1
00:00:00,800 --> 00:00:05,120
Speaker 1: The most valuable commodity I know of is information. Wouldn't

2
00:00:05,120 --> 00:00:07,920
Speaker 1: you agree? I've got five dollars?

3
00:00:07,960 --> 00:00:10,920
Speaker 2: This is a raging a level they traveled.

4
00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:18,440
Speaker 3: You're saying that humans need fantasy to make life bearable.

5
00:00:19,200 --> 00:00:30,040
Speaker 2: Humans need fantasy to be human. My goodness, mispeak the best, relentless,

6
00:00:30,160 --> 00:00:31,400
Speaker 2: refusing to give up.

7
00:00:31,920 --> 00:00:35,320
Speaker 4: All right, hit that horn, very bless.

8
00:00:36,600 --> 00:00:37,400
Speaker 2: What's it? Everybody?

9
00:00:37,440 --> 00:00:39,880
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Fantasy Flex podcast from the Action Network

10
00:00:39,880 --> 00:00:40,640
Speaker 1: in Fantasy Ads.

11
00:00:40,680 --> 00:00:42,120
Speaker 2: I'm your host, Chris Raven.

12
00:00:42,520 --> 00:00:46,080
Speaker 1: This is NFL Week sixteen, your player projections episode. And

13
00:00:46,120 --> 00:00:48,520
Speaker 1: who better to talk about player projections is the most

14
00:00:48,520 --> 00:00:51,400
Speaker 1: accurate ranker in the game, the odds maker. Sean Kerner, Sean,

15
00:00:51,479 --> 00:00:52,839
Speaker 1: how's it going? Happy Week sixteen?

16
00:00:53,400 --> 00:00:56,880
Speaker 4: Happy Week sixteen? Not sure how I did on Fantasy Pros.

17
00:00:56,920 --> 00:00:59,680
Speaker 4: I need to stop ranking Pat firemuth so damn low.

18
00:00:59,760 --> 00:01:02,800
Speaker 4: I was like minus ninety and this guy continues to feast,

19
00:01:02,840 --> 00:01:04,959
Speaker 4: so to town.

20
00:01:04,760 --> 00:01:06,200
Speaker 5: I'm gonna try to correct that this week.

21
00:01:06,240 --> 00:01:08,920
Speaker 4: There's always one player every year that's like I just

22
00:01:09,520 --> 00:01:12,640
Speaker 4: constantly have too low and I just need to fix

23
00:01:12,680 --> 00:01:13,199
Speaker 4: that this week.

24
00:01:13,400 --> 00:01:15,839
Speaker 5: So that's that's Patfiremooth for me this year.

25
00:01:16,760 --> 00:01:19,479
Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, I think Uh, I think Pat Friarmouth

26
00:01:19,600 --> 00:01:21,920
Speaker 1: is I mean, it's really it's all gonna depend on

27
00:01:21,920 --> 00:01:25,520
Speaker 1: on uh George Pickens. Really I think that, you know,

28
00:01:25,800 --> 00:01:29,480
Speaker 1: yay kind of becomes that top touchdown bet for the

29
00:01:29,560 --> 00:01:33,440
Speaker 1: Steelers if Pickens isn't in the lineup. But we will

30
00:01:34,200 --> 00:01:36,720
Speaker 1: jump into every position as we always do on this

31
00:01:36,800 --> 00:01:38,880
Speaker 1: pod Top five. We'll go, guys, we're high and low

32
00:01:38,920 --> 00:01:42,160
Speaker 1: on uh, throw out some props. So let's get right

33
00:01:42,200 --> 00:01:45,520
Speaker 1: into a quarterback. Just a quick reminder. All of our

34
00:01:45,520 --> 00:01:48,680
Speaker 1: fantasy football content available on fantasy labs dot com if

35
00:01:48,720 --> 00:01:52,320
Speaker 1: I don't our rankings, projections and more at fantasy labs

36
00:01:52,480 --> 00:01:53,280
Speaker 1: dot com.

37
00:01:53,560 --> 00:01:56,200
Speaker 2: Week sixteen Sun Quarterback Top five.

38
00:01:56,240 --> 00:02:02,200
Speaker 4: We got Josh Allen, mass of massive completely like five

39
00:02:02,240 --> 00:02:07,440
Speaker 4: point gap, Jalen Hurts, Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, and Kyler Murray.

40
00:02:09,080 --> 00:02:12,919
Speaker 1: I got Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, Jalen Hurts,

41
00:02:12,919 --> 00:02:13,919
Speaker 1: and Baker Mayfield.

42
00:02:14,520 --> 00:02:20,600
Speaker 5: Oh nice, he's my number. Ye who high?

43
00:02:21,960 --> 00:02:25,800
Speaker 4: I'm high on Dorian Thompson Robinson this week, the new

44
00:02:26,160 --> 00:02:29,680
Speaker 4: starter for the Browns. You know he gets to start

45
00:02:29,720 --> 00:02:33,040
Speaker 4: over Jamis Winston this week, and uh, you know he

46
00:02:33,120 --> 00:02:36,040
Speaker 4: has some rushing upside, which is obviously a boost in fantasy.

47
00:02:36,080 --> 00:02:39,800
Speaker 4: But he has a solid mix of pass catchers, especially

48
00:02:39,840 --> 00:02:42,799
Speaker 4: if they get back Cedric Tillman and David and Joku

49
00:02:42,880 --> 00:02:45,519
Speaker 4: this week, which would only you know, help boost his

50
00:02:45,639 --> 00:02:48,200
Speaker 4: passing upside. But I think this is a great spot

51
00:02:48,440 --> 00:02:51,480
Speaker 4: against uh, you know Bengals defense that has been you know,

52
00:02:51,520 --> 00:02:53,760
Speaker 4: a disaster this season, So this is a great matchup

53
00:02:53,800 --> 00:02:56,480
Speaker 4: for him. Should be a pass heavy game scrip. I expect,

54
00:02:56,520 --> 00:02:59,239
Speaker 4: you know, the Bengals to put up points here, so

55
00:02:59,520 --> 00:03:02,520
Speaker 4: you know, he one's up the week as my QB eighteen.

56
00:03:02,680 --> 00:03:06,160
Speaker 4: So if you're in a two QB super flex format, uh,

57
00:03:06,160 --> 00:03:08,720
Speaker 4: and you were relying on Jameis Winston or somebody, I

58
00:03:08,720 --> 00:03:11,040
Speaker 4: think you could do worse than DTR. I think he

59
00:03:11,080 --> 00:03:14,520
Speaker 4: has a sneaky floor ceiling COMBA this week against the Bengals.

60
00:03:15,160 --> 00:03:17,120
Speaker 2: What do you think his benching risk is, because I

61
00:03:17,160 --> 00:03:20,280
Speaker 2: know i've we've we've seen him get benched. Yeah, like

62
00:03:20,440 --> 00:03:22,160
Speaker 2: what half of the starts? I think?

63
00:03:22,440 --> 00:03:26,120
Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, I mean I think in this case, we'll

64
00:03:26,160 --> 00:03:28,880
Speaker 4: just leave him out there for the Wolves. But yeah,

65
00:03:28,919 --> 00:03:30,320
Speaker 4: that's that's a fair point.

66
00:03:30,720 --> 00:03:31,160
Speaker 2: I listened.

67
00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:32,920
Speaker 1: I thought they were just gonna stick with Jamis. So

68
00:03:32,960 --> 00:03:34,839
Speaker 1: the fact that they even bench Jamis that it does

69
00:03:34,880 --> 00:03:37,560
Speaker 1: worry me, Like, I like, what, like.

70
00:03:37,680 --> 00:03:40,040
Speaker 2: Did you really like did you you didn't know Jamis

71
00:03:40,040 --> 00:03:43,720
Speaker 2: throw's picks, Like did you really need to bent like that?

72
00:03:43,880 --> 00:03:44,160
Speaker 5: Just now?

73
00:03:44,200 --> 00:03:48,440
Speaker 2: I'm like, uh, you know, just see what they happen.

74
00:03:48,480 --> 00:03:50,920
Speaker 4: And I think there's been some times he's looked solid,

75
00:03:51,000 --> 00:03:54,360
Speaker 4: like he's been good. Uh in preseason? Uh, what do

76
00:03:54,440 --> 00:03:59,160
Speaker 4: they got to lose? So they're in they're having Jamis so. Yeah, again,

77
00:03:59,200 --> 00:04:02,840
Speaker 4: would you would I play him over like Aaron Rodgers?

78
00:04:03,240 --> 00:04:07,960
Speaker 4: Probably not, but in like DFS, maybe some props, maybe

79
00:04:08,120 --> 00:04:10,520
Speaker 4: we'll have some things. I just think he's sneaky, you know,

80
00:04:11,160 --> 00:04:14,680
Speaker 4: a little. I'm plus twenty four East jar against him. Obviously,

81
00:04:14,960 --> 00:04:16,559
Speaker 4: you know it's still early.

82
00:04:18,440 --> 00:04:19,280
Speaker 5: I rarely use.

83
00:04:19,240 --> 00:04:22,440
Speaker 4: Tuesday morning at ESRR yeah to dictate my plays anymore.

84
00:04:22,480 --> 00:04:24,719
Speaker 4: But again, he's one of those guys where I think

85
00:04:24,760 --> 00:04:26,560
Speaker 4: people will be sleeping on one way or the other.

86
00:04:26,800 --> 00:04:30,239
Speaker 4: But I take your point. He obviously has some benching

87
00:04:30,400 --> 00:04:31,480
Speaker 4: risks this week as well.

88
00:04:32,760 --> 00:04:35,840
Speaker 1: The guy I'm high on is Baker Mayfield here against

89
00:04:35,839 --> 00:04:36,800
Speaker 1: the Cowboys.

90
00:04:37,080 --> 00:04:39,640
Speaker 2: I think he's a top five quarterback. You know, if

91
00:04:39,640 --> 00:04:40,080
Speaker 2: you look.

92
00:04:39,960 --> 00:04:44,040
Speaker 1: At his games indoors this season, you know, he's averaging

93
00:04:45,000 --> 00:04:47,359
Speaker 1: over nine yards in attempt, you know, and that's this

94
00:04:47,440 --> 00:04:50,320
Speaker 1: is another indoor game high total against the Cowboys, and

95
00:04:50,360 --> 00:04:52,840
Speaker 1: their offense has been decent too, so it shouldn't be

96
00:04:52,880 --> 00:04:54,240
Speaker 1: a straight blowout or anything like that.

97
00:04:54,320 --> 00:04:57,560
Speaker 2: And he's scrambling really well, has been all year.

98
00:04:57,560 --> 00:04:59,400
Speaker 1: It's kind of what I've noticed the most about Baker

99
00:04:59,600 --> 00:05:03,760
Speaker 1: that's kind of improving his just is passing and his

100
00:05:03,920 --> 00:05:06,360
Speaker 1: overall fantasy numbers is that he's able to scramble out

101
00:05:06,400 --> 00:05:08,800
Speaker 1: of a lot of pressure and make plays down the

102
00:05:08,800 --> 00:05:11,039
Speaker 1: field or run. So he had another you know, he

103
00:05:11,080 --> 00:05:13,960
Speaker 1: carried twice last week, but it was for twenty five yards.

104
00:05:14,200 --> 00:05:16,320
Speaker 1: Had a two hundred and eighty eight yard game through

105
00:05:16,360 --> 00:05:18,680
Speaker 1: the air, four touchdowns, one pick against a very good

106
00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:22,279
Speaker 1: Chargers defense. He's now averaged nine point eight or more

107
00:05:22,720 --> 00:05:25,119
Speaker 1: yards per pass attempt in three of the past four weeks,

108
00:05:25,160 --> 00:05:28,120
Speaker 1: including ten yards in attempt each of the last two.

109
00:05:28,279 --> 00:05:30,640
Speaker 2: So he's starting to heat up again. And we saw

110
00:05:30,680 --> 00:05:31,760
Speaker 2: this last year when.

111
00:05:31,680 --> 00:05:34,040
Speaker 1: The Bucks are making a playoff run down a stretch,

112
00:05:34,080 --> 00:05:36,240
Speaker 1: it's like all of a sudden, Baker Mayfield every week

113
00:05:36,400 --> 00:05:38,760
Speaker 1: is just putting up numbers and Mike Evans. You know,

114
00:05:38,800 --> 00:05:41,520
Speaker 1: he's still chasing that one thousand yard season, so he's

115
00:05:41,520 --> 00:05:42,840
Speaker 1: going to be throwing at Evans a lot, which is

116
00:05:42,880 --> 00:05:44,720
Speaker 1: always good for your quarterback.

117
00:05:45,080 --> 00:05:48,400
Speaker 2: And yeah, like Mayfield a lot this week. All right,

118
00:05:48,680 --> 00:05:50,480
Speaker 2: who are you low on at quarterback? Sean?

119
00:05:51,400 --> 00:05:55,760
Speaker 4: I'm low on Matthew Stafford in terms of probably like

120
00:05:56,080 --> 00:05:59,360
Speaker 4: public opinion ECR just you know, he had a brutal

121
00:05:59,400 --> 00:06:02,280
Speaker 4: game last week, likely due to the rain. But again

122
00:06:02,320 --> 00:06:04,919
Speaker 4: he's playing outdoors this week again and met life, so

123
00:06:05,000 --> 00:06:09,240
Speaker 4: probably lowers his ceiling a tad. Plus, you know, this

124
00:06:09,320 --> 00:06:11,640
Speaker 4: is a tougher matchup against the Jets if they if

125
00:06:11,640 --> 00:06:14,760
Speaker 4: they do get DJ Reid back this week. He missed

126
00:06:14,800 --> 00:06:17,200
Speaker 4: last week with the growing injury, So you know, my

127
00:06:17,320 --> 00:06:19,720
Speaker 4: rank for Stafford probably depends on that a little bit.

128
00:06:20,279 --> 00:06:21,160
Speaker 5: Now, he still has.

129
00:06:21,160 --> 00:06:24,680
Speaker 4: Upside with Puka Nakua and Cooper Cup, but if he

130
00:06:24,720 --> 00:06:28,440
Speaker 4: doesn't get you know, multiple touchdown passes, it's really tough

131
00:06:28,440 --> 00:06:30,200
Speaker 4: for him to crack the top twelve due to his

132
00:06:30,320 --> 00:06:32,760
Speaker 4: you know, lack of rushing stats. So with him, it's

133
00:06:32,800 --> 00:06:34,800
Speaker 4: got to be the right spot where you know there's

134
00:06:35,440 --> 00:06:36,240
Speaker 4: touch on upside.

135
00:06:36,279 --> 00:06:37,720
Speaker 5: I just don't see it this week. He does.

136
00:06:37,920 --> 00:06:41,120
Speaker 4: You know, he loses touchdowns of Kiro and Williams once

137
00:06:41,120 --> 00:06:42,880
Speaker 4: they do get around the goal line too. So he's

138
00:06:42,920 --> 00:06:45,920
Speaker 4: a player that I think most weeks a bit lower

139
00:06:45,920 --> 00:06:48,280
Speaker 4: on him, but especially this week, I think at New

140
00:06:48,360 --> 00:06:50,400
Speaker 4: York he's going to be more of a mid range

141
00:06:50,440 --> 00:06:52,919
Speaker 4: QB two for me, So he opens up as my

142
00:06:53,000 --> 00:06:54,279
Speaker 4: QB eighteen this week.

143
00:06:55,520 --> 00:06:58,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, he's really kind of you know, any type of pressure.

144
00:06:58,760 --> 00:07:01,400
Speaker 1: He's not good any the weather. There's just a lot

145
00:07:01,440 --> 00:07:04,240
Speaker 1: and then the no rushing upside. So yeah, he's high,

146
00:07:04,520 --> 00:07:08,480
Speaker 1: high ceiling, but yeah, very low floor. I got kind

147
00:07:08,480 --> 00:07:11,320
Speaker 1: of a similar player Jared Goff. You know, he's I

148
00:07:11,360 --> 00:07:13,600
Speaker 1: know everybody's gonna look at the numbers last week and

149
00:07:13,640 --> 00:07:15,520
Speaker 1: be like, how do you how are you low on

150
00:07:15,560 --> 00:07:17,680
Speaker 1: this guy? But we know, we know what the deal

151
00:07:17,760 --> 00:07:21,000
Speaker 1: was with Jared Goff. Like last week, indoors shootout game

152
00:07:21,080 --> 00:07:23,560
Speaker 1: against a good offense on the other side, that's when

153
00:07:23,560 --> 00:07:27,040
Speaker 1: you want Jared Goff. Now he's going outdoors to Chicago,

154
00:07:27,480 --> 00:07:31,960
Speaker 1: which forget the outdoor. Chicago's defense has had some decent

155
00:07:32,000 --> 00:07:35,240
Speaker 1: success against Jared Goff as of late. You know, they've

156
00:07:35,440 --> 00:07:37,200
Speaker 1: you know, he hasn't really put up the huge games

157
00:07:37,200 --> 00:07:41,720
Speaker 1: that we expect from golf against the Bears defense. You know,

158
00:07:41,880 --> 00:07:45,520
Speaker 1: it was on on Thanksgiving. You know, it was two

159
00:07:45,600 --> 00:07:47,600
Speaker 1: hundred and twenty one yards, a couple of touchdowns.

160
00:07:47,760 --> 00:07:50,040
Speaker 2: So was it terrible? But that was pretty much his

161
00:07:50,120 --> 00:07:50,600
Speaker 2: best game.

162
00:07:50,880 --> 00:07:51,080
Speaker 5: You know.

163
00:07:51,240 --> 00:07:54,480
Speaker 1: Last year he had one hundred and sixty one yards,

164
00:07:54,640 --> 00:07:57,640
Speaker 1: one touchdown, two picks in the game in.

165
00:07:57,600 --> 00:07:58,680
Speaker 2: Chicago and they lost.

166
00:07:58,840 --> 00:08:01,880
Speaker 1: And in the game in Detroit, which is indoors, two

167
00:08:01,960 --> 00:08:04,560
Speaker 1: hundred and thirty six yards, two touchdowns, three picks. So

168
00:08:05,040 --> 00:08:08,400
Speaker 1: he has not fared well against the Bears defense. Now

169
00:08:08,400 --> 00:08:11,680
Speaker 1: you're going outdoors, uh, you know, coming off the huge game,

170
00:08:12,080 --> 00:08:14,360
Speaker 1: I just think it's it's a big bit of a

171
00:08:14,400 --> 00:08:18,320
Speaker 1: letdown spot here for golf and h and these Wyons

172
00:08:18,360 --> 00:08:19,080
Speaker 1: throwing the football.

173
00:08:19,640 --> 00:08:21,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, and this is his only his second game outdoors

174
00:08:21,960 --> 00:08:22,440
Speaker 4: all season.

175
00:08:22,560 --> 00:08:22,880
Speaker 5: I think.

176
00:08:23,040 --> 00:08:25,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, he had a great schedule really these last couple

177
00:08:25,400 --> 00:08:26,520
Speaker 1: of years at Green Bay.

178
00:08:27,320 --> 00:08:30,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, that's only at Green Bay, right, one hundred and

179
00:08:30,240 --> 00:08:31,680
Speaker 4: forty five yards passing.

180
00:08:31,840 --> 00:08:33,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, Yeah. He can't even look at the split

181
00:08:33,480 --> 00:08:35,920
Speaker 2: from this year because that he has I saw in one.

182
00:08:35,840 --> 00:08:38,360
Speaker 4: Well, he's averaging he's averaging one hundred and forty five

183
00:08:38,440 --> 00:08:38,920
Speaker 4: yards a game.

184
00:08:38,920 --> 00:08:39,640
Speaker 5: Outdoors this year.

185
00:08:41,480 --> 00:08:43,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, and that's probably the way you should look at it.

186
00:08:44,120 --> 00:08:44,480
Speaker 5: Yeah.

187
00:08:44,520 --> 00:08:47,880
Speaker 1: So yeah, it's a he probably haven't a decently efficient game,

188
00:08:47,880 --> 00:08:50,240
Speaker 1: but again against his Bears defense even at has come

189
00:08:50,360 --> 00:08:53,800
Speaker 1: to question at times. So yeah, I would look to

190
00:08:53,840 --> 00:08:56,520
Speaker 1: somewhere else if I could, uh for this week, even

191
00:08:56,679 --> 00:08:58,800
Speaker 1: even with the big box score last week.

192
00:08:59,000 --> 00:09:00,560
Speaker 2: All right, I'm.

193
00:09:00,840 --> 00:09:04,000
Speaker 1: Since everyone's kind of doesn't know what to do with

194
00:09:04,080 --> 00:09:05,560
Speaker 1: either of these guys. One of them is coming off

195
00:09:05,600 --> 00:09:06,920
Speaker 1: like the biggest game of his life, and one of

196
00:09:06,960 --> 00:09:08,360
Speaker 1: them is coming off one of.

197
00:09:08,320 --> 00:09:09,520
Speaker 2: The worst games of his life.

198
00:09:09,920 --> 00:09:14,920
Speaker 1: Nice Rock Party versus Jared gos passing yards. I'm gonna

199
00:09:14,960 --> 00:09:17,400
Speaker 1: go Prety minus four and a half. He's the favorite

200
00:09:17,400 --> 00:09:18,120
Speaker 1: by four and a half.

201
00:09:18,360 --> 00:09:19,760
Speaker 5: Ooh, that's a good one.

202
00:09:19,840 --> 00:09:24,760
Speaker 4: I have them tied, but I haven't really factored in

203
00:09:24,880 --> 00:09:28,360
Speaker 4: Goffs outdoor average of one hundred and forty five yards

204
00:09:28,360 --> 00:09:33,360
Speaker 4: a game yet. I'm thinking no Montgomery, oh man, he

205
00:09:33,480 --> 00:09:38,040
Speaker 4: might just check down a little bit more. Niners Party

206
00:09:38,080 --> 00:09:41,840
Speaker 4: look really bad, though. I'll go with Purty, so I

207
00:09:41,920 --> 00:09:44,600
Speaker 4: have to spot, So I'm taking a minus fo Yeah.

208
00:09:44,280 --> 00:09:46,360
Speaker 2: You're taking You've spot in four and a half yards.

209
00:09:46,920 --> 00:09:50,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't love it. But I'll go with it. Yeah,

210
00:09:50,559 --> 00:09:52,880
Speaker 4: perty look bad. I think he'll bounce back.

211
00:09:53,720 --> 00:09:56,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, but that's that's the right call. I think it's

212
00:09:56,000 --> 00:09:56,480
Speaker 2: the right call.

213
00:09:56,480 --> 00:09:58,600
Speaker 1: But yeah, it's tough to set up both of their

214
00:09:58,679 --> 00:10:00,679
Speaker 1: projections because yeah, you have one of them coming off

215
00:10:00,720 --> 00:10:02,360
Speaker 1: his Monster game and you have the other one. And

216
00:10:02,400 --> 00:10:04,240
Speaker 1: it's not even just this one game. I mean he's

217
00:10:04,280 --> 00:10:07,360
Speaker 1: had he had the Rain game. I mean at the

218
00:10:07,400 --> 00:10:08,760
Speaker 1: Ring games. This is the Ring game. He had the

219
00:10:08,840 --> 00:10:10,640
Speaker 1: Rain game, and he had the Snow Game. He had

220
00:10:10,640 --> 00:10:12,120
Speaker 1: the Rain game of the Snow game. So it's like,

221
00:10:12,120 --> 00:10:14,800
Speaker 1: are we just is it recency biased or is his

222
00:10:14,840 --> 00:10:18,320
Speaker 1: on I have to go back and watch again because

223
00:10:18,320 --> 00:10:20,719
Speaker 1: I don't know. It's just I don't know, it's it's

224
00:10:20,800 --> 00:10:23,000
Speaker 1: nothing he like stood out to me outside if he

225
00:10:23,120 --> 00:10:26,079
Speaker 1: just he's looked like that too much and like it's

226
00:10:26,080 --> 00:10:27,920
Speaker 1: almost like we're getting used to him looking like that,

227
00:10:28,000 --> 00:10:29,800
Speaker 1: and it's but then he had that game in between

228
00:10:30,120 --> 00:10:33,320
Speaker 1: where did he throw for like three hundred yards against Chicago?

229
00:10:33,400 --> 00:10:35,800
Speaker 4: So yeah, yeah, do we know what his injury is?

230
00:10:35,840 --> 00:10:38,160
Speaker 4: Like I heard it could have been like a laborum

231
00:10:38,320 --> 00:10:40,199
Speaker 4: tear or something.

232
00:10:40,840 --> 00:10:42,160
Speaker 5: Do we even know what he shoulder?

233
00:10:42,240 --> 00:10:44,160
Speaker 2: I don't think we have the exact details.

234
00:10:44,120 --> 00:10:47,640
Speaker 4: Because I because I tore my labor, you could probably

235
00:10:47,679 --> 00:10:49,599
Speaker 4: play It's a lot of a lot of pain that

236
00:10:49,679 --> 00:10:52,400
Speaker 4: he needs surgery, you could play through it. So maybe

237
00:10:52,440 --> 00:10:54,880
Speaker 4: he's dealing with something like that, or is something structurally

238
00:10:54,880 --> 00:10:58,199
Speaker 4: wrong where he'll look good at times, but he did

239
00:10:58,240 --> 00:10:59,400
Speaker 4: not look good last week.

240
00:11:00,040 --> 00:11:00,760
Speaker 5: All they do the rain.

241
00:11:01,080 --> 00:11:03,560
Speaker 4: I was thinking, Okay, so when it comes to golf,

242
00:11:03,880 --> 00:11:05,440
Speaker 4: do we think the Bears are gonna be able to

243
00:11:05,440 --> 00:11:08,400
Speaker 4: put up enough points to even force golf to throw

244
00:11:08,480 --> 00:11:12,560
Speaker 4: after just watching the disaster that we just saw last

245
00:11:12,640 --> 00:11:15,280
Speaker 4: night with the Bears. But the Lion's defense, I have

246
00:11:15,400 --> 00:11:18,640
Speaker 4: so many injuries. Yeah, like so I can go either way.

247
00:11:18,679 --> 00:11:21,080
Speaker 4: So just I'm not gonna overthink it. Just give me Party.

248
00:11:21,120 --> 00:11:23,520
Speaker 4: But that's those are gonna be two players that are

249
00:11:23,520 --> 00:11:25,000
Speaker 4: gonna be fun to project later in the week.

250
00:11:25,400 --> 00:11:27,480
Speaker 1: I will say this the one the one thing I

251
00:11:27,480 --> 00:11:35,280
Speaker 1: will say about Party is the line for Niners Dolphins

252
00:11:35,440 --> 00:11:39,120
Speaker 1: in Miami is Miami minus one and a half with

253
00:11:39,120 --> 00:11:40,320
Speaker 1: a forty four and a half total.

254
00:11:40,360 --> 00:11:41,760
Speaker 2: So that that seems to me that books don't think

255
00:11:41,760 --> 00:11:42,640
Speaker 2: perty's playing.

256
00:11:43,080 --> 00:11:46,600
Speaker 3: Oh right, yeah, forty four and a half for forty

257
00:11:46,600 --> 00:11:49,880
Speaker 3: four and a half for a healthy a healthy niner

258
00:11:49,920 --> 00:11:54,880
Speaker 3: passing offense in in a you know, warm weather city.

259
00:11:55,240 --> 00:11:57,439
Speaker 2: I feel like that seems seems a little fishy.

260
00:11:57,840 --> 00:11:59,600
Speaker 5: No, they're supposed to be weather or something.

261
00:12:00,000 --> 00:12:01,400
Speaker 1: I'm like, yeah, it's supposed to be a little wed.

262
00:12:01,440 --> 00:12:03,720
Speaker 1: But no, I mean it's forty four and a half. Yeah,

263
00:12:03,720 --> 00:12:07,360
Speaker 1: I know that Miami minus Miami, like Miami is.

264
00:12:07,440 --> 00:12:10,400
Speaker 4: This Miami minus one and a half sounds about right,

265
00:12:10,640 --> 00:12:12,400
Speaker 4: But the total seems very low.

266
00:12:13,400 --> 00:12:14,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, and it's gone down.

267
00:12:14,760 --> 00:12:16,120
Speaker 1: It was it was I think it was forty six

268
00:12:16,160 --> 00:12:18,199
Speaker 1: and a half when I first inputted. You know, I

269
00:12:18,280 --> 00:12:20,920
Speaker 1: usually in put the numbers in my early projections just

270
00:12:20,960 --> 00:12:22,719
Speaker 1: to get to see where the market's at. And yeah,

271
00:12:22,760 --> 00:12:24,640
Speaker 1: it's gone down a couple points.

272
00:12:24,640 --> 00:12:26,720
Speaker 2: So yeah, that's something a lot total.

273
00:12:27,120 --> 00:12:29,400
Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean, if you're if you're starting party

274
00:12:29,440 --> 00:12:33,080
Speaker 1: this week, I would definitely makes plans because something something's.

275
00:12:32,760 --> 00:12:35,760
Speaker 2: A little fishy. Uh just period. I mean, yeah, he

276
00:12:35,760 --> 00:12:36,960
Speaker 2: didn't look like he could make the throws.

277
00:12:36,960 --> 00:12:39,400
Speaker 1: But again, yes it's gott You don't really want goffe

278
00:12:39,440 --> 00:12:41,280
Speaker 1: either or yeah, this is this is a tough projection.

279
00:12:41,800 --> 00:12:46,880
Speaker 1: Make sure to visit our rankings at Action network dot com.

280
00:12:46,120 --> 00:12:48,520
Speaker 2: Looking for weekly projections from me and Sean Kerner.

281
00:12:48,679 --> 00:12:51,640
Speaker 1: The only place you'll find them is a Fantasy Labs

282
00:12:51,880 --> 00:12:55,400
Speaker 1: dot com. You'll get our weekly player projections every week,

283
00:12:55,640 --> 00:12:59,199
Speaker 1: plus access to a suite of tools, including our lineup

284
00:12:59,200 --> 00:13:03,320
Speaker 1: Optimizer and our all new sim Labs lineup builder that

285
00:13:03,400 --> 00:13:06,720
Speaker 1: uses the power of simulations paired with our award winning

286
00:13:06,760 --> 00:13:11,000
Speaker 1: projections to deliver winning lineups in mere seconds. Use promo

287
00:13:11,080 --> 00:13:13,920
Speaker 1: code flex forty that's f l e x four zero

288
00:13:14,160 --> 00:13:18,920
Speaker 1: for forty dollars off your first month of Fantasy Labs dfs.

289
00:13:19,400 --> 00:13:22,520
Speaker 1: We've dropped the link in this episode's description. Just remember

290
00:13:22,600 --> 00:13:25,800
Speaker 1: to use code flex forty at checkout. Let's get some

291
00:13:25,920 --> 00:13:28,400
Speaker 1: running back, Sean, who got in your top five?

292
00:13:28,800 --> 00:13:33,120
Speaker 4: I got Jamior Gibbs number one, then Bjon Robinson, Josh Jacobs,

293
00:13:33,240 --> 00:13:34,920
Speaker 4: Chase Brown, and Saquon Barkley.

294
00:13:35,840 --> 00:13:39,720
Speaker 1: Yeah I got I got Gibbs number one, Jacob's number two,

295
00:13:40,679 --> 00:13:45,439
Speaker 1: Jon Barkley, and Jase Brown. So yeah, same same guys,

296
00:13:45,520 --> 00:13:46,480
Speaker 1: a little bit different order.

297
00:13:48,240 --> 00:13:49,400
Speaker 2: Who are you high.

298
00:13:49,160 --> 00:13:53,120
Speaker 4: On Kendre Miller? I mentioned him on the Waivers pod.

299
00:13:53,200 --> 00:13:56,640
Speaker 4: This is obviously pending. You know, Alvin Kamara not being

300
00:13:56,640 --> 00:14:00,480
Speaker 4: able to play through this growing injury and again with

301
00:14:00,760 --> 00:14:03,719
Speaker 4: you know, the Saints season over sounds like Derek Carr

302
00:14:03,760 --> 00:14:07,400
Speaker 4: is getting shut down. They're massive underdogs against the Packers.

303
00:14:08,200 --> 00:14:11,320
Speaker 4: I would imagine they just don't force Kamara out there,

304
00:14:11,320 --> 00:14:12,839
Speaker 4: and they probably want to see what they have in

305
00:14:12,920 --> 00:14:15,320
Speaker 4: Kendre Miller, who was their third round pick last year.

306
00:14:15,800 --> 00:14:16,439
Speaker 5: I like him.

307
00:14:16,760 --> 00:14:20,200
Speaker 4: He reminds me of Aaron Jones, so I would think

308
00:14:20,240 --> 00:14:22,040
Speaker 4: that they want to get him as many reps as

309
00:14:22,080 --> 00:14:25,080
Speaker 4: possible these last few weeks, So this would be a

310
00:14:25,080 --> 00:14:26,640
Speaker 4: good week to do it. And I think, you know,

311
00:14:26,720 --> 00:14:28,640
Speaker 4: he'll be much more involved in the passing game if

312
00:14:28,680 --> 00:14:31,800
Speaker 4: Kamara does sit, so I think he's got the potential

313
00:14:31,880 --> 00:14:34,800
Speaker 4: to be like a low end RB two here if

314
00:14:34,840 --> 00:14:38,320
Speaker 4: Kamara is out. Another guy that I'm I'm gonna be

315
00:14:38,400 --> 00:14:43,080
Speaker 4: high on compared to consensus is Ray Davis, just because

316
00:14:43,120 --> 00:14:46,800
Speaker 4: I think this is a sneaky spot for him in

317
00:14:46,840 --> 00:14:49,560
Speaker 4: a game where the Bills are just massive favorites against

318
00:14:49,600 --> 00:14:52,480
Speaker 4: the Patriots. I think you called Ty Johnson last week,

319
00:14:52,640 --> 00:14:54,960
Speaker 4: Oh Ky Johnson. Ty Johnson is the back to take

320
00:14:55,000 --> 00:14:56,280
Speaker 4: it if you think the Bills are going to be

321
00:14:56,280 --> 00:14:59,200
Speaker 4: in like a shootout or potentially a trailing game. Script

322
00:14:59,480 --> 00:15:01,280
Speaker 4: Ray Davis This is the opposite. If you think we're

323
00:15:01,280 --> 00:15:03,120
Speaker 4: going to blow a team out, you go with Ray Davis.

324
00:15:03,160 --> 00:15:08,520
Speaker 4: We saw that in Week thirteen against the Niners, rushed

325
00:15:08,640 --> 00:15:11,160
Speaker 4: eleven times six or three yards in a touchdown. I

326
00:15:11,200 --> 00:15:14,920
Speaker 4: think we could see a similar line here. You know,

327
00:15:14,960 --> 00:15:18,920
Speaker 4: against the Patriots. They got to keep James Cook fresh

328
00:15:18,960 --> 00:15:20,880
Speaker 4: for the playoffs as well. They kind of want to

329
00:15:20,920 --> 00:15:24,040
Speaker 4: limit how many touches he gets just in general, because

330
00:15:24,080 --> 00:15:25,400
Speaker 4: he did kind of fall off at the end of

331
00:15:25,480 --> 00:15:27,880
Speaker 4: last year. So I think that's key here. If they

332
00:15:27,960 --> 00:15:30,520
Speaker 4: get up early, just keep feeding Ray Davis. So I

333
00:15:30,600 --> 00:15:34,000
Speaker 4: think he could make for an interesting desperation RB three

334
00:15:34,080 --> 00:15:37,080
Speaker 4: flex type for managers who are in a bind. Obviously

335
00:15:37,120 --> 00:15:40,160
Speaker 4: great play for dfs, maybe props, but Ray Davis is

336
00:15:40,160 --> 00:15:42,800
Speaker 4: a guy I'm gonna want to be higher than easier

337
00:15:42,880 --> 00:15:43,520
Speaker 4: on this week.

338
00:15:44,240 --> 00:15:46,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, it sets up as a Ray Davis gana Bill's

339
00:15:47,120 --> 00:15:50,320
Speaker 1: They just I don't I mean, maybe they have a letdown,

340
00:15:50,320 --> 00:15:54,120
Speaker 1: but at this point they just they're rolling an offense.

341
00:15:54,160 --> 00:15:58,960
Speaker 1: So yeah, Jerome Ford like him this week against the Bengals.

342
00:15:59,000 --> 00:16:02,520
Speaker 1: I mean, I think you're gonna have with Dorian Thompson

343
00:16:02,600 --> 00:16:05,320
Speaker 1: Robinson starting, You're not gonna have a ton of success

344
00:16:05,320 --> 00:16:08,040
Speaker 1: through the air that you've been having with you know,

345
00:16:08,120 --> 00:16:10,240
Speaker 1: Jerry Judy and all these guys. So that's there's gonna

346
00:16:10,280 --> 00:16:12,240
Speaker 1: be yards to be had, you know, just to kind

347
00:16:12,280 --> 00:16:14,520
Speaker 1: of move the ball, and I think Ford gets more

348
00:16:14,560 --> 00:16:17,080
Speaker 1: of those. And he was already cutting into Nick Chubb's

349
00:16:17,120 --> 00:16:19,680
Speaker 1: early down usage as the season progressed, which is, you know,

350
00:16:19,720 --> 00:16:22,760
Speaker 1: pretty crazy considering just how much respect they have for Chubbs.

351
00:16:22,800 --> 00:16:24,560
Speaker 1: So the fact that they were kind of taking some

352
00:16:24,600 --> 00:16:27,680
Speaker 1: of his work away as the season progressed and he struggled,

353
00:16:27,960 --> 00:16:30,800
Speaker 1: I think Ford will continue to be the lead back

354
00:16:30,840 --> 00:16:33,880
Speaker 1: and he's in tune for potentially be a really big

355
00:16:33,880 --> 00:16:37,960
Speaker 1: workload here because they've been just healthy scratching deonce Foreman

356
00:16:38,200 --> 00:16:41,080
Speaker 1: for you know, a couple of months now pretty much.

357
00:16:41,200 --> 00:16:43,160
Speaker 1: And Pierre Strong he's been in and out, but he's

358
00:16:43,160 --> 00:16:45,000
Speaker 1: more of the you know, Ford back up in the

359
00:16:45,040 --> 00:16:48,200
Speaker 1: past game, which they don't that's not really changing with

360
00:16:48,680 --> 00:16:51,680
Speaker 1: Chubb going out. So I think Ford against this Bengal

361
00:16:51,760 --> 00:16:56,160
Speaker 1: defense that you know, could be playing some pre event

362
00:16:56,320 --> 00:16:58,600
Speaker 1: late in the game, the way the Bengals offense is playing,

363
00:16:59,400 --> 00:17:03,480
Speaker 1: like Ford here against the Bengals, all right, who are

364
00:17:03,480 --> 00:17:05,840
Speaker 1: you low on it? Running back four Week sixteen, Shaw.

365
00:17:06,080 --> 00:17:10,040
Speaker 4: I'm low on Nase Harris, which sucks. This is the

366
00:17:10,040 --> 00:17:13,199
Speaker 4: time here he kind of turns into Derrick Henry. But

367
00:17:13,720 --> 00:17:15,800
Speaker 4: you know, he's coming off a brutal game against the

368
00:17:15,800 --> 00:17:19,320
Speaker 4: Eagles and this is just another brutal spot for him

369
00:17:19,320 --> 00:17:22,320
Speaker 4: to get, you know, a pass funnel Raven's defense, and

370
00:17:22,680 --> 00:17:25,080
Speaker 4: you know, Nause's always going to get a downgrade whenever

371
00:17:25,160 --> 00:17:27,320
Speaker 4: the Steelers are expected to be in more of a

372
00:17:27,320 --> 00:17:30,000
Speaker 4: trailing game script, which is certainly the case this week.

373
00:17:30,080 --> 00:17:32,919
Speaker 4: So I think this does set up better for Jalen

374
00:17:33,000 --> 00:17:36,719
Speaker 4: Warren out of you know, the Steelers backfield. So I

375
00:17:36,760 --> 00:17:39,560
Speaker 4: have Nause as you know, a dicey RB three flex

376
00:17:39,600 --> 00:17:42,320
Speaker 4: play who might need a touchdown this week to really

377
00:17:42,359 --> 00:17:44,200
Speaker 4: offer any value for you.

378
00:17:44,359 --> 00:17:45,280
Speaker 5: So you know, he's a.

379
00:17:45,280 --> 00:17:48,280
Speaker 4: Guy that just in these types of spots, My projections

380
00:17:48,280 --> 00:17:49,840
Speaker 4: are going to be much much lower on Nause.

381
00:17:50,080 --> 00:17:52,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, let's be really, most weeks he needs

382
00:17:52,560 --> 00:17:55,760
Speaker 2: to touch down anyway, that's true. It's sixteen carries for

383
00:17:55,840 --> 00:17:58,159
Speaker 2: sixty three yards if I mean.

384
00:17:58,119 --> 00:18:00,840
Speaker 4: Last year, though last year by this time it was

385
00:18:00,920 --> 00:18:03,400
Speaker 4: like twenty seven carries for one hundred and thirty seven.

386
00:18:03,640 --> 00:18:05,639
Speaker 5: Like, this is the time year he does that.

387
00:18:05,800 --> 00:18:08,560
Speaker 4: You know, usually when it's a bad weather game and

388
00:18:08,600 --> 00:18:11,720
Speaker 4: it's a closer game. Those those have been big nause

389
00:18:11,840 --> 00:18:13,600
Speaker 4: games of it. We're just not seeing that right now.

390
00:18:13,920 --> 00:18:16,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, that was brutal that fumble. Uh pretty much touched

391
00:18:16,840 --> 00:18:18,760
Speaker 2: my Steelers bet because I think, you know, they were

392
00:18:18,800 --> 00:18:19,560
Speaker 2: driving down the field.

393
00:18:19,600 --> 00:18:20,119
Speaker 5: It was one.

394
00:18:20,160 --> 00:18:22,520
Speaker 1: I think it was could have cut into that lead,

395
00:18:22,600 --> 00:18:24,960
Speaker 1: and then yeah, I think it was a seven point game.

396
00:18:25,000 --> 00:18:27,000
Speaker 1: And then he fumbles in after they had a good

397
00:18:27,040 --> 00:18:31,199
Speaker 1: job going. Pretty much that was it, all right. I

398
00:18:31,240 --> 00:18:33,679
Speaker 1: am low on Rimandre Stevenson. I think he's another kind

399
00:18:33,720 --> 00:18:35,240
Speaker 1: of dice. He guy kind of turned into a little

400
00:18:35,240 --> 00:18:39,040
Speaker 1: bit of that similar type of Backwaikah Harris where if

401
00:18:39,080 --> 00:18:41,040
Speaker 1: you don't get a touchdown, you're not you're not really

402
00:18:41,080 --> 00:18:43,199
Speaker 1: sitting pretty with him, and he's it's the Patriots, so

403
00:18:43,240 --> 00:18:46,600
Speaker 1: that's tough to do. But two of the last three games,

404
00:18:46,600 --> 00:18:49,280
Speaker 1: which we're both games where it was a blowout, his

405
00:18:49,359 --> 00:18:51,800
Speaker 1: snap count went you know, down more than it has

406
00:18:51,840 --> 00:18:54,040
Speaker 1: early in the season. He went, you know, just forty

407
00:18:54,040 --> 00:18:57,639
Speaker 1: two percent of snaps against the Dolphins and then sixty

408
00:18:57,680 --> 00:19:00,440
Speaker 1: five percent against the Cardinals. And we saw the second

409
00:19:00,440 --> 00:19:03,760
Speaker 1: street week Antonio Gibson really looked a lot better than

410
00:19:03,800 --> 00:19:07,359
Speaker 1: Remandre on some of his snaps. So I just worry

411
00:19:07,359 --> 00:19:09,800
Speaker 1: that you either get a blowout and Remondre kind of

412
00:19:09,800 --> 00:19:12,280
Speaker 1: doesn't really get a full compliment of steps, or they.

413
00:19:12,200 --> 00:19:13,680
Speaker 2: Keep working in Gibson a little more.

414
00:19:14,320 --> 00:19:17,520
Speaker 1: So there's kind of a dual threat here against this

415
00:19:17,640 --> 00:19:21,480
Speaker 1: Bill's team as a huge underdog for Remondre, so he's

416
00:19:21,520 --> 00:19:23,639
Speaker 1: still a top twenty four back in ECR. I prefer

417
00:19:23,720 --> 00:19:26,440
Speaker 1: him as you know, RB three flex kind of guy

418
00:19:26,440 --> 00:19:28,840
Speaker 1: who really don't want to be relying on. If you're

419
00:19:28,920 --> 00:19:32,359
Speaker 1: you know this deep into the fantasy playoffs, let's see

420
00:19:32,520 --> 00:19:33,080
Speaker 1: prop so.

421
00:19:33,040 --> 00:19:34,879
Speaker 2: This is you we were going this week?

422
00:19:35,520 --> 00:19:38,679
Speaker 4: Just running back props in general have been really tricky

423
00:19:38,720 --> 00:19:40,960
Speaker 4: this year. One of the few props I lost like

424
00:19:41,240 --> 00:19:44,359
Speaker 4: last week was I had Tank Bigsby over. It just

425
00:19:44,400 --> 00:19:47,000
Speaker 4: seems like any short term trend you can't read into it,

426
00:19:47,040 --> 00:19:48,720
Speaker 4: just throw it out the window. It doesn't matter, just

427
00:19:48,800 --> 00:19:54,320
Speaker 4: anything goes. So let's go with the Jaguars backfield. I'm

428
00:19:54,280 --> 00:19:56,320
Speaker 4: gonna I want to hear your thoughts on this because

429
00:19:56,359 --> 00:19:57,919
Speaker 4: I don't know what to do here. But who's going

430
00:19:58,000 --> 00:20:00,879
Speaker 4: to have more rushing yards this week? Travis et or

431
00:20:00,960 --> 00:20:06,000
Speaker 4: tank big Sby against the Raiders. Ooh, because ETN was

432
00:20:06,040 --> 00:20:09,679
Speaker 4: just the clear lead back last week, just you know

433
00:20:09,720 --> 00:20:14,120
Speaker 4: Bigsby would mix in. But it's kind of surprising, and

434
00:20:14,640 --> 00:20:16,800
Speaker 4: I think this this does set up for like a

435
00:20:16,800 --> 00:20:19,240
Speaker 4: better spot than Bigsby. But it's just like, what are

436
00:20:19,280 --> 00:20:20,480
Speaker 4: your thoughts on this backfield?

437
00:20:20,920 --> 00:20:23,240
Speaker 1: I have fifty to fifty on carries. I have ETN

438
00:20:23,320 --> 00:20:26,680
Speaker 1: with a as a clear uh lead back on passing downs.

439
00:20:26,760 --> 00:20:28,439
Speaker 1: But yeah, carries have been I mean, if you do

440
00:20:28,480 --> 00:20:30,879
Speaker 1: look at the full season numbers, they've been equal in

441
00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:34,440
Speaker 1: carries and then it's been the passing work where ETN

442
00:20:34,680 --> 00:20:37,679
Speaker 1: has kind of separated. So because you know, you like

443
00:20:37,760 --> 00:20:39,840
Speaker 1: with running backs, I do still look at, like, you know,

444
00:20:39,880 --> 00:20:43,000
Speaker 1: the if when you're raiding the recent trends, which as

445
00:20:43,000 --> 00:20:44,960
Speaker 1: you mentioned, has been a little bit hit or missed

446
00:20:44,960 --> 00:20:47,000
Speaker 1: this year. But when you're waiting the recent trends, it's

447
00:20:47,040 --> 00:20:50,360
Speaker 1: usually the past two games for running backs, and Bigsby

448
00:20:50,400 --> 00:20:54,240
Speaker 1: had that game two weeks ago where he had seventy

449
00:20:54,280 --> 00:20:57,679
Speaker 1: eight percent of the design backfield carries and ETN and

450
00:20:57,720 --> 00:20:59,720
Speaker 1: he had seventeen, and then last week it was fifty

451
00:20:59,720 --> 00:21:03,719
Speaker 1: six forty four in favorite. So Bigsby's edge was bigger

452
00:21:03,760 --> 00:21:06,680
Speaker 1: in the game that he had the weed season. It's

453
00:21:06,720 --> 00:21:09,399
Speaker 1: literally within one percent. So I'm gonna I'm gonna go

454
00:21:09,440 --> 00:21:11,240
Speaker 1: with Big Beer. I have him, I have him equal

455
00:21:11,280 --> 00:21:13,720
Speaker 1: in terms of carries, so the Bigsby is more yards

456
00:21:13,720 --> 00:21:16,919
Speaker 1: per carry, So I have him at forty seven and

457
00:21:16,920 --> 00:21:19,120
Speaker 1: then at forty two, I have him both getting about

458
00:21:19,160 --> 00:21:19,679
Speaker 1: ten carries.

459
00:21:20,320 --> 00:21:21,960
Speaker 5: Yeah. Yeah, it was just a good spot.

460
00:21:22,000 --> 00:21:25,240
Speaker 4: The Jets defense had been vulnerable on inside runs, which

461
00:21:25,280 --> 00:21:28,360
Speaker 4: is what Bigsby thrives with. And I was watching the game,

462
00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:32,080
Speaker 4: of course because I had that prop, but it looked

463
00:21:32,119 --> 00:21:34,359
Speaker 4: like he was in for a drive. Usually he was

464
00:21:34,400 --> 00:21:36,760
Speaker 4: going to get the whole drive. And the first play

465
00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:40,560
Speaker 4: he fumbled it. Yeah, and then came in right away.

466
00:21:40,600 --> 00:21:44,000
Speaker 4: But the like the fumbled inn't count because it was

467
00:21:44,040 --> 00:21:46,800
Speaker 4: a penalty, like a Jets player like ripped his face

468
00:21:46,840 --> 00:21:48,720
Speaker 4: off and he fumbled. Yep, And it's almost like he

469
00:21:48,760 --> 00:21:49,960
Speaker 4: got in trouble for that.

470
00:21:50,440 --> 00:21:52,199
Speaker 2: Could have been hurt, just been hurt. I mean if

471
00:21:52,200 --> 00:21:56,120
Speaker 2: he did get his Yeah, yeah exactly, but then you know, yeah,

472
00:21:56,119 --> 00:21:57,320
Speaker 2: I didn't need to check out.

473
00:21:57,160 --> 00:21:59,080
Speaker 5: For he's a little bit he's tanked.

474
00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:02,160
Speaker 4: Okay, he's tank, doesn't get hurt, but it just seemed

475
00:22:02,200 --> 00:22:04,679
Speaker 4: like he was briefly kind of bench for that and

476
00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:07,639
Speaker 4: just they were just playing met and heavily. So again

477
00:22:07,840 --> 00:22:10,320
Speaker 4: just my my bigger point is his running backs have

478
00:22:10,400 --> 00:22:13,720
Speaker 4: been really fickle this year, uh and tough to project,

479
00:22:13,800 --> 00:22:16,800
Speaker 4: so kind of staying away from those types of props

480
00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:17,920
Speaker 4: if I can help, Hey.

481
00:22:18,040 --> 00:22:20,760
Speaker 1: We're gonna get We're probably gonna get if if McLoughlin's out,

482
00:22:20,800 --> 00:22:23,080
Speaker 1: we'll get another Javonte like ten and a half carriages

483
00:22:23,480 --> 00:22:27,560
Speaker 1: and thirty five yards or forty yards something outrageous, right, Well,

484
00:22:27,600 --> 00:22:28,199
Speaker 1: he might get that.

485
00:22:28,359 --> 00:22:31,359
Speaker 5: Look out for those if McLoughlin's out, he might get it.

486
00:22:31,520 --> 00:22:32,320
Speaker 5: So that's the thing.

487
00:22:32,560 --> 00:22:35,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, you say that, you say that, but what we

488
00:22:35,400 --> 00:22:37,679
Speaker 1: what do we know about the Bronco's backfield ever, the

489
00:22:37,760 --> 00:22:39,720
Speaker 1: one guy who's I mean, I think it's been what

490
00:22:39,800 --> 00:22:41,360
Speaker 1: like probably if you look at his number, I think

491
00:22:41,359 --> 00:22:43,679
Speaker 1: it's probably been like nine or ten of his or

492
00:22:43,920 --> 00:22:46,959
Speaker 1: of the weeks he's at weast got to be like

493
00:22:47,040 --> 00:22:49,760
Speaker 1: ten and four to unders at weast, if not like

494
00:22:49,840 --> 00:22:50,520
Speaker 1: eleven or twelve.

495
00:22:50,520 --> 00:22:52,439
Speaker 2: I mean he's been yeah, oh yeah, he's had like

496
00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:54,760
Speaker 2: maybe one or two games where he's exceeded expectations and

497
00:22:54,840 --> 00:22:59,119
Speaker 2: that's it. Yep, all right, wide receiver top five for

498
00:22:59,200 --> 00:22:59,880
Speaker 2: Week sixteen.

499
00:23:00,440 --> 00:23:06,320
Speaker 4: Let's see, I got Jamar Chase, Mike Evans, Luca Nakua,

500
00:23:06,800 --> 00:23:08,919
Speaker 4: Nico Collins, and AJ Brown.

501
00:23:10,119 --> 00:23:17,200
Speaker 2: I got Chase nicoua A Manra Evans and Nico Collins.

502
00:23:17,280 --> 00:23:17,680
Speaker 5: Nice.

503
00:23:18,640 --> 00:23:19,480
Speaker 2: Who are you high on?

504
00:23:20,440 --> 00:23:23,600
Speaker 5: I'm high on DJ Moore this week.

505
00:23:23,680 --> 00:23:27,200
Speaker 4: And you know, make no mistake, this Bears offense is

506
00:23:27,240 --> 00:23:30,639
Speaker 4: a complete disaster right now. The plan just seems to

507
00:23:30,640 --> 00:23:34,119
Speaker 4: get just get through the season. You know, fire all

508
00:23:34,160 --> 00:23:37,399
Speaker 4: these coaches hire a new staff, but for now, the

509
00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:40,120
Speaker 4: plan is, you know, get Caleb to dump it off

510
00:23:40,119 --> 00:23:43,480
Speaker 4: the DJ Moore most of the time, and now, hell

511
00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:45,239
Speaker 4: just line him up at running back and get him

512
00:23:45,280 --> 00:23:47,680
Speaker 4: some carries, kind of like a Deebo Samuel type role.

513
00:23:48,119 --> 00:23:50,280
Speaker 4: You know, you had three carries for twenty four yards.

514
00:23:51,560 --> 00:23:55,520
Speaker 4: Maybe the plan they had for vellis Jones Junior.

515
00:23:54,840 --> 00:23:55,479
Speaker 5: Early in the year.

516
00:23:55,520 --> 00:23:57,919
Speaker 4: They're just putting DJ Moore in that role. So he

517
00:23:58,000 --> 00:24:00,040
Speaker 4: seems to have the higher floor right now. And this

518
00:24:00,040 --> 00:24:01,760
Speaker 4: this is going to be, you know, a pass heavy,

519
00:24:02,359 --> 00:24:06,440
Speaker 4: trailing game script against the Lions, who just keep losing

520
00:24:06,440 --> 00:24:09,280
Speaker 4: players on defense. So you know, the Bills scored forty

521
00:24:09,280 --> 00:24:11,760
Speaker 4: eight on them, you know, not too surprising since they're

522
00:24:11,880 --> 00:24:15,080
Speaker 4: arguably you know, the best team right now, but you know,

523
00:24:15,119 --> 00:24:17,080
Speaker 4: the Bears might be able to put up some points.

524
00:24:17,080 --> 00:24:19,760
Speaker 4: And I think again just they're peppering Dj Moore with

525
00:24:19,840 --> 00:24:23,359
Speaker 4: these high percentage targets and now direct snap. So I

526
00:24:23,520 --> 00:24:25,920
Speaker 4: just think he has a very high floor right now.

527
00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:30,119
Speaker 4: He's my wide receiver fourteen to open the week. And

528
00:24:30,200 --> 00:24:32,520
Speaker 4: the other guy I'm high on is you know, this

529
00:24:32,600 --> 00:24:35,760
Speaker 4: isn't a great matchup against the Cardinals, but you know,

530
00:24:35,840 --> 00:24:39,240
Speaker 4: Adam Feelen is still I think, you know, high end

531
00:24:39,240 --> 00:24:42,880
Speaker 4: wide receiver three right now. You know, Jalen Coker returning

532
00:24:42,880 --> 00:24:44,399
Speaker 4: to the lineup last week was going to make this

533
00:24:44,440 --> 00:24:48,240
Speaker 4: wide receiver room a bit more crowded where I thought,

534
00:24:48,280 --> 00:24:51,840
Speaker 4: you know, feelin would survive that. But Xavier Lagette is

535
00:24:51,880 --> 00:24:53,679
Speaker 4: now weak to week with the groin injury, so that

536
00:24:53,760 --> 00:24:57,520
Speaker 4: opens things up for Feeling again here. So I think

537
00:24:57,920 --> 00:25:00,000
Speaker 4: Feelin's is still one of those like high floor plays.

538
00:25:00,280 --> 00:25:02,560
Speaker 4: I think with you know, Bryce Young playing well, where

539
00:25:02,840 --> 00:25:04,840
Speaker 4: even in a spot against the Cardinals, who haven't been

540
00:25:05,240 --> 00:25:07,800
Speaker 4: a great matchup again, I think we can still bank

541
00:25:07,840 --> 00:25:10,320
Speaker 4: on him being you know, like a solid wide wide

542
00:25:10,359 --> 00:25:12,600
Speaker 4: receiver three option if you've been leaning on him in

543
00:25:12,600 --> 00:25:14,040
Speaker 4: these past few weeks.

544
00:25:14,040 --> 00:25:19,560
Speaker 1: A wide receiver three verwing Mike Tyson three. Yeah, No,

545
00:25:19,560 --> 00:25:21,280
Speaker 1: I agree that, I totally agree. I mean we talked

546
00:25:21,320 --> 00:25:23,120
Speaker 1: about it last week on one of the pods, how

547
00:25:23,640 --> 00:25:25,720
Speaker 1: like David Moore is definitely gonna be the guy to

548
00:25:25,760 --> 00:25:29,040
Speaker 1: hit benched, and he did. He was benched, but uh uh,

549
00:25:29,240 --> 00:25:32,240
Speaker 1: we'll get went down. So it's yeah, it's gonna probably

550
00:25:32,280 --> 00:25:36,399
Speaker 1: be being cocher and more in less we.

551
00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:42,119
Speaker 2: Cleared all right. For me, it's it's it's let's go

552
00:25:42,200 --> 00:25:43,040
Speaker 2: the early week guy.

553
00:25:43,560 --> 00:25:43,639
Speaker 5: Uh.

554
00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:45,439
Speaker 1: Since you might be wondering about him, but he's I mean,

555
00:25:45,440 --> 00:25:48,560
Speaker 1: he's fine. You should he's he's my number eleven this week,

556
00:25:48,560 --> 00:25:52,679
Speaker 1: Wide receiver eleven. Lad McConkey. He's still hovering in the twenties.

557
00:25:52,720 --> 00:25:56,159
Speaker 1: I guess it's Tuesday in ECR. But remember he is

558
00:25:56,240 --> 00:25:59,960
Speaker 1: the charges man beater, so going up against the Bronco

559
00:26:00,240 --> 00:26:03,480
Speaker 1: looks like a tough matchup on paper, but he's gonna

560
00:26:03,480 --> 00:26:05,800
Speaker 1: get peppered with targets as he does every week.

561
00:26:05,840 --> 00:26:08,800
Speaker 2: And Quentin Johnston is hurt. Have we gottenn update on him?

562
00:26:08,800 --> 00:26:11,080
Speaker 1: I know he didn't practice I think or he was

563
00:26:11,119 --> 00:26:14,520
Speaker 1: lifted as a non participant on you think he's gonna

564
00:26:14,560 --> 00:26:16,119
Speaker 1: go or he doesn't go.

565
00:26:16,400 --> 00:26:18,320
Speaker 4: I mean, I mean this is Thursday at football, So

566
00:26:18,359 --> 00:26:21,160
Speaker 4: I would say that the chances of him being able

567
00:26:21,200 --> 00:26:24,800
Speaker 4: to suit up are much lower. It's an ankle injury, yeah,

568
00:26:25,440 --> 00:26:30,359
Speaker 4: non participant in Monday's estimated practice report ankle injuries. It

569
00:26:30,400 --> 00:26:32,399
Speaker 4: could have been a sprain ankle and he's totally fine,

570
00:26:32,560 --> 00:26:34,800
Speaker 4: or it's you know, midd or high and he's out.

571
00:26:34,880 --> 00:26:37,160
Speaker 4: So definitely some of them monitor but just the fact

572
00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:39,880
Speaker 4: that they do play on the short week, probably lower.

573
00:26:39,760 --> 00:26:42,480
Speaker 5: Is his chances of suiting up. Yeah, McConkie.

574
00:26:42,520 --> 00:26:44,960
Speaker 1: I mean last last four games six for one, twenty three,

575
00:26:45,040 --> 00:26:48,320
Speaker 1: six for eighty three, nine for one, seventeen h five

576
00:26:48,320 --> 00:26:51,679
Speaker 1: for fifty eight and one. So he's he's gonna get

577
00:26:51,680 --> 00:26:54,720
Speaker 1: the targets. Denver very good defense. But I think that

578
00:26:54,760 --> 00:26:57,560
Speaker 1: people who just too well on him because there's no.

579
00:26:57,560 --> 00:26:58,800
Speaker 2: One really for Herbert to throw to.

580
00:26:58,880 --> 00:27:02,040
Speaker 1: And I think something I like a little bit about

581
00:27:02,040 --> 00:27:05,639
Speaker 1: this matchup as well. One of the only betside hit

582
00:27:05,720 --> 00:27:08,640
Speaker 1: last week besides the Davonte, was the justin Herbert under

583
00:27:08,720 --> 00:27:10,960
Speaker 1: rushing yards and because you know, when he gets his

584
00:27:11,040 --> 00:27:14,000
Speaker 1: little injuries, his little ankle injuries, he doesn't scramble, and

585
00:27:14,000 --> 00:27:17,760
Speaker 1: if he doesn't scramble, that's just more potential targets, you know,

586
00:27:17,800 --> 00:27:20,760
Speaker 1: going down the field to the receivers, and McConkie is

587
00:27:20,760 --> 00:27:22,560
Speaker 1: going to be at the top of that list. So yeah,

588
00:27:22,560 --> 00:27:26,040
Speaker 1: I like him this week. Who are you low on

589
00:27:26,240 --> 00:27:28,960
Speaker 1: for Week sixteen at wide receiver seaw.

590
00:27:29,280 --> 00:27:31,000
Speaker 5: I'm low on Calvin Ridley.

591
00:27:32,040 --> 00:27:35,640
Speaker 4: You know, after having that massive three to five week stretch,

592
00:27:35,760 --> 00:27:38,680
Speaker 4: you know, starting around week eight, his production has cooled

593
00:27:38,680 --> 00:27:43,760
Speaker 4: off a bit, and you know Mason Rudolph is going

594
00:27:43,800 --> 00:27:46,920
Speaker 4: to be a little bit more conservative then Will Levis.

595
00:27:47,160 --> 00:27:50,920
Speaker 4: He'll throw less pick sixes, which you know, pick sixes

596
00:27:50,960 --> 00:27:54,399
Speaker 4: are essentially the best possible play for a player like Ridley.

597
00:27:54,400 --> 00:27:56,399
Speaker 4: You get the ball right back and now you're down

598
00:27:56,520 --> 00:27:58,359
Speaker 4: seven more points and you got to be more pass

599
00:27:58,400 --> 00:28:00,000
Speaker 4: heavy and aggressive to to overcome.

600
00:28:00,000 --> 00:28:00,679
Speaker 5: I would site for that.

601
00:28:01,520 --> 00:28:03,720
Speaker 4: So, you know, having Mason Rudolph under center kind of

602
00:28:03,800 --> 00:28:07,159
Speaker 4: hurts really's upside. And Rudolph was targeting, you know, his

603
00:28:07,240 --> 00:28:09,080
Speaker 4: running back to tight ends at a higher rate. We

604
00:28:09,119 --> 00:28:13,280
Speaker 4: saw chicka Quonko just have a career game at the

605
00:28:13,280 --> 00:28:15,879
Speaker 4: expense of someone like Ridley, So I think this week

606
00:28:16,119 --> 00:28:18,919
Speaker 4: I'm gonna be a bit lower on Ridley. Sure he

607
00:28:18,960 --> 00:28:21,280
Speaker 4: can still catch, you know, a deep ball or two,

608
00:28:21,280 --> 00:28:24,520
Speaker 4: but he's gonna be even dicier than most weeks. And

609
00:28:24,600 --> 00:28:28,359
Speaker 4: another guy im loan is Jerry Judy. You know, it

610
00:28:28,400 --> 00:28:29,879
Speaker 4: was a handful of weeks ago I said he was

611
00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:32,600
Speaker 4: a sneaky ad on our waiver pod because there was

612
00:28:32,600 --> 00:28:34,520
Speaker 4: a chance they're going to trade and mark Cooper away,

613
00:28:34,600 --> 00:28:37,199
Speaker 4: maybe they would bench Deshaun Watson at some point. And

614
00:28:37,240 --> 00:28:41,120
Speaker 4: sure enough, you know, Amari Cooper got traded away, Watson

615
00:28:41,120 --> 00:28:42,800
Speaker 4: got hurt, so Winston took over, and we.

616
00:28:42,800 --> 00:28:45,600
Speaker 5: Saw Judy erupt.

617
00:28:45,760 --> 00:28:48,360
Speaker 4: Now you know DTR is taking over, who I think

618
00:28:48,440 --> 00:28:51,280
Speaker 4: is sneaky for like DFS because of his rushing upside,

619
00:28:51,720 --> 00:28:54,800
Speaker 4: but he definitely hurts, you know, the passing volume. We

620
00:28:54,880 --> 00:28:58,880
Speaker 4: love jamis for the Browns pass catchers, but DTR is

621
00:28:58,880 --> 00:29:03,120
Speaker 4: gonna scramble more. Plus you know Cedric Tillman David Joku

622
00:29:03,240 --> 00:29:05,960
Speaker 4: might return this week, which you know is a hit

623
00:29:06,040 --> 00:29:09,880
Speaker 4: on Jerry Judy's target share. So Jerry Judy's you know,

624
00:29:09,960 --> 00:29:11,640
Speaker 4: more of a low end wide receiver three for me

625
00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:13,840
Speaker 4: this week, he has a great matchup against the Bengals,

626
00:29:13,840 --> 00:29:16,520
Speaker 4: so he could still you know, have a big game here.

627
00:29:16,600 --> 00:29:19,480
Speaker 4: But you know, my projections for him are just going

628
00:29:19,520 --> 00:29:21,520
Speaker 4: to be a bit lower here with DTR taken over

629
00:29:21,920 --> 00:29:25,160
Speaker 4: and a couple you know, key pass catchers potentially returning

630
00:29:25,160 --> 00:29:25,560
Speaker 4: this week.

631
00:29:26,040 --> 00:29:30,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly, I have that in the outline Elijah Moore,

632
00:29:30,240 --> 00:29:31,600
Speaker 1: and it's for the same exactly reason.

633
00:29:31,760 --> 00:29:33,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's the ETHR forty two.

634
00:29:33,440 --> 00:29:36,920
Speaker 1: And listen, you know More he's been he's been on

635
00:29:36,960 --> 00:29:38,880
Speaker 1: the field a ton and he you know, James targeted

636
00:29:38,920 --> 00:29:41,000
Speaker 1: him at a much higher rate than Watson did. But

637
00:29:41,120 --> 00:29:43,520
Speaker 1: now you know, we're back to, like you said, we

638
00:29:43,600 --> 00:29:45,920
Speaker 1: have a quarterback who's going to project for half the

639
00:29:46,000 --> 00:29:49,360
Speaker 1: yards and Tillman probably comes back, and even if not,

640
00:29:49,440 --> 00:29:52,360
Speaker 1: I mean Woods has been more involved than I think

641
00:29:52,400 --> 00:29:54,880
Speaker 1: anyone thought coming out in practice squad as well. So

642
00:29:54,960 --> 00:29:57,280
Speaker 1: Woods has actually been leading them in routes since he's

643
00:29:57,280 --> 00:30:01,120
Speaker 1: been active. So yeah, Elijah More, I think he's kind

644
00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:05,240
Speaker 1: of out of the starting consideration. Another guy, DeAndre Hopkins,

645
00:30:05,880 --> 00:30:07,240
Speaker 1: assuming Patrick Mahomes.

646
00:30:06,960 --> 00:30:08,640
Speaker 2: Is out or even if he's in, forget it's not

647
00:30:08,680 --> 00:30:09,640
Speaker 2: even it's not even.

648
00:30:09,760 --> 00:30:13,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's cute here, DeAndre Hopkins with the amount of

649
00:30:13,200 --> 00:30:16,080
Speaker 1: routes that he's running right now, is not a viable

650
00:30:16,200 --> 00:30:17,400
Speaker 1: starting fantasy receiver.

651
00:30:17,760 --> 00:30:18,240
Speaker 2: He's just not.

652
00:30:18,400 --> 00:30:21,480
Speaker 1: It's you know, it's it's it's something where he's go.

653
00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:23,440
Speaker 1: He might get a touchdown and you're like, oh man,

654
00:30:23,640 --> 00:30:26,400
Speaker 1: you know, I wish I started him, But realistically he's

655
00:30:26,440 --> 00:30:29,360
Speaker 1: playing fifty to sixty percent of the snaps on pass

656
00:30:29,440 --> 00:30:32,240
Speaker 1: downs each week. He was fourth in routes this week,

657
00:30:32,280 --> 00:30:37,160
Speaker 1: behind you know, Watson and Judreu and uh and of

658
00:30:37,200 --> 00:30:39,920
Speaker 1: course Worthy had had a big game. So I just

659
00:30:39,960 --> 00:30:41,880
Speaker 1: don't think you can start him, even in the revenge

660
00:30:41,880 --> 00:30:46,760
Speaker 1: spot against the the Houston Texans. You know, he's still

661
00:30:46,840 --> 00:30:49,520
Speaker 1: ranked to the top thirty six in ECR, but his

662
00:30:49,640 --> 00:30:52,680
Speaker 1: snapcount has actually dropped, you know, recently, so he was

663
00:30:53,040 --> 00:30:56,320
Speaker 1: at first it looked like, okay, maybe they are easing

664
00:30:56,400 --> 00:30:59,640
Speaker 1: him in to the lineup, you know, coming off the trade.

665
00:31:00,040 --> 00:31:03,400
Speaker 1: But then if you look at his last few games,

666
00:31:03,680 --> 00:31:06,440
Speaker 1: he went from you know, he was at like forty

667
00:31:06,560 --> 00:31:08,640
Speaker 1: fifty five and fifty five percent you know a couple

668
00:31:08,800 --> 00:31:11,040
Speaker 1: four weeks ago, and then it was sixty five, sixty

669
00:31:11,040 --> 00:31:11,520
Speaker 1: five and then.

670
00:31:11,440 --> 00:31:12,280
Speaker 2: Down to fifty again.

671
00:31:12,360 --> 00:31:14,400
Speaker 1: So he's he it's you know, it's a Mario Cooper

672
00:31:14,400 --> 00:31:18,800
Speaker 1: all over again. He's just not clearing the threshold of

673
00:31:18,840 --> 00:31:21,200
Speaker 1: what a normal starting receiver would. He's barely a slot

674
00:31:21,280 --> 00:31:23,800
Speaker 1: receiver at this point at fifty, you know, fifty, he's

675
00:31:23,880 --> 00:31:25,800
Speaker 1: a slot receiver on a team that that he's like

676
00:31:25,840 --> 00:31:30,040
Speaker 1: Nelson Agilar in terms of in terms of usage, obviously

677
00:31:30,040 --> 00:31:32,120
Speaker 1: a much better player, but yeah, he's he's my wide

678
00:31:32,120 --> 00:31:35,440
Speaker 1: receiver forty nine. Yeah, if Pat Mahomes sits, if he's

679
00:31:35,480 --> 00:31:38,440
Speaker 1: if my Home's plays, he'll be a little higher, but

680
00:31:38,520 --> 00:31:39,960
Speaker 1: still not not in the top forty.

681
00:31:40,240 --> 00:31:42,400
Speaker 4: In a similar vein where do you have Maury Cooper?

682
00:31:42,640 --> 00:31:44,920
Speaker 2: Oh, that's happen. He's like, that's gonna be my proble.

683
00:31:45,040 --> 00:31:48,840
Speaker 1: Oh, because I remember it was a couple of weeks

684
00:31:48,840 --> 00:31:49,920
Speaker 1: ago you were a lower him, and it was like

685
00:31:50,080 --> 00:31:52,200
Speaker 1: it was then he had like fourteen targets, and then

686
00:31:52,240 --> 00:31:53,400
Speaker 1: we didn't mention last week.

687
00:31:53,880 --> 00:31:56,160
Speaker 2: Then last week he got no targets. So I think

688
00:31:56,200 --> 00:31:57,240
Speaker 2: you're on the right track.

689
00:31:58,160 --> 00:32:01,720
Speaker 4: Yeah, a couple of weeks early or you know, on

690
00:32:01,840 --> 00:32:03,320
Speaker 4: these things, but yeah, what do you got it?

691
00:32:03,960 --> 00:32:06,520
Speaker 1: It makes it tough because you know, they seem to

692
00:32:06,520 --> 00:32:08,920
Speaker 1: be kind of doing playing this little game where we

693
00:32:08,960 --> 00:32:10,720
Speaker 1: go one week, we're going to kind of use the

694
00:32:10,720 --> 00:32:11,480
Speaker 1: guy as a decoy.

695
00:32:11,680 --> 00:32:14,000
Speaker 2: We're not so Yeah, Marik.

696
00:32:13,800 --> 00:32:19,680
Speaker 1: Cooper receiving yards. Let's see and it's a potential blowout. Yeah,

697
00:32:19,680 --> 00:32:20,280
Speaker 1: this is tough.

698
00:32:21,600 --> 00:32:23,840
Speaker 2: Let's go thirty four and a half.

699
00:32:24,240 --> 00:32:28,600
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm around there, I'll go I'll go under because

700
00:32:28,600 --> 00:32:31,000
Speaker 4: I feel like I'm being generous. I'm projecting him for

701
00:32:31,080 --> 00:32:34,520
Speaker 4: a fifty five percent routes run rate, which, yeah, that

702
00:32:34,640 --> 00:32:36,880
Speaker 4: seems a bit high. It was thirty five percent last week.

703
00:32:36,880 --> 00:32:39,800
Speaker 4: I think Kean Coleman really ate into that. I think

704
00:32:39,800 --> 00:32:43,800
Speaker 4: they just love mac Hollins, Like he's such a smart

705
00:32:43,840 --> 00:32:47,120
Speaker 4: football player, even if he's out the running winsprints, Like

706
00:32:47,200 --> 00:32:51,240
Speaker 4: he's gonna get his playing time. Yeah, Like Mary Cooper

707
00:32:51,280 --> 00:32:53,240
Speaker 4: is like a rich man's Deontay Johnson.

708
00:32:56,400 --> 00:32:58,280
Speaker 2: Man, it's in Yeah.

709
00:32:58,320 --> 00:33:00,920
Speaker 4: Speaking of which, Yeah, where the hell's going now?

710
00:33:02,200 --> 00:33:03,719
Speaker 2: Yeah? The team they just excused him.

711
00:33:03,760 --> 00:33:05,880
Speaker 1: They they essentially don't want him to get picked up

712
00:33:05,880 --> 00:33:08,560
Speaker 1: by anyone else. But they he's like, yo, you're too

713
00:33:08,760 --> 00:33:10,600
Speaker 1: It's like, uh, it's not me, it's you. Like you're

714
00:33:10,640 --> 00:33:13,640
Speaker 1: too good. Wow, el but not good enough for me.

715
00:33:14,600 --> 00:33:19,640
Speaker 4: That's that's crazy. They're just stashing him. Wow, Okay, yeah, yeah,

716
00:33:19,800 --> 00:33:23,640
Speaker 4: kind of a weird season for traded wide receivers. Yeah

717
00:33:23,760 --> 00:33:24,600
Speaker 4: and yeah.

718
00:33:24,400 --> 00:33:27,120
Speaker 1: And all these stashes, all these stashed players.

719
00:33:27,560 --> 00:33:29,360
Speaker 2: Where are we with Nick Chubb? Where are we with

720
00:33:29,480 --> 00:33:32,800
Speaker 2: the with uh what's his name? Brooks?

721
00:33:32,840 --> 00:33:37,360
Speaker 1: Like it's like these it's just yeah, it's gotta yeah, all,

722
00:33:37,560 --> 00:33:40,400
Speaker 1: it's just yeah, it's the guys who but I mean, hey,

723
00:33:40,480 --> 00:33:42,400
Speaker 1: Jane Reed also didn't catch a past two weeks ago,

724
00:33:42,600 --> 00:33:47,600
Speaker 1: So Cooper Cooper last week January, the week before weird

725
00:33:47,760 --> 00:33:50,440
Speaker 1: weird season. Before we move on, a quick word from

726
00:33:50,440 --> 00:33:54,719
Speaker 1: our friends that Hello Fresh. Hello Fresh gives you farm fresh,

727
00:33:55,040 --> 00:33:58,280
Speaker 1: pre portioned ingredients and seasonal recipes.

728
00:33:57,880 --> 00:33:59,280
Speaker 2: Delivered right to your crib.

729
00:33:59,640 --> 00:34:01,960
Speaker 1: You can skip the trips to the grocery store and

730
00:34:02,040 --> 00:34:05,200
Speaker 1: count on Hello Fresh to make home cooking a breeze.

731
00:34:05,320 --> 00:34:08,920
Speaker 1: It's fun, it's affordable. It's America's number one meal kit.

732
00:34:09,360 --> 00:34:12,239
Speaker 1: Sometimes you might feel like riding with a heavy public favorite.

733
00:34:12,560 --> 00:34:14,960
Speaker 1: Maybe you want to back a short dog on the road.

734
00:34:15,520 --> 00:34:18,320
Speaker 1: But just like the better market, no matter what you're craving,

735
00:34:18,840 --> 00:34:19,839
Speaker 1: Hello Fresh.

736
00:34:19,600 --> 00:34:21,200
Speaker 2: Has tons of options.

737
00:34:21,440 --> 00:34:24,840
Speaker 1: You could choose from a changing menu of over fifty

738
00:34:24,920 --> 00:34:27,759
Speaker 1: recipes each week, and you can take your pick from

739
00:34:27,760 --> 00:34:32,200
Speaker 1: over one hundred add ons like desserts, breakfast items from

740
00:34:32,200 --> 00:34:35,160
Speaker 1: hardy dinners to game day snacks. Hello Fresh has a

741
00:34:35,239 --> 00:34:39,280
Speaker 1: variety of recipes and flavors to perfectly accompany the.

742
00:34:39,120 --> 00:34:41,160
Speaker 2: Fall football season.

743
00:34:41,640 --> 00:34:45,000
Speaker 1: Sean, I know you're not projecting yards per route run

744
00:34:45,400 --> 00:34:46,600
Speaker 1: you rocke with Hello Fresh.

745
00:34:46,719 --> 00:34:47,760
Speaker 2: Why do you like it so much?

746
00:34:48,160 --> 00:34:48,359
Speaker 5: Yeah?

747
00:34:48,400 --> 00:34:50,240
Speaker 4: I mean we're in the middle of the NFL season,

748
00:34:50,280 --> 00:34:52,239
Speaker 4: so I don't have time to meal plan or go

749
00:34:52,280 --> 00:34:54,480
Speaker 4: to the grocery store or even think about, you know,

750
00:34:54,560 --> 00:34:57,560
Speaker 4: making food, but they have everything ready to go. So

751
00:34:58,239 --> 00:35:01,040
Speaker 4: I do find it like therapeutic to take time off

752
00:35:01,120 --> 00:35:03,920
Speaker 4: looking at routes, run data and you know, target sharing

753
00:35:03,960 --> 00:35:06,600
Speaker 4: things like that to actually make my food. And you know,

754
00:35:06,640 --> 00:35:10,120
Speaker 4: they're step by step instructions, make it easier than playing

755
00:35:10,120 --> 00:35:13,080
Speaker 4: Brian Thomas Junior in DFS anytime he's under five K.

756
00:35:13,200 --> 00:35:14,040
Speaker 5: So I love it.

757
00:35:14,320 --> 00:35:15,040
Speaker 2: Yeah. There you go.

758
00:35:15,200 --> 00:35:20,760
Speaker 1: Get ten free meals at HelloFresh dot com slash free Flex.

759
00:35:20,800 --> 00:35:25,720
Speaker 1: That's HelloFresh dot Com slash free Flex supplied across seven

760
00:35:25,760 --> 00:35:29,520
Speaker 1: boxes new subscribers only, varies by plan. That's ten free

761
00:35:29,640 --> 00:35:33,359
Speaker 1: Hello Fresh meals just by going at HelloFresh dot Com

762
00:35:33,400 --> 00:35:39,000
Speaker 1: slash free Flex. Hello Fresh America's number one meal kit.

763
00:35:39,320 --> 00:35:40,960
Speaker 2: All right, top five tight end we.

764
00:35:40,960 --> 00:35:44,799
Speaker 4: Got wow, uh, my first time looking at it. Trey

765
00:35:44,880 --> 00:35:48,239
Speaker 4: McBride again, I'm projecting him for like, you know, point

766
00:35:48,280 --> 00:35:50,320
Speaker 4: three nine touchdowns. We'll see if I need to just

767
00:35:50,400 --> 00:35:54,080
Speaker 4: set that to zero. But Trey McBride, John new Smith

768
00:35:54,600 --> 00:35:58,480
Speaker 4: and not messing around this week. George Kittle, Brock Bauers,

769
00:35:58,480 --> 00:35:59,480
Speaker 4: and Travis Kelcey.

770
00:36:00,880 --> 00:36:04,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, I got Bowers, mcgrid, Kittle, Kelsey and Laporta jumps

771
00:36:04,760 --> 00:36:07,840
Speaker 1: into my top five. Must be that all those Montgomery

772
00:36:07,840 --> 00:36:11,120
Speaker 1: receptions he was just hogging the pass catching work nowhere.

773
00:36:11,239 --> 00:36:11,840
Speaker 5: Yeah, now he's up.

774
00:36:11,840 --> 00:36:13,239
Speaker 1: But yeah, I got John Who number six. I was

775
00:36:13,280 --> 00:36:15,480
Speaker 1: I had him number five last week. I just don't

776
00:36:15,520 --> 00:36:17,680
Speaker 1: like this. There's little total in this game. Is just

777
00:36:18,000 --> 00:36:20,240
Speaker 1: I got to look a little more into it. It's

778
00:36:20,280 --> 00:36:23,800
Speaker 1: Tuesday as we record this. But you know, if Waddle's

779
00:36:23,800 --> 00:36:25,920
Speaker 1: out that I think John Who definitely jumps into the

780
00:36:25,920 --> 00:36:28,840
Speaker 1: top five, assuming there's no weather something else that's going

781
00:36:28,920 --> 00:36:29,839
Speaker 1: to creep up on us.

782
00:36:29,960 --> 00:36:31,560
Speaker 2: Who are you high on at tight end?

783
00:36:32,320 --> 00:36:34,600
Speaker 4: I mean the guy you're talking about I'm high on

784
00:36:34,680 --> 00:36:38,480
Speaker 4: as well. But I'll go with ky dott In here.

785
00:36:39,320 --> 00:36:42,760
Speaker 4: You know he's coming off dud two catches twenty four yards.

786
00:36:43,360 --> 00:36:46,000
Speaker 4: He's definitely taken a hit, you know since Mike Evans return,

787
00:36:46,239 --> 00:36:49,560
Speaker 4: which was you know expected, But he's still seeing his

788
00:36:49,640 --> 00:36:53,680
Speaker 4: patented massive playing time averaging you know, ninety percent reutturn rate.

789
00:36:53,760 --> 00:36:56,160
Speaker 4: So I think we should start to see his targets

790
00:36:57,040 --> 00:36:59,200
Speaker 4: bounce back at some point, could be this week, so

791
00:37:00,400 --> 00:37:02,880
Speaker 4: you know, he's back inside my top twelve. He's my

792
00:37:02,920 --> 00:37:04,800
Speaker 4: tight end eleven. I think he's here, has him around

793
00:37:04,800 --> 00:37:07,239
Speaker 4: like tight end fifteen sixteen. I think if you've been

794
00:37:07,800 --> 00:37:10,760
Speaker 4: relying on him, you know ever since you know, Evans

795
00:37:10,760 --> 00:37:13,279
Speaker 4: and Godwin went down, I think this week, you know,

796
00:37:13,600 --> 00:37:15,719
Speaker 4: he's still a low end tight end one, so I'm

797
00:37:15,719 --> 00:37:17,520
Speaker 4: sticking with him. I think the targets are going to

798
00:37:17,560 --> 00:37:20,760
Speaker 4: start to bounce back here, so give me Kate Otton.

799
00:37:21,480 --> 00:37:22,680
Speaker 5: Still inside my top twelve.

800
00:37:23,280 --> 00:37:25,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I'll have my tight end eight. So

801
00:37:25,239 --> 00:37:27,719
Speaker 1: he's going pretty high on my list too. But I

802
00:37:27,719 --> 00:37:29,839
Speaker 1: gotta go with Brenton Strange here. I've was the top

803
00:37:29,880 --> 00:37:33,000
Speaker 1: tight top ten tight end and you know it's just

804
00:37:33,040 --> 00:37:34,919
Speaker 1: that time of the year where a lot of guys

805
00:37:34,920 --> 00:37:37,400
Speaker 1: are sitting out. One of them is Evan Ingram Strange

806
00:37:37,440 --> 00:37:39,960
Speaker 1: got his full compliment of snaps that Ingram would get

807
00:37:39,960 --> 00:37:43,120
Speaker 1: eighty five percent route rate caught eleven balls and mac

808
00:37:43,200 --> 00:37:45,879
Speaker 1: Jones he hasn't been accurate down the field, so he's

809
00:37:45,880 --> 00:37:48,040
Speaker 1: had to kind of just throw a lot of underneath

810
00:37:48,040 --> 00:37:49,600
Speaker 1: passes to get the team up and down the field.

811
00:37:49,680 --> 00:37:54,600
Speaker 1: But that equals a lot of catches for PPR pass catchers.

812
00:37:54,640 --> 00:37:56,759
Speaker 1: He had Thomas with eleven, I mean Thomas with ten,

813
00:37:56,800 --> 00:37:59,600
Speaker 1: excuse me, Strange with eleven, and I think that's a

814
00:37:59,640 --> 00:38:02,880
Speaker 1: trend that continue. The Raiders are twenty sixth in DVOA

815
00:38:03,080 --> 00:38:07,239
Speaker 1: against opposing tight end, so I like Brenton Strange this

816
00:38:07,280 --> 00:38:09,839
Speaker 1: week if you need, if you're desperate for a tight end.

817
00:38:10,320 --> 00:38:13,880
Speaker 4: Yeah, that stat line probably won't duplicate that rest of

818
00:38:13,880 --> 00:38:17,120
Speaker 4: the season, but the underlying usage fully supports it. And

819
00:38:17,160 --> 00:38:20,600
Speaker 4: I think one of the encouraging things is Josh Reynolds

820
00:38:20,600 --> 00:38:23,840
Speaker 4: is starting to get a lot more playing time, who

821
00:38:24,080 --> 00:38:25,920
Speaker 4: is kind of just out there in the Gabe Davis

822
00:38:26,000 --> 00:38:28,239
Speaker 4: role just running win sprints, which will just funnel more

823
00:38:28,280 --> 00:38:32,279
Speaker 4: targets to Brian Thomas Junior and Brenton Strange. So that

824
00:38:32,320 --> 00:38:34,320
Speaker 4: was an encouraging thing to see in my opinion.

825
00:38:35,160 --> 00:38:37,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, definitely all right, Who are you low on at

826
00:38:37,840 --> 00:38:38,239
Speaker 2: tight end?

827
00:38:39,040 --> 00:38:40,040
Speaker 5: Grant Calcaterra.

828
00:38:40,840 --> 00:38:43,440
Speaker 4: You know, he has been a one for one replacement

829
00:38:43,480 --> 00:38:45,799
Speaker 4: for Dallas Godder, at least in terms of playing time.

830
00:38:45,840 --> 00:38:49,279
Speaker 4: He's actually seeing more playing time than god or more

831
00:38:49,360 --> 00:38:52,600
Speaker 4: routes run. You know, he's he's up there in the

832
00:38:52,719 --> 00:38:55,880
Speaker 4: ninety to ninety five percent routes run range.

833
00:38:56,440 --> 00:38:57,759
Speaker 5: He's just not seeing targets.

834
00:38:57,880 --> 00:39:02,280
Speaker 4: This is just a very top heavy passing attack without

835
00:39:02,360 --> 00:39:05,160
Speaker 4: Dallas Goddard. Where you know, Jalen Hurts is looking for

836
00:39:05,239 --> 00:39:09,080
Speaker 4: either a j. Brown or Davante Smith if neither is open. Hell,

837
00:39:09,160 --> 00:39:11,759
Speaker 4: even if they are, he's looking to either dump it

838
00:39:11,800 --> 00:39:15,200
Speaker 4: off to take on Barkley or scramble. He's just not

839
00:39:15,320 --> 00:39:20,640
Speaker 4: looking to throw to Calcutra at any point. So, you know,

840
00:39:20,800 --> 00:39:22,920
Speaker 4: Calculata is a guy I thought had kind of sneaky

841
00:39:23,640 --> 00:39:26,000
Speaker 4: streamer potential, but it's just not there.

842
00:39:26,080 --> 00:39:27,480
Speaker 5: So he is definitely droppable.

843
00:39:27,560 --> 00:39:31,280
Speaker 4: And I'm very low on Calcultara going forward.

844
00:39:31,520 --> 00:39:39,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, I am low on Mark Andrews. He's the h.

845
00:39:42,520 --> 00:39:42,759
Speaker 5: I was.

846
00:39:42,880 --> 00:39:45,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's so the thing about it, you know, he

847
00:39:45,520 --> 00:39:47,160
Speaker 2: got he got the touchdown record.

848
00:39:46,960 --> 00:39:51,560
Speaker 1: For the Ravens or whatever, and you know he's still

849
00:39:51,640 --> 00:39:55,879
Speaker 1: kind of splitting his routes with like we and your

850
00:39:55,920 --> 00:39:59,560
Speaker 1: six point favorite divisional game Mark Lamar Jackson has to

851
00:39:59,560 --> 00:40:02,040
Speaker 1: struggle a little bit more than usual against the Steelers

852
00:40:02,080 --> 00:40:05,239
Speaker 1: defense compared to other defenses. So you know, I just

853
00:40:05,320 --> 00:40:07,200
Speaker 1: you know, tight end seven, he's not tight in fourteen.

854
00:40:07,200 --> 00:40:10,279
Speaker 1: He's so he's you know, fringe, fringe starter. You know,

855
00:40:10,320 --> 00:40:12,560
Speaker 1: if he's your only guy, it's between him, Like I

856
00:40:12,560 --> 00:40:14,000
Speaker 1: would still try to see if you can get Brent

857
00:40:14,080 --> 00:40:18,480
Speaker 1: Strange first before I just locked Andrews in because you

858
00:40:18,520 --> 00:40:20,600
Speaker 1: know what, you know, he got two catches last week, right,

859
00:40:20,600 --> 00:40:22,640
Speaker 1: it was two for twenty four in a touchdown touchdown.

860
00:40:22,640 --> 00:40:24,839
Speaker 1: He's always liable to get two catches in the game

861
00:40:24,880 --> 00:40:27,600
Speaker 1: because he's not running you know, the full route rate

862
00:40:27,640 --> 00:40:30,959
Speaker 1: that he was early in his careers. And this Ravens team,

863
00:40:31,080 --> 00:40:33,719
Speaker 1: you just, you know, they're very good, so they could

864
00:40:33,800 --> 00:40:36,200
Speaker 1: vote somebody out at any time, which you know, if

865
00:40:36,200 --> 00:40:38,879
Speaker 1: he's at the guy scoring the touchdowns early, could hurt him.

866
00:40:38,960 --> 00:40:41,080
Speaker 1: But he's also just not getting as many routes or

867
00:40:41,080 --> 00:40:43,760
Speaker 1: targets as he was early in his career. So yeah,

868
00:40:43,800 --> 00:40:47,200
Speaker 1: it's I think, you know, top seven, top eight, way

869
00:40:47,239 --> 00:40:47,720
Speaker 1: too high.

870
00:40:47,960 --> 00:40:50,040
Speaker 2: Fringe fringe tight end one for me?

871
00:40:50,080 --> 00:40:52,200
Speaker 1: Who I would prefer somebody with a bit of a

872
00:40:52,239 --> 00:40:55,279
Speaker 1: higher floor this week, which you got for the.

873
00:40:55,400 --> 00:41:01,239
Speaker 4: Prop Brenton Strange total receiving yards over under forty and

874
00:41:01,280 --> 00:41:03,240
Speaker 4: a half sounds.

875
00:41:04,120 --> 00:41:05,839
Speaker 2: What do I have him? Let's see, I have him

876
00:41:05,840 --> 00:41:09,000
Speaker 2: at I have him right at right right right of

877
00:41:09,120 --> 00:41:13,560
Speaker 2: forty raiders. I'll go over, I'll go over.

878
00:41:14,080 --> 00:41:16,359
Speaker 1: I'll probably be adjusting him up a little bit because, uh,

879
00:41:16,880 --> 00:41:19,239
Speaker 1: you gotta look at mac Jones in their pass rate.

880
00:41:19,320 --> 00:41:20,680
Speaker 2: They've been been throwing the ball.

881
00:41:21,080 --> 00:41:22,640
Speaker 1: First couple of games, they didn't really throw the ball

882
00:41:22,640 --> 00:41:24,480
Speaker 1: as much as mac Jones, but you've been throwing a

883
00:41:24,480 --> 00:41:24,759
Speaker 1: lot more.

884
00:41:24,760 --> 00:41:26,000
Speaker 2: So, Yeah, I'm gonna go over. I don't want to

885
00:41:26,000 --> 00:41:27,160
Speaker 2: be under on that.

886
00:41:28,080 --> 00:41:31,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, that's probably what has probably anytime you see a

887
00:41:31,000 --> 00:41:33,840
Speaker 4: tight end with his prop over forty yards, that's a

888
00:41:33,880 --> 00:41:34,600
Speaker 4: big boy line.

889
00:41:34,600 --> 00:41:36,440
Speaker 5: That's yep, top ten status.

890
00:41:36,560 --> 00:41:40,080
Speaker 4: Really, if you're projecting a tight end their median to

891
00:41:40,160 --> 00:41:43,400
Speaker 4: be over forty yards, that that is a good sign.

892
00:41:44,160 --> 00:41:47,000
Speaker 1: Essentially, that's a sentially respective for like five catches at

893
00:41:47,040 --> 00:41:50,040
Speaker 1: least five catch because you know around ten yards of catch,

894
00:41:50,080 --> 00:41:52,440
Speaker 1: you say so four four, you get to forty on

895
00:41:52,480 --> 00:41:54,880
Speaker 1: the dot most tight ends, but anything else, Yeah.

896
00:41:54,760 --> 00:41:57,920
Speaker 2: What you get over that? Yep, all right, that's gonna

897
00:41:57,920 --> 00:41:58,120
Speaker 2: do it.

898
00:41:58,160 --> 00:42:00,560
Speaker 1: For Week sixteen, player projections up, so it'd be sure

899
00:42:00,560 --> 00:42:02,799
Speaker 1: to subscribe to the Fantasy Flex Pod so you don't

900
00:42:02,840 --> 00:42:05,480
Speaker 1: miss the episode. We're still coming back the rest of

901
00:42:05,480 --> 00:42:07,800
Speaker 1: the season. We got the We'll have a Christmas special

902
00:42:08,239 --> 00:42:10,960
Speaker 1: DFS episode next week and then our normal line up

903
00:42:10,960 --> 00:42:14,960
Speaker 1: with projections and rest of the DFS suit. You can

904
00:42:15,000 --> 00:42:17,320
Speaker 1: find Sean on X at the Underscore odd Maker on

905
00:42:17,360 --> 00:42:19,719
Speaker 1: at Chris raybond are at those same handles on the

906
00:42:19,719 --> 00:42:23,359
Speaker 1: free award winning Action Network app Happy Holidays, It's get

907
00:42:23,400 --> 00:42:35,040
Speaker 1: this Smart. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If

908
00:42:35,080 --> 00:42:37,680
Speaker 1: you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

909
00:42:37,960 --> 00:42:40,600
Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

910
00:42:40,680 --> 00:42:41,480
Speaker 1: hundred Gambler