1 00:00:01,240 --> 00:00:07,600 Speaker 1: The volume. It's the callin Coward podcast presented by fan Duel. 2 00:00:07,840 --> 00:00:10,880 Speaker 1: It's NFL playoff time. No better place to get in 3 00:00:10,920 --> 00:00:14,240 Speaker 1: on the action than fan Duel. FanDuel app is safe. 4 00:00:14,280 --> 00:00:17,160 Speaker 1: You get paid fast, a lot of ways to play 5 00:00:17,239 --> 00:00:21,119 Speaker 1: the spread, the money line, team totals, players, props, a 6 00:00:21,120 --> 00:00:25,000 Speaker 1: lot of stuff over unders, jump into the action. Same 7 00:00:25,079 --> 00:00:27,720 Speaker 1: game parlays are my favorite. Just use the promo code 8 00:00:27,800 --> 00:00:31,280 Speaker 1: Colin and download the fan Duel app today. Fan Duel 9 00:00:31,400 --> 00:00:43,720 Speaker 1: now live in Ohio. Hi everybody, and welcome into the 10 00:00:43,800 --> 00:00:48,199 Speaker 1: Friday morning podcast, the callin Coward Podcast. That would be me, 11 00:00:48,400 --> 00:00:52,640 Speaker 1: your affable host. So Chad Millman off of winning week. 12 00:00:52,680 --> 00:00:54,720 Speaker 1: I was three and two in the Blazing five on 13 00:00:54,880 --> 00:00:58,800 Speaker 1: FS one and Fox Sports Radio. So back to back 14 00:00:58,800 --> 00:01:01,240 Speaker 1: winning weeks, fifty five and a half percent for the year. 15 00:01:02,000 --> 00:01:05,240 Speaker 1: So we're going to have my Divisional Round four playoff 16 00:01:05,280 --> 00:01:09,000 Speaker 1: picks coming up. So I thought this was interesting. In 17 00:01:09,080 --> 00:01:14,840 Speaker 1: my career, I've tried to never back management into a corner, 18 00:01:15,120 --> 00:01:19,039 Speaker 1: but there have been as I have gained popularity, concessions 19 00:01:19,720 --> 00:01:22,800 Speaker 1: companies have been willing to make if I want certain 20 00:01:22,840 --> 00:01:26,000 Speaker 1: time off or a certain number of people on a staff, 21 00:01:26,560 --> 00:01:29,960 Speaker 1: and the more popular. I've become. Generally, in any business, 22 00:01:30,000 --> 00:01:33,400 Speaker 1: the more leverage you have, and you know, companies will 23 00:01:33,440 --> 00:01:36,080 Speaker 1: give me certain things. I don't ask for a ton. 24 00:01:36,360 --> 00:01:39,360 Speaker 1: I'm not real high maintenance on this stuff. And it's 25 00:01:39,440 --> 00:01:44,400 Speaker 1: understood in a lot of entertainment businesses. And let's be honest, 26 00:01:44,920 --> 00:01:47,600 Speaker 1: I'm not analogous to Tom Cruise, but when Top Gun 27 00:01:47,640 --> 00:01:52,920 Speaker 1: makes a billion four, there's concessions made Lebron James, Tom Brady. 28 00:01:53,240 --> 00:01:57,440 Speaker 1: They're concessions made. But in order to get those, in 29 00:01:57,480 --> 00:02:00,760 Speaker 1: any industry, you've got to deliver on the other end. 30 00:02:01,640 --> 00:02:06,440 Speaker 1: This is what's interesting. So Aaron Rodgers wants concessions by 31 00:02:06,520 --> 00:02:10,520 Speaker 1: the Green Bay Packers. He listed five offensive players. Only 32 00:02:10,560 --> 00:02:13,560 Speaker 1: one is elite that he wants the Packers to bring 33 00:02:13,560 --> 00:02:19,799 Speaker 1: back if he'll return. Alanzar, Randall Cobb, Mercedes Lewis, Robert 34 00:02:19,880 --> 00:02:22,600 Speaker 1: Tonne in the tight end are not dynamic players. They're 35 00:02:22,680 --> 00:02:26,119 Speaker 1: unrestricted free agents, so the Packers will have to pay 36 00:02:26,240 --> 00:02:30,359 Speaker 1: more than their worth to retain them. So the takeaways, well, 37 00:02:30,400 --> 00:02:33,520 Speaker 1: you get Aaron Rodgers. So I went back with my 38 00:02:33,639 --> 00:02:37,480 Speaker 1: staff and I said, what is the payoff for Aaron. 39 00:02:37,600 --> 00:02:41,880 Speaker 1: Let's go to Aaron Rodgers last ten. What we would 40 00:02:41,919 --> 00:02:44,280 Speaker 1: call big games, and we tried to as a staff 41 00:02:44,320 --> 00:02:47,720 Speaker 1: be very fair. He had five this year, the play 42 00:02:47,760 --> 00:02:51,920 Speaker 1: in game of the Lions Christmas Day at Miami, that 43 00:02:52,080 --> 00:02:56,120 Speaker 1: Philadelphia game that was a standalone game, Cowboy game at Lambeau, 44 00:02:56,400 --> 00:02:59,040 Speaker 1: and I think it was a Sunday night game against 45 00:02:59,080 --> 00:03:01,960 Speaker 1: the Buffalo Bills. Those were the five big games. Now, 46 00:03:02,520 --> 00:03:05,400 Speaker 1: he also lost to the Vikings in the opener. You 47 00:03:05,440 --> 00:03:07,560 Speaker 1: could say the season opener is a big game, but 48 00:03:07,639 --> 00:03:10,320 Speaker 1: I don't really count that is a big game. That 49 00:03:10,360 --> 00:03:13,520 Speaker 1: would benefit my argument, but I didn't do that. So 50 00:03:13,560 --> 00:03:15,920 Speaker 1: in those games he had two wins and three losses. 51 00:03:16,440 --> 00:03:19,880 Speaker 1: Then we went the previous year and we counted the 52 00:03:19,919 --> 00:03:23,080 Speaker 1: big games as the Niner game that he won during 53 00:03:23,080 --> 00:03:27,040 Speaker 1: the regular season and played very well, the Division round 54 00:03:27,160 --> 00:03:31,280 Speaker 1: Niners game he lost, and there was a Rams game 55 00:03:31,360 --> 00:03:34,200 Speaker 1: Week twelve that was build as the big game on 56 00:03:34,240 --> 00:03:38,040 Speaker 1: TV for Fox that he eventually won. We went to 57 00:03:38,080 --> 00:03:41,240 Speaker 1: the previous year and the two games that felt big 58 00:03:41,440 --> 00:03:44,720 Speaker 1: were the NFC Championship and that game against Brady down 59 00:03:44,760 --> 00:03:47,840 Speaker 1: in Tampa was the first time they'd met Brady as 60 00:03:47,840 --> 00:03:50,240 Speaker 1: a Buck, And so we went and we build those 61 00:03:50,280 --> 00:03:55,680 Speaker 1: as the ten biggest games. Eight regular season two playoff games, 62 00:03:55,720 --> 00:03:59,280 Speaker 1: and the playing game for Detroit we think classifies. So 63 00:03:59,360 --> 00:04:02,920 Speaker 1: Aaron wants all sorts of concessions. He wants five, four 64 00:04:02,960 --> 00:04:07,640 Speaker 1: of which are mediocre offensive players to return. So what 65 00:04:07,760 --> 00:04:11,280 Speaker 1: am I getting for that? Tom Cruise concessions? Top gun 66 00:04:11,320 --> 00:04:15,080 Speaker 1: makes one point four billion lebron for years. Concessions you 67 00:04:15,160 --> 00:04:17,839 Speaker 1: end up in the finals. Miami made a lot of concessions, 68 00:04:17,880 --> 00:04:20,960 Speaker 1: got to the finals four straight years. So Aaron wants 69 00:04:21,000 --> 00:04:23,719 Speaker 1: these concessions. Let's go to his last three years what 70 00:04:23,800 --> 00:04:25,760 Speaker 1: we classify as the ten big games, and here's what 71 00:04:25,839 --> 00:04:31,520 Speaker 1: you get. He's four and six, sixteen touchdowns, seven picks, 72 00:04:32,520 --> 00:04:37,080 Speaker 1: averages two hundred thirty yards. Those are Matt Ryan numbers. 73 00:04:37,680 --> 00:04:43,040 Speaker 1: Those aren't close to Mahomes, Alan Burrow, Herbert. They're not close. 74 00:04:44,360 --> 00:04:49,080 Speaker 1: They're not close to the last five good games for 75 00:04:49,120 --> 00:04:56,119 Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence. Aaron wants these concessions. He's not delivering championship 76 00:04:56,400 --> 00:05:00,520 Speaker 1: level football. One of the reasons he's not committed in 77 00:05:00,560 --> 00:05:06,479 Speaker 1: the off season. Other reasons he's not willing to play 78 00:05:06,560 --> 00:05:09,760 Speaker 1: with new teammates work out with them in the off season. 79 00:05:10,360 --> 00:05:12,440 Speaker 1: But we thought this was incredibly fair. We went back 80 00:05:12,440 --> 00:05:15,160 Speaker 1: as a staff and picked the ten big games. I'm 81 00:05:15,200 --> 00:05:21,920 Speaker 1: talking not one o'clock windows. Mostly we're talking against Brady Niners, playoffs, 82 00:05:22,360 --> 00:05:25,440 Speaker 1: Christmas Miami, by the way, trail big in that until 83 00:05:25,480 --> 00:05:28,719 Speaker 1: TWA started throwing the picks two who had a concussion 84 00:05:28,800 --> 00:05:31,200 Speaker 1: late in the first half. So if you're gonna ask 85 00:05:31,240 --> 00:05:37,720 Speaker 1: for concessions, you gotta deliver ratings, box office finals appearances. 86 00:05:38,000 --> 00:05:41,479 Speaker 1: Aaron no longer is four and six, last ten games 87 00:05:41,520 --> 00:05:44,159 Speaker 1: sixteen t seven picks, two hund thirty yards a game. 88 00:05:44,960 --> 00:05:48,320 Speaker 1: That's not close to the top six quarterbacks in this league. 89 00:05:50,720 --> 00:05:56,479 Speaker 1: So Jim Harbaugh has been interviewed now on multiple occasions 90 00:05:56,560 --> 00:06:01,960 Speaker 1: by the nc double A. They're saying there are infractions 91 00:06:02,000 --> 00:06:06,440 Speaker 1: they want to investigate. They call them incidents. So Harbaugh 92 00:06:07,000 --> 00:06:12,440 Speaker 1: says he doesn't recall the incident and is refusing to 93 00:06:12,520 --> 00:06:17,320 Speaker 1: acknowledge to investigators that he lied. The story is there 94 00:06:17,320 --> 00:06:21,880 Speaker 1: have been multiple meetings with the ncble A. An admission 95 00:06:22,160 --> 00:06:26,600 Speaker 1: that he lied would likely be a multiple game suspension. 96 00:06:27,520 --> 00:06:31,359 Speaker 1: And this is really my problem with the NBA. What 97 00:06:31,440 --> 00:06:34,400 Speaker 1: the NCAA should be in the business of is finding 98 00:06:34,560 --> 00:06:44,240 Speaker 1: programs that are habitually deceitful, that are consistently deceptive. Harbaugh 99 00:06:44,720 --> 00:06:49,520 Speaker 1: according to the story bought a player a burger in 100 00:06:49,600 --> 00:06:55,520 Speaker 1: twenty twenty one, Now time out. The IRS should be 101 00:06:55,600 --> 00:07:01,320 Speaker 1: auditing people like Enron or Well's far go where there's 102 00:07:01,360 --> 00:07:06,840 Speaker 1: a pattern of deception, not a plumber who wrote off 103 00:07:06,920 --> 00:07:11,800 Speaker 1: a trip to Vegas for a plumbing convention and probably 104 00:07:11,840 --> 00:07:14,920 Speaker 1: eight three meals with buddies, and not people in the 105 00:07:14,960 --> 00:07:21,120 Speaker 1: plumbing industry. Come on, NCLEA, Jim Harbaugh doesn't cheat. My 106 00:07:21,240 --> 00:07:25,040 Speaker 1: rule on this stuff is on an annual basis. Because 107 00:07:25,120 --> 00:07:29,920 Speaker 1: of the depth of the ncuble A rule book. It's 108 00:07:29,960 --> 00:07:35,080 Speaker 1: confounding and confusing. The coaches should get annual mulligans. You 109 00:07:35,200 --> 00:07:38,280 Speaker 1: buy a kid a sandwich, you give them a ride 110 00:07:38,560 --> 00:07:42,240 Speaker 1: to the airport. That's not what the ncble A is 111 00:07:42,280 --> 00:07:45,120 Speaker 1: in the business of them like the irs, they're in 112 00:07:45,360 --> 00:07:51,920 Speaker 1: the business of Hugh Freeze at ole miss buying players. Really, 113 00:07:51,960 --> 00:07:57,120 Speaker 1: you think Jim Harbaugh is your biggest issue? Come on, now, 114 00:07:57,880 --> 00:08:02,760 Speaker 1: that's what you're concerned about. A hamburger in an arbor. 115 00:08:03,720 --> 00:08:08,880 Speaker 1: New rule. Every coach gets an annual mulligan. You stop 116 00:08:08,920 --> 00:08:11,680 Speaker 1: off at subway kids hungry, he's on the way to 117 00:08:11,720 --> 00:08:15,600 Speaker 1: the airport. To the day before the Thanksgiving weekend starts 118 00:08:17,400 --> 00:08:25,560 Speaker 1: come on NCAA. Anytime you have one element in a 119 00:08:25,640 --> 00:08:33,280 Speaker 1: business that becomes overwhelmingly crucial to the success of that business, 120 00:08:34,559 --> 00:08:39,360 Speaker 1: that business gets predictable. I'll give you an example. Cable 121 00:08:39,400 --> 00:08:45,160 Speaker 1: television political cable television shows Fox, MSNBC. The thing that 122 00:08:45,280 --> 00:08:51,920 Speaker 1: gets ratings on both networks consistently is outrage. So it's 123 00:08:52,240 --> 00:08:58,360 Speaker 1: fairly predictable that on both networks all top shows are 124 00:08:58,400 --> 00:09:05,040 Speaker 1: selling some level of outrage. It's predictable because it delivers ratings. 125 00:09:05,720 --> 00:09:12,720 Speaker 1: The truth doesn't, all strong opinions don't. Outrage sells on 126 00:09:12,800 --> 00:09:17,160 Speaker 1: cable television, and so it usually leads the most popular 127 00:09:17,200 --> 00:09:20,319 Speaker 1: shows now many of the times on both networks. It's 128 00:09:20,320 --> 00:09:25,480 Speaker 1: not particularly outrageous to me, but if a host feels 129 00:09:25,679 --> 00:09:33,160 Speaker 1: or can sell or promote outrage, it works nightly, weekly, monthly, annually. 130 00:09:34,160 --> 00:09:38,800 Speaker 1: Some hosts clearly better than others. So in the NFL 131 00:09:39,720 --> 00:09:42,719 Speaker 1: as the league, due to safety precautions, has made the 132 00:09:42,800 --> 00:09:48,720 Speaker 1: quarterback basically hit free. Has opened up the field for receivers. 133 00:09:48,800 --> 00:09:52,959 Speaker 1: Quarterbacks tight ends to not get hit. Your skill players 134 00:09:53,000 --> 00:09:56,600 Speaker 1: feel much more comfortable going over the middle, going down field, 135 00:09:57,120 --> 00:09:59,720 Speaker 1: and it's become a very much an offensive leaning league. 136 00:09:59,720 --> 00:10:02,240 Speaker 1: We've talked about this. Of the eight teams left, seven 137 00:10:02,280 --> 00:10:08,400 Speaker 1: have offensive coaches and one Sean McDermott, just has Superman 138 00:10:08,480 --> 00:10:11,720 Speaker 1: at quarterback. They would not be a playoff team, certainly 139 00:10:11,800 --> 00:10:15,960 Speaker 1: not a winning playoff team if they had an average quarterback. 140 00:10:16,280 --> 00:10:19,920 Speaker 1: By the way, the Giants have an average quarterback. So 141 00:10:20,040 --> 00:10:24,040 Speaker 1: do we believe the Niners offensive coaches they win playoff games. 142 00:10:24,640 --> 00:10:27,200 Speaker 1: So this year, in my NFL predictions, I did something 143 00:10:27,240 --> 00:10:31,840 Speaker 1: I'd never done before. I got three divisions one through 144 00:10:31,880 --> 00:10:36,280 Speaker 1: four correct. In the AFC East, I had the Bills, 145 00:10:36,480 --> 00:10:40,400 Speaker 1: the Dolphins, the Patriots, and the Jets in order. In 146 00:10:40,480 --> 00:10:45,000 Speaker 1: the NFC, I had the NFC East in perfect order Philly, Dallas, Giants, Washington, 147 00:10:45,760 --> 00:10:50,000 Speaker 1: and the NFC North in perfect order Minnesota, Green Bay, Detroit, Chicago. 148 00:10:51,400 --> 00:10:55,120 Speaker 1: There's an argument to be made that I also got 149 00:10:55,240 --> 00:10:58,600 Speaker 1: a fourth half the league right in the NFC South 150 00:10:58,640 --> 00:11:01,840 Speaker 1: because I had Tampa winning and then three non playoff teams, 151 00:11:01,880 --> 00:11:04,440 Speaker 1: but since they all tied, there's no real order to that, 152 00:11:05,559 --> 00:11:09,360 Speaker 1: but three and a half perfectly. Why it's the most 153 00:11:09,360 --> 00:11:12,720 Speaker 1: I've ever done. Why because the league's getting more predictable, 154 00:11:13,880 --> 00:11:17,120 Speaker 1: and I think what you're going to see the best 155 00:11:17,200 --> 00:11:23,720 Speaker 1: quarterback one is all that's left in every AFC division. 156 00:11:24,240 --> 00:11:29,000 Speaker 1: Alan Mahomes, Burrow, and Trevor Lawrence. I think the AFC 157 00:11:29,280 --> 00:11:33,440 Speaker 1: for the next six to eight years, barring a coach 158 00:11:33,600 --> 00:11:36,480 Speaker 1: being fired or retiring. Andy Reid, I'm told may retire 159 00:11:36,559 --> 00:11:39,400 Speaker 1: within the next couple of years, I'm just gonna I 160 00:11:39,400 --> 00:11:41,760 Speaker 1: think you're going to see an AFC that is incredibly 161 00:11:41,800 --> 00:11:47,360 Speaker 1: predictable Mahomes, Alan Burrow, Trevor Lawrence, Rinse and repeat. Now, 162 00:11:47,400 --> 00:11:50,920 Speaker 1: if Andy Reid retires, the higher, the wrong coach, different ballgame. 163 00:11:51,920 --> 00:11:55,720 Speaker 1: But that doesn't mean on a week to week, game 164 00:11:55,760 --> 00:12:00,680 Speaker 1: to game basis, it's easier to predict the winners. But 165 00:12:00,800 --> 00:12:05,400 Speaker 1: as the league has become so overwhelmingly quarterback centric, the 166 00:12:05,440 --> 00:12:09,200 Speaker 1: AFC is now a layup. I can tell you right now, 167 00:12:09,520 --> 00:12:11,800 Speaker 1: I like all four of those quarterbacks next year in 168 00:12:11,840 --> 00:12:16,480 Speaker 1: the AFC. NFC is different. You've got overachievers at quarterback. 169 00:12:17,000 --> 00:12:20,439 Speaker 1: So the quality of the defense, the quality of the weapons, 170 00:12:21,480 --> 00:12:25,199 Speaker 1: the quality of the coaching matters much more in the NFC. 171 00:12:25,559 --> 00:12:31,640 Speaker 1: I mean, Brian Dable is taking a really mid level offense. 172 00:12:31,880 --> 00:12:33,760 Speaker 1: They do have a good running back and left tackle. 173 00:12:34,000 --> 00:12:37,280 Speaker 1: Receiving cores is below average, O lines, bottom quarter of 174 00:12:37,320 --> 00:12:40,800 Speaker 1: the league. But I think you know, I looked at 175 00:12:40,840 --> 00:12:46,360 Speaker 1: my predictions this year on divisions outside of the Rams 176 00:12:46,360 --> 00:12:49,400 Speaker 1: falling apart on the offensive line, did not predict that, 177 00:12:50,080 --> 00:12:53,360 Speaker 1: and the Russell Wilson disaster. I totally whipped on that. 178 00:12:54,080 --> 00:12:59,400 Speaker 1: Football is getting easier to predict annually. In fact, the 179 00:12:59,440 --> 00:13:02,360 Speaker 1: team I predicted would be the most improved we got 180 00:13:02,400 --> 00:13:06,120 Speaker 1: that right, Minnesota Vikings. They lost all those one possession games. 181 00:13:06,600 --> 00:13:09,280 Speaker 1: I said they're going to win a majority of not 182 00:13:09,520 --> 00:13:13,480 Speaker 1: lose those one possession games with an offensive coach. Again, 183 00:13:13,920 --> 00:13:21,559 Speaker 1: any business where one element quarterback drives success or productivity, 184 00:13:22,240 --> 00:13:30,680 Speaker 1: becomes a significantly easier business to predict outcomes. As a 185 00:13:30,760 --> 00:13:35,600 Speaker 1: small business owner or hiring manager, success depends on the 186 00:13:35,640 --> 00:13:39,760 Speaker 1: team you surround yourself with. That's why you should check 187 00:13:39,800 --> 00:13:45,840 Speaker 1: out LinkedIn jobs higher qualified candidates more efficiently by matching 188 00:13:46,000 --> 00:13:49,040 Speaker 1: open roles with people who have the skills, values, and 189 00:13:49,120 --> 00:13:52,960 Speaker 1: experience you want. That's what LinkedIn Jobs does. They go 190 00:13:53,040 --> 00:13:57,880 Speaker 1: beyond resume data by using insights from your job post 191 00:13:58,000 --> 00:14:01,120 Speaker 1: company in their eight hundred and seventy five member profiles 192 00:14:01,720 --> 00:14:05,720 Speaker 1: to put your post in front of the most qualified candidates. 193 00:14:05,760 --> 00:14:08,680 Speaker 1: It's really cool. They make it easy to screen and 194 00:14:08,760 --> 00:14:12,240 Speaker 1: rate applicants based on your job qualifications, all on one platform. 195 00:14:12,360 --> 00:14:15,480 Speaker 1: It's why small businesses rate LinkedIn Jobs number one number 196 00:14:15,480 --> 00:14:20,520 Speaker 1: one in delivering quality hires against leading competitors. Go to 197 00:14:20,560 --> 00:14:23,160 Speaker 1: post your job for free at LinkedIn dot com slash column. 198 00:14:23,640 --> 00:14:27,080 Speaker 1: LinkedIn dot com slash column, Place is Great Post your 199 00:14:27,160 --> 00:14:31,080 Speaker 1: job for free. Terms and conditions apply LinkedIn dot com 200 00:14:31,080 --> 00:14:38,920 Speaker 1: slash column. Bet the NFL Playoffs with FanDuel, where every 201 00:14:38,960 --> 00:14:42,760 Speaker 1: play is a rush. This weekend fan duels giving all 202 00:14:42,880 --> 00:14:47,520 Speaker 1: customers a no sweat same game parlay during the divisional round. 203 00:14:47,960 --> 00:14:51,000 Speaker 1: Doesn't matter if you're new to FanDuel or already have 204 00:14:51,040 --> 00:14:54,440 Speaker 1: an account. You'll get free bets back if your NFL 205 00:14:54,520 --> 00:14:58,680 Speaker 1: same game parlay doesn't hit. Same game parlays are the 206 00:14:58,680 --> 00:15:01,200 Speaker 1: perfect way to combine your best two or three or 207 00:15:01,240 --> 00:15:03,680 Speaker 1: four for a chance at a bigger payday. You build 208 00:15:03,720 --> 00:15:07,640 Speaker 1: your own or choose from one of the popular sgps 209 00:15:08,000 --> 00:15:11,640 Speaker 1: pre built for you and FanDuel's top rated sportsbook Gap. However, 210 00:15:11,640 --> 00:15:14,480 Speaker 1: you want to play Bet the NFL with a no 211 00:15:14,720 --> 00:15:18,240 Speaker 1: sweat same game parlay, just sign up promo code Colin 212 00:15:18,840 --> 00:15:21,160 Speaker 1: if you don't already have an account. That's promo code 213 00:15:21,160 --> 00:15:24,480 Speaker 1: Colin to get free bets back if your same game 214 00:15:24,560 --> 00:15:28,560 Speaker 1: parlay doesn't hit. Make Every Moment More with FanDuel, an 215 00:15:28,560 --> 00:15:31,840 Speaker 1: official sports betting partner of the NFL twenty one plus 216 00:15:31,840 --> 00:15:35,400 Speaker 1: in present in Arizona, Colorado, Connecticut, Indiana, and Louisiana. Permitted 217 00:15:35,440 --> 00:15:37,680 Speaker 1: parish is only Michigan, New Jersey, New York, Tennessee, Virginia 218 00:15:37,760 --> 00:15:40,480 Speaker 1: or West Virginia. First online real money wager only. Refund 219 00:15:40,520 --> 00:15:43,160 Speaker 1: issued as non withdrawable site credit that expires in fourteen days. 220 00:15:43,200 --> 00:15:46,080 Speaker 1: Restrictions suplice terms at sportsbook dot fandel dot com. Gambling 221 00:15:46,080 --> 00:15:48,480 Speaker 1: problem one hundred, next step or text next step to 222 00:15:48,560 --> 00:15:50,920 Speaker 1: five three three four two Arizona one eight eight seven 223 00:15:50,960 --> 00:15:53,840 Speaker 1: eight nine seven seven seven seven or visit CCPG dot org, 224 00:15:53,880 --> 00:15:56,800 Speaker 1: slash chat Connecticut one hundred gambler or visit FanDuel dot com, 225 00:15:56,880 --> 00:15:59,240 Speaker 1: slash RG and Colorado, Indiana, Jersey, and Virginia one eight 226 00:15:59,240 --> 00:16:01,640 Speaker 1: seven seven seven zero stop in Louisiana one hundred two 227 00:16:01,680 --> 00:16:03,360 Speaker 1: seven oh seven and one one seven for confidential help 228 00:16:03,400 --> 00:16:05,520 Speaker 1: in Michigan, Wan eight seven seven, h Ope n Y 229 00:16:05,680 --> 00:16:07,880 Speaker 1: or techs Hope n Y. For six seven three six 230 00:16:08,000 --> 00:16:11,680 Speaker 1: nine in New York Tennessee Redline eight nine Tennessee Visit 231 00:16:11,720 --> 00:16:20,120 Speaker 1: one eight hundred gamble dot in West Virginia. All Right, 232 00:16:20,200 --> 00:16:22,200 Speaker 1: I had a winning week. I went three and two 233 00:16:22,320 --> 00:16:27,640 Speaker 1: thanks to the Jags, Ravens, and Cowboys. Chad Millman's CCO 234 00:16:27,720 --> 00:16:31,120 Speaker 1: Action Network All odds provided by Fan Duel I said 235 00:16:31,240 --> 00:16:34,640 Speaker 1: last week, I will not be mocked or ridiculed. I'd 236 00:16:34,880 --> 00:16:38,840 Speaker 1: loved Dallas. I think sometimes you have to be honest 237 00:16:38,880 --> 00:16:41,720 Speaker 1: about what a team is. Tampa was eight nine sort 238 00:16:41,760 --> 00:16:46,000 Speaker 1: of what they are and it was unveiled. So this 239 00:16:46,000 --> 00:16:51,320 Speaker 1: week we've got four games, and I feel there's always 240 00:16:51,320 --> 00:16:54,680 Speaker 1: whenever you go into these big games, I try to 241 00:16:54,720 --> 00:16:58,120 Speaker 1: simplify everything. What are these teams at this point and 242 00:16:58,240 --> 00:17:01,760 Speaker 1: what are they not? So one of my I don't 243 00:17:01,800 --> 00:17:04,960 Speaker 1: like big favorites. You know this chat, but Kansas City 244 00:17:05,040 --> 00:17:09,240 Speaker 1: minus eight and a half is my play. Andy Reidoff 245 00:17:09,240 --> 00:17:12,960 Speaker 1: a bye is the greatest NFL coach ever. They met 246 00:17:13,000 --> 00:17:15,680 Speaker 1: in the first matchup, and as Greg Kosell pointed out 247 00:17:15,720 --> 00:17:20,440 Speaker 1: to me, there are some Jacksonville personnel disadvantages on defense 248 00:17:20,480 --> 00:17:24,720 Speaker 1: here they probably won't be able to overcome. They're still 249 00:17:24,760 --> 00:17:27,040 Speaker 1: in a rebuild. I argue they're a year ahead of schedule. 250 00:17:27,640 --> 00:17:31,840 Speaker 1: Jacksonville's off their biggest franchise win in years. This is 251 00:17:31,880 --> 00:17:35,600 Speaker 1: still a quarterback with less than you know, forty starts. 252 00:17:36,080 --> 00:17:39,000 Speaker 1: This is a lot that ask for the Jags. I 253 00:17:39,119 --> 00:17:44,879 Speaker 1: like the Chiefs by ten or more sharper square. So 254 00:17:45,000 --> 00:17:54,160 Speaker 1: it's square, but not like egregiously square. It's square because 255 00:17:55,119 --> 00:18:00,000 Speaker 1: there is there is so much data for a trends, 256 00:18:00,320 --> 00:18:05,800 Speaker 1: so much analysis broadly in this situation for number one 257 00:18:05,880 --> 00:18:10,560 Speaker 1: seeds underperforming against the market, and for the Chiefs specifically 258 00:18:10,720 --> 00:18:14,480 Speaker 1: underperforming against the market when they are really big favorites. 259 00:18:14,880 --> 00:18:18,680 Speaker 1: So that's why what's really interesting, and we're going to 260 00:18:18,800 --> 00:18:21,880 Speaker 1: get through this. With all the games today, there are 261 00:18:22,119 --> 00:18:28,400 Speaker 1: very specific play the trends sides and play the matchup sides, 262 00:18:28,800 --> 00:18:32,280 Speaker 1: and so with this one, the wise guys are playing 263 00:18:32,280 --> 00:18:36,879 Speaker 1: the trends. Agreed, Jackonsville's past defense is not very good, 264 00:18:37,320 --> 00:18:40,399 Speaker 1: but the Chiefs are not nearly as explosive as they 265 00:18:40,440 --> 00:18:44,520 Speaker 1: were with Tyreek Hill. They tend to play ball control 266 00:18:44,560 --> 00:18:47,080 Speaker 1: when they get a lead, and ball control for the 267 00:18:47,160 --> 00:18:49,760 Speaker 1: Chiefs doesn't mean they're just running it fifty times. It 268 00:18:49,800 --> 00:18:52,760 Speaker 1: means shorter passes, it means a little bit more conservative 269 00:18:52,760 --> 00:18:55,720 Speaker 1: on the play calling, not the sort of sling it 270 00:18:55,840 --> 00:19:00,800 Speaker 1: like Patrick Mahomes normally does. So I think that you're 271 00:19:00,840 --> 00:19:04,959 Speaker 1: starting to see the wise guys really like the Jaguars. Here. 272 00:19:05,000 --> 00:19:08,119 Speaker 1: A couple other trends that you should think about is 273 00:19:08,160 --> 00:19:11,800 Speaker 1: that in the past twenty years, number one seeds are 274 00:19:12,080 --> 00:19:17,040 Speaker 1: thirteen twenty five and one against the spread in this round, 275 00:19:17,720 --> 00:19:20,760 Speaker 1: and when they're favored by less than ten points, they're 276 00:19:20,840 --> 00:19:25,359 Speaker 1: eight twenty two and one. So that hits the button 277 00:19:25,960 --> 00:19:30,840 Speaker 1: for two number one seeds this weekend. All right, Hey, listen, 278 00:19:30,880 --> 00:19:34,439 Speaker 1: Miami kept it close with Buffalo with Skyler Thompson, so 279 00:19:34,640 --> 00:19:40,240 Speaker 1: that is that was a little bit of a last 280 00:19:40,280 --> 00:19:42,960 Speaker 1: two times Miami played them. I thought Mike McDaniel out 281 00:19:43,000 --> 00:19:46,280 Speaker 1: Coach McDermott. Get to that in a second. So Giants 282 00:19:46,280 --> 00:19:48,480 Speaker 1: plus seven and a half at Philly is the side 283 00:19:48,520 --> 00:19:54,000 Speaker 1: for me. I worry about Jalen Hurts one hundred percent health. 284 00:19:54,080 --> 00:19:57,280 Speaker 1: I worry of some of its inactivity. I worry about 285 00:19:57,280 --> 00:20:01,119 Speaker 1: a team that's become increasingly injured and turnover prone in 286 00:20:01,119 --> 00:20:03,960 Speaker 1: the last two months of the season. The Giants have 287 00:20:04,000 --> 00:20:06,920 Speaker 1: a way they have to play, but with Daniel Jones 288 00:20:07,200 --> 00:20:11,680 Speaker 1: now running the football more, they're a little better third 289 00:20:11,720 --> 00:20:14,879 Speaker 1: down team. They can play keep away a little better. 290 00:20:15,000 --> 00:20:19,760 Speaker 1: Now that said, Minnesota's awful and Daniel jones two best 291 00:20:19,760 --> 00:20:24,119 Speaker 1: games were against the Vikings, so let's slow down. I 292 00:20:24,280 --> 00:20:27,960 Speaker 1: like Philly to win, but in a division rivalry game, 293 00:20:28,760 --> 00:20:32,120 Speaker 1: Philadelphia was not playing great at the end of the year. 294 00:20:32,720 --> 00:20:37,320 Speaker 1: I think the buye does them no favors here. I'm 295 00:20:37,320 --> 00:20:41,880 Speaker 1: going to take the seven and a half sharper square colin. 296 00:20:43,680 --> 00:20:47,600 Speaker 1: I normally say when I don't have a consensus that 297 00:20:48,200 --> 00:20:51,359 Speaker 1: it is completely split. What I will say this time 298 00:20:51,400 --> 00:20:55,800 Speaker 1: is that there has been really smart money at big 299 00:20:55,840 --> 00:21:00,000 Speaker 1: big wagers on the Eagles and really really smart money, 300 00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:03,800 Speaker 1: big big wagers on the Giants. And this is where 301 00:21:05,119 --> 00:21:08,680 Speaker 1: covering sports betting gets the most fascinating. Games like these. 302 00:21:09,680 --> 00:21:13,120 Speaker 1: We just talked about trends versus matchups. We talked about 303 00:21:13,280 --> 00:21:16,119 Speaker 1: public often we talk about being on the public side, 304 00:21:16,920 --> 00:21:21,280 Speaker 1: fading the public at being against the public. Right now, 305 00:21:21,320 --> 00:21:25,120 Speaker 1: the Giants are a very very public team. They did 306 00:21:25,160 --> 00:21:29,120 Speaker 1: exactly what you just said against the Eagles. They had 307 00:21:29,200 --> 00:21:31,840 Speaker 1: ten or eleven wins in one score games. They were 308 00:21:31,840 --> 00:21:35,280 Speaker 1: a covering machine. The public is down on the Eagles 309 00:21:35,359 --> 00:21:38,160 Speaker 1: right now. They are not even the favorite to win 310 00:21:38,240 --> 00:21:40,679 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl from the NFC, that is the brock 311 00:21:40,800 --> 00:21:45,560 Speaker 1: Purty led Niners. So what you're doing if you like 312 00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:50,840 Speaker 1: the Eagles, you're actually fading the public right now because 313 00:21:50,880 --> 00:21:54,840 Speaker 1: the Giants are a public dog. And where this gets 314 00:21:54,880 --> 00:22:00,679 Speaker 1: really really interesting, really interesting. You are seeing amounts of 315 00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:03,800 Speaker 1: money and massive amounts of tickets coming in on the Giants, 316 00:22:04,320 --> 00:22:07,639 Speaker 1: and this line has been sitting at seven and a 317 00:22:07,720 --> 00:22:12,520 Speaker 1: half since Monday, so we're now with Thursday. You get 318 00:22:12,560 --> 00:22:15,800 Speaker 1: a massive amount of money on one side, and bookmakers 319 00:22:16,000 --> 00:22:19,840 Speaker 1: usually move the line. They haven't moved the line because 320 00:22:19,960 --> 00:22:24,280 Speaker 1: they're also getting significant wise guy play on the Eagles. 321 00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:27,520 Speaker 1: I will tell you, as we often talk about the 322 00:22:27,560 --> 00:22:30,000 Speaker 1: wise guy calls that we get for the favorite podcast, 323 00:22:30,160 --> 00:22:34,240 Speaker 1: Call of Sharp Calls, completely split on this, but we 324 00:22:34,280 --> 00:22:37,240 Speaker 1: do go ahead and decide to make taking the Eagles 325 00:22:37,280 --> 00:22:40,840 Speaker 1: at seven and a half are big balls better the 326 00:22:40,840 --> 00:22:46,320 Speaker 1: week because we like the matchup for the Eagles on 327 00:22:46,359 --> 00:22:50,119 Speaker 1: the field better. We think they're a better team. Jalen 328 00:22:50,200 --> 00:22:51,880 Speaker 1: Hurts Jordan Davis on the field. At the same time, 329 00:22:51,960 --> 00:22:55,639 Speaker 1: have not lost once this year. If we did not 330 00:22:55,760 --> 00:22:57,960 Speaker 1: have the public situation, if the Eagles hadn't been fading 331 00:22:57,960 --> 00:23:00,000 Speaker 1: at the end of the year, when Jalen Hurts was hurt, 332 00:23:00,320 --> 00:23:03,800 Speaker 1: it'd probably be ten point favorites. It's a tough one, though, 333 00:23:03,800 --> 00:23:07,720 Speaker 1: Colin the world is divided. This is splitting the world. 334 00:23:08,040 --> 00:23:10,720 Speaker 1: This and the Death Sailing are splitting the world in 335 00:23:10,800 --> 00:23:16,359 Speaker 1: two Okay, this one. I have no idea. I'm gonna 336 00:23:16,359 --> 00:23:18,040 Speaker 1: take the Bengals up to five and a half foun 337 00:23:18,119 --> 00:23:21,600 Speaker 1: duel odds if they I've said this today on the show, 338 00:23:21,640 --> 00:23:24,720 Speaker 1: and I'll get pushedback, I'm sure on social media. If 339 00:23:24,760 --> 00:23:27,320 Speaker 1: the old line was healthy for Cincinnati, I think they'd 340 00:23:27,320 --> 00:23:32,040 Speaker 1: blow out Buffalo. I think they're a significantly better situational team. 341 00:23:32,760 --> 00:23:35,600 Speaker 1: I think they're more balanced offensively. They're not actually as 342 00:23:35,640 --> 00:23:39,080 Speaker 1: beholden to Joe Burrow as the Bill's offense is now 343 00:23:39,240 --> 00:23:42,640 Speaker 1: to Josh Allen. Greg ko Sell said it today, take 344 00:23:42,640 --> 00:23:47,119 Speaker 1: out Allen and Stefon Diggs. Buffalo's offense personnel is just 345 00:23:47,160 --> 00:23:50,760 Speaker 1: not that talented, and you see it on film. Buffalo 346 00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:55,280 Speaker 1: is mistake prone. But they played very poorly against Miami. 347 00:23:57,480 --> 00:23:59,679 Speaker 1: Sean Payton told me the best weeks to be a 348 00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:02,399 Speaker 1: coach when you'll win and play like shit because you 349 00:24:02,440 --> 00:24:05,760 Speaker 1: can ride those players all week. I think Buffalo is 350 00:24:05,760 --> 00:24:09,240 Speaker 1: gonna play a lot better. Bengals are missing three offensive linemen. 351 00:24:09,960 --> 00:24:12,320 Speaker 1: The five and a half is a lot to give Burrow, 352 00:24:12,359 --> 00:24:16,400 Speaker 1: who's an excellent road quarterback. So I probably play Cincinnati 353 00:24:17,119 --> 00:24:20,280 Speaker 1: with no conviction at all. I think Buffalo rebounds and 354 00:24:20,320 --> 00:24:23,520 Speaker 1: plays well. I'll take the Bengals and the point Sharper square. 355 00:24:24,200 --> 00:24:27,040 Speaker 1: So flip around everything you just said and don't be 356 00:24:27,080 --> 00:24:32,440 Speaker 1: a square and take the Bills. Because if to say 357 00:24:32,440 --> 00:24:36,280 Speaker 1: that if the Bengals were not missing three offensive linemen 358 00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:41,359 Speaker 1: would be like saying if I had scored a hundred 359 00:24:41,440 --> 00:24:44,600 Speaker 1: points in a game in Hershey, Pennsylvania, I'd be an 360 00:24:44,680 --> 00:24:48,719 Speaker 1: NBA legend. That's how sort of fantastical that kind of 361 00:24:48,800 --> 00:24:52,920 Speaker 1: if then statement is okay, they don't have the three linemen, 362 00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:56,040 Speaker 1: and we saw what happened to the Bengals when they 363 00:24:56,040 --> 00:25:01,919 Speaker 1: were missing the Ravens team that they not even downfield. 364 00:25:02,480 --> 00:25:05,600 Speaker 1: Joe Burrow can't even drop back like this second he 365 00:25:05,680 --> 00:25:09,240 Speaker 1: drops back, someone is in his lap, and the Ravens 366 00:25:09,280 --> 00:25:13,440 Speaker 1: were doing that with a lot of heavy, heavy blitzing 367 00:25:13,520 --> 00:25:16,800 Speaker 1: and pass rushing. The Bills have a very deep defensive line. 368 00:25:17,000 --> 00:25:21,080 Speaker 1: They're a top ten pressure rate defensive line. Without blitzing, 369 00:25:21,160 --> 00:25:24,000 Speaker 1: and you make the points about playing badly, right. So 370 00:25:24,119 --> 00:25:26,919 Speaker 1: let's look at two teams that did not play well 371 00:25:26,960 --> 00:25:29,120 Speaker 1: in the opening round of the playoffs that were playing 372 00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:35,720 Speaker 1: against backup quarterbacks. Buffalo Bills played Skylar Thompson. They played terrible, 373 00:25:36,200 --> 00:25:40,280 Speaker 1: They had bad, really bad breaks. They still kind of 374 00:25:40,320 --> 00:25:43,240 Speaker 1: won that game handily, right, The score was closer than 375 00:25:43,280 --> 00:25:46,760 Speaker 1: it appeared in the fourth quarter. The Bengals played a 376 00:25:46,840 --> 00:25:50,520 Speaker 1: backup quarterback, They gained two hundred and thirty four yards 377 00:25:50,600 --> 00:25:54,359 Speaker 1: on offense, and they won the game on a lucky 378 00:25:54,480 --> 00:25:57,800 Speaker 1: ninety eight yard fumble recovery by a defensive linement, not 379 00:25:57,840 --> 00:26:00,199 Speaker 1: because their offense did anything special. In Joe Burrow did 380 00:26:00,200 --> 00:26:04,040 Speaker 1: anything special. So this game opened at six and a half, 381 00:26:04,080 --> 00:26:05,879 Speaker 1: It got bet down to three and a half, It 382 00:26:05,960 --> 00:26:08,040 Speaker 1: hit three and a half, and the wise guy started 383 00:26:08,080 --> 00:26:11,040 Speaker 1: pummeling it. Three and a half, four, four and a half, five, 384 00:26:11,200 --> 00:26:14,520 Speaker 1: five and a half. I would tell anybody bet the 385 00:26:14,560 --> 00:26:17,680 Speaker 1: Bills at five and a half. If he gets to six, 386 00:26:17,960 --> 00:26:20,040 Speaker 1: you walk away. Maybe you take a piece of the Bengals. 387 00:26:20,280 --> 00:26:23,320 Speaker 1: But when you get from say four and a half 388 00:26:23,320 --> 00:26:25,080 Speaker 1: to five and a half, you're kind of in these 389 00:26:25,080 --> 00:26:28,040 Speaker 1: dead numbers, right, the games really don't land. It's either 390 00:26:28,080 --> 00:26:29,920 Speaker 1: going to land on six or it might land on four. 391 00:26:30,040 --> 00:26:33,840 Speaker 1: So I say you take you take the five and 392 00:26:33,840 --> 00:26:36,000 Speaker 1: a half with the Bills. I hate all my picks. 393 00:26:36,640 --> 00:26:38,439 Speaker 1: I hope I convinced you of that. I really do 394 00:26:39,400 --> 00:26:44,600 Speaker 1: this one. So you can't. The offensive line thing, you cannot. 395 00:26:45,200 --> 00:26:48,280 Speaker 1: You cannot discount that it's massive well, and also a 396 00:26:48,359 --> 00:26:52,640 Speaker 1: huge component of burrows greatness is the sneaky deep ball. 397 00:26:53,320 --> 00:26:58,119 Speaker 1: He's deadly accurate fifteen yards in yet he's got a 398 00:26:58,160 --> 00:27:01,359 Speaker 1: tony romol he loved at rip, sometimes in a double 399 00:27:01,400 --> 00:27:04,680 Speaker 1: coverage and he's really successful. You just took that out. 400 00:27:05,080 --> 00:27:08,119 Speaker 1: They become much easier to defend. Their a nibble team 401 00:27:09,240 --> 00:27:13,040 Speaker 1: because when you're missing three offensive lineman, the deep, the 402 00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:17,040 Speaker 1: vertical passes out, so they become a very safe offense. 403 00:27:17,680 --> 00:27:21,520 Speaker 1: I don't think you can go to Buffalo, Okay. So 404 00:27:22,119 --> 00:27:24,640 Speaker 1: from time to time I admit this. I actually admitted 405 00:27:24,680 --> 00:27:27,400 Speaker 1: a lot is that my wife's an artist and so 406 00:27:27,440 --> 00:27:31,359 Speaker 1: she sees things I don't. And sometimes I'll see a 407 00:27:31,440 --> 00:27:37,040 Speaker 1: number and go, well, somebody knows something I don't. I 408 00:27:37,080 --> 00:27:39,800 Speaker 1: guess the numbers before they come out, and if there's 409 00:27:39,840 --> 00:27:42,720 Speaker 1: a big variance, and it's about once a week or 410 00:27:42,760 --> 00:27:46,040 Speaker 1: once every other week. I'm like, wow, that's a big variance. 411 00:27:47,000 --> 00:27:52,399 Speaker 1: Vegas knows something I don't know. So the Cowboys have 412 00:27:52,560 --> 00:27:59,200 Speaker 1: a forty eight hour minimum preparation deficit. They didn't get 413 00:27:59,240 --> 00:28:02,119 Speaker 1: home until three in the morning on Tuesday. The Niners 414 00:28:02,160 --> 00:28:09,120 Speaker 1: game was over Saturday afternoon. Also short week, facing now 415 00:28:09,280 --> 00:28:12,520 Speaker 1: the most physical team in the league. It's not like 416 00:28:12,600 --> 00:28:15,760 Speaker 1: it's a finesse team. Like I talked to Gerald McCoy 417 00:28:15,800 --> 00:28:19,280 Speaker 1: about this and he said, forget the prep time. Is 418 00:28:19,320 --> 00:28:22,159 Speaker 1: that body going to be ready for San Francisco for 419 00:28:22,200 --> 00:28:25,040 Speaker 1: three hours? They are just it is sumo wrestling. It 420 00:28:25,160 --> 00:28:28,600 Speaker 1: is just contact and bounding. And my guests on the 421 00:28:28,680 --> 00:28:30,600 Speaker 1: number was five and a half and it came in 422 00:28:30,680 --> 00:28:33,840 Speaker 1: at three and a half. I thought I thought at 423 00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:36,960 Speaker 1: five and a half it was safe at home. Two 424 00:28:37,040 --> 00:28:41,320 Speaker 1: day prep advantage, smartest offensive coach in a game in 425 00:28:41,360 --> 00:28:46,520 Speaker 1: which Seattle is not physical. They've tossed him around. So 426 00:28:46,600 --> 00:28:48,800 Speaker 1: it tells me the game's going to be closer. Vegas 427 00:28:48,800 --> 00:28:51,560 Speaker 1: as smarter than I am, so I'd take the Cowboys 428 00:28:51,560 --> 00:28:57,480 Speaker 1: and the points. And I hate it. Sharper square you are. 429 00:28:58,840 --> 00:29:03,280 Speaker 1: This is the sharpest you've ever said as a as 430 00:29:03,320 --> 00:29:06,720 Speaker 1: a sports analyst talking about betting. You've said many many 431 00:29:06,760 --> 00:29:09,960 Speaker 1: other sharp things in the context of your life, but 432 00:29:10,320 --> 00:29:13,400 Speaker 1: in this particular context, this is the sharpest thing you've 433 00:29:13,440 --> 00:29:17,440 Speaker 1: ever said. It's there, it's fishy, man. The game actually 434 00:29:17,440 --> 00:29:20,320 Speaker 1: opened at four and a half, got bet down to four, 435 00:29:20,480 --> 00:29:22,640 Speaker 1: got bet down to three and a half. Somebody took 436 00:29:22,680 --> 00:29:24,320 Speaker 1: a little bit of money on the Niners at three 437 00:29:24,320 --> 00:29:27,720 Speaker 1: and a half. But this is a pros Joe's game, 438 00:29:27,960 --> 00:29:30,840 Speaker 1: like majority of the tickets on the Niners, majority on 439 00:29:30,880 --> 00:29:35,280 Speaker 1: the money on the Cowboys right now. And there's a 440 00:29:35,320 --> 00:29:40,000 Speaker 1: really interesting narrative taking place in the betting world. And 441 00:29:40,520 --> 00:29:42,680 Speaker 1: this is why I love covering the betting world because 442 00:29:43,120 --> 00:29:46,440 Speaker 1: and why I always have. There is a conversation, a 443 00:29:46,520 --> 00:29:51,720 Speaker 1: shadow conversation, happening amongst millions and millions of betters that 444 00:29:51,880 --> 00:29:56,720 Speaker 1: influences billions of dollars in markets right But it's an 445 00:29:56,800 --> 00:29:59,280 Speaker 1: entirely different narrative than what is happening in sort of 446 00:29:59,320 --> 00:30:04,160 Speaker 1: the general sports debate space when people are analyzing these games. 447 00:30:05,160 --> 00:30:08,840 Speaker 1: The narrative right now is that if you look back, 448 00:30:10,000 --> 00:30:12,960 Speaker 1: who have the Niners played and when they have played 449 00:30:13,000 --> 00:30:16,480 Speaker 1: those teams, has their defense been not as good as 450 00:30:16,480 --> 00:30:19,880 Speaker 1: we thought. And so Brock Purdy's been winning all of 451 00:30:19,920 --> 00:30:24,920 Speaker 1: these games against quarterbacks who a lot of quarterbacks might 452 00:30:24,960 --> 00:30:27,440 Speaker 1: be able to beat if they have Kyle Shanahan as 453 00:30:27,480 --> 00:30:30,800 Speaker 1: their play caller and their scheme designer. And meanwhile, the 454 00:30:30,880 --> 00:30:36,320 Speaker 1: defense terrible first half against Geno Smith, terrible second half 455 00:30:36,640 --> 00:30:39,400 Speaker 1: against the Raiders. You're starting to see a lot of cracks. 456 00:30:39,440 --> 00:30:41,120 Speaker 1: That is a narrative that has taken place in the 457 00:30:41,120 --> 00:30:46,080 Speaker 1: betting community right now with the Niners defense. And so 458 00:30:46,760 --> 00:30:50,120 Speaker 1: I have been shocked to hear about the Cowboy love 459 00:30:50,800 --> 00:30:53,880 Speaker 1: this week, because I mean especially me, I was so 460 00:30:53,920 --> 00:30:58,720 Speaker 1: anti Cowboys last week, sadly, but this week the wise 461 00:30:58,720 --> 00:31:01,200 Speaker 1: guys are on the Cowboys. A stunner for me. I 462 00:31:01,240 --> 00:31:04,800 Speaker 1: hate all my picks. I've never said that. I hate 463 00:31:04,800 --> 00:31:10,160 Speaker 1: everything every week at this time of year, Colin, there's 464 00:31:10,160 --> 00:31:13,320 Speaker 1: nothing to love. You're grinding it out, You're hanging on 465 00:31:13,440 --> 00:31:17,120 Speaker 1: by fingernails, just hoping, dear God, can we get to 466 00:31:17,160 --> 00:31:20,240 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. I mean, I thought the Chiefs, I 467 00:31:20,360 --> 00:31:22,640 Speaker 1: just could be Chiefs was so sharp. I was going 468 00:31:22,720 --> 00:31:25,959 Speaker 1: to call my pick cheddar it was so good, and 469 00:31:26,120 --> 00:31:32,760 Speaker 1: now I wouldn't better knuckle on that thing. So what's 470 00:31:32,760 --> 00:31:37,920 Speaker 1: interesting about that is I would say of the of 471 00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:41,160 Speaker 1: the sharp plays, that's the one that I think people 472 00:31:41,200 --> 00:31:45,480 Speaker 1: are most skeptical about. What is starting to get some 473 00:31:45,520 --> 00:31:49,920 Speaker 1: plays the under in that game Andy Reid at Arrowhead 474 00:31:50,080 --> 00:31:54,960 Speaker 1: in his career, the unders are about fifty eight percent. 475 00:31:55,520 --> 00:31:58,520 Speaker 1: When he is a seven point favorite or more, that 476 00:31:58,720 --> 00:32:03,040 Speaker 1: climbs to seven percent. So the unders at fifty three 477 00:32:03,520 --> 00:32:06,360 Speaker 1: could go down to fifty two and a half. So 478 00:32:06,400 --> 00:32:09,040 Speaker 1: there's a lot of conversation about that. But that kind 479 00:32:09,040 --> 00:32:11,680 Speaker 1: of game script, if it's an under plays to the 480 00:32:11,680 --> 00:32:14,440 Speaker 1: strength of Jacksonville, let's try keeping it close. I mean, 481 00:32:14,440 --> 00:32:15,840 Speaker 1: it's hard to give up eight and a half at 482 00:32:15,840 --> 00:32:19,280 Speaker 1: the score. If they total up at fifty two, that's 483 00:32:19,320 --> 00:32:22,760 Speaker 1: a lot of points. Yeah, it's a lot of points. 484 00:32:24,120 --> 00:32:26,840 Speaker 1: It's a lot of points. Betting is hard. I hit. 485 00:32:27,200 --> 00:32:30,320 Speaker 1: Everybody can do it. Listen to this Millman. Fifty five 486 00:32:30,360 --> 00:32:32,760 Speaker 1: percent in the year, so my blazing five is done. 487 00:32:33,160 --> 00:32:35,640 Speaker 1: So now I only have four games, so yep, so 488 00:32:35,840 --> 00:32:37,520 Speaker 1: fifty five percent on the year, fifty five and a 489 00:32:37,560 --> 00:32:41,880 Speaker 1: half percent. Always I have always said fifty six is 490 00:32:41,920 --> 00:32:43,760 Speaker 1: my goal, fifty six, fifty six and a half because 491 00:32:43,760 --> 00:32:45,479 Speaker 1: you could be a pro better at fifty six, I 492 00:32:45,520 --> 00:32:48,040 Speaker 1: am not, but I feel good. Last year was my 493 00:32:48,040 --> 00:32:50,000 Speaker 1: worst year. It was the COVID year. I couldn't figure. 494 00:32:50,080 --> 00:32:52,719 Speaker 1: I had no rhythm all year. So I ended up 495 00:32:53,120 --> 00:32:55,440 Speaker 1: last two weeks three and two fifty five and a half. 496 00:32:55,480 --> 00:32:59,280 Speaker 1: I like that. Like it. If you could grind out 497 00:32:59,360 --> 00:33:02,760 Speaker 1: three and two every single week, Yeah, you're professional better. 498 00:33:03,040 --> 00:33:05,560 Speaker 1: That's that's the goal. Right when we did the you 499 00:33:05,600 --> 00:33:08,640 Speaker 1: know Colin, when Simon Hunter and I would go through 500 00:33:08,640 --> 00:33:11,680 Speaker 1: our five best picks every week on the Favorite podcast. 501 00:33:11,760 --> 00:33:14,600 Speaker 1: Our goal every week three and two, three and two, 502 00:33:14,640 --> 00:33:16,400 Speaker 1: three and two, three and two, Because look at that, 503 00:33:16,680 --> 00:33:20,680 Speaker 1: you go three and two over eighteen weeks. You end 504 00:33:20,680 --> 00:33:24,000 Speaker 1: the year nearly twenty games over five hundred. If you're like, 505 00:33:24,400 --> 00:33:27,000 Speaker 1: who's going to walk away saying I just went twenty 506 00:33:27,000 --> 00:33:30,320 Speaker 1: games over five hundred. Betting NFL, and if you're betting 507 00:33:30,360 --> 00:33:32,920 Speaker 1: the same number of dollars, and dollars equates to units 508 00:33:32,960 --> 00:33:35,360 Speaker 1: whatever you uni size. For you, a unit size might 509 00:33:35,360 --> 00:33:37,440 Speaker 1: be a million dollars a game. For me, it's like, 510 00:33:37,520 --> 00:33:40,280 Speaker 1: you know, maybe ten bucks a game, but a unit size, 511 00:33:40,360 --> 00:33:42,080 Speaker 1: I'm up twenty units at the end of the year. 512 00:33:43,080 --> 00:33:47,880 Speaker 1: That's fantastic. So yeah, I always look at a hundred 513 00:33:47,920 --> 00:33:50,960 Speaker 1: bucks a game because if I win it, I take 514 00:33:51,360 --> 00:33:54,080 Speaker 1: I take the little girl out for a snappy tequila 515 00:33:54,160 --> 00:33:57,640 Speaker 1: shot or two. Yeah, and some Mexican food. Yeah, leave 516 00:33:57,640 --> 00:34:01,080 Speaker 1: a tip. That's how I look at free dinner with 517 00:34:01,120 --> 00:34:05,040 Speaker 1: my beautiful redhead, my smart, beautiful, talented, redheaded wife. That's 518 00:34:05,040 --> 00:34:07,080 Speaker 1: the way to go. That's totally the way to go. 519 00:34:07,520 --> 00:34:11,320 Speaker 1: I want to talk about the Ravens for one second, 520 00:34:11,400 --> 00:34:14,160 Speaker 1: because you were on him. I was on them. That 521 00:34:14,280 --> 00:34:16,200 Speaker 1: was a crazy game last week because it was six 522 00:34:16,239 --> 00:34:18,799 Speaker 1: and a half, then seven, seven and a half, eight 523 00:34:18,840 --> 00:34:23,600 Speaker 1: and a half. It was a sweat. Man. They should 524 00:34:23,640 --> 00:34:27,839 Speaker 1: have won that game. Oh, because it's probably I think 525 00:34:27,920 --> 00:34:31,279 Speaker 1: fans sometimes understand this, but there are There was a 526 00:34:31,360 --> 00:34:34,640 Speaker 1: fourteen point play, yeah in that game, and I think 527 00:34:34,640 --> 00:34:38,960 Speaker 1: about that one play, fourteen point swing on the sneak 528 00:34:39,840 --> 00:34:43,680 Speaker 1: and so when we want now, usually guys complain about 529 00:34:43,719 --> 00:34:46,799 Speaker 1: that when they lose. So I won that bet and 530 00:34:47,239 --> 00:34:49,799 Speaker 1: lost a fourteen point swing. Yeah, so you know it's 531 00:34:49,840 --> 00:34:53,320 Speaker 1: the right side when you lose the two touchdown swing. 532 00:34:53,400 --> 00:34:55,920 Speaker 1: And I felt to the very end, I'm like, I 533 00:34:56,000 --> 00:34:58,040 Speaker 1: knew I was on the right side. Yes, it was 534 00:34:58,080 --> 00:35:03,120 Speaker 1: funny when the Chargers led big at half. My takeaway was, 535 00:35:03,440 --> 00:35:06,040 Speaker 1: this is the Chargers. They're going to get with a 536 00:35:06,080 --> 00:35:09,680 Speaker 1: defensive coach squirrely in the second half. And I was 537 00:35:09,680 --> 00:35:11,360 Speaker 1: sitting with a buddy and I said, I don't know 538 00:35:11,360 --> 00:35:13,600 Speaker 1: who's gonna win. I think the Chargers will. I said, 539 00:35:15,120 --> 00:35:17,600 Speaker 1: you watched this thing with three minutes to go. He 540 00:35:17,680 --> 00:35:20,080 Speaker 1: was a Charger fan. I said you better watch this. 541 00:35:20,239 --> 00:35:22,879 Speaker 1: I said, this thing's gonna get because you know they 542 00:35:22,920 --> 00:35:24,799 Speaker 1: want to get on that flight and go home. You 543 00:35:24,840 --> 00:35:26,200 Speaker 1: do not want to be in a losing flight. They're 544 00:35:26,239 --> 00:35:29,320 Speaker 1: gonna take no big chances. And by the way, Jacksonville 545 00:35:29,760 --> 00:35:33,640 Speaker 1: is pretty good coming from behind. They really are. If 546 00:35:33,680 --> 00:35:36,080 Speaker 1: they throw nine straight times with Trevor and Doug Peterson, 547 00:35:36,360 --> 00:35:38,840 Speaker 1: they're not bad at that. That's kind of a comfort 548 00:35:38,920 --> 00:35:43,160 Speaker 1: level to them. Look, we talked about this in the podcast. 549 00:35:44,480 --> 00:35:48,160 Speaker 1: We liked the Jags, and we liked the Jags because 550 00:35:48,719 --> 00:35:51,200 Speaker 1: of the coaching mismatch, and that's what it came down to. 551 00:35:51,360 --> 00:35:55,240 Speaker 1: We said, specifically, I will not bet on Brandon Staley 552 00:35:55,360 --> 00:35:59,759 Speaker 1: as a favorite on the road against Doug Peterson. People 553 00:35:59,800 --> 00:36:02,839 Speaker 1: will try to categorize them because they both are risk 554 00:36:03,160 --> 00:36:07,239 Speaker 1: taking coaches. Doug Peterson is risks taking in a very 555 00:36:07,280 --> 00:36:12,200 Speaker 1: strategic way. Brandon Staley is okay with his offensive coordinator 556 00:36:13,160 --> 00:36:16,280 Speaker 1: throwing the ball up twenty seven nothing in the second half. 557 00:36:16,320 --> 00:36:19,719 Speaker 1: That's not risk taking, that's just bad decision making completely. 558 00:36:19,760 --> 00:36:21,680 Speaker 1: And I will say one more thing, one more thing 559 00:36:22,239 --> 00:36:25,640 Speaker 1: to back up the Cincinnati play. You know, we will 560 00:36:25,680 --> 00:36:28,560 Speaker 1: do these luck rankings every week right where we're aggregating 561 00:36:28,560 --> 00:36:30,759 Speaker 1: all this different data and it basically says, this is 562 00:36:30,760 --> 00:36:33,480 Speaker 1: what should have happened the game, and it predicts regression 563 00:36:33,800 --> 00:36:36,560 Speaker 1: the following week. It tells you who's overvalued, who's undervalued. 564 00:36:36,600 --> 00:36:41,280 Speaker 1: In a game last week, the luckiest team in the league, 565 00:36:41,719 --> 00:36:46,080 Speaker 1: Cincinnati Bengals. If you played that game with the plays 566 00:36:46,160 --> 00:36:49,040 Speaker 1: that and they happened as they were expected to happen, 567 00:36:49,239 --> 00:36:53,320 Speaker 1: meaning there's not a fumble recovery for ninety eight yards, 568 00:36:54,760 --> 00:36:57,280 Speaker 1: Baltimore is expected to win that game twenty two fourteen. 569 00:36:58,000 --> 00:37:01,120 Speaker 1: And I'll tell you we're on the Bills. It's the 570 00:37:01,200 --> 00:37:06,360 Speaker 1: last word. I think. Yeah, I think Bills and Cowboys. 571 00:37:06,360 --> 00:37:09,640 Speaker 1: I can live with Giants. I feel like crap Chiefs 572 00:37:09,719 --> 00:37:13,960 Speaker 1: is ridiculous. Now, Like I'm going to bet the Eagles 573 00:37:14,560 --> 00:37:17,279 Speaker 1: and it makes me sick to my stomach. I've bet 574 00:37:17,320 --> 00:37:20,759 Speaker 1: the Cowboys, I'm sick to my stomach. I bet the Jaguars. 575 00:37:20,920 --> 00:37:23,040 Speaker 1: I'm sick to my stomach. The only one I feel 576 00:37:23,040 --> 00:37:25,160 Speaker 1: good about it is the bills. So you know what 577 00:37:25,200 --> 00:37:30,640 Speaker 1: that means. Bills are the only ones gonna lose. I 578 00:37:30,719 --> 00:37:33,439 Speaker 1: went drinking with Sean Payton this week. I had dinner too. 579 00:37:34,120 --> 00:37:37,239 Speaker 1: I haven't done this in thirty years. I had two tequilas, 580 00:37:37,280 --> 00:37:41,440 Speaker 1: a glass of wine, and a craft beer. Took me 581 00:37:41,520 --> 00:37:43,879 Speaker 1: forty eight hours to recover. No joke, dude, I did 582 00:37:43,880 --> 00:37:45,719 Speaker 1: the same thing. I was in New York City. I 583 00:37:45,760 --> 00:37:50,239 Speaker 1: went out for dinner on Tuesday night, as I met 584 00:37:50,280 --> 00:37:53,200 Speaker 1: someone for a drink beforehand. One glass of wine, two 585 00:37:53,760 --> 00:37:58,520 Speaker 1: big at an old school, classic Italian joint in the city, 586 00:38:00,120 --> 00:38:05,440 Speaker 1: two big boulevardiers, and I went to bed. I was 587 00:38:05,560 --> 00:38:09,360 Speaker 1: up at three until six. I had a massive headache 588 00:38:09,440 --> 00:38:12,080 Speaker 1: until about five. The next day, I had to go 589 00:38:12,120 --> 00:38:14,440 Speaker 1: to bed about nine o'clock. When I got back to Connecticut, 590 00:38:14,520 --> 00:38:17,759 Speaker 1: it was it was not pretty, was it? Rows? Is 591 00:38:17,800 --> 00:38:20,719 Speaker 1: that where you went? No, we went to Don Bartos, 592 00:38:21,120 --> 00:38:25,160 Speaker 1: which is kind of like it's in on seventeenth and sixth, 593 00:38:25,280 --> 00:38:29,160 Speaker 1: Like you know, I don't mean sure. It's like kind 594 00:38:29,200 --> 00:38:34,319 Speaker 1: of west of Flat Iron. And it was delicious. It's 595 00:38:34,360 --> 00:38:37,000 Speaker 1: like one of those old school places. You're there for 596 00:38:37,040 --> 00:38:42,360 Speaker 1: four hours, the food just keeps coming. Oh God, for 597 00:38:42,440 --> 00:38:45,680 Speaker 1: a night, New York is so much fun. There are 598 00:38:45,800 --> 00:38:49,680 Speaker 1: nights in New York like this night. You walk out 599 00:38:49,680 --> 00:38:53,560 Speaker 1: of the restaurant, You've had a great night. You feel invincible. 600 00:38:54,600 --> 00:39:00,520 Speaker 1: I know. I was in New York one night and 601 00:39:00,840 --> 00:39:05,040 Speaker 1: I have gone out to Delfriscos. That's on the west 602 00:39:05,080 --> 00:39:08,719 Speaker 1: side of town West fifty something. Yeah, it's it's in 603 00:39:08,760 --> 00:39:11,120 Speaker 1: the Fox News building, right it like it's like fifty 604 00:39:11,320 --> 00:39:14,719 Speaker 1: fifty firs or something like that. Yeah. And I was 605 00:39:14,760 --> 00:39:17,120 Speaker 1: staying at the London Hotel, which was down the street 606 00:39:17,120 --> 00:39:22,239 Speaker 1: from it, and the lead singer from Metallica was there 607 00:39:22,280 --> 00:39:28,799 Speaker 1: that night. Oh god. Yeah, So I go to Del Friscos. 608 00:39:28,880 --> 00:39:33,440 Speaker 1: I come out of there and I can remember I 609 00:39:33,520 --> 00:39:36,640 Speaker 1: was with a friend and I said, I understand why 610 00:39:36,719 --> 00:39:40,560 Speaker 1: New Yorkers have no idea where Utah is on a map. Ye, 611 00:39:41,360 --> 00:39:43,360 Speaker 1: when you have a great night in New York and 612 00:39:43,440 --> 00:39:46,839 Speaker 1: I'm looking down an alley and it's just New York. 613 00:39:46,920 --> 00:39:50,240 Speaker 1: It's pre COVID. There's lights. It's gorgeous. I'm like, shit, 614 00:39:50,840 --> 00:39:55,560 Speaker 1: this is there's nothing better. It will make you feel 615 00:39:56,320 --> 00:40:01,839 Speaker 1: like a million bucks. In November, Bono Bono was doing 616 00:40:01,880 --> 00:40:07,520 Speaker 1: this ten city worldwide tour to promote this biography that 617 00:40:07,560 --> 00:40:10,200 Speaker 1: he wrote, Autobiography, and it was a mix of the 618 00:40:10,280 --> 00:40:13,759 Speaker 1: show was a mix of songs and stories from the 619 00:40:13,760 --> 00:40:15,440 Speaker 1: book and like a lot of this stuff in the 620 00:40:15,440 --> 00:40:19,080 Speaker 1: book explained the songs that he wrote, right. And so 621 00:40:19,239 --> 00:40:24,360 Speaker 1: he's doing ten cities opening night Beacon Theater, Upper west Side, Manhattan. 622 00:40:24,840 --> 00:40:30,880 Speaker 1: I got tickets, third row, Like I'm in Bono's grill 623 00:40:31,200 --> 00:40:39,640 Speaker 1: man behind me, Bill Clinton, Hillary Clinton, Bono's wife, Tom Hanks, 624 00:40:40,120 --> 00:40:46,080 Speaker 1: the edge. I'm like, this is the greatest New York 625 00:40:46,080 --> 00:40:49,360 Speaker 1: experience you can have. You can't have that anywhere else. 626 00:40:49,400 --> 00:40:52,319 Speaker 1: With this crowd coming in and then we walk out, 627 00:40:52,640 --> 00:40:56,640 Speaker 1: We're done. I go to the Dublin House. You celebrate 628 00:40:57,000 --> 00:40:59,799 Speaker 1: seeing Bono at the Dublin House, which is like this 629 00:41:00,080 --> 00:41:04,359 Speaker 1: old school railroad car bar on the Upper west Side 630 00:41:04,400 --> 00:41:05,960 Speaker 1: that I used to go to when I first moved 631 00:41:05,960 --> 00:41:09,040 Speaker 1: to Manhattan. Nothing is changed in that bar, the same, 632 00:41:09,600 --> 00:41:12,520 Speaker 1: the same Jack Daniels on the shelf from thirty years ago. 633 00:41:13,280 --> 00:41:15,400 Speaker 1: And then you leave and you have a slice of pizza, 634 00:41:15,440 --> 00:41:21,400 Speaker 1: and it feels like I could live forever. It's so true. 635 00:41:22,520 --> 00:41:25,279 Speaker 1: I've had it's. It's I was lucky when I was 636 00:41:25,320 --> 00:41:27,399 Speaker 1: at ESPN. I'd go there about ten times a year, 637 00:41:27,560 --> 00:41:29,719 Speaker 1: never pay for anything. Of course, I've probably paid for 638 00:41:29,800 --> 00:41:31,600 Speaker 1: three drinks in my life in New York. It was 639 00:41:31,640 --> 00:41:34,080 Speaker 1: always on the company and New York's the only thing 640 00:41:34,120 --> 00:41:36,960 Speaker 1: better than New York is free New York, New York 641 00:41:37,000 --> 00:41:40,200 Speaker 1: on an expense account. Oh my god. So I did 642 00:41:40,200 --> 00:41:41,680 Speaker 1: a couple. I did a Joe Nameth a Van and 643 00:41:41,719 --> 00:41:44,160 Speaker 1: a couple of Eli manning events. I just had to 644 00:41:44,239 --> 00:41:46,960 Speaker 1: do live remotes. Good people. Michael k I'd go see 645 00:41:47,040 --> 00:41:48,440 Speaker 1: him if I was there, I'd s thought by the 646 00:41:48,640 --> 00:41:52,120 Speaker 1: radio station. Usually I did, you know, I had a 647 00:41:52,160 --> 00:41:55,000 Speaker 1: handful of people, good people, you'd you know, I had 648 00:41:55,040 --> 00:41:57,120 Speaker 1: to go to the New York radio station. So Tim 649 00:41:57,200 --> 00:41:59,520 Speaker 1: McCarthy was a sales guy. Michael Ky, so he'd see 650 00:41:59,520 --> 00:42:02,040 Speaker 1: good people. Justin Craig. We can edit that out. By 651 00:42:02,040 --> 00:42:06,279 Speaker 1: the way, they don't need props people, but New York, 652 00:42:06,280 --> 00:42:12,000 Speaker 1: New York, big steak wine friends on a fall, early 653 00:42:13,120 --> 00:42:21,160 Speaker 1: late summer, It's seriously walk out. It's like fifty seven 654 00:42:21,239 --> 00:42:25,680 Speaker 1: degrees and it's like a little dusky and it's just 655 00:42:26,760 --> 00:42:32,239 Speaker 1: it's perfect, the flip side, the flip side. When the 656 00:42:32,280 --> 00:42:35,120 Speaker 1: apocalypse comes, I don't want to be there and that 657 00:42:35,239 --> 00:42:39,160 Speaker 1: that's what scares me. Yeah, it's a it's a city 658 00:42:39,160 --> 00:42:44,680 Speaker 1: of heislos. Yeah. I mean, on a good night, you 659 00:42:44,719 --> 00:42:46,399 Speaker 1: could get caught in the middle of a mob hit 660 00:42:46,560 --> 00:42:49,600 Speaker 1: and you'd be like, you know, great night, brief incident. 661 00:42:49,800 --> 00:42:54,480 Speaker 1: I'm good on the best nights. Nothing gets in your way. There. 662 00:42:54,680 --> 00:42:56,839 Speaker 1: You go to the bar, it's great looking people, it's 663 00:42:56,880 --> 00:42:59,480 Speaker 1: on the company. You have a big piece of steak. 664 00:43:00,120 --> 00:43:03,160 Speaker 1: It's just so much energy and fun and arrogance and 665 00:43:04,120 --> 00:43:06,840 Speaker 1: laughter and it's all the things that are you know, 666 00:43:07,000 --> 00:43:08,719 Speaker 1: all right, I gotta get out of here right there. 667 00:43:08,719 --> 00:43:28,919 Speaker 1: I'll see you later the volume. Make sure to check 668 00:43:28,960 --> 00:43:32,719 Speaker 1: out The Draymond Green Show. I brought Draymond Green into 669 00:43:32,719 --> 00:43:35,680 Speaker 1: the volume because one of the more entertaining voices in sports. 670 00:43:35,840 --> 00:43:40,040 Speaker 1: Unique perspective understands behind the rope also chops up with 671 00:43:40,120 --> 00:43:43,919 Speaker 1: guests like Gary Peyton, Zach Levine, Tracy McGrady. Make sure 672 00:43:44,120 --> 00:43:48,360 Speaker 1: download The Draymond Green Show wherever you get your podcasts, 673 00:43:48,360 --> 00:43:51,880 Speaker 1: only on the Volume podcast network,