1 00:00:03,400 --> 00:00:07,920 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Surveillance. Nominal GDP is actually slowing now. 2 00:00:08,160 --> 00:00:12,559 Speaker 1: We've gone from almost five percent in late down to three. 3 00:00:12,760 --> 00:00:15,120 Speaker 1: If you look in this recovery, and especially since the 4 00:00:15,160 --> 00:00:17,800 Speaker 1: Affordable Care Act passed, virtually all of the job growth 5 00:00:17,880 --> 00:00:20,720 Speaker 1: has been in full time jobs. What's changed, I think 6 00:00:20,760 --> 00:00:23,799 Speaker 1: as we've kind of reached full employment and there's a 7 00:00:23,920 --> 00:00:26,799 Speaker 1: number of inflation indicators that are finally coming to life. 8 00:00:26,800 --> 00:00:29,840 Speaker 1: Here a little bit Bloomberg Surveillance, your link to the 9 00:00:29,880 --> 00:00:36,120 Speaker 1: world of economics, finance, and investment on Bloomberg Radio. Good Morning, 10 00:00:36,120 --> 00:00:38,120 Speaker 1: I Michael McKey along with Tom Keene. It is seven 11 00:00:38,159 --> 00:00:41,560 Speaker 1: am on Wall Street. Eight pm in the port of Shanghai, 12 00:00:41,600 --> 00:00:45,320 Speaker 1: where things were quiet in February two. Quiet for investors 13 00:00:45,320 --> 00:00:48,720 Speaker 1: who are selling off on a drop in Chinese exports. 14 00:00:48,760 --> 00:00:50,760 Speaker 1: Never mind China was on a holiday for ten days 15 00:00:50,840 --> 00:00:53,040 Speaker 1: during the month. Markets looking for a reason to sell off, 16 00:00:53,280 --> 00:00:55,840 Speaker 1: and sell off they are right now. The stock six 17 00:00:55,960 --> 00:01:00,280 Speaker 1: hundred down three points, just about a percentage point. The 18 00:01:00,400 --> 00:01:04,000 Speaker 1: docks is off a hundred eleven points one point one percent. 19 00:01:04,160 --> 00:01:06,200 Speaker 1: This in spite of the fact that they had a 20 00:01:06,319 --> 00:01:09,679 Speaker 1: very strong industrial production report that according to some analysts, 21 00:01:09,720 --> 00:01:12,400 Speaker 1: is going to mean stronger growth in the first quarter. 22 00:01:12,480 --> 00:01:16,319 Speaker 1: For Germany, u S features lower eleven points down for 23 00:01:16,319 --> 00:01:19,160 Speaker 1: the SMP EMNI features at six tenths half a percent 24 00:01:19,240 --> 00:01:22,399 Speaker 1: for Down features down eighty five, nantac emnies down by 25 00:01:22,480 --> 00:01:25,280 Speaker 1: twenty nine seven tenths of percent, And believe it or not, 26 00:01:25,560 --> 00:01:28,760 Speaker 1: these are all improvements off the lows of the day. 27 00:01:28,800 --> 00:01:31,839 Speaker 1: Analysts say the rally maybe a bit tired, needs a breather. 28 00:01:32,080 --> 00:01:35,760 Speaker 1: The catalyst of higher oil prices isn't there today, at 29 00:01:35,800 --> 00:01:39,440 Speaker 1: least not at the moment. West Texas down by four 30 00:01:39,520 --> 00:01:42,479 Speaker 1: tens fifteen cents at thirty seven seventy five brands still 31 00:01:43,080 --> 00:01:46,640 Speaker 1: well over forty dollars forty seventy six cross that mark yesterday. 32 00:01:46,840 --> 00:01:49,400 Speaker 1: That's a two tenths decline. Now those are pairing their losses, 33 00:01:49,440 --> 00:01:51,720 Speaker 1: so we will see what impact oil has on the 34 00:01:51,720 --> 00:01:55,400 Speaker 1: markets later today. The oil dollar correlation seems to be 35 00:01:55,440 --> 00:01:58,640 Speaker 1: at work today, the dollar higher against most of its 36 00:01:58,800 --> 00:02:02,640 Speaker 1: major trading pay airs. BONN yields are down the tenure 37 00:02:02,680 --> 00:02:04,800 Speaker 1: at one point eight five percent, the five year one 38 00:02:04,840 --> 00:02:08,160 Speaker 1: point three seven eighty eight basis points your two year 39 00:02:08,880 --> 00:02:11,919 Speaker 1: Thursday's ECB decision. With their rates, they're a lot of 40 00:02:11,960 --> 00:02:14,280 Speaker 1: talk about even more negative rates. But Germany's two year 41 00:02:14,400 --> 00:02:18,600 Speaker 1: yield higher this morning at negative fifty six basis points. 42 00:02:18,600 --> 00:02:21,160 Speaker 1: We'll be talking about that with Dutch BIG's dominant custom 43 00:02:21,200 --> 00:02:24,160 Speaker 1: in a few moments the first time. Today is International 44 00:02:24,160 --> 00:02:26,840 Speaker 1: Women's Day. I don't know how you're planning to celebrate, 45 00:02:26,880 --> 00:02:28,880 Speaker 1: but we have one of the world's most accomplished women 46 00:02:28,880 --> 00:02:34,240 Speaker 1: with her name is not Berg Dark Goodman. That's where 47 00:02:34,280 --> 00:02:39,120 Speaker 1: Tom is going. Her name years in senior positions on 48 00:02:39,160 --> 00:02:41,960 Speaker 1: Wall Street not a head of Elevate Network for Women 49 00:02:42,000 --> 00:02:45,240 Speaker 1: and founder of a new digital investing platform for women ELVs, 50 00:02:45,360 --> 00:02:47,400 Speaker 1: which I was reading through this morning. Some interesting articles 51 00:02:47,400 --> 00:02:50,079 Speaker 1: on there. You were telling Tom a short time ago. 52 00:02:50,160 --> 00:02:52,400 Speaker 1: The biggest part of the problem still people like to 53 00:02:52,520 --> 00:02:56,320 Speaker 1: work with people like them. And I know we can 54 00:02:56,320 --> 00:02:59,000 Speaker 1: talk and talk and talk about, you know, look for talent, 55 00:02:59,240 --> 00:03:02,359 Speaker 1: but people don't that necessarily. You've been dealing with this 56 00:03:02,520 --> 00:03:05,400 Speaker 1: for a long time. I'm wondering. We have new generations 57 00:03:05,440 --> 00:03:08,800 Speaker 1: coming up, younger people who may be growing up in 58 00:03:08,840 --> 00:03:18,760 Speaker 1: a different kind of that. That's for Tom, Honey. I'm on, Honey, 59 00:03:18,760 --> 00:03:26,240 Speaker 1: I'm on the radio the Seventh Store. As a new 60 00:03:26,280 --> 00:03:30,920 Speaker 1: generation comes to work and gains power. Do you see 61 00:03:30,919 --> 00:03:35,720 Speaker 1: that changing old pipeline when you said that to Tom 62 00:03:35,720 --> 00:03:37,880 Speaker 1: this morning? Though, you know what went through my mind 63 00:03:37,920 --> 00:03:40,839 Speaker 1: that old New Yorker cartoon on the internet. Nobody knows 64 00:03:40,840 --> 00:03:44,480 Speaker 1: you're a dog. As we get more into you know, 65 00:03:44,880 --> 00:03:47,280 Speaker 1: work that isn't defined by sitting next to a person 66 00:03:47,320 --> 00:03:49,240 Speaker 1: of the same gender, does it change I think a 67 00:03:49,240 --> 00:03:51,600 Speaker 1: couple of things. I think I was very fortunate that 68 00:03:51,640 --> 00:03:54,760 Speaker 1: I stumbled upon being an equity research analyst, which is 69 00:03:54,760 --> 00:03:57,480 Speaker 1: just very numbers oriented. Nobody ever turned down one of 70 00:03:57,480 --> 00:03:59,240 Speaker 1: my research reports. But oh it was written by a 71 00:03:59,280 --> 00:04:02,640 Speaker 1: girl or geez, she wrote it on a Sunday afternoon 72 00:04:02,680 --> 00:04:05,240 Speaker 1: as opposed to a Thursday because she was doing the 73 00:04:05,240 --> 00:04:07,960 Speaker 1: whole work life balance thing. So I think there's that. 74 00:04:08,040 --> 00:04:10,880 Speaker 1: But I think the idea of relying upon it's a 75 00:04:10,920 --> 00:04:13,560 Speaker 1: pipeline issue, and the pipeline is better sit on Wall 76 00:04:13,560 --> 00:04:16,240 Speaker 1: Street simply isn't right. I mean, we have the same 77 00:04:16,320 --> 00:04:19,240 Speaker 1: percentage of women in these investment banking classes that we 78 00:04:19,279 --> 00:04:22,880 Speaker 1: had when I got in in the You know, ladies 79 00:04:23,839 --> 00:04:30,200 Speaker 1: don't worry super super as well. I certainly hope so. 80 00:04:30,880 --> 00:04:33,040 Speaker 1: But you know, but but so what So I think 81 00:04:33,040 --> 00:04:34,920 Speaker 1: relying on that doesn't work. I thought it was over 82 00:04:34,920 --> 00:04:36,880 Speaker 1: when I got out of college. I thought the whole thing, 83 00:04:37,279 --> 00:04:39,200 Speaker 1: the whole you know, women are going to make it 84 00:04:39,240 --> 00:04:42,160 Speaker 1: as far as men. It was done, in my opinion, 85 00:04:42,279 --> 00:04:44,120 Speaker 1: But all those men got to retire at some point, 86 00:04:44,200 --> 00:04:47,920 Speaker 1: right that the people who aren't hiring people based on talent, 87 00:04:48,000 --> 00:04:50,480 Speaker 1: but based on you know, And then the question is 88 00:04:50,560 --> 00:04:54,600 Speaker 1: can we over do the younger folks have fewer gender 89 00:04:54,640 --> 00:04:57,880 Speaker 1: biases than we do, And maybe they do, maybe they do, 90 00:04:58,000 --> 00:05:00,799 Speaker 1: And I do find you know, you talk to these 91 00:05:00,920 --> 00:05:03,560 Speaker 1: young men and young women and they take equality as 92 00:05:03,600 --> 00:05:07,160 Speaker 1: being a given. But but you know, we need to 93 00:05:07,200 --> 00:05:11,120 Speaker 1: be vigilant because we all have these biases. And even 94 00:05:11,120 --> 00:05:14,440 Speaker 1: though the research is so clear that diverse teams lead 95 00:05:14,480 --> 00:05:18,279 Speaker 1: to higher returns, lower risk, greater client focus, greater long 96 00:05:18,360 --> 00:05:22,760 Speaker 1: term focus, greater innovation, that diverse teams outperformed smarter teams, 97 00:05:23,279 --> 00:05:25,280 Speaker 1: even with all of this, you know, you look at 98 00:05:25,279 --> 00:05:28,320 Speaker 1: that and you say, yeah, but that's true for other teams. 99 00:05:28,520 --> 00:05:31,479 Speaker 1: I want to work with my buddy Joe. Yeah. One 100 00:05:31,480 --> 00:05:34,320 Speaker 1: of the things I see here is almost a cultural thing. 101 00:05:34,320 --> 00:05:37,200 Speaker 1: There's a great map on on Twitter last night of 102 00:05:37,240 --> 00:05:41,960 Speaker 1: where women are doing better politically Australia all of Europe 103 00:05:42,080 --> 00:05:45,560 Speaker 1: is green on the map, and the US isn't there. 104 00:05:45,600 --> 00:05:48,760 Speaker 1: How much of the challenge that you've lived and that 105 00:05:48,880 --> 00:05:51,400 Speaker 1: you have studied here, particularly in the last ten years, 106 00:05:51,400 --> 00:05:55,440 Speaker 1: how much of it is just outright American culture? Well, 107 00:05:55,480 --> 00:05:58,520 Speaker 1: I think some of it is that we tend to 108 00:05:58,560 --> 00:06:02,000 Speaker 1: bring in pe people who are quite different when things 109 00:06:02,040 --> 00:06:05,200 Speaker 1: are really quite broken. And so Tom, You'll remember when 110 00:06:05,240 --> 00:06:08,080 Speaker 1: I was brought in to run Smith Barney and the 111 00:06:08,080 --> 00:06:10,760 Speaker 1: research business of city. It's because the research business we've 112 00:06:10,800 --> 00:06:13,000 Speaker 1: had gone through scandal, it was broken. And you can't 113 00:06:13,040 --> 00:06:17,560 Speaker 1: tell me that part of the appeal was this woman looks, acts, 114 00:06:17,800 --> 00:06:20,240 Speaker 1: think so differently than what came before. Same thing when 115 00:06:20,240 --> 00:06:22,599 Speaker 1: I was brought in to turn around Meryll Lynch that 116 00:06:22,880 --> 00:06:26,280 Speaker 1: you know this was a broken business. Um, you know 117 00:06:26,360 --> 00:06:28,400 Speaker 1: that we've gone through the crisis. There were difficult as 118 00:06:28,400 --> 00:06:32,320 Speaker 1: great advisors, great advisors, but the attrition rate was very high, 119 00:06:32,360 --> 00:06:35,000 Speaker 1: and there was something about we need a change, and 120 00:06:35,040 --> 00:06:36,920 Speaker 1: we needed some bombing change. Some people call it the 121 00:06:36,960 --> 00:06:39,440 Speaker 1: glass cliff, bring in a woman when things are broken, 122 00:06:39,480 --> 00:06:42,400 Speaker 1: bringing a person of color. Hopefully they make it. Well, well, 123 00:06:42,480 --> 00:06:45,320 Speaker 1: let's continue that discussion. Sally Quatrick with us this morning. 124 00:06:45,360 --> 00:06:48,359 Speaker 1: As we look at so much of Wall Street Bloomberg 125 00:06:48,400 --> 00:06:53,080 Speaker 1: Surveillance brought you by Investco. Looking for investment views, experienced 126 00:06:53,160 --> 00:06:55,880 Speaker 1: experts are just to click away go to investco dot 127 00:06:55,920 --> 00:06:59,800 Speaker 1: com slash us to subscribe to the Investo blog for 128 00:07:00,000 --> 00:07:03,240 Speaker 1: all of them, and at invest go us on Twitter 129 00:07:03,360 --> 00:07:06,960 Speaker 1: at I m v s c O at invest go us. 130 00:07:07,120 --> 00:07:09,920 Speaker 1: You can do that on Twitter. Sally Cachuck with us 131 00:07:09,920 --> 00:07:12,320 Speaker 1: and Sally, I want to go back to, uh, what 132 00:07:12,400 --> 00:07:14,880 Speaker 1: you and I've talked about many many times is I'm 133 00:07:14,920 --> 00:07:18,880 Speaker 1: seeing a lot more women go into engineering and go 134 00:07:18,960 --> 00:07:22,400 Speaker 1: into science. There's no question among you know, the friends 135 00:07:22,440 --> 00:07:25,080 Speaker 1: of my kids and all that they're they're they're going 136 00:07:25,160 --> 00:07:28,640 Speaker 1: for some form of stem um structure that makes me 137 00:07:28,840 --> 00:07:32,760 Speaker 1: hugely optimistic ten years up. They're just smarter. Yeah, well 138 00:07:33,120 --> 00:07:35,320 Speaker 1: they may or may not be smarter, but you love 139 00:07:35,400 --> 00:07:38,240 Speaker 1: to see it. What I do fret about is that 140 00:07:38,320 --> 00:07:41,680 Speaker 1: women do and girls do still get messages. Were not 141 00:07:41,760 --> 00:07:44,440 Speaker 1: good at math and I look at my old world. 142 00:07:45,560 --> 00:07:47,080 Speaker 1: Well look I look at my old world. There's a 143 00:07:47,120 --> 00:07:50,120 Speaker 1: gender investing gap. There's a gender investing gap. And if 144 00:07:50,160 --> 00:07:54,040 Speaker 1: we think about Wall Street, the bent of the employees 145 00:07:54,080 --> 00:07:57,200 Speaker 1: on Wall Street, the what we do on Wall Street. 146 00:07:57,280 --> 00:08:00,400 Speaker 1: It's it gets mail pretty quickly, we output form, we 147 00:08:00,520 --> 00:08:03,080 Speaker 1: beat the market, we pick the manager. And then we're 148 00:08:03,120 --> 00:08:07,200 Speaker 1: telling women, you need more financial education, you need more 149 00:08:07,280 --> 00:08:10,600 Speaker 1: hand holding. You're not good at math, you know. And 150 00:08:10,680 --> 00:08:13,280 Speaker 1: women tend to because we loved we're great students. The 151 00:08:13,360 --> 00:08:16,280 Speaker 1: research is clear. We love getting those a's. We tend 152 00:08:16,320 --> 00:08:19,880 Speaker 1: to have all that financial education, all those documents next 153 00:08:19,920 --> 00:08:21,840 Speaker 1: to our bed, and we say we're going to read 154 00:08:21,880 --> 00:08:25,520 Speaker 1: them when we don't. You came from cost you came 155 00:08:25,520 --> 00:08:28,040 Speaker 1: out of Chapel Hill, and you know f F the 156 00:08:28,120 --> 00:08:30,560 Speaker 1: equals PV one plus art of the t. You know 157 00:08:30,680 --> 00:08:34,400 Speaker 1: the exponential function, you know the five ratio du punt function, 158 00:08:34,840 --> 00:08:38,720 Speaker 1: and that No, I was a journalism major. Actually okay, 159 00:08:38,840 --> 00:08:44,600 Speaker 1: I need a lot of basketball and beer. But point 160 00:08:44,679 --> 00:08:49,040 Speaker 1: to the point. You had the initiative to learn the 161 00:08:49,080 --> 00:08:52,800 Speaker 1: fundamental dynamics so you could be an executive down the road. 162 00:08:52,880 --> 00:08:55,080 Speaker 1: Do you see that trend? Bill? Yeah? But look, you 163 00:08:55,120 --> 00:08:58,040 Speaker 1: know I again, I wouldn't push it back on the women, right, 164 00:08:58,080 --> 00:09:02,560 Speaker 1: it's you know, okay, women work harder, take other different classes. 165 00:09:02,920 --> 00:09:05,960 Speaker 1: I would say I certainly worked hard, but I did 166 00:09:06,120 --> 00:09:10,520 Speaker 1: happen into a company and a type of business that 167 00:09:10,600 --> 00:09:15,960 Speaker 1: was really gender color background blind. Being an equity research 168 00:09:16,000 --> 00:09:20,199 Speaker 1: analyst for me was such serendipity. And so don't make it. 169 00:09:20,600 --> 00:09:22,560 Speaker 1: You know, women, you better keep changing, you know order. 170 00:09:22,600 --> 00:09:25,360 Speaker 1: I mean, we've got this gender investing gap. We somehow 171 00:09:25,400 --> 00:09:27,960 Speaker 1: tell women it's their fault. Well, how about we change. 172 00:09:28,200 --> 00:09:30,920 Speaker 1: How about we start too as we're trying to at 173 00:09:31,040 --> 00:09:34,319 Speaker 1: last look at what they need to invest and it's 174 00:09:34,360 --> 00:09:38,200 Speaker 1: not necessarily being correct. When the euro performs again, well 175 00:09:39,080 --> 00:09:42,800 Speaker 1: we need an hour with Sally Tom. We absolutely don't 176 00:09:42,800 --> 00:09:44,560 Speaker 1: have enough time. So in the very short time we 177 00:09:44,559 --> 00:09:46,360 Speaker 1: have left about thirty seconds left, why don't we let 178 00:09:46,360 --> 00:09:51,160 Speaker 1: you do a shameless plug tell us about you're going 179 00:09:51,200 --> 00:09:57,120 Speaker 1: there anyway. I am so excited about last right now. 180 00:09:57,480 --> 00:10:00,280 Speaker 1: For years I told myself women didn't need something different 181 00:10:00,320 --> 00:10:04,000 Speaker 1: on investing, But the numbers speak for themselves, and so 182 00:10:04,120 --> 00:10:07,200 Speaker 1: we've done an enormous amount of research. We're in beta 183 00:10:07,360 --> 00:10:10,680 Speaker 1: right now on Alvest digital investment platform for women that 184 00:10:10,679 --> 00:10:12,679 Speaker 1: really speaks to their needs. We're sort of keeping its 185 00:10:12,720 --> 00:10:15,760 Speaker 1: super secret right now. And then I'm also the chair 186 00:10:15,800 --> 00:10:18,880 Speaker 1: of Elevate Network, which is tens of thousands of women strong. 187 00:10:19,520 --> 00:10:21,760 Speaker 1: Um it's a network that helps them advance in business, 188 00:10:21,760 --> 00:10:24,360 Speaker 1: because networking is the number one unwritten rule of success 189 00:10:24,360 --> 00:10:27,080 Speaker 1: in business. You guys do it better than we ladies do, 190 00:10:27,160 --> 00:10:29,280 Speaker 1: so we're trying to help. So to two of those 191 00:10:29,280 --> 00:10:31,800 Speaker 1: big initiatives. Selly, thank you so much for coming in. 192 00:10:31,880 --> 00:10:37,960 Speaker 1: Thank thanks for having met futures negative six. They've improved 193 00:10:38,000 --> 00:10:40,040 Speaker 1: a little bit, doufs. Just netis thirty five. We're going 194 00:10:40,120 --> 00:10:42,760 Speaker 1: to quote euro again because Sally says it doesn't matter. 195 00:10:44,040 --> 00:10:47,839 Speaker 1: Fifty seven stronger yet weaker euro? Uh what does it 196 00:10:48,000 --> 00:10:53,040 Speaker 1: mean there is hero yet? All right, let's check with 197 00:10:53,080 --> 00:10:55,520 Speaker 1: Michael barn now and get the latest world at national headlines. 198 00:10:56,440 --> 00:10:58,440 Speaker 1: Thank you very much. Voters will ahead to the polls 199 00:10:58,440 --> 00:11:03,760 Speaker 1: today for presidential Mary's Republicans have contests in Michigan, Mississippi, Idaho, 200 00:11:03,840 --> 00:11:08,160 Speaker 1: and Hawaii. Democrats have primaries in Michigan and Mississippi. The 201 00:11:08,240 --> 00:11:10,800 Speaker 1: European Union is close to a deal with Turkey on 202 00:11:10,840 --> 00:11:14,559 Speaker 1: a cap on the inflow of migrants. Turkey made a 203 00:11:14,640 --> 00:11:18,440 Speaker 1: plea at the last minute for concessions at the Brussels summit, 204 00:11:18,760 --> 00:11:20,800 Speaker 1: calling on the BLOCK to double its financial eight to 205 00:11:20,880 --> 00:11:24,440 Speaker 1: Turkey to six billion euros or six point six billion 206 00:11:24,480 --> 00:11:27,559 Speaker 1: dollars cell phones could be a big distraction for drivers 207 00:11:27,559 --> 00:11:30,719 Speaker 1: and people walking on the street, and the report by 208 00:11:30,840 --> 00:11:33,800 Speaker 1: the Governor's Highway Safety Association says that could be a 209 00:11:33,840 --> 00:11:37,520 Speaker 1: factor in the rise and pedestrian depths. According to the report, 210 00:11:37,520 --> 00:11:41,360 Speaker 1: pedestrian death surged by an estimated ten percent last year. 211 00:11:41,920 --> 00:11:45,080 Speaker 1: More people were driving more miles because the economy improved 212 00:11:45,080 --> 00:11:48,200 Speaker 1: and gas prices plunged. Global News twenty four hours a day, 213 00:11:48,200 --> 00:11:51,640 Speaker 1: powered by our journalists and more than a hundred fifty 214 00:11:51,640 --> 00:11:54,280 Speaker 1: news bureaus from around the world. Michael bar Mike, Tom 215 00:11:54,320 --> 00:11:56,439 Speaker 1: and Michael thanks so much. Features, Think of the six 216 00:11:56,480 --> 00:11:59,920 Speaker 1: town Features. Thing of thirty nine. Next, Dominick Constom of 217 00:12:00,040 --> 00:12:07,199 Speaker 1: Deutsche Bank. This is Bloomberg's Surveillance. Bloomberg Surveillance brought you 218 00:12:07,200 --> 00:12:09,520 Speaker 1: by the Jewish Community Fund j c F. Donor advised 219 00:12:09,559 --> 00:12:12,240 Speaker 1: Fund is the smart and efficient choice to manage your philanthropy. 220 00:12:12,240 --> 00:12:14,839 Speaker 1: Called to one two seven, five to eight to seven 221 00:12:14,880 --> 00:12:15,240 Speaker 1: seven