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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Sunday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Perot. You guys can follow me across all of

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Speaker 1: my socials at Sports Talk Matt, and welcome to the

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Speaker 1: first Well the day after the first really bad day

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Speaker 1: of twenty twenty five. We will have many of these.

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Speaker 1: This is not the first time, nor will be the

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Speaker 1: last time during this year that we will wind up

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Speaker 1: down three point five five units. The Texans, well, we'll

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Speaker 1: talk about that here in just one second. That could

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Speaker 1: have they lost by nine. We played eight and a half.

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Speaker 1: If you played it late, you either pushed or cashed.

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Speaker 1: So hopefully you played it late. Lions lose the game outright.

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Speaker 1: Lions were down big at the break. The Props went

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Speaker 1: one in one in four day, down three point five

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Speaker 1: to five units, which does take a pretty good chunk

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Speaker 1: out of the week for us. But we still have

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Speaker 1: a chance to have a winning week here on a Wednesday.

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Speaker 1: The Texans bet, I mean when a kicker misses two

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Speaker 1: field goals and then the extra point winds up costing us.

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Speaker 1: If fair Brandon hit that extra point, they would have

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Speaker 1: lost by eight and we would have covered. Instead, they

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Speaker 1: lose by nine, and we don't I can speak for

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Speaker 1: I think all non Chief fans here when the NFL

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Speaker 1: has had a problem for a long time, but now

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Speaker 1: it's become it's beyond a problem. It's now making the

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Speaker 1: sport unwatchable. Like did you see the level of hits

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Speaker 1: that Jaden Daniels took or the hits of Jared Goff

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Speaker 1: took in the very next game? Like Patrick Mahomes has

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Speaker 1: to play football like he can't play two hand touch

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Speaker 1: and everybody else plays tackle football. It doesn't work. They

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Speaker 1: called a hit to the head when two defenders of

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Speaker 1: the Texans hit each other and they didn't touch Patrick Mahomes,

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Speaker 1: he slid underneath them. They threw a fifteen yard flag.

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Speaker 1: They threw a flag in the first half for Will

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Speaker 1: Anderson hitting him in the chest and everybody was like,

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Speaker 1: wait a minute, that rough rough in the passer. It's

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Speaker 1: the playoffs, Like what are we doing? Like this is ridiculous. Now.

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Speaker 1: I don't know whether the Texans would have won the

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Speaker 1: game or not. I know they would have covered, but

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Speaker 1: I don't know if they would have won the game

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Speaker 1: or not. The Chiefs were the better football team on paper,

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Speaker 1: they were the better football team in key moments, but

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Speaker 1: the Texans won every single category of that game. They

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Speaker 1: ran the ball more effectively, they played better defense. I mean, heck,

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Speaker 1: they got put on their heels from the opening kick

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Speaker 1: when they had to hold the Chiefs to a field

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Speaker 1: goal right out of the gate. They were down three

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Speaker 1: to nothing after the first thirty seconds of the game.

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Speaker 1: I thought that the Texans played really well, but I

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Speaker 1: really thought the referees had a major, major impact. I

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Speaker 1: thought they had the thumb on the scale. I mean

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Speaker 1: that that crew now is seven and zero and the

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Speaker 1: Chiefs are seven and oh, and that crew is refereeing.

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Speaker 1: Watch out for that crew. If that crew gets to

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Speaker 1: the Super Bowl, watch out because that crew is biased.

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Speaker 1: I hate to call out referees, but I don't think

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Speaker 1: they're trying to make it so the Chiefs win. I

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Speaker 1: just think they're making it so knowing can touch Patrick Mahomes,

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Speaker 1: And I mean Mahomes tried to buy a call on

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Speaker 1: the sidelines where he flopped and literally everybody in the

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Speaker 1: Texans sideline thought the referees were going to call it

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Speaker 1: like it was an awful He slowed up right before

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Speaker 1: the sidelines and then leaned back and then got pushed

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Speaker 1: and then flopped like Lebron level flop, and everybody thought,

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Speaker 1: that flag is going to come out right. That flag

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Speaker 1: is going to come out right. So it's another game

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Speaker 1: in which you see the Chiefs win by one score.

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Speaker 1: If you teased it with the Texans, you got there. CJ.

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Speaker 1: Stroud now is fourteen and three as a dog to

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Speaker 1: six point teasers. Unfortunately, on the other side, Jared Goff

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Speaker 1: kind of turned back into a pumpkin. I mean, those

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Speaker 1: interceptions were horrible. You can talk about the defense and

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Speaker 1: the injuries, the effectiveness of Jaden Daniels, the unbelievable play

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Speaker 1: of the wide receivers for the Commanders, but really it

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Speaker 1: was the turnovers. That's what really hurt the Lions. Can't

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Speaker 1: turn the football over, can't throw interceptions, can't throw interceptions

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Speaker 1: in the end zone. I mean, Jared Goff, oh my goodness, gracious,

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Speaker 1: that was brutal to watch. So that killed the day

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Speaker 1: with us so zero and three on our few our

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Speaker 1: full unit plays one in one on our prop bets.

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Speaker 1: So if you guys watched the live stream on Saturday

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Speaker 1: morning or Saturday afternoon, depending where you are, you know

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Speaker 1: the place, like you know what I've bet you haven't.

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Speaker 1: I'll tell you here in just one second, but I'm

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Speaker 1: going to give you player props this morning on the

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Speaker 1: Discord channel bettingpros dot com slash chat. Note the start time.

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Speaker 1: It is not going to be in the morning early.

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Speaker 1: It's going to be in the morning late. It's going

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Speaker 1: to be an eleven o'clock specific two pm Eastern time

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Speaker 1: because kickoff for the first game is not until three

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Speaker 1: pm Eastern time. So I'm going to go at two

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Speaker 1: pm Eastern time on our Discord channel. I'll give you

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Speaker 1: at least two player props, maybe more, will break down

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Speaker 1: the game, take questions from you guys as to whatever

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Speaker 1: you want. We'll go for about twenty minutes or so

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Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com slash Chat. By the way, a bunch

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Speaker 1: of you have been asking when you get booted from

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel for whatever you could have done. I

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Speaker 1: have no idea what you could have done, but you

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Speaker 1: can't ask me to put you back because I don't

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Speaker 1: know why you were kicked out. If the link doesn't

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Speaker 1: work for you, if you put in Bettingpros dot com

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Speaker 1: slash chat and the link says inspired or it doesn't work.

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Speaker 1: That's because you've had your privileges. It's a free site revoked,

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Speaker 1: and I'm not going to give you your privileges back

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Speaker 1: because I don't know why somebody banned you. If we

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Speaker 1: knew why somebody banned you, then you know, maybe I

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Speaker 1: might come up and have a conversation, but I don't

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Speaker 1: know why, like I don't know why it happened. So

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Speaker 1: for that reason, you know, just heads up on that.

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Speaker 1: That's why. So that's why you've been kept out. Okay,

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Speaker 1: let's start with the early game here with the Rams

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Speaker 1: and the Eagles. I'm wearing an Eagles hat and you

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Speaker 1: might think that I'm going to be on the Eagles,

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Speaker 1: but I am actually not on the Eagles. I am

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Speaker 1: going to take the six and a half points with

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Speaker 1: the Rams. The weather's going to be a big factor here. Okay.

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Speaker 1: Karen Williams, just like Joe Mixon, had to be the

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Speaker 1: best player on the field for the Texans for them

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Speaker 1: to be in the game, and he was same thing

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Speaker 1: with Karen Williams. He has got to run the football.

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Speaker 1: They cannot ask Matthew Stafford to stop to just drop

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Speaker 1: back forty times and try to throw in these conditions,

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Speaker 1: it's just a bad idea. Okay, to dome team outdoors

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Speaker 1: East coast in Philly, but Philly's offense does not scare me.

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Speaker 1: I think that Rams defense played really well and they

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Speaker 1: get benefit of the Rams to play last week and

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Speaker 1: get some confidence. Now this Eagles team also played last week.

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Speaker 1: They didn't have a buy But, by the way, isn't

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Speaker 1: that crazy how in the College foot football Playoff, all

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Speaker 1: four teams that had to buy lost and so far

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs got to buy. They won. With the we're

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Speaker 1: one and one with the Lions losing, It's almost like

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Speaker 1: buy's are kind of bad to have. But anyways, Jalen

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Speaker 1: Hurts against good teams is awesome. ATS. He's fifteen and

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Speaker 1: seven against the spread when his opponent is over five hundred.

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Speaker 1: Only Lamar Jackson better. He's been great. Eagles are an

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Speaker 1: awesome second half team. The Rams don't have much history.

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Speaker 1: Matthew Stafford not much history playing in the cold weather,

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Speaker 1: but Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay on a short week

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Speaker 1: are eight and two ATS. They know how to get ready.

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Speaker 1: They simply know how to get ready. Hurts has played

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Speaker 1: three home playoff games in his career, he's three and

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Speaker 1: oh straight up and three and oh against the spread. Okay,

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Speaker 1: covering by an average is sixteen point eight points. That's

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Speaker 1: really impressive. The only other three and oh ats quarterback

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Speaker 1: in NFL history or better at home in the playoffs

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Speaker 1: is Kurt Warner did all with the Cardinals. So I

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Speaker 1: mean Hurts is the second most profitable quarterback at home

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Speaker 1: in the playoffs since two thousand and three. Only Mahomes

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Speaker 1: is better. But I think this Rams team has got

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Speaker 1: something big to play for. I think Matthew Stafford talk

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Speaker 1: about quarterbacks who know how to win, quarterbacks who are understanding. Look,

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Speaker 1: since two thousand and three, Super Bowl winning quarterbacks are

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Speaker 1: sixty two twenty five and two ats as underdogs in

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Speaker 1: the playoffs against the spread, those quarterbacks are twenty five

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Speaker 1: and eight ATS as a dog before winning the ring

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Speaker 1: and thirty seven seventeen to two after winning the ring,

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Speaker 1: including for Matthew Stafford fifteen and five since twenty eighteen.

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Speaker 1: For quarterbacks who have won championships and then turn around

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Speaker 1: who are dogs in the playoffs, Rams are plus six

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Speaker 1: and a half. Here. I think the Eagles will win

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Speaker 1: the game. I think the snow keeps it close. I

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Speaker 1: think we're in for a whale of a football game

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Speaker 1: in awesome back and forth battle. We're going plus six

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Speaker 1: and a half. Plus six and a half for the

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Speaker 1: Rams on the road. I think they got a shot.

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Speaker 1: They'll have a shot to win the game, much like

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Speaker 1: the Texans. Texans had a shot to win the game.

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Speaker 1: I think the Rams will have a shot to win

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Speaker 1: the game. I think the Eagles will win. Give me

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Speaker 1: the points Rams plus six and a half. Eagles win,

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Speaker 1: Rams cover. Let's go to the second game and the

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Speaker 1: game that everything runs right too, now that the commander

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Speaker 1: is winning, really blew up any parlays from a four

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Speaker 1: leg you know, money line perspective of people taking the

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Speaker 1: Chiefs and the Lions and taking the Eagles, and taking

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Speaker 1: the Ravens or the Bills. Those parties are all dead.

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Speaker 1: So those are gone. Doesn't mean this is not gonna

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Speaker 1: have a huge handle. This is gonna be the biggest

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Speaker 1: handle day of game of the day. This is going

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Speaker 1: to be an awesome game. Minus one for the Ravens

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Speaker 1: opened up at minus one for Buffalo. Total is fifty

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Speaker 1: one and a half. It really hasn't moved all that

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Speaker 1: much here over the last couple of days. It stayed

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Speaker 1: pretty well solid. These numbers for the Buffalo Bills. If

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Speaker 1: you are a Bills fan, you are not going to

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Speaker 1: like these stats. If Buffalo does wind up being a

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Speaker 1: home dog, it'll be the first time since nineteen sixty

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Speaker 1: seven that the Bills would be a home dog in

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Speaker 1: the postseason. Len Dawson and the Chiefs went into Buffalo,

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Speaker 1: they were favored in nineteen sixty seven. That's the last

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Speaker 1: time that the Buffalo Bills have been a dog at

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Speaker 1: home in the postseason. Lamar Jackson's three and one ATS

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Speaker 1: against Josh Allen. He's had his number in the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: Lamar when he is a dog at kickoff, He's twelve

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Speaker 1: and three ats, twelve and three as a dog, fourteen

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Speaker 1: and one in a six point teaser. If Lamar opens

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Speaker 1: as a dog, as he did here, he's not a

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Speaker 1: dog right now. He's favored, but it did open as

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Speaker 1: a dog. Lamar Jackson is nineteen and one in a

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Speaker 1: six point teaser. He's seventeen and three against the spread.

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Speaker 1: Lamar is twenty and five straight up when games are

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Speaker 1: played at night. That's the best mark of any starting

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Speaker 1: quarterback since the merger for Qbs who have started fifteen games,

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Speaker 1: and here's the kicker. Baltimore won the first game thirty

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Speaker 1: five to ten. In rematches from the regular season in

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Speaker 1: the playoffs where the winning team won by twenty points

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Speaker 1: or more, the winning team is ten and one straight

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Speaker 1: up in the rematch, I'm gonna gamble. I don't normally gamble,

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Speaker 1: but I'm gonna gamble. We have that one unit play

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Speaker 1: on the Ravens to win the Super Bowl. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: double down on it. I'm gonna lay the one. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna lay the one with the Ravens to win this

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Speaker 1: game and to advance to the AFC Championship game at

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Speaker 1: Arrowhead up against the k C Chiefs, where I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: guess they're probably going to be somewhere. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: If they kill the Bills, they might be favored, but

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Speaker 1: if they just win by like four or five points,

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Speaker 1: probably case minus one, case minus two, kind of a

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Speaker 1: similar line that we see here for today. But I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna come in here and I'm gonna lay the one.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna go minus one Ravens minus one for one

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Speaker 1: point one units, and I'm gonna do a same game

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Speaker 1: teaser now you have to shop around to fight it

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Speaker 1: to find this because I bet this yesterday and there

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Speaker 1: really aren't any picks out there, so you probably gotta

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Speaker 1: wait a little while wait to see where this is.

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Speaker 1: And you can get fifty one and a half now

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Speaker 1: and tease this up to fifty seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: I think you get a pick, you go plus six

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Speaker 1: on the Ravens, and then you get fifty seven and

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Speaker 1: a half. It's a better number than what I've got.

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Speaker 1: I've got Ravens plus six and the under fifty six

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Speaker 1: and a half. Under fifty seven and a half obviously

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Speaker 1: is a better number than what I have played. But

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Speaker 1: if you look at just how these teams have played,

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Speaker 1: fifty six and a half is a lot of points. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I know, we just saw it with the Dome game

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Speaker 1: for the Lions and the forty two points scored in

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Speaker 1: the second quarter, which was the most ever in a

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Speaker 1: playoff game in the second quarter for the Commanders in

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Speaker 1: the Lions. I just don't think these teams are going

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Speaker 1: to run the ball. I think they're gonna run the ball.

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Speaker 1: I think because they're gonna run the ball as effectively

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Speaker 1: as both of them. I think are going to I

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Speaker 1: don't think we see like, you know, both teams in

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Speaker 1: the thirties. That would really be surprising to me, to

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Speaker 1: be quite honest. The first game was thirty five to ten.

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Speaker 1: But we get that again, then we're good and the

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Speaker 1: game's gonna go under on this. So the weather is

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Speaker 1: definitely something to pay attention to. Okay, it's gonna feel

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Speaker 1: you know, it's gonna be most likely no, no, but

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Speaker 1: it's gonna be frigid, arctic cold, thirteen degree temperature with wind,

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Speaker 1: it's gonna feel like two three, four five somewhere in

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Speaker 1: that range. Nasty. Tackling is gonna suck. Tackling. Dereck Henry

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Speaker 1: is going to suck more on that when I give

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Speaker 1: you the prop bets coming up later on today. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so are three bets for today, and look, I'm due

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Speaker 1: to cool off, so you want to fade it. Go ahead.

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Speaker 1: We won eight of ten, We've gone back to back

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Speaker 1: losing days, so you know, is this a cool off?

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Speaker 1: Very possible. But Rams plus six and a half for

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Speaker 1: one point one units, Ravens minus one for one point

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Speaker 1: one units, and the Ravens plus six and the under

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Speaker 1: fifty six and a half. Same game, teaser for the

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Speaker 1: Ravens and their game up against the Buffalo Bills. Got

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Speaker 1: three bets going on the Ravens to win that game,

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Speaker 1: super Bowl Future Ravens minus one and Ravens and a

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Speaker 1: teaser and the under. So we'll see how this plays out.

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Speaker 1: Rams plus six and a half. I think the Rams

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Speaker 1: are gonna Rams games be really fun. Cannot wait. Both

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Speaker 1: games is gonna be awesome. Can't wait to watch either

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Speaker 1: one eleven am Pacific two pm Eastern Time on the

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros Discord channel Bettingpros dot Com, slash chat, player props, breakdown,

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Speaker 1: line movements, late scratches, and other information we'll have for

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Speaker 1: you coming up lander On today. Looking forward to seeing

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Speaker 1: all of you on our Discord channel live chat at

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Speaker 1: two pm Eastern Time. Today. Mine's Matt Parolt Fumcas all

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Speaker 1: socials at Sports Talk Matt every single morning. Wherever you

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Speaker 1: guys get your podcasts, it is dilly juice