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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Thursday morning edition of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Perotz. You

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Speaker 2: can follow me on Twitter at sports dot Matt. You

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Speaker 2: can follow Betting Pros on Twitter at Betting Pros NFL.

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Speaker 2: Every Morning, YouTube and wherever you get your podcasts always

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Speaker 2: being brought to you by bet MGM and our twenty

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Speaker 2: buck offer to win one hundred dollars automatically on any

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Speaker 2: event with that promo co Juice one hundred. When you

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Speaker 2: sign for a new account with BETMGM, betangm dot com

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Speaker 2: or on the betmgm application, you can take that BETMGM

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Speaker 2: offer for one of the three plays I've got going

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Speaker 2: for you guys here today. So look, let me just

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Speaker 2: kind of set the scene for where we are here today.

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Speaker 2: This is an awkward day, Okay. I've already given you

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Speaker 2: one play for the Hall of Fame game. It's the

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Speaker 2: only play I'm making on the Hall of Fame game. Now,

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Speaker 2: we have the Discord bet conversation coming up today. That's

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Speaker 2: going to happen somewhere around like three thirty Pacific time

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Speaker 2: six thirty Eastern time. We'll chat for fifteen to twenty minutes.

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Speaker 2: I'm doing my radio show from the d in downtown

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Speaker 2: in Las Vegas. So I'll pack up the equipment, get

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Speaker 2: in my car, come home, then we'll do the chat.

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Speaker 2: So we're going to do that for you guys leading

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Speaker 2: into the Hall of Fame game with the Steelers and

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Speaker 2: the Cowboys.

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Speaker 1: If you want to make a play on that.

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Speaker 2: We're seven to ten on the Discord channel bet so

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Speaker 2: Discord bet, so you guys will make a play coming

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Speaker 2: up for that for today on Thursday, which could be

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Speaker 2: on the Hall of Fame game.

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Speaker 1: So I'm going to go a little light.

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Speaker 2: Because you guys are going to make a bet for

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Speaker 2: me coming up here today. I've got two baseball plays

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Speaker 2: on one baseball game. Dan Harris hit last night. I

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Speaker 2: missed my Red Sox bet. He hit his bet on

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Speaker 2: the Braves to beat the Cardinals coming from behind to

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Speaker 2: win that game.

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Speaker 1: So one in one yesterday in baseball.

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Speaker 2: But we've got four bets going right now, Team USA

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Speaker 2: in Australia, Team USA laying ten and a half in

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Speaker 2: the under one eighty one and taking the France. In

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Speaker 2: Slovenia laid two and a half with Slovenia and taking

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Speaker 2: the under one seventy six and a half for those

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Speaker 2: two games. Four bets going right now at the time

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Speaker 2: of taping, it's super early. It is right now it

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Speaker 2: is six to nine Australia with five to play in

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Speaker 2: the first quarter. Okay, so we got a ways to go.

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Speaker 2: Unders off to a halfway decent start, but we're on.

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Speaker 2: We got a ways to go for that game before

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Speaker 2: we may really have anything to say about it. So

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Speaker 2: four plays are going, so one in one with four

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Speaker 2: plays to go, So we have no idea what the night,

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Speaker 2: what the day is going to look like.

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Speaker 1: So I want to see where we are.

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Speaker 2: Obviously, we'll get up in the morning and have a

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Speaker 2: pretty good idea as to where we are, so I

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Speaker 2: don't want to go too crazy here. So I got

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Speaker 2: two baseball plays for you and one golf bet to

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Speaker 2: make to give you. I'm going to give it to

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Speaker 2: you right here at the top because these guys tee

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Speaker 2: off pretty early in the morning. I think it's ten thirty,

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Speaker 2: I think is when we're gonna see both Cam Smith

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Speaker 2: and Victor Hovelin t off, and it's at the Saint

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Speaker 2: Judes WGC tournament. Both these guys did play at the Olympics,

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Speaker 2: and so both guys will be jet lagged. However, here's

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Speaker 2: an interesting little stat going into this tournament. So Victor

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Speaker 2: Hovelin didn't play well last year at this golf tournament,

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Speaker 2: first time ever playing it two times for cam Smith.

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Speaker 2: The first time he played it, he tied for twelve.

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Speaker 2: The second time he played it, he didn't do all

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Speaker 2: that well. But Cam Smith right now in the PGA

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Speaker 2: Tour has the number one scoring average in the first round.

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Speaker 2: Number one scoring average tied for sixty sixth is Victor Hovelin. Okay,

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Speaker 2: this is a golf course. I think it sets up

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Speaker 2: very well. There's no cut, by the way here for

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Speaker 2: this Okay, everyone makes the cut. So if you want

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Speaker 2: to jump on somebody to win this tournament, they have

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Speaker 2: a bad first round, it's not that big of a deal.

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Speaker 2: But I think there's some value here if you look

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Speaker 2: at the way both guys played. They both played very well.

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Speaker 2: In the Olympics. Victor Hovelin tied for fourteenth, camp Smith

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Speaker 2: tied for tenth. Am Smith tied shot fourteen hundred, par

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Speaker 2: went seventy one, sixty seven, sixty six, sixty six.

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Speaker 1: Victor Hoblin went sixty eight beat him in round one

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Speaker 1: over into.

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Speaker 2: In Tokyo sixty nine sixty seven sixty four, shot a

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Speaker 2: round four sixty four, rocketed up the leaderboard after kind of,

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Speaker 2: you know, to tooling around Smith seventy one sixty seven

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Speaker 2: sixty six sixty six, very consistent after figuring out the

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Speaker 2: golf course in round number one and a little bit

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Speaker 2: of anomaly for him obviously not shooting well in round

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Speaker 2: number one. It cost him basically a medal given how

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Speaker 2: he played the final three days over there, but he

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Speaker 2: shot seventy one.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna say, coming.

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Speaker 2: Back here at Circus Sports in Vegas, where I'm going

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Speaker 2: to be hanging out today from a radio show, you

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Speaker 2: can get Cam Smith in a first round head to

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Speaker 2: head with Victor Hovelin at plus one forty eight.

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Speaker 1: That's insane value.

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Speaker 2: In my opinion on Cam Smith, I think these guys

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Speaker 2: are pretty similarly matched. Victor Hoblin obviously shot well in

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Speaker 2: the fourth round. I was really, I'll say it, I

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Speaker 2: was kind of shocked, to be quite honest, when I

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Speaker 2: looked at this, I was like, plus one forty eight,

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Speaker 2: WHOA Okay, If you can find Camp Smith in a

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Speaker 2: head to head against Victor Hovelin round one. Jump on this. Okay,

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Speaker 2: I know it's a little bit of a tough golf.

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Speaker 2: Betting is booked to book sometimes, but this is at

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Speaker 2: Circus Sports. Camp Smith up against Victor Hovelin. Victor hugwins

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Speaker 2: minus one sixty seven on the comeback here again. Camp

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Speaker 2: Smith number one scoring average on the PGA Tour. It

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Speaker 2: was number one last week, number one this week. Eighteen

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Speaker 2: rounds so far, that's an average scoring round of sixty

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Speaker 2: nine point one point one. Cameron is going up against

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Speaker 2: Victor Holin here. Like I mentioned, Victor Hollands tied for

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Speaker 2: sixty sixth. Victor Hovlin is a seventy point five average

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Speaker 2: eighteen rounds for him as well, so pretty much a

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Speaker 2: stroke and a half better that Cam Smith has been

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Speaker 2: over Victor Hovelin in the opening round of the p

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Speaker 2: on the PGA Tour. And this is a really you know,

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Speaker 2: this is a big, big tournament. This is a big,

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Speaker 2: big opportunity for these guys to get out. We've got

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Speaker 2: the Ryder Cup coming up and got the playoffs coming up,

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Speaker 2: and I'm taking over Victor Hovlin.

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Speaker 1: We're taking camp Smith round one.

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Speaker 2: Head to head at plus one forty eight for him

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Speaker 2: to win for half a unit.

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Speaker 1: Let's have some fun here with a golf bet. Okay.

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Speaker 2: So there's pick number one. Pick number two is on

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Speaker 2: the same game. It's on the Red Sox and the

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Speaker 2: Tigers third game of their three game series. So I

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Speaker 2: was going to be on the first five in this game. Well,

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Speaker 2: Dan Harris is also on this game, okay. So here's

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Speaker 2: what Dan Harris says about this game, all right. He

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Speaker 2: says that at bet MGM, which is the same place

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Speaker 2: I got my bet as well here where we are

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Speaker 2: with this at bet MGM money line Red Sox. You

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Speaker 2: could even take him on the run line if you

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Speaker 2: want to get a little more creative. But he's okay

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Speaker 2: with going and laying mis one twenty eight on the

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Speaker 2: money line for the Red Sox. Socks are motivated. Tiger

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Speaker 2: is one of the worst hitting teams against lefties with

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Speaker 2: a seven to eleven OPS. School bol looks tired to Dan,

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Speaker 2: and it's something to watch with these young pitchers. After

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Speaker 2: last year, coming off a season of thirty two innings,

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Speaker 2: he's already at one hundred and five and a third

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Speaker 2: innings ERA by month three point thirty three. In May three, fourteen,

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Speaker 2: in June in five eighty six in July when he

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Speaker 2: faced the White Sox, Twins, Rangers, Royals, and Orioles.

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Speaker 1: Not exactly likely a murder's row.

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Speaker 2: And even when Schooble was at his best, he was

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Speaker 2: outperforming his expected stats. One of the worst in the

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Speaker 2: league in terms of quality of contact, bottom five percent

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Speaker 2: in expected slugging against in bottom one percent in terms

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Speaker 2: of barrel rate. Red Sox should tee off on him.

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Speaker 2: Considering how bad the Tigers are against lefties. I think

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Speaker 2: Perez can limit the damage here. Red Sox win on

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Speaker 2: the money line half a unit. Dan Harris takes my

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Speaker 2: team to win against the Tigers to win the three

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Speaker 2: game series. I agree with all of that. I'm coming

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Speaker 2: back with the Red Sox on the run line first five.

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Speaker 2: I'm laying a half a run on the Red Sox

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Speaker 2: first five. Martine Perez up against school bll and I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna take the plus one zho five out of half

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Speaker 2: a unit. So let's go wire to wire. Red Sox

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Speaker 2: to have the lead after five. They can't be tied.

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Speaker 2: If they're tied, it's a loss. Okay, Socks have to

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Speaker 2: be leading. They were leading after five yesterday leading after

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Speaker 2: five run line first five Red Sox and money line

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Speaker 2: game Red Sox. For our two baseball plays here today,

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Speaker 2: half a unit on each of those plays. All full

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Speaker 2: unit going on the Red Sox and the Tigers game

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Speaker 2: here coming up today. All right, so it's a pretty

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Speaker 2: crazy day. It's you know, we got a lot of

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Speaker 2: things to wake up to in the morning. To see

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Speaker 2: what we did with Olympic basketball. We've done very well

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Speaker 2: with Olympic basketball. And Team USA is having you know,

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Speaker 2: a difficult time here down by five near the end

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Speaker 2: of the first quarter. So Team USA is gonna have

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Speaker 2: to wake up here again. If Team USA loses this

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Speaker 2: game outright, we cash a plus eight hundred wager. So

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Speaker 2: I'm not mad as long as Team USA loses the

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Speaker 2: game outright. Okay, they can't win and not cover. If

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Speaker 2: they win, they have to cover. If they lose, fine,

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Speaker 2: We've had no problem with that. This is the game

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Speaker 2: they've got to lose. As I mentioned last night, this

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Speaker 2: was a hedge bet. Basically by laying the ten and

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Speaker 2: a half saying I'm laying ten and a half, we

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Speaker 2: got this plus eight.

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Speaker 1: Hundred on the other side, we will win two units.

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Speaker 2: If you know, we'll lose a half a unit will

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Speaker 2: be up one point five units if Team USA loses

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Speaker 2: to Australia here today. So I have no problem with

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Speaker 2: Australia winning the game keeping the under in play, by

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Speaker 2: the way, because only thirty seven points being scored here

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Speaker 2: so far with thirty seconds to play in the first quarter,

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Speaker 2: So that's right where we want to be for an

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Speaker 2: under one eighty one. That's the pace, that's the scoring,

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Speaker 2: right where we want to be here. So we could

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Speaker 2: win the under, lose the side, and then hit the

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Speaker 2: monthy hit the prop on Team USA to not make

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Speaker 2: the gold medal game, and that would be beautiful. Okay,

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Speaker 2: that's how we wind up winning two units today on

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Speaker 2: Team USA and Australia. Other game is France and Slovenia.

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Speaker 2: We're laying the two and a half and we're also

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Speaker 2: on the under one seventy six and a half for

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Speaker 2: France and Slovenia. So let's get a win for Slovenia,

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Speaker 2: win by three and the under coming in there as well,

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Speaker 2: and that would be a beautiful, awesome day. We have

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Speaker 2: three units off of Olympic basketball here today potentially, but

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Speaker 2: long way to go before we ever near cashing all that.

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Speaker 2: A lot of basketball to go here for that to happen.

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Speaker 2: So let's see what happens. Okay, discord conversation today for

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Speaker 2: whatever you want to bet on for Thursday or Friday

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Speaker 2: or the weekend, whatever you want to recommend. It could

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Speaker 2: be UFC, whatever you want. But the Hall of Fame

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Speaker 2: game is later on tonight, so this is football to

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Speaker 2: bet on.

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Speaker 1: We're on the under already.

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Speaker 2: So the plays officially for today under thirty three, which,

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Speaker 2: by the way, let me see where the total for

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Speaker 2: that game. Last check, it was thirty two and a half.

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Speaker 2: I think we've got some decent value on that, although

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Speaker 2: it may move around more today, but it's we want

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Speaker 2: preseason football. I don't want I want preseason football. Hold on,

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Speaker 2: where is preseason football? For to the Hall of Fame game?

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Speaker 2: And there we go thirty two, So we have a

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Speaker 2: point of closing line value. We got thirty three. It's

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Speaker 2: now thirty two in dropping. Hopefully we see even more

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Speaker 2: coming in here. Closing line value. It's, you know, not everything,

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Speaker 2: but it's not bad to have some value there. Thirty

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Speaker 2: three under Steelers Cowboys Tonight Red Sox money line Red

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Speaker 2: Sox first five run line and Victor Hovelin to lose

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Speaker 2: in round one to Cam Smith at the Saint Judes

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Speaker 2: starting today this morning are the four plays for today,

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Speaker 2: three of them added to the play I gave you

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Speaker 2: already on the Hall of Fame game, plus the Discord

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Speaker 2: bet coming later on today as well. Busy day, lots

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Speaker 2: of action morning, noon, night. It's all going on here.

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Speaker 2: It's a lot of fun. It's the Daily Juice podcast

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Speaker 2: right here on bettingpros dot com, always being brought to

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Speaker 2: you by bad MGM.