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Review the 10 00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:35,640 Speaker 1: disclosures and disclaimers at cbo dot com slash us underscore disclaimers. 11 00:00:42,400 --> 00:00:46,200 Speaker 2: Welcome in episode ninety nine, a kind of special edition 12 00:00:46,479 --> 00:00:48,800 Speaker 2: of our gambling show. This is going to be coming 13 00:00:48,840 --> 00:00:52,400 Speaker 2: out sometime on Wednesday, so we can get the Thanksgiving 14 00:00:52,479 --> 00:00:56,880 Speaker 2: Day games in. Also, because it's on Wednesday, we have 15 00:00:57,040 --> 00:00:59,760 Speaker 2: not we're recording Wednesday morning. We get none of the 16 00:00:59,840 --> 00:01:02,760 Speaker 2: injury report info that we rely on except for the 17 00:01:02,960 --> 00:01:05,760 Speaker 2: for the Thanksgiving games, So when it comes to our picks, 18 00:01:05,760 --> 00:01:08,840 Speaker 2: we might rely or lean on those Thanksgiving games a 19 00:01:08,920 --> 00:01:13,040 Speaker 2: little bit heavier than we normally would. Also, I understand 20 00:01:13,040 --> 00:01:17,000 Speaker 2: there's gonna be news potential some quarterback changes in some 21 00:01:17,120 --> 00:01:19,559 Speaker 2: of the other games. We obviously will not include those 22 00:01:19,640 --> 00:01:22,120 Speaker 2: in our picks. We don't know justin fields health. We 23 00:01:22,120 --> 00:01:24,200 Speaker 2: don't know if Zach Wilson still the starting quarterback for 24 00:01:24,240 --> 00:01:27,839 Speaker 2: the Jets. But that's the negative of doing the show today. 25 00:01:27,959 --> 00:01:30,280 Speaker 2: The bright side is this, for the first time in 26 00:01:30,319 --> 00:01:33,959 Speaker 2: two months, we have sixteen games to get to because 27 00:01:34,400 --> 00:01:37,800 Speaker 2: buys are not over. But there are no buys this 28 00:01:37,920 --> 00:01:41,720 Speaker 2: Thanksgiving week because we have three games on Thursday, so 29 00:01:41,760 --> 00:01:43,920 Speaker 2: they want to have a full Sunday's worth of games. 30 00:01:44,120 --> 00:01:46,440 Speaker 2: The buys will come back next week and then wrap up, 31 00:01:46,440 --> 00:01:49,920 Speaker 2: I believe the following week, So it's week twelve. It's 32 00:01:49,960 --> 00:01:53,559 Speaker 2: episode ninety nine. Unfortunately, first we must discuss week nine, 33 00:01:54,000 --> 00:01:56,640 Speaker 2: which I think was our week eleven pardon me, which 34 00:01:56,680 --> 00:02:00,400 Speaker 2: I think was our worst week of the year. Three 35 00:02:00,440 --> 00:02:05,320 Speaker 2: and one. Last week, Chicago pushed against Atlanta, the Raiders 36 00:02:05,360 --> 00:02:10,280 Speaker 2: covered in overtime against the Broncos. And now let's discuss 37 00:02:10,360 --> 00:02:13,639 Speaker 2: the other ones. The Rams plus four and a half 38 00:02:13,720 --> 00:02:17,720 Speaker 2: against New Orleans. I was early on how bad the 39 00:02:17,800 --> 00:02:21,640 Speaker 2: Rams are. I've not been a Rams believer, so why 40 00:02:21,639 --> 00:02:25,000 Speaker 2: did I pick them? Because New Orleans is you give 41 00:02:25,000 --> 00:02:28,760 Speaker 2: me that look? Hold on a second, Hold on a second. 42 00:02:29,120 --> 00:02:34,639 Speaker 2: The Rams were covering until Stafford went out with another concussion. 43 00:02:34,919 --> 00:02:38,560 Speaker 2: By the way, the concussion, that lack of conversation on 44 00:02:38,680 --> 00:02:42,680 Speaker 2: the Tua concussion stuff to the Stafford concussion stuff is 45 00:02:42,760 --> 00:02:45,120 Speaker 2: very interesting, maybe because no one was watching that game, 46 00:02:45,240 --> 00:02:47,440 Speaker 2: but he was in concussion protocol. He went back, he 47 00:02:47,520 --> 00:02:50,840 Speaker 2: played this game. Now he's out in concussion protocol again 48 00:02:51,240 --> 00:02:56,480 Speaker 2: and real concerns for him obviously. On will say it again. 49 00:02:56,639 --> 00:03:00,840 Speaker 2: Visual exactly right. Well, the visual and the fact that 50 00:03:00,840 --> 00:03:03,720 Speaker 2: it was an actionally televised game, so everybody was watching it, 51 00:03:04,440 --> 00:03:06,799 Speaker 2: but the Rams were covering the quarterback got hurt. I 52 00:03:06,840 --> 00:03:12,520 Speaker 2: don't feel badly about that one. Pittsburgh. I listen, Pittsburgh's 53 00:03:12,520 --> 00:03:16,680 Speaker 2: offense did enough to cover against Cincinnati. Their defense is 54 00:03:16,720 --> 00:03:19,840 Speaker 2: what let them down in this particular game. Also, you 55 00:03:19,880 --> 00:03:23,320 Speaker 2: and the producers let me down in this particular game 56 00:03:23,480 --> 00:03:26,120 Speaker 2: by trying to guilt me into going with Mike Tomlin 57 00:03:26,400 --> 00:03:30,800 Speaker 2: as a home underdog. I knew. I knew when I 58 00:03:30,880 --> 00:03:33,320 Speaker 2: was making the pick. I was like, man, everyone last 59 00:03:33,320 --> 00:03:35,839 Speaker 2: week was talking about Tomlin as a home dog. Now 60 00:03:35,880 --> 00:03:38,280 Speaker 2: everyone's gonna be on it as a bad pick by 61 00:03:38,320 --> 00:03:41,760 Speaker 2: me and the Giants just falling flat on their face 62 00:03:42,240 --> 00:03:45,520 Speaker 2: against the Detroit Lions. I had them laying three. They 63 00:03:45,560 --> 00:03:48,640 Speaker 2: lost by double digits. That was an embarrassing one. Not 64 00:03:48,720 --> 00:03:50,840 Speaker 2: a good week. I do feel like we got a 65 00:03:50,840 --> 00:03:53,440 Speaker 2: little screwed on the Rams pick. Not a good week. 66 00:03:53,480 --> 00:03:56,320 Speaker 2: It puts us three games under five hundred for the year, 67 00:03:56,600 --> 00:04:00,280 Speaker 2: which means five and oh. This week we're above five hundred, 68 00:04:00,600 --> 00:04:05,040 Speaker 2: four and one. We're right at five hundred after Thanksgiving, 69 00:04:05,360 --> 00:04:07,760 Speaker 2: ready for a good playoff run. We're not even gonna 70 00:04:07,800 --> 00:04:09,600 Speaker 2: go over what the record of the right move is 71 00:04:09,880 --> 00:04:13,560 Speaker 2: because that has been disastrous. Five games to pick this 72 00:04:13,640 --> 00:04:16,040 Speaker 2: week in the first segment of the show. Then we'll 73 00:04:16,040 --> 00:04:19,360 Speaker 2: break down the other eleven games as quickly as we can. 74 00:04:19,800 --> 00:04:24,159 Speaker 2: Then also maybe throw in a little World Cup gambling opportunities. 75 00:04:24,400 --> 00:04:29,280 Speaker 2: We might do that as well. First pick Detroit getting 76 00:04:29,320 --> 00:04:36,520 Speaker 2: a full ten at home against Buffalo on Thanksgiving. Here's 77 00:04:36,520 --> 00:04:41,960 Speaker 2: the logic here. Buffalo has not looked dominant in quite 78 00:04:42,000 --> 00:04:45,440 Speaker 2: some time. They are now on a short week, as 79 00:04:45,520 --> 00:04:49,080 Speaker 2: is Detroit. However, I think that hurts Buffalo a little 80 00:04:49,080 --> 00:04:53,480 Speaker 2: bit more because Josh Allen's elbow is still banged up, 81 00:04:53,800 --> 00:04:55,600 Speaker 2: so now he has to go with the game against 82 00:04:55,640 --> 00:04:58,640 Speaker 2: the Browns where he did not play great. I know 83 00:04:58,720 --> 00:05:01,120 Speaker 2: they won that game. He threw for less than two 84 00:05:01,200 --> 00:05:04,920 Speaker 2: hundred yards, and he didn't run the football even though 85 00:05:04,920 --> 00:05:07,680 Speaker 2: he had seven yards rushing, even though they needed to 86 00:05:07,720 --> 00:05:11,320 Speaker 2: find a way to create offense. So the Bills offense 87 00:05:11,400 --> 00:05:16,720 Speaker 2: is not overly explosive. Detroit's getting healthier. Detroit's offense at 88 00:05:16,720 --> 00:05:19,799 Speaker 2: home this year has been far better than on the road. 89 00:05:20,320 --> 00:05:23,159 Speaker 2: It's the biggest game for the Lions, my god, in 90 00:05:23,360 --> 00:05:28,120 Speaker 2: years National TV Thanksgiving. On a three game winning streak, 91 00:05:28,360 --> 00:05:33,080 Speaker 2: I'm getting ten full points, even if it's twenty one 92 00:05:33,160 --> 00:05:36,479 Speaker 2: to three at the half. I feel alive because the 93 00:05:36,520 --> 00:05:40,320 Speaker 2: Bills have had a hard time putting together consecutive dominant 94 00:05:40,320 --> 00:05:43,479 Speaker 2: halves of football. I'm not picking Detroit to win, but 95 00:05:43,680 --> 00:05:46,360 Speaker 2: ten points is too much. Detroit plus ten. 96 00:05:46,520 --> 00:05:50,120 Speaker 3: Thanksgiving road favorites are nineteen and five since two thousand and. 97 00:05:50,040 --> 00:05:51,800 Speaker 2: Four, nineteen to five against the spread. 98 00:05:51,920 --> 00:05:54,680 Speaker 3: Yep spread. Yeah, Jared Golf is certainly the guy to 99 00:05:54,720 --> 00:05:55,760 Speaker 3: make that nineteen and six. 100 00:05:55,920 --> 00:06:00,720 Speaker 2: Okay, I'd seen that stat as well, that Thanksgiving, when 101 00:06:00,760 --> 00:06:03,880 Speaker 2: a road team's favored, they usually blow out the opposition. 102 00:06:04,200 --> 00:06:08,440 Speaker 2: I get that. I do not think the Bills are 103 00:06:08,880 --> 00:06:13,120 Speaker 2: currently in the blowout business now. I understand if they 104 00:06:13,200 --> 00:06:16,000 Speaker 2: end up crushing Detroit, this is gonna be thrown in 105 00:06:16,080 --> 00:06:18,680 Speaker 2: my face. People are gonna clip it. I get that, 106 00:06:19,200 --> 00:06:22,240 Speaker 2: But let me just make the argument here as far 107 00:06:22,279 --> 00:06:25,440 Speaker 2: as Buffalo should not be laying ten on the road 108 00:06:25,720 --> 00:06:31,240 Speaker 2: against anybody right now, much less a semi frisky Lions team. 109 00:06:31,680 --> 00:06:34,040 Speaker 2: They played the Browns on a neutral site, they won 110 00:06:34,120 --> 00:06:37,360 Speaker 2: by eight. They played the Vikings, were up by seventeen 111 00:06:37,480 --> 00:06:40,120 Speaker 2: and lost, played the Jets, were up by double digits 112 00:06:40,160 --> 00:06:45,040 Speaker 2: and lost, played the Packers when the Packers were in 113 00:06:45,080 --> 00:06:48,840 Speaker 2: the midst of a tailspin, only one by ten in 114 00:06:48,880 --> 00:06:52,320 Speaker 2: a game the Packers, it was just laying just waiting 115 00:06:52,360 --> 00:06:55,120 Speaker 2: for the Bills to take total control of If you 116 00:06:55,120 --> 00:06:57,039 Speaker 2: remember that game that we scored three points in the 117 00:06:57,040 --> 00:07:00,400 Speaker 2: second half beat the Chiefs by four. Now, that's actually 118 00:07:00,440 --> 00:07:02,000 Speaker 2: their best game of the sea, their best win of 119 00:07:02,040 --> 00:07:05,880 Speaker 2: the season. They have not blown anyone out since they 120 00:07:05,960 --> 00:07:10,440 Speaker 2: played the Steelers at home the first week of October. 121 00:07:11,120 --> 00:07:14,240 Speaker 2: They blew out the Rams early in the year, they 122 00:07:14,280 --> 00:07:16,880 Speaker 2: crushed the Titans early in the year, and they crushed 123 00:07:16,920 --> 00:07:21,600 Speaker 2: the Steelers, but that was all by October ninth. Since then, 124 00:07:22,120 --> 00:07:26,320 Speaker 2: they have zero eleven point or more victories I don't 125 00:07:26,360 --> 00:07:29,200 Speaker 2: think the Lions are dreadful. I do think the Lions 126 00:07:29,280 --> 00:07:34,200 Speaker 2: right now are actually finding ways to stay in football games. 127 00:07:34,400 --> 00:07:37,480 Speaker 2: And the Lions have been a team that it was 128 00:07:37,640 --> 00:07:39,880 Speaker 2: early in the year at home was the only place 129 00:07:39,920 --> 00:07:43,600 Speaker 2: their offense traveled back to back weeks, scoring thirty one points. 130 00:07:44,320 --> 00:07:47,080 Speaker 2: I just I like the Lions getting ten. We'll stay 131 00:07:47,120 --> 00:07:51,080 Speaker 2: on Thanksgiving another dog, the Giants getting nine and a 132 00:07:51,160 --> 00:07:54,720 Speaker 2: half at Dallas. We know what the Giants are gonna do. 133 00:07:55,480 --> 00:07:58,400 Speaker 2: The Giants are just gonna run Saque Seque's coming off 134 00:07:58,400 --> 00:08:01,160 Speaker 2: his worst game of the year. They're gonna run Daniel Jones. 135 00:08:01,280 --> 00:08:05,120 Speaker 2: They're gonna try to shorten this game. We also last week, 136 00:08:05,680 --> 00:08:10,120 Speaker 2: Dallas coming off a devastating loss, the Vikings coming off 137 00:08:10,160 --> 00:08:14,560 Speaker 2: a galvanizing win. They met each other, Dallas kicked their ass. 138 00:08:14,880 --> 00:08:20,320 Speaker 2: This week, Dallas coming off dominant victory, the Giants coming 139 00:08:20,360 --> 00:08:25,640 Speaker 2: off a head scratching, indefensible loss to the Lions. So 140 00:08:25,760 --> 00:08:30,440 Speaker 2: now those motivations are reversed. Also, I think that I 141 00:08:30,440 --> 00:08:33,120 Speaker 2: shouldn't say also, but to reiterate the point about the 142 00:08:33,200 --> 00:08:36,480 Speaker 2: Giants running Saquon, I just think this is gonna be 143 00:08:36,480 --> 00:08:39,160 Speaker 2: a game where instead of each team getting eleven or 144 00:08:39,160 --> 00:08:42,800 Speaker 2: twelve possessions. Each team's gonna get eight or nine possessions 145 00:08:43,120 --> 00:08:46,720 Speaker 2: because they're gonna be long drives with the Giants running 146 00:08:46,720 --> 00:08:51,360 Speaker 2: the football. The Giants also understand if they lose this game, 147 00:08:51,760 --> 00:08:54,480 Speaker 2: it could go south for the Giants real quick. I 148 00:08:54,559 --> 00:08:57,760 Speaker 2: know they were seven and two, but the Giants have 149 00:08:57,880 --> 00:09:00,480 Speaker 2: one of the most brutal schedules the rest of the way. 150 00:09:00,559 --> 00:09:04,120 Speaker 2: In fact, by strength of schedule, the hardest schedule the 151 00:09:04,160 --> 00:09:06,960 Speaker 2: rest of the way. After the Cowboys game, they have 152 00:09:07,000 --> 00:09:11,000 Speaker 2: the Commanders, Eagles Commanders, so it's four straight divisional games, 153 00:09:11,360 --> 00:09:14,640 Speaker 2: then the Vikings, then the Colts, and then the Eagles 154 00:09:14,679 --> 00:09:18,480 Speaker 2: again to finish the year. So the Giants, it's been 155 00:09:18,520 --> 00:09:22,680 Speaker 2: a good story in a good season. They could still 156 00:09:22,720 --> 00:09:25,760 Speaker 2: miss the playoffs. They're only minus one forty to make 157 00:09:25,800 --> 00:09:29,520 Speaker 2: the playoffs from the odds makers. I think the Giants 158 00:09:29,600 --> 00:09:34,200 Speaker 2: keep this close. I would not be shocked if a 159 00:09:34,360 --> 00:09:39,400 Speaker 2: somewhat immature Dallas team loses this game. I also think 160 00:09:39,679 --> 00:09:44,160 Speaker 2: that Micah Parsons impact is gonna be mitigated to an 161 00:09:44,160 --> 00:09:47,439 Speaker 2: extent in two ways. One is Andrew Thomas Giants sackles 162 00:09:47,480 --> 00:09:49,480 Speaker 2: one of the best in football. The other is I 163 00:09:49,480 --> 00:09:53,000 Speaker 2: think the Giants will do to Micah Parsons what the 164 00:09:53,080 --> 00:09:56,640 Speaker 2: Chiefs did to Nicky Bosa against the chart against the 165 00:09:56,800 --> 00:10:01,040 Speaker 2: Niners a month ago. Run right at them, try to 166 00:10:01,240 --> 00:10:07,680 Speaker 2: try to kind of displace his pass rushing tendencies by 167 00:10:07,800 --> 00:10:11,400 Speaker 2: running at him and making him question himself on passing downs. 168 00:10:11,640 --> 00:10:13,440 Speaker 2: I like the Giants getting nine and a half. 169 00:10:13,600 --> 00:10:15,559 Speaker 3: I can't tell if you're believing to my guy, Daniel 170 00:10:15,640 --> 00:10:21,440 Speaker 3: Jones or the Giants did lose two starting corners and 171 00:10:21,480 --> 00:10:23,760 Speaker 3: they just lost the starting wide receiver four days ago. 172 00:10:23,800 --> 00:10:25,040 Speaker 3: So are you sure about this? 173 00:10:25,320 --> 00:10:28,200 Speaker 2: Listen? The starting wide receiver injury doesn't concern me that 174 00:10:28,280 --> 00:10:30,480 Speaker 2: much because they shouldn't be throwing the ball much anyway. 175 00:10:30,800 --> 00:10:33,400 Speaker 2: The passes they should be throwing are two Saquon the 176 00:10:33,480 --> 00:10:38,200 Speaker 2: starting corner injuries do concern me to a degree. But 177 00:10:38,280 --> 00:10:41,960 Speaker 2: I also think that Cowboys are gonna try. I don't 178 00:10:41,960 --> 00:10:44,680 Speaker 2: think the cow the Cowboys got their blowout last week. 179 00:10:44,920 --> 00:10:48,360 Speaker 2: I think the Cowboys understand if they win this game. 180 00:10:49,360 --> 00:10:52,200 Speaker 2: If they win this game, they're gonna be in a 181 00:10:52,280 --> 00:10:56,480 Speaker 2: situation where the one seed is on the table for them. 182 00:10:56,920 --> 00:10:59,199 Speaker 2: Now that might sound silly because they have three losses 183 00:10:59,200 --> 00:11:02,080 Speaker 2: in Philly only as one but Philly. They have the 184 00:11:02,120 --> 00:11:05,400 Speaker 2: same number of divisional losses, and Dallas gets to play 185 00:11:05,440 --> 00:11:08,079 Speaker 2: Philly again, So Dallas will go in and I think 186 00:11:08,120 --> 00:11:11,360 Speaker 2: Dallas feels like we win this game if we can 187 00:11:11,440 --> 00:11:14,760 Speaker 2: beat Philly, if Philly stumbles one more time the rest 188 00:11:14,800 --> 00:11:18,240 Speaker 2: of the way, we will control our own destiny to 189 00:11:18,320 --> 00:11:22,320 Speaker 2: win the division and to and to potentially be the 190 00:11:22,360 --> 00:11:25,600 Speaker 2: one seed. The reason I like that when I'm taking 191 00:11:25,640 --> 00:11:30,360 Speaker 2: the Giants is I think the Cowboys are not going 192 00:11:30,440 --> 00:11:35,760 Speaker 2: to if this is a seven point game late. I 193 00:11:35,800 --> 00:11:38,960 Speaker 2: don't think they're gonna be trying to add style points. 194 00:11:39,000 --> 00:11:41,600 Speaker 2: I think there's gonna be trying to escape with a win. 195 00:11:42,040 --> 00:11:44,000 Speaker 2: I also think the Giants can win out right. I 196 00:11:44,080 --> 00:11:45,960 Speaker 2: like the Giants plus nine and a half. What I 197 00:11:46,000 --> 00:11:47,520 Speaker 2: was trying to tell you a moment ago is you're 198 00:11:47,520 --> 00:11:49,920 Speaker 2: missing a button on your shirt, showing a little belly 199 00:11:49,920 --> 00:11:52,160 Speaker 2: button to the audience, which I understand might help our 200 00:11:52,200 --> 00:11:55,760 Speaker 2: YouTube subscribers, but a little distracting for me. Next game, 201 00:11:57,600 --> 00:12:02,840 Speaker 2: Tampa Bay laying three in Cleveland. Okay, Brady undefeated since 202 00:12:02,920 --> 00:12:06,720 Speaker 2: the divorce, the Bucks coming off their best game of 203 00:12:06,760 --> 00:12:13,600 Speaker 2: the year. What they didn't play this past week, Yeah, 204 00:12:13,920 --> 00:12:16,640 Speaker 2: their best game of the year against Seattle and then 205 00:12:16,679 --> 00:12:20,959 Speaker 2: the bye, so they're rested. Cleveland, on the other hand, 206 00:12:21,640 --> 00:12:23,600 Speaker 2: just had to go to Detroit for a game. Now 207 00:12:23,600 --> 00:12:28,720 Speaker 2: they're back in Cleveland. I think Cleveland. I watched that 208 00:12:28,760 --> 00:12:34,080 Speaker 2: Buffalo game very very closely, and Cleveland's inability to take 209 00:12:34,160 --> 00:12:39,040 Speaker 2: advantage of a Buffalo team that was just miserable for 210 00:12:39,120 --> 00:12:41,920 Speaker 2: the first quarter and a half of that game does 211 00:12:42,000 --> 00:12:46,000 Speaker 2: not give me any faith in them moving forward until 212 00:12:46,080 --> 00:12:48,920 Speaker 2: Deshaun gets back. I also think there has to be 213 00:12:49,000 --> 00:12:52,840 Speaker 2: a bit of a demoralization for the Browns because things 214 00:12:52,920 --> 00:12:56,920 Speaker 2: started for them this year. If you remember, they looked like, oh, 215 00:12:57,600 --> 00:13:01,440 Speaker 2: you know that they could be more than frisky team. 216 00:13:01,800 --> 00:13:04,160 Speaker 2: Their first game of the year, they beat the Panthers. 217 00:13:04,480 --> 00:13:07,400 Speaker 2: Game two, they gave it away against the Jets. That 218 00:13:07,480 --> 00:13:10,800 Speaker 2: was the Nick Chubb game. Game three, they crushed the Steelers. 219 00:13:11,320 --> 00:13:16,360 Speaker 2: Since then, though, heartbreaking loss to the Falcons, heartbreaking loss 220 00:13:16,400 --> 00:13:21,400 Speaker 2: to the Chargers, blown out by the Patriots, beat beat 221 00:13:21,480 --> 00:13:24,839 Speaker 2: by the Ravens. They then crushed the Bengals in one 222 00:13:24,840 --> 00:13:27,720 Speaker 2: of the oddest games of the year, and then got 223 00:13:27,800 --> 00:13:30,960 Speaker 2: crushed by the Dolphins, got crushed by the or got 224 00:13:30,960 --> 00:13:35,120 Speaker 2: beaten by the Bills. The Browns I think are a 225 00:13:35,160 --> 00:13:38,720 Speaker 2: team that recognizes their seasons are rap. The Bucks, on 226 00:13:38,760 --> 00:13:42,000 Speaker 2: the other hand, are a team that recognizes we win 227 00:13:42,080 --> 00:13:46,360 Speaker 2: this game. We have real momentum in a wide open NFC, 228 00:13:46,800 --> 00:13:50,160 Speaker 2: I expect the Bucks to win. The fact that I 229 00:13:50,200 --> 00:13:52,760 Speaker 2: don't have to lay three and a half is thrilling. 230 00:13:53,200 --> 00:13:56,000 Speaker 2: I think that Tom Brady is gonna look the best 231 00:13:56,040 --> 00:13:58,600 Speaker 2: he's looked all year, thanks to the fact that he 232 00:13:58,640 --> 00:14:01,720 Speaker 2: has the extra rest and the team's got a little momentum. 233 00:14:01,920 --> 00:14:05,120 Speaker 2: This is probably I know it's a road favorite, but 234 00:14:05,160 --> 00:14:09,640 Speaker 2: it's probably my favorite play of the week. Tampa minus three. 235 00:14:10,040 --> 00:14:13,600 Speaker 2: This feels to me like a twenty four to ten 236 00:14:14,120 --> 00:14:17,520 Speaker 2: Tampa Bay victory, maybe twenty one to ten. I don't 237 00:14:17,520 --> 00:14:20,160 Speaker 2: see Cleveland scoring a lot of points. I like Tampa 238 00:14:20,240 --> 00:14:28,280 Speaker 2: laying the three points. Next, Tennessee a home dog against Cincinnati. 239 00:14:28,800 --> 00:14:34,320 Speaker 2: Tennessee getting two and a half, So this is very 240 00:14:34,440 --> 00:14:36,880 Speaker 2: very I think Cincinnati is good, don't get me wrong, 241 00:14:37,520 --> 00:14:40,560 Speaker 2: but this is a very very simple pick for me. 242 00:14:41,560 --> 00:14:44,880 Speaker 2: This is a top five coach in Vrabel against the 243 00:14:44,920 --> 00:14:48,240 Speaker 2: bottom ten coach and Zach Taylor. Gimme Vrabel and give 244 00:14:48,320 --> 00:14:52,200 Speaker 2: me the points. I think that the Titans, their defense 245 00:14:52,320 --> 00:14:55,520 Speaker 2: is exceptional. They are going to run the hell out 246 00:14:55,520 --> 00:14:58,400 Speaker 2: of the football. They know exactly who they want to be. 247 00:14:58,880 --> 00:15:01,760 Speaker 2: They are there coming off a bit of an extended 248 00:15:01,880 --> 00:15:05,360 Speaker 2: rest the Mini by because they played on Thursday night 249 00:15:05,800 --> 00:15:09,680 Speaker 2: last week against Green Bay. I think very the Titans. 250 00:15:09,760 --> 00:15:13,360 Speaker 2: I don't trust them as a super Bowl contender, but 251 00:15:13,480 --> 00:15:16,720 Speaker 2: do I trust them in the regular season to find 252 00:15:16,840 --> 00:15:22,480 Speaker 2: ways to keep games close and potentially steal a victory. Absolutely. 253 00:15:22,800 --> 00:15:25,000 Speaker 2: Do I think Derrick Henry is going to be able 254 00:15:25,040 --> 00:15:28,440 Speaker 2: to run on Cincinnati. I do. Do. I think that 255 00:15:28,680 --> 00:15:33,680 Speaker 2: Mike vrabel Is should not be an underdog at home 256 00:15:34,160 --> 00:15:37,920 Speaker 2: against anyone other than the three or four best teams 257 00:15:37,920 --> 00:15:41,040 Speaker 2: in football. I do. I like the Titans plus two 258 00:15:41,080 --> 00:15:41,640 Speaker 2: and a half. 259 00:15:41,680 --> 00:15:44,360 Speaker 3: The Titans have covered eight straight against the spread, but 260 00:15:44,720 --> 00:15:47,840 Speaker 3: still are getting disrespected by Vegas. Did you consider putting 261 00:15:47,880 --> 00:15:48,800 Speaker 3: this in the be careful? 262 00:15:49,480 --> 00:15:52,320 Speaker 2: I didn't because I actually think the public is going 263 00:15:52,400 --> 00:15:55,240 Speaker 2: to be all over Cincinnati. Okay, I think the public. 264 00:15:55,880 --> 00:15:59,200 Speaker 2: I think Cincinnati is good in Cincinnati because of the 265 00:15:59,280 --> 00:16:04,240 Speaker 2: quarterback miss match Burrow versus Tannehill. I would expect to 266 00:16:04,360 --> 00:16:07,400 Speaker 2: me if this were to be and be careful, it 267 00:16:07,440 --> 00:16:11,680 Speaker 2: would be careful, as in, they're they're daring you to 268 00:16:11,680 --> 00:16:13,720 Speaker 2: pick the Bengals. You don't even have to lay the 269 00:16:13,760 --> 00:16:17,440 Speaker 2: full three points. The Bengals are defending AFC champions, all 270 00:16:17,480 --> 00:16:21,560 Speaker 2: those reasons. I like the Titans. I don't know that 271 00:16:21,600 --> 00:16:24,480 Speaker 2: the Titans are gonna win, and it's weird to pick 272 00:16:24,520 --> 00:16:26,440 Speaker 2: a team getting less than three if you don't know 273 00:16:26,440 --> 00:16:28,760 Speaker 2: if they're gonna win. But I could say I see 274 00:16:28,760 --> 00:16:32,160 Speaker 2: this being a one, two, three point game that either 275 00:16:32,200 --> 00:16:35,160 Speaker 2: team can win. I have five of those outcomes go 276 00:16:35,360 --> 00:16:38,080 Speaker 2: my way. Tennessee by one, two, three, Cincinnati by one 277 00:16:38,120 --> 00:16:40,640 Speaker 2: and two. All go my way in Tennessee plus two 278 00:16:40,680 --> 00:16:43,400 Speaker 2: and a half. The only way I lose Cincinnati wins 279 00:16:43,400 --> 00:16:45,480 Speaker 2: by three, which of course is on the board. I 280 00:16:45,560 --> 00:16:48,200 Speaker 2: like the Titans plus two and a half though. And lastly, 281 00:16:49,560 --> 00:16:52,600 Speaker 2: I'm off that Raiders narcotic. They got me a nice 282 00:16:52,640 --> 00:16:56,120 Speaker 2: win last week. We're now leaving them, you know, to 283 00:16:56,200 --> 00:17:00,560 Speaker 2: the dustbin of history. Seattle laying three and a half 284 00:17:01,040 --> 00:17:06,080 Speaker 2: at home against Las Vegas. So Seattle also coming off 285 00:17:06,119 --> 00:17:09,160 Speaker 2: a buy, the Raiders coming off a win which maybe 286 00:17:09,200 --> 00:17:13,200 Speaker 2: made them feel better than they actually should. Seattle's ability. 287 00:17:13,560 --> 00:17:16,640 Speaker 2: I think Gino's gonna have a huge game. I think 288 00:17:16,720 --> 00:17:20,960 Speaker 2: Gino played really well after making a brutal mistake against 289 00:17:21,040 --> 00:17:25,600 Speaker 2: Tampa in Germany a couple weeks ago, a couple beautiful passes. 290 00:17:25,800 --> 00:17:27,760 Speaker 2: I think Seattle's going to be able to run the ball. 291 00:17:27,960 --> 00:17:32,000 Speaker 2: I think Seattle also recognizes the Niners are coming, and 292 00:17:32,040 --> 00:17:34,960 Speaker 2: that if Seattle wants to stay in control of that 293 00:17:35,040 --> 00:17:38,160 Speaker 2: division and at the very least stay in really good 294 00:17:38,240 --> 00:17:40,920 Speaker 2: position to be a wild card if the Niners catch them, 295 00:17:41,119 --> 00:17:44,600 Speaker 2: they can't screw around with Vegas. I don't expect Vegas 296 00:17:44,720 --> 00:17:48,680 Speaker 2: to put together sixty quality minutes. I wasn't overly impressed 297 00:17:48,680 --> 00:17:51,439 Speaker 2: by Vegas in the win over the Broncos. It's just 298 00:17:51,480 --> 00:17:56,440 Speaker 2: that the Broncos offense is so terrible. Seattle laying three 299 00:17:56,480 --> 00:17:58,840 Speaker 2: and a half. Of course you'd rather have it at three, 300 00:17:59,080 --> 00:18:01,679 Speaker 2: but three and a half to me, this feels like 301 00:18:01,720 --> 00:18:06,359 Speaker 2: a twenty four to seventeen Seahawks victory. I really like 302 00:18:06,440 --> 00:18:09,400 Speaker 2: the extra rest for Seattle. I actually think this year, 303 00:18:09,600 --> 00:18:12,000 Speaker 2: I think they have the quarterback edge. I know they 304 00:18:12,000 --> 00:18:15,080 Speaker 2: have the coaching edge, I know they have the defensive edge. 305 00:18:15,200 --> 00:18:17,639 Speaker 2: For all those reasons, I'm fine laying the three and 306 00:18:17,680 --> 00:18:20,399 Speaker 2: a half points Seattle minus three and a half against Vegas. 307 00:18:20,400 --> 00:18:22,240 Speaker 2: So go ahead, just something you will say about this game. 308 00:18:22,280 --> 00:18:24,000 Speaker 3: No, I love that one. I'm definitely get money on 309 00:18:24,000 --> 00:18:24,320 Speaker 3: that game. 310 00:18:24,359 --> 00:18:27,040 Speaker 2: There we go. Is that the first one of my 311 00:18:27,160 --> 00:18:28,199 Speaker 2: five you really like? No? 312 00:18:28,280 --> 00:18:31,479 Speaker 3: I like that one? And the Cleveland Tampa Bay You 313 00:18:31,560 --> 00:18:32,520 Speaker 3: like both of my favorites. 314 00:18:32,600 --> 00:18:36,359 Speaker 2: Yeah? Boy, thanks you A little nervous I might be 315 00:18:36,440 --> 00:18:40,840 Speaker 2: on the square side of those. Detroit plus ten against Buffalo, 316 00:18:41,600 --> 00:18:45,000 Speaker 2: that's a seven point Buffalo victory. Giants plus nine and 317 00:18:45,040 --> 00:18:48,920 Speaker 2: a half at Dallas on Thanksgiving, that's a three point 318 00:18:48,960 --> 00:18:51,720 Speaker 2: game in one direction or another. The Giants could win it. 319 00:18:52,040 --> 00:18:55,280 Speaker 2: Tampa laying the three, Tennessee plus the two and a half, 320 00:18:55,480 --> 00:18:58,800 Speaker 2: and Seattle minus the three and a half. That's our 321 00:18:58,960 --> 00:19:02,920 Speaker 2: five picks of the week. Smells like four and one. 322 00:19:03,320 --> 00:19:06,520 Speaker 2: Smells like we're getting back to five hundred after Thanksgiving. 323 00:19:06,560 --> 00:19:10,720 Speaker 2: As promised, we'll go through the other eleven games for 324 00:19:10,800 --> 00:19:13,399 Speaker 2: Week twelve in the NFL episode ninety nine of What's Right, 325 00:19:13,480 --> 00:19:14,000 Speaker 2: That's Next. 326 00:19:20,880 --> 00:19:23,679 Speaker 4: This episode is brought to you by Unstoppable. Discover the 327 00:19:23,720 --> 00:19:27,080 Speaker 4: inspiring true story about Anthony Robles, who defined every expectation 328 00:19:27,160 --> 00:19:30,040 Speaker 4: to become a national wrestling champion, and Unstoppable, a new 329 00:19:30,080 --> 00:19:33,639 Speaker 4: original movie from Amazon MGM Studios and director William Goldenberg. 330 00:19:33,760 --> 00:19:36,919 Speaker 4: Evoking the excitement and camaraderie of classic sports dramas and 331 00:19:36,920 --> 00:19:40,359 Speaker 4: thrilling wrestling matches, Unstoppable features an all star ensemble cast 332 00:19:40,440 --> 00:19:43,960 Speaker 4: including Jirelle Jerome, Jennifer Lopez, Don Cheatle, Michael Pania, and 333 00:19:43,960 --> 00:19:48,200 Speaker 4: Bobby Canavali. Watch Unstoppable now exclusively on Amazon Prime Video. 334 00:19:49,480 --> 00:19:51,960 Speaker 2: All right, welcome back. In episode ninety nine, Week twelve 335 00:19:52,080 --> 00:19:54,800 Speaker 2: NFL Gambling Show, we just gave you our five picks 336 00:19:54,840 --> 00:19:56,879 Speaker 2: of the week Detroit plus ten, Giants plus nine and 337 00:19:56,880 --> 00:19:59,160 Speaker 2: a half, Tampa minus three, Tennessee plus two and a half, 338 00:19:59,280 --> 00:20:02,000 Speaker 2: in Seattle three and a half. Now we've got our 339 00:20:02,040 --> 00:20:05,119 Speaker 2: stay aways, our be carefuls and are perfectly priced for 340 00:20:05,359 --> 00:20:10,040 Speaker 2: the three stayaways are New England at Minnesota, Denver at Carolina, 341 00:20:10,440 --> 00:20:15,639 Speaker 2: and Chicago at the Jets. New England at Minnesota is 342 00:20:15,800 --> 00:20:22,240 Speaker 2: more of a theoretical stay away for good gambling purpose reasons. 343 00:20:22,760 --> 00:20:25,760 Speaker 2: And then I'll talk about the actual game. Okay, if 344 00:20:25,800 --> 00:20:29,000 Speaker 2: you have a really strong feel on New England Minnesota, 345 00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:32,600 Speaker 2: so be it, go ahead and bet it. Here's what 346 00:20:33,160 --> 00:20:37,320 Speaker 2: I forbid you to do. If you are watching this 347 00:20:37,440 --> 00:20:44,800 Speaker 2: show and you're a gambler. I forbid you from potentially 348 00:20:45,040 --> 00:20:52,040 Speaker 2: ruining your Thanksgiving night by chasing your early day Thanksgiving 349 00:20:52,119 --> 00:20:57,480 Speaker 2: losses if they exist, by firing a last shot desperation, 350 00:20:57,840 --> 00:21:02,040 Speaker 2: probably semi drunk, semi annoyed with the family, bet on 351 00:21:02,240 --> 00:21:06,840 Speaker 2: Patriots vikings. This is how divorces happen. This is how 352 00:21:06,960 --> 00:21:11,760 Speaker 2: kids get angry at parents. This is You're gonna spend 353 00:21:11,800 --> 00:21:15,760 Speaker 2: all morning and afternoon watching games. You might not even 354 00:21:15,800 --> 00:21:19,159 Speaker 2: be that interested in Patriots vikings, and then all of 355 00:21:19,200 --> 00:21:23,480 Speaker 2: a sudden, you're stuck a bit before Sunday even gets here, 356 00:21:24,080 --> 00:21:27,960 Speaker 2: and you're gonna be firing big money on Pats vikings 357 00:21:28,040 --> 00:21:31,960 Speaker 2: coin flip because and your family's gonna be annoyed. They're 358 00:21:32,000 --> 00:21:35,280 Speaker 2: gonna want to play a nice game of Monopoly or 359 00:21:35,320 --> 00:21:38,320 Speaker 2: sit around, you know, the fire and talk, and you're 360 00:21:38,359 --> 00:21:41,280 Speaker 2: not gonna be there because you've gambled on this game. 361 00:21:41,560 --> 00:21:42,280 Speaker 2: What's up, demant? 362 00:21:42,359 --> 00:21:43,959 Speaker 3: Say that's crazy? I mean, first of all, I know, 363 00:21:44,040 --> 00:21:47,080 Speaker 3: Minnesota just lost last week terribly at home. Yeah, but 364 00:21:47,280 --> 00:21:49,840 Speaker 3: they're at home, and I know everybody's saying they're fraudulent. 365 00:21:50,080 --> 00:21:53,040 Speaker 3: What about New England? They haven't really beaten any real team. 366 00:21:53,119 --> 00:21:57,040 Speaker 2: Okay, so we will discuss the actual game in just 367 00:21:57,119 --> 00:22:00,760 Speaker 2: a moment. But I want to make collegers this is 368 00:22:01,000 --> 00:22:05,840 Speaker 2: just in general Christmas Day, NBA and now NFL as 369 00:22:05,880 --> 00:22:13,239 Speaker 2: well Thanksgiving Day football. Don't make any bets in the 370 00:22:13,440 --> 00:22:17,160 Speaker 2: afternoon day of If you want to gamble during the day, 371 00:22:17,200 --> 00:22:19,199 Speaker 2: and if you feel super strong about this game, so 372 00:22:19,359 --> 00:22:22,239 Speaker 2: be it. Do not. It's one thing to chase on 373 00:22:22,400 --> 00:22:25,119 Speaker 2: Sunday night or Monday night football. It's another thing to 374 00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:28,960 Speaker 2: chase on a holiday and when you're supposed to be 375 00:22:29,480 --> 00:22:33,720 Speaker 2: engaged with your friends and family. Okay, now on this game. 376 00:22:35,840 --> 00:22:41,520 Speaker 2: So New England's defense has looked utterly dominant. Here is 377 00:22:42,760 --> 00:22:46,720 Speaker 2: the concern and the reason why for me, I didn't 378 00:22:46,760 --> 00:22:50,240 Speaker 2: have a beat on this game. So New England's defense 379 00:22:51,280 --> 00:22:53,959 Speaker 2: has looked great. But I would like to give you 380 00:22:54,000 --> 00:22:57,800 Speaker 2: the quarterbacks that New England they have six wins this year. 381 00:22:58,960 --> 00:23:03,320 Speaker 2: Here are the sixth quarter or the five quarterbacks they 382 00:23:03,320 --> 00:23:08,920 Speaker 2: have beaten. They have beaten Mitch Trubisky, they have beaten 383 00:23:09,280 --> 00:23:14,600 Speaker 2: Jared Goff, they have beaten Jacoby Brissett, they have beaten 384 00:23:14,640 --> 00:23:19,399 Speaker 2: Sam Allinger, and they have beaten Zach Wilson twice. So 385 00:23:19,840 --> 00:23:24,800 Speaker 2: the defense has looked great against those guys look dominant. 386 00:23:25,240 --> 00:23:28,800 Speaker 2: Now they're playing Kirk Cousins. Kirk Cousins is not great, 387 00:23:29,280 --> 00:23:32,160 Speaker 2: but he's far better than any of those six guys 388 00:23:32,680 --> 00:23:35,520 Speaker 2: that I mentioned. So now you might say, Okay, Nick, 389 00:23:35,760 --> 00:23:38,160 Speaker 2: why wouldn't you then just take Minnesota laying the two 390 00:23:38,200 --> 00:23:42,200 Speaker 2: and a half. Here's what Minnesota is eight and two 391 00:23:42,240 --> 00:23:48,399 Speaker 2: this year. They have three games they've played poorly, the 392 00:23:48,480 --> 00:23:52,919 Speaker 2: two losses, and they're stolen win against Detroit early in 393 00:23:52,960 --> 00:23:56,439 Speaker 2: the year where Dan the Maan Campbell kicked like a 394 00:23:56,480 --> 00:24:00,840 Speaker 2: fifty yard field goal up three less than a minute 395 00:24:00,920 --> 00:24:03,560 Speaker 2: left instead of punting away. They end up scoring a 396 00:24:03,600 --> 00:24:07,360 Speaker 2: touchdownspit but three so two one time. They've won, two times, 397 00:24:07,400 --> 00:24:10,720 Speaker 2: they've lost, three times. They've played poorly in those three games. 398 00:24:11,359 --> 00:24:17,560 Speaker 2: Justin Jefferson has a combined ninety four yards receiving in 399 00:24:17,640 --> 00:24:22,400 Speaker 2: their seven wins. Justin Jefferson has a thousand yards receiving, 400 00:24:22,560 --> 00:24:26,560 Speaker 2: one hundred and forty yards per game. The Vikings have 401 00:24:26,680 --> 00:24:31,600 Speaker 2: one way to beat you. Justin Jefferson kills you. Belichick 402 00:24:31,640 --> 00:24:38,159 Speaker 2: has made his career defensively on identifying what you want 403 00:24:38,200 --> 00:24:42,439 Speaker 2: to do, taking that one thing away and making you 404 00:24:42,560 --> 00:24:47,720 Speaker 2: do something else. So Because of that, it's concerning to 405 00:24:47,840 --> 00:24:51,040 Speaker 2: me to take the Vikings. You love the Vikings, you're 406 00:24:51,080 --> 00:24:56,760 Speaker 2: betting the Vikings an Artisanshi, Justin Jefferson's great them. Just listen. 407 00:24:56,920 --> 00:24:59,680 Speaker 2: Justin Jefferson's great. 408 00:24:59,000 --> 00:25:01,399 Speaker 3: And honestly believing Kirk Cousins a little bit more than 409 00:25:01,440 --> 00:25:01,919 Speaker 3: you tend to. 410 00:25:02,320 --> 00:25:05,960 Speaker 2: Well, listen, he's better than those quarterbacks. New England's beat 411 00:25:05,960 --> 00:25:09,120 Speaker 2: and that's for damn sure. I think he's fine. He's 412 00:25:09,160 --> 00:25:11,560 Speaker 2: actually having his worst season in the last few years. 413 00:25:12,320 --> 00:25:14,280 Speaker 2: To me, this is a stay away, all right. Denver 414 00:25:14,320 --> 00:25:17,480 Speaker 2: at Carolina is a stay away for very obvious reasons. 415 00:25:17,640 --> 00:25:21,960 Speaker 2: Carolina's is starting Sam Darnold, who's was the worst quarterback 416 00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:24,520 Speaker 2: in football his last two years as a starter. Denver 417 00:25:24,720 --> 00:25:32,480 Speaker 2: starting Russell Wilson. The general gambling philosophy is two bad teams, 418 00:25:32,520 --> 00:25:37,920 Speaker 2: two bad quarterbacks, take the points. However, Donald in his 419 00:25:37,960 --> 00:25:41,200 Speaker 2: first start in years I shouldn't say years. He started 420 00:25:41,280 --> 00:25:44,560 Speaker 2: last year briefly for Carolina, but his first start of 421 00:25:44,600 --> 00:25:48,760 Speaker 2: the year against that Denver defense scares the hell out 422 00:25:48,800 --> 00:25:52,440 Speaker 2: of me. Laying points with Russell Wilson scares the hell 423 00:25:52,480 --> 00:25:55,159 Speaker 2: out of me. That's a stay away. And Chicago at 424 00:25:55,200 --> 00:25:58,440 Speaker 2: the Jets is a stay away simply because we don't 425 00:25:58,440 --> 00:26:03,239 Speaker 2: know who's playing quarterback for either. Poor Justin Fields has 426 00:26:03,280 --> 00:26:06,480 Speaker 2: a dislocated shoulder, played some of the way last week 427 00:26:06,840 --> 00:26:10,040 Speaker 2: with it the Jets, we don't know as we're recording 428 00:26:10,080 --> 00:26:12,120 Speaker 2: right now, if it's gonna be Zach Wilson, Mike White, 429 00:26:12,240 --> 00:26:16,280 Speaker 2: or Flacco. So for our purposes, that has to be 430 00:26:16,320 --> 00:26:18,800 Speaker 2: a stay away because we don't know who's playing quarterback 431 00:26:18,840 --> 00:26:19,120 Speaker 2: for either. 432 00:26:19,320 --> 00:26:21,480 Speaker 3: If you find out tomorrow that Flacco's in, are you 433 00:26:21,520 --> 00:26:22,600 Speaker 3: taking the Jets. 434 00:26:23,400 --> 00:26:26,280 Speaker 2: If Flac goes in and Justin is out? Yes, okay, 435 00:26:26,560 --> 00:26:29,080 Speaker 2: I would. I wouldn't love laying four and a half 436 00:26:29,080 --> 00:26:32,280 Speaker 2: points with Joe Flacco, but the Bears without Justin Fields 437 00:26:32,280 --> 00:26:34,480 Speaker 2: won't be able to score at all. I will tell 438 00:26:34,520 --> 00:26:38,920 Speaker 2: you what is hold on? I have to look because 439 00:26:38,920 --> 00:26:42,000 Speaker 2: it almost I wonder what the total in that game is. 440 00:26:42,040 --> 00:26:45,320 Speaker 2: We don't do all runners on this show, but I'm 441 00:26:45,320 --> 00:26:50,199 Speaker 2: gonna find it real quick. The total. Oh, it's is 442 00:26:50,240 --> 00:26:54,119 Speaker 2: it really off the board? Yeah it's it's okay, so 443 00:26:54,160 --> 00:26:58,240 Speaker 2: it's not on that. Let me check another another gambling outfit, 444 00:26:58,600 --> 00:27:00,879 Speaker 2: see if they have it listed some where, because it 445 00:27:00,960 --> 00:27:04,040 Speaker 2: wasn't listed where. I just looked. So let me look again. 446 00:27:04,160 --> 00:27:06,320 Speaker 3: I don't care who's playing quarterback for the Jets. Man, 447 00:27:06,480 --> 00:27:09,480 Speaker 3: if Justin Fields isn't playing, I feel like going with 448 00:27:09,520 --> 00:27:10,680 Speaker 3: the Jets is a solid bed. 449 00:27:10,960 --> 00:27:14,480 Speaker 2: I think that's probably right. The total for the game 450 00:27:15,119 --> 00:27:19,880 Speaker 2: is forty and a half, so that I was gonna say, 451 00:27:19,920 --> 00:27:21,960 Speaker 2: that's got to be the lowest total of the week. 452 00:27:22,359 --> 00:27:25,240 Speaker 2: But what do you think the total in Broncos Panthers 453 00:27:25,400 --> 00:27:31,879 Speaker 2: is Darnald versus Russell Wilson with those two defenses. 454 00:27:31,359 --> 00:27:32,720 Speaker 3: It's thirty five. A think. 455 00:27:34,359 --> 00:27:36,960 Speaker 2: I would have told you thirty five is not a thing. 456 00:27:38,640 --> 00:27:42,320 Speaker 2: It is thirty six and a half. That's got to 457 00:27:42,359 --> 00:27:44,760 Speaker 2: be the lowest total in a decade in the NFL 458 00:27:45,080 --> 00:27:49,040 Speaker 2: unless there was like a massive weather events, you know 459 00:27:49,040 --> 00:27:52,120 Speaker 2: what I mean, Like the thirty six and a half, 460 00:27:53,320 --> 00:27:58,040 Speaker 2: and it feels like an under right thirty six and 461 00:27:58,040 --> 00:28:01,880 Speaker 2: a half, I mean, seventeen to ten feels like about 462 00:28:01,880 --> 00:28:05,520 Speaker 2: as high scoring as he could get. And that's twenty seven. Yeah, 463 00:28:05,560 --> 00:28:07,959 Speaker 2: thirty six and a half. How did I don't know? 464 00:28:09,000 --> 00:28:12,720 Speaker 2: I guess the way thirty six and a half gets 465 00:28:12,760 --> 00:28:18,760 Speaker 2: to an over is it seventeen seventeen goes to overtime 466 00:28:18,840 --> 00:28:23,120 Speaker 2: and it's twenty to seventeen at thirty seven points. All right, 467 00:28:23,320 --> 00:28:26,119 Speaker 2: so those are all stay aways. Now to the be 468 00:28:26,280 --> 00:28:31,359 Speaker 2: careful line. Be careful's Baltimore at Jacksonville, the Rams at 469 00:28:31,400 --> 00:28:36,000 Speaker 2: the Chiefs, the Saints at the Niners, and Pittsburgh and Indy. Okay, 470 00:28:38,080 --> 00:28:44,320 Speaker 2: Baltimore at Jacksonville's will be careful purely because you my 471 00:28:44,480 --> 00:28:47,680 Speaker 2: band is still in place. Yeah, you guys haven't allowed 472 00:28:47,720 --> 00:28:50,440 Speaker 2: me to bet them. I love the jackson this week. 473 00:28:50,960 --> 00:28:53,800 Speaker 3: I honestly think you should be thankful given Doug Peterson's 474 00:28:53,840 --> 00:28:55,920 Speaker 3: one in four against the spread after a bye. 475 00:28:56,440 --> 00:28:59,880 Speaker 2: Really, yeah, I didn't know that, though, I guess I 476 00:29:00,160 --> 00:29:03,880 Speaker 2: am thankful. I think the Jags. 477 00:29:03,560 --> 00:29:05,479 Speaker 3: Win, And is your ban up? 478 00:29:05,520 --> 00:29:07,600 Speaker 2: Like it's like it's like a week the last week, Yeah, 479 00:29:07,920 --> 00:29:10,280 Speaker 2: last week. This is the last week of my Jags band. 480 00:29:10,560 --> 00:29:14,360 Speaker 2: But I think they win. I think the Jags faintly 481 00:29:14,640 --> 00:29:19,080 Speaker 2: keep their season alive with a victory. Lamar hasn't played 482 00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:22,360 Speaker 2: well lately, yeah, and didn't play very well against Carolina 483 00:29:23,160 --> 00:29:27,600 Speaker 2: now the But the only reason this is this really 484 00:29:27,600 --> 00:29:30,720 Speaker 2: shouldn't be a be careful game, guys. I like the Jags. 485 00:29:30,960 --> 00:29:33,760 Speaker 2: I just put it careful because you guys won't. You 486 00:29:33,760 --> 00:29:36,640 Speaker 2: guys are making me be careful on Jacksonville. All right, 487 00:29:37,040 --> 00:29:38,000 Speaker 2: Rams at Chiefs. 488 00:29:40,360 --> 00:29:41,160 Speaker 3: Too many points. 489 00:29:41,280 --> 00:29:46,320 Speaker 2: It's so many points, fourteen and a half now the 490 00:29:46,440 --> 00:29:52,160 Speaker 2: Rams offense, Stafford's out, Wolford's out, it's Bryce Perkins. The 491 00:29:52,280 --> 00:29:56,800 Speaker 2: Chiefs haven't blown anyone out in a bit. Feels like 492 00:29:56,840 --> 00:30:00,720 Speaker 2: they're ripe for it. I also though, if there was 493 00:30:00,840 --> 00:30:07,200 Speaker 2: ever a game that the Chiefs will be sleepy, disinterested. 494 00:30:07,560 --> 00:30:11,200 Speaker 2: They clinched the division essentially last week in stirring fashion 495 00:30:11,200 --> 00:30:14,280 Speaker 2: against the Chargers. They are now playing a team that 496 00:30:14,400 --> 00:30:19,600 Speaker 2: is drawing dead with a third string quarterback. And you 497 00:30:19,760 --> 00:30:24,520 Speaker 2: can't bet. You can't take the Rams. You just can't, 498 00:30:25,080 --> 00:30:30,280 Speaker 2: like in order for them, Like how many points the 499 00:30:30,360 --> 00:30:35,479 Speaker 2: Chiefs are gonna score? A minimum? A minimum of twenty 500 00:30:35,560 --> 00:30:40,800 Speaker 2: seven eight? Yeah, can the Rams get to thirteen? I 501 00:30:40,840 --> 00:30:43,760 Speaker 2: don't know that they can. The Chiefs defense all of 502 00:30:43,840 --> 00:30:47,040 Speaker 2: a sudden at Chris Jones, you know, looks like a 503 00:30:47,040 --> 00:30:50,240 Speaker 2: Defensive Player of the Year candidate. I just but it's 504 00:30:50,280 --> 00:30:52,760 Speaker 2: too many points. You can't lay fourteen and a half 505 00:30:52,800 --> 00:30:56,960 Speaker 2: points even with the Chiefs, especially because the Chiefs tend 506 00:30:57,000 --> 00:31:00,680 Speaker 2: not to blow out terrible teams. Even the Jags game. 507 00:31:00,760 --> 00:31:03,680 Speaker 2: Jack's not terrible. But even that Jags game, they were 508 00:31:03,760 --> 00:31:07,040 Speaker 2: up twenty to nothing and then let the Jags hang 509 00:31:07,120 --> 00:31:09,760 Speaker 2: around enough to where they only won by ten. And 510 00:31:09,840 --> 00:31:15,320 Speaker 2: so Jags are kind of bad though everybody thinks, but 511 00:31:15,400 --> 00:31:18,680 Speaker 2: it's just I would be careful the Chiefs. You know, 512 00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:20,880 Speaker 2: they blew out the Cardinals when the Cardinals supposed to 513 00:31:20,920 --> 00:31:23,320 Speaker 2: be good. They blew out the Bucks. They blew out 514 00:31:23,360 --> 00:31:28,160 Speaker 2: the Niners. Like the Chiefs, key motivation, peak motivation, but 515 00:31:28,280 --> 00:31:32,000 Speaker 2: against bad teams, I don't know. It's just too many points. 516 00:31:32,080 --> 00:31:34,840 Speaker 2: All right. New Orleans at San Francisco is a be 517 00:31:35,000 --> 00:31:40,560 Speaker 2: careful because everyone is gonna be on the Niners. And listen, 518 00:31:40,640 --> 00:31:43,920 Speaker 2: the Saints stink. They have no quarterback, they have the 519 00:31:43,920 --> 00:31:47,200 Speaker 2: worst coach in the league. The Niners just looked great 520 00:31:47,400 --> 00:31:52,360 Speaker 2: on national TV. But be careful of the team that 521 00:31:52,640 --> 00:31:57,440 Speaker 2: just looked dominant on national television, particularly on a short week, 522 00:31:58,000 --> 00:32:01,880 Speaker 2: because this line should be seven, it's nine and a half. 523 00:32:02,480 --> 00:32:05,080 Speaker 2: So be careful. I'm not telling you to bet the Saints. 524 00:32:05,680 --> 00:32:09,520 Speaker 2: With the Niners having those weapons and that defense against 525 00:32:09,560 --> 00:32:12,640 Speaker 2: the Saints quarterback situation, I'm not telling you to bet 526 00:32:12,640 --> 00:32:15,680 Speaker 2: the Saints. You're gonna bet the Niners. I already know it. 527 00:32:16,000 --> 00:32:19,520 Speaker 2: Be careful, guys, I do like the Niners in a 528 00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:23,000 Speaker 2: seven point t's get the Niners down to minus two 529 00:32:23,040 --> 00:32:25,479 Speaker 2: and a half. I like them in that spot. I 530 00:32:25,480 --> 00:32:31,520 Speaker 2: don't like them minus the nine and a half. Be careful, Pittsburgh, Indy, 531 00:32:31,600 --> 00:32:43,120 Speaker 2: all right, I really should bet the Steelers, and I might. 532 00:32:43,320 --> 00:32:46,600 Speaker 2: I might add them. Maybe I'll have extra picks. Because 533 00:32:46,640 --> 00:32:51,040 Speaker 2: Thanksgiving has its own little it's its own little day. 534 00:32:51,080 --> 00:32:58,880 Speaker 2: This is I said earlier. Mike Vrabel versus Zach Taylor 535 00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:05,040 Speaker 2: now getting the same amount of points with Pittsburgh with 536 00:33:05,200 --> 00:33:09,440 Speaker 2: Mike Tomlin against Jeff Saturday. Yeah, you know. 537 00:33:09,440 --> 00:33:13,320 Speaker 3: What, I you're moving in livetime. 538 00:33:13,480 --> 00:33:18,280 Speaker 2: I don't know if I'm allowed to Thanksgiving special six picks. 539 00:33:18,280 --> 00:33:23,200 Speaker 2: This week Pittsburgh, we're doing a six pick. Happy Turkey Day, everybody. 540 00:33:23,560 --> 00:33:25,520 Speaker 2: We're doing a sixth pick. I know it's gonna scrow 541 00:33:25,560 --> 00:33:27,640 Speaker 2: over our math. I know it's gonna be one of 542 00:33:27,680 --> 00:33:30,120 Speaker 2: these coming weeks. Will only do four, so we'll get 543 00:33:30,120 --> 00:33:33,200 Speaker 2: back on track. You know what, Next week we'll only 544 00:33:33,240 --> 00:33:35,160 Speaker 2: do four, but we're adding this one. 545 00:33:35,000 --> 00:33:37,680 Speaker 3: And then we'll just take out your Jags pick or 546 00:33:37,720 --> 00:33:38,040 Speaker 3: you can. 547 00:33:38,000 --> 00:33:42,600 Speaker 2: Just do okay, leave the Jags alone. Pittsburgh getting points 548 00:33:42,800 --> 00:33:45,840 Speaker 2: against the Colts. It shouldn't be a be careful. It's 549 00:33:45,880 --> 00:33:49,560 Speaker 2: a must bet Pittsburgh. It is a must bet Pittsburgh. 550 00:33:49,760 --> 00:33:53,760 Speaker 2: Matt Ryan is gonna crumble when TJ. Watt strip Saxon. 551 00:33:54,160 --> 00:33:57,479 Speaker 2: Jeff Saturday is gonna get out coached and out foxed 552 00:33:57,520 --> 00:34:00,880 Speaker 2: by Mike Tomlin. Pittsburgh plus two and a half. Sorry 553 00:34:00,880 --> 00:34:03,640 Speaker 2: to our graphics team. It's our sixth pick of the week. 554 00:34:03,880 --> 00:34:06,600 Speaker 2: We like it. It's not to be careful. It's a 555 00:34:06,720 --> 00:34:10,640 Speaker 2: must bet getting points with Tomlin against Saturday. It's a 556 00:34:10,719 --> 00:34:15,480 Speaker 2: must bet, all right, perfectly priced now Atlanta at Washington, 557 00:34:16,880 --> 00:34:19,799 Speaker 2: Washington is a tick better there at home. This is 558 00:34:19,840 --> 00:34:22,920 Speaker 2: the Washington is very alive for the playoffs. Atlanta is 559 00:34:22,920 --> 00:34:26,440 Speaker 2: also verylive technically for the playoffs. I think this is 560 00:34:27,040 --> 00:34:32,080 Speaker 2: a short Washington win. I think the pricing is exactly right. 561 00:34:32,360 --> 00:34:39,319 Speaker 2: Houston at Miami the I this does feel like. The 562 00:34:39,400 --> 00:34:44,080 Speaker 2: reason I'm calling it perfectly priced is because you can't 563 00:34:44,120 --> 00:34:48,759 Speaker 2: have a favorite of much more than thirteen. And if 564 00:34:48,800 --> 00:34:52,240 Speaker 2: the Chiefs are fourteen and a half point favorites against 565 00:34:52,280 --> 00:34:55,319 Speaker 2: a third string quarterback, the Dolphins can't be more than that. 566 00:34:56,880 --> 00:35:00,840 Speaker 2: But It feels like a two touchdown Myami victory. The 567 00:35:00,880 --> 00:35:08,000 Speaker 2: only concern is Miami off the by overlooking the Texans 568 00:35:08,239 --> 00:35:10,799 Speaker 2: and let the Texans hang around a bit. But this 569 00:35:10,960 --> 00:35:14,160 Speaker 2: is the right line. The Texans been terrible, truly terrible, 570 00:35:14,200 --> 00:35:17,360 Speaker 2: and they, by the way, might be making a quarterback change. 571 00:35:17,400 --> 00:35:22,319 Speaker 2: We don't yet know that the Chargers getting four the 572 00:35:22,440 --> 00:35:26,200 Speaker 2: Chargers laying for pardon me at Arizona. That's exactly right. 573 00:35:26,280 --> 00:35:29,880 Speaker 2: The Chargers are not a bad team. Arizona meanwhile, just 574 00:35:29,920 --> 00:35:33,480 Speaker 2: had to fire and they had to coach Demanse. So 575 00:35:33,520 --> 00:35:38,600 Speaker 2: they had a coach on their team who or like 576 00:35:38,760 --> 00:35:43,280 Speaker 2: in the offseason got accused of domestic assault, got sentenced 577 00:35:43,280 --> 00:35:46,480 Speaker 2: to a year suspended sentence, and they kept him on 578 00:35:46,520 --> 00:35:49,960 Speaker 2: the team until it became out publicly, so then he 579 00:35:50,080 --> 00:35:53,320 Speaker 2: resigned or they fired him. It just came out this morning. 580 00:35:53,800 --> 00:35:56,760 Speaker 2: They had a coach allegedly grope a woman in Mexico 581 00:35:56,880 --> 00:36:00,080 Speaker 2: City that they had to fire. They we don't know 582 00:36:00,200 --> 00:36:03,399 Speaker 2: what their quarterback situation is. That the team is a 583 00:36:03,480 --> 00:36:07,719 Speaker 2: total mess, so obviously they should be dogs against a 584 00:36:07,719 --> 00:36:12,200 Speaker 2: good team. The pricing is right because the Chargers have 585 00:36:12,400 --> 00:36:15,520 Speaker 2: not shown and Mike Williams assuming he's gonna be out 586 00:36:15,560 --> 00:36:18,560 Speaker 2: again after briefly come back against the Chiefs, Chargers not 587 00:36:18,560 --> 00:36:21,400 Speaker 2: showing the ability to blow anybody out. So the Chargers 588 00:36:21,440 --> 00:36:24,200 Speaker 2: minus four is just about right. Expect the Chargers to 589 00:36:24,280 --> 00:36:27,440 Speaker 2: win in a game maybe closer than it should be. 590 00:36:27,760 --> 00:36:30,360 Speaker 2: And then green Bay at Philly to me is Philly 591 00:36:30,400 --> 00:36:34,000 Speaker 2: minus a touchdown Philly minus seven. That's also just right 592 00:36:34,080 --> 00:36:36,680 Speaker 2: like Philly is to me. I understand they have a 593 00:36:36,680 --> 00:36:40,480 Speaker 2: great record. I don't expect Philly to pour it on 594 00:36:40,680 --> 00:36:44,040 Speaker 2: green Bay. I think Philly minus a touchdowns exactly right. 595 00:36:44,080 --> 00:36:45,040 Speaker 2: What's up? All right? 596 00:36:45,120 --> 00:36:46,840 Speaker 3: Given the last two weeks, I can't tell if the 597 00:36:46,920 --> 00:36:52,000 Speaker 3: seven is just really respectful to drive for? The Eagles 598 00:36:52,000 --> 00:36:53,479 Speaker 3: are very dispectful to green Bay. 599 00:36:54,840 --> 00:36:57,080 Speaker 2: Well, green Bay's no good. 600 00:36:57,239 --> 00:36:59,960 Speaker 3: I mean they're no good, But the Eagles haven't looked. 601 00:37:00,280 --> 00:37:03,839 Speaker 3: They just placed Jeff Saturday and whoever they face the. 602 00:37:03,920 --> 00:37:07,719 Speaker 2: Yeah, Washington, they lost to Washington. They eked out a 603 00:37:07,719 --> 00:37:11,719 Speaker 2: win against the Colts. I still think green Bay is 604 00:37:11,760 --> 00:37:17,080 Speaker 2: gonna have no chance of consistently moving the ball on 605 00:37:17,160 --> 00:37:21,560 Speaker 2: Philadelphia's defense. So I like Philadelphia a lot in it 606 00:37:21,760 --> 00:37:25,000 Speaker 2: as a teaser leg I like them a little bit 607 00:37:25,080 --> 00:37:27,719 Speaker 2: minus seven, but seven is the right number for this. 608 00:37:27,960 --> 00:37:31,160 Speaker 2: So there's our perfectly priced games bonus pick. How about that? 609 00:37:32,400 --> 00:37:37,200 Speaker 2: The Steelers getting slid into our knicks picks this week, 610 00:37:37,320 --> 00:37:40,040 Speaker 2: so we have six? Oh they all our graphics seems 611 00:37:40,040 --> 00:37:42,960 Speaker 2: the best our new picks of the week Detroit plus ten, 612 00:37:43,040 --> 00:37:45,760 Speaker 2: Giants plus nine and a half, Tampa minus three, Tennessee 613 00:37:45,760 --> 00:37:47,959 Speaker 2: plus two and a half, Seattle minus three and a half, 614 00:37:48,040 --> 00:37:50,480 Speaker 2: and Pittsburgh plus two and a half. That's how we're 615 00:37:50,520 --> 00:37:53,279 Speaker 2: gonna get above five hundred five and five and oh 616 00:37:53,400 --> 00:37:56,000 Speaker 2: was because we're three games under four and one will 617 00:37:56,000 --> 00:37:59,080 Speaker 2: only get us two. Five hundred five and oh would 618 00:37:59,080 --> 00:38:00,919 Speaker 2: give us about five hundred five and oh is top 619 00:38:01,200 --> 00:38:04,680 Speaker 2: five and one. However, Easy Street, we're doing it. We're 620 00:38:04,719 --> 00:38:07,439 Speaker 2: giving you our right move, which hasn't been great. I've 621 00:38:07,440 --> 00:38:11,800 Speaker 2: got a teaser for you. All that and an NFL 622 00:38:11,960 --> 00:38:14,600 Speaker 2: Hall of Fame note that I want to wrap the 623 00:38:14,640 --> 00:38:22,840 Speaker 2: show with. That's all next What's Right? Welcome back in 624 00:38:22,880 --> 00:38:24,839 Speaker 2: What's Right with Nick Right, Episode ninety nine, our week 625 00:38:24,880 --> 00:38:28,000 Speaker 2: twelve gambling show. We just gave you our six picks 626 00:38:28,040 --> 00:38:30,399 Speaker 2: this week. Next week we'll do four. This week, we're 627 00:38:30,400 --> 00:38:33,200 Speaker 2: doing six because we had to include Pittsburgh The right 628 00:38:33,280 --> 00:38:36,000 Speaker 2: move this week is gonna be one of our two favorites. 629 00:38:36,200 --> 00:38:38,840 Speaker 2: We're gonna lay the three with Tampa. That's gonna be 630 00:38:38,840 --> 00:38:41,520 Speaker 2: our right move this week. I believe in. Let me 631 00:38:41,520 --> 00:38:44,080 Speaker 2: see what this graphic looks like. Now, Oh my god, 632 00:38:44,600 --> 00:38:48,040 Speaker 2: I'm a pilgrim. Demondy's got a turkey on his head. 633 00:38:48,680 --> 00:38:50,800 Speaker 2: That's a you know what. This is why people subscribe 634 00:38:50,800 --> 00:38:54,560 Speaker 2: on YouTube for this type of work our graphics team does. 635 00:38:54,680 --> 00:38:57,279 Speaker 2: I like that, So our right move this week is 636 00:38:57,320 --> 00:39:00,799 Speaker 2: gonna be Tampa minus the three. I just think that 637 00:39:01,600 --> 00:39:03,759 Speaker 2: Cleveland's gonna have a really hard time moving the ball 638 00:39:03,800 --> 00:39:06,880 Speaker 2: on Tampa's defense. I think Brady's gonna look good coming 639 00:39:06,880 --> 00:39:09,680 Speaker 2: off the by with a bit of momentum. I like 640 00:39:09,840 --> 00:39:12,840 Speaker 2: now Brady found himself in a new bit of controversy. 641 00:39:13,000 --> 00:39:15,759 Speaker 2: He's post divorced now, but Brady was all over that 642 00:39:15,920 --> 00:39:21,120 Speaker 2: FTX crypto company that's you know, Stoll, all the company's 643 00:39:21,200 --> 00:39:24,120 Speaker 2: money and it's gone and he's getting sued. But I'm 644 00:39:24,320 --> 00:39:27,520 Speaker 2: he'll be fine. But I like Tampa minus the three. 645 00:39:27,640 --> 00:39:30,520 Speaker 2: I mentioned to you guys that I was going to 646 00:39:30,600 --> 00:39:32,960 Speaker 2: have an exotic for you, that I was going to 647 00:39:33,000 --> 00:39:36,920 Speaker 2: have a teaser that we like a lot. So we 648 00:39:36,960 --> 00:39:42,960 Speaker 2: are going to do a seven point two team teaser, 649 00:39:43,960 --> 00:39:47,680 Speaker 2: very straightforward, and the seven point teaser is going to 650 00:39:47,719 --> 00:39:52,439 Speaker 2: be San Francisco down to minus two and a half 651 00:39:52,760 --> 00:39:56,879 Speaker 2: and the Eagles to the money line. That's so it's 652 00:39:56,920 --> 00:40:00,360 Speaker 2: the Eagles to win against green Bay, the nine to 653 00:40:00,400 --> 00:40:05,320 Speaker 2: win by at least three. A nice simple teaser, A 654 00:40:05,520 --> 00:40:09,040 Speaker 2: nice little two team seven point teaser. Last week's teaser 655 00:40:09,040 --> 00:40:10,880 Speaker 2: that we gave out. By the way, you can do 656 00:40:10,920 --> 00:40:13,120 Speaker 2: two team teasers. Yeah, you just gotta. 657 00:40:13,080 --> 00:40:13,800 Speaker 3: A three teaser. 658 00:40:13,840 --> 00:40:14,200 Speaker 2: I like that. 659 00:40:14,239 --> 00:40:15,440 Speaker 3: I'm just gonna have the Chiefs to it. 660 00:40:16,280 --> 00:40:19,120 Speaker 2: You're gonna add You're not at fourteen and a half, 661 00:40:19,200 --> 00:40:21,000 Speaker 2: You're not. I forbid you. 662 00:40:21,000 --> 00:40:21,440 Speaker 3: You gotta. 663 00:40:21,480 --> 00:40:23,160 Speaker 2: If you're gonna do a teaser. 664 00:40:22,920 --> 00:40:24,920 Speaker 3: You gotta tease them all the way through the six. 665 00:40:25,120 --> 00:40:27,920 Speaker 2: Through the seventh. Yeah, you gotta get the key numbers 666 00:40:28,280 --> 00:40:31,280 Speaker 2: so like and a half. Yeah, you don't want to tease, 667 00:40:31,360 --> 00:40:33,960 Speaker 2: You're just not getting enough value. So if the line 668 00:40:34,040 --> 00:40:39,040 Speaker 2: gets to, uh, the Chiefs minus just fourteen, that's fine. 669 00:40:39,120 --> 00:40:41,600 Speaker 2: If it gets to the Chiefs minus thirteen and a half, 670 00:40:42,080 --> 00:40:44,520 Speaker 2: that's great because then you get them to the six 671 00:40:44,600 --> 00:40:47,400 Speaker 2: and a half. If you want a third leg for it, 672 00:40:49,280 --> 00:40:53,760 Speaker 2: U Miami's not a bad third leg because their minus 673 00:40:53,800 --> 00:40:55,759 Speaker 2: thirteen right now, so you get them to minus six. 674 00:40:56,080 --> 00:40:58,279 Speaker 2: The other thing with a seven point teaser that you 675 00:40:58,320 --> 00:41:03,720 Speaker 2: could do is take the Titans or the Steelers plus 676 00:41:03,760 --> 00:41:07,680 Speaker 2: two and a half up to plus nine and a half, right, 677 00:41:07,840 --> 00:41:09,759 Speaker 2: you know what I mean? So you can tease either 678 00:41:09,800 --> 00:41:10,239 Speaker 2: side of it. 679 00:41:10,239 --> 00:41:12,000 Speaker 3: Obviously, we got a little breaking news. 680 00:41:12,120 --> 00:41:12,520 Speaker 2: What's that. 681 00:41:12,640 --> 00:41:13,960 Speaker 3: Zach Wilson just got binched? 682 00:41:14,440 --> 00:41:16,880 Speaker 2: Oh really? Did they say who's starting? 683 00:41:17,320 --> 00:41:20,120 Speaker 3: Uh No, no, not yet? 684 00:41:21,440 --> 00:41:29,040 Speaker 2: Uh the informed he is not starting to. I mean 685 00:41:29,040 --> 00:41:36,040 Speaker 2: that seemed like it was. It was, uh yeah, he can't. 686 00:41:36,200 --> 00:41:38,239 Speaker 2: You can't be the worst quarterback in the league in 687 00:41:38,280 --> 00:41:41,399 Speaker 2: back to back years and unlikable. You just can't. 688 00:41:41,440 --> 00:41:43,680 Speaker 3: They don't, we don't. Why don't people like Zach Wilson. 689 00:41:43,440 --> 00:41:45,000 Speaker 2: Because he won't take accountability? 690 00:41:45,400 --> 00:41:47,680 Speaker 3: Okay, he was asked, Oh yeah, so what happened in 691 00:41:47,719 --> 00:41:49,440 Speaker 3: the He was asked. 692 00:41:49,160 --> 00:41:50,840 Speaker 2: He was like, do you feel bad for letting the 693 00:41:50,840 --> 00:41:53,040 Speaker 2: defense down? He's like, do you feel he let the demons? 694 00:41:53,080 --> 00:41:56,400 Speaker 2: I was like, no, no, he scored three points, buddy. 695 00:41:56,560 --> 00:41:58,680 Speaker 2: He kept throwing near picks and picks. He was terrible. 696 00:41:58,680 --> 00:42:01,879 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, so okay, So Zach Wilson out. We still 697 00:42:01,880 --> 00:42:04,439 Speaker 2: don't have enough information there. But to me, the real 698 00:42:04,520 --> 00:42:07,800 Speaker 2: question is, is Justin Field's gonna play? I knew. I 699 00:42:08,560 --> 00:42:11,000 Speaker 2: shouldn't say I knew, but it sure looked like Zach 700 00:42:11,040 --> 00:42:14,360 Speaker 2: Wilson was getting benched. The question was, is Justin Field's 701 00:42:14,400 --> 00:42:16,320 Speaker 2: gonna play? And is it gonna be Mike White or 702 00:42:16,400 --> 00:42:19,360 Speaker 2: is it gonna be Joe Flacco. So, but that is 703 00:42:19,440 --> 00:42:22,960 Speaker 2: good news to have for us from the show. All right, 704 00:42:23,440 --> 00:42:29,359 Speaker 2: before we get to before we get to the Pro 705 00:42:29,400 --> 00:42:31,880 Speaker 2: Football Hall of Fame little bonus segment, we're gonna do 706 00:42:32,239 --> 00:42:33,840 Speaker 2: what's the offer this week? Demonse? 707 00:42:34,200 --> 00:42:37,600 Speaker 3: So the offer is I call this one be thankful 708 00:42:37,600 --> 00:42:41,239 Speaker 3: for Demanse, because I'm giving you free money essentially, since 709 00:42:41,280 --> 00:42:43,919 Speaker 3: two thousand and four favorites on Thanksgiving are forty three 710 00:42:43,920 --> 00:42:46,680 Speaker 3: and eight straight up. So I'm giving you a chance 711 00:42:46,719 --> 00:42:49,920 Speaker 3: to go against Jerrett Golf, Daniel Jones, and Mac Jones 712 00:42:49,960 --> 00:42:54,000 Speaker 3: in one bet Buffalo, Dallas and Minnesota to win outright 713 00:42:54,040 --> 00:42:55,239 Speaker 3: at plus one seventy seven. 714 00:42:56,000 --> 00:42:58,879 Speaker 2: I appreciate the offer, I'm gonna reject it. Okay, I'm 715 00:42:58,880 --> 00:43:03,280 Speaker 2: gonna reject that offer because I actually think the Giants 716 00:43:03,760 --> 00:43:14,440 Speaker 2: can win and Minnesota. The Minnesota the Patriots game concerns me. 717 00:43:14,920 --> 00:43:18,160 Speaker 2: So there's not enough value to me there in that, 718 00:43:18,640 --> 00:43:20,520 Speaker 2: and so I'm going to reject the offer. That is 719 00:43:20,560 --> 00:43:22,759 Speaker 2: a good note that they're forty three and eight straight up, 720 00:43:22,960 --> 00:43:26,440 Speaker 2: and I appreciate that bonus offer. Okay, what's the bonus offer. 721 00:43:27,000 --> 00:43:30,399 Speaker 3: JAG's money line versus Baltimore plus one sixty five. 722 00:43:32,600 --> 00:43:35,560 Speaker 2: So wait, you're silly. Three team parlay was plus one 723 00:43:35,600 --> 00:43:38,719 Speaker 2: seventy seven and the Jags and the Prince that was 724 00:43:38,760 --> 00:43:43,239 Speaker 2: promised just that to beat Baltimore is plus one sixty. 725 00:43:42,960 --> 00:43:44,520 Speaker 3: Five, and the offer is also gonna win. 726 00:43:44,560 --> 00:43:48,240 Speaker 2: But yes, I accept that one. I am taking that offer. 727 00:43:48,680 --> 00:43:51,520 Speaker 2: The Jags plus one sixty five couldn't help it. I 728 00:43:51,560 --> 00:43:53,960 Speaker 2: can't help it. And it's good for the Chiefs if 729 00:43:53,960 --> 00:43:56,640 Speaker 2: the Ravens lose, so I'll be rooting against the Ravens. 730 00:43:57,120 --> 00:43:59,200 Speaker 2: You want the one seed to be as smooth sailing 731 00:43:59,239 --> 00:44:03,120 Speaker 2: as possible, the path to the one seed, I should say, So, okay, 732 00:44:03,160 --> 00:44:05,759 Speaker 2: I'm taking that offer. So our five picks of the 733 00:44:05,800 --> 00:44:09,000 Speaker 2: week are six picks of the week Detroit plus ten, 734 00:44:09,080 --> 00:44:11,279 Speaker 2: Giants plus nine and a half, Tampa minus three, which 735 00:44:11,320 --> 00:44:13,680 Speaker 2: is the right move. Tennessee plus two and a half, 736 00:44:13,800 --> 00:44:16,239 Speaker 2: Seattle minus three and a half, and Pittsburgh plus two 737 00:44:16,280 --> 00:44:19,480 Speaker 2: and a half. We are also doing a seven point 738 00:44:19,520 --> 00:44:25,360 Speaker 2: teaser of oh look at that, look at that Thanksgiving image. 739 00:44:26,280 --> 00:44:31,960 Speaker 2: They made that quickly, they added they added the Steelers 740 00:44:31,960 --> 00:44:33,719 Speaker 2: on there. Our graphics team is wonderful. 741 00:44:34,080 --> 00:44:36,520 Speaker 3: Our teaser that honestly looks like Nana's kitchen. 742 00:44:37,040 --> 00:44:38,960 Speaker 2: It does a bit. You're absolutely right, it looks like 743 00:44:39,000 --> 00:44:42,920 Speaker 2: her dining room. Our seven point teaser is the Niners 744 00:44:42,960 --> 00:44:44,440 Speaker 2: to two and a half and the Eagles of the 745 00:44:44,440 --> 00:44:47,880 Speaker 2: money line. Our bonus offer is the Jags. Now, I 746 00:44:48,000 --> 00:44:50,920 Speaker 2: just want five minutes to talk about the Pro Football 747 00:44:50,960 --> 00:44:55,359 Speaker 2: Hall of Fame. So the twenty five semi finalists were 748 00:44:55,480 --> 00:45:01,480 Speaker 2: revealed yesterday and only five guys get and I happen 749 00:45:01,520 --> 00:45:03,759 Speaker 2: to believe the Pro Football Hall of Fame does it 750 00:45:03,920 --> 00:45:07,680 Speaker 2: better than any other sports hall of Fame because it 751 00:45:07,760 --> 00:45:11,000 Speaker 2: is so damn difficult to get in, but they still 752 00:45:11,080 --> 00:45:16,080 Speaker 2: let in five guys every year, so the evidence of 753 00:45:16,080 --> 00:45:18,960 Speaker 2: how difficult it is to get in. I'm going to 754 00:45:19,040 --> 00:45:24,239 Speaker 2: quickly go through these twenty five guys and we're going 755 00:45:24,320 --> 00:45:26,719 Speaker 2: to try to pair it down and it will be 756 00:45:26,760 --> 00:45:31,200 Speaker 2: impossible Okay, So there are five new guys on the ballot. 757 00:45:31,280 --> 00:45:35,719 Speaker 2: First time eligible Jerry Evans, who's an offensive lineman who 758 00:45:35,800 --> 00:45:37,680 Speaker 2: is not going to get in on his first try 759 00:45:38,200 --> 00:45:41,759 Speaker 2: and is a fringe Hall of Famer. Joe Thomas, one 760 00:45:41,760 --> 00:45:44,279 Speaker 2: of the best left tackles ever, has to be in. 761 00:45:45,120 --> 00:45:49,799 Speaker 2: Dwight Freeney, one of the best pass rushers ever, has 762 00:45:49,840 --> 00:45:55,120 Speaker 2: to be in. Eventually, James Harrison had the greatest playing 763 00:45:55,160 --> 00:45:56,880 Speaker 2: Super Bowl history, one of the defensive Player of the 764 00:45:56,920 --> 00:45:59,920 Speaker 2: Year award eventually gets in. I don't think gets in 765 00:46:00,080 --> 00:46:04,200 Speaker 2: first ballot. And Darrell Reeves, who must get in immediately. 766 00:46:04,719 --> 00:46:09,000 Speaker 2: So to me, Thomas and Reeves are no doubters immediate guys. 767 00:46:09,360 --> 00:46:12,840 Speaker 2: That leaves us three spots remaining. Here are the names. 768 00:46:13,280 --> 00:46:17,040 Speaker 2: Eric Allen. He's a three time semifinalist corner for a 769 00:46:17,080 --> 00:46:19,759 Speaker 2: long time. He's not going to get in. Hey, to 770 00:46:19,800 --> 00:46:22,279 Speaker 2: me is a good example of why the NFL Hall 771 00:46:22,280 --> 00:46:24,800 Speaker 2: of Fame is so great. He was a great player, 772 00:46:25,080 --> 00:46:27,920 Speaker 2: not a Hall of Famer. Jared Allen. I put him 773 00:46:27,960 --> 00:46:30,440 Speaker 2: in the same boat. Jared Allen played for my Chiefs, 774 00:46:30,719 --> 00:46:33,239 Speaker 2: was an excellent pass rusher. This is his third time 775 00:46:33,280 --> 00:46:37,480 Speaker 2: as a semifinalist. He's not in. Willie Anderson a tackle 776 00:46:38,000 --> 00:46:40,760 Speaker 2: for a long time. It's his third time as semifinalist. 777 00:46:41,040 --> 00:46:44,680 Speaker 2: He's not going to get in. Rondez Barber, the corner 778 00:46:44,719 --> 00:46:48,040 Speaker 2: for the Bucks for fifteen years. To me, he is Flatley, 779 00:46:48,160 --> 00:46:53,280 Speaker 2: not a Hall of Famer on that defense. Sap Brooks, Simme, 780 00:46:53,400 --> 00:46:56,520 Speaker 2: and Rice John Lynch, we're all better than him. You 781 00:46:56,520 --> 00:46:59,200 Speaker 2: have four guys better than him on those Bucks defenses. 782 00:46:59,440 --> 00:47:03,480 Speaker 2: He's not in. And Guam Bolden, second time as a semifinalist. 783 00:47:03,880 --> 00:47:06,080 Speaker 2: Not a Hall of Famer, excellent player, not a Hall 784 00:47:06,120 --> 00:47:08,880 Speaker 2: of famer. Henry Ellard, this is his first time as 785 00:47:08,880 --> 00:47:11,240 Speaker 2: a semifinalist. I think it's last year on the ballot. 786 00:47:11,480 --> 00:47:13,239 Speaker 2: He's not gonna get in. I can't give you much 787 00:47:13,320 --> 00:47:17,640 Speaker 2: Henry Ellard analysis. If I'm being honest. I mentioned jarr Evans, London, 788 00:47:17,680 --> 00:47:21,279 Speaker 2: Fletcher his first time as a semifinalist. I don't think 789 00:47:21,320 --> 00:47:26,040 Speaker 2: he's getting in. Freeny is a possible. James Harrison is 790 00:47:26,080 --> 00:47:30,320 Speaker 2: a possible. Rodney Harrison, he is a Hall of famer. 791 00:47:30,600 --> 00:47:32,920 Speaker 2: It's his second time as a semifinalist. I don't know 792 00:47:32,920 --> 00:47:37,400 Speaker 2: if he gets in. Devin Hester. To me, he's the 793 00:47:37,480 --> 00:47:43,239 Speaker 2: greatest return man. Ever by a mile, he should get in. 794 00:47:44,320 --> 00:47:46,799 Speaker 2: I would put him in. This his second time as 795 00:47:46,840 --> 00:47:54,480 Speaker 2: a semifinalist. Tory Holt ninth time as a semifinalist, nine times, 796 00:47:54,480 --> 00:47:56,759 Speaker 2: he's been to the stage. He's never gotten in. We 797 00:47:56,800 --> 00:48:01,960 Speaker 2: always say he'll get in eventually, but you you have 798 00:48:02,040 --> 00:48:03,799 Speaker 2: new guys that come up, you know what I mean, 799 00:48:03,880 --> 00:48:07,400 Speaker 2: like that have to get in. He's a possible. Andre Johnson. 800 00:48:08,080 --> 00:48:09,680 Speaker 2: I thought he was one of the best receivers of 801 00:48:09,719 --> 00:48:14,359 Speaker 2: his era played for the Texans. His touchdown numbers kill him. 802 00:48:15,360 --> 00:48:17,240 Speaker 2: I thought he was a Hall of Fame level player. 803 00:48:17,440 --> 00:48:20,319 Speaker 2: You can't put him in before Tory Holt set him 804 00:48:20,320 --> 00:48:25,480 Speaker 2: aside Robert Mathis. Maybe he gets in eventually, but you 805 00:48:25,560 --> 00:48:28,960 Speaker 2: can't put him in before Freeenie when Freenie and Mathis 806 00:48:28,960 --> 00:48:31,760 Speaker 2: were the two pass rushers for the Colts and Freeenie 807 00:48:31,800 --> 00:48:35,719 Speaker 2: was better. Revis already mentioned Steve Smith his second time 808 00:48:35,719 --> 00:48:38,600 Speaker 2: as a semifinalist. To me, he's not a Hall of famer. 809 00:48:38,840 --> 00:48:42,040 Speaker 2: Fred Taylor, fourth time as a semifinalist, He's not a 810 00:48:42,080 --> 00:48:45,279 Speaker 2: Hall of famer. Joe Thomas I mentioned Zach Thomas. This 811 00:48:45,360 --> 00:48:48,800 Speaker 2: is the linebacker for the Dolphins. Fifth time as a semifinalist. 812 00:48:49,160 --> 00:48:52,280 Speaker 2: To me, he's not a Hall of Famer. Heinz Ward 813 00:48:52,719 --> 00:48:56,520 Speaker 2: seventh time as a semifinalist. He's not a Hall of Famer. 814 00:48:57,320 --> 00:48:59,560 Speaker 2: He might get in eventually because he does so much media. 815 00:48:59,760 --> 00:49:03,880 Speaker 2: Not a Hall of Famer. DeMarcus Ware to me is 816 00:49:03,920 --> 00:49:06,520 Speaker 2: a Hall of Famer. I think he needs to get 817 00:49:06,520 --> 00:49:08,600 Speaker 2: in in short order. This is second time as a 818 00:49:08,600 --> 00:49:12,520 Speaker 2: SIMMI finalist. Ricky Waters, third time as a semifinalist. He's 819 00:49:12,520 --> 00:49:17,400 Speaker 2: not a Hall of Famer. Reggie Wayne is to me 820 00:49:17,680 --> 00:49:20,719 Speaker 2: a Hall of Famer, but was not as good as 821 00:49:20,760 --> 00:49:23,160 Speaker 2: Andre Johnson, who I don't think is gonna get in. 822 00:49:23,800 --> 00:49:27,200 Speaker 2: And Reggie Wayne had better longevity, but it's so hard, 823 00:49:27,239 --> 00:49:29,000 Speaker 2: and Tory Halt's going to get in before any of 824 00:49:29,040 --> 00:49:34,600 Speaker 2: them anyway. Vince Wilford two time semifinalists. I don't I 825 00:49:34,640 --> 00:49:37,880 Speaker 2: think Vince was a great player. I don't know that 826 00:49:37,920 --> 00:49:41,280 Speaker 2: he's a Hall of Famer. Patrick Willis this is fourth 827 00:49:41,280 --> 00:49:44,600 Speaker 2: time as a semi finalist. Patrick Willis has to be 828 00:49:44,640 --> 00:49:46,640 Speaker 2: in the Hall of Fame in my opinion. He had 829 00:49:46,680 --> 00:49:49,600 Speaker 2: a very short career but was utterly dominant. And then 830 00:49:49,600 --> 00:49:53,040 Speaker 2: there's Darren Woodson seven time as a semifinalist to me 831 00:49:53,120 --> 00:49:56,040 Speaker 2: as a Hall of Famer. So if I if I 832 00:49:56,160 --> 00:49:59,600 Speaker 2: were doing a ballot this year, my five would be 833 00:50:00,320 --> 00:50:05,040 Speaker 2: Revis and Joe Thomas. First ballot, no doubters. I would 834 00:50:05,080 --> 00:50:09,600 Speaker 2: put Hester in, I would put Dwight Freenian on the 835 00:50:09,640 --> 00:50:14,880 Speaker 2: first ballot, and I would put Patrick Willison. That would 836 00:50:14,920 --> 00:50:18,160 Speaker 2: mean Tory Holt is waiting once again. But those would 837 00:50:18,200 --> 00:50:25,480 Speaker 2: be my five Hester Freeenie Willis, Uh, Revis, and Thomas. 838 00:50:25,840 --> 00:50:34,480 Speaker 2: With the next guys up James Harrison, DeMarcus Ware, Tory Holt, 839 00:50:35,160 --> 00:50:38,600 Speaker 2: Reggie Wayne. And it's gonna be really really hard for 840 00:50:38,640 --> 00:50:42,240 Speaker 2: these other guys because I don't even the I'm gonna 841 00:50:42,360 --> 00:50:44,359 Speaker 2: let me check this real quick and then we can 842 00:50:44,440 --> 00:50:51,280 Speaker 2: move on. Who is eligible for PF ho F twenty 843 00:50:51,400 --> 00:50:57,279 Speaker 2: twenty three. I want to see who is eligible for 844 00:50:57,360 --> 00:51:00,800 Speaker 2: the class in twenty twenty three, like the new guys 845 00:51:01,200 --> 00:51:07,319 Speaker 2: that'll be coming up. So oh, okay, hold on, I 846 00:51:07,360 --> 00:51:09,799 Speaker 2: have to check the next year. There we go. So 847 00:51:09,840 --> 00:51:11,759 Speaker 2: that was twenty twenty three is the one we're looking 848 00:51:11,800 --> 00:51:18,520 Speaker 2: at right now. In twenty twenty four, Julius Pepper's, Antonio Gates, 849 00:51:18,719 --> 00:51:23,320 Speaker 2: Eric Berry are the guys that become eligible. Eric Berry's 850 00:51:23,360 --> 00:51:26,280 Speaker 2: not going to get in. My guy Jamal Charles, who's 851 00:51:26,320 --> 00:51:28,560 Speaker 2: one of my favorite players ever and if he was 852 00:51:28,680 --> 00:51:31,200 Speaker 2: used properly, would have been a Hall of Famer. Twenty 853 00:51:31,280 --> 00:51:38,000 Speaker 2: twenty five, Luke Keikley becomes eligible, and some other guys, 854 00:51:38,239 --> 00:51:41,280 Speaker 2: So some of these there aren't a bunch of must 855 00:51:41,320 --> 00:51:43,879 Speaker 2: put in first ballot guys the next few years, so 856 00:51:43,880 --> 00:51:45,839 Speaker 2: some of these other guys will get in, but those 857 00:51:45,840 --> 00:51:49,000 Speaker 2: are my five. Have a wonderful Thanksgiving, Enjoy the time 858 00:51:49,040 --> 00:51:51,880 Speaker 2: with your family, good luck betting. Don't chase in that 859 00:51:52,000 --> 00:51:53,560 Speaker 2: Vikings Patriots game. What's right