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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. This is meet Joey p Joepizapa and this

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Speaker 1: is BPL. It's time to look at the props for

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Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. And of course it's my boys, the

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Speaker 1: Welsh and the Undertaker Andrew Ericson helping me out today

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Speaker 1: getting the five best props from each of these guys

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Speaker 1: so you can invest wisely. And speaking of investing wisely,

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Speaker 1: the podcast today. Gentlemen, we're finally here. We're ready for

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Speaker 1: the props. Welsh, Let's start with you, and of course

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Speaker 1: let's start with Saquon Barkley, the man who has taken

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Speaker 1: the Eagles on his back and lifted them potentially backwards too,

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Speaker 1: because he did that flip somewhere a point in time

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Speaker 1: of the year all the way to the Super Bowl.

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Speaker 1: So Saquon, what do you want to start with? Were

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Speaker 1: him for your first prop?

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Speaker 2: You want to do everything. You just want to go

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Speaker 2: in on everything, and everything is priced in. It's inflated

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Speaker 2: to the tippy top. I will tell you I still

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Speaker 2: like it even though it's really big. Is the rushing

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Speaker 2: yard prop. It's one to eleven, which is crazy. We've

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Speaker 2: seen it up to like one p thirty this season.

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Speaker 2: You love the touchdown calls. Everything is juiced up. So

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Speaker 2: you know, finding any like true edges with Saquon Barkley

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Speaker 2: it's probably a little bit few and far between. But

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Speaker 2: this is it final game, final game of the season

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Speaker 2: and playing on the studs definitely is something we want

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Speaker 2: to go. We're gonna get cute in some spots, but

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Speaker 2: sometimes we just got to go in and we're going

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Speaker 2: in on Saquon Barkley, not on the yards, but we

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Speaker 2: are going to play the rushing attempts. Rushing attempts currently

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Speaker 2: said at twenty one point five. The juice has moved

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Speaker 2: a little bit. The yards have not implied. Rushing yards

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Speaker 2: right now are one eleven projections right around that one

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Speaker 2: nine marker. But he's hit this eleven times this season.

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Speaker 2: He's gone over those twenty two attempts in four of

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Speaker 2: his last five games. And when you're coming back down

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Speaker 2: to the basics of what this team, this specific team

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Speaker 2: needs to do to win, their biggest deficit is the

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Speaker 2: passing game. They're going to run a lot early on

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Speaker 2: to set up that play action for later, but if

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Speaker 2: they're going to win this game, it's going to be

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Speaker 2: on the legs, the back, the quads of Sekuon Barkley,

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Speaker 2: and we know they're not afraid. He's had twenty five

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Speaker 2: plus carries in two of the three playoff games, or

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Speaker 2: two of his last three games in general, so he

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Speaker 2: is going to get the rock all day long. Twenty

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Speaker 2: one point five a little bit high, of course, but

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Speaker 2: it's a number that I like it kind of both sides.

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Speaker 2: You could take the yards might save you from rushing

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Speaker 2: attempts going down if he breaks a big one. But

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Speaker 2: we've also seen a couple of instances where he has

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Speaker 2: hit that twenty two marker and not got to over

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Speaker 2: one hundred and eleven yards. So I'm gonna take the

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Speaker 2: rushing attempts because I believe it is all Saquon Barkley

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Speaker 2: all game long.

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Speaker 1: What I love about you, Andrew Erickson, is you always

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Speaker 1: look outside the box and prop number one is not

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Speaker 1: a big name. It's not a Kelsey, it's not a Mahomes,

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Speaker 1: it's not a Saquon Barkley.

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Speaker 3: Who is it Smasha p Ryin. It's gonna go over

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Speaker 3: seven and a half receiving yards because this is the iceman,

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Speaker 3: this guy that puts the other team on ice. Like

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Speaker 3: we saw in the AFC Championship game, who locked up

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Speaker 3: the lead the win for the Chiefs wasn't Mahomes, wasn't Kelsey.

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Speaker 3: It was smash at pe Ryn catching a pass outside

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Speaker 3: the backfield on the very last play, that the Chiefs

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Speaker 3: ran before the kneel down, so pe Ryan, Yes, he

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Speaker 3: is very seldomly used in the Chiefs offense, but he

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Speaker 3: knows he got what his role is and he comes

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Speaker 3: in critical situations to catch passes. He's at least seven

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Speaker 3: and a half receiving yard and six of his last

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Speaker 3: seven games played fourteen to last fifteen games played this season.

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Speaker 3: So yes, it is scary that he may only play

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Speaker 3: like one or two plays on offense, but on those

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Speaker 3: specific plays he's out there to catch passes. And so

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Speaker 3: I like p Ryan going over again. It can happen

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Speaker 3: at any point during the game two minute drill. He's

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Speaker 3: on the field in third downs and obvious passing situations.

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Speaker 3: He's not someone that the Eagles necessarily are. We got

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Speaker 3: a game plan to stop smaj p Ryan. Just the

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Speaker 3: sample size is too much for me to fade away

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Speaker 3: a number. Yes, it seems like because he's not a

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Speaker 3: super involved player, I could see this bet not hitting.

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Speaker 3: But at the same time, just look at the betting

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Speaker 3: pros prop at Chichiet it's all green for Samashe p

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Speaker 3: Ryan when it comes to this specific bet. So I'm

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Speaker 3: not going to overthink it. If it beats me. It

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Speaker 3: beats me, But I think the process here is sound.

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Speaker 3: It's gonna take the over SMA JP Ryan seven and

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Speaker 3: a half receiving yards.

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Speaker 1: All right, next one on our list, number two for

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Speaker 1: the boys here, let's go back to the big names,

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Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes. I'm in on the rushing stuff when it

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Speaker 1: comes to Mahomes, but you're looking at the passing. What

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Speaker 1: do you like, Welsh?

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Speaker 2: I love the pass attempts. Thirty six zero point five

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Speaker 2: on the pass attempts for Patrick Mahomes. Eagles so far

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Speaker 2: have given up forty four pass attempts at least in

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Speaker 2: both of their playoff games. Final six regular season games.

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Speaker 2: Patrick Mahomes went over in this. So we've seen in

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Speaker 2: the playoffs he's run a bit more and he hasn't

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Speaker 2: hit this in the playoffs, but throughout the end of

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Speaker 2: the regular season he was slaying the ball. So again

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Speaker 2: back to that logic of where do I think the

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Speaker 2: Eagles have the edge or the potential lean on for

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Speaker 2: winning the game. I think it is going to be

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Speaker 2: on Saquon Barkley on the inverse, where's that going to

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Speaker 2: be with the Chiefs, It's going to be Patrick Mahomes.

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Speaker 2: Their run game for the Chiefs is I don't know

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Speaker 2: what's worse. We've talked about this before, like the Eagles

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Speaker 2: passing game or the Chiefs running game, but I don't

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Speaker 2: think they're going to have a big, crazy, established run game. Obviously,

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Speaker 2: the secondary is good, and that's why I'm not playing

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Speaker 2: completions on this. I'm playing pass attempts. If you believe

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Speaker 2: the Eagles are going to have any leads, then this

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Speaker 2: is going to continue the passing side. If the Eagles

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Speaker 2: have the lead. At the end of the game, Chiefs

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Speaker 2: get the ball back and Patrick Mahomes does his magic

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Speaker 2: pass attempts across the board. So thirty six point five

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Speaker 2: something he did a ton in the regular season. I

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Speaker 2: think he'll move a little bit away from him having

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Speaker 2: you know, nine ten carries. It's actually implied at five

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Speaker 2: point five that he's going to get into a heavy

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Speaker 2: passing side. So thirty six point five on the pass

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Speaker 2: attempts probably probably my number one of even between we

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Speaker 2: started with Saquon Barkley, but this is probably my favorite one.

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Speaker 1: All right, back to you, Andrew Erickson, number two on

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Speaker 1: your list. We know all year long, these cancer Chiefs

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Speaker 1: have struggled with tight ends, and this feels like a

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Speaker 1: very chalky investment to go with Dallas Goddard, but is

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Speaker 1: it the correct one.

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Speaker 3: I'm going to take the under on Dallas Goddard, not

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Speaker 3: on his receiving yards, which has been the prop that

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Speaker 3: most people have been betting the last couple of weeks.

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Speaker 3: But I'm taking the under on the receptions. Four and

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Speaker 3: a half reception you still get at plus money odds.

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Speaker 3: So despite the fact that Goddard has been on this

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Speaker 3: absolute tear over the last month, he's been under four

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Speaker 3: and a half catches in five his last six games,

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Speaker 3: and when he's played alongside a healthy AJ Brown and

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Speaker 3: Devonte Smith, he's gone under in all the games except

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Speaker 3: for when they've played the Washington Commanders, so a lot

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Speaker 3: of his boosted numbers are coming against the very same

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Speaker 3: opponent who they are not playing in this matchup. Yes,

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Speaker 3: I understand the Chiefs have been bad against tight ends,

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Speaker 3: but that's because of yardage, not necessarily receptions. So historically speaking,

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Speaker 3: darts nowhere near this number. He's under four and a

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Speaker 3: half catches nine of his last fourteen games when AJ

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Speaker 3: Brown and DeVante Smith are both healthy. In the lineup.

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Speaker 3: It's funny if you combine the over on his receiving

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Speaker 3: yards with the under on his receptions, you get plus

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Speaker 3: seven to fifty odds. He's done that in fifty percent

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Speaker 3: of his games the last month, and you're getting plus

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Speaker 3: seven to fifties. So if you really want to middle

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Speaker 3: it in terms of yes, I think that he's going

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Speaker 3: to get his yardage on a couple passes, which is

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Speaker 3: kind of what he's done most of the last month

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Speaker 3: or so. Then that's an interesting way to approach this prop.

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Speaker 3: But I like the under on the receptions. I still

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Speaker 3: think that aj Brown DeVante Smith are kind of being

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Speaker 3: underrated and how much they're going to be involved against

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Speaker 3: his Chiefs team likes to play a lot of man coverage,

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Speaker 3: and both those guys are alphas on the outside, and

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Speaker 3: I think that they're going to get opportunities to make

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Speaker 3: plays on the side line. So I prefer some of

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Speaker 3: these Eagles receivers compared to Dallas Goddard.

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Speaker 1: Fifty percent of plus seven hundred. You're saying, that's very interesting,

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Speaker 1: that's better odds than that coin flip. I'm just putting

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Speaker 1: that out there for everybody. All right, let's get back

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Speaker 1: to you, Welsh, give you another prop you're excited about

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Speaker 1: betting for the Super Bowl this Sunday.

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Speaker 2: All right? Kryptonite sometimes is the allure of DeAndre Hopkins

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Speaker 2: in the offense. He dominates and then he disappears. And

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Speaker 2: we definitely have seen less of DeAndre Hopkins since Marquise

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Speaker 2: Brown has gotten there, but there's also been a lot

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Speaker 2: of Super Bowl focus. He gets to be in this

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Speaker 2: spot and we still do see targets out of him.

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Speaker 2: So I will tell you his yards are very tempting.

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Speaker 2: It's like twelve and you can get massive plus money

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Speaker 2: at twenty five. But we haven't seen a big glut

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Speaker 2: of catches. So where we're going with this one is

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Speaker 2: DeAndre Hopkins' longest reception ten point five. Over seven of

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Speaker 2: his last ten games he has hit this longest reception.

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Speaker 2: He has only had one one catch during the playoffs,

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Speaker 2: which was last week. And guess what, eleven. You've got

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Speaker 2: some projections that have put him right in the twenty marker.

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Speaker 2: I do believe he will be involved in this offense

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Speaker 2: and implied if he can get one catch, he's a

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Speaker 2: guy that they're gonna throw the ball to on the outside.

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Speaker 2: I need eleven yards. He got that in his one

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Speaker 2: catch last week. He's done it a ton during the

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Speaker 2: regular season. They have limited him out, but I think

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Speaker 2: some of the older guys Kelsey Hopkins are gonna get

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Speaker 2: a little bit more involved. So we are going longest

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Speaker 2: reception for a wide receiver in the Chiefs offense at

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Speaker 2: just ten point five. Marcus Brown, by the way, is

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Speaker 2: like eighteen point five, So it's just a really low

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Speaker 2: total because he has had a low target share. I

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Speaker 2: think you will see a little bit more involvement. Obviously,

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Speaker 2: the corners are going to be on a big, heavy

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Speaker 2: lockdown on guys like Xavier Worthy, probably even with Marquise Brown,

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Speaker 2: so this could open up some opportunities for Hopkins and

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Speaker 2: I just need an eleven yard catch from DeAndre Ericson.

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Speaker 1: There's a wide receiver on the eagle side that's getting

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Speaker 1: a lot of buzz in this game the longer of

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Speaker 1: the week drags on, it's Devonte Smith. So is that

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Speaker 1: somebody you are investing in? And if so, how this weekend?

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Speaker 3: I love Devanta Smith like he is the guy that

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Speaker 3: I'm honing in on as that Eagles playmaker that could

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Speaker 3: potentially put Philadelphia over the top if they win this game.

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Speaker 3: I think that Demanta Smith is going to play a

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Speaker 3: big role because he has owned the Chiefs three games

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Speaker 3: against the Chiefs ninety nine yards, one hundred yards, one

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Speaker 3: hundred and twenty two yards, So he has more games

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Speaker 3: of ninety nine yards against the Chiefs than any other

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Speaker 3: team in his NFL career. So he's taken advantage of

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Speaker 3: the Steve Spagnola defense and get's going to continue Smith.

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Speaker 3: When you look at the Eagles and games where they've

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Speaker 3: been underdogs, seventy plus receiving yards is last five games

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Speaker 3: when the Eagles have been underdogs, and seventy nine or

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Speaker 3: more in the two games this season where the Eagles

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Speaker 3: of underdogs and Smith has been in the lineup. So

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Speaker 3: his prop open is at forty nine and a half

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Speaker 3: fifteen and a half receiving yards at minus one ten.

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Speaker 3: So that's the starter prop. But I think that you

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Speaker 3: can again fall in with Welsh did two weeks ago

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Speaker 3: in the Conference championship looking at Xavier Worthy just following

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Speaker 3: the trends like Worthy's got over seventy That's where I'm

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Speaker 3: going to ladder it up. So I feel confident going

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Speaker 3: through donv DeVante Smith laddering up to seventy plus receiving

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Speaker 3: yards at plus two hundred, and he's owned the Chiefs

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Speaker 3: in a specific matchup, specifically when he's been operating on

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Speaker 3: the outside. The projections have him north of fifty four

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Speaker 3: receiving yards and like I said, success outside the numbers

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Speaker 3: against the Chiefs all three games against them, so I

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Speaker 3: really liked them on the smith a ton in this matchup.

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Speaker 3: So I'm going to be betting his opening receiving line and

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Speaker 3: laddering up to seventy plus yards.

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Speaker 1: Now, remember all the bets here. Everything out there for

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Speaker 1: props you can always find in the prop bet cheat sheet.

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Speaker 1: Go to bettingpros dot com slash props today or just

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Speaker 1: check out the prop bet cheat sheet on the Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros app right now. You can compare all the different

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Speaker 1: lines with all the projections and get the best value

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Speaker 1: you possibly can find on every over, every under, everything

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Speaker 1: that moves in the prop world. Betting Pros can help you.

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Speaker 1: So you get tailed recommendations, track your winning trends, and

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Speaker 1: you can filter everything by the odds bet type you

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Speaker 1: name it, we can do it here. So use the

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Speaker 1: prop bet cheat cheet along with all the other tools

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Speaker 1: over on betting Pros right now download app. All right,

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Speaker 1: let's get to a wide receiver who is missed most

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Speaker 1: of the season here for the Kansasity Chiefs Welsh, but

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Speaker 1: could make an impact on Sunday. Let's talk Hollywood Brown.

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Speaker 2: So I'm gonna tell you. In the prediction show we

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Speaker 2: did earlier this week, Ericson had a great bet. It's

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Speaker 2: kind of a not even like a not necessarily novelty bet,

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Speaker 2: but it was a bet that we both had honed

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Speaker 2: in on together and that bet was Marquise Brown getting

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Speaker 2: a catch on the first drive for the Kansas City Chiefs.

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Speaker 2: That's something that you can do also, you can get

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Speaker 2: like the very overall first catch and I kind of

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Speaker 2: thought that was gonna be on the show. So be

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Speaker 2: curious why it didn't make the show here because it

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Speaker 2: is such a great fun bet because we've seen a

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Speaker 2: lot of Marquise Brown on the first drive that's actually

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Speaker 2: been like where some of that money is made. But

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Speaker 2: this stood out to me, and first quarter bets maybe

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Speaker 2: sometimes trend for baseball people like no run first any

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Speaker 2: type of things, like you know, it looks very trendy

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Speaker 2: and fun, but it's like a weird side, but you

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Speaker 2: can get Hollywood Brown in the first quarter receiving yards

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Speaker 2: to just be over four point five. So, as Erickson

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Speaker 2: had said on that show, we've seen Marquise Brown be

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Speaker 2: targeted on like was like three of the last four games.

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Speaker 2: On the very first drive, his longest reception quite a

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Speaker 2: bit higher. As talked about that longest reception over around

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Speaker 2: like eighteen. I mean, just a few more yards. We're

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Speaker 2: looking at just a couple, just a couple five yards

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Speaker 2: we need on that first quarter, not even the first drive.

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Speaker 2: We're playing first quarter, So Marquis Brown, Hollywood Marquise says

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Speaker 2: his name, Hollywood Brown, getting some of that involvement in

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Speaker 2: the first quarter is already in play. Longest catches way

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Speaker 2: over this. We need five yards from Hollywood Brown in

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Speaker 2: the first quarter. Obviously there's a lot of target share

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Speaker 2: going around here, but I really like this one. I'm

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Speaker 2: playing five yards in the first quarter for Hollywood Brown.

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Speaker 1: I want to give you a fun nickname, like Hollywood.

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Speaker 1: We got to work on that.

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Speaker 2: It actually was like literally it was Hollywood. The bagman

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Speaker 2: used to call me Hollywood when I was younger because

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Speaker 2: I had, like, you know, like people that have lots

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Speaker 2: of friend groups. I had lots of different friend groups,

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Speaker 2: so phone was always blowing up. But it's very it's

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Speaker 2: a little pretentious, a little hollywood. I don't have any

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Speaker 2: friends anymore. I don't have any friends anymore, so I

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Speaker 2: can't be I'm more like Burbank.

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Speaker 3: All right, how many phones do you own? How many

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Speaker 3: phones do you have?

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Speaker 2: I won now, but before it was like beeper and

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Speaker 2: like a couple of phones and stuff.

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Speaker 1: And I never had the pager, never never never went.

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Speaker 3: I don't. I'm convinced those things are not real. I

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Speaker 3: see them in old TV and old movies. I'm like,

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Speaker 3: what is that thing?

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Speaker 1: It's a it was a thing.

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Speaker 3: It's like it's like a fax machine.

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Speaker 1: Well machine, it's very real. But the beepers were real.

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Speaker 1: But you know, it was a different time. It's a

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Speaker 1: simpler time. There you go, somebody beat you. You went

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Speaker 1: to the phones.

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Speaker 2: Similar time when you had six phones or a beeper

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Speaker 2: and you had to go to a payphone and put

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Speaker 2: in a quarter and maybe collect call somebody.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, but it didn't dominate your life. You're like, well,

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Speaker 1: I'll get back to this person. Unless you got the

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Speaker 1: nine to one one that and the oh Yeah, someone

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Speaker 1: would page you with the number and say ninety one

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Speaker 1: like that means call me immediately. There's a whole code

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Speaker 1: system here, you know how people nowadays like you had

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Speaker 1: to teach me a couple of years ago. Ericson that

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Speaker 1: the that the three was just an e that people

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Speaker 1: are using now in texts and stuff like that. Same thing. See,

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Speaker 1: we're helping each other understand the world a little bit

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Speaker 1: better here, I'm betting first. Next up here, let's go

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Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts. It took us a while to get to

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Speaker 1: mister Hurts. Ericson, what do you have lined up for

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Speaker 1: the people for this one?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm stealing this from Mike Mayer who put it

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Speaker 3: into the analysts. We're constructing a Super Bowl props article

347
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Speaker 3: that's going to come out later on the site, so

348
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Speaker 3: make sure you check it out. But Jalen Hurts is

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Speaker 3: going to go over one hundred and ninety nine and

350
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Speaker 3: a half passing yards. This is at minus one forty five.

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Speaker 3: Believe this one is on ESPN BET. I think other

352
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Speaker 3: books have it closer to two hundred and twelve and

353
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Speaker 3: a half passing yards. But again, I've listened to a

354
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Speaker 3: lot of content this week, and I'm just I'm ready

355
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Speaker 3: to embrace Jalen Hurts throwing the ball a little bit

356
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Speaker 3: more in this matchup. I just think that when we

357
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Speaker 3: see a team and an opportunity where they may be

358
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Speaker 3: asked to play a little bit differently, I mean, made

359
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Speaker 3: a game where they're potentially trailing, like they're underdogs, so

360
00:16:05,960 --> 00:16:07,600
Speaker 3: one would think, okay, maybe they need to delop the

361
00:16:07,600 --> 00:16:09,720
Speaker 3: pass game a little bit more. So again, just so

362
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Speaker 3: many talented playmakers on the Eagles side of the ball

363
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Speaker 3: between Goddard, Devontae Smith, and A. J. Brown. Greatest thing

364
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Speaker 3: about the prop at Chiet sheet that I absolutely love

365
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Speaker 3: using is the filter and you can filter in players

366
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Speaker 3: that were available in those games. So when Hurtz has

367
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Speaker 3: actually had all three of those top weapons, he's actually

368
00:16:25,720 --> 00:16:28,440
Speaker 3: hit the over four out of seven times, so he's

369
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Speaker 3: hitting it more often than not when Goddard, AJ Brown

370
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Speaker 3: and DeVonta Smith are in the lineup. He hit you

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Speaker 3: over last week in the playoff game against the or

372
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Speaker 3: in the NFC Championship game against the Commanders. So yeah,

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Speaker 3: I'm buying it here. Again, I understand why the number

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Speaker 3: is so low because this team is operated with Saqua

375
00:16:45,320 --> 00:16:47,520
Speaker 3: Marketing and play defense. But if there's ever going to

376
00:16:47,560 --> 00:16:49,280
Speaker 3: be a game where they have to kind of go

377
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Speaker 3: off script a little bit, it would be against the

378
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Speaker 3: KANSASI Chiefs, because the Chiefs know that they win by

379
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Speaker 3: running the ball and playing defense. So I think if

380
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Speaker 3: the Eagles want to win, they need to do something

381
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Speaker 3: a little bit different. Get these receivers more involved, and

382
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Speaker 3: like you said, I like them want to Smith a lot.

383
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Speaker 3: So if Smith is going to have a big game,

384
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Speaker 3: I think Hurts will be off along for the ride.

385
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Speaker 3: So one hundred and nine to nine and a half

386
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Speaker 3: passing yards lowbar to pass, I will take the over.

387
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Speaker 1: Okay, Welsh, give me your last one before we go

388
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Speaker 1: to the touchdown calls for Super Bowl Sunday.

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00:17:16,680 --> 00:17:18,399
Speaker 2: We're going to parlay up a little bit. We're not

390
00:17:18,440 --> 00:17:20,760
Speaker 2: going to get crazy crazy parlay We're actually going to

391
00:17:20,840 --> 00:17:23,680
Speaker 2: parlay some paired down receptions. So we're doing a reception

392
00:17:24,400 --> 00:17:28,120
Speaker 2: parlay here, and we're putting Xavier Worthy and the aforementioned

393
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Speaker 2: Davante Smith together. Worthy at five receptions, Davante Smith at

394
00:17:32,760 --> 00:17:35,320
Speaker 2: four receptions, and we're getting just a little over plus

395
00:17:35,359 --> 00:17:37,800
Speaker 2: money on those. They are I think it's five point

396
00:17:37,840 --> 00:17:41,160
Speaker 2: five Unworthy and four point five on DeVante Smith. There's

397
00:17:41,200 --> 00:17:43,600
Speaker 2: some heavy juice or obviously it's implied to five for

398
00:17:43,760 --> 00:17:49,400
Speaker 2: Xavier Worthy. But Worthy has hit five receptions in seven

399
00:17:49,520 --> 00:17:51,440
Speaker 2: straight games if you're not counting that final game. With

400
00:17:51,520 --> 00:17:54,320
Speaker 2: the regular season, he has been a heavily talked about

401
00:17:54,359 --> 00:17:56,520
Speaker 2: it on the show. When I was did the latter

402
00:17:56,720 --> 00:17:59,000
Speaker 2: on Xavier Worthy that he was one of the number

403
00:17:59,040 --> 00:18:02,199
Speaker 2: one first read guys. You know, he was getting a

404
00:18:02,280 --> 00:18:05,280
Speaker 2: design place target share, like he has been the guy.

405
00:18:05,720 --> 00:18:08,679
Speaker 2: So I'm playing him at five receptions and then DeVante Smith.

406
00:18:09,040 --> 00:18:11,000
Speaker 2: I mean you've already gotten kind of the layout from

407
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Speaker 2: ericson about how he can be involved and he can

408
00:18:13,119 --> 00:18:15,919
Speaker 2: be the difference maker. He's been the four reception monster

409
00:18:15,920 --> 00:18:18,040
Speaker 2: throughout the playoffs. I believe it's four four four, So

410
00:18:18,080 --> 00:18:19,960
Speaker 2: I'm just pairing it down. You want to get better odds,

411
00:18:20,000 --> 00:18:22,400
Speaker 2: you can go and do this as a five reception parlay.

412
00:18:23,160 --> 00:18:25,919
Speaker 2: But I have major questions just at all times about

413
00:18:26,119 --> 00:18:28,159
Speaker 2: how that team is going to end up passing the

414
00:18:28,160 --> 00:18:30,960
Speaker 2: ball where it goes. Obviously can a J. Brown get

415
00:18:30,960 --> 00:18:32,920
Speaker 2: more involved? So I just paired it down to four.

416
00:18:33,000 --> 00:18:35,959
Speaker 2: So four receptions for Smith paired with Xavier Worth, these

417
00:18:36,040 --> 00:18:39,800
Speaker 2: five receptions a little over plus money for our final

418
00:18:39,840 --> 00:18:43,080
Speaker 2: reception partly of the season. It's sad, it's still kind

419
00:18:43,119 --> 00:18:45,119
Speaker 2: of sad to think about this. Is this that was

420
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Speaker 2: the final bet of the year.

421
00:18:46,160 --> 00:18:48,680
Speaker 1: Well, no, it's a final bet of this season. The

422
00:18:48,880 --> 00:18:51,760
Speaker 1: NFL year at twenty twenty five is still glorious. It's

423
00:18:51,800 --> 00:18:54,280
Speaker 1: still very much upon us and NFL drives right around

424
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Speaker 1: the corner. We're gonna bet the hell out of that too,

425
00:18:56,280 --> 00:18:58,440
Speaker 1: So don't worry. There's plenty of ways.

426
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Speaker 2: For that was a very like prey fit.

427
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Speaker 1: First, don't cry, Hollywood. No, don't cry, Hollywood. You're going

428
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Speaker 1: to have a happy hour thing at the end of

429
00:19:04,680 --> 00:19:07,439
Speaker 1: the day. Ericson, give me your last prop bet that

430
00:19:07,440 --> 00:19:09,760
Speaker 1: you're into for Super Bowl Sunday.

431
00:19:10,240 --> 00:19:12,680
Speaker 3: Well, only if Hollywood catches a pass on the first

432
00:19:12,720 --> 00:19:15,960
Speaker 3: drive will we be happy. I am just I'm buying

433
00:19:16,000 --> 00:19:18,919
Speaker 3: into this. I love all the like Welsh said, very

434
00:19:18,960 --> 00:19:21,600
Speaker 3: much into all the Marquise Brown getting involved on the

435
00:19:21,640 --> 00:19:25,720
Speaker 3: first drive, first target, first perception, whatever the way I

436
00:19:25,760 --> 00:19:28,200
Speaker 3: like to playing it. Additionally, though, is so both teams

437
00:19:28,200 --> 00:19:31,200
Speaker 3: to complete their first passing attempt is minus one ten.

438
00:19:31,760 --> 00:19:34,680
Speaker 3: Look at the last four Chiefs Super Bowls. Those quarterbacks

439
00:19:34,800 --> 00:19:38,040
Speaker 3: seven to one and completing their first pass attempt. What

440
00:19:38,040 --> 00:19:40,240
Speaker 3: have they been doing all week? It's been two weeks

441
00:19:40,440 --> 00:19:43,400
Speaker 3: scripted plays. They know what they're doing when they get

442
00:19:43,400 --> 00:19:45,040
Speaker 3: the ball, unless there's like a turnover and then the

443
00:19:45,040 --> 00:19:47,080
Speaker 3: first possession is in the red zone for some reason.

444
00:19:47,520 --> 00:19:49,840
Speaker 3: Then they already know what they're doing. With the first plays.

445
00:19:49,880 --> 00:19:51,720
Speaker 3: They know who's getting the scripted ball. We know that

446
00:19:51,800 --> 00:19:54,280
Speaker 3: it's going to Marquis Brown. We know that with the Chiefs.

447
00:19:54,320 --> 00:19:57,159
Speaker 3: Just matter can the guy squeeze the football? So I

448
00:19:57,200 --> 00:19:59,959
Speaker 3: think that this one is going to cash, you know,

449
00:20:00,080 --> 00:20:02,000
Speaker 3: I just I like I think that giving all the

450
00:20:02,080 --> 00:20:04,160
Speaker 3: amount of time that they get to prepare, I think

451
00:20:04,200 --> 00:20:06,440
Speaker 3: this one's gonna hit. So minus one ten, both teams

452
00:20:06,480 --> 00:20:09,240
Speaker 3: complete their first pass attempt, and it's a quick sweat.

453
00:20:09,280 --> 00:20:11,280
Speaker 3: You'll know in the first quarter, first two drives whether

454
00:20:11,320 --> 00:20:13,840
Speaker 3: it hits or not. So I'm ready for my mentions

455
00:20:14,320 --> 00:20:16,520
Speaker 3: early on in Super Bowl there hes he.

456
00:20:16,480 --> 00:20:18,800
Speaker 1: Does it for the mentions, folks. That's that's what he

457
00:20:18,840 --> 00:20:21,880
Speaker 1: does for all right. Remember when you're betting touchdowns, yod

458
00:20:21,920 --> 00:20:24,760
Speaker 1: to bettingpros dot com, slash touchdown and use the touchdown

459
00:20:24,840 --> 00:20:28,160
Speaker 1: score Report. Our Touchdown Score Report compares anytime touchdown stats

460
00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:30,840
Speaker 1: to prop bet odds and projections to help identify the

461
00:20:30,880 --> 00:20:33,159
Speaker 1: best any time touchdown bets you can make. So go

462
00:20:33,160 --> 00:20:36,240
Speaker 1: to betting pros dot com slash touchdown the latest touchdown

463
00:20:36,280 --> 00:20:39,399
Speaker 1: prop analysis today. I'm gonna keep this simple. The juice

464
00:20:39,440 --> 00:20:43,359
Speaker 1: is too much on Saque Barkley touchdowns, So sake one.

465
00:20:43,400 --> 00:20:45,239
Speaker 1: Barkley first touchdown is probably the best way to go.

466
00:20:45,880 --> 00:20:49,320
Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts that's the lock. That's the one you go

467
00:20:49,440 --> 00:20:52,000
Speaker 1: all in on. I would also say Jalen Hurts first

468
00:20:52,000 --> 00:20:55,359
Speaker 1: time touchdown is the way that I would like to

469
00:20:55,560 --> 00:20:57,879
Speaker 1: juice that a little bit more. But I'm going Patrick

470
00:20:57,880 --> 00:21:00,320
Speaker 1: Mahomes plus four hundred. I think he's going to be

471
00:21:00,320 --> 00:21:02,520
Speaker 1: out in space. I think those corners are really good,

472
00:21:02,920 --> 00:21:05,439
Speaker 1: the wide receivers are really mid, and the pressure up

473
00:21:05,480 --> 00:21:07,080
Speaker 1: the middle is also going to be really tough to

474
00:21:07,160 --> 00:21:09,400
Speaker 1: deal with. The Mahomes against flushed from that pocket quite

475
00:21:09,400 --> 00:21:11,640
Speaker 1: a bit. You can't guard everybody, and Mahomes has shown

476
00:21:11,640 --> 00:21:13,480
Speaker 1: you he is capable of taking that ball in his hands,

477
00:21:13,520 --> 00:21:15,880
Speaker 1: especially in the last Super Bowl and the last playoff

478
00:21:15,880 --> 00:21:18,240
Speaker 1: game we saw too. So give me Patty Mahomes plus

479
00:21:18,320 --> 00:21:20,320
Speaker 1: four hundred to get in the end zone. Well, give

480
00:21:20,359 --> 00:21:22,680
Speaker 1: me some names at Fine pay Dirt on Sunday.

481
00:21:23,400 --> 00:21:25,520
Speaker 2: One thing he didn't talk about was Travis Kelcey in

482
00:21:25,520 --> 00:21:27,760
Speaker 2: this game. Obviously, he's just been like in and out

483
00:21:27,800 --> 00:21:29,879
Speaker 2: of like where you know, it's a big production and

484
00:21:29,920 --> 00:21:32,360
Speaker 2: then we're taking a nap. But you know the Eagles

485
00:21:32,440 --> 00:21:35,159
Speaker 2: they got lit up a bit by zach Ertz. So there,

486
00:21:35,240 --> 00:21:38,000
Speaker 2: you know, some deficiency in that middle side of the field,

487
00:21:38,080 --> 00:21:40,119
Speaker 2: especially for a guy like Travis Kelcey. I think he

488
00:21:40,200 --> 00:21:42,360
Speaker 2: is he is going to get involved. His receptions are

489
00:21:42,840 --> 00:21:44,840
Speaker 2: plus money at six and a half right now. Yards

490
00:21:44,840 --> 00:21:47,320
Speaker 2: are getting up there as well. How about touchdowns though,

491
00:21:47,359 --> 00:21:50,399
Speaker 2: in the biggest game, Travis Kelcey plus one forty on

492
00:21:50,480 --> 00:21:54,320
Speaker 2: an anytime touchdown and then man, I think there's just

493
00:21:54,400 --> 00:21:56,359
Speaker 2: so many great especially with both these teams. There's so

494
00:21:56,400 --> 00:21:58,720
Speaker 2: many great first touchdown bets. I don't know how everybody

495
00:21:58,760 --> 00:22:00,360
Speaker 2: plays them. I know some people will just you pick

496
00:22:00,400 --> 00:22:03,200
Speaker 2: one and go. Sometimes you can play with their implied odds.

497
00:22:03,200 --> 00:22:05,920
Speaker 2: You can pick three different guys. Obviously you know you're

498
00:22:05,960 --> 00:22:09,560
Speaker 2: bringing down your winning possibility. But if you are pairing

499
00:22:09,680 --> 00:22:12,960
Speaker 2: a couple first touchdowns together, Erickson's got one for you.

500
00:22:13,240 --> 00:22:15,520
Speaker 2: Maybe you want to get a big dog like Saikwon

501
00:22:15,600 --> 00:22:17,639
Speaker 2: Barkley in there. I'm gonna throw this one at you.

502
00:22:17,680 --> 00:22:19,639
Speaker 2: That's got to either just be a fun long shot

503
00:22:19,760 --> 00:22:23,639
Speaker 2: or throw into your your couple piece. First touchdown bets?

504
00:22:23,800 --> 00:22:27,560
Speaker 2: How about DeAndre Hopkins, who we talked about thirty one

505
00:22:27,280 --> 00:22:30,159
Speaker 2: three thousand, plus three thousand right now, one of the

506
00:22:30,160 --> 00:22:32,640
Speaker 2: bigger numbers we've seen for a first touchdown. He will

507
00:22:32,680 --> 00:22:35,720
Speaker 2: get some targets in the red zone. That's maybe more likely,

508
00:22:35,800 --> 00:22:38,080
Speaker 2: especially when they're going to run these rotations where they

509
00:22:38,119 --> 00:22:41,200
Speaker 2: are going to bring him in. Is if they're inside

510
00:22:41,400 --> 00:22:44,200
Speaker 2: that fifteen, they're inside that twenty, they're gonna bring him in.

511
00:22:44,240 --> 00:22:46,040
Speaker 2: They're going to throw that corner and he's gonna make

512
00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:48,439
Speaker 2: that ridiculous catch. So let's play it out on the

513
00:22:48,440 --> 00:22:52,720
Speaker 2: first drive at plus three thousand, DeAndre Hopkins any first

514
00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:53,760
Speaker 2: time touchdown?

515
00:22:53,960 --> 00:22:56,920
Speaker 1: All right, Andrew Erickson, let's lock up some tds.

516
00:22:56,480 --> 00:23:00,920
Speaker 3: For the Super Bowl co signing the Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown.

517
00:23:01,640 --> 00:23:03,720
Speaker 3: I mean Trell mentioned it on the Best Bets Show.

518
00:23:03,880 --> 00:23:07,639
Speaker 3: How minus one ten just seems like bonker. He scored

519
00:23:07,680 --> 00:23:08,960
Speaker 3: eighteen touchdowns this year.

520
00:23:09,080 --> 00:23:10,760
Speaker 1: Eight I don't I don't get it. I don't get

521
00:23:10,760 --> 00:23:12,560
Speaker 1: why it's I mean, he's I don't get it.

522
00:23:12,880 --> 00:23:14,159
Speaker 3: I'm with it, and well, part of it it's just

523
00:23:14,200 --> 00:23:17,160
Speaker 3: because of Barkley, right, because Barkley's impact and the way

524
00:23:17,200 --> 00:23:19,320
Speaker 3: that they're running their numbers. The numbers cannot account for

525
00:23:19,400 --> 00:23:22,360
Speaker 3: the touch. Bush Like, that's the thing. They cannot account

526
00:23:22,480 --> 00:23:24,840
Speaker 3: for how good the touch It's unstoppable. I get to

527
00:23:24,840 --> 00:23:28,119
Speaker 3: bet on an unstoppable play at minus one ten, please

528
00:23:28,400 --> 00:23:31,280
Speaker 3: sign me up. So yes, eighteen touchdowns this season for

529
00:23:31,359 --> 00:23:33,720
Speaker 3: Jalen Hurts, it's going to continue. He's going to score again.

530
00:23:33,960 --> 00:23:35,520
Speaker 3: If someone else asks me on the street, best Super

531
00:23:35,560 --> 00:23:38,479
Speaker 3: Bowl bet Jane Hurts anytime touchdown, Yeah, you're welcome.

532
00:23:38,600 --> 00:23:39,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, I just yeah.

533
00:23:39,680 --> 00:23:42,280
Speaker 3: So that's my that's my lock. When it comes to

534
00:23:42,280 --> 00:23:44,199
Speaker 3: some of the more long shot ones, I like the

535
00:23:44,200 --> 00:23:46,840
Speaker 3: Hopkins one as well as anytime touchdown, it seems like

536
00:23:47,200 --> 00:23:49,080
Speaker 3: if he's going to have a role, it's going to be, hey,

537
00:23:49,160 --> 00:23:50,480
Speaker 3: let's stick him in the red zone. He's going to

538
00:23:50,520 --> 00:23:52,840
Speaker 3: go up and win a fifty to fifty ball like

539
00:23:52,880 --> 00:23:54,840
Speaker 3: he's kind of That's what separates him, I think from

540
00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:56,920
Speaker 3: the majority of the other Chiefs receivers. Obviously, He doesn't

541
00:23:56,960 --> 00:23:59,439
Speaker 3: have the speed of a Worthier Marquis Brown, so how

542
00:23:59,480 --> 00:24:02,000
Speaker 3: can they best utilize him? He makes a signature catch

543
00:24:02,080 --> 00:24:04,000
Speaker 3: in the end zone. So I like Hopkins, especially at

544
00:24:04,000 --> 00:24:06,520
Speaker 3: six to one. And then when it comes to first touchdown,

545
00:24:06,840 --> 00:24:09,040
Speaker 3: one of my favorite markets to bet, just not even

546
00:24:09,080 --> 00:24:11,480
Speaker 3: in the Super Bowl, but all season long. I like

547
00:24:11,800 --> 00:24:14,760
Speaker 3: Xavier Worthy. Welsh talking about how involved he's been, He's

548
00:24:14,800 --> 00:24:18,560
Speaker 3: taken on the Rashie Rice roll, and to parallel it

549
00:24:18,600 --> 00:24:21,480
Speaker 3: to what we've seen when the Chiefs have faced vic

550
00:24:21,560 --> 00:24:25,879
Speaker 3: Fangio defenses, most recently in Miami, the guy who had

551
00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:28,840
Speaker 3: the most involvement, especially early on in those games was

552
00:24:28,920 --> 00:24:31,480
Speaker 3: Rashie Rice. Rashi Rice scored the first touchdown in both

553
00:24:31,520 --> 00:24:34,080
Speaker 3: of those games against vic Fangio's defense. Who's in that

554
00:24:34,160 --> 00:24:37,359
Speaker 3: role now, Xavier Worthy and who has ten touchdowns on

555
00:24:37,400 --> 00:24:39,280
Speaker 3: the year, the most of any player not named Jalen

556
00:24:39,359 --> 00:24:42,280
Speaker 3: hurch Er, Saquon Barkley, Xavier Worthy. So I will take

557
00:24:42,280 --> 00:24:45,000
Speaker 3: Worthy to score the first touchdown in Super Bowl Licks.

558
00:24:45,960 --> 00:24:48,680
Speaker 1: All right, there you have it, everybody, what's your favorite

559
00:24:48,720 --> 00:24:52,040
Speaker 1: touchdown call? Drop him in the comments below. Who is

560
00:24:52,080 --> 00:24:53,600
Speaker 1: going to find the end zone in the Super Bowl?

561
00:24:53,680 --> 00:24:55,680
Speaker 1: We love here from all of you. Don't forget when

562
00:24:55,720 --> 00:24:58,040
Speaker 1: you drop your comments. Subscribe to the channel Ring the

563
00:24:58,040 --> 00:25:00,040
Speaker 1: Belt to It goes Ding for notifications, and download the

564
00:25:00,040 --> 00:25:02,600
Speaker 1: Betting Pros app to start betting smarter or not harder.

565
00:25:02,600 --> 00:25:04,040
Speaker 1: That'll do it for us, but the story of the

566
00:25:04,040 --> 00:25:07,679
Speaker 1: game goes on for the Undertaker. Andrew Erickson in Hollywood,

567
00:25:07,760 --> 00:25:11,119
Speaker 1: Chris Welsh, I'm Joey p. We'll see you next time. Kids,

568
00:25:11,280 --> 00:25:12,160
Speaker 1: enjoy the Super Bowl.

569
00:25:12,560 --> 00:25:15,159
Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

570
00:25:15,240 --> 00:25:17,600
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571
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572
00:25:21,320 --> 00:25:23,919
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573
00:25:24,040 --> 00:25:27,679
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