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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Wednesday morning

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Speaker 1: edition of the Deal Juice podcast. Mon name is Matt Paroltz.

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Speaker 1: You guys can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk

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Speaker 1: Matt eat Urdy Morning. We're here on bettingpros dot com

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Speaker 1: wherever get your audio podcast YouTube for the video and

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Speaker 1: the offer from BETMGM still the same ten dollars offer.

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Speaker 1: You place a ten dollars bet, you win one hundred

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Speaker 1: and fifty bucks automatically on any event. Use the promo

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Speaker 1: code Juice one fifty when you sign up on the

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Speaker 1: betmgmapp orbetemgm dot com to qualify ten dollars bet one

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Speaker 1: hundred and fifty bucks into your account. Okay, so yesterday,

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Speaker 1: the COVID nightmare continues, so the over for the Holiday

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Speaker 1: Bowl gets called off, so that bet gets refunded. Stinks,

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Speaker 1: but just kind of how where we are. We get

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Speaker 1: air Force right on the plus one. They win the

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Speaker 1: game outright by three over NC State. The over came

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Speaker 1: in of that game, so I'm glad it didn't bet

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Speaker 1: the under because I was leaning under on that. I

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Speaker 1: just bet air Force to win. That was good. We

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Speaker 1: get the Cavaliers were up by I think twenty three

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Speaker 1: points at one point over the Pelicans, and they blew

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Speaker 1: the game. They lost the game outright, did not cover.

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Speaker 1: So if you just bet the podcast place, it was

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Speaker 1: a one to oh day for you. If you bet

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Speaker 1: the play I put on Discord, it was a one

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Speaker 1: in one day. So officially we go one in one

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Speaker 1: down the juice. Not the big of a deal. Betting

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Speaker 1: the NBA is just impossible. I just I shouldn't have

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Speaker 1: done it. I just I liked what I saw out

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Speaker 1: of the Calves. And you know, they had some late

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Speaker 1: players scratched, kind of some bad luck, but that's just

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Speaker 1: kind of how where we are here. So Mosley played

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Speaker 1: and I thought, okay, this is an opportunity to kind

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Speaker 1: of jump in here. And unfortunately no, So that's a

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Speaker 1: loss in the NBA. But I winning college football, so

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna I got two college ball bets for you

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Speaker 1: guys going here today again. Half a unit, it's all

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Speaker 1: I'm betting on these college games because they're so wonky.

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Speaker 1: Half a unit on each play here for us on

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Speaker 1: a Wednesday, before we get to Thursday, and then Friday

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Speaker 1: and Saturday and Sunday and Monday and we get rolling here.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what to do yet. I'm gonna tell

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Speaker 1: you right here. Okay, this is where I am for

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Speaker 1: the college football playoffs. Okay. I like Cincinnati at plus

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Speaker 1: three and a half, and I like the under for

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Speaker 1: Georgia and Michigan. Okay, they're both very public, I think.

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Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm pretty confident the public will be

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Speaker 1: on Alabama, but I'm not positive that the public's gonna

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Speaker 1: be on Alabama, like laying thirteen and a half, fourteen points,

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Speaker 1: I don't know, but that's I'm not betting this yet, okay,

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Speaker 1: and I'm probably gonna miss the best numbers. And I

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Speaker 1: totally get where you might be like, well, I bet

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Speaker 1: it now, because I don't know about COVID, all right,

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Speaker 1: This is insane. The way they're gonna determine the national

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Speaker 1: championship if every team gets COVID is which team has

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Speaker 1: the fewest players with COVID. That's moronic, that's how they're

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Speaker 1: doing it. So I just can't get involved early. And

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Speaker 1: here we are on a Wednesday. I just can't do it.

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Speaker 1: I gotta wait, and so I'm gonna wait and we'll

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Speaker 1: make the bets on the podcast coming up this weekend.

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Speaker 1: But I just I'm annoyed because normally I would jump

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Speaker 1: in if it gets back to fourteen. I don't think

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Speaker 1: it will, but if it gets to fourteen, yeah, probably

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Speaker 1: I will jump on it. I don't want to buy

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Speaker 1: it up unless I absolutely have to. I would prefer

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Speaker 1: since he plus fourteen. But I think Bama might be

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Speaker 1: in trouble. I mean, have you seen the way the

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Speaker 1: SEC is going right now? The SEC is not having

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Speaker 1: a great bowl game or bowl season. And I know

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Speaker 1: Alabama is that like unique category, but like Auburn didn't

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Speaker 1: beat Houston, and Auburn beat Alabama, and I'm not doing

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Speaker 1: that whole like who beat Whome thing. It's just interesting

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Speaker 1: because Alabama's offensive line has been so bad that Cincinnati

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Speaker 1: is great at pressuring the quarterback. I think Bryce Young

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Speaker 1: is gonna have a rough day, and I think since

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Speaker 1: he's I think the under in play. I think the

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Speaker 1: Dogs in play here and then with Georgia in Michigan,

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Speaker 1: I just think both teams want to run the football

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Speaker 1: home play defense, and I don't think either team's going

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Speaker 1: to score a whole heck of a lot, So I

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Speaker 1: like the under in that one. I think it's forty

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Speaker 1: four and a half. I think that's where the where

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Speaker 1: the under is. Hold on, let me let me see

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Speaker 1: what the latest number is for that one if you

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Speaker 1: want to. I'm just giving you this now if you

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Speaker 1: want to jump in on. I'm not betting this officially.

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Speaker 1: I miss telling you because people have been asking, like

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Speaker 1: where you're going to be on the playoffs. So it

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Speaker 1: is U thirteen and a half still for Cincinnati, and

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Speaker 1: the total is forty five. So yeah, so it's forty

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Speaker 1: four and a half. It's sticking up a little bit.

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Speaker 1: But you know, I want fourteen. Get fourteen for Cincy,

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Speaker 1: and then get me, you know, under forty five, forty

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Speaker 1: five and a half, forty six in that range. You know,

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Speaker 1: I'm good here. I'm gonna jump in for the under

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Speaker 1: on Georgia in Michigan. So those are my lean in

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Speaker 1: my plays for now, but not official. So I'll make

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Speaker 1: them official coming up. But just give you an idea

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Speaker 1: here on a Wednesday, in case you're going out of

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Speaker 1: town or in case you're going away for the New

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Speaker 1: Year's holiday whatever. Friday, those games get going for us

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Speaker 1: here for the college football playoffs and then we get

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Speaker 1: to the National Championship game kind of the week after

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Speaker 1: on the thirty first New Year's Eve, just to heads up,

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Speaker 1: that's where I'm at. Okay, So before I give you

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Speaker 1: the picks, let me just say one quick thing. John

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Speaker 1: Madden passing away unexpectedly at the age of eighty five

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Speaker 1: yesterday was I think a stunner for a lot of

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Speaker 1: us who grew up with him and Pet summer All.

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Speaker 1: And I mean when those guys got together, when those

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Speaker 1: guys were broadcasting, you knew it was a big game

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Speaker 1: and I had to go look it up. But Pet

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Speaker 1: summer All passed away in twenty thirteen, which was kind

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Speaker 1: of stunning to me. Like I felt like he passed

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Speaker 1: away earlier or later than that, But I mean Pet

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Speaker 1: summer All and John Madden were it when those two

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Speaker 1: guys showed up, whether it be the turducan on Thanksgiving,

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Speaker 1: which was the turkey chicken slash duck combination, or just

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Speaker 1: the big old turkey leg. The Telestrader was something that

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Speaker 1: I grew up with, knowing him boom right catch phrases

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Speaker 1: and then turning it into a franchise where I read

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Speaker 1: a really cool anecdote about the beginning of EA Sports,

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Speaker 1: and they went to him and said Hey, we have

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Speaker 1: this game. It's going to be six or seven players,

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Speaker 1: you know, seven on seven football. And he said, you're

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Speaker 1: not using my name unless you have eleven players on

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Speaker 1: either side. I am not doing this. And so the

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Speaker 1: team for EA Sports took three more years to develop

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Speaker 1: the technology to have an eleven on eleven game, not techmobile,

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Speaker 1: but a legit EA Sports eleven on eleven Madden NFL Football.

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Speaker 1: And look what it is. I mean, look at what

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Speaker 1: it's turned into. I mean incredible, just incredible for a

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Speaker 1: guy who into broadcasting because he was literally scared to

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Speaker 1: death to fly. He quit coaching at forty two. He

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Speaker 1: was hired as the youngest coach in NFL history at

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Speaker 1: the time at thirty three, and he won a Super Bowl.

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Speaker 1: He still has the best winning percentage to start a

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Speaker 1: career for anybody who coached one hundred games in the NFL.

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Speaker 1: And he didn't want to travel, so he went to

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Speaker 1: broadcasting and he took a bus to every game, never flew,

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Speaker 1: was always on the ground, and that's what led to

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Speaker 1: a thirty year broadcasting career and just an unbelievable I

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Speaker 1: never met him, and I'm sad that I never met

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Speaker 1: him because people that I know who have met him

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Speaker 1: said he was nothing but a great dude and a

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Speaker 1: fun guy to be around. He is, was and will

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Speaker 1: be football for me. Rest in peace, John Madden. It's

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Speaker 1: a huge loss for all of us. Okay, now let's

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Speaker 1: get to a couple of bowl games. Let's start first

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Speaker 1: with the Cheese It Bowl. Clemson Iowa State. Anybody think

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Speaker 1: that Clemson and Iowa State would be playing in this

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Speaker 1: pool game? I any think Clemson to start the year

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Speaker 1: would be playing in Orlando, Florida. Clemson in Orlando, Florida

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Speaker 1: against Iowa State. Let's talk about the total in this game,

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Speaker 1: forty four and a half. It's been ticking up a

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Speaker 1: little bit. The number is sticking towards Clemson. Well sorry sorry,

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Speaker 1: it was first ticking towards Clemson. It's since come backtown

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Speaker 1: down towards Iowa State. On the year, Clemson, it's five

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Speaker 1: and seven to the over. Iowa State is six and six.

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Speaker 1: Clemson has lost their or both coordinators are gone from Clemson.

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Speaker 1: You've got dj Uga lele Uga. Well don't ask me

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Speaker 1: to say his name because I'm destroy it, but let

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Speaker 1: me just say it as that way playing quarterback here, No,

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Speaker 1: Bryce Hall he is not there. Star running back for

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Speaker 1: Iowa State has opted out of this game. Matt Campbell's

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Speaker 1: a really good coach. If you look at the games.

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Speaker 1: In the way the games have been going, Clemson has

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Speaker 1: been playing much better offensively, much better. Florida State over Louisville, over,

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Speaker 1: Connecticut over, Wake Forest over and then they shut out

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Speaker 1: South Carolina thirty to nothing. Okay, Clemson's been playing much

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Speaker 1: better down the stretch. I'm leaning Clemson here. Okay. But

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Speaker 1: because of both coordinators being gone, because of the quarterback

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Speaker 1: situation for Clemson, and because Iowa States defense is really good.

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Speaker 1: People sleep on this Iowa State defense. They're much better

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Speaker 1: than people give them credit for. Okay, they give up

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Speaker 1: just twenty one points per game. Clemson, on average still

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Speaker 1: scores just twenty five points twenty four point eight points

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Speaker 1: per game. It's not great. Four point five yards rushing

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Speaker 1: per game not great, six yards passing not great. Iowa

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Speaker 1: State's defense is good enough to shut down this team, okay.

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Speaker 1: And with the fact that they don't have their star

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Speaker 1: running back and the fact that they're playing in a

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Speaker 1: game against a Clemson team, we're on you know, man

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Speaker 1: de man athletes. Clemson will have the better athletes. I

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Speaker 1: think Iowa State is going to try to play a

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Speaker 1: grinded out type of style. I don't think they go

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Speaker 1: up tempo by any means, and I just don't think

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Speaker 1: Clemson scores. The total is forty four and a half here.

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Speaker 1: I don't want to bet many unders in bowl games,

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Speaker 1: but to bet under on Clemson Iowa State, I just

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Speaker 1: think there's a chance that Clemson's defense just puts the

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Speaker 1: claps down in Iowa State, and I'm not sure they

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Speaker 1: score very much. So I think Iowa State knows that

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Speaker 1: Iowa State averages thirty four points per game, but Clemson

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Speaker 1: gives up sixteen points per game four point three yards

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Speaker 1: per play is fifth best in the country. It's tough

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Speaker 1: to score on these guys. In the red zone, Clemson

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Speaker 1: gives up a score just sixty six percent of the time.

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Speaker 1: It's third best in the country. All right, Iowa State's

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Speaker 1: second best in red zone scoring. This game is going

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Speaker 1: to come down to red zone scoring. Iowa State scores

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Speaker 1: on ninety five percent of their trips to the red zone,

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Speaker 1: number two in the country. Clemson number three in the country,

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Speaker 1: sixty six percent of the time. It's pretty It's a

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Speaker 1: pretty significant number there. Iowa State's defense, however, really good

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Speaker 1: in the red zone. You scored just seventy three percent

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Speaker 1: of the time in the red zone. Clemson scores just

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Speaker 1: seventy seven percent of the time. It's one hundred and

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Speaker 1: third in the country when it comes to red zone scoring.

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Speaker 1: So Clemson's had all sorts of problems turnovers and fumbles

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Speaker 1: and missfield goals and everything else that's kind of gone

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Speaker 1: into this. I just don't think this is an offensive game.

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Speaker 1: I think both defensive have had time to prepare for

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Speaker 1: these offenses, not having star players, not having coordinators be

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Speaker 1: there for Clemson, I'm going under how much does Clemson

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Speaker 1: want to be in this game? Really? Right, that's a

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Speaker 1: huge question. Iowa State is going to be geeked, you know,

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Speaker 1: they're going to be fired up, but I think offensively

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Speaker 1: they're going to have a tough time against this Clemson defense.

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Speaker 1: Under forty four and a half for a half a

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Speaker 1: unit in the cheese At Bowl Clemson and Iowa State. Okay,

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Speaker 1: let's go to the night cap the Alamo Bowl in

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Speaker 1: San Antonio, Texas or again up against Oklahoma. Probably should

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Speaker 1: have bet this number when it was four. It's now

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Speaker 1: six and a half. Okay, totals up to sixty and

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Speaker 1: a half. Oregon this year against the spreads five and eight,

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Speaker 1: Oklahoma five, six and one. But they've got big game,

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Speaker 1: Bob Bob Stoops coming in here. This is I mean,

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Speaker 1: motivation matters for games. Okay. Oregon has looked so bad

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Speaker 1: in two of their last three games. Both of the

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Speaker 1: losses against Utah were offul excuse me, awful, lost by

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Speaker 1: thirty one and twenty eight to Utah. They beat Oregon

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Speaker 1: State at home in between. Okay, they beat Washington to

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Speaker 1: beat Washington State, but Oregon. I don't know if Oregon

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Speaker 1: wants to be in Texas. Okay, I'm not saying Oklahoma

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Speaker 1: definitely does, but so many of these kids are from Texas.

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Speaker 1: You have Bob Stoops coming in. Oregon's lost their head coach.

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Speaker 1: They've got a quarterback which I do not like. They

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Speaker 1: have an offense that has not looked good at times

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Speaker 1: this year against quality defenses. Oklahoma does not have a

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Speaker 1: quality defense. We know that they gave up twenty seven

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Speaker 1: points per game. I get it if you want to

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Speaker 1: say bet the over on this, but I don't think

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Speaker 1: Oregon's defense is going to be able to stop Oklahoma's offense,

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Speaker 1: and Oregon gives up twenty seven points per game. Oregon

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Speaker 1: gives up, you know, two hundred and fifty yards passing

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Speaker 1: per game, they give up one hundred and twenty eight

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Speaker 1: yards rushing per game. Oklahoma can run the football, like

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Speaker 1: we know. I know it's skill on skill. I know

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Speaker 1: these teams are flashy, but I just don't know how

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Speaker 1: motivated Oregon's going to be. You could say, well, maybe

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Speaker 1: it's a revenge game. Maybe it's their chance to kind

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Speaker 1: of like, you know, get that taste out of their

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Speaker 1: mouth with Utah. But I mean, how many of these

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Speaker 1: kids are gonna be transferring You lose your coach to Miami,

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Speaker 1: with Mario cristoball leaving in Oklahoma, having Bob Stoops back,

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Speaker 1: it's a big deal to the fans and any kid

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Speaker 1: that grows up in Texas or Oklahoma, they know who

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Speaker 1: Bob Stoops is and they're getting coached for a couple

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Speaker 1: of weeks by a legend. I'm gonna go with Bob Stoops.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with big game Bob. Here. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: lay the six and a half. There's a worse number.

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Speaker 1: This is me betting into a worse number. So I

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Speaker 1: don't like that one play that you might want to

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Speaker 1: do if you are inclined to tease college games. I'm

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Speaker 1: not inclined, but I did think about this a lot.

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Speaker 1: As you go ahead and take the dog. I think

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Speaker 1: it's a coin flip between Iowa State and Clemson. I

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Speaker 1: think it's gonna be a lot of back and forth here.

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Speaker 1: Iowa State at two and a half, you take them

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Speaker 1: up to eight and a half, and then you take

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Speaker 1: Oklahoma down to a half a point Oklahoma minus a

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Speaker 1: half a point in Iowa State plus six and a half.

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Speaker 1: I don't hate that teaser, Okay, depending on where the

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Speaker 1: number goes, depends how it goes. I don't like teasing

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Speaker 1: games are college games. It's not very profitable normally, and

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Speaker 1: it's not all that great to tease games involving bowl games.

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Speaker 1: It's just an option if you want something extra on

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Speaker 1: this game. That's a play I thought about making. But

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Speaker 1: I'm just gonna go straight bets here. We're gonna take

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Speaker 1: or lay that six and a half with Oklahoma again,

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Speaker 1: I would have rather four or four and a half.

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Speaker 1: Those numbers were readily available for a couple of weeks,

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Speaker 1: but I had to see how it all played out.

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Speaker 1: Who's gonna be in, who's gonna be out. I'm still

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Speaker 1: gonna I'm gonna lay. I still like Oklahoma. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: lay six and a half points here, all right. So

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Speaker 1: we're taking half a unit in the cheese At Bowl

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Speaker 1: Iowa State Clemson under forty four and a half, and

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Speaker 1: I'm taking Oregon against Oklahoma. I'm laying the six and

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Speaker 1: a half points with Oklahoma. Both those bets for a

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Speaker 1: half a unit. I might have something else for The

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Speaker 1: other bowl game is Maryland and VA Tech, so maybe

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Speaker 1: I'll get involved with that, but probably not. I mean,

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Speaker 1: my gut says take the points with VA Tech on

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Speaker 1: that one, but as of right now, I got nothing

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Speaker 1: on it. I'm not betting hockey. I mean I watched

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Speaker 1: a bit of the Vegas Golden Knights game against the

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Speaker 1: La Kings. It was nothing, nothing, and then in one minute,

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Speaker 1: in sixteen seconds, four goals got scored. At the time

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Speaker 1: I'm taping, it's currently five to one Vegas. Let's see

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Speaker 1: it's still now. It's five to two Vegas here, Sharks

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Speaker 1: Coyotes five and five to four right now, So like

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Speaker 1: you want to bet overs all right, I mean, you know, okay,

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Speaker 1: like go ahead and bet overs on this. You know

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Speaker 1: pretty big. You know, you got Flyers cracking total is six.

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Speaker 1: You got Edmonton and Saint Louis total is six and

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Speaker 1: a half, Rangers, Panthers over six and a half, Predators

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Speaker 1: Capitals over six. Like this is just what the books

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Speaker 1: are doing right now, because after watching these games tonight,

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Speaker 1: the restart after the COVID break for Christmas, no one's

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Speaker 1: playing any defense like this, just wide open. You know,

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Speaker 1: goaltenders are not sharp. Jonathan Quick got pulled from this

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Speaker 1: game tonight for the LA Kings, so not great. Just

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Speaker 1: FYI you want to go on that. I'm not touching

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Speaker 1: the NBA. I'm just I have I have no no desire.

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Speaker 1: Warriors are coming back with four minutes to play. They're

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Speaker 1: down by six to Denver. They were down big. I

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Speaker 1: almost bet that game at halftime. Glad I didn't, but

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Speaker 1: maybe I should have because looks at the Warriors. I'm

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Speaker 1: making a little bit of a charge here. But Clippers

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Speaker 1: at the Celtics, Lakers at the Grizzlies, you got the

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Speaker 1: Hawks at the Bulls again. Hawks just got spunk, got

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Speaker 1: spanked by the Bulls, but I mean it's you know,

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Speaker 1: to hosting the Thunder. You know, pretty big numbers. Fifteen

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Speaker 1: and a half for the Suns against the Thunder, eight

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Speaker 1: and a half for the Bulls against the Hawks, six

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Speaker 1: and a half for the Pistons against the Knicks, or

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Speaker 1: the Knicks laying six and a half at the Pistons.

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Speaker 1: Lakers are catching four to the Grizzlies, which is kind

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Speaker 1: of an interesting number there, but just in odd day

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Speaker 1: because Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday is going to be huge

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Speaker 1: for football. So let's get to the weekend. Let's not

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Speaker 1: go too crazy. Let's get into the Thursday night football

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Speaker 1: and save our bankroll. Just two plays cheeze It Bowl

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Speaker 1: under forty four and a half Alimoble Oklahoma minus six

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Speaker 1: and a half, both for a half of you. Unit.

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Speaker 1: Mine is Matt Parolt. To follow me on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: sports Doc Matt. Each In the morning, it's the Diligious Podcast,

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Speaker 1: always being brought to you by MGM