1
00:00:16,200 --> 00:00:20,480
Speaker 1: Longtime viewers and listeners to and of the program will

2
00:00:20,520 --> 00:00:22,960
Speaker 1: remember I was against playoff expansion. But as I was

3
00:00:23,000 --> 00:00:25,400
Speaker 1: against it, I said, it's not all bad. There's going

4
00:00:25,440 --> 00:00:28,080
Speaker 1: to be some good things that come from playoff expansion.

5
00:00:28,120 --> 00:00:29,920
Speaker 1: Then I said the same thing about the portal. Then

6
00:00:29,920 --> 00:00:33,320
Speaker 1: I said the same thing about nil to a certain extent. Well,

7
00:00:34,280 --> 00:00:36,720
Speaker 1: I already voiced my concerns about the bad stuff. Here's

8
00:00:36,760 --> 00:00:40,640
Speaker 1: the good thing that brought. This season's going to be insane.

9
00:00:40,720 --> 00:00:43,120
Speaker 1: I've never been more convinced. I just got off the road.

10
00:00:43,159 --> 00:00:45,720
Speaker 1: I was at Oregon and Alabama over the weekend. We'll

11
00:00:45,760 --> 00:00:47,680
Speaker 1: be on the road this week. I have seen many

12
00:00:47,720 --> 00:00:50,680
Speaker 1: different CAMPI plural of campus. I have seen many different

13
00:00:50,720 --> 00:00:54,560
Speaker 1: practice plural of practices. I'm telling you there's not much separation.

14
00:00:54,920 --> 00:00:56,960
Speaker 1: I'm telling you, like, the number fifteen team in the

15
00:00:56,960 --> 00:00:59,040
Speaker 1: country could win the national title this year, and we

16
00:00:59,080 --> 00:01:01,880
Speaker 1: just haven't said that. We're jam packed. We're high at

17
00:01:01,880 --> 00:01:06,040
Speaker 1: top a sizzling downtown Nashville, Tennessee. Why does my voice

18
00:01:06,080 --> 00:01:09,520
Speaker 1: sound so skippy? Why does my energy level sound like

19
00:01:09,560 --> 00:01:12,120
Speaker 1: it's high? Well, as of this morning, it is game

20
00:01:12,200 --> 00:01:15,880
Speaker 1: week of week zero of college football. That's why need

21
00:01:15,920 --> 00:01:19,240
Speaker 1: I say more. Oh, there is more. We've got predictions

22
00:01:19,280 --> 00:01:22,400
Speaker 1: on the show tonight. I am doing my conference predictions.

23
00:01:22,400 --> 00:01:25,760
Speaker 1: I'm doing season predictions. I am not waiting any longer,

24
00:01:25,959 --> 00:01:27,600
Speaker 1: you know, because just in case I was State goes

25
00:01:27,600 --> 00:01:30,280
Speaker 1: and wins the national Championship, I wanted to go ahead

26
00:01:30,280 --> 00:01:32,960
Speaker 1: and predict it before they play a football game. We've

27
00:01:33,000 --> 00:01:35,839
Speaker 1: got fall camp intel, Like listen, listen to how heavy

28
00:01:35,880 --> 00:01:38,280
Speaker 1: that packet of paper is hitting the table. I was

29
00:01:38,319 --> 00:01:40,440
Speaker 1: at a couple of practices over the past couple of days,

30
00:01:40,440 --> 00:01:42,280
Speaker 1: so I'll let you know what things look like at

31
00:01:42,319 --> 00:01:44,840
Speaker 1: Oregon and Alabama. We got some stuff on Georgia. I

32
00:01:44,840 --> 00:01:47,520
Speaker 1: got some stuff on Clemson tonight. I can't fit it

33
00:01:47,560 --> 00:01:50,560
Speaker 1: all in the show. We have got several announcements coming

34
00:01:50,640 --> 00:01:54,080
Speaker 1: this week, all good announcements, no bad announcements like Bradley's

35
00:01:54,120 --> 00:01:56,080
Speaker 1: not getting fired or anything like that that I know of.

36
00:01:56,560 --> 00:01:58,360
Speaker 1: I don't want him to get complacent, but I think

37
00:01:58,360 --> 00:02:01,040
Speaker 1: Bradley's safe this week. But man, we got a we

38
00:02:01,120 --> 00:02:02,720
Speaker 1: got a lot to roll out. So you need to

39
00:02:02,720 --> 00:02:05,280
Speaker 1: be following on the socials at Josh payt CFP. Just

40
00:02:05,320 --> 00:02:07,520
Speaker 1: make sure you're following there because I can't honestly I

41
00:02:07,520 --> 00:02:09,400
Speaker 1: can't announce all this stuff on the show because it

42
00:02:09,400 --> 00:02:11,840
Speaker 1: would clog the show up. So I've got all that.

43
00:02:12,080 --> 00:02:16,160
Speaker 1: Are you notice I listed fourteen bullet points and only

44
00:02:16,320 --> 00:02:18,800
Speaker 1: now am I ready to reveal to you that, Yeah,

45
00:02:18,840 --> 00:02:22,160
Speaker 1: I am going to talk about that ridiculous Big ten

46
00:02:22,600 --> 00:02:26,680
Speaker 1: alleged playoff expansion proposal. I will talk about it, but

47
00:02:26,800 --> 00:02:29,360
Speaker 1: you know my entire philosophy on this, and that is,

48
00:02:29,520 --> 00:02:32,440
Speaker 1: if it's June, okay, we're not leading the show with

49
00:02:32,520 --> 00:02:36,080
Speaker 1: playoff expansion or conference realignment nonsense for lack of a

50
00:02:36,080 --> 00:02:39,320
Speaker 1: stronger term, when there's real football to talk about, and

51
00:02:39,600 --> 00:02:41,520
Speaker 1: as far as I can tell, we're halfway through fall camps,

52
00:02:41,600 --> 00:02:43,119
Speaker 1: there's a lot of football to talk about. So yeah,

53
00:02:43,120 --> 00:02:45,360
Speaker 1: we'll put that like this piece of paper very end

54
00:02:45,400 --> 00:02:47,000
Speaker 1: of the show. That's when we're going to do that.

55
00:02:47,000 --> 00:02:50,920
Speaker 1: They're watching us in Salina, Texas, Pine Mountain, Georgia, Hey,

56
00:02:51,480 --> 00:02:54,920
Speaker 1: Fort Payne, Alabama, Spokane, Washington, tuned in listen. I'm going

57
00:02:54,960 --> 00:02:57,799
Speaker 1: to put a lot of pressure on the crew. We're

58
00:02:57,840 --> 00:03:00,480
Speaker 1: doing our show from Penn State Tuesday night. And the

59
00:03:00,480 --> 00:03:03,000
Speaker 1: reason I say a lot of pressure is because Jesse,

60
00:03:03,080 --> 00:03:04,640
Speaker 1: what we got like a piece of equipment that we

61
00:03:04,680 --> 00:03:05,919
Speaker 1: need to come in, and we got to make sure

62
00:03:05,960 --> 00:03:09,400
Speaker 1: it comes in. So knock on fake wood, here it

63
00:03:09,480 --> 00:03:11,840
Speaker 1: comes in. We're gonna be up in State College Tuesday.

64
00:03:11,880 --> 00:03:14,200
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go check out Penn State. I'm gonna do

65
00:03:14,320 --> 00:03:17,400
Speaker 1: that to James Franklin's door. We'll see if he opens

66
00:03:17,400 --> 00:03:19,880
Speaker 1: the door. May even have him on the show, I'm told.

67
00:03:19,919 --> 00:03:22,280
Speaker 1: Imagine that man middle of fall camp taking time out

68
00:03:22,320 --> 00:03:24,080
Speaker 1: for us. But yeah, we're gonna do the show from

69
00:03:24,080 --> 00:03:27,600
Speaker 1: Penn State Tuesday night, hopefully live. So again, it is

70
00:03:27,639 --> 00:03:30,440
Speaker 1: a week full of announcements and we're gonna be on

71
00:03:30,480 --> 00:03:33,080
Speaker 1: the road during that week, so make sure you're following

72
00:03:33,440 --> 00:03:36,520
Speaker 1: at Josh payt CFB. So let's lead the show with

73
00:03:36,600 --> 00:03:39,400
Speaker 1: predictions tonight. This is not the kind of thing where

74
00:03:39,480 --> 00:03:41,000
Speaker 1: I say, hey, we're gonna predict and then I wait

75
00:03:41,040 --> 00:03:42,839
Speaker 1: an hour and a half. I am going to lead

76
00:03:42,840 --> 00:03:46,560
Speaker 1: the show with it, big ten predictions. We have waited

77
00:03:46,560 --> 00:03:48,840
Speaker 1: and waited long enough. How's this thing gonna go? We

78
00:03:48,880 --> 00:03:51,240
Speaker 1: are gearing up for three straight here. You know, three

79
00:03:51,280 --> 00:03:54,600
Speaker 1: straight is a streak. At two straight, that's not a streak.

80
00:03:54,640 --> 00:03:57,960
Speaker 1: Contrary to what the Chicago papers and the Detroit papers

81
00:03:57,960 --> 00:03:59,560
Speaker 1: have told you, no, no, no, it would be a streak.

82
00:03:59,560 --> 00:04:01,960
Speaker 1: If you want three national titles in a row, they

83
00:04:01,960 --> 00:04:04,880
Speaker 1: could do it. Ohio State got good odds, Penn State

84
00:04:05,000 --> 00:04:08,680
Speaker 1: closely behind Oregon third, and then there's a drop off

85
00:04:08,720 --> 00:04:10,440
Speaker 1: in the odds to win the Big Ten and then

86
00:04:10,600 --> 00:04:16,120
Speaker 1: Oregon third, Michigan way down below Oregon fourth, USC and

87
00:04:16,160 --> 00:04:18,160
Speaker 1: then there's a little drop off again to like you're

88
00:04:18,279 --> 00:04:23,599
Speaker 1: Nebraska's your Iowa's, Indiana, Illinois. I think the last time

89
00:04:24,240 --> 00:04:26,360
Speaker 1: one of these top four did not win this league

90
00:04:26,440 --> 00:04:29,200
Speaker 1: was like twenty fifteen, Michigan State, I want to say,

91
00:04:29,200 --> 00:04:32,280
Speaker 1: so it's been a little while. Tier one I think

92
00:04:32,400 --> 00:04:35,359
Speaker 1: is three deep. Tier two you could say is just

93
00:04:35,520 --> 00:04:37,520
Speaker 1: Michigan and then it's Tier three, or you could say

94
00:04:37,520 --> 00:04:39,520
Speaker 1: there is no Tier two. Michigan's part of Tier three,

95
00:04:39,640 --> 00:04:41,840
Speaker 1: or you could say Michigan's part of Tier one and

96
00:04:41,880 --> 00:04:44,440
Speaker 1: still there's no Tier two, however you want to classify it.

97
00:04:44,600 --> 00:04:46,360
Speaker 1: I think Michigan's going to be a much different team

98
00:04:46,360 --> 00:04:50,120
Speaker 1: in November than they are in late August early September. Anyway,

99
00:04:50,400 --> 00:04:52,279
Speaker 1: So here are some things I think I know about

100
00:04:52,320 --> 00:04:55,599
Speaker 1: the Big Ten. Is we get into predictions here, Penn State,

101
00:04:56,160 --> 00:04:58,960
Speaker 1: there are two seasons for Penn State this year, and

102
00:04:58,960 --> 00:05:01,679
Speaker 1: there are two different themes basically, and they're not interested

103
00:05:01,680 --> 00:05:04,320
Speaker 1: in talking about the first one. The first season for

104
00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:08,880
Speaker 1: Penn State is let's make sure everything validates. Let's make

105
00:05:08,920 --> 00:05:11,680
Speaker 1: sure they are who we think they are, and they

106
00:05:11,720 --> 00:05:13,520
Speaker 1: will be They're not going to be a bad team,

107
00:05:13,520 --> 00:05:17,000
Speaker 1: so they'll be a contender. They'll be favored in just

108
00:05:17,000 --> 00:05:20,320
Speaker 1: about every game they play, maybe outside of at Ohio State,

109
00:05:20,520 --> 00:05:22,440
Speaker 1: they're capable of winning all of them. Let's say all

110
00:05:22,480 --> 00:05:25,000
Speaker 1: that happens. Let's say, for the sake of argument and

111
00:05:25,080 --> 00:05:27,720
Speaker 1: Jesse's conscience, they even get through to Indianapolis, they win

112
00:05:27,800 --> 00:05:32,080
Speaker 1: the Big Ten. That's season one. That's a good season.

113
00:05:33,120 --> 00:05:36,320
Speaker 1: It's great. That's not what they're looking for at Penn State. Candidly,

114
00:05:36,400 --> 00:05:38,480
Speaker 1: this is one of those very unique situations where there

115
00:05:38,560 --> 00:05:42,200
Speaker 1: is not job security pressure, but there's competitive pressure to

116
00:05:42,279 --> 00:05:44,960
Speaker 1: go win the national championship, at the very least win

117
00:05:45,000 --> 00:05:47,039
Speaker 1: the Big Ten. And even if they do that, that's

118
00:05:47,080 --> 00:05:49,560
Speaker 1: just when the second season starts. And the second season

119
00:05:49,600 --> 00:05:51,640
Speaker 1: is basically okay, Penn State got through the regular season

120
00:05:51,680 --> 00:05:53,400
Speaker 1: and they were good enough to do that. What if

121
00:05:53,400 --> 00:05:56,159
Speaker 1: someone does in the playoffs what Ohio State did last year.

122
00:05:56,600 --> 00:05:59,920
Speaker 1: What if Texas gets in and revs the engine, if

123
00:06:00,160 --> 00:06:02,039
Speaker 1: to Georgia in there. What if it's an organ in

124
00:06:02,080 --> 00:06:04,240
Speaker 1: there but they red the engine and you find out

125
00:06:04,279 --> 00:06:07,320
Speaker 1: their top end potential is better than yours. What if

126
00:06:07,360 --> 00:06:10,080
Speaker 1: your best is a minus, but someone's got the talent

127
00:06:10,160 --> 00:06:11,919
Speaker 1: level to be an A or n a plus and

128
00:06:11,960 --> 00:06:14,120
Speaker 1: you run up against him in the playoff. That's the

129
00:06:14,160 --> 00:06:19,680
Speaker 1: second season. I think staff attrition for Ohio State is

130
00:06:19,720 --> 00:06:22,240
Speaker 1: as big as the roster attrition. That's another thing I think.

131
00:06:22,279 --> 00:06:25,200
Speaker 1: I know yo Ohio State won a national title last year. Yeah,

132
00:06:25,200 --> 00:06:27,600
Speaker 1: they're losing a lot to the draft. That's what happens

133
00:06:27,600 --> 00:06:29,719
Speaker 1: when you're really good. That's the trade off. But I'm

134
00:06:29,720 --> 00:06:33,200
Speaker 1: telling you, I know in Columbus they're keenly aware of

135
00:06:33,240 --> 00:06:35,640
Speaker 1: how good Chip Kelly was, how important he was, how

136
00:06:35,640 --> 00:06:38,160
Speaker 1: good Jim Knowles was. They don't speak his name anymore,

137
00:06:38,320 --> 00:06:41,159
Speaker 1: but how important he was. Those guys are gone. And

138
00:06:41,200 --> 00:06:43,760
Speaker 1: it's not like I don't believe Matt Patricia is able

139
00:06:43,800 --> 00:06:46,600
Speaker 1: to coach this game, or that I don't believe that

140
00:06:46,640 --> 00:06:50,760
Speaker 1: when you elevate from within, especially that you've got you know,

141
00:06:51,000 --> 00:06:54,799
Speaker 1: the wherewithal and you've got the system knowledge Brian hartlines

142
00:06:54,800 --> 00:06:56,599
Speaker 1: in the new OC there, it's not that I don't

143
00:06:56,640 --> 00:06:59,559
Speaker 1: believe that there's a difference in those guys being good

144
00:07:00,240 --> 00:07:03,800
Speaker 1: or really good versus them being championship caliber and your

145
00:07:03,839 --> 00:07:06,040
Speaker 1: programm being championship caliber. It'd be one thing if you're

146
00:07:06,080 --> 00:07:08,040
Speaker 1: elevating those guys and they're coaching a bunch of players

147
00:07:08,080 --> 00:07:10,640
Speaker 1: who are just returning. But you got so much newness everywhere.

148
00:07:10,800 --> 00:07:12,960
Speaker 1: That's part of the fun. That's part of the challenge

149
00:07:12,960 --> 00:07:14,960
Speaker 1: for Ryan Day, that's part of the fun. You remember

150
00:07:14,960 --> 00:07:16,440
Speaker 1: when we were up there in spring. Part of the

151
00:07:16,440 --> 00:07:19,520
Speaker 1: reason he emphasized, Hey, I've got benefit of the doubt

152
00:07:19,520 --> 00:07:21,880
Speaker 1: on my side now. I asked him, what's the difference.

153
00:07:21,920 --> 00:07:24,200
Speaker 1: He said, I've got benefit of the doubt on my side. Now.

154
00:07:24,360 --> 00:07:27,000
Speaker 1: That's invaluable because now you make all these moves and

155
00:07:27,040 --> 00:07:28,960
Speaker 1: people just assume you know what you're talking about because

156
00:07:29,000 --> 00:07:31,400
Speaker 1: you won a national championship, whereas before you were an

157
00:07:31,440 --> 00:07:34,000
Speaker 1: idiot you got second guests eight days out of the week.

158
00:07:34,240 --> 00:07:36,440
Speaker 1: The third thing I think I know about this conference

159
00:07:37,840 --> 00:07:40,920
Speaker 1: Tier three is the story for the Big ten. Okay,

160
00:07:40,960 --> 00:07:43,480
Speaker 1: That's why I said, you know that Ohio State and

161
00:07:43,520 --> 00:07:45,720
Speaker 1: Oregon and Penn State in some shape, form or fashion.

162
00:07:45,800 --> 00:07:49,240
Speaker 1: Are the tier one of this conference? Tier two? Is

163
00:07:49,240 --> 00:07:53,120
Speaker 1: it Michigan and or is it nobody? I'm looking at

164
00:07:53,160 --> 00:07:55,960
Speaker 1: tier three regardless of how you think those first four

165
00:07:56,040 --> 00:08:02,280
Speaker 1: teams pan out Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Nebraska, USC, I throw

166
00:08:02,440 --> 00:08:05,800
Speaker 1: Washington in there. Those are all teams with win totals

167
00:08:05,840 --> 00:08:08,360
Speaker 1: of seven and a half to eight and a half.

168
00:08:09,320 --> 00:08:11,680
Speaker 1: And so that's tier three of the conference now. Historically,

169
00:08:11,800 --> 00:08:14,960
Speaker 1: meaning the last decade or so, that hasn't mattered because

170
00:08:15,080 --> 00:08:17,360
Speaker 1: no one in that tier has been a threat to

171
00:08:17,440 --> 00:08:20,200
Speaker 1: jump up in most of the times, bite one of

172
00:08:20,240 --> 00:08:23,000
Speaker 1: the top teams, but especially contend for the title. Could

173
00:08:23,000 --> 00:08:25,760
Speaker 1: Nebraska contend for the league title this year? Could USC

174
00:08:25,920 --> 00:08:28,600
Speaker 1: compete for the league title this year? I don't mean

175
00:08:28,720 --> 00:08:31,080
Speaker 1: upset someone who could compete for it, I mean outright

176
00:08:31,120 --> 00:08:33,520
Speaker 1: compete for it, because that's been the difference to me

177
00:08:33,679 --> 00:08:36,920
Speaker 1: still in the competitive landscape of the Big Ten versus

178
00:08:36,920 --> 00:08:40,400
Speaker 1: the SEC SEC competitive depth wise goes a lot deeper

179
00:08:40,440 --> 00:08:42,800
Speaker 1: than the Big Ten, or it has is that the

180
00:08:42,800 --> 00:08:46,360
Speaker 1: case this year? The fourth thing, as we talk about

181
00:08:46,400 --> 00:08:50,319
Speaker 1: Drew Aler talk about Julian saying Bryce Underwood the most

182
00:08:50,360 --> 00:08:53,000
Speaker 1: intriguing quarterbacks in this conference may be on the West coast,

183
00:08:53,400 --> 00:08:58,960
Speaker 1: Dante Moore at Oregon, Demon Williams at Washington, and the

184
00:08:59,080 --> 00:09:01,720
Speaker 1: ladder of whom or Hoom's just being talked about even

185
00:09:01,760 --> 00:09:03,840
Speaker 1: less than the former, and neither of them are being

186
00:09:03,840 --> 00:09:06,480
Speaker 1: talked about to the degree that the others are. Those

187
00:09:06,480 --> 00:09:09,520
Speaker 1: two could be bona fide studs this year, and they're

188
00:09:09,520 --> 00:09:12,240
Speaker 1: not being talked about as much. And it's pretty obvious

189
00:09:12,240 --> 00:09:15,080
Speaker 1: why because they play halfway to Russia and so, you know,

190
00:09:15,200 --> 00:09:17,440
Speaker 1: Big ten Media Center being where it is, they're just

191
00:09:17,480 --> 00:09:20,440
Speaker 1: not gonna have the baked in brand name. They're not

192
00:09:20,480 --> 00:09:22,640
Speaker 1: going to be the focus in preseason. That's okay, though.

193
00:09:23,040 --> 00:09:25,520
Speaker 1: I think they're both really good. I got very little

194
00:09:25,559 --> 00:09:28,520
Speaker 1: doubt about either one of them, and they may fundamentally

195
00:09:28,520 --> 00:09:30,559
Speaker 1: impact this league title race. And the fifth thing I

196
00:09:30,640 --> 00:09:34,600
Speaker 1: think I know is that patients will pay off for

197
00:09:34,679 --> 00:09:39,280
Speaker 1: Bryce Underwood. Now that may not mean that you win

198
00:09:39,360 --> 00:09:42,559
Speaker 1: ten games this year, but I do think patients will

199
00:09:42,559 --> 00:09:45,559
Speaker 1: pay off in a sense that that dude's really good. Now,

200
00:09:45,640 --> 00:09:47,800
Speaker 1: that's why he's gonna win the job up there. He

201
00:09:47,960 --> 00:09:51,120
Speaker 1: will be really good as ever long as he's at Michigan.

202
00:09:51,880 --> 00:09:54,719
Speaker 1: I also think that you've got this whole NCAA thing

203
00:09:54,760 --> 00:09:56,480
Speaker 1: behind you now. I don't know how worried they were

204
00:09:56,520 --> 00:09:59,120
Speaker 1: about that, but it's behind him now. You just get

205
00:09:59,160 --> 00:10:02,320
Speaker 1: to know. Okay, we can see, as far as the

206
00:10:02,360 --> 00:10:05,400
Speaker 1: eye can see on the landscape, future is ours and

207
00:10:05,440 --> 00:10:08,960
Speaker 1: we got this quarterback. But the point being if they

208
00:10:09,040 --> 00:10:11,480
Speaker 1: start to trend up middle of the season, then later

209
00:10:12,160 --> 00:10:14,640
Speaker 1: think about what that does for the roster construction of

210
00:10:14,679 --> 00:10:17,120
Speaker 1: the twenty twenty sixteen and beyond. If they win in

211
00:10:17,120 --> 00:10:19,680
Speaker 1: twenty twenty five, to me, it's a bonus. I may

212
00:10:19,679 --> 00:10:21,320
Speaker 1: not think that way if I were a Michigan fan,

213
00:10:21,360 --> 00:10:23,880
Speaker 1: but I'm just sitting down here in Nashville. I would think, Dude,

214
00:10:23,880 --> 00:10:25,920
Speaker 1: if we can win nine or ten games and surprise people,

215
00:10:25,960 --> 00:10:29,000
Speaker 1: that's great. But I'm thinking twenty twenty six and beyond

216
00:10:29,000 --> 00:10:31,240
Speaker 1: because I could win another national title with that guy.

217
00:10:31,840 --> 00:10:33,960
Speaker 1: A few of the favorite win totals I have in

218
00:10:34,000 --> 00:10:37,000
Speaker 1: the Big Ten, I've bet these, so we're on all these.

219
00:10:37,320 --> 00:10:41,240
Speaker 1: We've talked about some of them so far. Nebraska over

220
00:10:41,320 --> 00:10:44,120
Speaker 1: seven and a half wins. I cannot believe this number

221
00:10:44,240 --> 00:10:47,520
Speaker 1: is still available at FanDuel. Nebraska over seven and a

222
00:10:47,559 --> 00:10:50,680
Speaker 1: half wins. We've got it graded as the easiest schedule

223
00:10:50,760 --> 00:10:53,880
Speaker 1: in Big Ten play. I don't think the market is

224
00:10:53,960 --> 00:10:58,280
Speaker 1: properly pricing in the offensive elevation that's gonna happen here.

225
00:10:58,920 --> 00:11:02,240
Speaker 1: I think most people expect, Oh, Dylan Ryola another year in.

226
00:11:03,480 --> 00:11:06,679
Speaker 1: Maybe people know Dana Holgerson is there, and maybe they don't.

227
00:11:07,160 --> 00:11:10,080
Speaker 1: I just think beyond that man the supporting cast, like

228
00:11:10,080 --> 00:11:12,960
Speaker 1: the wide receiver room here, the tailback room, I think

229
00:11:13,000 --> 00:11:15,360
Speaker 1: that the overall elevation of this offense is not being

230
00:11:15,360 --> 00:11:17,960
Speaker 1: properly priced in. They are going to fly pass seven

231
00:11:18,000 --> 00:11:21,040
Speaker 1: and a half wins. I firmly believe that. I believe

232
00:11:21,080 --> 00:11:24,360
Speaker 1: the opposite about Wisconsin. As much as I love the

233
00:11:24,400 --> 00:11:28,520
Speaker 1: alpacaforms up there, I believe that Wisconsin under five and

234
00:11:28,520 --> 00:11:30,839
Speaker 1: a half wins. As much as I believed it in

235
00:11:30,880 --> 00:11:33,160
Speaker 1: the spring, I still believe it now. We've got that

236
00:11:33,240 --> 00:11:36,280
Speaker 1: graded as the toughest strength of schedule in the Big Ten.

237
00:11:36,679 --> 00:11:39,720
Speaker 1: They face one team in conference play with worse odds

238
00:11:39,760 --> 00:11:43,480
Speaker 1: than them. They play nine conference games. Famously, if you

239
00:11:43,559 --> 00:11:46,720
Speaker 1: haven't listened to coach Sigg lately, nine conference games up there.

240
00:11:46,800 --> 00:11:49,440
Speaker 1: They only play one conference game against a team with

241
00:11:49,480 --> 00:11:53,000
Speaker 1: odds worse than them. They play Bama in out of

242
00:11:53,040 --> 00:11:57,120
Speaker 1: conference play, and I don't really know what the identity

243
00:11:57,120 --> 00:12:00,160
Speaker 1: of the team is still, So I'm going under. You're

244
00:12:00,160 --> 00:12:02,480
Speaker 1: on Wisconsin, and I'm going under on Michigan as well.

245
00:12:02,520 --> 00:12:05,000
Speaker 1: As much as I believe in the future of the team,

246
00:12:05,160 --> 00:12:08,520
Speaker 1: I could just see eight and four this year, And frankly,

247
00:12:08,559 --> 00:12:10,400
Speaker 1: I could see an eight and four that kind of

248
00:12:10,440 --> 00:12:12,920
Speaker 1: goes like last year, where you scale up towards the

249
00:12:13,000 --> 00:12:14,599
Speaker 1: end of the year. Who knows if that includes a

250
00:12:14,640 --> 00:12:17,520
Speaker 1: win over Ohio State or not. But I could just

251
00:12:17,640 --> 00:12:21,760
Speaker 1: see finish and strong at Michigan State, Perdue, at Northwestern,

252
00:12:21,800 --> 00:12:24,160
Speaker 1: at Maryland. Even if you lose close to Ohio State,

253
00:12:24,200 --> 00:12:27,360
Speaker 1: you just finished strong. Bryce Underwood got better and better

254
00:12:27,360 --> 00:12:30,679
Speaker 1: as the weeks went on. You finish eight and four, okay,

255
00:12:31,600 --> 00:12:34,720
Speaker 1: and everyone's excited about next year. But I'm going under

256
00:12:34,760 --> 00:12:37,000
Speaker 1: eight and a half with Michigan win total. Here we

257
00:12:37,040 --> 00:12:42,600
Speaker 1: go conference championship matchup I've got as a rematch of

258
00:12:42,640 --> 00:12:44,920
Speaker 1: the regular season. This game I believe is gonna happen

259
00:12:44,960 --> 00:12:49,760
Speaker 1: in Week five in Happy Valley, Oregon goes to Penn State,

260
00:12:50,640 --> 00:12:52,440
Speaker 1: and Penn State will be favored in that game and

261
00:12:52,480 --> 00:12:54,559
Speaker 1: it'll be a wide out. I think we're going to

262
00:12:54,600 --> 00:12:58,080
Speaker 1: get a rematch of that game in Indianapolis. And I've

263
00:12:58,120 --> 00:13:00,880
Speaker 1: got Penn State versus Oregon for the Big Ten Championship.

264
00:13:01,160 --> 00:13:03,600
Speaker 1: And I've got Penn State over Oregon for the Big

265
00:13:03,600 --> 00:13:07,840
Speaker 1: Ten Championship. So James Franklin taking home the Big Ten crown.

266
00:13:08,559 --> 00:13:12,359
Speaker 1: That gets them easily a top four seed in the playoffs,

267
00:13:12,559 --> 00:13:15,800
Speaker 1: so they'll have a first round by and the runway

268
00:13:15,840 --> 00:13:18,040
Speaker 1: will be set up for him. Oregon's probably in the

269
00:13:18,040 --> 00:13:20,880
Speaker 1: playoff too, just you know, not in that one seed,

270
00:13:20,880 --> 00:13:23,280
Speaker 1: which didn't do them any favors last year anyway, So whatever,

271
00:13:23,440 --> 00:13:25,640
Speaker 1: But I got Penn State over Oregon. I think it's

272
00:13:25,640 --> 00:13:28,000
Speaker 1: a rematch of the regular season. Ohio State's very much

273
00:13:28,000 --> 00:13:30,800
Speaker 1: in this. I'm not down on them. I think it

274
00:13:30,840 --> 00:13:33,160
Speaker 1: actually may come down to tiebreaker that decides who goes.

275
00:13:33,480 --> 00:13:35,880
Speaker 1: And my sleeper in this conference that I didn't really

276
00:13:35,880 --> 00:13:38,440
Speaker 1: talk about. Michigan State, I think is a much better

277
00:13:38,480 --> 00:13:41,880
Speaker 1: team than the market will give them credit for. I

278
00:13:41,920 --> 00:13:43,920
Speaker 1: think they're the kind of team since they play all

279
00:13:43,920 --> 00:13:47,800
Speaker 1: the contenders basically that bites one of them, but themselves

280
00:13:47,880 --> 00:13:51,040
Speaker 1: does not have the consistency and performance to compete for

281
00:13:51,040 --> 00:13:53,480
Speaker 1: the league title this year. Just keep an eye on them,

282
00:13:53,520 --> 00:13:56,200
Speaker 1: you know, kind of like a pest. This keeps buzzing

283
00:13:56,200 --> 00:13:58,120
Speaker 1: in your ear. That's Michigan State to me. This year

284
00:13:59,240 --> 00:14:01,200
Speaker 1: will probably be on the road to see some of

285
00:14:01,240 --> 00:14:03,160
Speaker 1: these teams and it will be thanks to Quick Trip.

286
00:14:03,200 --> 00:14:05,400
Speaker 1: We appreciate them. You know, we got a little announcement

287
00:14:05,440 --> 00:14:07,960
Speaker 1: coming up later in the show. We're going to announce

288
00:14:08,000 --> 00:14:11,040
Speaker 1: the tour destination this year. We're going to announce the

289
00:14:11,040 --> 00:14:14,240
Speaker 1: Week one destination and just flat out announce the tour name.

290
00:14:14,400 --> 00:14:16,760
Speaker 1: This year, It's a big night on campus here at

291
00:14:16,800 --> 00:14:19,080
Speaker 1: Peyton State. That's why I'm trying to have a little

292
00:14:19,120 --> 00:14:23,960
Speaker 1: tempo about my voice. But Quick Trip fueling us, partnering

293
00:14:23,960 --> 00:14:28,720
Speaker 1: with us, loving us, caring for us, understanding us. I

294
00:14:28,960 --> 00:14:32,080
Speaker 1: just got a text which this is a complete breach

295
00:14:32,120 --> 00:14:37,000
Speaker 1: of confidentiality. It probably violates the agreement that we have

296
00:14:37,120 --> 00:14:40,160
Speaker 1: with them. This is a text from one of our

297
00:14:40,200 --> 00:14:42,920
Speaker 1: close good friends at Quick Trip. I'm on the record

298
00:14:42,920 --> 00:14:44,880
Speaker 1: as saying Farm and Eddon should only be played in

299
00:14:44,880 --> 00:14:47,480
Speaker 1: states that have breakfast pizza. With that being said, welcome

300
00:14:47,480 --> 00:14:51,320
Speaker 1: back college football. What are your thoughts? How do you

301
00:14:51,360 --> 00:14:53,720
Speaker 1: not get romantic about Quick Trip? Oh? By the way,

302
00:14:53,720 --> 00:14:58,600
Speaker 1: colbron tap very very very fairly priced fuel out front

303
00:14:58,840 --> 00:15:02,000
Speaker 1: Quick Trip. There's a re that we committed to them,

304
00:15:02,160 --> 00:15:04,520
Speaker 1: and there's a reason that they are the fuel provider

305
00:15:04,560 --> 00:15:10,720
Speaker 1: for the fall tour. Thank you, Quick Trip. Let's move on.

306
00:15:11,560 --> 00:15:14,960
Speaker 1: In case you didn't notice its prediction night around here,

307
00:15:16,920 --> 00:15:19,880
Speaker 1: it's time to predict the SEC. Let's not waste any

308
00:15:19,920 --> 00:15:22,320
Speaker 1: more time, all right, Alabama and Georgia have won this

309
00:15:22,400 --> 00:15:24,880
Speaker 1: thing ten of the last eleven years. Let me repeat

310
00:15:25,080 --> 00:15:26,600
Speaker 1: for the people that think this is like the most

311
00:15:26,640 --> 00:15:29,840
Speaker 1: competitively balanced league in America, Bama and Georgia have won

312
00:15:29,840 --> 00:15:33,000
Speaker 1: this thing ten out of the last eleven years, LSU

313
00:15:33,040 --> 00:15:38,760
Speaker 1: twenty nineteen being the exception. So when people have chanted SEC,

314
00:15:39,320 --> 00:15:42,760
Speaker 1: they should have just chanted Uga or Bama because that's

315
00:15:42,840 --> 00:15:45,960
Speaker 1: really been the standard bearer. However, Texas is favored to

316
00:15:45,960 --> 00:15:48,600
Speaker 1: win the league. Texas is number one in the JP Pole.

317
00:15:48,760 --> 00:15:51,280
Speaker 1: Texas is number one in the APE Pole. We're gonna

318
00:15:51,320 --> 00:15:54,680
Speaker 1: go ahead and play the season anyway. But Sark, they

319
00:15:54,720 --> 00:15:56,920
Speaker 1: got Texas in a really good spot here. I have

320
00:15:57,160 --> 00:16:01,280
Speaker 1: never seen depth of contention like this, Bradley, keep this

321
00:16:01,360 --> 00:16:03,640
Speaker 1: up for a second, immunity. So if you look at

322
00:16:03,800 --> 00:16:07,040
Speaker 1: the odds to win this league, people have always said,

323
00:16:07,080 --> 00:16:10,080
Speaker 1: the SEC is deep. What they've meant by that is

324
00:16:10,760 --> 00:16:13,040
Speaker 1: the number one team when they go play the number

325
00:16:13,080 --> 00:16:16,240
Speaker 1: eight or nine team, that's a tougher opponent than the

326
00:16:16,320 --> 00:16:19,640
Speaker 1: eight or the nine in the Big Ten or the ACC. Like,

327
00:16:19,760 --> 00:16:22,960
Speaker 1: there's quality of competition, but there has not been depth

328
00:16:23,040 --> 00:16:27,160
Speaker 1: of contention. Depth of contention has been void because there's

329
00:16:27,160 --> 00:16:29,600
Speaker 1: been an alpha or maybe a one to a one B.

330
00:16:29,840 --> 00:16:33,160
Speaker 1: It's normally been Bama or Georgia or in twenty nineteen LSU,

331
00:16:33,480 --> 00:16:35,960
Speaker 1: and you've known there's no way the number six team

332
00:16:36,000 --> 00:16:37,760
Speaker 1: in this league is going to beat that number one

333
00:16:38,120 --> 00:16:42,280
Speaker 1: for the SEC championship. This year is different, I promise

334
00:16:42,360 --> 00:16:44,320
Speaker 1: you I've not seen it like this. This is a

335
00:16:44,400 --> 00:16:47,120
Speaker 1: year where Texas is favored to win it. But if

336
00:16:47,160 --> 00:16:48,960
Speaker 1: you go number two, number three, number four, number five,

337
00:16:49,000 --> 00:16:51,200
Speaker 1: number six, number seven is old Miss, I can make

338
00:16:51,240 --> 00:16:54,000
Speaker 1: a case for him. Oklahoma's number nine. I got them

339
00:16:54,040 --> 00:16:56,240
Speaker 1: top ten in my Japeople, so you know, goodwill, I

340
00:16:56,240 --> 00:16:59,320
Speaker 1: could make a case for Oklahoma. South Carolina's down there

341
00:16:59,360 --> 00:17:02,840
Speaker 1: at eleven, and they may have the best offensive and

342
00:17:02,920 --> 00:17:05,560
Speaker 1: defensive player in the league by the end of the year.

343
00:17:05,840 --> 00:17:09,199
Speaker 1: So the depth of contention, the amount of teams that

344
00:17:09,240 --> 00:17:12,440
Speaker 1: can legitimately win this conference. I've never seen it this deep.

345
00:17:12,760 --> 00:17:16,760
Speaker 1: I don't know that Memo ever saw it that competitively deep.

346
00:17:16,800 --> 00:17:21,480
Speaker 1: So the separation or the cannibalization, that's the theme in

347
00:17:21,520 --> 00:17:23,920
Speaker 1: this league this year and every year. Do we have

348
00:17:23,960 --> 00:17:27,600
Speaker 1: a situation where by week eight you look at me

349
00:17:27,640 --> 00:17:29,160
Speaker 1: and I look at you and say, dude, no one's

350
00:17:29,160 --> 00:17:33,040
Speaker 1: beaten Georgia, no one's beaten Bama, no one's beaten Texas,

351
00:17:33,560 --> 00:17:37,640
Speaker 1: or they're on a collision course. But outside of those

352
00:17:37,680 --> 00:17:40,680
Speaker 1: two teams, no one's going to touch them. I don't

353
00:17:40,680 --> 00:17:42,800
Speaker 1: think it's going to be like that. I think it's

354
00:17:42,840 --> 00:17:48,040
Speaker 1: going to be another cannibalization special. However, we do reserve

355
00:17:48,080 --> 00:17:49,960
Speaker 1: the right to watch the games and change our minds.

356
00:17:49,960 --> 00:17:52,720
Speaker 1: You've got Hugh Freeze got to get it done this year.

357
00:17:52,760 --> 00:17:55,159
Speaker 1: Brent Venable's got to get it done this year. I'm

358
00:17:55,200 --> 00:17:57,560
Speaker 1: going to talk about Brian Kelly in a second. He's

359
00:17:57,640 --> 00:17:59,239
Speaker 1: kind of got to get it done this year. But

360
00:17:59,320 --> 00:18:01,480
Speaker 1: it is in a little bit different footing than the

361
00:18:01,480 --> 00:18:03,320
Speaker 1: other two. So here's some things I think I know

362
00:18:03,359 --> 00:18:07,280
Speaker 1: about the SEC. I think I know Georgia's offensive line

363
00:18:07,320 --> 00:18:10,600
Speaker 1: is the most important unit in this entire league, because

364
00:18:10,640 --> 00:18:14,040
Speaker 1: if Georgia's offensive line is frankly what they think it is,

365
00:18:14,880 --> 00:18:19,000
Speaker 1: Georgia should be priced to win the league. I think

366
00:18:19,040 --> 00:18:20,840
Speaker 1: it would be fair to favor them to win the

367
00:18:20,920 --> 00:18:23,760
Speaker 1: league if their offensive line is back to being dominant,

368
00:18:24,000 --> 00:18:26,000
Speaker 1: if it's back to being a plus unit. It was

369
00:18:26,040 --> 00:18:29,359
Speaker 1: not last year. And yet they trusted their development, they

370
00:18:29,400 --> 00:18:32,480
Speaker 1: trusted their personnel, they trusted their philosophy. They did not

371
00:18:32,560 --> 00:18:35,400
Speaker 1: freak out and go attack the transfer portal. They did

372
00:18:35,400 --> 00:18:37,800
Speaker 1: it at wide receiver, they did not do that at

373
00:18:37,840 --> 00:18:40,600
Speaker 1: offensive line. And the stuff that I'm hearing out of

374
00:18:40,600 --> 00:18:43,760
Speaker 1: fall camp is good. We got to wait and see,

375
00:18:43,800 --> 00:18:47,720
Speaker 1: but it's good. I did not believe that they struggle

376
00:18:47,800 --> 00:18:50,440
Speaker 1: two years in a row to that degree. But if

377
00:18:50,480 --> 00:18:53,840
Speaker 1: that is the case, think about what they can do philosophically.

378
00:18:54,240 --> 00:18:57,040
Speaker 1: And they play Bama at home, they play they play

379
00:18:57,119 --> 00:18:59,600
Speaker 1: Texas at home, they play Ole Miss at home, they

380
00:18:59,640 --> 00:19:02,720
Speaker 1: play Florida and Jacksonville. If they just lean on teams,

381
00:19:03,200 --> 00:19:05,080
Speaker 1: if they can take over games like, if they can

382
00:19:05,080 --> 00:19:08,320
Speaker 1: play complementary the way they want to, not only does

383
00:19:08,320 --> 00:19:10,439
Speaker 1: it impact them, it impacts the entire league race. If

384
00:19:10,480 --> 00:19:14,640
Speaker 1: George is not that, if that offensive line is just average, well,

385
00:19:14,680 --> 00:19:18,520
Speaker 1: then you're putting a new quarterback in an unwinnable situation.

386
00:19:19,080 --> 00:19:22,760
Speaker 1: It probably never allows your ground game to make way

387
00:19:23,080 --> 00:19:26,960
Speaker 1: for balance offensively, which means that wide receiver room you're

388
00:19:27,000 --> 00:19:29,640
Speaker 1: so excited about doesn't ever pan out, and your number

389
00:19:29,680 --> 00:19:32,000
Speaker 1: one receiver's got like six hundred and seventy yards at

390
00:19:32,040 --> 00:19:34,040
Speaker 1: the end of the year, and you're asking how that

391
00:19:34,119 --> 00:19:37,800
Speaker 1: offensive line at Georgia predicates a lot of how the

392
00:19:37,800 --> 00:19:40,199
Speaker 1: rest of this conference will play out. I think I

393
00:19:40,280 --> 00:19:43,000
Speaker 1: know there's minimal separation between Tier one and Tier two,

394
00:19:44,000 --> 00:19:46,680
Speaker 1: and that's very abnormal because, as I said a second ago,

395
00:19:46,760 --> 00:19:49,400
Speaker 1: I won't belabor this point a whole lot. Normally there

396
00:19:49,440 --> 00:19:53,720
Speaker 1: is separation in the SEC. Normally you've got historically, like

397
00:19:53,800 --> 00:19:56,879
Speaker 1: under sab and it would be Bama and sometimes no

398
00:19:56,920 --> 00:19:59,320
Speaker 1: one else, or if it was someone else, it would

399
00:19:59,320 --> 00:20:04,120
Speaker 1: be Georgia and then LSU occasionally pops up. But there

400
00:20:04,200 --> 00:20:07,919
Speaker 1: was separation, and for Alabama to lose like it was,

401
00:20:08,160 --> 00:20:11,119
Speaker 1: it grabbed the nation's attention when they lost. There is

402
00:20:11,240 --> 00:20:14,359
Speaker 1: no upset in this league this year, featuring those top

403
00:20:14,920 --> 00:20:18,760
Speaker 1: ten or eleven teams that's going to turn people's heads

404
00:20:18,760 --> 00:20:21,880
Speaker 1: three hundred and sixty degrees on their shoulders, or if

405
00:20:21,880 --> 00:20:24,560
Speaker 1: that does happen, you just hadn't been paying attention. Because

406
00:20:24,640 --> 00:20:28,439
Speaker 1: the competitive depth in this league is, or the competitive

407
00:20:28,560 --> 00:20:30,840
Speaker 1: balance I guess in the league is unlike anything I've

408
00:20:30,840 --> 00:20:34,240
Speaker 1: ever seen. Third thing, I think I know, I'm going

409
00:20:34,280 --> 00:20:37,399
Speaker 1: to pop the paper on this. I think I know

410
00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:39,840
Speaker 1: either Oklahoma or Florida will make the playoff. And I

411
00:20:39,880 --> 00:20:42,679
Speaker 1: think you're laughing at me, which I've asked you not

412
00:20:42,760 --> 00:20:47,200
Speaker 1: to do, especially if you're around other people. But judging

413
00:20:47,240 --> 00:20:51,240
Speaker 1: by the interactions I've had at my local gym, I

414
00:20:51,280 --> 00:20:54,640
Speaker 1: am somewhat on an island with this. But that's okay.

415
00:20:55,000 --> 00:20:57,919
Speaker 1: That's island living is some of the best living. Just

416
00:20:58,000 --> 00:21:01,600
Speaker 1: as the late Jimmy Buffett, Florida and Oklahoma I both

417
00:21:01,640 --> 00:21:04,320
Speaker 1: have power rated as top ten teams. They both have

418
00:21:04,359 --> 00:21:07,240
Speaker 1: incredibly difficult schedules. I believe at least one of them

419
00:21:07,280 --> 00:21:10,040
Speaker 1: will pierce through. I believe that either one of them

420
00:21:10,080 --> 00:21:12,480
Speaker 1: is in at nine to three, so you can lose

421
00:21:12,480 --> 00:21:14,600
Speaker 1: a quarter of your games, and as long as you're

422
00:21:14,640 --> 00:21:16,639
Speaker 1: there at the end of the year, I think they're

423
00:21:16,640 --> 00:21:18,000
Speaker 1: going to put you in. I think one of them

424
00:21:18,040 --> 00:21:21,840
Speaker 1: will be in there. I think that Oklahoma, for example,

425
00:21:21,840 --> 00:21:25,240
Speaker 1: plays LSU last game of the year. That transitions me

426
00:21:25,280 --> 00:21:27,480
Speaker 1: to my next thing. I think, I know. I think

427
00:21:27,520 --> 00:21:30,040
Speaker 1: Brian Kelly will be the most talked about coach in

428
00:21:30,040 --> 00:21:33,520
Speaker 1: this league this year. I think Brian Kelly will be

429
00:21:33,560 --> 00:21:36,680
Speaker 1: the most talked about head coach in the SEC because

430
00:21:36,720 --> 00:21:39,760
Speaker 1: they are in a position where they should compete for

431
00:21:39,800 --> 00:21:43,160
Speaker 1: the SEC championship. They should be a prime playoff team.

432
00:21:43,560 --> 00:21:47,040
Speaker 1: They should be. They reconstructed their roster through the portal

433
00:21:47,080 --> 00:21:51,000
Speaker 1: about as effectively as anyone in the country. It's LSU already,

434
00:21:51,080 --> 00:21:54,240
Speaker 1: so they weren't without pieces. It wasn't a poverty program,

435
00:21:54,440 --> 00:21:57,199
Speaker 1: but they had backslid a little bit. Now, you know,

436
00:21:57,240 --> 00:21:59,960
Speaker 1: if you watch this show, I could not endorse any more.

437
00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:03,080
Speaker 1: Only the defensive hires they made last year. This is

438
00:22:03,119 --> 00:22:06,280
Speaker 1: the second year with Blake Baker defensive coordinator. I expect

439
00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:09,439
Speaker 1: quantum leaps of improvement there. You've got a returning quarterback

440
00:22:09,440 --> 00:22:13,080
Speaker 1: in Garrettnusmeyer. They believe they filled the holes, but they

441
00:22:13,160 --> 00:22:15,399
Speaker 1: better be right because this is not a team that

442
00:22:15,440 --> 00:22:18,800
Speaker 1: has started hot. And they play Clemson, Florida, Ole, Miss,

443
00:22:18,840 --> 00:22:21,880
Speaker 1: South Carolina at Vanderbilt, and Texas A and M before Halloween.

444
00:22:22,280 --> 00:22:25,000
Speaker 1: So they've got several Losable games before Halloween. They got

445
00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:29,080
Speaker 1: the Bama game after that, and Brian Kelly is in

446
00:22:29,119 --> 00:22:31,399
Speaker 1: the most unique kind of pressure spot. It's not like

447
00:22:31,480 --> 00:22:34,560
Speaker 1: Hugh Freeze. It's not like Brenton Venables, like they haven't

448
00:22:34,600 --> 00:22:37,080
Speaker 1: fallen off some cliff or anything like that. But it's

449
00:22:37,200 --> 00:22:41,679
Speaker 1: LSU and there's no yeah. But sometimes teams struggle and

450
00:22:41,720 --> 00:22:44,000
Speaker 1: it's like, yeah, but you don't know about the limitation

451
00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:46,359
Speaker 1: we've been dealing with. There's nothing like that. There's not

452
00:22:46,400 --> 00:22:51,119
Speaker 1: like they're recovering from crippling NCAA sanctions. Any sanction LSU

453
00:22:51,200 --> 00:22:55,080
Speaker 1: suffered from they self imposed, by poor hiring or by

454
00:22:55,119 --> 00:22:58,280
Speaker 1: poor development. So like, I think they corrected all that.

455
00:23:00,080 --> 00:23:04,080
Speaker 1: But here's the follow up. I'm right. I know I'm

456
00:23:04,160 --> 00:23:06,359
Speaker 1: right when I say they corrected, and that means a

457
00:23:06,440 --> 00:23:08,920
Speaker 1: lot of that staff they're really good, and that front

458
00:23:09,000 --> 00:23:11,439
Speaker 1: office is really good and people down there know it.

459
00:23:12,600 --> 00:23:15,360
Speaker 1: So if you turn in another eight and four year,

460
00:23:18,400 --> 00:23:20,560
Speaker 1: I think there's the kind of pressure that people look

461
00:23:20,600 --> 00:23:25,200
Speaker 1: at you and say, this program entirely is not the problem.

462
00:23:25,760 --> 00:23:28,639
Speaker 1: We think we've identified the problem. Maybe it's just you.

463
00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:33,480
Speaker 1: Is that fair? Maybe maybe not, But that's a unique

464
00:23:33,560 --> 00:23:35,919
Speaker 1: kind of pressure. That I don't think anyone else in

465
00:23:35,920 --> 00:23:39,040
Speaker 1: this league is under now. If it goes sideways, he'll

466
00:23:39,040 --> 00:23:41,440
Speaker 1: be talked about every week. What if they go pop

467
00:23:41,480 --> 00:23:44,160
Speaker 1: Clemson thirty to seventeen in Week one and they get

468
00:23:44,160 --> 00:23:45,960
Speaker 1: off to a hot start and they're like a one

469
00:23:46,040 --> 00:23:49,640
Speaker 1: lost team headed into Tuscaloosa in November, then Brian Kelly

470
00:23:49,760 --> 00:23:51,720
Speaker 1: is the talk of the league as well, for much

471
00:23:51,760 --> 00:23:54,520
Speaker 1: different reasons. So this is not a glass half empty thing.

472
00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:57,680
Speaker 1: No matter how full of the glass is. Brian Kelly

473
00:23:57,680 --> 00:23:59,680
Speaker 1: will be talked about all year long. And they play

474
00:24:00,040 --> 00:24:02,880
Speaker 1: lay competition all year long. There's not like a four

475
00:24:02,920 --> 00:24:05,679
Speaker 1: week stretch where they disappear from the public eye. So

476
00:24:05,800 --> 00:24:07,960
Speaker 1: and Brian Kelly and LSU will be in the spotlight.

477
00:24:08,160 --> 00:24:10,640
Speaker 1: They're expected to do big things and if they do,

478
00:24:10,800 --> 00:24:13,880
Speaker 1: it will validate Brian Kelly's existence as the LSU head coach.

479
00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:16,160
Speaker 1: And if they don't, then it will validate people who

480
00:24:16,200 --> 00:24:18,560
Speaker 1: think he's a fraud. No matter what, he's going to

481
00:24:18,600 --> 00:24:20,520
Speaker 1: be talked about a lot. The fifth thing I think

482
00:24:20,560 --> 00:24:24,359
Speaker 1: I know is Texas A and m versus Texas at

483
00:24:24,400 --> 00:24:26,560
Speaker 1: the very end of the year. The implications on that

484
00:24:26,640 --> 00:24:28,800
Speaker 1: game will be as big or bigger than they were

485
00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:31,399
Speaker 1: last year. I think this has been memory hold a

486
00:24:31,440 --> 00:24:33,960
Speaker 1: little bit because I don't think most of the college

487
00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:36,360
Speaker 1: football public remembers how big this game was. Last year

488
00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:39,240
Speaker 1: Texas went and won. It was sort of a boring game,

489
00:24:39,280 --> 00:24:42,520
Speaker 1: and people have forgotten how it went. Texas versus Texas

490
00:24:42,560 --> 00:24:45,560
Speaker 1: A and M was played with a trip to Atlanta

491
00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:50,760
Speaker 1: on the line, and the team that goes to Atlanta

492
00:24:50,880 --> 00:24:53,080
Speaker 1: is gonna be in the playoff. A and M was

493
00:24:53,119 --> 00:24:55,640
Speaker 1: that close to being a playoff team last year. Texas

494
00:24:56,280 --> 00:24:58,440
Speaker 1: was a playoff team last year, even though they lost

495
00:24:58,440 --> 00:25:01,520
Speaker 1: in Atlanta. So my point is, I believe this game

496
00:25:01,560 --> 00:25:05,919
Speaker 1: will be as high leverage a game, as implication ridden

497
00:25:06,040 --> 00:25:08,399
Speaker 1: a game this year as it was last year. You

498
00:25:08,400 --> 00:25:11,280
Speaker 1: don't have any problem believing that about Texas. I am

499
00:25:11,320 --> 00:25:13,400
Speaker 1: telling you I believe it about Texas A and M

500
00:25:13,680 --> 00:25:17,440
Speaker 1: as well. Some of my favorite win totals. Let's see

501
00:25:17,560 --> 00:25:20,600
Speaker 1: one too. Yeah, I've bet all these two to carry over.

502
00:25:20,640 --> 00:25:23,119
Speaker 1: We're just talking about him here. I got Texas A

503
00:25:23,160 --> 00:25:25,920
Speaker 1: and M over seven and a half. You talk about

504
00:25:25,960 --> 00:25:28,960
Speaker 1: market inefficiencies, that's really what you're looking for in win totals.

505
00:25:29,600 --> 00:25:32,320
Speaker 1: I think the market is failing to identify the skill

506
00:25:32,400 --> 00:25:36,199
Speaker 1: level overlapping with identity factor. Here, the market is not

507
00:25:36,320 --> 00:25:38,880
Speaker 1: failing to know the players. Texas A and M has

508
00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:43,199
Speaker 1: all of that's always priced in the skill set. The

509
00:25:43,320 --> 00:25:46,720
Speaker 1: talent profile of the team, overlapping with what I believe

510
00:25:46,720 --> 00:25:50,320
Speaker 1: their identity will be is such that I believe they'll

511
00:25:50,359 --> 00:25:52,320
Speaker 1: go over seven and a half. I think they'll go

512
00:25:52,400 --> 00:25:54,399
Speaker 1: over seven and a half, to the point where again

513
00:25:54,480 --> 00:25:56,840
Speaker 1: that last week in the season they are in a

514
00:25:56,840 --> 00:26:01,080
Speaker 1: position to beat Texas and go to Atlanta, beat Texas

515
00:26:01,119 --> 00:26:03,840
Speaker 1: and be a playoff team. So clearly I think their

516
00:26:04,160 --> 00:26:06,000
Speaker 1: quality is going to be over seven and a half.

517
00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:07,960
Speaker 1: I think Florida is going to be over seven and

518
00:26:08,000 --> 00:26:10,240
Speaker 1: a half. Now, this is where you can't get it

519
00:26:10,280 --> 00:26:13,680
Speaker 1: out of your mouth before people say, oh, the schedule though, guys,

520
00:26:13,720 --> 00:26:16,879
Speaker 1: I know what the schedule is so today, that's why

521
00:26:17,400 --> 00:26:20,240
Speaker 1: they are an over under seven and a half win team.

522
00:26:20,480 --> 00:26:23,840
Speaker 1: And yet, forget about my power ratings. I could call

523
00:26:23,920 --> 00:26:26,000
Speaker 1: FanDuel up right now. I think you guys will be

524
00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:28,640
Speaker 1: a little surprised how high they are on Florida. Who

525
00:26:28,800 --> 00:26:31,639
Speaker 1: Maybe we'll have that conversation in the not too distant future.

526
00:26:32,119 --> 00:26:35,080
Speaker 1: I am betting they're good enough to drill. They are

527
00:26:35,119 --> 00:26:38,800
Speaker 1: Bruce Willis and armagedin. You're on an asteroid. It's iron fairright,

528
00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:42,320
Speaker 1: it doesn't matter because you're the best driller in the country,

529
00:26:42,640 --> 00:26:45,320
Speaker 1: and you may break a drill head or two. You

530
00:26:45,320 --> 00:26:48,800
Speaker 1: may lose Max off into space and Steve BESHEMI may

531
00:26:48,800 --> 00:26:52,240
Speaker 1: go crazy, but in the end, you drill to eight

532
00:26:52,359 --> 00:26:55,480
Speaker 1: hundred feet. In this case, eight hundred feet is nine

533
00:26:55,560 --> 00:26:58,080
Speaker 1: and three, and I think they can drill to nine

534
00:26:58,119 --> 00:27:00,800
Speaker 1: and three and be a playoff contender. Therefore, I think

535
00:27:00,800 --> 00:27:05,160
Speaker 1: they're going over seven and a half wins DJ Lagway,

536
00:27:05,320 --> 00:27:08,280
Speaker 1: I want to stress is the key to all this happening,

537
00:27:08,320 --> 00:27:10,000
Speaker 1: because he needs to be healthy. There has to be

538
00:27:10,040 --> 00:27:12,840
Speaker 1: an under here. I can't just do overs. It's not Christmas.

539
00:27:12,880 --> 00:27:15,040
Speaker 1: We can't just hand out presents. And I regret to

540
00:27:15,080 --> 00:27:17,679
Speaker 1: inform you. And if you know this show, you know

541
00:27:17,720 --> 00:27:20,440
Speaker 1: that this actually does pain me that I'm going under

542
00:27:20,440 --> 00:27:24,800
Speaker 1: five and a half on Arkansas. This sucks. They are

543
00:27:24,840 --> 00:27:29,080
Speaker 1: the number three strength of schedule according to US. Here's

544
00:27:29,080 --> 00:27:31,640
Speaker 1: my philosophy on this. I think that over under five

545
00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:34,800
Speaker 1: and a half is the proper number in the market.

546
00:27:34,920 --> 00:27:36,680
Speaker 1: God they got Taylor Green. I mean they could just

547
00:27:36,720 --> 00:27:39,960
Speaker 1: surprise people and win eight games, So that's baked into

548
00:27:40,000 --> 00:27:44,320
Speaker 1: the possible variance and outcome. Here's my problem. I don't

549
00:27:44,320 --> 00:27:46,480
Speaker 1: think they're going to have a good year. And if

550
00:27:46,520 --> 00:27:51,320
Speaker 1: they don't, you get to the middle of November, even

551
00:27:51,359 --> 00:27:55,360
Speaker 1: early November, if it's already gone wrong. They got Mississippi

552
00:27:55,400 --> 00:27:59,359
Speaker 1: State at LSU at Texas A and m Missouri, And

553
00:27:59,400 --> 00:28:04,040
Speaker 1: if it's already gone wrong, my concern is they are

554
00:28:04,080 --> 00:28:07,760
Speaker 1: not playing at their maximum potential. Like the over under

555
00:28:07,760 --> 00:28:11,520
Speaker 1: being five and a half is basically modeling a season

556
00:28:11,560 --> 00:28:15,240
Speaker 1: out where you get Arkansas all in in performance every

557
00:28:15,240 --> 00:28:19,840
Speaker 1: week because you can't forecast injuries and you can't forecast

558
00:28:19,880 --> 00:28:23,199
Speaker 1: a team kind of mailing in a season. And my

559
00:28:23,320 --> 00:28:26,840
Speaker 1: concern is if they know, hey man, we're struggling, we

560
00:28:26,880 --> 00:28:29,160
Speaker 1: may not even make a bowl. I just worry about

561
00:28:29,160 --> 00:28:31,160
Speaker 1: the last month of the season because there's a world

562
00:28:31,240 --> 00:28:34,960
Speaker 1: where it tails off pretty precipitously and like, yeah, you're

563
00:28:35,000 --> 00:28:37,960
Speaker 1: gonna lose at LSU in Texas. People expect that anyway.

564
00:28:38,200 --> 00:28:39,920
Speaker 1: But if Missouri comes in there and pops you at

565
00:28:39,920 --> 00:28:41,360
Speaker 1: the end of the year, I'll give you one worse.

566
00:28:41,920 --> 00:28:44,800
Speaker 1: Mississippi State needs a Super Bowl game this year. Somewhere,

567
00:28:45,320 --> 00:28:49,400
Speaker 1: and you may be the one conference game that Mississippi State,

568
00:28:49,440 --> 00:28:51,440
Speaker 1: who hasn't mailed in the season, kind of finds a

569
00:28:51,440 --> 00:28:54,240
Speaker 1: way to get it. Sounds like I'm incredibly down on Arkansas,

570
00:28:54,280 --> 00:28:56,440
Speaker 1: not as a brand, but as a team this year.

571
00:28:56,480 --> 00:28:58,320
Speaker 1: If it goes sideways, I think the under five and

572
00:28:58,360 --> 00:29:00,320
Speaker 1: a half is the play because I worry about how

573
00:29:00,360 --> 00:29:02,760
Speaker 1: sideways it could go. And then we have a whole

574
00:29:02,760 --> 00:29:06,480
Speaker 1: other uncomfortable conversation. All right, let's pick this league title game.

575
00:29:07,080 --> 00:29:09,920
Speaker 1: I have been to every one of these places just

576
00:29:09,960 --> 00:29:13,400
Speaker 1: about either in the spring or throughout fall camp. So

577
00:29:13,960 --> 00:29:16,320
Speaker 1: I feel good about my read on the league, which

578
00:29:16,360 --> 00:29:18,600
Speaker 1: of course means that all of these predictions could flame

579
00:29:18,600 --> 00:29:22,080
Speaker 1: out fantastically. Give me teams that don't play in the

580
00:29:22,120 --> 00:29:26,160
Speaker 1: regular season. Alabama versus Texas in the conference title game,

581
00:29:26,720 --> 00:29:29,720
Speaker 1: and I've got Kaylen de Bor versus Steve Sarkisian here,

582
00:29:30,120 --> 00:29:32,800
Speaker 1: and I think we need to remember that Kayln de

583
00:29:32,880 --> 00:29:36,200
Speaker 1: Bor against the combination of Steve Sarkisian and Kirby Smart

584
00:29:36,240 --> 00:29:39,000
Speaker 1: and Dan Lanning now sitting at six and oh so

585
00:29:39,200 --> 00:29:41,960
Speaker 1: they have yet to beat him. And that was at

586
00:29:42,200 --> 00:29:45,480
Speaker 1: Washington and then one game against Kirby last year at Alabama.

587
00:29:45,560 --> 00:29:49,720
Speaker 1: My point being, Alabama's going to be good, and I

588
00:29:49,760 --> 00:29:53,520
Speaker 1: got to see him in person yesterday. Texas I've seen

589
00:29:53,600 --> 00:29:56,240
Speaker 1: this year. Like both of these teams, I think when

590
00:29:56,240 --> 00:29:58,480
Speaker 1: the dust settles, will be the best teams in the league.

591
00:29:59,080 --> 00:30:03,160
Speaker 1: Gimme Alabama over Texas for the SEC Championship. And I'm

592
00:30:03,200 --> 00:30:06,240
Speaker 1: not saying they've been slept on. I have just been

593
00:30:06,320 --> 00:30:09,400
Speaker 1: a little caught off guard by relative to some of

594
00:30:09,440 --> 00:30:12,720
Speaker 1: these other teams here how little they've been talked about. Again,

595
00:30:12,880 --> 00:30:17,280
Speaker 1: they've been talked about. I'm not quite sure people understand

596
00:30:17,280 --> 00:30:19,680
Speaker 1: how complimentary that team can be. I'm not quite sure

597
00:30:19,720 --> 00:30:23,440
Speaker 1: people understand how dynamic the team is, meaning they can

598
00:30:23,480 --> 00:30:25,880
Speaker 1: win a lot of different ways. Texas can do that

599
00:30:25,920 --> 00:30:28,600
Speaker 1: as well. That's why I have them facing off. I

600
00:30:28,640 --> 00:30:31,640
Speaker 1: got Georgia right in the mix for that thing. I'm

601
00:30:31,720 --> 00:30:35,760
Speaker 1: slightly down on LSU relative to the rest of the market.

602
00:30:36,040 --> 00:30:38,120
Speaker 1: I'm Texas A and m I'm in on. I just

603
00:30:38,160 --> 00:30:39,960
Speaker 1: give the edge to Texas at the end of the year.

604
00:30:40,960 --> 00:30:44,200
Speaker 1: I'm trying to think. I mean Florida schedule, I think

605
00:30:44,200 --> 00:30:46,760
Speaker 1: they're in it, though, OHU schedule, I think they're in it.

606
00:30:46,840 --> 00:30:50,720
Speaker 1: South Carolina, like I said, the one thing that I question,

607
00:30:51,040 --> 00:30:53,200
Speaker 1: and the South Carolina folks are confident in the wide

608
00:30:53,240 --> 00:30:56,560
Speaker 1: receiver room. I've still got to see the wide receiver room.

609
00:30:57,120 --> 00:30:59,360
Speaker 1: So if that's there, then South Carolina can make a

610
00:30:59,360 --> 00:31:00,640
Speaker 1: lot of noise this year as well. But give me

611
00:31:00,680 --> 00:31:06,200
Speaker 1: Alabama over Texas for the SEC Championship. You know what's

612
00:31:06,280 --> 00:31:09,760
Speaker 1: terrible right now is we've got like an hour of

613
00:31:09,840 --> 00:31:14,080
Speaker 1: show left and I like badly need a bathroom break. Well,

614
00:31:14,080 --> 00:31:16,360
Speaker 1: we got to push through. I'm not wearing dark pants either, Bradley,

615
00:31:16,560 --> 00:31:22,120
Speaker 1: so waste up. We do not play favorites on this show.

616
00:31:22,120 --> 00:31:24,120
Speaker 1: That's a lie. We do it all the time. But

617
00:31:24,200 --> 00:31:26,600
Speaker 1: we randomly drew the order we were gonna go in tonight.

618
00:31:26,720 --> 00:31:29,120
Speaker 1: No one's gonna believe that because there are some harsh

619
00:31:29,160 --> 00:31:33,120
Speaker 1: accusations that fly around about pet State here and which

620
00:31:33,200 --> 00:31:36,440
Speaker 1: conferences get preferable treatment. But this is how the this

621
00:31:36,480 --> 00:31:40,840
Speaker 1: is how the straws were drawn. Acc prediction time. Let's

622
00:31:40,840 --> 00:31:45,200
Speaker 1: set the table here, shall we. We've got two playoff

623
00:31:45,200 --> 00:31:47,760
Speaker 1: teams from this league last year. Do we think they

624
00:31:47,800 --> 00:31:50,840
Speaker 1: get two in again this year? Do we think that

625
00:31:51,080 --> 00:31:54,440
Speaker 1: SMU being smoked by Penn State will factor into the

626
00:31:54,480 --> 00:31:57,920
Speaker 1: committee's decision making it shouldn't. Do we think it will?

627
00:31:58,760 --> 00:32:02,160
Speaker 1: Do we think Clemson can fulfill on their destiny? Do

628
00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:04,160
Speaker 1: we think Dabo could get the biggest I told you

629
00:32:04,200 --> 00:32:06,960
Speaker 1: so in the recent history, like the color TV era

630
00:32:07,320 --> 00:32:10,360
Speaker 1: of the sport. Do we think Florida State is going

631
00:32:10,400 --> 00:32:14,000
Speaker 1: to be back in not just contention but relevance? Bill

632
00:32:14,000 --> 00:32:17,320
Speaker 1: Belichick as the head coach at North Carolina, They've probably

633
00:32:17,360 --> 00:32:19,520
Speaker 1: got the most workable schedule in the league this side

634
00:32:19,520 --> 00:32:24,040
Speaker 1: of Virginia, maybe even including Virginia. There's a lot to

635
00:32:24,080 --> 00:32:26,320
Speaker 1: go over here. What are some things I think I know?

636
00:32:26,680 --> 00:32:29,160
Speaker 1: What do you think you know? About the ACC? I

637
00:32:29,240 --> 00:32:31,640
Speaker 1: think the lack of quality depth in this league is

638
00:32:31,640 --> 00:32:34,200
Speaker 1: embarrassing and has been for a while. So this is

639
00:32:34,240 --> 00:32:37,080
Speaker 1: me hoping it changes this year because I look at

640
00:32:37,800 --> 00:32:41,240
Speaker 1: I look at the Big Twelve, and it makes sense

641
00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:43,720
Speaker 1: that the Big Twelve doesn't have a bunch of national

642
00:32:43,760 --> 00:32:47,280
Speaker 1: title caliber programs because of where their recruiting bases are.

643
00:32:47,680 --> 00:32:51,360
Speaker 1: That has never made sense for the ACC. The ACC

644
00:32:51,680 --> 00:32:54,320
Speaker 1: is up and down the Eastern Seaboard. I mean, they've

645
00:32:54,320 --> 00:32:58,800
Speaker 1: got programs in the state of Florida, Virginia, the Carolinas, Georgia.

646
00:32:58,840 --> 00:33:01,479
Speaker 1: There's one smack dab in the middle of Atlanta. And

647
00:33:01,560 --> 00:33:04,640
Speaker 1: yet it's been Florida State and has been really been

648
00:33:04,680 --> 00:33:08,560
Speaker 1: Clemson with some Florida State mixed in. Miami has woefully

649
00:33:08,640 --> 00:33:11,840
Speaker 1: underachieved up until about five minutes ago when Mario got there.

650
00:33:12,440 --> 00:33:15,520
Speaker 1: Virginia Tech has been a letdown. Virginia has been probably

651
00:33:15,640 --> 00:33:18,280
Speaker 1: perennially the biggest letdown of any of these teams. There's

652
00:33:18,320 --> 00:33:22,040
Speaker 1: no reason why NC State should NC State's been good.

653
00:33:22,080 --> 00:33:23,480
Speaker 1: I don't want to hate on NC State. I'm just

654
00:33:23,520 --> 00:33:26,520
Speaker 1: saying collectively, the league should be a lot deeper than

655
00:33:26,560 --> 00:33:30,240
Speaker 1: it is. Will it be that deep this year? I

656
00:33:30,280 --> 00:33:34,240
Speaker 1: think I know that Clemson is a legitimate national championship contender.

657
00:33:34,360 --> 00:33:36,920
Speaker 1: Now this sounds like such a no brainer because they're

658
00:33:37,440 --> 00:33:39,280
Speaker 1: top five in all the polls and stuff like that.

659
00:33:39,360 --> 00:33:41,880
Speaker 1: The Odds Board has them way up there. But you

660
00:33:41,960 --> 00:33:43,640
Speaker 1: know as well as I do. In fact, you may

661
00:33:43,720 --> 00:33:47,280
Speaker 1: be one of the people that I'm describing that does

662
00:33:47,360 --> 00:33:50,960
Speaker 1: not believe that Clemson is capable of actually winning it all. Like,

663
00:33:51,040 --> 00:33:54,000
Speaker 1: you think they're capable of winning the ACC being a good,

664
00:33:54,040 --> 00:33:57,440
Speaker 1: solid team, but you don't think of them as being

665
00:33:57,600 --> 00:33:59,600
Speaker 1: any more capable of making noise in the playoff this

666
00:33:59,640 --> 00:34:02,760
Speaker 1: year than they last year. I think it's a fair

667
00:34:03,040 --> 00:34:06,280
Speaker 1: reason to doubt them. They were eighty fifth in run

668
00:34:06,320 --> 00:34:08,560
Speaker 1: defense last year, so that's the thing to watch. Like,

669
00:34:08,560 --> 00:34:10,879
Speaker 1: if they can't stand up better, if they don't play

670
00:34:10,960 --> 00:34:13,799
Speaker 1: to their talent profile, then no, I'm wrong and they

671
00:34:13,840 --> 00:34:17,120
Speaker 1: are not a championship contender. I believe they'll be better there.

672
00:34:17,680 --> 00:34:21,360
Speaker 1: They may change as a defensive coordinator. Every other place,

673
00:34:21,400 --> 00:34:24,840
Speaker 1: I'm a returning quarterback, returning offensive coordinator, returning head coach. Obviously,

674
00:34:25,040 --> 00:34:27,120
Speaker 1: every other area they checked the box, got really good

675
00:34:27,200 --> 00:34:30,680
Speaker 1: NFL talent, all three levels of the defense. But I

676
00:34:30,800 --> 00:34:34,080
Speaker 1: believe this is also a unique year where there really

677
00:34:34,280 --> 00:34:39,080
Speaker 1: is no true alpha number one with distance between them

678
00:34:39,080 --> 00:34:42,000
Speaker 1: and the rest of the field type of team. So

679
00:34:42,160 --> 00:34:45,200
Speaker 1: Penn State, Clemson, like those kinds of teams, this is

680
00:34:45,200 --> 00:34:47,040
Speaker 1: the year they could actually do more than just make it.

681
00:34:47,080 --> 00:34:49,040
Speaker 1: They could win the whole thing. The third thing I

682
00:34:49,080 --> 00:34:54,799
Speaker 1: think I know is I'm still buying Miami. I'm not

683
00:34:55,160 --> 00:34:58,000
Speaker 1: selling on Miami just cause cam Ward's not there anymore.

684
00:34:58,520 --> 00:35:01,120
Speaker 1: I think their line of scrimmage could be the best

685
00:35:01,120 --> 00:35:05,399
Speaker 1: in the league. And if that's the case, especially in

686
00:35:05,440 --> 00:35:08,839
Speaker 1: this league, that means you can set yourself apart. Like

687
00:35:08,880 --> 00:35:11,200
Speaker 1: in the Big Ten, you tell me they're good along

688
00:35:11,239 --> 00:35:14,880
Speaker 1: the lines of scrimmage, it means a lot. It means

689
00:35:14,880 --> 00:35:17,600
Speaker 1: something in the SEC when you say, hey, man, they're

690
00:35:17,640 --> 00:35:19,880
Speaker 1: really good along the lines of scrimmage, like they got

691
00:35:19,960 --> 00:35:22,160
Speaker 1: NFL guys both lines of scrimmage. When you say that

692
00:35:22,200 --> 00:35:26,640
Speaker 1: in the ACC, that's a little different. Busaw. And that's

693
00:35:26,680 --> 00:35:28,880
Speaker 1: also when you get late in the year and you

694
00:35:29,000 --> 00:35:31,600
Speaker 1: got to go back to back cold weather cities to

695
00:35:31,800 --> 00:35:35,040
Speaker 1: end the season, and those are your sixth and seventh

696
00:35:35,080 --> 00:35:37,160
Speaker 1: games in a row. To end the year, you gotta

697
00:35:37,160 --> 00:35:39,080
Speaker 1: go to Blacksburg and you got to go to pitt

698
00:35:40,080 --> 00:35:41,719
Speaker 1: If you can go up there and run the ball

699
00:35:41,800 --> 00:35:45,080
Speaker 1: fifty four times and be comfortable doing that, that's how

700
00:35:45,160 --> 00:35:47,600
Speaker 1: you go grind out wins late in the year. That's

701
00:35:47,640 --> 00:35:50,240
Speaker 1: how you play more consistently. And you may think to yourself,

702
00:35:50,239 --> 00:35:52,960
Speaker 1: but Josh, didn't they suck bad defensively last year? And

703
00:35:52,960 --> 00:35:56,120
Speaker 1: the answer is, oh, they did. They did. They made

704
00:35:56,239 --> 00:35:58,880
Speaker 1: changes though they made changes. Now I'm gonna give you

705
00:35:59,000 --> 00:36:02,880
Speaker 1: a bold state here. They hired Corey Heatherman. There's their

706
00:36:02,920 --> 00:36:05,080
Speaker 1: defensive coordinator. That's not bold. That just happened that's a

707
00:36:05,080 --> 00:36:08,240
Speaker 1: fact that's on Wikipedia. You can look it up. dB

708
00:36:08,560 --> 00:36:12,960
Speaker 1: was terrible for them last year. Miami's pass defense was abhorrent.

709
00:36:14,120 --> 00:36:15,840
Speaker 1: I'm gonna tell you I think it'll be one of

710
00:36:15,840 --> 00:36:18,680
Speaker 1: the low key strengths of their team this year. This

711
00:36:18,840 --> 00:36:20,879
Speaker 1: is one of the bolder things that I'm gonna say.

712
00:36:21,600 --> 00:36:26,080
Speaker 1: But just some feedback I've gotten from down there. The

713
00:36:26,120 --> 00:36:29,800
Speaker 1: second scrimmage is in the books. I think that pass

714
00:36:29,960 --> 00:36:33,440
Speaker 1: defense could go from being one of the biggest weaknesses

715
00:36:33,520 --> 00:36:36,279
Speaker 1: any contending team had in the country at Miami last

716
00:36:36,320 --> 00:36:40,040
Speaker 1: year to being a net positive and a strength for

717
00:36:40,120 --> 00:36:43,440
Speaker 1: them this year. If I'm right about that, they're a

718
00:36:43,480 --> 00:36:48,759
Speaker 1: playoff contender, they're a conference championship contender. Let's go over

719
00:36:48,800 --> 00:36:51,160
Speaker 1: some of my favorite win totals in the ACC. I

720
00:36:51,160 --> 00:36:53,799
Speaker 1: can just tell that. I can tell the live chats

721
00:36:53,800 --> 00:36:56,080
Speaker 1: buzzing over that because I know people are gonna doubt that,

722
00:36:56,080 --> 00:36:58,279
Speaker 1: and that's okay. That's why God makes us play the

723
00:36:58,280 --> 00:37:02,360
Speaker 1: football games. That's okay. Georgia Tech over seven and a

724
00:37:02,400 --> 00:37:06,280
Speaker 1: half wins is my favorite win total in this conference.

725
00:37:06,360 --> 00:37:08,920
Speaker 1: I bet it as soon as FanDuel would let me

726
00:37:08,960 --> 00:37:11,280
Speaker 1: in the door. I think I camped out like black

727
00:37:11,280 --> 00:37:14,240
Speaker 1: Friday style. I camped out for hours outside of FanDuel

728
00:37:14,239 --> 00:37:17,319
Speaker 1: headquarters and a tent waiting to be let in, not

729
00:37:17,360 --> 00:37:20,279
Speaker 1: so I could say hey to everyone, just so I

730
00:37:20,320 --> 00:37:22,480
Speaker 1: could bet Georgia Tech over seven and a half. I

731
00:37:22,480 --> 00:37:24,200
Speaker 1: think they're going to be favored in as many as

732
00:37:24,200 --> 00:37:26,520
Speaker 1: ten of their twelve games. The two games they won't

733
00:37:26,520 --> 00:37:28,839
Speaker 1: be favored in are against Clemson and Georgia They're both

734
00:37:28,840 --> 00:37:30,840
Speaker 1: at home. I think they will win one of those games,

735
00:37:30,880 --> 00:37:33,920
Speaker 1: like I got Georgia Tech flying past seven and a half.

736
00:37:34,360 --> 00:37:37,400
Speaker 1: I love them as a team this year. Momentarily you

737
00:37:37,440 --> 00:37:40,400
Speaker 1: will know how much I love them. Although it sounds

738
00:37:40,440 --> 00:37:42,759
Speaker 1: like they had the worst scrimmage in the history of

739
00:37:42,880 --> 00:37:47,560
Speaker 1: organized eleven on eleven football yesterday, judging by Brent Keys'

740
00:37:47,640 --> 00:37:51,279
Speaker 1: post scrimmage press conference, They're right where I want them.

741
00:37:51,400 --> 00:37:54,040
Speaker 1: They're right where I want them. The way you know

742
00:37:54,120 --> 00:37:57,399
Speaker 1: a team is about to overachieve is when their head

743
00:37:57,400 --> 00:37:59,600
Speaker 1: coach makes it a point to publicly tell you they

744
00:37:59,600 --> 00:38:02,360
Speaker 1: suck right before the season. Brent Key tells me Georgia

745
00:38:02,400 --> 00:38:05,480
Speaker 1: Tech sucks right before the season. Georgia Tech's going ten

746
00:38:05,480 --> 00:38:09,319
Speaker 1: to two. Next up, Virginia Tech. I am leaning under

747
00:38:09,360 --> 00:38:11,799
Speaker 1: six and a half here. Regrettably, there was a lot

748
00:38:11,800 --> 00:38:15,520
Speaker 1: of portal churn there. And so if they got guys

749
00:38:15,640 --> 00:38:20,080
Speaker 1: in via the portal and they just magically coalesce, okay,

750
00:38:20,239 --> 00:38:23,839
Speaker 1: and that's wonderful. I don't know that I can count

751
00:38:23,880 --> 00:38:27,040
Speaker 1: on that happening. They play two SEC teams back to back,

752
00:38:27,120 --> 00:38:28,960
Speaker 1: just right out of the gate and out of conference

753
00:38:28,960 --> 00:38:32,480
Speaker 1: play they play They play South Carolina in Atlanta, I believe,

754
00:38:32,680 --> 00:38:35,600
Speaker 1: and then they play Vandy at home. They got Old

755
00:38:35,640 --> 00:38:39,320
Speaker 1: Dominion week three and ODU is by no means a layup.

756
00:38:39,360 --> 00:38:41,520
Speaker 1: A group of five guys told me that, so that

757
00:38:41,600 --> 00:38:46,640
Speaker 1: has to be true. I just if they can string

758
00:38:46,719 --> 00:38:50,480
Speaker 1: together some wins like Wafford, NC State Wake, Georgia Tech,

759
00:38:50,560 --> 00:38:53,279
Speaker 1: Cal Louisville, Like if they can go four of six

760
00:38:53,440 --> 00:38:56,400
Speaker 1: or five of six there, then I'm wrong. I just

761
00:38:56,480 --> 00:38:58,400
Speaker 1: think it'll be such an up and down year. I

762
00:38:58,400 --> 00:39:01,600
Speaker 1: don't know about the consistency level. So I'm gonna go

763
00:39:01,680 --> 00:39:03,879
Speaker 1: under six and a half on Virginia Tech and I'm

764
00:39:03,880 --> 00:39:07,279
Speaker 1: gonna go over six and a half for PITT. I

765
00:39:08,040 --> 00:39:11,880
Speaker 1: don't know that the market's pricing them effectively. Dylan Lanergan

766
00:39:12,600 --> 00:39:15,879
Speaker 1: at his best should be one of the higher level

767
00:39:15,920 --> 00:39:18,799
Speaker 1: quarterbacks in this league. I think they've also if you

768
00:39:18,800 --> 00:39:20,719
Speaker 1: look at their schedule, Miami at the end of the

769
00:39:20,800 --> 00:39:24,080
Speaker 1: year could be what makes or breaks this bet. They

770
00:39:24,160 --> 00:39:27,200
Speaker 1: got a huge dynamics edge against Miami. They've got a

771
00:39:27,280 --> 00:39:29,399
Speaker 1: late by. Pitt's got a late buy, so they got

772
00:39:29,400 --> 00:39:31,920
Speaker 1: to buy in November. That will be Miami's seventh game

773
00:39:31,920 --> 00:39:33,640
Speaker 1: in a row and it's the second leg of back

774
00:39:33,640 --> 00:39:37,239
Speaker 1: to back road games for Miami, and I just it's

775
00:39:37,280 --> 00:39:40,440
Speaker 1: not like that game you will make or break this,

776
00:39:40,560 --> 00:39:43,040
Speaker 1: but it could make or break this. I just see

777
00:39:43,040 --> 00:39:45,280
Speaker 1: a lot of games Pitch should win by three points.

778
00:39:45,640 --> 00:39:47,360
Speaker 1: That's how I think that's gonna go over six and

779
00:39:47,400 --> 00:39:49,759
Speaker 1: a half for Pitt A drum roll please. For the

780
00:39:49,760 --> 00:39:54,799
Speaker 1: conference championship prediction, I thought about this and thought about

781
00:39:54,800 --> 00:39:56,520
Speaker 1: this and thought about this, and there's no reason to

782
00:39:56,520 --> 00:39:58,799
Speaker 1: be a contrarian. I think Clemson is going to win

783
00:39:58,880 --> 00:40:01,879
Speaker 1: this conference, but I think the team they beat will

784
00:40:01,880 --> 00:40:04,440
Speaker 1: surprise some people because it's going to be a rematch

785
00:40:04,440 --> 00:40:07,640
Speaker 1: of Week three. I've got Clemson versus Georgia Tech in

786
00:40:07,680 --> 00:40:11,799
Speaker 1: the ACC Championship game. I feel surprisingly good about it.

787
00:40:12,160 --> 00:40:16,759
Speaker 1: And I've got Clemson beating Georgia Tech. And if they

788
00:40:16,760 --> 00:40:19,600
Speaker 1: played yesterday, Clemson would have won by ninety because it

789
00:40:19,640 --> 00:40:21,720
Speaker 1: sounds like the scrimmage didn't go well down in Atlanta.

790
00:40:21,760 --> 00:40:23,440
Speaker 1: This team will round into form. It'll be a very

791
00:40:23,440 --> 00:40:25,200
Speaker 1: good team. I think they may be the talk of

792
00:40:25,239 --> 00:40:28,359
Speaker 1: the ACC, if not the country. Gimme Clemson over Georgia Tech.

793
00:40:28,360 --> 00:40:30,480
Speaker 1: Though they got to get the job done this year. Well,

794
00:40:30,840 --> 00:40:32,680
Speaker 1: I mean they've been getting the job done in the ACC.

795
00:40:32,840 --> 00:40:35,880
Speaker 1: They got to do more than just that. That's pressure,

796
00:40:35,920 --> 00:40:39,360
Speaker 1: but I think they're equipped for it. And then after

797
00:40:39,440 --> 00:40:41,120
Speaker 1: they win the game, you know what you do. You

798
00:40:41,160 --> 00:40:44,120
Speaker 1: go to Academy Sports and Outdoors and they'll probably let

799
00:40:44,160 --> 00:40:46,120
Speaker 1: you in because you know they do that thing where

800
00:40:46,160 --> 00:40:48,759
Speaker 1: they open up at midnight when you win something, and

801
00:40:48,840 --> 00:40:52,960
Speaker 1: so you know, it could be a Clemson hoodie, a hat,

802
00:40:53,040 --> 00:40:55,720
Speaker 1: a beanie, or you could just be proud of Georgia

803
00:40:55,760 --> 00:40:58,440
Speaker 1: Tech season. Then go buy some Georgia Tech gear. My

804
00:40:58,560 --> 00:41:01,279
Speaker 1: point is you could want to do that, or you

805
00:41:01,320 --> 00:41:03,120
Speaker 1: could have a cousin in your life that doesn't even

806
00:41:03,200 --> 00:41:05,920
Speaker 1: like college football, which makes me question why you talk

807
00:41:05,960 --> 00:41:08,080
Speaker 1: to that cousin. But if you do, you know, to

808
00:41:08,120 --> 00:41:11,719
Speaker 1: each his own, you could buy him a fishing rod

809
00:41:11,920 --> 00:41:14,000
Speaker 1: at Academy Sports and Outdoors. You could buy him a

810
00:41:14,040 --> 00:41:17,239
Speaker 1: bucket of softballs at Academy Sports and Outdoors, a nice

811
00:41:17,320 --> 00:41:19,839
Speaker 1: jacket at Academy Sports and Outdoors, a pack of big

812
00:41:19,920 --> 00:41:22,279
Speaker 1: leads chew. He's got to have something good in his life.

813
00:41:22,320 --> 00:41:24,880
Speaker 1: He's not watching college football. Academy Sports and Outdoors the

814
00:41:24,880 --> 00:41:26,319
Speaker 1: place to get all that. And if you can't get

815
00:41:26,320 --> 00:41:29,520
Speaker 1: there in person, Academy dot com is your stop. We've

816
00:41:29,560 --> 00:41:32,680
Speaker 1: got a big live audience watching and I just want

817
00:41:32,719 --> 00:41:37,840
Speaker 1: to drop in and oh, well, I try to do

818
00:41:37,840 --> 00:41:40,560
Speaker 1: a smiley face. There we go, smiley face. Hey, do

819
00:41:40,640 --> 00:41:44,560
Speaker 1: me a favor. Yeah, we got a ton of people. Hey,

820
00:41:44,680 --> 00:41:47,640
Speaker 1: just click the like button because right now, well we

821
00:41:47,719 --> 00:41:51,080
Speaker 1: got four or five thousand in here and like five

822
00:41:51,160 --> 00:41:54,759
Speaker 1: hundred likes. Those are poverty numbers, and we don't want

823
00:41:54,760 --> 00:41:57,400
Speaker 1: to be poverty Jesse. He's got to eat tonight, and

824
00:41:57,680 --> 00:42:00,640
Speaker 1: believe it or not, his salary is directly tied to

825
00:42:00,680 --> 00:42:03,480
Speaker 1: the ratio of likes that our videos get. And you

826
00:42:03,520 --> 00:42:07,160
Speaker 1: may call that unfair, but those are laws of the jungle.

827
00:42:07,600 --> 00:42:10,960
Speaker 1: That's survival. That's how it happens in this world of

828
00:42:11,040 --> 00:42:14,360
Speaker 1: YouTube and podcasting. So don't do it for me, you

829
00:42:14,400 --> 00:42:16,720
Speaker 1: may not even like me. Some of you rage watch

830
00:42:16,800 --> 00:42:21,520
Speaker 1: this show. That's well documented. Feed Jesse. Jesse ain't done

831
00:42:21,520 --> 00:42:25,960
Speaker 1: nothing to nobody. Feed Jesse. All right, let's continue. We

832
00:42:26,000 --> 00:42:27,719
Speaker 1: got a lot of show left. I haven't even gotten

833
00:42:27,760 --> 00:42:30,480
Speaker 1: a camp intel yet. I haven't even done playoff predictions.

834
00:42:30,560 --> 00:42:35,560
Speaker 1: I haven't even mentioned this ridiculous, nonsensical playoff expansion proposal.

835
00:42:37,080 --> 00:42:40,880
Speaker 1: That means we got to hurry up. Big Twelve predictions. Yes,

836
00:42:41,360 --> 00:42:44,719
Speaker 1: eight teams on the fan duel preseason odds to win

837
00:42:44,719 --> 00:42:47,080
Speaker 1: the Big Twelve are plus fifteen hundred or better, which

838
00:42:47,160 --> 00:42:49,520
Speaker 1: means yet again, this is going to be an accordion

839
00:42:49,560 --> 00:42:52,520
Speaker 1: of a conference. The accordion as an instrument is really

840
00:42:52,520 --> 00:42:55,480
Speaker 1: fascinating because if you expanded, it makes a noise, but

841
00:42:55,520 --> 00:42:57,560
Speaker 1: if you contract it, it makes a noise. The Big

842
00:42:57,600 --> 00:43:01,360
Speaker 1: Ten or the Big Twelve is the accordion that never expands.

843
00:43:02,440 --> 00:43:06,240
Speaker 1: There's never separation. It's just always Wow. Any given week,

844
00:43:06,440 --> 00:43:08,319
Speaker 1: this thing could blow up in our face. There has

845
00:43:08,360 --> 00:43:10,279
Speaker 1: been a new champ in this league each of the

846
00:43:10,360 --> 00:43:13,520
Speaker 1: last five years. Will there be a new one this year?

847
00:43:14,880 --> 00:43:18,239
Speaker 1: Could be? Could be could be Utah, could be Brigham Young,

848
00:43:18,680 --> 00:43:22,319
Speaker 1: could be Baylor, Texas Tech Kello I think I know

849
00:43:22,360 --> 00:43:24,799
Speaker 1: a few things about this league. I think I know

850
00:43:24,880 --> 00:43:26,960
Speaker 1: quarterback play may be the best in the nation in

851
00:43:27,000 --> 00:43:30,640
Speaker 1: the Big Twelve. Do you stop to look at the

852
00:43:30,719 --> 00:43:33,960
Speaker 1: roster of these players before you just immediately discount this.

853
00:43:34,120 --> 00:43:36,920
Speaker 1: We got rock O Beck, who is America's quarterback. We

854
00:43:37,000 --> 00:43:40,520
Speaker 1: got Jalen Daniels is the key to this conference in

855
00:43:40,560 --> 00:43:43,080
Speaker 1: many ways because if he's healthy all year, Kansas could

856
00:43:43,080 --> 00:43:46,640
Speaker 1: win this thing. Like I'm very, very abnormally high on Kansas.

857
00:43:46,719 --> 00:43:49,600
Speaker 1: If Jalen Daniels is healthy, they finished hot last year.

858
00:43:50,000 --> 00:43:52,520
Speaker 1: They got the best head coach that no one talks

859
00:43:52,520 --> 00:43:55,560
Speaker 1: about in the country, and so got him. You got

860
00:43:55,600 --> 00:43:59,520
Speaker 1: Sawyer Robertson at Baylor. Sam Levitt is back again, Devin

861
00:43:59,560 --> 00:44:03,320
Speaker 1: dan p Devon Dan Pier. Those are not two different people.

862
00:44:03,360 --> 00:44:05,600
Speaker 1: I just pronounce it both ways, so I know I'm

863
00:44:05,640 --> 00:44:09,920
Speaker 1: right Baron Morton, Josh Hoover. There's a very deep roster

864
00:44:10,400 --> 00:44:14,360
Speaker 1: of quality quarterbacks here. The second thing I know about

865
00:44:14,360 --> 00:44:17,839
Speaker 1: this league, Texas Tech is the best experiment to watch

866
00:44:17,840 --> 00:44:20,239
Speaker 1: in the sport. This year, Texas Tech went and got

867
00:44:20,280 --> 00:44:23,360
Speaker 1: a lot of players out of the portal. And yet

868
00:44:24,160 --> 00:44:27,560
Speaker 1: I am going to suggest to you that while the

869
00:44:27,600 --> 00:44:29,960
Speaker 1: rest of the country, the rest of the college football

870
00:44:29,960 --> 00:44:31,600
Speaker 1: public is going to look at Texas Tech and say,

871
00:44:31,640 --> 00:44:33,280
Speaker 1: oh man, they just went and bought a bunch of players,

872
00:44:33,320 --> 00:44:35,680
Speaker 1: probably a bunch of mercenaries. Half of them don't even

873
00:44:35,680 --> 00:44:37,480
Speaker 1: know where Lubbock is on a map. They're just there

874
00:44:37,520 --> 00:44:40,120
Speaker 1: to do their time. I'm telling you that's not the

875
00:44:40,200 --> 00:44:42,520
Speaker 1: vibe there. You need to take my word for this.

876
00:44:43,000 --> 00:44:45,560
Speaker 1: I'm telling you from people who have been there more

877
00:44:45,600 --> 00:44:48,920
Speaker 1: than one year. They will swear by the fact that

878
00:44:49,000 --> 00:44:51,040
Speaker 1: this is the best locker room they've been a part of,

879
00:44:51,280 --> 00:44:54,719
Speaker 1: and this is the best overall program energy that they felt. Now,

880
00:44:54,760 --> 00:44:57,719
Speaker 1: should it work that way? The book says no. The

881
00:44:57,760 --> 00:44:59,560
Speaker 1: book says you're not supposed to be able to go

882
00:44:59,560 --> 00:45:01,279
Speaker 1: and take place you're small over the country and just

883
00:45:01,320 --> 00:45:03,319
Speaker 1: toss them in a room and shake it up and

884
00:45:03,360 --> 00:45:05,560
Speaker 1: love what gets poured out, because there should be a

885
00:45:05,600 --> 00:45:09,920
Speaker 1: lot of selfishness, a lot of me over we Historically,

886
00:45:09,920 --> 00:45:12,520
Speaker 1: that's what the book says should be. I'm just telling

887
00:45:12,520 --> 00:45:15,480
Speaker 1: you that's not what it is at Texas Tech. Now,

888
00:45:16,520 --> 00:45:18,839
Speaker 1: with that in mind, I want you to watch their

889
00:45:18,840 --> 00:45:22,120
Speaker 1: defensive front this year. Everyone's going to talk about the offense.

890
00:45:22,120 --> 00:45:24,280
Speaker 1: Everyone's going to talk fifty thousand feet in the clouds

891
00:45:24,280 --> 00:45:26,840
Speaker 1: about just the overall portal editions, but they're not going

892
00:45:26,920 --> 00:45:30,480
Speaker 1: to get specific drill down to the defensive front. Watch

893
00:45:30,560 --> 00:45:32,680
Speaker 1: Texas Tech play the first few weeks of the year.

894
00:45:33,120 --> 00:45:36,520
Speaker 1: Look at who's playing twos and threes rotationally on their

895
00:45:36,520 --> 00:45:39,759
Speaker 1: defensive front, because you'll notice those guys started for them

896
00:45:39,760 --> 00:45:45,440
Speaker 1: that last year. You will notice quality players, not bad players.

897
00:45:45,680 --> 00:45:48,960
Speaker 1: Quality players are running with their twos and threes now

898
00:45:48,960 --> 00:45:51,000
Speaker 1: because of the depth they have along the defensive front.

899
00:45:51,239 --> 00:45:53,239
Speaker 1: I'm telling you they can win games defensively if they

900
00:45:53,320 --> 00:45:54,840
Speaker 1: need to. And I don't think many people are going

901
00:45:54,920 --> 00:45:57,080
Speaker 1: to be talking about that third thing. I think. I know.

902
00:45:58,560 --> 00:46:02,640
Speaker 1: I can't belie leave how quickly people have chosen to

903
00:46:02,680 --> 00:46:07,560
Speaker 1: forget about Utah. You remember Kyle Whitningham. Remember Utah back

904
00:46:07,560 --> 00:46:09,560
Speaker 1: in the day they used to win all the time. Yeah,

905
00:46:09,600 --> 00:46:13,520
Speaker 1: that was like twelve months ago when we were saying

906
00:46:13,560 --> 00:46:17,239
Speaker 1: that Kyle Whittingham, by the way, has not retired. He's

907
00:46:17,280 --> 00:46:22,480
Speaker 1: still there. He's still riding that motorcycle around Salt Lake City.

908
00:46:23,040 --> 00:46:24,880
Speaker 1: Do you feel the way I feel? This is not

909
00:46:24,920 --> 00:46:28,920
Speaker 1: Peter Frampton song. I'm saying, do you feel that Utah's

910
00:46:29,000 --> 00:46:31,600
Speaker 1: kind of just drifted off in the wind, and like

911
00:46:31,840 --> 00:46:34,400
Speaker 1: people don't think of it. This is a dominant program,

912
00:46:34,600 --> 00:46:37,200
Speaker 1: Like this is a perennial contender that had one down year.

913
00:46:37,200 --> 00:46:40,040
Speaker 1: They had a lot of close losses. It's just anytime

914
00:46:40,160 --> 00:46:42,840
Speaker 1: you have a roster that's not chock full of like

915
00:46:42,960 --> 00:46:45,719
Speaker 1: five star after five star, if the wheels get a

916
00:46:45,719 --> 00:46:48,720
Speaker 1: little wobbly, there is room to go five and seven

917
00:46:48,800 --> 00:46:50,799
Speaker 1: or four and eight and be right back the next year.

918
00:46:52,000 --> 00:46:57,040
Speaker 1: That's Utah. Utah did what Oklahoma did. It's just everyone's

919
00:46:57,040 --> 00:46:59,719
Speaker 1: talking about Oklahoma. What do you mean, Josh, Well, Oklahoma

920
00:47:00,280 --> 00:47:03,719
Speaker 1: went to Washington State and they got John Matteir and

921
00:47:03,760 --> 00:47:08,560
Speaker 1: they got Ben Arbuckle. Well, everyone's praising that concept. Me included,

922
00:47:08,560 --> 00:47:11,440
Speaker 1: because I think it's gonna work out. Quarterback and offensive

923
00:47:11,480 --> 00:47:13,680
Speaker 1: coordinator come in, so you basically import a system and

924
00:47:13,680 --> 00:47:15,800
Speaker 1: you don't have to teach the quarterback the system. Well,

925
00:47:16,680 --> 00:47:20,359
Speaker 1: Dan Pierre and Beck are that for Utah. They came

926
00:47:20,360 --> 00:47:22,960
Speaker 1: in from New Mexico. They're both very highly thought of.

927
00:47:23,000 --> 00:47:24,520
Speaker 1: They're just not gonna be talked about as much because

928
00:47:24,520 --> 00:47:27,239
Speaker 1: it's Utah. People have forgotten about Utah, and that is

929
00:47:27,280 --> 00:47:29,960
Speaker 1: a mistake. I'm not gonna suffer from it. That's a mistake.

930
00:47:30,200 --> 00:47:33,919
Speaker 1: Some favorite win totals of mine in this league. Look

931
00:47:33,960 --> 00:47:37,799
Speaker 1: at Kansas Kansas over under six and a half. Give

932
00:47:37,840 --> 00:47:40,720
Speaker 1: me the over on Kansas. Kansas will win eight games

933
00:47:40,760 --> 00:47:43,919
Speaker 1: at least this year. Jalen Daniel's help is key here.

934
00:47:43,960 --> 00:47:46,680
Speaker 1: And to be fair, now, I understand what FanDuel's got

935
00:47:46,719 --> 00:47:50,319
Speaker 1: to do. Jalen Daniel's health has been very erratic, so

936
00:47:50,360 --> 00:47:52,480
Speaker 1: they've got a price end the possibility that he's not

937
00:47:52,520 --> 00:47:54,480
Speaker 1: helped the all year. If he's help the all year,

938
00:47:54,520 --> 00:47:57,919
Speaker 1: they're going eight wins minimum. And he has looked very

939
00:47:58,040 --> 00:48:01,280
Speaker 1: very good in fall camp. And not that it matters

940
00:48:01,320 --> 00:48:03,799
Speaker 1: a ton, Actually it does. They get to play home

941
00:48:03,840 --> 00:48:06,239
Speaker 1: games at home this year, as opposed to driving to

942
00:48:06,360 --> 00:48:09,640
Speaker 1: Arrowhead Stadium or a soccer facility like they had to

943
00:48:09,640 --> 00:48:11,400
Speaker 1: do last year. That's a real thing. So give me

944
00:48:11,480 --> 00:48:15,520
Speaker 1: Kansas over six and a half. Houston, breaking news to some,

945
00:48:15,880 --> 00:48:19,239
Speaker 1: still is in the Big twelve. And not only are

946
00:48:19,239 --> 00:48:20,680
Speaker 1: they in the Big twelve, they're in the Big twelve

947
00:48:20,960 --> 00:48:22,760
Speaker 1: with an over underwent total of five and a half.

948
00:48:23,200 --> 00:48:26,640
Speaker 1: And I think they're going over as well. I love

949
00:48:26,680 --> 00:48:29,680
Speaker 1: the strength of schedule that's on our side here. I

950
00:48:29,760 --> 00:48:33,320
Speaker 1: love that we've got a second year's staff, and I

951
00:48:33,360 --> 00:48:37,680
Speaker 1: also love that they get a manageable entrance into league play.

952
00:48:38,080 --> 00:48:40,640
Speaker 1: Do you know who the quarterback of Houston is? Do

953
00:48:40,719 --> 00:48:46,000
Speaker 1: you remember Connor Wigman? He's down there. I think Houston

954
00:48:46,000 --> 00:48:48,200
Speaker 1: could surprise some people this year. We got him with

955
00:48:48,239 --> 00:48:51,239
Speaker 1: the sixty seventh strength of schedule in the country. So

956
00:48:51,320 --> 00:48:53,160
Speaker 1: let's take over five and a half there. I'm going

957
00:48:53,239 --> 00:48:55,960
Speaker 1: under on West Virginia at five and a half. They

958
00:48:55,960 --> 00:49:00,400
Speaker 1: got over seventy new players on that roster went up

959
00:49:00,440 --> 00:49:04,680
Speaker 1: there in the spring. I asked rich Rod, how quickly

960
00:49:04,719 --> 00:49:07,160
Speaker 1: can it pop? And he was very, very honest. He said,

961
00:49:07,680 --> 00:49:09,759
Speaker 1: I mean, if these guys buy into our way of

962
00:49:09,800 --> 00:49:11,600
Speaker 1: doing things, I mean we don't we know how to

963
00:49:11,600 --> 00:49:14,160
Speaker 1: coach football. Like we'll win some games in year one,

964
00:49:14,200 --> 00:49:16,600
Speaker 1: but he said, we're not going to sacrifice long term

965
00:49:16,920 --> 00:49:19,960
Speaker 1: to you know, try and win seven games instead of

966
00:49:20,080 --> 00:49:22,759
Speaker 1: six games this year. If that's the way it's going

967
00:49:22,800 --> 00:49:27,359
Speaker 1: to turn out, I think they're gonna struggle. I think

968
00:49:27,360 --> 00:49:29,800
Speaker 1: they'll be very erratic. I think they'll be very high highs,

969
00:49:29,880 --> 00:49:32,200
Speaker 1: very low lows, and in the net, I think they're

970
00:49:32,200 --> 00:49:34,200
Speaker 1: going to go under five and a half wins. My

971
00:49:34,480 --> 00:49:39,239
Speaker 1: conference championship prediction in the Big Twelve is a rematch

972
00:49:39,520 --> 00:49:42,439
Speaker 1: of a regular season game. I am going to take

973
00:49:42,440 --> 00:49:45,200
Speaker 1: the team with the third best odds against the team

974
00:49:45,200 --> 00:49:48,640
Speaker 1: with the fourth best odds. That's Texas Tech versus Arizona

975
00:49:48,680 --> 00:49:52,319
Speaker 1: State in the league championship game. And there was this

976
00:49:52,440 --> 00:49:55,520
Speaker 1: funny thing that happened last year when Arizona State got

977
00:49:55,560 --> 00:49:58,560
Speaker 1: to the Big Twelve championship game. They were banged up,

978
00:49:58,640 --> 00:50:01,600
Speaker 1: like they had critical injuries. I thought they were gonna lose.

979
00:50:01,719 --> 00:50:04,640
Speaker 1: I picked the Iowa State and Arizona State just plays

980
00:50:04,640 --> 00:50:06,719
Speaker 1: their best ball of the year and then they go

981
00:50:06,760 --> 00:50:10,479
Speaker 1: push Texas to the wire in the playoff. Like Kenny

982
00:50:10,520 --> 00:50:13,719
Speaker 1: Dillingham may have peaking at the right time figured out,

983
00:50:13,960 --> 00:50:17,080
Speaker 1: I'm taking Arizona State to repeat as the conference champ here,

984
00:50:17,760 --> 00:50:19,480
Speaker 1: which will be the first time in half a decade

985
00:50:19,640 --> 00:50:22,440
Speaker 1: that that's happened. But Arizona State Texas Tech, I think

986
00:50:22,480 --> 00:50:23,919
Speaker 1: it's gonna be one of the games of the year

987
00:50:24,040 --> 00:50:29,000
Speaker 1: in season, and unlike the conference championship game out there

988
00:50:29,040 --> 00:50:31,239
Speaker 1: last year, I think the Big Twelve championship game will

989
00:50:31,280 --> 00:50:35,680
Speaker 1: revert back to being an evergreen instant classic. Because it's

990
00:50:35,680 --> 00:50:39,080
Speaker 1: the Big twelve. I expect nothing less. We got a

991
00:50:39,080 --> 00:50:42,560
Speaker 1: big announcement to make. I gotta pull up the tweet

992
00:50:42,600 --> 00:50:45,760
Speaker 1: over here since the feature was broken to that getting

993
00:50:45,760 --> 00:50:49,160
Speaker 1: schedule this, let me tee it up. So if you're

994
00:50:49,239 --> 00:50:52,320
Speaker 1: new around here, judging by our numbers, hundreds of thousands

995
00:50:52,360 --> 00:50:54,479
Speaker 1: of you are, and we welcome you to Peyt State.

996
00:50:56,320 --> 00:51:00,799
Speaker 1: We do a tour every year. Okay, I fame very

997
00:51:00,880 --> 00:51:04,120
Speaker 1: notably have a dream job, and it consists of talking

998
00:51:04,200 --> 00:51:08,440
Speaker 1: about college football for money all year, and then on

999
00:51:08,520 --> 00:51:11,080
Speaker 1: Saturdays during the fall, we pick which game we want

1000
00:51:11,120 --> 00:51:13,520
Speaker 1: to go to and we go stand on the sidelines

1001
00:51:13,560 --> 00:51:17,680
Speaker 1: at that game and watch the most entertaining thing that

1002
00:51:17,760 --> 00:51:20,840
Speaker 1: America produces college football. And then we fly home to

1003
00:51:20,920 --> 00:51:23,560
Speaker 1: Nashville and we talk about it the next night, and

1004
00:51:23,600 --> 00:51:27,320
Speaker 1: then rinse and repeat. It's that all year long. Getting

1005
00:51:27,320 --> 00:51:29,279
Speaker 1: town on Friday, go work out in the weight room,

1006
00:51:29,320 --> 00:51:32,400
Speaker 1: go say hey to everyone, eat great food. It's wonderful.

1007
00:51:32,440 --> 00:51:34,760
Speaker 1: I highly recommend it if you can get into that business.

1008
00:51:35,320 --> 00:51:38,719
Speaker 1: We name the tour every year. We had the Renaissance Tour.

1009
00:51:38,719 --> 00:51:42,240
Speaker 1: In twenty twenty one, we had the Every Given Saturday Tour.

1010
00:51:42,800 --> 00:51:44,839
Speaker 1: We had the whole new Saturday tour. We had the

1011
00:51:44,880 --> 00:51:47,080
Speaker 1: once upon a Saturday tour, and so I thought to

1012
00:51:47,120 --> 00:51:51,799
Speaker 1: myself self, what is the greatest day of the entertainment

1013
00:51:51,880 --> 00:51:57,399
Speaker 1: calendar in a week? And it is Saturday. However, the

1014
00:51:57,440 --> 00:51:59,880
Speaker 1: word Saturday being in the tour, I thought was getting

1015
00:51:59,920 --> 00:52:02,960
Speaker 1: a little monotonous. We will always celebrate Saturday here. But

1016
00:52:03,000 --> 00:52:05,280
Speaker 1: I thought to myself, maybe I want to course correct

1017
00:52:05,280 --> 00:52:07,520
Speaker 1: a little bit. Maybe we want to have a name

1018
00:52:08,239 --> 00:52:11,680
Speaker 1: for a tour that doesn't involve Saturday, even though we

1019
00:52:11,719 --> 00:52:13,359
Speaker 1: do it on Saturday every year. And so that's what

1020
00:52:13,360 --> 00:52:16,480
Speaker 1: we've done. I had thousands of suggestions from you guys.

1021
00:52:17,360 --> 00:52:20,520
Speaker 1: I appreciate that. I think we have ten good candidates

1022
00:52:20,800 --> 00:52:24,120
Speaker 1: that we can choose from, but we have gone a

1023
00:52:24,160 --> 00:52:28,120
Speaker 1: little bit different direction. Oh production assistant Tyler made the logo.

1024
00:52:28,239 --> 00:52:30,759
Speaker 1: It looks great. I am more excited to show you

1025
00:52:30,840 --> 00:52:32,680
Speaker 1: the logo than I am to tell you the name.

1026
00:52:33,000 --> 00:52:37,960
Speaker 1: So this fall, starting on August thirtieth, in week one,

1027
00:52:38,719 --> 00:52:41,799
Speaker 1: the Fall Don't Lie Tour will hit the road and

1028
00:52:41,920 --> 00:52:45,680
Speaker 1: our first stop will be and it's no great mystery Columbus,

1029
00:52:45,680 --> 00:52:50,080
Speaker 1: Ohio for Texas at Ohio State. There is a huge

1030
00:52:50,440 --> 00:52:54,279
Speaker 1: spot in my heart for noon kickoffs. You know that

1031
00:52:54,320 --> 00:52:56,279
Speaker 1: even though the rest of you hate it, I love

1032
00:52:56,320 --> 00:52:58,120
Speaker 1: it because I can get home that night. And it

1033
00:52:58,239 --> 00:53:00,520
Speaker 1: just so happens that this is number one versus number

1034
00:53:00,520 --> 00:53:03,040
Speaker 1: two in the JP Pole. And it just so happens

1035
00:53:03,080 --> 00:53:05,439
Speaker 1: that Jerry Emmig is on his retirement tour up there

1036
00:53:05,680 --> 00:53:07,279
Speaker 1: and I have to go see him at least one

1037
00:53:07,320 --> 00:53:12,560
Speaker 1: more time. We love Uncle Jerry. And so the falld

1038
00:53:12,560 --> 00:53:15,800
Speaker 1: Ol't Lie Tour Look at Chuggy, look at the autumn

1039
00:53:15,880 --> 00:53:19,759
Speaker 1: leaves on the logos great if you're listening on podcasts,

1040
00:53:19,960 --> 00:53:24,360
Speaker 1: just imagine an amazing logo with a cartoon train, the

1041
00:53:24,400 --> 00:53:28,520
Speaker 1: words fall, Don't Lie and four autumn leaves, which I

1042
00:53:28,600 --> 00:53:32,440
Speaker 1: have always thought should be spelled l E a fs

1043
00:53:32,480 --> 00:53:37,120
Speaker 1: instead of leaves inexplicably with the V. That's a side note.

1044
00:53:37,480 --> 00:53:39,880
Speaker 1: The faultult Lie Tour is going to be on CAMPI

1045
00:53:39,960 --> 00:53:42,640
Speaker 1: coast to coast this year. I can't wait for it.

1046
00:53:42,880 --> 00:53:45,480
Speaker 1: For those of you asking, we will be slapping that

1047
00:53:45,520 --> 00:53:47,319
Speaker 1: on a T shirt and it will be coming to

1048
00:53:47,400 --> 00:53:49,839
Speaker 1: a PAYT State store near you. Side note, the Paate

1049
00:53:49,880 --> 00:53:52,600
Speaker 1: State Store is about to reopen, so could not be

1050
00:53:52,680 --> 00:53:55,080
Speaker 1: any more excited about it if it were my job

1051
00:53:55,120 --> 00:53:57,239
Speaker 1: to be excited about it, because it is and I am.

1052
00:53:58,280 --> 00:54:03,320
Speaker 1: Let's move on fall camp intel. We've got it fresh

1053
00:54:03,320 --> 00:54:05,319
Speaker 1: out of the oven. I have been on the road

1054
00:54:05,440 --> 00:54:08,080
Speaker 1: all week. I have been at several different fall camps.

1055
00:54:08,080 --> 00:54:11,359
Speaker 1: I've watched practices, I've watched scrimmages. Let's talk about it

1056
00:54:11,520 --> 00:54:15,839
Speaker 1: first up, Georgia. Latest intel out of there confirms what

1057
00:54:15,960 --> 00:54:19,080
Speaker 1: I have suspected, and that is they may not go

1058
00:54:19,120 --> 00:54:21,879
Speaker 1: twelve and zero. They may lose one game, they may

1059
00:54:21,920 --> 00:54:24,520
Speaker 1: lose four games. They will not lose for the same

1060
00:54:24,560 --> 00:54:28,160
Speaker 1: reasons they lost last year. They have been maniacal and

1061
00:54:28,239 --> 00:54:31,759
Speaker 1: they have been very, very aggressive at course correcting the

1062
00:54:31,760 --> 00:54:34,080
Speaker 1: problems they had last year, which is not a shot

1063
00:54:34,080 --> 00:54:35,840
Speaker 1: because I think this is the best coaching staff in

1064
00:54:35,880 --> 00:54:39,160
Speaker 1: the country top to bottom. They will not lose this

1065
00:54:39,320 --> 00:54:42,040
Speaker 1: year because they couldn't run the ball. They will not

1066
00:54:42,200 --> 00:54:45,239
Speaker 1: lose because of porous offensive line play. I don't think

1067
00:54:45,280 --> 00:54:48,680
Speaker 1: that'll happen. I don't think they'll lose because receivers can't

1068
00:54:48,719 --> 00:54:50,719
Speaker 1: catch a cold. I don't think that will happen again

1069
00:54:50,719 --> 00:54:53,279
Speaker 1: this year. In fact, I think wide receiver may be

1070
00:54:53,400 --> 00:54:56,200
Speaker 1: the alpha position group on this team. And I can

1071
00:54:56,239 --> 00:54:59,640
Speaker 1: tell you confidently. I've never said that about a Kirby

1072
00:54:59,640 --> 00:55:01,959
Speaker 1: smart T. I've never said that about a Georgia team.

1073
00:55:02,200 --> 00:55:05,640
Speaker 1: I don't think so. I know the dynamic has changed there,

1074
00:55:06,520 --> 00:55:10,600
Speaker 1: and I it's very nuanced when you talk about this stuff.

1075
00:55:11,040 --> 00:55:13,640
Speaker 1: Last year Georgia had really good personnel. They always will.

1076
00:55:13,719 --> 00:55:15,520
Speaker 1: They recruit at a certain level. There is a thing

1077
00:55:15,560 --> 00:55:19,600
Speaker 1: that happens, though, in college football, when you have multiple third, fourth,

1078
00:55:19,719 --> 00:55:25,360
Speaker 1: fifth year guys. They don't stop working hard, but there's

1079
00:55:25,480 --> 00:55:28,560
Speaker 1: almost like a redundancy to it at that point. And

1080
00:55:29,440 --> 00:55:31,759
Speaker 1: elite players go to Georgia for three years and they're

1081
00:55:31,760 --> 00:55:34,360
Speaker 1: in the NFL. So when you're there a fourth or

1082
00:55:34,360 --> 00:55:37,439
Speaker 1: a fifth year, you're great and you're a glue guy

1083
00:55:37,600 --> 00:55:41,359
Speaker 1: and you're a program guy. But sometimes the passion and

1084
00:55:41,400 --> 00:55:43,960
Speaker 1: the fire and the edge you have to have to

1085
00:55:44,040 --> 00:55:47,640
Speaker 1: win these knife fights is not there. And I think

1086
00:55:47,680 --> 00:55:50,960
Speaker 1: that bit them at times last year. And I don't

1087
00:55:51,000 --> 00:55:53,399
Speaker 1: think that'll be the same problem they have this year.

1088
00:55:53,440 --> 00:55:56,120
Speaker 1: If they got problems, they'll be new problems. But I

1089
00:55:56,200 --> 00:55:59,320
Speaker 1: trust the passion and hunger of this team. I trust

1090
00:55:59,320 --> 00:56:03,680
Speaker 1: it implicitly. So it look. You may watch guys blow

1091
00:56:03,680 --> 00:56:06,359
Speaker 1: a coverage or blow an assignment, it's not cause they

1092
00:56:06,400 --> 00:56:08,359
Speaker 1: were unwilling to go over to Cliff to do it.

1093
00:56:08,440 --> 00:56:11,560
Speaker 1: I think the competitive consistency will be at a higher

1094
00:56:11,640 --> 00:56:14,839
Speaker 1: level wired to wire this year for Georgia, and I

1095
00:56:14,880 --> 00:56:17,719
Speaker 1: also think the offensive line and ground game, if the

1096
00:56:17,760 --> 00:56:19,560
Speaker 1: intel that we're getting out of fall camp is any

1097
00:56:19,560 --> 00:56:22,960
Speaker 1: indication it'll be good, it'll be plenty good enough to

1098
00:56:23,000 --> 00:56:26,520
Speaker 1: win with. Now the follow up to that, and I'm

1099
00:56:26,560 --> 00:56:30,080
Speaker 1: thinking about that offensive line. I said in my SEC predictions,

1100
00:56:30,200 --> 00:56:32,600
Speaker 1: I think the Georgia offensive line is the most important

1101
00:56:32,680 --> 00:56:35,880
Speaker 1: position group in this conference because if they are a

1102
00:56:36,040 --> 00:56:40,279
Speaker 1: minus or better on offensive line, they probably win the

1103
00:56:40,400 --> 00:56:43,040
Speaker 1: league title, or at the very least they're right there

1104
00:56:43,239 --> 00:56:47,080
Speaker 1: playing someone for the league title. And it also impacts Florida,

1105
00:56:47,200 --> 00:56:50,000
Speaker 1: it impacts Bama, it impacts Ole miss it impacts Texas

1106
00:56:50,000 --> 00:56:54,279
Speaker 1: cause they play them all. However, if I'm wrong and

1107
00:56:54,320 --> 00:56:57,040
Speaker 1: they're just inconsistent, or maybe they have injuries like they

1108
00:56:57,040 --> 00:56:59,879
Speaker 1: did last year, they're not going to be in Atlanta

1109
00:57:00,040 --> 00:57:01,719
Speaker 1: and it's going to open the door for someone else.

1110
00:57:02,080 --> 00:57:08,520
Speaker 1: So I am very very bullish on them, and by

1111
00:57:08,560 --> 00:57:10,319
Speaker 1: that I mean not having the same problems they had

1112
00:57:10,400 --> 00:57:12,839
Speaker 1: last year. Just the wide receiver room. I don't think

1113
00:57:12,880 --> 00:57:15,600
Speaker 1: America is really up on this. Georgia fans know they've

1114
00:57:15,640 --> 00:57:18,160
Speaker 1: been paying a lot of attention. That's a nasty wide

1115
00:57:18,160 --> 00:57:22,080
Speaker 1: receiver room, and it may it may be that that

1116
00:57:22,240 --> 00:57:25,800
Speaker 1: is like the alpha position group on that team. It's

1117
00:57:25,800 --> 00:57:28,360
Speaker 1: not finesse, guys. It's what I'm trying to tell you.

1118
00:57:28,400 --> 00:57:30,880
Speaker 1: Like even Branch, the kid they got from USC, he

1119
00:57:31,080 --> 00:57:34,040
Speaker 1: is very quick. But I'm just telling you, there's no

1120
00:57:34,080 --> 00:57:36,800
Speaker 1: one shining away from stalk blocking in that wide receiver room.

1121
00:57:36,880 --> 00:57:39,720
Speaker 1: Colby Young's back. So they have got a really good

1122
00:57:39,760 --> 00:57:43,000
Speaker 1: assortment of talent in the receiver room. And they got

1123
00:57:43,080 --> 00:57:47,120
Speaker 1: a lot of well dogs in many different uses of

1124
00:57:47,160 --> 00:57:50,880
Speaker 1: the word in the receiver room. So I know that

1125
00:57:50,920 --> 00:57:53,360
Speaker 1: they love to clip me hating on that team around there,

1126
00:57:53,440 --> 00:57:55,800
Speaker 1: even though I never do. But I'm not giving you

1127
00:57:55,840 --> 00:57:58,280
Speaker 1: any of that tonight. I'm pretty high on Georgia. Next up,

1128
00:57:59,120 --> 00:58:02,000
Speaker 1: I was an Oregon What's tonight Sunday? I went up

1129
00:58:02,000 --> 00:58:06,920
Speaker 1: to Oregon Friday, hung out with them, watch practice. I

1130
00:58:06,960 --> 00:58:10,160
Speaker 1: am in a weird position with Oregon. I think that's

1131
00:58:10,200 --> 00:58:12,959
Speaker 1: the best collection of talent Landings had since he's been there.

1132
00:58:13,360 --> 00:58:16,320
Speaker 1: But yet there are some hinge points that are gonna

1133
00:58:16,320 --> 00:58:19,240
Speaker 1: determine whether they're capable of competing for the Big Ten

1134
00:58:19,320 --> 00:58:22,880
Speaker 1: championship this year. It's not Dante Moore. Actually, Dante Moore

1135
00:58:22,880 --> 00:58:24,960
Speaker 1: I feel great about Dante Moore is gonna be a

1136
00:58:24,960 --> 00:58:28,120
Speaker 1: stun so. I got very little question about him. He

1137
00:58:28,400 --> 00:58:32,320
Speaker 1: played at UCLA, came back to Oregon SAT a year.

1138
00:58:32,920 --> 00:58:36,200
Speaker 1: He fits well in the system. My questions and my

1139
00:58:36,320 --> 00:58:39,720
Speaker 1: potential hinge points are, I really wonder if that wide

1140
00:58:39,720 --> 00:58:42,720
Speaker 1: receiver room is going to have the depth that it

1141
00:58:42,800 --> 00:58:45,000
Speaker 1: needs to it the versatility that it needs to it.

1142
00:58:45,320 --> 00:58:48,120
Speaker 1: I very much believe in Decoryan Moore. I think they

1143
00:58:48,120 --> 00:58:50,000
Speaker 1: got everything they thought that they were getting with him,

1144
00:58:50,520 --> 00:58:55,040
Speaker 1: But just how that wide receiver room shakes out, and

1145
00:58:55,160 --> 00:58:58,400
Speaker 1: how many other guys you have capable of you know,

1146
00:58:58,520 --> 00:59:02,439
Speaker 1: like a six hundred fifty receiving yard type year, any

1147
00:59:02,520 --> 00:59:05,720
Speaker 1: given week they could go off for one eighty, Like

1148
00:59:05,800 --> 00:59:08,000
Speaker 1: that's the kind of receiver room. That's the kind of

1149
00:59:08,080 --> 00:59:11,120
Speaker 1: depth they need. Orgon's not gonna have like another guy

1150
00:59:11,200 --> 00:59:14,080
Speaker 1: that goes off for fifteen hundred yards like of Ryan Williams,

1151
00:59:14,160 --> 00:59:16,720
Speaker 1: Jeremiah Smith, that guy's not in there. If he is

1152
00:59:16,760 --> 00:59:20,360
Speaker 1: in there, Decoran Moore, but behind him, what I kind

1153
00:59:20,360 --> 00:59:23,360
Speaker 1: of watched with them is I watched how many different

1154
00:59:23,400 --> 00:59:26,000
Speaker 1: guys do I see that could be a virtual non

1155
00:59:26,080 --> 00:59:28,080
Speaker 1: factor for a couple of weeks on the stat sheet

1156
00:59:28,360 --> 00:59:30,160
Speaker 1: and then have six catches for one hundred and eighty

1157
00:59:30,240 --> 00:59:33,880
Speaker 1: nine and two touchdowns. That is one of the hinge points.

1158
00:59:33,920 --> 00:59:37,080
Speaker 1: And the other hinge point to me is running back depth,

1159
00:59:37,960 --> 00:59:40,960
Speaker 1: because I, you know, I kind of had an idea

1160
00:59:41,560 --> 00:59:44,040
Speaker 1: in the spring that I thought I knew how the

1161
00:59:44,760 --> 00:59:47,760
Speaker 1: pecking order, you know, the depth would roll out there.

1162
00:59:47,800 --> 00:59:50,920
Speaker 1: I think it's probably a little bit more by committee

1163
00:59:50,960 --> 00:59:53,160
Speaker 1: than you know, I would have said in spring, which

1164
00:59:53,200 --> 00:59:56,400
Speaker 1: is okay, that's why you recruit. It's not Sometimes when

1165
00:59:56,400 --> 00:59:58,520
Speaker 1: you say we got to go running back by committee,

1166
00:59:58,800 --> 01:00:01,680
Speaker 1: it means oh no, oh, we don't have anyone who

1167
01:00:01,720 --> 01:00:05,120
Speaker 1: can play. That's not the case. What it means is

1168
01:00:05,440 --> 01:00:07,920
Speaker 1: you don't have one player infinitely above and beyond the

1169
01:00:07,920 --> 01:00:10,200
Speaker 1: rest of the room. That could just mean you've got

1170
01:00:10,200 --> 01:00:12,920
Speaker 1: three B plus level players. It doesn't automatically have to

1171
01:00:12,960 --> 01:00:14,760
Speaker 1: mean oh, since we don't have an A minus, we

1172
01:00:14,800 --> 01:00:16,520
Speaker 1: got a bunch of c's. That doesn't have to be

1173
01:00:16,560 --> 01:00:19,640
Speaker 1: the case. But they got a lot of good players

1174
01:00:19,640 --> 01:00:22,439
Speaker 1: man offensive lines of strength there, and so you're gonna

1175
01:00:22,440 --> 01:00:25,240
Speaker 1: give Dante more every chance to succeed. You're gonna be

1176
01:00:25,240 --> 01:00:28,040
Speaker 1: giving this those tailbacks every chance to succeed. You're going

1177
01:00:28,120 --> 01:00:30,800
Speaker 1: to give that wide receiver room every chance to sort

1178
01:00:30,840 --> 01:00:33,360
Speaker 1: itself out. But I mean, it's not a shock. Organ's

1179
01:00:33,360 --> 01:00:35,960
Speaker 1: a good team, that's a really good collection of talent,

1180
01:00:36,320 --> 01:00:40,600
Speaker 1: and it does It doesn't hurt this year the way

1181
01:00:40,680 --> 01:00:44,520
Speaker 1: last year ended. That doesn't hurt motivation either. Went to

1182
01:00:44,520 --> 01:00:49,000
Speaker 1: Alabama this weekend, watched them scrimmage Saturday, and I had

1183
01:00:49,120 --> 01:00:51,640
Speaker 1: a towel thrown over my head the whole day to

1184
01:00:51,880 --> 01:00:55,040
Speaker 1: avoid just a crisis of a sunburn situation. On the

1185
01:00:55,040 --> 01:00:57,440
Speaker 1: show tonight, the first thing I want to talk to

1186
01:00:57,480 --> 01:01:00,600
Speaker 1: you about is you probably heard about jam Miller, the

1187
01:01:00,760 --> 01:01:03,920
Speaker 1: number one tailback there get hurt. Candidly, I didn't know

1188
01:01:03,960 --> 01:01:05,800
Speaker 1: what had happened, and I was on the field watching

1189
01:01:05,840 --> 01:01:10,800
Speaker 1: the whole thing. It sounds like it is. Well, they

1190
01:01:10,800 --> 01:01:12,840
Speaker 1: called it an upper body, so I'll leave it at

1191
01:01:12,880 --> 01:01:15,640
Speaker 1: upper body. I mean, I think most of the message

1192
01:01:15,640 --> 01:01:17,800
Speaker 1: board culture is pretty much figured out what it is.

1193
01:01:17,880 --> 01:01:19,880
Speaker 1: The important thing is I don't expect him to be

1194
01:01:19,920 --> 01:01:23,240
Speaker 1: lost for the whole year. I expect him, based on

1195
01:01:23,280 --> 01:01:26,000
Speaker 1: what I've heard, to be ready probably for league play,

1196
01:01:26,480 --> 01:01:29,000
Speaker 1: which I think for them looking at the schedule, here

1197
01:01:29,040 --> 01:01:33,000
Speaker 1: is the Georgia game September twenty seventh. You know that

1198
01:01:33,040 --> 01:01:35,440
Speaker 1: can change, but I expect him to be at or

1199
01:01:35,480 --> 01:01:37,680
Speaker 1: close to ready to go by the time they open

1200
01:01:37,760 --> 01:01:40,120
Speaker 1: league play. The thing that stood out the most to

1201
01:01:40,120 --> 01:01:43,439
Speaker 1: me about Alabama is people are right when they talk

1202
01:01:43,480 --> 01:01:47,320
Speaker 1: about the depth and quality of depth and that secondary.

1203
01:01:47,720 --> 01:01:50,919
Speaker 1: That secondary is good man to the point where if

1204
01:01:50,920 --> 01:01:54,439
Speaker 1: they were to show their scrimmages on TV, it would

1205
01:01:54,480 --> 01:01:56,959
Speaker 1: make sense. But since they don't show him on TV

1206
01:01:57,040 --> 01:02:00,280
Speaker 1: and they're kind of close to the public, little snapshot

1207
01:02:00,360 --> 01:02:03,440
Speaker 1: and like bits and pieces get out and it's like

1208
01:02:03,480 --> 01:02:05,800
Speaker 1: out of context and you find out, ooh, so and

1209
01:02:05,840 --> 01:02:09,440
Speaker 1: so started today. That means the depth chart has changed. No,

1210
01:02:09,800 --> 01:02:12,520
Speaker 1: it's at least as far as I can tell, that's

1211
01:02:12,560 --> 01:02:14,600
Speaker 1: not really what it is. They just got more guys

1212
01:02:14,640 --> 01:02:17,280
Speaker 1: than they have starting positions for and so they can

1213
01:02:17,360 --> 01:02:21,360
Speaker 1: afford to rotate and experiment a little bit, and especially

1214
01:02:21,360 --> 01:02:24,560
Speaker 1: a scrimmage situation. And so you know, you got guys

1215
01:02:24,640 --> 01:02:28,320
Speaker 1: running with the ones who may not start against Florida State.

1216
01:02:28,360 --> 01:02:30,160
Speaker 1: You got guys running with the twos that may start

1217
01:02:30,160 --> 01:02:34,200
Speaker 1: against Florida State. Here's what I know, though I didn't

1218
01:02:34,200 --> 01:02:36,320
Speaker 1: tell much of a difference between them, that's what I know.

1219
01:02:36,520 --> 01:02:38,200
Speaker 1: Like they I mean, they got freshmen on that team

1220
01:02:38,200 --> 01:02:39,720
Speaker 1: that I know good and well aren't going to start

1221
01:02:39,800 --> 01:02:42,480
Speaker 1: unless they're injuries. That could start at most places in

1222
01:02:42,520 --> 01:02:45,520
Speaker 1: the league this year, including places that are known for defense.

1223
01:02:45,920 --> 01:02:49,160
Speaker 1: So that Alabama secondary is good, Like I needed to

1224
01:02:49,160 --> 01:02:52,000
Speaker 1: see it with my own eyes. I did. That secondary

1225
01:02:52,080 --> 01:02:54,280
Speaker 1: is good and that defense is good. They had a

1226
01:02:54,440 --> 01:03:00,480
Speaker 1: physical scriptage yesterday, like they they hit dude, get after

1227
01:03:00,520 --> 01:03:03,240
Speaker 1: it in scrimmages. If you were to go and watch

1228
01:03:03,280 --> 01:03:06,040
Speaker 1: and someone told you, hey, man Saban is still the

1229
01:03:06,080 --> 01:03:07,880
Speaker 1: head coach here, you'd say, yeah, this feels like a

1230
01:03:07,920 --> 01:03:12,760
Speaker 1: Nick Saban practice. It makes me nervous watching it because,

1231
01:03:12,840 --> 01:03:16,120
Speaker 1: like I know, hey, you're trying to simulate a game

1232
01:03:16,240 --> 01:03:18,520
Speaker 1: like condition here, but this is not a game, and

1233
01:03:18,600 --> 01:03:20,600
Speaker 1: if guys get hurt here, they can't play in a game.

1234
01:03:20,640 --> 01:03:22,080
Speaker 1: But yet then on the other side, you know, there's

1235
01:03:22,120 --> 01:03:23,880
Speaker 1: only one way to get ready to play a game,

1236
01:03:24,080 --> 01:03:27,640
Speaker 1: and that is to simulate game conditions. But intensity, the hitting,

1237
01:03:27,840 --> 01:03:30,479
Speaker 1: the tackling off the charts to me, it's the best

1238
01:03:30,560 --> 01:03:33,440
Speaker 1: kind of scrimmage you can see. Like I know, I

1239
01:03:33,560 --> 01:03:36,680
Speaker 1: was driving back home last night and I was listening

1240
01:03:36,720 --> 01:03:38,680
Speaker 1: to some podcasts. I was talking to some folks, and

1241
01:03:39,560 --> 01:03:43,400
Speaker 1: you know, people will hear, oh, someone through an incompletion,

1242
01:03:43,480 --> 01:03:46,840
Speaker 1: someone throws a pick, someone didn't score, and like they

1243
01:03:46,920 --> 01:03:50,080
Speaker 1: draw conclusions from scrimmages. Here's what you want to come

1244
01:03:50,120 --> 01:03:53,200
Speaker 1: away from a scrimmage thinking this team could win a

1245
01:03:53,240 --> 01:03:55,800
Speaker 1: game nineteen to thirteen, and this team could win a

1246
01:03:55,840 --> 01:03:59,040
Speaker 1: game forty one to thirty one. Because there is so

1247
01:03:59,120 --> 01:04:02,120
Speaker 1: much unpredictable in a football season. What I can tell

1248
01:04:02,160 --> 01:04:04,240
Speaker 1: you about Alabama from what I've seen in the spring

1249
01:04:04,280 --> 01:04:07,000
Speaker 1: and what I saw yesterday is I'm fully confident that

1250
01:04:07,040 --> 01:04:09,520
Speaker 1: team could hold a team to twelve if they need to,

1251
01:04:09,880 --> 01:04:12,240
Speaker 1: and they could score forty if they need to. That's

1252
01:04:12,240 --> 01:04:14,920
Speaker 1: not a guarantee they'll win anything or lose anything. It's

1253
01:04:14,960 --> 01:04:18,280
Speaker 1: a guarantee that they're a very dynamic team, and those

1254
01:04:18,320 --> 01:04:20,240
Speaker 1: are the ones that gives them give themselves the best

1255
01:04:20,280 --> 01:04:23,360
Speaker 1: shot to win at the end of the year. So

1256
01:04:23,400 --> 01:04:27,840
Speaker 1: that's a very impressive team, very impressive. It's no mystery

1257
01:04:28,000 --> 01:04:32,200
Speaker 1: why Ty Simpson won that competition. I just I think

1258
01:04:32,240 --> 01:04:35,920
Speaker 1: the quarterback depth situation is really interesting too. I think, well,

1259
01:04:37,040 --> 01:04:41,720
Speaker 1: where they'll end up getting I believe in time is

1260
01:04:41,920 --> 01:04:45,760
Speaker 1: if they're in the fourth quarter and let's just say

1261
01:04:45,800 --> 01:04:49,000
Speaker 1: they needed to put someone in, I think it would

1262
01:04:49,040 --> 01:04:51,600
Speaker 1: be Austin Mack. I think they'll end up getting to

1263
01:04:51,680 --> 01:04:54,480
Speaker 1: a place where if they knew they were going to

1264
01:04:54,520 --> 01:04:58,200
Speaker 1: be without Ty Simpson on Sunday and they had six

1265
01:04:58,280 --> 01:05:00,920
Speaker 1: days to get ready for Saturday, I think they'll get

1266
01:05:00,920 --> 01:05:03,560
Speaker 1: to a place where that's Keilan Russell, and that could

1267
01:05:03,600 --> 01:05:05,800
Speaker 1: be sooner rather than later. But they got three quarterbacks

1268
01:05:05,800 --> 01:05:08,640
Speaker 1: that they could really win with. Like, they don't have

1269
01:05:08,680 --> 01:05:10,800
Speaker 1: a Heisman contender on that team, at least I don't

1270
01:05:10,840 --> 01:05:13,480
Speaker 1: think they do. They got three pretty good quarterbacks on

1271
01:05:13,520 --> 01:05:17,240
Speaker 1: that team. Speaking of quarterbacks, CJ Carr, Kenney Minschi is

1272
01:05:17,280 --> 01:05:20,080
Speaker 1: still not decided at Notre Dame, and it sounds like

1273
01:05:20,120 --> 01:05:23,040
Speaker 1: they really kind of wanted to make that announcement after

1274
01:05:23,040 --> 01:05:25,680
Speaker 1: the second scrimmage. But someone's got to win the job,

1275
01:05:26,160 --> 01:05:28,760
Speaker 1: and according to Marcus Freeman, no one's won the job yet.

1276
01:05:28,800 --> 01:05:31,560
Speaker 1: So we're watching that. Remember they open against Miami on

1277
01:05:31,640 --> 01:05:34,520
Speaker 1: a Sunday night in two weeks. Two weeks from tonight

1278
01:05:35,160 --> 01:05:39,880
Speaker 1: Julian saying, Lincoln Keingholt said, Ohio State, I still maintain that.

1279
01:05:39,920 --> 01:05:42,760
Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be Julian saying, but again, gotta

1280
01:05:42,800 --> 01:05:46,240
Speaker 1: win the job. Now, there are theories out there that

1281
01:05:46,360 --> 01:05:49,560
Speaker 1: Ryan Day knows who's gonna start and he just is

1282
01:05:50,080 --> 01:05:52,840
Speaker 1: toying with the media and the fan base, and I

1283
01:05:52,880 --> 01:05:56,840
Speaker 1: have a different theory on that. I think many times

1284
01:05:57,800 --> 01:06:00,680
Speaker 1: there's a guy who the coaches feel will win the job.

1285
01:06:01,440 --> 01:06:04,280
Speaker 1: I think this coaching staff has believed since spring that

1286
01:06:04,360 --> 01:06:07,720
Speaker 1: Julian's saying will win this job. I think they believe

1287
01:06:07,760 --> 01:06:10,840
Speaker 1: he'll win the job. Today. He's got to win the job.

1288
01:06:12,320 --> 01:06:17,040
Speaker 1: So it's not disingenuous if you're in that position to

1289
01:06:17,160 --> 01:06:20,400
Speaker 1: not have named a starter yet, doesn't matter if you've

1290
01:06:20,400 --> 01:06:22,880
Speaker 1: thought the same guy's gonna win it since January. He's

1291
01:06:22,920 --> 01:06:25,400
Speaker 1: got to win it. And if he hadn't won it yet,

1292
01:06:25,640 --> 01:06:28,760
Speaker 1: you don't make an announcement for the sake of esthetics.

1293
01:06:28,960 --> 01:06:31,480
Speaker 1: You don't do that. Even if you're open against Texas,

1294
01:06:31,560 --> 01:06:34,200
Speaker 1: you don't do that. Joey Aguilar seems like he's trending

1295
01:06:34,200 --> 01:06:37,080
Speaker 1: to be the starting quarterback at Tennessee. Opinion hadn't changed there.

1296
01:06:37,080 --> 01:06:40,800
Speaker 1: I think it'll be him and big news out of Lexington.

1297
01:06:41,440 --> 01:06:43,960
Speaker 1: This is not news in a sense that it just happened.

1298
01:06:44,160 --> 01:06:46,560
Speaker 1: It's news that the Caesars drawn closer. So you're gonna

1299
01:06:46,560 --> 01:06:49,920
Speaker 1: find out the Zach Calzada era is back. Kalsada has

1300
01:06:49,960 --> 01:06:52,760
Speaker 1: transferred to Kentucky and he he will be the starting

1301
01:06:52,800 --> 01:06:57,200
Speaker 1: quarterback there. He was at incarnate word. I think so

1302
01:06:57,400 --> 01:07:01,960
Speaker 1: was cam Ward two point zero ed Kentucky. I'm the

1303
01:07:01,960 --> 01:07:03,720
Speaker 1: first one to say it. I will be the last

1304
01:07:03,720 --> 01:07:05,120
Speaker 1: one to say it, but I'm definitely the first one

1305
01:07:05,160 --> 01:07:10,919
Speaker 1: to say it. And byu update, Bear Bockmeyer is going

1306
01:07:10,960 --> 01:07:13,560
Speaker 1: to likely be their starting quarterback. That's a true freshman.

1307
01:07:13,840 --> 01:07:16,360
Speaker 1: And that's all we have on that for now on

1308
01:07:16,400 --> 01:07:20,120
Speaker 1: the quarterback front. So fall camp intel is coming very

1309
01:07:20,240 --> 01:07:24,120
Speaker 1: very very very hot and heavy right now. It's immunity.

1310
01:07:24,440 --> 01:07:26,000
Speaker 1: I knew it was an immunity the second that started

1311
01:07:26,000 --> 01:07:29,320
Speaker 1: to come out of my mouth. They're watching it in Athens, Ohio,

1312
01:07:29,640 --> 01:07:32,640
Speaker 1: they're watching it tonight in Lagrange, Georgia. They're watching it,

1313
01:07:32,680 --> 01:07:36,000
Speaker 1: and us in Provo, Utah, and we appreciate it. Listen,

1314
01:07:36,800 --> 01:07:38,840
Speaker 1: it is imperative that you do a couple of things.

1315
01:07:39,160 --> 01:07:41,960
Speaker 1: The first thing is subscribed to the channel, because fifty

1316
01:07:42,000 --> 01:07:44,160
Speaker 1: five percent of you are not subscribed, and it's free

1317
01:07:44,200 --> 01:07:47,040
Speaker 1: and it helps us to keep the lights on. So

1318
01:07:47,080 --> 01:07:50,000
Speaker 1: that's just a favor that I'm asking. The second thing

1319
01:07:50,080 --> 01:07:52,320
Speaker 1: you need to be doing is make sure you're following

1320
01:07:52,320 --> 01:07:54,760
Speaker 1: on socials. This is not just a generic call to action.

1321
01:07:54,800 --> 01:07:58,440
Speaker 1: I'm getting to something here. What do we Twitter, Instagram,

1322
01:07:58,480 --> 01:08:03,240
Speaker 1: TikTok at, Josh Pate cf BE This week especially, you

1323
01:08:03,280 --> 01:08:05,160
Speaker 1: need to make sure you're following. First off, because we're

1324
01:08:05,200 --> 01:08:07,400
Speaker 1: going on the road again and there's behind the scenes

1325
01:08:07,400 --> 01:08:09,040
Speaker 1: stuff that I don't show you on the show that

1326
01:08:09,080 --> 01:08:11,200
Speaker 1: you only get there. The second thing you need to

1327
01:08:11,240 --> 01:08:14,919
Speaker 1: know is I think we have several announcements coming this week,

1328
01:08:14,960 --> 01:08:16,960
Speaker 1: and frankly, I don't know when they're all going to happen.

1329
01:08:17,880 --> 01:08:21,600
Speaker 1: I know there'll be one tomorrow about a collaboration that

1330
01:08:21,600 --> 01:08:25,599
Speaker 1: we're going to be doing all year. I think that'll

1331
01:08:25,640 --> 01:08:29,160
Speaker 1: be around noon. I don't hold me to that. There

1332
01:08:29,200 --> 01:08:33,360
Speaker 1: are partnerships that we're entering into that are very, very big.

1333
01:08:34,160 --> 01:08:36,439
Speaker 1: It's not changing the show. The show is staying the same.

1334
01:08:36,439 --> 01:08:38,639
Speaker 1: I'm talking about stuff above and beyond just the show,

1335
01:08:39,200 --> 01:08:42,000
Speaker 1: or in addition to the show. Those announcements are about

1336
01:08:42,000 --> 01:08:44,080
Speaker 1: to roll out because football seasons here, and I mean

1337
01:08:44,120 --> 01:08:45,720
Speaker 1: we've known about them for a long time. I have

1338
01:08:45,800 --> 01:08:48,400
Speaker 1: not legally been allowed to announce them yet those are

1339
01:08:48,400 --> 01:08:52,080
Speaker 1: going to happen very quickly, and obviously not tonight. So

1340
01:08:52,520 --> 01:08:56,200
Speaker 1: make sure you're following at Josh pat CFB because that's

1341
01:08:56,280 --> 01:08:59,479
Speaker 1: normally where you find that stuff out. Okay, I got

1342
01:08:59,479 --> 01:09:01,719
Speaker 1: things to do here. I'm about to do my playoff

1343
01:09:01,720 --> 01:09:04,760
Speaker 1: predictions that's just buried in the show, and then we're

1344
01:09:04,760 --> 01:09:07,320
Speaker 1: going to end the show with this ridiculousness about playoff

1345
01:09:07,320 --> 01:09:10,719
Speaker 1: expansion saved for the end of the show where that belongs.

1346
01:09:11,600 --> 01:09:14,920
Speaker 1: It's time to predict the playoff. I've talked about conference winners.

1347
01:09:14,920 --> 01:09:17,200
Speaker 1: In fact, I have predicted all of the conferences. Like

1348
01:09:17,360 --> 01:09:19,960
Speaker 1: I got Penn State over Oregon in the Big Ten

1349
01:09:20,040 --> 01:09:23,559
Speaker 1: championship game, I got Bama over Texas in the SEC

1350
01:09:23,640 --> 01:09:28,160
Speaker 1: championship game. I'm taking Clemson over Georgia Tech, surprise inclusion

1351
01:09:28,200 --> 01:09:31,320
Speaker 1: there in the ACC championship game. And give me Arizona

1352
01:09:31,360 --> 01:09:35,840
Speaker 1: State over Texas Tech, repeat champ there in the Big Twelve. Now,

1353
01:09:36,560 --> 01:09:39,120
Speaker 1: just off of that, here are the questions I'm asking

1354
01:09:39,200 --> 01:09:43,720
Speaker 1: myself where do Oregon and Texas end up the Big

1355
01:09:43,760 --> 01:09:47,400
Speaker 1: Ten title game loser the SEC title game loser? Because

1356
01:09:47,520 --> 01:09:50,759
Speaker 1: remember the playoffs different this year. So the playoff last

1357
01:09:50,840 --> 01:09:53,640
Speaker 1: year was the top four seeds had to go to

1358
01:09:53,760 --> 01:09:55,680
Speaker 1: conference champs and it was really jacked up and it

1359
01:09:55,720 --> 01:09:58,679
Speaker 1: messed the bracket up. Well that rule is gone now.

1360
01:09:59,560 --> 01:10:04,919
Speaker 1: So we could have Texas, you know, go into Conference

1361
01:10:05,000 --> 01:10:08,360
Speaker 1: Championship Saturday, number one in the country and they lose

1362
01:10:08,439 --> 01:10:11,840
Speaker 1: to Bama and they fall to like three. Oregon could

1363
01:10:11,920 --> 01:10:14,439
Speaker 1: go in number two and they could lose to Penn

1364
01:10:14,479 --> 01:10:17,040
Speaker 1: State and fall to four. And my point is we

1365
01:10:17,080 --> 01:10:19,840
Speaker 1: could go into the playoffs and the number one, two, three,

1366
01:10:19,880 --> 01:10:21,720
Speaker 1: and four. I think this would have been the case

1367
01:10:21,760 --> 01:10:23,680
Speaker 1: last year, right Jesse. They would just be SEC and

1368
01:10:23,720 --> 01:10:26,640
Speaker 1: Big Ten teams, which would piss everyone off, but like

1369
01:10:27,200 --> 01:10:30,439
Speaker 1: it would be competitively right if that were to happen

1370
01:10:30,479 --> 01:10:32,519
Speaker 1: that way. Well, that's the first thing I'm asking myself.

1371
01:10:32,520 --> 01:10:36,599
Speaker 1: The second thing I'm asking myself, ACC, are you getting

1372
01:10:36,640 --> 01:10:39,599
Speaker 1: two teams in the Big twelve? Are you getting two

1373
01:10:39,640 --> 01:10:41,680
Speaker 1: teams in? Like? Does Texas Tech still make it in

1374
01:10:41,760 --> 01:10:44,880
Speaker 1: like SMU was able to do in the ACC last year?

1375
01:10:45,240 --> 01:10:48,040
Speaker 1: Does Georgia Tech make it in. Could you have a

1376
01:10:48,080 --> 01:10:52,240
Speaker 1: Miami that's sitting there at like ten and two and

1377
01:10:52,280 --> 01:10:54,280
Speaker 1: they're not in the conference title game, but they're looking

1378
01:10:54,280 --> 01:10:57,200
Speaker 1: to be in at large? Don't know, That's what I'm

1379
01:10:57,200 --> 01:11:00,519
Speaker 1: asking myself. Where's Notre Dame. It's always a soon Notre Dame.

1380
01:11:00,560 --> 01:11:02,519
Speaker 1: If they go ten and two, they're in. I believe

1381
01:11:02,520 --> 01:11:05,080
Speaker 1: that did they go ten and two or better? Got

1382
01:11:05,080 --> 01:11:06,600
Speaker 1: a lot of really tricky games at the beginning of

1383
01:11:06,640 --> 01:11:08,800
Speaker 1: the year for a team that doesn't have a starting

1384
01:11:08,880 --> 01:11:12,360
Speaker 1: quarterback announced yet. And then the evergreen question in this

1385
01:11:12,439 --> 01:11:17,719
Speaker 1: format is what's the landscape relative to the SEC nine

1386
01:11:17,720 --> 01:11:20,680
Speaker 1: and three teams? Last year, no three loss team got in.

1387
01:11:21,760 --> 01:11:24,360
Speaker 1: People for some reason took that as forever gospel that

1388
01:11:24,400 --> 01:11:26,720
Speaker 1: no three loss team will ever get in. I guarantee

1389
01:11:26,760 --> 01:11:28,720
Speaker 1: you a three loss team, even if we were to

1390
01:11:28,800 --> 01:11:32,280
Speaker 1: keep the playoff at twelve, would eventually get in. If

1391
01:11:32,320 --> 01:11:35,080
Speaker 1: Florida's nine and three, they're getting in. If Oklahoma is

1392
01:11:35,160 --> 01:11:36,880
Speaker 1: nine and three, they're getting in. Those two with those

1393
01:11:36,880 --> 01:11:40,880
Speaker 1: schedules are getting in. If it's like Georgia or Alabama

1394
01:11:40,960 --> 01:11:43,240
Speaker 1: that's nine and three. If South Carolina is nine and three,

1395
01:11:43,280 --> 01:11:47,320
Speaker 1: Ole miss We'll see the seeding projections. I waste no

1396
01:11:47,400 --> 01:11:50,599
Speaker 1: more time here. This is how I see the playoff

1397
01:11:50,640 --> 01:11:53,639
Speaker 1: playing out one through twelve. I got Penn State winning

1398
01:11:53,640 --> 01:11:55,639
Speaker 1: the Big Ten. I've got them as the number one

1399
01:11:55,680 --> 01:11:59,320
Speaker 1: overall seed. I got Alabama winning the se seed number

1400
01:11:59,320 --> 01:12:03,479
Speaker 1: two overall seed. Bama beats Texas in Atlanta. Texas drops

1401
01:12:03,520 --> 01:12:06,639
Speaker 1: no further than three. Oregon loses to Penn State, they

1402
01:12:06,680 --> 01:12:11,040
Speaker 1: only drop to number four. Clemson your ACC champ. I've

1403
01:12:11,040 --> 01:12:13,599
Speaker 1: got at number five. I got Notre Dame right there

1404
01:12:13,640 --> 01:12:16,519
Speaker 1: at six. Ohio State very competitive in the Big Ten

1405
01:12:16,560 --> 01:12:19,400
Speaker 1: this year. I think they're a seven seed. I have

1406
01:12:19,479 --> 01:12:23,479
Speaker 1: the Florida Gators making the playoff as an eight seed.

1407
01:12:23,880 --> 01:12:26,680
Speaker 1: I'm very high on them. I've got Georgia right there

1408
01:12:26,720 --> 01:12:29,040
Speaker 1: as the nine seed that probably flips based on how

1409
01:12:29,040 --> 01:12:31,760
Speaker 1: that head to head turns out. Arizona State as your

1410
01:12:31,800 --> 01:12:36,519
Speaker 1: Big twelve champ. I've got as the ten Seedhem allow

1411
01:12:36,560 --> 01:12:41,160
Speaker 1: me to clear my voice as the biggest Nebraska Cornhusker

1412
01:12:41,240 --> 01:12:45,600
Speaker 1: supporter in the entire city of Nashville, Tennessee, bar none.

1413
01:12:45,760 --> 01:12:49,880
Speaker 1: I've got Nebraska making the playoff at number eleven, and

1414
01:12:49,920 --> 01:12:51,920
Speaker 1: then I've got Boise in the playoff as the g

1415
01:12:52,080 --> 01:12:56,280
Speaker 1: five representative at number twelve. How would this look, you

1416
01:12:56,360 --> 01:13:01,720
Speaker 1: might ask in bracket form, Well, it's interesting because of

1417
01:13:01,760 --> 01:13:04,960
Speaker 1: what the first round matchups would be if that is

1418
01:13:05,000 --> 01:13:07,479
Speaker 1: the bracket, and I have little reason to doubt that

1419
01:13:07,520 --> 01:13:10,360
Speaker 1: it will be. This is very, very non controversial. As

1420
01:13:10,360 --> 01:13:14,400
Speaker 1: we all know, we would have Georgia going to Gainesville,

1421
01:13:14,479 --> 01:13:17,679
Speaker 1: Florida to play a playoff game in the first round.

1422
01:13:19,439 --> 01:13:22,720
Speaker 1: So there's that they won't give me that game on

1423
01:13:22,840 --> 01:13:27,200
Speaker 1: campus for the regular season version, even in years where

1424
01:13:27,280 --> 01:13:30,840
Speaker 1: Jacksonville Stadium is being renovated, They're playing it at a

1425
01:13:30,880 --> 01:13:36,080
Speaker 1: neutral site. Just insane. Well, I am forcing them to

1426
01:13:36,200 --> 01:13:39,840
Speaker 1: play the Georgia Florida game in either Athens or Gainesville,

1427
01:13:39,960 --> 01:13:41,280
Speaker 1: because I'm gonna put it in the first round of

1428
01:13:41,320 --> 01:13:45,280
Speaker 1: the playoff. I got Clemson hosting Boise State in round one.

1429
01:13:45,680 --> 01:13:49,519
Speaker 1: I have got Ohio State hosting Arizona State in round one,

1430
01:13:49,800 --> 01:13:53,200
Speaker 1: and I've got Nebraska going to Notre Dame so cold

1431
01:13:53,200 --> 01:13:57,160
Speaker 1: Weather on the road to play cold Weather. And I

1432
01:13:57,200 --> 01:13:59,559
Speaker 1: know if you're listening on podcasts, you can't see this,

1433
01:14:00,240 --> 01:14:04,679
Speaker 1: but I don't love the spot that the one seed

1434
01:14:04,760 --> 01:14:08,120
Speaker 1: is in. Yet again this year it's Penn State and

1435
01:14:08,160 --> 01:14:11,680
Speaker 1: they get thereby, they would be a waiting what is

1436
01:14:11,720 --> 01:14:14,000
Speaker 1: going to be a red hot Florida or a red

1437
01:14:14,000 --> 01:14:17,439
Speaker 1: hot Georgia that probably lost some games in the regular

1438
01:14:17,479 --> 01:14:20,360
Speaker 1: season but then got their act together late. That's how

1439
01:14:20,360 --> 01:14:23,360
Speaker 1: they made the playoff. And it's strikingly similar like to

1440
01:14:23,400 --> 01:14:26,400
Speaker 1: what Ohio State was last year, and Penn State is

1441
01:14:26,400 --> 01:14:30,639
Speaker 1: awaiting the winner of Georgia versus Florida, Oregon sits there

1442
01:14:30,640 --> 01:14:34,800
Speaker 1: in a much better situation. They get probably Clemson. But

1443
01:14:35,360 --> 01:14:37,639
Speaker 1: just think about this. Let me just say this out

1444
01:14:37,680 --> 01:14:40,200
Speaker 1: loud for the podcast crowd. If you're watching on YouTube,

1445
01:14:40,240 --> 01:14:43,960
Speaker 1: you can see this. Look at the potential second round

1446
01:14:44,280 --> 01:14:47,320
Speaker 1: now that we fixed the seeding and it's not jacked

1447
01:14:47,400 --> 01:14:49,840
Speaker 1: up where Boise's got a three seed and Arizona State's

1448
01:14:49,880 --> 01:14:53,240
Speaker 1: got a four seed. Why just because they want a conference? No, no, no,

1449
01:14:53,640 --> 01:14:56,439
Speaker 1: If we're going straight seeding, do you understand our second

1450
01:14:56,560 --> 01:15:01,559
Speaker 1: round could be Georgia versus Penn State, Clemson versus Oregon,

1451
01:15:02,040 --> 01:15:06,920
Speaker 1: Texas versus Notre Dame, and Alabama versus Ohio State. Has

1452
01:15:06,960 --> 01:15:10,639
Speaker 1: there ever been a better postseason week? Ever? I don't

1453
01:15:10,680 --> 01:15:12,760
Speaker 1: think so. I'm including the NFL there by the way,

1454
01:15:13,200 --> 01:15:18,360
Speaker 1: that would be utter insanity. So I don't know that

1455
01:15:18,640 --> 01:15:20,960
Speaker 1: I want to hear arguments, but I'm sure there will

1456
01:15:21,000 --> 01:15:25,240
Speaker 1: be arguments. If anybody thinks it's wrong, it's an opinion.

1457
01:15:25,720 --> 01:15:28,600
Speaker 1: But if you still think it's wrong, I want you

1458
01:15:28,680 --> 01:15:30,880
Speaker 1: to make sure you tell me it's an idiotic take

1459
01:15:31,000 --> 01:15:33,479
Speaker 1: and that's fine, and say the brackets wrong and whatnot.

1460
01:15:33,560 --> 01:15:36,640
Speaker 1: Make sure you give me your predictions. Don't tell me

1461
01:15:36,680 --> 01:15:40,120
Speaker 1: it's wrong. Don't. Too many grown men are using the

1462
01:15:40,200 --> 01:15:43,400
Speaker 1: laughing emojis. Too many grown men are making their arguments

1463
01:15:43,400 --> 01:15:46,240
Speaker 1: with emojis. It's a critical problem that we as a

1464
01:15:46,240 --> 01:15:49,840
Speaker 1: society have to tackle this college football season. Use your

1465
01:15:49,880 --> 01:15:53,160
Speaker 1: big boy words, not in all caps. Either, type it out,

1466
01:15:53,880 --> 01:15:57,080
Speaker 1: run it through spellcheck, and tell me you're one through

1467
01:15:57,120 --> 01:16:01,080
Speaker 1: twelve so that we can go back and come in December.

1468
01:16:01,400 --> 01:16:03,120
Speaker 1: That's how I see the playoff playing out. You can

1469
01:16:03,160 --> 01:16:04,840
Speaker 1: got a FanDuel and bet every one of these things

1470
01:16:04,880 --> 01:16:07,639
Speaker 1: right now. You think Nebraska is going to make the playoff,

1471
01:16:07,720 --> 01:16:09,640
Speaker 1: like I do. You can go bet Nebraska to make

1472
01:16:09,640 --> 01:16:11,680
Speaker 1: the playoff, and I know that because I've done it.

1473
01:16:12,000 --> 01:16:13,920
Speaker 1: You can get a FanDuel because they're the exclusive odds

1474
01:16:13,920 --> 01:16:20,880
Speaker 1: provider of paid State, and we appreciate how varied and nuanced.

1475
01:16:20,920 --> 01:16:23,360
Speaker 1: They are in the information they give us this time

1476
01:16:23,360 --> 01:16:26,080
Speaker 1: of year. But we also appreciate that we know a

1477
01:16:26,120 --> 01:16:30,160
Speaker 1: lot of you are new customers or you're considering signing up,

1478
01:16:30,240 --> 01:16:32,840
Speaker 1: So I ask you to do that responsibly. And if

1479
01:16:32,840 --> 01:16:35,680
Speaker 1: you can't do that responsibly, do not sign up, and

1480
01:16:35,720 --> 01:16:37,759
Speaker 1: do not bet a dime of your money or anyone

1481
01:16:37,760 --> 01:16:41,240
Speaker 1: else's money. But if you're able to, and you have

1482
01:16:41,720 --> 01:16:46,160
Speaker 1: disposable income, you got a little entertainment nestag over here,

1483
01:16:46,240 --> 01:16:48,080
Speaker 1: and you're a new user, I just want to let

1484
01:16:48,120 --> 01:16:50,559
Speaker 1: you know there's free money to be had, well basically

1485
01:16:50,640 --> 01:16:53,639
Speaker 1: free money. So there's a QR code on your screen.

1486
01:16:53,680 --> 01:16:55,360
Speaker 1: You can either use that or go to FanDuel dot

1487
01:16:55,360 --> 01:16:58,759
Speaker 1: com slash Josh Pate. But if you bet five dollars

1488
01:16:58,880 --> 01:17:01,599
Speaker 1: and win, you can go bet Penn State to beat

1489
01:17:01,720 --> 01:17:04,160
Speaker 1: Roast Beef Tech. For all I care. Bet five dollars

1490
01:17:04,240 --> 01:17:06,800
Speaker 1: on the money line. If you win, you're taking home

1491
01:17:06,840 --> 01:17:11,400
Speaker 1: three hundred dollars in bonus bets. So I am trying

1492
01:17:11,439 --> 01:17:14,040
Speaker 1: to give you the cheap code to this cause there's

1493
01:17:14,080 --> 01:17:16,840
Speaker 1: no caveat there. There is some fine print, but it

1494
01:17:16,880 --> 01:17:19,639
Speaker 1: does not say who you can and can't bet bet

1495
01:17:19,680 --> 01:17:21,680
Speaker 1: that five dollars on the most sure thing you could

1496
01:17:21,720 --> 01:17:24,880
Speaker 1: ever find, and they're sending you three hundred in bonus bets.

1497
01:17:25,840 --> 01:17:28,519
Speaker 1: FanDuel dot com slash Josh Pate or just go through

1498
01:17:28,560 --> 01:17:30,840
Speaker 1: that QR code. If you're watching on YouTube, sign up

1499
01:17:30,840 --> 01:17:35,400
Speaker 1: for FanDuel at FanDuel dot com backslash CFB promotion must

1500
01:17:35,400 --> 01:17:38,200
Speaker 1: be twenty one plus and present in select states for

1501
01:17:38,320 --> 01:17:42,280
Speaker 1: Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino, or eighteen plus

1502
01:17:42,320 --> 01:17:46,240
Speaker 1: and present in Washington, DC. First online real money wager

1503
01:17:46,320 --> 01:17:50,840
Speaker 1: only ten dollars first deposit required. Bonus issued is non

1504
01:17:50,880 --> 01:17:54,840
Speaker 1: withdrawable bonus bet that expires seven days after receipt. Do

1505
01:17:54,880 --> 01:17:57,559
Speaker 1: you have a gambling problem? If so, call one eight

1506
01:17:57,680 --> 01:18:02,639
Speaker 1: hundred gambler or visitfanduel dot com backslash RG called one

1507
01:18:02,720 --> 01:18:05,840
Speaker 1: eight eight eight seven eight nine seven seven seven seven,

1508
01:18:06,200 --> 01:18:10,600
Speaker 1: or visit CCPG dot org backslash chat in Connecticut, or

1509
01:18:10,680 --> 01:18:14,479
Speaker 1: visit MD Gamblinghelp dot org in Maryland. Hope is here,

1510
01:18:14,920 --> 01:18:18,640
Speaker 1: visit gambling Heelplinema dot org or call eight hundred three

1511
01:18:18,720 --> 01:18:21,600
Speaker 1: two seven fifty fifty for twenty four seven support in

1512
01:18:21,640 --> 01:18:25,360
Speaker 1: Massachusetts or call one eight seven seven eight Hope, n Y.

1513
01:18:26,080 --> 01:18:29,679
Speaker 1: Or text h op e n Y in New York,

1514
01:18:30,360 --> 01:18:35,320
Speaker 1: last thing in the show tonight where it belongs. Bradley

1515
01:18:35,360 --> 01:18:41,839
Speaker 1: showed me the tweet I was asked earlier today. Well, actually, Bradley,

1516
01:18:41,840 --> 01:18:44,400
Speaker 1: here's a good endpoint for you. That old smokey good

1517
01:18:44,439 --> 01:18:46,760
Speaker 1: close friend of the program said, please tell me you're

1518
01:18:46,760 --> 01:18:49,120
Speaker 1: going to talk about the latest Big Ten playoff format

1519
01:18:49,160 --> 01:18:53,840
Speaker 1: shenanigans tonight, and I responded, yes, I will talk about them.

1520
01:18:53,880 --> 01:18:55,760
Speaker 1: I'm gonna put them at the very end of the

1521
01:18:55,760 --> 01:18:58,680
Speaker 1: show where that kind of nonsense belongs. So here we are.

1522
01:18:58,800 --> 01:19:00,559
Speaker 1: It's the end of the show, and I am going

1523
01:19:00,640 --> 01:19:03,080
Speaker 1: to talk about it for just a second. Here's what's happening.

1524
01:19:03,520 --> 01:19:07,200
Speaker 1: According to everyone who reports on these sorts of things,

1525
01:19:07,600 --> 01:19:12,320
Speaker 1: the Big Ten has found it necessary to do what

1526
01:19:12,360 --> 01:19:16,800
Speaker 1: they call socializing a new format of the playoff. And

1527
01:19:16,880 --> 01:19:20,599
Speaker 1: what is this format, Well, depending on who you listen to,

1528
01:19:21,120 --> 01:19:23,719
Speaker 1: it is either a twenty four or a twenty eight

1529
01:19:23,720 --> 01:19:27,599
Speaker 1: team playoff format. And for my visual learners out there,

1530
01:19:27,800 --> 01:19:31,280
Speaker 1: the fine folks over at Reddit CFB actually put together

1531
01:19:31,320 --> 01:19:35,840
Speaker 1: a graphic of what a twenty eight team playoff or

1532
01:19:35,880 --> 01:19:37,920
Speaker 1: a twenty four team playoff I guess would have looked

1533
01:19:37,960 --> 01:19:40,720
Speaker 1: like last year is twenty eight right, Jesse, Yeah, that's

1534
01:19:40,760 --> 01:19:43,120
Speaker 1: a twenty eighteen playoff, you know, because that's what we

1535
01:19:43,160 --> 01:19:49,360
Speaker 1: need in college football. It's okay, your audio didn't stop working.

1536
01:19:49,400 --> 01:19:52,080
Speaker 1: I'm just I was at a loss for words a

1537
01:19:52,080 --> 01:19:56,519
Speaker 1: long time ago, and when you put the visual in

1538
01:19:56,520 --> 01:19:59,120
Speaker 1: front of me like this, it is very shocking, you know,

1539
01:19:59,200 --> 01:20:02,960
Speaker 1: to suggest al Labama's playing a game at Army in December,

1540
01:20:03,040 --> 01:20:05,679
Speaker 1: because we need to see that to crown a champion.

1541
01:20:06,680 --> 01:20:09,479
Speaker 1: So I need to say something, and I'm going to

1542
01:20:09,520 --> 01:20:11,519
Speaker 1: try and be respectful about it, because at the end

1543
01:20:11,520 --> 01:20:13,760
Speaker 1: of the day, we all have opinions on sports, and

1544
01:20:13,800 --> 01:20:15,200
Speaker 1: it's not the end of the world. We can go

1545
01:20:15,240 --> 01:20:17,760
Speaker 1: our separate ways, or we can agree to disagree and

1546
01:20:17,800 --> 01:20:19,719
Speaker 1: go the similar way and go to lunch meet together.

1547
01:20:20,240 --> 01:20:22,680
Speaker 1: If you think that's good for college football. You and

1548
01:20:22,720 --> 01:20:24,760
Speaker 1: I don't see the same sport the same way. We

1549
01:20:24,800 --> 01:20:29,439
Speaker 1: are not looking through the same worldview magnifying glass lens

1550
01:20:29,439 --> 01:20:34,000
Speaker 1: at college football. This wouldn't even be awesome as a

1551
01:20:34,040 --> 01:20:38,719
Speaker 1: standalone product, much less awesome attached to the regular season

1552
01:20:39,160 --> 01:20:42,000
Speaker 1: because obviously of what it does to the regular season.

1553
01:20:42,400 --> 01:20:45,920
Speaker 1: There are some people out there, They're not stupid people.

1554
01:20:46,400 --> 01:20:52,599
Speaker 1: You know, remember MEMA's age old axiom that casual people

1555
01:20:52,920 --> 01:20:58,400
Speaker 1: never say smart things. How did she word this? Casual people?

1556
01:20:59,280 --> 01:21:02,240
Speaker 1: Smart people can say casual things. Casual people never say

1557
01:21:02,280 --> 01:21:04,439
Speaker 1: smart things. So there are some smart people who could

1558
01:21:04,439 --> 01:21:06,800
Speaker 1: look at that and they could say, oh, who says

1559
01:21:06,840 --> 01:21:10,160
Speaker 1: no to more football? The same people who like having money,

1560
01:21:10,160 --> 01:21:12,960
Speaker 1: but they say no to endlessly printing money, because when

1561
01:21:13,000 --> 01:21:17,000
Speaker 1: you endlessly print money, you devalue the money. When you

1562
01:21:17,120 --> 01:21:20,639
Speaker 1: love football, but then you play endless amounts of football,

1563
01:21:21,240 --> 01:21:25,760
Speaker 1: especially in consequence type situations like playoff spots being on

1564
01:21:25,800 --> 01:21:28,719
Speaker 1: the line, you devalue the actual regular season of football.

1565
01:21:28,960 --> 01:21:30,880
Speaker 1: And there happen to be some of us who believe

1566
01:21:31,040 --> 01:21:33,120
Speaker 1: that the regular season of college football is the best

1567
01:21:33,120 --> 01:21:37,040
Speaker 1: thing about college football. Many people think that. So when

1568
01:21:37,120 --> 01:21:38,920
Speaker 1: you suggest that we ought to play thirty seven playoff

1569
01:21:38,960 --> 01:21:42,160
Speaker 1: games at the end just cause it's more games, that's dumb. Also,

1570
01:21:42,479 --> 01:21:46,280
Speaker 1: there's another group, there are a lot of these who say,

1571
01:21:46,320 --> 01:21:49,040
Speaker 1: but if you have more playoff spots, you put more

1572
01:21:49,160 --> 01:21:52,000
Speaker 1: meaning on the games. There are more meaningful games in

1573
01:21:52,040 --> 01:21:55,519
Speaker 1: the regular season. No, there aren't. No, there aren't. What

1574
01:21:55,600 --> 01:21:59,120
Speaker 1: you took is you took some games and you reverse

1575
01:21:59,200 --> 01:22:04,439
Speaker 1: engineered me onto them because someone's playing for the twelve seed,

1576
01:22:04,760 --> 01:22:07,400
Speaker 1: or in this case, someone's got the I'm gonna say

1577
01:22:07,400 --> 01:22:09,240
Speaker 1: this out loud so you understand how dumb it is.

1578
01:22:09,520 --> 01:22:11,960
Speaker 1: This team's got an outside shot at the twenty sixth

1579
01:22:12,000 --> 01:22:14,760
Speaker 1: seed if they win this game here. You know, if

1580
01:22:14,800 --> 01:22:17,439
Speaker 1: they lose, they're six and six, but if they win,

1581
01:22:17,800 --> 01:22:19,559
Speaker 1: they're seven and five, and they got a shot at

1582
01:22:19,600 --> 01:22:23,000
Speaker 1: being the twenty three seed in the playoff. Whila meaning

1583
01:22:23,080 --> 01:22:26,519
Speaker 1: on the game that's not meaning. In fact, we don't

1584
01:22:26,560 --> 01:22:29,320
Speaker 1: even have more meaning on more games in the twelve

1585
01:22:29,360 --> 01:22:33,360
Speaker 1: team model that makes sense. What we do have is

1586
01:22:33,400 --> 01:22:36,920
Speaker 1: we do have games that technically have playoff implications on

1587
01:22:37,000 --> 01:22:40,160
Speaker 1: them now, whereas they wouldn't have in a four team

1588
01:22:40,240 --> 01:22:43,240
Speaker 1: model or a six or an eight team model. But

1589
01:22:43,360 --> 01:22:46,680
Speaker 1: they can't win the whole thing. What you did is

1590
01:22:47,000 --> 01:22:49,960
Speaker 1: you took teams like Ohio State or a Georgia or

1591
01:22:50,000 --> 01:22:52,280
Speaker 1: in Alabama. You know there are a few teams capable

1592
01:22:52,280 --> 01:22:54,880
Speaker 1: of actually winning the whole thing any given year. You

1593
01:22:54,920 --> 01:22:57,559
Speaker 1: took the meaning off of their games. Ohio State can

1594
01:22:57,600 --> 01:22:59,280
Speaker 1: lose two games, still make the playoff and go and

1595
01:22:59,320 --> 01:23:02,400
Speaker 1: win the whole thing. And so there's not that urgency

1596
01:23:02,600 --> 01:23:05,680
Speaker 1: baked into their games anymore because we had to go

1597
01:23:05,720 --> 01:23:11,320
Speaker 1: put it on Kansas State versus TCU, featuring teams that

1598
01:23:11,320 --> 01:23:13,599
Speaker 1: aren't capable of winning the whole thing that they get in.

1599
01:23:14,080 --> 01:23:17,439
Speaker 1: But we're going to convince ourselves that meaning is meaning,

1600
01:23:17,880 --> 01:23:20,720
Speaker 1: and like your better judgment knows what the truth is.

1601
01:23:21,439 --> 01:23:25,040
Speaker 1: But playoff expansionists count on you to ignore your better judgment.

1602
01:23:25,160 --> 01:23:28,639
Speaker 1: They count on you to just believe meaning is meaning

1603
01:23:28,800 --> 01:23:32,160
Speaker 1: if this game has playoff implications. We created more meaning

1604
01:23:32,200 --> 01:23:34,719
Speaker 1: for more games. Now you didn't. You just removed meaning

1605
01:23:35,080 --> 01:23:37,679
Speaker 1: from games featuring teams capable of winning the whole thing,

1606
01:23:38,000 --> 01:23:41,360
Speaker 1: and you manufactured it by tossing it onto games featuring

1607
01:23:41,360 --> 01:23:45,400
Speaker 1: teams that can't win the whole thing. That was always dumb. Anyway,

1608
01:23:46,200 --> 01:23:50,000
Speaker 1: I do have good news. This isn't going to happen.

1609
01:23:50,200 --> 01:23:54,160
Speaker 1: That's the good news. There is one goal here to

1610
01:23:54,240 --> 01:23:58,960
Speaker 1: explain the whole Big ten playoff expansion proposal nonsense. The

1611
01:23:59,040 --> 01:24:01,000
Speaker 1: goal is not for them to get to a twenty

1612
01:24:01,000 --> 01:24:03,559
Speaker 1: four or a twenty eighteen playoff. The goal is to

1613
01:24:03,680 --> 01:24:06,040
Speaker 1: leak that so that they can actually get to what

1614
01:24:06,040 --> 01:24:08,840
Speaker 1: they want, which is the sixteen team model. You may

1615
01:24:08,880 --> 01:24:11,920
Speaker 1: ask yourself, well, that doesn't make any sense. How's that, Josh? Well,

1616
01:24:11,960 --> 01:24:15,599
Speaker 1: it is overton Window at its best, and the Big

1617
01:24:15,640 --> 01:24:20,000
Speaker 1: ten play pays PR strategists and lobbying firms and marketing

1618
01:24:20,040 --> 01:24:22,679
Speaker 1: types a lot of money to come up with this stuff.

1619
01:24:22,800 --> 01:24:28,000
Speaker 1: So the Big ten wants the sixteen team AQ model.

1620
01:24:28,600 --> 01:24:31,160
Speaker 1: I actually have thought the fourteen team model weren't half bad,

1621
01:24:31,240 --> 01:24:33,840
Speaker 1: But the Big ten sucks at messaging, and so they

1622
01:24:33,880 --> 01:24:37,479
Speaker 1: lost me, like I'm over here on an island. They're

1623
01:24:37,520 --> 01:24:40,719
Speaker 1: not good at explaining the merits of it. They tried

1624
01:24:40,720 --> 01:24:43,160
Speaker 1: at Big ten Media Days. They failed. Instead, they just

1625
01:24:43,200 --> 01:24:45,519
Speaker 1: went and took shots at the SEC and said all

1626
01:24:45,600 --> 01:24:47,800
Speaker 1: kinds of dumb stuff. So I said, forget it. You

1627
01:24:47,800 --> 01:24:50,040
Speaker 1: guys handle your own business like I was willing to

1628
01:24:50,080 --> 01:24:53,519
Speaker 1: do business with them. I thought Tony Petiti's fourteen team

1629
01:24:53,560 --> 01:24:56,360
Speaker 1: model would be good, but they couldn't leave well enough alone.

1630
01:24:56,400 --> 01:24:59,320
Speaker 1: So anyway, the rest of the country hated it, even

1631
01:24:59,320 --> 01:25:02,439
Speaker 1: if I liked it. So the Big ten had an idea.

1632
01:25:02,640 --> 01:25:07,240
Speaker 1: They wanted a sixteen team playoff AQ model pre guarantee

1633
01:25:07,240 --> 01:25:10,680
Speaker 1: most of the slots to certain conferences, and most of

1634
01:25:10,720 --> 01:25:15,800
Speaker 1: the country hated it. So the question becomes, we've got

1635
01:25:15,840 --> 01:25:18,920
Speaker 1: an idea that's bad. Most of the country hates it.

1636
01:25:19,640 --> 01:25:23,240
Speaker 1: How do you get a bad idea across the finish

1637
01:25:23,280 --> 01:25:26,519
Speaker 1: line to people who hate the bad idea? And the

1638
01:25:26,600 --> 01:25:31,000
Speaker 1: answer is give them an infinitely worse idea. So let's

1639
01:25:31,000 --> 01:25:35,040
Speaker 1: say your uncle Frederick says, oh, family vacation time this year.

1640
01:25:35,120 --> 01:25:39,240
Speaker 1: You know where we're going spin the globe Saint Louis,

1641
01:25:39,280 --> 01:25:43,160
Speaker 1: Missouri for the entire week. Nobody wants to vacation in

1642
01:25:43,240 --> 01:25:47,639
Speaker 1: Saint Louis, Missouri. What is Uncle Frederick to do? Buy

1643
01:25:47,680 --> 01:25:50,679
Speaker 1: tickets for the entire family to go to Key West.

1644
01:25:50,840 --> 01:25:54,120
Speaker 1: He can't afford it. I mean, God bless uncle Frederick.

1645
01:25:54,200 --> 01:25:56,200
Speaker 1: Like he lived a good life, but he can't afford that.

1646
01:25:56,640 --> 01:25:59,679
Speaker 1: So what Uncle Frederick does to make the bad idea

1647
01:25:59,800 --> 01:26:02,479
Speaker 1: see em less bad? As? He says, fine, We're going

1648
01:26:02,520 --> 01:26:05,240
Speaker 1: to Kosovo. See how you like that? And then the

1649
01:26:05,320 --> 01:26:08,240
Speaker 1: kids start crying. And then Uncle Frederick sits, there's stone

1650
01:26:08,240 --> 01:26:09,800
Speaker 1: walls for a little while, and they cry and they

1651
01:26:09,800 --> 01:26:12,080
Speaker 1: cry and they crying, and he goes, Okay, Saint Louis

1652
01:26:12,120 --> 01:26:15,719
Speaker 1: it is. And the kids are dumb enough to say,

1653
01:26:16,320 --> 01:26:18,920
Speaker 1: all right, I guess that's not so bad. It is bad.

1654
01:26:19,000 --> 01:26:24,160
Speaker 1: Nobody wants to vacation in Saint Louis. I a stormchaser,

1655
01:26:24,439 --> 01:26:26,880
Speaker 1: love visiting Saint Louis, but you don't want to spring

1656
01:26:26,920 --> 01:26:29,680
Speaker 1: break in Saint Louis. But when Kosovo's put on the

1657
01:26:29,720 --> 01:26:33,160
Speaker 1: table as if it's actually a legitimate option that Uncle

1658
01:26:33,240 --> 01:26:37,639
Speaker 1: Frederick is actually considering, go no, no, give us Saint Louis.

1659
01:26:38,000 --> 01:26:41,120
Speaker 1: The Big Ten thinks you're stupid. I'm just telling you.

1660
01:26:41,160 --> 01:26:43,640
Speaker 1: These people sweater vest as tight as it can be,

1661
01:26:44,080 --> 01:26:46,400
Speaker 1: glasses pushed up as firmly on the nose as it

1662
01:26:46,439 --> 01:26:49,439
Speaker 1: can be. They think you're an idiot. So they look

1663
01:26:49,479 --> 01:26:52,320
Speaker 1: at you as if you're a child that won't eat

1664
01:26:52,320 --> 01:26:56,160
Speaker 1: your carrots, and they say, well, hey, let's put salad

1665
01:26:56,200 --> 01:26:59,200
Speaker 1: in front of him. Oh I don't want salad, give

1666
01:26:59,200 --> 01:27:03,080
Speaker 1: me the carrots. I don't want this sixteen team playoff.

1667
01:27:03,360 --> 01:27:06,160
Speaker 1: It seems dumb. Well what would you think about twenty

1668
01:27:06,160 --> 01:27:10,599
Speaker 1: eight teams? No? No, all right, well sixteen then okay,

1669
01:27:10,680 --> 01:27:13,559
Speaker 1: I guess so they think you're that stupid. That's what's

1670
01:27:13,600 --> 01:27:15,720
Speaker 1: going on here. So the question is not whether we're

1671
01:27:15,720 --> 01:27:18,320
Speaker 1: gonna have a twenty eighteen playoff. We're not. The question

1672
01:27:18,520 --> 01:27:23,400
Speaker 1: is are people dumb enough to cave on sixteen. You

1673
01:27:23,479 --> 01:27:26,040
Speaker 1: know my thoughts on it. I didn't think that it

1674
01:27:26,120 --> 01:27:28,800
Speaker 1: was half bad, but they've done such a poor job

1675
01:27:28,840 --> 01:27:31,639
Speaker 1: of explaining the merits of the AQ model that they

1676
01:27:31,680 --> 01:27:36,519
Speaker 1: have resorted to this. And what this is is leaking

1677
01:27:36,560 --> 01:27:39,799
Speaker 1: a proposal that has no legs to it. You'll notice

1678
01:27:39,880 --> 01:27:42,240
Speaker 1: every reporter had it at the same time, in many

1679
01:27:42,280 --> 01:27:50,040
Speaker 1: cases using the exact phraseology, exact same phraseology, shockingly, So, yeah,

1680
01:27:50,040 --> 01:27:52,320
Speaker 1: that's not gonna happen. It's an Overton window play. Always

1681
01:27:52,360 --> 01:27:54,599
Speaker 1: has been, always will be the way that upper level

1682
01:27:54,600 --> 01:27:57,439
Speaker 1: college athletics works because the people who run this sport

1683
01:27:57,520 --> 01:27:59,880
Speaker 1: actively hate the sport. They think you're an idiot and

1684
01:28:00,400 --> 01:28:03,240
Speaker 1: you are really a profiteering center more than you are

1685
01:28:03,280 --> 01:28:06,519
Speaker 1: a fan. But you know what, I think a little

1686
01:28:06,520 --> 01:28:09,599
Speaker 1: more highly of us than that. I think we'll be okay.

1687
01:28:10,040 --> 01:28:12,639
Speaker 1: Just leave us alone. I think we'll be okay. That's

1688
01:28:12,680 --> 01:28:15,960
Speaker 1: our show tonight, nice solid hour and a half. I

1689
01:28:16,000 --> 01:28:19,200
Speaker 1: would like to thank all of you. I would like

1690
01:28:19,280 --> 01:28:22,160
Speaker 1: to thank our entire staff and crew, because, as you've noticed,

1691
01:28:22,200 --> 01:28:25,600
Speaker 1: we've moved into an entirely new studio. The crew is

1692
01:28:25,600 --> 01:28:28,080
Speaker 1: out in a production truck, they're not even in here,

1693
01:28:28,320 --> 01:28:32,680
Speaker 1: and the show has been executed seamlessly, and that is

1694
01:28:32,800 --> 01:28:35,639
Speaker 1: not easy. All I have to do sit here and talk.

1695
01:28:35,920 --> 01:28:38,479
Speaker 1: They got the hard job, so appreciate them. Appreciate you.

1696
01:28:38,479 --> 01:28:41,320
Speaker 1: Guys should be impatient for director Bradley, for producer Jesse,

1697
01:28:41,320 --> 01:28:44,200
Speaker 1: the entire crew. I'm Josh Pate will be at Penn

1698
01:28:44,240 --> 01:28:47,600
Speaker 1: State Tuesday. The show will go on, probably at the

1699
01:28:47,640 --> 01:28:49,639
Speaker 1: same time as it always does. So have a great

1700
01:28:49,640 --> 01:29:06,240
Speaker 1: start to your week until then, God bless. Sign up

1701
01:29:06,240 --> 01:29:10,760
Speaker 1: for FanDuel at FanDuel dot com backslash CFB promotion. Must

1702
01:29:10,800 --> 01:29:13,600
Speaker 1: be twenty one plus and present in select states for

1703
01:29:13,720 --> 01:29:17,679
Speaker 1: Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino, or eighteen plus

1704
01:29:17,720 --> 01:29:21,599
Speaker 1: and present in Washington, DC. First online real money wager

1705
01:29:21,680 --> 01:29:26,240
Speaker 1: only ten dollars first deposit required. Bonus issued is non

1706
01:29:26,280 --> 01:29:30,240
Speaker 1: withdrawable bonus bet that expires seven days after receipt. Do

1707
01:29:30,280 --> 01:29:32,960
Speaker 1: you have a gambling problem? If so, call one eight

1708
01:29:33,080 --> 01:29:37,960
Speaker 1: hundred gambler or visitfanduel dot com backslash RG call one

1709
01:29:38,120 --> 01:29:41,200
Speaker 1: eight eight eight seven eight nine seven seven seven seven,

1710
01:29:41,600 --> 01:29:45,960
Speaker 1: or visit CCPG dot org backslash chat in Connecticut or

1711
01:29:46,080 --> 01:29:49,880
Speaker 1: visit MD Gamblinghelp dot org in Maryland. Hope is here

1712
01:29:50,280 --> 01:29:54,040
Speaker 1: visit gambling heelplinema dot org, or call eight hundred three

1713
01:29:54,120 --> 01:29:57,840
Speaker 1: two seven fifty fifty for twenty four seven support in Massachusetts,

1714
01:29:58,200 --> 01:30:01,559
Speaker 1: or call one eight seven seven eight in y or

1715
01:30:01,640 --> 01:30:05,080
Speaker 1: text h O P E N Y in New York