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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast, named vest vetting Podcast or radio

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Speaker 1: show by the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association and the

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Speaker 1: number one show for the invested sportsman.

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Speaker 2: All Right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Fifteen, twenty, twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five

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Speaker 3: fifty and the kicks block.

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Speaker 2: Look College Football World.

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Speaker 3: Stand, Oh my goodness, please stumble the.

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Speaker 4: Lateral to counter, Hi, get you the lad.

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Speaker 2: The table off, the fail to night. It's not the

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Speaker 2: sage of the game in the fight, it's the sage

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Speaker 2: of the fight. What's up the general nation?

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Speaker 3: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast. This is the College

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Speaker 3: Football Betting Preview Week two. I'm stuck in with me

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Speaker 3: as always is Colin Wilson. You ready to get into

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Speaker 3: a slightly bigger card than last week.

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Speaker 2: It's bigger and bigger every week. We're gonna have the

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Speaker 2: ACC this week, and a couple of weeks we'll have

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Speaker 2: some SCC football. I can't tell you how much of

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Speaker 2: my time I've started to dedicate to tracking COVID cases.

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Speaker 2: I feel like a public health department to find out

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Speaker 2: when of the tests happening, how many have come up positive?

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Speaker 2: Is it staff? Is it players? I mean, this is

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Speaker 2: now overtaken the full handicap of college football.

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Speaker 3: I've just come to the realization and acceptance that this

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Speaker 3: year you're going to have some wins that make you

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Speaker 3: look like a genius early on in the season, and

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Speaker 3: some losses that make you look like a complete and

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Speaker 3: utter moron, which happened last week with Middle Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: Hey, who won't be another some bad, some wrong.

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Speaker 3: It looks like, I mean, there's just gonna be some

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Speaker 3: teams that are way underprepared with everything that happened in

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Speaker 3: the summer, and some teams that are really prepared. And

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Speaker 3: then you know, I heard the Twitter narratives last week

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Speaker 3: where it's like, oh, well, Army was is a service academy,

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Speaker 3: of course they were prepared. Well yeah, fast forward to

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Speaker 3: a couple days later, and Navy looks like they have

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Speaker 3: not been tackling or practiced and they got absolutely boat

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Speaker 3: raced by BYU. Some of these things you could drive

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Speaker 3: and predict some of them. There, You're just gonna get

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Speaker 3: these flat out just egg layers, that's it. And you

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Speaker 3: just have to accept that you're gonna be on the

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Speaker 3: right summers, the right side of some the wrong side

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Speaker 3: of others. I mean, middles had to save one to

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Speaker 3: lose that bad to Army is so embarrassing and like

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Speaker 3: the end of the half, it's like you can get

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Speaker 3: right back in this game. You had some bad turnovers.

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Speaker 3: You give up a third and long and a pass

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Speaker 3: and then it's it's you have first and goal at

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Speaker 3: the two and you get you snap it over your

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Speaker 3: head and then you just take make thirty seconds to

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Speaker 3: snap the ball it with thirty seconds left, with two

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Speaker 3: timeouts and you just complete an out and go to

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Speaker 3: the locker room. I mean, that's an excuse me. I

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Speaker 3: don't care if you didn't practice at all. That's just

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Speaker 3: like have you watched football before your time out to

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Speaker 3: use one? So that I had to get that out there.

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Speaker 2: I don't know how they don't get any points out

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Speaker 2: of that situation, or at.

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Speaker 3: Least four shots at the end zone if you're not

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Speaker 3: gonna get points.

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Speaker 2: Stocksil to not get any points right there. His team

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Speaker 2: was completely unprepared. Didn't let onto it either. His team

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Speaker 2: was completely unprepared. They absolutely under executed from anything that

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Speaker 2: we've ever seen before. Clock management was bad. It was

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Speaker 2: almost like they didn't want to go over the twenty

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Speaker 2: seven and a half total for the first half and

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Speaker 2: then to come out and sit ash Ohara and just

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Speaker 2: you know, call it a day. You've got us beat.

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Speaker 2: You know, good good win for Army. But you know,

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Speaker 2: it seems like we can take some of these advanced

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Speaker 2: stats and these returning production numbers and whoever the best player.

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Speaker 2: It seems like we could just throw it out the

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Speaker 2: window because this week one has been wild. Yeah. I

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Speaker 2: mean it just shows. You see this in the NFL too.

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Speaker 3: You can't pay too much attention to these reports in camp,

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Speaker 3: like Army was apparently a mess.

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Speaker 2: We're talking to their players through the media. I mean,

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Speaker 2: munkin I said this on the podcast last week. Monkin

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Speaker 2: came out on CBS Sports. He had a video that

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Speaker 2: was on Army's Twitter feed and it said, We're not prepared,

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Speaker 2: our offensive line isn't in sync. We're not getting it done.

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Speaker 2: I beg to differ. I would say that they were

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Speaker 2: completely prepared and that they were in sync, and that

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Speaker 2: the triple option is just fine. Yeah, we'll get to

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Speaker 2: some Army later.

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Speaker 3: Now. The good thing about having a slate like this,

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Speaker 3: there's thirteen FBS games for Saturday. There's no Friday night

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Speaker 3: lights unfortunately, and there's six FCS games.

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Speaker 2: We'll get to those. We'll talk our favorite underdog.

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Speaker 3: Money line parlay, and each of us will have one

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Speaker 3: of those, and then we'll talk our favorite overdog, which

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Speaker 3: is our favorite favorite.

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Speaker 2: For those of you that are new here, it's called

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Speaker 2: the overdog parlay.

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Speaker 3: Someone who called in and said, start patting more overdogs.

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Speaker 3: So I thought he thought the opposite of underdogs are overdogs.

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Speaker 2: And then it turns out.

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Speaker 3: Later in the year someone sends me an old definition

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Speaker 3: that like hundreds of years ago in some reference, I

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Speaker 3: think course raised something you actually did, call the favorites

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Speaker 3: overdogs shocking. But before we get into some of these

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Speaker 3: games and what we like, I do want to mention

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Speaker 3: a contest that's out there.

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Speaker 2: I mentioned last week on the podcast.

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Speaker 3: We now, thanks to you guys, have an official podcast sponsor,

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Speaker 3: bet MGM, and they are offering, in conjunction with us,

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Speaker 3: free weekly Yahoo DFS tournament. It's specifically for our podcast listeners.

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Speaker 2: There's no rake.

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Speaker 3: You can join just by clicking on the link in

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Speaker 3: our episode description the top ten weekly finishers, I mean,

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Speaker 3: It's free, no rake, Just click on the leak at

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Speaker 3: our episode description. Shout out to BETTMGM for that. Also,

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Speaker 3: make sure you have the Action Network app, check out

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Speaker 3: all our content for this upcoming weekend and on actionnetwork

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Speaker 3: dot com.

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Speaker 2: All right, so let's get into the first game here.

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Speaker 1: It's another fabulous weekend of college football. Let's check out

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Speaker 1: the marquee matchups we'll all end up betting for week two.

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Speaker 3: We'll start with our five marquee games. And it's not real,

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Speaker 3: there's not really these enormous great matchups this week. But

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Speaker 3: we'll start with the five I think most interesting matchups.

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Speaker 3: We'll talk about the rest thereafter before going three and

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Speaker 3: out and getting out of here. So let's start with Syracuse,

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Speaker 3: North Carolina, North Carolina at BETMGM right now, is twenty

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Speaker 3: three and a half point favorite over under sitting at

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Speaker 3: sixty five and a half. You know, this line open

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Speaker 3: at twenty and a half. I'd still like North Krolina

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Speaker 3: at under twenty four for the game and an under

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Speaker 3: four team for the first half. We know what this

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Speaker 3: North Carolina offense is. It's one of the top ten

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Speaker 3: offense in the country. Sam Hawick quarterback, who was a

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Speaker 3: freshman last year in a new system with a extremely

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Speaker 3: young offense, and he still put up the numbers he did.

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Speaker 3: Two thousand yard receivers are back. They basically two thousand

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Speaker 3: yard running backs that are back as well, and their.

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Speaker 2: Offense at the end of the year was just rolling.

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Speaker 3: So I expect this offense to just come out and

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Speaker 3: put up points against a Syracuse defense that has some

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Speaker 3: talent in the secondary Andre Cisco and you know there's

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Speaker 3: there's some talented pieces.

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Speaker 2: There, but you know, up front, it's kind of a mess.

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Speaker 3: And at linebacker, I mean they graduated two of their

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Speaker 3: best linebackers and the Tyrol Richards, who was supposed to

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Speaker 3: be the leader of the unit, he opted out.

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Speaker 2: And they're also transitioning.

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Speaker 3: To a new defensive scheme, a three to three to

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Speaker 3: five scheme and they didn't have any spring. I mean,

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Speaker 3: it's a mess, Syracuse. Just a mess on both sides

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Speaker 3: of the ball. The other side of the ball, Syracuse

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Speaker 3: offensive line, oh boy, I mean, you want to talk

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Speaker 3: about a disaster. Last year, this Tommy to get his

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Speaker 3: back a quarterback. He just didn't get any time to throw.

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Speaker 3: This year, you have a guy that was that for

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Speaker 3: the past couple of years, played full back and tight end.

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Speaker 3: I think he was number eight. He's now going to

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Speaker 3: be starting at left guard week one. I think he's

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Speaker 3: the smallest offensive lineman in college football. He had to

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Speaker 3: change his number to sixty three. The reason he chose

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Speaker 3: sixty three is because it's the opposite of thirty six,

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Speaker 3: which he wasn't high school. The las time he played

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Speaker 3: on the offensive line was in middle school. I mean,

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Speaker 3: this is an ACC team. This is gonna be starting

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Speaker 3: at left guard. The weakness on this North Carolina defense

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Speaker 3: is their defensive line. And you can line up and

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Speaker 3: just that they lost a lot on their defensive line.

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Speaker 3: But I don't think that Syracuse can take advantage here,

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Speaker 3: especially when you consider that mo'neil's gone.

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Speaker 2: Their top two backs opted out.

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Speaker 3: Abdul Adams and Jayion Howard that leads Juwan Johnson now

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Speaker 3: all of a sudden as a lead back, and you

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Speaker 3: know Babers' offense, the lead back is relaying all the

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Speaker 3: adjustments and he's really important in their no huddle offense.

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Speaker 3: So I don't see Syracuse in this new defense hitting

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Speaker 3: many stops against Carolina. They're not going to grind it

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Speaker 3: and run it. They're gonna go up tempo. It's going

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Speaker 3: to increase the amount of possessions this Syracuse is one

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Speaker 3: of the teams that I had highlighted and marked early

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Speaker 3: in the season as just high potential of being completely

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Speaker 3: awful and impacted by all the changes that they're dealing

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Speaker 3: with from a scheme perspective and roster perspective as well.

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Speaker 3: What are your thoughts on hust and UNC opening up

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Speaker 3: the ACC season.

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Speaker 2: Well, the number was definitely good at twenty and a half.

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Speaker 2: You know, I've got to power rated around there, and

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Speaker 2: so it's probably going to trickle up to twenty four.

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Speaker 2: As use you and I are podcasting about this on

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Speaker 2: Thursday night, I'm sure by the time Sareny comes around

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Speaker 2: and we're going to have to try to find a

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Speaker 2: number where some people are going to take Syracuse because

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Speaker 2: there's not a lot to like here. Starting on the

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Speaker 2: UNC side, you know, we mentioned how explosive they are

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Speaker 2: with Deanmi Brown and Daz Newsom. With Sam Howis or quarterback,

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Speaker 2: I think the biggest question is inside practice reports they

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Speaker 2: say that Sam how Is taken to the next level

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Speaker 2: by his film study and how much work that he's

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Speaker 2: actually putting in. Will that correlate to him being more

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Speaker 2: than just a fourth quarter superman. Will he be a

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Speaker 2: first quarter, second quarter, first half player for one of

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Speaker 2: the most offense, you know, explosive offenses in the nation,

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Speaker 2: who returns eighty seven percent of their production from last year.

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Speaker 2: So you know the UNC practice reports, they're COVID free.

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Speaker 2: Apparently it's been a COVID free camp, which is amazing

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Speaker 2: considering what's going on in the North Carolina campus. What's

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Speaker 2: going on with this explosive offense is it's really turned

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Speaker 2: the secondary into something to be forced to be reckoned with.

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Speaker 2: They have talent in their secondary, but they get to

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Speaker 2: go up against the best wide receivers in the nation

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Speaker 2: every day. So I love this North Carolina team. We

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Speaker 2: talked about him on the ACC preview about how they

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Speaker 2: are the one team that nobody's mentioning that actually has

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Speaker 2: a shot to do some damage in this conference. Syracuse

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Speaker 2: not so much. I think the slide is going to continue.

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Speaker 2: Syracuse returns is just sixty one percent of an offense

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Speaker 2: that was one hundred and fourteenth in success rate. That's

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Speaker 2: really bad. On top of that, we talk about scheme chain.

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Speaker 2: On the defensive side of the ball. The Syracuse team

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Speaker 2: is going from a four two five to a three

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Speaker 2: three five. That's not light right, That's not just a

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Speaker 2: light change to make. They had just three spring practices

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Speaker 2: to get that defense down, and then they had multiple

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Speaker 2: practices at the beginning of August where they didn't practice

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Speaker 2: because of COVID. There were concerns about COVID going through

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Speaker 2: the team, but more importantly practice. They were sitting out

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Speaker 2: in the first and second week of August because they

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Speaker 2: felt that the testing was not up to par in

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Speaker 2: the player's eyes to keep them safe. So Syracuse defensive

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Speaker 2: players have not had the time to learn this new

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Speaker 2: scheme that is going to play well for Sam Howell.

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Speaker 2: I think the one thing that I'm more interested in

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Speaker 2: is does Sam Howe and North Carolina come out of

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Speaker 2: the gate hot or does he stare at that three

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Speaker 2: three five, which can be deceiving and a little tough

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Speaker 2: for quarterbacks to figure it out who haven't seen it before.

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Speaker 2: Does it take him a quarter before he figures it out,

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Speaker 2: makes the correct read, starts hitting some bombs down the field.

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Speaker 2: So if you've missed out on this number, if North

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Speaker 2: Carolina starts out hot, you may never get it live again.

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Speaker 2: But I am absolutely looking for Sam Howe to have

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Speaker 2: his first two drives to stare at the three three

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Speaker 2: five and have him take a couple of series before

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Speaker 2: he figures it out. And if that number ever dips

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Speaker 2: down below you know, twenty one, it's going to be

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Speaker 2: time to fire alive. But yeah, this is North Carolina

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Speaker 2: all the way and Syracuse is gonna have problems for

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Speaker 2: the rest of the year.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I couldn't agree more. I mean, I think we

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Speaker 3: talked about with North Carolina last year too. Is new coordinators, right,

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Speaker 3: so this is the second year and we like both

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Speaker 3: coordinators in Longo and Bateman, and this is the second

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Speaker 3: year of both their systems.

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Speaker 2: They bring a lot back.

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Speaker 3: So this is where you would see the jump with

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Speaker 3: you know, a freshman quarterback who had a lot of

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Speaker 3: success as a freshman. The one thing that I would

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Speaker 3: and look, I'm I'm usually in full agreement with you

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Speaker 3: when you say the three three five can confuse quarterbacks.

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Speaker 3: I just don't know if Syracuse number one is going

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Speaker 3: to be able to execute it.

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Speaker 2: Well.

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Speaker 3: Look Tony White, their new defensive coordinator. He's the only

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Speaker 3: one on the staff that knows the three three five.

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Speaker 3: So it's not like their whole staff and assistance for

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Speaker 3: help helping implement this throughout the summer. Just a nightmare situation.

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Speaker 3: And then on top of that, they have no linebackers.

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Speaker 3: Linebackers are so raw. People talk about Sam Hallen these

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Speaker 3: receivers rightfully so, but UNC has two really good backs.

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Speaker 3: The Syracuse run defense last year was a disaster. Like

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Speaker 3: North Carolina earlier, just might be able to hand it

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Speaker 3: off and get seven eight yards of carry and go

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Speaker 3: right up and down the field. So I agree, it's

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Speaker 3: all North Carolina here, and yeah, if they do start

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Speaker 3: slow though, I'm with you. Getting the tar Heels live

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Speaker 3: all right. I'm actually really excited for the second game

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Speaker 3: in app State Charlotte, a little in state battle. We're

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Speaker 3: staying in North Carolina. This game is at noon Eastern

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Speaker 3: at bet MGM. App State is now sixteen and a

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Speaker 3: half point favorite runner fifty nine and a half. I

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Speaker 3: know that you got some seventeen or above. I have

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Speaker 3: some seventeen. Club Lit, which, if you don't know, is

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Speaker 3: the nickname for Charlotte and their head coach Hilly.

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Speaker 2: When they win a game, they.

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Speaker 3: Have like a club party, like Strobe Lights, and they're

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Speaker 3: all dancing with their shirts off in the locker room.

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Speaker 3: This game last year was wild app State one fifty

294
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Speaker 3: six to forty one. No one could get a stop.

295
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Speaker 3: Charlotte's led by Chris Reynolds, an excellent dual threat quarterback.

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Speaker 3: In their spread option, they might even go like five

297
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Speaker 3: wide this year. They have a lot of really talented

298
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Speaker 3: receivers led by Victor Tucker. He's on the Buttnikoff Award

299
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Speaker 3: list and Cam Dollar form a college basketball fans out there,

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Speaker 3: that name should bring a bell back to like the nineties.

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Speaker 3: UCLA teams offense, really explosive defense. Did lose a lot

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Speaker 3: and it's probably not going to be great, but Will Hilly,

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Speaker 3: he's a great recruiting class.

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Speaker 2: Think it was number one in.

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Speaker 3: Conference USA this past offseason. This is a program that's

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Speaker 3: on the rise. App State. You know that they're really

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Speaker 3: consistent year in and year out. They have their quarterback back.

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Speaker 3: Even though they lost Evans, they lost someting their top

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Speaker 3: running back and their top receiver. They do have a

310
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Speaker 3: veteran offensive line and Zach Thomas was just really steady

311
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Speaker 3: and smart back at quarterback. But you know they did

312
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Speaker 3: recently have to shut down practices for a COVID outbreak.

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Speaker 3: I like this Charlotte team. I think they can keep

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Speaker 3: up with APP State. NAP State might have a coaching change,

315
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Speaker 3: COVID mispractices, you have to replace your top back, your

316
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Speaker 3: top receiver opted out. I think Charlotte's live here at

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Speaker 3: seventeen and above thoughts here, Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Well, I mean this is one of those things where

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Speaker 2: it pays to have a power rating system, because when

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Speaker 2: the number opened up around nineteen, I knew that was

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Speaker 2: way too much, especially considering here in the COVID rumors

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Speaker 2: that were going on. So I was happy to jump

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Speaker 2: on Charlotte at that number. And then when it finally

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Speaker 2: felled around where our power ratings are, which is fifteen

325
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Speaker 2: and a half, there's some sixteen and a half right

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Speaker 2: there at bet MGM right now. So it was something

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Speaker 2: where I came back today and decided to hit the

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Speaker 2: other side of it. So now I have a nice

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Speaker 2: middle of sixteen and a half up to nineteen, and

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Speaker 2: I think I'm going to let that sit because the

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Speaker 2: thing that worries me about Charlotte, this is a team

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Speaker 2: that I love and that we backed on the podcast

333
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Speaker 2: all last season, is what they return on defense. I'm

334
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Speaker 2: just afraid they're not going to be able to stop anybody.

335
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Speaker 2: Forty six percent of their production from defense comes back.

336
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Speaker 2: They were eighty fourth and success rate last year. Appalachian

337
00:16:03,320 --> 00:16:06,360
Speaker 2: State is one of the highest returning production teams in offense.

338
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Speaker 2: I don't think. I think the score that we saw

339
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Speaker 2: last year is pretty similar to the score that we're

340
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Speaker 2: going to see this year. So I am more than

341
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Speaker 2: happy to have a very small window around the key

342
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Speaker 2: number of seventeen. And I think it's just going to

343
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Speaker 2: be a wild game. But for me to, you know,

344
00:16:21,320 --> 00:16:23,040
Speaker 2: just have a bet going in with Charlotte and think

345
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Speaker 2: that they're going to win the game, the defense worries

346
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Speaker 2: me just a little bit. Yeah.

347
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Speaker 3: I mean, they lost their top two corners and they

348
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Speaker 3: lost high Smith, their best pass Rusher to the NFL,

349
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Speaker 3: so those hurt. My thinking here is, you know, I

350
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Speaker 3: have to say does have to replace a couple of

351
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Speaker 3: pieces in their secondary. My thinking year is with the

352
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Speaker 3: COVID with the new coach. Regardless, Thomas is going to

353
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Speaker 3: find a way to score. But I think that Charlotte

354
00:16:48,120 --> 00:16:51,560
Speaker 3: can ultimately keep up with their offense, and if they

355
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Speaker 3: can't keep up, there's going to be a backdoor opportunity

356
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Speaker 3: and that offense, Chris Donalds can certainly slide into.

357
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Speaker 2: The back door. Yeah, I would. If you want to

358
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Speaker 2: back Charlotte, I would certainly wait until game day. I

359
00:17:03,440 --> 00:17:06,320
Speaker 2: think there'll be some steam on app State and I

360
00:17:06,440 --> 00:17:08,080
Speaker 2: may push that number above seventeen.

361
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Speaker 3: All right, let's move on to our next game here.

362
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Speaker 3: This is a team that we loved last year in

363
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Speaker 3: Louisiana as long as they didn't play Appalachian State. Louisiana

364
00:17:19,760 --> 00:17:23,640
Speaker 3: is catching eleven and a half at Iowa State. It's

365
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Speaker 3: not October. Louisiana is one of the best teams along

366
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Speaker 3: with They're just a look, just a tad below Appalachian

367
00:17:30,240 --> 00:17:33,400
Speaker 3: State in the belt. They're catching eleven and a half

368
00:17:33,440 --> 00:17:36,000
Speaker 3: here at Iowa State. I'll let you take this away,

369
00:17:36,040 --> 00:17:36,760
Speaker 3: What do you see here?

370
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Speaker 2: Well, Louisiana was great last year and they really missed

371
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Speaker 2: some big opportunities with a loaded team to take advantage

372
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Speaker 2: of app State and Mississippi State. I think they had

373
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Speaker 2: seven combined turnovers out of those two games that they lost.

374
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Speaker 2: It seems to be the problem for the last three

375
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Speaker 2: years as anytime they get into a big situation game

376
00:17:53,680 --> 00:17:56,000
Speaker 2: with a Power five or an app State team, they choke,

377
00:17:56,160 --> 00:17:58,840
Speaker 2: and they choke in the form of turnovers. So, you know,

378
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Speaker 2: putting the two teams up up against each other, the

379
00:18:00,880 --> 00:18:03,080
Speaker 2: power rating is exactly where I have it at eleven

380
00:18:03,080 --> 00:18:05,720
Speaker 2: and a half. I always Say's defense returns seventy three

381
00:18:05,720 --> 00:18:07,880
Speaker 2: percent of their returning production and they were seventy first

382
00:18:07,880 --> 00:18:10,439
Speaker 2: and success rate. They do lose their top tackler and

383
00:18:10,440 --> 00:18:13,399
Speaker 2: Marcus Spears, but they return almost everybody else in the

384
00:18:13,400 --> 00:18:15,760
Speaker 2: three three five. Now the three three five is something

385
00:18:15,840 --> 00:18:19,200
Speaker 2: ull Is familiar with. Texas State rams of three three

386
00:18:19,240 --> 00:18:21,679
Speaker 2: five last year and they beat him like a drum.

387
00:18:21,880 --> 00:18:24,040
Speaker 2: No one's going to mistake the Texas State defense with

388
00:18:24,119 --> 00:18:27,480
Speaker 2: twenty eighteen to be Iowa State, but u and Leby

389
00:18:27,520 --> 00:18:32,000
Speaker 2: Lewis specifically is he's familiar with seeing this, so you know,

390
00:18:32,000 --> 00:18:34,160
Speaker 2: it shouldn't be anything new for him that should catch

391
00:18:34,200 --> 00:18:37,280
Speaker 2: him off guard. Matt Campbell, you know, doing some coach

392
00:18:37,320 --> 00:18:39,159
Speaker 2: speak this week and had some interviews and said that

393
00:18:39,240 --> 00:18:43,159
Speaker 2: establishing the run against a undersized Sunbelt defensive front is

394
00:18:43,160 --> 00:18:45,919
Speaker 2: something that he wants to do. They can't take the

395
00:18:45,960 --> 00:18:49,560
Speaker 2: next step in the Big twelve until they learned to

396
00:18:49,680 --> 00:18:52,720
Speaker 2: establish the run. Montgomery's not coming back through that door.

397
00:18:52,760 --> 00:18:54,719
Speaker 2: They got to find their next running back. They have

398
00:18:54,800 --> 00:18:57,119
Speaker 2: to be able to run the ball to relieve rock Party.

399
00:18:57,359 --> 00:19:00,000
Speaker 2: And remember we've said this before. You want brock Pertty

400
00:19:00,160 --> 00:19:02,320
Speaker 2: to shine, keep the hands out of his face, give

401
00:19:02,400 --> 00:19:04,720
Speaker 2: him some clean targets, give him some clean looks. You

402
00:19:04,760 --> 00:19:06,600
Speaker 2: can help him out and get that play action pass

403
00:19:06,640 --> 00:19:10,400
Speaker 2: going if you have a running game. So you know,

404
00:19:10,760 --> 00:19:12,720
Speaker 2: for me, that says that if Iowa State's going to

405
00:19:12,760 --> 00:19:15,960
Speaker 2: try to establish the run against you know, an undersized

406
00:19:16,000 --> 00:19:19,960
Speaker 2: front seven of ull, you know, I think that this

407
00:19:20,080 --> 00:19:22,159
Speaker 2: game may lack a little bit of scoring. It'd be

408
00:19:22,200 --> 00:19:25,880
Speaker 2: in both their first games this season. Lafayette runs at

409
00:19:25,920 --> 00:19:29,440
Speaker 2: just a lightning pace. But at the same time, they're

410
00:19:29,440 --> 00:19:32,320
Speaker 2: not going to catch Iowa State deep. Iowa State has

411
00:19:32,400 --> 00:19:34,600
Speaker 2: some very has some talent in the back seven that

412
00:19:34,640 --> 00:19:37,199
Speaker 2: I mean, they are built to defend air raids in

413
00:19:37,240 --> 00:19:40,119
Speaker 2: the Big twelve. So I think, you know, ULL is

414
00:19:40,160 --> 00:19:42,480
Speaker 2: going to depend mostly on the run. I think Iowa

415
00:19:42,520 --> 00:19:44,719
Speaker 2: State is going to try to establish the run. That

416
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Speaker 2: has me betting under fifty seven.

417
00:19:46,440 --> 00:19:49,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I don't think that Louis Jan's gonta

418
00:19:49,119 --> 00:19:50,240
Speaker 3: much success throwing the ball.

419
00:19:50,400 --> 00:19:52,040
Speaker 2: And are they going to be able to run in

420
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Speaker 2: Iowa State?

421
00:19:52,720 --> 00:19:55,960
Speaker 3: And Iowa State their defensive line is really good, their

422
00:19:55,960 --> 00:19:59,080
Speaker 3: linebackers are really good, and they added a couple Jucode

423
00:19:59,080 --> 00:20:01,000
Speaker 3: transfers are going to fill in it defensive tackle banks

424
00:20:01,119 --> 00:20:03,840
Speaker 3: and they get Marcus Bailey back at the end and

425
00:20:04,080 --> 00:20:06,960
Speaker 3: Ull they bring back a lot. But this is a

426
00:20:06,960 --> 00:20:10,240
Speaker 3: team that lost to all conference offensive line then so

427
00:20:10,400 --> 00:20:12,720
Speaker 3: is that and that offensive line has been just a

428
00:20:12,960 --> 00:20:15,640
Speaker 3: rock for them. And you know they had three backs

429
00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:17,800
Speaker 3: and at one of them now is on. I think

430
00:20:17,840 --> 00:20:20,439
Speaker 3: he made an NFL roster that just no matter what,

431
00:20:20,480 --> 00:20:22,640
Speaker 3: they were getting eight to nine yards because this offensive

432
00:20:22,640 --> 00:20:25,320
Speaker 3: line was just plowing defenses.

433
00:20:25,359 --> 00:20:27,359
Speaker 2: So you do lose two pieces on that offensive line,

434
00:20:27,840 --> 00:20:29,160
Speaker 2: I agree. As of now.

435
00:20:29,840 --> 00:20:31,480
Speaker 3: The good thing about thirteens you can dig in a

436
00:20:31,480 --> 00:20:34,080
Speaker 3: little more. There could be some more news. I think

437
00:20:34,119 --> 00:20:38,120
Speaker 3: this is a complete stay away. All right, let's get

438
00:20:38,119 --> 00:20:41,480
Speaker 3: into uh maybe they maybe this will be the most

439
00:20:41,480 --> 00:20:43,800
Speaker 3: watch game of the day. If I had a guess,

440
00:20:43,800 --> 00:20:48,080
Speaker 3: and that's Duke Notre Dame, you have the entire Midwest.

441
00:20:48,119 --> 00:20:50,320
Speaker 2: Is dying for college football, so.

442
00:20:50,280 --> 00:20:52,720
Speaker 3: They might all be tuning into a lot of people

443
00:20:52,720 --> 00:20:54,840
Speaker 3: throughout the move as a non Notre Dame defense. But

444
00:20:54,920 --> 00:20:57,000
Speaker 3: before we get to that game, here's a quick word

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463
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Speaker 3: All right, let's talk Duke Notre Dame at BETMGS. Notre

464
00:22:00,560 --> 00:22:03,200
Speaker 3: Dame is a twenty and a half point favorite. This

465
00:22:03,320 --> 00:22:06,520
Speaker 3: line dip down a little bit and has comeback up.

466
00:22:06,640 --> 00:22:08,800
Speaker 3: I don't think it's crossed any key numbers, not that

467
00:22:08,840 --> 00:22:11,959
Speaker 3: I saw over under fifty four and a half. I

468
00:22:12,000 --> 00:22:15,560
Speaker 3: know you fancy the under here. What do you see

469
00:22:15,880 --> 00:22:17,240
Speaker 3: in this matchup?

470
00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:20,240
Speaker 2: Well, I think the number is pretty spot on for

471
00:22:20,280 --> 00:22:22,560
Speaker 2: a Notre Dame team. I actually have a power related

472
00:22:22,640 --> 00:22:24,640
Speaker 2: just a little bit less. But I mean, let's talk

473
00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:28,160
Speaker 2: about why I like the under much more here, I mean,

474
00:22:28,160 --> 00:22:30,040
Speaker 2: for both sides of the ball. Let's start with Duke.

475
00:22:30,480 --> 00:22:34,080
Speaker 2: David Cutcliffe came out, didn't fire his offensive coordinator, just

476
00:22:34,160 --> 00:22:37,320
Speaker 2: made the statement I'm taking over play calling duties. I

477
00:22:37,359 --> 00:22:39,560
Speaker 2: haven't called play since two thousand and seven. I'm now

478
00:22:39,600 --> 00:22:42,200
Speaker 2: the offensive coordinator. I'm the one that's gonna be called

479
00:22:42,240 --> 00:22:45,040
Speaker 2: the plays. And after he said that, he said, I

480
00:22:45,320 --> 00:22:49,920
Speaker 2: am going to have Duke football back to running the ball.

481
00:22:50,240 --> 00:22:52,439
Speaker 2: Running the ball is Duke football, and we need to

482
00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:55,000
Speaker 2: do that again to be a successful team. So that

483
00:22:55,119 --> 00:22:57,440
Speaker 2: was something he said back in February. That's something he's

484
00:22:57,440 --> 00:23:00,800
Speaker 2: maintained through the summer. So Cutcliff is going to dusted off.

485
00:23:00,840 --> 00:23:03,240
Speaker 2: Whether he's great out of the gate or whether he's

486
00:23:03,320 --> 00:23:05,760
Speaker 2: rusty at calling plays during the game, we don't know.

487
00:23:05,840 --> 00:23:07,919
Speaker 2: But establishing the run is something I expect him to

488
00:23:07,960 --> 00:23:12,200
Speaker 2: try to do, especially with Chase Brice transferring in from Clemson.

489
00:23:12,280 --> 00:23:15,159
Speaker 2: If you remember that name, that's the person that saved

490
00:23:15,320 --> 00:23:17,920
Speaker 2: Clemson's perfect season, you know, when Trevor Lawrence was knocked

491
00:23:17,920 --> 00:23:20,879
Speaker 2: out right after Kelly Bryant decided to transfer. You know,

492
00:23:21,080 --> 00:23:25,119
Speaker 2: Duke only had three spring practices. So whatever it is

493
00:23:25,119 --> 00:23:27,320
Speaker 2: that they were trying to establish with their new offensive

494
00:23:27,359 --> 00:23:30,480
Speaker 2: play calling with Cutcliff and with Chase Price, they're just

495
00:23:30,720 --> 00:23:33,480
Speaker 2: you know, wasn't a whole bunch of time to get prepared. Here,

496
00:23:33,800 --> 00:23:36,400
Speaker 2: you're about to go up against an Irish defense under

497
00:23:36,400 --> 00:23:38,520
Speaker 2: clarke Lee that continues to be one of the best

498
00:23:38,520 --> 00:23:41,479
Speaker 2: in the nation by far twenty eighth and success rate

499
00:23:41,600 --> 00:23:44,439
Speaker 2: last year. I'm surprised he's still a defensive coordinator. He

500
00:23:44,560 --> 00:23:46,480
Speaker 2: is a future head coach and I you know Notre

501
00:23:46,560 --> 00:23:48,639
Speaker 2: Dame's defense is going to be you know, he's a

502
00:23:48,680 --> 00:23:51,200
Speaker 2: Mike elco protege and he's proven to be every bit

503
00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:53,840
Speaker 2: as good as mikel Coo since he left went to

504
00:23:53,920 --> 00:23:56,400
Speaker 2: Texas A and M So I expect, at least from

505
00:23:56,400 --> 00:23:59,040
Speaker 2: Notre Dame's standpoint, to stop Duke and what they're trying

506
00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:01,720
Speaker 2: to do and stifle them trying to run. Now, Chase

507
00:24:01,720 --> 00:24:06,359
Speaker 2: Brice is covered and transfers and new faces. Offensive line

508
00:24:06,359 --> 00:24:09,320
Speaker 2: I think has three transfers in there. His weapons, every

509
00:24:09,320 --> 00:24:11,480
Speaker 2: single weapon he has on the outside is a transfer

510
00:24:11,520 --> 00:24:14,720
Speaker 2: that's come in. There is a lot of new faces,

511
00:24:14,840 --> 00:24:18,000
Speaker 2: including himself for David Cutcliffe to be calling the plays.

512
00:24:18,040 --> 00:24:19,440
Speaker 2: So I think that's going to be a problem for

513
00:24:19,520 --> 00:24:21,600
Speaker 2: Duke to score points. Let's flip it over to the

514
00:24:21,600 --> 00:24:24,680
Speaker 2: Notre Dame side. Notre Dame also has a new offensive coordinator,

515
00:24:24,720 --> 00:24:27,800
Speaker 2: Tommy Rees was responsible for calling the plays in the

516
00:24:27,840 --> 00:24:30,760
Speaker 2: Camping World Bowl in which they beat Iowa State and

517
00:24:30,800 --> 00:24:33,760
Speaker 2: put thirty three points up on the board. So Tommy

518
00:24:33,760 --> 00:24:35,920
Speaker 2: Reeves has now got to defend himself. But you should

519
00:24:35,920 --> 00:24:38,320
Speaker 2: take note that in that box score he had a

520
00:24:38,359 --> 00:24:41,119
Speaker 2: heavier rush rate than what Notre Dame's rush rate was

521
00:24:41,200 --> 00:24:43,840
Speaker 2: last year. Wasn't much, but he does favor the rush

522
00:24:43,840 --> 00:24:46,480
Speaker 2: more than he does the pass. And consider the fact

523
00:24:46,520 --> 00:24:50,600
Speaker 2: that ian Book loses his top three targets. He lost

524
00:24:50,680 --> 00:24:54,360
Speaker 2: two hundred and forty two targets with two wide receivers

525
00:24:54,359 --> 00:24:57,520
Speaker 2: and a tight end that have moved on Chase Claypool Comet.

526
00:24:57,720 --> 00:25:00,760
Speaker 2: Not a single other wide receiver on this tire roster

527
00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:03,600
Speaker 2: right now had more than twenty five targets last year.

528
00:25:03,600 --> 00:25:06,600
Speaker 2: I'm talking targets, not even catches, just targets alone. Notre

529
00:25:06,680 --> 00:25:08,600
Speaker 2: Dame has one of the best offensive lines in the nation,

530
00:25:08,680 --> 00:25:11,639
Speaker 2: if not the best. Should be a heavy rush call.

531
00:25:12,040 --> 00:25:13,919
Speaker 2: Ian Book has to get familiar with all these new

532
00:25:13,960 --> 00:25:16,800
Speaker 2: targets that he has. Duke's gonna try to establish the

533
00:25:16,880 --> 00:25:18,879
Speaker 2: run going up against one of the best defenses in

534
00:25:18,920 --> 00:25:21,919
Speaker 2: the nation. I think this game is under city.

535
00:25:22,600 --> 00:25:24,960
Speaker 3: Well, I mean, you Putty, you summed it up pretty well,

536
00:25:25,000 --> 00:25:28,919
Speaker 3: I was leaning under, and as you were talking, I

537
00:25:29,000 --> 00:25:33,040
Speaker 3: went and bet the under. So that's basically the job

538
00:25:33,119 --> 00:25:35,440
Speaker 3: of this podcast. I feel like a podcast listening there.

539
00:25:35,480 --> 00:25:38,560
Speaker 3: So look, I'm okay with this game. I didn't I

540
00:25:38,600 --> 00:25:42,040
Speaker 3: thought the line was about right. I was leaning under

541
00:25:42,480 --> 00:25:45,439
Speaker 3: and you made the case for it. So listeners, we

542
00:25:45,480 --> 00:25:49,440
Speaker 3: can move on and for the fifth marquee game of

543
00:25:49,480 --> 00:25:51,440
Speaker 3: the day and we'll get We're gonna touch on the

544
00:25:51,520 --> 00:25:54,400
Speaker 3: rest of the games. But the reason I chose Arkansas

545
00:25:54,440 --> 00:25:57,359
Speaker 3: State and Kansas State here is I think this is

546
00:25:57,400 --> 00:26:01,280
Speaker 3: going to tell us a lot about many different things,

547
00:26:01,280 --> 00:26:05,200
Speaker 3: this Arkansas State Kansas State game, mainly because Kansas State

548
00:26:05,720 --> 00:26:09,440
Speaker 3: has not played this year and Arkansas State did. They

549
00:26:09,480 --> 00:26:12,000
Speaker 3: got me a cover a middle actually one of the

550
00:26:12,000 --> 00:26:13,640
Speaker 3: there was only a couple games. One of the good

551
00:26:13,720 --> 00:26:15,320
Speaker 3: things that the few good things that happened to the

552
00:26:15,359 --> 00:26:18,080
Speaker 3: lat weekend in college football, they got to cover they

553
00:26:18,119 --> 00:26:20,320
Speaker 3: played last week. This will be the second game of

554
00:26:20,359 --> 00:26:23,280
Speaker 3: the year for Arkansas State. Meanwhile, Kansas State would playing

555
00:26:23,280 --> 00:26:25,320
Speaker 3: their first game of the year. So what is this

556
00:26:25,560 --> 00:26:28,440
Speaker 3: is is our teams that got to play once already

557
00:26:28,480 --> 00:26:30,680
Speaker 3: and we're gonna see this a lot this weekend. Are

558
00:26:30,720 --> 00:26:32,440
Speaker 3: they going to have a leg up on these teams

559
00:26:32,480 --> 00:26:34,440
Speaker 3: that have yet to play. You know, you didn't really

560
00:26:34,480 --> 00:26:38,080
Speaker 3: get to go through your spring and summers were shortened,

561
00:26:38,119 --> 00:26:39,720
Speaker 3: blah blah blah.

562
00:26:39,400 --> 00:26:41,080
Speaker 2: Getting that full game out there.

563
00:26:41,600 --> 00:26:44,400
Speaker 3: Just I remember playing football, you know, the first day

564
00:26:44,400 --> 00:26:47,440
Speaker 3: of tackling, right, the first practice when you actually said

565
00:26:47,440 --> 00:26:49,640
Speaker 3: to right, we're going full full pads were.

566
00:26:49,440 --> 00:26:51,400
Speaker 2: Tackling like you're a little rusty tackling.

567
00:26:51,680 --> 00:26:53,359
Speaker 3: And then once you get hit a couple of times

568
00:26:53,440 --> 00:26:55,320
Speaker 3: and then you kind of get back into it.

569
00:26:55,480 --> 00:26:56,600
Speaker 2: You know, more so than usual.

570
00:26:56,800 --> 00:26:59,480
Speaker 3: This is an interesting spot We're gonna see quite a

571
00:26:59,480 --> 00:27:00,479
Speaker 3: few times this weekend.

572
00:27:00,680 --> 00:27:01,360
Speaker 2: So we saw.

573
00:27:01,280 --> 00:27:04,360
Speaker 3: Arkansas State is you know, their offense is still can

574
00:27:04,359 --> 00:27:06,399
Speaker 3: put up yards, they can put up points. We know

575
00:27:06,440 --> 00:27:09,760
Speaker 3: that they're gonna do that. Kansas State rebuilt their entire

576
00:27:09,800 --> 00:27:12,800
Speaker 3: offensive line. They have to rebuild their secondary. You know,

577
00:27:12,840 --> 00:27:16,480
Speaker 3: they lost a lot all across the roster. They saw

578
00:27:16,520 --> 00:27:19,959
Speaker 3: the senior quarterback in Skyler Thompson. The most interesting thing

579
00:27:20,040 --> 00:27:23,679
Speaker 3: about this game, besides the Arkansas State has played Kansas

580
00:27:23,720 --> 00:27:26,639
Speaker 3: State is not is this is the complete opposite in

581
00:27:26,720 --> 00:27:29,720
Speaker 3: tempo and time of possession. I mean, you want to

582
00:27:29,760 --> 00:27:31,560
Speaker 3: talk about Kansas State, what they want to do is

583
00:27:31,640 --> 00:27:33,639
Speaker 3: run the ball. They want to have the ball the

584
00:27:33,800 --> 00:27:38,800
Speaker 3: entire game. They're a snail and Arkansas State, let's go fast.

585
00:27:39,200 --> 00:27:40,800
Speaker 3: We're gonna maybe have a lot of three and outs,

586
00:27:40,800 --> 00:27:42,440
Speaker 3: we're gonna have some big plays. We're gonna throw it

587
00:27:42,440 --> 00:27:44,200
Speaker 3: down the field, and we're gonna go fast, and we're

588
00:27:44,240 --> 00:27:46,560
Speaker 3: probably not gonna have a high time of possession.

589
00:27:46,680 --> 00:27:47,400
Speaker 2: I mean they would.

590
00:27:47,400 --> 00:27:49,280
Speaker 3: They lost. They got killed in the time possession battle

591
00:27:49,280 --> 00:27:52,120
Speaker 3: against Memphis. Memphis is not known for winning the time

592
00:27:52,119 --> 00:27:55,720
Speaker 3: possession battle, so there is a huge contrast in styles here.

593
00:27:56,119 --> 00:27:58,600
Speaker 3: I tend to think this line is a little high.

594
00:27:58,920 --> 00:28:01,160
Speaker 3: Giving credit to our Kansas State for how they looked

595
00:28:01,240 --> 00:28:04,320
Speaker 3: last week. They did look prepared, they looked competent, and

596
00:28:04,359 --> 00:28:05,800
Speaker 3: they got that game out of the way, which I

597
00:28:05,800 --> 00:28:07,080
Speaker 3: think is going to mean something this year.

598
00:28:07,240 --> 00:28:09,359
Speaker 2: Thoughts on this game. They had a decent box score.

599
00:28:09,400 --> 00:28:11,280
Speaker 2: It wasn't a fraud at all. They really gave Memphis

600
00:28:11,480 --> 00:28:14,320
Speaker 2: a run here, and boy, you said it right, you

601
00:28:14,320 --> 00:28:20,200
Speaker 2: couldn't find two different style or contrasting as far as pace.

602
00:28:20,359 --> 00:28:23,040
Speaker 2: I mean, we're talking Arkansas State's twenty second and seconds

603
00:28:23,080 --> 00:28:25,560
Speaker 2: per play Kansas State one hundred and twenty seventh and

604
00:28:25,560 --> 00:28:27,560
Speaker 2: seconds per play, So who's going to dictate the pace

605
00:28:27,600 --> 00:28:29,800
Speaker 2: in this game? You know, I don't really see much

606
00:28:29,960 --> 00:28:32,680
Speaker 2: value in the side. I think the numbers about right

607
00:28:32,680 --> 00:28:35,800
Speaker 2: at double digits. I think anything below ten is probably

608
00:28:35,800 --> 00:28:37,159
Speaker 2: a little bit of a lean to case state. I

609
00:28:37,160 --> 00:28:40,360
Speaker 2: think anything at thirteen is a look at Arkansas State.

610
00:28:40,760 --> 00:28:42,320
Speaker 2: One thing you need to remember these teams is that

611
00:28:42,440 --> 00:28:45,440
Speaker 2: Arkansas State has already played Memphis and they had eleven

612
00:28:45,480 --> 00:28:47,960
Speaker 2: spring practices. It showed that they had that extra work

613
00:28:48,040 --> 00:28:51,080
Speaker 2: last week when they played Memphis in a pretty sweatless

614
00:28:51,120 --> 00:28:55,600
Speaker 2: cover and Kansas State zero spring practices. So a team

615
00:28:55,600 --> 00:29:01,040
Speaker 2: was zero spring practices and eighteen offensive line on this roster.

616
00:29:01,400 --> 00:29:05,560
Speaker 2: Eighteen offensive lineman on this roster, only two have started

617
00:29:05,680 --> 00:29:08,600
Speaker 2: experience Josh Reeves, Log and Long. That's a lot of

618
00:29:08,600 --> 00:29:11,080
Speaker 2: offensive linemen that have not seen any game time, didn't

619
00:29:11,080 --> 00:29:14,280
Speaker 2: get any spring practices. So even though Arkansas State is

620
00:29:14,280 --> 00:29:16,040
Speaker 2: a Sun Belt team and they should be inferior and

621
00:29:16,040 --> 00:29:18,520
Speaker 2: talent as far as k State goes, just the whole

622
00:29:18,560 --> 00:29:21,520
Speaker 2: game experience thing is crazy here. So I mean, Skyler

623
00:29:21,560 --> 00:29:24,239
Speaker 2: Thompson is an explosive quarterback somebody we like to bet on.

624
00:29:24,880 --> 00:29:27,080
Speaker 2: You know, K State was thirty second and passing EPA.

625
00:29:27,520 --> 00:29:29,640
Speaker 2: But the offensive line couldn't control the line of scrimmage.

626
00:29:29,680 --> 00:29:31,240
Speaker 2: I mean they were one hundred and ninth and stuff right,

627
00:29:31,400 --> 00:29:33,479
Speaker 2: they were eighty fourth and sack rate, And what that

628
00:29:33,520 --> 00:29:35,600
Speaker 2: means is they can't control the line of scrimmage against

629
00:29:35,600 --> 00:29:38,200
Speaker 2: any other competition last year. And they want to play

630
00:29:38,320 --> 00:29:41,560
Speaker 2: at a snails pace. So I expect, you know, Kansas

631
00:29:41,600 --> 00:29:44,960
Speaker 2: State to try to establish themselves with a really slow pace.

632
00:29:45,080 --> 00:29:47,360
Speaker 2: Keep the ball out of Arkansas State's hand. Arkansas State,

633
00:29:47,640 --> 00:29:50,520
Speaker 2: they'll use both quarterbacks, they don't make any mistakes. They

634
00:29:50,520 --> 00:29:53,120
Speaker 2: can hang around in this game. Now. For me, I'm

635
00:29:53,160 --> 00:29:55,560
Speaker 2: betting Arkansas State money line. I got it at plus

636
00:29:55,560 --> 00:29:58,440
Speaker 2: two seventy earlier today on the money line. You can

637
00:29:58,480 --> 00:30:00,960
Speaker 2: look at that number at bet and GM. But for

638
00:30:01,040 --> 00:30:05,800
Speaker 2: a Kansas State team that has no offensive lineman whatsoever

639
00:30:06,440 --> 00:30:09,960
Speaker 2: and has had no spring practices going up against a

640
00:30:10,080 --> 00:30:12,560
Speaker 2: team that isn't bad, I mean, Arkansas State is in

641
00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:15,600
Speaker 2: trash or not utep a team that's already played a

642
00:30:15,640 --> 00:30:18,400
Speaker 2: game and had eleven spring practices. For me, it's just

643
00:30:18,440 --> 00:30:20,719
Speaker 2: an auto buy on Arkansas State money line. Will they

644
00:30:20,720 --> 00:30:23,000
Speaker 2: win the game outright, I don't know. But money Line

645
00:30:23,040 --> 00:30:26,840
Speaker 2: count me in. I agree, and you're you're kind of

646
00:30:26,920 --> 00:30:28,360
Speaker 2: jumping a gun a little spoiler.

647
00:30:29,080 --> 00:30:32,640
Speaker 3: Maybe that play will show up in the underdog money

648
00:30:32,640 --> 00:30:36,680
Speaker 3: line parlay. All right, So that wraps up our marquee

649
00:30:36,680 --> 00:30:39,520
Speaker 3: games up the day. We're going to get to the

650
00:30:39,640 --> 00:30:42,360
Speaker 3: rest in some form or fashion. The first one that

651
00:30:42,440 --> 00:30:47,120
Speaker 3: I will talk about is driving me insane. I can't

652
00:30:47,120 --> 00:30:51,680
Speaker 3: stop looking at it, and that is Louisiana Monroe and

653
00:30:51,880 --> 00:30:53,960
Speaker 3: Army Army.

654
00:30:55,560 --> 00:30:58,040
Speaker 2: Look, the thing was with Middle Tennessee.

655
00:30:58,680 --> 00:31:01,040
Speaker 3: I love fading Army as if as a favorite, the

656
00:31:01,080 --> 00:31:04,120
Speaker 3: worst worst performing favor over the.

657
00:31:03,960 --> 00:31:05,120
Speaker 2: Past fifteen years.

658
00:31:05,680 --> 00:31:07,640
Speaker 3: But I mean when I do this, you know the

659
00:31:07,680 --> 00:31:09,520
Speaker 3: Service Academy trends, it's like the trends are really good

660
00:31:09,640 --> 00:31:11,600
Speaker 3: to hit sixty percent, So I mean, it's not like

661
00:31:11,720 --> 00:31:13,160
Speaker 3: you expect it to hit one hundred percent.

662
00:31:13,520 --> 00:31:15,520
Speaker 2: The trends with the Service Academy might've been over this

663
00:31:15,520 --> 00:31:16,360
Speaker 2: a million times.

664
00:31:16,760 --> 00:31:19,400
Speaker 3: With how they get you know, it's they're really bad

665
00:31:19,440 --> 00:31:24,000
Speaker 3: bets as favorites, especially double digit favorites, especially favorites of

666
00:31:24,000 --> 00:31:27,040
Speaker 3: twenty one points. The reason they just control the clock.

667
00:31:27,200 --> 00:31:30,160
Speaker 3: The clock is running the whole time. You know, it's

668
00:31:30,160 --> 00:31:32,320
Speaker 3: it's very difficult for a favorite to cover one way

669
00:31:32,400 --> 00:31:35,360
Speaker 3: or the other. In a Service Academy game, double digit favorites,

670
00:31:35,400 --> 00:31:37,920
Speaker 3: I mean they're like thirty nine percent the Service Academy

671
00:31:37,960 --> 00:31:39,280
Speaker 3: is over the past fifteen years.

672
00:31:39,480 --> 00:31:40,880
Speaker 2: I guess the spread an.

673
00:31:40,800 --> 00:31:42,120
Speaker 3: Your markets understand that.

674
00:31:44,200 --> 00:31:45,640
Speaker 2: Oh shit, I can't hear you.

675
00:31:48,280 --> 00:31:51,800
Speaker 3: The problem is Ulm is who I have to bet.

676
00:31:52,400 --> 00:31:56,360
Speaker 3: The strength of Ulm's team is their secondary. They have

677
00:31:56,520 --> 00:31:59,960
Speaker 3: Strawta and glass, so it's like that doesn't really matter here.

678
00:32:00,280 --> 00:32:02,840
Speaker 3: They shut down practices over the past month for a

679
00:32:02,880 --> 00:32:05,760
Speaker 3: COVID outbreak. They shut down practices over the past month

680
00:32:05,800 --> 00:32:10,440
Speaker 3: for a hurricane. Their defensive coordinator resigned last week. They

681
00:32:10,520 --> 00:32:12,640
Speaker 3: have a new defensive quarter who's been there for like days,

682
00:32:12,760 --> 00:32:15,480
Speaker 3: so they haven't really good practicing against the option. But

683
00:32:15,520 --> 00:32:17,880
Speaker 3: and the hurricane and Corona calls some double digit practice

684
00:32:17,880 --> 00:32:20,320
Speaker 3: over the past month and a scrimmage, so it's like

685
00:32:20,760 --> 00:32:24,040
Speaker 3: they got to replace Caleb Evans. They they have four

686
00:32:24,080 --> 00:32:27,080
Speaker 3: offensive linemen, they have to replace their best receiver, and

687
00:32:27,240 --> 00:32:28,200
Speaker 3: mccraye's gone.

688
00:32:28,320 --> 00:32:30,080
Speaker 2: I mean, this team is a mess. They have a

689
00:32:30,080 --> 00:32:31,520
Speaker 2: really good running back in Johnson.

690
00:32:32,000 --> 00:32:35,320
Speaker 3: I feel like without practices, yet they have to find

691
00:32:35,320 --> 00:32:36,240
Speaker 3: a new quarterback.

692
00:32:36,560 --> 00:32:38,200
Speaker 2: It's like they're just gonna hand it to Johnson.

693
00:32:38,200 --> 00:32:40,080
Speaker 3: I mean, part of you wants to bet the underyear,

694
00:32:40,240 --> 00:32:44,200
Speaker 3: but I everything inside of me says that I have

695
00:32:44,280 --> 00:32:48,320
Speaker 3: to bet Ulm because Army is a twenty one point favorite.

696
00:32:48,360 --> 00:32:50,160
Speaker 3: But there's a reason this line has been going up.

697
00:32:50,360 --> 00:32:53,720
Speaker 3: Ulm has questions all over the roster. Evans was just

698
00:32:53,720 --> 00:32:56,080
Speaker 3: did everything for them a quarterback, and they haven't been practicing.

699
00:32:56,440 --> 00:33:01,040
Speaker 3: The new defensive coordinator resigned. I mean, it's a disaster

700
00:33:01,240 --> 00:33:01,800
Speaker 3: thoughts here.

701
00:33:02,560 --> 00:33:06,800
Speaker 2: The number is outrageous. It should not be twenty one.

702
00:33:06,840 --> 00:33:10,040
Speaker 2: It should be more like thirteen, maybe eleven.

703
00:33:10,200 --> 00:33:12,160
Speaker 3: I mean, it should not be But there's a we

704
00:33:12,200 --> 00:33:14,080
Speaker 3: get another middle Tennessee is the probably know.

705
00:33:14,680 --> 00:33:17,800
Speaker 2: I know, And that's the whole thing in this day

706
00:33:17,840 --> 00:33:20,920
Speaker 2: and age with COVID and everything else that's going on,

707
00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:22,920
Speaker 2: and the fact I want everybody to remember this too.

708
00:33:23,600 --> 00:33:25,960
Speaker 2: Stucky and I talk about power ratings and stuff, and

709
00:33:25,960 --> 00:33:28,479
Speaker 2: they're much more important in October and November than they

710
00:33:28,480 --> 00:33:30,800
Speaker 2: are in September. We're still learning about these teams. We

711
00:33:30,840 --> 00:33:33,640
Speaker 2: need three weeks so the we can Yeah, we got

712
00:33:33,640 --> 00:33:36,160
Speaker 2: to assimilate success rate. We got assimilate have it. We

713
00:33:36,200 --> 00:33:39,160
Speaker 2: got to assimilate stuff right, all these things. If you're

714
00:33:39,200 --> 00:33:41,160
Speaker 2: new to the podcast, all these advanced stats that we

715
00:33:41,200 --> 00:33:44,760
Speaker 2: talk about. We need time to find out the identity

716
00:33:44,800 --> 00:33:47,720
Speaker 2: of these teams. So, you know, Army, should they be

717
00:33:47,760 --> 00:33:51,920
Speaker 2: favored by twenty one? No? Absolutely not. That is way

718
00:33:51,960 --> 00:33:54,719
Speaker 2: too much. But at the same time, ULM lost their

719
00:33:54,760 --> 00:33:58,160
Speaker 2: defensive coordinator a week ago, dismissed himself retired. And let's

720
00:33:58,160 --> 00:34:00,760
Speaker 2: talk about what ULM is done against triple options. If

721
00:34:00,800 --> 00:34:02,800
Speaker 2: you check out the box scores against Georgia Southern in

722
00:34:02,800 --> 00:34:04,840
Speaker 2: the past couple of years, they've been blown out of

723
00:34:04,840 --> 00:34:07,960
Speaker 2: the water. Georgia Southern has had no problem scoring points

724
00:34:08,000 --> 00:34:11,719
Speaker 2: against ULM. So can you ULM stop a triple option offense? No?

725
00:34:12,320 --> 00:34:14,800
Speaker 2: You know, ULM returns twenty nine percent of their offensive

726
00:34:14,800 --> 00:34:17,800
Speaker 2: returning production. We talk about the ULM defensive coordinator leaving

727
00:34:17,920 --> 00:34:21,080
Speaker 2: their offensive returning productions twenty nine percent. Their success rate

728
00:34:21,120 --> 00:34:23,759
Speaker 2: on defense last year was one hundred and eighteen. They

729
00:34:23,760 --> 00:34:27,000
Speaker 2: can't stop anybody. If this was done on yards per

730
00:34:27,000 --> 00:34:28,960
Speaker 2: play and pace, I would have made the total fifty

731
00:34:29,040 --> 00:34:31,279
Speaker 2: one at the end of last year. There's a couple

732
00:34:31,239 --> 00:34:32,759
Speaker 2: of things that make me want to bet the over

733
00:34:32,840 --> 00:34:36,120
Speaker 2: on this, not just from a mathematical standpoint, but Army

734
00:34:36,160 --> 00:34:38,200
Speaker 2: can name it. I think Army is gonna I think

735
00:34:38,320 --> 00:34:42,000
Speaker 2: Army with finishing drives and controlling the clock and the possessions,

736
00:34:42,040 --> 00:34:44,000
Speaker 2: I think they're going to be able to score when

737
00:34:44,000 --> 00:34:45,279
Speaker 2: they want to score. It's going to be a lot

738
00:34:45,280 --> 00:34:46,680
Speaker 2: like Middle Tennessee State, and they're going to be and

739
00:34:46,680 --> 00:34:48,520
Speaker 2: they're gonna be able to do anything they want. I

740
00:34:48,520 --> 00:34:52,480
Speaker 2: think something that kind of surprised me was that Tyrrel Robinson,

741
00:34:52,719 --> 00:34:55,600
Speaker 2: who is listed as a running back where's number thirty seven,

742
00:34:55,920 --> 00:34:57,600
Speaker 2: But he can catch the ball out of the backfield

743
00:34:57,760 --> 00:35:00,719
Speaker 2: like he lines up in different positions, and he may

744
00:35:00,760 --> 00:35:03,760
Speaker 2: be the most dynamic Army player that I've seen in years.

745
00:35:03,880 --> 00:35:06,600
Speaker 2: He averaged ten point four yards per carry last week.

746
00:35:06,800 --> 00:35:09,680
Speaker 2: Whether that's you know, a shuttle pass in front of him,

747
00:35:09,719 --> 00:35:11,959
Speaker 2: or whether that's a rush out of the backfield, he

748
00:35:12,000 --> 00:35:15,800
Speaker 2: moves faster than anybody else, than Sandon or anybody at fullback,

749
00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:17,880
Speaker 2: or anybody else that's coming out of that Army backfield.

750
00:35:18,239 --> 00:35:20,560
Speaker 2: And I have a feeling that if they get to

751
00:35:20,600 --> 00:35:22,720
Speaker 2: a certain point, they might try to throw the ball.

752
00:35:22,840 --> 00:35:25,360
Speaker 2: I imagine they'll run their triple option and they'll have success.

753
00:35:26,080 --> 00:35:29,960
Speaker 2: But I think there's a real dynamic playmaker on this roster,

754
00:35:30,080 --> 00:35:33,000
Speaker 2: freshman Tyrell Robinson, who went you know, ten point four

755
00:35:33,080 --> 00:35:35,600
Speaker 2: yards per carry last week and we haven't even hit

756
00:35:35,640 --> 00:35:38,080
Speaker 2: the tip of the iceberg with this kid. There's real

757
00:35:38,200 --> 00:35:41,480
Speaker 2: chance this game goes over the total. ULM wants to

758
00:35:41,480 --> 00:35:44,279
Speaker 2: add any points, great, thanks for the help. They should

759
00:35:44,320 --> 00:35:46,560
Speaker 2: be more prepared than what we got out of Middle

760
00:35:46,600 --> 00:35:49,080
Speaker 2: Tennessee State. That was the bottom of the barrel in preparation.

761
00:35:49,360 --> 00:35:52,200
Speaker 2: So I think I'm gonna look over here. I might

762
00:35:52,239 --> 00:35:54,400
Speaker 2: be It's probably gonna be a Saturday morning decision, but

763
00:35:54,840 --> 00:35:56,319
Speaker 2: I do like I do like a little bit of

764
00:35:56,320 --> 00:35:58,720
Speaker 2: over here, especially and keep your eye on Tyrol Robinson.

765
00:35:59,080 --> 00:36:00,680
Speaker 2: This might be our first at the head of the year.

766
00:36:00,719 --> 00:36:02,040
Speaker 2: I might be betting the under. I mean, I just

767
00:36:02,040 --> 00:36:03,800
Speaker 2: don't know. I mean, army regards what they're gonna do.

768
00:36:03,840 --> 00:36:06,839
Speaker 3: The clocks from me speed racing last week, they did

769
00:36:06,840 --> 00:36:09,240
Speaker 3: get lucky with turnovers, like they got so many short

770
00:36:09,239 --> 00:36:11,279
Speaker 3: fields early. I just don't know what you're gonna get

771
00:36:11,280 --> 00:36:14,520
Speaker 3: from the ULM offense, Like damn big Practicon. They have

772
00:36:14,560 --> 00:36:17,080
Speaker 3: to replace Caleb Evans, the best and their best receiver,

773
00:36:17,160 --> 00:36:18,320
Speaker 3: and four offensive linemen.

774
00:36:18,760 --> 00:36:20,600
Speaker 2: All they have is a good running back.

775
00:36:20,719 --> 00:36:22,600
Speaker 3: So like, are they just gonna come out here and

776
00:36:22,640 --> 00:36:25,880
Speaker 3: just run it and be very very vanilla early on

777
00:36:25,960 --> 00:36:28,960
Speaker 3: after just getting no reps nothing, they they're scrimmage canceled.

778
00:36:29,040 --> 00:36:33,120
Speaker 2: I mean, it's it's bad for ULM. So the comparison

779
00:36:33,160 --> 00:36:35,520
Speaker 2: they come out and sling it. But the comparison that

780
00:36:35,560 --> 00:36:38,960
Speaker 2: you're missing here is that Ulm's defense doesn't hold a

781
00:36:39,000 --> 00:36:41,800
Speaker 2: torch to Middle Tennessee. And I know Middle Tennessee look terrible,

782
00:36:41,960 --> 00:36:45,480
Speaker 2: but we're talking ULM is like bottom ten in lineyards,

783
00:36:45,520 --> 00:36:48,200
Speaker 2: bottom ten and stuff for a bottom ten and things

784
00:36:48,200 --> 00:36:50,839
Speaker 2: that you have to have. Army. He thought they had

785
00:36:50,880 --> 00:36:52,960
Speaker 2: their way last week. I think they're really gonna have

786
00:36:53,000 --> 00:36:55,920
Speaker 2: their way this week. I will end up betting ULM

787
00:36:55,920 --> 00:36:56,839
Speaker 2: at plus twenty one.

788
00:36:57,120 --> 00:36:59,279
Speaker 3: I have to at a principle now, whether it's just

789
00:36:59,400 --> 00:37:02,120
Speaker 3: five dollars to say that I bet it, and if

790
00:37:02,120 --> 00:37:05,080
Speaker 3: you LM covers, I won't end up. Remember I bet

791
00:37:05,120 --> 00:37:07,880
Speaker 3: Michigan against the Army. I went against my all of

792
00:37:07,880 --> 00:37:10,799
Speaker 3: my principles, and I was livid for weeks. I still

793
00:37:10,800 --> 00:37:15,320
Speaker 3: am livid right now. Well, no shit, I admire your honesty,

794
00:37:15,800 --> 00:37:17,560
Speaker 3: so I at least will at least put like five

795
00:37:17,600 --> 00:37:20,040
Speaker 3: dollars on it, so I can say I bet it

796
00:37:20,320 --> 00:37:21,000
Speaker 3: for something.

797
00:37:21,440 --> 00:37:23,680
Speaker 2: But yeah, that skin's gonna drive me nuts.

798
00:37:23,760 --> 00:37:26,319
Speaker 3: All right, let's move on here to let's go to

799
00:37:26,320 --> 00:37:28,520
Speaker 3: Georgia Tech Florida State. I bet mgmf Florida State's a

800
00:37:28,520 --> 00:37:30,719
Speaker 3: twelve and a half point favorite over under fifty two

801
00:37:30,719 --> 00:37:35,000
Speaker 3: and a half Georgia Tech. Look, you expect progression in

802
00:37:35,040 --> 00:37:37,680
Speaker 3: that program over time. Last year they were in an

803
00:37:37,719 --> 00:37:41,000
Speaker 3: impossible situation moving from a triple option to a more

804
00:37:41,040 --> 00:37:41,800
Speaker 3: modern offense.

805
00:37:42,920 --> 00:37:46,240
Speaker 2: The offense is still going to struggle.

806
00:37:46,280 --> 00:37:48,880
Speaker 3: I would imagine we still don't know the starting quarterback

807
00:37:48,960 --> 00:37:51,120
Speaker 3: is going to be this year. It's gonna be I

808
00:37:51,120 --> 00:37:54,120
Speaker 3: think a decision at the opening kick, whether it's Grammar

809
00:37:54,120 --> 00:37:57,759
Speaker 3: or this kid, Jeff Simms. FSU still has lots of

810
00:37:57,840 --> 00:38:02,200
Speaker 3: questions with their offensive line. It's black back at quarterback.

811
00:38:02,400 --> 00:38:04,400
Speaker 3: They have to replace Cam Akers at running back, but

812
00:38:04,440 --> 00:38:06,000
Speaker 3: they have some talent there to do so.

813
00:38:06,040 --> 00:38:07,440
Speaker 2: And they have one of the best wide receivers in

814
00:38:07,480 --> 00:38:07,880
Speaker 2: the country.

815
00:38:07,880 --> 00:38:10,920
Speaker 3: And to Mary and Terry go watching him against Swilling

816
00:38:11,280 --> 00:38:13,200
Speaker 3: their corner for Georgia Tech is one of their better players.

817
00:38:13,200 --> 00:38:13,880
Speaker 2: Should be fun.

818
00:38:14,160 --> 00:38:16,680
Speaker 3: The FSU defense has a ton of talent, a ton

819
00:38:16,719 --> 00:38:18,360
Speaker 3: of talent. I mean they're switching to a four to three.

820
00:38:18,440 --> 00:38:20,439
Speaker 3: You have a new coach obviously here with Florida State,

821
00:38:20,520 --> 00:38:22,960
Speaker 3: So what are they going to look like? A lot

822
00:38:23,000 --> 00:38:25,400
Speaker 3: of questions here, But Marvin Marvin Wilson's a stud in

823
00:38:25,400 --> 00:38:28,840
Speaker 3: the middle. You have Santi Samuel Jr. On the outside,

824
00:38:29,040 --> 00:38:30,840
Speaker 3: a lot of talent on this defense that has potential.

825
00:38:30,880 --> 00:38:34,560
Speaker 3: The linebacker's a little iffy and the defense's underperformed. But

826
00:38:35,080 --> 00:38:37,359
Speaker 3: I think that if they show up here and there's

827
00:38:37,400 --> 00:38:39,400
Speaker 3: a lot of questions on what has happened with prep

828
00:38:39,440 --> 00:38:42,439
Speaker 3: under a new staff, they should be able to hold

829
00:38:42,440 --> 00:38:45,520
Speaker 3: this Georgia Tech offense and check And if the FSU

830
00:38:45,640 --> 00:38:49,839
Speaker 3: offensive line can't block any like they haven't the past

831
00:38:49,880 --> 00:38:52,480
Speaker 3: couple of years, they might struggle too. My first thought

832
00:38:52,640 --> 00:38:54,279
Speaker 3: was to look at the under here, which has been

833
00:38:54,320 --> 00:38:56,480
Speaker 3: coming down. But there's there's a lot a lot of

834
00:38:56,560 --> 00:38:57,720
Speaker 3: uncertainty here, thoughts.

835
00:38:57,920 --> 00:38:59,960
Speaker 2: Based on last year's totals, we would have had this

836
00:39:00,040 --> 00:39:02,000
Speaker 2: at forty five. A big portion of that is the

837
00:39:02,000 --> 00:39:05,160
Speaker 2: fact that Georgia Tech can't score for a lick. I'm

838
00:39:05,200 --> 00:39:07,560
Speaker 2: not in the habit of backing, you know, first year

839
00:39:07,680 --> 00:39:11,439
Speaker 2: coaches new new situations. With what's going on at Florida State,

840
00:39:11,440 --> 00:39:13,080
Speaker 2: I definitely wouldn't want to back their side in this,

841
00:39:13,880 --> 00:39:16,640
Speaker 2: and I love, you know, Georgia Tech Jeff Collins is

842
00:39:16,680 --> 00:39:19,480
Speaker 2: able to get them all to focus even though you

843
00:39:19,520 --> 00:39:21,040
Speaker 2: know this is going to be a hell of a rebuild,

844
00:39:21,080 --> 00:39:22,960
Speaker 2: and he deserves at least three years before he puts

845
00:39:23,000 --> 00:39:25,920
Speaker 2: any kind of product on the field. They played extremely

846
00:39:25,920 --> 00:39:27,719
Speaker 2: hard for him throughout the end of the year, so

847
00:39:28,160 --> 00:39:32,000
Speaker 2: I expect a scrappy Georgia Tech defense kind of like

848
00:39:32,000 --> 00:39:33,440
Speaker 2: what we had at the end of last year. They

849
00:39:33,480 --> 00:39:35,719
Speaker 2: were turned ninety four percent of their production on the

850
00:39:35,760 --> 00:39:38,879
Speaker 2: defensive side of the ball. They were eightieth in success rate,

851
00:39:38,920 --> 00:39:41,880
Speaker 2: which is a major like he could be considered for

852
00:39:41,920 --> 00:39:45,359
Speaker 2: Coach of the Year. Offensively, they were a dumpster fire

853
00:39:45,360 --> 00:39:47,600
Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty third success rate, So I don't

854
00:39:47,640 --> 00:39:49,560
Speaker 2: expect any points out of Georgia Tech. I expected to

855
00:39:49,560 --> 00:39:51,880
Speaker 2: play good defense. Florida State, on the other hand, not

856
00:39:51,920 --> 00:39:54,239
Speaker 2: a team I'm looking to back, but they re turned

857
00:39:54,239 --> 00:39:56,960
Speaker 2: eighty three percent of their defense. They were seventy third

858
00:39:57,040 --> 00:40:00,359
Speaker 2: success rate, But there is a lot of familiarity both

859
00:40:00,400 --> 00:40:02,880
Speaker 2: sides of the ball. On the defense, the same players

860
00:40:03,120 --> 00:40:05,799
Speaker 2: they had last year in place this year. That makes

861
00:40:05,840 --> 00:40:07,520
Speaker 2: me want to take an under on this game. And

862
00:40:07,600 --> 00:40:09,640
Speaker 2: if it was based on last year's projections, it would

863
00:40:09,640 --> 00:40:11,880
Speaker 2: go well under this number. I think it's going to

864
00:40:11,960 --> 00:40:15,239
Speaker 2: keep moving down, you know, the more I keep talking

865
00:40:15,239 --> 00:40:16,719
Speaker 2: about it, I think I might lay it into a

866
00:40:16,719 --> 00:40:19,480
Speaker 2: first half under before some more steam hits this thing.

867
00:40:19,880 --> 00:40:21,919
Speaker 2: I think we're an agreement there. Under is the Look,

868
00:40:22,760 --> 00:40:23,640
Speaker 2: all right, let's.

869
00:40:23,400 --> 00:40:28,560
Speaker 3: Move on to the next game here, and that's Clemson

870
00:40:28,680 --> 00:40:33,680
Speaker 3: Wake at bet MGM. Clemson is now a thirty three

871
00:40:33,680 --> 00:40:35,800
Speaker 3: and a half point favorite over under fifty nine and

872
00:40:35,840 --> 00:40:38,640
Speaker 3: a half. I remember laying it with Clemson last year

873
00:40:38,640 --> 00:40:41,839
Speaker 3: in this matchup, and it was just an absolute beat down.

874
00:40:42,320 --> 00:40:45,680
Speaker 3: Hard to envision anything other than that this time around.

875
00:40:45,920 --> 00:40:50,319
Speaker 3: But there are more questions than normal with this Clemson roster.

876
00:40:50,360 --> 00:40:54,440
Speaker 3: But Wake just lost so much any reason to even

877
00:40:54,520 --> 00:40:56,719
Speaker 3: look in the direction of the Deeks.

878
00:40:56,360 --> 00:40:58,200
Speaker 2: Here, Yeah, this is going to be about I mean,

879
00:40:58,200 --> 00:41:01,240
Speaker 2: I'm glad it's primetime, it's getting all the publicity and everything.

880
00:41:01,280 --> 00:41:03,480
Speaker 2: But and and by the time you and I right

881
00:41:03,480 --> 00:41:05,960
Speaker 2: now thirty three and a half at bet MGM, and

882
00:41:06,160 --> 00:41:09,279
Speaker 2: I suspect this number will be closer to thirty five

883
00:41:09,360 --> 00:41:12,040
Speaker 2: by the time that we get to kick projected number

884
00:41:12,120 --> 00:41:14,680
Speaker 2: thirty four and a half. No real value on it whatsoever.

885
00:41:15,080 --> 00:41:17,040
Speaker 2: I think it's important to note if you read into

886
00:41:17,520 --> 00:41:19,520
Speaker 2: some of the things going on between these two teams,

887
00:41:19,880 --> 00:41:23,080
Speaker 2: Dave Clawson there was some sort of statement where, you know,

888
00:41:23,200 --> 00:41:25,840
Speaker 2: like Dave Classon thanked Dabo for putting in the second

889
00:41:25,880 --> 00:41:27,720
Speaker 2: string like in the second quarter, and they were running

890
00:41:27,719 --> 00:41:29,839
Speaker 2: bass plays and they still blew them out of the water.

891
00:41:30,160 --> 00:41:32,759
Speaker 2: This series, in the last two years, Wake has been

892
00:41:32,760 --> 00:41:36,080
Speaker 2: beaten one hundred and fifteen to six, one hundred and

893
00:41:36,080 --> 00:41:39,319
Speaker 2: fifteen points to six. You know, Clemson is laying off

894
00:41:39,320 --> 00:41:41,319
Speaker 2: in the second quarter with their second string and they're

895
00:41:41,320 --> 00:41:43,440
Speaker 2: not running any fancy plays and they're still blowing them

896
00:41:43,440 --> 00:41:48,000
Speaker 2: out of the water. Wake lost huge names on this offense. Hinton, Washington,

897
00:41:48,120 --> 00:41:52,120
Speaker 2: sarat As targets, Jamie Newman, gone new offensive identity for

898
00:41:52,200 --> 00:41:54,800
Speaker 2: all these players going up against a Brett Vinnables defense.

899
00:41:54,800 --> 00:41:57,480
Speaker 2: It just reloads of blue chip talent. No thank you.

900
00:41:57,520 --> 00:41:58,960
Speaker 2: I don't want anything to do with Wake as far

901
00:41:59,000 --> 00:42:01,040
Speaker 2: as them scoring points. Now, let's look at the flip

902
00:42:01,080 --> 00:42:04,080
Speaker 2: side of the ball. Can't Clemson cover the number can't

903
00:42:04,080 --> 00:42:07,400
Speaker 2: Clemson cover the number? And how does this pertain to

904
00:42:07,480 --> 00:42:11,240
Speaker 2: the total Trevor Lawrence. He has four new offensive linemen.

905
00:42:11,800 --> 00:42:14,520
Speaker 2: Jackson Carmen is still there, but there are four new faces.

906
00:42:14,920 --> 00:42:16,799
Speaker 2: I know, their load of talent. I know everyone's gonna say, oh,

907
00:42:16,840 --> 00:42:19,680
Speaker 2: it doesn't matter, they're you know, the best recruiters in

908
00:42:19,719 --> 00:42:21,520
Speaker 2: the world and they could just reload. I get that,

909
00:42:21,760 --> 00:42:24,080
Speaker 2: But this is game one and you know there are

910
00:42:24,120 --> 00:42:26,720
Speaker 2: four new offensive linemen. And let's not forget t Higgins

911
00:42:26,800 --> 00:42:29,160
Speaker 2: is now a Cincinnati Bengal and Justin Ross is out

912
00:42:29,160 --> 00:42:31,280
Speaker 2: for the year. There are not a lot of throwing

913
00:42:31,320 --> 00:42:34,799
Speaker 2: options for Trevor Lawrence that he is familiar with, at

914
00:42:34,880 --> 00:42:39,279
Speaker 2: least from a game experience standpoint. So for me, considering

915
00:42:39,360 --> 00:42:42,319
Speaker 2: that the Wake defense in the front seven actually has

916
00:42:42,320 --> 00:42:44,799
Speaker 2: two or three talented players that can get pressure on

917
00:42:44,880 --> 00:42:47,960
Speaker 2: quarterbacks in the conference, and this four new offensive lineman

918
00:42:48,120 --> 00:42:50,640
Speaker 2: which they still need their own continuity to play together,

919
00:42:50,960 --> 00:42:53,359
Speaker 2: I'm looking at a first half under here. I think,

920
00:42:53,440 --> 00:42:55,000
Speaker 2: you know, if we look at Trevor Lawrence last year

921
00:42:55,000 --> 00:42:56,960
Speaker 2: against Georgia Tech, very first game, very first half, he

922
00:42:57,000 --> 00:42:59,040
Speaker 2: had two unts. It's not like he came out of

923
00:42:59,040 --> 00:43:01,200
Speaker 2: the gate firing in the first game last season, So

924
00:43:01,760 --> 00:43:03,640
Speaker 2: you know, I'm going to take a first half under here.

925
00:43:04,040 --> 00:43:06,480
Speaker 2: I don't expect Wait to score any points whatsoever. And

926
00:43:06,520 --> 00:43:08,080
Speaker 2: I think if TREML. Lawrence wants to find any of

927
00:43:08,080 --> 00:43:10,160
Speaker 2: his new targets deep, it ain't gonna be. It will

928
00:43:10,160 --> 00:43:12,200
Speaker 2: not be until the end of the game. So first

929
00:43:12,200 --> 00:43:13,560
Speaker 2: half under for me. Yeah.

930
00:43:13,600 --> 00:43:15,360
Speaker 3: The question to ask here, and I asked myself this

931
00:43:15,400 --> 00:43:17,960
Speaker 3: for the Texas game too, is these teams that are

932
00:43:18,120 --> 00:43:21,239
Speaker 3: heavy favorites in the in the non conference games and

933
00:43:21,280 --> 00:43:24,680
Speaker 3: they're only going to play like one. Are they incentivized

934
00:43:24,719 --> 00:43:27,880
Speaker 3: to keep their starters in longer this year because you

935
00:43:27,880 --> 00:43:29,920
Speaker 3: know you had lack of prep and you want to

936
00:43:29,920 --> 00:43:32,799
Speaker 3: get as much time in as possible before conference play.

937
00:43:32,920 --> 00:43:37,640
Speaker 3: Or are you incentivized to show even less because you

938
00:43:37,760 --> 00:43:39,400
Speaker 3: only just have this one game against a cupcake and

939
00:43:39,400 --> 00:43:42,680
Speaker 3: then you're gonna get right into conference play. Maybe different

940
00:43:42,680 --> 00:43:45,040
Speaker 3: teams handle it differently, all right, I agree it's a

941
00:43:45,040 --> 00:43:47,319
Speaker 3: complete truck. I don't think I will be betting that game,

942
00:43:47,440 --> 00:43:49,200
Speaker 3: but I refuse to backwaight.

943
00:43:49,520 --> 00:43:51,759
Speaker 4: I hope you're enjoying this great Action Network podcast. I

944
00:43:51,760 --> 00:43:53,400
Speaker 4: want to make sure you know about the Locked on

945
00:43:53,560 --> 00:43:56,839
Speaker 4: podcast network locked On as a daily podcast on your

946
00:43:56,880 --> 00:43:57,479
Speaker 4: favorite team.

947
00:43:57,600 --> 00:43:59,839
Speaker 2: Welcome to you Lockdown forty nine ers. You were locked

948
00:43:59,880 --> 00:44:02,000
Speaker 2: on the Dallas marriage. Well, can everybody to the Lockdown

949
00:44:02,040 --> 00:44:03,640
Speaker 2: Lakers podcast? Let's go?

950
00:44:03,920 --> 00:44:06,799
Speaker 4: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

951
00:44:06,880 --> 00:44:09,120
Speaker 4: know your team better than anyone and give you the

952
00:44:09,160 --> 00:44:11,920
Speaker 4: inside scoop. So go to your podcast app and search

953
00:44:12,120 --> 00:44:16,440
Speaker 4: locked on your favorite team. Subscribe to your locked on podcast.

954
00:44:19,280 --> 00:44:21,239
Speaker 3: All right, let's move on here to a much more

955
00:44:21,239 --> 00:44:25,120
Speaker 3: interesting game in a battle in Kentucky, and that's Western

956
00:44:25,200 --> 00:44:29,440
Speaker 3: Kentucky against Louisville at BETMGM. Right now, this line is

957
00:44:29,480 --> 00:44:33,840
Speaker 3: sitting at Louisville minus eleven and a half over under

958
00:44:34,280 --> 00:44:37,560
Speaker 3: fifty eight. I look the Western Kentucky. When you think

959
00:44:37,600 --> 00:44:41,320
Speaker 3: of this team, you should think experience. They have seventeen

960
00:44:41,360 --> 00:44:44,200
Speaker 3: senior starters. They only lost four players from last year's

961
00:44:44,200 --> 00:44:46,760
Speaker 3: two deep. On their defense, their top six tacklers return.

962
00:44:47,200 --> 00:44:50,640
Speaker 3: They have a monster in defensive end, D'Angelo Malone. On

963
00:44:50,640 --> 00:44:53,040
Speaker 3: the other side, Juwan Jones is really good defensive end.

964
00:44:53,360 --> 00:44:55,520
Speaker 3: Now they're gonna go it's a legit defense. It was

965
00:44:55,520 --> 00:44:58,320
Speaker 3: a top twenty defense last year. They're gonna go against

966
00:44:58,800 --> 00:45:02,440
Speaker 3: a Louisville offense. It's explosive. You have Cunning out a quarterback,

967
00:45:02,440 --> 00:45:04,759
Speaker 3: Hawkins at running back, at well wide receiver. This this

968
00:45:04,840 --> 00:45:07,280
Speaker 3: team could score. Now, the one weakness is at tackle.

969
00:45:07,680 --> 00:45:10,399
Speaker 3: They lost back in the NFL, and Western Kentucky has

970
00:45:10,840 --> 00:45:13,600
Speaker 3: power five dns. I mean, the Loan's gonna play in

971
00:45:13,600 --> 00:45:16,680
Speaker 3: the NFL, So how much disruption can he cause on

972
00:45:16,719 --> 00:45:19,280
Speaker 3: the other side of the ball. You know, Western Kentucky

973
00:45:19,480 --> 00:45:22,319
Speaker 3: brings back Walker, who's a stud running back. They're gonna

974
00:45:22,320 --> 00:45:26,799
Speaker 3: feed him against a horrific Louisville rush defense. But there's

975
00:45:26,880 --> 00:45:30,000
Speaker 3: questions at quarterback. They have to replace your boy Story

976
00:45:30,120 --> 00:45:31,759
Speaker 3: and they're gonna do so with someone who does have

977
00:45:31,840 --> 00:45:35,239
Speaker 3: some experience and Eryl Pigrom who transferred from Maryland, but

978
00:45:35,840 --> 00:45:39,080
Speaker 3: he's been shaky at times. He has some legs and

979
00:45:39,080 --> 00:45:42,120
Speaker 3: he can run. But this is a really interesting matchup.

980
00:45:42,120 --> 00:45:45,440
Speaker 3: To me, I think that the Western Kentucky defense can

981
00:45:45,480 --> 00:45:49,160
Speaker 3: potentially get enough stops. We're not going to completely stop Louisville,

982
00:45:49,640 --> 00:45:54,120
Speaker 3: but while feeding Walker against the bad Louisville defense to

983
00:45:54,320 --> 00:45:55,239
Speaker 3: stay within this number.

984
00:45:55,360 --> 00:45:57,760
Speaker 2: So as of now, I'm leaning towards the tops.

985
00:45:58,040 --> 00:45:59,400
Speaker 3: One of those teams that I just have at the

986
00:45:59,400 --> 00:46:01,560
Speaker 3: top of my boy of like so much experience love

987
00:46:01,600 --> 00:46:04,839
Speaker 3: this defense on so many seniors early in this year.

988
00:46:04,880 --> 00:46:07,600
Speaker 2: What are your thoughts here? There are people I don't

989
00:46:07,600 --> 00:46:09,560
Speaker 2: respect and people I do respect that are pushing me

990
00:46:09,600 --> 00:46:11,680
Speaker 2: over in this game. And so it forced me to

991
00:46:11,719 --> 00:46:14,080
Speaker 2: kind of kind of take a look at a at

992
00:46:14,120 --> 00:46:16,359
Speaker 2: a you know, closer, look at what the total is here.

993
00:46:16,400 --> 00:46:18,719
Speaker 2: You know at bet MGM, it's at fifty eight. You know,

994
00:46:18,760 --> 00:46:21,279
Speaker 2: I can see it from a Louisville offensive perspective. We

995
00:46:21,280 --> 00:46:23,920
Speaker 2: all the pieces that you remember returning, they are seventy

996
00:46:23,920 --> 00:46:26,640
Speaker 2: eight percent returning production. Overall, they were seventy eight percent

997
00:46:26,680 --> 00:46:28,600
Speaker 2: returning production. But it's the same on both sides of

998
00:46:28,600 --> 00:46:32,120
Speaker 2: the ball, you know, sixty seventh and success rate. Louisville

999
00:46:32,160 --> 00:46:33,440
Speaker 2: is going to be able to put points up and

1000
00:46:33,440 --> 00:46:36,600
Speaker 2: they're going to be able to abuse smaller defenses. I'm

1001
00:46:36,600 --> 00:46:40,479
Speaker 2: not really sure that's Western Kentucky. Western Kentucky returns eighty

1002
00:46:40,520 --> 00:46:44,040
Speaker 2: nine percent of their returning production on defense. They were

1003
00:46:44,080 --> 00:46:46,920
Speaker 2: top twenty in success rate. People still do not understand

1004
00:46:46,960 --> 00:46:49,960
Speaker 2: how great that Western Kentucky defense was last year. And

1005
00:46:49,960 --> 00:46:51,160
Speaker 2: I think they're going to be able to throw some

1006
00:46:51,160 --> 00:46:54,160
Speaker 2: wrenches in what Louisville wants to do. And you know

1007
00:46:54,320 --> 00:46:56,880
Speaker 2: Tyrell Pegrim comes in. If you know anything about Maryland

1008
00:46:56,880 --> 00:46:59,520
Speaker 2: football and you know anything about Pigrim, there's going to

1009
00:46:59,600 --> 00:47:01,480
Speaker 2: be some supposed to plays and there's gonna be a

1010
00:47:01,520 --> 00:47:04,000
Speaker 2: lot of not moving the chains. There's not high in

1011
00:47:04,040 --> 00:47:08,000
Speaker 2: success rate. He's really good and more explosive plays. I

1012
00:47:08,040 --> 00:47:09,840
Speaker 2: think the thing that leads me to the under. I

1013
00:47:09,880 --> 00:47:12,640
Speaker 2: know everybody's barking about the over. Louis's gonna be able

1014
00:47:12,640 --> 00:47:14,640
Speaker 2: to score points. I agree, Louis's gonna be able to

1015
00:47:14,640 --> 00:47:17,959
Speaker 2: score points. I get it. But these teams drank ninety

1016
00:47:18,000 --> 00:47:20,160
Speaker 2: ninth and one hundred and fourth and seconds per play

1017
00:47:20,239 --> 00:47:23,520
Speaker 2: last year. They're not fast. Sanderfield does not have them

1018
00:47:23,600 --> 00:47:25,880
Speaker 2: running up and you know in hiking the ball as

1019
00:47:25,880 --> 00:47:29,200
Speaker 2: fast as possible. These are not no huddle offenses. Western

1020
00:47:29,280 --> 00:47:32,040
Speaker 2: Kentucky was outside the top one hundred explosiveness last year.

1021
00:47:32,239 --> 00:47:33,799
Speaker 2: This is not an offense. It's gonna be able to

1022
00:47:33,800 --> 00:47:35,680
Speaker 2: get quick points up on the board. You know, I

1023
00:47:36,120 --> 00:47:38,480
Speaker 2: project the game if it was based again, that's all

1024
00:47:38,520 --> 00:47:41,279
Speaker 2: we have guards per play pace. This would have been

1025
00:47:41,320 --> 00:47:43,879
Speaker 2: a total of fifty four last year. It's at fifty eight.

1026
00:47:44,160 --> 00:47:46,400
Speaker 2: I see it ticking up over. I think there's gonna

1027
00:47:46,400 --> 00:47:47,920
Speaker 2: be more narrative. If there's gonna be a ton of

1028
00:47:47,920 --> 00:47:50,960
Speaker 2: points here, I will wait as long as possible, and

1029
00:47:51,000 --> 00:47:53,240
Speaker 2: I will probably be sticking to my guns and taking

1030
00:47:53,280 --> 00:47:56,640
Speaker 2: a little bit amount on the under one Saturday gets here. Yeah,

1031
00:47:56,640 --> 00:47:58,920
Speaker 2: I think the top would be worth a play. That's

1032
00:47:59,000 --> 00:48:02,200
Speaker 2: my feel there. But now on the total dead number though,

1033
00:48:02,320 --> 00:48:04,279
Speaker 2: nothing to do with an eleven and a half out there,

1034
00:48:04,600 --> 00:48:06,560
Speaker 2: I would wait until we maybe get a one of

1035
00:48:06,600 --> 00:48:08,360
Speaker 2: those Saturday morning steams to fourteen.

1036
00:48:08,640 --> 00:48:12,360
Speaker 3: All right, speaking of steam, let's move on to the

1037
00:48:12,440 --> 00:48:13,359
Speaker 3: last game of the night.

1038
00:48:13,719 --> 00:48:16,000
Speaker 2: We'd no longer have Pack twelve after dark. We have

1039
00:48:16,120 --> 00:48:19,479
Speaker 2: Coastal Carolina after dark, or Kansas after dark or lest

1040
00:48:19,520 --> 00:48:22,480
Speaker 2: Miles after dark. I believe this game? When is this game?

1041
00:48:22,560 --> 00:48:24,680
Speaker 2: Is this it a tenant night? I'm them for us

1042
00:48:24,719 --> 00:48:27,080
Speaker 2: here in God nine for us in God's Country. So

1043
00:48:27,280 --> 00:48:30,080
Speaker 2: it is it ten and ten easton ten eastern for you? Yeah?

1044
00:48:30,480 --> 00:48:33,200
Speaker 2: No Hawaii football, But we got Kansas, we got Lawrence,

1045
00:48:33,200 --> 00:48:35,239
Speaker 2: we got Waving the wheat the rock shot going on

1046
00:48:35,280 --> 00:48:36,240
Speaker 2: here with the chance.

1047
00:48:36,480 --> 00:48:38,959
Speaker 3: I can't Flither're starting this game at ten's on FS

1048
00:48:39,080 --> 00:48:42,960
Speaker 3: one at bet MGM right now, Kansas is a six

1049
00:48:42,960 --> 00:48:45,000
Speaker 3: and a half point favorite over under fifty six and

1050
00:48:45,040 --> 00:48:48,520
Speaker 3: a half. Here's the thing I kind of leaned over,

1051
00:48:48,800 --> 00:48:51,399
Speaker 3: which is crazy to say for these two teams that

1052
00:48:51,760 --> 00:48:54,160
Speaker 3: last year Coastal in Lawrence, this is the second tar

1053
00:48:54,239 --> 00:48:56,319
Speaker 3: year of the play. LaRence won the twelve seven, the

1054
00:48:56,360 --> 00:48:59,479
Speaker 3: game finished twelve seven. Now the over under is fifty

1055
00:48:59,480 --> 00:49:01,840
Speaker 3: six and a half. Am I crazy to lookover?

1056
00:49:01,920 --> 00:49:02,319
Speaker 2: I don't know.

1057
00:49:02,560 --> 00:49:05,960
Speaker 3: Coastal Carolina has a really good running back, can CJ. Marrable,

1058
00:49:06,160 --> 00:49:09,960
Speaker 3: Taron Jackson's also awesome defensive end, and Kansas is gonna

1059
00:49:09,960 --> 00:49:13,200
Speaker 3: feature Pooka. There's questions about quarterback, but it's a second year.

1060
00:49:13,480 --> 00:49:16,480
Speaker 3: I bet Demon's offense and I think they're gonna be

1061
00:49:16,480 --> 00:49:19,120
Speaker 3: able to score this year, and their defense isn't anything great.

1062
00:49:19,760 --> 00:49:23,040
Speaker 3: I think this has a chance to actually be a shootout.

1063
00:49:23,120 --> 00:49:25,280
Speaker 3: But the first question I asked you if we're breaking

1064
00:49:25,280 --> 00:49:27,279
Speaker 3: this down, is I mean, what's going on here? Like

1065
00:49:27,320 --> 00:49:29,799
Speaker 3: there's the line has been all over the place. There's

1066
00:49:29,840 --> 00:49:32,440
Speaker 3: been COVID outbreak news on both sides. So like I

1067
00:49:32,480 --> 00:49:35,640
Speaker 3: also am like hesitant to get involved with seems like

1068
00:49:36,320 --> 00:49:38,600
Speaker 3: a true PAC twelve after Dark mass in Lawrence.

1069
00:49:39,160 --> 00:49:42,520
Speaker 2: Yeah. So we've had examples of this last year where

1070
00:49:42,600 --> 00:49:45,640
Speaker 2: I've I can give you all the advanced stats that

1071
00:49:45,719 --> 00:49:47,200
Speaker 2: you want, and then I can tell you what the

1072
00:49:47,239 --> 00:49:49,520
Speaker 2: market is doing. And I can sit here and tell

1073
00:49:49,520 --> 00:49:52,120
Speaker 2: you that Coastal won last year. They beat this Kansas team.

1074
00:49:52,520 --> 00:49:54,360
Speaker 2: I can sit here and tell you the Coastal returns

1075
00:49:54,400 --> 00:49:57,360
Speaker 2: eighty eight percent of an offense that was top twenty

1076
00:49:57,360 --> 00:49:59,880
Speaker 2: and success rate. They are a fantastic watch from an

1077
00:49:59,880 --> 00:50:02,759
Speaker 2: all offensive standpoint. You're gonna get some good offense on

1078
00:50:02,840 --> 00:50:05,800
Speaker 2: TV from Lawrence, especially on the Kansas side too. Of

1079
00:50:05,840 --> 00:50:08,160
Speaker 2: Puka Plan. I mean, there should be some something, some

1080
00:50:08,239 --> 00:50:14,000
Speaker 2: quality here to watch. The number at seven is crazy.

1081
00:50:14,920 --> 00:50:17,440
Speaker 2: Kansas being favored by seven over anybody in the FBS

1082
00:50:17,520 --> 00:50:20,360
Speaker 2: is really kind of unheard of. I have this number

1083
00:50:20,840 --> 00:50:24,960
Speaker 2: three and a half. I know, particularly think Coastal beat

1084
00:50:25,000 --> 00:50:27,040
Speaker 2: him last year. I'm not sure why I wouldn't beat

1085
00:50:27,080 --> 00:50:29,239
Speaker 2: him here, But we had this whole thing two weeks

1086
00:50:29,239 --> 00:50:31,920
Speaker 2: ago with Austin p and with Central Arkansas, and what

1087
00:50:32,000 --> 00:50:34,279
Speaker 2: happened when all these COVID you know things came out

1088
00:50:34,280 --> 00:50:37,439
Speaker 2: on Austin P. The line didn't move one bit, which

1089
00:50:37,480 --> 00:50:39,600
Speaker 2: makes me think that that number was baked in from

1090
00:50:39,600 --> 00:50:42,719
Speaker 2: the beginning with COVID concerns that we're already known. I'm

1091
00:50:42,760 --> 00:50:45,239
Speaker 2: telling you right now, there's another power rating system out

1092
00:50:45,239 --> 00:50:48,200
Speaker 2: there that everybody trusts, and they have this game at

1093
00:50:48,200 --> 00:50:50,600
Speaker 2: a pick. You asked me, it's at least a pick.

1094
00:50:50,840 --> 00:50:53,719
Speaker 2: So what is this number at Kansas minus seven? There's

1095
00:50:53,719 --> 00:50:56,680
Speaker 2: something floating around out there that some people know. Because

1096
00:50:56,719 --> 00:50:59,839
Speaker 2: every time, you know, somebody the public or anybody else

1097
00:50:59,840 --> 00:51:02,040
Speaker 2: come in and takes a piece of seven and I

1098
00:51:02,080 --> 00:51:03,879
Speaker 2: see it flicker down to six and a half. It's

1099
00:51:03,960 --> 00:51:06,319
Speaker 2: right back up. What I'm telling you is that from

1100
00:51:06,320 --> 00:51:08,440
Speaker 2: an nexus and no standpoint, coach is going to be

1101
00:51:08,440 --> 00:51:10,719
Speaker 2: able to score points and hang around and should be

1102
00:51:10,719 --> 00:51:13,040
Speaker 2: able to cover. And I'm telling you, from a market

1103
00:51:13,080 --> 00:51:16,120
Speaker 2: read standpoint, Kansas is winning this game, and they're gonna

1104
00:51:16,120 --> 00:51:18,279
Speaker 2: win this game by at least seven points. So I

1105
00:51:18,320 --> 00:51:20,320
Speaker 2: can't explain it. Now, let's go to the COVID front.

1106
00:51:21,560 --> 00:51:24,799
Speaker 2: Lincoln Riley decides to say, we're not going to tell

1107
00:51:24,840 --> 00:51:28,480
Speaker 2: anybody about our COVID results because we need that competitive advantage,

1108
00:51:28,600 --> 00:51:30,960
Speaker 2: which to me is just like the craziest thing ever,

1109
00:51:31,160 --> 00:51:34,480
Speaker 2: like spray knees and broken ankles and broken arms that's

1110
00:51:34,480 --> 00:51:37,000
Speaker 2: not contagious, but COVID's contagious. You know, so as a

1111
00:51:37,000 --> 00:51:39,480
Speaker 2: matter of public health here, but we're going to contain

1112
00:51:39,520 --> 00:51:42,560
Speaker 2: our COVID news because we want to keep a competitive advantage.

1113
00:51:42,719 --> 00:51:46,080
Speaker 2: Kansas has had fourteen positive cases. You do a little

1114
00:51:46,120 --> 00:51:48,000
Speaker 2: bit more research in just that one article that came out.

1115
00:51:48,080 --> 00:51:50,360
Speaker 2: Turns out those fourteen cases have been over like the

1116
00:51:50,400 --> 00:51:54,240
Speaker 2: span of the last month, and it includes players, coaches, personnel,

1117
00:51:54,320 --> 00:51:56,279
Speaker 2: So we don't know if it's fourteen players. We don't

1118
00:51:56,280 --> 00:52:00,399
Speaker 2: know if it's fourteen coaches. On the chance side. There's

1119
00:52:00,440 --> 00:52:03,960
Speaker 2: an article that came out earlier today from Jamie Chadwell

1120
00:52:04,000 --> 00:52:06,680
Speaker 2: making comments that made me a little bit more nervous

1121
00:52:06,680 --> 00:52:09,080
Speaker 2: about the money that I have on Coastal said, we're

1122
00:52:09,200 --> 00:52:11,880
Speaker 2: just you know, we're just trying to get by with

1123
00:52:11,920 --> 00:52:14,239
Speaker 2: the COVID testing. We got tested on Monday, we got

1124
00:52:14,239 --> 00:52:17,359
Speaker 2: tested on Wednesday, We will be tested again on Friday night,

1125
00:52:17,760 --> 00:52:21,080
Speaker 2: and then we will get on the plane at nine pm.

1126
00:52:21,239 --> 00:52:25,120
Speaker 2: So the COVID test for Coast Carolina is six pm

1127
00:52:25,120 --> 00:52:27,839
Speaker 2: Friday night, board the plane at nine pm, get into

1128
00:52:27,880 --> 00:52:31,920
Speaker 2: Lawrence late. He has said that we're just trying to

1129
00:52:31,960 --> 00:52:35,759
Speaker 2: survive or avoid the COVID. It's been concerning, it's been

1130
00:52:35,800 --> 00:52:40,040
Speaker 2: on their minds. He's saying things that don't give me

1131
00:52:40,120 --> 00:52:43,279
Speaker 2: the warm and fuzzies that Coastal has completely avoided the

1132
00:52:43,320 --> 00:52:46,279
Speaker 2: COVID bug. Now to this point, he has said that

1133
00:52:46,440 --> 00:52:50,720
Speaker 2: four have tested positive. They are backups slash special team players.

1134
00:52:51,200 --> 00:52:52,680
Speaker 2: I'm not going to tell you exactly who they are.

1135
00:52:53,160 --> 00:52:54,839
Speaker 2: You know, I don't know what he's trying to say,

1136
00:52:54,880 --> 00:52:56,719
Speaker 2: what hidden day. I'm not going to get into coach speak.

1137
00:52:56,719 --> 00:52:58,880
Speaker 2: Here my suggestion, if you're listening to this on Friday,

1138
00:52:59,320 --> 00:53:02,520
Speaker 2: those rapid test results are gonna happen at six o'clock Eastern.

1139
00:53:02,680 --> 00:53:04,800
Speaker 2: They're going to board the plane at nine pm Eastern.

1140
00:53:05,120 --> 00:53:07,440
Speaker 2: You see some Kansas money come into the market. I

1141
00:53:07,440 --> 00:53:09,440
Speaker 2: would say that those test results are very known and

1142
00:53:09,680 --> 00:53:12,760
Speaker 2: exactly who got onto that plane tomorrow night at nine o'clock.

1143
00:53:13,160 --> 00:53:14,719
Speaker 2: Let's go back to the over under. I think you're

1144
00:53:14,760 --> 00:53:19,480
Speaker 2: exactly right this Coastal Carolina, this triple option diamond package

1145
00:53:19,520 --> 00:53:21,880
Speaker 2: thing they've got going on top twenty and success rate.

1146
00:53:21,960 --> 00:53:24,680
Speaker 2: Last year, they can score. They had so many fifty

1147
00:53:24,719 --> 00:53:27,520
Speaker 2: point games from my recent memory, this team could put

1148
00:53:27,600 --> 00:53:30,640
Speaker 2: up points. Kansas Puka Williams he can put up points.

1149
00:53:31,719 --> 00:53:33,760
Speaker 2: Coastal can't play defense. It doesn't matter if they're healthier

1150
00:53:33,800 --> 00:53:36,640
Speaker 2: or not. They could be full strength, they can't defend anybody.

1151
00:53:36,680 --> 00:53:40,000
Speaker 2: I think they were one hundred and twenty fifthish and

1152
00:53:40,000 --> 00:53:43,320
Speaker 2: success rate on defense. Kansas canna be able to score points.

1153
00:53:43,640 --> 00:53:46,320
Speaker 2: I'm willing to watch this number kind of play around

1154
00:53:46,360 --> 00:53:48,200
Speaker 2: at the fifty six and a half at vet MGM.

1155
00:53:48,920 --> 00:53:50,920
Speaker 2: If it gets a little bit lower, I will be

1156
00:53:50,960 --> 00:53:53,560
Speaker 2: one of the ones that will be playing the over, maybe.

1157
00:53:53,280 --> 00:53:55,960
Speaker 3: With you as well. By the way, you gotta love

1158
00:53:55,960 --> 00:53:58,399
Speaker 3: college football in twenty twenty. That's the analysis that you're

1159
00:53:58,440 --> 00:53:58,879
Speaker 3: gonna get.

1160
00:53:59,400 --> 00:54:02,080
Speaker 1: College though, is getting weird.

1161
00:54:02,960 --> 00:54:06,319
Speaker 3: If there's anyone who's associated with the testing results out

1162
00:54:06,360 --> 00:54:10,920
Speaker 3: there that gets results, that does the testing, it seems

1163
00:54:10,960 --> 00:54:15,080
Speaker 3: like you have interesting stories to tell. Nothing related to gambling,

1164
00:54:15,080 --> 00:54:17,960
Speaker 3: of course, but I don't know. I'm always looking for

1165
00:54:18,040 --> 00:54:21,600
Speaker 3: new friends, so feel free to reach out via direct message,

1166
00:54:22,160 --> 00:54:23,960
Speaker 3: email Stucky at actionnmeric.

1167
00:54:23,520 --> 00:54:25,120
Speaker 2: Dot com anyway you can.

1168
00:54:25,440 --> 00:54:27,760
Speaker 3: I would love to just hear some stories about COVID,

1169
00:54:27,800 --> 00:54:30,359
Speaker 3: not nothing to do with betting. Okay, all right, let's

1170
00:54:30,400 --> 00:54:32,440
Speaker 3: before we go three and out here. I do have

1171
00:54:32,520 --> 00:54:36,200
Speaker 3: to mention the shitfest Game of the Day, FBS Game

1172
00:54:36,239 --> 00:54:38,560
Speaker 3: of the Day. That's we got to get a meat

1173
00:54:38,600 --> 00:54:44,000
Speaker 3: meet in here. UTSA and Texas State. The Bobs the

1174
00:54:44,040 --> 00:54:46,880
Speaker 3: Texas State. Maybe they showed you something the other day. Utsa,

1175
00:54:46,920 --> 00:54:49,319
Speaker 3: they actually bring a lot back. But they're going through

1176
00:54:49,360 --> 00:54:51,320
Speaker 3: all kinds of changes. I mean, they're changing their offense,

1177
00:54:51,320 --> 00:54:54,480
Speaker 3: they're changing their defensive scheme, a new coach. It's it's

1178
00:54:54,520 --> 00:54:57,040
Speaker 3: a quarterback competition. So they have a lot of returning production.

1179
00:54:57,160 --> 00:54:59,279
Speaker 3: But like it's not great and there's a lot of

1180
00:54:59,360 --> 00:55:02,279
Speaker 3: change anything on the Bobs and UTSA.

1181
00:55:02,400 --> 00:55:04,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, the numbers should be five. Should be Texas State

1182
00:55:04,560 --> 00:55:06,840
Speaker 2: minus five, even with the adjustments of having a fantastic

1183
00:55:06,840 --> 00:55:11,359
Speaker 2: box score against SMU. UTSA has been faded against this

1184
00:55:11,400 --> 00:55:13,600
Speaker 2: week because their coach came out and said, we've had

1185
00:55:13,600 --> 00:55:15,520
Speaker 2: about with COVID. I'm not going to disclose who the

1186
00:55:15,520 --> 00:55:19,040
Speaker 2: players are. I believe eight to thirteen. It's somewhere in

1187
00:55:19,080 --> 00:55:21,239
Speaker 2: that range or so many COVID cases, so many games,

1188
00:55:21,239 --> 00:55:23,600
Speaker 2: it's hard to keep tracking who it is. But UTSA

1189
00:55:23,680 --> 00:55:26,160
Speaker 2: is having their own bout with COVID. That's the reason

1190
00:55:26,200 --> 00:55:28,560
Speaker 2: this number has ticked up way more than what it

1191
00:55:28,560 --> 00:55:31,359
Speaker 2: should be. We don't know who those players are, so

1192
00:55:31,600 --> 00:55:33,799
Speaker 2: it's moving on the fact that you know, we don't know.

1193
00:55:33,880 --> 00:55:37,560
Speaker 2: You know it's names players. Texas State should be favored

1194
00:55:37,560 --> 00:55:40,000
Speaker 2: by five five and a half. I would wait to

1195
00:55:40,080 --> 00:55:42,719
Speaker 2: find out who these players are for UTSA or maybe

1196
00:55:42,760 --> 00:55:45,399
Speaker 2: play an in game for me. If it comes out

1197
00:55:45,400 --> 00:55:48,960
Speaker 2: and it's nobody significant, I would play UTSA at seven

1198
00:55:48,960 --> 00:55:49,760
Speaker 2: and a half and above.

1199
00:55:50,280 --> 00:55:53,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, right now, they're plus eight and a half at

1200
00:55:53,200 --> 00:55:55,399
Speaker 3: bet MGM. All right, how to get a meat meat

1201
00:55:55,440 --> 00:55:58,319
Speaker 3: shout out and talk of the bobs your boys, all

1202
00:55:58,400 --> 00:56:02,800
Speaker 3: right for we out here, Let's go three and now.

1203
00:56:02,239 --> 00:56:04,400
Speaker 1: Let's make it a quick three and out.

1204
00:56:05,320 --> 00:56:07,960
Speaker 3: All right, first down, you gotta get a little FCS

1205
00:56:08,000 --> 00:56:11,880
Speaker 3: talk in here.

1206
00:56:16,280 --> 00:56:21,839
Speaker 1: Southland or SEC, Big Sky or Big Ten. It's time

1207
00:56:21,920 --> 00:56:24,439
Speaker 1: to play FC yes or no.

1208
00:56:28,760 --> 00:56:32,799
Speaker 3: There are six f CSFBS matchups this week. You have

1209
00:56:32,800 --> 00:56:36,720
Speaker 3: the Citadel in there. You give Missouri State, Oklahoma, Houston, Baptist,

1210
00:56:36,760 --> 00:56:41,520
Speaker 3: Texas Tech, Loston, Pete Pitt, Campbell, Georgia, Southern and Eastern Kentucky.

1211
00:56:41,760 --> 00:56:44,759
Speaker 3: Look last week against West Virginia. You got thoughts on

1212
00:56:44,800 --> 00:56:45,160
Speaker 3: that game.

1213
00:56:45,520 --> 00:56:47,560
Speaker 2: Eastern Kentucky, West Virginia. If you're the kind of better

1214
00:56:47,640 --> 00:56:50,799
Speaker 2: that's keeping track of these spring practices, West Virginia had

1215
00:56:50,800 --> 00:56:54,479
Speaker 2: a total of zero. Eastern Kentucky, they've already played a game.

1216
00:56:54,760 --> 00:56:59,000
Speaker 2: They look like absolute dog shit against Marshall. They made

1217
00:56:59,040 --> 00:57:01,879
Speaker 2: Marshall look like Mark could win the Super Bowl. Eastern

1218
00:57:01,960 --> 00:57:05,600
Speaker 2: Kentucky didn't score a point, but they do have game experience,

1219
00:57:05,680 --> 00:57:08,600
Speaker 2: and because of that, they showed the public. They showed

1220
00:57:08,640 --> 00:57:10,920
Speaker 2: everybody in the world that they can. You know that

1221
00:57:10,920 --> 00:57:14,120
Speaker 2: they're horrible, and so right now their stock is as

1222
00:57:14,200 --> 00:57:17,600
Speaker 2: low as it possibly could be. This spread coming out

1223
00:57:17,640 --> 00:57:21,600
Speaker 2: somewhere north of forty in some different places, this spread

1224
00:57:21,680 --> 00:57:25,320
Speaker 2: really should be around thirty two or thirty. Eastern Kentucky

1225
00:57:25,400 --> 00:57:29,520
Speaker 2: stock extremely low. West Virginia no spring games whatsoever. This

1226
00:57:29,720 --> 00:57:32,320
Speaker 2: is a huge overreaction to what's already been out there,

1227
00:57:32,640 --> 00:57:35,480
Speaker 2: you know, from a second FCS game. Keep your eyes

1228
00:57:35,720 --> 00:57:37,840
Speaker 2: on the Camels, on the Campbell Camels.

1229
00:57:37,840 --> 00:57:38,000
Speaker 1: Now.

1230
00:57:38,120 --> 00:57:40,960
Speaker 2: Usually if you're a college baseball fan, we love to

1231
00:57:40,960 --> 00:57:43,600
Speaker 2: watch them compete in the regionals of a College World Series.

1232
00:57:43,760 --> 00:57:45,600
Speaker 2: But no, they have a football team and they have

1233
00:57:45,640 --> 00:57:51,360
Speaker 2: a quarterback. Last year, Lynn bowdenish nine tds rushing, seventeen

1234
00:57:51,400 --> 00:57:54,640
Speaker 2: tds passing, and a twenty three yard td receipt. They

1235
00:57:54,680 --> 00:57:57,920
Speaker 2: also played Kennesas State yearly, and they lost to Kinnesas

1236
00:57:57,960 --> 00:58:00,800
Speaker 2: State by three last year, so it's not like they

1237
00:58:00,800 --> 00:58:05,200
Speaker 2: aren't familiar to Georgia Southern's triple option. For Georgia Southern

1238
00:58:05,240 --> 00:58:07,960
Speaker 2: to try to cover a spread up in the mid thirties,

1239
00:58:08,160 --> 00:58:10,240
Speaker 2: I guess the team that's seen the triple option before

1240
00:58:10,680 --> 00:58:13,440
Speaker 2: George is the slowest team in the nation. Give me

1241
00:58:13,560 --> 00:58:16,640
Speaker 2: Campbell and all those points with a quarterback that is

1242
00:58:16,760 --> 00:58:18,600
Speaker 2: doing it all. Yeah, I agree.

1243
00:58:18,600 --> 00:58:21,160
Speaker 3: I mean Georgia Southern does bring everything back one hundred

1244
00:58:21,160 --> 00:58:23,600
Speaker 3: percent of the rushing yard, Shadewartz's back, the quarterback, Kennedy's back,

1245
00:58:23,600 --> 00:58:26,280
Speaker 3: and running back one hundred percent. And then their offensive

1246
00:58:26,280 --> 00:58:28,200
Speaker 3: line just had tons of injuries last year. They couldn't

1247
00:58:28,200 --> 00:58:30,280
Speaker 3: even snap me in. Their center position was a mess.

1248
00:58:30,520 --> 00:58:33,040
Speaker 3: They couldn't snap the ball. They get a good transferred

1249
00:58:33,040 --> 00:58:35,480
Speaker 3: at center. You know, all that experience last year on

1250
00:58:35,520 --> 00:58:37,919
Speaker 3: the offensive line should pay dividends. Yeah, this line's crazy.

1251
00:58:37,960 --> 00:58:40,560
Speaker 3: This is a good back service. Academy's laying this many points.

1252
00:58:40,680 --> 00:58:42,760
Speaker 3: So that was my look for FCS or no as well.

1253
00:58:42,880 --> 00:58:44,800
Speaker 3: All right, let's be on to second down here, we'll

1254
00:58:44,800 --> 00:58:46,880
Speaker 3: talk favorite overdog of the week.

1255
00:58:47,200 --> 00:58:49,680
Speaker 2: It's called the overg parlay. I will start.

1256
00:58:49,920 --> 00:58:52,120
Speaker 3: I already went into the start of the podcast. So

1257
00:58:52,160 --> 00:58:54,120
Speaker 3: if you tune me out and you do want to

1258
00:58:54,280 --> 00:58:57,360
Speaker 3: usually and you just listen to Colin or you were busy,

1259
00:58:57,480 --> 00:59:00,160
Speaker 3: just fast take your thing and rewind it at the

1260
00:59:00,240 --> 00:59:00,960
Speaker 3: start of the show.

1261
00:59:01,160 --> 00:59:02,240
Speaker 2: Syracuse is a mess.

1262
00:59:02,640 --> 00:59:05,160
Speaker 3: Carolina should be able to throw it, they should be

1263
00:59:05,160 --> 00:59:08,240
Speaker 3: able to run it, and they should bring pressure against

1264
00:59:08,480 --> 00:59:12,160
Speaker 3: a disastrous Syracuse offensive line defense going through all kinds

1265
00:59:12,200 --> 00:59:14,280
Speaker 3: of changes just should be a mess.

1266
00:59:14,600 --> 00:59:17,120
Speaker 2: Colin, there's no more laughable team in college football on

1267
00:59:17,160 --> 00:59:18,840
Speaker 2: the FBS level right now than UTEP.

1268
00:59:19,240 --> 00:59:22,440
Speaker 1: We're talking minor nation out.

1269
00:59:22,200 --> 00:59:26,960
Speaker 4: In the West Texas town of l Pastle picks up.

1270
00:59:28,160 --> 00:59:29,880
Speaker 2: That number is forty two and a half and bet

1271
00:59:29,960 --> 00:59:32,200
Speaker 2: MGM should be more like forty seven and a half

1272
00:59:32,200 --> 00:59:35,760
Speaker 2: according to our power ratings. I don't know if the

1273
00:59:35,800 --> 00:59:39,280
Speaker 2: miners score a point, so Overdog give me Texas YEP.

1274
00:59:39,320 --> 00:59:42,480
Speaker 2: I agree. Still wait for that to go under forty two.

1275
00:59:42,480 --> 00:59:43,640
Speaker 2: If it doesn't, I still like it.

1276
00:59:43,760 --> 00:59:46,760
Speaker 3: But yeah, UTEP last week it could have easily easily

1277
00:59:47,040 --> 00:59:49,520
Speaker 3: lost to Steven F.

1278
00:59:49,560 --> 00:59:50,919
Speaker 2: Austin. I don't think they can score.

1279
00:59:51,040 --> 00:59:52,920
Speaker 3: The only question I have here is like, does Texas

1280
00:59:52,960 --> 00:59:55,200
Speaker 3: say we kind of have new schemes. Do they say

1281
00:59:55,200 --> 00:59:57,560
Speaker 3: we need to get as much work as possible, or

1282
00:59:57,640 --> 00:59:59,920
Speaker 3: do they say, all right, we have a big lead,

1283
01:00:00,040 --> 01:00:03,480
Speaker 3: let's save some looks, let's save our health. That's really

1284
01:00:03,520 --> 01:00:04,280
Speaker 3: the only question here.

1285
01:00:04,280 --> 01:00:04,720
Speaker 2: But I agree.

1286
01:00:04,760 --> 01:00:06,600
Speaker 3: I don't think you tip scores unless it's luck or

1287
01:00:06,720 --> 01:00:09,360
Speaker 3: junk time. I agree on that call as well. All Right,

1288
01:00:09,560 --> 01:00:13,560
Speaker 3: for our last segment on third down, let's talk our

1289
01:00:13,680 --> 01:00:16,000
Speaker 3: underdog money line parlay.

1290
01:00:18,800 --> 01:00:23,720
Speaker 1: Turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for the

1291
01:00:23,880 --> 01:00:25,200
Speaker 1: money line parlay.

1292
01:00:26,680 --> 01:00:29,960
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with something we already talked about here,

1293
01:00:30,040 --> 01:00:32,120
Speaker 3: and I think you played the first.

1294
01:00:31,920 --> 01:00:33,280
Speaker 2: Half Arkansas State money line.

1295
01:00:33,560 --> 01:00:36,560
Speaker 3: I'm gonna play the game money line here, and I

1296
01:00:36,640 --> 01:00:38,400
Speaker 3: just think there's I'm gonna go with the upside, which

1297
01:00:38,440 --> 01:00:40,640
Speaker 3: is what I want to do with a moneyline underdog,

1298
01:00:40,680 --> 01:00:43,480
Speaker 3: And the upside here is that they played, and I

1299
01:00:43,560 --> 01:00:46,080
Speaker 3: know what I'm gonna get from Arkansas State, right, I'm

1300
01:00:46,120 --> 01:00:49,600
Speaker 3: much more comfortable after seeing them, knowing what I'm gonna get,

1301
01:00:49,680 --> 01:00:51,960
Speaker 3: knowing that there's gonna be some teams that are complete

1302
01:00:51,960 --> 01:00:55,360
Speaker 3: disasters early on. Arkansas State already has that game out

1303
01:00:55,400 --> 01:00:59,160
Speaker 3: of the way their offense is explosive. Kansas State rebuilding

1304
01:00:59,160 --> 01:01:03,560
Speaker 3: that secondary. I can't state it could be messy early.

1305
01:01:04,160 --> 01:01:06,760
Speaker 3: It wouldn't shock me if Arkansas State won this game,

1306
01:01:06,840 --> 01:01:08,640
Speaker 3: they could get blown out. But this is a high

1307
01:01:08,720 --> 01:01:12,760
Speaker 3: variants game with two completely contrasting styles. Give me our state.

1308
01:01:13,640 --> 01:01:15,600
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with South Alabama. I loved what I

1309
01:01:15,600 --> 01:01:19,000
Speaker 2: saw on at Desmond Trotter success rate. South Alabama is

1310
01:01:19,080 --> 01:01:21,040
Speaker 2: that yeah, can you believe it? I mean we were

1311
01:01:21,040 --> 01:01:22,600
Speaker 2: hot on them. We've been hot on them for years,

1312
01:01:22,680 --> 01:01:24,880
Speaker 2: especially after they outright beat Mississippi State a couple of

1313
01:01:24,920 --> 01:01:26,520
Speaker 2: years ago, and then I always talked ended at the

1314
01:01:26,520 --> 01:01:28,280
Speaker 2: beginning of the year and it never panned out till

1315
01:01:28,560 --> 01:01:31,080
Speaker 2: this year. So, I mean Desmond Trotter's success right way

1316
01:01:31,120 --> 01:01:33,520
Speaker 2: up in the box score. He had explosive drives more

1317
01:01:33,560 --> 01:01:36,479
Speaker 2: than the national average. The influx of transfers has played

1318
01:01:36,480 --> 01:01:39,960
Speaker 2: a key role there. I just think from a box

1319
01:01:40,000 --> 01:01:42,840
Speaker 2: score perspective of South Alabama was more impressive than the

1320
01:01:42,880 --> 01:01:45,080
Speaker 2: score actually showed. And if you flip over look at

1321
01:01:45,080 --> 01:01:47,520
Speaker 2: the TWU lane side, listen, I love the Green Way,

1322
01:01:47,520 --> 01:01:49,520
Speaker 2: I I love Angry Way more than anybody. You know.

1323
01:01:49,560 --> 01:01:51,920
Speaker 2: They only returned twenty one percent of their offensive production.

1324
01:01:52,200 --> 01:01:54,800
Speaker 2: That's low. They lose st our quarterback Justin McMillan, the

1325
01:01:54,880 --> 01:01:57,160
Speaker 2: replacment of m key On Howard. I think eighteen pass

1326
01:01:57,160 --> 01:02:00,480
Speaker 2: attempts last season, three offensive lineman would not starts or

1327
01:02:00,520 --> 01:02:02,840
Speaker 2: more so, there's not much experience on the offensive line.

1328
01:02:03,040 --> 01:02:05,480
Speaker 2: I think South Alabama, who's going to be playing at

1329
01:02:05,480 --> 01:02:08,160
Speaker 2: home here making two lane travel on their first game

1330
01:02:08,200 --> 01:02:10,800
Speaker 2: of the season with only twenty one percent of their

1331
01:02:10,840 --> 01:02:14,960
Speaker 2: offense coming back to understand, you know Willie Fritz's offense

1332
01:02:15,000 --> 01:02:17,800
Speaker 2: a haul ball. Give me South Alabama at home, aiding

1333
01:02:17,880 --> 01:02:19,520
Speaker 2: the olive in blue. Yeah, I'm not.

1334
01:02:19,560 --> 01:02:22,160
Speaker 3: I mean, look, there's too late to ask quarterback questions.

1335
01:02:22,200 --> 01:02:24,480
Speaker 3: And I'm not a Howard fan. He was benched like

1336
01:02:24,520 --> 01:02:27,080
Speaker 3: three or four times. It's othern miss. They lose their

1337
01:02:27,120 --> 01:02:30,640
Speaker 3: two best receivers. They're D's experience. They have a good backfield,

1338
01:02:30,680 --> 01:02:32,440
Speaker 3: But I don't hate it now the problem.

1339
01:02:32,760 --> 01:02:33,480
Speaker 2: Maybe I will.

1340
01:02:33,320 --> 01:02:36,120
Speaker 3: Bet South Alabama because then you finally convinced me to

1341
01:02:36,120 --> 01:02:37,480
Speaker 3: get back on the train, and then if I win,

1342
01:02:37,480 --> 01:02:39,000
Speaker 3: I win money. If I lose, I can yell at

1343
01:02:39,000 --> 01:02:40,920
Speaker 3: you in the podcast, I can call into the voicemail.

1344
01:02:41,240 --> 01:02:43,280
Speaker 2: So I like it. We'll have a.

1345
01:02:43,400 --> 01:02:46,920
Speaker 3: Underdog money line partly written piece up on the app

1346
01:02:46,920 --> 01:02:49,520
Speaker 3: and website Friday night Saturday mornings. To make sure you

1347
01:02:49,600 --> 01:02:53,520
Speaker 3: check out that. Make sure you subscribe to our podcast.

1348
01:02:53,520 --> 01:02:56,160
Speaker 3: Make sure you download the Action Network app. Check out

1349
01:02:56,160 --> 01:02:59,400
Speaker 3: all of our college football content. Voicemail, voicemail, voicemail. This

1350
01:02:59,400 --> 01:03:02,080
Speaker 3: weekend we have you know, thirteen games. We have NFL

1351
01:03:02,240 --> 01:03:04,800
Speaker 3: call in. Go to my Twitter handle at Stucky two.

1352
01:03:05,240 --> 01:03:07,040
Speaker 3: You'll see the voicemail Call it in any hour. Then

1353
01:03:07,040 --> 01:03:10,000
Speaker 3: I yelled scream, bitch, moan, get it out there. On

1354
01:03:10,040 --> 01:03:13,120
Speaker 3: our recap episodes, which come out on Mondays Monday mornings,

1355
01:03:13,400 --> 01:03:16,280
Speaker 3: we'll talk about the weekend that was. We'll play some

1356
01:03:16,320 --> 01:03:19,840
Speaker 3: of the best voicemails. So thanks again for listening, Thanks

1357
01:03:19,880 --> 01:03:20,480
Speaker 3: for joining me.

1358
01:03:20,600 --> 01:03:20,960
Speaker 2: Colin.

1359
01:03:21,600 --> 01:03:24,560
Speaker 3: We will catch you all on Monday. Good luck this weekend.

1360
01:03:25,080 --> 01:03:26,000
Speaker 3: We're out for cheers.

1361
01:03:26,480 --> 01:03:45,000
Speaker 2: He's out. We're finished talking.