1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:13,760 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. This is the Bloomberg 2 00:00:13,840 --> 00:00:17,920 Speaker 1: Surveillance Podcast. Catch us live weekdays at seven am Eastern 3 00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:22,000 Speaker 1: on Apple CarPlay or Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. 4 00:00:22,360 --> 00:00:25,680 Speaker 1: Listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts, or watch 5 00:00:25,760 --> 00:00:27,160 Speaker 1: us live on YouTube. 6 00:00:27,360 --> 00:00:30,560 Speaker 2: Ian Lingoln joins right now with demo capital markets. Ian, 7 00:00:30,640 --> 00:00:34,159 Speaker 2: let's begin with first principles. Do you still maintain that 8 00:00:34,360 --> 00:00:36,960 Speaker 2: out there we will see price up and yield down? 9 00:00:39,000 --> 00:00:41,360 Speaker 3: Yeah, I certainly do. I think that the path for 10 00:00:41,920 --> 00:00:44,720 Speaker 3: ten and thirty years yields from here is certainly lower. 11 00:00:44,880 --> 00:00:47,760 Speaker 3: We've seen four percent hold on a couple of occasions, 12 00:00:48,000 --> 00:00:50,280 Speaker 3: but I think that as quick as or as soon 13 00:00:50,360 --> 00:00:53,680 Speaker 3: as this weekend, we could see a weekly close below 14 00:00:53,760 --> 00:00:56,680 Speaker 3: four percent in tins, which is constructive for the longer term. 15 00:00:56,760 --> 00:00:58,400 Speaker 2: Of course, with Ian Lingoln, I had to set up 16 00:00:58,400 --> 00:01:01,440 Speaker 2: a chart that would make Katie commence blush. Okay, it's 17 00:01:01,720 --> 00:01:04,440 Speaker 2: log ten year yield, which is gorgeous. 18 00:01:04,480 --> 00:01:06,639 Speaker 4: Spector are you ready? 19 00:01:06,680 --> 00:01:11,120 Speaker 2: Two standard deviations down like an Ian Lingodn direction is 20 00:01:11,160 --> 00:01:13,800 Speaker 2: a three point seven seven that's what. 21 00:01:13,720 --> 00:01:17,600 Speaker 4: We're talking about. Can you imagine I can refinance the mortgage? Exactly? 22 00:01:17,840 --> 00:01:19,800 Speaker 4: What does it do to in Lingodn's mortgage. 23 00:01:19,840 --> 00:01:22,759 Speaker 5: Paul, So, I we're sitting here with a ten year 24 00:01:22,760 --> 00:01:26,520 Speaker 5: at about four percent here, What is my Federal Reserve 25 00:01:26,560 --> 00:01:29,039 Speaker 5: going to do here? Assuming they have some data that 26 00:01:29,120 --> 00:01:31,440 Speaker 5: maybe we don't have, how do you think they're going 27 00:01:31,440 --> 00:01:34,680 Speaker 5: to proceed over the next two, three four meetings? 28 00:01:35,560 --> 00:01:38,360 Speaker 3: Well, they do have some data that we might not have. 29 00:01:38,440 --> 00:01:41,600 Speaker 3: They certainly have models that tell them what the trajectory 30 00:01:41,600 --> 00:01:44,640 Speaker 3: of the economy was before the government shut down. I 31 00:01:44,640 --> 00:01:47,400 Speaker 3: think the path of base resistance is twenty five basis 32 00:01:47,440 --> 00:01:53,040 Speaker 3: point cuts in October and December, followed by a pause 33 00:01:53,040 --> 00:01:56,720 Speaker 3: in January, and shifting two quarterly cuts of twenty five 34 00:01:56,760 --> 00:01:58,040 Speaker 3: basis points next year. 35 00:01:58,880 --> 00:02:01,640 Speaker 5: All right, So I mean is that? I mean, how 36 00:02:01,640 --> 00:02:03,880 Speaker 5: do you think the FED is looking at this economy here? 37 00:02:04,240 --> 00:02:08,760 Speaker 5: I mean, the inflation despite the tariffs, seems to be 38 00:02:08,800 --> 00:02:10,799 Speaker 5: in check here? So is do you think their focus 39 00:02:10,880 --> 00:02:13,000 Speaker 5: is really more so on the labor market? 40 00:02:14,480 --> 00:02:18,240 Speaker 3: I think that after the major BLS revisions and this 41 00:02:18,320 --> 00:02:23,560 Speaker 3: summer's payrolls prints, that the Fed's focus clearly shifted towards 42 00:02:23,639 --> 00:02:27,120 Speaker 3: the employment aspect of its dual mandate. As you point out, 43 00:02:27,320 --> 00:02:31,280 Speaker 3: realized inflation hasn't been shockingly high. There has been some 44 00:02:31,320 --> 00:02:33,920 Speaker 3: evidence of tariff passed through, but it hasn't been to 45 00:02:33,960 --> 00:02:36,520 Speaker 3: the point that it's troubling for the FED. And so 46 00:02:37,400 --> 00:02:39,280 Speaker 3: I suspect that what the FED is doing at this 47 00:02:39,400 --> 00:02:43,320 Speaker 3: moment is they're not as worried about the performance of 48 00:02:43,360 --> 00:02:47,639 Speaker 3: the real economy today, but they're normalizing rates in anticipation 49 00:02:47,919 --> 00:02:50,600 Speaker 3: of trouble ahead in twenty twenty six. 50 00:02:50,800 --> 00:02:53,080 Speaker 2: So and you're up at ce far with me today. 51 00:02:53,240 --> 00:02:56,040 Speaker 2: I've been asking people for good. Good questions are smarter 52 00:02:56,200 --> 00:02:59,600 Speaker 2: than mine. What is the question you would ask Christopher 53 00:02:59,720 --> 00:03:02,760 Speaker 2: Wall who is on that short list to be chairman 54 00:03:02,840 --> 00:03:03,280 Speaker 2: of the FED. 55 00:03:05,200 --> 00:03:09,120 Speaker 3: I would be very curious where he sees the combination 56 00:03:09,440 --> 00:03:13,880 Speaker 3: of neutral and the overall participation of the balance sheet 57 00:03:13,919 --> 00:03:17,000 Speaker 3: and SOMA in twenty twenty six, right, because if he 58 00:03:17,120 --> 00:03:20,720 Speaker 3: has a lower gut estimate, let's say two seventy five, 59 00:03:20,840 --> 00:03:24,400 Speaker 3: two fifty, I think that would be a shift from 60 00:03:24,440 --> 00:03:27,200 Speaker 3: the market's thinking. Or if he's at three fifty or 61 00:03:27,200 --> 00:03:30,400 Speaker 3: three twenty five, that's also key information that the market's 62 00:03:30,440 --> 00:03:30,880 Speaker 3: looking for. 63 00:03:31,040 --> 00:03:36,800 Speaker 2: Link that into the balance sheet quantitative tightening, quantitative accommodation, 64 00:03:37,320 --> 00:03:40,560 Speaker 2: link that into the balance sheet debate. This keeps coming 65 00:03:40,640 --> 00:03:44,120 Speaker 2: up Paul, with Michael McKee and Christopher Whalen and now 66 00:03:44,160 --> 00:03:46,320 Speaker 2: at Ian Lingen. I think our audience doesn't know this. 67 00:03:46,400 --> 00:03:51,040 Speaker 2: I certainly don't link the monetary policy rate Ian Lingoln 68 00:03:51,400 --> 00:03:54,520 Speaker 2: into what Christopher Waller and the Fed is doing with 69 00:03:54,600 --> 00:03:55,400 Speaker 2: the balance sheet. 70 00:03:57,040 --> 00:04:01,240 Speaker 3: So currently the Fed is winding down or reducing its 71 00:04:01,280 --> 00:04:05,800 Speaker 3: balance sheet, selling more or allowing mortgages and treasuries to mature, 72 00:04:05,880 --> 00:04:09,920 Speaker 3: and not reinvesting them in their entirety. What the messaging 73 00:04:09,960 --> 00:04:13,200 Speaker 3: from Powell was yesterday was that that will probably end 74 00:04:13,320 --> 00:04:15,760 Speaker 3: in the next few months. So that means we'll reach 75 00:04:15,800 --> 00:04:19,000 Speaker 3: a stable balance sheet, which should be good for risk assets, 76 00:04:19,000 --> 00:04:21,080 Speaker 3: it should be good for the real economy. It will 77 00:04:21,080 --> 00:04:25,280 Speaker 3: also be good for best funding needs. As he contemplates 78 00:04:25,320 --> 00:04:27,960 Speaker 3: how he's going to fund the deficit. 79 00:04:28,240 --> 00:04:29,840 Speaker 2: Is he going to fund you think it? Is he 80 00:04:29,880 --> 00:04:31,960 Speaker 2: going to fund it with short term paper? Or is 81 00:04:32,000 --> 00:04:34,719 Speaker 2: he going to start Can you see it now? US 82 00:04:34,880 --> 00:04:37,640 Speaker 2: fifty year bonds swening will line up at. 83 00:04:37,480 --> 00:04:39,960 Speaker 4: The shore for that. How are we going to fund 84 00:04:39,960 --> 00:04:40,600 Speaker 4: this deficit? 85 00:04:42,120 --> 00:04:44,320 Speaker 3: I think for the foreseeable future it's going to be 86 00:04:44,400 --> 00:04:47,600 Speaker 3: funded in the bill market. There's plenty of capacity, there's 87 00:04:47,680 --> 00:04:50,520 Speaker 3: plenty of demand, in the very short end of the curve, 88 00:04:50,920 --> 00:04:54,479 Speaker 3: and once we get to the second half of next year, presumably, 89 00:04:54,800 --> 00:04:57,279 Speaker 3: if my forecasts are right, will be in a lower 90 00:04:57,400 --> 00:05:00,320 Speaker 3: rate environment for tens and thirties, and it's at that 91 00:05:00,360 --> 00:05:04,160 Speaker 3: point that VESNT might consider increasing borrowing further out the curve. 92 00:05:04,920 --> 00:05:07,599 Speaker 5: Ian long ago, Lisa Bromwitz told me, I need to 93 00:05:07,600 --> 00:05:09,360 Speaker 5: focus on the two ten spread. 94 00:05:09,360 --> 00:05:11,440 Speaker 4: I got the two year, I don't know three fifty. 95 00:05:11,480 --> 00:05:13,680 Speaker 5: I got the ten year like four percent, So that's 96 00:05:14,080 --> 00:05:16,480 Speaker 5: fifty basis points of steepening there. 97 00:05:16,960 --> 00:05:18,680 Speaker 4: How do I interpret that? Is that a good thing? 98 00:05:20,880 --> 00:05:24,320 Speaker 3: Well, it's upward sloping, which is good for the economy. 99 00:05:24,320 --> 00:05:26,159 Speaker 3: It's good for the system as a whole. So it 100 00:05:26,200 --> 00:05:30,200 Speaker 3: has normalized. It's not as steep as many ourselves included, 101 00:05:30,480 --> 00:05:32,719 Speaker 3: would have expected at this point in the cycle. The 102 00:05:32,760 --> 00:05:34,840 Speaker 3: Fed has already told us they're going back to neutral, 103 00:05:34,839 --> 00:05:37,520 Speaker 3: which is three percent. I would have expected that we 104 00:05:37,560 --> 00:05:40,680 Speaker 3: would have seen either two year yields closer to three 105 00:05:40,800 --> 00:05:44,160 Speaker 3: twenty five as opposed to three fifty, or a bit 106 00:05:44,240 --> 00:05:47,960 Speaker 3: more bearishness further out the curve, as there does seem 107 00:05:48,000 --> 00:05:51,120 Speaker 3: to be some positive momentum lingering in the real economy, and. 108 00:05:51,240 --> 00:05:53,520 Speaker 2: Thank you for the brief, really really appreciate it. I'm 109 00:05:53,520 --> 00:05:56,280 Speaker 2: going to mention you today with Christopher at Waller there 110 00:05:56,320 --> 00:06:01,920 Speaker 2: that's smart observation on possibly a static balance sheet at 111 00:06:02,560 --> 00:06:02,960 Speaker 2: the FAD. 112 00:06:03,440 --> 00:06:04,159 Speaker 4: Stay with us. 113 00:06:04,400 --> 00:06:07,640 Speaker 2: More from Bloomberg Surveillance coming up after this. 114 00:06:14,880 --> 00:06:18,479 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Surveillance podcast. Catch US Live 115 00:06:18,520 --> 00:06:21,720 Speaker 1: weekday afternoons from seven to ten am Eastern Listen on 116 00:06:21,760 --> 00:06:25,440 Speaker 1: Applecarplay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app, or 117 00:06:25,600 --> 00:06:27,080 Speaker 1: watch US live on YouTube. 118 00:06:27,400 --> 00:06:30,320 Speaker 2: Right now, too quick a visit with Daniel Tannebaum with 119 00:06:30,440 --> 00:06:32,760 Speaker 2: Oliver Wyman. Dan, I just want to go to the 120 00:06:32,800 --> 00:06:36,040 Speaker 2: first line of your note, which is just simply the 121 00:06:36,080 --> 00:06:39,599 Speaker 2: imf IF meetings is just when are we going to 122 00:06:39,600 --> 00:06:42,360 Speaker 2: be adults about containing Russia? 123 00:06:42,520 --> 00:06:46,240 Speaker 6: Give us an update? No, that's right, Tom. There's at 124 00:06:46,320 --> 00:06:50,839 Speaker 6: least discussions in the private forum of concern around when 125 00:06:50,839 --> 00:06:53,080 Speaker 6: will the US finally take action. We've seen a lot 126 00:06:53,120 --> 00:06:56,320 Speaker 6: of words, We've seen the President express disappointment. We know 127 00:06:56,400 --> 00:07:01,240 Speaker 6: there's pending Senate legislation that would significantly increasealies on Russia, 128 00:07:01,279 --> 00:07:04,000 Speaker 6: but we just haven't used any of them, and so 129 00:07:04,360 --> 00:07:07,160 Speaker 6: it is leaving our allies. And I was in Brussels 130 00:07:07,160 --> 00:07:09,840 Speaker 6: two weeks ago, feeling like they're left holding the bag 131 00:07:09,920 --> 00:07:11,440 Speaker 6: without US support. 132 00:07:11,920 --> 00:07:14,360 Speaker 5: And Dan, I just again reading your note, it just 133 00:07:14,400 --> 00:07:16,920 Speaker 5: kind of jumped out of me. There have been zero 134 00:07:17,200 --> 00:07:21,240 Speaker 5: new sanctions levied by President Trump since returning to office. 135 00:07:21,280 --> 00:07:25,760 Speaker 5: That kind of surprised me, given what's taken place in Ukraine. 136 00:07:26,320 --> 00:07:27,720 Speaker 5: What's the feeling in DC here? 137 00:07:28,520 --> 00:07:31,680 Speaker 6: I think the feeling is a question of why, what 138 00:07:32,120 --> 00:07:34,440 Speaker 6: is the hold up the discussions? 139 00:07:34,440 --> 00:07:34,960 Speaker 4: Previously? 140 00:07:35,000 --> 00:07:38,960 Speaker 6: The President said this that sanctions will somehow impede the 141 00:07:39,040 --> 00:07:42,680 Speaker 6: negotiations with Russia. I mean, Russia has only increased the 142 00:07:42,760 --> 00:07:47,560 Speaker 6: aggression since the Alaska Summit, which feels like an eternity ago, 143 00:07:47,920 --> 00:07:51,080 Speaker 6: and with no tangible actions against Russia. The focus has 144 00:07:51,120 --> 00:07:55,840 Speaker 6: been on pressuring allies to Ukraine more so than actually 145 00:07:55,880 --> 00:08:01,840 Speaker 6: pressuring Ukraine, pressuring Russia, I mean, to to stop this war. 146 00:08:02,000 --> 00:08:04,000 Speaker 6: So it is a real question mark as to what 147 00:08:04,040 --> 00:08:05,840 Speaker 6: will it take to see actual action. 148 00:08:07,560 --> 00:08:11,200 Speaker 5: Is there some feeling within Congress that Congress can just 149 00:08:11,520 --> 00:08:14,600 Speaker 5: without the President, go on alone a little bit and 150 00:08:14,600 --> 00:08:17,200 Speaker 5: impose some sanctions or do they need a full support 151 00:08:17,200 --> 00:08:17,760 Speaker 5: of the President. 152 00:08:18,160 --> 00:08:21,960 Speaker 6: They absolutely can, and they've done it before in twenty seventeen, 153 00:08:22,000 --> 00:08:26,480 Speaker 6: which was definitely an eternity ago Congress imposed sanctions without 154 00:08:26,520 --> 00:08:29,200 Speaker 6: the president's go ahead. It actually was to ensure that 155 00:08:29,240 --> 00:08:32,840 Speaker 6: the President didn't lift existing sanctions on Russia. They will 156 00:08:32,880 --> 00:08:35,240 Speaker 6: not act without them. Boone will not put this bill 157 00:08:35,280 --> 00:08:35,880 Speaker 6: on the floor. 158 00:08:36,120 --> 00:08:38,720 Speaker 2: Good Dan, Let me ask the elephant in the room question. 159 00:08:39,520 --> 00:08:41,559 Speaker 4: I mean, what is, with all of your. 160 00:08:41,440 --> 00:08:44,520 Speaker 2: Experience, including with a fuller reserve in New York, Dan Tanebam, 161 00:08:44,960 --> 00:08:48,600 Speaker 2: how close is President Trump to mister Putin? 162 00:08:49,640 --> 00:08:52,640 Speaker 6: I mean, that is the million dollar question. We don't 163 00:08:52,679 --> 00:08:57,720 Speaker 6: really know. He's clearly shown a view towards the more 164 00:08:57,880 --> 00:09:02,440 Speaker 6: autocratic leaders is a model that he aspires towards. Now 165 00:09:02,600 --> 00:09:07,120 Speaker 6: he's certainly said repeatedly in recent weeks of the continued disappointment, 166 00:09:07,160 --> 00:09:12,200 Speaker 6: particularly with drone and military intervention in NATO territory. 167 00:09:12,520 --> 00:09:14,200 Speaker 4: But that is the question. 168 00:09:14,320 --> 00:09:17,520 Speaker 6: He has not said anything positive about Vladimir Putin recently, 169 00:09:17,559 --> 00:09:20,720 Speaker 6: so I guess that's a win. But it's hard to 170 00:09:20,800 --> 00:09:22,360 Speaker 6: understand the calculus here. 171 00:09:22,600 --> 00:09:24,200 Speaker 2: I mean, you're one of the few people I know 172 00:09:24,240 --> 00:09:28,400 Speaker 2: it's going to actually answer intelligently. So it's a victory 173 00:09:28,440 --> 00:09:32,600 Speaker 2: in Israel Gaza. Can the president translate that over to 174 00:09:32,720 --> 00:09:36,880 Speaker 2: a quote unquote victory in Ukraine. I think he can. 175 00:09:37,040 --> 00:09:40,280 Speaker 6: I mean, let's give the president credit on the Gaza deal. 176 00:09:40,320 --> 00:09:43,120 Speaker 6: It's something that few others could have really done to 177 00:09:43,160 --> 00:09:46,640 Speaker 6: bring both Hamas and Israel to the table to come 178 00:09:46,679 --> 00:09:49,240 Speaker 6: to a deal. I think if the President put his 179 00:09:49,440 --> 00:09:53,120 Speaker 6: energy into it, used the mouthpiece that he has joined 180 00:09:53,200 --> 00:09:55,760 Speaker 6: back with the G seven allies that are trying to 181 00:09:55,960 --> 00:09:58,680 Speaker 6: curb and get Russia out of Ukraine, I think it 182 00:09:58,720 --> 00:10:01,160 Speaker 6: would make a difference. I think it would be something 183 00:10:01,200 --> 00:10:03,640 Speaker 6: that gets him towards that famous Nobel prize that he 184 00:10:03,679 --> 00:10:07,400 Speaker 6: seems so excited about. But he hasn't done it yet, 185 00:10:07,440 --> 00:10:09,280 Speaker 6: and that is the question is what will it take 186 00:10:09,320 --> 00:10:10,599 Speaker 6: to get him off the sidelines? 187 00:10:10,960 --> 00:10:13,520 Speaker 2: Tanab, I'm shortlisted for the nobil. 188 00:10:13,320 --> 00:10:15,840 Speaker 4: Sure, absolutely, Dan. 189 00:10:16,400 --> 00:10:20,520 Speaker 5: In reality, there is everybody just waiting for the President 190 00:10:20,559 --> 00:10:22,600 Speaker 5: to decide which way to go, because there are some 191 00:10:22,720 --> 00:10:26,760 Speaker 5: serious sanctions in terms of frozen Russian assets that could 192 00:10:26,800 --> 00:10:30,480 Speaker 5: be levied here that could have significant impacts on Russia. 193 00:10:30,559 --> 00:10:33,280 Speaker 4: But is it at the discretion of the president here well, so. 194 00:10:33,320 --> 00:10:36,320 Speaker 6: That's the one area where the President probably has less influence. 195 00:10:36,400 --> 00:10:39,400 Speaker 6: The bulk of the immobilized Russian sovereign assets are actually 196 00:10:39,480 --> 00:10:42,600 Speaker 6: in Europe, and there's been discussions for months, well for years, 197 00:10:42,640 --> 00:10:46,680 Speaker 6: but really recently they've escalated within Brussels in the European 198 00:10:46,679 --> 00:10:49,840 Speaker 6: Commission around what to do with these immobilized assets. Do 199 00:10:49,920 --> 00:10:52,719 Speaker 6: we seize them? Do we generate alone off them? Which 200 00:10:52,760 --> 00:10:56,440 Speaker 6: is already a plan leveraging the interest gain from the 201 00:10:56,640 --> 00:11:01,960 Speaker 6: matured securities that were held with some institutions in Europe. 202 00:11:02,080 --> 00:11:05,040 Speaker 6: But the president here, if he said he was supportive, 203 00:11:05,080 --> 00:11:07,080 Speaker 6: I think it will help the cause. But this is 204 00:11:07,120 --> 00:11:09,559 Speaker 6: really an issue that Europe needs to solve predominantly. 205 00:11:10,000 --> 00:11:12,440 Speaker 2: Dan, thank you so much. In Washington. D tan Obaum 206 00:11:12,440 --> 00:11:16,920 Speaker 2: with Oliver Whyman, stay with us. More from Bloomberg Surveillance 207 00:11:17,000 --> 00:11:25,400 Speaker 2: coming up after this. 208 00:11:25,400 --> 00:11:29,319 Speaker 1: This is the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast. Listen live each weekday 209 00:11:29,360 --> 00:11:32,640 Speaker 1: starting at seven am Eastern on Applecarplay and Android Auto 210 00:11:32,760 --> 00:11:35,720 Speaker 1: with the Bloomberg Business app. You can also listen live 211 00:11:35,800 --> 00:11:39,400 Speaker 1: on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station, Just 212 00:11:39,440 --> 00:11:41,880 Speaker 1: say Alexa Play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 213 00:11:42,160 --> 00:11:45,760 Speaker 4: David Balen. He's the CEO of CIO Capitol Group. 214 00:11:45,880 --> 00:11:48,520 Speaker 5: David it is formerly Chief Investment Officer in Global Head 215 00:11:48,520 --> 00:11:51,760 Speaker 5: of Investments at City Global Wealth. So he's been around 216 00:11:51,760 --> 00:11:54,720 Speaker 5: the block once or twice. Hey, David, A lot. 217 00:11:54,520 --> 00:11:55,880 Speaker 4: Of cross currents out there. 218 00:11:56,200 --> 00:11:59,160 Speaker 5: We like to focus on the fundamentals like interest rates 219 00:11:59,200 --> 00:12:03,120 Speaker 5: and earnings, but boy, there's geopolitical issues out there. There's 220 00:12:03,240 --> 00:12:06,959 Speaker 5: just domestic political issues as it relates to tariffs and 221 00:12:06,960 --> 00:12:09,120 Speaker 5: so on and so forth. When you talk to your clients, 222 00:12:09,120 --> 00:12:11,079 Speaker 5: what's the message you try to get across. 223 00:12:12,880 --> 00:12:15,559 Speaker 7: Right now, we're looking at next year's earnings being of 224 00:12:15,640 --> 00:12:18,040 Speaker 7: about ten percent, We're looking at industrates coming down a 225 00:12:18,040 --> 00:12:20,920 Speaker 7: little bit, and we're looking at an extraordinarily resilient economy 226 00:12:20,920 --> 00:12:24,000 Speaker 7: that's pretty much ignored some of the major news, both 227 00:12:24,000 --> 00:12:27,880 Speaker 7: a shutdown and also the tariff negotiations with China. But 228 00:12:27,960 --> 00:12:30,160 Speaker 7: what we're seeing in client portfolio is a little bit 229 00:12:30,200 --> 00:12:34,000 Speaker 7: more troubling, which is a great concentration in areas like technology. 230 00:12:34,000 --> 00:12:37,080 Speaker 7: You know, managed portfolios have large exposures, but then clients 231 00:12:37,120 --> 00:12:39,920 Speaker 7: have added on more to that, and they've avoided shares, 232 00:12:40,000 --> 00:12:41,960 Speaker 7: you know, offshore shares, which I think will do well 233 00:12:42,000 --> 00:12:44,920 Speaker 7: next year. They've avoided healthcare shares, which will do well 234 00:12:45,280 --> 00:12:47,719 Speaker 7: next year as well. And so really we want to 235 00:12:47,720 --> 00:12:51,360 Speaker 7: see people reorient their portfolios a little bit away from 236 00:12:51,360 --> 00:12:53,840 Speaker 7: tech simply because of the concentration risks that they have, 237 00:12:54,520 --> 00:12:56,720 Speaker 7: even though we expect earnings to go up in the 238 00:12:56,760 --> 00:13:00,280 Speaker 7: technology sector. So it's a complacency that we're really most 239 00:13:00,280 --> 00:13:01,600 Speaker 7: concerned about, to be honest with you. 240 00:13:02,000 --> 00:13:06,400 Speaker 8: Okay, So when it comes to portfolio construction, how big 241 00:13:06,440 --> 00:13:08,559 Speaker 8: of a moat do I have to have around my castle? 242 00:13:10,080 --> 00:13:12,840 Speaker 7: Well, it's funny, you know, the sixty forty portfolio isn't 243 00:13:12,840 --> 00:13:14,640 Speaker 7: going to work so well. But I think that clients 244 00:13:14,960 --> 00:13:17,840 Speaker 7: don't have enough bonds and high quality bonds in their portfolio. 245 00:13:18,040 --> 00:13:21,200 Speaker 7: They typically don't have gold, They probably have virtually no 246 00:13:21,360 --> 00:13:24,200 Speaker 7: or zero exposure to big coin reating digital currency, and 247 00:13:24,280 --> 00:13:26,720 Speaker 7: as already mentioned, they don't have much exposure to China 248 00:13:26,760 --> 00:13:30,240 Speaker 7: tech or even to offshore equities. So there are lots 249 00:13:30,240 --> 00:13:33,640 Speaker 7: of places where you want clients to reorient their portfolios. 250 00:13:33,920 --> 00:13:36,600 Speaker 7: And we're talking about a reorientation that could be twelve 251 00:13:36,679 --> 00:13:38,760 Speaker 7: to fourteen percent of their assets. So it's not a 252 00:13:38,760 --> 00:13:41,560 Speaker 7: small change that we're recommending for twenty twenty six. 253 00:13:42,760 --> 00:13:47,319 Speaker 5: So in your outlook there, David, what role does do 254 00:13:47,440 --> 00:13:50,560 Speaker 5: alternatives play? And you know, I think falterners for most 255 00:13:50,600 --> 00:13:53,920 Speaker 5: most of us are private equity, private credit, maybe hedge 256 00:13:53,920 --> 00:13:56,439 Speaker 5: funds think things like that. How do you think about alternatives? 257 00:13:57,400 --> 00:13:59,439 Speaker 7: Yeah, I think there are certain areas in the alternative 258 00:13:59,440 --> 00:14:01,960 Speaker 7: market this coming year that are going to be better 259 00:14:01,960 --> 00:14:04,800 Speaker 7: for vintages, like, for example, with a number of you know, 260 00:14:04,960 --> 00:14:07,719 Speaker 7: lack of exits of private equity companies, and with valuations 261 00:14:07,720 --> 00:14:10,640 Speaker 7: of mid cap stocks you know, about three turns less 262 00:14:10,640 --> 00:14:14,359 Speaker 7: than large caps. I think private equity, especially middle market private. 263 00:14:14,080 --> 00:14:14,800 Speaker 4: Equity, is good. 264 00:14:15,120 --> 00:14:17,240 Speaker 7: But the area that we like best is one that's 265 00:14:17,240 --> 00:14:20,120 Speaker 7: actually harder to invest in, which is early stage venture capital. 266 00:14:20,440 --> 00:14:22,520 Speaker 7: You know, companies that are in series A, you know, 267 00:14:22,720 --> 00:14:25,600 Speaker 7: even startup equity. And the reason that we like them 268 00:14:25,680 --> 00:14:27,640 Speaker 7: is that they give you really large returns, but they 269 00:14:27,680 --> 00:14:30,440 Speaker 7: also give you a second and third opportunity to invest 270 00:14:30,480 --> 00:14:33,680 Speaker 7: as the more successful companies come out of those portfolios 271 00:14:33,680 --> 00:14:36,160 Speaker 7: and funds. So we're emphasizing that our you know, ultra 272 00:14:36,200 --> 00:14:39,040 Speaker 7: high net worth clients lean into that asset class. In 273 00:14:39,080 --> 00:14:40,800 Speaker 7: twenty twenty six, are. 274 00:14:40,720 --> 00:14:43,400 Speaker 8: Most investors on the same page, whether it be retail, 275 00:14:43,640 --> 00:14:46,200 Speaker 8: a high net worth or institutional. 276 00:14:47,560 --> 00:14:51,200 Speaker 7: You know, it's interesting the retail investors are actually more active. 277 00:14:51,280 --> 00:14:53,600 Speaker 7: We're seeing you know, family offices and ultra high net 278 00:14:53,600 --> 00:14:57,840 Speaker 7: worth clients really focused on what they did in the past, 279 00:14:58,200 --> 00:15:00,800 Speaker 7: and that's one of the dangers of FORTFOLI management is 280 00:15:00,800 --> 00:15:03,440 Speaker 7: if they don't look forward and actually change their strategy, 281 00:15:03,680 --> 00:15:06,560 Speaker 7: they actually are taking on increased risk. When markets have 282 00:15:06,600 --> 00:15:08,200 Speaker 7: done as well as they have for the last four 283 00:15:08,280 --> 00:15:12,160 Speaker 7: or five years, all of these concentration risks build up, 284 00:15:12,480 --> 00:15:15,480 Speaker 7: and that's what we're seeing. You know, even as families 285 00:15:15,520 --> 00:15:18,120 Speaker 7: have become wealthier, even as family officer have done better, 286 00:15:18,400 --> 00:15:21,360 Speaker 7: the fact is that their portfolios have become far riskier, 287 00:15:21,400 --> 00:15:24,040 Speaker 7: and that I think is underappreciated. 288 00:15:24,480 --> 00:15:27,640 Speaker 5: So fixed income here, it feels like fixed income kind 289 00:15:27,640 --> 00:15:29,600 Speaker 5: of getting squeezed out over the last several years with 290 00:15:29,600 --> 00:15:32,760 Speaker 5: a strong performance of the equity market. But you know, 291 00:15:33,520 --> 00:15:37,000 Speaker 5: how do you think about fixed income allocations? How much 292 00:15:37,080 --> 00:15:39,120 Speaker 5: credit risk do you want to take on fixed income side? 293 00:15:40,200 --> 00:15:43,360 Speaker 7: Right, So you're hitting upon it a critical point. One 294 00:15:43,400 --> 00:15:45,400 Speaker 7: of the things that's be't squeezed out is fixed income. 295 00:15:45,520 --> 00:15:48,200 Speaker 7: And with rates where they are right now, both in 296 00:15:48,240 --> 00:15:51,040 Speaker 7: the traditional markets and the high yield markets, there really 297 00:15:51,040 --> 00:15:53,440 Speaker 7: are opportunities for people to capture and hold on to 298 00:15:53,640 --> 00:15:56,280 Speaker 7: very good fixed income rates that are highly likely to 299 00:15:56,320 --> 00:15:59,000 Speaker 7: come down next year. And you're right, people are very 300 00:15:59,120 --> 00:16:01,720 Speaker 7: under allocated to that as well. Again as equities have 301 00:16:02,200 --> 00:16:04,520 Speaker 7: done well, So we want to see clients take on 302 00:16:04,560 --> 00:16:07,520 Speaker 7: a full slug of that, right, even including municipals in 303 00:16:07,560 --> 00:16:09,760 Speaker 7: the United States, And that's why we have such a 304 00:16:09,840 --> 00:16:14,280 Speaker 7: large orientation to reorienting portfolios. And we also want clients 305 00:16:14,280 --> 00:16:17,720 Speaker 7: to think about their cash balances. The typical client today 306 00:16:17,720 --> 00:16:20,280 Speaker 7: has more than eight percent of their money in cash, 307 00:16:20,560 --> 00:16:23,640 Speaker 7: earning less than three percent when they could be earning 308 00:16:23,640 --> 00:16:25,800 Speaker 7: four and a half percent right if they actively manage it. 309 00:16:26,080 --> 00:16:28,640 Speaker 7: And they have two higher cash balances and they're earning 310 00:16:28,640 --> 00:16:31,160 Speaker 7: too little on them. So there's a lot for clients 311 00:16:31,240 --> 00:16:33,120 Speaker 7: to do in twenty twenty six and getting ready for 312 00:16:33,160 --> 00:16:33,600 Speaker 7: next year. 313 00:16:33,920 --> 00:16:36,960 Speaker 8: David, here's the softball for you. Don't turn it into 314 00:16:36,960 --> 00:16:40,120 Speaker 8: a commercial. But what happens at the intersection of AI 315 00:16:40,200 --> 00:16:41,120 Speaker 8: and wealth management. 316 00:16:42,680 --> 00:16:45,200 Speaker 7: A lot is going to happen at the intersection. First 317 00:16:45,200 --> 00:16:47,480 Speaker 7: of all, in terms of benefits to clients. We're going 318 00:16:47,520 --> 00:16:52,000 Speaker 7: to see clients develop hyper efficient portfolios. Right, they need 319 00:16:52,040 --> 00:16:55,000 Speaker 7: to spend less for their fund management, for even their 320 00:16:55,000 --> 00:16:57,440 Speaker 7: wealth management and advice, and they're going to be able 321 00:16:57,480 --> 00:17:00,280 Speaker 7: to do that by looking at their entire portfolios using 322 00:17:00,400 --> 00:17:03,480 Speaker 7: data aggregation, taking a look at where they're just getting 323 00:17:03,480 --> 00:17:05,800 Speaker 7: index exposure, like the S and P or the NASDAC, 324 00:17:06,200 --> 00:17:09,080 Speaker 7: bringing that down to the lowest possible cost, and then 325 00:17:09,160 --> 00:17:11,439 Speaker 7: doing the reallocations we just talked about right in a 326 00:17:11,520 --> 00:17:15,080 Speaker 7: very methodical way. What AI doesn't do well is anticipate 327 00:17:15,200 --> 00:17:17,879 Speaker 7: some of the market conditions that we actually have right now. 328 00:17:18,040 --> 00:17:20,320 Speaker 7: That's where you need people to do that job, the 329 00:17:20,359 --> 00:17:23,919 Speaker 7: CIO part. But in terms of making portfolios efficient, it 330 00:17:24,040 --> 00:17:26,359 Speaker 7: is just remarkable right that the state of the wealth 331 00:17:26,400 --> 00:17:29,800 Speaker 7: management industry right now is that the typical retail client 332 00:17:29,840 --> 00:17:32,800 Speaker 7: will will spend one point one to one point five 333 00:17:32,840 --> 00:17:36,200 Speaker 7: percent to get asset management services and fun including their 334 00:17:36,200 --> 00:17:36,840 Speaker 7: fund costs. 335 00:17:36,960 --> 00:17:37,879 Speaker 2: And that's ridiculous. 336 00:17:37,920 --> 00:17:39,720 Speaker 7: It won't it won't be that high in two years. 337 00:17:40,160 --> 00:17:42,840 Speaker 4: David, Thanks for joining us. Always appreciate getting the benefits 338 00:17:42,840 --> 00:17:45,880 Speaker 4: of your wisdom. David Balen, CEO of CIO Capital Group. 339 00:17:45,920 --> 00:17:49,280 Speaker 5: I note that Stephen Whiting, formerly of City, recently enjoying it. 340 00:17:49,680 --> 00:17:52,400 Speaker 5: David Balen, stay with us. More from Bloomberg Surveillance. Coming 341 00:17:52,480 --> 00:18:06,840 Speaker 5: up after this. 342 00:18:00,160 --> 00:18:04,040 Speaker 1: Is the Bloomberg Surveillance podcast. Listen live each weekday starting 343 00:18:04,080 --> 00:18:07,280 Speaker 1: at seven am Eastern on Applecarplay and Android auto with 344 00:18:07,359 --> 00:18:10,320 Speaker 1: the Bloomberg Business app. You can also watch us live 345 00:18:10,400 --> 00:18:13,920 Speaker 1: every weekday on YouTube and always on the Bloomberg Terminal. 346 00:18:14,080 --> 00:18:15,879 Speaker 5: We actually have a guest who really is an expert 347 00:18:15,920 --> 00:18:18,920 Speaker 5: on this whole energy stuff, Regina Mayor, a global head 348 00:18:18,920 --> 00:18:21,680 Speaker 5: of clients and Markets at kp MG. 349 00:18:22,840 --> 00:18:23,280 Speaker 4: Regina. 350 00:18:23,440 --> 00:18:26,520 Speaker 5: You know, I note that WTI crude oil has got 351 00:18:26,520 --> 00:18:28,879 Speaker 5: a fifty eight handle. I mean, I think the folks 352 00:18:28,880 --> 00:18:30,440 Speaker 5: down in your neck of the woods, they're not real 353 00:18:30,480 --> 00:18:33,240 Speaker 5: happy with that. Talk to us about kind of where 354 00:18:33,320 --> 00:18:35,879 Speaker 5: oil is now and what does that mean for the 355 00:18:35,880 --> 00:18:37,240 Speaker 5: economics of the energy business. 356 00:18:38,280 --> 00:18:41,120 Speaker 9: Yeah, So it's really interesting because we've got dueling forecasts 357 00:18:41,160 --> 00:18:43,920 Speaker 9: going on and an attempt to seize the narrative. So 358 00:18:44,280 --> 00:18:48,960 Speaker 9: opek is saying supply demand roughly in equilibrium, IEA predicting 359 00:18:48,960 --> 00:18:52,240 Speaker 9: a big supply gut. The industry titans trying to say 360 00:18:52,280 --> 00:18:54,719 Speaker 9: it's short term, it'll work itself out in the medium 361 00:18:54,720 --> 00:18:56,960 Speaker 9: and long term. My own view is I think we're 362 00:18:57,000 --> 00:19:00,240 Speaker 9: near the floor. Why do I think that? Cushe is 363 00:19:00,280 --> 00:19:03,320 Speaker 9: out a six year low for inventory so US space. 364 00:19:03,840 --> 00:19:06,399 Speaker 9: I do think for shale we're going to see flat 365 00:19:06,440 --> 00:19:09,480 Speaker 9: to low production in twenty twenty six. We're starting to 366 00:19:09,480 --> 00:19:13,639 Speaker 9: see more speculative plays. We're moving into more marginal territory. 367 00:19:13,760 --> 00:19:16,959 Speaker 9: I think that'll put some of the supply off and 368 00:19:17,040 --> 00:19:20,400 Speaker 9: we might be even approaching acentangle market where we start 369 00:19:20,400 --> 00:19:25,680 Speaker 9: to see some uneconomic behavior. We're already seeing floating storage 370 00:19:25,840 --> 00:19:28,560 Speaker 9: doubled twenty million barrels to forty million barrels. You're on, 371 00:19:28,640 --> 00:19:31,200 Speaker 9: colleague covey Er bloss Broad actually a really interesting piece 372 00:19:31,200 --> 00:19:34,000 Speaker 9: about that. So we think it's the floor. So we 373 00:19:34,040 --> 00:19:37,879 Speaker 9: don't necessarily like WTI at fifty eight. I think it 374 00:19:37,920 --> 00:19:40,640 Speaker 9: should be comfortably in the mid sixties, and we'll still 375 00:19:40,640 --> 00:19:44,720 Speaker 9: see really strong growth from energy companies in twenty twenty six. 376 00:19:44,880 --> 00:19:48,320 Speaker 8: All right, backwardation in contango. One of these days, somebody's 377 00:19:48,359 --> 00:19:51,960 Speaker 8: going to give me a clear, clear explanation of that. Hey, 378 00:19:52,000 --> 00:19:55,320 Speaker 8: One of the regional issues we're facing here Regina is 379 00:19:55,880 --> 00:19:59,680 Speaker 8: a debate, a really intense debate over a proposed pipeline 380 00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:03,359 Speaker 8: that would from Pennsylvania through New Jersey through the Raritan 381 00:20:03,440 --> 00:20:06,760 Speaker 8: Bay under the water and to Queen's you know, the 382 00:20:06,800 --> 00:20:12,280 Speaker 8: governor here for it, the congressional delegation against it. Can 383 00:20:12,320 --> 00:20:15,199 Speaker 8: you talk to us about where we are in the 384 00:20:15,280 --> 00:20:20,880 Speaker 8: debate between oil, gas, and renewables. 385 00:20:22,680 --> 00:20:26,120 Speaker 9: So right now we have an environment that is probably 386 00:20:26,200 --> 00:20:28,959 Speaker 9: more friendly toward oil and gas. I shared the story 387 00:20:28,960 --> 00:20:32,160 Speaker 9: with Tom and Paul earlier this year at an Astros game. 388 00:20:32,240 --> 00:20:34,080 Speaker 9: I know he's a Red Sox fan, but for the 389 00:20:34,080 --> 00:20:37,480 Speaker 9: first time in a long time, I'm seeing oil companies advertise, 390 00:20:37,680 --> 00:20:40,200 Speaker 9: you know, baseball brought to you by oil and gas. 391 00:20:40,280 --> 00:20:42,879 Speaker 9: You would not have seen that two years ago, so 392 00:20:43,040 --> 00:20:45,760 Speaker 9: I think that the industry is trying to take advantage 393 00:20:45,760 --> 00:20:48,359 Speaker 9: of that. I actually think your part of the country 394 00:20:48,400 --> 00:20:52,000 Speaker 9: would really benefit from more access to natural gas. In 395 00:20:52,080 --> 00:20:55,760 Speaker 9: the New England, New York, New Jersey area, you know, 396 00:20:55,560 --> 00:20:58,879 Speaker 9: you have propane deliveries. It still go house to house 397 00:20:58,920 --> 00:21:02,400 Speaker 9: with heating oil, and if we had natural gas lines in. 398 00:21:02,680 --> 00:21:06,240 Speaker 9: We have a ubiquitousness of natural gas, particularly from Appalachia 399 00:21:06,520 --> 00:21:10,320 Speaker 9: really close by, relatively inexpensive. So I think we're trying 400 00:21:10,359 --> 00:21:11,200 Speaker 9: to do more of that. 401 00:21:11,400 --> 00:21:12,200 Speaker 3: Offshore wind. 402 00:21:12,840 --> 00:21:16,320 Speaker 9: I think it's being really under an onslaught in this 403 00:21:16,400 --> 00:21:19,399 Speaker 9: current administration, but we'll still see a lot of renewables 404 00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:24,200 Speaker 9: investment with solar and onshore wind and other investments. We're 405 00:21:24,200 --> 00:21:28,240 Speaker 9: still seeing investments in hydrogen for example, carbon capture, etc. 406 00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:31,560 Speaker 9: So it might be more stealthy those non oil and 407 00:21:31,600 --> 00:21:34,760 Speaker 9: gas moves, and I think that we're trying to capture 408 00:21:34,800 --> 00:21:36,240 Speaker 9: more of that space. The other thing I would say 409 00:21:36,280 --> 00:21:39,800 Speaker 9: is the ITEA did say thirty percent of the world's 410 00:21:39,920 --> 00:21:42,480 Speaker 9: energy will still have to come from oil and gas 411 00:21:42,520 --> 00:21:45,240 Speaker 9: in terms of the growth that's coming between now and 412 00:21:45,320 --> 00:21:48,560 Speaker 9: twenty fifty. So we see insatiable energy demand and we 413 00:21:49,080 --> 00:21:51,600 Speaker 9: got to use oil and gas for filling a good 414 00:21:51,680 --> 00:21:52,800 Speaker 9: chunk of that increase. 415 00:21:53,000 --> 00:21:55,480 Speaker 5: When you talk to your clients, Regina, I mean, how 416 00:21:55,480 --> 00:21:58,199 Speaker 5: did they think about Again, you just brought up this 417 00:21:58,680 --> 00:22:02,080 Speaker 5: forecast we see for heightened demand for energy going forward, 418 00:22:02,080 --> 00:22:05,040 Speaker 5: whether it's AI or for other sources. I know, it 419 00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:07,400 Speaker 5: seems to me like we're going to need everything, whether 420 00:22:07,440 --> 00:22:13,080 Speaker 5: it's you know, a fossil fuels, renewables, maybe even increased 421 00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:14,040 Speaker 5: use of nuclear. 422 00:22:14,160 --> 00:22:15,639 Speaker 4: I mean, how do your clients think about that. 423 00:22:16,800 --> 00:22:19,919 Speaker 9: It's definitely in all of the above strategy, Paul. But 424 00:22:20,400 --> 00:22:24,000 Speaker 9: we're making investments. They're looking at what's economic and then 425 00:22:24,119 --> 00:22:26,560 Speaker 9: what might the future look like that I can still 426 00:22:27,080 --> 00:22:31,080 Speaker 9: consider that might scale and ultimately become economic. In the meantime, 427 00:22:31,119 --> 00:22:33,800 Speaker 9: you're seeing more exploration and production in other parts of 428 00:22:33,840 --> 00:22:37,480 Speaker 9: the world for core oil and gas assets while they're 429 00:22:37,520 --> 00:22:43,200 Speaker 9: still exploring, you know, lithium deposits hydrogen as a fuel 430 00:22:43,240 --> 00:22:47,240 Speaker 9: cell alternative. How do we drive more electrical generation and 431 00:22:47,320 --> 00:22:50,480 Speaker 9: improve the strength of the grid. So they are looking 432 00:22:50,520 --> 00:22:53,400 Speaker 9: at all of the alternatives and figuring out which ones 433 00:22:53,440 --> 00:22:55,280 Speaker 9: are going to be the most economic because they have 434 00:22:55,280 --> 00:22:57,320 Speaker 9: shareholders that they have to respond to. 435 00:22:57,640 --> 00:22:59,840 Speaker 8: Hey, real quick, do you think a reckoning has come 436 00:22:59,840 --> 00:23:02,879 Speaker 8: out for these AI data centers that they want to 437 00:23:02,880 --> 00:23:06,359 Speaker 8: build out? If they're competing you against me and Hall 438 00:23:06,600 --> 00:23:10,280 Speaker 8: for energy usage as we see our bills climb high. 439 00:23:10,160 --> 00:23:14,359 Speaker 3: And hire, it's a really good question, you know. 440 00:23:14,440 --> 00:23:17,520 Speaker 9: I think we do see an insatiable demand for electricity. 441 00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:21,160 Speaker 9: The tech folks that I talk to, they talk about. 442 00:23:21,040 --> 00:23:22,000 Speaker 3: Moore's law a lot. 443 00:23:22,119 --> 00:23:24,840 Speaker 9: So what we see and know the hockey stick of 444 00:23:25,040 --> 00:23:28,919 Speaker 9: energy consumption, there is a lot of work going on 445 00:23:29,000 --> 00:23:32,399 Speaker 9: to try to make these data centers not so energy intensive. 446 00:23:32,800 --> 00:23:36,120 Speaker 9: I'm a believer in technology continuing to drive those curves down, 447 00:23:36,480 --> 00:23:38,720 Speaker 9: and I don't think it'll be exponential growth. I think 448 00:23:38,720 --> 00:23:40,240 Speaker 9: they'll figure out a way to moderate it. 449 00:23:40,680 --> 00:23:43,160 Speaker 5: Gena great stuff is always We really appreciate you taking 450 00:23:43,160 --> 00:23:45,560 Speaker 5: a few minutes to chat with us. Regina Mayor, Global 451 00:23:45,560 --> 00:23:48,679 Speaker 5: Head of Clients and Markets at kp Energ. 452 00:23:49,480 --> 00:23:54,320 Speaker 1: This is the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast, available on Apple, Spotify, 453 00:23:54,440 --> 00:23:58,760 Speaker 1: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live each weekday, 454 00:23:58,880 --> 00:24:02,320 Speaker 1: seven to ten am DURAN on Bloomberg dot com, the 455 00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:06,439 Speaker 1: iHeartRadio app, tune In, and the Bloomberg Business app. You 456 00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:09,840 Speaker 1: can also watch us live every weekday on YouTube and 457 00:24:10,040 --> 00:24:11,800 Speaker 1: always on the Bloomberg terminal