1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:07,000 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:09,960 --> 00:00:13,160 Speaker 2: Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here 3 00:00:13,160 --> 00:00:15,880 Speaker 2: are the stories we're following today and Karen. 4 00:00:15,920 --> 00:00:18,240 Speaker 3: Oil is trading in near a six month high this 5 00:00:18,320 --> 00:00:20,880 Speaker 3: morning on concerns the US is moving closer to a 6 00:00:20,960 --> 00:00:24,320 Speaker 3: war with Iran. The military build up continues in the 7 00:00:24,360 --> 00:00:27,479 Speaker 3: Middle East, and President Trump says Iran has days to 8 00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:29,880 Speaker 3: agree to a deal over its nuclear program. 9 00:00:30,360 --> 00:00:32,000 Speaker 4: Now we may have to take it a step further, 10 00:00:32,080 --> 00:00:34,680 Speaker 4: or we maybe we're gonna make a deal. You're gonna 11 00:00:34,720 --> 00:00:37,720 Speaker 4: be finding out over the next probably ten days. 12 00:00:37,920 --> 00:00:40,040 Speaker 3: The US now has more forces in the Middle East 13 00:00:40,040 --> 00:00:41,960 Speaker 3: than at any point since the Iraq War. 14 00:00:42,320 --> 00:00:45,720 Speaker 2: As far as his domestic agenda, Nathan, President Trump is 15 00:00:45,760 --> 00:00:49,200 Speaker 2: declaring victory in the fight over cost of living concerns. 16 00:00:49,440 --> 00:00:52,160 Speaker 2: He paid a visit yesterday to the crucial battleground state 17 00:00:52,200 --> 00:00:52,920 Speaker 2: of Georgia. 18 00:00:53,040 --> 00:00:55,320 Speaker 4: What word have you not heard over the last two 19 00:00:55,400 --> 00:01:01,280 Speaker 4: weeks affordability? Because I've won, I've won affordability. 20 00:01:01,840 --> 00:01:04,800 Speaker 2: This signals a new approach by the President. He denied 21 00:01:04,840 --> 00:01:08,280 Speaker 2: problems with his economic agenda while touting stock market gains 22 00:01:08,319 --> 00:01:11,000 Speaker 2: to insist that is tariff playans have been a success. 23 00:01:11,280 --> 00:01:14,440 Speaker 3: Turning to the UK now, Karen, former Prince Andrew has 24 00:01:14,520 --> 00:01:18,000 Speaker 3: been released after he was detained on suspicion of misconduct 25 00:01:18,000 --> 00:01:20,560 Speaker 3: in public office. Let's go to London and get the 26 00:01:20,640 --> 00:01:22,560 Speaker 3: very latest from Bloomberg's Tiwa out of Bio. 27 00:01:22,640 --> 00:01:26,000 Speaker 5: Good morning Tia, Good morning Nathan, Karen. While the fallout 28 00:01:26,040 --> 00:01:29,279 Speaker 5: is continuing here in the UK after the unprecedented arrest 29 00:01:29,360 --> 00:01:33,880 Speaker 5: of former Prince Andrew mount Batton Windsor yesterday, the latest 30 00:01:33,920 --> 00:01:36,560 Speaker 5: is that he has now been released from police custody 31 00:01:36,680 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 5: under investigation. That was yesterday evening, Thames Valley Police confirming 32 00:01:40,600 --> 00:01:43,040 Speaker 5: the release of a man in his sixties in Norfolk, 33 00:01:43,319 --> 00:01:45,640 Speaker 5: not naming him as his per the national guidance here 34 00:01:45,640 --> 00:01:48,920 Speaker 5: in the UK. This arrest coming, of course, after revelations 35 00:01:48,920 --> 00:01:52,880 Speaker 5: about mister mount Batton Windsor's ties to convicted sex offender 36 00:01:52,920 --> 00:01:56,640 Speaker 5: Jeffrey Epstein. He has denied all wrongdoing in relation to Epstein. 37 00:01:56,880 --> 00:01:58,560 Speaker 5: Just in terms of the latest from the rest of 38 00:01:58,600 --> 00:02:01,520 Speaker 5: the royal family, Whilst this news was breaking yesterday, the 39 00:02:01,640 --> 00:02:04,280 Speaker 5: King was taking part in a public engagement at London 40 00:02:04,320 --> 00:02:07,280 Speaker 5: Fashion Week. He also released an official statement in which 41 00:02:07,280 --> 00:02:10,200 Speaker 5: he said the law must take its course in London 42 00:02:10,200 --> 00:02:11,840 Speaker 5: to you, added by Bloomberg Radio. 43 00:02:12,040 --> 00:02:14,600 Speaker 2: All right, Tiva, thank you. There is more fallout from 44 00:02:14,639 --> 00:02:17,320 Speaker 2: the Jeffrey Epstein case right here in the US. The 45 00:02:17,440 --> 00:02:19,760 Speaker 2: late sex offender's estate has agreed to pay up to 46 00:02:19,800 --> 00:02:24,160 Speaker 2: thirty five million dollars to resolve all outstanding legal claims 47 00:02:24,200 --> 00:02:27,560 Speaker 2: from women who have not already reached settlements. This proposed 48 00:02:27,560 --> 00:02:30,040 Speaker 2: settlement covers at least forty women who say they were 49 00:02:30,080 --> 00:02:34,040 Speaker 2: sexually abused or trafficked by Epstein between nineteen ninety five 50 00:02:34,120 --> 00:02:36,680 Speaker 2: and August tenth, twenty nineteen, the day he was found 51 00:02:36,680 --> 00:02:39,800 Speaker 2: dead in his jail cell. Their lawsuit was originally filed 52 00:02:39,800 --> 00:02:43,640 Speaker 2: in twenty twenty four against the Epstein estates two co 53 00:02:43,720 --> 00:02:48,440 Speaker 2: executors as longtime lawyer Darren Indike and accounted Richard Kahan. 54 00:02:48,880 --> 00:02:51,519 Speaker 2: Both men have not been accused of abusing women or 55 00:02:51,560 --> 00:02:55,360 Speaker 2: witnessing abuse. They've denied all liability to Epstein's victims and 56 00:02:55,400 --> 00:02:57,880 Speaker 2: agreed to the settlement terms without admitting fault. 57 00:02:58,120 --> 00:03:01,320 Speaker 3: A federal judge still has to approve Karen. Let's turn 58 00:03:01,320 --> 00:03:03,400 Speaker 3: now to the latest in the search for Nancy Guthrie. 59 00:03:03,440 --> 00:03:05,919 Speaker 3: Tomorrow will be three weeks since the mother of today's 60 00:03:05,919 --> 00:03:08,639 Speaker 3: show host Savannah Guthrie was seen at her home near Tucson. 61 00:03:09,000 --> 00:03:11,840 Speaker 3: The FBI has received more than twenty thousand tips, and 62 00:03:11,880 --> 00:03:15,040 Speaker 3: p mccounty Sheriff Chris Nano says every lead helps. 63 00:03:15,520 --> 00:03:18,160 Speaker 6: When those tips dry up, this case goes cold. 64 00:03:18,520 --> 00:03:20,560 Speaker 7: We believe somebody out there knows who did this. 65 00:03:21,520 --> 00:03:22,840 Speaker 8: We need that person to call us. 66 00:03:22,880 --> 00:03:25,600 Speaker 3: P mccunty Sheriff Chris Nano spoke to the ABC station 67 00:03:25,680 --> 00:03:28,480 Speaker 3: in Tucson. He says DNA evidence found at Guthrie's home 68 00:03:28,520 --> 00:03:31,519 Speaker 3: is still going through lab analysis and several hundred personnel 69 00:03:31,520 --> 00:03:34,280 Speaker 3: from multiple law enforcement agencies are assigned to the case. 70 00:03:34,680 --> 00:03:38,520 Speaker 3: Investigators have also identified an Ozark brand backpack the suspect 71 00:03:38,520 --> 00:03:41,120 Speaker 3: was seen wearing in surveillance footage. They're working to determine 72 00:03:41,120 --> 00:03:44,200 Speaker 3: where he bought other items. The FBI reward for information 73 00:03:44,240 --> 00:03:46,480 Speaker 3: that leads to Nancy Guthrie's return is up to one 74 00:03:46,520 --> 00:03:47,600 Speaker 3: hundred thousand dollars. 75 00:03:48,080 --> 00:03:50,480 Speaker 2: Let's turn to the markets now, Nathan, and futures are 76 00:03:50,560 --> 00:03:53,400 Speaker 2: higher as we close out the trading week and company news. 77 00:03:53,520 --> 00:03:57,440 Speaker 2: Netflix said it's proposed acquisition of Warner Brothers Discovery will 78 00:03:57,520 --> 00:04:00,680 Speaker 2: lead to more films in movie theaters is a key 79 00:04:00,720 --> 00:04:04,320 Speaker 2: concern from Hollywood. In an interview with Bloomberg, Netflix co 80 00:04:04,520 --> 00:04:08,000 Speaker 2: CEO Ted Sorrandos says he is highly confident he will 81 00:04:08,040 --> 00:04:11,640 Speaker 2: win the battle against Paramount sky Dance for Warner Brothers. 82 00:04:12,240 --> 00:04:16,120 Speaker 9: I think in the Alternative East, guy has gone, you know, 83 00:04:16,880 --> 00:04:19,599 Speaker 9: missed every deadline. They've been taking nine runs of this 84 00:04:19,680 --> 00:04:21,840 Speaker 9: bid and they was you know, they're not seeing their 85 00:04:21,880 --> 00:04:23,880 Speaker 9: bom except the outcome. 86 00:04:24,480 --> 00:04:27,320 Speaker 2: And Netflix's Ted Sorrandos made the comments earlier in an 87 00:04:27,320 --> 00:04:30,320 Speaker 2: interview with Bloomberg, and you can catch that interview as 88 00:04:30,360 --> 00:04:34,680 Speaker 2: well as live streaming news, all our Bloomberg TV shows, documentaries, 89 00:04:34,720 --> 00:04:38,200 Speaker 2: and more all in one place at Bloomberg dot com 90 00:04:38,240 --> 00:04:41,159 Speaker 2: Forward Slash videos. For the first time in decades, the 91 00:04:41,279 --> 00:04:44,800 Speaker 2: US imported more from Taiwan than China. In fact, US 92 00:04:44,920 --> 00:04:48,320 Speaker 2: purchases of goods from China plunged almost forty four percent 93 00:04:48,400 --> 00:04:51,920 Speaker 2: in December from a year earlier, while shipments from Taiwan 94 00:04:52,000 --> 00:04:54,440 Speaker 2: more than doubled during the same period to twenty four 95 00:04:54,480 --> 00:04:58,080 Speaker 2: point seven billion dollars. This Sirene Taiwanese shipments to the 96 00:04:58,160 --> 00:05:01,520 Speaker 2: US reflects the huge expand and supplies of chips and 97 00:05:01,600 --> 00:05:03,919 Speaker 2: servers for ai companies. 98 00:05:03,560 --> 00:05:06,479 Speaker 3: And US and Chinese fighter jeds briefly faced off Karen 99 00:05:06,480 --> 00:05:09,800 Speaker 3: above waters near the Korean Peninsula, marking a rare confrontation 100 00:05:10,040 --> 00:05:12,720 Speaker 3: in that area. Yon Hop News is reporting that the 101 00:05:12,800 --> 00:05:16,440 Speaker 3: US planes did not enter China's air defense identification zone, 102 00:05:16,680 --> 00:05:20,080 Speaker 3: but Beijing scrambled planes as they neared that region. 103 00:05:23,480 --> 00:05:25,159 Speaker 2: Time now for look at some of the other stories 104 00:05:25,160 --> 00:05:27,000 Speaker 2: making news in New York and around the world, and 105 00:05:27,040 --> 00:05:30,000 Speaker 2: for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael bar Michael, good morning. 106 00:05:29,839 --> 00:05:32,599 Speaker 6: Good morning, Karen. Forecasters are keeping an eye on a 107 00:05:32,640 --> 00:05:36,920 Speaker 6: developing coastal storm that will move up the eastern seaboard 108 00:05:37,000 --> 00:05:40,560 Speaker 6: Sunday into Monday. How much snow depends on its truck. 109 00:05:40,880 --> 00:05:43,680 Speaker 6: Bloomberg Media religis Rob Carolyn has the latest. 110 00:05:44,200 --> 00:05:44,560 Speaker 4: Michael. 111 00:05:44,600 --> 00:05:47,560 Speaker 10: We're still watching the potential for a coastal storm Sunday 112 00:05:47,680 --> 00:05:51,080 Speaker 10: into early Monday. The models are still in disagreement. The 113 00:05:51,200 --> 00:05:53,479 Speaker 10: US model brings the storm closest to the coast and 114 00:05:53,520 --> 00:05:56,919 Speaker 10: has the most accumulation. European models further to the south 115 00:05:56,920 --> 00:05:59,000 Speaker 10: and just kind of brushes the tristed area with a 116 00:05:59,000 --> 00:06:01,359 Speaker 10: little bit of light snow. For late Sunday and on 117 00:06:01,480 --> 00:06:05,880 Speaker 10: into Monday, we'll continue to monitor situation over the upcoming weekend. Hopefully, 118 00:06:05,920 --> 00:06:07,919 Speaker 10: by tomorrow the models will start to get an idea 119 00:06:07,960 --> 00:06:12,400 Speaker 10: exactly where the system is headed. I'm Rob, Carolyn Bloomberg Radio. 120 00:06:12,600 --> 00:06:16,400 Speaker 6: Thank you, Rob. President Donald Trump is directing federal agencies 121 00:06:16,440 --> 00:06:21,960 Speaker 6: to release government documents related to extraterrestrial life and unexplained 122 00:06:22,000 --> 00:06:27,040 Speaker 6: aerial phenomenons. President Trump accused former President Barack Obama of 123 00:06:27,080 --> 00:06:30,920 Speaker 6: giving away classified information when he discussed the idea of 124 00:06:30,960 --> 00:06:35,920 Speaker 6: extraterrestrial life during a recent podcast appearance. The US intelligence 125 00:06:35,960 --> 00:06:39,520 Speaker 6: community released a report in twenty twenty one detailing what 126 00:06:39,680 --> 00:06:44,400 Speaker 6: it knew about unidentified flying objects spotted by military pilots 127 00:06:44,440 --> 00:06:48,359 Speaker 6: over the past several decades. The National Governor's Association is 128 00:06:48,400 --> 00:06:50,520 Speaker 6: pulling out of an annual meeting at the White House 129 00:06:50,760 --> 00:06:55,440 Speaker 6: after President Trump declined to invite two Democratic governors. President 130 00:06:55,480 --> 00:06:58,000 Speaker 6: Trump is still expected to meet with the governors at 131 00:06:58,000 --> 00:07:01,320 Speaker 6: the White House today. Police Idaho are searching for a 132 00:07:01,400 --> 00:07:05,120 Speaker 6: suspect who stole an ambulance and then rammed it into 133 00:07:05,200 --> 00:07:09,440 Speaker 6: a Homeland Security office near Boise. Meridian Police Chief Tracy 134 00:07:09,520 --> 00:07:13,040 Speaker 6: Bastercha says then the suspect tried to set a fire, 135 00:07:13,200 --> 00:07:16,080 Speaker 6: but fled after being scared off by first responders. 136 00:07:16,520 --> 00:07:19,440 Speaker 3: There is no doubt this building would have been burned, 137 00:07:19,480 --> 00:07:21,760 Speaker 3: putting the lives of first responders and others. 138 00:07:21,760 --> 00:07:26,360 Speaker 6: For Chris, no one was injured. Actor Eric Dane has died. 139 00:07:26,600 --> 00:07:30,080 Speaker 6: Dane rose to fame as doctor Mark Sloan on TV's 140 00:07:30,120 --> 00:07:32,440 Speaker 6: Gray's Anatomy mcsteeny. 141 00:07:34,760 --> 00:07:35,680 Speaker 8: So what you call me now? 142 00:07:35,760 --> 00:07:36,240 Speaker 10: Mc steene? 143 00:07:36,560 --> 00:07:37,640 Speaker 5: Yeah, but I don't think. 144 00:07:37,520 --> 00:07:38,520 Speaker 8: You're supposed to know that. 145 00:07:38,800 --> 00:07:42,720 Speaker 6: He later starred on Euphoria. Last April, Dane shared his 146 00:07:42,920 --> 00:07:47,560 Speaker 6: diagnosis of als or lou Gerrig's disease. Eric Dane was 147 00:07:47,600 --> 00:07:50,920 Speaker 6: fifty three Global News twenty four hours a day and 148 00:07:51,040 --> 00:07:53,960 Speaker 6: whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now Michael Barr 149 00:07:54,040 --> 00:07:56,520 Speaker 6: and this is Bloomberg Hery. Thanks Michael. 150 00:07:56,760 --> 00:07:59,440 Speaker 2: Time now for our Bloomberg Sports update, and for that 151 00:07:59,640 --> 00:08:01,200 Speaker 2: you bring John Stashauer. 152 00:08:01,440 --> 00:08:05,360 Speaker 7: Thanks Darren. US Olympic drama and all of it from women. First, 153 00:08:05,360 --> 00:08:07,640 Speaker 7: it was the hockey team who had been so dominant, 154 00:08:07,680 --> 00:08:10,080 Speaker 7: and then in the gold medal game against Canada, shut 155 00:08:10,080 --> 00:08:13,680 Speaker 7: out for fifty eight minutes. Finally Hillary Knight, the Camptain 156 00:08:13,760 --> 00:08:17,360 Speaker 7: scored sent the game to overtime, where Megan Keller scored 157 00:08:17,640 --> 00:08:19,960 Speaker 7: the US with a two to one victory over Canada 158 00:08:20,240 --> 00:08:22,200 Speaker 7: and the gold medal. Then it was the figure skating, 159 00:08:22,240 --> 00:08:25,320 Speaker 7: the free skate performance by Alyssa lou nearly three points 160 00:08:25,320 --> 00:08:28,600 Speaker 7: better than anyone first US women's goal since two thousand 161 00:08:28,600 --> 00:08:30,400 Speaker 7: and two. That's your Bloomberg Sports Update. 162 00:08:31,920 --> 00:08:35,680 Speaker 2: Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Daybreak coming up after this. 163 00:08:39,920 --> 00:08:44,120 Speaker 1: Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, 164 00:08:44,240 --> 00:08:47,080 Speaker 1: and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the 165 00:08:47,120 --> 00:08:50,199 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Business out This is Bloomberg Daybreak. 166 00:08:50,400 --> 00:08:53,760 Speaker 3: Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. Ten to fifteen days. That's 167 00:08:53,760 --> 00:08:56,480 Speaker 3: how long President Trump says Iran has to strike a 168 00:08:56,559 --> 00:08:59,280 Speaker 3: nuclear deal. As the US assembles a vast array of 169 00:08:59,320 --> 00:09:01,360 Speaker 3: military fours in the Middle East. 170 00:09:02,160 --> 00:09:04,800 Speaker 4: Now is the time for Iran to join us on 171 00:09:04,880 --> 00:09:09,200 Speaker 4: a path that will complete what we're doing. And if 172 00:09:09,200 --> 00:09:11,280 Speaker 4: they join us, that'll be great. If they don't join us, 173 00:09:11,320 --> 00:09:14,679 Speaker 4: that'll be great too, but it'll be a very different path. 174 00:09:15,120 --> 00:09:17,320 Speaker 3: I was President Trump speaking at the inaugural meeting of 175 00:09:17,320 --> 00:09:19,760 Speaker 3: his Board of Peace in Washington. Joining us from Dubai 176 00:09:19,800 --> 00:09:22,160 Speaker 3: this morning is Stuart Livingstone Wallace, head of Middle East 177 00:09:22,200 --> 00:09:25,840 Speaker 3: coverage for Bloomberg News Stuart, what does the path look. 178 00:09:25,720 --> 00:09:26,760 Speaker 2: Like at this moment? 179 00:09:26,800 --> 00:09:31,160 Speaker 8: Good morning, Good morning, Nathan. So it's a little bit uncertain, 180 00:09:31,320 --> 00:09:33,280 Speaker 8: other than we know that the time frame that we 181 00:09:33,280 --> 00:09:36,319 Speaker 8: were anticipating has been brought forward pretty significantly, and now 182 00:09:36,360 --> 00:09:37,920 Speaker 8: we have this sort of what looks like a hard 183 00:09:37,960 --> 00:09:40,319 Speaker 8: deadline of ten to fifteen days, which is a tall order. 184 00:09:40,720 --> 00:09:42,560 Speaker 8: I remember the last time it was a new cale 185 00:09:42,600 --> 00:09:45,320 Speaker 8: deal with Iran, it took roughly two years, So to 186 00:09:45,360 --> 00:09:47,280 Speaker 8: try and do it in ten to fifteen days is 187 00:09:47,800 --> 00:09:51,440 Speaker 8: going to be very difficult. But what underpins at this time, 188 00:09:51,600 --> 00:09:54,199 Speaker 8: as you mentioned, was this Bass military build up that 189 00:09:54,240 --> 00:09:56,160 Speaker 8: you've seen pretty much the biggest that we've seen in 190 00:09:56,160 --> 00:10:00,280 Speaker 8: about a quarter century since two thousand and three. So 191 00:10:00,559 --> 00:10:02,800 Speaker 8: the clock is ticking, and really what we're waiting for 192 00:10:02,880 --> 00:10:06,559 Speaker 8: is proposals to come from Iran for a potential third 193 00:10:06,640 --> 00:10:09,400 Speaker 8: round of negotiations that's supposed to arrive in the next 194 00:10:09,440 --> 00:10:11,080 Speaker 8: ten days or so, and I guess we're going to 195 00:10:11,080 --> 00:10:12,800 Speaker 8: see what's in those and whether that's going to be 196 00:10:12,920 --> 00:10:15,679 Speaker 8: enough to satisfy the US administration. 197 00:10:16,360 --> 00:10:19,240 Speaker 3: That is one of the ultimate questions, isn't it Whether 198 00:10:19,280 --> 00:10:22,840 Speaker 3: it is going to be enough When we've heard from Israel, 199 00:10:22,960 --> 00:10:27,560 Speaker 3: the Prime Minister Natan Yahoo suggesting that the US should 200 00:10:27,720 --> 00:10:29,960 Speaker 3: go for regime change potentially in Iran. 201 00:10:31,200 --> 00:10:33,560 Speaker 8: That's quite right. What we don't know, and what's not 202 00:10:33,600 --> 00:10:37,679 Speaker 8: clear at the moment is what exactly Trump's ambitions are 203 00:10:37,720 --> 00:10:39,520 Speaker 8: in in this regard. Does he want to go for 204 00:10:39,559 --> 00:10:42,559 Speaker 8: a short strike to try and wring some more concessions 205 00:10:42,559 --> 00:10:45,920 Speaker 8: out of Iran, certainly to expand the negotiations to things 206 00:10:45,960 --> 00:10:49,880 Speaker 8: like ballistic missiles and the regional proxies like ha Mass 207 00:10:49,920 --> 00:10:52,480 Speaker 8: has bollowed, the Hooties and so on, on top of 208 00:10:52,480 --> 00:10:54,319 Speaker 8: the nuclear file. You know, these are all very big 209 00:10:54,400 --> 00:10:58,720 Speaker 8: questions regime change. That is really up for debate about 210 00:10:58,720 --> 00:11:02,000 Speaker 8: whether you can achieve that with the amount of military 211 00:11:02,040 --> 00:11:04,360 Speaker 8: hardware that he has in the region, because you would presume, 212 00:11:04,720 --> 00:11:06,880 Speaker 8: not necessarily, but you would presume that it would require 213 00:11:06,880 --> 00:11:09,120 Speaker 8: boots on the ground, and that feels like a step 214 00:11:09,160 --> 00:11:10,160 Speaker 8: too far at the moment. 215 00:11:10,840 --> 00:11:13,640 Speaker 3: Let's talk about the build up that we have seen 216 00:11:13,840 --> 00:11:16,960 Speaker 3: at this point. You mentioned that it's the kind of 217 00:11:16,960 --> 00:11:19,959 Speaker 3: build up that we haven't seen in nearly a quarter century. 218 00:11:20,000 --> 00:11:23,360 Speaker 3: What kind of firepower is in the region at this moment. 219 00:11:24,760 --> 00:11:28,080 Speaker 8: You've got one carrier strike group that's already here, along 220 00:11:28,120 --> 00:11:30,240 Speaker 8: with a whole array of ships. You've got a second 221 00:11:30,240 --> 00:11:32,679 Speaker 8: one that's currently coming up to the Mediterranean. We're not 222 00:11:32,800 --> 00:11:34,680 Speaker 8: quite certainly where it's going to end up, but it 223 00:11:34,679 --> 00:11:37,360 Speaker 8: may well end up off the coast of Israel from 224 00:11:37,400 --> 00:11:39,839 Speaker 8: which it can launch attacks obviously, but also will play 225 00:11:39,880 --> 00:11:42,840 Speaker 8: a defensive role, because the assumption is that if it 226 00:11:42,960 --> 00:11:45,960 Speaker 8: escalates and escalates and escalates, it does have the potential 227 00:11:46,000 --> 00:11:48,600 Speaker 8: to become a regional war, and Israel would obviously be 228 00:11:48,760 --> 00:11:50,640 Speaker 8: a target, as it was in that twelve day more 229 00:11:50,679 --> 00:11:53,920 Speaker 8: than June last year. So on top of that, it's 230 00:11:53,920 --> 00:11:57,080 Speaker 8: been moving air defenses into the region that is specifically 231 00:11:57,240 --> 00:12:01,040 Speaker 8: Patriot and FAD missile systems. Again we presume of being 232 00:12:01,040 --> 00:12:04,960 Speaker 8: stationed around the numerous US military bases. But on top 233 00:12:05,000 --> 00:12:07,120 Speaker 8: of that, we have to think about the infrastructure that's 234 00:12:07,160 --> 00:12:08,840 Speaker 8: in the region and how critical that is for the 235 00:12:08,840 --> 00:12:12,000 Speaker 8: world's economy, specifically the oil fields as well as the 236 00:12:12,000 --> 00:12:14,920 Speaker 8: export ports. And we're all looking very careful at the 237 00:12:14,960 --> 00:12:18,760 Speaker 8: Persian Gulf, which carries something alike between a quarter and 238 00:12:18,760 --> 00:12:22,000 Speaker 8: a fifth of the world seaborne seaborne oil. So that 239 00:12:22,160 --> 00:12:26,000 Speaker 8: is the focus ready for us in the next several days. 240 00:12:25,880 --> 00:12:28,480 Speaker 3: With that kind of firepower a massed in the region, 241 00:12:28,520 --> 00:12:33,400 Speaker 3: and after the attack on Iran's nuclear facilities last summer 242 00:12:33,440 --> 00:12:36,800 Speaker 3: in our last minute Stewart, what kind of defense could 243 00:12:36,880 --> 00:12:39,360 Speaker 3: Iran potentially mount against the US? 244 00:12:40,640 --> 00:12:42,920 Speaker 8: I mean, the short answer is that it's massively out gone. 245 00:12:43,000 --> 00:12:45,480 Speaker 8: It has no aircraft carries, it has no helicopter carries, 246 00:12:45,520 --> 00:12:48,000 Speaker 8: and no destroyers. It has a handful of frigates and corvettes, 247 00:12:48,440 --> 00:12:50,080 Speaker 8: so from that point of view, not a great deal. 248 00:12:50,200 --> 00:12:53,080 Speaker 8: It does have a significant stockpile of ballistic missiles and 249 00:12:53,120 --> 00:12:56,200 Speaker 8: they are a genuine concern as well as the so 250 00:12:56,280 --> 00:12:58,719 Speaker 8: called asymmetric warfare that you find with drones and that 251 00:12:59,200 --> 00:13:02,360 Speaker 8: there's an unknown to your bos. So it really depends 252 00:13:02,400 --> 00:13:05,640 Speaker 8: on what in the eventuality of attackling the role, and 253 00:13:05,679 --> 00:13:07,679 Speaker 8: what it decides to do in terms of retaliation. Does 254 00:13:07,679 --> 00:13:10,120 Speaker 8: it go for the symbolic or no retaliation that we 255 00:13:10,160 --> 00:13:13,520 Speaker 8: saw largely last year, what does it try and escalate 256 00:13:13,600 --> 00:13:18,000 Speaker 8: the situation. So that's really something that we're looking. Our 257 00:13:18,040 --> 00:13:20,720 Speaker 8: assumption is if it's going to go for serious retaliation, 258 00:13:21,200 --> 00:13:24,520 Speaker 8: it will target shipping that seems to be potentially the 259 00:13:24,559 --> 00:13:26,839 Speaker 8: easiest targets for it. You saw that playbook with the 260 00:13:26,880 --> 00:13:29,400 Speaker 8: Hoosi's in the Red Sea for the last several years, 261 00:13:29,720 --> 00:13:31,400 Speaker 8: and that can be incredibly disrupted. 262 00:13:32,920 --> 00:13:36,319 Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast and the stories 263 00:13:36,400 --> 00:13:39,440 Speaker 2: making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. 264 00:13:39,679 --> 00:13:42,080 Speaker 3: Look for us on your podcast feed by six am 265 00:13:42,120 --> 00:13:45,520 Speaker 3: Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. 266 00:13:45,760 --> 00:13:48,600 Speaker 2: You can also listen live each morning starting at five 267 00:13:48,640 --> 00:13:51,360 Speaker 2: am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero 268 00:13:51,360 --> 00:13:54,240 Speaker 2: in New York, Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington, 269 00:13:54,320 --> 00:13:58,240 Speaker 2: Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious 270 00:13:58,480 --> 00:14:00,000 Speaker 2: XM Channel one twenty one. 271 00:14:00,400 --> 00:14:03,160 Speaker 3: Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app 272 00:14:03,200 --> 00:14:05,959 Speaker 3: now with Apple CarPlay and Android Atuto interfaces. 273 00:14:06,240 --> 00:14:09,240 Speaker 2: And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. 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