1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:08,719 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. Now, what I'm asking 2 00:00:08,840 --> 00:00:13,960 Speaker 1: for is a piece of ice, cold and poorly located 3 00:00:14,840 --> 00:00:18,440 Speaker 1: that can play a vital role in world peace and 4 00:00:18,520 --> 00:00:19,640 Speaker 1: world protection. 5 00:00:20,800 --> 00:00:23,600 Speaker 2: Today, at the annual meeting of the World Economic Forum 6 00:00:23,640 --> 00:00:27,400 Speaker 2: in Davos, Switzerland, Preston Trump laid out his most detailed 7 00:00:27,400 --> 00:00:31,040 Speaker 2: case yet for why the United States should take over Greenland. 8 00:00:31,600 --> 00:00:34,720 Speaker 2: Trump said the US needs it for national security reasons, 9 00:00:34,960 --> 00:00:37,240 Speaker 2: and the US is owed it because of how much 10 00:00:37,280 --> 00:00:38,800 Speaker 2: the country has given its allies. 11 00:00:39,080 --> 00:00:42,879 Speaker 1: It's a very small ask compared to what we have 12 00:00:42,960 --> 00:00:46,560 Speaker 1: given them for many, many decades. 13 00:00:47,120 --> 00:00:49,400 Speaker 2: In the run up to the president speech, the leaders 14 00:00:49,440 --> 00:00:52,760 Speaker 2: of Canada, France, and the United Kingdom responded to what 15 00:00:52,800 --> 00:00:56,280 Speaker 2: Trump has said and posted about Greenland, including threats to 16 00:00:56,280 --> 00:00:59,600 Speaker 2: tear iff European trading partners over the issue, and signaled 17 00:00:59,760 --> 00:01:02,120 Speaker 2: it could lead to the end of a global order 18 00:01:02,280 --> 00:01:04,280 Speaker 2: that's been in place since World War Two. 19 00:01:04,680 --> 00:01:08,560 Speaker 3: The rules based order is fading. That the strong can 20 00:01:08,600 --> 00:01:11,679 Speaker 3: do what they can and the week must suffer what 21 00:01:11,800 --> 00:01:12,280 Speaker 3: they must. 22 00:01:12,560 --> 00:01:15,200 Speaker 1: When we look at the situation, it's it's clearly a 23 00:01:15,360 --> 00:01:16,399 Speaker 1: very concerning time. 24 00:01:16,720 --> 00:01:21,480 Speaker 4: The use of tariffs against allies is completely wrong. 25 00:01:22,720 --> 00:01:24,560 Speaker 2: It is not the right way. 26 00:01:24,800 --> 00:01:27,240 Speaker 4: To resolve differences within an alia. 27 00:01:27,760 --> 00:01:30,279 Speaker 2: So by the time Trump took the podium. 28 00:01:30,120 --> 00:01:33,679 Speaker 1: So many friends, few enemies. 29 00:01:33,840 --> 00:01:37,039 Speaker 2: Many of the prime ministers and presidents and senior executives 30 00:01:37,080 --> 00:01:38,720 Speaker 2: in the audience were on edge. 31 00:01:39,160 --> 00:01:41,800 Speaker 4: He really turned the volume up, amped up the pressure 32 00:01:41,880 --> 00:01:45,240 Speaker 4: by just you know, leaving everyone guessing, you know, is 33 00:01:45,280 --> 00:01:47,640 Speaker 4: he going to invade Greenland? What is he going to do? 34 00:01:48,400 --> 00:01:51,800 Speaker 2: That's Flavia Kraus Jackson, who oversees our economic and political 35 00:01:51,840 --> 00:01:54,920 Speaker 2: coverage in Europe. She watched the speech in Davos. 36 00:01:55,120 --> 00:01:58,240 Speaker 4: He made two big items of news. One he said, 37 00:01:58,800 --> 00:02:00,680 Speaker 4: I'm not going to invade. 38 00:02:00,800 --> 00:02:04,480 Speaker 1: We never asked for anything, and we never got anything. 39 00:02:04,800 --> 00:02:07,560 Speaker 1: We probably won't get anything unless I decide to use 40 00:02:07,640 --> 00:02:12,560 Speaker 1: excessive strength and force, where we would be frankly unstoppable. 41 00:02:13,560 --> 00:02:15,639 Speaker 1: But I won't do that. 42 00:02:16,400 --> 00:02:18,240 Speaker 4: And then he said, but I'm going to put an 43 00:02:18,280 --> 00:02:18,799 Speaker 4: offer on the. 44 00:02:18,760 --> 00:02:22,040 Speaker 2: Table, so they have a choice. 45 00:02:22,280 --> 00:02:26,120 Speaker 1: You can say yes and we will be very appreciative, 46 00:02:26,880 --> 00:02:30,400 Speaker 1: or you can say no and we will remember. 47 00:02:31,080 --> 00:02:34,000 Speaker 4: The offer that he put on the table was almost like, 48 00:02:34,639 --> 00:02:37,280 Speaker 4: I offer not to invade you, so you sell me 49 00:02:37,360 --> 00:02:40,360 Speaker 4: the island. I'll make an offer you can't refuse. It's 50 00:02:40,440 --> 00:02:41,639 Speaker 4: like something out of The Godfather. 51 00:02:42,400 --> 00:02:44,960 Speaker 2: As world leaders and the rest of US processed what 52 00:02:45,040 --> 00:02:48,680 Speaker 2: Trump said, the president began a series of meetings. After 53 00:02:48,760 --> 00:02:51,640 Speaker 2: he sat down with NATO Secretary General Mark Route, Trump 54 00:02:51,919 --> 00:02:55,240 Speaker 2: posted an update on social media. The president said he 55 00:02:55,320 --> 00:02:57,880 Speaker 2: decided not to impose the new tariffs he'd threatened on 56 00:02:57,919 --> 00:03:01,880 Speaker 2: European allies, and to head quote, formed the framework of 57 00:03:01,919 --> 00:03:04,760 Speaker 2: a future deal with respect to Greenland and in fact, 58 00:03:04,840 --> 00:03:14,080 Speaker 2: the entire Arctic region. I'm David Gerrett, and this is 59 00:03:14,080 --> 00:03:16,720 Speaker 2: the big take from Bloomberg News Today. On the show, 60 00:03:16,840 --> 00:03:20,799 Speaker 2: President Trump's collision with long standing US allies over Greenland 61 00:03:21,080 --> 00:03:31,120 Speaker 2: and how Canada and Europe will respond. By the time 62 00:03:31,160 --> 00:03:34,600 Speaker 2: President Trump arrived in Davos, he'd upended the agenda at 63 00:03:34,639 --> 00:03:38,200 Speaker 2: the World Economic Forum's annual meeting. His speech became the 64 00:03:38,400 --> 00:03:42,200 Speaker 2: marquee event, but many other world leaders decided to skip it. 65 00:03:42,800 --> 00:03:45,040 Speaker 2: In an address that was about an hour long, the 66 00:03:45,040 --> 00:03:48,080 Speaker 2: President made his case for the US taking over Greenland 67 00:03:48,360 --> 00:03:52,360 Speaker 2: over and over again. I asked Bloomberg's Flavia kraus Jackson 68 00:03:52,560 --> 00:03:55,160 Speaker 2: what we learned about how he plans to proceed. What 69 00:03:55,240 --> 00:03:58,080 Speaker 2: did we hear from President Trump in terms of what 70 00:03:58,160 --> 00:04:01,560 Speaker 2: his motivations are for doing this, the rationality he sees 71 00:04:01,600 --> 00:04:05,559 Speaker 2: it for the US taking or requiring this large island. 72 00:04:05,600 --> 00:04:08,960 Speaker 4: Right, I mean, Trump has rattled off a series of 73 00:04:09,040 --> 00:04:12,760 Speaker 4: reasons of why he feels Venam should belong to the US. 74 00:04:13,000 --> 00:04:16,200 Speaker 4: He usually uses this argument of rare earths, which is 75 00:04:16,279 --> 00:04:18,560 Speaker 4: very vague and generic, and it's a sort of catch 76 00:04:18,600 --> 00:04:22,320 Speaker 4: all for many things in his understanding of the world. 77 00:04:22,640 --> 00:04:26,080 Speaker 1: But there's so much rare earth then this. To get 78 00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:30,120 Speaker 1: to this rare earth, you got to go through hundreds 79 00:04:30,120 --> 00:04:33,240 Speaker 1: of feet of ice. That's not the reason we need it. 80 00:04:33,320 --> 00:04:37,480 Speaker 1: We need it for strategic national security. 81 00:04:37,480 --> 00:04:40,160 Speaker 4: Then there is a national security aspect which is very 82 00:04:40,200 --> 00:04:42,920 Speaker 4: much the sort of the great game of you know, 83 00:04:43,320 --> 00:04:46,120 Speaker 4: the big powers that be spheares of influence, which is 84 00:04:46,200 --> 00:04:49,560 Speaker 4: very much how Trump sees the world. Right, western hemisphere 85 00:04:50,200 --> 00:04:54,400 Speaker 4: is mine, So Canada, fifty first state, greenland, massive slab 86 00:04:54,440 --> 00:04:58,000 Speaker 4: of ice, as he calls it, huge island, belongs to me. 87 00:04:58,440 --> 00:04:59,920 Speaker 4: Venezuela in the back. 88 00:05:00,920 --> 00:05:03,120 Speaker 2: What we want from Denmark. 89 00:05:04,120 --> 00:05:08,599 Speaker 1: For national and international security and to keep our very 90 00:05:08,760 --> 00:05:13,039 Speaker 1: energetic and dangerous potential enemies at bay is this land 91 00:05:13,120 --> 00:05:16,080 Speaker 1: on which we're going to build the greatest Golden dome 92 00:05:16,160 --> 00:05:16,880 Speaker 1: ever built. 93 00:05:17,120 --> 00:05:19,680 Speaker 4: So if you put it in terms of you know 94 00:05:19,720 --> 00:05:22,120 Speaker 4: what he calls the donro doc Oran whishes us of 95 00:05:22,200 --> 00:05:27,080 Speaker 4: homage to Monroe, it's much easier to understand where all 96 00:05:27,160 --> 00:05:28,360 Speaker 4: of this fits in. 97 00:05:28,920 --> 00:05:31,919 Speaker 2: Something else that's helpful, Flavia suggests, is to think about 98 00:05:31,920 --> 00:05:33,360 Speaker 2: President Trump's background. 99 00:05:33,760 --> 00:05:37,320 Speaker 4: He's a real estate guy, and it seeps into his language. 100 00:05:37,440 --> 00:05:39,160 Speaker 4: I mean, because they're saying, well, you already have a 101 00:05:39,240 --> 00:05:42,440 Speaker 4: base here. If you want to send more people, you can, 102 00:05:42,880 --> 00:05:45,320 Speaker 4: And he was like, yeah, but I want to own. 103 00:05:45,160 --> 00:05:48,480 Speaker 1: It because you need the ownership to defend it. You 104 00:05:48,520 --> 00:05:53,000 Speaker 1: can't defend it or a lease. Number one, legally, it's 105 00:05:53,040 --> 00:05:58,840 Speaker 1: not defensible that way totally. And number two psychologically, who 106 00:05:58,880 --> 00:06:03,880 Speaker 1: the hell wants to defend a license agreement or at least. 107 00:06:04,320 --> 00:06:07,159 Speaker 4: And I think it's also worth remembering, Look, he held 108 00:06:07,160 --> 00:06:10,719 Speaker 4: the summit with Putin in Alaska. You know, Alaska was 109 00:06:10,760 --> 00:06:14,000 Speaker 4: sold by the Russians to the Americans. He's like, great, 110 00:06:14,160 --> 00:06:16,480 Speaker 4: this is done before, why can't we do it again? Oh? 111 00:06:16,640 --> 00:06:18,800 Speaker 4: You know he probably read, you know, read somewhere that 112 00:06:18,920 --> 00:06:22,160 Speaker 4: you know, the US had a crack at buying a 113 00:06:22,960 --> 00:06:25,240 Speaker 4: green land back then. He's like, well, they didn't close 114 00:06:25,279 --> 00:06:27,960 Speaker 4: the deal, but I can, so I think through that 115 00:06:28,080 --> 00:06:31,080 Speaker 4: lens you start to understand, you know, and he says 116 00:06:31,120 --> 00:06:34,279 Speaker 4: he loves maps. You look at the map. It's massive, 117 00:06:34,760 --> 00:06:36,760 Speaker 4: but he's also very dismissive of it, and he doesn't 118 00:06:36,800 --> 00:06:38,680 Speaker 4: understand why they won't give it to him. He's like, oh, 119 00:06:38,720 --> 00:06:43,080 Speaker 4: it's just a slab of ice, uninhabited, right. So I 120 00:06:43,120 --> 00:06:46,240 Speaker 4: think to hear the stream of consciousness on stage was 121 00:06:46,279 --> 00:06:50,200 Speaker 4: probably the clearest sense of like where he's coming at. 122 00:06:50,600 --> 00:06:52,680 Speaker 2: What did we learn in that speech about how far 123 00:06:52,720 --> 00:06:54,800 Speaker 2: he's willing to go to acquire this territory. 124 00:06:55,160 --> 00:06:57,039 Speaker 4: I think he's willing to go pretty damn far. And 125 00:06:57,080 --> 00:06:59,080 Speaker 4: I think it's also I mean, one thing that you 126 00:06:59,160 --> 00:07:03,000 Speaker 4: also noticed about Trump's approach is that no deal is 127 00:07:03,040 --> 00:07:07,080 Speaker 4: that can't be broken, ripped up, renegotiated. So just because 128 00:07:07,120 --> 00:07:10,360 Speaker 4: he said today I won't invade doesn't mean that in 129 00:07:10,400 --> 00:07:13,280 Speaker 4: two weeks time he decides. You know what I've reconsidered. 130 00:07:13,960 --> 00:07:16,360 Speaker 2: I felt like the US and NATO were in this 131 00:07:16,440 --> 00:07:19,080 Speaker 2: new good place, that President Trump had wielded his influence 132 00:07:19,560 --> 00:07:23,040 Speaker 2: to get member states to pay more money to the alliance, 133 00:07:23,440 --> 00:07:26,720 Speaker 2: and yet the rhetoric toward NATO in the President's comments 134 00:07:27,880 --> 00:07:32,080 Speaker 2: dispelled that sense. He was highly critical of NATO alliance. 135 00:07:32,120 --> 00:07:36,160 Speaker 1: The United States is treated very unfairly by NATO, I 136 00:07:36,200 --> 00:07:39,520 Speaker 1: want to tell you that, and when you think about it, 137 00:07:39,960 --> 00:07:43,560 Speaker 1: nobody can dispute it. We give so much and we 138 00:07:43,640 --> 00:07:44,920 Speaker 1: get so little in return. 139 00:07:45,480 --> 00:07:48,280 Speaker 2: And just to dovetail, these two things made it almost 140 00:07:48,360 --> 00:07:51,800 Speaker 2: seem as though NATO owes him Greenland because of what 141 00:07:51,840 --> 00:07:54,760 Speaker 2: the US has done over these last many decades, right. 142 00:07:54,560 --> 00:07:56,720 Speaker 4: I mean, I think there was a great deal of 143 00:07:57,360 --> 00:08:01,239 Speaker 4: revisionism of history, which is something, for example, that Trump 144 00:08:01,280 --> 00:08:04,800 Speaker 4: had in common with Putin also has his own alternative 145 00:08:05,680 --> 00:08:09,080 Speaker 4: view of the history of Ukraine. What I would say 146 00:08:09,160 --> 00:08:14,560 Speaker 4: is that NATO is on its knees, and I would 147 00:08:14,600 --> 00:08:17,560 Speaker 4: say that you're probably looking at a world where Mark 148 00:08:17,640 --> 00:08:20,640 Speaker 4: Rotin might well be the last Secretary General of NATO. 149 00:08:20,920 --> 00:08:25,080 Speaker 4: Because the whole way was conceived is in a world 150 00:08:25,240 --> 00:08:30,640 Speaker 4: where the US is largess and generosity and policemen of 151 00:08:30,680 --> 00:08:34,080 Speaker 4: the world and looking out for it's all. It underpins 152 00:08:34,120 --> 00:08:38,480 Speaker 4: the entire way that Europe came to see itself after 153 00:08:38,480 --> 00:08:41,320 Speaker 4: the end of World War Two. And it wasn't based 154 00:08:41,440 --> 00:08:44,920 Speaker 4: on transactionalism, based on the Marshall Plan, and it was 155 00:08:45,040 --> 00:08:49,440 Speaker 4: based on. Yes, the US wants to have a physical 156 00:08:49,520 --> 00:08:53,800 Speaker 4: presence of troops in Germany, and we will allow this 157 00:08:53,800 --> 00:08:56,920 Speaker 4: to happen because it's a deterrent. Once you start questioning, well, 158 00:08:56,960 --> 00:08:59,000 Speaker 4: why do I have soldiers there? And you must pay 159 00:08:59,040 --> 00:09:01,800 Speaker 4: me to have this presence, you're essentially turning the whole 160 00:09:01,880 --> 00:09:02,959 Speaker 4: argument on its head. 161 00:09:04,240 --> 00:09:06,679 Speaker 2: Flavy, there was a sell off in the run up 162 00:09:06,720 --> 00:09:09,240 Speaker 2: to this speech, but market seems there, I say, pretty 163 00:09:09,240 --> 00:09:12,000 Speaker 2: complacent as President Trump spoke. How do you interpret the 164 00:09:12,040 --> 00:09:16,160 Speaker 2: way investors are looking at, Yes, the President's comments, but 165 00:09:16,200 --> 00:09:19,559 Speaker 2: more broadly the position he's taken on Greenland and on 166 00:09:19,760 --> 00:09:21,000 Speaker 2: these multilateral alliances. 167 00:09:21,400 --> 00:09:23,480 Speaker 4: Yeah. I mean, I think there's a really interesting piece 168 00:09:23,480 --> 00:09:25,600 Speaker 4: that we wrote about the taco trade that you know, 169 00:09:26,760 --> 00:09:29,240 Speaker 4: it's all good and well to sort of trade off 170 00:09:29,240 --> 00:09:31,360 Speaker 4: the fact that you know, how seriously can you take 171 00:09:31,400 --> 00:09:33,640 Speaker 4: Trump and you know, will you always take you to 172 00:09:33,679 --> 00:09:36,640 Speaker 4: the brank and then walk back? But then at that 173 00:09:36,800 --> 00:09:40,320 Speaker 4: point you no longer have those natural defenses that help 174 00:09:41,400 --> 00:09:44,960 Speaker 4: keep a leader in check. And I think at this 175 00:09:45,080 --> 00:09:48,640 Speaker 4: particular moment in time, the fact that sort of the 176 00:09:48,720 --> 00:09:51,960 Speaker 4: markets are playing along and not sort of responding to 177 00:09:52,000 --> 00:09:56,040 Speaker 4: this great volatility and the stakes are getting higher, but 178 00:09:56,160 --> 00:10:00,960 Speaker 4: the bar to actually move markets gets higher turns the 179 00:10:01,000 --> 00:10:03,679 Speaker 4: world into a much more dangerous place, right because in 180 00:10:03,720 --> 00:10:08,280 Speaker 4: the first iteration of the Trump presidency, the entourage was 181 00:10:08,400 --> 00:10:11,400 Speaker 4: essentially trying to sort of keep him in check. That's gone, 182 00:10:11,679 --> 00:10:14,400 Speaker 4: but now no longer. You know, the markets are doing that, 183 00:10:14,640 --> 00:10:18,960 Speaker 4: and you know, even speaking to investors here in CEOs 184 00:10:19,080 --> 00:10:24,160 Speaker 4: and big people from Wall Street, there's a sense of like, well, 185 00:10:24,200 --> 00:10:26,640 Speaker 4: how do you manage Trump? Because you don't want to 186 00:10:26,679 --> 00:10:29,559 Speaker 4: anger him. We're also making money, but some of the 187 00:10:29,600 --> 00:10:31,559 Speaker 4: stuff that's happening is not okay. 188 00:10:33,720 --> 00:10:36,240 Speaker 2: After the break, how the rest of the West reacted 189 00:10:36,240 --> 00:10:39,120 Speaker 2: to President Trump's speech at Davos and how his designs 190 00:10:39,160 --> 00:10:52,000 Speaker 2: on Greenland could reshape the world order. That's next. Ahead 191 00:10:52,000 --> 00:10:54,560 Speaker 2: of the annual meeting of the World Economic Forum in Davos, 192 00:10:54,640 --> 00:10:58,240 Speaker 2: Bloomberg's Flavia Chrass Jackson says many world leaders were weighing 193 00:10:58,240 --> 00:11:01,200 Speaker 2: the limits and risks of trying to make nice with 194 00:11:01,280 --> 00:11:02,160 Speaker 2: the US president. 195 00:11:02,480 --> 00:11:05,360 Speaker 4: I think it's important to remember that when the Europeans 196 00:11:05,360 --> 00:11:08,160 Speaker 4: were thinking about how to handle how to manage Trump, 197 00:11:08,480 --> 00:11:12,200 Speaker 4: they were really looking at Trump one point zero and thinking, Okay, 198 00:11:12,840 --> 00:11:16,719 Speaker 4: flatter him, you know, don't speak out a term, throw 199 00:11:16,800 --> 00:11:19,360 Speaker 4: him a couple of jolleys, invite him to meet the king, 200 00:11:19,600 --> 00:11:22,079 Speaker 4: fluff up the pillows at the Royal Palace. And it's 201 00:11:22,120 --> 00:11:25,200 Speaker 4: become very clear that the Trump in this situation is 202 00:11:25,240 --> 00:11:28,280 Speaker 4: completely different and they have come to realize that that 203 00:11:28,400 --> 00:11:32,440 Speaker 4: just doesn't work because Trump only respects strong, not weak, 204 00:11:32,480 --> 00:11:34,840 Speaker 4: and Europe has very much been put in the latter category. 205 00:11:34,920 --> 00:11:37,760 Speaker 4: So what you've seen in the sort of here and dabbles, 206 00:11:37,800 --> 00:11:39,800 Speaker 4: but in the sort of run up is very much 207 00:11:39,840 --> 00:11:43,199 Speaker 4: just sort of soul searching of like are we in 208 00:11:43,240 --> 00:11:45,520 Speaker 4: the area of appeasement? You know, we've seen where this 209 00:11:45,640 --> 00:11:48,280 Speaker 4: has gone with Nevill Chamberlain in the thirties. You know, 210 00:11:48,440 --> 00:11:51,079 Speaker 4: no one is obviously comparing Trump to Hitler, but you know, 211 00:11:51,120 --> 00:11:54,520 Speaker 4: the sort of the hysteric parallels are sort of really 212 00:11:54,840 --> 00:11:57,559 Speaker 4: re emerging and being reimagined and thinking, well, when was 213 00:11:57,600 --> 00:12:00,720 Speaker 4: the last time that we sort of gave in thinking 214 00:12:00,760 --> 00:12:02,080 Speaker 4: that this would work. 215 00:12:03,440 --> 00:12:07,120 Speaker 2: On retaliation? How much unanimity is there among European leaders 216 00:12:07,160 --> 00:12:09,240 Speaker 2: in terms of how they might respond to what we've 217 00:12:09,240 --> 00:12:10,080 Speaker 2: heard from the president. 218 00:12:10,440 --> 00:12:13,360 Speaker 4: There isn't and I think that's the great tragedy of 219 00:12:13,440 --> 00:12:17,079 Speaker 4: the European Union. And also what sort of makes it great, right, 220 00:12:17,120 --> 00:12:21,320 Speaker 4: I mean, it is twenty seven countries. They don't always agree, 221 00:12:21,360 --> 00:12:24,319 Speaker 4: and trying to come to an agreement, reach a consensus 222 00:12:24,320 --> 00:12:27,960 Speaker 4: when there's such a divergence of views makes it very complicated. 223 00:12:28,360 --> 00:12:31,400 Speaker 4: So you've got, for example, you know, the spoiler in 224 00:12:31,440 --> 00:12:34,880 Speaker 4: the midst You've got someone like Victor Auburn. And then 225 00:12:34,960 --> 00:12:37,200 Speaker 4: on the other side of the spectrum, you have, you know, 226 00:12:37,240 --> 00:12:42,440 Speaker 4: someone like Emmanuel Macron, who was you know, belittled and 227 00:12:42,480 --> 00:12:46,240 Speaker 4: berated in Trump's speech as an example of someone who 228 00:12:46,400 --> 00:12:48,439 Speaker 4: you know says one thing in public, by in private 229 00:12:48,559 --> 00:12:53,360 Speaker 4: kind of acquss who will say, listen, it's time for 230 00:12:53,440 --> 00:12:56,680 Speaker 4: us to use all the tools that we have to 231 00:12:56,720 --> 00:12:59,400 Speaker 4: fight back. And I think what we're sort of seeing 232 00:12:59,600 --> 00:13:02,920 Speaker 4: is you Europe willing and able to stop trying to 233 00:13:02,960 --> 00:13:07,520 Speaker 4: thread the needle and do something definitive. And really, because 234 00:13:07,880 --> 00:13:12,959 Speaker 4: Europe has kind of flip flowed between acquiescing and then 235 00:13:13,000 --> 00:13:18,199 Speaker 4: trying to do something strong, it's risks actually doing neither. 236 00:13:19,080 --> 00:13:22,840 Speaker 2: Peer into that toolbox if you would, and we've seen, yes, 237 00:13:22,960 --> 00:13:26,600 Speaker 2: these European nations send military personnel to Greenland. We've heard 238 00:13:26,600 --> 00:13:29,920 Speaker 2: talk of this anti coercion mechanism We've seen a Danish 239 00:13:30,000 --> 00:13:34,120 Speaker 2: pension fund offload a bunch of US treasuries. What's in 240 00:13:34,160 --> 00:13:37,080 Speaker 2: that toolbox? What could Europe use to respond here? 241 00:13:37,840 --> 00:13:42,040 Speaker 4: Well, I mean this magic coercion instrument is essentially something 242 00:13:42,080 --> 00:13:45,800 Speaker 4: that's never been used before, and you know it's been 243 00:13:46,160 --> 00:13:49,440 Speaker 4: it's been dubbed the trade bazooka. But it would allow 244 00:13:49,480 --> 00:13:52,120 Speaker 4: for the curving of inputs of good and services, and 245 00:13:53,120 --> 00:13:55,880 Speaker 4: it's unclear how it would work and whether it would 246 00:13:55,920 --> 00:13:59,839 Speaker 4: even potentially be detrimental for Europe to do it. So 247 00:14:00,360 --> 00:14:02,760 Speaker 4: part of the sort of will Europe use it? Like, 248 00:14:02,840 --> 00:14:05,720 Speaker 4: is it just using it as a bluff tactic? And 249 00:14:05,840 --> 00:14:08,280 Speaker 4: at what point is Trump going to call the bluff, 250 00:14:08,559 --> 00:14:10,160 Speaker 4: which he has essentially done. 251 00:14:10,640 --> 00:14:12,720 Speaker 2: Canada's Prime Minister Mark Karney gave a big speech at 252 00:14:12,760 --> 00:14:15,079 Speaker 2: Davos that's gotten a lot of play, effectively calling the 253 00:14:15,200 --> 00:14:16,720 Speaker 2: end of the world order that's been in place for 254 00:14:16,760 --> 00:14:17,400 Speaker 2: eighty years. 255 00:14:17,800 --> 00:14:20,680 Speaker 3: Let me be direct, we are in the midst of 256 00:14:20,720 --> 00:14:24,920 Speaker 3: a rupture, not a transition. Over the past two decades, 257 00:14:24,960 --> 00:14:28,720 Speaker 3: a series of crises in finance, health, energy, and geopolitics 258 00:14:29,000 --> 00:14:31,640 Speaker 3: have laid bare the risks of extreme global integration. 259 00:14:32,560 --> 00:14:36,200 Speaker 2: Give us the alternative worldview here as articulated by Prime 260 00:14:36,200 --> 00:14:38,080 Speaker 2: Minister Karney, but I think embraced by a lot of 261 00:14:38,080 --> 00:14:40,480 Speaker 2: these European leaders as well. What is their sense of 262 00:14:40,520 --> 00:14:42,160 Speaker 2: this new kind of world order that's come out of 263 00:14:42,160 --> 00:14:45,160 Speaker 2: this this really deep disagreement they're having with the United States. 264 00:14:45,440 --> 00:14:48,800 Speaker 4: Well, what he's speaking to really is a dilemma that 265 00:14:49,080 --> 00:14:53,080 Speaker 4: many of these so called middle countries have, which is 266 00:14:53,120 --> 00:14:56,400 Speaker 4: they can't really strike alone, so what do they do? 267 00:14:56,440 --> 00:14:59,600 Speaker 4: And they rely on a sort of architecture of corporation, 268 00:15:00,760 --> 00:15:05,240 Speaker 4: And what that involves is essentially a kind of decoupling. 269 00:15:05,560 --> 00:15:10,920 Speaker 4: It doesn't mean that in response you erect barriers, rather 270 00:15:11,040 --> 00:15:16,119 Speaker 4: that you sort of start developing the relationships amongst yourselves. 271 00:15:16,680 --> 00:15:19,400 Speaker 4: And so what that sort of essentially means is a 272 00:15:19,440 --> 00:15:25,120 Speaker 4: more gradual distancing from what once once an ironclad relationship 273 00:15:25,560 --> 00:15:30,400 Speaker 4: but now has become an unreliable partner. So it doesn't 274 00:15:30,440 --> 00:15:32,760 Speaker 4: mean that from one day to the other you suddenly 275 00:15:32,920 --> 00:15:37,080 Speaker 4: like cut yourself off. But I think, and there's a 276 00:15:37,160 --> 00:15:40,200 Speaker 4: very good quote that he puts, which was middle powers 277 00:15:40,280 --> 00:15:43,040 Speaker 4: must act together because if you're not at the table, 278 00:15:43,400 --> 00:15:44,360 Speaker 4: you're on the menu. 279 00:15:44,640 --> 00:15:47,200 Speaker 3: The middle powers must act together because if we're not 280 00:15:47,320 --> 00:15:50,200 Speaker 3: at the table, we're on the menu. But I'd also 281 00:15:50,280 --> 00:15:54,320 Speaker 3: say that great powers, great powers can afford for now 282 00:15:54,360 --> 00:15:56,560 Speaker 3: to go it alone. They have the market size, the 283 00:15:56,600 --> 00:16:01,520 Speaker 3: military capacity, and the leverage to dictate terms. Little powers 284 00:16:01,560 --> 00:16:03,280 Speaker 3: do not so very much. 285 00:16:03,320 --> 00:16:06,240 Speaker 4: The idea there is and why think what Karnie is 286 00:16:06,280 --> 00:16:10,000 Speaker 4: saying is, you know, that is the equivalent, for example, 287 00:16:10,200 --> 00:16:14,040 Speaker 4: of putting the wall even higher, erecting the barriers, and 288 00:16:14,080 --> 00:16:17,880 Speaker 4: that's a lose lose situation for middle countries because they're 289 00:16:17,920 --> 00:16:20,240 Speaker 4: not going to be able to survive short term. 290 00:16:20,480 --> 00:16:24,000 Speaker 2: I asked Lava to contrast that with President Trump's vision. 291 00:16:24,080 --> 00:16:28,440 Speaker 4: Compared to sort of former administration, those idea of you know, 292 00:16:29,240 --> 00:16:32,320 Speaker 4: democracy and we want to you know, take away the 293 00:16:32,360 --> 00:16:35,320 Speaker 4: bad guys and bring the good guys. That's not how 294 00:16:35,480 --> 00:16:38,240 Speaker 4: Trump sees the world. In fact, it's extremely interesting to 295 00:16:38,280 --> 00:16:42,440 Speaker 4: see that even when he removed Maduda, who I think 296 00:16:42,480 --> 00:16:45,960 Speaker 4: few people would argue was not a particularly pleasant person, 297 00:16:46,040 --> 00:16:49,080 Speaker 4: certainly around the country to the ground, he didn't install 298 00:16:49,440 --> 00:16:52,040 Speaker 4: the leader of the opposition, which is what a natural 299 00:16:52,080 --> 00:16:55,120 Speaker 4: step that one would have thought. No, he was perfectly 300 00:16:55,160 --> 00:16:59,680 Speaker 4: willing to work with one of Maduda's people, who is 301 00:17:00,160 --> 00:17:03,560 Speaker 4: very much part of the old regime. Because what we're 302 00:17:03,640 --> 00:17:08,959 Speaker 4: seeing in the Trump world is vassal states, right, puppet states. 303 00:17:09,119 --> 00:17:11,360 Speaker 4: So I think what we're starting to see, certainly from 304 00:17:11,440 --> 00:17:15,639 Speaker 4: jan third, is where his aspirations, where his leadership is 305 00:17:15,680 --> 00:17:17,240 Speaker 4: going to tell is going to take him. And I 306 00:17:17,240 --> 00:17:20,719 Speaker 4: think that's what's been truly terrifying for the Europeans, because 307 00:17:21,160 --> 00:17:23,960 Speaker 4: Greenland would not be hard to take, and then it 308 00:17:24,119 --> 00:17:27,920 Speaker 4: just becomes a question of like who would he install Flavio. 309 00:17:27,960 --> 00:17:30,480 Speaker 2: Lastly, the theme of this year's gathering in Davos is 310 00:17:30,520 --> 00:17:34,520 Speaker 2: a spirit of dialogue. How do you see this play out? 311 00:17:34,520 --> 00:17:36,480 Speaker 2: How do you see the conversation evolving? From what we've 312 00:17:36,520 --> 00:17:39,639 Speaker 2: seen over the course of this week in Davos. 313 00:17:39,320 --> 00:17:43,040 Speaker 4: We're not really seeing a dialogue. What right, we're seeing trade, 314 00:17:43,359 --> 00:17:48,160 Speaker 4: the trading of Bob's insults, its escalation. Then I think 315 00:17:48,240 --> 00:17:51,159 Speaker 4: to the extent that we're going to see more of that, 316 00:17:52,160 --> 00:17:54,280 Speaker 4: I think that's something that we just have to assume 317 00:17:54,359 --> 00:17:57,640 Speaker 4: will happen. But now the question is having thrown down 318 00:17:57,680 --> 00:18:02,000 Speaker 4: the Goldenland on Greenland out for other spaces, right, because 319 00:18:02,560 --> 00:18:05,479 Speaker 4: Trump might fall back a little bit from Greenland, but 320 00:18:05,520 --> 00:18:08,080 Speaker 4: don't forget that there's also Iran just around the corner 321 00:18:08,280 --> 00:18:10,600 Speaker 4: and He's also said that his lots of options are 322 00:18:10,640 --> 00:18:13,480 Speaker 4: being considered there. And in all this, don't forget that 323 00:18:13,520 --> 00:18:18,199 Speaker 4: there's a rather sizeable Chinese delegation here, and whilst everyone's 324 00:18:18,520 --> 00:18:21,280 Speaker 4: eyes and ears have been elsewhere, they have been quietly 325 00:18:21,320 --> 00:18:26,560 Speaker 4: meeting everyone and having probably some very interesting conversations. I'd 326 00:18:26,600 --> 00:18:30,560 Speaker 4: be keeping a very close eye on what China does next. 327 00:18:37,400 --> 00:18:39,920 Speaker 2: This is the Big Take from Bloomberg News. I'm David Gura. 328 00:18:40,160 --> 00:18:42,480 Speaker 2: To get more from The Big Take and unlimited access 329 00:18:42,480 --> 00:18:45,480 Speaker 2: to all of Bloomberg dot com, subscribe today at Bloomberg 330 00:18:45,520 --> 00:18:49,040 Speaker 2: dot com slash podcast offer. If you like this episode, 331 00:18:49,080 --> 00:18:51,119 Speaker 2: make sure to follow and review The Big Take wherever 332 00:18:51,160 --> 00:18:53,560 Speaker 2: you listen to podcasts. It helps people find the show. 333 00:18:53,960 --> 00:18:55,800 Speaker 2: Thanks for listening. We'll be back tomorrow