1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:12,760 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news, A. 2 00:00:12,800 --> 00:00:15,360 Speaker 2: Single best idea, I'll be quick. A terrific news day, 3 00:00:15,360 --> 00:00:17,480 Speaker 2: and thank you so much to the team for our 4 00:00:17,520 --> 00:00:20,960 Speaker 2: coverage of the breaking story on gambling with that press 5 00:00:20,960 --> 00:00:24,720 Speaker 2: conference in the ten o'clock hour with the FBI and 6 00:00:24,840 --> 00:00:30,880 Speaker 2: Judicial Downtown. Just an extraordinary story on high high stakes gambling, 7 00:00:30,920 --> 00:00:33,320 Speaker 2: I guess is what I would call it our high 8 00:00:33,320 --> 00:00:36,240 Speaker 2: stakes today, were to have in the studio together Jeffrey 9 00:00:36,240 --> 00:00:39,160 Speaker 2: de Graph and Neil Dudda. They are Renaissance Macro. Neil 10 00:00:39,200 --> 00:00:42,519 Speaker 2: Dudda my Economist of the Year two years ago or so, 11 00:00:42,680 --> 00:00:46,800 Speaker 2: with this huge optimism, much more cautious now. Neil Dudda 12 00:00:46,880 --> 00:00:50,519 Speaker 2: of Renaissance Macro. He's watching housing right now. 13 00:00:50,560 --> 00:00:53,920 Speaker 3: We have sort of a housing centered view of the 14 00:00:53,960 --> 00:00:57,480 Speaker 3: world out and I think what's interesting is, you know, 15 00:00:57,560 --> 00:01:01,200 Speaker 3: interest rates have been coming down, but you haven't really 16 00:01:01,280 --> 00:01:06,319 Speaker 3: seen housing demand improve in any meaningful way. And to me, 17 00:01:06,440 --> 00:01:09,880 Speaker 3: that's sort of a yellow flag on the outlook. You know, 18 00:01:10,000 --> 00:01:12,400 Speaker 3: builders seem to have sort of hit their pivot point 19 00:01:12,440 --> 00:01:16,680 Speaker 3: on margins, and I think that's going to mean less 20 00:01:16,680 --> 00:01:20,399 Speaker 3: construction activity, and I think that's going to bleed into employment. 21 00:01:20,440 --> 00:01:25,479 Speaker 3: I do and if you start seeing construction workers, let 22 00:01:25,520 --> 00:01:28,800 Speaker 3: go in an environment where you're not really creating much 23 00:01:28,880 --> 00:01:33,160 Speaker 3: jobs growth to begin with, I think that's sort of 24 00:01:33,240 --> 00:01:36,560 Speaker 3: another potential source of upward pressure on the unemployment rate. 25 00:01:36,640 --> 00:01:39,080 Speaker 3: So I would, I do think the FED is a 26 00:01:39,120 --> 00:01:42,640 Speaker 3: little bit behind here. You know, the fact that they're 27 00:01:42,720 --> 00:01:45,319 Speaker 3: kind of taking a meeting by meeting approach as opposed 28 00:01:45,319 --> 00:01:47,960 Speaker 3: to just giving guidance into the first half of next year, 29 00:01:47,960 --> 00:01:50,440 Speaker 3: I think is a little you know, it's a bit 30 00:01:50,440 --> 00:01:51,040 Speaker 3: of a mistake. 31 00:01:51,440 --> 00:01:54,360 Speaker 2: An important comment there. And of course, in the comments 32 00:01:54,360 --> 00:01:57,600 Speaker 2: of Christopher Waller at the Console on Foreign Relations last week, 33 00:01:57,760 --> 00:02:01,640 Speaker 2: he had an overt sentence with the speech calling for 34 00:02:01,800 --> 00:02:05,760 Speaker 2: numerous race cuts. Dare I say four or five traditional 35 00:02:06,600 --> 00:02:10,080 Speaker 2: rate cuts, Neil Dunna dragging in Jeffrey de Graph as 36 00:02:10,120 --> 00:02:13,760 Speaker 2: well of renmac looking at the markets, looking at trends 37 00:02:13,800 --> 00:02:17,720 Speaker 2: that are out there. With Jeffrey de Graph, we went global. 38 00:02:18,000 --> 00:02:21,040 Speaker 4: There's a global bull market happening, right. So all the 39 00:02:21,080 --> 00:02:23,600 Speaker 4: concern about tariffs and I get it, I mean, you know, 40 00:02:23,680 --> 00:02:26,520 Speaker 4: we all know it that just is not is not 41 00:02:26,600 --> 00:02:29,600 Speaker 4: resonating with markets which are saying there's something else here 42 00:02:29,680 --> 00:02:32,120 Speaker 4: that's happening, right, And this isn't this isn't just the 43 00:02:32,320 --> 00:02:34,120 Speaker 4: G seven or even the G twenty. Look at the 44 00:02:34,120 --> 00:02:38,880 Speaker 4: frontier markets, they look fabulous, right, So I think, you know, 45 00:02:39,160 --> 00:02:41,280 Speaker 4: to put the narrative on it. We try not to do. 46 00:02:41,560 --> 00:02:44,079 Speaker 4: We're trying to be purest and how we look at 47 00:02:44,120 --> 00:02:47,360 Speaker 4: things in the world. Now, I'm a little concerned about gold. 48 00:02:47,360 --> 00:02:49,679 Speaker 4: We entered bubble territory, but the rest of it looks 49 00:02:49,720 --> 00:02:52,600 Speaker 4: pretty good to us. So look, I'm in the camp 50 00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:56,519 Speaker 4: that we get a consolidation. But if Neil's world ends 51 00:02:56,600 --> 00:03:00,160 Speaker 4: up developing, I think that's extraordinarily bullish for EQUI. 52 00:03:00,600 --> 00:03:04,079 Speaker 2: Together in studio Neil Gutta and there Jeffrey de Graph 53 00:03:04,160 --> 00:03:08,040 Speaker 2: of Renaissance at Macro. It's a podcast on Apple, on 54 00:03:08,080 --> 00:03:11,919 Speaker 2: Spotify and look at YouTube podcast as well. It's single 55 00:03:12,000 --> 00:03:16,360 Speaker 2: best idea.