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Speaker 2: Welcome in episode ninety nine, a kind of special edition
Speaker 2: of our gambling show. This is going to be coming
Speaker 2: out sometime on Wednesday, so we can get the Thanksgiving
Speaker 2: Day games in. Also, because it's on Wednesday, we have
Speaker 2: not we're recording Wednesday morning. We get none of the
Speaker 2: injury report info that we rely on except for the
Speaker 2: for the Thanksgiving games, So when it comes to our picks,
Speaker 2: we might rely or lean on those Thanksgiving games a
Speaker 2: little bit heavier than we normally would. Also, I understand
Speaker 2: there's gonna be news potential some quarterback changes in some
Speaker 2: of the other games. We obviously will not include those
Speaker 2: in our picks. We don't know justin fields health. We
Speaker 2: don't know if Zach Wilson still the starting quarterback for
Speaker 2: the Jets. But that's the negative of doing the show today.
Speaker 2: The bright side is this, for the first time in
Speaker 2: two months, we have sixteen games to get to because
Speaker 2: buys are not over. But there are no buys this
Speaker 2: Thanksgiving week because we have three games on Thursday, so
Speaker 2: they want to have a full Sunday's worth of games.
Speaker 2: The buys will come back next week and then wrap up,
Speaker 2: I believe the following week, So it's week twelve. It's
Speaker 2: episode ninety nine. Unfortunately, first we must discuss week nine,
Speaker 2: which I think was our week eleven pardon me, which
Speaker 2: I think was our worst week of the year. Three
Speaker 2: and one. Last week, Chicago pushed against Atlanta, the Raiders
Speaker 2: covered in overtime against the Broncos. And now let's discuss
Speaker 2: the other ones. The Rams plus four and a half
Speaker 2: against New Orleans. I was early on how bad the
Speaker 2: Rams are. I've not been a Rams believer, so why
Speaker 2: did I pick them? Because New Orleans is you give
Speaker 2: me that look? Hold on a second, Hold on a second.
Speaker 2: The Rams were covering until Stafford went out with another concussion.
Speaker 2: By the way, the concussion, that lack of conversation on
Speaker 2: the Tua concussion stuff to the Stafford concussion stuff is
Speaker 2: very interesting, maybe because no one was watching that game,
Speaker 2: but he was in concussion protocol. He went back, he
Speaker 2: played this game. Now he's out in concussion protocol again
Speaker 2: and real concerns for him obviously. On will say it again.
Speaker 2: Visual exactly right. Well, the visual and the fact that
Speaker 2: it was an actionally televised game, so everybody was watching it,
Speaker 2: but the Rams were covering the quarterback got hurt. I
Speaker 2: don't feel badly about that one. Pittsburgh. I listen, Pittsburgh's
Speaker 2: offense did enough to cover against Cincinnati. Their defense is
Speaker 2: what let them down in this particular game. Also, you
Speaker 2: and the producers let me down in this particular game
Speaker 2: by trying to guilt me into going with Mike Tomlin
Speaker 2: as a home underdog. I knew. I knew when I
Speaker 2: was making the pick. I was like, man, everyone last
Speaker 2: week was talking about Tomlin as a home dog. Now
Speaker 2: everyone's gonna be on it as a bad pick by
Speaker 2: me and the Giants just falling flat on their face
Speaker 2: against the Detroit Lions. I had them laying three. They
Speaker 2: lost by double digits. That was an embarrassing one. Not
Speaker 2: a good week. I do feel like we got a
Speaker 2: little screwed on the Rams pick. Not a good week.
Speaker 2: It puts us three games under five hundred for the year,
Speaker 2: which means five and oh. This week we're above five hundred,
Speaker 2: four and one. We're right at five hundred after Thanksgiving,
Speaker 2: ready for a good playoff run. We're not even gonna
Speaker 2: go over what the record of the right move is
Speaker 2: because that has been disastrous. Five games to pick this
Speaker 2: week in the first segment of the show. Then we'll
Speaker 2: break down the other eleven games as quickly as we can.
Speaker 2: Then also maybe throw in a little World Cup gambling opportunities.
Speaker 2: We might do that as well. First pick Detroit getting
Speaker 2: a full ten at home against Buffalo on Thanksgiving. Here's
Speaker 2: the logic here. Buffalo has not looked dominant in quite
Speaker 2: some time. They are now on a short week, as
Speaker 2: is Detroit. However, I think that hurts Buffalo a little
Speaker 2: bit more because Josh Allen's elbow is still banged up,
Speaker 2: so now he has to go with the game against
Speaker 2: the Browns where he did not play great. I know
Speaker 2: they won that game. He threw for less than two
Speaker 2: hundred yards, and he didn't run the football even though
Speaker 2: he had seven yards rushing, even though they needed to
Speaker 2: find a way to create offense. So the Bills offense
Speaker 2: is not overly explosive. Detroit's getting healthier. Detroit's offense at
Speaker 2: home this year has been far better than on the road.
Speaker 2: It's the biggest game for the Lions, my god, in
Speaker 2: years National TV Thanksgiving. On a three game winning streak,
Speaker 2: I'm getting ten full points, even if it's twenty one
Speaker 2: to three at the half. I feel alive because the
Speaker 2: Bills have had a hard time putting together consecutive dominant
Speaker 2: halves of football. I'm not picking Detroit to win, but
Speaker 2: ten points is too much. Detroit plus ten.
Speaker 3: Thanksgiving road favorites are nineteen and five since two thousand and.
Speaker 2: Four, nineteen to five against the spread.
Speaker 3: Yep spread. Yeah, Jared Golf is certainly the guy to
Speaker 3: make that nineteen and six.
Speaker 2: Okay, I'd seen that stat as well, that Thanksgiving, when
Speaker 2: a road team's favored, they usually blow out the opposition.
Speaker 2: I get that. I do not think the Bills are
Speaker 2: currently in the blowout business now. I understand if they
Speaker 2: end up crushing Detroit, this is gonna be thrown in
Speaker 2: my face. People are gonna clip it. I get that,
Speaker 2: But let me just make the argument here as far
Speaker 2: as Buffalo should not be laying ten on the road
Speaker 2: against anybody right now, much less a semi frisky Lions team.
Speaker 2: They played the Browns on a neutral site, they won
Speaker 2: by eight. They played the Vikings, were up by seventeen
Speaker 2: and lost, played the Jets, were up by double digits
Speaker 2: and lost, played the Packers when the Packers were in
Speaker 2: the midst of a tailspin, only one by ten in
Speaker 2: a game the Packers, it was just laying just waiting
Speaker 2: for the Bills to take total control of If you
Speaker 2: remember that game that we scored three points in the
Speaker 2: second half beat the Chiefs by four. Now, that's actually
Speaker 2: their best game of the sea, their best win of
Speaker 2: the season. They have not blown anyone out since they
Speaker 2: played the Steelers at home the first week of October.
Speaker 2: They blew out the Rams early in the year, they
Speaker 2: crushed the Titans early in the year, and they crushed
Speaker 2: the Steelers, but that was all by October ninth. Since then,
Speaker 2: they have zero eleven point or more victories I don't
Speaker 2: think the Lions are dreadful. I do think the Lions
Speaker 2: right now are actually finding ways to stay in football games.
Speaker 2: And the Lions have been a team that it was
Speaker 2: early in the year at home was the only place
Speaker 2: their offense traveled back to back weeks, scoring thirty one points.
Speaker 2: I just I like the Lions getting ten. We'll stay
Speaker 2: on Thanksgiving another dog, the Giants getting nine and a
Speaker 2: half at Dallas. We know what the Giants are gonna do.
Speaker 2: The Giants are just gonna run Saque Seque's coming off
Speaker 2: his worst game of the year. They're gonna run Daniel Jones.
Speaker 2: They're gonna try to shorten this game. We also last week,
Speaker 2: Dallas coming off a devastating loss, the Vikings coming off
Speaker 2: a galvanizing win. They met each other, Dallas kicked their ass.
Speaker 2: This week, Dallas coming off dominant victory, the Giants coming
Speaker 2: off a head scratching, indefensible loss to the Lions. So
Speaker 2: now those motivations are reversed. Also, I think that I
Speaker 2: shouldn't say also, but to reiterate the point about the
Speaker 2: Giants running Saquon, I just think this is gonna be
Speaker 2: a game where instead of each team getting eleven or
Speaker 2: twelve possessions. Each team's gonna get eight or nine possessions
Speaker 2: because they're gonna be long drives with the Giants running
Speaker 2: the football. The Giants also understand if they lose this game,
Speaker 2: it could go south for the Giants real quick. I
Speaker 2: know they were seven and two, but the Giants have
Speaker 2: one of the most brutal schedules the rest of the way.
Speaker 2: In fact, by strength of schedule, the hardest schedule the
Speaker 2: rest of the way. After the Cowboys game, they have
Speaker 2: the Commanders, Eagles Commanders, so it's four straight divisional games,
Speaker 2: then the Vikings, then the Colts, and then the Eagles
Speaker 2: again to finish the year. So the Giants, it's been
Speaker 2: a good story in a good season. They could still
Speaker 2: miss the playoffs. They're only minus one forty to make
Speaker 2: the playoffs from the odds makers. I think the Giants
Speaker 2: keep this close. I would not be shocked if a
Speaker 2: somewhat immature Dallas team loses this game. I also think
Speaker 2: that Micah Parsons impact is gonna be mitigated to an
Speaker 2: extent in two ways. One is Andrew Thomas Giants sackles
Speaker 2: one of the best in football. The other is I
Speaker 2: think the Giants will do to Micah Parsons what the
Speaker 2: Chiefs did to Nicky Bosa against the chart against the
Speaker 2: Niners a month ago. Run right at them, try to
Speaker 2: try to kind of displace his pass rushing tendencies by
Speaker 2: running at him and making him question himself on passing downs.
Speaker 2: I like the Giants getting nine and a half.
Speaker 3: I can't tell if you're believing to my guy, Daniel
Speaker 3: Jones or the Giants did lose two starting corners and
Speaker 3: they just lost the starting wide receiver four days ago.
Speaker 3: So are you sure about this?
Speaker 2: Listen? The starting wide receiver injury doesn't concern me that
Speaker 2: much because they shouldn't be throwing the ball much anyway.
Speaker 2: The passes they should be throwing are two Saquon the
Speaker 2: starting corner injuries do concern me to a degree. But
Speaker 2: I also think that Cowboys are gonna try. I don't
Speaker 2: think the cow the Cowboys got their blowout last week.
Speaker 2: I think the Cowboys understand if they win this game.
Speaker 2: If they win this game, they're gonna be in a
Speaker 2: situation where the one seed is on the table for them.
Speaker 2: Now that might sound silly because they have three losses
Speaker 2: in Philly only as one but Philly. They have the
Speaker 2: same number of divisional losses, and Dallas gets to play
Speaker 2: Philly again, So Dallas will go in and I think
Speaker 2: Dallas feels like we win this game if we can
Speaker 2: beat Philly, if Philly stumbles one more time the rest
Speaker 2: of the way, we will control our own destiny to
Speaker 2: win the division and to and to potentially be the
Speaker 2: one seed. The reason I like that when I'm taking
Speaker 2: the Giants is I think the Cowboys are not going
Speaker 2: to if this is a seven point game late. I
Speaker 2: don't think they're gonna be trying to add style points.
Speaker 2: I think there's gonna be trying to escape with a win.
Speaker 2: I also think the Giants can win out right. I
Speaker 2: like the Giants plus nine and a half. What I
Speaker 2: was trying to tell you a moment ago is you're
Speaker 2: missing a button on your shirt, showing a little belly
Speaker 2: button to the audience, which I understand might help our
Speaker 2: YouTube subscribers, but a little distracting for me. Next game,
Speaker 2: Tampa Bay laying three in Cleveland. Okay, Brady undefeated since
Speaker 2: the divorce, the Bucks coming off their best game of
Speaker 2: the year. What they didn't play this past week, Yeah,
Speaker 2: their best game of the year against Seattle and then
Speaker 2: the bye, so they're rested. Cleveland, on the other hand,
Speaker 2: just had to go to Detroit for a game. Now
Speaker 2: they're back in Cleveland. I think Cleveland. I watched that
Speaker 2: Buffalo game very very closely, and Cleveland's inability to take
Speaker 2: advantage of a Buffalo team that was just miserable for
Speaker 2: the first quarter and a half of that game does
Speaker 2: not give me any faith in them moving forward until
Speaker 2: Deshaun gets back. I also think there has to be
Speaker 2: a bit of a demoralization for the Browns because things
Speaker 2: started for them this year. If you remember, they looked like, oh,
Speaker 2: you know that they could be more than frisky team.
Speaker 2: Their first game of the year, they beat the Panthers.
Speaker 2: Game two, they gave it away against the Jets. That
Speaker 2: was the Nick Chubb game. Game three, they crushed the Steelers.
Speaker 2: Since then, though, heartbreaking loss to the Falcons, heartbreaking loss
Speaker 2: to the Chargers, blown out by the Patriots, beat beat
Speaker 2: by the Ravens. They then crushed the Bengals in one
Speaker 2: of the oddest games of the year, and then got
Speaker 2: crushed by the Dolphins, got crushed by the or got
Speaker 2: beaten by the Bills. The Browns I think are a
Speaker 2: team that recognizes their seasons are rap. The Bucks, on
Speaker 2: the other hand, are a team that recognizes we win
Speaker 2: this game. We have real momentum in a wide open NFC,
Speaker 2: I expect the Bucks to win. The fact that I
Speaker 2: don't have to lay three and a half is thrilling.
Speaker 2: I think that Tom Brady is gonna look the best
Speaker 2: he's looked all year, thanks to the fact that he
Speaker 2: has the extra rest and the team's got a little momentum.
Speaker 2: This is probably I know it's a road favorite, but
Speaker 2: it's probably my favorite play of the week. Tampa minus three.
Speaker 2: This feels to me like a twenty four to ten
Speaker 2: Tampa Bay victory, maybe twenty one to ten. I don't
Speaker 2: see Cleveland scoring a lot of points. I like Tampa
Speaker 2: laying the three points. Next, Tennessee a home dog against Cincinnati.
Speaker 2: Tennessee getting two and a half, So this is very
Speaker 2: very I think Cincinnati is good, don't get me wrong,
Speaker 2: but this is a very very simple pick for me.
Speaker 2: This is a top five coach in Vrabel against the
Speaker 2: bottom ten coach and Zach Taylor. Gimme Vrabel and give
Speaker 2: me the points. I think that the Titans, their defense
Speaker 2: is exceptional. They are going to run the hell out
Speaker 2: of the football. They know exactly who they want to be.
Speaker 2: They are there coming off a bit of an extended
Speaker 2: rest the Mini by because they played on Thursday night
Speaker 2: last week against Green Bay. I think very the Titans.
Speaker 2: I don't trust them as a super Bowl contender, but
Speaker 2: do I trust them in the regular season to find
Speaker 2: ways to keep games close and potentially steal a victory. Absolutely.
Speaker 2: Do I think Derrick Henry is going to be able
Speaker 2: to run on Cincinnati. I do. Do. I think that
Speaker 2: Mike vrabel Is should not be an underdog at home
Speaker 2: against anyone other than the three or four best teams
Speaker 2: in football. I do. I like the Titans plus two
Speaker 2: and a half.
Speaker 3: The Titans have covered eight straight against the spread, but
Speaker 3: still are getting disrespected by Vegas. Did you consider putting
Speaker 3: this in the be careful?
Speaker 2: I didn't because I actually think the public is going
Speaker 2: to be all over Cincinnati. Okay, I think the public.
Speaker 2: I think Cincinnati is good in Cincinnati because of the
Speaker 2: quarterback miss match Burrow versus Tannehill. I would expect to
Speaker 2: me if this were to be and be careful, it
Speaker 2: would be careful, as in, they're they're daring you to
Speaker 2: pick the Bengals. You don't even have to lay the
Speaker 2: full three points. The Bengals are defending AFC champions, all
Speaker 2: those reasons. I like the Titans. I don't know that
Speaker 2: the Titans are gonna win, and it's weird to pick
Speaker 2: a team getting less than three if you don't know
Speaker 2: if they're gonna win. But I could say I see
Speaker 2: this being a one, two, three point game that either
Speaker 2: team can win. I have five of those outcomes go
Speaker 2: my way. Tennessee by one, two, three, Cincinnati by one
Speaker 2: and two. All go my way in Tennessee plus two
Speaker 2: and a half. The only way I lose Cincinnati wins
Speaker 2: by three, which of course is on the board. I
Speaker 2: like the Titans plus two and a half though. And lastly,
Speaker 2: I'm off that Raiders narcotic. They got me a nice
Speaker 2: win last week. We're now leaving them, you know, to
Speaker 2: the dustbin of history. Seattle laying three and a half
Speaker 2: at home against Las Vegas. So Seattle also coming off
Speaker 2: a buy, the Raiders coming off a win which maybe
Speaker 2: made them feel better than they actually should. Seattle's ability.
Speaker 2: I think Gino's gonna have a huge game. I think
Speaker 2: Gino played really well after making a brutal mistake against
Speaker 2: Tampa in Germany a couple weeks ago, a couple beautiful passes.
Speaker 2: I think Seattle's going to be able to run the ball.
Speaker 2: I think Seattle also recognizes the Niners are coming, and
Speaker 2: that if Seattle wants to stay in control of that
Speaker 2: division and at the very least stay in really good
Speaker 2: position to be a wild card if the Niners catch them,
Speaker 2: they can't screw around with Vegas. I don't expect Vegas
Speaker 2: to put together sixty quality minutes. I wasn't overly impressed
Speaker 2: by Vegas in the win over the Broncos. It's just
Speaker 2: that the Broncos offense is so terrible. Seattle laying three
Speaker 2: and a half. Of course you'd rather have it at three,
Speaker 2: but three and a half to me, this feels like
Speaker 2: a twenty four to seventeen Seahawks victory. I really like
Speaker 2: the extra rest for Seattle. I actually think this year,
Speaker 2: I think they have the quarterback edge. I know they
Speaker 2: have the coaching edge, I know they have the defensive edge.
Speaker 2: For all those reasons, I'm fine laying the three and
Speaker 2: a half points Seattle minus three and a half against Vegas.
Speaker 2: So go ahead, just something you will say about this game.
Speaker 3: No, I love that one. I'm definitely get money on
Speaker 3: that game.
Speaker 2: There we go. Is that the first one of my
Speaker 2: five you really like? No?
Speaker 3: I like that one? And the Cleveland Tampa Bay You
Speaker 3: like both of my favorites.
Speaker 2: Yeah? Boy, thanks you A little nervous I might be
Speaker 2: on the square side of those. Detroit plus ten against Buffalo,
Speaker 2: that's a seven point Buffalo victory. Giants plus nine and
Speaker 2: a half at Dallas on Thanksgiving, that's a three point
Speaker 2: game in one direction or another. The Giants could win it.
Speaker 2: Tampa laying the three, Tennessee plus the two and a half,
Speaker 2: and Seattle minus the three and a half. That's our
Speaker 2: five picks of the week. Smells like four and one.
Speaker 2: Smells like we're getting back to five hundred after Thanksgiving.
Speaker 2: As promised, we'll go through the other eleven games for
Speaker 2: Week twelve in the NFL episode ninety nine of What's Right,
Speaker 2: That's Next.
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Speaker 2: All right, welcome back. In episode ninety nine, Week twelve
Speaker 2: NFL Gambling Show, we just gave you our five picks
Speaker 2: of the week Detroit plus ten, Giants plus nine and
Speaker 2: a half, Tampa minus three, Tennessee plus two and a half,
Speaker 2: in Seattle three and a half. Now we've got our
Speaker 2: stay aways, our be carefuls and are perfectly priced for
Speaker 2: the three stayaways are New England at Minnesota, Denver at Carolina,
Speaker 2: and Chicago at the Jets. New England at Minnesota is
Speaker 2: more of a theoretical stay away for good gambling purpose reasons.
Speaker 2: And then I'll talk about the actual game. Okay, if
Speaker 2: you have a really strong feel on New England Minnesota,
Speaker 2: so be it, go ahead and bet it. Here's what
Speaker 2: I forbid you to do. If you are watching this
Speaker 2: show and you're a gambler. I forbid you from potentially
Speaker 2: ruining your Thanksgiving night by chasing your early day Thanksgiving
Speaker 2: losses if they exist, by firing a last shot desperation,
Speaker 2: probably semi drunk, semi annoyed with the family, bet on
Speaker 2: Patriots vikings. This is how divorces happen. This is how
Speaker 2: kids get angry at parents. This is You're gonna spend
Speaker 2: all morning and afternoon watching games. You might not even
Speaker 2: be that interested in Patriots vikings, and then all of
Speaker 2: a sudden, you're stuck a bit before Sunday even gets here,
Speaker 2: and you're gonna be firing big money on Pats vikings
Speaker 2: coin flip because and your family's gonna be annoyed. They're
Speaker 2: gonna want to play a nice game of Monopoly or
Speaker 2: sit around, you know, the fire and talk, and you're
Speaker 2: not gonna be there because you've gambled on this game.
Speaker 2: What's up, demant?
Speaker 3: Say that's crazy? I mean, first of all, I know,
Speaker 3: Minnesota just lost last week terribly at home. Yeah, but
Speaker 3: they're at home, and I know everybody's saying they're fraudulent.
Speaker 3: What about New England? They haven't really beaten any real team.
Speaker 2: Okay, so we will discuss the actual game in just
Speaker 2: a moment. But I want to make collegers this is
Speaker 2: just in general Christmas Day, NBA and now NFL as
Speaker 2: well Thanksgiving Day football. Don't make any bets in the
Speaker 2: afternoon day of If you want to gamble during the day,
Speaker 2: and if you feel super strong about this game, so
Speaker 2: be it. Do not. It's one thing to chase on
Speaker 2: Sunday night or Monday night football. It's another thing to
Speaker 2: chase on a holiday and when you're supposed to be
Speaker 2: engaged with your friends and family. Okay, now on this game.
Speaker 2: So New England's defense has looked utterly dominant. Here is
Speaker 2: the concern and the reason why for me, I didn't
Speaker 2: have a beat on this game. So New England's defense
Speaker 2: has looked great. But I would like to give you
Speaker 2: the quarterbacks that New England they have six wins this year.
Speaker 2: Here are the sixth quarter or the five quarterbacks they
Speaker 2: have beaten. They have beaten Mitch Trubisky, they have beaten
Speaker 2: Jared Goff, they have beaten Jacoby Brissett, they have beaten
Speaker 2: Sam Allinger, and they have beaten Zach Wilson twice. So
Speaker 2: the defense has looked great against those guys look dominant.
Speaker 2: Now they're playing Kirk Cousins. Kirk Cousins is not great,
Speaker 2: but he's far better than any of those six guys
Speaker 2: that I mentioned. So now you might say, Okay, Nick,
Speaker 2: why wouldn't you then just take Minnesota laying the two
Speaker 2: and a half. Here's what Minnesota is eight and two
Speaker 2: this year. They have three games they've played poorly, the
Speaker 2: two losses, and they're stolen win against Detroit early in
Speaker 2: the year where Dan the Maan Campbell kicked like a
Speaker 2: fifty yard field goal up three less than a minute
Speaker 2: left instead of punting away. They end up scoring a
Speaker 2: touchdownspit but three so two one time. They've won, two times,
Speaker 2: they've lost, three times. They've played poorly in those three games.
Speaker 2: Justin Jefferson has a combined ninety four yards receiving in
Speaker 2: their seven wins. Justin Jefferson has a thousand yards receiving,
Speaker 2: one hundred and forty yards per game. The Vikings have
Speaker 2: one way to beat you. Justin Jefferson kills you. Belichick
Speaker 2: has made his career defensively on identifying what you want
Speaker 2: to do, taking that one thing away and making you
Speaker 2: do something else. So Because of that, it's concerning to
Speaker 2: me to take the Vikings. You love the Vikings, you're
Speaker 2: betting the Vikings an Artisanshi, Justin Jefferson's great them. Just listen.
Speaker 2: Justin Jefferson's great.
Speaker 3: And honestly believing Kirk Cousins a little bit more than
Speaker 3: you tend to.
Speaker 2: Well, listen, he's better than those quarterbacks. New England's beat
Speaker 2: and that's for damn sure. I think he's fine. He's
Speaker 2: actually having his worst season in the last few years.
Speaker 2: To me, this is a stay away, all right. Denver
Speaker 2: at Carolina is a stay away for very obvious reasons.
Speaker 2: Carolina's is starting Sam Darnold, who's was the worst quarterback
Speaker 2: in football his last two years as a starter. Denver
Speaker 2: starting Russell Wilson. The general gambling philosophy is two bad teams,
Speaker 2: two bad quarterbacks, take the points. However, Donald in his
Speaker 2: first start in years I shouldn't say years. He started
Speaker 2: last year briefly for Carolina, but his first start of
Speaker 2: the year against that Denver defense scares the hell out
Speaker 2: of me. Laying points with Russell Wilson scares the hell
Speaker 2: out of me. That's a stay away. And Chicago at
Speaker 2: the Jets is a stay away simply because we don't
Speaker 2: know who's playing quarterback for either. Poor Justin Fields has
Speaker 2: a dislocated shoulder, played some of the way last week
Speaker 2: with it the Jets, we don't know as we're recording
Speaker 2: right now, if it's gonna be Zach Wilson, Mike White,
Speaker 2: or Flacco. So for our purposes, that has to be
Speaker 2: a stay away because we don't know who's playing quarterback
Speaker 2: for either.
Speaker 3: If you find out tomorrow that Flacco's in, are you
Speaker 3: taking the Jets.
Speaker 2: If Flac goes in and Justin is out? Yes, okay,
Speaker 2: I would. I wouldn't love laying four and a half
Speaker 2: points with Joe Flacco, but the Bears without Justin Fields
Speaker 2: won't be able to score at all. I will tell
Speaker 2: you what is hold on? I have to look because
Speaker 2: it almost I wonder what the total in that game is.
Speaker 2: We don't do all runners on this show, but I'm
Speaker 2: gonna find it real quick. The total. Oh, it's is
Speaker 2: it really off the board? Yeah it's it's okay, so
Speaker 2: it's not on that. Let me check another another gambling outfit,
Speaker 2: see if they have it listed some where, because it
Speaker 2: wasn't listed where. I just looked. So let me look again.
Speaker 3: I don't care who's playing quarterback for the Jets. Man,
Speaker 3: if Justin Fields isn't playing, I feel like going with
Speaker 3: the Jets is a solid bed.
Speaker 2: I think that's probably right. The total for the game
Speaker 2: is forty and a half, so that I was gonna say,
Speaker 2: that's got to be the lowest total of the week.
Speaker 2: But what do you think the total in Broncos Panthers
Speaker 2: is Darnald versus Russell Wilson with those two defenses.
Speaker 3: It's thirty five. A think.
Speaker 2: I would have told you thirty five is not a thing.
Speaker 2: It is thirty six and a half. That's got to
Speaker 2: be the lowest total in a decade in the NFL
Speaker 2: unless there was like a massive weather events, you know
Speaker 2: what I mean, Like the thirty six and a half,
Speaker 2: and it feels like an under right thirty six and
Speaker 2: a half, I mean, seventeen to ten feels like about
Speaker 2: as high scoring as he could get. And that's twenty seven. Yeah,
Speaker 2: thirty six and a half. How did I don't know?
Speaker 2: I guess the way thirty six and a half gets
Speaker 2: to an over is it seventeen seventeen goes to overtime
Speaker 2: and it's twenty to seventeen at thirty seven points. All right,
Speaker 2: so those are all stay aways. Now to the be
Speaker 2: careful line. Be careful's Baltimore at Jacksonville, the Rams at
Speaker 2: the Chiefs, the Saints at the Niners, and Pittsburgh and Indy. Okay,
Speaker 2: Baltimore at Jacksonville's will be careful purely because you my
Speaker 2: band is still in place. Yeah, you guys haven't allowed
Speaker 2: me to bet them. I love the jackson this week.
Speaker 3: I honestly think you should be thankful given Doug Peterson's
Speaker 3: one in four against the spread after a bye.
Speaker 2: Really, yeah, I didn't know that, though, I guess I
Speaker 2: am thankful. I think the Jags.
Speaker 3: Win, And is your ban up?
Speaker 2: Like it's like it's like a week the last week, Yeah,
Speaker 2: last week. This is the last week of my Jags band.
Speaker 2: But I think they win. I think the Jags faintly
Speaker 2: keep their season alive with a victory. Lamar hasn't played
Speaker 2: well lately, yeah, and didn't play very well against Carolina
Speaker 2: now the But the only reason this is this really
Speaker 2: shouldn't be a be careful game, guys. I like the Jags.
Speaker 2: I just put it careful because you guys won't. You
Speaker 2: guys are making me be careful on Jacksonville. All right,
Speaker 2: Rams at Chiefs.
Speaker 3: Too many points.
Speaker 2: It's so many points, fourteen and a half now the
Speaker 2: Rams offense, Stafford's out, Wolford's out, it's Bryce Perkins. The
Speaker 2: Chiefs haven't blown anyone out in a bit. Feels like
Speaker 2: they're ripe for it. I also though, if there was
Speaker 2: ever a game that the Chiefs will be sleepy, disinterested.
Speaker 2: They clinched the division essentially last week in stirring fashion
Speaker 2: against the Chargers. They are now playing a team that
Speaker 2: is drawing dead with a third string quarterback. And you
Speaker 2: can't bet. You can't take the Rams. You just can't,
Speaker 2: like in order for them, Like how many points the
Speaker 2: Chiefs are gonna score? A minimum? A minimum of twenty
Speaker 2: seven eight? Yeah, can the Rams get to thirteen? I
Speaker 2: don't know that they can. The Chiefs defense all of
Speaker 2: a sudden at Chris Jones, you know, looks like a
Speaker 2: Defensive Player of the Year candidate. I just but it's
Speaker 2: too many points. You can't lay fourteen and a half
Speaker 2: points even with the Chiefs, especially because the Chiefs tend
Speaker 2: not to blow out terrible teams. Even the Jags game.
Speaker 2: Jack's not terrible. But even that Jags game, they were
Speaker 2: up twenty to nothing and then let the Jags hang
Speaker 2: around enough to where they only won by ten. And
Speaker 2: so Jags are kind of bad though everybody thinks, but
Speaker 2: it's just I would be careful the Chiefs. You know,
Speaker 2: they blew out the Cardinals when the Cardinals supposed to
Speaker 2: be good. They blew out the Bucks. They blew out
Speaker 2: the Niners. Like the Chiefs, key motivation, peak motivation, but
Speaker 2: against bad teams, I don't know. It's just too many points.
Speaker 2: All right. New Orleans at San Francisco is a be
Speaker 2: careful because everyone is gonna be on the Niners. And listen,
Speaker 2: the Saints stink. They have no quarterback, they have the
Speaker 2: worst coach in the league. The Niners just looked great
Speaker 2: on national TV. But be careful of the team that
Speaker 2: just looked dominant on national television, particularly on a short week,
Speaker 2: because this line should be seven, it's nine and a half.
Speaker 2: So be careful. I'm not telling you to bet the Saints.
Speaker 2: With the Niners having those weapons and that defense against
Speaker 2: the Saints quarterback situation, I'm not telling you to bet
Speaker 2: the Saints. You're gonna bet the Niners. I already know it.
Speaker 2: Be careful, guys, I do like the Niners in a
Speaker 2: seven point t's get the Niners down to minus two
Speaker 2: and a half. I like them in that spot. I
Speaker 2: don't like them minus the nine and a half. Be careful, Pittsburgh, Indy,
Speaker 2: all right, I really should bet the Steelers, and I might.
Speaker 2: I might add them. Maybe I'll have extra picks. Because
Speaker 2: Thanksgiving has its own little it's its own little day.
Speaker 2: This is I said earlier. Mike Vrabel versus Zach Taylor
Speaker 2: now getting the same amount of points with Pittsburgh with
Speaker 2: Mike Tomlin against Jeff Saturday. Yeah, you know.
Speaker 3: What, I you're moving in livetime.
Speaker 2: I don't know if I'm allowed to Thanksgiving special six picks.
Speaker 2: This week Pittsburgh, we're doing a six pick. Happy Turkey Day, everybody.
Speaker 2: We're doing a sixth pick. I know it's gonna scrow
Speaker 2: over our math. I know it's gonna be one of
Speaker 2: these coming weeks. Will only do four, so we'll get
Speaker 2: back on track. You know what, Next week we'll only
Speaker 2: do four, but we're adding this one.
Speaker 3: And then we'll just take out your Jags pick or
Speaker 3: you can.
Speaker 2: Just do okay, leave the Jags alone. Pittsburgh getting points
Speaker 2: against the Colts. It shouldn't be a be careful. It's
Speaker 2: a must bet Pittsburgh. It is a must bet Pittsburgh.
Speaker 2: Matt Ryan is gonna crumble when TJ. Watt strip Saxon.
Speaker 2: Jeff Saturday is gonna get out coached and out foxed
Speaker 2: by Mike Tomlin. Pittsburgh plus two and a half. Sorry
Speaker 2: to our graphics team. It's our sixth pick of the week.
Speaker 2: We like it. It's not to be careful. It's a
Speaker 2: must bet getting points with Tomlin against Saturday. It's a
Speaker 2: must bet, all right, perfectly priced now Atlanta at Washington,
Speaker 2: Washington is a tick better there at home. This is
Speaker 2: the Washington is very alive for the playoffs. Atlanta is
Speaker 2: also verylive technically for the playoffs. I think this is
Speaker 2: a short Washington win. I think the pricing is exactly right.
Speaker 2: Houston at Miami the I this does feel like. The
Speaker 2: reason I'm calling it perfectly priced is because you can't
Speaker 2: have a favorite of much more than thirteen. And if
Speaker 2: the Chiefs are fourteen and a half point favorites against
Speaker 2: a third string quarterback, the Dolphins can't be more than that.
Speaker 2: But It feels like a two touchdown Myami victory. The
Speaker 2: only concern is Miami off the by overlooking the Texans
Speaker 2: and let the Texans hang around a bit. But this
Speaker 2: is the right line. The Texans been terrible, truly terrible,
Speaker 2: and they, by the way, might be making a quarterback change.
Speaker 2: We don't yet know that the Chargers getting four the
Speaker 2: Chargers laying for pardon me at Arizona. That's exactly right.
Speaker 2: The Chargers are not a bad team. Arizona meanwhile, just
Speaker 2: had to fire and they had to coach Demanse. So
Speaker 2: they had a coach on their team who or like
Speaker 2: in the offseason got accused of domestic assault, got sentenced
Speaker 2: to a year suspended sentence, and they kept him on
Speaker 2: the team until it became out publicly, so then he
Speaker 2: resigned or they fired him. It just came out this morning.
Speaker 2: They had a coach allegedly grope a woman in Mexico
Speaker 2: City that they had to fire. They we don't know
Speaker 2: what their quarterback situation is. That the team is a
Speaker 2: total mess, so obviously they should be dogs against a
Speaker 2: good team. The pricing is right because the Chargers have
Speaker 2: not shown and Mike Williams assuming he's gonna be out
Speaker 2: again after briefly come back against the Chiefs, Chargers not
Speaker 2: showing the ability to blow anybody out. So the Chargers
Speaker 2: minus four is just about right. Expect the Chargers to
Speaker 2: win in a game maybe closer than it should be.
Speaker 2: And then green Bay at Philly to me is Philly
Speaker 2: minus a touchdown Philly minus seven. That's also just right
Speaker 2: like Philly is to me. I understand they have a
Speaker 2: great record. I don't expect Philly to pour it on
Speaker 2: green Bay. I think Philly minus a touchdowns exactly right.
Speaker 2: What's up? All right?
Speaker 3: Given the last two weeks, I can't tell if the
Speaker 3: seven is just really respectful to drive for? The Eagles
Speaker 3: are very dispectful to green Bay.
Speaker 2: Well, green Bay's no good.
Speaker 3: I mean they're no good, But the Eagles haven't looked.
Speaker 3: They just placed Jeff Saturday and whoever they face the.
Speaker 2: Yeah, Washington, they lost to Washington. They eked out a
Speaker 2: win against the Colts. I still think green Bay is
Speaker 2: gonna have no chance of consistently moving the ball on
Speaker 2: Philadelphia's defense. So I like Philadelphia a lot in it
Speaker 2: as a teaser leg I like them a little bit
Speaker 2: minus seven, but seven is the right number for this.
Speaker 2: So there's our perfectly priced games bonus pick. How about that?
Speaker 2: The Steelers getting slid into our knicks picks this week,
Speaker 2: so we have six? Oh they all our graphics seems
Speaker 2: the best our new picks of the week Detroit plus ten,
Speaker 2: Giants plus nine and a half, Tampa minus three, Tennessee
Speaker 2: plus two and a half, Seattle minus three and a half,
Speaker 2: and Pittsburgh plus two and a half. That's how we're
Speaker 2: gonna get above five hundred five and five and oh
Speaker 2: was because we're three games under four and one will
Speaker 2: only get us two. Five hundred five and oh would
Speaker 2: give us about five hundred five and oh is top
Speaker 2: five and one. However, Easy Street, we're doing it. We're
Speaker 2: giving you our right move, which hasn't been great. I've
Speaker 2: got a teaser for you. All that and an NFL
Speaker 2: Hall of Fame note that I want to wrap the
Speaker 2: show with. That's all next What's Right? Welcome back in
Speaker 2: What's Right with Nick Right, Episode ninety nine, our week
Speaker 2: twelve gambling show. We just gave you our six picks
Speaker 2: this week. Next week we'll do four. This week, we're
Speaker 2: doing six because we had to include Pittsburgh The right
Speaker 2: move this week is gonna be one of our two favorites.
Speaker 2: We're gonna lay the three with Tampa. That's gonna be
Speaker 2: our right move this week. I believe in. Let me
Speaker 2: see what this graphic looks like. Now, Oh my god,
Speaker 2: I'm a pilgrim. Demondy's got a turkey on his head.
Speaker 2: That's a you know what. This is why people subscribe
Speaker 2: on YouTube for this type of work our graphics team does.
Speaker 2: I like that, So our right move this week is
Speaker 2: gonna be Tampa minus the three. I just think that
Speaker 2: Cleveland's gonna have a really hard time moving the ball
Speaker 2: on Tampa's defense. I think Brady's gonna look good coming
Speaker 2: off the by with a bit of momentum. I like
Speaker 2: now Brady found himself in a new bit of controversy.
Speaker 2: He's post divorced now, but Brady was all over that
Speaker 2: FTX crypto company that's you know, Stoll, all the company's
Speaker 2: money and it's gone and he's getting sued. But I'm
Speaker 2: he'll be fine. But I like Tampa minus the three.
Speaker 2: I mentioned to you guys that I was going to
Speaker 2: have an exotic for you, that I was going to
Speaker 2: have a teaser that we like a lot. So we
Speaker 2: are going to do a seven point two team teaser,
Speaker 2: very straightforward, and the seven point teaser is going to
Speaker 2: be San Francisco down to minus two and a half
Speaker 2: and the Eagles to the money line. That's so it's
Speaker 2: the Eagles to win against green Bay, the nine to
Speaker 2: win by at least three. A nice simple teaser, A
Speaker 2: nice little two team seven point teaser. Last week's teaser
Speaker 2: that we gave out. By the way, you can do
Speaker 2: two team teasers. Yeah, you just gotta.
Speaker 3: A three teaser.
Speaker 2: I like that.
Speaker 3: I'm just gonna have the Chiefs to it.
Speaker 2: You're gonna add You're not at fourteen and a half,
Speaker 2: You're not. I forbid you.
Speaker 3: You gotta.
Speaker 2: If you're gonna do a teaser.
Speaker 3: You gotta tease them all the way through the six.
Speaker 2: Through the seventh. Yeah, you gotta get the key numbers
Speaker 2: so like and a half. Yeah, you don't want to tease,
Speaker 2: You're just not getting enough value. So if the line
Speaker 2: gets to, uh, the Chiefs minus just fourteen, that's fine.
Speaker 2: If it gets to the Chiefs minus thirteen and a half,
Speaker 2: that's great because then you get them to the six
Speaker 2: and a half. If you want a third leg for it,
Speaker 2: U Miami's not a bad third leg because their minus
Speaker 2: thirteen right now, so you get them to minus six.
Speaker 2: The other thing with a seven point teaser that you
Speaker 2: could do is take the Titans or the Steelers plus
Speaker 2: two and a half up to plus nine and a half, right,
Speaker 2: you know what I mean? So you can tease either
Speaker 2: side of it.
Speaker 3: Obviously, we got a little breaking news.
Speaker 2: What's that.
Speaker 3: Zach Wilson just got binched?
Speaker 2: Oh really? Did they say who's starting?
Speaker 3: Uh No, no, not yet?
Speaker 2: Uh the informed he is not starting to. I mean
Speaker 2: that seemed like it was. It was, uh yeah, he can't.
Speaker 2: You can't be the worst quarterback in the league in
Speaker 2: back to back years and unlikable. You just can't.
Speaker 3: They don't, we don't. Why don't people like Zach Wilson.
Speaker 2: Because he won't take accountability?
Speaker 3: Okay, he was asked, Oh yeah, so what happened in
Speaker 3: the He was asked.
Speaker 2: He was like, do you feel bad for letting the
Speaker 2: defense down? He's like, do you feel he let the demons?
Speaker 2: I was like, no, no, he scored three points, buddy.
Speaker 2: He kept throwing near picks and picks. He was terrible.
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, so okay, So Zach Wilson out. We still
Speaker 2: don't have enough information there. But to me, the real
Speaker 2: question is, is Justin Field's gonna play? I knew. I
Speaker 2: shouldn't say I knew, but it sure looked like Zach
Speaker 2: Wilson was getting benched. The question was, is Justin Field's
Speaker 2: gonna play? And is it gonna be Mike White or
Speaker 2: is it gonna be Joe Flacco. So, but that is
Speaker 2: good news to have for us from the show. All right,
Speaker 2: before we get to before we get to the Pro
Speaker 2: Football Hall of Fame little bonus segment, we're gonna do
Speaker 2: what's the offer this week? Demonse?
Speaker 3: So the offer is I call this one be thankful
Speaker 3: for Demanse, because I'm giving you free money essentially, since
Speaker 3: two thousand and four favorites on Thanksgiving are forty three
Speaker 3: and eight straight up. So I'm giving you a chance
Speaker 3: to go against Jerrett Golf, Daniel Jones, and Mac Jones
Speaker 3: in one bet Buffalo, Dallas and Minnesota to win outright
Speaker 3: at plus one seventy seven.
Speaker 2: I appreciate the offer, I'm gonna reject it. Okay, I'm
Speaker 2: gonna reject that offer because I actually think the Giants
Speaker 2: can win and Minnesota. The Minnesota the Patriots game concerns me.
Speaker 2: So there's not enough value to me there in that,
Speaker 2: and so I'm going to reject the offer. That is
Speaker 2: a good note that they're forty three and eight straight up,
Speaker 2: and I appreciate that bonus offer. Okay, what's the bonus offer.
Speaker 3: JAG's money line versus Baltimore plus one sixty five.
Speaker 2: So wait, you're silly. Three team parlay was plus one
Speaker 2: seventy seven and the Jags and the Prince that was
Speaker 2: promised just that to beat Baltimore is plus one sixty.
Speaker 3: Five, and the offer is also gonna win.
Speaker 2: But yes, I accept that one. I am taking that offer.
Speaker 2: The Jags plus one sixty five couldn't help it. I
Speaker 2: can't help it. And it's good for the Chiefs if
Speaker 2: the Ravens lose, so I'll be rooting against the Ravens.
Speaker 2: You want the one seed to be as smooth sailing
Speaker 2: as possible, the path to the one seed, I should say, So, okay,
Speaker 2: I'm taking that offer. So our five picks of the
Speaker 2: week are six picks of the week Detroit plus ten,
Speaker 2: Giants plus nine and a half, Tampa minus three, which
Speaker 2: is the right move. Tennessee plus two and a half,
Speaker 2: Seattle minus three and a half, and Pittsburgh plus two
Speaker 2: and a half. We are also doing a seven point
Speaker 2: teaser of oh look at that, look at that Thanksgiving image.
Speaker 2: They made that quickly, they added they added the Steelers
Speaker 2: on there. Our graphics team is wonderful.
Speaker 3: Our teaser that honestly looks like Nana's kitchen.
Speaker 2: It does a bit. You're absolutely right, it looks like
Speaker 2: her dining room. Our seven point teaser is the Niners
Speaker 2: to two and a half and the Eagles of the
Speaker 2: money line. Our bonus offer is the Jags. Now, I
Speaker 2: just want five minutes to talk about the Pro Football
Speaker 2: Hall of Fame. So the twenty five semi finalists were
Speaker 2: revealed yesterday and only five guys get and I happen
Speaker 2: to believe the Pro Football Hall of Fame does it
Speaker 2: better than any other sports hall of Fame because it
Speaker 2: is so damn difficult to get in, but they still
Speaker 2: let in five guys every year, so the evidence of
Speaker 2: how difficult it is to get in. I'm going to
Speaker 2: quickly go through these twenty five guys and we're going
Speaker 2: to try to pair it down and it will be
Speaker 2: impossible Okay, So there are five new guys on the ballot.
Speaker 2: First time eligible Jerry Evans, who's an offensive lineman who
Speaker 2: is not going to get in on his first try
Speaker 2: and is a fringe Hall of Famer. Joe Thomas, one
Speaker 2: of the best left tackles ever, has to be in.
Speaker 2: Dwight Freeney, one of the best pass rushers ever, has
Speaker 2: to be in. Eventually, James Harrison had the greatest playing
Speaker 2: Super Bowl history, one of the defensive Player of the
Speaker 2: Year award eventually gets in. I don't think gets in
Speaker 2: first ballot. And Darrell Reeves, who must get in immediately.
Speaker 2: So to me, Thomas and Reeves are no doubters immediate guys.
Speaker 2: That leaves us three spots remaining. Here are the names.
Speaker 2: Eric Allen. He's a three time semifinalist corner for a
Speaker 2: long time. He's not going to get in. Hey, to
Speaker 2: me is a good example of why the NFL Hall
Speaker 2: of Fame is so great. He was a great player,
Speaker 2: not a Hall of Famer. Jared Allen. I put him
Speaker 2: in the same boat. Jared Allen played for my Chiefs,
Speaker 2: was an excellent pass rusher. This is his third time
Speaker 2: as a semifinalist. He's not in. Willie Anderson a tackle
Speaker 2: for a long time. It's his third time as semifinalist.
Speaker 2: He's not going to get in. Rondez Barber, the corner
Speaker 2: for the Bucks for fifteen years. To me, he is Flatley,
Speaker 2: not a Hall of Famer on that defense. Sap Brooks, Simme,
Speaker 2: and Rice John Lynch, we're all better than him. You
Speaker 2: have four guys better than him on those Bucks defenses.
Speaker 2: He's not in. And Guam Bolden, second time as a semifinalist.
Speaker 2: Not a Hall of Famer, excellent player, not a Hall
Speaker 2: of famer. Henry Ellard, this is his first time as
Speaker 2: a semifinalist. I think it's last year on the ballot.
Speaker 2: He's not gonna get in. I can't give you much
Speaker 2: Henry Ellard analysis. If I'm being honest. I mentioned jarr Evans, London,
Speaker 2: Fletcher his first time as a semifinalist. I don't think
Speaker 2: he's getting in. Freeny is a possible. James Harrison is
Speaker 2: a possible. Rodney Harrison, he is a Hall of famer.
Speaker 2: It's his second time as a semifinalist. I don't know
Speaker 2: if he gets in. Devin Hester. To me, he's the
Speaker 2: greatest return man. Ever by a mile, he should get in.
Speaker 2: I would put him in. This his second time as
Speaker 2: a semifinalist. Tory Holt ninth time as a semifinalist, nine times,
Speaker 2: he's been to the stage. He's never gotten in. We
Speaker 2: always say he'll get in eventually, but you you have
Speaker 2: new guys that come up, you know what I mean,
Speaker 2: like that have to get in. He's a possible. Andre Johnson.
Speaker 2: I thought he was one of the best receivers of
Speaker 2: his era played for the Texans. His touchdown numbers kill him.
Speaker 2: I thought he was a Hall of Fame level player.
Speaker 2: You can't put him in before Tory Holt set him
Speaker 2: aside Robert Mathis. Maybe he gets in eventually, but you
Speaker 2: can't put him in before Freeenie when Freenie and Mathis
Speaker 2: were the two pass rushers for the Colts and Freeenie
Speaker 2: was better. Revis already mentioned Steve Smith his second time
Speaker 2: as a semifinalist. To me, he's not a Hall of famer.
Speaker 2: Fred Taylor, fourth time as a semifinalist, He's not a
Speaker 2: Hall of famer. Joe Thomas I mentioned Zach Thomas. This
Speaker 2: is the linebacker for the Dolphins. Fifth time as a semifinalist.
Speaker 2: To me, he's not a Hall of Famer. Heinz Ward
Speaker 2: seventh time as a semifinalist. He's not a Hall of Famer.
Speaker 2: He might get in eventually because he does so much media.
Speaker 2: Not a Hall of Famer. DeMarcus Ware to me is
Speaker 2: a Hall of Famer. I think he needs to get
Speaker 2: in in short order. This is second time as a
Speaker 2: SIMMI finalist. Ricky Waters, third time as a semifinalist. He's
Speaker 2: not a Hall of Famer. Reggie Wayne is to me
Speaker 2: a Hall of Famer, but was not as good as
Speaker 2: Andre Johnson, who I don't think is gonna get in.
Speaker 2: And Reggie Wayne had better longevity, but it's so hard,
Speaker 2: and Tory Halt's going to get in before any of
Speaker 2: them anyway. Vince Wilford two time semifinalists. I don't I
Speaker 2: think Vince was a great player. I don't know that
Speaker 2: he's a Hall of Famer. Patrick Willis this is fourth
Speaker 2: time as a semi finalist. Patrick Willis has to be
Speaker 2: in the Hall of Fame in my opinion. He had
Speaker 2: a very short career but was utterly dominant. And then
Speaker 2: there's Darren Woodson seven time as a semifinalist to me
Speaker 2: as a Hall of Famer. So if I if I
Speaker 2: were doing a ballot this year, my five would be
Speaker 2: Revis and Joe Thomas. First ballot, no doubters. I would
Speaker 2: put Hester in, I would put Dwight Freenian on the
Speaker 2: first ballot, and I would put Patrick Willison. That would
Speaker 2: mean Tory Holt is waiting once again. But those would
Speaker 2: be my five Hester Freeenie Willis, Uh, Revis, and Thomas.
Speaker 2: With the next guys up James Harrison, DeMarcus Ware, Tory Holt,
Speaker 2: Reggie Wayne. And it's gonna be really really hard for
Speaker 2: these other guys because I don't even the I'm gonna
Speaker 2: let me check this real quick and then we can
Speaker 2: move on. Who is eligible for PF ho F twenty
Speaker 2: twenty three. I want to see who is eligible for
Speaker 2: the class in twenty twenty three, like the new guys
Speaker 2: that'll be coming up. So oh, okay, hold on, I
Speaker 2: have to check the next year. There we go. So
Speaker 2: that was twenty twenty three is the one we're looking
Speaker 2: at right now. In twenty twenty four, Julius Pepper's, Antonio Gates,
Speaker 2: Eric Berry are the guys that become eligible. Eric Berry's
Speaker 2: not going to get in. My guy Jamal Charles, who's
Speaker 2: one of my favorite players ever and if he was
Speaker 2: used properly, would have been a Hall of Famer. Twenty
Speaker 2: twenty five, Luke Keikley becomes eligible, and some other guys,
Speaker 2: So some of these there aren't a bunch of must
Speaker 2: put in first ballot guys the next few years, so
Speaker 2: some of these other guys will get in, but those
Speaker 2: are my five. Have a wonderful Thanksgiving, Enjoy the time
Speaker 2: with your family, good luck betting. Don't chase in that
Speaker 2: Vikings Patriots game. What's right