1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:04,000 Speaker 1: It's the favorite podcast presented by FanDuel. It's NFL playoff time, 2 00:00:04,000 --> 00:00:05,800 Speaker 1: and there's no better place to get in on the 3 00:00:05,840 --> 00:00:08,680 Speaker 1: action than FanDuel. I love betting with fandul because they're 4 00:00:08,680 --> 00:00:10,719 Speaker 1: app is safe, secure and easy to use, and because 5 00:00:10,760 --> 00:00:14,800 Speaker 1: they're offering exclusive offers, boosts and more all month long. 6 00:00:15,200 --> 00:00:18,360 Speaker 1: And when I win with FanDuel, I get paid fast. Plus. 7 00:00:18,400 --> 00:00:22,400 Speaker 1: FanDuel is now live in Ohio, so use promo code 8 00:00:22,400 --> 00:00:25,720 Speaker 1: favorites and download the FanDuel app today to start making 9 00:00:25,800 --> 00:00:28,840 Speaker 1: every moment more. Must be twenty one or older and 10 00:00:28,880 --> 00:00:31,960 Speaker 1: in select states gambling problem call one eight hundred gambler 11 00:00:32,040 --> 00:00:35,760 Speaker 1: or visit FanDuel dot com slash r g in Colorado, Iowa, Michigan, 12 00:00:35,760 --> 00:00:39,440 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Tennessee, Virginia, and Ohio one eight 13 00:00:39,520 --> 00:00:42,800 Speaker 1: hundred next step or text next step to five two 14 00:00:42,800 --> 00:00:45,800 Speaker 1: in Arizona one eight seven eight nine seven seven seven 15 00:00:45,840 --> 00:00:49,360 Speaker 1: seven or visit c CpG dot org slash chat in 16 00:00:49,360 --> 00:00:52,880 Speaker 1: Connecticut one eight hundred nine with it. In Indiana, visit 17 00:00:53,000 --> 00:00:55,920 Speaker 1: KS gambling help dot com. In Kansas one eight seven 18 00:00:56,000 --> 00:00:59,360 Speaker 1: seven seven seven zero stop. In Louisiana, visit m D 19 00:00:59,520 --> 00:01:03,000 Speaker 1: Gambling Help dot Org in Maryland one eight seven seven 20 00:01:03,000 --> 00:01:06,039 Speaker 1: eight Hope and Why, or text Hope and Why four 21 00:01:06,080 --> 00:01:08,920 Speaker 1: six seven, three six nine in New York, one five 22 00:01:08,959 --> 00:01:11,679 Speaker 1: to two seven zero zero in Wyoming, or visit one 23 00:01:11,760 --> 00:01:23,080 Speaker 1: eight hundred gambler dot net in West Virginia. Welcome to 24 00:01:23,160 --> 00:01:26,800 Speaker 1: the favorites of the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. 25 00:01:27,480 --> 00:01:32,200 Speaker 1: I am Chad Norman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network. 26 00:01:32,800 --> 00:01:37,800 Speaker 1: We're kicking off the second of our Super Bowl two 27 00:01:37,840 --> 00:01:44,320 Speaker 1: weeks cycle previews huge show today. Before we announce our guests, 28 00:01:45,280 --> 00:01:48,760 Speaker 1: I want to welcome in my BFF, my companion, Mike Padre, 29 00:01:50,320 --> 00:01:58,480 Speaker 1: Professional Better, Simon Hunter, Hello swim In, Hello Chad, how 30 00:01:58,440 --> 00:02:01,600 Speaker 1: are you doing. I'm so good, brother. Listen for those 31 00:02:01,640 --> 00:02:07,880 Speaker 1: listening on AMP, we're giving away two new Favorites hoodies 32 00:02:08,200 --> 00:02:10,520 Speaker 1: to two lucky listeners at the end of our show today, 33 00:02:11,080 --> 00:02:15,800 Speaker 1: courtesy of the Volume Podcast Networks New Merched store find 34 00:02:15,840 --> 00:02:17,560 Speaker 1: lots of cool stuff from the show, all the best 35 00:02:17,560 --> 00:02:19,960 Speaker 1: shows on the Volume, so to our live listeners, be 36 00:02:19,960 --> 00:02:23,200 Speaker 1: sure to stick around after the show. Also reminder, I 37 00:02:23,240 --> 00:02:26,560 Speaker 1: couldn't be more serious, deadly serious about this. If you're 38 00:02:26,560 --> 00:02:28,280 Speaker 1: listening to us on the herd feed and you like 39 00:02:28,360 --> 00:02:32,040 Speaker 1: the Favorites podcast. Go subscribe to the Favorites. Click the 40 00:02:32,080 --> 00:02:35,600 Speaker 1: button Subscribe to the Favorites. Also a reminder coming up 41 00:02:35,639 --> 00:02:38,960 Speaker 1: next week next week, Next Tuesday might be the most 42 00:02:39,000 --> 00:02:41,359 Speaker 1: important podcast we do before the Super Bowl other than 43 00:02:41,400 --> 00:02:42,960 Speaker 1: this one and then when we did on Tuesday, and 44 00:02:43,000 --> 00:02:45,400 Speaker 1: maybe the one we do next Thursday. Chris Raybon and 45 00:02:45,400 --> 00:02:48,760 Speaker 1: Sean Croner, who are two of the top five most 46 00:02:48,800 --> 00:02:53,560 Speaker 1: accurate projectionists according to Fantasy Pros. And that's a reason 47 00:02:53,600 --> 00:02:56,600 Speaker 1: I'm reason I'm emphasizing Fantasy Pros. We're gonna talk about 48 00:02:56,600 --> 00:02:59,960 Speaker 1: super Bowl Props on Tuesday, on Thursday, right before the 49 00:03:00,000 --> 00:03:02,640 Speaker 1: super Bowl, on our Thursday episode Best Bet Show with 50 00:03:02,680 --> 00:03:06,799 Speaker 1: Brandon Anderson. But today a very special episode with two 51 00:03:06,919 --> 00:03:11,919 Speaker 1: very special guests I mentioned Fantasy Pros joining us today. 52 00:03:12,160 --> 00:03:15,480 Speaker 1: My former nemesis at Action Network, the man who I 53 00:03:15,520 --> 00:03:20,200 Speaker 1: am so sad he's still not at Action Matthew Freedman, 54 00:03:20,280 --> 00:03:23,320 Speaker 1: now the director of Contented Fantasy Pros and Betting Pros, 55 00:03:23,440 --> 00:03:26,200 Speaker 1: the man who is responsible for making sure Raybon and 56 00:03:26,240 --> 00:03:28,560 Speaker 1: Coroner are ranked. And I love that he holds no 57 00:03:28,639 --> 00:03:31,880 Speaker 1: animosity against these guys as former colleagues of his, and 58 00:03:31,880 --> 00:03:34,200 Speaker 1: he still ranks them so high. That's how credible fantasy 59 00:03:34,240 --> 00:03:37,800 Speaker 1: pros is. Well. Hello, Freeman, I should say hello to you. 60 00:03:38,600 --> 00:03:41,000 Speaker 1: Thanks for showing up on time. It's it's great to see. 61 00:03:41,320 --> 00:03:42,840 Speaker 1: It's racist. He's sign with you. I don't even know 62 00:03:42,840 --> 00:03:45,720 Speaker 1: why Sigmon is here. He is in the bag in 63 00:03:45,880 --> 00:03:49,440 Speaker 1: England by Cross Continent, has some commitments to the contract, 64 00:03:50,000 --> 00:03:52,080 Speaker 1: the hardest working man. And Jenny even asked me about 65 00:03:52,080 --> 00:03:53,680 Speaker 1: my trip. Do you see what I'm dealing with here, Freeman. 66 00:03:53,880 --> 00:03:56,360 Speaker 1: We've got a selfish boss here at Action Guy, isn't 67 00:03:56,360 --> 00:03:58,280 Speaker 1: it asks me how my trip in england's going. He's 68 00:03:58,320 --> 00:04:01,880 Speaker 1: just right to the pics and the business unbelievable. Yeah, 69 00:04:01,960 --> 00:04:03,720 Speaker 1: I know. This is one of the reasons I left 70 00:04:04,080 --> 00:04:08,680 Speaker 1: Chad so selfish and Chad rest assured. Even though we 71 00:04:08,720 --> 00:04:10,520 Speaker 1: are no longer at the same company, I am still 72 00:04:10,720 --> 00:04:13,800 Speaker 1: always your nemesis. It's true. A couple of things here 73 00:04:13,800 --> 00:04:15,560 Speaker 1: are true. Number one, I don't care about the people. 74 00:04:15,840 --> 00:04:19,719 Speaker 1: Number two, you're my nemesis. Number three. Freedman's right. I 75 00:04:19,760 --> 00:04:21,920 Speaker 1: was late because I was having a very important meeting 76 00:04:22,000 --> 00:04:25,560 Speaker 1: with the CEO of Better Collective, the company that bought 77 00:04:25,680 --> 00:04:28,760 Speaker 1: Action Network. He's in town from Copenhagen. It ran a 78 00:04:28,800 --> 00:04:30,880 Speaker 1: little long. I couldn't tell him that I had to 79 00:04:30,880 --> 00:04:34,200 Speaker 1: go ditch for some podcast with you know, some old 80 00:04:34,240 --> 00:04:37,160 Speaker 1: englishman who's half in the bag and some dude who 81 00:04:37,279 --> 00:04:39,240 Speaker 1: used to work with us. But he would have been 82 00:04:39,240 --> 00:04:43,440 Speaker 1: sad that I was keeping our next guests, Evan abrahams waiting. 83 00:04:43,960 --> 00:04:47,960 Speaker 1: Of course. Evan is a director of research, probably the 84 00:04:48,000 --> 00:04:51,640 Speaker 1: only beloved person by me at the company. Total genius 85 00:04:51,720 --> 00:04:54,000 Speaker 1: makes everything we do at Action better, and he's a 86 00:04:54,040 --> 00:04:56,719 Speaker 1: maestro with our bet Labs database. All of this is true. 87 00:04:57,480 --> 00:04:59,719 Speaker 1: I listened to him on this morning's episode of my 88 00:04:59,760 --> 00:05:02,400 Speaker 1: face favorite podcast, the Action Network podcast with Raybond and 89 00:05:02,440 --> 00:05:06,279 Speaker 1: Stucky Great Q, and a episode companies super Bowl betting data. 90 00:05:06,560 --> 00:05:08,800 Speaker 1: He gathered so much info we had to have him 91 00:05:08,839 --> 00:05:11,200 Speaker 1: on this one as well. It was too much good 92 00:05:11,240 --> 00:05:13,480 Speaker 1: stuff for just one episode. So he's here to take 93 00:05:13,560 --> 00:05:16,960 Speaker 1: us through some of the trends and betting nuggets he 94 00:05:17,080 --> 00:05:20,279 Speaker 1: has for Super Bowl fifty seven between the Chiefs and 95 00:05:20,279 --> 00:05:25,680 Speaker 1: the Eagles. Evan Abrams Hello. First of all, Chad, someone 96 00:05:25,680 --> 00:05:27,760 Speaker 1: needs to back you up, someone needs to say something nice. 97 00:05:27,800 --> 00:05:30,440 Speaker 1: It's been a bit different STRD for you, So I'll 98 00:05:30,440 --> 00:05:32,359 Speaker 1: be here to say something nice and then probably you 99 00:05:32,360 --> 00:05:35,839 Speaker 1: know dendigulator. But it's okay, Well we'll start, we'll start fun. 100 00:05:36,680 --> 00:05:39,000 Speaker 1: But I'm gonna give you some information. So I'm gonna 101 00:05:39,000 --> 00:05:41,480 Speaker 1: give you three facts that I gave on the Tan 102 00:05:41,560 --> 00:05:44,600 Speaker 1: Pod yesterday that I think we should repeat. But let 103 00:05:44,600 --> 00:05:46,120 Speaker 1: me go through them quickly because you should go back 104 00:05:46,120 --> 00:05:48,800 Speaker 1: and listen to that episode. Uh. First one, I'm gonna 105 00:05:48,839 --> 00:05:50,839 Speaker 1: start with this Patrick Mahomes. So this will be the 106 00:05:50,880 --> 00:05:53,800 Speaker 1: seventh Super Bowl to feature the league leader in regular 107 00:05:53,800 --> 00:05:57,240 Speaker 1: season passing yards. The previous six lost. The first was 108 00:05:57,279 --> 00:05:59,919 Speaker 1: Marino and four and the other five of all comes 109 00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:04,560 Speaker 1: since two thousand Brady Manning, Brady rich Gannon, and Kurt Warner. 110 00:06:04,880 --> 00:06:08,240 Speaker 1: So we'll see what happens here. Eagles pass rush best 111 00:06:08,360 --> 00:06:11,080 Speaker 1: past defense we've seen in a while. So that's number one. 112 00:06:12,080 --> 00:06:15,680 Speaker 1: Number two, this game will feature Isaia Pachecko. This is 113 00:06:15,720 --> 00:06:18,080 Speaker 1: a rookie running back in the Super Bowl and not 114 00:06:18,160 --> 00:06:21,520 Speaker 1: something we see every day. Since two thousand five, teams 115 00:06:21,520 --> 00:06:22,960 Speaker 1: have had a rookie running back here of the Bowl 116 00:06:23,000 --> 00:06:25,320 Speaker 1: ten plus times in the Super Bowl they are five 117 00:06:25,440 --> 00:06:27,840 Speaker 1: no straight up in five and against the spread. Yes, 118 00:06:28,000 --> 00:06:31,560 Speaker 1: very noisy, but a fun stat. Sony Michelle so much 119 00:06:31,640 --> 00:06:36,839 Speaker 1: less relevant, I know, but listen, I follow our producer 120 00:06:36,839 --> 00:06:39,320 Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell. He this was the first note he gave 121 00:06:39,360 --> 00:06:40,800 Speaker 1: to me. He said he loved it. So we go 122 00:06:40,880 --> 00:06:44,520 Speaker 1: with it. First, Sony Michelle, does that guy now awesome? 123 00:06:44,720 --> 00:06:48,719 Speaker 1: That's sometimes Bernard Pierce, James Starks, Joseph and Die and 124 00:06:48,880 --> 00:06:51,960 Speaker 1: the great Jamal Lewis where this whole rookie running back 125 00:06:52,040 --> 00:06:56,719 Speaker 1: kind of thing started. Um. Third question, does having experience 126 00:06:56,800 --> 00:07:00,159 Speaker 1: in a Super Bowl give Mahomes and edge statistically? The 127 00:07:00,160 --> 00:07:03,159 Speaker 1: answer is pretty much no quarterbacks with super Bowl experience 128 00:07:03,360 --> 00:07:06,360 Speaker 1: basing one with no experience nineteen and fifteen straight up, 129 00:07:06,440 --> 00:07:09,200 Speaker 1: sixteen and eighteen against the spread all time. And even 130 00:07:09,240 --> 00:07:12,120 Speaker 1: when you look two plus super Bowl gap like my 131 00:07:12,200 --> 00:07:14,440 Speaker 1: home's third Super Bowl versus a quarterback with their first 132 00:07:14,680 --> 00:07:17,360 Speaker 1: still only twelve and eight. So I mean, when you 133 00:07:17,360 --> 00:07:19,640 Speaker 1: look at experience, kind of throw it out the window. 134 00:07:19,760 --> 00:07:21,960 Speaker 1: That's that's really what I say, especially when you take 135 00:07:21,960 --> 00:07:25,960 Speaker 1: out Brady still only seven and five. So yeah, move on, 136 00:07:26,120 --> 00:07:29,680 Speaker 1: find better at angles. Before we get into the deeper 137 00:07:29,760 --> 00:07:33,400 Speaker 1: dive conversation with a lot of these facts and stats 138 00:07:33,400 --> 00:07:37,560 Speaker 1: and data and anecdote, Simon, you came out pretty strong 139 00:07:37,600 --> 00:07:41,000 Speaker 1: on Tuesday in favor of the Eagles. The line was 140 00:07:41,040 --> 00:07:43,280 Speaker 1: at two was come down, and I want to give 141 00:07:43,280 --> 00:07:45,160 Speaker 1: you credit. I want to give you credit right now 142 00:07:45,200 --> 00:07:48,840 Speaker 1: because your narrative for the game, which you were way 143 00:07:48,880 --> 00:07:51,760 Speaker 1: ahead of, as the analysis is starting to come out 144 00:07:52,440 --> 00:07:55,800 Speaker 1: about the offensive line and the defensive line is becoming 145 00:07:56,880 --> 00:08:00,800 Speaker 1: a pretty strong theme as to why people our favorite 146 00:08:00,800 --> 00:08:04,480 Speaker 1: in the Eagles in forty hours since we last spoke, 147 00:08:05,320 --> 00:08:08,320 Speaker 1: and I hope you're having a wonderful time being drunk 148 00:08:08,320 --> 00:08:12,160 Speaker 1: in England. Has anything in your mind changed? Are you 149 00:08:12,200 --> 00:08:15,960 Speaker 1: feeling even stronger about it? What's what's been happening? A 150 00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:18,600 Speaker 1: lot more noise now on the homes right as the 151 00:08:18,600 --> 00:08:20,720 Speaker 1: week's gonna longer. I feel like I'm hearing more whispers 152 00:08:20,760 --> 00:08:22,600 Speaker 1: about the Hurts thing, which I told you. I'm hoping 153 00:08:23,120 --> 00:08:25,800 Speaker 1: Hurts was bat on those long throws because he was nervous. 154 00:08:25,800 --> 00:08:28,120 Speaker 1: He had jitters. If his shoulder is not right, Chat, 155 00:08:28,240 --> 00:08:31,160 Speaker 1: that's that's a big, big deal to this Eagle's team 156 00:08:31,160 --> 00:08:33,640 Speaker 1: in that number. So the movement we've seen is that 157 00:08:33,840 --> 00:08:36,000 Speaker 1: I think the rumors are swirling. So the number is 158 00:08:36,040 --> 00:08:38,200 Speaker 1: gonna move and the pros are gonna come. You know, 159 00:08:38,200 --> 00:08:40,480 Speaker 1: a Chiefs team that, sure, we don't know what that, 160 00:08:40,640 --> 00:08:42,880 Speaker 1: we don't know if my homes is fully healthy, we 161 00:08:42,920 --> 00:08:45,160 Speaker 1: can say right now we feel more confident about him. 162 00:08:45,320 --> 00:08:47,800 Speaker 1: Do you do out Hurts just because Hurts could not 163 00:08:47,840 --> 00:08:49,480 Speaker 1: put the ball downfield? I mean, I think you're right. 164 00:08:49,520 --> 00:08:52,840 Speaker 1: The last show you a hundred yards passed. But again 165 00:08:52,880 --> 00:08:55,040 Speaker 1: they weren't asking him to do that. The run was 166 00:08:55,120 --> 00:08:58,600 Speaker 1: working against a four team which all week chat what 167 00:08:58,679 --> 00:09:00,520 Speaker 1: did we hear all weeks the four arts had the 168 00:09:00,559 --> 00:09:03,280 Speaker 1: best run defensive football. I guess who's not gonna say 169 00:09:03,320 --> 00:09:06,160 Speaker 1: anything good about the chief run defense all week? Anyone 170 00:09:06,160 --> 00:09:08,160 Speaker 1: that looks at the numbers. Sure they've shared up some 171 00:09:08,160 --> 00:09:10,800 Speaker 1: stuff as this season gone along year, but any team 172 00:09:10,840 --> 00:09:13,040 Speaker 1: that can dominate the run has dominated the Chiefs on 173 00:09:13,160 --> 00:09:15,400 Speaker 1: both side the ball. So it just feels like there's 174 00:09:15,440 --> 00:09:17,440 Speaker 1: people that are stuck on their ways. Right. There's people 175 00:09:17,480 --> 00:09:19,560 Speaker 1: that they took the Giants seven and a half, right, 176 00:09:19,600 --> 00:09:21,120 Speaker 1: they felt they were the smartest people in the room. 177 00:09:21,559 --> 00:09:24,000 Speaker 1: They weren't. The same people came in last week took 178 00:09:24,080 --> 00:09:26,520 Speaker 1: the four nineers, tried to say the public was all 179 00:09:26,600 --> 00:09:28,600 Speaker 1: over the Eagles, and they they were talking about Eagles 180 00:09:28,840 --> 00:09:31,480 Speaker 1: out easy. The Eagles were gonna win, and how they 181 00:09:31,520 --> 00:09:34,920 Speaker 1: were misreading that four team and the same exact score happened. 182 00:09:34,920 --> 00:09:37,079 Speaker 1: It was a thirty eight to seven blowout. So just 183 00:09:37,160 --> 00:09:39,679 Speaker 1: look at this matchup with the Chiefs and it's all 184 00:09:39,760 --> 00:09:41,960 Speaker 1: it is my homes. You ask anyone, they would say, 185 00:09:42,559 --> 00:09:45,000 Speaker 1: you take my homes away from the Chief's team. They're 186 00:09:45,000 --> 00:09:46,959 Speaker 1: probably the third best team in their own division. So 187 00:09:47,400 --> 00:09:49,440 Speaker 1: this Eagles team, to me, is still the most complete team. 188 00:09:49,880 --> 00:09:52,760 Speaker 1: The nerves for me right now is just Hurts. I 189 00:09:52,880 --> 00:09:55,040 Speaker 1: just don't have any info and Hurt. So I would 190 00:09:55,040 --> 00:09:57,240 Speaker 1: say to anyone if this was a normal situation, Hurts 191 00:09:57,320 --> 00:10:00,079 Speaker 1: was fully healthy and he had thrown for two in 192 00:10:00,120 --> 00:10:02,160 Speaker 1: that game, and it wasn't even a good to fifty feet. 193 00:10:02,200 --> 00:10:04,360 Speaker 1: Was just completing passes downfield and I could see him 194 00:10:04,400 --> 00:10:07,120 Speaker 1: be accurate. I'd feel more confident still about the Eagles. 195 00:10:07,400 --> 00:10:09,439 Speaker 1: I haven't put a pennymore since our show because I 196 00:10:09,520 --> 00:10:11,600 Speaker 1: just I'm unsure about it. Chad, So I probably saw 197 00:10:11,640 --> 00:10:13,679 Speaker 1: a take up a little bit the over I would say, 198 00:10:13,720 --> 00:10:15,800 Speaker 1: me and my group came in pretty heavy on the overside. 199 00:10:16,480 --> 00:10:19,040 Speaker 1: We moved to maybe half a point. Another really sharp 200 00:10:19,120 --> 00:10:21,360 Speaker 1: group came in even heavier on the over I think 201 00:10:21,360 --> 00:10:23,880 Speaker 1: they've moved in out full point up to fifty and 202 00:10:23,880 --> 00:10:26,160 Speaker 1: a half. So I took my position on that at 203 00:10:26,200 --> 00:10:28,319 Speaker 1: forty nine and a half. I was hoping, I told you, 204 00:10:28,360 --> 00:10:30,280 Speaker 1: I was hoping it would drop even more. It just 205 00:10:30,400 --> 00:10:32,800 Speaker 1: wasn't going through, so I took that position. But in 206 00:10:32,880 --> 00:10:35,480 Speaker 1: the end, it does feel if I get the okay 207 00:10:35,880 --> 00:10:38,280 Speaker 1: by my guys that are working with the Eagles about 208 00:10:38,360 --> 00:10:39,959 Speaker 1: hur it's like, it's not give me no bullshit either, 209 00:10:40,000 --> 00:10:42,760 Speaker 1: It's gonna be real good info. If you see me 210 00:10:42,800 --> 00:10:44,600 Speaker 1: take the Eagles, that means I feel confident about Hurts. 211 00:10:44,600 --> 00:10:47,040 Speaker 1: If you just see me I take a large side 212 00:10:47,240 --> 00:10:48,839 Speaker 1: on the Eagles, if I just make it whatever it 213 00:10:48,920 --> 00:10:51,000 Speaker 1: is in the app one unit, that means I'm taking 214 00:10:51,000 --> 00:10:53,520 Speaker 1: the Eagles. But it's kind of like, fuck, I don't 215 00:10:53,559 --> 00:10:55,920 Speaker 1: feel great about it. It's just it's one of those 216 00:10:55,960 --> 00:10:57,439 Speaker 1: where on on Tuesday when you talk to me, I 217 00:10:57,559 --> 00:11:00,200 Speaker 1: was feeling really good, and now it's two days of us. 218 00:11:00,320 --> 00:11:02,400 Speaker 1: The hurt stuff just makes me nervous because a lot 219 00:11:02,559 --> 00:11:06,000 Speaker 1: of a lot of whispers about his shoulder. Have you 220 00:11:06,080 --> 00:11:09,640 Speaker 1: been thinking about the game very much, Chad? What are 221 00:11:09,720 --> 00:11:12,679 Speaker 1: you trying to insultinly, it's that's all I've been thinking 222 00:11:12,720 --> 00:11:16,439 Speaker 1: about for like four days. I had projections ready for 223 00:11:16,600 --> 00:11:20,760 Speaker 1: this game even before we have the final matchup this. 224 00:11:21,000 --> 00:11:23,319 Speaker 1: I think this is gonna be a fantastic matchup. I 225 00:11:23,559 --> 00:11:26,040 Speaker 1: agree with a lot of what Simon said, but I 226 00:11:26,640 --> 00:11:29,400 Speaker 1: disagree on the way that I'm betting this. I'm I'm 227 00:11:29,480 --> 00:11:31,439 Speaker 1: on the Chiefs. I I do think that you know, 228 00:11:31,559 --> 00:11:34,040 Speaker 1: you look at He's right, it's all Mahomes. You look 229 00:11:34,080 --> 00:11:37,520 Speaker 1: at two through fifty three on the roster, and the 230 00:11:37,640 --> 00:11:40,920 Speaker 1: clear advantage is towards the Eagles. The clear advantage that 231 00:11:41,000 --> 00:11:43,360 Speaker 1: the Chiefs have is that they have Patrick Mahomes and 232 00:11:43,400 --> 00:11:45,880 Speaker 1: they have Andy Reid. But if you had to pick 233 00:11:46,200 --> 00:11:49,040 Speaker 1: just two guys in the organization to determine how his 234 00:11:49,080 --> 00:11:50,959 Speaker 1: Super Bowl is gonna play out, it would be the 235 00:11:51,000 --> 00:11:53,360 Speaker 1: head coach in the quarterback. And it's not as if 236 00:11:53,440 --> 00:11:56,240 Speaker 1: the Chiefs are horrible at all of their other positions. 237 00:11:56,600 --> 00:12:00,480 Speaker 1: There's still a top five roster in general. So I 238 00:12:00,600 --> 00:12:03,280 Speaker 1: have this at one and a half towards the Chiefs. 239 00:12:03,400 --> 00:12:05,520 Speaker 1: The market is around one one and a half towards 240 00:12:05,559 --> 00:12:08,600 Speaker 1: the Eagles, Like we're all in that general pick them range. 241 00:12:09,360 --> 00:12:11,400 Speaker 1: I think the real advantage is probably going to be 242 00:12:11,480 --> 00:12:14,280 Speaker 1: betting the Props, which, of course, as you mentioned, fantastic 243 00:12:14,320 --> 00:12:17,000 Speaker 1: Tuesday show you will have coming up with Sean Corner. 244 00:12:17,200 --> 00:12:19,760 Speaker 1: I'm still going to mispronounce his name till the end 245 00:12:19,800 --> 00:12:22,400 Speaker 1: of time. Sean Corner and Chris Raymond, I'll be great. 246 00:12:22,400 --> 00:12:24,360 Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean, I'm I'm on the Chiefs here. 247 00:12:25,160 --> 00:12:27,680 Speaker 1: I will say, I think that what we have seen 248 00:12:27,960 --> 00:12:31,679 Speaker 1: in the playoffs out of the Eagles was impressive, but 249 00:12:31,840 --> 00:12:33,880 Speaker 1: we got to keep in context. It was against a 250 00:12:34,040 --> 00:12:38,480 Speaker 1: Giants team that has overperformed throughout the season, and against 251 00:12:38,600 --> 00:12:41,080 Speaker 1: a forty Niners team that was running out a fourth 252 00:12:41,200 --> 00:12:44,240 Speaker 1: string quarterback for a significant portion of the game and 253 00:12:44,280 --> 00:12:47,439 Speaker 1: then a third string quarterback who couldn't throw. So I 254 00:12:47,559 --> 00:12:50,800 Speaker 1: haven't changed my perception of the Eagles all that much 255 00:12:51,200 --> 00:12:53,319 Speaker 1: in the playoffs, and also haven't changed my perception of 256 00:12:53,360 --> 00:12:55,960 Speaker 1: the Chiefs all that much in the playoffs. Yet Patrick 257 00:12:56,000 --> 00:12:58,840 Speaker 1: Mahomes injured for a significant portion of their first game. 258 00:12:59,080 --> 00:13:02,559 Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes still plane, you know, miraculously better than we 259 00:13:02,559 --> 00:13:05,120 Speaker 1: would have anticipated given that he was injured the week before. 260 00:13:05,200 --> 00:13:08,240 Speaker 1: But you know, injured Patrick Mahomes injured wide receivers in 261 00:13:08,280 --> 00:13:11,599 Speaker 1: their second game, and I would say, anyone would be 262 00:13:11,760 --> 00:13:15,080 Speaker 1: lying to you if they told you that entering the playoffs, 263 00:13:15,760 --> 00:13:18,280 Speaker 1: with the exception and maybe Simon, but entering the playoffs, 264 00:13:18,480 --> 00:13:21,400 Speaker 1: that they had the Eagles power rated ahead of the Chiefs. 265 00:13:22,000 --> 00:13:25,160 Speaker 1: Almost everyone entering the playoffs had the Chiefs as the 266 00:13:25,280 --> 00:13:27,720 Speaker 1: number one, number two power rated team and the Eagles 267 00:13:27,800 --> 00:13:30,920 Speaker 1: maybe anywhere from number three to number six. But I 268 00:13:31,000 --> 00:13:34,480 Speaker 1: don't think we've seen anything to flip the idea of 269 00:13:34,559 --> 00:13:38,040 Speaker 1: the Eagles deservedly being power rated ahead of the Chiefs, 270 00:13:38,600 --> 00:13:41,240 Speaker 1: and I can't I can't move from that to the 271 00:13:41,440 --> 00:13:44,320 Speaker 1: number that we are seeing in the market right now. 272 00:13:44,480 --> 00:13:48,400 Speaker 1: I think this number is incorrect and overvaluing the idea 273 00:13:48,520 --> 00:13:51,080 Speaker 1: of all of the injuries that we've may be seen 274 00:13:51,120 --> 00:13:53,920 Speaker 1: at the wide receiver position for the Chiefs, maybe the 275 00:13:53,960 --> 00:13:56,160 Speaker 1: idea that Travis Kelsey has the banged up back and 276 00:13:56,200 --> 00:13:59,280 Speaker 1: won't be playing at anywhere close to But I think 277 00:13:59,320 --> 00:14:02,160 Speaker 1: this number in the market is wrong, and that's the 278 00:14:02,280 --> 00:14:05,400 Speaker 1: value CHAT is. It's Evan just told you the quarterback 279 00:14:05,559 --> 00:14:08,640 Speaker 1: literally does not matter. It is he. It is even 280 00:14:08,720 --> 00:14:11,439 Speaker 1: worse to have the best quarterback in this game historically, 281 00:14:11,559 --> 00:14:14,439 Speaker 1: the guy who's been the best all year historically. That's 282 00:14:14,480 --> 00:14:16,679 Speaker 1: why I make my money where I had it one 283 00:14:16,800 --> 00:14:18,880 Speaker 1: Eagles and I had to nins. That was my power 284 00:14:18,960 --> 00:14:21,240 Speaker 1: in because three was the Chiefs fours the Bengals. So 285 00:14:21,640 --> 00:14:23,000 Speaker 1: I told you two weeks ago, no matter what, I 286 00:14:23,040 --> 00:14:25,080 Speaker 1: was probably gonna be the NFC. And that for me, 287 00:14:25,200 --> 00:14:27,840 Speaker 1: that's why just nothing's changed. Where the only big factor 288 00:14:27,920 --> 00:14:29,840 Speaker 1: here is the Hurts injury. That's what I'm stick to 289 00:14:29,960 --> 00:14:32,480 Speaker 1: where I feel like that's the movement right now. The 290 00:14:32,520 --> 00:14:34,760 Speaker 1: pros were all over this Eagles team for a good reason. 291 00:14:35,280 --> 00:14:37,200 Speaker 1: The hesitation the Paul is the reason the money has 292 00:14:37,200 --> 00:14:39,080 Speaker 1: come back to their way is the Hurts thing could 293 00:14:39,080 --> 00:14:40,920 Speaker 1: be real. That could be a real injury to his 294 00:14:41,000 --> 00:14:43,320 Speaker 1: shoulder right now. So it's definitely interesting here. In the 295 00:14:43,320 --> 00:14:47,080 Speaker 1: other perspective of being a Chief backer this year, the 296 00:14:47,200 --> 00:14:49,440 Speaker 1: only app you need at your Super Bowl party is 297 00:14:49,560 --> 00:14:53,640 Speaker 1: FanDuel America's number one sports book. Download fandel now when 298 00:14:53,720 --> 00:14:55,960 Speaker 1: use promo code Favorites, so you can bet Super Bowl 299 00:14:56,080 --> 00:14:59,880 Speaker 1: fifty seven with a no sweat first bet. You'll get 300 00:14:59,920 --> 00:15:02,080 Speaker 1: a to three thousand dollars back and bonus bets if 301 00:15:02,080 --> 00:15:04,840 Speaker 1: your first bet doesn't win. FanDuel lets you bet at 302 00:15:04,920 --> 00:15:07,120 Speaker 1: everything from the money line to point spreads to who 303 00:15:07,200 --> 00:15:10,280 Speaker 1: will score a touchdown for Super Bowl fifty seven. My 304 00:15:10,520 --> 00:15:14,160 Speaker 1: favorite bet is Kansas City plus two and a half 305 00:15:14,760 --> 00:15:17,640 Speaker 1: because why would you bet against the greatest quarterback in 306 00:15:17,800 --> 00:15:21,720 Speaker 1: NFL history? All on a top rated sports book app 307 00:15:21,840 --> 00:15:25,200 Speaker 1: that's safe, secure, and super easy to use. Best of all, 308 00:15:25,400 --> 00:15:29,160 Speaker 1: you can get paid your winnings instantly, So join FanDuel 309 00:15:29,200 --> 00:15:32,360 Speaker 1: today with promo code Favorites to claim your no sweat 310 00:15:32,560 --> 00:15:36,600 Speaker 1: first bet on Super Bowl fifty seven. Make every Moment 311 00:15:36,720 --> 00:15:39,800 Speaker 1: More with Fan Duel Official sports book partner of the NFL. 312 00:15:40,280 --> 00:15:43,040 Speaker 1: Must be twenty one or over and present and select 313 00:15:43,120 --> 00:15:46,160 Speaker 1: states first online real money wag for only ten dollar 314 00:15:46,240 --> 00:15:50,120 Speaker 1: deposit required. Refund issued as non withdraw able bonus bests 315 00:15:50,160 --> 00:15:53,360 Speaker 1: that expire in fourteen days. Restrictions apply see terms of 316 00:15:53,400 --> 00:15:56,520 Speaker 1: sports book dot FanDuel dot com Gambling Problem, Call one 317 00:15:57,160 --> 00:16:02,920 Speaker 1: Gambler or visit FanDuel dot com slash our g in Colorado, Iowa, Michigan, 318 00:16:03,000 --> 00:16:06,760 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Virginia one eight hundred, next step 319 00:16:06,920 --> 00:16:09,360 Speaker 1: or text next step to five three three four two 320 00:16:09,360 --> 00:16:12,360 Speaker 1: In Arizona one eight eight eight seven eight nine seven 321 00:16:12,440 --> 00:16:16,640 Speaker 1: seven seven seven, or visit c CpG dot org slash 322 00:16:16,840 --> 00:16:20,480 Speaker 1: chat in Connecticut one eight hundred nine with it in Indiana, 323 00:16:20,840 --> 00:16:24,280 Speaker 1: k s Gambling help dot com in Kansas one eight 324 00:16:24,360 --> 00:16:27,800 Speaker 1: seven seven seven seven zero stop in Louisiana one eight 325 00:16:27,880 --> 00:16:31,360 Speaker 1: seven seven eight Hope NY or text Hope n Y 326 00:16:31,600 --> 00:16:34,360 Speaker 1: in New York, Tennessee. Redline is one eight hundred eight 327 00:16:34,480 --> 00:16:37,360 Speaker 1: eight nine eight nine one eight hundred five to two 328 00:16:38,000 --> 00:16:42,440 Speaker 1: hundred in Wyoming, or visit www. One eight hundred gambler 329 00:16:42,520 --> 00:16:46,160 Speaker 1: dot net in West Virginia. Well, it's interesting for me. 330 00:16:46,240 --> 00:16:48,480 Speaker 1: I want to get to Evan for a second. But honestly, 331 00:16:48,560 --> 00:16:50,960 Speaker 1: do I go with my bff, who I put my 332 00:16:51,080 --> 00:16:53,960 Speaker 1: faith in trust in, or do I go with a 333 00:16:54,080 --> 00:16:56,440 Speaker 1: guy who I kind of can't stand. I don't know 334 00:16:56,520 --> 00:17:02,040 Speaker 1: what to do here, Evan. You and I spoke Monday morning, 335 00:17:02,160 --> 00:17:05,960 Speaker 1: I think, and the total was at forty nine and 336 00:17:05,960 --> 00:17:09,760 Speaker 1: a half. I was upset because I wanted to bet 337 00:17:09,800 --> 00:17:11,440 Speaker 1: the under and I missed the fifty or I didn't 338 00:17:11,440 --> 00:17:12,920 Speaker 1: pull the trigger on the fifty. I just sort of 339 00:17:12,960 --> 00:17:15,600 Speaker 1: watched it. You got the fifty. I get on the 340 00:17:15,760 --> 00:17:17,720 Speaker 1: I get on the show on Tuesday and Simon telling 341 00:17:17,800 --> 00:17:19,880 Speaker 1: me he's betting the over, and not only that, he's 342 00:17:19,880 --> 00:17:23,080 Speaker 1: gone in big on the over, moved it. I don't 343 00:17:23,080 --> 00:17:24,720 Speaker 1: know why I still feel good about the under, like 344 00:17:25,119 --> 00:17:27,879 Speaker 1: it doesn't actually play the type for me, given the 345 00:17:27,960 --> 00:17:32,280 Speaker 1: fact that the Eagles sack rate, the Eagles pressure rate 346 00:17:32,960 --> 00:17:36,800 Speaker 1: best in the league, their elite against number one receivers. 347 00:17:37,119 --> 00:17:40,960 Speaker 1: We've got a mediocre offensive line, We've got a for 348 00:17:41,040 --> 00:17:45,680 Speaker 1: the Chiefs, We've got a wide receiver group that is injured, 349 00:17:46,200 --> 00:17:49,359 Speaker 1: and so what the Eagles are already great at is 350 00:17:49,440 --> 00:17:52,879 Speaker 1: focusing on the number one receiver, so now they can 351 00:17:53,080 --> 00:17:57,200 Speaker 1: double down on that. Uh. Their offensive line is historically great. 352 00:17:58,359 --> 00:18:02,320 Speaker 1: Their rush game is having in his work season. Why 353 00:18:02,400 --> 00:18:04,960 Speaker 1: am I? Why am I hearing about the over when 354 00:18:05,160 --> 00:18:09,200 Speaker 1: this feels like a Eagles ground and pound and Mahomes 355 00:18:09,280 --> 00:18:11,160 Speaker 1: not having a heart, not having an easy time staying 356 00:18:11,240 --> 00:18:14,360 Speaker 1: in the field. I have no idea. I seriously don't 357 00:18:14,560 --> 00:18:16,239 Speaker 1: I like the under, and I still do. I've bet 358 00:18:16,280 --> 00:18:18,760 Speaker 1: at a fifty one since it hit there recently as well. 359 00:18:19,080 --> 00:18:22,200 Speaker 1: I'm just against Simon here. Now I understand what the 360 00:18:22,359 --> 00:18:25,960 Speaker 1: theory is behind liking the over, Like my theory is 361 00:18:26,000 --> 00:18:28,600 Speaker 1: as Chiefs and the over Eagles in the under, I 362 00:18:28,720 --> 00:18:31,600 Speaker 1: just think that's the way it'll progress. As the game goes, 363 00:18:31,720 --> 00:18:34,280 Speaker 1: so like you know, there's ways to play, combined parlays 364 00:18:34,520 --> 00:18:36,520 Speaker 1: and things like that. I just feel like that's the approach. 365 00:18:36,560 --> 00:18:40,400 Speaker 1: Whether it's pressure, their past defense, their offensive line, it's 366 00:18:40,480 --> 00:18:43,280 Speaker 1: just all better units on Philly's side. But the one 367 00:18:43,320 --> 00:18:45,720 Speaker 1: thing I will say when it comes to injuries, Simon 368 00:18:45,840 --> 00:18:48,520 Speaker 1: is also a hundred percent correct. I am twenty times 369 00:18:48,600 --> 00:18:50,560 Speaker 1: more worried about hurts than I am a homes We 370 00:18:50,640 --> 00:18:52,879 Speaker 1: just saw my homes play. We saw what happened, and 371 00:18:53,000 --> 00:18:55,520 Speaker 1: he's got two weeks. We heard all that Kelsey news 372 00:18:55,640 --> 00:18:58,440 Speaker 1: day of men absolutely nothing. He had seven catches, He 373 00:18:58,440 --> 00:19:00,200 Speaker 1: probably should have had eight or nine in the game. 374 00:19:00,320 --> 00:19:02,840 Speaker 1: So I think from an injury point of view, I 375 00:19:03,000 --> 00:19:06,080 Speaker 1: am scared to death of Philly and that's why I listen. 376 00:19:06,119 --> 00:19:07,919 Speaker 1: I bet it at minus one fifteen. I bet at 377 00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:11,000 Speaker 1: minus one twenty. That's what I got early. But right 378 00:19:11,080 --> 00:19:13,320 Speaker 1: now I'm with Simon, I'm not putting another dime on it. 379 00:19:13,400 --> 00:19:16,200 Speaker 1: After all I keep hearing from everyone is that injury. 380 00:19:16,359 --> 00:19:19,960 Speaker 1: It's it's scary. You've been digging into the bet Labs 381 00:19:20,359 --> 00:19:25,800 Speaker 1: database for trends on the side, trends on the totals 382 00:19:26,720 --> 00:19:30,080 Speaker 1: based on tickets, based on money percentages, what do we know? 383 00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:32,480 Speaker 1: What can you tell us? So just off the top, 384 00:19:32,520 --> 00:19:34,480 Speaker 1: which is probably the most fun stat I could offer, 385 00:19:34,600 --> 00:19:37,240 Speaker 1: that's super Bowl favorites are thirty six and twenties straight up, 386 00:19:37,440 --> 00:19:41,600 Speaker 1: but they're actually twenty seven seven into an absolute even 387 00:19:41,960 --> 00:19:44,480 Speaker 1: in Super Bowl history, which is just a fun nugget 388 00:19:44,560 --> 00:19:47,960 Speaker 1: heading into this game when you look at overs twenty 389 00:19:48,040 --> 00:19:52,000 Speaker 1: six pretty much even. The one thing I will say 390 00:19:52,240 --> 00:19:54,399 Speaker 1: the unders cash and four straight Super Bowls for the 391 00:19:54,440 --> 00:19:57,320 Speaker 1: first time since two thousand nine. Hasn't gone five straight 392 00:19:57,400 --> 00:19:59,800 Speaker 1: under since the seventies, So something to look out for 393 00:20:00,040 --> 00:20:02,520 Speaker 1: depending on the result here. But the one thing I 394 00:20:02,600 --> 00:20:05,560 Speaker 1: really want to talk about is the bet Labs database 395 00:20:05,760 --> 00:20:09,359 Speaker 1: and in game uh first half and second halves UH 396 00:20:09,840 --> 00:20:12,560 Speaker 1: dog ten six and two, A t s in the 397 00:20:12,600 --> 00:20:16,240 Speaker 1: first halves, dog ten seven and one in the second half. 398 00:20:16,359 --> 00:20:19,160 Speaker 1: So when you're talking about like the Chiefs in this spot, 399 00:20:19,240 --> 00:20:21,479 Speaker 1: you're probably getting a little bit extra value. If you're 400 00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:26,879 Speaker 1: getting a half point freed Man, you fancy yourself a 401 00:20:26,960 --> 00:20:31,600 Speaker 1: player prop genius. We've seen the explosion in the prop 402 00:20:31,720 --> 00:20:35,440 Speaker 1: market going on for a generation almost but what's interesting 403 00:20:35,600 --> 00:20:40,280 Speaker 1: is normally before the Super Bowl those props aren't coming 404 00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:43,800 Speaker 1: out for at least a week all of a sudden 405 00:20:44,280 --> 00:20:48,080 Speaker 1: this year, perhaps were it out Monday. Give me some 406 00:20:48,200 --> 00:20:51,920 Speaker 1: thoughts on the props that are tried and true that 407 00:20:52,000 --> 00:20:56,919 Speaker 1: will always be popular. Start with that the player props 408 00:20:57,000 --> 00:20:59,560 Speaker 1: that's its own general type of thing. But the team 409 00:20:59,640 --> 00:21:01,800 Speaker 1: prop those are the ones that are a little more 410 00:21:01,920 --> 00:21:04,639 Speaker 1: interesting to me. And the props that have something to 411 00:21:04,760 --> 00:21:07,560 Speaker 1: do like will there be a safety in the Super 412 00:21:07,600 --> 00:21:11,560 Speaker 1: Bowl or something like that. The props that have larger juice. 413 00:21:12,040 --> 00:21:14,600 Speaker 1: The type of sports fan who's just coming in and like, Hey, 414 00:21:14,880 --> 00:21:17,040 Speaker 1: what should I bet? I don't I don't watch football, 415 00:21:17,160 --> 00:21:19,520 Speaker 1: or I watch football, but I don't really like crunch numbers. 416 00:21:19,760 --> 00:21:21,520 Speaker 1: That person doesn't want to lay a lot of juice. 417 00:21:21,760 --> 00:21:25,240 Speaker 1: But sometimes there's significant value on laying the juice. You 418 00:21:25,280 --> 00:21:27,680 Speaker 1: shouldn't put a ton of money on it, but you 419 00:21:27,760 --> 00:21:31,760 Speaker 1: know you're very likely to win that bet, uh, Like 420 00:21:31,960 --> 00:21:34,760 Speaker 1: even more than the the implied value that you get 421 00:21:34,840 --> 00:21:38,199 Speaker 1: with the odds. I think for this game in particular, 422 00:21:38,840 --> 00:21:41,760 Speaker 1: I would be looking at the number of penalties. Uh. 423 00:21:41,880 --> 00:21:44,600 Speaker 1: Penalties tend to tick down a little bit in the 424 00:21:44,640 --> 00:21:47,520 Speaker 1: playoffs and especially the Super Bowl, Like the refs just 425 00:21:47,640 --> 00:21:49,840 Speaker 1: kind of tend to swallow the whistle a little bit more, 426 00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:53,239 Speaker 1: so there tends to be some value there. And uh, 427 00:21:53,440 --> 00:21:57,680 Speaker 1: you know, I'm interested in the passing props that we 428 00:21:57,760 --> 00:22:00,119 Speaker 1: will see, you know, with the idea that Jay and 429 00:22:00,240 --> 00:22:03,680 Speaker 1: Hurts is potentially more injured than what we would see 430 00:22:03,720 --> 00:22:06,720 Speaker 1: in the practice reports, I think we could see you know, 431 00:22:06,880 --> 00:22:11,240 Speaker 1: significant under movement on his passing yardage prop. And it's 432 00:22:11,240 --> 00:22:13,200 Speaker 1: not as if the Eagles are airing it out a 433 00:22:13,320 --> 00:22:16,760 Speaker 1: lot anyway. Uh. And I mean they have that capacity 434 00:22:16,840 --> 00:22:18,719 Speaker 1: early in the year, but we haven't seen it recently. 435 00:22:18,840 --> 00:22:23,040 Speaker 1: So whatever number you look at now, it will probably 436 00:22:23,160 --> 00:22:27,040 Speaker 1: be significantly lower a week from now. Sign And if 437 00:22:27,119 --> 00:22:30,800 Speaker 1: you're anxious about betting the sides and we're still thinking 438 00:22:30,840 --> 00:22:33,000 Speaker 1: about it, uh, And you're heavy on the total of 439 00:22:33,119 --> 00:22:35,560 Speaker 1: this on the over at this point, have you looked 440 00:22:35,600 --> 00:22:37,240 Speaker 1: at the sides? Have you, I mean at the props? 441 00:22:37,280 --> 00:22:39,120 Speaker 1: Have you thought about the props market at this point? 442 00:22:39,119 --> 00:22:42,280 Speaker 1: Are you gonna wait and see what happens next week? Yeah? 443 00:22:42,320 --> 00:22:43,879 Speaker 1: I took a bunch of positions, but do they're like 444 00:22:44,000 --> 00:22:47,320 Speaker 1: limited to even in person to fifty like the biggest 445 00:22:47,359 --> 00:22:48,920 Speaker 1: bet I had a bunch of guys that have a 446 00:22:48,960 --> 00:22:51,359 Speaker 1: bunch of different books was to fifty. Most books were 447 00:22:51,359 --> 00:22:54,560 Speaker 1: two on that Monday. Um, as a week has gone along, 448 00:22:54,600 --> 00:22:56,240 Speaker 1: they've upped it. I would say some books have up 449 00:22:56,280 --> 00:22:58,680 Speaker 1: died a hundred bucks two hundred fifty per day. So 450 00:22:58,760 --> 00:23:00,359 Speaker 1: I've heard, you know, a couple of i's got a 451 00:23:00,400 --> 00:23:03,080 Speaker 1: thousand bucks down today. I think they're all just taking 452 00:23:03,200 --> 00:23:05,960 Speaker 1: positions on here set. It's the same thing of they're 453 00:23:06,040 --> 00:23:08,120 Speaker 1: taking unders. I mean, they worked for him last week. 454 00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:10,320 Speaker 1: A lot of really smart guys came in really heavy 455 00:23:10,640 --> 00:23:13,439 Speaker 1: on Hurtes underpassing, not only because they thought the game 456 00:23:13,520 --> 00:23:16,320 Speaker 1: script was gonna go towards the forty niners, but they 457 00:23:16,359 --> 00:23:18,399 Speaker 1: had heard some rumors that he'd landed funny on it 458 00:23:18,560 --> 00:23:20,960 Speaker 1: and one of the tackles in that Giants game, and 459 00:23:21,000 --> 00:23:22,760 Speaker 1: that's why they kind of taking him out and took 460 00:23:22,800 --> 00:23:24,800 Speaker 1: it easy the rest of the second half against the 461 00:23:24,840 --> 00:23:27,080 Speaker 1: Giants team. So that was one of those I was 462 00:23:27,200 --> 00:23:29,040 Speaker 1: looking for it. I didn't really want to believe it 463 00:23:29,040 --> 00:23:30,960 Speaker 1: because I feel like there wasn't enough info on it, 464 00:23:31,720 --> 00:23:33,800 Speaker 1: and in the game there's just a couple of those 465 00:23:33,880 --> 00:23:35,600 Speaker 1: throws that, yeah, threw me up a little. But with 466 00:23:35,680 --> 00:23:38,200 Speaker 1: the over, I made the game fifty one and a half. 467 00:23:38,359 --> 00:23:40,160 Speaker 1: That's why I just stayed to it where it's like, okay, 468 00:23:40,200 --> 00:23:42,680 Speaker 1: that's what I made the number. The game opened above it, 469 00:23:42,760 --> 00:23:44,399 Speaker 1: then it moved below it, and that's where I just 470 00:23:44,440 --> 00:23:47,560 Speaker 1: saw the value where I think most pros and the 471 00:23:47,640 --> 00:23:50,919 Speaker 1: public are just going to go recently buyas I mean 472 00:23:50,960 --> 00:23:52,800 Speaker 1: the Chiefs. That's gonna be the play for the public. 473 00:23:52,840 --> 00:23:55,600 Speaker 1: They're gonna go the simple of mahomes is a dog. 474 00:23:55,680 --> 00:23:57,760 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take my homes, which I can't fault them. 475 00:23:57,880 --> 00:23:59,639 Speaker 1: It's like that's the easy thing to say and do, 476 00:24:00,280 --> 00:24:02,600 Speaker 1: and the under is an easy bet because of what 477 00:24:02,680 --> 00:24:04,479 Speaker 1: have we seen this last couple of weeks. I mean, 478 00:24:04,560 --> 00:24:06,680 Speaker 1: Evan could tell us we've just had unders like me 479 00:24:06,720 --> 00:24:09,560 Speaker 1: and you've been cashing every week chat since that Walker weekend, 480 00:24:09,560 --> 00:24:11,240 Speaker 1: We've been hitting these unders pretty big and they've been 481 00:24:11,280 --> 00:24:14,040 Speaker 1: coming through. So that was another reason I like the 482 00:24:14,200 --> 00:24:17,200 Speaker 1: over in this vision of the public is usually wrong 483 00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:19,640 Speaker 1: and Super Bowls when the public likes unders, and they're 484 00:24:19,680 --> 00:24:21,159 Speaker 1: usually wrong when they think they know what the hell 485 00:24:21,240 --> 00:24:23,840 Speaker 1: is about to happen in games for Twize and I'll 486 00:24:23,840 --> 00:24:26,960 Speaker 1: always remember yelling my head off that Eagles over with 487 00:24:27,080 --> 00:24:29,560 Speaker 1: Nick Foles against that Patriots team Did I know that 488 00:24:29,600 --> 00:24:31,280 Speaker 1: was gonna be the most yards and points and that 489 00:24:31,640 --> 00:24:34,159 Speaker 1: uh super Bowl history. No, but it was just one 490 00:24:34,200 --> 00:24:36,399 Speaker 1: of the things where it's like, yeah, I agree, the 491 00:24:36,440 --> 00:24:39,320 Speaker 1: Eagles had a really good defense in that seventeen That 492 00:24:39,440 --> 00:24:41,840 Speaker 1: ship don't matter in the playoffs. You have two weeks 493 00:24:42,040 --> 00:24:45,080 Speaker 1: to prepare. These coaches are going to be smart. Andy 494 00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:49,240 Speaker 1: Reid is a really smart coach, Sirianni. These blocking schemes 495 00:24:49,320 --> 00:24:52,160 Speaker 1: chad like watching going back and watching it. The adjustments 496 00:24:52,240 --> 00:24:54,080 Speaker 1: they made in the second half, that's why people want 497 00:24:54,080 --> 00:24:56,399 Speaker 1: to talk to about the Eagle team. The adjustments they 498 00:24:56,440 --> 00:24:59,240 Speaker 1: make it half time. Run blocking wise is literally poetry. 499 00:24:59,280 --> 00:25:01,840 Speaker 1: If you're indie, watch film, Like they see like Nick 500 00:25:01,920 --> 00:25:03,800 Speaker 1: Posta was stepping up, and they saw that he was 501 00:25:03,840 --> 00:25:06,439 Speaker 1: stepping up too much, like he was literally rushing up 502 00:25:06,480 --> 00:25:08,600 Speaker 1: the right side, so they would just leave him on block. 503 00:25:08,680 --> 00:25:10,399 Speaker 1: In the second half, they literally just used him as 504 00:25:10,400 --> 00:25:13,080 Speaker 1: a decoy, brought the guard around, they would block up 505 00:25:13,080 --> 00:25:15,639 Speaker 1: the middle. You saw back the back fourteen twenty yard 506 00:25:15,720 --> 00:25:18,240 Speaker 1: runs by the Egos offense, just off a little adjustment. 507 00:25:18,600 --> 00:25:21,000 Speaker 1: Guess who doesn't have that good heart run defense. Compared 508 00:25:21,000 --> 00:25:23,320 Speaker 1: to the fourty niners, the Chiefs team So that's one 509 00:25:23,320 --> 00:25:24,760 Speaker 1: of those where I just keep going back to it 510 00:25:24,880 --> 00:25:27,360 Speaker 1: of it's gonna be the ultimate chess mass if you're 511 00:25:27,359 --> 00:25:30,200 Speaker 1: a football nerd. It's literally a dream of watch. Going 512 00:25:30,240 --> 00:25:32,040 Speaker 1: back and watching this film is gonna be amazing because 513 00:25:32,440 --> 00:25:34,760 Speaker 1: Andy Reid is so smart. A team will make an 514 00:25:34,760 --> 00:25:37,600 Speaker 1: adjustment in the first half and take something away, and 515 00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:39,640 Speaker 1: Andy Reid will attack it in the second half. He'll 516 00:25:39,680 --> 00:25:42,239 Speaker 1: he'll find something from the nineteen eighties that no one 517 00:25:42,280 --> 00:25:44,520 Speaker 1: else knows because Andy is just old dog who knows 518 00:25:44,600 --> 00:25:46,800 Speaker 1: the old plays. And that's why I love I just 519 00:25:46,920 --> 00:25:49,280 Speaker 1: love this matchup so much. It's just really really good 520 00:25:49,359 --> 00:25:52,240 Speaker 1: coaching on coaching, and I agree Andy Reid probably is 521 00:25:52,480 --> 00:25:55,040 Speaker 1: the side right now for coaching just because he's been here, 522 00:25:55,160 --> 00:25:57,000 Speaker 1: like this is what his third or fourth Super Bowl, 523 00:25:57,119 --> 00:25:59,399 Speaker 1: So to me, that's a big deal. That is a 524 00:25:59,480 --> 00:26:02,439 Speaker 1: huge event inch over Nick Siriani. So that's a lot 525 00:26:02,480 --> 00:26:04,720 Speaker 1: of stuff I weighed in this total of I don't 526 00:26:04,760 --> 00:26:07,400 Speaker 1: see either offense taking foot off the gas. Like Mahomes, 527 00:26:07,840 --> 00:26:10,440 Speaker 1: he will go fight for bite against this ego's team. 528 00:26:10,480 --> 00:26:12,639 Speaker 1: Like again, the Eagles have a good defense. There's a 529 00:26:12,680 --> 00:26:14,639 Speaker 1: reason they haven't thanks for quarterback Like Mahomes this year, 530 00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:17,480 Speaker 1: Mahomes is as good as it gets. So to me, 531 00:26:17,800 --> 00:26:20,720 Speaker 1: takeaways receivers, I'm hearing whispers that Juju is actually back 532 00:26:20,800 --> 00:26:23,240 Speaker 1: and that he's gonna be practicing even this week. So 533 00:26:23,760 --> 00:26:25,399 Speaker 1: to me, I think they're gonna have enough pieces there 534 00:26:25,480 --> 00:26:27,600 Speaker 1: that Mahomes will put up the points. It's all about. 535 00:26:27,640 --> 00:26:29,480 Speaker 1: Can hurt to answer, because that's what it's gonna come 536 00:26:29,520 --> 00:26:30,880 Speaker 1: down to. You can't just run it all a game 537 00:26:31,119 --> 00:26:33,320 Speaker 1: Mahomes just putting up points. You're gonna have to throw 538 00:26:33,400 --> 00:26:35,080 Speaker 1: the ball. So that, to me, that's gonna be a 539 00:26:35,119 --> 00:26:38,800 Speaker 1: defining piece of this game. Well, everyone, go ahead, fathing, 540 00:26:38,840 --> 00:26:42,800 Speaker 1: go ahead. Simon's point about the the over, I'm within there, 541 00:26:43,080 --> 00:26:45,920 Speaker 1: and I think even if you know Juju, some of 542 00:26:46,000 --> 00:26:48,879 Speaker 1: these other wide receivers don't return, they're not all that 543 00:26:49,000 --> 00:26:51,119 Speaker 1: big of a part of the offense anyway, and they 544 00:26:51,160 --> 00:26:53,520 Speaker 1: still have two weeks to be able to plan what 545 00:26:53,720 --> 00:26:57,680 Speaker 1: they do without those guys. So, like Simon, I'm on 546 00:26:57,840 --> 00:27:00,840 Speaker 1: the over part of the rationalist at you know this 547 00:27:01,040 --> 00:27:03,240 Speaker 1: is this is the ma home spot. Uh. You know 548 00:27:03,320 --> 00:27:05,399 Speaker 1: Simon is on the Eagles, But I think Mahomes is 549 00:27:05,480 --> 00:27:07,600 Speaker 1: going to be able to have more success against a 550 00:27:07,760 --> 00:27:12,639 Speaker 1: very good UH secondary here a great defensive line. He 551 00:27:13,040 --> 00:27:15,159 Speaker 1: he thinks, you know, he probably will be pressured. But 552 00:27:16,040 --> 00:27:17,399 Speaker 1: I mean, at the same time, I think it is 553 00:27:17,480 --> 00:27:19,919 Speaker 1: fair to say that, UH, I don't hold the strength 554 00:27:19,960 --> 00:27:22,960 Speaker 1: of schedule thing against the Eagles, Like they did what 555 00:27:23,119 --> 00:27:26,080 Speaker 1: they should do against bad opponents, like they demolished them. 556 00:27:26,440 --> 00:27:29,080 Speaker 1: So like they still look like a very good team 557 00:27:29,160 --> 00:27:32,080 Speaker 1: that had a software strength of schedule. But it is 558 00:27:32,119 --> 00:27:35,800 Speaker 1: worth pointing out that the quarterbacks who are better than 559 00:27:36,040 --> 00:27:38,879 Speaker 1: the average that they faced, a number of those guys 560 00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:42,680 Speaker 1: did do pretty well against the Eagles defense. So it's 561 00:27:42,720 --> 00:27:45,040 Speaker 1: a good defense. I don't know if it's like a 562 00:27:45,240 --> 00:27:48,639 Speaker 1: great defense to the extent that we would imagine based 563 00:27:48,760 --> 00:27:51,959 Speaker 1: on the raw the raw stats, like all of the sacks, 564 00:27:52,359 --> 00:27:55,040 Speaker 1: I think that's a little bit inflated. One of the 565 00:27:56,320 --> 00:28:00,639 Speaker 1: biggest conversations, the points of conversation coming out of the 566 00:28:00,680 --> 00:28:04,560 Speaker 1: Chiefs Bengals was the officiating. UH. There was a great 567 00:28:04,680 --> 00:28:10,600 Speaker 1: meme going around after on social with Ron was it 568 00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:14,920 Speaker 1: Ron Torborg was the official UH with a picture of 569 00:28:15,040 --> 00:28:19,440 Speaker 1: him and Mahomes trading jerseys. UM. There was a joke 570 00:28:19,600 --> 00:28:21,320 Speaker 1: that is the first time an official has been named 571 00:28:21,400 --> 00:28:26,160 Speaker 1: m V p of the a f C Title game. Uh, Freedman, 572 00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:30,920 Speaker 1: you mentioned penalties as a prop to play. Referees tend 573 00:28:30,960 --> 00:28:35,800 Speaker 1: to swallow their whistle in these scenarios. Evan, tell us 574 00:28:35,840 --> 00:28:39,200 Speaker 1: about Carl Scheffers and what we can expect in Super 575 00:28:39,240 --> 00:28:41,920 Speaker 1: Bowl from an officiating point of view, because everybody knows. 576 00:28:42,560 --> 00:28:44,560 Speaker 1: Anyone who watches convinced me, which we will of course 577 00:28:44,600 --> 00:28:49,160 Speaker 1: have in the Super Bowl Sunday. Uh, everyone knows I'm 578 00:28:49,200 --> 00:28:52,800 Speaker 1: a sucker. I'm a sucker for the referee stants. So 579 00:28:52,880 --> 00:28:55,360 Speaker 1: what I'm gonna tell you now you've probably heard before 580 00:28:55,440 --> 00:28:57,800 Speaker 1: because it's literally been talked about now for a few days, 581 00:28:57,840 --> 00:29:00,080 Speaker 1: and you're gonna hear it again and convince me. But 582 00:29:00,200 --> 00:29:03,440 Speaker 1: Cheffer's lead referee in the Super Bowl is eleven and 583 00:29:03,520 --> 00:29:06,120 Speaker 1: one to the under in twelve playoff games, it's going 584 00:29:06,200 --> 00:29:10,480 Speaker 1: under by twelve point nine points per game. Since he's 585 00:29:10,480 --> 00:29:12,640 Speaker 1: been the lead official in six playoff games, it's six 586 00:29:12,680 --> 00:29:14,360 Speaker 1: and over of the under by fourteen and a half 587 00:29:14,440 --> 00:29:18,600 Speaker 1: points per game. You know, referee trends. It all sounds 588 00:29:18,680 --> 00:29:20,720 Speaker 1: really good. I like the under as well, so it 589 00:29:20,800 --> 00:29:24,080 Speaker 1: even fits my narrative. Um. And in terms of actual 590 00:29:24,200 --> 00:29:27,680 Speaker 1: penalty calls, Yeah, I mean, I mean it fits the narrative, 591 00:29:27,680 --> 00:29:30,320 Speaker 1: it fits everything we're talking about. But to Freedman's point, 592 00:29:30,480 --> 00:29:33,360 Speaker 1: actually did a little bit of research, and usually penalties 593 00:29:33,400 --> 00:29:35,880 Speaker 1: are down, Like when you look to the average of 594 00:29:35,960 --> 00:29:38,240 Speaker 1: the year and then you looked at how many penalties 595 00:29:38,240 --> 00:29:40,720 Speaker 1: actually occurred in the super Bowl, it usually is less. 596 00:29:41,080 --> 00:29:44,120 Speaker 1: So to the point where we're gonna see it, I 597 00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:47,239 Speaker 1: think it's gonna happen where there's gonna be less calls. Uh. 598 00:29:47,520 --> 00:29:49,920 Speaker 1: And I think he's right on that one. All right, Well, 599 00:29:49,920 --> 00:29:52,280 Speaker 1: at least people has given us something right now, we 600 00:29:52,360 --> 00:29:56,800 Speaker 1: know that we want to bet the under in total penalties? 601 00:29:56,880 --> 00:29:59,880 Speaker 1: Have we seen a total penalties prop yet? If we 602 00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:04,200 Speaker 1: seen the number I have anyone, I don't believe it's 603 00:30:04,200 --> 00:30:06,000 Speaker 1: out yet. I would expect it to be around ten 604 00:30:06,040 --> 00:30:12,760 Speaker 1: and a half. Okay, Um, I would say, uh, this, 605 00:30:13,080 --> 00:30:17,959 Speaker 1: this this over under thing is killing me because as 606 00:30:18,040 --> 00:30:20,280 Speaker 1: much as I hate Freedman, I think he's really good 607 00:30:20,320 --> 00:30:22,720 Speaker 1: at this, and I love Simon and he's really good 608 00:30:22,760 --> 00:30:24,560 Speaker 1: at this. And they're both on the both on the over, 609 00:30:24,960 --> 00:30:27,680 Speaker 1: but I love Evan and Evan is on the under. 610 00:30:28,240 --> 00:30:30,719 Speaker 1: And we can find any trends to fit our narrative 611 00:30:30,760 --> 00:30:32,840 Speaker 1: that labs. By the way, we did a story yesterday. 612 00:30:33,520 --> 00:30:35,840 Speaker 1: They are not that labs. But on our market report, 613 00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:38,680 Speaker 1: we did a story yesterday that the money was coming 614 00:30:38,720 --> 00:30:41,080 Speaker 1: in on the over. It could have been Simon for 615 00:30:41,120 --> 00:30:44,080 Speaker 1: all you know, we're fulfilling the prophecy here, so that 616 00:30:44,200 --> 00:30:47,720 Speaker 1: one's killing me. Um, we only got a few minutes 617 00:30:47,800 --> 00:30:50,280 Speaker 1: left because Freeman's got a heart out. You know, it's 618 00:30:50,400 --> 00:30:53,840 Speaker 1: very important. Uh yeah, you you talked with your CEO. 619 00:30:54,040 --> 00:30:56,280 Speaker 1: I have a meeting with my CEO right after this 620 00:30:56,480 --> 00:30:59,080 Speaker 1: is done. We're basically mirror images of each other at 621 00:30:59,120 --> 00:31:01,520 Speaker 1: this It's so true and it's like a dream come 622 00:31:01,560 --> 00:31:03,920 Speaker 1: true for me right now that we get to compare 623 00:31:03,960 --> 00:31:07,480 Speaker 1: ourselves to each other. Um. Evan, you got a whole 624 00:31:07,480 --> 00:31:10,880 Speaker 1: boatload of stats that we still have to run through, So, uh, 625 00:31:11,160 --> 00:31:13,240 Speaker 1: what can you tell me? All I'll say is this, 626 00:31:13,560 --> 00:31:15,280 Speaker 1: we've been talking about the over under. I just think 627 00:31:15,320 --> 00:31:17,800 Speaker 1: it's interesting looking at Action Network market data right this 628 00:31:17,880 --> 00:31:22,560 Speaker 1: second tickets around the under. Uh. The unders only received 629 00:31:22,600 --> 00:31:24,800 Speaker 1: public support three times in the Super Bowl over the 630 00:31:24,920 --> 00:31:28,200 Speaker 1: last twenty years. I don't think the under is going 631 00:31:28,280 --> 00:31:32,360 Speaker 1: to close, but I think it's interesting that early in 632 00:31:32,400 --> 00:31:34,880 Speaker 1: the week we're seeing it and in those three games 633 00:31:35,040 --> 00:31:36,400 Speaker 1: there was one and two to the under. It means 634 00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:39,320 Speaker 1: absolutely nothing, but I think it is interesting that we 635 00:31:39,480 --> 00:31:41,640 Speaker 1: are we are seeing public support to the under early 636 00:31:41,720 --> 00:31:43,560 Speaker 1: in the week. So that's one note I'll give you 637 00:31:43,720 --> 00:31:45,920 Speaker 1: right now. The other note that I do think is 638 00:31:45,960 --> 00:31:50,000 Speaker 1: interesting is longest and shortest touchdowns. Freedman was talking about 639 00:31:50,040 --> 00:31:53,080 Speaker 1: like game props. The longest touchdown has gone under in 640 00:31:53,160 --> 00:31:55,520 Speaker 1: six of the last eight and went over last year 641 00:31:55,560 --> 00:31:58,680 Speaker 1: for reference. And the shortest touchdown prop has gone under 642 00:31:58,720 --> 00:32:00,760 Speaker 1: an eight to the last ten, three straight. So like 643 00:32:00,840 --> 00:32:03,080 Speaker 1: it's usually one and a half yards, and we've seen 644 00:32:03,160 --> 00:32:05,800 Speaker 1: one yard touchdowns in the Super Bowl. So that's one 645 00:32:05,840 --> 00:32:07,480 Speaker 1: note I think is really interesting that I've bet the 646 00:32:07,560 --> 00:32:13,960 Speaker 1: last few years. That's a really tough one. Yeah. The 647 00:32:14,080 --> 00:32:16,880 Speaker 1: last one I wanna give you is this one line movement. 648 00:32:17,280 --> 00:32:19,680 Speaker 1: I find this fascinating and I use this strictly in 649 00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:22,680 Speaker 1: the bet Labs database using one of our filters, follow 650 00:32:22,680 --> 00:32:24,800 Speaker 1: a line movement in the Super Bowl. Eighteen times in 651 00:32:24,840 --> 00:32:26,960 Speaker 1: Super Bowl history the line has moved one and a 652 00:32:27,000 --> 00:32:29,720 Speaker 1: half points or more. Right now, it's actually moved three 653 00:32:29,720 --> 00:32:32,360 Speaker 1: and a half points. Casey was minus two now, Phillies 654 00:32:32,400 --> 00:32:35,200 Speaker 1: minus one, and a half if you've followed the direction 655 00:32:35,280 --> 00:32:37,920 Speaker 1: of the line movement, so minus four to minus six, 656 00:32:38,400 --> 00:32:40,400 Speaker 1: plus six to plus four and a half as examples, 657 00:32:40,720 --> 00:32:43,000 Speaker 1: you'd be sixteen and two straight up in fourteen and 658 00:32:43,080 --> 00:32:45,480 Speaker 1: four against the spread in the Super Bowl. So the 659 00:32:45,600 --> 00:32:48,640 Speaker 1: line move is usually the right move. So the line 660 00:32:48,720 --> 00:32:52,800 Speaker 1: moved from Kansas City to Philly accurate, Kansas City the 661 00:32:52,840 --> 00:32:55,640 Speaker 1: open is the favorite. Some of us, you know, might 662 00:32:55,720 --> 00:32:57,360 Speaker 1: have bet Philly a plus one and a half on 663 00:32:57,440 --> 00:33:02,200 Speaker 1: Sunday night, uh, and then minutes later that Philly that 664 00:33:02,520 --> 00:33:05,320 Speaker 1: get Kansas City minus plus two and a half, so 665 00:33:05,520 --> 00:33:08,840 Speaker 1: we might have canceled our bests out. So the line movement, 666 00:33:08,960 --> 00:33:11,680 Speaker 1: that's one of the most telling stats I've heard, Evan, 667 00:33:12,120 --> 00:33:15,680 Speaker 1: is that the line movement tends to tell you which 668 00:33:15,760 --> 00:33:17,600 Speaker 1: side is not just going to win, but which side 669 00:33:17,680 --> 00:33:20,200 Speaker 1: is going to cover fourteen and four against the spread 670 00:33:20,280 --> 00:33:23,480 Speaker 1: the last eighteen Ah yeah, well it's only happened eighteen 671 00:33:23,520 --> 00:33:25,200 Speaker 1: times where it's moved one and a half points or 672 00:33:25,240 --> 00:33:29,040 Speaker 1: more so in those eighteen games, sixteen and two, fourteen 673 00:33:29,080 --> 00:33:33,760 Speaker 1: and four, So one game, everyone's everyone's moving. It tends 674 00:33:33,800 --> 00:33:37,440 Speaker 1: to be the right side, dude. That is a Euridica 675 00:33:37,560 --> 00:33:40,000 Speaker 1: stat Freeman is shaking his head. You like like that one, right, 676 00:33:40,080 --> 00:33:42,760 Speaker 1: free That's that's a good one, Evan. Before we get 677 00:33:42,800 --> 00:33:45,120 Speaker 1: out of here and give us one more for the road, alright, Chad, 678 00:33:45,240 --> 00:33:47,920 Speaker 1: So we'll talk about ets for a second. The Chiefs 679 00:33:48,040 --> 00:33:50,120 Speaker 1: entered the playoffs with a six and eleven, a t 680 00:33:50,320 --> 00:33:54,240 Speaker 1: S record thirty five. In the fifty six year history 681 00:33:54,280 --> 00:33:56,640 Speaker 1: of the Super Bowl, there are just four teams that 682 00:33:56,680 --> 00:33:58,880 Speaker 1: have made a Super Bowl within against the spread win 683 00:33:58,960 --> 00:34:01,880 Speaker 1: percentage below forty percent, and the other three all lost 684 00:34:01,960 --> 00:34:10,520 Speaker 1: the game. Dude, it's come on, great, great info by 685 00:34:10,560 --> 00:34:12,520 Speaker 1: Evan I and I got gotta do a plug for Evan, 686 00:34:12,640 --> 00:34:16,080 Speaker 1: who every week puts out this article that is sort 687 00:34:16,120 --> 00:34:19,120 Speaker 1: of like the Primer U digging into the trans for 688 00:34:19,440 --> 00:34:23,160 Speaker 1: every game that's on the late must read piece. I 689 00:34:23,239 --> 00:34:25,960 Speaker 1: think there are very few people who dig in to 690 00:34:26,200 --> 00:34:29,640 Speaker 1: that depth and do it really well. And like Evan, 691 00:34:29,680 --> 00:34:31,920 Speaker 1: you pull out a number of stats where I'm just like, 692 00:34:32,080 --> 00:34:34,239 Speaker 1: I never what have you even thought to look for 693 00:34:34,400 --> 00:34:36,600 Speaker 1: something like this and you find it. I don't know 694 00:34:36,719 --> 00:34:39,360 Speaker 1: how you research in that way and then get it 695 00:34:39,480 --> 00:34:42,719 Speaker 1: all into that document and do it as quickly as 696 00:34:42,800 --> 00:34:45,160 Speaker 1: you do. But that feels like the like one of 697 00:34:45,200 --> 00:34:47,320 Speaker 1: those types of stats that I would look at in 698 00:34:47,440 --> 00:34:49,480 Speaker 1: that piece each week and just be like, man, I 699 00:34:49,600 --> 00:34:53,000 Speaker 1: wish I had known that before I made this betan. 700 00:34:53,040 --> 00:34:55,160 Speaker 1: First of all, thank you. It'll be live Monday morning 701 00:34:55,960 --> 00:34:58,400 Speaker 1: dot com. Uh and that's that will be right at 702 00:34:58,400 --> 00:35:00,200 Speaker 1: the top. So that's all I gotta say. All the 703 00:35:00,600 --> 00:35:06,640 Speaker 1: Evan wins the podcast. Um, Matthew Freedman, I love having 704 00:35:06,680 --> 00:35:10,560 Speaker 1: you on the podcast, even if I detest the meaning 705 00:35:10,640 --> 00:35:13,240 Speaker 1: of your being. I love having you on the podcast. 706 00:35:13,640 --> 00:35:16,440 Speaker 1: Fantasy Pros. Everyone should go check it out. Betting Pros. 707 00:35:16,480 --> 00:35:19,120 Speaker 1: Everyone should go check it out. Matthew Freeman, Director of Content, 708 00:35:19,640 --> 00:35:22,000 Speaker 1: Simon Hunter. I miss you, buddy. I can't wait for 709 00:35:22,080 --> 00:35:26,319 Speaker 1: you to come back home. Come back. Oh, you can 710 00:35:26,400 --> 00:35:30,480 Speaker 1: detox a little bit before the game. Evan Abrahams, fantastic. 711 00:35:30,800 --> 00:35:32,880 Speaker 1: You nailed it with that last stat. That might make 712 00:35:32,920 --> 00:35:35,160 Speaker 1: me feel really good about betting the Eagles even more 713 00:35:35,320 --> 00:35:40,480 Speaker 1: right now. For Matt Mitchell, our producer, I am Chad Millman. 714 00:35:40,600 --> 00:35:44,160 Speaker 1: This has been the favorite podcast from the Volume podcast Network. 715 00:35:44,480 --> 00:35:47,239 Speaker 1: Downloads from Apple, podcasts, from spot from Spotify, wherever you 716 00:35:47,320 --> 00:35:50,960 Speaker 1: get your podcast, rate, review, subscribe, listen no joke people, 717 00:35:51,400 --> 00:35:55,000 Speaker 1: I need you to subscribe to the Favorites podcast. Not 718 00:35:55,160 --> 00:35:58,160 Speaker 1: just listen to us in the Herd Feed. Subscribe to 719 00:35:58,320 --> 00:36:01,320 Speaker 1: the Favorites podcast. It's going to matter for you and 720 00:36:01,480 --> 00:36:04,640 Speaker 1: your happiness. It's going to make your life better. Subscribe 721 00:36:04,680 --> 00:36:08,279 Speaker 1: to the Favorite podcast until next time. Next week con 722 00:36:08,360 --> 00:36:11,120 Speaker 1: next Tuesday, we got the s the Super Bowl Player 723 00:36:11,160 --> 00:36:16,520 Speaker 1: prop preview with Shawn Kerner and Chris Raban. Until then, 724 00:36:16,960 --> 00:36:26,040 Speaker 1: Love You Yeah. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. 725 00:36:26,360 --> 00:36:28,960 Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem, 726 00:36:29,200 --> 00:36:32,400 Speaker 1: help is available. Seven Gambler