1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:05,280 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast, PODYA, All right, 2 00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:05,600 Speaker 1: here we. 3 00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:14,480 Speaker 2: Go fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, Horny Cody 4 00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:15,560 Speaker 2: five fifty and the. 5 00:00:15,680 --> 00:00:24,960 Speaker 3: Kick as Block, the college Football World, Stundar, Oh my goodness. 6 00:00:24,680 --> 00:00:26,599 Speaker 1: He stumble and Football. 7 00:00:27,120 --> 00:00:30,280 Speaker 3: The Lateral turn a general the ads. 8 00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:33,879 Speaker 4: Don't you believe that I'm not. 9 00:00:34,040 --> 00:00:40,199 Speaker 3: Gonna table off the fiel the night. It's not the 10 00:00:40,440 --> 00:00:43,640 Speaker 3: size of the dog in the fight. It's the size 11 00:00:43,720 --> 00:00:45,080 Speaker 3: of the fight in the dog. 12 00:00:48,240 --> 00:00:50,440 Speaker 4: What's up the generation? Welcome to the Big Bets on 13 00:00:50,479 --> 00:00:54,720 Speaker 4: Campus Podcast. This is the Week two college football betting preview. 14 00:00:54,720 --> 00:00:57,600 Speaker 4: I'm stucky and joining me as always my fellow BBOC 15 00:00:57,800 --> 00:01:01,520 Speaker 4: co host Colin Wilson. It's good to be back again 16 00:01:01,600 --> 00:01:05,600 Speaker 4: after week one. Got a full Week two slate starting 17 00:01:05,600 --> 00:01:07,479 Speaker 4: on Friday night with some Friday Night lights which we'll 18 00:01:07,480 --> 00:01:10,520 Speaker 4: get to later, and then we'll go through Saturday's card hit. 19 00:01:10,520 --> 00:01:12,839 Speaker 4: Probably I don't know, around fifteen to twenty games in total, 20 00:01:13,400 --> 00:01:15,120 Speaker 4: starting with the Marquee games. 21 00:01:15,160 --> 00:01:17,960 Speaker 5: In just a moment, quick little plug. 22 00:01:18,000 --> 00:01:20,800 Speaker 4: If you use Twitter, be sure to use at Playbook, 23 00:01:21,240 --> 00:01:24,800 Speaker 4: the new betting bot from Action turn your screenshot into 24 00:01:24,800 --> 00:01:27,000 Speaker 4: a bet slip. Just follow at playbook on Twitter for 25 00:01:27,080 --> 00:01:29,800 Speaker 4: more info. But you can even just add it and say, 26 00:01:30,560 --> 00:01:33,640 Speaker 4: you know, make me this parlay at fandle. It will 27 00:01:33,640 --> 00:01:36,280 Speaker 4: populate the slip click. It brings you right to the book. 28 00:01:36,319 --> 00:01:39,319 Speaker 4: Super convenient, saves you a lot of time, especially if 29 00:01:39,360 --> 00:01:43,280 Speaker 4: you're following along parlays a round. Robbins props just makes 30 00:01:43,319 --> 00:01:46,360 Speaker 4: it much easier to find when you're using some AI 31 00:01:46,360 --> 00:01:50,680 Speaker 4: assistant to make sure you give a follow to at playbook. 32 00:01:51,800 --> 00:01:55,480 Speaker 4: So I will say thank God for betting. There's fifty games, 33 00:01:55,480 --> 00:01:58,520 Speaker 4: fifty FBS VERSU FPS games this week. It's not the 34 00:01:58,600 --> 00:02:01,560 Speaker 4: sexiest card. It's always the case of week two. I 35 00:02:01,600 --> 00:02:03,920 Speaker 4: think I have twenty five of the fifty projected as 36 00:02:04,280 --> 00:02:07,520 Speaker 4: two touchdown plus spreads. There's no there's no weeks off, 37 00:02:07,520 --> 00:02:09,320 Speaker 4: there's no down weeks. I see people saying like this 38 00:02:09,360 --> 00:02:12,040 Speaker 4: is a day. There's lines, there's spreads. 39 00:02:13,520 --> 00:02:18,679 Speaker 1: It's another fabulous weekend of college football. Let's check out 40 00:02:18,680 --> 00:02:22,440 Speaker 1: the marquee matchups we'll all end up bedding for week two. 41 00:02:23,720 --> 00:02:30,880 Speaker 4: Let's start with Iowa at Iowa State, the Syhawk rivalry. 42 00:02:31,720 --> 00:02:34,720 Speaker 4: Nine of the last thirteen have been decided by one possession. 43 00:02:35,120 --> 00:02:37,760 Speaker 4: There's been two in that unders have ruled the dead. 44 00:02:37,760 --> 00:02:39,520 Speaker 4: I think sixteen and the last twenty have gone under, 45 00:02:39,520 --> 00:02:42,440 Speaker 4: although there was two that ended forty four to forty 46 00:02:42,440 --> 00:02:46,040 Speaker 4: one on the dot, which is surprising in this rivalry. 47 00:02:46,360 --> 00:02:49,520 Speaker 4: I was won six straight in Ames. I think the 48 00:02:49,600 --> 00:02:51,600 Speaker 4: last time that Iowa State one at home is back 49 00:02:51,600 --> 00:02:57,919 Speaker 4: in twenty eleven. We mentioned it before the season. Iowa 50 00:02:57,960 --> 00:03:01,280 Speaker 4: State wants to use multiple tight ends. That's their offense 51 00:03:01,320 --> 00:03:05,480 Speaker 4: this year. The receiver drop off is pretty stark. The 52 00:03:05,480 --> 00:03:09,680 Speaker 4: guys they brought in are not really up to the 53 00:03:09,760 --> 00:03:12,760 Speaker 4: par up up to par for what we saw last year. 54 00:03:12,760 --> 00:03:15,160 Speaker 4: From two thousand yard receivers, they ran one hundred and 55 00:03:15,200 --> 00:03:17,680 Speaker 4: forty four plays this year, one hundred and forty have 56 00:03:17,760 --> 00:03:20,959 Speaker 4: been with multiple tight ends. Berkele and Bramer are o 57 00:03:20,960 --> 00:03:23,560 Speaker 4: their leading receivers. There are those two tight ends that 58 00:03:23,639 --> 00:03:28,560 Speaker 4: Iowa State is relying on. Iowa State has gotten off 59 00:03:28,600 --> 00:03:30,560 Speaker 4: to a two and oh start, but you could poke 60 00:03:30,600 --> 00:03:33,640 Speaker 4: holes on it in it FCS opponent in South Dakota 61 00:03:33,639 --> 00:03:37,840 Speaker 4: that's down this year. Kansas State barely won that game 62 00:03:37,920 --> 00:03:40,320 Speaker 4: and Kansas State did not look great last week, so 63 00:03:41,200 --> 00:03:45,080 Speaker 4: how you know how whatever you think of Kansas State, 64 00:03:45,120 --> 00:03:48,160 Speaker 4: that win might not hold as much weight by. 65 00:03:48,040 --> 00:03:48,800 Speaker 5: The end of the year. 66 00:03:49,560 --> 00:03:53,520 Speaker 4: Iowa want to know huge favorites over Albany didn't cover 67 00:03:54,240 --> 00:03:58,600 Speaker 4: same old Iowa look like it was ugly. Gronowski, the 68 00:03:58,680 --> 00:04:02,080 Speaker 4: FCS transfer quarterback who had a ton of hype coming 69 00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:05,480 Speaker 4: into the season, finished eight to fifteen for forty four yards. 70 00:04:06,120 --> 00:04:07,520 Speaker 5: It was ugly. 71 00:04:07,520 --> 00:04:10,160 Speaker 4: A couple of ibas weapons are banged up. He looked 72 00:04:10,160 --> 00:04:12,640 Speaker 4: like he was nervous. He wasn't setting his feet. Does 73 00:04:12,680 --> 00:04:14,720 Speaker 4: he correct that this week? Like some of the throws 74 00:04:14,760 --> 00:04:17,760 Speaker 4: were just ugly. And this offense that was supposed to 75 00:04:17,760 --> 00:04:21,480 Speaker 4: take off under Goronowski didn't Kennet this week. We shall see. 76 00:04:22,080 --> 00:04:24,120 Speaker 4: Iowa State doesn't has I don't think I have a 77 00:04:24,160 --> 00:04:26,559 Speaker 4: sack this year. There's no real pass rush. Dominic Orange 78 00:04:26,600 --> 00:04:29,080 Speaker 4: is their dominant player up front, but I was a 79 00:04:29,120 --> 00:04:31,880 Speaker 4: really good center that might be able to contain him. 80 00:04:32,279 --> 00:04:35,560 Speaker 4: Is this going to be your typical Iowa low scoring 81 00:04:36,000 --> 00:04:39,640 Speaker 4: game a lot of them we've seen in this particular rivalry. 82 00:04:40,080 --> 00:04:44,320 Speaker 4: Or does Goronowski bounce back? Does Beck and these tight 83 00:04:44,400 --> 00:04:46,560 Speaker 4: ends have the juice to attack this Iowa defense? What 84 00:04:46,560 --> 00:04:47,160 Speaker 4: are you seeing here? 85 00:04:48,440 --> 00:04:48,640 Speaker 5: Yeah? 86 00:04:48,680 --> 00:04:50,719 Speaker 3: I mean, of course the spread is three, right, I 87 00:04:50,720 --> 00:04:52,480 Speaker 3: mean that's what it seems to always be one way 88 00:04:52,560 --> 00:04:55,000 Speaker 3: or the other. I think if you're a trends player. 89 00:04:55,080 --> 00:04:57,680 Speaker 3: The road team has won the last five in this series, 90 00:04:57,720 --> 00:05:00,640 Speaker 3: so I'm not sure if that means anything here. I mean, 91 00:05:00,680 --> 00:05:02,719 Speaker 3: I project this Iowa State minus one, so I don't 92 00:05:02,720 --> 00:05:04,760 Speaker 3: think it's outrageous. I think it's outrageous at three and 93 00:05:04,800 --> 00:05:06,160 Speaker 3: a half. I think it's going to come back at three. 94 00:05:06,160 --> 00:05:08,000 Speaker 3: I'd be shocked that went about three and a half. 95 00:05:08,000 --> 00:05:10,240 Speaker 4: There's some real shop money on Iowa State because be 96 00:05:10,279 --> 00:05:12,200 Speaker 4: sharper money on Iowa later in the week. But the 97 00:05:12,200 --> 00:05:15,599 Speaker 4: three and as definitely tempting Snowski is just so I 98 00:05:15,640 --> 00:05:17,400 Speaker 4: can't come away last week with much confidence. 99 00:05:17,600 --> 00:05:21,440 Speaker 3: The pocket presence struggles there for him. Under threw of 100 00:05:21,520 --> 00:05:24,560 Speaker 3: all seven incompletions, under threw almost all of them. You know, 101 00:05:24,760 --> 00:05:27,000 Speaker 3: I give credit to Albany. They were consistently in diamond 102 00:05:27,040 --> 00:05:29,440 Speaker 3: nickel packages, which they weren't going to let anything get 103 00:05:29,480 --> 00:05:31,599 Speaker 3: down the field, so maybe that was kind of what 104 00:05:31,760 --> 00:05:33,920 Speaker 3: was going on too. But still Gronowski was not even 105 00:05:34,120 --> 00:05:37,640 Speaker 3: close on any of his passes. I will say this, 106 00:05:37,720 --> 00:05:40,680 Speaker 3: of fifteen passing attempts, they went to ten different targets, 107 00:05:41,040 --> 00:05:43,279 Speaker 3: so there's not an answer in this Iowa passing game 108 00:05:43,400 --> 00:05:45,559 Speaker 3: at all, and I think they're searching for it now. 109 00:05:45,839 --> 00:05:49,760 Speaker 3: Kamari Moulton, you know three rushing attempts with Albany before 110 00:05:49,760 --> 00:05:52,920 Speaker 3: he went out for injury. Enter in Xavier Williams, right, 111 00:05:52,960 --> 00:05:54,800 Speaker 3: I mean, that's the story out of the backfield, that 112 00:05:54,960 --> 00:05:57,040 Speaker 3: zone read with Gronowski. That was where the bread and 113 00:05:57,080 --> 00:05:59,080 Speaker 3: butter is going to be for Iowa, especially in this game. 114 00:05:59,120 --> 00:06:03,240 Speaker 3: Williams a hundred to card twenty two yards on eleven carries, 115 00:06:03,240 --> 00:06:05,400 Speaker 3: and he busted a forty three yarder during the game. 116 00:06:06,040 --> 00:06:09,200 Speaker 3: Twenty six outside zone plays, eighteen inside zone, so you 117 00:06:09,240 --> 00:06:12,000 Speaker 3: can expect that's what they're gonna run against Big Citrus 118 00:06:12,040 --> 00:06:16,560 Speaker 3: Don Orange. Can they stop the zone read? Kansas State 119 00:06:16,640 --> 00:06:20,680 Speaker 3: was stuffed at above average national average level, so you 120 00:06:20,680 --> 00:06:24,320 Speaker 3: would think that Iowa State could. But you mentioned Logan Jones, 121 00:06:24,360 --> 00:06:27,360 Speaker 3: Iowa center. I mean, he's heavily experienced, he's excellent in grading. 122 00:06:27,400 --> 00:06:29,120 Speaker 3: He was their center last year. He's one of the 123 00:06:29,120 --> 00:06:32,080 Speaker 3: best for Iowa. Kansas State average four point seven per 124 00:06:32,160 --> 00:06:34,320 Speaker 3: rush with Avery Johnson and Joe Jackson. I mean, was 125 00:06:34,400 --> 00:06:37,720 Speaker 3: Joe Jackson not Dylan Edwards? So how much credit are 126 00:06:37,760 --> 00:06:40,000 Speaker 3: we giving that Iowa front. It's only a six man 127 00:06:40,040 --> 00:06:43,120 Speaker 3: front running that three three to five stack Iowa State 128 00:06:43,160 --> 00:06:45,400 Speaker 3: and a short sample size against outside zone. They have 129 00:06:45,440 --> 00:06:48,120 Speaker 3: a low thirty percent success rate against outside zone, So 130 00:06:48,160 --> 00:06:51,200 Speaker 3: I think there may be a little bit of success 131 00:06:51,279 --> 00:06:54,680 Speaker 3: here between Williams and Gronowski running this outside zone outside 132 00:06:54,720 --> 00:06:57,919 Speaker 3: the tackles, maybe avoiding big citrus in the middle. And 133 00:06:58,000 --> 00:07:00,560 Speaker 3: Iowa State has misstackles issues in the lineback care area. 134 00:07:00,600 --> 00:07:02,440 Speaker 3: I know that they have a lot back from injury 135 00:07:02,440 --> 00:07:05,280 Speaker 3: with kayleb Bacon, everyone back but Cooper Bell is already 136 00:07:05,320 --> 00:07:07,680 Speaker 3: up to four missed tackles this season. I go to 137 00:07:07,680 --> 00:07:09,240 Speaker 3: the other side of the ball. Everybody knows I love 138 00:07:09,840 --> 00:07:12,720 Speaker 3: all the thirteen and fourteen and twelve that Iowa State's running. 139 00:07:13,160 --> 00:07:15,480 Speaker 3: The question is is can Iowa amp up the pressure 140 00:07:15,480 --> 00:07:18,840 Speaker 3: on rock Obec Twelve of twenty six dropbacks, he's already 141 00:07:18,880 --> 00:07:21,600 Speaker 3: had pressure, and that comes against Kansas State, that comes 142 00:07:21,600 --> 00:07:24,200 Speaker 3: against South Dakota, Like almost half of his dropbacks have 143 00:07:24,240 --> 00:07:26,560 Speaker 3: had pressure so far this year. That would make me 144 00:07:26,600 --> 00:07:29,440 Speaker 3: a little bit worried I would produce fourteen pressures against Alby. 145 00:07:29,560 --> 00:07:31,240 Speaker 3: I know it's the all being offensive line. It's all 146 00:07:31,240 --> 00:07:33,440 Speaker 3: we've got to go on so far, but mostly their 147 00:07:33,520 --> 00:07:36,320 Speaker 3: edge Max Llewell and Brian Allen, they're the ones producing 148 00:07:36,400 --> 00:07:38,600 Speaker 3: all of this pressure. It makes me a little bit 149 00:07:38,640 --> 00:07:40,960 Speaker 3: nervous for what Iso State's got outside on the tackles 150 00:07:40,960 --> 00:07:44,600 Speaker 3: Tyler Miller, James Neil. They've given up seven pressures already 151 00:07:44,640 --> 00:07:47,040 Speaker 3: this season. I think rock Obec's going to be under 152 00:07:47,040 --> 00:07:50,120 Speaker 3: a little bit of duress here. Iowa State's offense they 153 00:07:50,200 --> 00:07:54,320 Speaker 3: run twelve thirteen fourteen average success right with outside zone, 154 00:07:54,400 --> 00:07:56,160 Speaker 3: mostly a little bit of inside zone when they do 155 00:07:56,240 --> 00:07:58,720 Speaker 3: run the ball with Sama and with Hansoon. But Hanson's 156 00:07:58,720 --> 00:08:01,240 Speaker 3: just averaging two point six yards after first contact. It's 157 00:08:01,240 --> 00:08:04,760 Speaker 3: actually lower than last year. So for me, I lean 158 00:08:04,880 --> 00:08:06,760 Speaker 3: Iowa I would, I mean, I make this game one. 159 00:08:06,840 --> 00:08:08,480 Speaker 3: I would take the points here. I think I should 160 00:08:08,480 --> 00:08:09,920 Speaker 3: be scooping up three and a half right now as 161 00:08:09,920 --> 00:08:12,160 Speaker 3: you and I are recording this. So I'm in with 162 00:08:12,160 --> 00:08:14,000 Speaker 3: the Hawkeyes here. I do love Iowa State. I've loved 163 00:08:14,000 --> 00:08:15,400 Speaker 3: them all season. I said, I think they'll win the 164 00:08:15,400 --> 00:08:19,560 Speaker 3: Big twelve. But Rocko Beckerty has three fumbles. I mean 165 00:08:19,600 --> 00:08:23,200 Speaker 3: he's Iowa State is not playing clean and that Kansas 166 00:08:23,200 --> 00:08:23,600 Speaker 3: State win. 167 00:08:24,280 --> 00:08:26,840 Speaker 4: KANSASAKHU lost the homey An FCS team. Last week, Kansas 168 00:08:26,880 --> 00:08:27,679 Speaker 4: State's a good victory. 169 00:08:27,720 --> 00:08:30,360 Speaker 3: Kansas State was plus two point five yards per play 170 00:08:30,600 --> 00:08:32,920 Speaker 3: on Iowa State. How good is Iowa State? I'm not sure. 171 00:08:33,000 --> 00:08:35,000 Speaker 3: I'm a little nervous about it. I think I should 172 00:08:35,000 --> 00:08:36,600 Speaker 3: be betting three and a half right now in Iowa. 173 00:08:37,000 --> 00:08:38,240 Speaker 5: Yeah, it feels like it. 174 00:08:38,240 --> 00:08:40,559 Speaker 4: It's a game Kenowski has to bounce back, but feels 175 00:08:40,600 --> 00:08:41,520 Speaker 4: like a game that'll be close. 176 00:08:41,520 --> 00:08:42,880 Speaker 5: It's low scoring, there might be some win. 177 00:08:43,280 --> 00:08:45,319 Speaker 4: I don't think it's gonna be as bad as initially thought, 178 00:08:45,360 --> 00:08:48,360 Speaker 4: but that's worth watching, and this game should be close. 179 00:08:48,400 --> 00:08:50,320 Speaker 4: I think at three and a half, you have to 180 00:08:50,360 --> 00:08:53,000 Speaker 4: look at Iowa. All right, let's move on to our 181 00:08:53,160 --> 00:08:58,199 Speaker 4: second marquee game. The board of transparency by the way back, 182 00:08:58,800 --> 00:09:02,160 Speaker 4: head to head, I'm up one nothing after LSU Clemson. 183 00:09:03,559 --> 00:09:06,480 Speaker 4: We have one pending, which is I have Clemson not 184 00:09:06,559 --> 00:09:08,360 Speaker 4: to win the ACC. I'm feeling better about that. 185 00:09:08,600 --> 00:09:10,560 Speaker 3: Yeah. Seeing Miami, holy shit? 186 00:09:12,360 --> 00:09:17,960 Speaker 5: Do you agree? Georgia State? F you Lane Kiffin lost. 187 00:09:19,200 --> 00:09:22,760 Speaker 4: First half under got there in Notre Dame Miami, So 188 00:09:22,800 --> 00:09:26,360 Speaker 4: one in one on the agree thirty five twenty four 189 00:09:26,360 --> 00:09:30,400 Speaker 4: and one overall trash you split I'm own one eyed 190 00:09:30,440 --> 00:09:32,760 Speaker 4: Georgia State. We doubled up there with losses. But it 191 00:09:32,840 --> 00:09:35,360 Speaker 4: happens twenty one and thirteen now for me in trash. 192 00:09:35,400 --> 00:09:37,400 Speaker 4: We have a bunch more trash coming later in the show, 193 00:09:37,520 --> 00:09:38,960 Speaker 4: but I think we're having another head to head. 194 00:09:39,840 --> 00:09:46,280 Speaker 5: Here we go SMU Baylor Baylor heads to SMU. 195 00:09:46,640 --> 00:09:49,080 Speaker 3: I'm so wrong on this number. I mean, for everybody 196 00:09:49,080 --> 00:09:50,920 Speaker 3: out there, yeahs me, it was the first team I play. 197 00:09:50,920 --> 00:09:52,160 Speaker 3: I'll let you intro, but i't. 198 00:09:52,160 --> 00:09:53,840 Speaker 5: I made first bet I made was Baylor. 199 00:09:54,400 --> 00:09:56,240 Speaker 3: Why am I? Okay, go ahead and set it up. 200 00:09:56,240 --> 00:09:57,840 Speaker 3: I wont know why you and I are so wrong 201 00:09:57,920 --> 00:10:00,760 Speaker 3: on this game. Why am Why is nobody? 202 00:10:00,880 --> 00:10:02,880 Speaker 5: Why we both sare on there? You're wrong? I'm not wrong. 203 00:10:04,559 --> 00:10:07,000 Speaker 4: So yeah, I replied to you as soon as you 204 00:10:07,040 --> 00:10:09,760 Speaker 4: put in we're head to head. I took four and 205 00:10:09,800 --> 00:10:13,680 Speaker 4: a half. It is now two and a half with 206 00:10:14,080 --> 00:10:16,520 Speaker 4: total sixty three and a half. 207 00:10:18,240 --> 00:10:19,640 Speaker 5: I mean I made this like. 208 00:10:20,520 --> 00:10:24,320 Speaker 4: One and a half ish, I admitted William higher on 209 00:10:24,360 --> 00:10:26,440 Speaker 4: Baylor than the market. I'm lower than the market on 210 00:10:26,600 --> 00:10:31,280 Speaker 4: SMU Baylor. Last week they did Alcaane Auburn six point 211 00:10:31,320 --> 00:10:34,480 Speaker 4: seven to six point one. Yards for play, had more yards. 212 00:10:34,880 --> 00:10:36,679 Speaker 4: They had three turnovers on downs, two in the red zone. 213 00:10:36,679 --> 00:10:38,600 Speaker 4: They also give a kick return for a touchdown. They 214 00:10:38,600 --> 00:10:41,079 Speaker 4: had a fifty yard run called back for a BS hold, 215 00:10:41,400 --> 00:10:45,640 Speaker 4: nine penalties. Their offense cooked cooked that Auburn defense. And 216 00:10:45,640 --> 00:10:47,200 Speaker 4: I don't think this SMU defense is as good as 217 00:10:47,200 --> 00:10:49,000 Speaker 4: the Auburn defense. They lost a lot of talent. Safeties 218 00:10:49,000 --> 00:10:51,640 Speaker 4: are really good. Defensive line of some juice, but corner 219 00:10:51,760 --> 00:10:54,640 Speaker 4: linebacker there's some questions. And by the way, speaking of linebacker, 220 00:10:54,800 --> 00:10:57,240 Speaker 4: they're probably gonna be without one of the best linebackers 221 00:10:57,280 --> 00:10:59,200 Speaker 4: in Kilgore, who got hurt last week. And they're probably 222 00:10:59,200 --> 00:11:02,480 Speaker 4: gonna be without one of their starting wide receivers. The 223 00:11:02,520 --> 00:11:05,079 Speaker 4: SMU last week it looked bad. Everyone talking about Bail 224 00:11:05,160 --> 00:11:08,240 Speaker 4: losing to Auburn. I love what I saw from the offense. 225 00:11:08,360 --> 00:11:11,240 Speaker 4: SMU was ugly and sloppy. They couldn't run the ball 226 00:11:11,800 --> 00:11:13,720 Speaker 4: versus East Texas A and M. They had two defensive 227 00:11:13,720 --> 00:11:16,880 Speaker 4: touchdowns in that game, and they lost two key starters. 228 00:11:17,480 --> 00:11:19,440 Speaker 4: What happened? So what happened to Bail last week? Well, 229 00:11:20,480 --> 00:11:22,920 Speaker 4: random who talked about defending the run and stopping the run, 230 00:11:23,080 --> 00:11:24,839 Speaker 4: Hey make jacksonall beat. You didn't do that he was 231 00:11:24,840 --> 00:11:26,600 Speaker 4: worried about his secondary. By the way, the secondary. We'll 232 00:11:26,600 --> 00:11:28,880 Speaker 4: get a key piece back in Williams this week. And 233 00:11:28,920 --> 00:11:31,160 Speaker 4: then he never adjusted and Auburn ran for over three 234 00:11:31,200 --> 00:11:34,760 Speaker 4: hundred yards. One of the most underrated things that happened 235 00:11:34,800 --> 00:11:36,840 Speaker 4: in that game, or at least talked about, I should say, 236 00:11:37,040 --> 00:11:39,760 Speaker 4: is Jackie Marshall got hurt. He's their best run defender 237 00:11:39,760 --> 00:11:41,720 Speaker 4: by far. He went out in the first quarter. They 238 00:11:41,760 --> 00:11:44,720 Speaker 4: already lost another interior defender to the NFL. They lost 239 00:11:44,720 --> 00:11:46,520 Speaker 4: one in late in the spring portal, and one of 240 00:11:46,559 --> 00:11:48,960 Speaker 4: the other guys was banged up, so you had a 241 00:11:49,040 --> 00:11:50,800 Speaker 4: help there a Rand. I don't know what he was 242 00:11:50,800 --> 00:11:53,720 Speaker 4: doing adjustment wise. We'll see if Marshall goes this week. 243 00:11:53,840 --> 00:11:56,920 Speaker 4: I'm not sure. It's up in the air, but I 244 00:11:56,960 --> 00:11:59,760 Speaker 4: expect a more diverse game plan this week. Number One, 245 00:12:00,400 --> 00:12:04,319 Speaker 4: the SMU receivers are not the Auburn receivers. The SMU 246 00:12:04,600 --> 00:12:07,160 Speaker 4: running game. You know, Kevin Jennings can run, but he's 247 00:12:07,160 --> 00:12:09,400 Speaker 4: not Jacksonrnal. You don't have to worry as much about 248 00:12:09,400 --> 00:12:15,040 Speaker 4: this rushing attack. And I think Baylor is the better team. 249 00:12:16,120 --> 00:12:18,880 Speaker 4: I'm super low on this SMU team. I think we'll 250 00:12:18,880 --> 00:12:21,280 Speaker 4: see more of the transfer nose tackles this week from 251 00:12:21,520 --> 00:12:23,680 Speaker 4: who only played at combined twenty five snaps for Baylor 252 00:12:23,760 --> 00:12:28,800 Speaker 4: last week. I what it comes down to to me, Baylor. 253 00:12:30,000 --> 00:12:34,200 Speaker 4: I trust their offense much more than SMU's offense right now, 254 00:12:35,160 --> 00:12:38,120 Speaker 4: and against two defenses that I have questions about. I 255 00:12:38,200 --> 00:12:39,360 Speaker 4: think Baylor wins this game. 256 00:12:40,200 --> 00:12:44,280 Speaker 3: Sick them seeing the ball completely different from you, Joe 257 00:12:44,280 --> 00:12:48,560 Speaker 3: blow three letter tout services. Everybody in the world, not 258 00:12:48,679 --> 00:12:50,720 Speaker 3: a single person has an SMU bet except for me. 259 00:12:50,800 --> 00:12:52,600 Speaker 3: And I've got a bad number and I doubleed dipped 260 00:12:52,600 --> 00:12:55,000 Speaker 3: on the money line back on, what do you want 261 00:12:55,000 --> 00:12:57,360 Speaker 3: to do? A two and a half across the board? 262 00:12:57,360 --> 00:12:58,600 Speaker 3: You just want to put it up there. 263 00:12:58,559 --> 00:12:59,040 Speaker 5: We'll put it. 264 00:12:59,480 --> 00:13:02,600 Speaker 4: We'll put it at three maybe since I took four 265 00:13:02,600 --> 00:13:05,000 Speaker 4: and a half and you're taking money line. 266 00:13:05,120 --> 00:13:06,560 Speaker 3: Wait, I don't think we did a whole number. It's 267 00:13:06,559 --> 00:13:07,760 Speaker 3: two and a half across the board. There's not a 268 00:13:07,800 --> 00:13:08,400 Speaker 3: three out there. 269 00:13:08,520 --> 00:13:10,280 Speaker 5: Whatever, I'll take two and a half. Balo was winning 270 00:13:10,280 --> 00:13:10,720 Speaker 5: out right. 271 00:13:10,960 --> 00:13:13,439 Speaker 3: The over I also fired on. It's come back down 272 00:13:13,440 --> 00:13:15,439 Speaker 3: a little bit, but it gets over sixty two the 273 00:13:15,480 --> 00:13:17,520 Speaker 3: next key number of sixty five. We'll see where this goes. 274 00:13:17,600 --> 00:13:20,840 Speaker 3: Both teams much faster last week than the versions that 275 00:13:20,880 --> 00:13:23,200 Speaker 3: they were in twenty twenty four. SMU went twenty seconds 276 00:13:23,240 --> 00:13:25,760 Speaker 3: per play. Baylor was a twenty two seconds per play. 277 00:13:26,120 --> 00:13:27,880 Speaker 3: Could have been conducive to the games that they were in, 278 00:13:28,000 --> 00:13:30,240 Speaker 3: especially with Baylor trailing and trying to catch up. I 279 00:13:30,320 --> 00:13:33,320 Speaker 3: understand that, but still they were both faster than what 280 00:13:33,400 --> 00:13:36,200 Speaker 3: they were last year. So that's why I think the 281 00:13:36,280 --> 00:13:39,600 Speaker 3: tempo maybe a little bit increased here. The SMU offense 282 00:13:39,600 --> 00:13:41,440 Speaker 3: five point three yards per play in thirty one rushing 283 00:13:41,440 --> 00:13:44,200 Speaker 3: attempts against East Texas A and M. I understand it's 284 00:13:44,280 --> 00:13:46,320 Speaker 3: East Texas A and M or Commerce whatever it is 285 00:13:46,320 --> 00:13:49,240 Speaker 3: they were called. But the Mustangs ran over right guard. 286 00:13:49,320 --> 00:13:52,240 Speaker 3: Here's what I'm focusing on. Why did Baylor get their 287 00:13:52,240 --> 00:13:55,000 Speaker 3: ass kicked? Because Jackson Arnold tucked the ball and ran 288 00:13:55,080 --> 00:13:57,839 Speaker 3: over right guard. Once they made that decision, the game 289 00:13:57,960 --> 00:14:03,000 Speaker 3: was over. Over. The Baylor interior defense was horrific. It's 290 00:14:03,040 --> 00:14:05,800 Speaker 3: like there was nobody there. They should have charged a toll, 291 00:14:05,880 --> 00:14:08,520 Speaker 3: They should have asked for a dollar because Jackson Arnold 292 00:14:08,600 --> 00:14:10,800 Speaker 3: just ran right through there like there was no one there. 293 00:14:11,200 --> 00:14:14,200 Speaker 3: So that's what's gonna happen. Baylor missed twenty one tackles 294 00:14:14,200 --> 00:14:16,760 Speaker 3: against Auburn. I mean I expect Simu to go straight 295 00:14:16,840 --> 00:14:18,119 Speaker 3: up the gut with no resistance. 296 00:14:18,440 --> 00:14:19,960 Speaker 5: Baylor's the better team in my eyes. 297 00:14:21,200 --> 00:14:28,120 Speaker 6: Very no good guy, very no bad guy goad. 298 00:14:29,080 --> 00:14:33,800 Speaker 3: We just disagreed, all right, Sawyer Robertson twenty seven to 299 00:14:33,840 --> 00:14:35,920 Speaker 3: forty eight. I've never been a big fan more mistakes 300 00:14:35,920 --> 00:14:38,600 Speaker 3: than big time throws. He had fifteen pressures in the game. 301 00:14:38,640 --> 00:14:40,720 Speaker 3: I get it. You could say that's Auburn's defense. He 302 00:14:40,760 --> 00:14:43,360 Speaker 3: had three drops. I get it. You could say first 303 00:14:43,400 --> 00:14:46,720 Speaker 3: game jitters Baylor's running backs. This is the stat that 304 00:14:46,760 --> 00:14:49,680 Speaker 3: I love Bryce and Washington Caden knighton. They have almost 305 00:14:49,760 --> 00:14:53,000 Speaker 3: the same number of yards after first contact as they 306 00:14:53,040 --> 00:14:55,880 Speaker 3: do average per carry. What does that mean? They were 307 00:14:55,880 --> 00:14:58,600 Speaker 3: touched in the backfield all day? The offensive line did nothing. 308 00:14:58,920 --> 00:15:01,440 Speaker 3: Baylor's offensive line did nothing. You can say it's Auburn's 309 00:15:01,440 --> 00:15:03,640 Speaker 3: defensive line. You can say that they're. 310 00:15:03,200 --> 00:15:05,240 Speaker 5: Still average seven yards per play for the game. 311 00:15:06,040 --> 00:15:09,720 Speaker 3: Did anybody else watch Auburn just destroy the Baylor interior 312 00:15:09,800 --> 00:15:10,880 Speaker 3: up the gap between the hashes. 313 00:15:10,960 --> 00:15:13,360 Speaker 4: All right, well we disagree. It's on the board. Sick 314 00:15:13,400 --> 00:15:17,360 Speaker 4: of them. Let's talk some sec Kentucky. In my backyard. 315 00:15:17,800 --> 00:15:21,280 Speaker 4: We'll host Ole Miss. Line down to nine and a half, 316 00:15:21,400 --> 00:15:25,480 Speaker 4: total down to fifty and a half. You can't be 317 00:15:25,520 --> 00:15:27,840 Speaker 4: that confident in the Kentucky offense or Zach calls outa 318 00:15:27,880 --> 00:15:30,760 Speaker 4: specifically last after last week he went ten to twenty 319 00:15:30,760 --> 00:15:33,640 Speaker 4: three for eighty five yards, no touchdowns. In the interception 320 00:15:33,760 --> 00:15:36,240 Speaker 4: three point seven yards per attempt. The wide receivers had 321 00:15:36,280 --> 00:15:37,040 Speaker 4: four catches. 322 00:15:37,360 --> 00:15:38,160 Speaker 3: Are you kidding me? 323 00:15:38,360 --> 00:15:38,920 Speaker 6: Who kids this? 324 00:15:39,640 --> 00:15:41,880 Speaker 4: We have Zach cal that up. 325 00:15:42,600 --> 00:15:44,840 Speaker 5: Yeah, they did have a seventy nine yard run. You 326 00:15:44,880 --> 00:15:45,280 Speaker 5: remove that. 327 00:15:45,400 --> 00:15:47,320 Speaker 4: It was three point four to three yards per carry 328 00:15:47,760 --> 00:15:50,600 Speaker 4: the offense, it was not ugly. Ole Miss did what 329 00:15:50,640 --> 00:15:53,240 Speaker 4: they do against all these little sisters of the poor, 330 00:15:53,280 --> 00:15:55,440 Speaker 4: and they ran it up and celebrated on the sidelines 331 00:15:55,480 --> 00:16:00,239 Speaker 4: like it was meaningful. So here's the question. Can Kentucky 332 00:16:00,400 --> 00:16:04,040 Speaker 4: keep up? Is their offense gonna get them anything? And 333 00:16:04,480 --> 00:16:06,120 Speaker 4: we know that what the defense is gonna do. This 334 00:16:06,160 --> 00:16:08,240 Speaker 4: is reveng from last year. UK went into Ole Mess 335 00:16:08,280 --> 00:16:10,360 Speaker 4: after they got done beating little sisters of the poor 336 00:16:10,440 --> 00:16:14,280 Speaker 4: and beat them, as you know, near three touchdown underdogs. 337 00:16:14,480 --> 00:16:17,680 Speaker 4: They're gonna want to take away the exposive play and 338 00:16:17,680 --> 00:16:20,440 Speaker 4: they're gonna want to shorten this game, which makes sense 339 00:16:20,440 --> 00:16:23,160 Speaker 4: why this total has come down. That's the way that 340 00:16:23,200 --> 00:16:24,840 Speaker 4: I would look at you, Cavin you go last year, 341 00:16:25,000 --> 00:16:26,960 Speaker 4: UK is taking the play clock all the way down. 342 00:16:27,000 --> 00:16:29,000 Speaker 4: They're going to try to prevent any exposive plays, make 343 00:16:29,040 --> 00:16:32,400 Speaker 4: Ole miss drive the field, which is still inexperienced quarterback 344 00:16:34,920 --> 00:16:37,640 Speaker 4: at this line keeps going back and forth. I have 345 00:16:37,680 --> 00:16:41,040 Speaker 4: a sneaky suspicion that Kentucky keeps us a game, but 346 00:16:41,080 --> 00:16:42,280 Speaker 4: I don't know how much confidence I hapen. 347 00:16:42,360 --> 00:16:45,280 Speaker 5: Zach Calzada, right, what are your thoughts here? 348 00:16:46,280 --> 00:16:49,840 Speaker 3: I bet Kentucky and I don't feel proud about it, 349 00:16:49,880 --> 00:16:54,600 Speaker 3: but I mean I can look almost obliterated Georgia State. 350 00:16:55,080 --> 00:16:57,600 Speaker 3: I mean half their drive once, half of their drives 351 00:16:57,760 --> 00:17:00,000 Speaker 3: average more than ten yards per play. It's not even 352 00:17:00,040 --> 00:17:02,640 Speaker 3: worth discussing except for the fact that Austin Simmons had 353 00:17:02,680 --> 00:17:04,520 Speaker 3: three turnover worthy plays and a fumble. 354 00:17:05,320 --> 00:17:05,520 Speaker 5: Ah. 355 00:17:05,960 --> 00:17:08,919 Speaker 3: He was extremely sloppy in that game. Twenty thirty one 356 00:17:09,040 --> 00:17:12,040 Speaker 3: had three drops. Penn State transfer Harrison Walls the third 357 00:17:12,119 --> 00:17:14,040 Speaker 3: definitely the target that he loves the most out of 358 00:17:14,080 --> 00:17:16,160 Speaker 3: everybody else. He had nine targets one hundred and thirty 359 00:17:16,240 --> 00:17:17,320 Speaker 3: yards on five catches. 360 00:17:17,560 --> 00:17:19,200 Speaker 5: It's not a good look for true Aller by the way, 361 00:17:19,200 --> 00:17:20,000 Speaker 5: while it's going. 362 00:17:19,800 --> 00:17:24,960 Speaker 3: There and no, no, I mean running back Kwan Lacy. 363 00:17:25,560 --> 00:17:29,240 Speaker 3: He forced thirteen miss tackles on sixteen rushing attempts. I 364 00:17:29,280 --> 00:17:31,280 Speaker 3: mean that really, to me is more about how bad 365 00:17:31,320 --> 00:17:34,000 Speaker 3: the Georgia State defense is. I mean, I remember, that's 366 00:17:34,040 --> 00:17:34,920 Speaker 3: a hell of a ratio. 367 00:17:35,119 --> 00:17:37,480 Speaker 4: It did look more juice almost backfield, which was a problem. 368 00:17:37,600 --> 00:17:39,040 Speaker 4: Sure it does look like it has more juice, but 369 00:17:39,560 --> 00:17:42,280 Speaker 4: again it is Georgia State. The rundy was concerning for 370 00:17:42,320 --> 00:17:44,840 Speaker 4: all mess at times like That's where Kentucky has to 371 00:17:44,840 --> 00:17:46,240 Speaker 4: make That's what we're going to try to do. Run 372 00:17:46,280 --> 00:17:49,919 Speaker 4: the ball short in the game, prevent the explosive I. 373 00:17:51,040 --> 00:17:53,560 Speaker 3: Have confidence in Kentucky because of what they did against 374 00:17:53,560 --> 00:17:56,680 Speaker 3: Toledo's twenty six rushing attempts. They stuffed nearly half of them. 375 00:17:57,200 --> 00:17:59,359 Speaker 3: The Rockets averaged three point one yards per play on 376 00:17:59,440 --> 00:18:04,320 Speaker 3: rushing attempt thirteen possessions for the Rockets, well below the 377 00:18:04,320 --> 00:18:06,320 Speaker 3: two plus first down rate that they should have had. 378 00:18:06,600 --> 00:18:08,800 Speaker 3: Explosive drive rate, I think they only pulled off one. 379 00:18:09,920 --> 00:18:12,960 Speaker 3: I'm not saying Toledo is the exact of Ole Miss Guys. 380 00:18:13,000 --> 00:18:15,720 Speaker 3: I know we have really short samples here. But the 381 00:18:15,760 --> 00:18:18,160 Speaker 3: Kentucky defense did what I would want them to do. 382 00:18:19,040 --> 00:18:21,040 Speaker 3: I have nothing to say about the Kentucky offense. I 383 00:18:21,119 --> 00:18:23,440 Speaker 3: mean yards per play less than Toledo. The offense produced 384 00:18:23,440 --> 00:18:26,200 Speaker 3: four point six yards per play Calzada, no tds or 385 00:18:26,240 --> 00:18:30,359 Speaker 3: big time throws. I mean neither of the running backs 386 00:18:30,400 --> 00:18:33,119 Speaker 3: higher than two point four yards after first contact a 387 00:18:33,160 --> 00:18:35,720 Speaker 3: seventy nine yard bust by Doubtle. But I mean other 388 00:18:35,800 --> 00:18:38,520 Speaker 3: than that, thirteen carries for fifty yards. It's just nothing 389 00:18:38,560 --> 00:18:42,000 Speaker 3: glamorous about the Kentucky offense. But tell me why this 390 00:18:42,119 --> 00:18:44,520 Speaker 3: line isn't higher. I mean, like the market is like 391 00:18:44,600 --> 00:18:48,159 Speaker 3: screaming to me, like what if you look at all 392 00:18:48,240 --> 00:18:50,680 Speaker 3: miss offense on the road right, And here's another reason 393 00:18:50,720 --> 00:18:52,119 Speaker 3: I make this ten and a half. So I've been 394 00:18:52,160 --> 00:18:53,640 Speaker 3: staring at the ten all week, like am I gonna 395 00:18:53,680 --> 00:18:54,679 Speaker 3: do it? I'm gonna do it. I'm gonna do it. 396 00:18:54,760 --> 00:18:55,760 Speaker 3: You go look at all the miss. 397 00:18:55,600 --> 00:18:56,480 Speaker 5: On the eight and a half. 398 00:18:56,560 --> 00:18:59,680 Speaker 4: So at ten, I like my numbers say like a 399 00:18:59,720 --> 00:19:02,879 Speaker 4: tuck just still. This is probably like Kentucky and the 400 00:19:02,960 --> 00:19:06,600 Speaker 4: under are probably correlated. I might parlay the under in 401 00:19:06,760 --> 00:19:10,200 Speaker 4: Kentucky with the points because if they're able to play 402 00:19:10,280 --> 00:19:11,960 Speaker 4: keep away, run the ball, and you won't miss. 403 00:19:12,000 --> 00:19:14,040 Speaker 5: Offensive line still has some questions, and they're able. 404 00:19:13,800 --> 00:19:17,439 Speaker 4: To prevent the explosive, shorten the game, get some sacks. 405 00:19:17,440 --> 00:19:20,400 Speaker 5: Maybe for it's a turnover two. This game could be interesting. 406 00:19:20,520 --> 00:19:23,440 Speaker 3: Well, here's what made the Here's what made the decision 407 00:19:23,480 --> 00:19:26,359 Speaker 3: for me, right old miss offense on the road. These 408 00:19:26,359 --> 00:19:29,120 Speaker 3: are games from the last two years. Seventeen points at Florida, 409 00:19:29,359 --> 00:19:32,520 Speaker 3: twenty six points at LSU, twenty seven points in South Carolina, 410 00:19:32,880 --> 00:19:35,040 Speaker 3: seventeen on the road, and the twenty twenty three Egg 411 00:19:35,080 --> 00:19:38,360 Speaker 3: Bowl to be under a machine on the road, seventeen 412 00:19:38,400 --> 00:19:40,560 Speaker 3: in Georgia, ten at Alabama in twenty twenty three. But 413 00:19:40,760 --> 00:19:41,680 Speaker 3: I'm taking Kentucky. 414 00:19:41,960 --> 00:19:43,320 Speaker 4: I think a ten of better at place Kentucky. I 415 00:19:43,320 --> 00:19:45,359 Speaker 4: think I'm gonna be parlay in Kentucky in the under, 416 00:19:45,840 --> 00:19:48,960 Speaker 4: it's a clear path for k if Kentucky gets behind 417 00:19:49,359 --> 00:19:51,439 Speaker 4: and they have to start throwing with Calsada. What I 418 00:19:51,440 --> 00:19:55,120 Speaker 4: said last week, all right, let's move on to Michigan 419 00:19:55,160 --> 00:19:56,520 Speaker 4: at Oklahoma. 420 00:19:56,680 --> 00:19:58,280 Speaker 3: Obama sooner then I'm a sooner. 421 00:19:58,320 --> 00:20:00,840 Speaker 2: I'm not sooner when it's convenient, if that means sending 422 00:20:00,920 --> 00:20:01,800 Speaker 2: in five dollars. 423 00:20:02,040 --> 00:20:03,440 Speaker 5: Okay, it all matters. 424 00:20:03,640 --> 00:20:06,720 Speaker 4: This is probably the game I'm looking forward to watching 425 00:20:06,720 --> 00:20:10,360 Speaker 4: the most, just to find out more about both offensive operations, 426 00:20:10,400 --> 00:20:15,040 Speaker 4: specifically at quarterback with John Mattier Bryce Underwood. Oklahoma took 427 00:20:15,119 --> 00:20:18,960 Speaker 4: some early money. They are out to a four and 428 00:20:19,000 --> 00:20:21,880 Speaker 4: a half five and a half point favorite totals coming 429 00:20:22,000 --> 00:20:25,240 Speaker 4: way down on forty five and a half fleet and 430 00:20:25,320 --> 00:20:27,879 Speaker 4: some forty four and a half's out there. So what 431 00:20:27,920 --> 00:20:30,440 Speaker 4: do we see last week? I mean, Oklahoma played Illinois State. 432 00:20:31,119 --> 00:20:34,520 Speaker 4: Mitier put up gaudy numbers, but there were some throws 433 00:20:34,560 --> 00:20:36,000 Speaker 4: that he missed at times. 434 00:20:36,520 --> 00:20:36,680 Speaker 3: Yeah. 435 00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:38,720 Speaker 4: They also only ran more concerned things. They ran the 436 00:20:38,720 --> 00:20:40,800 Speaker 4: about thirty two times for one hundred and three yards. 437 00:20:41,000 --> 00:20:43,240 Speaker 5: Yeah, that's not good. And they have two true freshmen 438 00:20:43,280 --> 00:20:44,320 Speaker 5: on the offensive line. 439 00:20:44,720 --> 00:20:48,080 Speaker 2: Everyone, everyone, everybody, everybody. 440 00:20:48,400 --> 00:20:49,280 Speaker 5: We'd better bring it. 441 00:20:49,640 --> 00:20:51,600 Speaker 3: Okay, bring your mouthpiece. 442 00:20:52,160 --> 00:20:53,600 Speaker 5: I think we'll be able to run the ball against Michigan. 443 00:20:53,640 --> 00:20:53,919 Speaker 3: I don't know. 444 00:20:53,920 --> 00:20:56,400 Speaker 4: Michigan's defensive line definitely isn't as good as last year 445 00:20:56,520 --> 00:20:58,440 Speaker 4: bar Ham. Their star linebacker is gonna suspended for the 446 00:20:58,480 --> 00:21:01,480 Speaker 4: first half. He's important in the past, USh I expect, 447 00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:03,679 Speaker 4: So I still want to see what Matier can do 448 00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:09,200 Speaker 4: against powerful competition. Last year against Washington Boise in Texas Tech. 449 00:21:09,480 --> 00:21:10,760 Speaker 4: This is a step up by the way, boys, he 450 00:21:10,760 --> 00:21:12,680 Speaker 4: had eight sacks. By the way, they blitzed a lot 451 00:21:12,720 --> 00:21:14,919 Speaker 4: and they had some success doing it. He only had 452 00:21:14,960 --> 00:21:16,720 Speaker 4: two big time throws four turn of worth he plays 453 00:21:16,720 --> 00:21:19,159 Speaker 4: in those three games, he was sacked ten times. He 454 00:21:19,200 --> 00:21:21,399 Speaker 4: had trouble at times processing the blitz and getting it 455 00:21:21,440 --> 00:21:24,360 Speaker 4: out to his hot. So they're playing with Martindale. If 456 00:21:24,359 --> 00:21:26,399 Speaker 4: Oklahoma can't run the ball, I mean, they couldn't run 457 00:21:26,440 --> 00:21:28,640 Speaker 4: the ball int Illinois State. But maybe they were just going 458 00:21:28,680 --> 00:21:30,440 Speaker 4: super vinyl. That's you never know that, Like they're not 459 00:21:30,520 --> 00:21:32,560 Speaker 4: running counters and traps. Everything was just like, hey, run 460 00:21:32,600 --> 00:21:34,920 Speaker 4: it straight ahead. So maybe that's part of it. But 461 00:21:35,440 --> 00:21:37,520 Speaker 4: I got to go based on what I saw, and 462 00:21:37,560 --> 00:21:39,360 Speaker 4: now this is a huge step up in competition. That's 463 00:21:39,359 --> 00:21:41,879 Speaker 4: gonna put them in passing downs with mytear. Expect the 464 00:21:41,920 --> 00:21:45,520 Speaker 4: heavy blitz. How does Matear process that and handle the blitz? 465 00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:48,120 Speaker 4: They'll miss Barham in that area in the first half 466 00:21:48,160 --> 00:21:51,480 Speaker 4: for what it's worth. So we'll see what mctear's got. 467 00:21:52,440 --> 00:21:54,760 Speaker 4: And on the other side, I really love what I 468 00:21:54,800 --> 00:21:56,399 Speaker 4: saw from Underwood. I mean just look at a guy 469 00:21:56,480 --> 00:21:58,600 Speaker 4: and like, all right, this kid's gonna be a guy. 470 00:21:58,800 --> 00:22:02,760 Speaker 4: It's got all the tools. Obviously highly talbot. The problem 471 00:22:02,840 --> 00:22:07,959 Speaker 4: is his offensive line wide receivers still leave a lot 472 00:22:08,000 --> 00:22:10,960 Speaker 4: to be desired. Michigan's still not there as far as 473 00:22:11,000 --> 00:22:13,840 Speaker 4: like having a top five offensive line. Top five. They're 474 00:22:13,840 --> 00:22:17,440 Speaker 4: getting there. They're recruiting very well, so is Michigan. They're 475 00:22:17,480 --> 00:22:21,159 Speaker 4: good back, good back, good backfield. But it is Michigan 476 00:22:21,240 --> 00:22:23,520 Speaker 4: be able to move the ball on the road against 477 00:22:23,560 --> 00:22:27,960 Speaker 4: this really good Oklahoma defense with a true freshman making 478 00:22:28,080 --> 00:22:29,480 Speaker 4: his first road start. And by the way, what do 479 00:22:29,520 --> 00:22:32,520 Speaker 4: we see last week? What I Dame, brand new starter 480 00:22:32,840 --> 00:22:38,240 Speaker 4: on the road lost to Miami, his favorites Alabama Ty 481 00:22:38,320 --> 00:22:40,520 Speaker 4: Simpson making his first start lost in the road. We 482 00:22:40,560 --> 00:22:44,240 Speaker 4: saw it across the sport with the experienced quarterback having 483 00:22:44,240 --> 00:22:47,720 Speaker 4: the edge. It's a tough spot for the kid. So 484 00:22:47,840 --> 00:22:50,439 Speaker 4: obviously under makes sense to me after I just spilled 485 00:22:50,440 --> 00:22:53,800 Speaker 4: out the whole game that's come down. A bunch who's 486 00:22:53,840 --> 00:22:55,760 Speaker 4: going to make a mistake probably goes a long way 487 00:22:55,760 --> 00:22:58,000 Speaker 4: and determined this. But like the Blitz versus material, how 488 00:22:58,040 --> 00:23:02,119 Speaker 4: he handles it, and then what is Michigan going to 489 00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:05,960 Speaker 4: do to move the ball against this really good Oklahoma defense. 490 00:23:06,119 --> 00:23:08,040 Speaker 4: So undermakes sense here? What are you saying? 491 00:23:08,800 --> 00:23:11,280 Speaker 3: Yeah, I've already fired on the first half Under that 492 00:23:11,359 --> 00:23:13,720 Speaker 3: number continues to go down. I would say the next 493 00:23:13,760 --> 00:23:15,840 Speaker 3: key is obviously twenty one, twenty one and a half. 494 00:23:15,880 --> 00:23:19,840 Speaker 3: But a lot of the things you said I echo 495 00:23:19,920 --> 00:23:22,119 Speaker 3: because that's what went into it. So oh, you averaged 496 00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:24,280 Speaker 3: three point five yards per play on thirty one runs 497 00:23:24,280 --> 00:23:27,160 Speaker 3: against Illinois State. They were stuffed above the national average. 498 00:23:27,200 --> 00:23:29,879 Speaker 3: They were stuffed thirty two percent. That against Illinois State. 499 00:23:30,720 --> 00:23:36,119 Speaker 3: Huh On twenty three rushing attempts, Tory Blaylock, Xavier Robinson, 500 00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:41,680 Speaker 3: Gavante Barnes, a trio just forced three misstackles. What against 501 00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:45,240 Speaker 3: Illinois State? Now, Matier pulled twenty yards on a scramble, 502 00:23:45,320 --> 00:23:47,800 Speaker 3: but he had just eight yards on three designed runs. 503 00:23:47,840 --> 00:23:50,280 Speaker 3: That is not the John Materia that I was piping 504 00:23:50,280 --> 00:23:53,760 Speaker 3: about all summer. Michigan defense stuffed eleven of twenty five 505 00:23:53,800 --> 00:23:57,120 Speaker 3: New Mexico runs expected. They limited three yards for play expected. 506 00:23:57,920 --> 00:24:02,080 Speaker 3: Michigan executed nine tackles for lostgainst the Lobos. So again, 507 00:24:02,160 --> 00:24:06,280 Speaker 3: I don't think the ou rush is going to be 508 00:24:06,320 --> 00:24:08,840 Speaker 3: there against this Michigan defense. Now it's a little bit 509 00:24:08,840 --> 00:24:11,000 Speaker 3: different with the passing game. I mean, there was some 510 00:24:11,040 --> 00:24:14,840 Speaker 3: success there, but I trust that Michigan's secondary is going 511 00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:17,200 Speaker 3: to be a little bit better. Passing game was electric 512 00:24:17,760 --> 00:24:21,600 Speaker 3: Southern Illinois whiteout. Keantes Lewis had two tds, nine catches 513 00:24:21,640 --> 00:24:24,000 Speaker 3: on ten targets. That obviously is the guy. Deon Burks 514 00:24:24,040 --> 00:24:26,640 Speaker 3: is still there. Seven catches of td and two point 515 00:24:26,680 --> 00:24:29,679 Speaker 3: four yards per out run the Michigan offense, though, I 516 00:24:29,680 --> 00:24:31,480 Speaker 3: think this is where we're at good on good right, 517 00:24:31,520 --> 00:24:33,720 Speaker 3: because I saw Bryce Underwood running that zone. Read, I 518 00:24:33,720 --> 00:24:36,439 Speaker 3: saw him throwing blocks. I saw him playing like a 519 00:24:36,560 --> 00:24:39,200 Speaker 3: way above what a fresh a true freshman should be playing. 520 00:24:39,600 --> 00:24:41,359 Speaker 3: He is going to be good. But you mentioned it. 521 00:24:41,400 --> 00:24:42,800 Speaker 3: What are these freshmen go from. 522 00:24:43,200 --> 00:24:46,520 Speaker 5: Home to helam on the road? All right, speak economy. 523 00:24:46,640 --> 00:24:49,679 Speaker 3: That's a hostile environment, right, That ain't a neutral site? 524 00:24:49,720 --> 00:24:52,760 Speaker 3: That ain't you know, Purdue, This is a hostile environment. 525 00:24:53,000 --> 00:24:54,879 Speaker 3: They're going to run a lot of inside zone. What 526 00:24:55,000 --> 00:24:57,680 Speaker 3: is ou defended at a very high level inside zone. 527 00:24:57,760 --> 00:25:00,240 Speaker 3: That's they shut down Illinois State's inside zone. Go and 528 00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:02,560 Speaker 3: look at last year's numbers. This defense shuts down inside 529 00:25:02,600 --> 00:25:04,960 Speaker 3: zut So Bryce Underwood was twenty one to thirty one, 530 00:25:05,000 --> 00:25:08,960 Speaker 3: passing four drops for pressures two sacks. I'd say the 531 00:25:09,000 --> 00:25:12,400 Speaker 3: offensive line still has some tweaking to do and protecting 532 00:25:12,440 --> 00:25:15,520 Speaker 3: him and passing downs. That's gonna come into play here. 533 00:25:16,280 --> 00:25:19,640 Speaker 3: Justice Haynes five point eight yards after first contact. I 534 00:25:19,720 --> 00:25:24,480 Speaker 3: know it's New Mexico's defense. Three tds, a couple of explosives. 535 00:25:26,200 --> 00:25:28,040 Speaker 3: I make the game six. So I don't really have 536 00:25:28,080 --> 00:25:30,199 Speaker 3: a feeling on the side. I just think in the 537 00:25:30,200 --> 00:25:33,320 Speaker 3: first half Under, if Bryce Underwood is gonna have these fireworks, 538 00:25:33,520 --> 00:25:35,720 Speaker 3: if he's going to show everything that he's been made 539 00:25:35,720 --> 00:25:38,600 Speaker 3: out to be, which I think he will someday, then 540 00:25:38,640 --> 00:25:40,160 Speaker 3: I think that's going to come in the second half. 541 00:25:42,200 --> 00:25:43,920 Speaker 3: I'm just not taking a freshman. I couldn't bet on 542 00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:45,399 Speaker 3: a freshman in his first road game. And at the 543 00:25:45,440 --> 00:25:48,359 Speaker 3: same time, I'm seeing way too much with Materir to 544 00:25:48,440 --> 00:25:50,480 Speaker 3: go up against a good defense and run inside zone. 545 00:25:50,480 --> 00:25:51,840 Speaker 3: It's going to come down to his arm IFO he 546 00:25:51,840 --> 00:25:54,000 Speaker 3: wants to win this, but under first half Under for. 547 00:25:54,000 --> 00:25:56,960 Speaker 4: Me, yeah, I make it four point seven. I agree 548 00:25:56,960 --> 00:26:00,119 Speaker 4: with the Oklahoma move early. Can't get there now, got 549 00:26:00,240 --> 00:26:02,000 Speaker 4: to get I gotta start that even earlier, like try 550 00:26:02,040 --> 00:26:02,720 Speaker 4: to find ways to go. 551 00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:05,159 Speaker 3: One book at two and a half, one book at 552 00:26:05,200 --> 00:26:06,600 Speaker 3: two and a half. I went to go grab it. 553 00:26:06,680 --> 00:26:08,560 Speaker 3: Called somebody, I said, you're in the state. That's two 554 00:26:08,560 --> 00:26:11,320 Speaker 3: and a half. It was four everywhere. I was like, stop, 555 00:26:11,680 --> 00:26:15,160 Speaker 3: all right, let's move on to the border war. Kansas 556 00:26:15,880 --> 00:26:20,480 Speaker 3: at Missouri renew their rivalry. They haven't played. Kansas said 557 00:26:20,520 --> 00:26:22,720 Speaker 3: no thanks anymore. I think what back in twenty eleven. 558 00:26:22,800 --> 00:26:25,760 Speaker 3: I'll never forget that two thousand and seven classic game. 559 00:26:26,320 --> 00:26:29,400 Speaker 2: The roots of this rivalry date back to the eighteen fifties, 560 00:26:30,080 --> 00:26:35,680 Speaker 2: when the Kansas Missouri border divided north from south. Time 561 00:26:35,760 --> 00:26:38,880 Speaker 2: has healed that division, but the feelings still run deep, 562 00:26:39,600 --> 00:26:40,159 Speaker 2: and what was. 563 00:26:40,160 --> 00:26:42,840 Speaker 3: A border war is now a football few. 564 00:26:43,840 --> 00:26:46,439 Speaker 2: Now they settled their differences on the gridiron. 565 00:26:46,920 --> 00:26:51,639 Speaker 4: Missouri here is sitting as a I think we're so 566 00:26:51,760 --> 00:26:53,760 Speaker 4: we sold six and a half six and a half 567 00:26:53,800 --> 00:26:58,399 Speaker 4: point favorite. Total ran right around fifty one. So what 568 00:26:58,480 --> 00:27:01,119 Speaker 4: did we see last week? We saw all both for 569 00:27:01,240 --> 00:27:03,800 Speaker 4: Bulah have a really good game. But it was against 570 00:27:03,840 --> 00:27:06,360 Speaker 4: Central Organs. Call yep, how much can we really take 571 00:27:06,440 --> 00:27:08,720 Speaker 4: from that? Not really sure it was gonna be a 572 00:27:08,760 --> 00:27:11,320 Speaker 4: quarterback competition, but Sam Horn got hurt. It is for 573 00:27:11,400 --> 00:27:14,840 Speaker 4: Bula's job. I'm still worried a bit about the Missouri 574 00:27:14,880 --> 00:27:17,960 Speaker 4: offensive line. They lost their tackles, but I do expect 575 00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:22,159 Speaker 4: them to go run heavy here for Beulah Hardy, the 576 00:27:22,240 --> 00:27:25,040 Speaker 4: Ulm transfer, who I really like. And what could really 577 00:27:25,119 --> 00:27:28,080 Speaker 4: hurt Kansas is all their injuries at linebacker. They have 578 00:27:28,280 --> 00:27:30,760 Speaker 4: a number of guys who are probably gonna be out here, 579 00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:33,679 Speaker 4: so I expect Missouri just to go super run heavy here. 580 00:27:33,960 --> 00:27:35,600 Speaker 4: On the other side of the ball, can I think 581 00:27:35,640 --> 00:27:39,400 Speaker 4: Missouri's defensive line could win that battle up front, although 582 00:27:39,560 --> 00:27:42,840 Speaker 4: it is worth noting I've been super impressed with Kansas. Now, 583 00:27:43,080 --> 00:27:46,840 Speaker 4: who have they played, Not really anyone played FCS Team 584 00:27:47,040 --> 00:27:50,760 Speaker 4: Wagner and they played Presno. But we were starting to 585 00:27:50,800 --> 00:27:52,359 Speaker 4: just gather data points. That's what we're doing on in 586 00:27:52,400 --> 00:27:55,959 Speaker 4: the year. Fresno did just destroy Georgia Southern. Now it's 587 00:27:56,000 --> 00:27:58,399 Speaker 4: Georgia Southern, but I mean maybe ran for like eight 588 00:27:58,480 --> 00:28:01,199 Speaker 4: yards to carry Kansas completely shut them down, so like 589 00:28:01,240 --> 00:28:04,200 Speaker 4: that win becomes I was thinking, like, all right, Fresno 590 00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:04,760 Speaker 4: is a mess. 591 00:28:05,359 --> 00:28:05,720 Speaker 5: Maybe not. 592 00:28:05,840 --> 00:28:08,720 Speaker 4: Maybe that speaks more to Kansas, but I think the 593 00:28:08,760 --> 00:28:13,520 Speaker 4: linebacker injuries might cost them here. Although Daniels looks really 594 00:28:13,520 --> 00:28:16,000 Speaker 4: good in this new look offense. It's back to the 595 00:28:16,040 --> 00:28:18,240 Speaker 4: total Nikki stuff, fits more of his strengths. I like 596 00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:20,600 Speaker 4: some of the secondary guys look like they're going to 597 00:28:20,640 --> 00:28:22,760 Speaker 4: be a hit for Kansas. I wish they were fully 598 00:28:22,800 --> 00:28:26,440 Speaker 4: healthy at linebacker, but that might end up costing him here. 599 00:28:26,680 --> 00:28:30,000 Speaker 4: If this gets the seven, Kansas is the play. That's 600 00:28:30,040 --> 00:28:31,760 Speaker 4: what I'm waiting for. I have this around like five 601 00:28:31,800 --> 00:28:34,720 Speaker 4: and a half, but the linebacker injuries could end up 602 00:28:34,720 --> 00:28:36,760 Speaker 4: being the difference. Like in the trenches and that Missouri 603 00:28:36,840 --> 00:28:39,520 Speaker 4: defensive line. How many plays can they make? What can 604 00:28:39,600 --> 00:28:41,920 Speaker 4: Daniels do with his legs? Order wore a lot of 605 00:28:41,960 --> 00:28:43,800 Speaker 4: hate here, really looking forward to this. This is a 606 00:28:43,800 --> 00:28:47,760 Speaker 4: true like state on state rivalry. What are you seeing here? 607 00:28:48,240 --> 00:28:50,760 Speaker 3: Yeah? I think Kansas is a play, definitely something. There 608 00:28:50,800 --> 00:28:53,400 Speaker 3: is one book out there sitting at seven if you 609 00:28:53,440 --> 00:28:55,760 Speaker 3: haven't to live in Pennsylvania. Another one in Jersey, but 610 00:28:55,880 --> 00:28:58,360 Speaker 3: it's not really wide out there wide and that's kind 611 00:28:58,360 --> 00:28:59,840 Speaker 3: of out of my reach. So I'm kind of waiting 612 00:28:59,840 --> 00:29:01,360 Speaker 3: for the seven to be everywhere before I hit it. 613 00:29:01,400 --> 00:29:05,760 Speaker 3: I think we'll get there. Which team in this rivalry 614 00:29:05,800 --> 00:29:08,440 Speaker 3: the border were pulled out of the Liberty Bowl because 615 00:29:08,440 --> 00:29:11,200 Speaker 3: they didn't want to play the other one. Yeah, that 616 00:29:11,280 --> 00:29:13,600 Speaker 3: was Missouri. Missouri is the one that made the phone 617 00:29:13,600 --> 00:29:15,080 Speaker 3: call and said I don't want to play Kansas and 618 00:29:15,080 --> 00:29:18,800 Speaker 3: the Liberty Bowl. And kind of interesting to see how 619 00:29:18,880 --> 00:29:22,040 Speaker 3: Drink treats this game. Not a lot of his recruits 620 00:29:22,080 --> 00:29:25,000 Speaker 3: are familiar with this rivalry. If you're from the state 621 00:29:25,000 --> 00:29:27,000 Speaker 3: of Kansas, you know exactly what this rivalry is. And 622 00:29:27,040 --> 00:29:28,760 Speaker 3: for everybody out there listening to this, if you don't 623 00:29:28,800 --> 00:29:31,680 Speaker 3: understand the intensity of this, I am just outside the 624 00:29:31,680 --> 00:29:36,000 Speaker 3: sphere of Kansas City geographically. This is such a hated 625 00:29:36,120 --> 00:29:38,160 Speaker 3: rivalry when I was growing up, like death threats. You 626 00:29:38,200 --> 00:29:40,840 Speaker 3: were talking Alabama Auburn type death threat phone calls, like 627 00:29:40,880 --> 00:29:43,560 Speaker 3: felonies and shit like that. Like these two hate each other. 628 00:29:43,920 --> 00:29:48,280 Speaker 3: But this isn't Drink's roots. And I don't think a 629 00:29:48,280 --> 00:29:51,040 Speaker 3: lot of the players are from anywhere, you know, West, 630 00:29:52,520 --> 00:29:54,080 Speaker 3: I don't know how much they care about this game, 631 00:29:54,120 --> 00:29:56,720 Speaker 3: to be honest with you, Central Arkansas had forty four 632 00:29:56,720 --> 00:29:59,200 Speaker 3: snaps and standard downs and went fifty percent success right 633 00:29:59,200 --> 00:30:02,840 Speaker 3: an average four point six on rushing two explosives and was 634 00:30:02,880 --> 00:30:06,880 Speaker 3: stuffed below the national average and zero success passing the 635 00:30:06,880 --> 00:30:09,160 Speaker 3: ball two turnovers two and thirteen on third downs. But 636 00:30:10,120 --> 00:30:15,000 Speaker 3: that score is misleading against Missouri. It's completely misleading. Central 637 00:30:15,080 --> 00:30:17,760 Speaker 3: Arkansas moved the ball in standard downs. But I mean 638 00:30:17,800 --> 00:30:19,880 Speaker 3: the question is is can the Kansas defense shut down 639 00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:20,880 Speaker 3: a made hardy And. 640 00:30:20,840 --> 00:30:23,560 Speaker 4: By the way, our producer, a Missouri lum said they 641 00:30:23,640 --> 00:30:25,640 Speaker 4: pulled out on the liberty ball in response to Kansas 642 00:30:25,800 --> 00:30:28,000 Speaker 4: refusing to add to Missouri to their non con from 643 00:30:28,040 --> 00:30:30,280 Speaker 4: the jump. This is why we love the border war. 644 00:30:30,320 --> 00:30:32,080 Speaker 4: I think Kansas is to play at seven, make it 645 00:30:32,120 --> 00:30:34,880 Speaker 4: like five. Produce also says fuck them and their coaches 646 00:30:34,880 --> 00:30:35,800 Speaker 4: and their players. 647 00:30:35,440 --> 00:30:38,640 Speaker 3: Forever about this game. Drink gives a shit about beaten 648 00:30:38,640 --> 00:30:40,560 Speaker 3: by Arkansas by fifty. That's what he cares about. 649 00:30:40,680 --> 00:30:41,520 Speaker 5: I'm sure he cares. 650 00:30:41,520 --> 00:30:43,480 Speaker 3: He's a gust guy. He's a Gus spells on guy. 651 00:30:43,480 --> 00:30:44,520 Speaker 3: He doesn't care about this game. 652 00:30:44,680 --> 00:30:48,920 Speaker 4: Illinois at Duke. This is a fascinating game. Illinois three 653 00:30:49,040 --> 00:30:52,440 Speaker 4: ish point favorite. Everyone is like, oh my god, this 654 00:30:52,520 --> 00:30:55,760 Speaker 4: is the trap trap game. There's people, there's no trap games. 655 00:30:55,880 --> 00:30:58,240 Speaker 4: It's just there's power ratings and then the market will 656 00:30:58,280 --> 00:31:00,680 Speaker 4: dictate where they go from there. 657 00:31:00,880 --> 00:31:02,880 Speaker 3: Is Illinois good enough to have a trap game. 658 00:31:03,720 --> 00:31:06,400 Speaker 5: Yeah, but like there's not that This isn't like Vegas knows. 659 00:31:07,000 --> 00:31:09,160 Speaker 4: This is power, Like I project this at two around 660 00:31:09,200 --> 00:31:13,120 Speaker 4: two two and a half, so, uh, three and a half. 661 00:31:13,520 --> 00:31:15,480 Speaker 3: This is filling that whole narrative where it's like the 662 00:31:15,520 --> 00:31:17,840 Speaker 3: line is stinky. Illinois should be more like are they 663 00:31:17,920 --> 00:31:18,959 Speaker 3: not watching Duke football? 664 00:31:19,040 --> 00:31:21,880 Speaker 4: People just think like, oh, Illinois last year, like they 665 00:31:21,960 --> 00:31:26,120 Speaker 4: had a pretty fluky year to be honest, but look 666 00:31:26,360 --> 00:31:29,320 Speaker 4: at three. I think you got to take Duke three 667 00:31:29,360 --> 00:31:30,440 Speaker 4: and a half. I'm waiting on I. 668 00:31:30,360 --> 00:31:32,520 Speaker 5: Think there's some juice three and hats out there. 669 00:31:32,520 --> 00:31:35,920 Speaker 4: I will be on Duke. Yeah, there's no Picket in more. 670 00:31:36,000 --> 00:31:38,280 Speaker 4: Picket's gone in the secondary more one of the best safeties. 671 00:31:38,320 --> 00:31:41,280 Speaker 4: He's still hurt, but I still think there's second is 672 00:31:41,280 --> 00:31:43,080 Speaker 4: good enough. Rivers, lockdown corner, one of the best in 673 00:31:43,080 --> 00:31:45,680 Speaker 4: the country. Bake Many is to be able to play 674 00:31:45,680 --> 00:31:48,040 Speaker 4: the defense how he wants to play his defense this 675 00:31:48,120 --> 00:31:50,040 Speaker 4: week because Illinois doesn't. 676 00:31:49,800 --> 00:31:52,200 Speaker 5: Have Juice at receiver. We saw that like I did. 677 00:31:52,240 --> 00:31:54,640 Speaker 4: To drop off is huge from Franklin and Bryant. There's 678 00:31:54,680 --> 00:31:56,400 Speaker 4: no guy that's going to take over the game. 679 00:31:56,600 --> 00:31:59,400 Speaker 3: And Altmeyer couldn't find a guy either. He's tried everybody 680 00:31:59,600 --> 00:32:00,320 Speaker 3: and all my. 681 00:32:00,360 --> 00:32:03,840 Speaker 4: Under pressure can be very shaky. And that's what's gonna 682 00:32:03,840 --> 00:32:06,560 Speaker 4: happen here. There's gonna be tackles for loss. There's gonna 683 00:32:06,600 --> 00:32:08,560 Speaker 4: be this is what the Duke defense does. Now, what 684 00:32:08,840 --> 00:32:10,479 Speaker 4: do I think Illinois does? And by the way, Duke, 685 00:32:10,520 --> 00:32:12,160 Speaker 4: over the last two years, they're twelve and two at home, 686 00:32:12,160 --> 00:32:15,280 Speaker 4: They've lost by one SMU in overtime and seven to 687 00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:15,840 Speaker 4: Notre Dame. 688 00:32:16,480 --> 00:32:16,920 Speaker 5: That's it. 689 00:32:17,640 --> 00:32:20,480 Speaker 4: So I do think the Illinois defensive line looks improved. 690 00:32:21,600 --> 00:32:26,040 Speaker 4: Thompson from you know the ACIS is back. Thompson from Wisconsin, 691 00:32:27,080 --> 00:32:29,360 Speaker 4: du Rogier. I think there's something from Florida State. He 692 00:32:29,400 --> 00:32:31,840 Speaker 4: looked pretty good. Again, it's Western Illinois. But I think 693 00:32:31,840 --> 00:32:33,479 Speaker 4: their defensive line, which I was worried about, might be 694 00:32:33,600 --> 00:32:36,680 Speaker 4: might have some juice. I'm not sure if Duke's gonna 695 00:32:36,680 --> 00:32:39,760 Speaker 4: be able to run the ball. The run blocking isn't great. 696 00:32:41,080 --> 00:32:43,480 Speaker 4: But they upgraded a quarterback they were winning last year 697 00:32:43,480 --> 00:32:47,800 Speaker 4: to spite their quarterback play, Mensa Scott bark. It's a 698 00:32:47,800 --> 00:32:52,120 Speaker 4: pretty interesting new weapon. But I like the Illinois secondary. 699 00:32:52,560 --> 00:32:55,880 Speaker 4: So the Illinois secondary is very good there. I think 700 00:32:55,920 --> 00:32:57,760 Speaker 4: they can hold their own hair, so I think the 701 00:32:57,840 --> 00:33:00,320 Speaker 4: under makes a lot of sense. But how I see 702 00:33:00,320 --> 00:33:03,719 Speaker 4: this game playing out is I mean, at two two 703 00:33:03,760 --> 00:33:06,080 Speaker 4: and a half, Duke at home some of the matchups, 704 00:33:06,920 --> 00:33:08,640 Speaker 4: Illinois should get it starting guard back. By the way, 705 00:33:08,800 --> 00:33:10,560 Speaker 4: I think you got to take the field goal, especially 706 00:33:10,560 --> 00:33:12,280 Speaker 4: three and a half I'm taking so I'm going to 707 00:33:12,320 --> 00:33:15,560 Speaker 4: watch the market. But I think the lack of Illinois 708 00:33:16,760 --> 00:33:20,520 Speaker 4: receivers after losing Brian Franklin is huge because now Duke 709 00:33:20,520 --> 00:33:23,360 Speaker 4: can play out, wants to play. Leave rivers out on 710 00:33:23,400 --> 00:33:28,120 Speaker 4: an island, bring pressure, bring Blitz's, get to Altmeyer, Who's 711 00:33:28,320 --> 00:33:31,240 Speaker 4: probably gonna make a key mistake or two. I think 712 00:33:31,360 --> 00:33:35,960 Speaker 4: ultimately that will be the difference. So yeah, I like 713 00:33:36,040 --> 00:33:40,680 Speaker 4: Duke here field goal or better, and I'm riding with 714 00:33:40,800 --> 00:33:42,440 Speaker 4: many Diaz how I think this game plays out those 715 00:33:42,480 --> 00:33:43,960 Speaker 4: I don't think dude's gonna have a ton of success 716 00:33:44,000 --> 00:33:46,440 Speaker 4: on offense. I really respect this Illinois defensepecially if the 717 00:33:46,440 --> 00:33:48,840 Speaker 4: defensive line is better than I expected. And I also 718 00:33:48,880 --> 00:33:53,240 Speaker 4: expect Bert to just go run heavy here, Like you 719 00:33:53,280 --> 00:33:56,400 Speaker 4: want to try to attack the Duke linebackers. You want 720 00:33:56,400 --> 00:33:58,560 Speaker 4: to try and stay ahead of the sticks. You want 721 00:33:58,560 --> 00:34:00,640 Speaker 4: to try and probably keep Duke's offense off the field. 722 00:34:01,000 --> 00:34:03,240 Speaker 4: He's got a pace clash here. Illinois probably gonna go slower. 723 00:34:03,280 --> 00:34:07,440 Speaker 4: Duke's Bbyaly gonna go faster. So undermakes some sense here. 724 00:34:08,000 --> 00:34:10,000 Speaker 4: But I think you got to take take the field 725 00:34:10,040 --> 00:34:12,000 Speaker 4: goal with two degree or disagree. 726 00:34:11,800 --> 00:34:13,719 Speaker 3: One hundred percent. Agree. I've already bet it. You can 727 00:34:13,760 --> 00:34:15,680 Speaker 3: find it on the board. Yeah, put it on the 728 00:34:15,680 --> 00:34:16,680 Speaker 3: board is a big time agree. 729 00:34:17,120 --> 00:34:18,360 Speaker 5: There are three and a half out there. 730 00:34:18,680 --> 00:34:23,360 Speaker 3: There's the fan duels got it juiced, and they're so 731 00:34:23,480 --> 00:34:26,759 Speaker 3: it doesn't and they're the only ones, so it doesn't matter. 732 00:34:27,280 --> 00:34:29,239 Speaker 5: Three. Yeah, we're fair around here. 733 00:34:31,600 --> 00:34:35,759 Speaker 3: I don't know if we know how good this Duke 734 00:34:35,800 --> 00:34:38,400 Speaker 3: offense can be because I think Darien minsa mensa is 735 00:34:38,960 --> 00:34:41,120 Speaker 3: I don't think we know his ceiling. I mean we know, right, 736 00:34:41,200 --> 00:34:41,680 Speaker 3: it's not a half. 737 00:34:41,760 --> 00:34:42,799 Speaker 5: I was like it was a rough start and then 738 00:34:42,800 --> 00:34:44,200 Speaker 5: he really looked like he picked it up. 739 00:34:44,120 --> 00:34:47,680 Speaker 3: And then he destroyed them. Four big time throws, no mistakes, 740 00:34:47,680 --> 00:34:50,160 Speaker 3: eighty eight percent adjust a completion percentage. He had two 741 00:34:50,239 --> 00:34:52,480 Speaker 3: drops twenty seven and thirty four two drops to him 742 00:34:52,480 --> 00:34:56,360 Speaker 3: weren't even on him. I know it's Elon right, but 743 00:34:57,480 --> 00:34:59,640 Speaker 3: it's not like he didn't produce it too. Lane and 744 00:34:59,680 --> 00:35:01,200 Speaker 3: it's not not like Duke didn't go out of their 745 00:35:01,200 --> 00:35:02,920 Speaker 3: way with their check book to bring this kid in 746 00:35:02,920 --> 00:35:05,799 Speaker 3: when they already had Malik Murphy on payroll. There's a 747 00:35:05,800 --> 00:35:08,880 Speaker 3: reason they went and got Darien vinsa half a Duke's 748 00:35:09,360 --> 00:35:11,799 Speaker 3: drives ten drives, half of the more explosive. That means 749 00:35:11,840 --> 00:35:14,680 Speaker 3: ten plus yards per play on the drive. Not as 750 00:35:14,719 --> 00:35:17,319 Speaker 3: many big time throws for Luke Altmeyer as his touchdowns. 751 00:35:17,640 --> 00:35:20,080 Speaker 3: It was a flawless day. He went seventeen to twenty two. 752 00:35:20,320 --> 00:35:22,480 Speaker 3: Hank Baty out of the slot seems to be the 753 00:35:22,520 --> 00:35:25,960 Speaker 3: attention guy five catches on five targets. Then the tight end, 754 00:35:26,120 --> 00:35:29,640 Speaker 3: Justin Bowick. I'm sorry, no, Justin Justin Bowick holding two tds. 755 00:35:29,680 --> 00:35:31,759 Speaker 3: But what I think is interesting about Justin Bogu is 756 00:35:31,760 --> 00:35:33,279 Speaker 3: I think he's just a red zone option because he 757 00:35:33,320 --> 00:35:36,120 Speaker 3: was only on the field for eight snaps that were 758 00:35:36,160 --> 00:35:39,759 Speaker 3: passing attempts. So obviously look for Justin bog Maybe if 759 00:35:39,760 --> 00:35:42,560 Speaker 3: you're playing fantasy college fantasy, Justin bowt two tds and 760 00:35:42,600 --> 00:35:45,840 Speaker 3: only on the field for eight passing attempts. That's a ratio. 761 00:35:46,920 --> 00:35:49,239 Speaker 3: You know, Duke had ten tackles for loss, three sacks 762 00:35:49,280 --> 00:35:51,120 Speaker 3: from Manny Diaz. I think they're going to dial it up. 763 00:35:51,400 --> 00:35:53,160 Speaker 3: I think they're coming after Luke Altmeyer. I don't think 764 00:35:53,200 --> 00:35:56,439 Speaker 3: he knows who he's safe with on the field. It's 765 00:35:56,480 --> 00:35:59,160 Speaker 3: just not as good of a passing attack anymore. 766 00:35:59,600 --> 00:36:02,520 Speaker 5: And he'd have had four walk off wins last year, 767 00:36:02,520 --> 00:36:03,960 Speaker 5: like he won four games with him at the end, 768 00:36:04,000 --> 00:36:09,080 Speaker 5: like yeah, blanket, Like if you don't have those receivers 769 00:36:09,120 --> 00:36:10,920 Speaker 5: that you're in sync with that are dominant the outside, 770 00:36:10,960 --> 00:36:12,919 Speaker 5: do can play its defense, especially at home. 771 00:36:13,280 --> 00:36:16,719 Speaker 3: I think Mensa is going to be I think he's 772 00:36:17,360 --> 00:36:19,719 Speaker 3: he's going to get movement against this Illinois defense, and 773 00:36:19,760 --> 00:36:21,960 Speaker 3: that that's saying some of Illinois defense is very very good. 774 00:36:22,000 --> 00:36:24,520 Speaker 3: So I like Duke. I also like Duke's team total over, 775 00:36:24,560 --> 00:36:26,400 Speaker 3: I think Mensa has we don't. We haven't found his 776 00:36:26,400 --> 00:36:27,000 Speaker 3: sailing yet. 777 00:36:28,120 --> 00:36:30,840 Speaker 4: All right, let's we got an agree on Duke. Let's 778 00:36:31,239 --> 00:36:32,839 Speaker 4: get to the rundown. We hit a couple other games 779 00:36:32,880 --> 00:36:37,839 Speaker 4: here BC at Michigan State. I think we disagree on here. 780 00:36:37,920 --> 00:36:39,320 Speaker 4: Number has kind of gotten away said, I don't know 781 00:36:39,360 --> 00:36:40,839 Speaker 4: if I'll put it on head to head, but uh, 782 00:36:41,200 --> 00:36:43,879 Speaker 4: I like Michigan. I don't look Lonigan look good for BC. 783 00:36:44,040 --> 00:36:45,920 Speaker 4: Whoever was against Little Sisters of the Poor. I like 784 00:36:45,960 --> 00:36:47,880 Speaker 4: some of the things I saw from Michigan State. It 785 00:36:48,000 --> 00:36:50,680 Speaker 4: was interesting though they were rotating offensive linemen in two's 786 00:36:50,800 --> 00:36:54,520 Speaker 4: every drive. Very interesting. But I liked Omar Kelly his 787 00:36:54,560 --> 00:36:57,719 Speaker 4: audition with Nick marsh at Childs. I think now it 788 00:36:57,719 --> 00:36:59,600 Speaker 4: was Western Michigan. How bad is Western Michigan? That could 789 00:36:59,760 --> 00:37:02,680 Speaker 4: make could just be really really bad. But I like 790 00:37:02,800 --> 00:37:04,680 Speaker 4: some of the things I saw from the Michigan State defense. 791 00:37:05,000 --> 00:37:07,120 Speaker 4: I just don't trust BC couldn't run the ball now, 792 00:37:07,120 --> 00:37:09,120 Speaker 4: they weren't running their counters and traps. They couldn't run 793 00:37:09,120 --> 00:37:11,720 Speaker 4: the ball last week against an FCS team. That's concerning 794 00:37:11,800 --> 00:37:13,759 Speaker 4: me because I think in the trenches they're going to 795 00:37:13,800 --> 00:37:15,160 Speaker 4: take a step back to lose one of the best 796 00:37:15,280 --> 00:37:18,719 Speaker 4: defensive ends in college football. When BC is good, they're 797 00:37:18,719 --> 00:37:21,799 Speaker 4: good in the trenches. So I like Sparty to get 798 00:37:21,800 --> 00:37:24,719 Speaker 4: it done at home. You like you like BC? 799 00:37:25,080 --> 00:37:27,000 Speaker 3: I do like BC. Actually make BC the favorite. I 800 00:37:27,000 --> 00:37:28,000 Speaker 3: mean I'm not. I don't know if I want to 801 00:37:28,000 --> 00:37:29,319 Speaker 3: go step out on a limb and put anything on 802 00:37:29,320 --> 00:37:31,360 Speaker 3: the board on BC. I mean, they played Fordham. I 803 00:37:31,360 --> 00:37:32,560 Speaker 3: don't know how much I'm going to take from that. 804 00:37:32,560 --> 00:37:36,080 Speaker 3: But Dylan lannergun was pretty good. I mean for tds, 805 00:37:36,080 --> 00:37:40,040 Speaker 3: two big time throws. You know, he he's got an 806 00:37:40,080 --> 00:37:42,920 Speaker 3: identity here with whiteout Lewis Bond. And you know, the 807 00:37:42,960 --> 00:37:46,200 Speaker 3: Michigan State defense they didn't allow a score to Western Michigan. 808 00:37:46,360 --> 00:37:49,560 Speaker 3: You know, there's a late pick six there by unless yeah, 809 00:37:49,920 --> 00:37:52,560 Speaker 3: end of the year. But the but here's the thing 810 00:37:52,560 --> 00:37:55,600 Speaker 3: that really bothered me about Michigan State and maybe the 811 00:37:55,640 --> 00:37:58,719 Speaker 3: reason I've got Boston College power rated higher, high enough 812 00:37:58,719 --> 00:38:00,560 Speaker 3: to be the favorite in this game over Chigan State. 813 00:38:00,840 --> 00:38:03,080 Speaker 3: Michigan State defensively graded one hundred and twenty sixth and 814 00:38:03,160 --> 00:38:05,000 Speaker 3: coverage and one hundred and twenty ninth and pass rush 815 00:38:05,000 --> 00:38:07,800 Speaker 3: against Western Michigan. That worries me a little bit. And 816 00:38:07,880 --> 00:38:09,160 Speaker 3: when you go to the other side of the ball, 817 00:38:09,200 --> 00:38:11,520 Speaker 3: Aiden Childs had one big time throw and two turnover 818 00:38:11,560 --> 00:38:15,280 Speaker 3: worthy plays against Western Michigan's defense. They failed to produce 819 00:38:15,320 --> 00:38:18,680 Speaker 3: an explosive drive. One hundred and seventy six hidden yards 820 00:38:18,680 --> 00:38:21,480 Speaker 3: help them with field position. There were four and thirteen 821 00:38:21,520 --> 00:38:23,759 Speaker 3: on third downs, three point three yards per play in 822 00:38:23,760 --> 00:38:27,680 Speaker 3: passing downs. I mean, this is not the box score 823 00:38:27,680 --> 00:38:29,680 Speaker 3: I'd want to see out of Michigan State to feel 824 00:38:29,719 --> 00:38:31,960 Speaker 3: confident enough to bet them this week. So I'm just 825 00:38:32,000 --> 00:38:34,120 Speaker 3: going to trust the numbers that I made, and I've 826 00:38:34,120 --> 00:38:36,680 Speaker 3: got BC in the app. And obviously this Michigan State 827 00:38:36,760 --> 00:38:38,279 Speaker 3: line is still taking money because I took three and 828 00:38:38,280 --> 00:38:39,680 Speaker 3: a half, its up to four and a half. You 829 00:38:39,840 --> 00:38:42,719 Speaker 3: throw this in the pile with smu is Week two, 830 00:38:42,760 --> 00:38:45,480 Speaker 3: Week three bonanza bullshit where these power ratings don't match 831 00:38:45,520 --> 00:38:46,880 Speaker 3: with where the public is betting. 832 00:38:47,840 --> 00:38:51,880 Speaker 4: All right, Arizona State, Mississippi State, this line has come down, 833 00:38:52,000 --> 00:38:54,920 Speaker 4: another one just right away came down. I got to 834 00:38:54,920 --> 00:38:56,880 Speaker 4: start to grab some of these early because I like 835 00:38:56,880 --> 00:38:58,719 Speaker 4: Mississippi State, obviously like them a lot more. 836 00:38:58,760 --> 00:38:59,440 Speaker 5: Ten and seven. 837 00:39:01,600 --> 00:39:04,080 Speaker 4: Arizona State did not look good last week, and they 838 00:39:04,480 --> 00:39:06,960 Speaker 4: out on the right tackle. They might be without Jalen Moss 839 00:39:07,120 --> 00:39:10,640 Speaker 4: and then it's just Jordan Tyson. I mean, he's one 840 00:39:10,680 --> 00:39:12,920 Speaker 4: of the best receivers in the country. But the right 841 00:39:12,960 --> 00:39:15,760 Speaker 4: they looked like they really did. I was so curious 842 00:39:15,760 --> 00:39:17,840 Speaker 4: to watch how much will they miss cam it' skataboo, 843 00:39:17,880 --> 00:39:22,400 Speaker 4: and it worse than I would have imagined. The offensive 844 00:39:22,440 --> 00:39:25,560 Speaker 4: line looked rough. The offense and now it might be 845 00:39:25,560 --> 00:39:27,760 Speaker 4: without your good right tackles starting a red shirt freshman. 846 00:39:27,920 --> 00:39:29,960 Speaker 4: I was impressed with Mississippi State. I think they got bigger, 847 00:39:30,000 --> 00:39:31,960 Speaker 4: they got stronger. Some of these four stars to have 848 00:39:32,080 --> 00:39:34,720 Speaker 4: in the secondary, including Kelly, was probably gonna be matched 849 00:39:34,800 --> 00:39:38,319 Speaker 4: up with Tyson. I was impressed with Kenny hold his 850 00:39:38,360 --> 00:39:42,520 Speaker 4: own enough. I think so it was a sloppy effort 851 00:39:42,520 --> 00:39:44,719 Speaker 4: from Arizona State, but I was really impressed with Mississippi State. 852 00:39:44,960 --> 00:39:48,759 Speaker 4: I think Arizona State might be in trouble here. I 853 00:39:48,880 --> 00:39:51,000 Speaker 4: like cal Bell, how about you. 854 00:39:51,000 --> 00:39:52,600 Speaker 3: You can put it on the board while I'm talking. 855 00:39:52,640 --> 00:39:54,560 Speaker 3: By the way, for the person that like freaked out 856 00:39:54,560 --> 00:39:57,080 Speaker 3: about me saying Kanye Udo doesn't have any hands, I 857 00:39:57,160 --> 00:39:59,719 Speaker 3: don't know if he has any hands. He had his 858 00:39:59,760 --> 00:40:02,080 Speaker 3: third catch of his career for six yards the other 859 00:40:02,160 --> 00:40:06,640 Speaker 3: day or against Northern Arizona, so I guess he has hands. Look, 860 00:40:06,680 --> 00:40:09,840 Speaker 3: Arizona State failed to create a single methodical drive against 861 00:40:09,840 --> 00:40:12,279 Speaker 3: Northern Arizona. This is not the same offense as last 862 00:40:12,320 --> 00:40:15,640 Speaker 3: year Northern Arizona. Jordan Tyson, Sam Levitt, you can't create 863 00:40:15,640 --> 00:40:19,120 Speaker 3: a methodical drive. Northern Arizona hit help either. 864 00:40:19,160 --> 00:40:20,560 Speaker 4: Like what they watch went out, they weren't They were 865 00:40:20,560 --> 00:40:22,560 Speaker 4: playing to walk on instead of the other kid Henderson 866 00:40:22,640 --> 00:40:25,120 Speaker 4: whatever his name is, Like, I don't understand what was 867 00:40:25,160 --> 00:40:26,920 Speaker 4: going on. Then I don't love this off. It's the 868 00:40:26,960 --> 00:40:29,839 Speaker 4: line and there's no scattiboo. People underrated his how much 869 00:40:29,880 --> 00:40:31,280 Speaker 4: he did in the passing game too. 870 00:40:31,160 --> 00:40:34,360 Speaker 3: Right, he just curled over the linebacker unit, and I 871 00:40:34,400 --> 00:40:37,520 Speaker 3: mean it just was just a neat chaos for defenses 872 00:40:37,560 --> 00:40:39,759 Speaker 3: to try to do that. Now you've got Northern Arizona 873 00:40:40,200 --> 00:40:43,560 Speaker 3: creating five tackles for loss. You got Arizona State being 874 00:40:43,680 --> 00:40:46,279 Speaker 3: stuffed on their rushing attempts at thirty percent that's the 875 00:40:46,360 --> 00:40:50,719 Speaker 3: national average. I mean, what are we doing here? How 876 00:40:50,760 --> 00:40:53,719 Speaker 3: is Northern Arizona putting these numbers up? Mississippi State six 877 00:40:53,800 --> 00:40:55,520 Speaker 3: yards per play against Southern Miss. I don't think the 878 00:40:55,560 --> 00:40:58,400 Speaker 3: Southern Miss defense is that bad. Levy was actually kind 879 00:40:58,400 --> 00:41:02,239 Speaker 3: of slow twenty three seconds per play. I mean, they 880 00:41:02,400 --> 00:41:04,479 Speaker 3: another problem with Missippi State. Like it's on the board, 881 00:41:04,480 --> 00:41:06,319 Speaker 3: we're gonna go with this, but fourteen penalties for one 882 00:41:06,400 --> 00:41:10,719 Speaker 3: hundred and nineteen yards making me a little more Yeah, 883 00:41:10,760 --> 00:41:14,680 Speaker 3: But listen, Missisippi State did force Braylon Braxton, Brayln Braxton 884 00:41:14,760 --> 00:41:17,280 Speaker 3: is a good quarterback, forced him into four turnover worthies 885 00:41:17,320 --> 00:41:20,000 Speaker 3: play to four turnover worthy plays. But here's the important 886 00:41:20,000 --> 00:41:24,680 Speaker 3: thing with Sam Levitt. Mississippi State kept Braylon Braxton to 887 00:41:24,840 --> 00:41:28,799 Speaker 3: seventeen yards on five designed runs. That's what I want 888 00:41:28,840 --> 00:41:31,520 Speaker 3: to see to bet against Arizona State, and that's what we. 889 00:41:31,520 --> 00:41:35,200 Speaker 5: Got, all right, Vandy Vautek, I will be on vot 890 00:41:35,200 --> 00:41:35,720 Speaker 5: tech again. 891 00:41:35,840 --> 00:41:38,680 Speaker 4: I would have bet vattack against South Carolina a million 892 00:41:38,680 --> 00:41:41,320 Speaker 4: times again if that game was played its pure right side. 893 00:41:41,600 --> 00:41:43,400 Speaker 4: They go up an eighty r bomb and then the 894 00:41:43,480 --> 00:41:48,120 Speaker 4: yardage was still equal. Late, My guy sam Sefkiz was 895 00:41:48,160 --> 00:41:52,600 Speaker 4: a great hire. Their defense looked significantly better. Corners still 896 00:41:52,600 --> 00:41:56,120 Speaker 4: a question. The game flipped on a punt illegal punt 897 00:41:56,160 --> 00:41:59,759 Speaker 4: formation and then typical Pride fashion is eight fat guys 898 00:41:59,760 --> 00:42:02,719 Speaker 4: back there as protectors and then they get an eighty 899 00:42:02,760 --> 00:42:04,759 Speaker 4: or pumper term for a touchdown against a tired unit 900 00:42:05,920 --> 00:42:08,800 Speaker 4: foot the whole game right side, wrong result. It sucked, 901 00:42:08,840 --> 00:42:12,560 Speaker 4: but drones has got to be better. Now, this isn't 902 00:42:12,560 --> 00:42:14,920 Speaker 4: the South Carolina defensive line, and Andy I liked their 903 00:42:14,960 --> 00:42:17,000 Speaker 4: defensive line. They have some guys, but this isn't you know, 904 00:42:17,640 --> 00:42:19,799 Speaker 4: but Stuart and company up front, So he should have 905 00:42:19,800 --> 00:42:22,600 Speaker 4: more time, he should run more. Votech has some dudes 906 00:42:22,640 --> 00:42:25,120 Speaker 4: on the outside in both Greens. I call them the 907 00:42:25,120 --> 00:42:27,000 Speaker 4: Green Brothers and a couple other guys. By the way, 908 00:42:27,080 --> 00:42:30,080 Speaker 4: Terran Stewart in the backfield probably should be back this week. 909 00:42:30,239 --> 00:42:33,200 Speaker 4: That's big. Also big on the returns. I'm going back 910 00:42:33,239 --> 00:42:34,759 Speaker 4: to the Wealth. I know it's not a great spot. 911 00:42:34,800 --> 00:42:37,480 Speaker 4: They just played on Sunday against an SEC team, hard fought. 912 00:42:37,920 --> 00:42:40,480 Speaker 4: Bandy played an FCS cupcake, although Bandy does have South 913 00:42:40,560 --> 00:42:44,920 Speaker 4: Carolina on deck. But this is this is like prize job. 914 00:42:45,000 --> 00:42:49,480 Speaker 4: Maybe this is Botech's season. Maybe they had their vintage 915 00:42:49,480 --> 00:42:52,840 Speaker 4: players only meeting at home at night Lane Stadium, trying 916 00:42:52,840 --> 00:42:55,879 Speaker 4: to avenge a loss from the early last year. They 917 00:42:55,920 --> 00:43:00,319 Speaker 4: lost Week one to Vandy two touchdown favorites. Oh I 918 00:43:00,320 --> 00:43:02,880 Speaker 4: was on Dandy that game. Now get a cheap money 919 00:43:02,880 --> 00:43:03,439 Speaker 4: line at home. 920 00:43:04,040 --> 00:43:05,719 Speaker 5: I make this. I think this should be three. So 921 00:43:06,680 --> 00:43:07,920 Speaker 5: I'm gonna ride with Bottak. 922 00:43:08,040 --> 00:43:12,280 Speaker 4: By the way, Vandy lost Skinner wide receiver, their top receiver, Cheryl, 923 00:43:12,360 --> 00:43:14,200 Speaker 4: I think might be out here. One of their tight 924 00:43:14,280 --> 00:43:18,960 Speaker 4: ends also might be out. So yeah, I'm trusting Votek 925 00:43:19,000 --> 00:43:22,480 Speaker 4: one more time. If they lose this, it might go south. 926 00:43:22,560 --> 00:43:24,560 Speaker 4: But I'm trusting to come up with a good game 927 00:43:24,600 --> 00:43:28,640 Speaker 4: plan Drones, just don't throw it into the ground. Complete 928 00:43:28,640 --> 00:43:30,520 Speaker 4: some wide up and passes, but they basically played toe 929 00:43:30,520 --> 00:43:33,160 Speaker 4: totel with South Carolina on the neutral for the entire game. 930 00:43:33,440 --> 00:43:36,680 Speaker 5: So I like my chances here at home just to 931 00:43:36,680 --> 00:43:39,320 Speaker 5: get a win over Vandy. Won't be easy. Diego Diego 932 00:43:39,320 --> 00:43:41,200 Speaker 5: won't make it easy. But I'm gonna be on my okies. 933 00:43:45,880 --> 00:43:47,799 Speaker 3: Yeah, Vandy won this game last year, and they did 934 00:43:47,840 --> 00:43:50,280 Speaker 3: not win the box score. Typical Diego Pavias stuff. 935 00:43:50,440 --> 00:43:50,560 Speaker 6: Right. 936 00:43:51,080 --> 00:43:55,040 Speaker 4: Cot Tack was a disaster last year. Scheme disaster on 937 00:43:55,120 --> 00:43:57,280 Speaker 4: both sides of all the upgraded coordinators and bandy. Still 938 00:43:57,600 --> 00:43:59,840 Speaker 4: they needed a late touchdown drive beforece overtime. 939 00:44:00,280 --> 00:44:02,680 Speaker 3: Yeah, and I think you know Kien Jones actually posted 940 00:44:02,760 --> 00:44:06,040 Speaker 3: four big time throws but had zero touchdowns to show 941 00:44:06,080 --> 00:44:07,880 Speaker 3: for it. I mean, you guys scored eleven points on 942 00:44:07,920 --> 00:44:11,640 Speaker 3: field goals and safeties, two turnover worthy plays, you know, 943 00:44:11,680 --> 00:44:14,640 Speaker 3: fifteen to thirty five passing three drops South Carolina. This 944 00:44:14,680 --> 00:44:16,200 Speaker 3: is what scares me if you're going to back the 945 00:44:16,360 --> 00:44:19,120 Speaker 3: Virginitia Tech. South Carolina was supposed to be playing with 946 00:44:19,120 --> 00:44:21,600 Speaker 3: a brand new defensive line defensive front seventeen pressures on 947 00:44:21,640 --> 00:44:23,759 Speaker 3: the Virginia Tech offensive line. That would make me a 948 00:44:23,760 --> 00:44:26,799 Speaker 3: little bit nervous. But the Virginia Tech d seven TFLs 949 00:44:26,840 --> 00:44:29,680 Speaker 3: against the South Carolina offensive line. And here's the one 950 00:44:29,680 --> 00:44:32,600 Speaker 3: that I loved. South Carolina was in twelve third downs, 951 00:44:32,920 --> 00:44:37,160 Speaker 3: average distance to go nine point three yards. That's high. 952 00:44:37,320 --> 00:44:39,720 Speaker 3: Virginia Tech's defense did its job. I like the under 953 00:44:39,760 --> 00:44:41,320 Speaker 3: more than I like a side in this game. 954 00:44:42,120 --> 00:44:44,359 Speaker 4: I will be on the Hooki's all right, let's sit 955 00:44:44,440 --> 00:44:46,799 Speaker 4: some We'll do a couple of minutes on look ahead 956 00:44:46,800 --> 00:44:47,120 Speaker 4: and look. 957 00:44:47,000 --> 00:44:55,680 Speaker 7: Away, hangovers, sleepers and the dreaded sandwich spot? Is it 958 00:44:55,760 --> 00:45:00,080 Speaker 7: time to look ahead or look away? 959 00:45:01,239 --> 00:45:03,080 Speaker 4: For those new here, we just look at games last 960 00:45:03,080 --> 00:45:05,759 Speaker 4: week and or next week, see how they might impact teams, Like, hey, 961 00:45:05,880 --> 00:45:07,160 Speaker 4: we have a big game on deck next week. We 962 00:45:07,239 --> 00:45:08,640 Speaker 4: might wrestler pull our start as a little earlier. We 963 00:45:08,719 --> 00:45:11,080 Speaker 4: might rest them guys, we might not show as much. 964 00:45:11,840 --> 00:45:15,080 Speaker 4: Spend a minute on a couple seconds on each of these. 965 00:45:15,120 --> 00:45:17,400 Speaker 4: Troy at Clemson Clemson minus thirty three and a half. 966 00:45:18,440 --> 00:45:20,160 Speaker 4: I mean, I know what losing feels like. 967 00:45:20,600 --> 00:45:22,879 Speaker 5: I got a very clear picture of that. It's much 968 00:45:22,920 --> 00:45:23,560 Speaker 5: better to win. 969 00:45:24,000 --> 00:45:27,360 Speaker 4: Clempson off the disappointing loss historically back in these teams 970 00:45:27,600 --> 00:45:29,920 Speaker 4: thirty plus point favorites off the top fifteen loss is 971 00:45:29,960 --> 00:45:32,560 Speaker 4: a top fifteen team bad bat eight teams usually come 972 00:45:32,600 --> 00:45:35,480 Speaker 4: out way flatter than usual twenty six percent against the spread. 973 00:45:35,880 --> 00:45:38,800 Speaker 4: Clemson has some injuries. They have Georgia Tech on deck. 974 00:45:40,000 --> 00:45:41,640 Speaker 4: I don't know, but I'm not interested in Troy that 975 00:45:41,760 --> 00:45:43,040 Speaker 4: a passed or me anything there. 976 00:45:43,960 --> 00:45:45,839 Speaker 3: I would say you'd want to back Clemson Air based 977 00:45:45,880 --> 00:45:48,560 Speaker 3: on history sixties in this exact same spot, sixty six 978 00:45:48,640 --> 00:45:50,799 Speaker 3: on app staied fifty one on Citadel's, sixty six on 979 00:45:50,880 --> 00:45:53,800 Speaker 3: Charleston's Southern, forty eight on FAU, just in recent history 980 00:45:53,840 --> 00:45:56,640 Speaker 3: before a big ACC game play in a sandwich spot 981 00:45:56,680 --> 00:46:00,360 Speaker 3: like this, But at the same time, he did not 982 00:46:00,440 --> 00:46:01,959 Speaker 3: run the ball well at all, and they're still trying 983 00:46:01,960 --> 00:46:04,200 Speaker 3: to identify, you know, they still have a freshman kid 984 00:46:04,239 --> 00:46:05,799 Speaker 3: that they want to get some touches and run the ball. 985 00:46:05,880 --> 00:46:08,200 Speaker 3: Nichol's average four point eight yards per play and scored 986 00:46:08,239 --> 00:46:10,600 Speaker 3: on both red zone attempts against Troy, So they might. 987 00:46:10,560 --> 00:46:12,600 Speaker 5: Just be working on their run game here, which wouldn't. 988 00:46:12,239 --> 00:46:14,200 Speaker 3: Be That's exactly what I was going to say. If 989 00:46:14,200 --> 00:46:15,600 Speaker 3: I was going to make a bet here'd be on 990 00:46:15,640 --> 00:46:18,840 Speaker 3: something with a Clemson running back prop. That's what I 991 00:46:18,840 --> 00:46:19,839 Speaker 3: think is going to happen here. 992 00:46:20,320 --> 00:46:23,920 Speaker 4: Lot, Florida and LSU play each other next week. Florida 993 00:46:23,960 --> 00:46:27,640 Speaker 4: will host USF off that big boise win. My notes 994 00:46:27,680 --> 00:46:29,960 Speaker 4: on Florida, their right tackle is a disaster. They need 995 00:46:29,960 --> 00:46:31,400 Speaker 4: to figure that out because their schedule is one of 996 00:46:31,440 --> 00:46:33,359 Speaker 4: the hardest in the country. He was getting beat by 997 00:46:33,480 --> 00:46:36,960 Speaker 4: Long Island last week USF. They're probably gonna wear down 998 00:46:36,960 --> 00:46:38,959 Speaker 4: in this game against these top tier teams. They usually 999 00:46:39,000 --> 00:46:41,000 Speaker 4: are in it and then get blown out. I think 1000 00:46:41,040 --> 00:46:43,400 Speaker 4: Florida's the side here for what it's worth, but they 1001 00:46:43,440 --> 00:46:45,200 Speaker 4: have LSU on deck. Makes it a little tricky. 1002 00:46:45,480 --> 00:46:46,040 Speaker 5: Do you pull. 1003 00:46:45,920 --> 00:46:48,120 Speaker 4: Lagway Although they now have a backup. The true freshman 1004 00:46:48,160 --> 00:46:49,480 Speaker 4: kid came in. He looked really good. It's not the 1005 00:46:49,560 --> 00:46:51,640 Speaker 4: Yale kid anymore, the true freshman He was like number 1006 00:46:51,640 --> 00:46:53,440 Speaker 4: four a couple of weeks ago. But watch that right 1007 00:46:53,480 --> 00:46:56,239 Speaker 4: tackle spot for Florida. I think Florida is the side 1008 00:46:56,239 --> 00:46:59,320 Speaker 4: and then LSU, LSU LA Tech, LSU thirty seven and 1009 00:46:59,360 --> 00:47:02,320 Speaker 4: a half point favorite. Maybe an under like LICs. You 1010 00:47:02,680 --> 00:47:04,480 Speaker 4: just stay healthy. They probably want to work on the 1011 00:47:04,520 --> 00:47:09,600 Speaker 4: run game like Clemson and LA Tech. I'm sorry their offense, 1012 00:47:09,680 --> 00:47:12,320 Speaker 4: isn't it This kid Kukook he did Juko was supposed 1013 00:47:12,320 --> 00:47:12,839 Speaker 4: to be number three. 1014 00:47:12,880 --> 00:47:14,480 Speaker 5: He won the job. I watched him last week. It 1015 00:47:14,719 --> 00:47:15,080 Speaker 5: was bad. 1016 00:47:15,280 --> 00:47:18,000 Speaker 4: They know they didn't score in the first half against Sela, 1017 00:47:18,800 --> 00:47:21,600 Speaker 4: so he can run it a lot. He's like kind 1018 00:47:21,600 --> 00:47:24,279 Speaker 4: of like a he's just they run an air raid 1019 00:47:24,320 --> 00:47:26,359 Speaker 4: and he just ends up running it. He's fast, he's 1020 00:47:26,360 --> 00:47:28,759 Speaker 4: a good athlete. But they just saw club Nick can 1021 00:47:28,800 --> 00:47:31,640 Speaker 4: shut him down. It's hard for me to see l 1022 00:47:31,760 --> 00:47:34,560 Speaker 4: Tech scoring much. Maybe La Tech live if LSU goes 1023 00:47:34,640 --> 00:47:37,239 Speaker 4: up because LSU just muight shut this down. Maybe an 1024 00:47:37,280 --> 00:47:39,840 Speaker 4: under I just there's a lot of La Tech offenses. 1025 00:47:40,200 --> 00:47:41,520 Speaker 4: I don't know how they do anything here. 1026 00:47:42,160 --> 00:47:46,200 Speaker 3: I think Miami Hurricanes are a play against South Florida 1027 00:47:46,320 --> 00:47:49,520 Speaker 3: on Sunday. USF's got to play this Florida game and 1028 00:47:49,560 --> 00:47:52,040 Speaker 3: the swamp after they have this big victory against Boise, 1029 00:47:52,160 --> 00:47:53,560 Speaker 3: what is their health going to be going in next 1030 00:47:53,560 --> 00:47:55,480 Speaker 3: week against the Hurricanes. Hurricanes are playing. 1031 00:47:55,280 --> 00:47:57,560 Speaker 4: Iron Brown, stay healthy, so you go win the America 1032 00:47:57,800 --> 00:47:59,040 Speaker 4: is uh. 1033 00:47:59,200 --> 00:48:01,480 Speaker 3: Miami's playing with Hugh and Cookman this weekend, so I 1034 00:48:01,480 --> 00:48:03,560 Speaker 3: think they'll be ready to go to take South Florida'll 1035 00:48:03,600 --> 00:48:05,160 Speaker 3: be on their third big game in a row next week, 1036 00:48:05,200 --> 00:48:08,480 Speaker 3: but that's for Sunday. As for this one, Uh, you know, 1037 00:48:09,040 --> 00:48:11,040 Speaker 3: there's no real tell on the Lagway injury. Had one 1038 00:48:11,080 --> 00:48:13,399 Speaker 3: scramble for nine yards, he got pulled, the backup, got 1039 00:48:13,440 --> 00:48:15,920 Speaker 3: some work in. Calf and shoulder injuries are said to 1040 00:48:15,960 --> 00:48:18,560 Speaker 3: be just fine. I'm gonna need to see it in 1041 00:48:18,560 --> 00:48:22,600 Speaker 3: this game, you know, Florida, I don't know. I put 1042 00:48:22,600 --> 00:48:24,359 Speaker 3: this right on seventeen, so it was a no play 1043 00:48:24,360 --> 00:48:26,360 Speaker 3: for me. I think you're right. I think Florida definitely 1044 00:48:26,400 --> 00:48:28,160 Speaker 3: is the play here. I do have a play on 1045 00:48:28,400 --> 00:48:31,040 Speaker 3: l Tech LSU, and you've already alluded to it, like 1046 00:48:31,120 --> 00:48:33,920 Speaker 3: how bad is this law Tech team? They've failed to 1047 00:48:33,960 --> 00:48:37,200 Speaker 3: create a methodical against CELA. You failed to create a 1048 00:48:37,280 --> 00:48:39,799 Speaker 3: ten play drive. La Tech was great. 1049 00:48:39,920 --> 00:48:41,879 Speaker 5: Unfortunately, watched went back and watched most of that game. 1050 00:48:42,040 --> 00:48:44,759 Speaker 3: They were granted three turnovers against CILA and still only 1051 00:48:44,800 --> 00:48:46,080 Speaker 3: won twenty four to zero. 1052 00:48:46,760 --> 00:48:48,600 Speaker 5: Touchdown and almost another one. 1053 00:48:49,400 --> 00:48:53,200 Speaker 3: Listen, Clemson Clemson. When you look at what Clemson did 1054 00:48:53,239 --> 00:48:55,600 Speaker 3: against Eligie's defense, and I went back and come through 1055 00:48:55,600 --> 00:48:57,480 Speaker 3: the box scores and everything. So now I'm a big 1056 00:48:57,480 --> 00:49:01,160 Speaker 3: believer in the LSU defense right, Clemson failed to have 1057 00:49:01,200 --> 00:49:03,840 Speaker 3: an explosive drive. They were stuffed on fifty percent of 1058 00:49:03,880 --> 00:49:07,000 Speaker 3: their rushing attempts and club Nick had to escape from 1059 00:49:07,000 --> 00:49:09,879 Speaker 3: eight quarterback hurries. And the Clemson average distance on third 1060 00:49:09,960 --> 00:49:13,240 Speaker 3: down was eight point five yards. That's that is large 1061 00:49:13,640 --> 00:49:16,720 Speaker 3: And LA Tech, who couldn't create a methodical again, Seela's 1062 00:49:16,719 --> 00:49:19,520 Speaker 3: gonna do something here. The number out there is seven 1063 00:49:19,600 --> 00:49:21,560 Speaker 3: for the team total on l Tech. I took LA 1064 00:49:21,680 --> 00:49:24,880 Speaker 3: Tech under seven, like points. 1065 00:49:25,360 --> 00:49:27,800 Speaker 5: My only worry is, like I think they're better quarterback. 1066 00:49:27,800 --> 00:49:30,160 Speaker 5: I don't. I don't know what Comby's doing. Is the backup? 1067 00:49:30,239 --> 00:49:31,960 Speaker 4: So like if the backup comes in and runs the 1068 00:49:32,000 --> 00:49:34,399 Speaker 4: air raid the kid who was their quarterback last year, 1069 00:49:34,400 --> 00:49:36,080 Speaker 4: But that would be my only worry. 1070 00:49:36,120 --> 00:49:39,399 Speaker 3: But the Sales defense isn't letting up now. 1071 00:49:39,400 --> 00:49:43,120 Speaker 4: I see you on my LSU bendwagon. West Virginia at Ohio. 1072 00:49:43,120 --> 00:49:44,880 Speaker 4: West Virginia open two and a half up out to 1073 00:49:44,920 --> 00:49:47,919 Speaker 4: three and a half. Tough spot for West Virginia. Evy 1074 00:49:48,000 --> 00:49:51,520 Speaker 4: going to Ohio. They have kid on deck, backyard brawl. 1075 00:49:51,680 --> 00:49:57,480 Speaker 4: Really hyped game, especially for rich Rot this points points bonanza. 1076 00:49:57,560 --> 00:50:00,720 Speaker 4: I like the over yeah defense thinks they he lost everyone. 1077 00:50:01,080 --> 00:50:03,799 Speaker 4: West Virginia started to figure out that offense second half 1078 00:50:03,840 --> 00:50:04,400 Speaker 4: last week. 1079 00:50:04,880 --> 00:50:08,080 Speaker 5: Pace should be high here points points points. 1080 00:50:08,400 --> 00:50:11,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, tempo is going to be high for rich Rod, 1081 00:50:11,040 --> 00:50:12,839 Speaker 3: no matter if there's an overlook or not. Eight point 1082 00:50:12,840 --> 00:50:15,400 Speaker 3: two yards per play for West Virginia against Robert Morris, 1083 00:50:15,440 --> 00:50:18,600 Speaker 3: Ohio and Navarro is an absolute truck. It's just something 1084 00:50:18,600 --> 00:50:21,279 Speaker 3: that we should just count on yearly. I guess I 1085 00:50:21,360 --> 00:50:23,600 Speaker 3: missed fifty nine. What's what's it that sixteen and a half? 1086 00:50:23,640 --> 00:50:25,920 Speaker 3: As we're record, it's not coming back. So the next 1087 00:50:26,000 --> 00:50:27,680 Speaker 3: key is sixty two and then sixty five. It's not 1088 00:50:27,719 --> 00:50:30,080 Speaker 3: coming back. So I think there's a lot of points 1089 00:50:30,080 --> 00:50:32,359 Speaker 3: here and it's not gonna stop. Not with the way 1090 00:50:32,440 --> 00:50:34,560 Speaker 3: rich Rod plays, right, he just doesn't slow down and 1091 00:50:34,560 --> 00:50:36,880 Speaker 3: start handing the ball off and say, dive over the 1092 00:50:36,880 --> 00:50:37,319 Speaker 3: A gap. 1093 00:50:37,960 --> 00:50:40,040 Speaker 4: Someone just hit the law tech under who's listening to 1094 00:50:40,080 --> 00:50:41,640 Speaker 4: A said? And that's just move from fifty one and 1095 00:50:41,680 --> 00:50:43,560 Speaker 4: a half and a half, all right, Texas A and 1096 00:50:43,680 --> 00:50:46,239 Speaker 4: m Utah State TEXA AM is notre dame on deck. 1097 00:50:46,719 --> 00:50:48,600 Speaker 5: Maybe don't show as much. I don't know. I made 1098 00:50:48,600 --> 00:50:50,359 Speaker 5: a thirty. I agree with the move out to thirty 1099 00:50:50,360 --> 00:50:50,600 Speaker 5: one in. 1100 00:50:50,600 --> 00:50:53,160 Speaker 3: The Yeah, but Colin Klein needs to be better in 1101 00:50:53,239 --> 00:50:55,799 Speaker 3: standard downs. I mean they at Texas A and M 1102 00:50:55,800 --> 00:50:58,040 Speaker 3: failed to create a methodical drive last week. They averaged 1103 00:50:58,120 --> 00:51:00,000 Speaker 3: nine point two yards to go on third downs left 1104 00:51:00,160 --> 00:51:02,680 Speaker 3: third down attempts. I just don't think Colin Klein called 1105 00:51:02,719 --> 00:51:05,200 Speaker 3: a very good game, and I don't think Utah State 1106 00:51:05,239 --> 00:51:06,840 Speaker 3: was very good either. They were stuffed on fifteen to 1107 00:51:06,840 --> 00:51:09,240 Speaker 3: twenty seven rushing attempts, but they still managed to bust 1108 00:51:09,280 --> 00:51:11,600 Speaker 3: five explosives. It was like boom or bust with them. 1109 00:51:11,640 --> 00:51:13,320 Speaker 3: Either they were tackled behind the line of scrimmage or 1110 00:51:13,360 --> 00:51:16,319 Speaker 3: they busted a big run. So I mean, I make 1111 00:51:16,320 --> 00:51:18,160 Speaker 3: the game thirty two, so it's a pass for me, 1112 00:51:18,920 --> 00:51:21,640 Speaker 3: But I need to see better standard downs out of 1113 00:51:21,680 --> 00:51:23,560 Speaker 3: Texas A and M for me to consider them against 1114 00:51:23,600 --> 00:51:24,040 Speaker 3: Notre Dame. 1115 00:51:24,800 --> 00:51:30,720 Speaker 4: All right, let's do a quick FC yes or no. 1116 00:51:35,080 --> 00:51:40,640 Speaker 7: Southland or SEC, Big Sky or Big ten. It's time 1117 00:51:40,680 --> 00:51:43,200 Speaker 7: to play EPC Yes or no. 1118 00:51:48,400 --> 00:51:50,160 Speaker 4: Well, many more of these games later in the year. 1119 00:51:50,200 --> 00:51:53,640 Speaker 4: But Georgia tennessee fcskames before they play. We'll see if 1120 00:51:53,760 --> 00:51:56,480 Speaker 4: Kirby so and fourteen against spread as a thirty eight 1121 00:51:56,480 --> 00:51:58,840 Speaker 4: plus point there can finally cover. But you wanted to 1122 00:51:58,840 --> 00:51:59,960 Speaker 4: mention Western Carolina Wake. 1123 00:52:00,640 --> 00:52:02,560 Speaker 3: Yeah, well, Wakeskin has a short week coming up, going 1124 00:52:02,560 --> 00:52:04,240 Speaker 3: to NC State, so it's kind of like an FCS 1125 00:52:04,320 --> 00:52:06,160 Speaker 3: or no and or look ahead look away. I mean 1126 00:52:06,480 --> 00:52:08,440 Speaker 3: they have six days to prepare for NC State. Who 1127 00:52:08,440 --> 00:52:11,000 Speaker 3: says that they're not preparing for them? Now? I think 1128 00:52:11,000 --> 00:52:12,840 Speaker 3: this game should be lying around sixteen. I have no 1129 00:52:12,840 --> 00:52:14,799 Speaker 3: clue where the market is. I don't see a lot 1130 00:52:14,840 --> 00:52:16,360 Speaker 3: on the board. I'd have to go dive into a 1131 00:52:16,360 --> 00:52:18,520 Speaker 3: couple of shady books to go find one. Probably, But 1132 00:52:18,800 --> 00:52:20,880 Speaker 3: Western Carolina is coming off of a shootout with Gardner 1133 00:52:20,920 --> 00:52:23,040 Speaker 3: Web fifty two to forty five. They know that they 1134 00:52:23,080 --> 00:52:27,560 Speaker 3: can score points. Wake Forest beat Kennesaw by one. They 1135 00:52:27,600 --> 00:52:30,839 Speaker 3: allowed the owls that of eleven drives be methodical. You're 1136 00:52:30,840 --> 00:52:36,600 Speaker 3: telling me Kennesaw State had four drives of at least 1137 00:52:36,600 --> 00:52:41,040 Speaker 3: ten plays Kinnesau State. Wake Forest is bad. Wake Forest 1138 00:52:41,080 --> 00:52:41,880 Speaker 3: is really bad. 1139 00:52:43,320 --> 00:52:46,160 Speaker 4: Yeah, it's not great. By the way, follow our boy Duck. 1140 00:52:46,760 --> 00:52:49,719 Speaker 4: Step on a duck. Just search Duck in the action app. 1141 00:52:49,719 --> 00:52:52,680 Speaker 4: He's the FCS kingpin. When lines finally drop, you gotta 1142 00:52:52,719 --> 00:52:55,160 Speaker 4: be quick. That's a perfect way to use notifications. 1143 00:52:55,200 --> 00:52:55,719 Speaker 5: Follow him. 1144 00:52:56,120 --> 00:52:58,759 Speaker 4: It's all free in the award winning Action Network AP. 1145 00:52:59,080 --> 00:53:00,200 Speaker 4: And if you're new here and you don't I don't 1146 00:53:00,239 --> 00:53:02,600 Speaker 4: have it, you're missing out in the full BBOC betting experience. 1147 00:53:02,600 --> 00:53:05,439 Speaker 4: We'll be adding plays live plays all throughout the week 1148 00:53:05,440 --> 00:53:07,800 Speaker 4: and weekend. By the way, you can use code BBOC 1149 00:53:07,880 --> 00:53:09,640 Speaker 4: twenty to get twenty hours off if you want a 1150 00:53:09,719 --> 00:53:13,399 Speaker 4: year of Action pro access. Never bet a bet, Never 1151 00:53:13,440 --> 00:53:16,160 Speaker 4: excuse me, never miss a bet for me, Colin Duck 1152 00:53:16,360 --> 00:53:20,759 Speaker 4: the whole squad. Get those immediate notifications, get projections and 1153 00:53:20,800 --> 00:53:25,239 Speaker 4: all kinds of exciting features on the awordining Action never gap. 1154 00:53:25,600 --> 00:53:29,360 Speaker 4: All right, right now, it's time for to trash. 1155 00:53:29,440 --> 00:53:31,319 Speaker 1: The trash man pick of the week. 1156 00:53:31,880 --> 00:53:35,280 Speaker 3: I'm the trash man. Just throw me me trash, your garbage, 1157 00:53:35,560 --> 00:53:38,839 Speaker 3: and you know it. Totally unreliable, undependable. 1158 00:53:39,120 --> 00:53:39,400 Speaker 5: That's it. 1159 00:53:39,480 --> 00:53:40,160 Speaker 4: You've been told off. 1160 00:53:40,160 --> 00:53:40,680 Speaker 6: How do you like that? 1161 00:53:41,120 --> 00:53:41,400 Speaker 7: Good? 1162 00:53:42,640 --> 00:53:45,120 Speaker 5: Each week we're probably gonna have more trash this week. 1163 00:53:45,160 --> 00:53:47,320 Speaker 4: You got a couple, you tell me if you agree. 1164 00:53:47,800 --> 00:53:50,719 Speaker 4: San Jose State plus thirty six and a half against Texas. 1165 00:53:50,920 --> 00:53:53,680 Speaker 4: I'm waiting to see if this goes to plus thirty 1166 00:53:53,680 --> 00:53:54,479 Speaker 4: seven or more. 1167 00:53:55,080 --> 00:53:57,360 Speaker 1: This is going to be awful. 1168 00:53:57,880 --> 00:54:00,200 Speaker 4: But I already told you teams off those loss is 1169 00:54:00,239 --> 00:54:02,600 Speaker 4: top ten matchups and Texas doesn't play anyone for a month, 1170 00:54:02,640 --> 00:54:04,279 Speaker 4: they might come out flatter than you think. Twenty six 1171 00:54:04,280 --> 00:54:06,520 Speaker 4: percent against the spread over the last twenty years, failing 1172 00:54:06,520 --> 00:54:08,160 Speaker 4: to cover by seven and a half points per game, 1173 00:54:08,400 --> 00:54:10,120 Speaker 4: and one of the reasons for that might come out 1174 00:54:10,120 --> 00:54:12,560 Speaker 4: flat lines usually plated. I think this should be under 1175 00:54:12,600 --> 00:54:16,960 Speaker 4: thirty five. San Jose State. They they lost at home, 1176 00:54:16,960 --> 00:54:18,960 Speaker 4: as you know, two touchdown favorites, but they really got 1177 00:54:18,960 --> 00:54:20,880 Speaker 4: shocked by a central Michigan offense that they did not 1178 00:54:21,080 --> 00:54:23,759 Speaker 4: know what to expect. That played into that. Give them 1179 00:54:23,800 --> 00:54:26,319 Speaker 4: a little bit of a break. I think you get 1180 00:54:26,320 --> 00:54:27,880 Speaker 4: the best. It's a veteran team, so I think you 1181 00:54:28,000 --> 00:54:31,160 Speaker 4: get their their max effort here on the road, extra 1182 00:54:31,239 --> 00:54:35,040 Speaker 4: day of prep rest. Texas could come out flatten arch 1183 00:54:35,080 --> 00:54:37,400 Speaker 4: Manning just wasn't accurate. I don't know if they're going 1184 00:54:37,440 --> 00:54:40,480 Speaker 4: to fix all that in a week. So yeah, I 1185 00:54:40,480 --> 00:54:44,560 Speaker 4: think this line's too high. Santjesse State, agree or disagree. 1186 00:54:45,320 --> 00:54:47,960 Speaker 3: Neutral, I'm going to go Texas team total over. How 1187 00:54:47,960 --> 00:54:50,000 Speaker 3: many field goals is Texas going to kick in this game? 1188 00:54:50,040 --> 00:54:53,279 Speaker 3: I would guess zero zero If they don't get this 1189 00:54:53,320 --> 00:54:55,560 Speaker 3: red zone shit figured out. UTEP's easily going to cover 1190 00:54:55,600 --> 00:54:58,040 Speaker 3: a forty four point spread next week, so they I 1191 00:54:58,040 --> 00:54:59,640 Speaker 3: would take a Texas team total over here. 1192 00:55:00,200 --> 00:55:02,520 Speaker 5: Let's go, let's get super ugly. We're going u AB. 1193 00:55:02,719 --> 00:55:05,200 Speaker 3: Baby, that's ugly, so. 1194 00:55:05,440 --> 00:55:15,840 Speaker 5: Boring side in these it's flaming shifty UAB. 1195 00:55:15,960 --> 00:55:18,279 Speaker 4: It's still twenty one and a half out there. I 1196 00:55:18,360 --> 00:55:20,600 Speaker 4: made this eighteen first of all Service Academy over two 1197 00:55:20,600 --> 00:55:22,840 Speaker 4: touchdown favorites. I've talked about this, yell about this for years. 1198 00:55:23,000 --> 00:55:26,719 Speaker 4: They are against dep FBS teams. Service Academies is more 1199 00:55:26,719 --> 00:55:29,000 Speaker 4: than fourteen point favorite twenty seven and forty one against 1200 00:55:29,000 --> 00:55:30,759 Speaker 4: the spreads in two thousand and five. That's thirty nine 1201 00:55:30,760 --> 00:55:34,799 Speaker 4: point seven percent. UAB looked awful last week. Their defense 1202 00:55:34,800 --> 00:55:37,400 Speaker 4: should be healthier. Their offense should be able to move 1203 00:55:37,440 --> 00:55:38,799 Speaker 4: the ball. I mean last week when they played Navy, 1204 00:55:38,800 --> 00:55:40,560 Speaker 4: they lost forty one to eighteen. The spread was five. 1205 00:55:40,680 --> 00:55:42,960 Speaker 4: This is a huge and the Navy, we knew David 1206 00:55:42,960 --> 00:55:44,160 Speaker 4: was would be pretty good. They were four oh at 1207 00:55:44,200 --> 00:55:46,840 Speaker 4: the time. The yardage was four fifty to four hundred. 1208 00:55:46,960 --> 00:55:49,120 Speaker 4: Like UAB just shot itself in its foot penalties at 1209 00:55:49,200 --> 00:55:51,080 Speaker 4: a couple of turnovers. They're be able to move the ball. 1210 00:55:51,080 --> 00:55:52,080 Speaker 4: They're gonna be able to move the ball in this 1211 00:55:52,120 --> 00:55:54,440 Speaker 4: Navy team. The Davy secondary is not as good. They 1212 00:55:54,480 --> 00:55:56,560 Speaker 4: lost three key defensive backs, one of the best pass 1213 00:55:56,560 --> 00:55:58,719 Speaker 4: defenses ever. They lost their two key linebackers. You will 1214 00:55:58,760 --> 00:55:59,879 Speaker 4: be able to move the ball. The question is there 1215 00:56:00,239 --> 00:56:01,400 Speaker 4: are think about getting stops. 1216 00:56:01,600 --> 00:56:03,399 Speaker 5: I don't know. They're relying on a lot of lower 1217 00:56:03,480 --> 00:56:03,879 Speaker 5: level guys. 1218 00:56:03,920 --> 00:56:05,440 Speaker 4: I do like some of the guys they brought back 1219 00:56:05,440 --> 00:56:07,680 Speaker 4: in the secondary, but they didn't perform last week. The 1220 00:56:07,760 --> 00:56:10,440 Speaker 4: key here, obviously, it's a service gut laying over twenty one, 1221 00:56:10,440 --> 00:56:12,160 Speaker 4: so I'm gonna take the dog in most spots. I 1222 00:56:12,200 --> 00:56:13,399 Speaker 4: hate Trent Tilfer. 1223 00:56:13,360 --> 00:56:15,720 Speaker 3: But I'm not afraid to admit that I've been broken 1224 00:56:15,760 --> 00:56:17,000 Speaker 3: by this. And that's a good thing. 1225 00:56:17,280 --> 00:56:18,920 Speaker 5: And this will probably end in an embarrassing fashion. 1226 00:56:18,960 --> 00:56:21,320 Speaker 4: But the key years they hired Steve Ross as defensive 1227 00:56:21,320 --> 00:56:24,440 Speaker 4: coordinator came in spent years at Air Force. That is 1228 00:56:24,880 --> 00:56:28,280 Speaker 4: like a hit netchere and preparing for an offense like Navy, 1229 00:56:28,400 --> 00:56:30,680 Speaker 4: I think over three touchdowns or three touchdowns plus, you 1230 00:56:30,680 --> 00:56:32,960 Speaker 4: gotta take youab give me the Blazers. 1231 00:56:33,200 --> 00:56:34,920 Speaker 3: I make this eight team. I don't really want to 1232 00:56:34,920 --> 00:56:35,359 Speaker 3: admit it. 1233 00:56:35,600 --> 00:56:39,040 Speaker 7: We're trying to twist that towel, twist that towel to 1234 00:56:39,080 --> 00:56:41,160 Speaker 7: maximize every resource that we have. 1235 00:56:41,680 --> 00:56:44,000 Speaker 3: UAB is going to move the ball. My problem is 1236 00:56:44,000 --> 00:56:46,480 Speaker 3: they're still dead last in quality and finishing drives. That 1237 00:56:46,480 --> 00:56:49,160 Speaker 3: ain't gonna get any better. But if there's a saving grace, 1238 00:56:49,760 --> 00:56:52,080 Speaker 3: Navy's offense is still running at thirty point four seconds 1239 00:56:52,120 --> 00:56:54,120 Speaker 3: per play. They're very slow. So that is a big spread, 1240 00:56:54,120 --> 00:56:56,319 Speaker 3: and I make it eighteen. Great, put it on the 1241 00:56:56,320 --> 00:56:59,120 Speaker 3: grey or no, come on, man, let's just put it 1242 00:56:59,120 --> 00:57:01,920 Speaker 3: on trash. Let's just put it on I'll let you 1243 00:57:02,000 --> 00:57:04,040 Speaker 3: take it for the trash. All right. We can't put 1244 00:57:04,080 --> 00:57:07,240 Speaker 3: you a b in that our pristine hollow degree board. 1245 00:57:08,200 --> 00:57:09,680 Speaker 5: Here's the ugliest one. 1246 00:57:10,320 --> 00:57:29,600 Speaker 4: Yeah, ugly that aba somehow Akron, No, I'm probably gonna 1247 00:57:29,760 --> 00:57:31,440 Speaker 4: I'm waiting to see if thirty five pops. 1248 00:57:31,600 --> 00:57:33,640 Speaker 5: I mean, this Nebraska office is no explosiveness. What are 1249 00:57:33,640 --> 00:57:35,400 Speaker 5: they gonna show here? It's rule. We'll shut it down. 1250 00:57:35,400 --> 00:57:37,960 Speaker 5: Once they go up big, we're gonna absolutely murder you. 1251 00:57:38,200 --> 00:57:40,640 Speaker 4: Ackron gets a touchdown here, they cover I know they 1252 00:57:40,640 --> 00:57:41,880 Speaker 4: couldn't get one against Wyoming. 1253 00:57:42,280 --> 00:57:45,880 Speaker 3: Hey, ain't nobody trying to hit that bullshit? 1254 00:57:46,240 --> 00:57:46,479 Speaker 5: Yeah? 1255 00:57:46,480 --> 00:57:49,200 Speaker 4: I have just like thirty one. So you give me 1256 00:57:49,240 --> 00:57:52,840 Speaker 4: thirty five against this like dunk and dunk Nebraska offense. 1257 00:57:53,440 --> 00:57:54,440 Speaker 5: I'm gonna take it. 1258 00:57:54,680 --> 00:57:56,640 Speaker 3: As my Vegas Black Jai dealer says, good luck with 1259 00:57:56,680 --> 00:57:57,040 Speaker 3: your race. 1260 00:57:57,560 --> 00:58:01,400 Speaker 4: Last one. Maybe this is the Let me put this up. 1261 00:58:01,960 --> 00:58:05,439 Speaker 4: I'll say if thirty five, so Akron with a star, 1262 00:58:06,360 --> 00:58:09,200 Speaker 4: last one, which is going up on the board, this 1263 00:58:09,400 --> 00:58:09,840 Speaker 4: is bad. 1264 00:58:10,200 --> 00:58:13,120 Speaker 3: You can't be doing this, Charlotte. Why are you do why? 1265 00:58:13,560 --> 00:58:14,440 Speaker 5: I'm very sorry. 1266 00:58:14,480 --> 00:58:17,160 Speaker 4: I'm not happy with Stucky at all to saying that 1267 00:58:17,280 --> 00:58:17,840 Speaker 4: or doing that. 1268 00:58:18,200 --> 00:58:20,240 Speaker 3: You do? Why? What is this? It is like you 1269 00:58:20,400 --> 00:58:22,520 Speaker 3: missed the week of trash because it was Labor Day, 1270 00:58:22,600 --> 00:58:24,720 Speaker 3: and like you're picking it up on day nine and 1271 00:58:24,840 --> 00:58:25,360 Speaker 3: it's just like. 1272 00:58:25,360 --> 00:58:28,520 Speaker 5: Pile UNC looked awful, Charlotte looked awful. 1273 00:58:28,800 --> 00:58:31,680 Speaker 4: We don't know how their new coaches, new quarterbacks, new rosss. 1274 00:58:31,920 --> 00:58:33,840 Speaker 4: It's hard to peg just how bad they are. Downgraded 1275 00:58:33,840 --> 00:58:34,680 Speaker 4: North Carolina touchdown? 1276 00:58:34,720 --> 00:58:35,080 Speaker 5: Is that enough? 1277 00:58:35,120 --> 00:58:36,920 Speaker 4: Is it too little? As I'm overreacting, I don't know. 1278 00:58:37,000 --> 00:58:38,440 Speaker 4: Did I downgrade Charlotte enough or not? 1279 00:58:38,640 --> 00:58:39,080 Speaker 5: I don't know. 1280 00:58:39,240 --> 00:58:41,800 Speaker 4: They both look horrendous. Here's the thing, I gotta play 1281 00:58:41,800 --> 00:58:44,720 Speaker 4: the spot. Two touchdowns plus I need to play the spot. 1282 00:58:44,720 --> 00:58:45,240 Speaker 5: I need to prove. 1283 00:58:45,360 --> 00:58:47,200 Speaker 4: I need to make in North Carolina, prove they can 1284 00:58:47,240 --> 00:58:49,400 Speaker 4: win a game AGAINSTPS team by more than two touchdowns. 1285 00:58:49,440 --> 00:58:51,280 Speaker 5: What is the spot? Number one? It's the super. 1286 00:58:51,040 --> 00:58:54,160 Speaker 4: Bowl for north Ford Charlotte in their home stadium against 1287 00:58:54,160 --> 00:58:56,960 Speaker 4: the in state older brother. Number two. North Carolina played 1288 00:58:57,000 --> 00:58:59,760 Speaker 4: on Monday night. Yeah, they played on Monday night. Charlotte 1289 00:58:59,760 --> 00:59:03,080 Speaker 4: played on Friday. Yeah, they got a brand new team, 1290 00:59:03,120 --> 00:59:05,920 Speaker 4: brand new roster. Those extra days are important, and this 1291 00:59:05,960 --> 00:59:08,160 Speaker 4: four day turnout is an emotional game, a ton of hype, 1292 00:59:08,360 --> 00:59:10,960 Speaker 4: ESPN all this, and who knows that Belichick might be 1293 00:59:11,080 --> 00:59:13,600 Speaker 4: they just might have built this roster completely wrong. You 1294 00:59:13,680 --> 00:59:15,600 Speaker 4: might be in over his head. How many what can 1295 00:59:15,640 --> 00:59:18,360 Speaker 4: he actually implement in four days? Prove to me you 1296 00:59:18,360 --> 00:59:20,560 Speaker 4: can win this game by more than two touchdowns? Give 1297 00:59:20,600 --> 00:59:26,240 Speaker 4: me Charlotte. 1298 00:59:29,360 --> 00:59:31,280 Speaker 3: I can't go with I mean, okay, I get it. 1299 00:59:31,440 --> 00:59:34,440 Speaker 3: The spot's big. I like North Carolina and Geo Lopez. 1300 00:59:34,520 --> 00:59:37,520 Speaker 5: Oh god, Julia Lopez might not even start. It's probably 1301 00:59:37,520 --> 00:59:40,920 Speaker 5: gonna be Max Johnson. Oh, I'm playing the spot here, 1302 00:59:41,120 --> 00:59:43,080 Speaker 5: all right. That's it for trash. 1303 00:59:43,160 --> 00:59:47,000 Speaker 4: It is ugly u ab Santase State at Texas. Maybe 1304 00:59:47,040 --> 00:59:49,280 Speaker 4: Akron and Charlotte Wawn. 1305 00:59:49,720 --> 00:59:52,680 Speaker 3: I gotta say I'm a little ashamed of you. I'd 1306 00:59:52,680 --> 00:59:56,040 Speaker 3: just like to ask you something. How much is enough? 1307 00:59:56,280 --> 00:59:58,680 Speaker 5: So we do around here? Hold your nose, all right, 1308 00:59:58,760 --> 00:59:59,120 Speaker 5: let's go. 1309 01:00:00,560 --> 01:00:03,800 Speaker 4: Quick quarterback news. Texas Tech Baron Morton might not go 1310 01:00:03,800 --> 01:00:06,120 Speaker 4: against Kent State. I would imagine under there it's scary, 1311 01:00:06,160 --> 01:00:08,200 Speaker 4: but Kent State they're just gonna run it a million 1312 01:00:08,200 --> 01:00:11,840 Speaker 4: times and not score. Yeah, Texas Tech probably scores Ford 1313 01:00:11,880 --> 01:00:12,920 Speaker 4: to fifteen stops. 1314 01:00:12,960 --> 01:00:16,760 Speaker 5: I think. I don't know, but under maybe Wisconsin is 1315 01:00:16,800 --> 01:00:18,080 Speaker 5: Billy Edward's playing, probably not. 1316 01:00:18,320 --> 01:00:20,760 Speaker 3: I think we I think next week I all that them. 1317 01:00:20,600 --> 01:00:25,080 Speaker 4: On deck YEP, I haven't got Yeah, Danny O'Neil's starting Hawaii. 1318 01:00:25,320 --> 01:00:28,600 Speaker 4: Dead line's come way down against Sam Houston because Alojedo's 1319 01:00:28,640 --> 01:00:30,680 Speaker 4: out or I assume he's out. 1320 01:00:30,760 --> 01:00:34,520 Speaker 5: Is that announced yet? I haven't seen that announced, but 1321 01:00:34,640 --> 01:00:36,720 Speaker 5: I assume he's out. He was really banged up. 1322 01:00:36,800 --> 01:00:39,000 Speaker 4: The boot is off his foot, but he's still not practicing, 1323 01:00:39,400 --> 01:00:42,720 Speaker 4: so I assume he's out. 1324 01:00:42,960 --> 01:00:43,360 Speaker 5: It's off. 1325 01:00:43,400 --> 01:00:46,840 Speaker 4: I have Sam as a Sam Houston state under. I 1326 01:00:47,160 --> 01:00:49,560 Speaker 4: would actually lean Hawaii under seven if once. If he's 1327 01:00:49,640 --> 01:00:51,960 Speaker 4: ruled out, all right, let's go nowhere fast. 1328 01:00:53,640 --> 01:00:56,480 Speaker 2: You are about to enter a world unlike any you've 1329 01:00:56,520 --> 01:00:57,520 Speaker 2: ever seen before. 1330 01:00:58,240 --> 01:01:26,480 Speaker 6: We're the beautiful, the brutal, and the brave. All meat. 1331 01:01:18,720 --> 01:01:22,840 Speaker 4: Collin on San Diego State. They are at Washington State. 1332 01:01:23,800 --> 01:01:26,640 Speaker 4: I like them in the spot. Washington State's a disaster. 1333 01:01:27,720 --> 01:01:33,080 Speaker 4: They should have lost last week at home to Idaho. 1334 01:01:33,440 --> 01:01:35,800 Speaker 4: Who and by the way, that house didn't even start. 1335 01:01:35,840 --> 01:01:37,280 Speaker 5: What is going on in Washington State? 1336 01:01:38,400 --> 01:01:43,240 Speaker 4: They said that they liked like Idaho a game them 1337 01:01:43,240 --> 01:01:47,160 Speaker 4: to twenty one to two eleven. Would the Fresnos transfer 1338 01:01:47,240 --> 01:01:49,400 Speaker 4: went twelve to twenty for thirty three yards and they 1339 01:01:49,400 --> 01:01:55,000 Speaker 4: should have won, they said. Washington State's head coach said 1340 01:01:55,200 --> 01:01:59,280 Speaker 4: he'd liked the way that Potter saw the like zone reading. 1341 01:01:59,480 --> 01:02:00,720 Speaker 4: He didn't see any of it. I don't know what 1342 01:02:00,760 --> 01:02:04,000 Speaker 4: the hell are they doing there. I like San Diego State, 1343 01:02:04,000 --> 01:02:05,080 Speaker 4: But do you have anything on the total? 1344 01:02:05,320 --> 01:02:07,200 Speaker 3: Yeah? I mean I like that too, but we're gonna 1345 01:02:07,200 --> 01:02:10,760 Speaker 3: go over on the total. San Diego State Aztec fast 1346 01:02:10,760 --> 01:02:12,760 Speaker 3: was actually twenty seven seconds per play, but I think 1347 01:02:12,760 --> 01:02:14,000 Speaker 3: a lot of that came in the second half. They 1348 01:02:14,000 --> 01:02:15,760 Speaker 3: were up forty five to zero. They could not get 1349 01:02:15,760 --> 01:02:18,320 Speaker 3: any help from Stony Brook Ands getting points scored whatsoever. 1350 01:02:18,720 --> 01:02:20,080 Speaker 3: But this week, I think that that'll be a little 1351 01:02:20,080 --> 01:02:23,160 Speaker 3: bit diferent. Think Washington State can contribute here. Both teams 1352 01:02:23,360 --> 01:02:26,560 Speaker 3: graded out bottom twenty and tackling San Diego State failed 1353 01:02:26,600 --> 01:02:30,760 Speaker 3: to produce any havoc whatsoever against Stony Brook. That's kind 1354 01:02:30,800 --> 01:02:33,560 Speaker 3: of strange. And Washington State failed to stuff Idaho on 1355 01:02:33,640 --> 01:02:37,040 Speaker 3: any rushing attempts. Like what? All right? So I just 1356 01:02:37,080 --> 01:02:39,400 Speaker 3: don't see either defense putting any kind of resistance in 1357 01:02:40,520 --> 01:02:41,440 Speaker 3: So let's go over. 1358 01:02:42,240 --> 01:02:44,760 Speaker 5: At KALs Is. Now, the listed is the third quarterback? 1359 01:02:45,200 --> 01:02:45,959 Speaker 3: Zeb's third? 1360 01:02:46,400 --> 01:02:47,360 Speaker 5: Yeah, QB three. 1361 01:02:47,600 --> 01:02:48,360 Speaker 3: I thought he was good. 1362 01:02:49,040 --> 01:02:50,720 Speaker 5: The bad things are going on in Pullman. 1363 01:02:51,000 --> 01:02:56,560 Speaker 4: All right, Let's talk Arkansas football, Arkansas State at Arkansas, 1364 01:02:57,000 --> 01:02:59,720 Speaker 4: or I should say in Little Rock Arkansas State. 1365 01:02:59,720 --> 01:03:03,400 Speaker 5: Money on wolves, woo pig suey. 1366 01:03:04,440 --> 01:03:06,720 Speaker 3: Absolute dumpster fined dumps for fine. I don't know how 1367 01:03:06,760 --> 01:03:08,320 Speaker 3: we win a game the rest of the year. Just 1368 01:03:08,360 --> 01:03:10,520 Speaker 3: blow a program up, give us a death sentence. 1369 01:03:10,960 --> 01:03:13,280 Speaker 1: Collins talking razorback football? 1370 01:03:14,920 --> 01:03:17,080 Speaker 3: Are you kidding? What are you talking about? Why would 1371 01:03:17,120 --> 01:03:17,840 Speaker 3: you even say like. 1372 01:03:18,160 --> 01:03:21,240 Speaker 5: I'm trying to like you need it for the content content? 1373 01:03:21,440 --> 01:03:24,560 Speaker 3: Look, listen, First off, Pippin's already making excuses. He comes 1374 01:03:24,600 --> 01:03:26,360 Speaker 3: out and he starts bitching about how this game is 1375 01:03:26,360 --> 01:03:28,040 Speaker 3: in a Little Rock. That means we have thirty thousand 1376 01:03:28,160 --> 01:03:30,840 Speaker 3: less fans. It's a shorter drive from Jonesborough to Little 1377 01:03:30,920 --> 01:03:33,880 Speaker 3: Rock that it is from Fayetteville to Little Rock. And 1378 01:03:33,960 --> 01:03:36,280 Speaker 3: he was stressing that all the pressure's on Arkansas and 1379 01:03:36,280 --> 01:03:38,520 Speaker 3: I'm just listening to him just bitching and bitching and 1380 01:03:38,560 --> 01:03:41,960 Speaker 3: bitching about like if we lose, well, it's really an 1381 01:03:42,040 --> 01:03:44,840 Speaker 3: Arkansas State home game because it's closer for them to 1382 01:03:44,840 --> 01:03:46,600 Speaker 3: make the drive for all their fans and we lose 1383 01:03:46,600 --> 01:03:50,120 Speaker 3: thirty thousand fans playing at war Wars State quit making excuses. 1384 01:03:51,440 --> 01:03:53,600 Speaker 3: Simo average five point three yards per play. They went 1385 01:03:53,640 --> 01:03:56,960 Speaker 3: over the national average and explosive methodicals against Arkansas State's defense, 1386 01:03:57,000 --> 01:03:59,720 Speaker 3: So I don't expect Taylor Green in our offense to 1387 01:03:59,800 --> 01:04:02,400 Speaker 3: have any issues whatsoever moving up and down the field. 1388 01:04:02,880 --> 01:04:08,000 Speaker 3: Arkansas State's defense forced five quarterback hurries, three sacks, and 1389 01:04:08,040 --> 01:04:12,280 Speaker 3: six TFLs. Here's what worries me about Arkansas. Alabama A 1390 01:04:12,320 --> 01:04:14,600 Speaker 3: and M had five tackles for lost, two sacks and 1391 01:04:14,640 --> 01:04:18,240 Speaker 3: three quarterback hurries. Taylor Green was escaping the pocket for 1392 01:04:18,320 --> 01:04:23,040 Speaker 3: his life against Alabama A and M. Mike Washington Junior 1393 01:04:23,120 --> 01:04:25,440 Speaker 3: is the real deal. At running back, Omega Blake is, 1394 01:04:25,480 --> 01:04:27,360 Speaker 3: like I'm telling you, stuck if you have not laid 1395 01:04:27,360 --> 01:04:30,320 Speaker 3: eyes on Omega Blake. Five yards per route run seven catches, 1396 01:04:30,400 --> 01:04:32,560 Speaker 3: hundred twenty yards. He did that shit at Charlotte. Last year, 1397 01:04:33,240 --> 01:04:37,560 Speaker 3: Arkansas offense had no success rate fourteen third downs. Average 1398 01:04:37,560 --> 01:04:40,000 Speaker 3: does to go was nine point one yards against Alabama 1399 01:04:40,040 --> 01:04:44,320 Speaker 3: A and M. The d allowed six explosive passes to 1400 01:04:44,400 --> 01:04:49,360 Speaker 3: Alabama A and M over over over over over. 1401 01:04:49,520 --> 01:04:52,680 Speaker 4: Over Arc State money line. Alright, before we get out 1402 01:04:52,720 --> 01:04:54,760 Speaker 4: of here, let's go three and out. 1403 01:04:57,360 --> 01:04:59,520 Speaker 7: Let's make it a quick three and out. 1404 01:05:00,600 --> 01:05:02,920 Speaker 5: All right, Friday night lights. I'm not gonna spend much 1405 01:05:02,920 --> 01:05:05,760 Speaker 5: time on this JAMU at Louisville. 1406 01:05:05,720 --> 01:05:08,600 Speaker 3: That's here, gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts. 1407 01:05:09,440 --> 01:05:13,680 Speaker 4: Let's go play my numbers say Louisville is the play 1408 01:05:13,760 --> 01:05:17,400 Speaker 4: at under two touchdowns at fourteen. It's a pass. I 1409 01:05:17,400 --> 01:05:20,480 Speaker 4: wouldn't hate it if you took over the two touchdowns. 1410 01:05:20,680 --> 01:05:23,920 Speaker 4: This line has been going back and forth around the fourteen, 1411 01:05:23,960 --> 01:05:25,480 Speaker 4: which I think makes sense. I mean, I projected in 1412 01:05:25,520 --> 01:05:28,040 Speaker 4: Louisville minus fifteen, and now you at Maryland this line 1413 01:05:28,400 --> 01:05:30,520 Speaker 4: bin yo yo ing. I want no part of NIU, 1414 01:05:30,640 --> 01:05:34,320 Speaker 4: Maryland's truest quarterback looked impressive. Then I you you got 1415 01:05:34,360 --> 01:05:35,720 Speaker 4: anything on either one of these games. 1416 01:05:35,480 --> 01:05:38,200 Speaker 3: And now you no explosive drives below four yards per 1417 01:05:38,200 --> 01:05:41,040 Speaker 3: play with this new West Coast offense against holy Cross. 1418 01:05:41,760 --> 01:05:43,959 Speaker 3: I mean, you just can't touch that at all. Maybe 1419 01:05:44,040 --> 01:05:46,160 Speaker 3: maybe an NU team total under I don't know. And 1420 01:05:46,280 --> 01:05:48,880 Speaker 3: JMU Louisville, I think that's an overall the way. You know, 1421 01:05:49,040 --> 01:05:51,080 Speaker 3: what you see is two interceptions out of Miller Moss, 1422 01:05:51,080 --> 01:05:53,200 Speaker 3: but he had zero turnover worthy plays. He actually had 1423 01:05:53,200 --> 01:05:55,360 Speaker 3: three big time throws, so it's kind of misleading because 1424 01:05:55,400 --> 01:05:58,760 Speaker 3: the interceptions weren't really on him. And JMU had six 1425 01:05:58,800 --> 01:06:01,320 Speaker 3: point five yards per play against Weaver, which is typically 1426 01:06:01,920 --> 01:06:05,680 Speaker 3: a really good FCS defense. Both Barnett and Sluker are 1427 01:06:05,720 --> 01:06:08,000 Speaker 3: still competing big time. I don't expect. I don't know 1428 01:06:08,000 --> 01:06:09,960 Speaker 3: if Jamie's down by twenty one or twenty eight. They're 1429 01:06:10,000 --> 01:06:12,560 Speaker 3: still chucking and trying to play with these quarterback battle 1430 01:06:12,600 --> 01:06:13,000 Speaker 3: that's going on. 1431 01:06:13,120 --> 01:06:15,040 Speaker 5: Yeah, that's why the fourteen is so big in this game. 1432 01:06:15,280 --> 01:06:18,000 Speaker 3: I like the over I don't think they stop either 1433 01:06:18,040 --> 01:06:18,360 Speaker 3: of them. 1434 01:06:18,440 --> 01:06:21,520 Speaker 4: All right, let's go second out favorite overdog. That's our 1435 01:06:21,560 --> 01:06:22,440 Speaker 4: favorite favorite. 1436 01:06:22,600 --> 01:06:24,200 Speaker 3: It's called the over doggs partway. 1437 01:06:24,440 --> 01:06:25,840 Speaker 5: I got three Rutgers. 1438 01:06:26,040 --> 01:06:28,680 Speaker 4: I know they burned us last week Miama, Ohios, and 1439 01:06:28,720 --> 01:06:31,120 Speaker 4: I know Rutgers defense is bad, but special teams can 1440 01:06:31,160 --> 01:06:32,600 Speaker 4: watch each other out here. That's usually a big Mia 1441 01:06:32,680 --> 01:06:35,280 Speaker 4: of Ohio advantage. To my Ohio offense is lost, it's gonna 1442 01:06:35,280 --> 01:06:36,800 Speaker 4: be lost early in the season. So I think the 1443 01:06:36,880 --> 01:06:40,400 Speaker 4: Rutgers de bounces back. Shiano probably gonna make some key 1444 01:06:40,440 --> 01:06:43,400 Speaker 4: adjustments here and they can score. Like I was gonna 1445 01:06:43,400 --> 01:06:45,600 Speaker 4: try to take away the exposed to play, but that's 1446 01:06:45,640 --> 01:06:47,320 Speaker 4: not really the Rutgers offense. I like the way the 1447 01:06:47,400 --> 01:06:49,919 Speaker 4: Rutgers offense looks. They scored like thirty plus and seven 1448 01:06:49,920 --> 01:06:51,680 Speaker 4: straight kings. I also don't hate like a MIAs Ohio 1449 01:06:51,760 --> 01:06:56,200 Speaker 4: team total under, but I like Rutgers Pitt. I think 1450 01:06:56,240 --> 01:07:01,720 Speaker 4: Pitt is gonna just come out and destroy and since 1451 01:07:01,760 --> 01:07:05,680 Speaker 4: he same two similar things Central Michigan. We liked them 1452 01:07:05,680 --> 01:07:09,120 Speaker 4: for the mac but that they're not built to beat 1453 01:07:09,160 --> 01:07:14,280 Speaker 4: Pitt like Pitt or number one saw the offense, so 1454 01:07:14,320 --> 01:07:16,680 Speaker 4: there's no element of surprise here. The strength of the 1455 01:07:16,720 --> 01:07:21,280 Speaker 4: pit defense is up front, their linebackers, specifically, You're not 1456 01:07:21,320 --> 01:07:23,240 Speaker 4: gonna you're not going to run it. How do you 1457 01:07:23,240 --> 01:07:25,200 Speaker 4: beat the pit defense. You got to attack their outside. 1458 01:07:25,200 --> 01:07:26,880 Speaker 4: They play quarters of their corners are on the islands. 1459 01:07:26,920 --> 01:07:29,240 Speaker 4: That's not Central Michigan. I don't know how Central Michigan 1460 01:07:29,240 --> 01:07:31,880 Speaker 4: scores here or sustains drives. They do want to slow 1461 01:07:31,920 --> 01:07:34,000 Speaker 4: the game down, which just makes a tricky to late 1462 01:07:34,040 --> 01:07:36,160 Speaker 4: twenty one. They're kind of like Service academy es, but 1463 01:07:37,080 --> 01:07:39,760 Speaker 4: pick goes fast. They're built to like kind of blow 1464 01:07:39,800 --> 01:07:43,720 Speaker 4: out these clearly inferior teams. And then since he Satafeld's 1465 01:07:43,760 --> 01:07:45,480 Speaker 4: usually good as a double digit favor you don't want 1466 01:07:45,520 --> 01:07:47,240 Speaker 4: them in close games. If this game is close, then 1467 01:07:47,320 --> 01:07:50,560 Speaker 4: blow it all up. Bowling Green last week was not impressive. Drew, 1468 01:07:50,680 --> 01:07:52,600 Speaker 4: They're gonna it's gonna take time, but they lost a 1469 01:07:52,640 --> 01:07:55,480 Speaker 4: lot from their defense. Drew Pine was not good. He 1470 01:07:55,600 --> 01:07:57,120 Speaker 4: is not good. How are the how are they gonna 1471 01:07:57,120 --> 01:07:57,760 Speaker 4: score in this game? 1472 01:07:57,800 --> 01:07:59,320 Speaker 3: I don't know. 1473 01:07:59,320 --> 01:08:00,800 Speaker 4: I mean, this should be like the Houston game match 1474 01:08:00,920 --> 01:08:04,000 Speaker 4: like thirty four nothing so Pitt Sincy and Rutgers, how 1475 01:08:04,000 --> 01:08:04,320 Speaker 4: about you. 1476 01:08:04,960 --> 01:08:06,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna start off with Orgon. I think that 1477 01:08:06,480 --> 01:08:09,360 Speaker 3: number should be thirty four against Oklahoma State. But furthermore, 1478 01:08:09,440 --> 01:08:13,240 Speaker 3: Dan Lanning is I've heard enough Dan Lanning speak in 1479 01:08:13,240 --> 01:08:15,440 Speaker 3: my life. I know he's taking subtle shots about what 1480 01:08:15,440 --> 01:08:17,439 Speaker 3: it means to have a program that spends money in 1481 01:08:17,479 --> 01:08:19,759 Speaker 3: a program that doesn't spend money, and how college football 1482 01:08:19,760 --> 01:08:21,439 Speaker 3: is separat himself with the programs that spend money in 1483 01:08:21,439 --> 01:08:23,679 Speaker 3: the programs I don't he was talking directly about Oklahoma State, 1484 01:08:24,560 --> 01:08:26,920 Speaker 3: and he I've heard enough speak out of daan Land 1485 01:08:26,960 --> 01:08:28,400 Speaker 3: and know when he's ready to put an ass whooping 1486 01:08:28,439 --> 01:08:34,920 Speaker 3: on somebody. So Michigan, Yeah, so I'm saying orgon minus, 1487 01:08:35,000 --> 01:08:37,080 Speaker 3: I got minus twenty seven. We actually had to dip 1488 01:08:37,080 --> 01:08:38,759 Speaker 3: down a twenty seven and a half at one book today. 1489 01:08:38,800 --> 01:08:40,240 Speaker 3: So just look for the best number there and then 1490 01:08:40,240 --> 01:08:42,680 Speaker 3: Penn State. Look if you just weren't a part of 1491 01:08:42,680 --> 01:08:47,000 Speaker 3: what happened last week. James Franklin has been covering openers 1492 01:08:47,000 --> 01:08:48,800 Speaker 3: for years and he tries to cover every time he can. 1493 01:08:48,840 --> 01:08:50,400 Speaker 3: No matter if he's got to kick a field goal 1494 01:08:50,479 --> 01:08:52,400 Speaker 3: with two seconds left and he's up by fifty, it 1495 01:08:52,400 --> 01:08:54,080 Speaker 3: doesn't matter, he's going to try to cover the number. 1496 01:08:54,160 --> 01:08:57,639 Speaker 3: Last week, the refs really kind of tinkered and screwed 1497 01:08:57,680 --> 01:08:59,479 Speaker 3: around and didn't let Franklin do what he wanted to do. 1498 01:08:59,479 --> 01:09:01,040 Speaker 3: At the end of the game. And then Nevada went 1499 01:09:01,080 --> 01:09:03,040 Speaker 3: down and scored a touchdown and Franklin didn't cover and 1500 01:09:03,080 --> 01:09:07,960 Speaker 3: he bitched about it like postgame presser. I guarantee Penn 1501 01:09:08,000 --> 01:09:10,360 Speaker 3: State is going to do everything to cover that number 1502 01:09:10,400 --> 01:09:12,760 Speaker 3: this week. That's just who Jim's day. It is just 1503 01:09:12,800 --> 01:09:14,120 Speaker 3: completely a James Franklin play. 1504 01:09:14,280 --> 01:09:17,599 Speaker 4: That is all right, third down, underdog money line parlay, 1505 01:09:17,640 --> 01:09:22,280 Speaker 4: favorite underdog money line. 1506 01:09:21,640 --> 01:09:26,559 Speaker 1: Turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for the 1507 01:09:26,720 --> 01:09:28,040 Speaker 1: money line parlay. 1508 01:09:29,120 --> 01:09:31,240 Speaker 5: I'll go with Miss State already talked about that earlier. 1509 01:09:31,560 --> 01:09:34,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, and you Oh, I'm going Duke. I love Miss 1510 01:09:34,400 --> 01:09:36,320 Speaker 3: say Too. I love this one for us this week. 1511 01:09:36,200 --> 01:09:38,920 Speaker 4: All right, Miss State and Duke. By the way, Live 1512 01:09:38,960 --> 01:09:41,000 Speaker 4: show will be back Saturday. Make sure you check out 1513 01:09:41,040 --> 01:09:43,720 Speaker 4: the Group of five guys. They're on fire for their episode, 1514 01:09:43,800 --> 01:09:46,080 Speaker 4: but we'll be back ten thirty am Eastern on Twitter. 1515 01:09:46,560 --> 01:09:49,200 Speaker 4: Tweet out the link, give our updated favorite plays, talk 1516 01:09:49,240 --> 01:09:51,320 Speaker 4: about the slate. Make sure you download the ward winning 1517 01:09:51,320 --> 01:09:54,040 Speaker 4: action over gat. Make sure you check out playbook on Twitter. 1518 01:09:54,240 --> 01:09:57,320 Speaker 4: Thanks for tuning in, Thanks to Colin, Thanks to our 1519 01:09:57,360 --> 01:10:00,000 Speaker 4: producer managed so much, Scoreley, Thanks to all of you. 1520 01:10:00,000 --> 01:10:02,280 Speaker 4: We're always tuning in. Make sure you subscraping. Sub scraptail. 1521 01:10:02,280 --> 01:10:03,960 Speaker 4: Friendt Tell onnemy plea a five star review. I really 1522 01:10:03,960 --> 01:10:07,080 Speaker 4: appreciate you guys. Let's keep it moving, Let's keep it rolling. 1523 01:10:07,520 --> 01:10:11,240 Speaker 5: We're back. It's good to be back. Catch ya later. Cheers. Please. 1524 01:10:11,240 --> 01:10:25,600 Speaker 1: Out Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you 1525 01:10:25,880 --> 01:10:28,639 Speaker 1: or someone you care about has a gambling problem, help 1526 01:10:28,720 --> 01:10:31,439 Speaker 1: is available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred 1527 01:10:31,439 --> 01:10:31,919 Speaker 1: gambler