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Speaker 1: Hey guys, som are you welcome into a Thursday morning

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Speaker 1: edition of the Deal Juice Podcast. My name is Matt

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Speaker 1: Parotz with you every single morning wherever you get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: YouTube for the video. If you guys want to follow

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Speaker 1: me on Twitter, it's at Sports Talk Matt. If you

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Speaker 1: guys would like to follow betting pros on Twitter, you

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Speaker 1: guys can do so at Betting Pros. We dropped the NFL,

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Speaker 1: now just betting Pros always here. Being brought to you

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Speaker 1: by BETMGM with the promo code offer juice one fifty.

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Speaker 1: That code ten dollars bet wins you one hundred and

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Speaker 1: fifty dollars. I've done it, free money if you sign

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Speaker 1: for a new account ten dollars bet one hundred and

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Speaker 1: fifty bucks in free wagers from BETMGM at betmgm dot

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Speaker 1: com or the betmgmapp. Promo code juice one fifty. All right,

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Speaker 1: got a lot to get to, not a lot with

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Speaker 1: the good picks. Hopefully you guys are fading me this week. Okay.

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Speaker 1: As I say when I'm on, I have no problem

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Speaker 1: with you guys fading me. And if I'm making you

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Speaker 1: money and you're listening to the daily juice. That's exactly what

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Speaker 1: I want. Okay. So Army zero for two last night,

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Speaker 1: down a full unit when a half a unit on

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Speaker 1: Army minus six and a half. Every closing number for

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Speaker 1: every number for Army period opened at three, closed at seven.

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Speaker 1: Army wins by two. Missouri was late money push from

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Speaker 1: pros who waited all the way to that number, climbed

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Speaker 1: and then came in on Missouri. Some other people in

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Speaker 1: the content space kind of waited around as well and

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Speaker 1: jumped on Missouri plus seven. Good number, good value, bad

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Speaker 1: bet by me. We bet overnight. Sometimes that happens. I

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Speaker 1: still liked Army to win the game, and I still

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Speaker 1: thought they would cover. But fun football game, fun bowl game,

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Speaker 1: and that's all you really can act for at this

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Speaker 1: part of the season. So there's two bowl games tonight.

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Speaker 1: I'm not touching them, okay, I'm just gonna watch them.

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Speaker 1: Don't have a great read on either one. I don't

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Speaker 1: know how you bet UCF and Florida, Like, how do

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Speaker 1: you bet that bowl game? I mean, my gosh. And

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Speaker 1: then Miami of Ohio's inaction and against North Texas. Maybe

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Speaker 1: some in games off, maybe some personal place I'll get

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Speaker 1: into with that, but I mean I got I've got

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Speaker 1: three plays going tonight for the Titans and the forty

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Speaker 1: nine ers. Okay, couple quick things. So first, I'm not

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Speaker 1: supposed to be here. I'm actually supposed to be at Disney.

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Speaker 1: And this is what's caused kind of a chaotic type

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Speaker 1: of situation where all of a sudden, I am in

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Speaker 1: Vegas because of two reasons. One whether it was going

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Speaker 1: to rain in southern California for Thursday and Friday, and

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Speaker 1: my wife just did not want to go. But then

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Speaker 1: we woke up this morning and our daughter is sick.

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Speaker 1: Not COVID, but you know, pretty nasty cold, nasty cough.

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Speaker 1: Doesn't feel well, kind of run down. It feels like crap,

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Speaker 1: and it's just been going around with kids and kids

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Speaker 1: are playing with other kids, and you know, no fever.

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Speaker 1: She has her taste and smell and it's nothing like

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Speaker 1: you know, when she had COVID. We've seen her with COVID,

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Speaker 1: so we have an idea what to look for when

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Speaker 1: she has COVID. This is just a real nasty cold

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Speaker 1: that she's got and so she's run down. So the

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Speaker 1: idea of putting her outside for Thursday and Friday in

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Speaker 1: the rain just wasn't really wasn't nice. So we're here,

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Speaker 1: but that means I'm gonna be doing a lot of stuff,

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Speaker 1: running around going crazy. So I've got one play on

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Speaker 1: the side for tonight's Titans forty nine ers play game.

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Speaker 1: And I've got two prop bets I'm gonna give you

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Speaker 1: here today, So one more unit in play again. You

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Speaker 1: want to fade both these bets. I'm not gonna be

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Speaker 1: mad at you, but i want to say one quick

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Speaker 1: hello to the guys in Windsor, Ontario, Canada, Kirk, Matt

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Speaker 1: and Mikey. So these dudes are driving around plowing all

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Speaker 1: night and he they work for the Windsor Essex Mobility

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Speaker 1: Group w e MG. They do maintenance on the highways

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Speaker 1: and they do everything from picking up trash to assaulting

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Speaker 1: and plowing, keeping the folks on the roadways up there

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Speaker 1: in Canada. I don't know how much you guys are

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Speaker 1: dealing with for snow, but mad Dog Matt is one

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Speaker 1: of the guys on discord. He dropped me a line

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Speaker 1: and said that every night, these hard working guys they

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Speaker 1: get together, they wait for the release of the podcast

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Speaker 1: overnight and when it comes out, they're all old times

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Speaker 1: snowplow drivers and they all listen to the juice, and

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Speaker 1: then they all talk about the juice and they'll come in.

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Speaker 1: So I told them I'm sorry about the picks. I

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Speaker 1: apologize for sucking this week. But hopefully you guys are

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Speaker 1: fading it and making some money, you know, going against

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Speaker 1: me here. But hello to the folks up in Windsor, Canada.

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Speaker 1: That's very cool. Stay warm up there and definitely stay safe.

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Speaker 1: A nice job keeping those road waves open for all

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Speaker 1: the folks out there to travel around here. I don't

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Speaker 1: know how much snow you guys get up there. I'm

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Speaker 1: guessing a lot more than Vegas would be my guest,

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Speaker 1: without much you guys dealing with the snow situation. So

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Speaker 1: all right. I talked about this game a little bit

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Speaker 1: in the Discord channel. Numbers coming down. Hopefully you guys

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Speaker 1: can get it at three and a half. I don't

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Speaker 1: hate it as three. I think the Titans are live

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Speaker 1: to win this game, Okay. I took the Titans right

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Speaker 1: after my almost my radio show, not my radio show,

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Speaker 1: but my online show. I jumped on three and a

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Speaker 1: half and talked about the Discord channel, but Tennessee plus

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Speaker 1: three and a half at home against San Francisco. We

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Speaker 1: did see some players get scratched for injury that caused

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Speaker 1: a little bit of a move. I don't think this

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Speaker 1: goes below three. It might, but I think if it

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Speaker 1: goes below three, I think you would see the pros

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Speaker 1: come back and maybe be on both sides of three,

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Speaker 1: you know, be at plus three and a half and

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Speaker 1: beyond minus two and a half. Very possible. I could

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Speaker 1: even do that myself. I'm on plus three and a half.

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Speaker 1: I may come back at minus two and a half

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Speaker 1: potentially on that It's gonna be a very popular teaser

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Speaker 1: leg to tease this thing up to plus nine and

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Speaker 1: take the Titans. But I'm gonna take the three and

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Speaker 1: a half and I'm gonna sprinkle on the money line

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Speaker 1: here for the Titans. And here's a couple of reasons

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Speaker 1: why I'm back on the Titans again. Look, if the

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Speaker 1: Titans win this game, we go over nine and a half,

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Speaker 1: so we cash that ticket. If they win the game, outright,

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Speaker 1: they're at ten wins and we cast that ticket. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so that will be two cashes or no three cashes

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Speaker 1: Raiders Bengals Titans three one unit wins for US for

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Speaker 1: our preseason bets. Okay, we've done very well in the

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Speaker 1: futures category. When it comes to the daily juice, historically,

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Speaker 1: this is a very hot thing we've hit on. Titans

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Speaker 1: are eight and six against the number. They are four

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Speaker 1: to one against the Division, six and four in conference.

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Speaker 1: This is a non conference game with an NFC team

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Speaker 1: coming in at home. They're four and three on the road.

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Speaker 1: San Francisco is four and three against the number. They're

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Speaker 1: seven and seven, seven and seven so far on the year,

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Speaker 1: they have covered, however, five of their last six games.

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Speaker 1: They are a very popular pro play. The pros like

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Speaker 1: this a lot. I'm going to go against this. The

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Speaker 1: Titans have covered once in their last five games. A

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Speaker 1: lot of people are going against the Titans, and I

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Speaker 1: can't tell you that you're wrong for doing that. It's

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Speaker 1: a really big game for both these teams. It's a

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Speaker 1: short week and it's a really big game for the

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Speaker 1: Titans to get a bounce back spot. They should have

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Speaker 1: beaten the Steelers. We were on the right side. They

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Speaker 1: turned the ball over four times. This game comes down

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Speaker 1: to turnovers period. In my mind. Okay, whoever turns the

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Speaker 1: football over and hopefully they got that out of their

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Speaker 1: system last week. But turnovers to me are going to

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Speaker 1: be a monster deal here. And if Garoppolo goes a

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Speaker 1: little crazy and starch throwing picks here we go, that

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Speaker 1: could be a good thing for us here. Giveaways per

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Speaker 1: game one point eight giveaways per game for the Titans.

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Speaker 1: That's not good. Okay, that is twenty eighth in the NFL.

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Speaker 1: That has killed them when they lose, they turned the

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Speaker 1: football over. So if the Titans in the first quarter

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Speaker 1: turn the football over, even if they're winning, you might

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Speaker 1: want to jump on the on the forty nine ers

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Speaker 1: and jump on the other side. Okay, you may get

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Speaker 1: a plus money out of this, And I'll tell you

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Speaker 1: right now personally, because I have that plus money on

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Speaker 1: the other side for the Titans to cast. I will

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Speaker 1: take plus money on if we ever get a plus

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Speaker 1: money situation for the Niners. If it's ever like plus

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Speaker 1: one twenty plus one thirty on the Niners, I will

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Speaker 1: jump in on San Francisco knowing that I've got the

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Speaker 1: one unit on the Titans to win. So if you

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Speaker 1: did bet that preseason with Titans over nine and a

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Speaker 1: half wins, we have some opportunities to play here with

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Speaker 1: this in game if they go up seven nothing, and

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Speaker 1: right now there's not a lot of value with the

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Speaker 1: forty nine ers, but if you have that plus nine

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Speaker 1: and a half ticket, you have a chance to kind

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Speaker 1: of play off of it if the Niners do get

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Speaker 1: to plus money on the money line at any point

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Speaker 1: during the during the game. So takeaways per game one

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Speaker 1: point three for the Titans, but one point four giveaways

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Speaker 1: a game for the forty nine ers. They can throw

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Speaker 1: picks and Garoppolo can fumble the football, and I mean

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Speaker 1: they get after the quarterback. We know what this Titans

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Speaker 1: team does, fifth in the NFL, sorry, fourteenth in the

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Speaker 1: NFL getting after the quarterback. We know San Francisco gets

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Speaker 1: up the quarterback as well here. But I think we're

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Speaker 1: going to see a good game for this Titans defense.

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Speaker 1: They've been playing much better of late. And frankly, look,

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Speaker 1: they're only giving up eighty six point nine rushing yards

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Speaker 1: per game, one hundred and twenty six on the game

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Speaker 1: on the ground for San Francisco. But they got some

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Speaker 1: injuries back there and some issues back there that running

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Speaker 1: the ball. They've been throwing the ball very very well

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Speaker 1: over the last couple of games. I think they'll continue

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Speaker 1: to do that. Titans pass defense is okay, it's not great.

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Speaker 1: Six point five yards per pass play. That's fourteenth in

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Speaker 1: the NFL, giving up two hundred and forty two yards

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Speaker 1: per game that's twentieth in the NFL. So secondary is

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Speaker 1: okay for the Titans. Not great. They can be thrown on,

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Speaker 1: much more difficult to run on them. The number two

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Speaker 1: opposing yards they are third in rushes per game that

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Speaker 1: they see in their fifth and opposing yuards per rush

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Speaker 1: at three point nine, I'm taking the Titans at plus

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Speaker 1: three and a half. Don't turn the football over. Titans.

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Speaker 1: I think money line they are live here, but as

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Speaker 1: I mentioned, I'll just sprinkle on it because we have

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Speaker 1: that one full unit already riding on it, so I

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Speaker 1: don't need to go too heavy on the money line

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Speaker 1: here with the Titans. Just take the plus three and

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Speaker 1: a half. Hopefully they win the game at home here.

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Speaker 1: A lot of folks are on San Francisco in the

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Speaker 1: pro betting community. I understand why because I've been so hot,

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Speaker 1: But bounce back spot for the Titans Tennessee plus three

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Speaker 1: and a half. Half a unit, okay, half a unit.

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Speaker 1: I am ice cold. I'm only betting one unit today. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I'm not in the mood of losing multiple units per day.

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Speaker 1: Given how cold I have been. I've not had a

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Speaker 1: winning day yet. Okay. Last Friday was the last time

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Speaker 1: I've had a winning day. Saturday, Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday

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Speaker 1: all losing days. Okay, so this has been a disastrous Christmas,

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Speaker 1: but not that shocking giving everything I've got going on

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Speaker 1: right now. But not great. Okay. Titans plus three and

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Speaker 1: a half half a unit. Okay, let's talk about prop bets.

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Speaker 1: Two prop bets quarter unit each for the other half

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Speaker 1: a units we bet this last game. Deebo Samuel over

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Speaker 1: his receiving props on Sunday. We got involved here. He

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Speaker 1: flew over this, just blasted it. His number is forty

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Speaker 1: two and a half receiving yards. Look, they use the football.

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Speaker 1: They use him in a variety of ways. He runs

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Speaker 1: the ball, but he also catches the football a lot.

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Speaker 1: And the projections that Dan Harris had for the last

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Speaker 1: game for the forty nine ers were correct. Deebo Samuel

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Speaker 1: once again. Prop bet cheat sheet number two. Prop bet

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Speaker 1: cheat sheet pick for this game is Garoppolo. Sorry is

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Speaker 1: Samuel to have sixty five yards receiving. That's a twenty

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Speaker 1: three yard difference here from what the actual number is

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Speaker 1: to what he is currently projected to get. And again

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Speaker 1: I talked about it. Pass defense for the Titans is

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Speaker 1: not that great and frankly, they need the ball in

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Speaker 1: his hands. I mean, Deebo Samuel running the football. Deebo

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Speaker 1: Samuel anytime touchdown not a bad bet. Okay, that's not

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Speaker 1: horrible at all to get involved with that. Let me

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Speaker 1: see what is Deebo Samuel anytime touchdown minus one time?

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Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean he's going to get the football

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Speaker 1: in the red zone. He's going to run the football.

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Speaker 1: But I like him on a receiving prop over forty

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Speaker 1: two and a half for Deebo Samuel and for the

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Speaker 1: last quarter unit. To round it out, Jimmy Garoppolo in

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Speaker 1: his last four games has thrown for two thirty, two

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Speaker 1: ninety nine, two ninety six, and two thirty five. Garoppolo's

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Speaker 1: number passing right now is two thirty five and a half. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so he's gone over or nearly at that in his

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Speaker 1: last three games. Then came back to the Vikings, he

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Speaker 1: threw for two thirty okay. Jaguars was one seventy six.

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Speaker 1: Rams was one to eighty two. Cardinals was three twenty six,

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Speaker 1: Bears was three twenty two. Okay, I think Garoppolo is

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Speaker 1: gonna throw the football a lot here in this game,

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Speaker 1: given the injuries and running situation with the running backs,

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Speaker 1: and you've got a chance here, I think to get

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Speaker 1: the ball out to Kittle. I thank Kittle's not a

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Speaker 1: bad option here, but his numbers are getting a little

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Speaker 1: high for my liking in terms of betting on Kittle.

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Speaker 1: But I think Kittle could score a touchdown tonight two

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Speaker 1: thirty five and a half at minus one ten. The

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Speaker 1: prop bet cheat sheet has him going for two hundred

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Speaker 1: and sixty eight yards tonight. That's thirty three yards of

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Speaker 1: value according to the betting Pros prop bet cheat sheet.

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Speaker 1: All right, I'm going to follow the prop bet cheat

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Speaker 1: sheet here. It's paid off for us in the past.

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Speaker 1: I like the Demo Samuel stuff. I like Garoppolo throwing

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Speaker 1: the football here. We're going Titans play three and a half.

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Speaker 1: On the other side, Deebo Samuel over forty two and

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Speaker 1: a half yards receiving and Jimmy Garoppolo over two hundred

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Speaker 1: and thirty five and a half yards receiving the prop

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Speaker 1: bets for a quarter unit the side for a half

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Speaker 1: a unit. My name's Matt Parolt. I'll be with you

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Speaker 1: here all week. Even on Christmas, We'll be here. Even

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Speaker 1: on New Year's We'll be here. Even New Year's Eve,

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Speaker 1: we'll be here, although it might tape it a little

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Speaker 1: early than normal. Hello to our folks in Canada, Hello

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Speaker 1: wherever you are. Thank you for listening to the Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice podcast. I honestly the best Christmas gift you guys

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Speaker 1: ever have given me is your attention, which is why

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Speaker 1: I get paid. So picks might suck, but I do

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Speaker 1: appreciate you guys listening and watching and being a part

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Speaker 1: of the Deal Juice community on the Discord channel. If

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Speaker 1: I have anything else to add during the day, I

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Speaker 1: will pop it in. But I got a really kind

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Speaker 1: of crazy day. I'm running around doing Christmas and Honeydew

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Speaker 1: lists all day because now we're not We're supposed to

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Speaker 1: be in Cali, but we're not. We're going to be

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Speaker 1: in Vegas. So not sure how much I'll be available

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Speaker 1: in the Discord channel. But if something pops up, if

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Speaker 1: I like something, then I'll let you guys know. In

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel minds Matt Parole to follow me on

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Speaker 1: Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning, it's

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Speaker 1: The Diligence Podcast, always being brought to you by BETHAMGM