1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:03,400 Speaker 1: Cable news is ripping us apart, dividing the nation, making 2 00:00:03,480 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 1: it impossible to function as a society and to know 3 00:00:05,960 --> 00:00:08,720 Speaker 1: what is true and what is false. The good news 4 00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:10,840 Speaker 1: is that they're failing and they know it. That is 5 00:00:10,840 --> 00:00:14,840 Speaker 1: why we're building something new. Be part of creating a new, better, healthier, 6 00:00:14,880 --> 00:00:17,920 Speaker 1: and more trustworthy mainstream by becoming a Breaking Points Premium 7 00:00:17,960 --> 00:00:21,520 Speaker 1: member today at breakingpoints dot com. Your hard earned money 8 00:00:21,560 --> 00:00:23,400 Speaker 1: is going to help us build for the midterms and 9 00:00:23,440 --> 00:00:27,400 Speaker 1: the upcoming presidential election so we can provide unparalleled coverage 10 00:00:27,400 --> 00:00:28,640 Speaker 1: of what is sure to be one of the most 11 00:00:28,640 --> 00:00:32,320 Speaker 1: pivotal moments in American history. So what are you waiting for? 12 00:00:32,520 --> 00:00:38,440 Speaker 1: Go to Breakingpoints dot com to help us out. Good morning, everybody, 13 00:00:38,520 --> 00:00:40,840 Speaker 1: Happy Monday. We have an amazing show for everybody today. 14 00:00:40,880 --> 00:00:43,479 Speaker 1: What are you Crystal? Indeed, we do some big stories 15 00:00:43,479 --> 00:00:45,440 Speaker 1: that have been breaking over the past couple of days. 16 00:00:45,479 --> 00:00:50,080 Speaker 1: So the Federal Reserve chairman making some very disturbing comments, 17 00:00:50,320 --> 00:00:53,400 Speaker 1: sending the markets into a tailspin and basically just outright 18 00:00:53,440 --> 00:00:56,560 Speaker 1: saying that he is going to cause you pain in 19 00:00:56,680 --> 00:00:59,080 Speaker 1: order to get inflation under control. Good stuff there, So 20 00:00:59,120 --> 00:01:00,920 Speaker 1: we'll get into all of that. Had also some new 21 00:01:01,200 --> 00:01:05,360 Speaker 1: legal developments with the former president judge indicating that she 22 00:01:05,520 --> 00:01:07,720 Speaker 1: is likely to appoint that special Master to help go 23 00:01:07,760 --> 00:01:09,759 Speaker 1: through we'll talk to you about what that means. Also, 24 00:01:10,600 --> 00:01:13,880 Speaker 1: on was a Friday that it came out the redacted 25 00:01:14,520 --> 00:01:17,640 Speaker 1: affidavit was revealed. Not a whole lot that was new 26 00:01:17,640 --> 00:01:20,440 Speaker 1: there because the redactions were fairly extensive. But we will 27 00:01:20,440 --> 00:01:23,440 Speaker 1: tell you what we learned. Bunch of new polling that 28 00:01:23,520 --> 00:01:28,440 Speaker 1: is out CBS News's new Battleground Tracker showing Democrats making 29 00:01:28,480 --> 00:01:31,600 Speaker 1: some gains, but Republicans still in position to win control 30 00:01:31,640 --> 00:01:34,640 Speaker 1: of the House, Biden's approval rating ticking up a bit, 31 00:01:34,959 --> 00:01:38,080 Speaker 1: and also some new polling showing that overall, the student 32 00:01:38,120 --> 00:01:40,880 Speaker 1: that relief from Biden is rather popular with the public. 33 00:01:41,440 --> 00:01:44,080 Speaker 1: We also have this just I don't even know what 34 00:01:44,080 --> 00:01:49,240 Speaker 1: to say about this Moderna suing Pfeiser alleging that Pfeiser 35 00:01:49,320 --> 00:01:55,240 Speaker 1: stole their mRNA technology. Newsflash, the US government and you, 36 00:01:55,840 --> 00:02:00,680 Speaker 1: the US taxpayer, funded the development of that mRNA technology 37 00:02:00,800 --> 00:02:03,800 Speaker 1: that they're now seeing each other over, even after they 38 00:02:03,840 --> 00:02:07,440 Speaker 1: made unbelievably unbelievable amounts of profits off of all of this. 39 00:02:07,480 --> 00:02:10,280 Speaker 1: So we'll get into those details. Also, some quite interesting 40 00:02:10,360 --> 00:02:13,400 Speaker 1: comments from Mark Zuckerberg on a podcast with Joe Rogan 41 00:02:13,560 --> 00:02:16,040 Speaker 1: about what exactly the FBI said to them about the 42 00:02:16,080 --> 00:02:19,680 Speaker 1: Hunter Biden stuff. We have a legal expert on Bradley 43 00:02:19,720 --> 00:02:22,960 Speaker 1: Moss who made a pretty bold prediction. That's true. We 44 00:02:23,000 --> 00:02:25,639 Speaker 1: had brad on before. He's very bullish, but I still 45 00:02:25,680 --> 00:02:27,040 Speaker 1: think he's worth hearing him out. Yeah, I want to 46 00:02:27,040 --> 00:02:28,720 Speaker 1: hear him make the case. So he made the argument 47 00:02:28,800 --> 00:02:31,639 Speaker 1: Trump will be indicted based on what he saw in 48 00:02:31,639 --> 00:02:35,080 Speaker 1: that affidavit that was released. So yeah, we'll have him 49 00:02:35,120 --> 00:02:37,360 Speaker 1: lay on the case and see what he thinks. But 50 00:02:37,480 --> 00:02:40,320 Speaker 1: before we get to any of that live show, let's 51 00:02:40,320 --> 00:02:42,560 Speaker 1: throw it up there on the screen. Almost a couple 52 00:02:42,600 --> 00:02:44,560 Speaker 1: of weeks now that we have and it's going to 53 00:02:44,600 --> 00:02:47,120 Speaker 1: be seventeen day, September sixteenth. We're going to be there 54 00:02:47,160 --> 00:02:49,639 Speaker 1: in the city of Atlanta. Thank you to everybody. We 55 00:02:49,680 --> 00:02:53,480 Speaker 1: even had folks compile entire dossiers of recommendation. Yeah, those 56 00:02:54,040 --> 00:02:57,120 Speaker 1: very very appreciating. You guys are the best. We have 57 00:02:57,160 --> 00:02:59,959 Speaker 1: future dates and cities we're literally discussing at this moment, 58 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:02,000 Speaker 1: so you're going to have to keep those recommendations coming. 59 00:03:02,080 --> 00:03:04,360 Speaker 1: Only a few tickets less. Go ahead and nab yours. 60 00:03:04,440 --> 00:03:06,400 Speaker 1: We want to be one hundred percent sold out in 61 00:03:06,480 --> 00:03:08,080 Speaker 1: order to show the world that is what we do 62 00:03:08,120 --> 00:03:10,760 Speaker 1: over here. But let's start with the FED. That's what's important. Indeed, 63 00:03:11,000 --> 00:03:13,640 Speaker 1: so as we mentioned to you last week, a bunch 64 00:03:13,639 --> 00:03:16,119 Speaker 1: of the FED folks were getting together in Jackson Hole 65 00:03:16,240 --> 00:03:18,720 Speaker 1: to you know, these are always these comments are really 66 00:03:18,720 --> 00:03:21,320 Speaker 1: closely watched to see what direction the Fed is going 67 00:03:21,360 --> 00:03:23,200 Speaker 1: to go in. And there are some real question marks 68 00:03:23,240 --> 00:03:25,880 Speaker 1: here because, on the one hand, inflation obviously continues to 69 00:03:25,919 --> 00:03:28,000 Speaker 1: be high. On the other hand, we did just get 70 00:03:28,000 --> 00:03:31,200 Speaker 1: some recent indications that perhaps it's cooling a bit. Meanwhile, 71 00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:33,400 Speaker 1: we have some indications that, you know, the economy is 72 00:03:33,400 --> 00:03:36,680 Speaker 1: taking a real hit from the Fed's moves to increase 73 00:03:36,720 --> 00:03:39,120 Speaker 1: the interest rate. And this was their goal, was we've 74 00:03:39,160 --> 00:03:41,880 Speaker 1: been discussing. Their whole approach here is to basically crush 75 00:03:41,920 --> 00:03:44,880 Speaker 1: you in order to get inflation under control. Jerome pal 76 00:03:45,200 --> 00:03:49,240 Speaker 1: mincing no words, really making it quite clear that they 77 00:03:49,360 --> 00:03:52,560 Speaker 1: intend to stick to a very aggressive course of interest 78 00:03:52,640 --> 00:03:54,600 Speaker 1: rate hikes. Let's take a listen to a little bit 79 00:03:54,600 --> 00:03:56,640 Speaker 1: of what he had to say. The burdens of high 80 00:03:56,640 --> 00:03:59,560 Speaker 1: inflation fall heaviest on those who are least able to 81 00:03:59,560 --> 00:04:05,360 Speaker 1: bear them. Restoring price stability will take some time and 82 00:04:05,440 --> 00:04:09,440 Speaker 1: requires using our tools forcefully to bring demand and supply 83 00:04:09,720 --> 00:04:14,640 Speaker 1: into better balance. Reducing inflation is likely to require a 84 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:19,800 Speaker 1: sustained period of below trend growth. Moreover, there will very 85 00:04:19,920 --> 00:04:24,479 Speaker 1: likely be some softening of labor market conditions. While higher 86 00:04:24,520 --> 00:04:28,320 Speaker 1: interest rates, slower growth, and softer labor market conditions will 87 00:04:28,320 --> 00:04:31,640 Speaker 1: bring down inflation, they will also bring some pain to 88 00:04:31,680 --> 00:04:36,800 Speaker 1: households and businesses. These are the unfortunate costs of reducing inflation, 89 00:04:38,279 --> 00:04:40,719 Speaker 1: but a failure to restore price stability would mean far 90 00:04:40,760 --> 00:04:46,240 Speaker 1: greater pain. Will bring some pain. I mean that is 91 00:04:46,320 --> 00:04:49,839 Speaker 1: the understatement of the century, because as bad as it 92 00:04:49,920 --> 00:04:53,480 Speaker 1: is to have rising inflation straining budgets, it is much 93 00:04:53,600 --> 00:04:57,560 Speaker 1: much worse to have inflation and also not have a job, 94 00:04:57,680 --> 00:05:00,000 Speaker 1: which is the direction that the Feed is intentionally pushing 95 00:05:00,040 --> 00:05:03,640 Speaker 1: the economy into, with the cheering of many lawmakers on 96 00:05:03,680 --> 00:05:05,320 Speaker 1: both sides of the aisle, I might add, let's go 97 00:05:05,320 --> 00:05:08,720 Speaker 1: ahead and put CNBCS wrap up of their analysis of 98 00:05:08,760 --> 00:05:11,440 Speaker 1: this speech. They say Powell warns of some pain ahead 99 00:05:11,480 --> 00:05:15,479 Speaker 1: as the Fed fights to bring down inflation. Powell says, 100 00:05:15,600 --> 00:05:18,640 Speaker 1: delivered a stern commitment Friday to halting inflation, warning he 101 00:05:18,680 --> 00:05:20,760 Speaker 1: expects the Central Bank to continue raising rates in a 102 00:05:20,760 --> 00:05:23,800 Speaker 1: way that will cause some pain to the US economy. 103 00:05:23,880 --> 00:05:26,760 Speaker 1: Stocks fell more than five hundred points down, Jones Industrial 104 00:05:26,839 --> 00:05:29,960 Speaker 1: average off more than five hundred points. Price stability, he said, 105 00:05:30,000 --> 00:05:32,560 Speaker 1: is the responsibility of the Federal Reserve and serves as 106 00:05:32,600 --> 00:05:36,400 Speaker 1: the bedrock of our economy. Without price stability, the economy 107 00:05:36,480 --> 00:05:39,400 Speaker 1: does not work for anyone. And in an early indication 108 00:05:39,600 --> 00:05:41,960 Speaker 1: of how the market's felt about this, anyway, go ahead 109 00:05:41,960 --> 00:05:44,240 Speaker 1: and put this next piece up on the screen. Powell's 110 00:05:44,279 --> 00:05:50,680 Speaker 1: eight minute speech erases seventy eight billion dollars from richest Americans. 111 00:05:50,680 --> 00:05:52,279 Speaker 1: Not that I'm going to cry too hard for them, 112 00:05:52,600 --> 00:05:56,120 Speaker 1: but it shows you how closely these remarks were watchdogger 113 00:05:56,240 --> 00:05:58,440 Speaker 1: and also shows you, listen, we've been talking a lot 114 00:05:58,440 --> 00:06:00,240 Speaker 1: about the FED this year, but there's a reason the 115 00:06:00,279 --> 00:06:03,560 Speaker 1: FED is really central to what is happening in the economy, 116 00:06:03,600 --> 00:06:06,560 Speaker 1: not just for the richest Americans, but for you. And 117 00:06:07,080 --> 00:06:08,840 Speaker 1: you know, whether you're able to put food on the table, 118 00:06:08,880 --> 00:06:10,880 Speaker 1: whether you're able to keep your job, and whether you're 119 00:06:10,920 --> 00:06:12,960 Speaker 1: able to have the sort of power that we've seen 120 00:06:13,000 --> 00:06:15,159 Speaker 1: also among workers who have been able to organize because 121 00:06:15,200 --> 00:06:17,000 Speaker 1: of the state of the economy. YEA chairman Power basically 122 00:06:17,000 --> 00:06:18,760 Speaker 1: saying we're going to have high interest rates. What we're 123 00:06:18,800 --> 00:06:21,120 Speaker 1: seeing currently is maybe even the median point. We could 124 00:06:21,200 --> 00:06:23,920 Speaker 1: go even more past that. Going to continue to jack 125 00:06:23,960 --> 00:06:26,440 Speaker 1: things up. Housing markets falling off of a cliff, the 126 00:06:26,480 --> 00:06:29,720 Speaker 1: Dow Jones, everything going down. Businesses, we're going to find 127 00:06:29,760 --> 00:06:32,520 Speaker 1: it much much more expensive to borrow. This is going 128 00:06:32,520 --> 00:06:34,160 Speaker 1: to hit the tech sector, this is going to hit 129 00:06:34,200 --> 00:06:37,280 Speaker 1: small business, It's going to hit even major corporations. I 130 00:06:37,360 --> 00:06:39,400 Speaker 1: think that we should begin to see a lot of 131 00:06:39,440 --> 00:06:43,159 Speaker 1: business decisions in the context of this new economy. And 132 00:06:43,200 --> 00:06:46,000 Speaker 1: I also just hate the FED speak and ECON speak 133 00:06:46,080 --> 00:06:47,960 Speaker 1: for what these like, We're going to see a softening 134 00:06:47,960 --> 00:06:49,720 Speaker 1: of the labor market. He's like, what he's saying is 135 00:06:49,720 --> 00:06:51,480 Speaker 1: is that the unemployment rate is going to go higher. 136 00:06:51,600 --> 00:06:54,440 Speaker 1: That's that's really soothing of the labor market means you're 137 00:06:54,480 --> 00:06:55,760 Speaker 1: going to lose your gab, You're going to lunch with 138 00:06:55,760 --> 00:06:57,800 Speaker 1: the job, You're going to have on enable a lot 139 00:06:57,839 --> 00:06:59,880 Speaker 1: of the collective bargaining that we've seen in the unions. 140 00:07:00,480 --> 00:07:02,400 Speaker 1: That's gonna go down. We're gonna have six to seven, 141 00:07:02,440 --> 00:07:06,040 Speaker 1: maybe eight percent unemployment. Remember six really is the target, 142 00:07:06,080 --> 00:07:08,920 Speaker 1: which is nearly double what the current unemployment rate is. 143 00:07:08,960 --> 00:07:12,040 Speaker 1: And demand side is just, frankly, not where we see 144 00:07:12,080 --> 00:07:14,360 Speaker 1: most of the inflation coming in. We've talked about this. 145 00:07:14,520 --> 00:07:17,480 Speaker 1: The vast majority of the inflation people are experiencing in 146 00:07:17,520 --> 00:07:19,880 Speaker 1: their lives have to do with supply side problems. And 147 00:07:19,920 --> 00:07:23,000 Speaker 1: as Senator our chairman Power has admitted himself while being 148 00:07:23,040 --> 00:07:26,160 Speaker 1: questioned in the Senate, the current FED playbook does not 149 00:07:26,400 --> 00:07:31,640 Speaker 1: target the supply side factors, gas chips, new cars, so 150 00:07:31,800 --> 00:07:33,440 Speaker 1: much of that. All they can do is just make 151 00:07:33,480 --> 00:07:36,679 Speaker 1: things so painful that you'll try and reduce your spending. 152 00:07:36,720 --> 00:07:40,600 Speaker 1: So they're trying to massively curtail consumer spending. Another reason 153 00:07:40,600 --> 00:07:43,040 Speaker 1: that this matters for our overall economy is he's making 154 00:07:43,040 --> 00:07:47,280 Speaker 1: these comments in August, So right now we are entering October, November, 155 00:07:47,280 --> 00:07:50,240 Speaker 1: and December. Almost forty something percent or whatever of retail 156 00:07:50,280 --> 00:07:53,480 Speaker 1: spending for many major corporations happens in this quarter. And 157 00:07:53,520 --> 00:07:55,720 Speaker 1: the reason why is Christmas gifts. Frankly, you know, people 158 00:07:55,720 --> 00:07:58,120 Speaker 1: spend a lot more during the holidays, is a massive 159 00:07:58,160 --> 00:08:01,080 Speaker 1: spending spree. Everybody Black Friday, all these other things. Well, 160 00:08:01,080 --> 00:08:03,160 Speaker 1: if you're going to hit consumer demand ahead of that, 161 00:08:03,200 --> 00:08:06,080 Speaker 1: you're actually targeting the yearly bottom line of a lot 162 00:08:06,120 --> 00:08:08,520 Speaker 1: of businesses, which they then use that revenue to pay 163 00:08:08,520 --> 00:08:11,800 Speaker 1: employees in January, you know, Amazon and others having they 164 00:08:11,880 --> 00:08:15,560 Speaker 1: always hire like forty percent or whatever more seasonal workers 165 00:08:15,720 --> 00:08:17,880 Speaker 1: that will likely go down as a result of this. 166 00:08:18,040 --> 00:08:20,120 Speaker 1: That's why everybody is watching this so like, wow, this 167 00:08:20,240 --> 00:08:23,280 Speaker 1: means that the economy is going to slow down, and 168 00:08:23,360 --> 00:08:26,120 Speaker 1: you know that has just major downstream effects on everybody. 169 00:08:26,200 --> 00:08:28,880 Speaker 1: You know, from small businesses like ours to the biggest 170 00:08:28,920 --> 00:08:32,960 Speaker 1: corporations in the world. Whenever people have reduced spending power 171 00:08:33,040 --> 00:08:35,840 Speaker 1: and they are going to lose their jobs. It's just 172 00:08:36,000 --> 00:08:37,760 Speaker 1: it really is a catastrophe. I mean we were saying, 173 00:08:38,320 --> 00:08:40,920 Speaker 1: are showing it before the show. Germany, you know obviously 174 00:08:40,960 --> 00:08:42,800 Speaker 1: is not here, but their power prices are up one 175 00:08:42,800 --> 00:08:46,320 Speaker 1: thousand percent, So one thousand percent a year over year 176 00:08:46,600 --> 00:08:49,000 Speaker 1: for natural gas. What does that have to do with 177 00:08:49,520 --> 00:08:53,320 Speaker 1: consumer demand? Nothing, It's actually the same. It's Russia. It's 178 00:08:53,360 --> 00:08:56,000 Speaker 1: like the Russian it's the war and the sanctions like 179 00:08:56,240 --> 00:08:58,920 Speaker 1: that is what is driving a huge amount of the inflation. 180 00:08:59,200 --> 00:09:02,040 Speaker 1: The Biden administration doing all these victory laps, Lesteny gas 181 00:09:02,080 --> 00:09:04,600 Speaker 1: is still like three seventy a gallon. That's still very 182 00:09:04,720 --> 00:09:07,400 Speaker 1: very high, and that you know, don't see it going 183 00:09:07,480 --> 00:09:09,720 Speaker 1: down from there. Well, and it's also important to point 184 00:09:09,760 --> 00:09:12,120 Speaker 1: out and actually, let's put this next piece up on 185 00:09:12,120 --> 00:09:17,160 Speaker 1: the screen so Pal's comments come. Even after you had 186 00:09:17,600 --> 00:09:20,480 Speaker 1: was described as the Fed's favorite inflation gauge here cooled 187 00:09:20,520 --> 00:09:24,319 Speaker 1: in July. The personal consumption expenditures inflation index fell on 188 00:09:24,360 --> 00:09:28,000 Speaker 1: a monthly basis in July's gas prices swooned, an annual 189 00:09:28,040 --> 00:09:32,720 Speaker 1: gauge slowed. Now gas prices going down, which is what 190 00:09:32,840 --> 00:09:36,840 Speaker 1: contributed to you know, this gauge cooling in July. That 191 00:09:36,920 --> 00:09:39,840 Speaker 1: had nothing to do with FED policy, which again just 192 00:09:39,840 --> 00:09:43,320 Speaker 1: shows you how disconnected what the FED is doing from 193 00:09:43,400 --> 00:09:49,160 Speaker 1: the actual primary drivers of inflation. So there continues to 194 00:09:49,280 --> 00:09:53,760 Speaker 1: be a real chance that the FED crushes the economy, 195 00:09:54,240 --> 00:09:58,880 Speaker 1: causes unemployment to spike, causes millions of Americans to lose 196 00:09:58,920 --> 00:10:01,360 Speaker 1: their jobs, and all of the that's not some pain 197 00:10:01,440 --> 00:10:05,720 Speaker 1: maybe experienced the labor markets. That is a total catastrophe 198 00:10:06,080 --> 00:10:08,920 Speaker 1: in the lives of so many families across the country. 199 00:10:09,000 --> 00:10:14,199 Speaker 1: Just sort of casually, casually taking this action is completely 200 00:10:14,440 --> 00:10:16,640 Speaker 1: insane and sort of disconnected from the real pain that 201 00:10:16,640 --> 00:10:19,200 Speaker 1: that's going to cause. And meanwhile, they could do that 202 00:10:19,440 --> 00:10:23,360 Speaker 1: and still have inflation running rampant because you are not 203 00:10:23,559 --> 00:10:26,600 Speaker 1: addressing the real causes. And in fact, as it's been 204 00:10:26,640 --> 00:10:29,720 Speaker 1: pointed out before, you know, the FED hiking interest rates 205 00:10:30,040 --> 00:10:35,199 Speaker 1: actually limits new investments being taken, which can cause increased 206 00:10:35,320 --> 00:10:38,040 Speaker 1: supply issues, which is part of what is leading to 207 00:10:38,080 --> 00:10:40,800 Speaker 1: this situation to start with. So if there was any 208 00:10:40,920 --> 00:10:43,720 Speaker 1: question about the direction the FED was going to head, 209 00:10:43,720 --> 00:10:47,559 Speaker 1: in Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Palp making it quite clear 210 00:10:47,640 --> 00:10:51,160 Speaker 1: they are committed to an aggressive stance, and you know, 211 00:10:51,480 --> 00:10:54,720 Speaker 1: casually start of talking about the incredible pain that is 212 00:10:54,760 --> 00:10:57,600 Speaker 1: going to be that is going to be in effect 213 00:10:57,679 --> 00:11:01,040 Speaker 1: for so many Americans. And it really is wild to 214 00:11:01,200 --> 00:11:06,440 Speaker 1: just watch our leaders take this kind of direct action 215 00:11:06,720 --> 00:11:11,640 Speaker 1: to create pain for American consumers and you know, American families. 216 00:11:11,640 --> 00:11:14,600 Speaker 1: But that's exactly what's happening right now. No, Yeah, absolutely correct, Crystal. 217 00:11:14,880 --> 00:11:17,719 Speaker 1: Let's talk about polling. So some interesting times for the 218 00:11:17,760 --> 00:11:21,080 Speaker 1: Biden administration on a macro level. We have to be honest, right, 219 00:11:21,200 --> 00:11:23,240 Speaker 1: things don't seem to be going as badly for them. 220 00:11:23,280 --> 00:11:24,960 Speaker 1: Let's go and put this up there on the screen, 221 00:11:25,360 --> 00:11:28,360 Speaker 1: and it looks like the American people agree President Biden. 222 00:11:28,360 --> 00:11:30,400 Speaker 1: And this is per Gallup shows that he's got a 223 00:11:30,440 --> 00:11:33,600 Speaker 1: six percentage point bump up to forty four percent, his 224 00:11:33,800 --> 00:11:37,920 Speaker 1: highest approval rating in a year now, still not great 225 00:11:38,280 --> 00:11:41,000 Speaker 1: underwater in terms of forty four percent, but not in 226 00:11:41,040 --> 00:11:43,559 Speaker 1: the thirty eighth percentile. And I think the reason actually 227 00:11:43,760 --> 00:11:46,920 Speaker 1: that this matters in the context of major politics is 228 00:11:46,920 --> 00:11:49,560 Speaker 1: that look for the president to not be above water 229 00:11:49,640 --> 00:11:51,800 Speaker 1: is not a good thing. But Donald Trump was also 230 00:11:51,880 --> 00:11:55,200 Speaker 1: never above fifty percent very often throughout his presidency. And 231 00:11:55,240 --> 00:11:57,240 Speaker 1: what was always noteworthy to me is that Biden was 232 00:11:57,240 --> 00:11:59,800 Speaker 1: actually less popular than Donald Trump when he was sitting 233 00:12:00,679 --> 00:12:03,480 Speaker 1: at his thirty eighth percentile. Now that he's at forty four, 234 00:12:03,840 --> 00:12:06,320 Speaker 1: that's actually right around where Trump was. And obviously Trump 235 00:12:06,400 --> 00:12:09,320 Speaker 1: nearly got re elected to the presidency, so that puts 236 00:12:09,400 --> 00:12:12,120 Speaker 1: him at least in some sort of contention to at 237 00:12:12,200 --> 00:12:16,320 Speaker 1: least possibly contest again the twenty twenty four election. And 238 00:12:16,360 --> 00:12:18,640 Speaker 1: more importantly, it kind of scrambles how things were going 239 00:12:18,720 --> 00:12:21,360 Speaker 1: to be with the midterms. As we've discussed, the Dobbs 240 00:12:21,400 --> 00:12:23,920 Speaker 1: decisions seems to have had a major impact, but also 241 00:12:24,640 --> 00:12:26,839 Speaker 1: gas prizes fell from five dollars a gallon and just 242 00:12:26,920 --> 00:12:29,640 Speaker 1: checked this morning, three eight fifty. Still not great, still 243 00:12:29,679 --> 00:12:31,920 Speaker 1: five to twenty a gallon in California, but it's not 244 00:12:31,960 --> 00:12:34,319 Speaker 1: six dollars a gallon as it used to be. In 245 00:12:34,360 --> 00:12:37,520 Speaker 1: the right direction. Not necessarily feel better because of anything 246 00:12:37,559 --> 00:12:39,880 Speaker 1: Biden has done, but it is what it is, and 247 00:12:40,000 --> 00:12:42,240 Speaker 1: that was the major, you know, pressure point on the 248 00:12:42,240 --> 00:12:45,040 Speaker 1: Biden administration. On top of he does seem to have 249 00:12:45,080 --> 00:12:48,680 Speaker 1: some intra party wins. Having passed Inflation Reduction Act. That 250 00:12:48,800 --> 00:12:51,160 Speaker 1: was something that I don't know if I'll necessarily energize 251 00:12:51,200 --> 00:12:54,480 Speaker 1: a base, but people can say, oh, the president did something. 252 00:12:54,520 --> 00:12:57,680 Speaker 1: It's just a sense that he's got some right. So 253 00:12:57,720 --> 00:12:59,920 Speaker 1: he got the chips ACKed, he got the inflation reduction. 254 00:13:00,440 --> 00:13:03,640 Speaker 1: There does seem to be things rolling in the correct direction. 255 00:13:03,760 --> 00:13:05,840 Speaker 1: And let's put this up there, which is that the 256 00:13:05,880 --> 00:13:08,480 Speaker 1: direct quote, And I think this is important. The improvement 257 00:13:08,600 --> 00:13:11,240 Speaker 1: does put him in better standing before the midterms than 258 00:13:11,280 --> 00:13:15,040 Speaker 1: actually five predecessors over the last forty years Reagan in 259 00:13:15,080 --> 00:13:18,640 Speaker 1: eighty two, Clinton in ninety four, George W. Bush and 260 00:13:18,920 --> 00:13:23,240 Speaker 1: six Obama in twenty fourteen, and Trump in twenty eighteen. Again, 261 00:13:23,320 --> 00:13:25,559 Speaker 1: the reason that that matters is we all remember how 262 00:13:25,600 --> 00:13:28,520 Speaker 1: well the Democrats did in twenty eighteen, how well the 263 00:13:28,520 --> 00:13:31,240 Speaker 1: Republicans did both in twenty ten, but also people forget 264 00:13:31,280 --> 00:13:36,120 Speaker 1: the twenty fourteen election. Clinton massive wash in ninety four 265 00:13:36,160 --> 00:13:39,080 Speaker 1: and also Reagan in eighty two took a quote shlacking 266 00:13:39,200 --> 00:13:42,200 Speaker 1: as w did is two thousand and six as well. 267 00:13:42,400 --> 00:13:45,240 Speaker 1: Now we may not see the same level of shlacking. 268 00:13:45,360 --> 00:13:48,080 Speaker 1: We could see a modest Republican gain in the House 269 00:13:48,080 --> 00:13:50,200 Speaker 1: of Representatives. And you know, right now things are like 270 00:13:50,200 --> 00:13:52,240 Speaker 1: fifty to fifty as to whether they're even going to 271 00:13:52,240 --> 00:13:54,920 Speaker 1: really win the Senate at all. So if the Dems 272 00:13:55,000 --> 00:13:56,920 Speaker 1: keep control of the Senate, that would actually be a 273 00:13:56,920 --> 00:13:59,600 Speaker 1: major win I think by the Biden administration. And then 274 00:13:59,760 --> 00:14:02,400 Speaker 1: really what it is is that the House districts and 275 00:14:02,440 --> 00:14:05,000 Speaker 1: the swings, how exactly that's going to play out. On 276 00:14:05,080 --> 00:14:08,360 Speaker 1: top of of course, Biden heading into the general election, 277 00:14:08,600 --> 00:14:10,520 Speaker 1: I mean previously, when he was sitting at thirty eight 278 00:14:10,559 --> 00:14:13,360 Speaker 1: percent and sometimes even lower in some poles, Crystal, it 279 00:14:13,400 --> 00:14:15,360 Speaker 1: was not inconceivable that he would not be able to 280 00:14:15,440 --> 00:14:18,199 Speaker 1: run again in the presidency. Yeah, not that he wouldn't want, 281 00:14:18,320 --> 00:14:20,800 Speaker 1: not that he wouldn't still be Probably the strongest Democratic 282 00:14:20,840 --> 00:14:24,680 Speaker 1: candidate just given you know, the bench that exactly exists 283 00:14:24,840 --> 00:14:27,320 Speaker 1: at the elite level, but it was inevitable that somebody 284 00:14:27,400 --> 00:14:29,680 Speaker 1: was probably going to primary him if he continued in 285 00:14:29,760 --> 00:14:32,880 Speaker 1: Jimmy Carter level. Now, you know, getting a little bit 286 00:14:32,920 --> 00:14:35,160 Speaker 1: of a bump. It's still obviously he can fall. It's 287 00:14:35,200 --> 00:14:38,120 Speaker 1: not like he's got the great managerial skills or whatever, 288 00:14:38,200 --> 00:14:41,000 Speaker 1: but he's in a better position, and I think that's undeniable. Yeah, 289 00:14:41,080 --> 00:14:44,720 Speaker 1: I think that's right. The CBS News Battleground Tracker, they 290 00:14:44,840 --> 00:14:48,640 Speaker 1: still show Republicans with an edge to win the House, 291 00:14:48,760 --> 00:14:51,920 Speaker 1: but it's much more narrow and there's a lot less 292 00:14:51,960 --> 00:14:55,240 Speaker 1: margin for error on the Republican side. And you know 293 00:14:55,280 --> 00:14:57,720 Speaker 1: that's reflected in the special elections that we've been tracking here. 294 00:14:57,720 --> 00:15:00,360 Speaker 1: The fact that in that New York special election in 295 00:15:00,440 --> 00:15:02,800 Speaker 1: upstate New York that Biden only won by a point 296 00:15:02,800 --> 00:15:05,560 Speaker 1: and a half, the Democrat was able to prevail against 297 00:15:05,600 --> 00:15:08,640 Speaker 1: what was considered to be quite a strong Republican contender 298 00:15:09,000 --> 00:15:11,800 Speaker 1: and really outperformed the polls by something like eight to 299 00:15:11,840 --> 00:15:13,760 Speaker 1: ten points based on the pole that you were looking at. 300 00:15:14,120 --> 00:15:16,640 Speaker 1: That was a really significant indicator of how much the 301 00:15:16,640 --> 00:15:18,960 Speaker 1: ground has shifted from if this was going to be 302 00:15:19,000 --> 00:15:22,040 Speaker 1: a massive red wave election, you would expect a contest 303 00:15:22,040 --> 00:15:23,960 Speaker 1: like that to not even be close. I mean, if 304 00:15:24,000 --> 00:15:26,120 Speaker 1: Republicans are going to take the House, which they are 305 00:15:26,160 --> 00:15:28,600 Speaker 1: still very much favored to do, they're going to have 306 00:15:28,640 --> 00:15:31,360 Speaker 1: to win seats like that, and so the fact that 307 00:15:31,400 --> 00:15:34,840 Speaker 1: they didn't was very, very eyebrow racing. They also point 308 00:15:34,880 --> 00:15:37,400 Speaker 1: to a few other things that are interesting in this 309 00:15:37,680 --> 00:15:42,640 Speaker 1: CBS News poll. So first of all, abortion obviously Row 310 00:15:42,720 --> 00:15:47,080 Speaker 1: versus Way being overturned. That has completely changed the dynamics electorally, 311 00:15:47,280 --> 00:15:51,720 Speaker 1: where you know, people, especially white college educated women, who 312 00:15:52,200 --> 00:15:54,760 Speaker 1: had been there for Democrats in twenty eighteen, been there 313 00:15:54,760 --> 00:15:57,440 Speaker 1: for Democrats to defeat Trump in twenty twenty, they were 314 00:15:57,480 --> 00:16:00,560 Speaker 1: starting to back away. Well now they're basically back in, 315 00:16:00,680 --> 00:16:03,200 Speaker 1: maybe not at the same levels as twenty eighteen, but 316 00:16:03,280 --> 00:16:06,840 Speaker 1: much more solidly with Democrats than they were previously. And 317 00:16:06,920 --> 00:16:10,040 Speaker 1: in these sort of suburban swing districts, that obviously matters 318 00:16:10,080 --> 00:16:12,440 Speaker 1: a lot. The other thing that they point to here 319 00:16:12,640 --> 00:16:16,040 Speaker 1: is Trump, the fact that he's back at the center 320 00:16:16,120 --> 00:16:18,760 Speaker 1: of the news, that his candidates are the ones who 321 00:16:18,760 --> 00:16:21,960 Speaker 1: prevailed in so many of these Republican primaries. You have 322 00:16:22,240 --> 00:16:26,880 Speaker 1: way more voters saying that Republican candidates are extreme than 323 00:16:27,000 --> 00:16:31,680 Speaker 1: saying that Democrat cacrodit candidates are extreme. So Trump coming 324 00:16:31,760 --> 00:16:36,320 Speaker 1: back in as this polarizing force has been really detrimental 325 00:16:36,400 --> 00:16:40,240 Speaker 1: to Republicans. People are much more likely to say they 326 00:16:40,240 --> 00:16:42,200 Speaker 1: are voting to oppose Trump than they are to say 327 00:16:42,240 --> 00:16:45,720 Speaker 1: that they're voting to oppose Biden. So Republicans really wanted 328 00:16:45,720 --> 00:16:47,880 Speaker 1: this to just be a rough ruendum on Biden. You know, 329 00:16:47,960 --> 00:16:50,280 Speaker 1: McConnell's strategy from the beginning, which at the time was 330 00:16:50,280 --> 00:16:52,800 Speaker 1: a very smart strategy, is we're not going to put 331 00:16:52,840 --> 00:16:55,440 Speaker 1: on any policy platform of our own. We are just 332 00:16:55,480 --> 00:16:58,280 Speaker 1: going to focus on Biden is bad, inflation is high. 333 00:16:58,360 --> 00:17:02,080 Speaker 1: Kick out the Democrats. Now things kind of out of 334 00:17:02,120 --> 00:17:05,399 Speaker 1: their control. The Dabb's decision and Trump being back at 335 00:17:05,400 --> 00:17:08,320 Speaker 1: the center of the news have made it very difficult 336 00:17:08,640 --> 00:17:11,560 Speaker 1: to just have the midterms be a referendum. It is 337 00:17:11,640 --> 00:17:14,480 Speaker 1: now much more of a choice, and on that front, 338 00:17:14,520 --> 00:17:17,520 Speaker 1: Democrats have a much better shot than they did previously. Yeah, 339 00:17:17,560 --> 00:17:19,520 Speaker 1: let's put that abortion piece up because it's important to 340 00:17:19,520 --> 00:17:22,200 Speaker 1: give contact. Seventy seven percent them say abortion is quote 341 00:17:22,280 --> 00:17:25,240 Speaker 1: very important than describe any other issue in that way. 342 00:17:25,400 --> 00:17:27,919 Speaker 1: Neck and neck with guns and actually ahead of the 343 00:17:27,960 --> 00:17:30,480 Speaker 1: economy and inflation. So if that is top of mind, 344 00:17:30,720 --> 00:17:33,200 Speaker 1: then that is going to get people's out to the poll. 345 00:17:33,280 --> 00:17:35,160 Speaker 1: Let's so the next one up there, which is this 346 00:17:35,200 --> 00:17:38,440 Speaker 1: is per the generic ballot still shows the Republicans at 347 00:17:38,480 --> 00:17:42,000 Speaker 1: forty seven percent a Democrats at forty five. Now, listen, 348 00:17:42,080 --> 00:17:46,160 Speaker 1: you should, of course always remember Republicans have been dramatically 349 00:17:46,280 --> 00:17:50,200 Speaker 1: underestimated in every poll so far. However, this would kind 350 00:17:50,240 --> 00:17:53,320 Speaker 1: of ish track with some of the special election results 351 00:17:53,320 --> 00:17:55,800 Speaker 1: that we've seen, So whether it's accurate or not, I 352 00:17:55,880 --> 00:17:59,360 Speaker 1: have no idea. In terms of the enthusiastic number. Republicans 353 00:17:59,359 --> 00:18:01,680 Speaker 1: have a plus seven and spread they used to though, 354 00:18:01,720 --> 00:18:03,639 Speaker 1: have a plus twenty five or a plus thirty. So 355 00:18:03,760 --> 00:18:06,320 Speaker 1: really what it is you're seeing that number creep down. 356 00:18:06,400 --> 00:18:09,720 Speaker 1: So I think right now it's multifaceted. We don't really 357 00:18:09,800 --> 00:18:12,479 Speaker 1: know where things stand, and I would just say in general, 358 00:18:12,640 --> 00:18:14,399 Speaker 1: it's complicated. You know, it's going to be one of 359 00:18:14,440 --> 00:18:17,080 Speaker 1: those things where Republicans could win the House. It's not 360 00:18:17,119 --> 00:18:19,000 Speaker 1: like that wouldn't be a victory, and it would effectively 361 00:18:19,080 --> 00:18:22,840 Speaker 1: end any sort of future legislative achievement by the Biden administration, 362 00:18:23,080 --> 00:18:25,119 Speaker 1: but not having the Senate would be very bad. You 363 00:18:25,160 --> 00:18:27,880 Speaker 1: could also have just a one seat gain by Republicans. 364 00:18:27,880 --> 00:18:29,520 Speaker 1: It would still be a win, but it wouldn't even 365 00:18:29,520 --> 00:18:31,840 Speaker 1: be close to where things are. I was actually reading 366 00:18:31,880 --> 00:18:34,760 Speaker 1: today Kevin McCarthy. If they only have a slight majority 367 00:18:34,760 --> 00:18:36,439 Speaker 1: who take the House, he can be in some serious 368 00:18:36,480 --> 00:18:38,800 Speaker 1: trouble for a speakership. He would basically get you know, 369 00:18:38,880 --> 00:18:41,199 Speaker 1: the Freedom Caucus would smack him across the face and 370 00:18:41,280 --> 00:18:44,480 Speaker 1: demand all kinds of things from leadership, which they've done 371 00:18:44,520 --> 00:18:46,920 Speaker 1: previously to John Bayner and make his life miserable. Same 372 00:18:46,960 --> 00:18:50,080 Speaker 1: with Paul Ryan. It seemed that dynamic playout. So there's 373 00:18:50,080 --> 00:18:52,600 Speaker 1: all kinds of interesting possibilities. See even bitch McConnell. I mean, 374 00:18:52,600 --> 00:18:54,359 Speaker 1: we don't know for sure if he's actually going to 375 00:18:54,440 --> 00:18:58,080 Speaker 1: get fully elected, especially if there's a very slim majority. 376 00:18:58,080 --> 00:19:00,560 Speaker 1: So ye, we don't know yet, but you know, where 377 00:19:00,600 --> 00:19:04,040 Speaker 1: things stand, I would bet on I mean, probably slight 378 00:19:04,200 --> 00:19:08,040 Speaker 1: gain Republicans in the House Senate, genuinely a toss up. 379 00:19:08,359 --> 00:19:09,920 Speaker 1: I have no idea, and there's a lot of money 380 00:19:09,960 --> 00:19:12,240 Speaker 1: still yet to be spent, both by the Democrats, but 381 00:19:12,280 --> 00:19:14,159 Speaker 1: you know, republic It's not like Republican billionaire are going 382 00:19:14,160 --> 00:19:16,520 Speaker 1: to sit on their hands. No, they're going to get 383 00:19:16,560 --> 00:19:19,440 Speaker 1: spending in the month of October. I think some massive, 384 00:19:19,520 --> 00:19:22,840 Speaker 1: massive checks are coming. As the RNC has said, they're 385 00:19:23,000 --> 00:19:25,720 Speaker 1: out there pleading with the They're like, we need some 386 00:19:25,880 --> 00:19:28,359 Speaker 1: Senate money, folks, and we need it now. Somebody's going 387 00:19:28,440 --> 00:19:30,359 Speaker 1: to come through for that. Don't worry, They'll have plenty 388 00:19:30,400 --> 00:19:33,000 Speaker 1: of cash, and you know, ultimately it matters to have 389 00:19:33,040 --> 00:19:35,040 Speaker 1: money in these races. But I find that more of 390 00:19:35,040 --> 00:19:38,359 Speaker 1: an indication of both sort of like financial mismanagement on 391 00:19:38,400 --> 00:19:41,800 Speaker 1: the Republican side and also the way that Democrats have 392 00:19:41,920 --> 00:19:45,399 Speaker 1: caught up in terms of grassroots based enthusiasm when you 393 00:19:45,440 --> 00:19:49,040 Speaker 1: compare the grassroots fundraising totals on the Democratic side versus 394 00:19:49,200 --> 00:19:53,080 Speaker 1: the Republican side. Another specific issue that we've been taking 395 00:19:53,400 --> 00:19:55,360 Speaker 1: a look at and that is proving to be very 396 00:19:55,359 --> 00:19:59,600 Speaker 1: problematic for Republicans is their positions on abortion. Now, the 397 00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:03,040 Speaker 1: pro I be like very extreme pro life part of 398 00:20:03,080 --> 00:20:06,919 Speaker 1: the GOP coalition is not a majority of the voters, 399 00:20:06,960 --> 00:20:10,080 Speaker 1: but they're very influential, and so a lot of Republican 400 00:20:10,119 --> 00:20:14,960 Speaker 1: candidates in their primaries took very extreme and really unequivocal 401 00:20:15,240 --> 00:20:20,120 Speaker 1: positions on abortion. Perfect case in point is Blake Masters. 402 00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:24,800 Speaker 1: He is the Republican nominee in Arizona for Senate, and 403 00:20:25,320 --> 00:20:29,640 Speaker 1: he has been caught now changing his website to really 404 00:20:29,720 --> 00:20:33,680 Speaker 1: moderate his views on the issue of abortion. As you know, 405 00:20:33,840 --> 00:20:36,359 Speaker 1: Dobbs has made this issue really central and has become 406 00:20:36,359 --> 00:20:39,440 Speaker 1: a big problem for Republicans in places like Arizona. So 407 00:20:39,520 --> 00:20:41,359 Speaker 1: let's go ahead and put this up on the screen. 408 00:20:42,160 --> 00:20:45,359 Speaker 1: So this tweet says new Blake Master's campaign scrubbed the 409 00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:47,920 Speaker 1: abortion section of his policy page. It's the latest sign 410 00:20:47,960 --> 00:20:50,680 Speaker 1: of how abortion rights are shifting the political landscape. They've 411 00:20:50,680 --> 00:20:54,240 Speaker 1: got screen shops here, shots here of the before and after, 412 00:20:54,960 --> 00:20:57,480 Speaker 1: just to give you a taste of some of the 413 00:20:57,560 --> 00:20:59,960 Speaker 1: changes that were made, which were, you know, really clear 414 00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:05,480 Speaker 1: and quite dramatic. Federal In the original version, he advocates 415 00:21:05,480 --> 00:21:09,480 Speaker 1: for a federal personhood law that would basically ban abortion 416 00:21:09,800 --> 00:21:13,560 Speaker 1: all together from you know, the minute that there's a heartbeat. 417 00:21:13,720 --> 00:21:15,720 Speaker 1: So this is a very extreme law that he's saying 418 00:21:15,720 --> 00:21:19,399 Speaker 1: he wants passed at the federal level, very clear and unequivocal. 419 00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:22,399 Speaker 1: In the primary now it says, well, I want to 420 00:21:22,440 --> 00:21:25,600 Speaker 1: ban late term abortions. So on much more solid political 421 00:21:25,640 --> 00:21:29,080 Speaker 1: ground there. Now that doesn't directly contradict the idea that 422 00:21:29,119 --> 00:21:31,840 Speaker 1: you also would want a federal personhood bill, but that's, 423 00:21:32,160 --> 00:21:34,720 Speaker 1: you know, very different thing to focus on. And another 424 00:21:34,760 --> 00:21:37,080 Speaker 1: thing he just outright took down is he used to 425 00:21:37,160 --> 00:21:39,600 Speaker 1: say that, you know, he would have a litmus test 426 00:21:39,720 --> 00:21:42,480 Speaker 1: on all judges. They had to understand that Roe and 427 00:21:42,600 --> 00:21:46,000 Speaker 1: Casey wrongfully decided that has been taken down. You know, 428 00:21:46,080 --> 00:21:48,679 Speaker 1: this is a guy who he called abortion genocide. He 429 00:21:48,760 --> 00:21:51,359 Speaker 1: was really really out there in terms of the type 430 00:21:51,400 --> 00:21:54,000 Speaker 1: of inflammatory language he would use on this issue, and 431 00:21:54,040 --> 00:21:56,960 Speaker 1: that has all now been dramatically moderated in terms of 432 00:21:56,960 --> 00:21:59,159 Speaker 1: his website. Well, stripping it off of his website in 433 00:21:59,200 --> 00:22:01,600 Speaker 1: a way is is such a stupid move because you 434 00:22:01,680 --> 00:22:04,920 Speaker 1: only draw even more attention to it. And now the 435 00:22:05,000 --> 00:22:07,840 Speaker 1: Kelly campaign is actually just smacking him over the head 436 00:22:07,960 --> 00:22:10,960 Speaker 1: even more. They're like, look, he realizes that it's so 437 00:22:11,119 --> 00:22:13,840 Speaker 1: bad that we're going to continue attacking him. And Blake 438 00:22:13,960 --> 00:22:16,800 Speaker 1: is trying to change the message with his new ad. 439 00:22:16,840 --> 00:22:18,479 Speaker 1: Just take a listen on how he's trying to spin it. 440 00:22:22,240 --> 00:22:26,560 Speaker 1: Most people support common sense regulation around abortion, but Mark 441 00:22:26,640 --> 00:22:30,280 Speaker 1: Kelly votes for the most extreme abortion laws in the world. 442 00:22:30,760 --> 00:22:34,640 Speaker 1: We're talking no limits up until birth. Think about how 443 00:22:34,640 --> 00:22:37,800 Speaker 1: crazy that is. That's more extreme than Western Europe. It's 444 00:22:37,840 --> 00:22:41,520 Speaker 1: way more extreme than what Arizonas want. Look, I support 445 00:22:41,520 --> 00:22:44,320 Speaker 1: a ban on very late term and partial birth abortion, 446 00:22:44,960 --> 00:22:47,440 Speaker 1: and most Americans agree with that. That would just put 447 00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:52,040 Speaker 1: us on part with other civilized nations. Mark Kelly. The 448 00:22:52,040 --> 00:22:56,280 Speaker 1: only countries that support his no limits extreme abortion policies 449 00:22:56,320 --> 00:23:00,800 Speaker 1: are China and North Korea. I'm Blake Master. I have 450 00:23:00,840 --> 00:23:07,600 Speaker 1: purge this message. Tie fighter incoming. Sure. The problem for 451 00:23:07,680 --> 00:23:11,000 Speaker 1: Masters is that most of the Republican pro let me 452 00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:14,399 Speaker 1: give you this example. If I had come out sixty 453 00:23:14,520 --> 00:23:18,360 Speaker 1: months ago and said, you know, rovers's way I don't know, 454 00:23:18,560 --> 00:23:21,400 Speaker 1: I support European style abortion law, which is fifteen weeks 455 00:23:21,400 --> 00:23:23,680 Speaker 1: pretty much universal, There's no way they would have called 456 00:23:23,720 --> 00:23:26,280 Speaker 1: me pro life. That's not what peing pro life means. 457 00:23:26,560 --> 00:23:29,960 Speaker 1: Being pro life means you're opposed in all circumstances, which 458 00:23:30,000 --> 00:23:32,520 Speaker 1: is like, listen, I actually, by the way, do support 459 00:23:32,600 --> 00:23:35,600 Speaker 1: European style abortion law. I have seventy some percent of 460 00:23:35,640 --> 00:23:38,240 Speaker 1: the American people does as well. I think it's like 461 00:23:38,240 --> 00:23:40,760 Speaker 1: seventy six which is a fifteen week fan. Okay, fine, 462 00:23:40,800 --> 00:23:43,560 Speaker 1: you know whatever that seems pretty reasonable. And yet though 463 00:23:43,840 --> 00:23:47,280 Speaker 1: they have to now defend every extreme case of the 464 00:23:47,320 --> 00:23:51,280 Speaker 1: ten year old and others instead of being defenders of 465 00:23:51,320 --> 00:23:54,880 Speaker 1: a much more popular status quo. And again, this is 466 00:23:55,640 --> 00:23:59,280 Speaker 1: all American politics is which side seems like they're the 467 00:23:59,280 --> 00:24:02,720 Speaker 1: most extreme for a while in abortion politics, again, for 468 00:24:02,840 --> 00:24:05,240 Speaker 1: a while, I would say, like three years, it was 469 00:24:05,280 --> 00:24:08,800 Speaker 1: a lot of the cultural left figures were coalescing around 470 00:24:08,840 --> 00:24:11,160 Speaker 1: late term abortion, and I was proud of an abortion 471 00:24:11,720 --> 00:24:14,600 Speaker 1: abandoning safe legal and rare. Caitlin Flanagan wrote a whole 472 00:24:14,600 --> 00:24:17,200 Speaker 1: good piece about this in twenty nineteen about the death 473 00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:19,440 Speaker 1: of safe legal and rare and how it was possibly 474 00:24:19,480 --> 00:24:22,000 Speaker 1: one of the best political slogans and policy kind of 475 00:24:22,040 --> 00:24:26,879 Speaker 1: campaigns of all time for a very complicated human issue. Well, now, though, 476 00:24:27,119 --> 00:24:29,760 Speaker 1: it seems that the Democrats, by just trying to defend 477 00:24:29,760 --> 00:24:32,640 Speaker 1: a rose status quo, are on the side of more 478 00:24:32,680 --> 00:24:34,760 Speaker 1: of a safe, legal and rare rather than the most extreme. 479 00:24:34,840 --> 00:24:36,320 Speaker 1: And then the Republicans are the ones who have to 480 00:24:36,320 --> 00:24:38,720 Speaker 1: defend all this other stuff. And when he came out 481 00:24:39,000 --> 00:24:41,080 Speaker 1: and said not only quote one hundred percent pro life, 482 00:24:41,080 --> 00:24:43,840 Speaker 1: but after the reversal of Roe versus Wade and Dobbs 483 00:24:43,880 --> 00:24:45,399 Speaker 1: what he said is that he's like, I think I 484 00:24:45,400 --> 00:24:48,160 Speaker 1: would go further than that, basically intimating that he would 485 00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:51,879 Speaker 1: support a complete ban and you know, even the personhood legislation. 486 00:24:52,160 --> 00:24:54,080 Speaker 1: Now he opens himself up to the point where he 487 00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:56,280 Speaker 1: has to be like, no, no no, no, I'm a defender 488 00:24:56,400 --> 00:24:59,200 Speaker 1: of the European status quo. First of all, that's a 489 00:24:59,280 --> 00:25:02,479 Speaker 1: complete fla flop. And once again, having known I know 490 00:25:02,640 --> 00:25:04,600 Speaker 1: a lot of people who are pro life, they would 491 00:25:04,600 --> 00:25:07,280 Speaker 1: not call you pro life if you actually support that position. 492 00:25:07,320 --> 00:25:09,560 Speaker 1: They'd say, yeah, it's better on balance, but it's not 493 00:25:09,600 --> 00:25:12,760 Speaker 1: a quote unquote pro life position. So yeah, they're in 494 00:25:12,840 --> 00:25:15,040 Speaker 1: a real they got I mean, it's a problem of 495 00:25:15,080 --> 00:25:18,600 Speaker 1: their own making. And yeah, well, and I mean there's 496 00:25:18,600 --> 00:25:20,360 Speaker 1: a lot to say about this. First of all, all 497 00:25:20,359 --> 00:25:22,040 Speaker 1: of these people are trying to be like, they took 498 00:25:22,080 --> 00:25:24,600 Speaker 1: me out of context. It's like, you literally had on 499 00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:27,800 Speaker 1: your website that you want a federal personhood law, which 500 00:25:27,800 --> 00:25:31,080 Speaker 1: is effectively a national ban on abortion. How is that 501 00:25:31,119 --> 00:25:33,439 Speaker 1: taking you out of context? They're not lying about you. 502 00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:36,000 Speaker 1: They're just literally saying what your position was on theme 503 00:25:36,040 --> 00:25:38,800 Speaker 1: in the primary and repeating some of the things that 504 00:25:38,960 --> 00:25:42,919 Speaker 1: you yourself said. So that's number one number two. I mean, 505 00:25:42,960 --> 00:25:45,280 Speaker 1: it is very revealing that they felt the need to 506 00:25:45,560 --> 00:25:48,560 Speaker 1: go up with very limited campaign funds that they have, 507 00:25:48,680 --> 00:25:51,159 Speaker 1: by the way, especially since the Senate Leadership fund is 508 00:25:51,160 --> 00:25:53,960 Speaker 1: hanging amount to dry, to go up with this ad 509 00:25:54,359 --> 00:25:56,720 Speaker 1: trying to push back because they very clearly see this 510 00:25:56,880 --> 00:25:59,119 Speaker 1: as a real problem for them and a real issue, 511 00:25:59,119 --> 00:26:01,920 Speaker 1: and trying to reframe debate because yeah, this was firmer 512 00:26:01,960 --> 00:26:05,280 Speaker 1: ground for Republicans back when the question was about late 513 00:26:05,359 --> 00:26:07,600 Speaker 1: term abortion and how does that all work out? That's 514 00:26:07,720 --> 00:26:10,400 Speaker 1: very difficult ground for Democrats. But I think it's really 515 00:26:10,520 --> 00:26:14,680 Speaker 1: important to understand why the debate has shifted so dramatically 516 00:26:15,080 --> 00:26:18,439 Speaker 1: because under the Row regime, when Roe was still in place, 517 00:26:18,800 --> 00:26:22,479 Speaker 1: you could still ban late term abortions. The whole question 518 00:26:22,600 --> 00:26:26,959 Speaker 1: was around fetal viability. And so now inherently, if you 519 00:26:27,040 --> 00:26:30,600 Speaker 1: support the Dobb's decision, you support Roe being overturned. That 520 00:26:30,680 --> 00:26:34,560 Speaker 1: means you support bans and restrictions that are in those 521 00:26:34,640 --> 00:26:38,160 Speaker 1: early days where it is much more extreme, much more controversial. 522 00:26:38,160 --> 00:26:40,159 Speaker 1: And of course, as we said, these people during their 523 00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:43,920 Speaker 1: primary campaigns were pushed into very extreme language and very 524 00:26:44,080 --> 00:26:48,000 Speaker 1: you know, very provocative, incendiary language and very very extreme 525 00:26:48,040 --> 00:26:51,359 Speaker 1: positions you know, A good sort of test case of 526 00:26:51,400 --> 00:26:54,120 Speaker 1: whether it's going to work for Blake Masters and other 527 00:26:54,200 --> 00:26:57,199 Speaker 1: candidates to try to now moderate their positions is the 528 00:26:57,240 --> 00:26:59,880 Speaker 1: special election that we just had in New York where 529 00:27:00,040 --> 00:27:03,639 Speaker 1: a lot of the conversation was around abortion. The Republican 530 00:27:03,680 --> 00:27:07,359 Speaker 1: who was running there, Malnaro, he actually was more of 531 00:27:07,400 --> 00:27:10,160 Speaker 1: a moderate on abortion and did not have this kind 532 00:27:10,200 --> 00:27:12,399 Speaker 1: of extreme language in terms of his past and in 533 00:27:12,520 --> 00:27:16,280 Speaker 1: terms of his history didn't matter. Didn't matter because the 534 00:27:16,320 --> 00:27:19,520 Speaker 1: whole party now has been, you know, painted with this 535 00:27:19,560 --> 00:27:22,080 Speaker 1: brush of extremism, and so this ended up being a 536 00:27:22,080 --> 00:27:24,440 Speaker 1: big problem for him in that race. There's a couple 537 00:27:24,480 --> 00:27:26,800 Speaker 1: other little tidbits here that are kind of interesting. So 538 00:27:27,000 --> 00:27:31,080 Speaker 1: first of all, Master's team is leaking to the press 539 00:27:31,119 --> 00:27:33,800 Speaker 1: that he himself edits his own website. So it's not 540 00:27:33,840 --> 00:27:37,200 Speaker 1: like this was some's just blame with staffer it exactly. 541 00:27:37,240 --> 00:27:39,320 Speaker 1: So it's not like it was some consultant who just 542 00:27:39,320 --> 00:27:41,640 Speaker 1: came in and did this and tried to massage it. 543 00:27:41,680 --> 00:27:44,520 Speaker 1: Apparently his staff, and this is also tells you like 544 00:27:44,560 --> 00:27:46,679 Speaker 1: his staff must hate him. His staff leaked to the 545 00:27:46,680 --> 00:27:50,320 Speaker 1: press that he himself changes the language, which is funny. 546 00:27:50,480 --> 00:27:54,160 Speaker 1: And then the other piece that's also revealing is put 547 00:27:54,200 --> 00:27:56,480 Speaker 1: this next one up on the screen. This is another 548 00:27:56,600 --> 00:27:59,960 Speaker 1: dude who yes a Republican. Yeah, there's another Republican congressional 549 00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:04,080 Speaker 1: candidate who removed his entire value section of his campaign 550 00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:07,080 Speaker 1: website because it had his anti abortion positions on it, 551 00:28:07,119 --> 00:28:09,280 Speaker 1: which is hilarious. But put the next one up on 552 00:28:09,320 --> 00:28:13,920 Speaker 1: the screen. Zone Masters apparently has excluded his campaign website 553 00:28:13,920 --> 00:28:17,560 Speaker 1: from the Internet archives wayback machine, so his campaign is 554 00:28:17,600 --> 00:28:21,000 Speaker 1: explicitly instructing web crawlers and robots to skip the site altogether. 555 00:28:21,320 --> 00:28:24,000 Speaker 1: So they're trying not to get caught on that one 556 00:28:24,760 --> 00:28:26,520 Speaker 1: and then the other thing. There are a bunch of 557 00:28:26,560 --> 00:28:28,560 Speaker 1: candidates who are in the same boat. There's the dude 558 00:28:28,560 --> 00:28:31,920 Speaker 1: who deleted his whole value section. There's this other dude 559 00:28:31,920 --> 00:28:35,480 Speaker 1: who's running in Iowa who said all abortions should be illegal. 560 00:28:35,560 --> 00:28:38,280 Speaker 1: Now he's published an op ed saying like he actually 561 00:28:38,280 --> 00:28:43,480 Speaker 1: I support exceptions. You've got a Minnesota Republican gubernatorial nominee 562 00:28:43,560 --> 00:28:46,280 Speaker 1: who was asked about abortion during his primary. He said 563 00:28:46,320 --> 00:28:48,720 Speaker 1: he would try to ban abortion as governor. Now he's 564 00:28:48,760 --> 00:28:52,720 Speaker 1: saying he supports except various exceptions. So a lot of backtracking, 565 00:28:52,920 --> 00:28:56,440 Speaker 1: a lot of trying to moderate the position, scrub the websites, 566 00:28:56,480 --> 00:28:58,960 Speaker 1: all of those things. And this all comes at a 567 00:28:59,000 --> 00:29:03,080 Speaker 1: time when things are not going particularly well for Masters 568 00:29:03,560 --> 00:29:06,959 Speaker 1: from the sort of monetary standpoint we covered before, how 569 00:29:07,000 --> 00:29:09,680 Speaker 1: he was basically begging, which McConnell, who's very critical of 570 00:29:10,120 --> 00:29:12,000 Speaker 1: during the primary and said he wasn't going to vote 571 00:29:12,000 --> 00:29:14,240 Speaker 1: for him for leadership, to come in with his Senate 572 00:29:14,320 --> 00:29:18,040 Speaker 1: Leadership Fund money and rescue him. Let's go and put 573 00:29:18,040 --> 00:29:21,720 Speaker 1: this up on the screen. McConnell's like, yeah, not so much. 574 00:29:21,920 --> 00:29:26,040 Speaker 1: The Senate Republicans' primary superPAC is canceling nearly ten million 575 00:29:26,120 --> 00:29:30,840 Speaker 1: dollars in Arizona and Alaska ad reservations. So in Alaska 576 00:29:31,560 --> 00:29:34,959 Speaker 1: they feel confident Markowski's in good position, so that's why 577 00:29:35,000 --> 00:29:38,760 Speaker 1: they're pulling the money there. In Arizona, apparently they've decided 578 00:29:38,960 --> 00:29:43,120 Speaker 1: that they've got a better shot in taking Georgia and 579 00:29:43,360 --> 00:29:47,360 Speaker 1: or Nevada than they do of taking Arizona. So they 580 00:29:47,400 --> 00:29:50,400 Speaker 1: are kind of hanging Blake Masters down to dry, and 581 00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:52,840 Speaker 1: to be honest with you, they're kind of kind of 582 00:29:52,840 --> 00:29:55,960 Speaker 1: direct about it in this piece. Senate Leadership Fund president 583 00:29:56,000 --> 00:29:58,000 Speaker 1: Stephen Law told them we're leaving the door wide open 584 00:29:58,000 --> 00:30:00,320 Speaker 1: in Arizona, but we want to move additional resource to 585 00:30:00,480 --> 00:30:04,280 Speaker 1: other offensive opportunities that have become increasingly competitive, as well 586 00:30:04,280 --> 00:30:06,960 Speaker 1: as an unexpected expense in Ohio where they're having to 587 00:30:06,960 --> 00:30:09,440 Speaker 1: shore up JD Vance with tens of millions of dollars 588 00:30:09,520 --> 00:30:12,000 Speaker 1: in order to overcome a tougher than expected challenge from 589 00:30:12,040 --> 00:30:14,760 Speaker 1: Tim Ryan. Yeah. I mean, I'm reading this and also 590 00:30:14,840 --> 00:30:17,800 Speaker 1: even looking at the poll. So remember Trafalgar one of 591 00:30:17,800 --> 00:30:21,040 Speaker 1: the most Republican polsters that is out there. Here's how 592 00:30:21,080 --> 00:30:24,320 Speaker 1: they rate Arizona. This just came out last night, Mark 593 00:30:24,400 --> 00:30:26,760 Speaker 1: Kelly at forty eight and Blake Masters at forty four. 594 00:30:26,960 --> 00:30:31,560 Speaker 1: That doesn't mean it's an in completely like runaway campaign 595 00:30:31,920 --> 00:30:35,320 Speaker 1: by Mark Kelly. Blake Masters certainly has a shot, but 596 00:30:35,440 --> 00:30:38,280 Speaker 1: this is where some of his trifling with Mitch McConnell 597 00:30:38,440 --> 00:30:40,680 Speaker 1: and the Senate Leadership Fund is a real problem. This 598 00:30:40,720 --> 00:30:42,640 Speaker 1: brings me back to something that I was talking about yesterday, 599 00:30:42,680 --> 00:30:45,160 Speaker 1: which is that because Trump is sucking up so much money, 600 00:30:45,400 --> 00:30:48,520 Speaker 1: it actually means that the NRSC, which has been chronically 601 00:30:48,520 --> 00:30:52,040 Speaker 1: financially mismanaged and Rick Scott clearly is a complete moron. 602 00:30:52,160 --> 00:30:54,720 Speaker 1: Eve while he's vacationing on his super yacht and has 603 00:30:54,760 --> 00:30:57,120 Speaker 1: blown over one hundred million dollars. It means that you 604 00:30:57,280 --> 00:31:00,120 Speaker 1: need the Senate Leadership Fund more than ever because they're 605 00:31:00,120 --> 00:31:02,880 Speaker 1: one of the only large organizations with massive amounts of 606 00:31:02,880 --> 00:31:05,320 Speaker 1: cash that can come in and buy ads. Now, to 607 00:31:05,320 --> 00:31:07,040 Speaker 1: be clear, they are still going to buy some ads 608 00:31:07,040 --> 00:31:11,000 Speaker 1: on his behalf come October, but just noteworthy. You know, 609 00:31:11,120 --> 00:31:14,160 Speaker 1: Masters was not included in. There was a confab that 610 00:31:14,240 --> 00:31:16,840 Speaker 1: McConnell recently just did. He did a fundraising thing and 611 00:31:16,920 --> 00:31:19,680 Speaker 1: doctor Oz was there, even herschel Walker was there. Black 612 00:31:19,720 --> 00:31:21,680 Speaker 1: Masters was not there. So he was like, I picked 613 00:31:21,680 --> 00:31:23,880 Speaker 1: the candidates who I think I can win once again, 614 00:31:23,920 --> 00:31:27,880 Speaker 1: they're all sorts of subtle. If you speak McConnell, he's 615 00:31:27,880 --> 00:31:31,360 Speaker 1: basically twisting the knife in his chest definitely and making 616 00:31:31,400 --> 00:31:32,840 Speaker 1: it known. It's like, hey, you know, you come at 617 00:31:32,840 --> 00:31:35,680 Speaker 1: the King, you best not miss and with Masters look 618 00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:37,640 Speaker 1: as a major unforced ra Honestly, he should have just 619 00:31:37,720 --> 00:31:39,920 Speaker 1: kept on his website and taken the hit like at 620 00:31:39,920 --> 00:31:41,960 Speaker 1: that point you said what you said, there ain't much 621 00:31:41,960 --> 00:31:44,880 Speaker 1: else you can do about it. Apparently, he also removed 622 00:31:45,120 --> 00:31:48,360 Speaker 1: the ad f or the section of his campaign website 623 00:31:48,400 --> 00:31:51,320 Speaker 1: where he said that the election was stolen. He also 624 00:31:51,480 --> 00:31:54,480 Speaker 1: removed that portion of his website he did that infamous 625 00:31:54,520 --> 00:31:56,600 Speaker 1: ad whenever he was trying to get Trump's endorsement, and 626 00:31:56,600 --> 00:31:58,840 Speaker 1: he's like, I think Trump won, but even if you didn't, 627 00:31:58,920 --> 00:32:02,600 Speaker 1: you have to admit media, you know whatever. And coming 628 00:32:02,640 --> 00:32:04,720 Speaker 1: back to the kind of the high minded stop the 629 00:32:04,800 --> 00:32:07,920 Speaker 1: deal that I've discussed before. So look, he shot himself 630 00:32:07,920 --> 00:32:10,360 Speaker 1: in the foot big time. And you know who could 631 00:32:10,360 --> 00:32:13,480 Speaker 1: have seen this coming coming out against contraception at the 632 00:32:13,480 --> 00:32:16,640 Speaker 1: Supreme Court level, could have had electoral consequences on a 633 00:32:16,680 --> 00:32:20,360 Speaker 1: statewide campaign. And the funniest thing to me about all 634 00:32:20,480 --> 00:32:23,040 Speaker 1: this is that now that he's just campaigning against late 635 00:32:23,120 --> 00:32:26,640 Speaker 1: term abortion crystal, he's essentially turned himself into John McCain. 636 00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:31,560 Speaker 1: Think about it, the senator from Arizona. McCain got hammered 637 00:32:31,640 --> 00:32:33,600 Speaker 1: in two thousand and eight for not being one hundred 638 00:32:33,600 --> 00:32:36,920 Speaker 1: percent pro life, and he's like, well against late term abortions, Like, well, 639 00:32:37,120 --> 00:32:40,320 Speaker 1: now you have become you have become McCain. It is 640 00:32:40,360 --> 00:32:42,720 Speaker 1: no longer Crenshaw, it is you are watching in his 641 00:32:42,760 --> 00:32:45,080 Speaker 1: footste He also, I mean, he also has the issue 642 00:32:45,080 --> 00:32:48,000 Speaker 1: of he's one who's flirted with privatizing social security and 643 00:32:48,040 --> 00:32:50,280 Speaker 1: they're a lot of old yeah, which they are smacking 644 00:32:50,400 --> 00:32:52,520 Speaker 1: him across that. That's I'm glad you brought that up. 645 00:32:52,720 --> 00:32:54,880 Speaker 1: I forgot about that is that he actually still stands 646 00:32:54,920 --> 00:32:58,200 Speaker 1: by that, which is insane. As much as the abortion 647 00:32:58,360 --> 00:33:02,640 Speaker 1: stuff is the problem for him in Arizona, this is 648 00:33:02,680 --> 00:33:07,440 Speaker 1: an issue, right exactly, has a very big issue that 649 00:33:07,640 --> 00:33:09,600 Speaker 1: you know, he is dramatically on the wrong side of it. 650 00:33:09,880 --> 00:33:11,960 Speaker 1: I do want to point like Mark Kelly, whatever you 651 00:33:12,000 --> 00:33:13,480 Speaker 1: think of him, you know, he's more of a sort 652 00:33:13,520 --> 00:33:17,040 Speaker 1: of centrist corportus figure than my ideology. But he's got 653 00:33:17,080 --> 00:33:19,160 Speaker 1: a good profile in the state. He's a solid candidate 654 00:33:19,200 --> 00:33:22,600 Speaker 1: and isn't like particularly polarizing or devisive. He's a hero 655 00:33:23,240 --> 00:33:26,880 Speaker 1: married to Garby Gabby Giffords. Yeah, and so they can 656 00:33:27,200 --> 00:33:31,360 Speaker 1: they are able since his bio is well established in 657 00:33:31,360 --> 00:33:34,560 Speaker 1: the state, They're able to focus most of their resources 658 00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:37,760 Speaker 1: on making the case against Blake Masters and that appears 659 00:33:37,800 --> 00:33:43,160 Speaker 1: to be a big problem for us. Absolutely. Let's talk 660 00:33:43,200 --> 00:33:45,640 Speaker 1: about Ukraine. So important news out of Ukraine on a 661 00:33:45,640 --> 00:33:48,160 Speaker 1: couple of fronts. Number one is the actual front line. 662 00:33:48,160 --> 00:33:50,680 Speaker 1: So let's start with that now. Ukraine, and let's put 663 00:33:50,680 --> 00:33:53,080 Speaker 1: this on the screen, is claiming that breakthroughs have been 664 00:33:53,120 --> 00:33:56,080 Speaker 1: made against the Russian forces in their Southern Offensive and 665 00:33:56,160 --> 00:33:59,440 Speaker 1: officially have launched what they say is the Southern Offensive 666 00:33:59,480 --> 00:34:02,840 Speaker 1: to retake the strategic city of Kerson, which was occupied 667 00:34:02,880 --> 00:34:06,120 Speaker 1: by the Russian forces earlier in the war. Kerson has 668 00:34:06,120 --> 00:34:09,200 Speaker 1: now become a flashpoint and a symbol of the Ukrainian 669 00:34:09,239 --> 00:34:12,320 Speaker 1: military for wanting to retake it. It has major strategic 670 00:34:12,360 --> 00:34:15,480 Speaker 1: importance both to the Russians and to the Ukrainians, and 671 00:34:15,680 --> 00:34:19,319 Speaker 1: its access to more strategic areas where Ukraine should be 672 00:34:19,360 --> 00:34:22,440 Speaker 1: able or wants to be able to continue to export goods, 673 00:34:22,480 --> 00:34:25,080 Speaker 1: have supply lines and more, and also would be a 674 00:34:25,120 --> 00:34:28,279 Speaker 1: frontline if they were to ever continue to move on 675 00:34:28,320 --> 00:34:30,520 Speaker 1: to crime Ya. It's in the very southernmost part of 676 00:34:30,520 --> 00:34:32,920 Speaker 1: the country. So anyway, this is going to be a 677 00:34:32,960 --> 00:34:36,919 Speaker 1: major flashpoint going forward in terms of the actual operations 678 00:34:36,960 --> 00:34:39,319 Speaker 1: and more. I have not been able to find a 679 00:34:39,320 --> 00:34:43,640 Speaker 1: lot of information about the actual strategic success in what 680 00:34:43,800 --> 00:34:47,160 Speaker 1: is happening now. The way that the Ukraine is saying 681 00:34:47,440 --> 00:34:49,680 Speaker 1: is that this is the beginning of the offensive. However, 682 00:34:49,920 --> 00:34:52,640 Speaker 1: the way that the Western press is interpreting what's actually 683 00:34:52,640 --> 00:34:54,920 Speaker 1: happening on the ground, Crystal and again look, we're not 684 00:34:54,960 --> 00:34:58,880 Speaker 1: in Ukraine. It's difficult to say. They say Ukraine steps 685 00:34:58,960 --> 00:35:02,279 Speaker 1: up strikes in the south, So they are casting the 686 00:35:02,360 --> 00:35:06,520 Speaker 1: Ukrainian government the beginning of more strikes on the south 687 00:35:06,800 --> 00:35:09,600 Speaker 1: as the beginning of the offensive that certainly would be. However, 688 00:35:09,680 --> 00:35:11,720 Speaker 1: we also need to see the movement of actual troops 689 00:35:11,719 --> 00:35:14,000 Speaker 1: on the ground and the movement of the front line. Now. 690 00:35:14,200 --> 00:35:16,680 Speaker 1: So here's what they say. The Ukrainian military is pounding 691 00:35:16,719 --> 00:35:20,000 Speaker 1: targets across southern Ukraine as they seek to disrupt Russian 692 00:35:20,000 --> 00:35:25,000 Speaker 1: supply lines, degrade Russia's combat capabilities, and isolate Russian forces, 693 00:35:25,200 --> 00:35:28,520 Speaker 1: part of what analysts said could be the beginnings of 694 00:35:28,560 --> 00:35:31,840 Speaker 1: abroad and a coordinated counter offensive. In other words, we 695 00:35:31,920 --> 00:35:35,719 Speaker 1: have not yet actually seen the movement of mass forces 696 00:35:35,960 --> 00:35:38,840 Speaker 1: and the employment of all of these troops in the south. 697 00:35:38,920 --> 00:35:42,560 Speaker 1: We are simply beginning to see rockets being fired, the 698 00:35:42,680 --> 00:35:45,880 Speaker 1: use of Also, the Ukrainians are using some decoy missiles 699 00:35:45,920 --> 00:35:47,640 Speaker 1: and other things in order to try and fool the 700 00:35:47,719 --> 00:35:51,359 Speaker 1: Russian forces. But and here's the caveat Russia has now 701 00:35:51,440 --> 00:35:56,240 Speaker 1: had months to reinforce those lines of defense in the south, 702 00:35:56,719 --> 00:36:00,560 Speaker 1: making any Ukrainian advance there going to be very tough 703 00:36:00,880 --> 00:36:03,000 Speaker 1: and very bloody. The reason that we all have to 704 00:36:03,000 --> 00:36:06,880 Speaker 1: pay a massive amount of attention to this is we 705 00:36:06,960 --> 00:36:09,840 Speaker 1: have all shipped a hell of a lot of weapons 706 00:36:10,040 --> 00:36:13,840 Speaker 1: to Ukraine for this purpose, not just to be defensive, 707 00:36:14,080 --> 00:36:17,319 Speaker 1: but to give them some sort of offensive capability. So 708 00:36:17,440 --> 00:36:21,440 Speaker 1: what is the actual fighting capability of the Ukrainian force 709 00:36:21,760 --> 00:36:25,200 Speaker 1: when they are offensively taking on the military of a 710 00:36:25,239 --> 00:36:28,719 Speaker 1: great power nation with tremendous more economic and military might 711 00:36:28,760 --> 00:36:31,000 Speaker 1: resources than they have. To be fair, it's not like 712 00:36:31,080 --> 00:36:33,800 Speaker 1: Russia's employed the full force of its military or anything 713 00:36:33,880 --> 00:36:36,400 Speaker 1: like that in this war. So we'll see, but the 714 00:36:36,440 --> 00:36:40,080 Speaker 1: beginnings of this operation could mount a real decisive point 715 00:36:40,160 --> 00:36:41,920 Speaker 1: in the war, which is that if the Ukrainians are 716 00:36:41,960 --> 00:36:44,279 Speaker 1: outright defeated, or if they are unable to have any 717 00:36:44,320 --> 00:36:46,719 Speaker 1: sort of successful offensive, it's just gonna be like, all right, 718 00:36:46,719 --> 00:36:48,400 Speaker 1: well what are we doing here? You know, like, what 719 00:36:48,760 --> 00:36:51,319 Speaker 1: is the point of all these weapons that were giving you. Sure, 720 00:36:51,320 --> 00:36:53,120 Speaker 1: it's great that you have a defensive front line that 721 00:36:53,239 --> 00:36:55,960 Speaker 1: Russians can't move forward, but if you can't retake anything, 722 00:36:56,040 --> 00:36:58,400 Speaker 1: then it's time to negotiate, right, you know, Like that's 723 00:36:58,440 --> 00:37:02,040 Speaker 1: where they do, That's what you would think. Again, we 724 00:37:02,120 --> 00:37:05,400 Speaker 1: don't know. There's a lot of propaganda being cast by 725 00:37:05,440 --> 00:37:08,320 Speaker 1: the Ukrainians. They're trying to cast us into this big 726 00:37:08,600 --> 00:37:12,279 Speaker 1: grand movement. We should believe it when we actually see 727 00:37:12,320 --> 00:37:15,319 Speaker 1: to start to see troops roll on the ground. As 728 00:37:15,320 --> 00:37:17,640 Speaker 1: for now, it just seems to be a set level 729 00:37:17,680 --> 00:37:20,839 Speaker 1: of strikes, even though they are claiming breakthroughs and all 730 00:37:20,840 --> 00:37:23,520 Speaker 1: this other stuff that is going on. And Zelensky obviously 731 00:37:23,600 --> 00:37:27,040 Speaker 1: under a lot of pressure to start this counter offensive. 732 00:37:27,239 --> 00:37:29,600 Speaker 1: And so, yeah, the way that I saw this described 733 00:37:29,960 --> 00:37:32,040 Speaker 1: previously in the New York Times, which again is like 734 00:37:32,640 --> 00:37:34,840 Speaker 1: it's important to see the New York Times view because 735 00:37:34,840 --> 00:37:38,719 Speaker 1: that's like the official US government view, Like they're a 736 00:37:38,800 --> 00:37:42,680 Speaker 1: center left lib message. Yeah, well, and with a lot 737 00:37:42,680 --> 00:37:45,799 Speaker 1: of direct sort of like sourcing from the Biden administration 738 00:37:45,920 --> 00:37:48,359 Speaker 1: and exactly the portrait of this that they want to paint. 739 00:37:48,360 --> 00:37:50,319 Speaker 1: But they talked about how this was intended to sort 740 00:37:50,320 --> 00:37:52,839 Speaker 1: of shape the battlefield to try to prepare them for 741 00:37:53,120 --> 00:37:55,920 Speaker 1: this counter offensive. But Zelensky is under a lot of 742 00:37:55,920 --> 00:37:58,879 Speaker 1: international pressure and a lot of domestic pressure to begin 743 00:37:58,920 --> 00:38:01,440 Speaker 1: this counter offensive because remember they also have to contend 744 00:38:01,480 --> 00:38:04,000 Speaker 1: with the changing seasons. It's going to start to get 745 00:38:04,000 --> 00:38:05,560 Speaker 1: cold there soon. It's going to start to get really 746 00:38:05,640 --> 00:38:08,439 Speaker 1: muddy there very soon, and that makes it very, very 747 00:38:08,480 --> 00:38:11,080 Speaker 1: difficult to launch the kind of counter offensive that they 748 00:38:11,160 --> 00:38:14,000 Speaker 1: ultimately want to be able to, you know, push Russian 749 00:38:14,000 --> 00:38:16,920 Speaker 1: troops back and show that they have the ability to 750 00:38:16,960 --> 00:38:20,920 Speaker 1: retake this territory, because Zelenski continues to say very directly, 751 00:38:21,080 --> 00:38:23,759 Speaker 1: their goal is not just to retake the territory from 752 00:38:23,760 --> 00:38:26,760 Speaker 1: before this particular of invasion, but they want to retake Crimea. 753 00:38:27,000 --> 00:38:29,279 Speaker 1: They want to retake the areas in the eastern part 754 00:38:29,280 --> 00:38:31,560 Speaker 1: of Ukraine that had already been sort of de facto, 755 00:38:32,320 --> 00:38:36,440 Speaker 1: you know, Russian controlled before this new Russian invasion. So 756 00:38:36,560 --> 00:38:39,000 Speaker 1: we're going to see very quickly whether that is a 757 00:38:39,040 --> 00:38:42,680 Speaker 1: pipe dream or whether that has any grounding in reality. 758 00:38:42,719 --> 00:38:44,640 Speaker 1: With the incredible support that we've given them. In the 759 00:38:44,680 --> 00:38:47,400 Speaker 1: history of warfare in this region, this has been always 760 00:38:47,440 --> 00:38:50,600 Speaker 1: the most critical part of time. So from Operation Odessa 761 00:38:50,680 --> 00:38:54,640 Speaker 1: with the Nazis to Napoleon and their invasion. Every time 762 00:38:54,680 --> 00:38:56,880 Speaker 1: it's really interesting. Actually, you go and you read the 763 00:38:57,560 --> 00:38:59,719 Speaker 1: counts of the soldiers. I'm getting some of this from 764 00:38:59,800 --> 00:39:02,960 Speaker 1: Dani Carlin, but he talks about how the first snowfall 765 00:39:03,120 --> 00:39:07,200 Speaker 1: in October is always like the death. Now that the 766 00:39:07,239 --> 00:39:10,440 Speaker 1: soldiers realize, they're like, this is it. The snow is coming, 767 00:39:10,640 --> 00:39:13,719 Speaker 1: and it's like October fifteenth or so is when the 768 00:39:13,719 --> 00:39:16,480 Speaker 1: first snowfall is always recorded, and from there it just 769 00:39:16,520 --> 00:39:20,600 Speaker 1: becomes exponential as it gets cold. Sometimes the cold is advantageous, 770 00:39:20,719 --> 00:39:24,399 Speaker 1: it's not as muddy, the road's ice over, but it's brutal, right, 771 00:39:24,440 --> 00:39:27,880 Speaker 1: in order to actually conduct military operations in so decisive 772 00:39:27,960 --> 00:39:31,320 Speaker 1: campaigns are always aimed, both by Hitler, by Napoleon, anybody 773 00:39:31,360 --> 00:39:34,879 Speaker 1: who's fought in this region as right now, So things 774 00:39:34,920 --> 00:39:37,080 Speaker 1: need to begin the month of September when the weather 775 00:39:37,160 --> 00:39:39,680 Speaker 1: is temperate, especially it's not as hot, in order to 776 00:39:39,680 --> 00:39:41,920 Speaker 1: fight in this will cease probably some of the most 777 00:39:42,120 --> 00:39:44,479 Speaker 1: decisive times in the war. And if we don't see that, 778 00:39:44,480 --> 00:39:47,239 Speaker 1: that also tells us that means, yes, then you're in 779 00:39:47,280 --> 00:39:50,200 Speaker 1: for this grinding winter where there's unlikely to be many 780 00:39:50,320 --> 00:39:53,120 Speaker 1: gains made on either side. And you know, does anyone 781 00:39:53,160 --> 00:39:55,120 Speaker 1: then start to look for an exit ramp? Do we 782 00:39:55,160 --> 00:39:57,839 Speaker 1: start to push for an exit ramp? The last thing 783 00:39:57,840 --> 00:39:59,840 Speaker 1: I want to say here is something that we have 784 00:40:00,080 --> 00:40:01,879 Speaker 1: really focused on here too much, but I think it's 785 00:40:01,880 --> 00:40:04,920 Speaker 1: really important to note that the Biden administration is actually 786 00:40:04,920 --> 00:40:08,120 Speaker 1: assigned a general to oversee this. You know, what they 787 00:40:08,160 --> 00:40:10,440 Speaker 1: call our military a to Ukraine, but really is in 788 00:40:10,520 --> 00:40:14,719 Speaker 1: effect a US proxy war against Russia. And that just 789 00:40:14,800 --> 00:40:17,360 Speaker 1: shows you that even though you know, yes, this is 790 00:40:17,360 --> 00:40:18,960 Speaker 1: still on the front page of the New York Times, 791 00:40:19,000 --> 00:40:21,239 Speaker 1: but a lot of the cable news media has moved on. 792 00:40:21,320 --> 00:40:25,400 Speaker 1: They are not doing anything like the intensive, intensive coverage 793 00:40:25,440 --> 00:40:28,280 Speaker 1: of this conflict that they were in the early days. 794 00:40:28,520 --> 00:40:30,960 Speaker 1: You know, the American people are understandably focused on a 795 00:40:31,040 --> 00:40:34,200 Speaker 1: lot of other issues here at home and abroad as well. 796 00:40:34,680 --> 00:40:39,120 Speaker 1: This continues to be, you know, an exceptionally volatile conflict. 797 00:40:39,640 --> 00:40:42,879 Speaker 1: We continue to have sort of these little incremental escalations, 798 00:40:43,200 --> 00:40:46,360 Speaker 1: and it continues to be a major, major, sort of 799 00:40:46,480 --> 00:40:51,239 Speaker 1: military focus that is occupying a large pieces of our 800 00:40:51,280 --> 00:40:55,360 Speaker 1: defense infrastructure at great costs. So that's why we continue 801 00:40:55,400 --> 00:40:57,680 Speaker 1: to really try to focus on it and not take 802 00:40:57,719 --> 00:41:00,719 Speaker 1: our eye off of it, because this thing could you know, 803 00:41:00,960 --> 00:41:05,799 Speaker 1: escalate or turn it at any moment, and is already 804 00:41:05,960 --> 00:41:09,240 Speaker 1: reshaping global politics in a ways that have incredibly direct 805 00:41:09,280 --> 00:41:12,600 Speaker 1: implications for you and for our European friends. The very 806 00:41:12,719 --> 00:41:17,560 Speaker 1: latest in the Trump FBI mar A Lago DOJ saga here, 807 00:41:18,200 --> 00:41:20,320 Speaker 1: let's go ahead and put this up on the screen. 808 00:41:20,640 --> 00:41:24,640 Speaker 1: The government as part of an official sort of legal 809 00:41:24,680 --> 00:41:28,160 Speaker 1: filing this week, pushing back on the Trump team's efforts 810 00:41:28,200 --> 00:41:31,280 Speaker 1: to secure a special master for this case. As part 811 00:41:31,320 --> 00:41:33,759 Speaker 1: of that rather extensive filing, I'll get more into the 812 00:41:33,800 --> 00:41:39,440 Speaker 1: details now released this photo, which is quite explosive. It 813 00:41:39,600 --> 00:41:42,640 Speaker 1: shows a lot of one secret and a bunch of 814 00:41:42,840 --> 00:41:45,719 Speaker 1: top secret documents, at least they sort of you can 815 00:41:45,760 --> 00:41:49,000 Speaker 1: see the cover sheets of them strewn across the floor. 816 00:41:49,640 --> 00:41:52,440 Speaker 1: This appears to be in Trump's office in Mara A Lago. 817 00:41:52,560 --> 00:41:55,279 Speaker 1: Kelly O'Donnell says. The DOJ filing submitted tonight includes a 818 00:41:55,280 --> 00:41:59,600 Speaker 1: photo showing the obvious classification markings on documents seized at 819 00:41:59,640 --> 00:42:02,440 Speaker 1: Marla also lol. In the corner of the photos a 820 00:42:02,440 --> 00:42:06,080 Speaker 1: bunch of frame Time magazine covers Classic Trump. I saw 821 00:42:06,080 --> 00:42:08,120 Speaker 1: those in Trump. I saw those in the oval. So 822 00:42:08,520 --> 00:42:12,280 Speaker 1: some things have not changed, Yes, so classic Trump. Trump, 823 00:42:12,360 --> 00:42:15,880 Speaker 1: of course responding to this quite aggressively. In fact, his 824 00:42:16,200 --> 00:42:20,200 Speaker 1: whole world seems to be very upset about this photo 825 00:42:20,239 --> 00:42:23,120 Speaker 1: because it is quite damning to see all of these 826 00:42:23,160 --> 00:42:26,680 Speaker 1: documents laid out that he had kept in his possession, 827 00:42:26,760 --> 00:42:29,799 Speaker 1: even after his lawyers had attested the fact that they 828 00:42:29,840 --> 00:42:33,160 Speaker 1: had exhaustively searched for everything and turned everything over. Here 829 00:42:33,280 --> 00:42:36,200 Speaker 1: was his initial reaction, Go ahead and put this up 830 00:42:36,200 --> 00:42:38,880 Speaker 1: on the screen, he says. Terrible the way the FBI 831 00:42:39,000 --> 00:42:42,520 Speaker 1: during the raid of mar A Lago through documents haphazardly 832 00:42:42,640 --> 00:42:44,960 Speaker 1: all over the floor, perhaps pretending it was me that 833 00:42:45,000 --> 00:42:47,600 Speaker 1: did it, and then started taking pictures of them for 834 00:42:47,640 --> 00:42:50,320 Speaker 1: the public to see. Thought they wanted them kept secret. 835 00:42:50,680 --> 00:42:54,560 Speaker 1: Lucky I d classified lot going on there. I mean, 836 00:42:54,880 --> 00:42:58,240 Speaker 1: they've been really leaning into this argument. Soger his side 837 00:42:58,280 --> 00:43:02,080 Speaker 1: that like this was some how meant to show that 838 00:43:02,120 --> 00:43:04,520 Speaker 1: Trump just had these documents laid on the floor. But 839 00:43:04,600 --> 00:43:06,880 Speaker 1: I didn't interpret the photos that way at all. I 840 00:43:06,960 --> 00:43:09,800 Speaker 1: just interpreted it as this is kind of standard procedure 841 00:43:09,800 --> 00:43:11,320 Speaker 1: when you go in and do this kind of search, 842 00:43:11,680 --> 00:43:14,520 Speaker 1: you document, you know what evidence is found. So they 843 00:43:14,520 --> 00:43:17,200 Speaker 1: took this photo and they include it. But yeah, they're 844 00:43:17,360 --> 00:43:19,440 Speaker 1: like really up at arms at the idea that there's 845 00:43:19,480 --> 00:43:22,319 Speaker 1: an insinuation that Trump's office is messy. I have no 846 00:43:22,440 --> 00:43:25,000 Speaker 1: idea whether it's a standard procedure or not. I do 847 00:43:25,080 --> 00:43:27,440 Speaker 1: think it's probably a little bit staged. But listen, I 848 00:43:27,480 --> 00:43:29,880 Speaker 1: mean are they there or are they not there? Because 849 00:43:29,880 --> 00:43:32,520 Speaker 1: I think that's probably all that materially matters. And then 850 00:43:32,600 --> 00:43:36,359 Speaker 1: in court the next truth was like I had all 851 00:43:36,360 --> 00:43:38,440 Speaker 1: these documents in a cart Yes, I have that hand. 852 00:43:38,800 --> 00:43:41,440 Speaker 1: I can read that exculpatory. This is the latest they're 853 00:43:41,480 --> 00:43:44,400 Speaker 1: admitting you had those documents. You just had them in 854 00:43:44,440 --> 00:43:46,440 Speaker 1: a curtain, as if that makes it better. So so 855 00:43:46,480 --> 00:43:48,640 Speaker 1: late last night here was the truth quote. There seems 856 00:43:48,640 --> 00:43:51,399 Speaker 1: to be confusion as to the picture in quotes. Don't 857 00:43:51,400 --> 00:43:53,879 Speaker 1: know why that's in quotes where documents were sloppily thrown 858 00:43:53,920 --> 00:43:56,080 Speaker 1: on the floor and then released photographically for the world 859 00:43:56,160 --> 00:43:57,799 Speaker 1: to see. Is if that's what the FBI found when 860 00:43:57,800 --> 00:44:00,319 Speaker 1: they broke into my home. Wrong They took the out 861 00:44:00,320 --> 00:44:03,040 Speaker 1: of cartons and spread them around on the carpet, making 862 00:44:03,080 --> 00:44:06,040 Speaker 1: it look like a big find for them. They dropped them, 863 00:44:06,200 --> 00:44:09,200 Speaker 1: not me. Very deceiving. And remember we could have had 864 00:44:09,239 --> 00:44:12,239 Speaker 1: no representative including lawyers present during the raid. They were 865 00:44:12,239 --> 00:44:15,920 Speaker 1: told to wait outside. So as as some people have 866 00:44:16,000 --> 00:44:19,080 Speaker 1: pointed out, Trump is so annoyed about the optics of 867 00:44:19,120 --> 00:44:22,440 Speaker 1: the photo that he is actually ignoring the legal implications 868 00:44:22,680 --> 00:44:27,000 Speaker 1: of acknowledging that he had these in his office, which again, 869 00:44:27,239 --> 00:44:29,480 Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not saying it's appropriate or whatever for 870 00:44:29,520 --> 00:44:31,920 Speaker 1: the DOJ to do this. I think it was clearly 871 00:44:31,920 --> 00:44:33,759 Speaker 1: a photo meant to be leaked. I'm not even leaked 872 00:44:33,760 --> 00:44:36,680 Speaker 1: to the press. It was just released publicly. That being said, 873 00:44:37,200 --> 00:44:41,000 Speaker 1: Skeevie SBI tactics aside, it doesn't matter in a court 874 00:44:41,040 --> 00:44:43,279 Speaker 1: of law. The court of law is did you have 875 00:44:43,360 --> 00:44:46,120 Speaker 1: it in your office after your lawyer said that you 876 00:44:46,160 --> 00:44:50,000 Speaker 1: would return them, because that seems to be the acre. 877 00:44:50,160 --> 00:44:52,120 Speaker 1: Whether or not they were on the floor or in 878 00:44:52,160 --> 00:44:55,239 Speaker 1: a cardon it doesn't really legally make a difference. Yes, 879 00:44:56,160 --> 00:44:58,960 Speaker 1: but yeah, it's very clear that he was upset and 880 00:44:59,000 --> 00:45:01,960 Speaker 1: the people around him set by the optics of this, 881 00:45:02,120 --> 00:45:05,920 Speaker 1: because you know, pictures do speak very loudly, and so 882 00:45:06,080 --> 00:45:08,400 Speaker 1: when you just see it all laid out there, I 883 00:45:08,400 --> 00:45:11,920 Speaker 1: think it is fairly you know, it definitely sends a statement. 884 00:45:11,920 --> 00:45:16,200 Speaker 1: And there's zero doubt that the government intended with this filing, 885 00:45:16,360 --> 00:45:19,399 Speaker 1: which was quite quite i would say aggressive in its 886 00:45:19,480 --> 00:45:22,880 Speaker 1: language and much less muted than some of their previous 887 00:45:22,880 --> 00:45:26,920 Speaker 1: filings have been. They clearly intended to speak to the 888 00:45:26,960 --> 00:45:30,440 Speaker 1: American people, not just you know, argue a narrow legal 889 00:45:30,480 --> 00:45:32,840 Speaker 1: point over whether or not there should be a special 890 00:45:32,880 --> 00:45:37,239 Speaker 1: master in this case. So that's extremely noteworthy, and I 891 00:45:37,320 --> 00:45:39,480 Speaker 1: want to get into some of the specifics here, but 892 00:45:39,520 --> 00:45:42,799 Speaker 1: before I do that, I am becoming more convinced that 893 00:45:42,840 --> 00:45:45,879 Speaker 1: they are actually going to indict Trump, because I mean, 894 00:45:45,960 --> 00:45:50,319 Speaker 1: what really sort of from a laywoman's perspective, what really 895 00:45:50,360 --> 00:45:52,920 Speaker 1: sort of tipped me in that direction is how aggressive 896 00:45:52,960 --> 00:45:55,719 Speaker 1: this filing was, how much they intended to really kind 897 00:45:55,760 --> 00:45:59,319 Speaker 1: of lay on a public case here and rebut some 898 00:45:59,400 --> 00:46:01,719 Speaker 1: of the talk points that have come out of the 899 00:46:01,760 --> 00:46:05,640 Speaker 1: Trump side that made me feel like, oh, you know, 900 00:46:05,920 --> 00:46:08,359 Speaker 1: this is not this was not just an effort of like, ah, 901 00:46:08,400 --> 00:46:10,400 Speaker 1: we got to get these documents back and this was 902 00:46:10,400 --> 00:46:13,280 Speaker 1: the only way we could do it. It does feel 903 00:46:13,480 --> 00:46:16,400 Speaker 1: more and more like they are truly building a case 904 00:46:16,440 --> 00:46:21,000 Speaker 1: towards especially obstruction, because that's and that's part of what 905 00:46:21,120 --> 00:46:23,640 Speaker 1: has increasingly come out. That's part of what is really 906 00:46:23,680 --> 00:46:27,719 Speaker 1: revealed in this latest filing is you know, they there 907 00:46:27,800 --> 00:46:30,600 Speaker 1: was a messaging coming out of the Trump team that like, oh, 908 00:46:30,640 --> 00:46:33,160 Speaker 1: we were working with it, we were cooperating. We invited 909 00:46:33,200 --> 00:46:36,239 Speaker 1: them in, We Trump greeted them, We said go and 910 00:46:36,280 --> 00:46:39,439 Speaker 1: find whatever you want to find. Well, the government very 911 00:46:40,200 --> 00:46:44,120 Speaker 1: you know pointedly sort of robuts that saying that they were, 912 00:46:44,280 --> 00:46:47,319 Speaker 1: you know, not greeted as heroes or liberators. That was 913 00:46:47,440 --> 00:46:50,120 Speaker 1: kind of indicated by Trump. They were barred from certain 914 00:46:50,200 --> 00:46:53,239 Speaker 1: areas of the building, including that storage room, according to 915 00:46:53,280 --> 00:46:56,759 Speaker 1: the government, again in contradiction to what Trump said. And 916 00:46:56,800 --> 00:47:00,239 Speaker 1: then it's now been reported that his lawyer, I think 917 00:47:00,280 --> 00:47:02,520 Speaker 1: her name is Christina bob Is that her name is 918 00:47:02,560 --> 00:47:06,120 Speaker 1: the one who signed that attestation, saying that we looked everywhere, 919 00:47:06,160 --> 00:47:09,120 Speaker 1: we did an exhaustive, you know, diligent search. This was 920 00:47:09,160 --> 00:47:11,640 Speaker 1: everything we could come up with. Well, then the government 921 00:47:11,680 --> 00:47:13,520 Speaker 1: in just a few hours was able to come up 922 00:47:13,560 --> 00:47:17,719 Speaker 1: with far more documents than had originally been turned over 923 00:47:17,800 --> 00:47:21,120 Speaker 1: as responsive to the government's subpoena. I agree with you, Christel. 924 00:47:21,200 --> 00:47:22,880 Speaker 1: Let's go to the next one up there on the screen. 925 00:47:23,040 --> 00:47:24,960 Speaker 1: I mean, as you said, I encourage you guys to 926 00:47:25,000 --> 00:47:26,919 Speaker 1: go and read this whole thing for yourself. But the 927 00:47:26,960 --> 00:47:29,439 Speaker 1: aggression in the special master case and the laying out 928 00:47:29,760 --> 00:47:33,839 Speaker 1: consistently they're basically revealing that the lawyer had signed that attestation, 929 00:47:34,200 --> 00:47:37,280 Speaker 1: then saying that they found those specific documents in the office. 930 00:47:37,360 --> 00:47:39,319 Speaker 1: I mean, I guess the only way that Trump could 931 00:47:39,360 --> 00:47:41,200 Speaker 1: possibly find his way out of this is if you 932 00:47:41,239 --> 00:47:44,400 Speaker 1: could say that his lawyer lied not necessarily on his behalf. 933 00:47:44,400 --> 00:47:47,080 Speaker 1: But that would require her to fall on her sword, right. 934 00:47:47,400 --> 00:47:50,239 Speaker 1: I agree when he makes comments acknowledging like I had 935 00:47:50,280 --> 00:47:53,239 Speaker 1: these documents in my cartons, makes it harder to just 936 00:47:53,320 --> 00:47:56,239 Speaker 1: pin the blame onment and given the reporting that we 937 00:47:56,280 --> 00:47:58,839 Speaker 1: currently have, whether it's true or not, but you know, 938 00:47:58,920 --> 00:48:02,160 Speaker 1: nobody involved. Is tony that Tom Fitton was telling of 939 00:48:02,239 --> 00:48:04,560 Speaker 1: Judicial Watch was telling Trump, no, you can hang onto 940 00:48:04,600 --> 00:48:07,400 Speaker 1: these things that would show a willful knowledge of I 941 00:48:07,440 --> 00:48:10,360 Speaker 1: am hanging onto these as I instruct my counsel to 942 00:48:10,360 --> 00:48:12,880 Speaker 1: say otherwise to the Department of Justice. Now you can 943 00:48:12,960 --> 00:48:15,640 Speaker 1: put just prosecution and all that aside. I'm just telling 944 00:48:15,680 --> 00:48:18,040 Speaker 1: you that the people that I follow, even on the right, 945 00:48:18,280 --> 00:48:21,279 Speaker 1: who I trusted a lot through Russia Gate, Andrew McCarthy specifically, 946 00:48:21,320 --> 00:48:22,960 Speaker 1: who you know if you're a Republican. He was on 947 00:48:23,000 --> 00:48:26,000 Speaker 1: Fox News all the time. He's very against Russia, and 948 00:48:26,120 --> 00:48:27,800 Speaker 1: he wrote an entire book about it about how it 949 00:48:27,840 --> 00:48:30,480 Speaker 1: is non just. He is now saying he thinks Trump 950 00:48:30,560 --> 00:48:33,319 Speaker 1: will be indicted again. You put any whether you think 951 00:48:33,320 --> 00:48:35,800 Speaker 1: he should be or not, on the way the Department 952 00:48:35,840 --> 00:48:38,360 Speaker 1: of Justice is behaving on the facts of the case 953 00:48:38,600 --> 00:48:41,680 Speaker 1: as we know them now, given the photos, given the attestation, 954 00:48:42,000 --> 00:48:44,680 Speaker 1: given the filings, it's going to be a tough way 955 00:48:44,760 --> 00:48:47,600 Speaker 1: to see Trump riggle his way out of this one. Yeah, 956 00:48:47,600 --> 00:48:50,279 Speaker 1: will it still happen possible with the boy possible? I 957 00:48:50,280 --> 00:48:52,719 Speaker 1: don't know. And it's possible, you know, you may never 958 00:48:52,800 --> 00:48:56,399 Speaker 1: charge him. It's possible the DOJ, you know, just decides like, ah, 959 00:48:56,440 --> 00:48:59,160 Speaker 1: this is too hot. I mean, that's honestly, that's It's 960 00:48:59,160 --> 00:49:01,000 Speaker 1: pretty clear at this point that's what the Trump team 961 00:49:01,040 --> 00:49:03,239 Speaker 1: is mostly betting on. They're not really betting on any 962 00:49:03,280 --> 00:49:05,960 Speaker 1: sort of legal strategy because they've been all over the map. 963 00:49:06,120 --> 00:49:10,279 Speaker 1: They really initially sort of bet the house on this 964 00:49:10,400 --> 00:49:15,040 Speaker 1: declassification strategy of like, oh, president can declassify anything, so 965 00:49:15,560 --> 00:49:18,440 Speaker 1: you know, these documents of course declassified all of them, 966 00:49:18,480 --> 00:49:21,759 Speaker 1: so nothing to see here, doesn't really matter. And so 967 00:49:22,000 --> 00:49:25,080 Speaker 1: when the legs were cut out from under that defense, 968 00:49:25,719 --> 00:49:29,279 Speaker 1: they've really struggled to come up with something that is 969 00:49:29,320 --> 00:49:32,839 Speaker 1: going to make sense from a legal perspective. You can 970 00:49:32,920 --> 00:49:36,400 Speaker 1: even see in the response to this photograph that Trump 971 00:49:36,440 --> 00:49:38,560 Speaker 1: tries on a couple of different defenses here. I mean, 972 00:49:38,600 --> 00:49:40,640 Speaker 1: at first there was sort of an insinuation of like, ah, 973 00:49:40,719 --> 00:49:42,880 Speaker 1: maybe the FBI planted these documents here. We don't know 974 00:49:42,880 --> 00:49:45,239 Speaker 1: where these documents came from. And then in the very 975 00:49:45,280 --> 00:49:48,200 Speaker 1: next truth he acknowledges no, I had these documents, but 976 00:49:48,239 --> 00:49:52,080 Speaker 1: they were neatly in cartons instead of split across the floor. 977 00:49:52,320 --> 00:49:55,920 Speaker 1: So they're struggling in terms of a legal strategy what 978 00:49:56,239 --> 00:49:58,839 Speaker 1: the effort is today to secure the special master, which 979 00:49:58,840 --> 00:50:01,680 Speaker 1: we've kind of gone into in detail with you. They're 980 00:50:01,800 --> 00:50:04,760 Speaker 1: arguing that a special master is required to sort through 981 00:50:05,200 --> 00:50:09,920 Speaker 1: which documents are subject to executive privilege based on his 982 00:50:09,960 --> 00:50:14,080 Speaker 1: status as former president. Very murky legal ground there, because 983 00:50:14,120 --> 00:50:16,360 Speaker 1: a lot of people say, okay, well you're not president anymore, 984 00:50:16,560 --> 00:50:19,120 Speaker 1: so the person who gets to decide that is the 985 00:50:19,280 --> 00:50:22,680 Speaker 1: current incumbent administration. But that's what they're trying to argue today. 986 00:50:23,280 --> 00:50:26,160 Speaker 1: But you know, as we pointed out before, the government saying, hey, 987 00:50:26,200 --> 00:50:28,000 Speaker 1: we already went through all these documents and we had 988 00:50:28,000 --> 00:50:30,960 Speaker 1: our own filter team go through for attorney client privilege 989 00:50:31,000 --> 00:50:34,399 Speaker 1: something different. Those documents have already been pulled out. We've 990 00:50:34,400 --> 00:50:36,400 Speaker 1: already reviewed everything that we have here, so this is 991 00:50:36,480 --> 00:50:39,400 Speaker 1: kind of irrelevant. The whole strategy, as far as I 992 00:50:39,400 --> 00:50:41,919 Speaker 1: can tell from a legal perspective on the Trump team 993 00:50:42,080 --> 00:50:45,279 Speaker 1: is just to try to slow things down, try to 994 00:50:45,320 --> 00:50:48,319 Speaker 1: muddy the water, try to throw up as many sort 995 00:50:48,320 --> 00:50:51,360 Speaker 1: of procedural hurdles as they can. But in terms of 996 00:50:51,400 --> 00:50:54,759 Speaker 1: a comprehensive legal case, it's not clear to me what 997 00:50:54,880 --> 00:50:58,360 Speaker 1: direction they're going in. Again, I'm not a lawyer, but 998 00:50:58,520 --> 00:51:01,560 Speaker 1: just reading the analysis, the filings, trying to you know, 999 00:51:01,880 --> 00:51:04,760 Speaker 1: evaluate this as best I can, it seems pretty clear 1000 00:51:04,840 --> 00:51:07,000 Speaker 1: the real strategy they're leaning into is more of a 1001 00:51:07,000 --> 00:51:10,000 Speaker 1: political one. To basically say, and this is what Trump 1002 00:51:10,040 --> 00:51:12,239 Speaker 1: you know, backchannels with Merit Garland, like, hey, things are 1003 00:51:12,280 --> 00:51:14,160 Speaker 1: pretty hot. You wouldn't want them to get out of control. 1004 00:51:14,440 --> 00:51:16,560 Speaker 1: Lindsey Graham going on television saying there's going to be 1005 00:51:16,600 --> 00:51:20,880 Speaker 1: riots in the street, so sort of pushing on that button, 1006 00:51:20,960 --> 00:51:22,960 Speaker 1: saying like, you don't want to go here because it 1007 00:51:22,960 --> 00:51:26,080 Speaker 1: could be really divisive, could be really dangerous, It could 1008 00:51:26,120 --> 00:51:29,440 Speaker 1: be really explosive in terms of our national politics, and 1009 00:51:29,719 --> 00:51:32,359 Speaker 1: trying to scare you know, people who are sort of 1010 00:51:32,400 --> 00:51:36,560 Speaker 1: like naturally risk averse. Merrick Garland and other bureaucrats and 1011 00:51:36,560 --> 00:51:40,040 Speaker 1: the DJ sort of naturally risk averse people into holding 1012 00:51:40,080 --> 00:51:42,879 Speaker 1: their fire, even though you know, at this point it's 1013 00:51:43,120 --> 00:51:46,799 Speaker 1: incredibly clear if this was anyone other than Trump, they 1014 00:51:46,800 --> 00:51:49,040 Speaker 1: would already be indicted. Yeah, and let's put the final 1015 00:51:49,040 --> 00:51:52,200 Speaker 1: element there up on the screen. DOJ saying or likely, 1016 00:51:52,600 --> 00:51:55,360 Speaker 1: based on Bloomberg reporting, to wait pass midterms to reveal 1017 00:51:55,360 --> 00:51:58,840 Speaker 1: any Trump charges. Theoretically they could actually file charges underseal 1018 00:51:58,880 --> 00:52:01,319 Speaker 1: before the election and then seal it ahead of time. 1019 00:52:01,360 --> 00:52:03,839 Speaker 1: But given the you know, election policy on not to 1020 00:52:03,840 --> 00:52:06,640 Speaker 1: make any cases ahead of a major election, even if 1021 00:52:06,640 --> 00:52:09,720 Speaker 1: Trump is not necessarily on the ballot, that's not something 1022 00:52:09,760 --> 00:52:12,200 Speaker 1: that they are likely to do. So this was another 1023 00:52:12,280 --> 00:52:14,560 Speaker 1: item that pushed me in the direction of they are 1024 00:52:14,640 --> 00:52:17,040 Speaker 1: going to end item because the fact that they're leaking 1025 00:52:17,120 --> 00:52:20,160 Speaker 1: this to the press of like, well, an indictment's not 1026 00:52:20,160 --> 00:52:24,000 Speaker 1: coming right now, rather than if they really wanted to 1027 00:52:24,040 --> 00:52:26,480 Speaker 1: tamp things down and you know, indicate like, oh, this 1028 00:52:26,560 --> 00:52:28,960 Speaker 1: is really just about getting these documents back, We're not 1029 00:52:29,000 --> 00:52:32,200 Speaker 1: planning on charging the former president. I feel like that 1030 00:52:32,239 --> 00:52:35,759 Speaker 1: would be getting leaked to these reporters. And the New 1031 00:52:35,840 --> 00:52:38,520 Speaker 1: York Times had a version of this as well. They 1032 00:52:38,520 --> 00:52:43,080 Speaker 1: said something like the DJ isn't close to charging Trump. 1033 00:52:43,360 --> 00:52:46,160 Speaker 1: Also indicating like this will come further down the road, 1034 00:52:46,719 --> 00:52:50,520 Speaker 1: but it you know, it doesn't have any indication they're 1035 00:52:50,719 --> 00:52:53,120 Speaker 1: not going to do it, just like don't expect it 1036 00:52:53,200 --> 00:52:55,640 Speaker 1: right away. Basically at this point, we're all Harry Potter 1037 00:52:55,719 --> 00:52:57,919 Speaker 1: and the Tea leaves classes, We're all just like, what's 1038 00:52:57,960 --> 00:53:01,759 Speaker 1: going on or in the direction of they're serious about them. 1039 00:53:01,800 --> 00:53:03,720 Speaker 1: I think they're serious. And I even put the DOJ 1040 00:53:03,840 --> 00:53:06,040 Speaker 1: aside and I look at the quote unquote oh outside 1041 00:53:06,040 --> 00:53:08,600 Speaker 1: analysts like McCarthy, and like, when McCarthy says he's going 1042 00:53:08,640 --> 00:53:10,759 Speaker 1: to get indicted, I'm like, wow, that's that. That that 1043 00:53:10,840 --> 00:53:13,319 Speaker 1: personally was like the most significant one for me because 1044 00:53:13,360 --> 00:53:15,239 Speaker 1: people like Brad we had on the show, like Brad 1045 00:53:15,239 --> 00:53:16,880 Speaker 1: has always forgot to be in that way. Yeah, but 1046 00:53:17,040 --> 00:53:19,560 Speaker 1: the resistance time and that's that is his framework, which 1047 00:53:19,560 --> 00:53:21,160 Speaker 1: we try to be upfront about, even as he is 1048 00:53:21,160 --> 00:53:23,120 Speaker 1: an expert in this specific totally. And but it's like 1049 00:53:23,160 --> 00:53:26,960 Speaker 1: when I see the skeptics either go silent or started 1050 00:53:26,960 --> 00:53:29,520 Speaker 1: attacking the DJ over the photo, and then I see 1051 00:53:29,520 --> 00:53:31,200 Speaker 1: the ones who I really trust him always starting to 1052 00:53:31,239 --> 00:53:33,920 Speaker 1: actually honestly say, oh, Judge Napp, you know, we'll talk 1053 00:53:33,960 --> 00:53:36,239 Speaker 1: about that too. Who was on Fox got fire from 1054 00:53:36,239 --> 00:53:39,200 Speaker 1: Fox for I forget exactly why you pissed Trump off. 1055 00:53:39,200 --> 00:53:41,879 Speaker 1: But anyway, I've always liked and trusted Jude nap as well. 1056 00:53:41,960 --> 00:53:44,840 Speaker 1: When those two say an indictment is coming again some 1057 00:53:44,880 --> 00:53:48,279 Speaker 1: of the biggest Russiagate Mueller skeptics that existed. Yeah, I 1058 00:53:48,520 --> 00:53:53,960 Speaker 1: I listen, and Judge Napolitano is opposed to Trump being indited. 1059 00:53:54,160 --> 00:53:57,520 Speaker 1: But he's just looking at the case and that's been 1060 00:53:57,600 --> 00:53:59,759 Speaker 1: laid out, and what the government is saying and the 1061 00:53:59,800 --> 00:54:03,400 Speaker 1: way they're approaching this, and he was quite clear that 1062 00:54:03,440 --> 00:54:05,360 Speaker 1: he believes that he will be indicted. I'll tell you 1063 00:54:05,440 --> 00:54:08,160 Speaker 1: another thing, just again as a late person, that seems 1064 00:54:08,200 --> 00:54:11,840 Speaker 1: to me to argue in that direction is Trump's lawyers 1065 00:54:11,920 --> 00:54:16,319 Speaker 1: are now in pretty significant legal jeopardy. And so if 1066 00:54:16,320 --> 00:54:18,600 Speaker 1: you end up with a situation like I feel like 1067 00:54:18,640 --> 00:54:21,440 Speaker 1: it'd be difficult to indict the lawyers, but then let 1068 00:54:21,520 --> 00:54:23,279 Speaker 1: him off the hook, right, you know, So now that 1069 00:54:23,320 --> 00:54:25,520 Speaker 1: you have people who don't have any sort of claim 1070 00:54:25,600 --> 00:54:27,959 Speaker 1: of like you know, presidential protection or we should treat 1071 00:54:27,960 --> 00:54:33,120 Speaker 1: them differently, who were pretty clearly possibly in violation of 1072 00:54:33,239 --> 00:54:35,399 Speaker 1: the law here with regards to testing that. Oh yeah, 1073 00:54:35,440 --> 00:54:37,200 Speaker 1: of course, we did this exhaustive search and turn of 1074 00:54:37,280 --> 00:54:39,719 Speaker 1: everything we could. I don't know. That to me also 1075 00:54:39,800 --> 00:54:42,279 Speaker 1: makes it more difficult for the government to kind of 1076 00:54:42,840 --> 00:54:45,400 Speaker 1: come up with a case for not charging him, given 1077 00:54:45,440 --> 00:54:47,160 Speaker 1: what has come out and what they've laid down at 1078 00:54:47,160 --> 00:54:53,040 Speaker 1: this point. And let's start with this President Biden is 1079 00:54:53,400 --> 00:54:56,319 Speaker 1: very very happy to not talk about inflation, to not 1080 00:54:56,440 --> 00:54:59,800 Speaker 1: talk about gas, to not talk about the economy, to 1081 00:55:00,239 --> 00:55:03,600 Speaker 1: talk about the Federal Reserve. All this man has ever 1082 00:55:03,640 --> 00:55:06,200 Speaker 1: wanted to do, and all frankly was ever good at 1083 00:55:06,239 --> 00:55:09,120 Speaker 1: was talking about Donald Trump. And he is returning to 1084 00:55:09,160 --> 00:55:12,439 Speaker 1: his political roots in the latest midterm campaign rally. Let's 1085 00:55:12,440 --> 00:55:15,040 Speaker 1: take a listen. You're on the side of a mob 1086 00:55:16,040 --> 00:55:18,200 Speaker 1: to the side of the police. You can't be pro 1087 00:55:18,320 --> 00:55:22,880 Speaker 1: law enforcement and pro insurrection. You can't be a party 1088 00:55:22,880 --> 00:55:27,520 Speaker 1: of law and order and call the people who attack 1089 00:55:27,600 --> 00:55:31,719 Speaker 1: the police on January sixth patriots. You can't do it. 1090 00:55:34,040 --> 00:55:38,840 Speaker 1: What are we teaching our children? It's just that simple. 1091 00:55:40,000 --> 00:55:43,080 Speaker 1: But now it's sickening to see the new attacks in 1092 00:55:43,160 --> 00:55:47,719 Speaker 1: the FBI threatening the life of law enforcement agents and 1093 00:55:47,760 --> 00:55:51,720 Speaker 1: their families for simply carrying out the law and doing 1094 00:55:51,760 --> 00:55:58,399 Speaker 1: their job. Look, I want to say it as clear 1095 00:55:58,400 --> 00:56:02,160 Speaker 1: as I can. There's no place in this country, no 1096 00:56:02,360 --> 00:56:07,320 Speaker 1: place for the endageram the lives of law enforcement, no place, 1097 00:56:09,360 --> 00:56:15,560 Speaker 1: no never, period. I'm opposed to defunding the police. I'm 1098 00:56:15,560 --> 00:56:20,359 Speaker 1: also opposed to defunding the FBI. Best thing that ever 1099 00:56:20,400 --> 00:56:23,520 Speaker 1: happened to Joe Biden, Crystal, and he's running with it 1100 00:56:23,640 --> 00:56:26,160 Speaker 1: all day long. Let's put this up there. Returned to 1101 00:56:26,200 --> 00:56:29,120 Speaker 1: the very beginning of the campaign. President Biden traveling to 1102 00:56:29,160 --> 00:56:33,160 Speaker 1: Pennsylvania today and to give a prime time speech on 1103 00:56:33,200 --> 00:56:36,399 Speaker 1: what the White House is calling a battle for the 1104 00:56:36,440 --> 00:56:39,320 Speaker 1: soul of the nation. Where have I heard that one before? 1105 00:56:39,640 --> 00:56:43,160 Speaker 1: Democracy in peril? The twenty twenty last time listen, it 1106 00:56:43,200 --> 00:56:45,480 Speaker 1: did work. This is why can you blame the man? 1107 00:56:45,640 --> 00:56:47,480 Speaker 1: It's not like he's been all that good at governing. 1108 00:56:47,760 --> 00:56:50,319 Speaker 1: So what do you return to the greatest hits? This 1109 00:56:50,400 --> 00:56:52,200 Speaker 1: is what Trump always did whenever he was in the 1110 00:56:52,200 --> 00:56:54,759 Speaker 1: fight for his election. This is exactly what Joe Biden 1111 00:56:54,880 --> 00:56:58,120 Speaker 1: is doing. And the greatest thing that has ever happened 1112 00:56:58,120 --> 00:57:00,840 Speaker 1: to Joe Biden is the supremacy of Donald Trump on 1113 00:57:00,880 --> 00:57:03,600 Speaker 1: the chiron of every news channel in this country, on 1114 00:57:03,680 --> 00:57:06,760 Speaker 1: the top of every newspaper. Because what does it remind 1115 00:57:06,800 --> 00:57:09,840 Speaker 1: you of Trump and this. The more we talk about Trump, 1116 00:57:09,880 --> 00:57:11,239 Speaker 1: the better it is for Biden. Two thirds of the 1117 00:57:11,239 --> 00:57:14,040 Speaker 1: people voted for Biden did not vote for him affirmatively, 1118 00:57:14,080 --> 00:57:16,640 Speaker 1: they voted against Trump. The more that Biden can turn 1119 00:57:16,680 --> 00:57:19,720 Speaker 1: this as a cast against Donald Trump. Now with the 1120 00:57:19,840 --> 00:57:22,160 Speaker 1: Jan six stuff, I generally, I mean, we have a 1121 00:57:22,200 --> 00:57:24,240 Speaker 1: slightly different view. I don't really think it had any 1122 00:57:24,320 --> 00:57:27,480 Speaker 1: real impact, but to the extent that it matters, and 1123 00:57:27,520 --> 00:57:31,160 Speaker 1: you pair it then with the FBI investigation, then again 1124 00:57:31,560 --> 00:57:34,479 Speaker 1: it just elevates it even more up to the top 1125 00:57:34,520 --> 00:57:37,520 Speaker 1: and we start talking about things eighteen twenty months ago 1126 00:57:37,800 --> 00:57:40,680 Speaker 1: than what transpired. By the way, in the middle of 1127 00:57:40,720 --> 00:57:43,440 Speaker 1: those twenty months. You know, it's fascinating view of politics 1128 00:57:43,480 --> 00:57:46,240 Speaker 1: because you have these meta political trends which mattered so 1129 00:57:46,360 --> 00:57:50,120 Speaker 1: much in November with Glenn Youngkin, school closure, inflation, all 1130 00:57:50,160 --> 00:57:52,640 Speaker 1: of that. But the moment Trump comes to the four, 1131 00:57:53,000 --> 00:57:55,680 Speaker 1: it's just the most insane thing to me is how 1132 00:57:55,720 --> 00:58:00,840 Speaker 1: this man and his personality can dwarf life expectancy closures. 1133 00:58:01,000 --> 00:58:03,400 Speaker 1: I mean, data came out this morning. We have a 1134 00:58:03,440 --> 00:58:07,360 Speaker 1: two decade reversal on school children learning. Is that going 1135 00:58:07,400 --> 00:58:09,520 Speaker 1: to be talked about by some of these Republicans on 1136 00:58:09,560 --> 00:58:12,480 Speaker 1: the campaign trail. No, they're going to be talking about Trump. 1137 00:58:12,760 --> 00:58:15,840 Speaker 1: It's like, the more that that's all that we're talking about, 1138 00:58:15,880 --> 00:58:18,040 Speaker 1: even Fox Frankly, the more that that is really at 1139 00:58:18,040 --> 00:58:20,680 Speaker 1: the center of mind, yeah, the less it's good for Republicans, 1140 00:58:20,760 --> 00:58:22,400 Speaker 1: that's all the way to say it. Well. And also, 1141 00:58:22,600 --> 00:58:25,000 Speaker 1: I mean, schools have been opened this year, so we've 1142 00:58:25,040 --> 00:58:27,400 Speaker 1: also like COVID as an issue is just not the 1143 00:58:27,400 --> 00:58:29,440 Speaker 1: center of gravity that it was either for the right 1144 00:58:29,520 --> 00:58:32,000 Speaker 1: or for the left. True, and so you know, it's 1145 00:58:32,680 --> 00:58:35,200 Speaker 1: we sort of moved past that cultural moment, which was 1146 00:58:35,280 --> 00:58:37,439 Speaker 1: very beneficial to Glenn Youngkin. I mean, there was there's 1147 00:58:37,440 --> 00:58:39,720 Speaker 1: a new Wall Street Journal poll out this morning that 1148 00:58:39,840 --> 00:58:43,560 Speaker 1: has Democrats gaining and edging out Republicans on the Jener ballot, 1149 00:58:43,560 --> 00:58:47,040 Speaker 1: has Biden's approval rating up a bit, And you know, 1150 00:58:47,200 --> 00:58:49,440 Speaker 1: I think it reflects a lot of things. I think 1151 00:58:49,480 --> 00:58:52,560 Speaker 1: you've got the fact that yes, Trump is back in 1152 00:58:52,600 --> 00:58:55,520 Speaker 1: the news and reminding everybody why they were anxious to 1153 00:58:55,520 --> 00:58:57,120 Speaker 1: get rid of them in the first place, and being 1154 00:58:57,160 --> 00:59:01,400 Speaker 1: the polarizing asshole that he always is generator that that's 1155 00:59:01,400 --> 00:59:04,320 Speaker 1: what he does. So there's that reminder, which is not 1156 00:59:04,400 --> 00:59:06,680 Speaker 1: helpful to Republicans who wanted to make this a referendum 1157 00:59:06,720 --> 00:59:08,960 Speaker 1: on Biden. So that's one number two. I mean, very 1158 00:59:09,000 --> 00:59:12,920 Speaker 1: obviously the Dobb's decision. That really was the game changing 1159 00:59:13,040 --> 00:59:15,880 Speaker 1: moment in this election. All the trends shifted. The vibe 1160 00:59:15,880 --> 00:59:20,520 Speaker 1: shift starts with the Dob's decision overturning Roe versus Wade. 1161 00:59:20,800 --> 00:59:24,280 Speaker 1: That gives Democrats something to just hammer the hell out 1162 00:59:24,360 --> 00:59:26,880 Speaker 1: of Republicans on and paint them as extremists, and that 1163 00:59:26,920 --> 00:59:30,120 Speaker 1: ties into their defenses of Trump and January sixth, and 1164 00:59:30,160 --> 00:59:32,680 Speaker 1: all of those things all sort of adds up to 1165 00:59:32,800 --> 00:59:35,160 Speaker 1: this view of the Republican Party of like, these people 1166 00:59:35,240 --> 00:59:38,000 Speaker 1: are really out there and I may not be happy 1167 00:59:38,040 --> 00:59:40,160 Speaker 1: one hundred percent with what's going on. I may feel 1168 00:59:40,160 --> 00:59:42,280 Speaker 1: like the country's on the wrong track, but I don't 1169 00:59:42,280 --> 00:59:45,200 Speaker 1: know about letting these people back in charge either. So 1170 00:59:45,280 --> 00:59:47,200 Speaker 1: that was another piece. And then the other thing is, look, 1171 00:59:47,240 --> 00:59:50,040 Speaker 1: Democrats have delivered on a few things lately. You know, 1172 00:59:50,120 --> 00:59:51,960 Speaker 1: they actually got a few things through that god the 1173 00:59:51,960 --> 00:59:55,880 Speaker 1: Pack Act, which delivered for veterans toxic bird pit victims, 1174 00:59:55,920 --> 00:59:59,200 Speaker 1: which has been long overdue, and they finally got that done. 1175 00:59:59,200 --> 01:00:02,280 Speaker 1: I think that's releasing again the chips acted Inflation Reduction 1176 01:00:02,360 --> 01:00:04,760 Speaker 1: Act and now student loan debt relief, which I think 1177 01:00:04,800 --> 01:00:08,840 Speaker 1: has really changed Joe Biden's fortunes with young people, but 1178 01:00:08,880 --> 01:00:12,720 Speaker 1: also was very important and very popular among African Americans 1179 01:00:12,760 --> 01:00:16,440 Speaker 1: of course, a key Democratic based constituency as well. So 1180 01:00:16,640 --> 01:00:19,680 Speaker 1: when you add the focus on Trump on top of 1181 01:00:19,720 --> 01:00:22,960 Speaker 1: all of that, yeah, it has made it so that 1182 01:00:23,200 --> 01:00:26,840 Speaker 1: and I'm always careful to not overstate the case, it 1183 01:00:26,880 --> 01:00:29,240 Speaker 1: has made it so that Democrats have a shot. Yes, 1184 01:00:29,320 --> 01:00:33,040 Speaker 1: whereas before there was no shot. They were losing the Senate, 1185 01:00:33,280 --> 01:00:35,640 Speaker 1: they were getting wiped out in the House, Republicans were 1186 01:00:35,640 --> 01:00:40,600 Speaker 1: staring down potentially historic margins. Democrats in Biden plus ten 1187 01:00:40,720 --> 01:00:44,280 Speaker 1: districts were shaking in their boots. Now I just saw 1188 01:00:44,320 --> 01:00:47,520 Speaker 1: more ratings changes come out this morning, shifting more House 1189 01:00:47,600 --> 01:00:52,000 Speaker 1: districts towards Democrats. They've outperformed and we'll get to this 1190 01:00:52,040 --> 01:00:54,080 Speaker 1: a little bit more in the midterm section. They've outperformed 1191 01:00:54,080 --> 01:00:57,320 Speaker 1: in every single special election. They've outperformed Biden's margin in 1192 01:00:57,360 --> 01:01:02,360 Speaker 1: these districts in every single special election post Dobbs. So yeah, 1193 01:01:02,600 --> 01:01:05,720 Speaker 1: don't I'm not surprised that Biden, who I don't know 1194 01:01:05,760 --> 01:01:08,320 Speaker 1: what like drug cocktail make sure they've given him, but 1195 01:01:08,360 --> 01:01:10,200 Speaker 1: he's like a different guy in the past couple of weeks. 1196 01:01:10,280 --> 01:01:12,320 Speaker 1: He's definitely got a little bit more of something that 1197 01:01:12,360 --> 01:01:15,440 Speaker 1: he was lacking before. Kind of a smart move that 1198 01:01:15,480 --> 01:01:18,320 Speaker 1: they're leaning into this moment he's doing the primetime speech. 1199 01:01:18,400 --> 01:01:22,480 Speaker 1: Apparently there was a memo that was put together by 1200 01:01:23,040 --> 01:01:26,439 Speaker 1: Jen o'mealley Dylan, who is a deputy White House Chief 1201 01:01:26,480 --> 01:01:29,640 Speaker 1: of Staff, and Needa Done, a top communications advisor, and 1202 01:01:29,720 --> 01:01:32,400 Speaker 1: they're sort of leaning into this playbook. Biden is expected 1203 01:01:32,440 --> 01:01:36,240 Speaker 1: to trumpet legislative victories that quote, beat the special interests, 1204 01:01:36,280 --> 01:01:39,919 Speaker 1: smart framing there, and attack the extremism embraced mister Trump 1205 01:01:39,960 --> 01:01:43,160 Speaker 1: and his allies boat strategies emphasized in the memo, So 1206 01:01:43,440 --> 01:01:46,560 Speaker 1: really leaning into the vibe shift and trying to make 1207 01:01:46,760 --> 01:01:49,920 Speaker 1: the most of it that they possibly can. At the 1208 01:01:49,960 --> 01:01:54,680 Speaker 1: same time, some moves that maybe indicate Biden is I 1209 01:01:54,840 --> 01:01:57,360 Speaker 1: personally am of the view Biden's running for president again. 1210 01:01:57,680 --> 01:02:00,280 Speaker 1: There are other people who don't agree with that. Actually, 1211 01:02:00,280 --> 01:02:02,480 Speaker 1: since you add a number of Democrats, Carolyn Maloney up 1212 01:02:02,480 --> 01:02:04,439 Speaker 1: in New York being like, it's my understanding that he's 1213 01:02:04,480 --> 01:02:07,440 Speaker 1: not running again, so question marks there. But I personally 1214 01:02:07,480 --> 01:02:10,600 Speaker 1: think especially with his gains and approval ratings. Democrats are 1215 01:02:10,600 --> 01:02:12,800 Speaker 1: going to prop him up, you know, if they possibly 1216 01:02:12,840 --> 01:02:16,120 Speaker 1: possibly can, because they've also got a Kamala Harris problem 1217 01:02:16,160 --> 01:02:19,720 Speaker 1: of you know, if he doesn't run, she's the obvious successor. 1218 01:02:19,720 --> 01:02:21,479 Speaker 1: Would be hard to put her to the side, given 1219 01:02:21,520 --> 01:02:25,320 Speaker 1: her sort of trailblazing historic status. So he did file 1220 01:02:25,400 --> 01:02:27,920 Speaker 1: an update, I guess to his Biden for President committee, 1221 01:02:27,960 --> 01:02:29,960 Speaker 1: let's ahead and put this up on the screen. Initially, 1222 01:02:30,000 --> 01:02:32,040 Speaker 1: reporters really seized on this of like, oh my god, 1223 01:02:32,080 --> 01:02:34,120 Speaker 1: this is it. He's filed for president. The Fox News 1224 01:02:34,160 --> 01:02:37,520 Speaker 1: headline says Biden FEC filing, not a reelection announcement, and 1225 01:02:37,560 --> 01:02:41,080 Speaker 1: official says they were updating the treasure on this filing. 1226 01:02:41,160 --> 01:02:43,800 Speaker 1: Is my understanding of what was happening here. But you know, 1227 01:02:43,960 --> 01:02:47,600 Speaker 1: obviously he will be in a much much stronger position 1228 01:02:47,920 --> 01:02:51,560 Speaker 1: to run for reelection if they're able to maintain this momentum. 1229 01:02:51,840 --> 01:02:54,120 Speaker 1: And it shows you that for Republicans, I mean, this 1230 01:02:54,160 --> 01:02:56,720 Speaker 1: is the double edged sword with Trump. His people really 1231 01:02:56,760 --> 01:02:58,880 Speaker 1: love him. He still is very much in the pole 1232 01:02:58,920 --> 01:03:01,560 Speaker 1: position to get the Republican nomination, actually stronger than he's 1233 01:03:01,560 --> 01:03:04,960 Speaker 1: ever been in his post presidency. He's never been stronger 1234 01:03:05,000 --> 01:03:07,440 Speaker 1: than right now to win the nomination, and he's never 1235 01:03:07,520 --> 01:03:11,200 Speaker 1: been weaker to win the White House back than he 1236 01:03:11,280 --> 01:03:13,720 Speaker 1: is right now. That's a problem for them. It will 1237 01:03:13,720 --> 01:03:16,360 Speaker 1: be the problem, as I say, until the day he dies. 1238 01:03:16,440 --> 01:03:18,880 Speaker 1: So look, we'll see if I'm Joe. By the way, 1239 01:03:18,920 --> 01:03:21,760 Speaker 1: I personally can't stand this whole everything on the dividing 1240 01:03:21,760 --> 01:03:25,000 Speaker 1: line of Trump. But I have to be honest. We 1241 01:03:25,040 --> 01:03:27,120 Speaker 1: have to be honest with people that this is the 1242 01:03:27,160 --> 01:03:31,160 Speaker 1: stuff that frankly matters. Joe Biden has had a terrible record. 1243 01:03:31,280 --> 01:03:33,480 Speaker 1: Last couple of months have been decent for him. I mean, look, 1244 01:03:33,480 --> 01:03:35,280 Speaker 1: I should give credit where credit is due. He did 1245 01:03:35,280 --> 01:03:37,280 Speaker 1: pass the Chips Act. They have been using the Strategic 1246 01:03:37,320 --> 01:03:40,000 Speaker 1: Patrol and Reserve in order to reduce the price of oil, 1247 01:03:40,040 --> 01:03:42,080 Speaker 1: which is something I advocated for very strongly, and I 1248 01:03:42,080 --> 01:03:44,120 Speaker 1: think it took them far too long in order to 1249 01:03:44,160 --> 01:03:47,200 Speaker 1: do so. They passed the Packed Act, They had the 1250 01:03:47,240 --> 01:03:50,680 Speaker 1: Inflation Reduction Act. They also had student loan forgiveness will 1251 01:03:50,800 --> 01:03:52,920 Speaker 1: I don't personally agree with the policy, but we'll see 1252 01:03:53,040 --> 01:03:58,480 Speaker 1: how it politically shapes out. So these are things I 1253 01:03:58,520 --> 01:04:01,320 Speaker 1: think people people get it. What more, what I would 1254 01:04:01,320 --> 01:04:04,760 Speaker 1: say is action always beats in action. That's right, it's 1255 01:04:04,800 --> 01:04:07,080 Speaker 1: a beat because in action, as we know, we add 1256 01:04:07,080 --> 01:04:09,800 Speaker 1: an entire eight month period where in action was the 1257 01:04:09,800 --> 01:04:13,280 Speaker 1: status quo and the Republicans were cleaning up. So they 1258 01:04:13,320 --> 01:04:16,080 Speaker 1: have given themselves a shot. They've definitely shot themselves in 1259 01:04:16,120 --> 01:04:18,200 Speaker 1: the foot with Dobbs. But that's really out of control 1260 01:04:18,240 --> 01:04:20,880 Speaker 1: of the current Republicans. It's been a multi decade project 1261 01:04:20,960 --> 01:04:22,720 Speaker 1: and we're just living in a whole new world. Yeah, 1262 01:04:22,720 --> 01:04:24,120 Speaker 1: I think that's a big part of it. Yeah, and 1263 01:04:24,440 --> 01:04:27,720 Speaker 1: you mentioned gas prices. It's going down that that should 1264 01:04:27,760 --> 01:04:30,240 Speaker 1: not be overlooked in the fact that, you know, things 1265 01:04:30,240 --> 01:04:32,600 Speaker 1: are feeling a little bit better for Democrats right now. 1266 01:04:32,600 --> 01:04:36,200 Speaker 1: That's probably as key a thing as as any of them. Okay, 1267 01:04:36,280 --> 01:04:38,400 Speaker 1: let's get to a couple of these Senate races. So 1268 01:04:38,600 --> 01:04:43,440 Speaker 1: some significant developments in Pennsylvania. As John Fetterman continues to 1269 01:04:43,720 --> 01:04:46,000 Speaker 1: struggle to recover from his stroke with issues I think 1270 01:04:46,000 --> 01:04:48,840 Speaker 1: with speech in particular, but also he says, auditory issues, 1271 01:04:49,240 --> 01:04:52,919 Speaker 1: he has decided not to participate in a scheduled debate. 1272 01:04:52,960 --> 01:04:54,960 Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and put this up on the screen. 1273 01:04:55,240 --> 01:04:57,920 Speaker 1: This is from Jonathan Tamari, a reporter that we used 1274 01:04:57,920 --> 01:05:00,640 Speaker 1: to have on rising all this time. I thinks fantastic 1275 01:05:00,640 --> 01:05:03,800 Speaker 1: Pennsylvania local reporter, he says. Fetterman confirms he won't attend 1276 01:05:03,840 --> 01:05:07,640 Speaker 1: Katie Kay's proposed debate, accusing Oz of mocking his stroke. 1277 01:05:07,960 --> 01:05:10,680 Speaker 1: He says, quote this from Fetterman. As I recover from 1278 01:05:10,680 --> 01:05:13,800 Speaker 1: this stroke and improve my auditory processing and speech, I 1279 01:05:13,880 --> 01:05:16,680 Speaker 1: look forward to continuing to meet with the people of Pennsylvania. 1280 01:05:16,720 --> 01:05:21,200 Speaker 1: They'll always know where I stand. OZ team has taken 1281 01:05:21,200 --> 01:05:24,240 Speaker 1: the gloves off on this stuff and are being extremely 1282 01:05:24,440 --> 01:05:27,720 Speaker 1: I'll just say aggressive in how they are framing all 1283 01:05:27,720 --> 01:05:29,000 Speaker 1: of it. Let's go ahead and put this up on 1284 01:05:29,080 --> 01:05:34,280 Speaker 1: the screen so I'll read this whole thing. The Doctor 1285 01:05:34,320 --> 01:05:37,360 Speaker 1: Oz campaign released the following list of concessions it's willing 1286 01:05:37,360 --> 01:05:39,880 Speaker 1: to make if John Fetterman will agree to debate in 1287 01:05:40,000 --> 01:05:44,320 Speaker 1: one week. Doctor Oz promises not to intentionally hurt John's feelings. 1288 01:05:44,360 --> 01:05:46,440 Speaker 1: At any point, we'll low John to have all of 1289 01:05:46,480 --> 01:05:48,240 Speaker 1: his notes in front of him, along with an earpiece 1290 01:05:48,280 --> 01:05:49,880 Speaker 1: so he can have the answers given to him by 1291 01:05:49,880 --> 01:05:52,400 Speaker 1: his staff in real time. At any point, John Fetterman 1292 01:05:52,440 --> 01:05:54,680 Speaker 1: can raise his hand and say bathroom break if the 1293 01:05:54,680 --> 01:05:57,920 Speaker 1: topic of his pardoned murderers comes up. We'll allow extra 1294 01:05:57,920 --> 01:05:59,680 Speaker 1: time for him explain that the second degree murder is 1295 01:05:59,720 --> 01:06:01,840 Speaker 1: not as at his first degree murder, will pay for 1296 01:06:01,920 --> 01:06:05,560 Speaker 1: any additional medical personnel he might need to have on standby. 1297 01:06:06,400 --> 01:06:08,520 Speaker 1: And here's a quote. The first debate at Katie Ka 1298 01:06:08,640 --> 01:06:10,360 Speaker 1: is scept for one week from today, but there's been 1299 01:06:10,400 --> 01:06:14,680 Speaker 1: no response from Lyne liberal Fetterman. I mean, if I 1300 01:06:14,680 --> 01:06:17,280 Speaker 1: had to defend releasing convicted murders and not paying my taxes, 1301 01:06:17,320 --> 01:06:19,400 Speaker 1: I'd be pretty worried to I guess John Fetterman is 1302 01:06:19,440 --> 01:06:22,080 Speaker 1: afreed of debating doctor Oz. What did you think of 1303 01:06:22,080 --> 01:06:24,480 Speaker 1: the sager? Yeah, I don't know. It's odd. I have 1304 01:06:24,640 --> 01:06:27,200 Speaker 1: no idea if it'll work or not. I've spoken with 1305 01:06:27,240 --> 01:06:28,960 Speaker 1: some people who are privy some polls that I'm not 1306 01:06:29,000 --> 01:06:31,320 Speaker 1: privy to, but you never know whether you're being spun 1307 01:06:31,400 --> 01:06:35,480 Speaker 1: or not. They claim that it is working, that internally 1308 01:06:35,880 --> 01:06:40,120 Speaker 1: they see some doubt amongst Pennsylvania voters about his stroke, 1309 01:06:40,360 --> 01:06:41,840 Speaker 1: and that they want to remind people of it as 1310 01:06:41,880 --> 01:06:44,800 Speaker 1: much as possible. I could see it going of two ways. 1311 01:06:44,840 --> 01:06:48,480 Speaker 1: On the one hand, Fetterman cannot claim that you have problems. 1312 01:06:48,520 --> 01:06:51,000 Speaker 1: In his statement, he says, I have problems with auditory processing. 1313 01:06:51,200 --> 01:06:53,160 Speaker 1: But that will not affect my job as a senator. 1314 01:06:53,360 --> 01:06:56,800 Speaker 1: Come on, dude, that is just stop like, there is 1315 01:06:56,920 --> 01:06:59,680 Speaker 1: no chance that one of the most important jobs in 1316 01:06:59,680 --> 01:07:02,040 Speaker 1: the United States is not going to be affected by 1317 01:07:02,200 --> 01:07:05,640 Speaker 1: your health problems. Now politically, as to whether that matters 1318 01:07:05,720 --> 01:07:09,400 Speaker 1: or not, it's two things. One which is that with Biden, 1319 01:07:09,560 --> 01:07:13,560 Speaker 1: the attack on age sometimes worked, sometimes it backfired. With Fetterman, 1320 01:07:13,920 --> 01:07:16,280 Speaker 1: here's the thing. I'm just going to say this kindly. 1321 01:07:16,440 --> 01:07:20,360 Speaker 1: People in Pennsylvania, especially the older folks, probably not the 1322 01:07:20,360 --> 01:07:24,880 Speaker 1: healthiest population, so they actually will find some kinship with 1323 01:07:24,960 --> 01:07:27,320 Speaker 1: John that he has suffered through a major health event. 1324 01:07:27,680 --> 01:07:30,600 Speaker 1: And he actually recently had a rally, a Democratic rally, 1325 01:07:30,600 --> 01:07:31,960 Speaker 1: and he was like, how many of you guys have 1326 01:07:31,960 --> 01:07:35,520 Speaker 1: suffered a health event? You know, the entire rooms, which 1327 01:07:35,560 --> 01:07:37,440 Speaker 1: is sad. Sad. I'm not saying it's a good thing. Yeah, 1328 01:07:37,480 --> 01:07:40,880 Speaker 1: this is America, Listen, we have terrible healthcare system. That's 1329 01:07:40,880 --> 01:07:43,720 Speaker 1: my entire monologue is about today, about life expectancy, specifically 1330 01:07:43,760 --> 01:07:47,760 Speaker 1: amongst older people, fat people, etc. So everybody was like 1331 01:07:47,800 --> 01:07:49,280 Speaker 1: I would, and he was like, can you imagine a 1332 01:07:49,360 --> 01:07:51,760 Speaker 1: doctor attacking you over your health? And everyone's like, oh boo. 1333 01:07:52,040 --> 01:07:54,720 Speaker 1: Now these are people at a Fetterman rally, you know, 1334 01:07:54,920 --> 01:07:56,880 Speaker 1: you would want to believe that type of politics works. 1335 01:07:57,360 --> 01:08:00,440 Speaker 1: My bigger problem with all this is this, this seems 1336 01:08:00,560 --> 01:08:06,800 Speaker 1: generally indistinguishable to me from generic Republican positioning nationally. And 1337 01:08:06,800 --> 01:08:08,480 Speaker 1: that's not why I believe doctor OZZ would be a 1338 01:08:08,480 --> 01:08:10,440 Speaker 1: good candidate in the first place. And I took a 1339 01:08:10,440 --> 01:08:13,240 Speaker 1: look to see who wrote that statement, and lo and 1340 01:08:13,280 --> 01:08:16,400 Speaker 1: behold Britney Yannick, who's the current communications director for doctor OZ. 1341 01:08:16,560 --> 01:08:19,080 Speaker 1: What was her previous job, Crystal, She worked at the 1342 01:08:19,120 --> 01:08:22,799 Speaker 1: Republican National Committee nine months ago as a comms director 1343 01:08:22,840 --> 01:08:27,640 Speaker 1: for this is a pure through and through GOP standard politicians. 1344 01:08:27,640 --> 01:08:29,240 Speaker 1: She worked at the R and C before that, she 1345 01:08:29,280 --> 01:08:32,200 Speaker 1: was direct Deputy Director of Communications for the White House 1346 01:08:32,280 --> 01:08:34,519 Speaker 1: under the Trump administration. And before that she was just 1347 01:08:34,560 --> 01:08:37,479 Speaker 1: some generic replacement level comms director on Capitol Hill and 1348 01:08:37,479 --> 01:08:40,160 Speaker 1: the House Representative. So I know these people, they don't 1349 01:08:40,160 --> 01:08:43,000 Speaker 1: have an original brain in their heads. The lying liberal 1350 01:08:43,040 --> 01:08:46,439 Speaker 1: thing and all that very much just tracks with generic 1351 01:08:46,680 --> 01:08:50,120 Speaker 1: GOP positioning. If I were Oz, and again why I 1352 01:08:50,120 --> 01:08:53,320 Speaker 1: thought he would be very effective is Oz was somebody 1353 01:08:53,439 --> 01:08:56,120 Speaker 1: who had a deep emotional connection with people on TV 1354 01:08:56,400 --> 01:08:59,800 Speaker 1: that was born of a positive message, and now people 1355 01:08:59,840 --> 01:09:02,360 Speaker 1: do vote negatively, but there's a way to be positive 1356 01:09:02,360 --> 01:09:05,439 Speaker 1: about the negatives, about bringing ourselves out of something terrible, 1357 01:09:05,800 --> 01:09:08,400 Speaker 1: and casting Fetterman is a part of that horrificness. So 1358 01:09:08,840 --> 01:09:12,360 Speaker 1: how it lands, I don't know. I generally have no idea. Yeah, 1359 01:09:12,600 --> 01:09:15,559 Speaker 1: I tend to agree with you, and putting the like 1360 01:09:15,680 --> 01:09:18,280 Speaker 1: morality of attacking someone who has just suffered this horrific 1361 01:09:18,720 --> 01:09:20,880 Speaker 1: health event. I mean, look, it's politics. People are going 1362 01:09:20,960 --> 01:09:23,000 Speaker 1: to use whatever they can use to try to I 1363 01:09:23,000 --> 01:09:26,400 Speaker 1: think it's fair game. Properly that's a problem. Yeah, I 1364 01:09:26,400 --> 01:09:29,599 Speaker 1: mean that's fine, make that case. But you know, they're 1365 01:09:30,360 --> 01:09:35,040 Speaker 1: just from a political perspective. I think they are going 1366 01:09:35,080 --> 01:09:38,759 Speaker 1: about this in a very hamhanded way that just feels 1367 01:09:38,800 --> 01:09:42,880 Speaker 1: mean spirited and makes John a more sympathetic character. Then 1368 01:09:43,240 --> 01:09:46,200 Speaker 1: there's a way to do these and it's not having 1369 01:09:46,240 --> 01:09:48,639 Speaker 1: it come directly from the candidate. It's probably more from 1370 01:09:48,640 --> 01:09:52,200 Speaker 1: the campaign. Right, So like, okay, so again putting my 1371 01:09:52,320 --> 01:09:54,840 Speaker 1: like sleazy political operative hat on the way you do 1372 01:09:54,960 --> 01:09:57,240 Speaker 1: you leave stuff to the press, you get your allies, 1373 01:09:57,320 --> 01:10:00,000 Speaker 1: you get your attack dogs who are outside of the campaigns. 1374 01:10:00,160 --> 01:10:03,920 Speaker 1: You have plausible deniability and if you're doctor Oz. You 1375 01:10:04,000 --> 01:10:08,280 Speaker 1: where you're like mister Rogers, America's doctor Gosh. I'm just 1376 01:10:08,280 --> 01:10:11,719 Speaker 1: concerned for his health, you know, bless his heart. That's 1377 01:10:11,760 --> 01:10:14,519 Speaker 1: the way that that's who you are, that's the character 1378 01:10:14,640 --> 01:10:17,800 Speaker 1: you're supposed to be playing. I personally think because the 1379 01:10:17,840 --> 01:10:21,320 Speaker 1: attacks feel so sort of like edge, like they have 1380 01:10:21,360 --> 01:10:23,720 Speaker 1: a hard edge and they're sort of like mean spirited 1381 01:10:24,200 --> 01:10:27,599 Speaker 1: in their approach, it more plays into this idea that 1382 01:10:27,920 --> 01:10:30,000 Speaker 1: doctor Oz is just kind of this like rich, out 1383 01:10:30,000 --> 01:10:33,479 Speaker 1: of touch asshole versus the impression that you know, a 1384 01:10:33,520 --> 01:10:35,760 Speaker 1: lot of TV viewers over a lot of years had 1385 01:10:35,800 --> 01:10:39,120 Speaker 1: of him. So it feeds more into that narrative the 1386 01:10:39,160 --> 01:10:41,680 Speaker 1: Fetterman campaign has been pushing about who this guy is 1387 01:10:41,720 --> 01:10:45,599 Speaker 1: and what he's all about, versus really, you know, causing 1388 01:10:45,680 --> 01:10:50,120 Speaker 1: questions for voters about Fetterman's health. That's my read on 1389 01:10:50,160 --> 01:10:52,920 Speaker 1: the situation that it's not that I don't think the 1390 01:10:52,960 --> 01:10:56,639 Speaker 1: health issues could find some purchase in Traction if done 1391 01:10:56,680 --> 01:10:58,479 Speaker 1: in the right way. It's got to be done a 1392 01:10:58,520 --> 01:11:00,880 Speaker 1: little bit delicately, though, and they have not done it 1393 01:11:00,960 --> 01:11:03,320 Speaker 1: delicately at all. And you see that this is actually 1394 01:11:03,400 --> 01:11:07,479 Speaker 1: uncomfortable for Oz himself. He got asked on a radio 1395 01:11:07,720 --> 01:11:10,920 Speaker 1: local radio interview whether it's appropriate for his campaign to 1396 01:11:10,920 --> 01:11:14,440 Speaker 1: make fun of Fetterman's stroke, and he said, the campaign's 1397 01:11:14,479 --> 01:11:17,519 Speaker 1: been saying lots of things. My position is I can 1398 01:11:17,560 --> 01:11:19,800 Speaker 1: only speak to what I'm saying. That's your care pro 1399 01:11:20,000 --> 01:11:22,800 Speaker 1: it's your campaign. Come on like own up to it, 1400 01:11:23,160 --> 01:11:27,360 Speaker 1: or or go in a different direction, like again the sleazy. 1401 01:11:27,479 --> 01:11:30,320 Speaker 1: The way you do this effectively is you leak stuff 1402 01:11:30,360 --> 01:11:33,559 Speaker 1: to the press. You you know, get clips of him 1403 01:11:33,680 --> 01:11:35,960 Speaker 1: that look really bad, and you send them to people 1404 01:11:35,960 --> 01:11:38,200 Speaker 1: who your allies. You get them spread around, you get 1405 01:11:38,240 --> 01:11:41,280 Speaker 1: the Fox News machine working so that you have plausible 1406 01:11:41,280 --> 01:11:44,000 Speaker 1: deniability and you can remain above the fray. It's not 1407 01:11:44,080 --> 01:11:46,160 Speaker 1: a good look to look like you're just like being 1408 01:11:46,240 --> 01:11:49,960 Speaker 1: mean about somebody who clearly struggled through a significant health event. 1409 01:11:50,080 --> 01:11:52,280 Speaker 1: I'm also a little bit skeptical about how much these 1410 01:11:52,320 --> 01:11:55,360 Speaker 1: health attacks really work, because ultimately people care more about 1411 01:11:55,400 --> 01:11:58,440 Speaker 1: like how do I feel about this person, what's their ideology? 1412 01:11:58,600 --> 01:12:02,200 Speaker 1: Than I mean, the bi aged questions didn't that didn't 1413 01:12:02,280 --> 01:12:04,760 Speaker 1: hurt him? John McCain, there were I guess, you know, 1414 01:12:04,840 --> 01:12:07,240 Speaker 1: maybe do you think what I mean? I don't think 1415 01:12:07,280 --> 01:12:09,559 Speaker 1: that was I don't think that was the problem for him. 1416 01:12:09,600 --> 01:12:12,600 Speaker 1: I think tyln was more of the issue for him. 1417 01:12:12,760 --> 01:12:14,880 Speaker 1: So I don't know. I'm a little skeptical of think 1418 01:12:14,880 --> 01:12:17,400 Speaker 1: of Bernie Sanders heart attack and then he comes back 1419 01:12:17,439 --> 01:12:20,080 Speaker 1: and he was never stronger than you in the primary. 1420 01:12:20,200 --> 01:12:22,479 Speaker 1: I think we should be honest here, like fettermans, there 1421 01:12:22,479 --> 01:12:23,920 Speaker 1: are a lot of clips out there and it's not 1422 01:12:24,000 --> 01:12:26,080 Speaker 1: looking so good. I mean, the guy can't debate because 1423 01:12:26,120 --> 01:12:28,200 Speaker 1: he ability can't speak like that's a big well, let 1424 01:12:28,240 --> 01:12:30,000 Speaker 1: me say, let me say this and go ahead and 1425 01:12:30,000 --> 01:12:32,000 Speaker 1: put the next pull up on the screen from Emerson. 1426 01:12:32,120 --> 01:12:36,720 Speaker 1: So Emerson has Fetterman up four over Oz five percent undecided, 1427 01:12:36,920 --> 01:12:39,040 Speaker 1: much closer pull than some of the other ones we've 1428 01:12:39,080 --> 01:12:42,559 Speaker 1: been seeing recently. I think this is much closer to 1429 01:12:42,640 --> 01:12:45,320 Speaker 1: where this race actually is versus you know, we saw 1430 01:12:45,360 --> 01:12:47,120 Speaker 1: these polls that were pretty skeptical though they were like 1431 01:12:47,160 --> 01:12:50,280 Speaker 1: Fetterman up thirteen. It's Pennsylvania. I just don't buy that 1432 01:12:50,360 --> 01:12:53,439 Speaker 1: it's going to be a close election. And in my opinion, 1433 01:12:53,960 --> 01:12:57,240 Speaker 1: if Oz is able to make a comeback here, which 1434 01:12:57,400 --> 01:13:01,040 Speaker 1: is very possible, very possible, this is still, in my view, 1435 01:13:01,040 --> 01:13:03,559 Speaker 1: a toss up state. I think it's going to be 1436 01:13:03,600 --> 01:13:08,799 Speaker 1: more about national mood, inflation, gas prices, feeling the country 1437 01:13:08,880 --> 01:13:12,000 Speaker 1: is on the wrong track than you know, these attempts, 1438 01:13:12,479 --> 01:13:15,599 Speaker 1: which to me feel a little bit desperate about Fetterman's health. 1439 01:13:15,760 --> 01:13:18,960 Speaker 1: I don't know. I have no idea as for as 1440 01:13:19,000 --> 01:13:21,000 Speaker 1: for Fetterman. I think it probably has less to do 1441 01:13:21,040 --> 01:13:22,920 Speaker 1: with Oz and can the man speak by the end 1442 01:13:22,920 --> 01:13:25,519 Speaker 1: of the campaign? I mean, for real, like, honestly, if 1443 01:13:25,560 --> 01:13:27,960 Speaker 1: I were him, I may take a little bit more 1444 01:13:28,000 --> 01:13:29,840 Speaker 1: of a health break and just try and be as 1445 01:13:29,840 --> 01:13:32,800 Speaker 1: good as possible. Most people don't pay attention really until 1446 01:13:32,840 --> 01:13:35,200 Speaker 1: three weeks before election day, so he's got a little 1447 01:13:35,200 --> 01:13:37,280 Speaker 1: bit of time. Apparently he's going to the Hamptons this 1448 01:13:37,320 --> 01:13:40,200 Speaker 1: weekend to go raise some money. Good for him, you know, 1449 01:13:40,240 --> 01:13:42,840 Speaker 1: he's getting himself out there. He did not appear or 1450 01:13:42,880 --> 01:13:46,280 Speaker 1: will not be appearing with Joe Biden scheduling conflicts. He says, 1451 01:13:46,600 --> 01:13:49,120 Speaker 1: I always love that. I'm just like, come on, he's unpopular. 1452 01:13:49,200 --> 01:13:51,160 Speaker 1: Just say you don't want to appear next to him. 1453 01:13:51,160 --> 01:13:53,800 Speaker 1: So that's But Jos Shapiro is, which I also find 1454 01:13:53,880 --> 01:13:56,000 Speaker 1: kind of interesting. I don't really know why he would 1455 01:13:56,080 --> 01:13:58,240 Speaker 1: choose to do so, but Fetterman wouldn't. Maybe he is 1456 01:13:58,280 --> 01:14:00,000 Speaker 1: a different poll. I do have no idea how it's going, 1457 01:14:00,439 --> 01:14:04,400 Speaker 1: so it's interesting. Nonetheless, yeah, I don't know personally. I mean, 1458 01:14:04,400 --> 01:14:06,120 Speaker 1: I wouldn't do it. I don't. I think it's very 1459 01:14:06,240 --> 01:14:09,200 Speaker 1: risky strategy. Could it be effective. The people who are 1460 01:14:09,520 --> 01:14:11,559 Speaker 1: claim they're in the note say it is. They could 1461 01:14:11,680 --> 01:14:14,080 Speaker 1: be spinning me. I have no idea. Again, I think 1462 01:14:14,080 --> 01:14:16,559 Speaker 1: there's a way it could be done that might be 1463 01:14:16,600 --> 01:14:18,960 Speaker 1: more effective this. I feel like they're just making him 1464 01:14:19,000 --> 01:14:21,559 Speaker 1: into a more sympathetic figure. And as much as I 1465 01:14:21,560 --> 01:14:24,360 Speaker 1: would like the like they won't debate me attacks, I 1466 01:14:24,400 --> 01:14:26,599 Speaker 1: would like it if those attacks work. I think those 1467 01:14:26,640 --> 01:14:29,440 Speaker 1: attacks should work. I think we should have a requirement 1468 01:14:30,360 --> 01:14:33,880 Speaker 1: constitutionally that candidates have to debate and have to take 1469 01:14:34,040 --> 01:14:36,840 Speaker 1: questions from the press and so that they really have 1470 01:14:36,920 --> 01:14:38,880 Speaker 1: to sort of prove themselves and put themselves out there. 1471 01:14:38,920 --> 01:14:41,320 Speaker 1: But I don't think it really works. All right, let's 1472 01:14:41,320 --> 01:14:44,559 Speaker 1: talk about Jackson, Mississippi. This is just a horrible situation. 1473 01:14:44,680 --> 01:14:47,559 Speaker 1: So Jackson, Mississippi, of course, the capital of that state, 1474 01:14:48,040 --> 01:14:51,519 Speaker 1: home to hundreds of thousands of people, is without water. 1475 01:14:52,360 --> 01:14:55,760 Speaker 1: They had a significant flooding of the Pearl River, which 1476 01:14:55,880 --> 01:15:01,479 Speaker 1: runs through the city, overwhelmed their water treatmentacilities and so, 1477 01:15:02,160 --> 01:15:04,240 Speaker 1: and this is a system that has been struggling for 1478 01:15:04,320 --> 01:15:07,080 Speaker 1: years and years. They actually had a winter storm last 1479 01:15:07,160 --> 01:15:10,080 Speaker 1: year that also crippled the system and left their residents 1480 01:15:10,120 --> 01:15:13,479 Speaker 1: without safe drinking water. Now they're in the situation where 1481 01:15:13,600 --> 01:15:16,000 Speaker 1: you know, at times, not only is the water not 1482 01:15:16,360 --> 01:15:18,240 Speaker 1: safe to drink, and you have to boil it. By 1483 01:15:18,240 --> 01:15:20,439 Speaker 1: the way, they've been on a boiler for a month. Yeah, 1484 01:15:20,439 --> 01:15:23,800 Speaker 1: this didn't just have been down right exactly. So not 1485 01:15:23,840 --> 01:15:25,719 Speaker 1: only is that water not safe to drink at times, 1486 01:15:25,720 --> 01:15:28,200 Speaker 1: they just have not had water to the point that, 1487 01:15:28,520 --> 01:15:31,880 Speaker 1: you know, they had to close the university that's based there. 1488 01:15:31,920 --> 01:15:34,839 Speaker 1: They've had to close the schools, and they were concerned 1489 01:15:34,880 --> 01:15:39,400 Speaker 1: about literally not having water to fight fires. So state 1490 01:15:39,439 --> 01:15:42,360 Speaker 1: of emergency has been declared. Governor of that state, Tate 1491 01:15:42,400 --> 01:15:45,400 Speaker 1: Reeves had this to say about the situation. The city 1492 01:15:45,439 --> 01:15:51,760 Speaker 1: cannot produce enough water to fight fires, to reliably flush toilets, 1493 01:15:52,160 --> 01:15:58,599 Speaker 1: and to meet other critical needs. The Mississippi Emergency Management 1494 01:15:58,640 --> 01:16:02,800 Speaker 1: Agency will take the state's lead on distributing drinking water 1495 01:16:03,200 --> 01:16:06,719 Speaker 1: and non drinking water to residents of the city of Jackson. 1496 01:16:08,280 --> 01:16:11,519 Speaker 1: So that's from the governor. Now, the mayor of this 1497 01:16:11,640 --> 01:16:13,640 Speaker 1: city and I think it's worth saying that this is 1498 01:16:13,760 --> 01:16:19,439 Speaker 1: a majority black and a highly impoverished city, and the 1499 01:16:19,439 --> 01:16:22,400 Speaker 1: mayor is a self described socialist. So there's been some 1500 01:16:22,520 --> 01:16:26,240 Speaker 1: tension between the mayor and the Republican government over the years, 1501 01:16:26,280 --> 01:16:29,799 Speaker 1: no doubt about it. And so you know, for example, 1502 01:16:29,800 --> 01:16:32,040 Speaker 1: at that press conference right there with Tate Reeves, the 1503 01:16:32,080 --> 01:16:34,439 Speaker 1: mayor was not invited to be part of that press conference, 1504 01:16:34,479 --> 01:16:37,599 Speaker 1: which I think is just like petty and meanspirited personally. 1505 01:16:37,600 --> 01:16:40,120 Speaker 1: And also this has been a problem for the city 1506 01:16:40,120 --> 01:16:42,400 Speaker 1: for years and years and the state has not given 1507 01:16:42,439 --> 01:16:44,400 Speaker 1: them the funds to be able to deal with it, 1508 01:16:44,439 --> 01:16:47,479 Speaker 1: which I think is absolutely unconscionable. So here's what the 1509 01:16:47,520 --> 01:16:49,920 Speaker 1: mayor Choque La Mumbai, I think is how you say 1510 01:16:49,920 --> 01:16:52,240 Speaker 1: his name. Here's what he had to say about the situation. 1511 01:16:52,680 --> 01:16:56,120 Speaker 1: What our focus is is a focus on a coalition 1512 01:16:56,200 --> 01:16:59,599 Speaker 1: that works together, a coalition that is arm in arm, 1513 01:17:00,160 --> 01:17:02,960 Speaker 1: making sure that we work towards the residents of Jackson 1514 01:17:03,280 --> 01:17:06,280 Speaker 1: and making it certain that we can conclude these challenges. 1515 01:17:06,600 --> 01:17:11,680 Speaker 1: We need an overhaul of our water treatment facility. In 1516 01:17:11,760 --> 01:17:15,960 Speaker 1: all actuality, a new water treatment facility would be in order. 1517 01:17:16,439 --> 01:17:20,120 Speaker 1: Because the water treatment facility we have, has never functioned 1518 01:17:20,439 --> 01:17:23,320 Speaker 1: optimally and has had challenges from the moment that it 1519 01:17:23,400 --> 01:17:26,559 Speaker 1: was created. So here's where we are. Let's go ahead 1520 01:17:26,560 --> 01:17:29,800 Speaker 1: and put this Mississippi Today article up on the screen. So, 1521 01:17:30,000 --> 01:17:33,160 Speaker 1: as I mentioned before, this water treatment plant has only 1522 01:17:33,200 --> 01:17:35,760 Speaker 1: been operating at partial capacity for a while. From more 1523 01:17:35,800 --> 01:17:37,800 Speaker 1: than a month, the city has been under a State 1524 01:17:37,800 --> 01:17:42,439 Speaker 1: Health Department issued boil water notice. It boggles my mind 1525 01:17:42,600 --> 01:17:44,640 Speaker 1: that an American city can go a month on a 1526 01:17:44,640 --> 01:17:47,799 Speaker 1: boil nose and it doesn't even make the national news. 1527 01:17:47,920 --> 01:17:51,000 Speaker 1: That is an unconsartable failure to start with. Add to 1528 01:17:51,000 --> 01:17:55,040 Speaker 1: that the fact that, yes, everyone knew that this problem 1529 01:17:55,160 --> 01:17:58,520 Speaker 1: was going to reoccur. This is not the first infrastructure 1530 01:17:58,520 --> 01:18:00,960 Speaker 1: issue that they've had. It's not the first water issue 1531 01:18:00,960 --> 01:18:02,680 Speaker 1: that they've had. As I mentioned before, they had that 1532 01:18:02,760 --> 01:18:06,599 Speaker 1: winter storm just last year. And the government, the governor 1533 01:18:06,680 --> 01:18:09,840 Speaker 1: still has not laid out any sort of long term 1534 01:18:09,880 --> 01:18:13,120 Speaker 1: fix for these issues. So saying, Okay, we're going to 1535 01:18:13,120 --> 01:18:14,560 Speaker 1: truck in the water, we're going to bring in the 1536 01:18:14,600 --> 01:18:16,360 Speaker 1: National Guard, we're going to get it back online as 1537 01:18:16,360 --> 01:18:18,839 Speaker 1: soon as we can, but in terms of actually fixing 1538 01:18:18,840 --> 01:18:22,120 Speaker 1: the system, still no word. And you know, some of 1539 01:18:22,240 --> 01:18:25,439 Speaker 1: the questions have been asked here because Mississippi did Soger 1540 01:18:25,479 --> 01:18:27,800 Speaker 1: get a bunch of money from the Infrastructure Act, So 1541 01:18:27,840 --> 01:18:30,080 Speaker 1: what the hell is going on with that? Apparently the 1542 01:18:30,120 --> 01:18:33,479 Speaker 1: city after that snowstorm in twenty twenty one, asked for 1543 01:18:33,479 --> 01:18:35,920 Speaker 1: forty seven million to try to get ahead of this crisis, 1544 01:18:35,920 --> 01:18:40,120 Speaker 1: and they were given three million. And the reality is 1545 01:18:40,320 --> 01:18:44,040 Speaker 1: the Infrastructure Bill dedicated two hundred and thirty eight million 1546 01:18:44,080 --> 01:18:48,800 Speaker 1: dollars for water infrastructure and only seventy five million in 1547 01:18:48,800 --> 01:18:52,040 Speaker 1: this type of funding for the entire state for the 1548 01:18:52,120 --> 01:18:55,439 Speaker 1: year of twenty twenty two. The mayor says that it 1549 01:18:55,520 --> 01:18:59,400 Speaker 1: will probably take a billion dollars to fix, to actually 1550 01:18:59,439 --> 01:19:02,720 Speaker 1: fully fix this entire water system. Now, anytime you have 1551 01:19:02,720 --> 01:19:04,400 Speaker 1: a round number like that, you have to assume this is, 1552 01:19:04,439 --> 01:19:07,519 Speaker 1: you know, kind of a back of envelope calculation. But 1553 01:19:08,560 --> 01:19:11,800 Speaker 1: nowhere near adequate funds have been devoted to this. And 1554 01:19:11,840 --> 01:19:13,920 Speaker 1: then think about, you know, how many billions of dollars 1555 01:19:13,920 --> 01:19:16,559 Speaker 1: did we just send casually to Ukraine And we've got 1556 01:19:16,560 --> 01:19:19,320 Speaker 1: citizens of American City who cannot drink the water or 1557 01:19:19,320 --> 01:19:22,040 Speaker 1: flush their toilet. H that's unconscionable, you know, you and 1558 01:19:22,080 --> 01:19:24,800 Speaker 1: I did. I just checked March fifth, twenty twenty one. 1559 01:19:24,840 --> 01:19:28,280 Speaker 1: It's Crystlin Sager. Media ignores Jackson, Mississippi missing water for 1560 01:19:28,280 --> 01:19:31,200 Speaker 1: two weeks. So it's not like people didn't know. We knew. 1561 01:19:31,240 --> 01:19:32,720 Speaker 1: I've been talking about that. I mean, you know, I'm 1562 01:19:32,720 --> 01:19:34,240 Speaker 1: not going to say I've been following the story day 1563 01:19:34,280 --> 01:19:35,600 Speaker 1: in and day out. But the moment I saw it, 1564 01:19:35,640 --> 01:19:37,080 Speaker 1: I was like, oh, I remember Jackson. We did a 1565 01:19:37,080 --> 01:19:40,559 Speaker 1: whole story, yeah, water before, and this is the same thing. 1566 01:19:40,600 --> 01:19:42,599 Speaker 1: So it's like Flint all over again. Right, Flint didn't 1567 01:19:42,640 --> 01:19:44,599 Speaker 1: just happen. It was a multi year process, a lot 1568 01:19:44,600 --> 01:19:48,120 Speaker 1: of corruption. Nobody had ended up going to jail for basically, 1569 01:19:48,280 --> 01:19:50,439 Speaker 1: you know, a criminality, what all the way up and 1570 01:19:50,479 --> 01:19:54,960 Speaker 1: down the chain in terms of obstruction, corruption and following. Yes, 1571 01:19:55,280 --> 01:19:59,720 Speaker 1: it's completely insane Jackson, same thing. Won't be surprised. Unfortunately, 1572 01:20:00,080 --> 01:20:02,800 Speaker 1: this takes years. There'll be embezzlement, you know, once the 1573 01:20:02,840 --> 01:20:06,320 Speaker 1: funds actually do reach it, it's literally the capital Apparently 1574 01:20:06,400 --> 01:20:09,960 Speaker 1: that doesn't mean anything. Yeah, it's just that's happened in 1575 01:20:10,000 --> 01:20:11,680 Speaker 1: a wealthy area. How fast it would be. Yeah, And 1576 01:20:11,720 --> 01:20:13,439 Speaker 1: I think that that is always the perfect critique that 1577 01:20:13,560 --> 01:20:15,760 Speaker 1: I'm absolutely willing to go for, which is that look 1578 01:20:15,880 --> 01:20:18,599 Speaker 1: from these people have been forgotten. It's been a down 1579 01:20:18,920 --> 01:20:22,200 Speaker 1: it's been a downwardly mobile area for decades. I remember 1580 01:20:22,240 --> 01:20:24,120 Speaker 1: that whenever we were doing this about how the population 1581 01:20:24,200 --> 01:20:26,559 Speaker 1: continues to shrink, so they have low tax base, which 1582 01:20:26,600 --> 01:20:28,439 Speaker 1: means that they can't fund anything in the city or 1583 01:20:28,479 --> 01:20:30,320 Speaker 1: the state doesn't want to give them anything, and so 1584 01:20:30,360 --> 01:20:32,920 Speaker 1: it just continues to go down, down, down and down. 1585 01:20:33,000 --> 01:20:35,880 Speaker 1: And no capital of any American state should look like this, 1586 01:20:36,000 --> 01:20:39,320 Speaker 1: but capital side, no city should look like those, no 1587 01:20:39,400 --> 01:20:43,720 Speaker 1: city state, there's no area. It's indefensible. President Biden, to 1588 01:20:43,840 --> 01:20:46,040 Speaker 1: his credit, has said that he's pledged to fix it. 1589 01:20:46,120 --> 01:20:48,679 Speaker 1: How much actually the FEDS can do in this case, 1590 01:20:48,800 --> 01:20:50,960 Speaker 1: I don't know. It's not like Obama did a hell 1591 01:20:50,960 --> 01:20:54,000 Speaker 1: of a lot of flint, so you know, don't started 1592 01:20:54,640 --> 01:20:57,719 Speaker 1: going there. And he went there and covered for the 1593 01:20:57,800 --> 01:21:01,599 Speaker 1: corrupt administration is what he did. It's water. Oh, that's fine. 1594 01:21:01,680 --> 01:21:04,920 Speaker 1: I don't worry about it. Hopefully we can muster a 1595 01:21:04,920 --> 01:21:07,559 Speaker 1: better response this time around. But I wouldn't hold my breath. 1596 01:21:07,600 --> 01:21:12,559 Speaker 1: I mean, this is really it's another sign of who 1597 01:21:12,640 --> 01:21:15,240 Speaker 1: matters and who doesn't in our society. It's another sign 1598 01:21:15,439 --> 01:21:18,559 Speaker 1: of sort of national decline that we had allowed this 1599 01:21:18,680 --> 01:21:22,920 Speaker 1: kind of situation to unfold, totally preventable, totally predictable for 1600 01:21:22,960 --> 01:21:26,160 Speaker 1: our citizens. It's just an absolute like we should be 1601 01:21:26,240 --> 01:21:28,800 Speaker 1: ashamed as a nation. We should be utterly ashamed as 1602 01:21:28,840 --> 01:21:29,160 Speaker 1: a nation.