WEBVTT - Week 12 NFL Bets: Nick's Picks

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<v Speaker 2>Welcome in episode ninety nine, a kind of special edition

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<v Speaker 2>of our gambling show. This is going to be coming

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<v Speaker 2>out sometime on Wednesday, so we can get the Thanksgiving

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<v Speaker 2>Day games in. Also, because it's on Wednesday, we have

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<v Speaker 2>not we're recording Wednesday morning. We get none of the

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<v Speaker 2>injury report info that we rely on except for the

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<v Speaker 2>for the Thanksgiving games, So when it comes to our picks,

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<v Speaker 2>we might rely or lean on those Thanksgiving games a

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<v Speaker 2>little bit heavier than we normally would. Also, I understand

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<v Speaker 2>there's gonna be news potential some quarterback changes in some

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<v Speaker 2>of the other games. We obviously will not include those

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<v Speaker 2>in our picks. We don't know justin fields health. We

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<v Speaker 2>don't know if Zach Wilson still the starting quarterback for

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<v Speaker 2>the Jets. But that's the negative of doing the show today.

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<v Speaker 2>The bright side is this, for the first time in

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<v Speaker 2>two months, we have sixteen games to get to because

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<v Speaker 2>buys are not over. But there are no buys this

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<v Speaker 2>Thanksgiving week because we have three games on Thursday, so

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<v Speaker 2>they want to have a full Sunday's worth of games.

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<v Speaker 2>The buys will come back next week and then wrap up,

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<v Speaker 2>I believe the following week, So it's week twelve. It's

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<v Speaker 2>episode ninety nine. Unfortunately, first we must discuss week nine,

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<v Speaker 2>which I think was our week eleven pardon me, which

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<v Speaker 2>I think was our worst week of the year. Three

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<v Speaker 2>and one. Last week, Chicago pushed against Atlanta, the Raiders

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<v Speaker 2>covered in overtime against the Broncos. And now let's discuss

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<v Speaker 2>the other ones. The Rams plus four and a half

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<v Speaker 2>against New Orleans. I was early on how bad the

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<v Speaker 2>Rams are. I've not been a Rams believer, so why

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<v Speaker 2>did I pick them? Because New Orleans is you give

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<v Speaker 2>me that look? Hold on a second, Hold on a second.

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<v Speaker 2>The Rams were covering until Stafford went out with another concussion.

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<v Speaker 2>By the way, the concussion, that lack of conversation on

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<v Speaker 2>the Tua concussion stuff to the Stafford concussion stuff is

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<v Speaker 2>very interesting, maybe because no one was watching that game,

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<v Speaker 2>but he was in concussion protocol. He went back, he

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<v Speaker 2>played this game. Now he's out in concussion protocol again

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<v Speaker 2>and real concerns for him obviously. On will say it again.

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<v Speaker 2>Visual exactly right. Well, the visual and the fact that

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<v Speaker 2>it was an actionally televised game, so everybody was watching it,

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<v Speaker 2>but the Rams were covering the quarterback got hurt. I

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<v Speaker 2>don't feel badly about that one. Pittsburgh. I listen, Pittsburgh's

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<v Speaker 2>offense did enough to cover against Cincinnati. Their defense is

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<v Speaker 2>what let them down in this particular game. Also, you

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<v Speaker 2>and the producers let me down in this particular game

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<v Speaker 2>by trying to guilt me into going with Mike Tomlin

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<v Speaker 2>as a home underdog. I knew. I knew when I

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<v Speaker 2>was making the pick. I was like, man, everyone last

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<v Speaker 2>week was talking about Tomlin as a home dog. Now

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<v Speaker 2>everyone's gonna be on it as a bad pick by

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<v Speaker 2>me and the Giants just falling flat on their face

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<v Speaker 2>against the Detroit Lions. I had them laying three. They

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<v Speaker 2>lost by double digits. That was an embarrassing one. Not

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<v Speaker 2>a good week. I do feel like we got a

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<v Speaker 2>little screwed on the Rams pick. Not a good week.

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<v Speaker 2>It puts us three games under five hundred for the year,

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<v Speaker 2>which means five and oh. This week we're above five hundred,

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<v Speaker 2>four and one. We're right at five hundred after Thanksgiving,

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<v Speaker 2>ready for a good playoff run. We're not even gonna

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<v Speaker 2>go over what the record of the right move is

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<v Speaker 2>because that has been disastrous. Five games to pick this

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<v Speaker 2>week in the first segment of the show. Then we'll

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<v Speaker 2>break down the other eleven games as quickly as we can.

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<v Speaker 2>Then also maybe throw in a little World Cup gambling opportunities.

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<v Speaker 2>We might do that as well. First pick Detroit getting

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<v Speaker 2>a full ten at home against Buffalo on Thanksgiving. Here's

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<v Speaker 2>the logic here. Buffalo has not looked dominant in quite

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<v Speaker 2>some time. They are now on a short week, as

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<v Speaker 2>is Detroit. However, I think that hurts Buffalo a little

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<v Speaker 2>bit more because Josh Allen's elbow is still banged up,

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<v Speaker 2>so now he has to go with the game against

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<v Speaker 2>the Browns where he did not play great. I know

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<v Speaker 2>they won that game. He threw for less than two

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<v Speaker 2>hundred yards, and he didn't run the football even though

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<v Speaker 2>he had seven yards rushing, even though they needed to

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<v Speaker 2>find a way to create offense. So the Bills offense

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<v Speaker 2>is not overly explosive. Detroit's getting healthier. Detroit's offense at

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<v Speaker 2>home this year has been far better than on the road.

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<v Speaker 2>It's the biggest game for the Lions, my god, in

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<v Speaker 2>years National TV Thanksgiving. On a three game winning streak,

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<v Speaker 2>I'm getting ten full points, even if it's twenty one

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<v Speaker 2>to three at the half. I feel alive because the

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<v Speaker 2>Bills have had a hard time putting together consecutive dominant

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<v Speaker 2>halves of football. I'm not picking Detroit to win, but

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<v Speaker 2>ten points is too much. Detroit plus ten.

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<v Speaker 3>Thanksgiving road favorites are nineteen and five since two thousand and.

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<v Speaker 2>Four, nineteen to five against the spread.

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<v Speaker 3>Yep spread. Yeah, Jared Golf is certainly the guy to

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<v Speaker 3>make that nineteen and six.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, I'd seen that stat as well, that Thanksgiving, when

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<v Speaker 2>a road team's favored, they usually blow out the opposition.

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<v Speaker 2>I get that. I do not think the Bills are

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<v Speaker 2>currently in the blowout business now. I understand if they

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<v Speaker 2>end up crushing Detroit, this is gonna be thrown in

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<v Speaker 2>my face. People are gonna clip it. I get that,

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<v Speaker 2>But let me just make the argument here as far

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<v Speaker 2>as Buffalo should not be laying ten on the road

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<v Speaker 2>against anybody right now, much less a semi frisky Lions team.

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<v Speaker 2>They played the Browns on a neutral site, they won

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<v Speaker 2>by eight. They played the Vikings, were up by seventeen

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<v Speaker 2>and lost, played the Jets, were up by double digits

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<v Speaker 2>and lost, played the Packers when the Packers were in

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<v Speaker 2>the midst of a tailspin, only one by ten in

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<v Speaker 2>a game the Packers, it was just laying just waiting

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<v Speaker 2>for the Bills to take total control of If you

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<v Speaker 2>remember that game that we scored three points in the

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<v Speaker 2>second half beat the Chiefs by four. Now, that's actually

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<v Speaker 2>their best game of the sea, their best win of

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<v Speaker 2>the season. They have not blown anyone out since they

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<v Speaker 2>played the Steelers at home the first week of October.

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<v Speaker 2>They blew out the Rams early in the year, they

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<v Speaker 2>crushed the Titans early in the year, and they crushed

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<v Speaker 2>the Steelers, but that was all by October ninth. Since then,

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<v Speaker 2>they have zero eleven point or more victories I don't

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<v Speaker 2>think the Lions are dreadful. I do think the Lions

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<v Speaker 2>right now are actually finding ways to stay in football games.

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<v Speaker 2>And the Lions have been a team that it was

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<v Speaker 2>early in the year at home was the only place

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<v Speaker 2>their offense traveled back to back weeks, scoring thirty one points.

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<v Speaker 2>I just I like the Lions getting ten. We'll stay

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<v Speaker 2>on Thanksgiving another dog, the Giants getting nine and a

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<v Speaker 2>half at Dallas. We know what the Giants are gonna do.

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<v Speaker 2>The Giants are just gonna run Saque Seque's coming off

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<v Speaker 2>his worst game of the year. They're gonna run Daniel Jones.

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<v Speaker 2>They're gonna try to shorten this game. We also last week,

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<v Speaker 2>Dallas coming off a devastating loss, the Vikings coming off

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<v Speaker 2>a galvanizing win. They met each other, Dallas kicked their ass.

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<v Speaker 2>This week, Dallas coming off dominant victory, the Giants coming

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<v Speaker 2>off a head scratching, indefensible loss to the Lions. So

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<v Speaker 2>now those motivations are reversed. Also, I think that I

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<v Speaker 2>shouldn't say also, but to reiterate the point about the

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<v Speaker 2>Giants running Saquon, I just think this is gonna be

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<v Speaker 2>a game where instead of each team getting eleven or

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<v Speaker 2>twelve possessions. Each team's gonna get eight or nine possessions

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<v Speaker 2>because they're gonna be long drives with the Giants running

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<v Speaker 2>the football. The Giants also understand if they lose this game,

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<v Speaker 2>it could go south for the Giants real quick. I

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<v Speaker 2>know they were seven and two, but the Giants have

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<v Speaker 2>one of the most brutal schedules the rest of the way.

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<v Speaker 2>In fact, by strength of schedule, the hardest schedule the

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<v Speaker 2>rest of the way. After the Cowboys game, they have

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<v Speaker 2>the Commanders, Eagles Commanders, so it's four straight divisional games,

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<v Speaker 2>then the Vikings, then the Colts, and then the Eagles

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<v Speaker 2>again to finish the year. So the Giants, it's been

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<v Speaker 2>a good story in a good season. They could still

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<v Speaker 2>miss the playoffs. They're only minus one forty to make

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<v Speaker 2>the playoffs from the odds makers. I think the Giants

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<v Speaker 2>keep this close. I would not be shocked if a

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<v Speaker 2>somewhat immature Dallas team loses this game. I also think

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<v Speaker 2>that Micah Parsons impact is gonna be mitigated to an

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<v Speaker 2>extent in two ways. One is Andrew Thomas Giants sackles

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<v Speaker 2>one of the best in football. The other is I

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<v Speaker 2>think the Giants will do to Micah Parsons what the

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<v Speaker 2>Chiefs did to Nicky Bosa against the chart against the

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<v Speaker 2>Niners a month ago. Run right at them, try to

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<v Speaker 2>try to kind of displace his pass rushing tendencies by

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<v Speaker 2>running at him and making him question himself on passing downs.

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<v Speaker 2>I like the Giants getting nine and a half.

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<v Speaker 3>I can't tell if you're believing to my guy, Daniel

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<v Speaker 3>Jones or the Giants did lose two starting corners and

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<v Speaker 3>they just lost the starting wide receiver four days ago.

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<v Speaker 3>So are you sure about this?

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<v Speaker 2>Listen? The starting wide receiver injury doesn't concern me that

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<v Speaker 2>much because they shouldn't be throwing the ball much anyway.

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<v Speaker 2>The passes they should be throwing are two Saquon the

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<v Speaker 2>starting corner injuries do concern me to a degree. But

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<v Speaker 2>I also think that Cowboys are gonna try. I don't

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<v Speaker 2>think the cow the Cowboys got their blowout last week.

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<v Speaker 2>I think the Cowboys understand if they win this game.

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<v Speaker 2>If they win this game, they're gonna be in a

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<v Speaker 2>situation where the one seed is on the table for them.

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<v Speaker 2>Now that might sound silly because they have three losses

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<v Speaker 2>in Philly only as one but Philly. They have the

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<v Speaker 2>same number of divisional losses, and Dallas gets to play

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<v Speaker 2>Philly again, So Dallas will go in and I think

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<v Speaker 2>Dallas feels like we win this game if we can

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<v Speaker 2>beat Philly, if Philly stumbles one more time the rest

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<v Speaker 2>of the way, we will control our own destiny to

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<v Speaker 2>win the division and to and to potentially be the

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<v Speaker 2>one seed. The reason I like that when I'm taking

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<v Speaker 2>the Giants is I think the Cowboys are not going

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<v Speaker 2>to if this is a seven point game late. I

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<v Speaker 2>don't think they're gonna be trying to add style points.

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<v Speaker 2>I think there's gonna be trying to escape with a win.

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<v Speaker 2>I also think the Giants can win out right. I

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<v Speaker 2>like the Giants plus nine and a half. What I

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<v Speaker 2>was trying to tell you a moment ago is you're

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<v Speaker 2>missing a button on your shirt, showing a little belly

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<v Speaker 2>button to the audience, which I understand might help our

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<v Speaker 2>YouTube subscribers, but a little distracting for me. Next game,

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<v Speaker 2>Tampa Bay laying three in Cleveland. Okay, Brady undefeated since

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<v Speaker 2>the divorce, the Bucks coming off their best game of

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<v Speaker 2>the year. What they didn't play this past week, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>their best game of the year against Seattle and then

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<v Speaker 2>the bye, so they're rested. Cleveland, on the other hand,

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<v Speaker 2>just had to go to Detroit for a game. Now

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<v Speaker 2>they're back in Cleveland. I think Cleveland. I watched that

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<v Speaker 2>Buffalo game very very closely, and Cleveland's inability to take

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<v Speaker 2>advantage of a Buffalo team that was just miserable for

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<v Speaker 2>the first quarter and a half of that game does

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<v Speaker 2>not give me any faith in them moving forward until

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<v Speaker 2>Deshaun gets back. I also think there has to be

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<v Speaker 2>a bit of a demoralization for the Browns because things

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<v Speaker 2>started for them this year. If you remember, they looked like, oh,

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<v Speaker 2>you know that they could be more than frisky team.

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<v Speaker 2>Their first game of the year, they beat the Panthers.

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<v Speaker 2>Game two, they gave it away against the Jets. That

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<v Speaker 2>was the Nick Chubb game. Game three, they crushed the Steelers.

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<v Speaker 2>Since then, though, heartbreaking loss to the Falcons, heartbreaking loss

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<v Speaker 2>to the Chargers, blown out by the Patriots, beat beat

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<v Speaker 2>by the Ravens. They then crushed the Bengals in one

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<v Speaker 2>of the oddest games of the year, and then got

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<v Speaker 2>crushed by the Dolphins, got crushed by the or got

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<v Speaker 2>beaten by the Bills. The Browns I think are a

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<v Speaker 2>team that recognizes their seasons are rap. The Bucks, on

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<v Speaker 2>the other hand, are a team that recognizes we win

0:13:42.080 --> 0:13:46.360
<v Speaker 2>this game. We have real momentum in a wide open NFC,

0:13:46.800 --> 0:13:50.160
<v Speaker 2>I expect the Bucks to win. The fact that I

0:13:50.200 --> 0:13:52.760
<v Speaker 2>don't have to lay three and a half is thrilling.

0:13:53.200 --> 0:13:56.000
<v Speaker 2>I think that Tom Brady is gonna look the best

0:13:56.040 --> 0:13:58.600
<v Speaker 2>he's looked all year, thanks to the fact that he

0:13:58.640 --> 0:14:01.720
<v Speaker 2>has the extra rest and the team's got a little momentum.

0:14:01.920 --> 0:14:05.120
<v Speaker 2>This is probably I know it's a road favorite, but

0:14:05.160 --> 0:14:09.640
<v Speaker 2>it's probably my favorite play of the week. Tampa minus three.

0:14:10.040 --> 0:14:13.600
<v Speaker 2>This feels to me like a twenty four to ten

0:14:14.120 --> 0:14:17.520
<v Speaker 2>Tampa Bay victory, maybe twenty one to ten. I don't

0:14:17.520 --> 0:14:20.160
<v Speaker 2>see Cleveland scoring a lot of points. I like Tampa

0:14:20.240 --> 0:14:28.280
<v Speaker 2>laying the three points. Next, Tennessee a home dog against Cincinnati.

0:14:28.800 --> 0:14:34.320
<v Speaker 2>Tennessee getting two and a half, So this is very

0:14:34.440 --> 0:14:36.880
<v Speaker 2>very I think Cincinnati is good, don't get me wrong,

0:14:37.520 --> 0:14:40.560
<v Speaker 2>but this is a very very simple pick for me.

0:14:41.560 --> 0:14:44.880
<v Speaker 2>This is a top five coach in Vrabel against the

0:14:44.920 --> 0:14:48.240
<v Speaker 2>bottom ten coach and Zach Taylor. Gimme Vrabel and give

0:14:48.320 --> 0:14:52.200
<v Speaker 2>me the points. I think that the Titans, their defense

0:14:52.320 --> 0:14:55.520
<v Speaker 2>is exceptional. They are going to run the hell out

0:14:55.520 --> 0:14:58.400
<v Speaker 2>of the football. They know exactly who they want to be.

0:14:58.880 --> 0:15:01.760
<v Speaker 2>They are there coming off a bit of an extended

0:15:01.880 --> 0:15:05.360
<v Speaker 2>rest the Mini by because they played on Thursday night

0:15:05.800 --> 0:15:09.680
<v Speaker 2>last week against Green Bay. I think very the Titans.

0:15:09.760 --> 0:15:13.360
<v Speaker 2>I don't trust them as a super Bowl contender, but

0:15:13.480 --> 0:15:16.720
<v Speaker 2>do I trust them in the regular season to find

0:15:16.840 --> 0:15:22.480
<v Speaker 2>ways to keep games close and potentially steal a victory. Absolutely.

0:15:22.800 --> 0:15:25.000
<v Speaker 2>Do I think Derrick Henry is going to be able

0:15:25.040 --> 0:15:28.440
<v Speaker 2>to run on Cincinnati. I do. Do. I think that

0:15:28.680 --> 0:15:33.680
<v Speaker 2>Mike vrabel Is should not be an underdog at home

0:15:34.160 --> 0:15:37.920
<v Speaker 2>against anyone other than the three or four best teams

0:15:37.920 --> 0:15:41.040
<v Speaker 2>in football. I do. I like the Titans plus two

0:15:41.080 --> 0:15:41.640
<v Speaker 2>and a half.

0:15:41.680 --> 0:15:44.360
<v Speaker 3>The Titans have covered eight straight against the spread, but

0:15:44.720 --> 0:15:47.840
<v Speaker 3>still are getting disrespected by Vegas. Did you consider putting

0:15:47.880 --> 0:15:48.800
<v Speaker 3>this in the be careful?

0:15:49.480 --> 0:15:52.320
<v Speaker 2>I didn't because I actually think the public is going

0:15:52.400 --> 0:15:55.240
<v Speaker 2>to be all over Cincinnati. Okay, I think the public.

0:15:55.880 --> 0:15:59.200
<v Speaker 2>I think Cincinnati is good in Cincinnati because of the

0:15:59.280 --> 0:16:04.240
<v Speaker 2>quarterback miss match Burrow versus Tannehill. I would expect to

0:16:04.360 --> 0:16:07.400
<v Speaker 2>me if this were to be and be careful, it

0:16:07.440 --> 0:16:11.680
<v Speaker 2>would be careful, as in, they're they're daring you to

0:16:11.680 --> 0:16:13.720
<v Speaker 2>pick the Bengals. You don't even have to lay the

0:16:13.760 --> 0:16:17.440
<v Speaker 2>full three points. The Bengals are defending AFC champions, all

0:16:17.480 --> 0:16:21.560
<v Speaker 2>those reasons. I like the Titans. I don't know that

0:16:21.600 --> 0:16:24.480
<v Speaker 2>the Titans are gonna win, and it's weird to pick

0:16:24.520 --> 0:16:26.440
<v Speaker 2>a team getting less than three if you don't know

0:16:26.440 --> 0:16:28.760
<v Speaker 2>if they're gonna win. But I could say I see

0:16:28.760 --> 0:16:32.160
<v Speaker 2>this being a one, two, three point game that either

0:16:32.200 --> 0:16:35.160
<v Speaker 2>team can win. I have five of those outcomes go

0:16:35.360 --> 0:16:38.080
<v Speaker 2>my way. Tennessee by one, two, three, Cincinnati by one

0:16:38.120 --> 0:16:40.640
<v Speaker 2>and two. All go my way in Tennessee plus two

0:16:40.680 --> 0:16:43.400
<v Speaker 2>and a half. The only way I lose Cincinnati wins

0:16:43.400 --> 0:16:45.480
<v Speaker 2>by three, which of course is on the board. I

0:16:45.560 --> 0:16:48.200
<v Speaker 2>like the Titans plus two and a half though. And lastly,

0:16:49.560 --> 0:16:52.600
<v Speaker 2>I'm off that Raiders narcotic. They got me a nice

0:16:52.640 --> 0:16:56.120
<v Speaker 2>win last week. We're now leaving them, you know, to

0:16:56.200 --> 0:17:00.560
<v Speaker 2>the dustbin of history. Seattle laying three and a half

0:17:01.040 --> 0:17:06.080
<v Speaker 2>at home against Las Vegas. So Seattle also coming off

0:17:06.119 --> 0:17:09.160
<v Speaker 2>a buy, the Raiders coming off a win which maybe

0:17:09.200 --> 0:17:13.200
<v Speaker 2>made them feel better than they actually should. Seattle's ability.

0:17:13.560 --> 0:17:16.640
<v Speaker 2>I think Gino's gonna have a huge game. I think

0:17:16.720 --> 0:17:20.960
<v Speaker 2>Gino played really well after making a brutal mistake against

0:17:21.040 --> 0:17:25.600
<v Speaker 2>Tampa in Germany a couple weeks ago, a couple beautiful passes.

0:17:25.800 --> 0:17:27.760
<v Speaker 2>I think Seattle's going to be able to run the ball.

0:17:27.960 --> 0:17:32.000
<v Speaker 2>I think Seattle also recognizes the Niners are coming, and

0:17:32.040 --> 0:17:34.960
<v Speaker 2>that if Seattle wants to stay in control of that

0:17:35.040 --> 0:17:38.160
<v Speaker 2>division and at the very least stay in really good

0:17:38.240 --> 0:17:40.920
<v Speaker 2>position to be a wild card if the Niners catch them,

0:17:41.119 --> 0:17:44.600
<v Speaker 2>they can't screw around with Vegas. I don't expect Vegas

0:17:44.720 --> 0:17:48.680
<v Speaker 2>to put together sixty quality minutes. I wasn't overly impressed

0:17:48.680 --> 0:17:51.439
<v Speaker 2>by Vegas in the win over the Broncos. It's just

0:17:51.480 --> 0:17:56.440
<v Speaker 2>that the Broncos offense is so terrible. Seattle laying three

0:17:56.480 --> 0:17:58.840
<v Speaker 2>and a half. Of course you'd rather have it at three,

0:17:59.080 --> 0:18:01.679
<v Speaker 2>but three and a half to me, this feels like

0:18:01.720 --> 0:18:06.359
<v Speaker 2>a twenty four to seventeen Seahawks victory. I really like

0:18:06.440 --> 0:18:09.400
<v Speaker 2>the extra rest for Seattle. I actually think this year,

0:18:09.600 --> 0:18:12.000
<v Speaker 2>I think they have the quarterback edge. I know they

0:18:12.000 --> 0:18:15.080
<v Speaker 2>have the coaching edge, I know they have the defensive edge.

0:18:15.200 --> 0:18:17.639
<v Speaker 2>For all those reasons, I'm fine laying the three and

0:18:17.680 --> 0:18:20.399
<v Speaker 2>a half points Seattle minus three and a half against Vegas.

0:18:20.400 --> 0:18:22.240
<v Speaker 2>So go ahead, just something you will say about this game.

0:18:22.280 --> 0:18:24.000
<v Speaker 3>No, I love that one. I'm definitely get money on

0:18:24.000 --> 0:18:24.320
<v Speaker 3>that game.

0:18:24.359 --> 0:18:27.040
<v Speaker 2>There we go. Is that the first one of my

0:18:27.160 --> 0:18:28.199
<v Speaker 2>five you really like? No?

0:18:28.280 --> 0:18:31.479
<v Speaker 3>I like that one? And the Cleveland Tampa Bay You

0:18:31.560 --> 0:18:32.520
<v Speaker 3>like both of my favorites.

0:18:32.600 --> 0:18:36.359
<v Speaker 2>Yeah? Boy, thanks you A little nervous I might be

0:18:36.440 --> 0:18:40.840
<v Speaker 2>on the square side of those. Detroit plus ten against Buffalo,

0:18:41.600 --> 0:18:45.000
<v Speaker 2>that's a seven point Buffalo victory. Giants plus nine and

0:18:45.040 --> 0:18:48.920
<v Speaker 2>a half at Dallas on Thanksgiving, that's a three point

0:18:48.960 --> 0:18:51.720
<v Speaker 2>game in one direction or another. The Giants could win it.

0:18:52.040 --> 0:18:55.280
<v Speaker 2>Tampa laying the three, Tennessee plus the two and a half,

0:18:55.480 --> 0:18:58.800
<v Speaker 2>and Seattle minus the three and a half. That's our

0:18:58.960 --> 0:19:02.920
<v Speaker 2>five picks of the week. Smells like four and one.

0:19:03.320 --> 0:19:06.520
<v Speaker 2>Smells like we're getting back to five hundred after Thanksgiving.

0:19:06.560 --> 0:19:10.720
<v Speaker 2>As promised, we'll go through the other eleven games for

0:19:10.800 --> 0:19:13.399
<v Speaker 2>Week twelve in the NFL episode ninety nine of What's Right,

0:19:13.480 --> 0:19:14.000
<v Speaker 2>That's Next.

0:19:20.880 --> 0:19:23.679
<v Speaker 4>This episode is brought to you by Unstoppable. Discover the

0:19:23.720 --> 0:19:27.080
<v Speaker 4>inspiring true story about Anthony Robles, who defined every expectation

0:19:27.160 --> 0:19:30.040
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0:19:30.080 --> 0:19:33.639
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0:19:49.480 --> 0:19:51.960
<v Speaker 2>All right, welcome back. In episode ninety nine, Week twelve

0:19:52.080 --> 0:19:54.800
<v Speaker 2>NFL Gambling Show, we just gave you our five picks

0:19:54.840 --> 0:19:56.879
<v Speaker 2>of the week Detroit plus ten, Giants plus nine and

0:19:56.880 --> 0:19:59.160
<v Speaker 2>a half, Tampa minus three, Tennessee plus two and a half,

0:19:59.280 --> 0:20:02.000
<v Speaker 2>in Seattle three and a half. Now we've got our

0:20:02.040 --> 0:20:05.119
<v Speaker 2>stay aways, our be carefuls and are perfectly priced for

0:20:05.359 --> 0:20:10.040
<v Speaker 2>the three stayaways are New England at Minnesota, Denver at Carolina,

0:20:10.440 --> 0:20:15.639
<v Speaker 2>and Chicago at the Jets. New England at Minnesota is

0:20:15.800 --> 0:20:22.240
<v Speaker 2>more of a theoretical stay away for good gambling purpose reasons.

0:20:22.760 --> 0:20:25.760
<v Speaker 2>And then I'll talk about the actual game. Okay, if

0:20:25.800 --> 0:20:29.000
<v Speaker 2>you have a really strong feel on New England Minnesota,

0:20:29.400 --> 0:20:32.600
<v Speaker 2>so be it, go ahead and bet it. Here's what

0:20:33.160 --> 0:20:37.320
<v Speaker 2>I forbid you to do. If you are watching this

0:20:37.440 --> 0:20:44.800
<v Speaker 2>show and you're a gambler. I forbid you from potentially

0:20:45.040 --> 0:20:52.040
<v Speaker 2>ruining your Thanksgiving night by chasing your early day Thanksgiving

0:20:52.119 --> 0:20:57.480
<v Speaker 2>losses if they exist, by firing a last shot desperation,

0:20:57.840 --> 0:21:02.040
<v Speaker 2>probably semi drunk, semi annoyed with the family, bet on

0:21:02.240 --> 0:21:06.840
<v Speaker 2>Patriots vikings. This is how divorces happen. This is how

0:21:06.960 --> 0:21:11.760
<v Speaker 2>kids get angry at parents. This is You're gonna spend

0:21:11.800 --> 0:21:15.760
<v Speaker 2>all morning and afternoon watching games. You might not even

0:21:15.800 --> 0:21:19.159
<v Speaker 2>be that interested in Patriots vikings, and then all of

0:21:19.200 --> 0:21:23.480
<v Speaker 2>a sudden, you're stuck a bit before Sunday even gets here,

0:21:24.080 --> 0:21:27.960
<v Speaker 2>and you're gonna be firing big money on Pats vikings

0:21:28.040 --> 0:21:31.960
<v Speaker 2>coin flip because and your family's gonna be annoyed. They're

0:21:32.000 --> 0:21:35.280
<v Speaker 2>gonna want to play a nice game of Monopoly or

0:21:35.320 --> 0:21:38.320
<v Speaker 2>sit around, you know, the fire and talk, and you're

0:21:38.359 --> 0:21:41.280
<v Speaker 2>not gonna be there because you've gambled on this game.

0:21:41.560 --> 0:21:42.280
<v Speaker 2>What's up, demant?

0:21:42.359 --> 0:21:43.959
<v Speaker 3>Say that's crazy? I mean, first of all, I know,

0:21:44.040 --> 0:21:47.080
<v Speaker 3>Minnesota just lost last week terribly at home. Yeah, but

0:21:47.280 --> 0:21:49.840
<v Speaker 3>they're at home, and I know everybody's saying they're fraudulent.

0:21:50.080 --> 0:21:53.040
<v Speaker 3>What about New England? They haven't really beaten any real team.

0:21:53.119 --> 0:21:57.040
<v Speaker 2>Okay, so we will discuss the actual game in just

0:21:57.119 --> 0:22:00.760
<v Speaker 2>a moment. But I want to make collegers this is

0:22:01.000 --> 0:22:05.840
<v Speaker 2>just in general Christmas Day, NBA and now NFL as

0:22:05.880 --> 0:22:13.239
<v Speaker 2>well Thanksgiving Day football. Don't make any bets in the

0:22:13.440 --> 0:22:17.160
<v Speaker 2>afternoon day of If you want to gamble during the day,

0:22:17.200 --> 0:22:19.199
<v Speaker 2>and if you feel super strong about this game, so

0:22:19.359 --> 0:22:22.239
<v Speaker 2>be it. Do not. It's one thing to chase on

0:22:22.400 --> 0:22:25.119
<v Speaker 2>Sunday night or Monday night football. It's another thing to

0:22:25.200 --> 0:22:28.960
<v Speaker 2>chase on a holiday and when you're supposed to be

0:22:29.480 --> 0:22:33.720
<v Speaker 2>engaged with your friends and family. Okay, now on this game.

0:22:35.840 --> 0:22:41.520
<v Speaker 2>So New England's defense has looked utterly dominant. Here is

0:22:42.760 --> 0:22:46.720
<v Speaker 2>the concern and the reason why for me, I didn't

0:22:46.760 --> 0:22:50.240
<v Speaker 2>have a beat on this game. So New England's defense

0:22:51.280 --> 0:22:53.959
<v Speaker 2>has looked great. But I would like to give you

0:22:54.000 --> 0:22:57.800
<v Speaker 2>the quarterbacks that New England they have six wins this year.

0:22:58.960 --> 0:23:03.320
<v Speaker 2>Here are the sixth quarter or the five quarterbacks they

0:23:03.320 --> 0:23:08.920
<v Speaker 2>have beaten. They have beaten Mitch Trubisky, they have beaten

0:23:09.280 --> 0:23:14.600
<v Speaker 2>Jared Goff, they have beaten Jacoby Brissett, they have beaten

0:23:14.640 --> 0:23:19.399
<v Speaker 2>Sam Allinger, and they have beaten Zach Wilson twice. So

0:23:19.840 --> 0:23:24.800
<v Speaker 2>the defense has looked great against those guys look dominant.

0:23:25.240 --> 0:23:28.800
<v Speaker 2>Now they're playing Kirk Cousins. Kirk Cousins is not great,

0:23:29.280 --> 0:23:32.160
<v Speaker 2>but he's far better than any of those six guys

0:23:32.680 --> 0:23:35.520
<v Speaker 2>that I mentioned. So now you might say, Okay, Nick,

0:23:35.760 --> 0:23:38.160
<v Speaker 2>why wouldn't you then just take Minnesota laying the two

0:23:38.200 --> 0:23:42.200
<v Speaker 2>and a half. Here's what Minnesota is eight and two

0:23:42.240 --> 0:23:48.399
<v Speaker 2>this year. They have three games they've played poorly, the

0:23:48.480 --> 0:23:52.919
<v Speaker 2>two losses, and they're stolen win against Detroit early in

0:23:52.960 --> 0:23:56.439
<v Speaker 2>the year where Dan the Maan Campbell kicked like a

0:23:56.480 --> 0:24:00.840
<v Speaker 2>fifty yard field goal up three less than a minute

0:24:00.920 --> 0:24:03.560
<v Speaker 2>left instead of punting away. They end up scoring a

0:24:03.600 --> 0:24:07.360
<v Speaker 2>touchdownspit but three so two one time. They've won, two times,

0:24:07.400 --> 0:24:10.720
<v Speaker 2>they've lost, three times. They've played poorly in those three games.

0:24:11.359 --> 0:24:17.560
<v Speaker 2>Justin Jefferson has a combined ninety four yards receiving in

0:24:17.640 --> 0:24:22.400
<v Speaker 2>their seven wins. Justin Jefferson has a thousand yards receiving,

0:24:22.560 --> 0:24:26.560
<v Speaker 2>one hundred and forty yards per game. The Vikings have

0:24:26.680 --> 0:24:31.600
<v Speaker 2>one way to beat you. Justin Jefferson kills you. Belichick

0:24:31.640 --> 0:24:38.159
<v Speaker 2>has made his career defensively on identifying what you want

0:24:38.200 --> 0:24:42.439
<v Speaker 2>to do, taking that one thing away and making you

0:24:42.560 --> 0:24:47.720
<v Speaker 2>do something else. So Because of that, it's concerning to

0:24:47.840 --> 0:24:51.040
<v Speaker 2>me to take the Vikings. You love the Vikings, you're

0:24:51.080 --> 0:24:56.760
<v Speaker 2>betting the Vikings an Artisanshi, Justin Jefferson's great them. Just listen.

0:24:56.920 --> 0:24:59.680
<v Speaker 2>Justin Jefferson's great.

0:24:59.000 --> 0:25:01.399
<v Speaker 3>And honestly believing Kirk Cousins a little bit more than

0:25:01.440 --> 0:25:01.919
<v Speaker 3>you tend to.

0:25:02.320 --> 0:25:05.960
<v Speaker 2>Well, listen, he's better than those quarterbacks. New England's beat

0:25:05.960 --> 0:25:09.120
<v Speaker 2>and that's for damn sure. I think he's fine. He's

0:25:09.160 --> 0:25:11.560
<v Speaker 2>actually having his worst season in the last few years.

0:25:12.320 --> 0:25:14.280
<v Speaker 2>To me, this is a stay away, all right. Denver

0:25:14.320 --> 0:25:17.480
<v Speaker 2>at Carolina is a stay away for very obvious reasons.

0:25:17.640 --> 0:25:21.960
<v Speaker 2>Carolina's is starting Sam Darnold, who's was the worst quarterback

0:25:22.000 --> 0:25:24.520
<v Speaker 2>in football his last two years as a starter. Denver

0:25:24.720 --> 0:25:32.480
<v Speaker 2>starting Russell Wilson. The general gambling philosophy is two bad teams,

0:25:32.520 --> 0:25:37.920
<v Speaker 2>two bad quarterbacks, take the points. However, Donald in his

0:25:37.960 --> 0:25:41.200
<v Speaker 2>first start in years I shouldn't say years. He started

0:25:41.280 --> 0:25:44.560
<v Speaker 2>last year briefly for Carolina, but his first start of

0:25:44.600 --> 0:25:48.760
<v Speaker 2>the year against that Denver defense scares the hell out

0:25:48.800 --> 0:25:52.440
<v Speaker 2>of me. Laying points with Russell Wilson scares the hell

0:25:52.480 --> 0:25:55.159
<v Speaker 2>out of me. That's a stay away. And Chicago at

0:25:55.200 --> 0:25:58.440
<v Speaker 2>the Jets is a stay away simply because we don't

0:25:58.440 --> 0:26:03.239
<v Speaker 2>know who's playing quarterback for either. Poor Justin Fields has

0:26:03.280 --> 0:26:06.480
<v Speaker 2>a dislocated shoulder, played some of the way last week

0:26:06.840 --> 0:26:10.040
<v Speaker 2>with it the Jets, we don't know as we're recording

0:26:10.080 --> 0:26:12.120
<v Speaker 2>right now, if it's gonna be Zach Wilson, Mike White,

0:26:12.240 --> 0:26:16.280
<v Speaker 2>or Flacco. So for our purposes, that has to be

0:26:16.320 --> 0:26:18.800
<v Speaker 2>a stay away because we don't know who's playing quarterback

0:26:18.840 --> 0:26:19.120
<v Speaker 2>for either.

0:26:19.320 --> 0:26:21.480
<v Speaker 3>If you find out tomorrow that Flacco's in, are you

0:26:21.520 --> 0:26:22.600
<v Speaker 3>taking the Jets.

0:26:23.400 --> 0:26:26.280
<v Speaker 2>If Flac goes in and Justin is out? Yes, okay,

0:26:26.560 --> 0:26:29.080
<v Speaker 2>I would. I wouldn't love laying four and a half

0:26:29.080 --> 0:26:32.280
<v Speaker 2>points with Joe Flacco, but the Bears without Justin Fields

0:26:32.280 --> 0:26:34.480
<v Speaker 2>won't be able to score at all. I will tell

0:26:34.520 --> 0:26:38.920
<v Speaker 2>you what is hold on? I have to look because

0:26:38.920 --> 0:26:42.000
<v Speaker 2>it almost I wonder what the total in that game is.

0:26:42.040 --> 0:26:45.320
<v Speaker 2>We don't do all runners on this show, but I'm

0:26:45.320 --> 0:26:50.199
<v Speaker 2>gonna find it real quick. The total. Oh, it's is

0:26:50.240 --> 0:26:54.119
<v Speaker 2>it really off the board? Yeah it's it's okay, so

0:26:54.160 --> 0:26:58.240
<v Speaker 2>it's not on that. Let me check another another gambling outfit,

0:26:58.600 --> 0:27:00.879
<v Speaker 2>see if they have it listed some where, because it

0:27:00.960 --> 0:27:04.040
<v Speaker 2>wasn't listed where. I just looked. So let me look again.

0:27:04.160 --> 0:27:06.320
<v Speaker 3>I don't care who's playing quarterback for the Jets. Man,

0:27:06.480 --> 0:27:09.480
<v Speaker 3>if Justin Fields isn't playing, I feel like going with

0:27:09.520 --> 0:27:10.680
<v Speaker 3>the Jets is a solid bed.

0:27:10.960 --> 0:27:14.480
<v Speaker 2>I think that's probably right. The total for the game

0:27:15.119 --> 0:27:19.880
<v Speaker 2>is forty and a half, so that I was gonna say,

0:27:19.920 --> 0:27:21.960
<v Speaker 2>that's got to be the lowest total of the week.

0:27:22.359 --> 0:27:25.240
<v Speaker 2>But what do you think the total in Broncos Panthers

0:27:25.400 --> 0:27:31.879
<v Speaker 2>is Darnald versus Russell Wilson with those two defenses.

0:27:31.359 --> 0:27:32.720
<v Speaker 3>It's thirty five. A think.

0:27:34.359 --> 0:27:36.960
<v Speaker 2>I would have told you thirty five is not a thing.

0:27:38.640 --> 0:27:42.320
<v Speaker 2>It is thirty six and a half. That's got to

0:27:42.359 --> 0:27:44.760
<v Speaker 2>be the lowest total in a decade in the NFL

0:27:45.080 --> 0:27:49.040
<v Speaker 2>unless there was like a massive weather events, you know

0:27:49.040 --> 0:27:52.120
<v Speaker 2>what I mean, Like the thirty six and a half,

0:27:53.320 --> 0:27:58.040
<v Speaker 2>and it feels like an under right thirty six and

0:27:58.040 --> 0:28:01.880
<v Speaker 2>a half, I mean, seventeen to ten feels like about

0:28:01.880 --> 0:28:05.520
<v Speaker 2>as high scoring as he could get. And that's twenty seven. Yeah,

0:28:05.560 --> 0:28:07.959
<v Speaker 2>thirty six and a half. How did I don't know?

0:28:09.000 --> 0:28:12.720
<v Speaker 2>I guess the way thirty six and a half gets

0:28:12.760 --> 0:28:18.760
<v Speaker 2>to an over is it seventeen seventeen goes to overtime

0:28:18.840 --> 0:28:23.120
<v Speaker 2>and it's twenty to seventeen at thirty seven points. All right,

0:28:23.320 --> 0:28:26.119
<v Speaker 2>so those are all stay aways. Now to the be

0:28:26.280 --> 0:28:31.359
<v Speaker 2>careful line. Be careful's Baltimore at Jacksonville, the Rams at

0:28:31.400 --> 0:28:36.000
<v Speaker 2>the Chiefs, the Saints at the Niners, and Pittsburgh and Indy. Okay,

0:28:38.080 --> 0:28:44.320
<v Speaker 2>Baltimore at Jacksonville's will be careful purely because you my

0:28:44.480 --> 0:28:47.680
<v Speaker 2>band is still in place. Yeah, you guys haven't allowed

0:28:47.720 --> 0:28:50.440
<v Speaker 2>me to bet them. I love the jackson this week.

0:28:50.960 --> 0:28:53.800
<v Speaker 3>I honestly think you should be thankful given Doug Peterson's

0:28:53.840 --> 0:28:55.920
<v Speaker 3>one in four against the spread after a bye.

0:28:56.440 --> 0:28:59.880
<v Speaker 2>Really, yeah, I didn't know that, though, I guess I

0:29:00.160 --> 0:29:03.880
<v Speaker 2>am thankful. I think the Jags.

0:29:03.560 --> 0:29:05.479
<v Speaker 3>Win, And is your ban up?

0:29:05.520 --> 0:29:07.600
<v Speaker 2>Like it's like it's like a week the last week, Yeah,

0:29:07.920 --> 0:29:10.280
<v Speaker 2>last week. This is the last week of my Jags band.

0:29:10.560 --> 0:29:14.360
<v Speaker 2>But I think they win. I think the Jags faintly

0:29:14.640 --> 0:29:19.080
<v Speaker 2>keep their season alive with a victory. Lamar hasn't played

0:29:19.120 --> 0:29:22.360
<v Speaker 2>well lately, yeah, and didn't play very well against Carolina

0:29:23.160 --> 0:29:27.600
<v Speaker 2>now the But the only reason this is this really

0:29:27.600 --> 0:29:30.720
<v Speaker 2>shouldn't be a be careful game, guys. I like the Jags.

0:29:30.960 --> 0:29:33.760
<v Speaker 2>I just put it careful because you guys won't. You

0:29:33.760 --> 0:29:36.640
<v Speaker 2>guys are making me be careful on Jacksonville. All right,

0:29:37.040 --> 0:29:38.000
<v Speaker 2>Rams at Chiefs.

0:29:40.360 --> 0:29:41.160
<v Speaker 3>Too many points.

0:29:41.280 --> 0:29:46.320
<v Speaker 2>It's so many points, fourteen and a half now the

0:29:46.440 --> 0:29:52.160
<v Speaker 2>Rams offense, Stafford's out, Wolford's out, it's Bryce Perkins. The

0:29:52.280 --> 0:29:56.800
<v Speaker 2>Chiefs haven't blown anyone out in a bit. Feels like

0:29:56.840 --> 0:30:00.720
<v Speaker 2>they're ripe for it. I also though, if there was

0:30:00.840 --> 0:30:07.200
<v Speaker 2>ever a game that the Chiefs will be sleepy, disinterested.

0:30:07.560 --> 0:30:11.200
<v Speaker 2>They clinched the division essentially last week in stirring fashion

0:30:11.200 --> 0:30:14.280
<v Speaker 2>against the Chargers. They are now playing a team that

0:30:14.400 --> 0:30:19.600
<v Speaker 2>is drawing dead with a third string quarterback. And you

0:30:19.760 --> 0:30:24.520
<v Speaker 2>can't bet. You can't take the Rams. You just can't,

0:30:25.080 --> 0:30:30.280
<v Speaker 2>like in order for them, Like how many points the

0:30:30.360 --> 0:30:35.479
<v Speaker 2>Chiefs are gonna score? A minimum? A minimum of twenty

0:30:35.560 --> 0:30:40.800
<v Speaker 2>seven eight? Yeah, can the Rams get to thirteen? I

0:30:40.840 --> 0:30:43.760
<v Speaker 2>don't know that they can. The Chiefs defense all of

0:30:43.840 --> 0:30:47.040
<v Speaker 2>a sudden at Chris Jones, you know, looks like a

0:30:47.040 --> 0:30:50.240
<v Speaker 2>Defensive Player of the Year candidate. I just but it's

0:30:50.280 --> 0:30:52.760
<v Speaker 2>too many points. You can't lay fourteen and a half

0:30:52.800 --> 0:30:56.960
<v Speaker 2>points even with the Chiefs, especially because the Chiefs tend

0:30:57.000 --> 0:31:00.680
<v Speaker 2>not to blow out terrible teams. Even the Jags game.

0:31:00.760 --> 0:31:03.680
<v Speaker 2>Jack's not terrible. But even that Jags game, they were

0:31:03.760 --> 0:31:07.040
<v Speaker 2>up twenty to nothing and then let the Jags hang

0:31:07.120 --> 0:31:09.760
<v Speaker 2>around enough to where they only won by ten. And

0:31:09.840 --> 0:31:15.320
<v Speaker 2>so Jags are kind of bad though everybody thinks, but

0:31:15.400 --> 0:31:18.680
<v Speaker 2>it's just I would be careful the Chiefs. You know,

0:31:18.720 --> 0:31:20.880
<v Speaker 2>they blew out the Cardinals when the Cardinals supposed to

0:31:20.920 --> 0:31:23.320
<v Speaker 2>be good. They blew out the Bucks. They blew out

0:31:23.360 --> 0:31:28.160
<v Speaker 2>the Niners. Like the Chiefs, key motivation, peak motivation, but

0:31:28.280 --> 0:31:32.000
<v Speaker 2>against bad teams, I don't know. It's just too many points.

0:31:32.080 --> 0:31:34.840
<v Speaker 2>All right. New Orleans at San Francisco is a be

0:31:35.000 --> 0:31:40.560
<v Speaker 2>careful because everyone is gonna be on the Niners. And listen,

0:31:40.640 --> 0:31:43.920
<v Speaker 2>the Saints stink. They have no quarterback, they have the

0:31:43.920 --> 0:31:47.200
<v Speaker 2>worst coach in the league. The Niners just looked great

0:31:47.400 --> 0:31:52.360
<v Speaker 2>on national TV. But be careful of the team that

0:31:52.640 --> 0:31:57.440
<v Speaker 2>just looked dominant on national television, particularly on a short week,

0:31:58.000 --> 0:32:01.880
<v Speaker 2>because this line should be seven, it's nine and a half.

0:32:02.480 --> 0:32:05.080
<v Speaker 2>So be careful. I'm not telling you to bet the Saints.

0:32:05.680 --> 0:32:09.520
<v Speaker 2>With the Niners having those weapons and that defense against

0:32:09.560 --> 0:32:12.640
<v Speaker 2>the Saints quarterback situation, I'm not telling you to bet

0:32:12.640 --> 0:32:15.680
<v Speaker 2>the Saints. You're gonna bet the Niners. I already know it.

0:32:16.000 --> 0:32:19.520
<v Speaker 2>Be careful, guys, I do like the Niners in a

0:32:19.720 --> 0:32:23.000
<v Speaker 2>seven point t's get the Niners down to minus two

0:32:23.040 --> 0:32:25.479
<v Speaker 2>and a half. I like them in that spot. I

0:32:25.480 --> 0:32:31.520
<v Speaker 2>don't like them minus the nine and a half. Be careful, Pittsburgh, Indy,

0:32:31.600 --> 0:32:43.120
<v Speaker 2>all right, I really should bet the Steelers, and I might.

0:32:43.320 --> 0:32:46.600
<v Speaker 2>I might add them. Maybe I'll have extra picks. Because

0:32:46.640 --> 0:32:51.040
<v Speaker 2>Thanksgiving has its own little it's its own little day.

0:32:51.080 --> 0:32:58.880
<v Speaker 2>This is I said earlier. Mike Vrabel versus Zach Taylor

0:33:00.080 --> 0:33:05.040
<v Speaker 2>now getting the same amount of points with Pittsburgh with

0:33:05.200 --> 0:33:09.440
<v Speaker 2>Mike Tomlin against Jeff Saturday. Yeah, you know.

0:33:09.440 --> 0:33:13.320
<v Speaker 3>What, I you're moving in livetime.

0:33:13.480 --> 0:33:18.280
<v Speaker 2>I don't know if I'm allowed to Thanksgiving special six picks.

0:33:18.280 --> 0:33:23.200
<v Speaker 2>This week Pittsburgh, we're doing a six pick. Happy Turkey Day, everybody.

0:33:23.560 --> 0:33:25.520
<v Speaker 2>We're doing a sixth pick. I know it's gonna scrow

0:33:25.560 --> 0:33:27.640
<v Speaker 2>over our math. I know it's gonna be one of

0:33:27.680 --> 0:33:30.120
<v Speaker 2>these coming weeks. Will only do four, so we'll get

0:33:30.120 --> 0:33:33.200
<v Speaker 2>back on track. You know what, Next week we'll only

0:33:33.240 --> 0:33:35.160
<v Speaker 2>do four, but we're adding this one.

0:33:35.000 --> 0:33:37.680
<v Speaker 3>And then we'll just take out your Jags pick or

0:33:37.720 --> 0:33:38.040
<v Speaker 3>you can.

0:33:38.000 --> 0:33:42.600
<v Speaker 2>Just do okay, leave the Jags alone. Pittsburgh getting points

0:33:42.800 --> 0:33:45.840
<v Speaker 2>against the Colts. It shouldn't be a be careful. It's

0:33:45.880 --> 0:33:49.560
<v Speaker 2>a must bet Pittsburgh. It is a must bet Pittsburgh.

0:33:49.760 --> 0:33:53.760
<v Speaker 2>Matt Ryan is gonna crumble when TJ. Watt strip Saxon.

0:33:54.160 --> 0:33:57.479
<v Speaker 2>Jeff Saturday is gonna get out coached and out foxed

0:33:57.520 --> 0:34:00.880
<v Speaker 2>by Mike Tomlin. Pittsburgh plus two and a half. Sorry

0:34:00.880 --> 0:34:03.640
<v Speaker 2>to our graphics team. It's our sixth pick of the week.

0:34:03.880 --> 0:34:06.600
<v Speaker 2>We like it. It's not to be careful. It's a

0:34:06.720 --> 0:34:10.640
<v Speaker 2>must bet getting points with Tomlin against Saturday. It's a

0:34:10.719 --> 0:34:15.480
<v Speaker 2>must bet, all right, perfectly priced now Atlanta at Washington,

0:34:16.880 --> 0:34:19.799
<v Speaker 2>Washington is a tick better there at home. This is

0:34:19.840 --> 0:34:22.920
<v Speaker 2>the Washington is very alive for the playoffs. Atlanta is

0:34:22.920 --> 0:34:26.440
<v Speaker 2>also verylive technically for the playoffs. I think this is

0:34:27.040 --> 0:34:32.080
<v Speaker 2>a short Washington win. I think the pricing is exactly right.

0:34:32.360 --> 0:34:39.319
<v Speaker 2>Houston at Miami the I this does feel like. The

0:34:39.400 --> 0:34:44.080
<v Speaker 2>reason I'm calling it perfectly priced is because you can't

0:34:44.120 --> 0:34:48.759
<v Speaker 2>have a favorite of much more than thirteen. And if

0:34:48.800 --> 0:34:52.240
<v Speaker 2>the Chiefs are fourteen and a half point favorites against

0:34:52.280 --> 0:34:55.319
<v Speaker 2>a third string quarterback, the Dolphins can't be more than that.

0:34:56.880 --> 0:35:00.840
<v Speaker 2>But It feels like a two touchdown Myami victory. The

0:35:00.880 --> 0:35:08.000
<v Speaker 2>only concern is Miami off the by overlooking the Texans

0:35:08.239 --> 0:35:10.799
<v Speaker 2>and let the Texans hang around a bit. But this

0:35:10.960 --> 0:35:14.160
<v Speaker 2>is the right line. The Texans been terrible, truly terrible,

0:35:14.200 --> 0:35:17.360
<v Speaker 2>and they, by the way, might be making a quarterback change.

0:35:17.400 --> 0:35:22.319
<v Speaker 2>We don't yet know that the Chargers getting four the

0:35:22.440 --> 0:35:26.200
<v Speaker 2>Chargers laying for pardon me at Arizona. That's exactly right.

0:35:26.280 --> 0:35:29.880
<v Speaker 2>The Chargers are not a bad team. Arizona meanwhile, just

0:35:29.920 --> 0:35:33.480
<v Speaker 2>had to fire and they had to coach Demanse. So

0:35:33.520 --> 0:35:38.600
<v Speaker 2>they had a coach on their team who or like

0:35:38.760 --> 0:35:43.280
<v Speaker 2>in the offseason got accused of domestic assault, got sentenced

0:35:43.280 --> 0:35:46.480
<v Speaker 2>to a year suspended sentence, and they kept him on

0:35:46.520 --> 0:35:49.960
<v Speaker 2>the team until it became out publicly, so then he

0:35:50.080 --> 0:35:53.320
<v Speaker 2>resigned or they fired him. It just came out this morning.

0:35:53.800 --> 0:35:56.760
<v Speaker 2>They had a coach allegedly grope a woman in Mexico

0:35:56.880 --> 0:36:00.080
<v Speaker 2>City that they had to fire. They we don't know

0:36:00.200 --> 0:36:03.399
<v Speaker 2>what their quarterback situation is. That the team is a

0:36:03.480 --> 0:36:07.719
<v Speaker 2>total mess, so obviously they should be dogs against a

0:36:07.719 --> 0:36:12.200
<v Speaker 2>good team. The pricing is right because the Chargers have

0:36:12.400 --> 0:36:15.520
<v Speaker 2>not shown and Mike Williams assuming he's gonna be out

0:36:15.560 --> 0:36:18.560
<v Speaker 2>again after briefly come back against the Chiefs, Chargers not

0:36:18.560 --> 0:36:21.400
<v Speaker 2>showing the ability to blow anybody out. So the Chargers

0:36:21.440 --> 0:36:24.200
<v Speaker 2>minus four is just about right. Expect the Chargers to

0:36:24.280 --> 0:36:27.440
<v Speaker 2>win in a game maybe closer than it should be.

0:36:27.760 --> 0:36:30.360
<v Speaker 2>And then green Bay at Philly to me is Philly

0:36:30.400 --> 0:36:34.000
<v Speaker 2>minus a touchdown Philly minus seven. That's also just right

0:36:34.080 --> 0:36:36.680
<v Speaker 2>like Philly is to me. I understand they have a

0:36:36.680 --> 0:36:40.480
<v Speaker 2>great record. I don't expect Philly to pour it on

0:36:40.680 --> 0:36:44.040
<v Speaker 2>green Bay. I think Philly minus a touchdowns exactly right.

0:36:44.080 --> 0:36:45.040
<v Speaker 2>What's up? All right?

0:36:45.120 --> 0:36:46.840
<v Speaker 3>Given the last two weeks, I can't tell if the

0:36:46.920 --> 0:36:52.000
<v Speaker 3>seven is just really respectful to drive for? The Eagles

0:36:52.000 --> 0:36:53.479
<v Speaker 3>are very dispectful to green Bay.

0:36:54.840 --> 0:36:57.080
<v Speaker 2>Well, green Bay's no good.

0:36:57.239 --> 0:36:59.960
<v Speaker 3>I mean they're no good, But the Eagles haven't looked.

0:37:00.280 --> 0:37:03.839
<v Speaker 3>They just placed Jeff Saturday and whoever they face the.

0:37:03.920 --> 0:37:07.719
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Washington, they lost to Washington. They eked out a

0:37:07.719 --> 0:37:11.719
<v Speaker 2>win against the Colts. I still think green Bay is

0:37:11.760 --> 0:37:17.080
<v Speaker 2>gonna have no chance of consistently moving the ball on

0:37:17.160 --> 0:37:21.560
<v Speaker 2>Philadelphia's defense. So I like Philadelphia a lot in it

0:37:21.760 --> 0:37:25.000
<v Speaker 2>as a teaser leg I like them a little bit

0:37:25.080 --> 0:37:27.719
<v Speaker 2>minus seven, but seven is the right number for this.

0:37:27.960 --> 0:37:31.160
<v Speaker 2>So there's our perfectly priced games bonus pick. How about that?

0:37:32.400 --> 0:37:37.200
<v Speaker 2>The Steelers getting slid into our knicks picks this week,

0:37:37.320 --> 0:37:40.040
<v Speaker 2>so we have six? Oh they all our graphics seems

0:37:40.040 --> 0:37:42.960
<v Speaker 2>the best our new picks of the week Detroit plus ten,

0:37:43.040 --> 0:37:45.760
<v Speaker 2>Giants plus nine and a half, Tampa minus three, Tennessee

0:37:45.760 --> 0:37:47.959
<v Speaker 2>plus two and a half, Seattle minus three and a half,

0:37:48.040 --> 0:37:50.480
<v Speaker 2>and Pittsburgh plus two and a half. That's how we're

0:37:50.520 --> 0:37:53.279
<v Speaker 2>gonna get above five hundred five and five and oh

0:37:53.400 --> 0:37:56.000
<v Speaker 2>was because we're three games under four and one will

0:37:56.000 --> 0:37:59.080
<v Speaker 2>only get us two. Five hundred five and oh would

0:37:59.080 --> 0:38:00.919
<v Speaker 2>give us about five hundred five and oh is top

0:38:01.200 --> 0:38:04.680
<v Speaker 2>five and one. However, Easy Street, we're doing it. We're

0:38:04.719 --> 0:38:07.439
<v Speaker 2>giving you our right move, which hasn't been great. I've

0:38:07.440 --> 0:38:11.800
<v Speaker 2>got a teaser for you. All that and an NFL

0:38:11.960 --> 0:38:14.600
<v Speaker 2>Hall of Fame note that I want to wrap the

0:38:14.640 --> 0:38:22.840
<v Speaker 2>show with. That's all next What's Right? Welcome back in

0:38:22.880 --> 0:38:24.839
<v Speaker 2>What's Right with Nick Right, Episode ninety nine, our week

0:38:24.880 --> 0:38:28.000
<v Speaker 2>twelve gambling show. We just gave you our six picks

0:38:28.040 --> 0:38:30.399
<v Speaker 2>this week. Next week we'll do four. This week, we're

0:38:30.400 --> 0:38:33.200
<v Speaker 2>doing six because we had to include Pittsburgh The right

0:38:33.280 --> 0:38:36.000
<v Speaker 2>move this week is gonna be one of our two favorites.

0:38:36.200 --> 0:38:38.840
<v Speaker 2>We're gonna lay the three with Tampa. That's gonna be

0:38:38.840 --> 0:38:41.520
<v Speaker 2>our right move this week. I believe in. Let me

0:38:41.520 --> 0:38:44.080
<v Speaker 2>see what this graphic looks like. Now, Oh my god,

0:38:44.600 --> 0:38:48.040
<v Speaker 2>I'm a pilgrim. Demondy's got a turkey on his head.

0:38:48.680 --> 0:38:50.800
<v Speaker 2>That's a you know what. This is why people subscribe

0:38:50.800 --> 0:38:54.560
<v Speaker 2>on YouTube for this type of work our graphics team does.

0:38:54.680 --> 0:38:57.279
<v Speaker 2>I like that, So our right move this week is

0:38:57.320 --> 0:39:00.799
<v Speaker 2>gonna be Tampa minus the three. I just think that

0:39:01.600 --> 0:39:03.759
<v Speaker 2>Cleveland's gonna have a really hard time moving the ball

0:39:03.800 --> 0:39:06.880
<v Speaker 2>on Tampa's defense. I think Brady's gonna look good coming

0:39:06.880 --> 0:39:09.680
<v Speaker 2>off the by with a bit of momentum. I like

0:39:09.840 --> 0:39:12.840
<v Speaker 2>now Brady found himself in a new bit of controversy.

0:39:13.000 --> 0:39:15.759
<v Speaker 2>He's post divorced now, but Brady was all over that

0:39:15.920 --> 0:39:21.120
<v Speaker 2>FTX crypto company that's you know, Stoll, all the company's

0:39:21.200 --> 0:39:24.120
<v Speaker 2>money and it's gone and he's getting sued. But I'm

0:39:24.320 --> 0:39:27.520
<v Speaker 2>he'll be fine. But I like Tampa minus the three.

0:39:27.640 --> 0:39:30.520
<v Speaker 2>I mentioned to you guys that I was going to

0:39:30.600 --> 0:39:32.960
<v Speaker 2>have an exotic for you, that I was going to

0:39:33.000 --> 0:39:36.920
<v Speaker 2>have a teaser that we like a lot. So we

0:39:36.960 --> 0:39:42.960
<v Speaker 2>are going to do a seven point two team teaser,

0:39:43.960 --> 0:39:47.680
<v Speaker 2>very straightforward, and the seven point teaser is going to

0:39:47.719 --> 0:39:52.439
<v Speaker 2>be San Francisco down to minus two and a half

0:39:52.760 --> 0:39:56.879
<v Speaker 2>and the Eagles to the money line. That's so it's

0:39:56.920 --> 0:40:00.360
<v Speaker 2>the Eagles to win against green Bay, the nine to

0:40:00.400 --> 0:40:05.320
<v Speaker 2>win by at least three. A nice simple teaser, A

0:40:05.520 --> 0:40:09.040
<v Speaker 2>nice little two team seven point teaser. Last week's teaser

0:40:09.040 --> 0:40:10.880
<v Speaker 2>that we gave out. By the way, you can do

0:40:10.920 --> 0:40:13.120
<v Speaker 2>two team teasers. Yeah, you just gotta.

0:40:13.080 --> 0:40:13.800
<v Speaker 3>A three teaser.

0:40:13.840 --> 0:40:14.200
<v Speaker 2>I like that.

0:40:14.239 --> 0:40:15.440
<v Speaker 3>I'm just gonna have the Chiefs to it.

0:40:16.280 --> 0:40:19.120
<v Speaker 2>You're gonna add You're not at fourteen and a half,

0:40:19.200 --> 0:40:21.000
<v Speaker 2>You're not. I forbid you.

0:40:21.000 --> 0:40:21.440
<v Speaker 3>You gotta.

0:40:21.480 --> 0:40:23.160
<v Speaker 2>If you're gonna do a teaser.

0:40:22.920 --> 0:40:24.920
<v Speaker 3>You gotta tease them all the way through the six.

0:40:25.120 --> 0:40:27.920
<v Speaker 2>Through the seventh. Yeah, you gotta get the key numbers

0:40:28.280 --> 0:40:31.280
<v Speaker 2>so like and a half. Yeah, you don't want to tease,

0:40:31.360 --> 0:40:33.960
<v Speaker 2>You're just not getting enough value. So if the line

0:40:34.040 --> 0:40:39.040
<v Speaker 2>gets to, uh, the Chiefs minus just fourteen, that's fine.

0:40:39.120 --> 0:40:41.600
<v Speaker 2>If it gets to the Chiefs minus thirteen and a half,

0:40:42.080 --> 0:40:44.520
<v Speaker 2>that's great because then you get them to the six

0:40:44.600 --> 0:40:47.400
<v Speaker 2>and a half. If you want a third leg for it,

0:40:49.280 --> 0:40:53.760
<v Speaker 2>U Miami's not a bad third leg because their minus

0:40:53.800 --> 0:40:55.759
<v Speaker 2>thirteen right now, so you get them to minus six.

0:40:56.080 --> 0:40:58.279
<v Speaker 2>The other thing with a seven point teaser that you

0:40:58.320 --> 0:41:03.720
<v Speaker 2>could do is take the Titans or the Steelers plus

0:41:03.760 --> 0:41:07.680
<v Speaker 2>two and a half up to plus nine and a half, right,

0:41:07.840 --> 0:41:09.759
<v Speaker 2>you know what I mean? So you can tease either

0:41:09.800 --> 0:41:10.239
<v Speaker 2>side of it.

0:41:10.239 --> 0:41:12.000
<v Speaker 3>Obviously, we got a little breaking news.

0:41:12.120 --> 0:41:12.520
<v Speaker 2>What's that.

0:41:12.640 --> 0:41:13.960
<v Speaker 3>Zach Wilson just got binched?

0:41:14.440 --> 0:41:16.880
<v Speaker 2>Oh really? Did they say who's starting?

0:41:17.320 --> 0:41:20.120
<v Speaker 3>Uh No, no, not yet?

0:41:21.440 --> 0:41:29.040
<v Speaker 2>Uh the informed he is not starting to. I mean

0:41:29.040 --> 0:41:36.040
<v Speaker 2>that seemed like it was. It was, uh yeah, he can't.

0:41:36.200 --> 0:41:38.239
<v Speaker 2>You can't be the worst quarterback in the league in

0:41:38.280 --> 0:41:41.399
<v Speaker 2>back to back years and unlikable. You just can't.

0:41:41.440 --> 0:41:43.680
<v Speaker 3>They don't, we don't. Why don't people like Zach Wilson.

0:41:43.440 --> 0:41:45.000
<v Speaker 2>Because he won't take accountability?

0:41:45.400 --> 0:41:47.680
<v Speaker 3>Okay, he was asked, Oh yeah, so what happened in

0:41:47.719 --> 0:41:49.440
<v Speaker 3>the He was asked.

0:41:49.160 --> 0:41:50.840
<v Speaker 2>He was like, do you feel bad for letting the

0:41:50.840 --> 0:41:53.040
<v Speaker 2>defense down? He's like, do you feel he let the demons?

0:41:53.080 --> 0:41:56.400
<v Speaker 2>I was like, no, no, he scored three points, buddy.

0:41:56.560 --> 0:41:58.680
<v Speaker 2>He kept throwing near picks and picks. He was terrible.

0:41:58.680 --> 0:42:01.879
<v Speaker 2>Oh yeah, so okay, So Zach Wilson out. We still

0:42:01.880 --> 0:42:04.439
<v Speaker 2>don't have enough information there. But to me, the real

0:42:04.520 --> 0:42:07.800
<v Speaker 2>question is, is Justin Field's gonna play? I knew. I

0:42:08.560 --> 0:42:11.000
<v Speaker 2>shouldn't say I knew, but it sure looked like Zach

0:42:11.040 --> 0:42:14.360
<v Speaker 2>Wilson was getting benched. The question was, is Justin Field's

0:42:14.400 --> 0:42:16.320
<v Speaker 2>gonna play? And is it gonna be Mike White or

0:42:16.400 --> 0:42:19.360
<v Speaker 2>is it gonna be Joe Flacco. So, but that is

0:42:19.440 --> 0:42:22.960
<v Speaker 2>good news to have for us from the show. All right,

0:42:23.440 --> 0:42:29.359
<v Speaker 2>before we get to before we get to the Pro

0:42:29.400 --> 0:42:31.880
<v Speaker 2>Football Hall of Fame little bonus segment, we're gonna do

0:42:32.239 --> 0:42:33.840
<v Speaker 2>what's the offer this week? Demonse?

0:42:34.200 --> 0:42:37.600
<v Speaker 3>So the offer is I call this one be thankful

0:42:37.600 --> 0:42:41.239
<v Speaker 3>for Demanse, because I'm giving you free money essentially, since

0:42:41.280 --> 0:42:43.919
<v Speaker 3>two thousand and four favorites on Thanksgiving are forty three

0:42:43.920 --> 0:42:46.680
<v Speaker 3>and eight straight up. So I'm giving you a chance

0:42:46.719 --> 0:42:49.920
<v Speaker 3>to go against Jerrett Golf, Daniel Jones, and Mac Jones

0:42:49.960 --> 0:42:54.000
<v Speaker 3>in one bet Buffalo, Dallas and Minnesota to win outright

0:42:54.040 --> 0:42:55.239
<v Speaker 3>at plus one seventy seven.

0:42:56.000 --> 0:42:58.879
<v Speaker 2>I appreciate the offer, I'm gonna reject it. Okay, I'm

0:42:58.880 --> 0:43:03.280
<v Speaker 2>gonna reject that offer because I actually think the Giants

0:43:03.760 --> 0:43:14.440
<v Speaker 2>can win and Minnesota. The Minnesota the Patriots game concerns me.

0:43:14.920 --> 0:43:18.160
<v Speaker 2>So there's not enough value to me there in that,

0:43:18.640 --> 0:43:20.520
<v Speaker 2>and so I'm going to reject the offer. That is

0:43:20.560 --> 0:43:22.759
<v Speaker 2>a good note that they're forty three and eight straight up,

0:43:22.960 --> 0:43:26.440
<v Speaker 2>and I appreciate that bonus offer. Okay, what's the bonus offer.

0:43:27.000 --> 0:43:30.399
<v Speaker 3>JAG's money line versus Baltimore plus one sixty five.

0:43:32.600 --> 0:43:35.560
<v Speaker 2>So wait, you're silly. Three team parlay was plus one

0:43:35.600 --> 0:43:38.719
<v Speaker 2>seventy seven and the Jags and the Prince that was

0:43:38.760 --> 0:43:43.239
<v Speaker 2>promised just that to beat Baltimore is plus one sixty.

0:43:42.960 --> 0:43:44.520
<v Speaker 3>Five, and the offer is also gonna win.

0:43:44.560 --> 0:43:48.240
<v Speaker 2>But yes, I accept that one. I am taking that offer.

0:43:48.680 --> 0:43:51.520
<v Speaker 2>The Jags plus one sixty five couldn't help it. I

0:43:51.560 --> 0:43:53.960
<v Speaker 2>can't help it. And it's good for the Chiefs if

0:43:53.960 --> 0:43:56.640
<v Speaker 2>the Ravens lose, so I'll be rooting against the Ravens.

0:43:57.120 --> 0:43:59.200
<v Speaker 2>You want the one seed to be as smooth sailing

0:43:59.239 --> 0:44:03.120
<v Speaker 2>as possible, the path to the one seed, I should say, So, okay,

0:44:03.160 --> 0:44:05.759
<v Speaker 2>I'm taking that offer. So our five picks of the

0:44:05.800 --> 0:44:09.000
<v Speaker 2>week are six picks of the week Detroit plus ten,

0:44:09.080 --> 0:44:11.279
<v Speaker 2>Giants plus nine and a half, Tampa minus three, which

0:44:11.320 --> 0:44:13.680
<v Speaker 2>is the right move. Tennessee plus two and a half,

0:44:13.800 --> 0:44:16.239
<v Speaker 2>Seattle minus three and a half, and Pittsburgh plus two

0:44:16.280 --> 0:44:19.480
<v Speaker 2>and a half. We are also doing a seven point

0:44:19.520 --> 0:44:25.360
<v Speaker 2>teaser of oh look at that, look at that Thanksgiving image.

0:44:26.280 --> 0:44:31.960
<v Speaker 2>They made that quickly, they added they added the Steelers

0:44:31.960 --> 0:44:33.719
<v Speaker 2>on there. Our graphics team is wonderful.

0:44:34.080 --> 0:44:36.520
<v Speaker 3>Our teaser that honestly looks like Nana's kitchen.

0:44:37.040 --> 0:44:38.960
<v Speaker 2>It does a bit. You're absolutely right, it looks like

0:44:39.000 --> 0:44:42.920
<v Speaker 2>her dining room. Our seven point teaser is the Niners

0:44:42.960 --> 0:44:44.440
<v Speaker 2>to two and a half and the Eagles of the

0:44:44.440 --> 0:44:47.880
<v Speaker 2>money line. Our bonus offer is the Jags. Now, I

0:44:48.000 --> 0:44:50.920
<v Speaker 2>just want five minutes to talk about the Pro Football

0:44:50.960 --> 0:44:55.359
<v Speaker 2>Hall of Fame. So the twenty five semi finalists were

0:44:55.480 --> 0:45:01.480
<v Speaker 2>revealed yesterday and only five guys get and I happen

0:45:01.520 --> 0:45:03.759
<v Speaker 2>to believe the Pro Football Hall of Fame does it

0:45:03.920 --> 0:45:07.680
<v Speaker 2>better than any other sports hall of Fame because it

0:45:07.760 --> 0:45:11.000
<v Speaker 2>is so damn difficult to get in, but they still

0:45:11.080 --> 0:45:16.080
<v Speaker 2>let in five guys every year, so the evidence of

0:45:16.080 --> 0:45:18.960
<v Speaker 2>how difficult it is to get in. I'm going to

0:45:19.040 --> 0:45:24.239
<v Speaker 2>quickly go through these twenty five guys and we're going

0:45:24.320 --> 0:45:26.719
<v Speaker 2>to try to pair it down and it will be

0:45:26.760 --> 0:45:31.200
<v Speaker 2>impossible Okay, So there are five new guys on the ballot.

0:45:31.280 --> 0:45:35.719
<v Speaker 2>First time eligible Jerry Evans, who's an offensive lineman who

0:45:35.800 --> 0:45:37.680
<v Speaker 2>is not going to get in on his first try

0:45:38.200 --> 0:45:41.759
<v Speaker 2>and is a fringe Hall of Famer. Joe Thomas, one

0:45:41.760 --> 0:45:44.279
<v Speaker 2>of the best left tackles ever, has to be in.

0:45:45.120 --> 0:45:49.799
<v Speaker 2>Dwight Freeney, one of the best pass rushers ever, has

0:45:49.840 --> 0:45:55.120
<v Speaker 2>to be in. Eventually, James Harrison had the greatest playing

0:45:55.160 --> 0:45:56.880
<v Speaker 2>Super Bowl history, one of the defensive Player of the

0:45:56.920 --> 0:45:59.920
<v Speaker 2>Year award eventually gets in. I don't think gets in

0:46:00.080 --> 0:46:04.200
<v Speaker 2>first ballot. And Darrell Reeves, who must get in immediately.

0:46:04.719 --> 0:46:09.000
<v Speaker 2>So to me, Thomas and Reeves are no doubters immediate guys.

0:46:09.360 --> 0:46:12.840
<v Speaker 2>That leaves us three spots remaining. Here are the names.

0:46:13.280 --> 0:46:17.040
<v Speaker 2>Eric Allen. He's a three time semifinalist corner for a

0:46:17.080 --> 0:46:19.759
<v Speaker 2>long time. He's not going to get in. Hey, to

0:46:19.800 --> 0:46:22.279
<v Speaker 2>me is a good example of why the NFL Hall

0:46:22.280 --> 0:46:24.800
<v Speaker 2>of Fame is so great. He was a great player,

0:46:25.080 --> 0:46:27.920
<v Speaker 2>not a Hall of Famer. Jared Allen. I put him

0:46:27.960 --> 0:46:30.440
<v Speaker 2>in the same boat. Jared Allen played for my Chiefs,

0:46:30.719 --> 0:46:33.239
<v Speaker 2>was an excellent pass rusher. This is his third time

0:46:33.280 --> 0:46:37.480
<v Speaker 2>as a semifinalist. He's not in. Willie Anderson a tackle

0:46:38.000 --> 0:46:40.760
<v Speaker 2>for a long time. It's his third time as semifinalist.

0:46:41.040 --> 0:46:44.680
<v Speaker 2>He's not going to get in. Rondez Barber, the corner

0:46:44.719 --> 0:46:48.040
<v Speaker 2>for the Bucks for fifteen years. To me, he is Flatley,

0:46:48.160 --> 0:46:53.280
<v Speaker 2>not a Hall of Famer on that defense. Sap Brooks, Simme,

0:46:53.400 --> 0:46:56.520
<v Speaker 2>and Rice John Lynch, we're all better than him. You

0:46:56.520 --> 0:46:59.200
<v Speaker 2>have four guys better than him on those Bucks defenses.

0:46:59.440 --> 0:47:03.480
<v Speaker 2>He's not in. And Guam Bolden, second time as a semifinalist.

0:47:03.880 --> 0:47:06.080
<v Speaker 2>Not a Hall of Famer, excellent player, not a Hall

0:47:06.120 --> 0:47:08.880
<v Speaker 2>of famer. Henry Ellard, this is his first time as

0:47:08.880 --> 0:47:11.240
<v Speaker 2>a semifinalist. I think it's last year on the ballot.

0:47:11.480 --> 0:47:13.239
<v Speaker 2>He's not gonna get in. I can't give you much

0:47:13.320 --> 0:47:17.640
<v Speaker 2>Henry Ellard analysis. If I'm being honest. I mentioned jarr Evans, London,

0:47:17.680 --> 0:47:21.279
<v Speaker 2>Fletcher his first time as a semifinalist. I don't think

0:47:21.320 --> 0:47:26.040
<v Speaker 2>he's getting in. Freeny is a possible. James Harrison is

0:47:26.080 --> 0:47:30.320
<v Speaker 2>a possible. Rodney Harrison, he is a Hall of famer.

0:47:30.600 --> 0:47:32.920
<v Speaker 2>It's his second time as a semifinalist. I don't know

0:47:32.920 --> 0:47:37.400
<v Speaker 2>if he gets in. Devin Hester. To me, he's the

0:47:37.480 --> 0:47:43.239
<v Speaker 2>greatest return man. Ever by a mile, he should get in.

0:47:44.320 --> 0:47:46.799
<v Speaker 2>I would put him in. This his second time as

0:47:46.840 --> 0:47:54.480
<v Speaker 2>a semifinalist. Tory Holt ninth time as a semifinalist, nine times,

0:47:54.480 --> 0:47:56.759
<v Speaker 2>he's been to the stage. He's never gotten in. We

0:47:56.800 --> 0:48:01.960
<v Speaker 2>always say he'll get in eventually, but you you have

0:48:02.040 --> 0:48:03.799
<v Speaker 2>new guys that come up, you know what I mean,

0:48:03.880 --> 0:48:07.400
<v Speaker 2>like that have to get in. He's a possible. Andre Johnson.

0:48:08.080 --> 0:48:09.680
<v Speaker 2>I thought he was one of the best receivers of

0:48:09.719 --> 0:48:14.359
<v Speaker 2>his era played for the Texans. His touchdown numbers kill him.

0:48:15.360 --> 0:48:17.240
<v Speaker 2>I thought he was a Hall of Fame level player.

0:48:17.440 --> 0:48:20.319
<v Speaker 2>You can't put him in before Tory Holt set him

0:48:20.320 --> 0:48:25.480
<v Speaker 2>aside Robert Mathis. Maybe he gets in eventually, but you

0:48:25.560 --> 0:48:28.960
<v Speaker 2>can't put him in before Freeenie when Freenie and Mathis

0:48:28.960 --> 0:48:31.760
<v Speaker 2>were the two pass rushers for the Colts and Freeenie

0:48:31.800 --> 0:48:35.719
<v Speaker 2>was better. Revis already mentioned Steve Smith his second time

0:48:35.719 --> 0:48:38.600
<v Speaker 2>as a semifinalist. To me, he's not a Hall of famer.

0:48:38.840 --> 0:48:42.040
<v Speaker 2>Fred Taylor, fourth time as a semifinalist, He's not a

0:48:42.080 --> 0:48:45.279
<v Speaker 2>Hall of famer. Joe Thomas I mentioned Zach Thomas. This

0:48:45.360 --> 0:48:48.800
<v Speaker 2>is the linebacker for the Dolphins. Fifth time as a semifinalist.

0:48:49.160 --> 0:48:52.280
<v Speaker 2>To me, he's not a Hall of Famer. Heinz Ward

0:48:52.719 --> 0:48:56.520
<v Speaker 2>seventh time as a semifinalist. He's not a Hall of Famer.

0:48:57.320 --> 0:48:59.560
<v Speaker 2>He might get in eventually because he does so much media.

0:48:59.760 --> 0:49:03.880
<v Speaker 2>Not a Hall of Famer. DeMarcus Ware to me is

0:49:03.920 --> 0:49:06.520
<v Speaker 2>a Hall of Famer. I think he needs to get

0:49:06.520 --> 0:49:08.600
<v Speaker 2>in in short order. This is second time as a

0:49:08.600 --> 0:49:12.520
<v Speaker 2>SIMMI finalist. Ricky Waters, third time as a semifinalist. He's

0:49:12.520 --> 0:49:17.400
<v Speaker 2>not a Hall of Famer. Reggie Wayne is to me

0:49:17.680 --> 0:49:20.719
<v Speaker 2>a Hall of Famer, but was not as good as

0:49:20.760 --> 0:49:23.160
<v Speaker 2>Andre Johnson, who I don't think is gonna get in.

0:49:23.800 --> 0:49:27.200
<v Speaker 2>And Reggie Wayne had better longevity, but it's so hard,

0:49:27.239 --> 0:49:29.000
<v Speaker 2>and Tory Halt's going to get in before any of

0:49:29.040 --> 0:49:34.600
<v Speaker 2>them anyway. Vince Wilford two time semifinalists. I don't I

0:49:34.640 --> 0:49:37.880
<v Speaker 2>think Vince was a great player. I don't know that

0:49:37.920 --> 0:49:41.280
<v Speaker 2>he's a Hall of Famer. Patrick Willis this is fourth

0:49:41.280 --> 0:49:44.600
<v Speaker 2>time as a semi finalist. Patrick Willis has to be

0:49:44.640 --> 0:49:46.640
<v Speaker 2>in the Hall of Fame in my opinion. He had

0:49:46.680 --> 0:49:49.600
<v Speaker 2>a very short career but was utterly dominant. And then

0:49:49.600 --> 0:49:53.040
<v Speaker 2>there's Darren Woodson seven time as a semifinalist to me

0:49:53.120 --> 0:49:56.040
<v Speaker 2>as a Hall of Famer. So if I if I

0:49:56.160 --> 0:49:59.600
<v Speaker 2>were doing a ballot this year, my five would be

0:50:00.320 --> 0:50:05.040
<v Speaker 2>Revis and Joe Thomas. First ballot, no doubters. I would

0:50:05.080 --> 0:50:09.600
<v Speaker 2>put Hester in, I would put Dwight Freenian on the

0:50:09.640 --> 0:50:14.880
<v Speaker 2>first ballot, and I would put Patrick Willison. That would

0:50:14.920 --> 0:50:18.160
<v Speaker 2>mean Tory Holt is waiting once again. But those would

0:50:18.200 --> 0:50:25.480
<v Speaker 2>be my five Hester Freeenie Willis, Uh, Revis, and Thomas.

0:50:25.840 --> 0:50:34.480
<v Speaker 2>With the next guys up James Harrison, DeMarcus Ware, Tory Holt,

0:50:35.160 --> 0:50:38.600
<v Speaker 2>Reggie Wayne. And it's gonna be really really hard for

0:50:38.640 --> 0:50:42.240
<v Speaker 2>these other guys because I don't even the I'm gonna

0:50:42.360 --> 0:50:44.359
<v Speaker 2>let me check this real quick and then we can

0:50:44.440 --> 0:50:51.280
<v Speaker 2>move on. Who is eligible for PF ho F twenty

0:50:51.400 --> 0:50:57.279
<v Speaker 2>twenty three. I want to see who is eligible for

0:50:57.360 --> 0:51:00.800
<v Speaker 2>the class in twenty twenty three, like the new guys

0:51:01.200 --> 0:51:07.319
<v Speaker 2>that'll be coming up. So oh, okay, hold on, I

0:51:07.360 --> 0:51:09.799
<v Speaker 2>have to check the next year. There we go. So

0:51:09.840 --> 0:51:11.759
<v Speaker 2>that was twenty twenty three is the one we're looking

0:51:11.800 --> 0:51:18.520
<v Speaker 2>at right now. In twenty twenty four, Julius Pepper's, Antonio Gates,

0:51:18.719 --> 0:51:23.320
<v Speaker 2>Eric Berry are the guys that become eligible. Eric Berry's

0:51:23.360 --> 0:51:26.280
<v Speaker 2>not going to get in. My guy Jamal Charles, who's

0:51:26.320 --> 0:51:28.560
<v Speaker 2>one of my favorite players ever and if he was

0:51:28.680 --> 0:51:31.200
<v Speaker 2>used properly, would have been a Hall of Famer. Twenty

0:51:31.280 --> 0:51:38.000
<v Speaker 2>twenty five, Luke Keikley becomes eligible, and some other guys,

0:51:38.239 --> 0:51:41.280
<v Speaker 2>So some of these there aren't a bunch of must

0:51:41.320 --> 0:51:43.879
<v Speaker 2>put in first ballot guys the next few years, so

0:51:43.880 --> 0:51:45.839
<v Speaker 2>some of these other guys will get in, but those

0:51:45.840 --> 0:51:49.000
<v Speaker 2>are my five. Have a wonderful Thanksgiving, Enjoy the time

0:51:49.040 --> 0:51:51.880
<v Speaker 2>with your family, good luck betting. Don't chase in that

0:51:52.000 --> 0:51:53.560
<v Speaker 2>Vikings Patriots game. What's right