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Speaker 1: Time today. What time is it? Game Time? Congratulations to

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Speaker 1: the Dodgers winning their eighth World Series title. I think

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Speaker 1: I'm very clever headline Walker Buehler's two days Off Ferris

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Speaker 1: Bueller Walker Anyway, I love Dave robbers who deals Because

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Speaker 1: of the Dodgers' payroll and their commitment to Betts and

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Speaker 1: Freeman and Otani, it's like an all star team. There's

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Speaker 1: a lot of pressure on Dave Roberts, and you know,

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Speaker 1: here's a guy with the Red Sox. Here's a guy

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Speaker 1: you know, wins a World Series and then Dodgers as

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Speaker 1: a manager, and I just think he's a classy guy

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Speaker 1: who's taken a lot of shit and he did a

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Speaker 1: great job, a masterful job of not only managing the team,

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Speaker 1: but managing his resources. Now, I felt very strongly tonight

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Speaker 1: that it was going to go back to La and

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Speaker 1: the Dodgers were going to pitch, at least I thought

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Speaker 1: this in the eighth inning. They were gonna pitch Yamamoto

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Speaker 1: and Walker Buehler, their two best pitchers at home, whereas

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Speaker 1: the Yankees just expanded Garrett Cole so he's done for

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Speaker 1: the series and they go on the road. But I

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Speaker 1: really thought as much as the Dodgers won tonight, I

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Speaker 1: thought the Yankees and I thought they were the inferior team.

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Speaker 1: I thought they gave the game away and the fifth

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Speaker 1: innings of the craziest thing I've ever seen. Over the

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Speaker 1: course of ten minutes, Aaron Judge, with a five to

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Speaker 1: nothing lead, drops a routine fly ball. It was the

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Speaker 1: kind of ball that you if you're playing catch with

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Speaker 1: a friend. He drops a routine flyball. Then vulpay it

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Speaker 1: short short hops a throw to third, and then Garrett Cole,

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Speaker 1: who had a masterful one hundred and eight pitching performance,

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Speaker 1: doesn't cover first space. It would be a you would

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Speaker 1: think that was a bad spring training performance. You'd get

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Speaker 1: chewed out after a spring training game. To be in

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Speaker 1: a World Series game and have three miscues one after

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Speaker 1: the other is just insane. And then the game is tied,

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Speaker 1: and then I felt like the Dodgers were play saying

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Speaker 1: loose and with house money. I mean, at that point,

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Speaker 1: I mean, you get down five nothing, You're like, okay,

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Speaker 1: we're going back to La. We got Yamamoto Yamamoto, We've

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Speaker 1: got Walker Bueller. This will be it for Garrett Cole.

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Speaker 1: We have a pitching advantage, hitting advantage, home field advantage.

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Speaker 1: They're not going to win four straight against us. That's

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Speaker 1: what it felt like to me. And it's so all

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Speaker 1: bets are off. But God and Max Munsey, who was

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Speaker 1: just great in the NLCS had a rough World series,

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Speaker 1: Otani didn't hit, and Dave Roberts, you know, I mean,

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Speaker 1: there are a lot of people that didn't want Max

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Speaker 1: Munsey coming up, you know that final time. So you

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Speaker 1: got Munsey's struggling, Otani's struggling. And remember Jack Flaherty, who

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Speaker 1: the Dodgers got. There was a story last week, I

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Speaker 1: think it was in the La Times where his velocity

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Speaker 1: had come down. So you know, he he didn't look like,

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Speaker 1: you know, he had his best stuff. So after the

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Speaker 1: bullpen lost yesterday, Flarerty struggling today, you're thinking, you know,

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Speaker 1: to me, it was just like, okay, you're going home,

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Speaker 1: Yama Moto Walker, Buller's stuff is nasty. You're in great shape.

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Speaker 1: I've been taking notes for four hours. I got so

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Speaker 1: many notes. And then you know again the Yankees in

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Speaker 1: the top of the eighth, you got back to back

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Speaker 1: singles by Keith Hernandez and Tommy Edmond and then Will

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Speaker 1: Smith walks you have no no outs in the bases loaded,

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Speaker 1: and so you get and then there's a catcher's interference

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Speaker 1: against the Yankees. So god, it's like the fifth and

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Speaker 1: the eighth. It was just time after time the Yankees,

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Speaker 1: you know. And you know, as I said before, I

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Speaker 1: don't watch a ton of baseball in the regular season.

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Speaker 1: I mean, it's on in my house with the Dodgers.

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Speaker 1: When I lived I worked at ESPN back East, I

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Speaker 1: always had the Yankees of the Red Sox on. It

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Speaker 1: was the Yes networker Nessen, I watch my local team, right.

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Speaker 1: I kind of keep track because I used to work

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Speaker 1: for the Podres, so I kind of keep track of

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Speaker 1: the Padres a little bit. But this was a game

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Speaker 1: in which the Yankees just kept giving the Dodgers every

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Speaker 1: break in the fifth inning and the eighth inning, and

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Speaker 1: catchers interference and airs and free passes, and the Dodgers eventually,

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Speaker 1: you know, took advantage of it. So, you know, it's interesting.

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Speaker 1: Years and years ago, there's a coach, the late lout

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Speaker 1: Olsen coach at Arizona. He had great teams in the

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Speaker 1: tournament and he just could not win a championship. And

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Speaker 1: there was a lot of years they went in as

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Speaker 1: a heavy favorite, lost in the first round, and then

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Speaker 1: eventually they got this team with Miles Simon and a

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Speaker 1: bunch of freshmen and a bunch of kids, and they

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Speaker 1: won the national championship. And it's just so interesting. So

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Speaker 1: many times with Dave Roberts and the Dodgers, you've got

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Speaker 1: into the playoffs and you felt really strongly about them,

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Speaker 1: and they just they kind of unravel and they have

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Speaker 1: a bad pitching performance this year. I mean, think about it.

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Speaker 1: In this World Series, Otani dried up. Max Munsey, who

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Speaker 1: was brilliant in the NLCS, dried up all of a

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Speaker 1: sudden going into the World Series, flared these velocity dips.

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Speaker 1: You've already used forty pitchers. You're going into a World Series,

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Speaker 1: coming out of a NASH League divisional series, in a

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Speaker 1: championship series where you had to have bullpen games. You're

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Speaker 1: just managing resources of all the years to win it.

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Speaker 1: If you'd written down this script and said, yeah, oh Tony,

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Speaker 1: it will just be brutal in a series, Max Munsey

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Speaker 1: will dry up. I mean you'll have basically two starting pitchers.

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Speaker 1: And Walker Bulder was kind of crossing your fingers because

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Speaker 1: he's been hurt for a year and a half, two years.

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Speaker 1: So God, that fifth inning, I think all five of

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Speaker 1: those runs the Dodger scored, I think all five were unearned.

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Speaker 1: Has that ever happened in a World Series game? Five

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Speaker 1: hundred runs. Well, it's just it's just crazy, and you know,

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Speaker 1: it's you just never known these championships where they come from.

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Speaker 1: And I thought it was interesting that the World Series

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Speaker 1: came down to Garrett Cole being pulled, not singularly came

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Speaker 1: down to but Garrett Cole being pulled in Game one,

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Speaker 1: got a lot of heat, and then Garrett Cole not

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Speaker 1: covering first kept that fifth inning going for the Dodgers.

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Speaker 1: So Garrett Cole, who was you know, they're the best

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Speaker 1: pitcher in the series for either team I think ended

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Speaker 1: up being so crucial. Probably pulled a little early at

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Speaker 1: eighty eight pitches and the Dodgers, you know, had to

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Speaker 1: go to their bullpen, and good luck against the Dodgers

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Speaker 1: at Dodgers Stadium with your bullpen. And then in this

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Speaker 1: fifth inning, you know, he was, he was brilliant tonight,

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Speaker 1: one hundred and eight pitches, but he didn't cover first base.

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Speaker 1: I mean that just crazy to me. A guy that

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Speaker 1: zoned in doesn't cover first base. So I mean, the

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Speaker 1: Dodgers aren't going anywhere. I mean, it's just so many,

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Speaker 1: so many things went wrong physically for the Dodgers. I mean,

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Speaker 1: Otani's shoulders collarbone. I mean, what are the chances of

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Speaker 1: that on a slide to second base. You're looking at

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Speaker 1: any you're thinking there's no collision. All of a sudden

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Speaker 1: he grabs his shoulder and you're like, you gotta be

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Speaker 1: kidding me. The timing's terrible. Ends up. They didn't need him,

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Speaker 1: So it's easy. I find it's easy to root for

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Speaker 1: the Dodgers. I think it's a really classy organization from

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Speaker 1: research and developed. They don't miss on trades. You know,

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Speaker 1: when they call guys up, they deliver. It's just it's just,

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Speaker 1: you know, Kershaw to Otani to Betts, to Freddie Freeman's story,

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Speaker 1: to Dave Roberts, to the late Vince Scully and now

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Speaker 1: Joe Davis. You're just it's class personified as an organization.

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Speaker 1: And you can blame Aaron Boone and you can blame

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Speaker 1: the defense in the fifth inning, But I mean, if

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Speaker 1: you really looked at what was happening, if the Dodgers

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Speaker 1: would have not come back in the fifth inning, you

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Speaker 1: were going to la to face the Dodgers best to pitchers,

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Speaker 1: and at some point Otani was going to get a

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Speaker 1: big hit. I mean, Aaron Judge, finally, Aaron Judge tonight

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Speaker 1: roared back, I mean really roared back tonight, and despite

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Speaker 1: what happened in the World Series, the Dodgers three years

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Speaker 1: ago set their sights on Otani and what a signific

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Speaker 1: an upgrade for him personally, because you know, when you

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Speaker 1: get these star players, it always reminds me to a

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Speaker 1: lesser version of like Joe Mauer with the Twins or

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Speaker 1: a Joey Vado with a Cincinnati Reds, where you just

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Speaker 1: can't you pay him and you can't surround him with

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Speaker 1: elite players, and the Angels couldn't really do that. But

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Speaker 1: with the Dodgers, you can have him cleanup, you can

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Speaker 1: beat him third fourth, You're gonna have Mooky Betts and

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Speaker 1: Freddie Freeman and Max Muncy, you know, and tremendous players

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Speaker 1: all around him. He's gonna usually get better pictures. And

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Speaker 1: it's just I mean, for him to be as as

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Speaker 1: classy as he was. I mean, this season started with

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Speaker 1: that you know, gambling story, which could have derailed the franchise,

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Speaker 1: derailed his career, and he was just poised, under control,

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Speaker 1: beloved in the locker room, fit right in and it

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Speaker 1: feels like they're just certain players. I mean, it's like

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Speaker 1: Aaron Judge needs to be a Yankee, right, like Otani

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Speaker 1: really needs to be a Dodger. It's nothing against the Angels,

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Speaker 1: but you know, they're just the Dodgers have more resources

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Speaker 1: and the Yankees have more resources, and there's just a

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Speaker 1: handful of teams that can surround these great players with

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Speaker 1: better players so they get better pitches. And I just

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Speaker 1: I just thought think of how the season started pretty

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Speaker 1: bumpy for Otani and it ended pretty bumpy. But let's

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Speaker 1: not forget what he produced. For a majority ninety five

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Speaker 1: percent of this season. He was the best player by

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Speaker 1: a lot, and that's saying something. On a team with

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Speaker 1: Bets and Freeman and Aaron Judge and Bryce Harper and

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Speaker 1: the amazing players in Major League Baseball, Otani, by a

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Speaker 1: long shot fifty to fifty club was the best player

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Speaker 1: in baseball. I like how it ends for him and

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Speaker 1: the Dodgers. So great players eventually have their moment on

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Speaker 1: a stage like this. The congratulations to the Los Angeles

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Speaker 1: Dodgers in what was one of the weirdest, most bizarro

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Speaker 1: World Series games I've ever seen, and a pretty quick

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Speaker 1: series where a stack roster despite all the injuries, one

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Speaker 1: Hi everybody and welcome in. In about ten minutes, we'll

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Speaker 1: have Chad Millman, which we do sharper square where I

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Speaker 1: give him about seven or eight of my picks and

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Speaker 1: he chews him up and spits him out. And I'm

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Speaker 1: taking more and more favorites these days, as I think,

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Speaker 1: you do get to a point in the season where

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Speaker 1: the better teams separate, the better coaches separate. Everybody gets

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Speaker 1: banged up. It's a war of attrition at this point.

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Speaker 1: You see all these players dropping. Sometimes DeVante Adams, the

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Speaker 1: player goes out, comes back in. He did had a touchdown.

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Speaker 1: So the Jets beat the Texans twenty one to thirteen

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Speaker 1: on Hallowing. The Jets dressed up as a pretty good

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Speaker 1: football team. Aaron Rodgers I thought played especially, you know,

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Speaker 1: in the second half. I thought he played pretty well.

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Speaker 1: I've seen that so many times this year where a

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Speaker 1: quarterback brought purtty against the Cowboys Russell Wilson a couple

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Speaker 1: of times Aaron Rodgers tonight, where it just they just

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Speaker 1: can't get it right in the first half and then

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Speaker 1: they just they get warmed up. And I thought Aaron

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Speaker 1: played a really good second half. You know, when you

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Speaker 1: have Bresol. When you have Devonte Adams, when you have

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Speaker 1: Garrett Wilson, you know, those are real weapons, you know,

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Speaker 1: if you can get decent protection. Aaron had a nice

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Speaker 1: run tonight. It got called back because of a holding

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Speaker 1: on the rookie from Penn State, but that was a

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Speaker 1: really nice run. He had two hundred and eleven yards,

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Speaker 1: twenty two to thirty two, three tds, no picks. I

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Speaker 1: like the Jets tonight. It was one of my stronger plays.

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Speaker 1: It would have been my first or second strongest play

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Speaker 1: if it was on Sunday. And I think the you

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Speaker 1: know the reality of this game. It was a really

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Speaker 1: bad spot for a beat up Texans team that can't

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Speaker 1: protect CJ. Stroud. So the Jets had eight sacks tonight,

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Speaker 1: which is about double what teams have beginning against Houston.

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Speaker 1: But they're you know, they're down to Tank Dell and

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Speaker 1: a bunch of third and fourth level receivers. So it

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Speaker 1: was a good spot for the Jets. And what's interesting

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Speaker 1: for the Jets and this is why this win matters.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, two of their wins a short week at

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Speaker 1: home Patriots and Texans. But now think about this, it's

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Speaker 1: an advantage because the Jets are not going to win

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Speaker 1: a division. We know the Bills are going to win

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Speaker 1: the division. The Ravens will eventually win their division, The

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Speaker 1: Chiefs will win their division, Colts, Texans will go back

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Speaker 1: and forth. But this is key the teams. The Jets

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Speaker 1: only hope to get into the playoffs is as a

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Speaker 1: wild card team, and right now, unless they go on

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Speaker 1: a losing streak, Pittsburgh looks like it will be one

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Speaker 1: of those wild card teams. But there's two other wild

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Speaker 1: card spots. And the good news is the Jags could

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Speaker 1: be one of those teams the Jets play them. The

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Speaker 1: Colts could be one of those teams. Jets host them

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Speaker 1: in a couple of weeks. The Texans could be one

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Speaker 1: of those teams. The Jets just beat them. So it

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Speaker 1: looks like to me, the three playoff teams in the

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Speaker 1: AFC we know are Bills, Ravens will make it. They're

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Speaker 1: just too good unless Lamar got hurt, and the Chiefs,

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Speaker 1: and then you're going to be battling the Colts, the Jags,

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Speaker 1: the Texans, the Chargers, the Steelers for three wildcard spots.

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Speaker 1: And you've already got a w over the Texans and

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Speaker 1: you get the Colts at home. You also get the

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Speaker 1: advantage when you play on Thursday night, you get four

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Speaker 1: days extra rest against your next opponent, that's Arizona. So

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Speaker 1: they'll have to travel out to the desert in Arizona,

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Speaker 1: but you got extra rest. Arizona plays a very physical

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Speaker 1: Chicago Bears team, a really good defense for the Chicago

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Speaker 1: Bears off a humiliating loss, so I'm sure the Bears,

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Speaker 1: you know, that's gonna be a physical game against Arizona.

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Speaker 1: You're going to be more rested, more prepared. With a

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Speaker 1: veteran quarterback and Aaron Rodgers coming off a very good outing.

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Speaker 1: The more he plays with the Vonte Adams, the vetter,

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Speaker 1: it's gonna work. So they've got the pieces. I don't

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Speaker 1: think they're a brilliantly coached team, but I've said this before.

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Speaker 1: There's three really good teams in the AFC. Then you

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Speaker 1: know it's pretty mushy in the wild card race. Miami's

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Speaker 1: not as good as we thought. Chargers just they have

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Speaker 1: very limited firepower unless they make a trade at the deadline,

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Speaker 1: the Chargers are going to be in a bunch of

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Speaker 1: close games. If they played the Jets tomorrow, it would

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Speaker 1: be a close game. I mean, the Chargers just can't.

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Speaker 1: They can't beat anybody badly. They don't have any playmakers.

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Speaker 1: Lad McConkie, the rookie is like a two. He's twitchy

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Speaker 1: and clever, but he's not a burner. He's not an

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Speaker 1: over the top guy. Doesn't have huge separation in the NFL. So,

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Speaker 1: I mean, it's what do I think about the Jets? Well,

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Speaker 1: they ran for about one hundred yards tonight, Aaron was comfortable,

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Speaker 1: Aaron had time to throw, and the schedule works out

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Speaker 1: extra rest for Arizona, Colt Seattle at home, Rams later

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Speaker 1: at home. I mean, only one team the Jets played

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Speaker 1: the rest of the way right now has a winning record,

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Speaker 1: the Buffalo Bills, and they're not one of the divisions,

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Speaker 1: so they don't have to worry about Buffalo. So it's

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Speaker 1: all right in front of you. Listen. I like CJ. Stroud,

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Speaker 1: but he's down to second and third tier receivers. They

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Speaker 1: can't protect him. Joe Mixon's a hell of a player.

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Speaker 1: That was his number one weapon tonight, But Jets went

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Speaker 1: twenty one to thirteen. And you know I was thinking

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Speaker 1: about this. I was talking to Jmack on the phone tonight.

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Speaker 1: He was out with his kids doing Halloween. So I

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Speaker 1: live in a place without a lot of kids coming up.

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Speaker 1: So I went out for a walk and saw the

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Speaker 1: kids in the neighborhood out having a good time. But

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Speaker 1: when I came back, I was talking to Jmac and

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Speaker 1: you know, New York has just had a really rough

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Speaker 1: stretch for a decade in sports. I mean, the Yankees,

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Speaker 1: it really wasn't competitive against the Dodgers. It really wasn't

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Speaker 1: They won a single game. Both the Padres and the

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Speaker 1: Mets matched up better against the Dodgers than the Yankees did.

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Speaker 1: The Yankees won one game, and it was a bullpen

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Speaker 1: game by the Dodgers. They went zero two in the

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Speaker 1: games in which Garrett Cole pitched. They're just they're just

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Speaker 1: you know again, they beat they can beat the Guardians,

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Speaker 1: but the Yankees, they just don't match up to the Dodgers,

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Speaker 1: and the Dodgers were beat up. They'll be a significantly

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Speaker 1: better and healthier team next year. The Giants and the Jets,

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Speaker 1: at least one of them has Aaron Rodgers and quinnin Williams.

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Speaker 1: You know, the Knicks for a nice story, but I

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Speaker 1: don't think they're in the class of the Celtics. So

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Speaker 1: it's it's been rough. I mean, it's it's you know,

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Speaker 1: the Mets have a rich owner and Francisco li Indoor

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Speaker 1: is a remarkable player, but they have good players and

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Speaker 1: one great player, So I mean they people. You know,

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Speaker 1: you think to yourself, God, why does anybody care about

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Speaker 1: the Jets if you're in New York. I mean because

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Speaker 1: of the Vonte Adams and Garrett Wilson and Aaron Rodgers.

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Speaker 1: You know, they have their moments and like in the

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Speaker 1: second half tonight, they have their moments where they look competitive.

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Speaker 1: So you know, here's the good news for New York Colts, Jags, Texans,

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Speaker 1: all these teams that they can make up ground and

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Speaker 1: if they beat him head to head in the wild

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Speaker 1: card race and the AFC, I don't think they're going

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Speaker 1: to get there. I'll still stand by my prediction. I

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Speaker 1: think they're an eight or nine win team. But I

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Speaker 1: do think DeVante Adams like tonight in that second half,

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Speaker 1: and you can see the more he and Aaron play together.

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Speaker 1: And what I really liked about Aaron tonight is he

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Speaker 1: was really into it. He was really into it. He

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Speaker 1: had good energy in the second half. He was pumping

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Speaker 1: his fist. He was fired up. And that's what you

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Speaker 1: worry about with Aaron. He can be a very moody guy.

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Speaker 1: And I've said he I had an NFL coach tell

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Speaker 1: him a pretty famous NFL coach once say he's just

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Speaker 1: Jay Cuttler with talent, is that he's kind of a moody, prickly,

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Speaker 1: difficult guy. The difference Aaron can really when he has

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Speaker 1: time to throw, really can spin it. And tonight he

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Speaker 1: was in a groove. He had great energy, He played

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Speaker 1: inspired and it was fun to watch. The first ALB

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Speaker 1: wasn't fun, but twenty one to thirteen Jets win, and

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Speaker 1: it's something. Eight sacks ran the ball effectively. Aaron had

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Speaker 1: a good night. Now you have extra prep time against

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Speaker 1: the Arizona Cardinals. I love this time in the NFL

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Speaker 1: season because it does feel like the games get a

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Speaker 1: little bit easier to predict, just because it's statistically defenses

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Speaker 1: get hurt more than offenses, and you know, so you

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Speaker 1: get a separation. Now you get some finger pointing in

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Speaker 1: the bad locker rooms. The quarterbacks and the best coaches

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Speaker 1: feel like they separate. I don't think the Jets have

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Speaker 1: one of the better coach teams. But I do think offensively,

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Speaker 1: and that's what this lead. Nobody's stopping anybody defensively. I

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Speaker 1: still think the Jets miss Robert Saw on that end.

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Speaker 1: But offensively, you got to be able to score. And

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Speaker 1: you start looking at the Jets pieces. If Aaron's healthy,

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Speaker 1: it's something. It's not that it's better than the Giants.

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Speaker 1: I mean, there's there are a lot of teams in

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Speaker 1: worse shape than Aaron Rodgers, Breese Hall, a decent backup,

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Speaker 1: Alan the kid from Wisconsin, Garrett Wilson, and Davonte Adams.

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Speaker 1: There are a lot of teams in much worse shape

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Speaker 1: than that. And and this point forward the offenses winning

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Speaker 1: this league. I mean, you go look at January and

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Speaker 1: February the last three or four years. It's the offenses

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Speaker 1: that separate. Nobody's stopping anybody late. Everybody's all thanked up

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Speaker 1: on that side of the ball. Listen, don't bail on CJ. Stroud.

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Speaker 1: His last three games, he has a seventy six passer rating.

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Speaker 1: You're dealing with second tier wide receivers and there's no protection.

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Speaker 1: And this is like it's like Sam Donald. You look

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Speaker 1: at him with the Jets and you're like he's terrible,

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Speaker 1: and then you're like, oh, he goes to Minnesota and

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Speaker 1: he has a good coach, and he has good protection,

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Speaker 1: and he has weapons and got sam Donald's pretty good.

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Speaker 1: It's amazing how it looks. You go watch broad without

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Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey, Deebo, Samuel's banged up, and you're like, ah,

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Speaker 1: what is he? Well, you know, all of a sudden

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Speaker 1: second half last week, he's moving. You know, you watch

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Speaker 1: Brock pretty now as Jennings gets healthy and McCaffrey comes back,

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Speaker 1: you're gonna look at him and go, oh, he's pretty Folks.

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Speaker 1: There's like one or two guys in this league. Lamar Jackson,

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Speaker 1: Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes are about it where it doesn't

385
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Speaker 1: really matter who's healthy and who's not. That's about it. CJ. Stroud.

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Speaker 1: He hasn't reached his peak yet. He'll probably reaches his

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Speaker 1: he'll go into his prime after next season. This is

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Speaker 1: year two, next year, year three, year four to year

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Speaker 1: nine to ten, six years prime, won't have many surgeries

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00:20:46,200 --> 00:20:49,920
Speaker 1: at that point. Still fresh now knows the game, knows

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Speaker 1: the coverages. He hadn't even reached this prime yet. So

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Speaker 1: you got like second and third tier receivers, terrible protection,

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Speaker 1: and it's a defensive head coach, so you know he's

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Speaker 1: got a coordinator. But if that coordinator leaves, that's not ideal.

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Speaker 1: Bobby Slowick. So you know, I just there's three guys

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Speaker 1: in the world that it doesn't really matter. They're just

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Speaker 1: going to be wildly productive. Mahomes al Lamar. For guys

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Speaker 1: like c J. Stroud, he's closer to a Sam Donald.

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Speaker 1: I think he's a better thrower with the football than

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Speaker 1: Sam Darnold, and he's a better athlete and a bigger,

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00:21:20,200 --> 00:21:24,040
Speaker 1: stronger version of rock Perty. But in the end, there's

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Speaker 1: the three greats and then a lot of these guys.

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Speaker 1: It's just circumstantial, and he'll be fine when they get

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00:21:31,920 --> 00:21:36,040
Speaker 1: Nico Collins back. Nico Collins is uncoverable and they get

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Speaker 1: their offensive line straightened out. But don't sell any stock.

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Speaker 1: We've seen this kid when he has support and he's

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Speaker 1: really good. Everybody in this league. You know, Baker Mayfield

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Speaker 1: has Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. He's pretty good, and

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Speaker 1: they get hurt. He's not as good. He just lost

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Speaker 1: to Atlanta. That's the way it works. For ninety percent

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Speaker 1: of the quarterbacks in this league. There's your favorite NBA

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Speaker 1: play player. Have what it takes to be crowned King

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Speaker 1: Former NFL scout. He hosts three and Out podcast Hardest

438
00:23:22,080 --> 00:23:25,399
Speaker 1: working guy in this business and totally tied into the

439
00:23:25,440 --> 00:23:27,720
Speaker 1: San Francisco forty nine ers who hold on to beat

440
00:23:27,800 --> 00:23:30,520
Speaker 1: Dallas thirty to twenty four. I didn't. I didn't think

441
00:23:30,520 --> 00:23:34,760
Speaker 1: it would be that close. You know, we'll spend fifteen

442
00:23:34,760 --> 00:23:39,040
Speaker 1: twenty minutes on this Listen their things. San Francisco does well.

443
00:23:39,400 --> 00:23:41,240
Speaker 1: They run the ball. They had, you know, two hundred

444
00:23:41,320 --> 00:23:43,480
Speaker 1: yards rushing. Dallas doesn't run the ball. We knew that

445
00:23:43,560 --> 00:23:46,880
Speaker 1: going into the season. They had just I thought they

446
00:23:46,880 --> 00:23:50,240
Speaker 1: adjusted really well at halftime tonight they were really struggling

447
00:23:50,320 --> 00:23:54,000
Speaker 1: stopping Dallas in the first half. Dallas was getting a

448
00:23:54,000 --> 00:23:56,680
Speaker 1: push and then they kind of exploded in the third quarter.

449
00:23:57,480 --> 00:24:02,040
Speaker 1: I do not trust this Niner pass rusher team Laighton games.

450
00:24:02,080 --> 00:24:05,959
Speaker 1: They've been burned late in games. I thought brought pretty

451
00:24:06,080 --> 00:24:11,520
Speaker 1: really struggled low off target early. I thought later in

452
00:24:11,560 --> 00:24:13,880
Speaker 1: the second half to gain confidence, he used his legs

453
00:24:13,880 --> 00:24:16,359
Speaker 1: a little bit, started moving, kind of gain confidence, hit

454
00:24:16,440 --> 00:24:20,239
Speaker 1: on some nice throws. Kittle had a great night. You know,

455
00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:24,200
Speaker 1: I think there's a difference between Dallas and San Francisco.

456
00:24:24,240 --> 00:24:26,359
Speaker 1: I think San Francisco is a good team that is

457
00:24:26,600 --> 00:24:29,720
Speaker 1: just physically like the Rams in the first month, just

458
00:24:29,720 --> 00:24:32,200
Speaker 1: beat up. They just don't have enough good players. I

459
00:24:32,280 --> 00:24:34,840
Speaker 1: think Dallas is a bad team that actually played pretty

460
00:24:34,880 --> 00:24:36,560
Speaker 1: well tonight. They got to break when the couple of

461
00:24:36,600 --> 00:24:39,160
Speaker 1: Niners banged into each other and Ceedee Lamb got a

462
00:24:39,320 --> 00:24:42,879
Speaker 1: you know, wide open touchdown. And I've been saying this

463
00:24:42,920 --> 00:24:46,160
Speaker 1: for a while. Dallas almost if you're a cowboy fant

464
00:24:46,200 --> 00:24:48,439
Speaker 1: and I You're like, wow, we made it competitive at

465
00:24:48,440 --> 00:24:52,400
Speaker 1: the end. I think they got to take a swing. John.

466
00:24:52,480 --> 00:24:54,320
Speaker 1: I think they have to do something in the offseason.

467
00:24:54,320 --> 00:24:56,240
Speaker 1: I think they have to sell some pieces, get two

468
00:24:57,040 --> 00:25:00,240
Speaker 1: high draft picks. I don't see the way out for Dallas.

469
00:25:00,560 --> 00:25:03,520
Speaker 1: Dak is ordinary. They're paying him a fortune, They're locked

470
00:25:03,520 --> 00:25:07,119
Speaker 1: into him. If Ceedee Lamb twisted his ankle. They don't

471
00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:10,840
Speaker 1: have a guy on this offensive roster that you would

472
00:25:10,880 --> 00:25:14,600
Speaker 1: be forced to roll coverage over. I think it's despite

473
00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:17,320
Speaker 1: the score tonight. I think it's grimmer for Dallas than

474
00:25:17,359 --> 00:25:22,959
Speaker 1: people think, especially with Washington now like looking like the

475
00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:25,800
Speaker 1: next decade they're gonna be locked in with Jade Daniels.

476
00:25:26,119 --> 00:25:27,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, this is not a game. I guess

477
00:25:27,760 --> 00:25:29,920
Speaker 3: you need to worry about most people box score scouting

478
00:25:29,960 --> 00:25:32,960
Speaker 3: because everyone watches it. But that score, I mean, they

479
00:25:32,960 --> 00:25:35,399
Speaker 3: scored two touchdowns in the last five or six minutes

480
00:25:35,400 --> 00:25:38,360
Speaker 3: of the game. One of the drives was a seventy

481
00:25:38,440 --> 00:25:41,919
Speaker 3: second drive. Yeah, which you know is pretty unheard of

482
00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:45,160
Speaker 3: in the NFL. Obviously the Niners the first touchdown drive

483
00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:47,960
Speaker 3: playing way off you don't hit me tonight is the

484
00:25:47,960 --> 00:25:49,840
Speaker 3: forty nine Ers have beat these guys now four times

485
00:25:49,840 --> 00:25:53,399
Speaker 3: in a row, twice in the playoffs. They molly wopped

486
00:25:53,440 --> 00:25:55,239
Speaker 3: him last year on Sunday Night Football, and they were

487
00:25:55,320 --> 00:25:57,240
Speaker 3: up in this game twenty seven to ten, missing a

488
00:25:57,240 --> 00:26:01,000
Speaker 3: lot of guys. This matchup, which is one of the

489
00:26:01,040 --> 00:26:03,600
Speaker 3: biggest matchups of my life in terms of brands in

490
00:26:03,640 --> 00:26:08,199
Speaker 3: the history is currently Kyle Shanahan, who's you know for

491
00:26:08,240 --> 00:26:10,239
Speaker 3: a young guy who's been coaching in the NFL for

492
00:26:10,240 --> 00:26:11,920
Speaker 3: twenty years and his dad is one of the most

493
00:26:11,920 --> 00:26:13,880
Speaker 3: famous offensive coaches of all time, so he's been around

494
00:26:13,880 --> 00:26:17,520
Speaker 3: football's whole life. And John Lynch, who currently last year

495
00:26:17,600 --> 00:26:19,240
Speaker 3: or two years ago just went into the Hall of Fame.

496
00:26:19,840 --> 00:26:23,399
Speaker 3: That's the forty nine ers brass building this team against

497
00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:26,760
Speaker 3: an eighty plus year old Jerry Jones. It just it

498
00:26:26,840 --> 00:26:29,520
Speaker 3: was like, this is not really a fair fight because

499
00:26:29,560 --> 00:26:31,679
Speaker 3: it's not like they both hit on some high end

500
00:26:31,760 --> 00:26:35,400
Speaker 3: players Micah cd nick Bosa, Right, I mean they've both

501
00:26:35,480 --> 00:26:38,639
Speaker 3: hit on trade for Trent Williams paying a bunch of money.

502
00:26:39,119 --> 00:26:42,800
Speaker 3: But the forty nine Ers team is littered with guys

503
00:26:42,840 --> 00:26:45,600
Speaker 3: in the fourth, fifth, sixth round. That Isaac Garrendo is

504
00:26:45,640 --> 00:26:49,200
Speaker 3: a fourth round rookie running back and boom, plug and play.

505
00:26:49,240 --> 00:26:49,800
Speaker 3: What's the whole thing?

506
00:26:49,880 --> 00:26:50,320
Speaker 1: Cowboys?

507
00:26:50,359 --> 00:26:52,520
Speaker 3: No running back? They're playing Zeke can't run away from

508
00:26:52,520 --> 00:26:55,240
Speaker 3: me or you who's tough, physical guy but can't move?

509
00:26:55,640 --> 00:26:59,120
Speaker 3: They draft Isaac, well, guess what, I think he went

510
00:26:59,280 --> 00:27:03,680
Speaker 3: a couple picks right after the pick that they traded

511
00:27:03,720 --> 00:27:08,360
Speaker 3: for Trey Lance, who is their third string quarterback. Right,

512
00:27:08,359 --> 00:27:12,480
Speaker 3: and listen, I admire Jerry's clearly from a business standpoint,

513
00:27:12,560 --> 00:27:15,120
Speaker 3: He's been incredible for thirty plus years. I mean, hell,

514
00:27:15,600 --> 00:27:19,640
Speaker 3: they sell practice facility tours to make a little ext income.

515
00:27:20,320 --> 00:27:22,680
Speaker 3: But that he tried to strike oil on that one,

516
00:27:22,720 --> 00:27:24,960
Speaker 3: and sometimes he does that, and you're not gonna strike

517
00:27:25,000 --> 00:27:28,199
Speaker 3: oil Jerry, like you're gonna take Kyle who are you

518
00:27:28,200 --> 00:27:28,919
Speaker 3: bidding against?

519
00:27:28,920 --> 00:27:29,440
Speaker 1: On that one?

520
00:27:30,200 --> 00:27:32,520
Speaker 3: And the other quarterbacks in his draft class who are

521
00:27:32,520 --> 00:27:35,560
Speaker 3: way better went for like six and seventh round picks Fields,

522
00:27:35,760 --> 00:27:39,520
Speaker 3: Mac Jones, Zach Wilson. So that's kind of a microcosm

523
00:27:39,560 --> 00:27:42,359
Speaker 3: of Kyle Shanahan, John Lynch. But you could just go

524
00:27:43,040 --> 00:27:49,040
Speaker 3: less need Sean McVay, Dan Brad Holmes, Dan Campbell, Guda

525
00:27:49,119 --> 00:27:52,919
Speaker 3: Kin's lafor how is Jerry compete the NFC even you

526
00:27:52,960 --> 00:27:56,280
Speaker 3: know the Eagles, Sirianni's under question, but no one questions

527
00:27:56,280 --> 00:28:00,000
Speaker 3: Howie's intelligence. So from a football standpoint in that conference

528
00:28:00,600 --> 00:28:04,760
Speaker 3: doesn't have the high end quarterbacks of the Mahomes, Alan Lamar,

529
00:28:05,000 --> 00:28:08,919
Speaker 3: Burrow Herbert, but it does have very very high level

530
00:28:08,960 --> 00:28:13,320
Speaker 3: front office and football guys, coach and GM combos that

531
00:28:13,440 --> 00:28:16,200
Speaker 3: I would say and have built very very good teams.

532
00:28:16,200 --> 00:28:19,040
Speaker 3: Because you watch the Cowboys, they got injuries. Like you said,

533
00:28:19,320 --> 00:28:21,680
Speaker 3: how many guys are on the sideline for the Niners. Hell,

534
00:28:21,720 --> 00:28:24,080
Speaker 3: halfway through the game, Deebo's got a seventeenth injury of

535
00:28:24,119 --> 00:28:26,920
Speaker 3: the season and he's in the blue ten. Didn't even

536
00:28:26,920 --> 00:28:30,680
Speaker 3: matter to me that score, Like, don't get me wrong,

537
00:28:30,720 --> 00:28:32,000
Speaker 3: I mean it was you're on the edge of your

538
00:28:32,000 --> 00:28:35,040
Speaker 3: seat those last couple of minutes not really indicative what

539
00:28:35,080 --> 00:28:37,320
Speaker 3: we witnessed when the Niners really put a pedal to

540
00:28:37,359 --> 00:28:39,040
Speaker 3: the medal there and when the game mattered.

541
00:28:39,440 --> 00:28:41,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean what's discouraging is for a long time

542
00:28:42,000 --> 00:28:45,120
Speaker 1: Niners were fifty percent on third down with a lot

543
00:28:45,120 --> 00:28:47,400
Speaker 1: of time to play. They had four hundred and fifty yards.

544
00:28:47,880 --> 00:28:50,400
Speaker 3: They didn't party. Was, like you said, atrocious in the

545
00:28:50,400 --> 00:28:52,040
Speaker 3: first half, Miss Carrolls.

546
00:28:52,400 --> 00:28:57,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, underneath stuff like layups and beat up. I mean,

547
00:28:57,680 --> 00:29:01,440
Speaker 1: they have like seven starters out. It's just it's this

548
00:29:01,560 --> 00:29:04,600
Speaker 1: is almost encouraging for Dallas because they were competitive.

549
00:29:04,640 --> 00:29:07,720
Speaker 3: I off a bye though, you know, with Jerry talking

550
00:29:07,760 --> 00:29:10,480
Speaker 3: a bunch of crap, they were kind of motivating. I

551
00:29:10,000 --> 00:29:11,880
Speaker 3: don't know. I thought they threw the kitchen sink and

552
00:29:11,920 --> 00:29:12,880
Speaker 3: they ran out of juice.

553
00:29:13,480 --> 00:29:17,120
Speaker 1: That's what I think. I mean. Mike McCarthy, actually he's

554
00:29:17,120 --> 00:29:19,480
Speaker 1: not Andy Reid, but he's top five or six coach

555
00:29:19,520 --> 00:29:22,000
Speaker 1: in the league off a bye, so and they had

556
00:29:22,040 --> 00:29:25,320
Speaker 1: a very solid first half and then and then again

557
00:29:25,440 --> 00:29:28,600
Speaker 1: you can only tweak, you know. I mean it's just

558
00:29:28,760 --> 00:29:32,880
Speaker 1: interesting to watch, Like Ricky Pearsall, he got a little run.

559
00:29:32,960 --> 00:29:35,800
Speaker 1: I mean, they're using cowling on punts. They're they're getting

560
00:29:35,800 --> 00:29:37,840
Speaker 1: a lot of different guys involved, you know, and it's

561
00:29:37,840 --> 00:29:39,880
Speaker 1: funny in the NFL you're allowed to whiff. I mean

562
00:29:40,000 --> 00:29:43,440
Speaker 1: John Lynch is whiffed on some guys. I mean, you know,

563
00:29:43,480 --> 00:29:47,680
Speaker 1: he's taken swings and missed on guys. That wide receiver

564
00:29:47,760 --> 00:29:50,320
Speaker 1: from fm U, he was a second or third round pick,

565
00:29:50,400 --> 00:29:54,880
Speaker 1: Gray Terrible. Yeah, yeah, yeah, so yeah. I mean less

566
00:29:54,880 --> 00:29:59,920
Speaker 1: Snead and McVeigh missed on Logan Brouss, the second round guard,

567
00:30:00,080 --> 00:30:03,640
Speaker 1: who's just a perennial backup second round guard to two

568
00:30:03,680 --> 00:30:06,200
Speaker 1: at well, you know he'll be gone here soon. So

569
00:30:06,400 --> 00:30:08,360
Speaker 1: I mean, it's okay to miss people miss all the time.

570
00:30:08,440 --> 00:30:10,760
Speaker 1: Pete Carroll had hits, he had misses. I mean, he

571
00:30:10,800 --> 00:30:12,680
Speaker 1: had Rashad Penny in the first round as a running

572
00:30:12,720 --> 00:30:15,760
Speaker 1: back that never panned out really so, but it's just

573
00:30:16,240 --> 00:30:20,720
Speaker 1: I just feel San Francisco also the advantage that San

574
00:30:20,720 --> 00:30:23,640
Speaker 1: Francisco has they're they're better at drafting, but they also

575
00:30:23,680 --> 00:30:28,640
Speaker 1: have a coach that has a certain style, so stylistically,

576
00:30:28,840 --> 00:30:32,000
Speaker 1: there are things you can draft that almost always work

577
00:30:32,800 --> 00:30:38,080
Speaker 1: with Shanahan, like running backs, slot receivers. It's they almost

578
00:30:38,200 --> 00:30:41,000
Speaker 1: always work because you know, it's like they're like with

579
00:30:41,160 --> 00:30:43,960
Speaker 1: Andy Reid. I mean, they've missed on some wide receivers,

580
00:30:43,960 --> 00:30:45,840
Speaker 1: which by the way, is the hardest position to draft

581
00:30:45,880 --> 00:30:48,760
Speaker 1: in the first round in the NFL, because I mean,

582
00:30:48,800 --> 00:30:50,160
Speaker 1: for a lot of reasons. A lot of times you

583
00:30:50,160 --> 00:30:52,440
Speaker 1: get a mature quarterback. He's just not patient. He just

584
00:30:52,480 --> 00:30:54,120
Speaker 1: doesn't want to wait for some kid to figure out

585
00:30:54,120 --> 00:30:56,760
Speaker 1: the routes. They don't trust him. That was Brady in

586
00:30:56,840 --> 00:30:57,360
Speaker 1: New England.

587
00:30:57,400 --> 00:30:59,920
Speaker 3: He just did historic Historically, it was one of the

588
00:31:00,000 --> 00:31:02,400
Speaker 3: bigger busting positions to the last six or seven years

589
00:31:02,400 --> 00:31:03,880
Speaker 3: when the college football changed.

590
00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:09,080
Speaker 1: Washington beats the Bears eighteen to fifteen on a Hail Mary.

591
00:31:09,520 --> 00:31:12,760
Speaker 1: Let me just start with this. Washington was the better team.

592
00:31:13,440 --> 00:31:17,280
Speaker 1: They were the better coached team. I thought Chicago's offensive

593
00:31:17,320 --> 00:31:21,880
Speaker 1: coaching at the end of the game was egregiously horrible

594
00:31:21,960 --> 00:31:26,000
Speaker 1: late in the game, and I give let me just

595
00:31:26,040 --> 00:31:30,000
Speaker 1: say Caleb and his movement and his side arming stuff.

596
00:31:30,040 --> 00:31:33,240
Speaker 1: You can see the Mahomes comps. He's running around the

597
00:31:33,280 --> 00:31:36,360
Speaker 1: old lines getting overwhelmed. I mean, first of all, it

598
00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:38,800
Speaker 1: was nine to nothing at half. Chicago had thirty three

599
00:31:38,880 --> 00:31:41,200
Speaker 1: yards passing in the first half. I thought the game

600
00:31:41,240 --> 00:31:45,000
Speaker 1: was over. But Chicago, you know, their defense, you know,

601
00:31:45,080 --> 00:31:48,080
Speaker 1: kind of kept him in the game. And then Washington's

602
00:31:48,080 --> 00:31:51,600
Speaker 1: offense stalled. But I got us John the third and

603
00:31:51,760 --> 00:31:57,080
Speaker 1: goal where the Bears did the fridge perry. The following

604
00:31:57,160 --> 00:32:00,880
Speaker 1: drive on a third down to win the game, they

605
00:32:00,920 --> 00:32:04,080
Speaker 1: did a draw, essentially putting in the hands. The whole

606
00:32:04,120 --> 00:32:06,960
Speaker 1: game came down one play, Thank god, Keenan Allen. It

607
00:32:07,000 --> 00:32:10,440
Speaker 1: was past interference. I didn't get that. I mean, they

608
00:32:10,480 --> 00:32:13,800
Speaker 1: made no attempt. It felt like the third down was

609
00:32:13,880 --> 00:32:16,200
Speaker 1: just setting up fourth down and they had to have

610
00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:19,960
Speaker 1: a touchdown to take a lead. So I just couldn't

611
00:32:20,000 --> 00:32:24,200
Speaker 1: stand Chicago's offensive coaching. And I know it to Hail Mary,

612
00:32:24,240 --> 00:32:27,880
Speaker 1: but my take was Washington was a better team.

613
00:32:29,240 --> 00:32:31,840
Speaker 3: Could not agree more. There was a stat that popped up,

614
00:32:32,200 --> 00:32:33,880
Speaker 3: I think in the second half that said he was

615
00:32:33,920 --> 00:32:37,160
Speaker 3: four of thirteen for thirty six yards. That being Caleb.

616
00:32:37,680 --> 00:32:40,160
Speaker 3: I thought on this drive can't be the game, and

617
00:32:40,200 --> 00:32:42,360
Speaker 3: I had a double check it was the game. Their

618
00:32:42,360 --> 00:32:46,640
Speaker 3: offense was horrendous, their defense was outstanding. I wrote down,

619
00:32:46,760 --> 00:32:49,200
Speaker 3: I mean even when it was nine to nothing, it

620
00:32:49,240 --> 00:32:51,640
Speaker 3: felt I mean twenty eight to nothing.

621
00:32:51,840 --> 00:32:53,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, complete control.

622
00:32:53,640 --> 00:32:55,640
Speaker 3: Jaden didn't just look like the best player in the game,

623
00:32:55,640 --> 00:32:58,000
Speaker 3: he looked like one of the best players in the league.

624
00:32:58,120 --> 00:33:00,280
Speaker 3: The thing I wrote down is if you could picked

625
00:33:00,320 --> 00:33:04,440
Speaker 3: these two coaching staffs, Ibra flus Waldron and dan Quinn

626
00:33:04,480 --> 00:33:07,760
Speaker 3: Cliff Kingsbury, the gap is like going from a star

627
00:33:07,840 --> 00:33:11,560
Speaker 3: starting quarterback to some random backup. You're like, it's not

628
00:33:11,600 --> 00:33:14,360
Speaker 3: even close. That's why when they take the lead, I'm like, listen,

629
00:33:14,440 --> 00:33:17,880
Speaker 3: it's sports. Crazy things happen. But there haven't been many

630
00:33:17,880 --> 00:33:20,560
Speaker 3: games this season where a team would have came away

631
00:33:20,560 --> 00:33:23,440
Speaker 3: with a victory that was like, oh you didn't. You

632
00:33:23,480 --> 00:33:26,600
Speaker 3: didn't even come close to call the play to a

633
00:33:26,720 --> 00:33:30,880
Speaker 3: backup offensive lineman. On like I was one years old

634
00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:33,680
Speaker 3: with the refrigerator Perry plays, but he did it a

635
00:33:33,720 --> 00:33:36,400
Speaker 3: lot right. It was part of their arsenal. They weren't

636
00:33:36,400 --> 00:33:39,280
Speaker 3: a good obviously Walter Payton, but they weren't some dynamic

637
00:33:39,360 --> 00:33:42,360
Speaker 3: offense you got, you drafted the receiver nine. You got

638
00:33:42,440 --> 00:33:44,959
Speaker 3: Keenan Allen, you got DJ Moore. Your running backs are

639
00:33:45,000 --> 00:33:47,200
Speaker 3: the reason you're in the game. Yes, I mean if

640
00:33:47,240 --> 00:33:50,760
Speaker 3: it wasn't for Swifts whatever, huge run, oh hugely, it

641
00:33:50,760 --> 00:33:54,560
Speaker 3: wouldn't even have been close. It was like that gave

642
00:33:54,600 --> 00:33:57,560
Speaker 3: them life because they had none none, They had none

643
00:33:57,640 --> 00:34:01,240
Speaker 3: to give them that play, even they ended up taking

644
00:34:01,240 --> 00:34:04,360
Speaker 3: the lead with twenty seconds left. That's I think that

645
00:34:04,440 --> 00:34:06,360
Speaker 3: has to go down as the most egregious play call

646
00:34:06,520 --> 00:34:08,680
Speaker 3: of the season. Second would probably be that remember that

647
00:34:08,680 --> 00:34:11,160
Speaker 3: fake play the Bills ran, I think against the Ravens

648
00:34:11,200 --> 00:34:13,560
Speaker 3: when they were storing that. But that was way worse

649
00:34:13,880 --> 00:34:16,680
Speaker 3: to get backup offensive lineman. I mean, it's not even

650
00:34:16,719 --> 00:34:19,040
Speaker 3: you can't even blame him. Belichick would say, it's not

651
00:34:19,080 --> 00:34:21,000
Speaker 3: on the player, it's on the coach. Yeah, you can't

652
00:34:21,000 --> 00:34:23,120
Speaker 3: call you can't put that guy in that position.

653
00:34:24,239 --> 00:34:28,480
Speaker 1: So here's a prime example of coaching. One team has

654
00:34:28,880 --> 00:34:33,239
Speaker 1: Joe Burrow, Jamar Chase, elite pass rusher. One team has

655
00:34:33,320 --> 00:34:37,040
Speaker 1: bon Nicks, Courtland Sutton and no elite pass rushers. Now

656
00:34:37,280 --> 00:34:40,440
Speaker 1: Patrick's certain Patrick Sartan I wrote this down today. He

657
00:34:40,480 --> 00:34:42,920
Speaker 1: may be a top ten defensive player in the league.

658
00:34:43,000 --> 00:34:48,000
Speaker 1: He is just absolutely phenomenal good. This is what coaching

659
00:34:48,000 --> 00:34:50,719
Speaker 1: does with Sean Payton bone Nicks today who in his

660
00:34:50,840 --> 00:34:52,960
Speaker 1: last game. I text Sean, I said, man, his mechanics

661
00:34:52,960 --> 00:34:55,480
Speaker 1: are off. Sewan's like, hey, the kid's great. We're gonna

662
00:34:55,520 --> 00:34:58,240
Speaker 1: get a cleaned up three touchdowns, no picks, two hundred

663
00:34:58,280 --> 00:35:02,160
Speaker 1: eighty yards, nine different white receiver's tight end targets, only

664
00:35:02,200 --> 00:35:04,200
Speaker 1: one penalty. When I was watching the game. There may

665
00:35:04,200 --> 00:35:05,600
Speaker 1: have been more, but when I wrote it down, only

666
00:35:05,600 --> 00:35:08,440
Speaker 1: one penalty. They were tremendous on third down. Nor Carolina,

667
00:35:08,600 --> 00:35:11,920
Speaker 1: I get it. Denver was picked to went five games

668
00:35:11,960 --> 00:35:15,640
Speaker 1: by Vegas. They're at five and three halfway through the season.

669
00:35:16,239 --> 00:35:19,760
Speaker 1: They are coaching the you know what out of this team, John,

670
00:35:19,880 --> 00:35:23,040
Speaker 1: This is the same defensive personnel. Remember, because of Russell Wilson,

671
00:35:23,040 --> 00:35:25,080
Speaker 1: they didn't have any draft picks. They got the LS

672
00:35:25,160 --> 00:35:27,000
Speaker 1: kid out of Utah. I think third round. They got

673
00:35:27,000 --> 00:35:30,080
Speaker 1: Franklin the wide receiver who dropped the ball right through

674
00:35:30,080 --> 00:35:33,040
Speaker 1: his hands today a deep ball. And I don't even

675
00:35:33,040 --> 00:35:35,080
Speaker 1: think bon Nix would be this good, and he struggled

676
00:35:35,120 --> 00:35:38,000
Speaker 1: in the first month, but I watched him today. Backfoot

677
00:35:38,200 --> 00:35:42,280
Speaker 1: confidence this If you think we're being hard On Zach Taylor.

678
00:35:42,880 --> 00:35:48,400
Speaker 1: Denver is squeezing every ounce of juice. You tell me

679
00:35:48,520 --> 00:35:51,480
Speaker 1: how they're generating this pass rush. You tell me how

680
00:35:51,480 --> 00:35:53,719
Speaker 1: bo Nix is thrown for three hundred yards behind kind

681
00:35:53,719 --> 00:35:56,600
Speaker 1: of an okay offensive line. I watched Denver and I

682
00:35:56,640 --> 00:36:01,160
Speaker 1: think that is coaching. That is That's what I see.

683
00:36:01,640 --> 00:36:04,279
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I totally agree. I mean I don't

684
00:36:04,280 --> 00:36:07,480
Speaker 3: think Denver's roster is very good. I also think I

685
00:36:07,520 --> 00:36:10,760
Speaker 3: think vance Joseph last year when they scored what Miami

686
00:36:10,800 --> 00:36:13,799
Speaker 3: scored seventy on him, Yeah, and Sean Payton stuck with him,

687
00:36:13,840 --> 00:36:15,160
Speaker 3: and by the end of the season they were playing

688
00:36:15,200 --> 00:36:19,120
Speaker 3: good defense. Their defense, Like you said, beside the corner,

689
00:36:19,239 --> 00:36:22,120
Speaker 3: you have to google some of the guys on the team. Yeah,

690
00:36:22,160 --> 00:36:25,080
Speaker 3: this is not Neil Smith and Bill Romanowski that you're like, oh,

691
00:36:25,160 --> 00:36:27,880
Speaker 3: these I don't even know who these guys are, and

692
00:36:28,280 --> 00:36:30,120
Speaker 3: now we're gonna find out a lot more about him.

693
00:36:30,440 --> 00:36:33,279
Speaker 3: On Thursday night playing that New Orleans team a week ago,

694
00:36:33,320 --> 00:36:35,000
Speaker 3: I mean, that was kind of a joke squad. And

695
00:36:35,000 --> 00:36:36,400
Speaker 3: I didn't even think bo Nickx was that good in

696
00:36:36,440 --> 00:36:39,399
Speaker 3: that game. The Ravens and the Chiefs coming up, but hell,

697
00:36:39,480 --> 00:36:41,120
Speaker 3: they don't have to win those games. If you get

698
00:36:41,160 --> 00:36:43,520
Speaker 3: to nine to eight with this roster and a rookie quarterback,

699
00:36:43,920 --> 00:36:47,560
Speaker 3: what a great building spot. Now, this is the thing

700
00:36:47,640 --> 00:36:51,560
Speaker 3: with hiring good coaches, Like look at Lafloor. He's six

701
00:36:51,640 --> 00:36:53,480
Speaker 3: and two of his starting quarterback in and out of

702
00:36:53,520 --> 00:36:56,040
Speaker 3: the lineup, completely unfaced. You're gonna look up, I don't

703
00:36:56,040 --> 00:36:57,919
Speaker 3: know how many games Jordan Love who knows how long

704
00:36:57,960 --> 00:37:00,319
Speaker 3: he's out. They're gonna be an eleven twelve win team

705
00:37:00,360 --> 00:37:04,200
Speaker 3: no matter what. The power of that position in this

706
00:37:04,280 --> 00:37:08,560
Speaker 3: sport flies by everything else. Is it Aaron Boone's fault

707
00:37:08,600 --> 00:37:10,719
Speaker 3: that Aaron Judge has no clue what's coming out of

708
00:37:10,760 --> 00:37:13,560
Speaker 3: the pitcher's hands. There's nothing he can do where in

709
00:37:13,600 --> 00:37:16,640
Speaker 3: coaching you watch in college last night, Texas A and

710
00:37:16,800 --> 00:37:18,800
Speaker 3: M has been one of the biggest jokes in college

711
00:37:18,800 --> 00:37:21,239
Speaker 3: football the last couple of years, and you watch him

712
00:37:21,280 --> 00:37:24,200
Speaker 3: now you're like, holy hell, this looks like Alabama or something.

713
00:37:25,320 --> 00:37:28,160
Speaker 3: It's because it's not even just about the play calling.

714
00:37:28,480 --> 00:37:31,520
Speaker 3: It's about the messaging. It's about the structure, it's about

715
00:37:31,520 --> 00:37:35,760
Speaker 3: the discipline. It's about basic things like you know, how

716
00:37:35,800 --> 00:37:38,480
Speaker 3: you practice the first ten minutes of warm ups? What

717
00:37:38,600 --> 00:37:41,319
Speaker 3: is okay, and what is not okay? If you come

718
00:37:41,360 --> 00:37:43,000
Speaker 3: out with the wrong stuff, do I make you go

719
00:37:43,080 --> 00:37:45,600
Speaker 3: back in and change or do I let it slide?

720
00:37:45,719 --> 00:37:48,680
Speaker 3: And I think you just see the separating. You see,

721
00:37:48,719 --> 00:37:50,879
Speaker 3: the Jets are a good example. They got no clue

722
00:37:50,880 --> 00:37:53,000
Speaker 3: what they're doing. It's one of the worst coaching staffs

723
00:37:53,320 --> 00:37:56,080
Speaker 3: in the league, is the staff. And then you look.

724
00:37:56,239 --> 00:37:59,360
Speaker 3: I think Denver and the Chargers are very very good examples.

725
00:38:00,120 --> 00:38:02,480
Speaker 3: Have no business. You could say the Chargers a little

726
00:38:02,520 --> 00:38:04,239
Speaker 3: bit because they do have a good quarterback, you know,

727
00:38:04,280 --> 00:38:07,600
Speaker 3: an experienced quarterback to win ten games with their roster.

728
00:38:08,320 --> 00:38:11,960
Speaker 3: If I give half the coaches in the NFL, those teams,

729
00:38:12,480 --> 00:38:15,719
Speaker 3: they don't sniff ten wins, right, But I give Jim

730
00:38:15,760 --> 00:38:17,560
Speaker 3: Harbaugh and Sean Payton, and what do they make a

731
00:38:17,640 --> 00:38:20,719
Speaker 3: combined thirty five million dollars? They make it for a

732
00:38:20,760 --> 00:38:23,400
Speaker 3: reason because you're gonna feel pretty good about them winning

733
00:38:23,400 --> 00:38:25,799
Speaker 3: double digit games every year going forward. And the other

734
00:38:25,800 --> 00:38:27,800
Speaker 3: thing that we don't talk a lot about with coaches,

735
00:38:28,120 --> 00:38:30,480
Speaker 3: who do you hire your staff? It's one of the

736
00:38:30,520 --> 00:38:34,040
Speaker 3: Harbaugh families great attributes. I would say Sean Payton, for

737
00:38:34,080 --> 00:38:36,520
Speaker 3: the most part, has always had good coaching staffs.

738
00:38:36,640 --> 00:38:38,120
Speaker 1: Yes, Dan Campbell was assistant.

739
00:38:38,320 --> 00:38:40,120
Speaker 3: Dennis Hound's not a good head coach, but he's an

740
00:38:40,160 --> 00:38:43,680
Speaker 3: excellent defensive coordinator, so he had a staff. And now, listen,

741
00:38:43,719 --> 00:38:45,759
Speaker 3: I was skeptical of Vance Joseph. You gotta give them

742
00:38:45,800 --> 00:38:47,600
Speaker 3: a lot of credit. Like their defense is flying around.

743
00:38:47,680 --> 00:38:50,720
Speaker 3: So that's your job is more than just calling plays

744
00:38:50,800 --> 00:38:53,000
Speaker 3: or the draft like it encompasses a lot.

745
00:38:53,560 --> 00:38:56,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, and they're the other thing. This is one of

746
00:38:56,880 --> 00:38:59,279
Speaker 1: the things Sean mcvaye does so well. You are you're

747
00:38:59,320 --> 00:39:03,360
Speaker 1: often asking yourself, how did Cooper cup and Kuka Nakua

748
00:39:03,480 --> 00:39:06,160
Speaker 1: get so open? Well that scheme. I mean, it's like

749
00:39:06,160 --> 00:39:08,560
Speaker 1: in the Super Bowl and Andy Reid has sky More

750
00:39:08,800 --> 00:39:11,359
Speaker 1: in the red zone wide open. You're like, there's only

751
00:39:11,440 --> 00:39:14,920
Speaker 1: so much space. How is sky More not covered at

752
00:39:14,920 --> 00:39:19,560
Speaker 1: the twelve? I'm watching Denver and there were multiple times

753
00:39:19,600 --> 00:39:24,040
Speaker 1: today You're like, now again, it's Carolina. But I'm seeing

754
00:39:24,080 --> 00:39:26,440
Speaker 1: this time and time again when they beat the Jets,

755
00:39:26,440 --> 00:39:28,919
Speaker 1: we thought it was a fluke. No, Denver is better

756
00:39:28,960 --> 00:39:32,320
Speaker 1: with Bonnicks. They're a better football team than the Jets

757
00:39:32,320 --> 00:39:37,160
Speaker 1: with Aaron Rodgers, and the Jets have significantly better players overall. Nope,

758
00:39:37,880 --> 00:39:41,439
Speaker 1: not even close. And so I'm just watching Denver today

759
00:39:41,480 --> 00:39:45,880
Speaker 1: and I'm like, this is like and I text Peyton

760
00:39:45,880 --> 00:39:47,840
Speaker 1: a couple of times, like this is what a well

761
00:39:47,920 --> 00:39:51,400
Speaker 1: coached team looks like. They should have beaten Carolina badly.

762
00:39:51,480 --> 00:39:54,439
Speaker 1: They did. They should have beaten New Orleans badly. They did,

763
00:39:55,239 --> 00:39:57,799
Speaker 1: But they're also winning this. That Jets game you look

764
00:39:57,800 --> 00:40:00,479
Speaker 1: at and you think, God, it was terrible. Weather had

765
00:40:00,600 --> 00:40:05,200
Speaker 1: no There's no reason in the world bo Nicks goes

766
00:40:05,239 --> 00:40:08,360
Speaker 1: and plays cross country if I recall their travel was bad,

767
00:40:08,640 --> 00:40:12,400
Speaker 1: and beats Aaron Rodgers in a like a semi tropical storm.

768
00:40:14,520 --> 00:40:16,760
Speaker 1: Peyton won't get Coach of the Year, but he should

769
00:40:16,760 --> 00:40:18,640
Speaker 1: be honorable mention because I think what he's doing with

770
00:40:18,680 --> 00:40:31,600
Speaker 1: this roster is incredible. Time for an end edition of

771
00:40:31,640 --> 00:40:34,520
Speaker 1: Sharper Square with Chad Millman, the co host of the Favorites.

772
00:40:34,600 --> 00:40:37,000
Speaker 1: All odds provided by Draft Kings. I felt pretty good

773
00:40:37,000 --> 00:40:39,480
Speaker 1: about my picks, I said in week six or seven,

774
00:40:39,520 --> 00:40:42,080
Speaker 1: I start to just go with quarterbacks. I think defenses

775
00:40:42,120 --> 00:40:45,560
Speaker 1: get statistically more beat up, more injured. Quarterbacks are even

776
00:40:45,600 --> 00:40:50,120
Speaker 1: more important. Teams and locker rooms move off players more

777
00:40:50,200 --> 00:40:53,600
Speaker 1: finger pointing. The better cultures win, the better coaches win,

778
00:40:53,719 --> 00:40:56,800
Speaker 1: the better quarterbacks win. So there's a couple of big favorites.

779
00:40:56,840 --> 00:40:58,840
Speaker 1: I like this weekend, and I don't normally do that.

780
00:40:59,400 --> 00:41:02,920
Speaker 1: Let's go to the underdogs though, Dolphins plus six at

781
00:41:02,920 --> 00:41:06,040
Speaker 1: the Bills. I like Miami. Okay, so this has been

782
00:41:06,080 --> 00:41:09,760
Speaker 1: a series dominated by Buffalo, no question, but they've played

783
00:41:10,000 --> 00:41:14,400
Speaker 1: very good. They're really feeling themselves. They travel cross country.

784
00:41:14,440 --> 00:41:17,680
Speaker 1: Now it's back Miami. Two is the first game back

785
00:41:17,800 --> 00:41:20,839
Speaker 1: off of concussion. They actually controlled that game, led by

786
00:41:20,880 --> 00:41:25,720
Speaker 1: ten and the fourth Usually quarterbacks off concussions don't play

787
00:41:25,800 --> 00:41:29,319
Speaker 1: great in the first week, second week, third week, fourth week.

788
00:41:29,360 --> 00:41:33,320
Speaker 1: You see improvement division rival game. Really like Miami plus

789
00:41:33,360 --> 00:41:34,520
Speaker 1: the point sharper square.

790
00:41:35,640 --> 00:41:40,680
Speaker 4: Look, it's flipped. It opened at six, moved up to

791
00:41:40,719 --> 00:41:43,440
Speaker 4: six and a half. The wise guys liked Buffalo at

792
00:41:43,440 --> 00:41:45,360
Speaker 4: six and a half, and there's been a lot of

793
00:41:45,360 --> 00:41:48,680
Speaker 4: wise guy money moving this back down to six. It

794
00:41:48,800 --> 00:41:52,520
Speaker 4: might even get down to five and a half before kickoff.

795
00:41:52,560 --> 00:41:55,360
Speaker 4: So wise guys are on your side here. They like Miami.

796
00:41:55,400 --> 00:41:57,240
Speaker 4: They like two where they want to fade the Bills

797
00:41:57,520 --> 00:42:00,160
Speaker 4: because they've been playing so well. I will tell you,

798
00:42:00,600 --> 00:42:04,160
Speaker 4: I'll give you the other side of that argument, because

799
00:42:04,200 --> 00:42:06,760
Speaker 4: I've bet Buffalo at minus six, I will be against

800
00:42:06,800 --> 00:42:08,799
Speaker 4: the wise guys. I might be against you two. I

801
00:42:08,840 --> 00:42:11,760
Speaker 4: want to give everybody the opportunity to hear both sides.

802
00:42:12,160 --> 00:42:17,239
Speaker 4: Tua is terrible against teams that are good that are

803
00:42:17,280 --> 00:42:20,200
Speaker 4: on the road, okay, two and ten straight up, three

804
00:42:20,280 --> 00:42:23,000
Speaker 4: eight to one against the spread, away from home versus

805
00:42:23,000 --> 00:42:27,399
Speaker 4: winning teams in his NFL career with the Dolphins. Also,

806
00:42:27,960 --> 00:42:30,520
Speaker 4: the Bills offense has been top three in the league

807
00:42:30,840 --> 00:42:34,880
Speaker 4: across the majority of metrics, superficial, advanced metrics, whatever you

808
00:42:34,880 --> 00:42:36,520
Speaker 4: want to do. When it comes to rushing the ball,

809
00:42:37,440 --> 00:42:42,960
Speaker 4: the Dolphins are a terrible tackling team. So from a

810
00:42:43,000 --> 00:42:46,840
Speaker 4: matchup perspective and a history perspective, I think the Bills

811
00:42:46,880 --> 00:42:49,520
Speaker 4: have an advantage. But the wise guys, they like what

812
00:42:49,560 --> 00:42:51,960
Speaker 4: they saw. They feel like Tua the second game back

813
00:42:52,000 --> 00:42:56,080
Speaker 4: after the concussion, he's going to be better. They feel

814
00:42:56,120 --> 00:42:59,480
Speaker 4: like this Buffalo team it's a little bit too high

815
00:43:00,360 --> 00:43:03,359
Speaker 4: because of how well the Bills had been playing. So

816
00:43:03,719 --> 00:43:06,640
Speaker 4: why guys are with you, Colin? But I'm not okay?

817
00:43:07,480 --> 00:43:10,279
Speaker 1: So I like Arizona minus one and a half at home.

818
00:43:10,440 --> 00:43:13,880
Speaker 1: First of all, Matt Eberflus is the worst road coach

819
00:43:14,040 --> 00:43:20,080
Speaker 1: in the league terrible. Secondly, Arizona is better. Their personnel

820
00:43:20,120 --> 00:43:23,799
Speaker 1: offensively is the best kept secret in the league. I

821
00:43:23,840 --> 00:43:27,480
Speaker 1: love Connor the back, McBride, the tight end. Harrison now

822
00:43:27,520 --> 00:43:31,400
Speaker 1: is getting more consistent. He's a dog. Kyler Murray in

823
00:43:31,440 --> 00:43:36,040
Speaker 1: the second half was outstanding. And I never trust this

824
00:43:36,160 --> 00:43:40,319
Speaker 1: team's consistency and maturity. But I like the staff. I

825
00:43:40,600 --> 00:43:46,160
Speaker 1: like their fight Chicago. If you start looking at Chicago,

826
00:43:46,280 --> 00:43:49,960
Speaker 1: they unraveled last week. They really did. They were lucky

827
00:43:49,960 --> 00:43:52,400
Speaker 1: to be in a position to lose by Hail Mary.

828
00:43:52,800 --> 00:43:56,440
Speaker 1: Arizona's a good home team. Eber Flu's awful on the road.

829
00:43:57,080 --> 00:43:59,400
Speaker 1: Arizona minus one and a half. Sharper square.

830
00:44:00,320 --> 00:44:03,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's sharp ish, Like if the wise guys are

831
00:44:03,080 --> 00:44:08,040
Speaker 4: playing anything here, they're playing Arizona, but it's not primary

832
00:44:08,120 --> 00:44:09,960
Speaker 4: in the games they're betting. A lot of wise guys

833
00:44:10,000 --> 00:44:12,120
Speaker 4: I talked to, they kind of want to pass on

834
00:44:12,160 --> 00:44:16,319
Speaker 4: this game. In a perfect world, in a vacuum, they

835
00:44:16,440 --> 00:44:19,879
Speaker 4: bet on the Bears. The Bears are more talented offensively.

836
00:44:20,400 --> 00:44:24,239
Speaker 4: They're a really good defensive team, and they're really good

837
00:44:24,239 --> 00:44:27,799
Speaker 4: at rushing the passer, and they're really good in coverage. Now,

838
00:44:27,920 --> 00:44:31,600
Speaker 4: the challenge for the Bears Is Montes Sweat didn't practice

839
00:44:31,600 --> 00:44:33,840
Speaker 4: on Wednesday. Has an injured shin. We don't know what

840
00:44:33,880 --> 00:44:36,280
Speaker 4: his status will be. They're ten and five with Montes

841
00:44:36,360 --> 00:44:40,080
Speaker 4: Sweat since he joined the team. Okay, Number one, that's

842
00:44:40,120 --> 00:44:43,719
Speaker 4: really good for pass rush. Number two Braxton Jones, they're

843
00:44:43,800 --> 00:44:46,880
Speaker 4: left tackle. He probably isn't going to play. Did not

844
00:44:46,920 --> 00:44:49,960
Speaker 4: practice this week. They were terrible when he left the

845
00:44:50,000 --> 00:44:52,600
Speaker 4: game last week. Caleb was running for his life and

846
00:44:52,640 --> 00:44:54,960
Speaker 4: then they got worse when Braxton Jones backup came in.

847
00:44:55,239 --> 00:44:57,680
Speaker 4: And Braxton Jones backup is not going to be playing

848
00:44:57,920 --> 00:44:59,960
Speaker 4: this week. So they're scraping the bottom of the barrel there.

849
00:45:00,280 --> 00:45:03,759
Speaker 4: But here's what's interesting about Kyler. Kyler is great in

850
00:45:03,800 --> 00:45:06,840
Speaker 4: the chaos and what the Bears would create and what

851
00:45:06,880 --> 00:45:10,279
Speaker 4: their strength is is creating chaos for quarterbacks because they

852
00:45:10,280 --> 00:45:12,399
Speaker 4: are so good at rushing the pasture and so good

853
00:45:12,400 --> 00:45:16,560
Speaker 4: in coverage. So kyler strengths actually plays to the Bear strength,

854
00:45:16,600 --> 00:45:19,360
Speaker 4: which is another reason why the wise guys aren't quite

855
00:45:20,080 --> 00:45:22,920
Speaker 4: looking to rush to bet this game. And like you,

856
00:45:24,239 --> 00:45:28,040
Speaker 4: eberflus Man, and I can't imagine you don't have a

857
00:45:28,040 --> 00:45:30,919
Speaker 4: theory on this, but as a Bears fan, why draft

858
00:45:30,960 --> 00:45:33,719
Speaker 4: Caleb Williams and then keep a coach who's a defensive

859
00:45:33,719 --> 00:45:35,719
Speaker 4: coach who if he doesn't do well this year, you

860
00:45:35,760 --> 00:45:37,160
Speaker 4: know you're going to get rid of. Then you're going

861
00:45:37,239 --> 00:45:39,400
Speaker 4: to bring in a new coach, and you've basically wasted

862
00:45:39,440 --> 00:45:42,439
Speaker 4: a year and created bad habits for Caleb Williams. Right,

863
00:45:42,719 --> 00:45:45,080
Speaker 4: So now all of a sudden, Eberflus is basically throwing

864
00:45:45,120 --> 00:45:47,520
Speaker 4: his team under the bus, saying, we practiced this play

865
00:45:48,320 --> 00:45:51,040
Speaker 4: the Hail Mary every single week. I don't know why

866
00:45:51,040 --> 00:45:53,640
Speaker 4: the guys didn't do it right. That hasn't sat well,

867
00:45:53,800 --> 00:45:55,600
Speaker 4: So people don't know what they're going to get with

868
00:45:55,719 --> 00:45:56,799
Speaker 4: the Bears this week.

869
00:45:57,680 --> 00:46:00,239
Speaker 1: Okay, you know I love the magic number four, four

870
00:46:00,239 --> 00:46:02,840
Speaker 1: and a half and five. I take the favorites. Washington

871
00:46:03,000 --> 00:46:08,000
Speaker 1: thoroughly outplayed Chicago, and Chicago's a pretty decent team. The Giants, now,

872
00:46:08,040 --> 00:46:11,360
Speaker 1: as we talked about No Andrew Thomas, Daniel Jones visibly

873
00:46:11,400 --> 00:46:15,160
Speaker 1: frustrated during the week two point conversion against the Steelers.

874
00:46:16,200 --> 00:46:18,719
Speaker 1: They're off him. Everybody in the building knows that it

875
00:46:18,880 --> 00:46:23,000
Speaker 1: just feels like a horrible environment. The owner has supported

876
00:46:23,000 --> 00:46:25,120
Speaker 1: the GM and the coach and not the quarterback. I

877
00:46:25,120 --> 00:46:27,520
Speaker 1: think Washington's a really good team. I think they're for real.

878
00:46:27,600 --> 00:46:30,560
Speaker 1: I think now Jaden Daniels is healthier. I didn't feel

879
00:46:30,560 --> 00:46:32,920
Speaker 1: he was at one hundred percent last weekend. I would

880
00:46:32,920 --> 00:46:36,160
Speaker 1: take Washington minus four. I know it's a division rivalry game.

881
00:46:36,239 --> 00:46:37,040
Speaker 1: Sharper Square.

882
00:46:37,560 --> 00:46:40,240
Speaker 4: No, the wise guys are with you. They're they're betting

883
00:46:40,320 --> 00:46:43,400
Speaker 4: on Washington and it's a normally they wouldn't right a

884
00:46:43,480 --> 00:46:46,399
Speaker 4: division game. Right you're getting a home dog at more

885
00:46:46,400 --> 00:46:49,680
Speaker 4: than a field goal, you want to bet the home dog.

886
00:46:49,920 --> 00:46:52,400
Speaker 4: And we've got other games in which that is a

887
00:46:52,440 --> 00:46:56,680
Speaker 4: scenario this week, but right now, like three and a

888
00:46:56,760 --> 00:46:59,200
Speaker 4: half for a team that has lost its left tackle.

889
00:46:59,440 --> 00:47:02,480
Speaker 4: He was the only reason that you ever felt comfortable

890
00:47:02,680 --> 00:47:04,680
Speaker 4: betting on this team because he was so good at

891
00:47:04,680 --> 00:47:07,879
Speaker 4: stabilizing that line. And now Tyrone Tracy, who has really

892
00:47:07,920 --> 00:47:10,680
Speaker 4: been an offensive weapon out of the backfield for them,

893
00:47:10,880 --> 00:47:13,480
Speaker 4: the running back out of Purdue, he had a concussion.

894
00:47:13,680 --> 00:47:16,400
Speaker 4: Not likely to play. You're right about Daniel Jones. I

895
00:47:16,400 --> 00:47:18,160
Speaker 4: think it's only a matter of time before they give

896
00:47:18,200 --> 00:47:20,840
Speaker 4: him the hook because they owe him, you know, twenty

897
00:47:20,840 --> 00:47:25,439
Speaker 4: three million dollars if he gets injured next season. So

898
00:47:25,600 --> 00:47:29,440
Speaker 4: I think pretty soon this experiment with Danny Dimes is

899
00:47:29,480 --> 00:47:29,960
Speaker 4: going to end.

900
00:47:30,719 --> 00:47:33,800
Speaker 1: Okay. I think the Rams are really a good football

901
00:47:33,840 --> 00:47:36,239
Speaker 1: team when healthy. In fact, if you go back to

902
00:47:36,360 --> 00:47:39,600
Speaker 1: last year when Stafford, Kyron Williams, Pooka, and Cooper Cup

903
00:47:39,600 --> 00:47:42,560
Speaker 1: play their seven and three in their losses at Detroit

904
00:47:42,600 --> 00:47:47,759
Speaker 1: and overtime at Baltimore in overtime, offensive coach and Matt

905
00:47:47,800 --> 00:47:52,200
Speaker 1: Stafford played on Thursday extra time to prepare. They only

906
00:47:52,239 --> 00:47:54,440
Speaker 1: have to give up one at Seattle. This is a

907
00:47:54,520 --> 00:47:58,200
Speaker 1: coach and a quarterback mismatch. They are now healthier and

908
00:47:58,960 --> 00:48:05,000
Speaker 1: like the Packers offensively, the Rams defensively are crazy young

909
00:48:05,800 --> 00:48:11,600
Speaker 1: young teams grow. They become better and better every few weeks.

910
00:48:11,640 --> 00:48:15,120
Speaker 1: The Packers offense just getting better every two games. This

911
00:48:15,280 --> 00:48:21,680
Speaker 1: Rams defense is high draft picks, hungry, no stars, fast, young,

912
00:48:21,840 --> 00:48:24,959
Speaker 1: and collectively very good. I think the Rams put away

913
00:48:24,960 --> 00:48:26,839
Speaker 1: the Seahawks or Sharper Square.

914
00:48:27,280 --> 00:48:31,400
Speaker 4: Colin, You and I right now are going into the

915
00:48:31,400 --> 00:48:35,440
Speaker 4: Foxholt on the Los Angeles Rams. The wise guys hate

916
00:48:35,440 --> 00:48:37,800
Speaker 4: this bet. The Rams opened it as one and a

917
00:48:37,840 --> 00:48:41,840
Speaker 4: half point underdogs. They are now almost two and a

918
00:48:41,880 --> 00:48:46,560
Speaker 4: half point favorites. The wise guys they love Seattle at

919
00:48:46,560 --> 00:48:50,080
Speaker 4: two and a half. I'm with you and Simon Hunter

920
00:48:50,120 --> 00:48:52,920
Speaker 4: and my co host, he's with you, like we feel

921
00:48:52,920 --> 00:48:55,920
Speaker 4: like we are alone in the foxhol betting this game,

922
00:48:56,320 --> 00:49:00,600
Speaker 4: and we don't see what other people are seeing in Seattle.

923
00:49:01,080 --> 00:49:04,480
Speaker 4: You've said this before, Sean McVay. For all the bells

924
00:49:04,480 --> 00:49:07,640
Speaker 4: and whistles, all the motion on this team, he likes

925
00:49:07,680 --> 00:49:10,319
Speaker 4: to run the ball. And Kyen Williams has been a

926
00:49:10,320 --> 00:49:12,800
Speaker 4: top five running back in the NFL the past season

927
00:49:12,880 --> 00:49:16,520
Speaker 4: in the half and he has been amazing since this

928
00:49:16,640 --> 00:49:20,840
Speaker 4: season began, especially against team like Seattle, which are bottom

929
00:49:21,320 --> 00:49:26,120
Speaker 4: third in all the rushing stats that matter. They're total

930
00:49:26,200 --> 00:49:30,040
Speaker 4: rushing yards, yards per carry EPA per rush like, they

931
00:49:30,080 --> 00:49:32,040
Speaker 4: are not a very good rush defense. They're still a

932
00:49:32,080 --> 00:49:35,760
Speaker 4: team that's developing its talent. Hookah's back. He's a great

933
00:49:35,840 --> 00:49:38,040
Speaker 4: run blocker. You saw that last week. He's just so

934
00:49:38,160 --> 00:49:42,480
Speaker 4: freaking big. Cooper cup back Stafford is great in these situations.

935
00:49:42,520 --> 00:49:44,520
Speaker 4: He's a quarterback. At the end of the day, Like

936
00:49:44,560 --> 00:49:48,200
Speaker 4: you've said, there are quarterbacks that you just don't want

937
00:49:48,239 --> 00:49:50,719
Speaker 4: to bet against. And sometimes I make my decisions about

938
00:49:50,719 --> 00:49:54,279
Speaker 4: who I want to bet on based on how uncomfortable

939
00:49:54,320 --> 00:49:57,520
Speaker 4: am I going to be If I am betting the

940
00:49:57,560 --> 00:50:00,400
Speaker 4: other side, and this quarterback has the ball in the

941
00:50:00,440 --> 00:50:03,280
Speaker 4: last two minutes. Matthew Stafford's top five on that list.

942
00:50:03,320 --> 00:50:07,000
Speaker 4: So you and I brother, if it's in the blazon,

943
00:50:07,640 --> 00:50:09,520
Speaker 4: you're going to be in a foxhill. I'm going to

944
00:50:09,560 --> 00:50:11,280
Speaker 4: be in the foxhole. Will be in it together.

945
00:50:13,600 --> 00:50:15,640
Speaker 1: There's a couple of games that are fascinating to me.

946
00:50:15,880 --> 00:50:18,560
Speaker 1: First of all, I don't know if it's a stay

947
00:50:18,600 --> 00:50:20,920
Speaker 1: away game. I think I would take the Vikings at

948
00:50:20,960 --> 00:50:23,319
Speaker 1: home minus five against the Colts because they're making a

949
00:50:23,440 --> 00:50:28,799
Speaker 1: quarterback change. Also, I think the Vikings, I think the

950
00:50:28,920 --> 00:50:34,440
Speaker 1: Rams on the road and the Lions, those offenses and

951
00:50:34,480 --> 00:50:37,840
Speaker 1: those coaching staffs can make teams look very bad. And

952
00:50:37,880 --> 00:50:40,440
Speaker 1: I think Minnesota's defense, if you go back three weeks,

953
00:50:40,560 --> 00:50:43,080
Speaker 1: we thought it was pretty good. I think they need

954
00:50:43,080 --> 00:50:47,120
Speaker 1: to redeem themselves before they get into division play. I

955
00:50:47,160 --> 00:50:49,280
Speaker 1: think this is a good spot for them. I think

956
00:50:49,440 --> 00:50:52,960
Speaker 1: they have a quarterback advantage. I think both coaches are

957
00:50:53,000 --> 00:50:56,680
Speaker 1: really good, but in this spot with a quarterback change,

958
00:50:57,000 --> 00:51:00,759
Speaker 1: I think Minnesota has to get right. There's real urgency

959
00:51:00,760 --> 00:51:03,520
Speaker 1: here before they get to the Green Bays, the Detroit's,

960
00:51:04,080 --> 00:51:08,000
Speaker 1: the Chicago's in their schedule. I would take the Vikings

961
00:51:08,000 --> 00:51:09,440
Speaker 1: minus five Sharper square.

962
00:51:09,840 --> 00:51:12,839
Speaker 4: Yeah, the wise guys have been betting the Colts. They

963
00:51:12,840 --> 00:51:14,680
Speaker 4: bet them at six, they bet them at five and

964
00:51:14,719 --> 00:51:16,920
Speaker 4: a half. If it's down to five, it means they

965
00:51:16,920 --> 00:51:23,200
Speaker 4: bet them again. The Coult situation is incredibly confusing. Shane

966
00:51:23,200 --> 00:51:27,959
Speaker 4: Stike and kind of intimated that this was coming from ownership, right,

967
00:51:28,320 --> 00:51:32,920
Speaker 4: Like you look at Anthony Richardson, Completion percentage is not

968
00:51:33,000 --> 00:51:36,080
Speaker 4: a very good way to judge developing quarterback. And there's

969
00:51:36,080 --> 00:51:39,200
Speaker 4: been a lot of great analysis this week about if

970
00:51:39,239 --> 00:51:42,440
Speaker 4: you analyze each one of his throws, he's making the

971
00:51:42,520 --> 00:51:45,640
Speaker 4: choices that are the lower percentage throw but the higher

972
00:51:45,840 --> 00:51:49,680
Speaker 4: ROI if they're completed versus eight yard outs that won't

973
00:51:49,680 --> 00:51:51,960
Speaker 4: get you the first down, or twenty yard outs that

974
00:51:52,000 --> 00:51:54,960
Speaker 4: will get you the first down, And so there's decisions

975
00:51:55,000 --> 00:51:57,399
Speaker 4: being made there. And Shane Stiken, I'm a huge fan

976
00:51:57,440 --> 00:51:59,600
Speaker 4: as a coach. The wise guys are on this game

977
00:51:59,600 --> 00:52:02,040
Speaker 4: because when it became Flacco, they sort of felt a

978
00:52:02,040 --> 00:52:04,600
Speaker 4: little bit more comfortable that he can manage the Brian

979
00:52:04,640 --> 00:52:07,480
Speaker 4: Flores defense and anything this guy throws at him. And

980
00:52:07,480 --> 00:52:11,799
Speaker 4: don't forget the Colts have an elite rushing game. And

981
00:52:11,800 --> 00:52:13,520
Speaker 4: we talked about this last week. It's why I like

982
00:52:13,600 --> 00:52:16,880
Speaker 4: the Colts against the Texans last week. If you have

983
00:52:16,920 --> 00:52:19,480
Speaker 4: a really good coach who's a good play caller, and

984
00:52:19,520 --> 00:52:23,400
Speaker 4: you have an elite unit, and you're a decent sized underdog,

985
00:52:24,239 --> 00:52:26,360
Speaker 4: I'm going to make that play. And that game played

986
00:52:26,360 --> 00:52:29,000
Speaker 4: out exactly as we expected it to play out with

987
00:52:29,080 --> 00:52:31,759
Speaker 4: the Colts. They dominated on the ground right and they

988
00:52:31,800 --> 00:52:34,640
Speaker 4: had so that Jonathan Taylor had more than one hundred

989
00:52:34,680 --> 00:52:37,640
Speaker 4: yards rushing in his first game back. They ran six

990
00:52:37,719 --> 00:52:40,759
Speaker 4: point two yards per carry. Like they will rely on

991
00:52:40,760 --> 00:52:43,440
Speaker 4: the running game. They'll find ways to potentially keep this

992
00:52:43,520 --> 00:52:46,279
Speaker 4: game close. So feels a little bit trappy to beout

993
00:52:46,320 --> 00:52:48,400
Speaker 4: the Vikings. It's not going to be a game that

994
00:52:48,440 --> 00:52:50,040
Speaker 4: I'm invested in it all.

995
00:52:57,440 --> 00:53:00,319
Speaker 1: Okay, here's a game that I would never bet. You know,

996
00:53:00,400 --> 00:53:03,120
Speaker 1: I take the big number off the board. People try

997
00:53:03,160 --> 00:53:04,960
Speaker 1: to talk to me in the Lions Titans should have

998
00:53:05,000 --> 00:53:09,080
Speaker 1: won't do it. Ravens at home minus nine and a half. Now,

999
00:53:09,280 --> 00:53:13,600
Speaker 1: Lamar has taken a couple practices off the Ravens by

1000
00:53:13,640 --> 00:53:17,000
Speaker 1: adding another receiver. Are telling you, listen, we don't have

1001
00:53:17,080 --> 00:53:20,680
Speaker 1: Kansas City's defense or Buffalo's. We're going to win by scoring.

1002
00:53:20,880 --> 00:53:24,239
Speaker 1: They want to ramp up this offense. Their weakness is

1003
00:53:24,280 --> 00:53:27,279
Speaker 1: the back end, over the top. You can beat them

1004
00:53:27,480 --> 00:53:32,760
Speaker 1: and Mahomes and Josh Allen might, Herbert might. Bo Nicks isn't.

1005
00:53:32,960 --> 00:53:35,439
Speaker 1: That's not how they're built. He's not a big deep

1006
00:53:35,480 --> 00:53:42,319
Speaker 1: ball thrower. He's more agile, mobile underneath. Ravens weakness is

1007
00:53:42,400 --> 00:53:44,960
Speaker 1: not going to be exploited by Denver. This is a

1008
00:53:45,000 --> 00:53:49,880
Speaker 1: tough spot. Ravens off a loss again. Baltimore on most

1009
00:53:49,920 --> 00:53:54,280
Speaker 1: Sundays the last two years has been the knockout artist

1010
00:53:54,320 --> 00:53:57,759
Speaker 1: in this league, blasting teams at home, not beating them,

1011
00:53:58,120 --> 00:54:04,399
Speaker 1: blasting Niners Miami like Detroit. This is a number, all

1012
00:54:04,440 --> 00:54:07,879
Speaker 1: swallow Ravens nine and a half. I know I am

1013
00:54:07,920 --> 00:54:09,400
Speaker 1: as square as a lego.

1014
00:54:09,840 --> 00:54:14,080
Speaker 4: Right, Not this week, brother, not this week. Like last week.

1015
00:54:14,120 --> 00:54:16,160
Speaker 4: I tried to get you on the Lions. I love

1016
00:54:16,760 --> 00:54:20,319
Speaker 4: the Lions, and like that was a no brainer from

1017
00:54:20,400 --> 00:54:22,279
Speaker 4: the get go. It didn't matter what the number was

1018
00:54:22,320 --> 00:54:25,600
Speaker 4: going to be. We were betting the Lions the Ravens.

1019
00:54:25,600 --> 00:54:27,759
Speaker 4: The wise guys are coming in on the Ravens, and

1020
00:54:28,640 --> 00:54:33,439
Speaker 4: it's a little bit tricky because Denver's defense is feers right,

1021
00:54:33,800 --> 00:54:37,959
Speaker 4: get great pass rush, great pass rush, great against the run,

1022
00:54:38,080 --> 00:54:42,000
Speaker 4: like their front four is phenomenal. But you can also

1023
00:54:42,040 --> 00:54:45,200
Speaker 4: look at it and say they've played not very good teams.

1024
00:54:45,680 --> 00:54:49,960
Speaker 4: They've had a relatively easy schedule, weaker quarterbacks, weaker quarterbacks. Right,

1025
00:54:50,200 --> 00:54:52,240
Speaker 4: you can look at you can look at the Ravens

1026
00:54:52,280 --> 00:54:55,960
Speaker 4: and say, okay, they should be dominating, but they laid

1027
00:54:56,080 --> 00:54:59,000
Speaker 4: every they let every team back into it. And look

1028
00:54:59,000 --> 00:55:02,920
Speaker 4: at what Jamis did last week. Look at what Jaden Daniels.

1029
00:55:03,040 --> 00:55:06,120
Speaker 4: The Ravens were up by ten, they spread with seven

1030
00:55:06,160 --> 00:55:09,160
Speaker 4: and a half. The Commanders lost that game by seven

1031
00:55:09,360 --> 00:55:12,640
Speaker 4: because the Ravens let Jaden Daniels get back into it.

1032
00:55:12,680 --> 00:55:15,640
Speaker 4: We've seen it week after week after week. The Ravens

1033
00:55:15,640 --> 00:55:18,360
Speaker 4: give up seventeen point three points per game in the

1034
00:55:18,400 --> 00:55:21,880
Speaker 4: second half this year. That is the worst in the NFL.

1035
00:55:22,440 --> 00:55:26,040
Speaker 4: Only the Titans are at thirty one. It's like those

1036
00:55:26,040 --> 00:55:29,080
Speaker 4: two and last week they were tied, and so the

1037
00:55:29,160 --> 00:55:31,759
Speaker 4: Ravens number got worse this week, and the Titans number,

1038
00:55:31,800 --> 00:55:35,320
Speaker 4: after giving fifty two points got better. That's how bad

1039
00:55:35,640 --> 00:55:37,920
Speaker 4: the Ravens back end has been. If you watched that

1040
00:55:37,960 --> 00:55:40,759
Speaker 4: game last week. Ross Talker, who's a great broadcaster and

1041
00:55:40,880 --> 00:55:44,600
Speaker 4: really good podcaster. He talked about like you look on

1042
00:55:44,680 --> 00:55:47,719
Speaker 4: film and every single week this Ravens defense the back end,

1043
00:55:48,000 --> 00:55:50,239
Speaker 4: they look confused and they're communicating and trying to get

1044
00:55:50,239 --> 00:55:53,919
Speaker 4: it right while the play is being called and while

1045
00:55:53,960 --> 00:55:57,520
Speaker 4: the ball is being snapped. So it's a huge gamble

1046
00:55:57,920 --> 00:56:00,560
Speaker 4: literally to take the Ravens at this big and number.

1047
00:56:00,600 --> 00:56:03,400
Speaker 4: You gotta believe that Bonnicks won't be able to go

1048
00:56:03,440 --> 00:56:06,000
Speaker 4: over the top in the same way. And you know

1049
00:56:06,120 --> 00:56:07,840
Speaker 4: Sean Payton is going to have him sling it like

1050
00:56:07,960 --> 00:56:10,080
Speaker 4: he's he's playing him like he's a fourth year pro.

1051
00:56:10,200 --> 00:56:12,680
Speaker 4: So it's risky, but the wise guys are on it.

1052
00:56:12,719 --> 00:56:14,600
Speaker 4: If you want to be on it, I can't walk

1053
00:56:14,640 --> 00:56:15,120
Speaker 4: you off.

1054
00:56:15,000 --> 00:56:17,680
Speaker 1: It, Okay. So the game that's most interesting to me

1055
00:56:17,840 --> 00:56:20,840
Speaker 1: every game. Every week I pick a game and I

1056
00:56:20,920 --> 00:56:24,680
Speaker 1: want you to convince me. So my natural feeling is

1057
00:56:24,760 --> 00:56:29,640
Speaker 1: even off of bye, Dallas just doesn't deliver much to

1058
00:56:29,719 --> 00:56:32,600
Speaker 1: the field off a by against the San Francisco defense

1059
00:56:32,640 --> 00:56:36,960
Speaker 1: without Dray green Law not really playing particularly well, some

1060
00:56:37,080 --> 00:56:40,040
Speaker 1: top starters out they couldn't generate much offense and they

1061
00:56:40,040 --> 00:56:42,640
Speaker 1: were dominated once you went off script in the third

1062
00:56:42,719 --> 00:56:45,239
Speaker 1: quarter and adjusted by the Niners. So I just don't

1063
00:56:45,320 --> 00:56:49,560
Speaker 1: like Dallas. Every part of my being loves Atlanta minus

1064
00:56:49,560 --> 00:56:53,080
Speaker 1: two and a half three, every part. But Atlanta is

1065
00:56:53,160 --> 00:56:58,560
Speaker 1: off a very very competitive divisional game, highly emotional game,

1066
00:56:59,040 --> 00:57:01,280
Speaker 1: and I can see that coming back down the earth.

1067
00:57:01,360 --> 00:57:06,040
Speaker 1: I can see Dallas. Remember, Atlanta offers no pressure. Guys

1068
00:57:06,120 --> 00:57:09,200
Speaker 1: like Dak and Gino Smith with time to throw are

1069
00:57:09,400 --> 00:57:13,920
Speaker 1: usually really effective. So my gut feeling is Atlanta's the side.

1070
00:57:14,000 --> 00:57:16,880
Speaker 1: I picked Atlanta to be the number one seed in

1071
00:57:16,920 --> 00:57:19,439
Speaker 1: the NFC with twelve to thirteen wins. I love them,

1072
00:57:19,880 --> 00:57:22,480
Speaker 1: but something tells me Dallas is the side here.

1073
00:57:23,480 --> 00:57:25,640
Speaker 4: Dallas is where the wise guys are. And this number

1074
00:57:25,680 --> 00:57:27,920
Speaker 4: gets to three, it gets bet down to two and

1075
00:57:27,960 --> 00:57:30,520
Speaker 4: a half, it gets beat back up to three, goes

1076
00:57:30,560 --> 00:57:33,280
Speaker 4: down to two and a half. The wise guys definitely

1077
00:57:33,360 --> 00:57:36,320
Speaker 4: like the Cowboys here. It's a little strange, you know.

1078
00:57:37,120 --> 00:57:41,920
Speaker 4: The Falcons. Kirk Cousins is basically run up his numbers

1079
00:57:42,560 --> 00:57:46,640
Speaker 4: thrown against the Buccaneers and the Panthers. Yeah, that's how

1080
00:57:46,680 --> 00:57:49,960
Speaker 4: he's made had such a good year, and like he's played,

1081
00:57:50,200 --> 00:57:52,600
Speaker 4: honest to guy, He's throwing like eight touchdowns and thrown

1082
00:57:52,680 --> 00:57:57,320
Speaker 4: for eight hundred yards against the Buccaneers, and so you

1083
00:57:57,360 --> 00:57:59,040
Speaker 4: look at those numbers, you're like, oh my god, he's

1084
00:57:59,120 --> 00:58:02,520
Speaker 4: maybe he finally Kyle Pitts look like what everyone has

1085
00:58:02,560 --> 00:58:04,960
Speaker 4: been drooling about from a fantasy point of view for

1086
00:58:05,000 --> 00:58:08,760
Speaker 4: the past three or four years. But against regular teams,

1087
00:58:09,560 --> 00:58:13,600
Speaker 4: they're generally mediocre, and so the question becomes, especially against

1088
00:58:13,600 --> 00:58:16,160
Speaker 4: teams that can cover and they can rush the passer.

1089
00:58:16,360 --> 00:58:19,040
Speaker 4: So the question you have to ask yourself is is

1090
00:58:19,120 --> 00:58:22,800
Speaker 4: Micah Parsons gonna play? Because without Micah Parsons, the Cowboys

1091
00:58:22,800 --> 00:58:25,640
Speaker 4: can't rush the passer. That is, you know, part of

1092
00:58:25,720 --> 00:58:29,200
Speaker 4: the phrase and Achilles heel for Kirk Cousins. He's not

1093
00:58:29,320 --> 00:58:31,960
Speaker 4: very good against coverage right now. Is Deron Bland going

1094
00:58:32,000 --> 00:58:35,320
Speaker 4: to play? He practiced this week the Cowboys cornerback. If so,

1095
00:58:35,640 --> 00:58:40,120
Speaker 4: the Cowboys are much much better in coverage. Dak Prescott

1096
00:58:40,360 --> 00:58:43,120
Speaker 4: is basically a mal Santa at this point. Like he

1097
00:58:43,240 --> 00:58:46,000
Speaker 4: does not move inside the pocket, right he just sits

1098
00:58:46,400 --> 00:58:49,640
Speaker 4: for four hours. The guy's just sitting there giving away

1099
00:58:49,680 --> 00:58:53,280
Speaker 4: gift to Cede Lamb. If he is able to do

1100
00:58:53,400 --> 00:58:55,720
Speaker 4: that against a team like the Falcons that can't get

1101
00:58:55,800 --> 00:59:00,280
Speaker 4: any pressure, then yeah, he's gonna slice him up. Have

1102
00:59:00,280 --> 00:59:02,920
Speaker 4: no running game. They can't stop their run. It is

1103
00:59:03,040 --> 00:59:06,960
Speaker 4: so ugly, it will be so uncomfortable. Everything about these

1104
00:59:07,000 --> 00:59:10,560
Speaker 4: teams says fraud. So you're really just deciding I'm betting

1105
00:59:10,640 --> 00:59:12,280
Speaker 4: on the underdog as a fraud.

1106
00:59:13,600 --> 00:59:16,440
Speaker 1: Okay, there's always a game or two I missed. I

1107
00:59:16,480 --> 00:59:18,760
Speaker 1: have a feeling Chargers Browns could be one of them.

1108
00:59:18,760 --> 00:59:22,520
Speaker 1: I would be prone to bet against Cleveland after a win.

1109
00:59:23,080 --> 00:59:24,960
Speaker 1: That would be my gut feeling. Is that one of

1110
00:59:25,000 --> 00:59:25,840
Speaker 1: the games I missed?

1111
00:59:26,480 --> 00:59:28,160
Speaker 4: Well, certainly, it's a game that a lot of wise

1112
00:59:28,160 --> 00:59:31,480
Speaker 4: guys are talking about and they have been betting on Cleveland.

1113
00:59:31,560 --> 00:59:34,520
Speaker 4: This number has moved down. I think it was a

1114
00:59:34,600 --> 00:59:37,600
Speaker 4: two and a half and no, down to two, now

1115
00:59:37,600 --> 00:59:40,760
Speaker 4: down to one and a half. I'm with you, man,

1116
00:59:41,360 --> 00:59:43,320
Speaker 4: I don't get it. And this is what makes betting

1117
00:59:43,400 --> 00:59:47,600
Speaker 4: so interesting, right because you have to decide when are

1118
00:59:47,640 --> 00:59:51,120
Speaker 4: you selling. It's like the market. Are you selling? Are

1119
00:59:51,120 --> 00:59:53,160
Speaker 4: you going to hold on for one week too long?

1120
00:59:53,240 --> 00:59:55,240
Speaker 4: Are you going to lose ten to twenty percent of

1121
00:59:55,280 --> 00:59:58,440
Speaker 4: your value? Or are you getting out at the peak.

1122
00:59:59,320 --> 01:00:03,040
Speaker 4: Let's break down the Ravens and the Chargers as competition

1123
01:00:03,400 --> 01:00:05,880
Speaker 4: for Jamis. Let's break down Jamis as he played the

1124
01:00:05,960 --> 01:00:09,120
Speaker 4: Ravens last week. He was great, sliced him up. Also

1125
01:00:10,080 --> 01:00:12,520
Speaker 4: had a fumble at the end of the first half

1126
01:00:12,960 --> 01:00:15,800
Speaker 4: that put the Ravens in position to score the goal

1127
01:00:15,800 --> 01:00:17,960
Speaker 4: ahead touchdown. Instead of being down six three, they're up

1128
01:00:18,000 --> 01:00:21,840
Speaker 4: ten to six. The play before he threw that dime

1129
01:00:21,920 --> 01:00:24,040
Speaker 4: to Cedric Tilman to win the game for the Ravens,

1130
01:00:24,800 --> 01:00:27,080
Speaker 4: he threw a gimme interception to Kyle Hamilton. The Kyle

1131
01:00:27,120 --> 01:00:30,080
Speaker 4: Hamilton dropped and there were three of those in that game, right,

1132
01:00:30,600 --> 01:00:33,600
Speaker 4: So now you go look at the Chargers. The Chargers

1133
01:00:33,840 --> 01:00:37,680
Speaker 4: have an elite run defense, they have a great playmaker

1134
01:00:37,680 --> 01:00:40,240
Speaker 4: and Justin Herbert, who doesn't turn the ball over, you

1135
01:00:40,320 --> 01:00:44,120
Speaker 4: know they are going to run the ball. Is Jamis

1136
01:00:44,160 --> 01:00:48,840
Speaker 4: Winston going to get away with the same mistakes. That

1137
01:00:49,320 --> 01:00:52,480
Speaker 4: is my concern in betting on the Browns. The wise

1138
01:00:52,480 --> 01:00:57,080
Speaker 4: guys are betting that Jamis will continue to find a

1139
01:00:57,080 --> 01:00:59,680
Speaker 4: way to be Jamis, and that because this offensive line

1140
01:00:59,680 --> 01:01:02,320
Speaker 4: is getting healthier, because this defense is getting healthier, because

1141
01:01:02,320 --> 01:01:05,920
Speaker 4: the game is in Cleveland, there's an upswing, there's still momentum.

1142
01:01:06,240 --> 01:01:07,800
Speaker 4: I'm not buying it. So if you want to pass

1143
01:01:07,840 --> 01:01:09,200
Speaker 4: on it, I get it. If you want to take

1144
01:01:09,240 --> 01:01:12,360
Speaker 4: the Chargers. I get it. The Charger's number is getting lower.

1145
01:01:13,200 --> 01:01:15,320
Speaker 4: It's a little trappy to take sort of the road

1146
01:01:15,360 --> 01:01:18,360
Speaker 4: dog and the road favorite in this spot. So it's

1147
01:01:18,400 --> 01:01:20,160
Speaker 4: not a huge play for me, but I will bet

1148
01:01:20,160 --> 01:01:20,680
Speaker 4: the Chargers.

1149
01:01:21,120 --> 01:01:22,160
Speaker 1: Anything else I missed?

1150
01:01:23,200 --> 01:01:25,880
Speaker 4: Yeah, how did we not talk about the Lions and

1151
01:01:25,920 --> 01:01:27,280
Speaker 4: the Packers?

1152
01:01:27,920 --> 01:01:30,080
Speaker 1: Well, because I don't know if Jordan Love's going.

1153
01:01:30,000 --> 01:01:34,360
Speaker 4: To play, doesn't matter. Don't care. As Jay Cutler says

1154
01:01:35,120 --> 01:01:37,440
Speaker 4: in the Urinal in Chicago, when someone tells them they

1155
01:01:37,520 --> 01:01:42,200
Speaker 4: went to Vanderbilt, don't care. I don't care. I'm betting

1156
01:01:42,240 --> 01:01:44,200
Speaker 4: the Packers at plus three and a half. And by

1157
01:01:44,240 --> 01:01:47,120
Speaker 4: the way, if Jordan Love isn't playing and it's Malik Willison,

1158
01:01:47,120 --> 01:01:48,920
Speaker 4: the number goes up to four four and a half.

1159
01:01:49,200 --> 01:01:54,320
Speaker 4: I'm still playing the Packers. Matt Lafleur is an elite,

1160
01:01:54,760 --> 01:02:00,280
Speaker 4: elite schemer. He has been amazing this season, att with

1161
01:02:00,280 --> 01:02:04,160
Speaker 4: fluor seventy percent against the spread when he is an underdog,

1162
01:02:04,200 --> 01:02:06,240
Speaker 4: and by the way, when he's an underdog of three

1163
01:02:06,680 --> 01:02:10,480
Speaker 4: or more points eighteen and four. You got Jared Goff

1164
01:02:10,880 --> 01:02:15,760
Speaker 4: who has a bocky ankle. You've got Jared Goff playing outdoors.

1165
01:02:16,160 --> 01:02:21,160
Speaker 4: You've got the Lions at peak value. Right now, You've

1166
01:02:21,200 --> 01:02:25,600
Speaker 4: got the Lions going against a Packers offensive line that

1167
01:02:25,760 --> 01:02:29,640
Speaker 4: is a fantastic past blocking unit. And this will be

1168
01:02:29,680 --> 01:02:32,280
Speaker 4: the first time we really see the impact of not

1169
01:02:32,480 --> 01:02:36,439
Speaker 4: having Aiden Hutchinson to rush the passer. And by the way,

1170
01:02:36,880 --> 01:02:40,160
Speaker 4: lake willis what has he done badly to not give

1171
01:02:40,240 --> 01:02:43,200
Speaker 4: us confidence? He Matt with floor understands what he is

1172
01:02:43,200 --> 01:02:47,280
Speaker 4: getting into with that quarterback. This is a smash the

1173
01:02:47,360 --> 01:02:50,240
Speaker 4: smash spot for the Packers. I love the Packers here.

1174
01:02:51,640 --> 01:02:54,880
Speaker 1: Well, that's why you're a professional gambler and I'm a radioshmuck.

1175
01:02:55,600 --> 01:02:59,040
Speaker 4: By the way, By the way, nobody knows nothing until

1176
01:02:59,080 --> 01:02:59,720
Speaker 4: the game is over.

1177
01:02:59,800 --> 01:03:04,160
Speaker 1: But I am definitely my toughest loss of the year

1178
01:03:04,360 --> 01:03:05,960
Speaker 1: I took. You know, I love the number four. I

1179
01:03:05,960 --> 01:03:09,840
Speaker 1: took green Bay against Jacksonville and they kneel before rushing in.

1180
01:03:12,040 --> 01:03:15,760
Speaker 4: That was rough, right, that was rough. I think I

1181
01:03:15,800 --> 01:03:17,920
Speaker 4: told you to take Jacksonville at three and a half.

1182
01:03:18,280 --> 01:03:21,360
Speaker 1: I know, but I honestly green Bay led. I feel

1183
01:03:21,440 --> 01:03:23,200
Speaker 1: I felt like I was in the wrong. I felt

1184
01:03:23,200 --> 01:03:25,360
Speaker 1: like I was on the right side. But the way

1185
01:03:25,400 --> 01:03:28,280
Speaker 1: I lost, I remember last year I lost a dooint

1186
01:03:29,880 --> 01:03:33,280
Speaker 1: on the Saints. They like hit the crossbar maybe twice

1187
01:03:33,280 --> 01:03:35,479
Speaker 1: in that game. I felt like about once a year.

1188
01:03:35,920 --> 01:03:38,080
Speaker 1: I laugh. I don't get angry. I feel like, you

1189
01:03:38,240 --> 01:03:40,600
Speaker 1: got to be kidding me. They led by I think ten.

1190
01:03:40,640 --> 01:03:42,760
Speaker 1: At one point in the second half, they're going in

1191
01:03:42,880 --> 01:03:45,400
Speaker 1: running for the touchdown and the guy doesn't dive at

1192
01:03:45,400 --> 01:03:49,000
Speaker 1: the two, and I thought, well, okay, the experts, that's right.

1193
01:03:49,760 --> 01:03:52,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, that's that's how it works out. By the way,

1194
01:03:52,360 --> 01:03:55,640
Speaker 4: that Jacksonville game was a joke. I was joking on

1195
01:03:55,680 --> 01:03:59,360
Speaker 4: the podcast this week. I hated the Jacksonville bet. I

1196
01:03:59,360 --> 01:04:01,680
Speaker 4: didn't want to make. I thought it was a bad idea.

1197
01:04:01,760 --> 01:04:05,360
Speaker 4: I hate that team. I'm not impressed with them. Everything

1198
01:04:05,400 --> 01:04:08,439
Speaker 4: that we needed to go right in that game went right.

1199
01:04:08,760 --> 01:04:12,160
Speaker 4: It was a lucky, lucky win. But then you got

1200
01:04:12,200 --> 01:04:15,600
Speaker 4: to look at the Colts against the Texans and either

1201
01:04:15,800 --> 01:04:18,280
Speaker 4: I got lucky, we got we got either we got

1202
01:04:18,280 --> 01:04:21,600
Speaker 4: really lucky with the Colts because the Texans were going

1203
01:04:21,640 --> 01:04:24,840
Speaker 4: to the very least kick a field goal late in

1204
01:04:24,880 --> 01:04:27,320
Speaker 4: the game. If Joe Mixon and C. J. Shroud don't

1205
01:04:27,360 --> 01:04:30,320
Speaker 4: botch the snap, don't botch the handoff, and the Colts

1206
01:04:30,320 --> 01:04:32,440
Speaker 4: recover and then you know they can go down and

1207
01:04:32,480 --> 01:04:35,160
Speaker 4: do their thing, or the game ends at three. It

1208
01:04:35,200 --> 01:04:37,560
Speaker 4: wasn't going to go like that, but everything that lead

1209
01:04:37,800 --> 01:04:40,040
Speaker 4: led up to that made it feel like a great handicap.

1210
01:04:40,560 --> 01:04:43,200
Speaker 4: Everything with Jacksonville felt like a bad handicap, and we

1211
01:04:43,280 --> 01:04:45,440
Speaker 4: just got lucky in the end. But you sort of

1212
01:04:45,480 --> 01:04:47,280
Speaker 4: have to say to yourself, did I get lucky in

1213
01:04:47,320 --> 01:04:49,760
Speaker 4: both games? Or were both games a great handicap? So

1214
01:04:50,080 --> 01:04:53,560
Speaker 4: I'm going with they were genius ideas and I am

1215
01:04:53,600 --> 01:04:57,960
Speaker 4: hoping the same thing happens with the Packers.

1216
01:04:58,680 --> 01:05:01,240
Speaker 1: Sharper Square Chad Millman, co host of The Favorites. All

1217
01:05:01,280 --> 01:05:02,800
Speaker 1: odds provided by DraftKings.

1218
01:05:02,800 --> 01:05:06,080
Speaker 4: Thanks Buddy, see you, Buddy, Joy Halloween.

1219
01:05:06,080 --> 01:05:06,880
Speaker 1: Thanks.

1220
01:05:10,840 --> 01:05:11,480
Speaker 3: The volume.

1221
01:05:13,080 --> 01:05:15,800
Speaker 1: Thanks so much for listening. If you've enjoyed the podcast,

1222
01:05:15,960 --> 01:05:17,920
Speaker 1: take a moment, rate and review,