<v Speaker 9>vegan diet. And I think sometimes insulin resistance is more

0:24:24.359 --> 0:24:26.880
<v Speaker 9>than just the food you eat. There are other chemicals

0:24:26.920 --> 0:24:32.399
<v Speaker 9>in the environment, genetics, epigenetics, hormones. All of these things

0:24:32.480 --> 0:24:38.080
<v Speaker 9>can affect the way your body body metabolizes nutrients. So

0:24:38.200 --> 0:24:39.280
<v Speaker 9>I don't think it's that simple.

0:24:39.520 --> 0:24:40.800
<v Speaker 5>I don't think that he.

0:24:40.840 --> 0:24:43.400
<v Speaker 9>Would be able to reverse obesity by just giving somebody

0:24:43.440 --> 0:24:44.080
<v Speaker 9>a healthy diet.

0:24:44.240 --> 0:24:47.200
<v Speaker 4>Just got about forty five seconds left here, doctor Dakotas.

0:24:47.600 --> 0:24:50.959
<v Speaker 4>I'm just curious how what percentage of your patients who

0:24:51.040 --> 0:24:55.520
<v Speaker 4>look to lose weight use the GLP one drugs?

0:24:55.720 --> 0:24:58.160
<v Speaker 3>And are GLP one drugs.

0:24:58.320 --> 0:25:01.320
<v Speaker 4>For everyone who are looking to lose weight? And again,

0:25:01.400 --> 0:25:02.800
<v Speaker 4>just got about thirty forty seconds.

0:25:03.440 --> 0:25:05.520
<v Speaker 9>Now, it's not for everyone. I mean, if somebody has

0:25:05.560 --> 0:25:07.600
<v Speaker 9>a history of an eating disorder, or they have a

0:25:07.680 --> 0:25:11.479
<v Speaker 9>lot of thyroid issues, panphreatic issues in the family, very

0:25:11.560 --> 0:25:14.959
<v Speaker 9>sensitive gi track, if they're not that overweight or their

0:25:15.040 --> 0:25:18.080
<v Speaker 9>body fat is not that high, they really should try

0:25:18.200 --> 0:25:21.320
<v Speaker 9>a clean diet first. And it has to be assessed

0:25:21.440 --> 0:25:23.680
<v Speaker 9>is this person really eating cleanly? Do they know what

0:25:23.720 --> 0:25:26.800
<v Speaker 9>they're doing? What kind of exercise are they doing. Sometimes

0:25:26.880 --> 0:25:29.480
<v Speaker 9>if they're doing too much cardio and their insulin resistant,

0:25:29.720 --> 0:25:32.119
<v Speaker 9>that can cause them to actually gain weight. What they

0:25:32.240 --> 0:25:34.600
<v Speaker 9>might need to do is do more resistance training. So

0:25:34.760 --> 0:25:37.520
<v Speaker 9>every patient's an individual, But I think for the most

0:25:37.560 --> 0:25:41.000
<v Speaker 9>part of someone cannot lose it with diet and exercise,

0:25:41.119 --> 0:25:44.000
<v Speaker 9>and I've documented that their body fat is high relative

0:25:44.080 --> 0:25:46.760
<v Speaker 9>to their weight, and I think they they would probably

0:25:46.840 --> 0:25:48.160
<v Speaker 9>benefit from a golp one.

0:25:48.720 --> 0:25:50.400
<v Speaker 3>All right, good to lead it there, Thanks so much

0:25:50.400 --> 0:25:51.000
<v Speaker 3>for joining us.

0:25:51.080 --> 0:25:54.320
<v Speaker 4>Doctor su dakotis New York based physician, a Board certified

0:25:54.359 --> 0:25:58.879
<v Speaker 4>medical internist, a weight loss specialist, attending physician at NYU

0:25:58.960 --> 0:25:59.520
<v Speaker 4>Medical Center.

0:25:59.600 --> 0:26:03.040
<v Speaker 3>Joining us right here in New York City. Interesting stuff.

0:26:05.880 --> 0:26:06.840
<v Speaker 5>I'll about you. Let me drive.

0:26:07.119 --> 0:26:11.879
<v Speaker 3>Oh no, no, no no, this is not a toy, honey,

0:26:12.080 --> 0:26:13.919
<v Speaker 3>please gravels.

0:26:14.359 --> 0:26:14.760
<v Speaker 2>Let's wait.

0:26:15.040 --> 0:26:15.720
<v Speaker 3>I want to try.

0:26:15.720 --> 0:26:18.840
<v Speaker 2>It's a good question.

0:26:22.800 --> 0:26:25.520
<v Speaker 3>This is the drive to the clothes that plunks to

0:26:25.600 --> 0:26:26.000
<v Speaker 3>me to think.

0:26:26.080 --> 0:26:29.119
<v Speaker 2>Well, driver Jon and Don on Bloomberg Radio.

0:26:29.600 --> 0:26:30.119
<v Speaker 3>Right, TikTok.

0:26:30.200 --> 0:26:32.480
<v Speaker 4>Everybody just got about eighteen minutes to go until we

0:26:32.480 --> 0:26:34.920
<v Speaker 4>wrap up the Monday trade. You know, just I would

0:26:34.920 --> 0:26:39.359
<v Speaker 4>build maloney kind of off air, just fundamentally technically, an

0:26:39.440 --> 0:26:42.600
<v Speaker 4>interesting day where futures were up a lot. We came

0:26:42.680 --> 0:26:44.919
<v Speaker 4>up out of the gate with some gains, and then

0:26:44.960 --> 0:26:46.160
<v Speaker 4>we just continued to move higher.

0:26:46.280 --> 0:26:47.520
<v Speaker 6>That's what you talked about when I went to get

0:26:47.520 --> 0:26:48.080
<v Speaker 6>a snack.

0:26:48.400 --> 0:26:50.720
<v Speaker 3>Among other things, but I was like, what are you thinking?

0:26:50.800 --> 0:26:52.639
<v Speaker 4>You know, like where we're going, and that from a

0:26:52.720 --> 0:26:55.160
<v Speaker 4>technical basis, that's a pretty strong side.

0:26:55.520 --> 0:26:57.600
<v Speaker 3>We'll see what Sarah Ponzek has to say, though.

0:26:57.480 --> 0:26:58.840
<v Speaker 2>What what do you think we brought?

0:27:01.080 --> 0:27:01.800
<v Speaker 5>I was hungry.

0:27:02.160 --> 0:27:04.560
<v Speaker 3>I was hungry, Like she's talking about JLP one drugs,

0:27:04.560 --> 0:27:06.200
<v Speaker 3>and all I could think about was like, I want

0:27:06.200 --> 0:27:06.720
<v Speaker 3>to eat food.

0:27:06.840 --> 0:27:09.159
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I hope that's the whole idea of the JLP one.

0:27:09.280 --> 0:27:09.879
<v Speaker 3>I know, I know, I know.

0:27:10.040 --> 0:27:11.919
<v Speaker 6>All right, let's get into it with Sarah pon Sick.

0:27:11.960 --> 0:27:14.840
<v Speaker 6>She's financial advisor at UBS Private Wealth Management. She joins

0:27:14.920 --> 0:27:17.720
<v Speaker 6>us from Florida. Sarah, how are you.

0:27:19.040 --> 0:27:21.480
<v Speaker 1>I'm great, good to see or I guess hear from you,

0:27:21.560 --> 0:27:23.879
<v Speaker 1>guys sing you're so considerate bringing Carol banana?

0:27:24.000 --> 0:27:25.960
<v Speaker 3>What are you coming up to me bananas?

0:27:26.520 --> 0:27:28.879
<v Speaker 1>We're actually we're actually hoping to come up in the

0:27:28.960 --> 0:27:31.159
<v Speaker 1>next month or so. I will let you guys know

0:27:31.359 --> 0:27:33.320
<v Speaker 1>when I will be up there, and hopefully I can

0:27:33.359 --> 0:27:34.160
<v Speaker 1>make a ship to the office.

0:27:34.240 --> 0:27:35.880
<v Speaker 6>Let us know if you need help finding the place.

0:27:35.920 --> 0:27:37.840
<v Speaker 6>I know it's your old stomping ground, so you don't

0:27:37.880 --> 0:27:38.520
<v Speaker 6>need any direction.

0:27:39.200 --> 0:27:42.040
<v Speaker 5>I could still find it with my eyes closed.

0:27:41.720 --> 0:27:42.240
<v Speaker 6>Okay, good.

0:27:42.320 --> 0:27:43.040
<v Speaker 5>Well in the meantime.

0:27:44.000 --> 0:27:46.560
<v Speaker 6>In the meantime, maybe we'll get some clarity on tariffs

0:27:46.640 --> 0:27:50.040
<v Speaker 6>before then, because April second, it's supposed to be Liberation Day.

0:27:50.840 --> 0:27:52.880
<v Speaker 6>You are thinking a lot about tariffs when it comes

0:27:52.880 --> 0:27:56.440
<v Speaker 6>to the uncertainty that is out there, though today's trade

0:27:56.480 --> 0:27:58.000
<v Speaker 6>seems like it has a lot of certainty in.

0:27:58.040 --> 0:28:03.080
<v Speaker 1>It, Sarah, today's trade has been very forceful and strong

0:28:03.160 --> 0:28:05.399
<v Speaker 1>to the upside. So it's nice to be on with

0:28:05.480 --> 0:28:07.440
<v Speaker 1>the two of you on a day that's actually green

0:28:07.520 --> 0:28:09.160
<v Speaker 1>and happy for stocks.

0:28:09.240 --> 0:28:11.679
<v Speaker 5>But at the end of the day, tariff talk has

0:28:11.720 --> 0:28:13.000
<v Speaker 5>been all over the place.

0:28:13.440 --> 0:28:16.920
<v Speaker 1>The conversation has been very fluid, and although we have

0:28:17.040 --> 0:28:20.879
<v Speaker 1>gotten multiple multiple calls and emails from clients over the

0:28:20.920 --> 0:28:24.720
<v Speaker 1>past few weeks just asking what is going on, we've

0:28:24.760 --> 0:28:29.960
<v Speaker 1>been stressing just this that the story or the narrative

0:28:30.440 --> 0:28:32.639
<v Speaker 1>and the policy at the end of the day can

0:28:32.720 --> 0:28:35.400
<v Speaker 1>really change on a dime. And that's what we're seeing today,

0:28:35.440 --> 0:28:37.800
<v Speaker 1>and we're seeing the reaction in markets, and what I

0:28:37.840 --> 0:28:40.320
<v Speaker 1>think is so interesting and I think important is to

0:28:40.480 --> 0:28:43.360
<v Speaker 1>just put this all in perspective because if you look

0:28:43.400 --> 0:28:45.680
<v Speaker 1>at the correction that we saw in the stock market

0:28:46.600 --> 0:28:47.160
<v Speaker 1>at the end of.

0:28:47.160 --> 0:28:50.040
<v Speaker 5>The day, it was very normal, and frankly we were

0:28:50.160 --> 0:28:51.160
<v Speaker 5>overdue for one.

0:28:51.320 --> 0:28:53.840
<v Speaker 1>We had two straight years in which the market was

0:28:53.920 --> 0:28:57.400
<v Speaker 1>up more than twenty percent, and even in the last

0:28:57.480 --> 0:29:00.880
<v Speaker 1>two years. A lot of people forget corrections in each

0:29:00.920 --> 0:29:03.880
<v Speaker 1>of the last two years. Last year, the market was

0:29:03.960 --> 0:29:07.720
<v Speaker 1>down eight percent at its an intra year low, and

0:29:07.840 --> 0:29:10.800
<v Speaker 1>yet ended the year twenty five percent higher. In twenty

0:29:10.840 --> 0:29:13.440
<v Speaker 1>twenty three, we also experienced the ten percent drawn down,

0:29:13.520 --> 0:29:15.200
<v Speaker 1>yet the sm P five hundred was also at more

0:29:15.240 --> 0:29:17.800
<v Speaker 1>than twenty percent this year. I think it just feels,

0:29:17.840 --> 0:29:20.040
<v Speaker 1>and I think the technical term is it's more in

0:29:20.080 --> 0:29:22.080
<v Speaker 1>your face. You can't you can't avoid it. It's in

0:29:22.160 --> 0:29:22.560
<v Speaker 1>the news.

0:29:22.840 --> 0:29:23.920
<v Speaker 5>We're hearing it every day.

0:29:24.160 --> 0:29:25.880
<v Speaker 1>We see it in tweets, we see it on truth

0:29:25.960 --> 0:29:30.440
<v Speaker 1>social wherever you go to see Trump's tweets. But it's

0:29:30.560 --> 0:29:33.120
<v Speaker 1>just more in your face now, which makes it harder

0:29:33.880 --> 0:29:35.520
<v Speaker 1>to ignore as an investor.

0:29:35.720 --> 0:29:38.520
<v Speaker 4>But you know, Sarah to that point, yes, more in

0:29:38.600 --> 0:29:42.040
<v Speaker 4>your face, and perhaps not exactly like the first term

0:29:42.120 --> 0:29:45.160
<v Speaker 4>of President Trump. Having said that, we're having questions where

0:29:45.200 --> 0:29:49.840
<v Speaker 4>people are wondering, you know, American exceptionalism, you know no more,

0:29:50.440 --> 0:29:53.440
<v Speaker 4>you know, questioning folks whether or not the US is

0:29:53.560 --> 0:29:58.720
<v Speaker 4>uninvestible and saying, yeah, maybe so because of different policies

0:29:59.800 --> 0:30:03.840
<v Speaker 4>and pulling back kind of from the global market trade potentially.

0:30:03.880 --> 0:30:06.880
<v Speaker 4>And I guess time will tell ultimately how much sticks

0:30:06.960 --> 0:30:09.560
<v Speaker 4>and what this means for the US economy. But I

0:30:09.680 --> 0:30:12.640
<v Speaker 4>look at you know, the WI function really well on

0:30:12.720 --> 0:30:16.320
<v Speaker 4>the Bloomberg and the eurostocks fifty is still up almost

0:30:16.360 --> 0:30:18.960
<v Speaker 4>eleven percent this year. I look at the S and

0:30:19.040 --> 0:30:22.120
<v Speaker 4>P five hundred, it's down two percent. So money has

0:30:22.200 --> 0:30:26.200
<v Speaker 4>been going overseas. Are your clients saying, wait a minute,

0:30:26.320 --> 0:30:29.040
<v Speaker 4>you know, I got some concerns about really the US

0:30:29.200 --> 0:30:32.800
<v Speaker 4>market until we see whether or not these policies, you know,

0:30:33.000 --> 0:30:36.160
<v Speaker 4>kind of settle down. So give us some color around that,

0:30:36.280 --> 0:30:36.760
<v Speaker 4>if you would.

0:30:37.800 --> 0:30:40.000
<v Speaker 5>Money has been going overseas. There's no doubt about that.

0:30:40.160 --> 0:30:42.000
<v Speaker 1>As you mentioned, Carol, if you look at how the

0:30:42.040 --> 0:30:45.120
<v Speaker 1>different global indices have performed your date, you look at

0:30:45.440 --> 0:30:47.920
<v Speaker 1>China indicies, you look at emerging markets, you look at

0:30:48.040 --> 0:30:52.120
<v Speaker 1>developed markets internationally, they're all out performing the United States.

0:30:52.640 --> 0:30:54.959
<v Speaker 5>But is it uninvestible?

0:30:55.080 --> 0:30:58.280
<v Speaker 1>I think that is much too harsh a term to

0:30:58.440 --> 0:31:01.200
<v Speaker 1>use to describe the unit United States. And we're still

0:31:01.360 --> 0:31:05.160
<v Speaker 1>very optimistic on US equities. Sure, we've seen a big

0:31:05.320 --> 0:31:08.840
<v Speaker 1>hit to tech, which has really, at the end of

0:31:08.880 --> 0:31:11.000
<v Speaker 1>the day, deriven the self that we've seen. I think

0:31:11.040 --> 0:31:13.440
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people would be surprised if you looked

0:31:13.440 --> 0:31:15.280
<v Speaker 1>at the sector breakdown of the S and P five

0:31:15.360 --> 0:31:18.400
<v Speaker 1>hundred this year, only two sectors are actually down. The

0:31:18.480 --> 0:31:21.080
<v Speaker 1>rest of them are positive. It's just that those sectors

0:31:21.120 --> 0:31:24.040
<v Speaker 1>have the heaviest weights in the in depth right, so

0:31:24.160 --> 0:31:27.280
<v Speaker 1>I do think. Look, it does highlight the importance of

0:31:27.320 --> 0:31:32.320
<v Speaker 1>global diversification. We've always kept exposure to international in our

0:31:32.360 --> 0:31:33.320
<v Speaker 1>client's portfolios.

0:31:33.440 --> 0:31:37.640
<v Speaker 5>We are now discussing possibly increasing that exposure a bit.

0:31:38.120 --> 0:31:39.640
<v Speaker 1>But at the end of the day, if we look

0:31:39.680 --> 0:31:42.400
<v Speaker 1>at where we still want to be invested over a

0:31:42.560 --> 0:31:45.000
<v Speaker 1>longer period of time, it's still a lot of these

0:31:45.200 --> 0:31:46.160
<v Speaker 1>US techniques.

0:31:46.200 --> 0:31:48.080
<v Speaker 6>Why Why is that, though, Sarah, Why do you want

0:31:48.080 --> 0:31:49.920
<v Speaker 6>to stand Why?

0:31:50.040 --> 0:31:50.440
<v Speaker 5>What do you say?

0:31:50.560 --> 0:31:51.000
<v Speaker 7>Why is that?

0:31:51.120 --> 0:31:53.280
<v Speaker 6>Why do you want to stay invested in US tech

0:31:53.320 --> 0:31:56.520
<v Speaker 6>companies right now? We talked to Peter Attwater last week,

0:31:56.560 --> 0:31:59.000
<v Speaker 6>who has some serious concerns about the US market.

0:32:00.120 --> 0:32:02.760
<v Speaker 1>We still when we look at future growth projections, and

0:32:02.880 --> 0:32:04.760
<v Speaker 1>if you look at the amount of money that is

0:32:04.840 --> 0:32:08.400
<v Speaker 1>being spent on artificial intelligence and productions, for what that

0:32:08.560 --> 0:32:11.000
<v Speaker 1>is going to mean for revenues in the future. It's

0:32:11.120 --> 0:32:14.160
<v Speaker 1>still very strong and we've seen I mean some of

0:32:14.200 --> 0:32:17.480
<v Speaker 1>these tech names, we've seen some pretty high double digit

0:32:17.640 --> 0:32:18.440
<v Speaker 1>corrections in.

0:32:18.480 --> 0:32:19.320
<v Speaker 5>Some of these names.

0:32:19.400 --> 0:32:23.600
<v Speaker 1>So we're looking at this more as a potential buying opportunity.

0:32:24.160 --> 0:32:26.680
<v Speaker 1>Even yes, you know, we could see more volatility, things

0:32:26.720 --> 0:32:27.560
<v Speaker 1>could get a bit worse.

0:32:27.640 --> 0:32:29.760
<v Speaker 5>I don't think this is it. I don't think Okay,

0:32:29.920 --> 0:32:32.240
<v Speaker 5>we had a strong day, that's it. We're on the up.

0:32:32.280 --> 0:32:33.960
<v Speaker 5>We're not going to see any volatility anymore.

0:32:34.200 --> 0:32:36.920
<v Speaker 1>But if I look at, you know, the United States

0:32:37.040 --> 0:32:41.959
<v Speaker 1>growth potential versus that of you know, China or Europe

0:32:42.120 --> 0:32:45.760
<v Speaker 1>or emerging markets over the next five years, for US,

0:32:46.280 --> 0:32:47.440
<v Speaker 1>US is still the place.

0:32:47.240 --> 0:32:49.040
<v Speaker 5>We want to be, and it is largely because of

0:32:49.080 --> 0:32:49.920
<v Speaker 5>that sector makeup.

0:32:50.520 --> 0:32:53.040
<v Speaker 3>But have you been advising clients to kind of be

0:32:53.200 --> 0:32:55.360
<v Speaker 3>buying all the way back to mid February when we

0:32:55.440 --> 0:32:57.160
<v Speaker 3>started to see the S and P go down.

0:32:58.320 --> 0:32:58.360
<v Speaker 5>No.

0:32:58.600 --> 0:33:02.080
<v Speaker 1>So what's interesting is it actually seemed to me as

0:33:02.160 --> 0:33:04.440
<v Speaker 1>those sentiment was the worst when the market was only

0:33:04.520 --> 0:33:05.400
<v Speaker 1>down three percent or so.

0:33:05.600 --> 0:33:07.320
<v Speaker 5>Because headlines were just flying.

0:33:07.640 --> 0:33:10.120
<v Speaker 1>We got a lot of calls from clients that you know,

0:33:10.200 --> 0:33:12.040
<v Speaker 1>in those early weeks, and we kept saying, you know,

0:33:12.680 --> 0:33:15.720
<v Speaker 1>we're due for our correction, this is likely going to

0:33:15.760 --> 0:33:18.840
<v Speaker 1>get worse. Don't do anything quite yet. When we started

0:33:18.880 --> 0:33:21.000
<v Speaker 1>to get towards the ten percent correction mark on the

0:33:21.120 --> 0:33:22.720
<v Speaker 1>s and P. Five hundred, that's when we started to

0:33:22.760 --> 0:33:24.880
<v Speaker 1>stay to clients who have a lot of cash on

0:33:24.920 --> 0:33:27.400
<v Speaker 1>the sidelines, have been looking to nibble, say, look, you

0:33:27.400 --> 0:33:28.720
<v Speaker 1>don't need to do this all at once, but you

0:33:28.760 --> 0:33:30.720
<v Speaker 1>can start nibbling here, start.

0:33:30.560 --> 0:33:32.080
<v Speaker 5>Buying in, start buying the dip.

0:33:32.240 --> 0:33:34.960
<v Speaker 1>And what's really interesting is that if you look at

0:33:35.080 --> 0:33:37.240
<v Speaker 1>the data, you look at the numbers, if you look

0:33:37.280 --> 0:33:40.360
<v Speaker 1>at corrections that occur within a bull market, and I

0:33:40.400 --> 0:33:42.720
<v Speaker 1>know that's a caveat because I'm saying that the correction's

0:33:42.800 --> 0:33:45.600
<v Speaker 1>not going to turn into a twenty plus percent correction.

0:33:46.000 --> 0:33:48.880
<v Speaker 1>The reason I'm saying that, though, is bear markets are

0:33:49.040 --> 0:33:53.120
<v Speaker 1>pretty uncommon. They happen on average once every seven years,

0:33:53.200 --> 0:33:55.600
<v Speaker 1>and we just witnessed one three years ago, so that

0:33:55.680 --> 0:34:00.360
<v Speaker 1>would be very soon to witness another full blown bear market.

0:34:00.760 --> 0:34:03.840
<v Speaker 1>But if you look at corrections that don't then delve

0:34:04.000 --> 0:34:07.480
<v Speaker 1>into a twenty plus percent correction, they tend to be

0:34:07.640 --> 0:34:08.839
<v Speaker 1>good buying opportunities.

0:34:08.920 --> 0:34:12.040
<v Speaker 5>So if you're an investor who bought in after stocks

0:34:12.080 --> 0:34:12.799
<v Speaker 5>had fallen ten.

0:34:12.760 --> 0:34:14.920
<v Speaker 1>Percent on average, you know the next three, six and

0:34:15.000 --> 0:34:17.640
<v Speaker 1>twelve month returns are eight, thirteen and nineteen percent.

0:34:17.760 --> 0:34:19.400
<v Speaker 5>It's not too bad, to be fair.

0:34:19.320 --> 0:34:22.239
<v Speaker 6>We're only down about six percent from all time highs

0:34:22.239 --> 0:34:24.040
<v Speaker 6>on the S and P five hundred right now after

0:34:24.120 --> 0:34:24.759
<v Speaker 6>today's rally.

0:34:24.800 --> 0:34:27.400
<v Speaker 3>It's not terrible. I mean, considering the run up that

0:34:27.440 --> 0:34:28.920
<v Speaker 3>we've seen the last couple of years shift and we

0:34:28.960 --> 0:34:33.080
<v Speaker 3>saw a week ago. The tone definitely feels different today. Hey, Sarah,

0:34:33.080 --> 0:34:35.360
<v Speaker 3>thank you so much. Great to talk with you. Sarah Ponzek.

0:34:35.480 --> 0:34:38.680
<v Speaker 4>She's financial advisor EBS Private Wealth Management out there in Florida.

0:34:38.880 --> 0:34:39.600
<v Speaker 8>This is Bloomberg.

0:34:41.120 --> 0:34:45.920
<v Speaker 2>This is the Bloomberg Business Week podcast, available on Apple, Spotify,

0:34:46.080 --> 0:34:49.800
<v Speaker 2>and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live weekday

0:34:49.840 --> 0:34:53.560
<v Speaker 2>afternoons from two to five pm Eastern on Bloomberg dot Com,

0:34:53.920 --> 0:34:57.759
<v Speaker 2>the iHeartRadio app, tune In, and the Bloomberg Business App.

0:34:58.040 --> 0:35:00.800
<v Speaker 2>You can also watch us live every weekday on YouTube

0:35:01.000 --> 0:35:03.120
<v Speaker 2>and always on the Bloomberg terminal.

0:35:03.680 --> 0:35:11.120
<v Speaker 5>Mm HM