WEBVTT - Beating The Book: 2024 NFL Week 7 Guessing Lines Show 0:00:00.360 --> 0:00:02.600 Betting on sports can be hard, but hiring Morgan and 0:00:02.640 --> 0:00:05.960 Morgan is easy. Morgan and Morgan is America's largest injury 0:00:06.000 --> 0:00:08.680 law firm. They have over one hundred offices nationwide and 0:00:08.720 --> 0:00:12.040 more than one thousand lawyers. Their fee is free unless 0:00:12.080 --> 0:00:14.640 they win. For more information, go to four the People 0:00:14.720 --> 0:00:18.000 dot com slash Best Bets, or dial pound law pound 0:00:18.079 --> 0:00:20.319 five two nine from your cell phone. That's f o 0:00:20.440 --> 0:00:23.439 R the People dot com slash best bets. This is 0:00:23.440 --> 0:00:24.360 a paid advertisement. 0:00:28.360 --> 0:00:32.680 Check it in, man, and I'm just told the story. 0:00:32.800 --> 0:00:36.879 Analysandos idiots will believe in analytics. This is a numbers 0:00:36.880 --> 0:00:39.160 game with Gil Alexander one vs. 0:00:39.280 --> 0:00:42.239 In Good Monday Morning to It's a numbers game at 0:00:42.320 --> 0:00:44.440 vs in the sports betting network, Visa dot Com game 0:00:44.479 --> 0:00:48.080 plus iHeartRadio YouTube TV. However you take it is SI, 0:00:48.159 --> 0:00:51.040 We appreciate it. It's Gil Alexander. It is Kelly Bedlin, 0:00:51.479 --> 0:00:53.559 producer number nine, so much more than a producer. 0:00:53.600 --> 0:00:55.600 How you doing man, I'm doing great? How are you? 0:00:55.720 --> 0:00:58.400 I'm doing great? You had a great football weekend, didn't you, 0:00:58.440 --> 0:01:02.240 Betting wise? NFL have yet, so that's pretty good. Hasn't 0:01:02.280 --> 0:01:04.840 lost yet? I say yet though, because uh Buffalo to 0:01:05.200 --> 0:01:09.240 Buffalo today. I have Buffalo tonight, pending a three to 0:01:09.440 --> 0:01:12.840 one based on guessing lines reactions last week for me 0:01:12.920 --> 0:01:15.720 as well, so trying to get a second consecutive four 0:01:15.760 --> 0:01:18.319 and one. That's why we do this exercise. 0:01:18.400 --> 0:01:21.880 People. You know the regrets from this from this past weekend. 0:01:21.920 --> 0:01:24.640 It was the same old why didn't I bet that bigger? 0:01:24.840 --> 0:01:27.959 Or why didn't I make another better two that me 0:01:28.000 --> 0:01:31.399 and you talked all week about which one was? Then Steelers? 0:01:31.880 --> 0:01:35.679 Oh, I know, I know. That wasn't the That wasn't 0:01:35.680 --> 0:01:38.760 the loss though. The loss was the Broncos for me, Yeah, yeah, 0:01:38.800 --> 0:01:40.920 for me, that didn't work out. Sean Payton did the 0:01:41.000 --> 0:01:42.320 right thing at the end of that game. We'll get 0:01:42.360 --> 0:01:44.319 into all of that. We If you're not familiar with 0:01:44.319 --> 0:01:47.440 this exercise, we look back at the previous weekend's games. 0:01:47.440 --> 0:01:49.240 But the point is to guess. I don't know the 0:01:49.240 --> 0:01:52.440 lines for the upcoming week. I'm in a cocoon. I 0:01:52.520 --> 0:01:55.280 guess them. Kelly tells me what they are, and within 0:01:55.400 --> 0:01:59.120 that exercise we look to extract value. That first reaction 0:01:59.240 --> 0:02:01.800 has not only served us well here these last couple 0:02:01.840 --> 0:02:04.120 of weeks, it served us well for years and years 0:02:04.640 --> 0:02:06.800 here doing the National Football League, and then we have 0:02:06.840 --> 0:02:09.200 to endure four or five days of everybody else telling. 0:02:09.000 --> 0:02:12.760 Us we're wrong, right, yeah, or us overthinking things like Steelers, 0:02:13.040 --> 0:02:14.240 like the Steelers, that's right. 0:02:14.639 --> 0:02:16.360 But I replaced the Steelers with the Bucks, so that 0:02:16.400 --> 0:02:18.120 didn't end up mattering. You know what, It did the 0:02:18.160 --> 0:02:21.160 same thing, yeah, so that didn't end up mattering. Before 0:02:21.160 --> 0:02:23.520 we do that. A Circus survivor update real quick. This 0:02:23.600 --> 0:02:26.200 is the first week. Finally, it took six weeks, but 0:02:26.360 --> 0:02:29.160 finally we have a week that does not have carnage. 0:02:29.639 --> 0:02:32.160 Only five entries of the remaining two twenty one headed 0:02:32.160 --> 0:02:34.359 into the week are gone, and that's where it will 0:02:34.360 --> 0:02:37.200 stand because nobody's on the bills or jets tonight. Only 0:02:37.240 --> 0:02:40.600 five entries gone. So it's down to two sixteen out 0:02:40.639 --> 0:02:44.080 of the initial fourteen thousand, two one hundred and sixty six, 0:02:44.600 --> 0:02:47.000 which means the actual intrinsic value of each of the 0:02:47.040 --> 0:02:51.040 remaining two hundred and sixteen entries rises incrementally to sixty 0:02:51.200 --> 0:02:54.080 six thousand, forty six dollars and thirty cents. 0:02:54.280 --> 0:02:54.880 So there you go. 0:02:55.600 --> 0:02:58.520 Congratulations to all you survived a week without much drama. 0:02:58.720 --> 0:03:01.400 That's going to be painful. To just hear every week you, uh, 0:03:01.760 --> 0:03:04.000 what the intrinsic value was up to. Yeah. 0:03:04.040 --> 0:03:06.280 By the way, those five losses, four were on the Titans, 0:03:06.320 --> 0:03:11.200 one was on the Jaguars. Not the Jaguarars, but the Jaguars. 0:03:12.000 --> 0:03:15.400 Yeah. Yeah, I don't think either the Jaguars or the 0:03:15.480 --> 0:03:18.000 Jaguars looked very good. No, they They kind of stink. 0:03:18.200 --> 0:03:20.240 Gotta stink at football. All right, you ready to do this, 0:03:20.400 --> 0:03:20.920 Let's do it. 0:03:21.000 --> 0:03:24.480 Fire it up, baby, guessing lines Week seven coming at you, 0:03:25.120 --> 0:03:35.920 and it goes a little something like this, No, Mary. 0:03:32.720 --> 0:03:36.200 I had I had all kinds of stalls out. I 0:03:36.200 --> 0:03:38.480 had all kinds of stalls ready. And it goes a 0:03:38.520 --> 0:03:39.360 little something like this. 0:03:40.120 --> 0:03:41.200 Here we go. 0:03:41.320 --> 0:03:45.640 Alright, Thursday night, buckle in Broncos at Saints. 0:03:46.120 --> 0:03:49.680 Are you serious? Yeah? Oh god, Broncos. If you need 0:03:49.720 --> 0:03:52.120 a date night or something, that's a pencil this one 0:03:52.160 --> 0:03:54.640 in this week? Hey, uh, I don't really have to 0:03:54.680 --> 0:03:57.600 watch football for you. Broncos at Saints. 0:03:57.920 --> 0:04:02.080 Broncos lose to the Charge in a game which you know, 0:04:02.280 --> 0:04:04.080 Jim Harball really didn't get to see the beginning of. 0:04:04.160 --> 0:04:05.600 He had a little bit of an issue. We're not 0:04:05.640 --> 0:04:08.520 really sure what, but we could speculate. This started with 0:04:08.560 --> 0:04:12.120 the Chargers deciding at the one yard line. This was 0:04:12.120 --> 0:04:14.280 Harball not in charge at this point. It was a 0:04:14.280 --> 0:04:17.080 combination of Mentor and Roman, their coordinators, and they decided 0:04:17.080 --> 0:04:18.320 to kick a field goal even though they're at the 0:04:18.360 --> 0:04:20.560 one yard line, so it was three to nothing Chargers. 0:04:21.040 --> 0:04:23.320 Next time they got the football though, big eighty three 0:04:23.400 --> 0:04:26.280 yard drive Herbert to Camani Vidal from thirty eight, ten 0:04:26.320 --> 0:04:28.599 to nothing Chargers. Then the next time they got the 0:04:28.600 --> 0:04:32.040 ball after a Denver punt, a twenty play drive twenty 0:04:32.120 --> 0:04:35.280 Kelly that resulted in a Cameron Dicker thirty three yardfield 0:04:35.279 --> 0:04:38.800 goal to make it thirteen to nothing, and then Javante 0:04:39.160 --> 0:04:41.960 was hit by Khalil Mackie fumbled it. Chargers got the 0:04:42.000 --> 0:04:44.160 ball back Dobbins in from four twenty to nothing, and 0:04:44.200 --> 0:04:46.680 then by halftime they got another Dicker field goal twenty 0:04:46.760 --> 0:04:49.760 three to nothing. By the way, the most incredible little 0:04:49.800 --> 0:04:52.919 like stat was thrown out casually in this. Did you 0:04:53.000 --> 0:04:56.039 know that Cameron Dicker at this point twenty three to 0:04:56.080 --> 0:04:59.440 nothing Chargers of that have fifty three for fifty three 0:04:59.640 --> 0:05:01.920 career inside the fifty yard line? 0:05:02.000 --> 0:05:03.760 Did you know that? I mean no, I didn't know 0:05:03.800 --> 0:05:05.920 those exact numbers. But he's been solid. He's been a 0:05:06.000 --> 0:05:07.240 rock solid since he's been there. 0:05:07.279 --> 0:05:09.320 I'd say fifty three out of fifty three inside of 0:05:09.320 --> 0:05:13.640 your soft fairly solid. Denver then got off the schneid. 0:05:13.920 --> 0:05:15.880 This is in the second half. Now, he played ninety 0:05:15.880 --> 0:05:17.320 five yard drive that at fourth and two at the 0:05:17.360 --> 0:05:21.200 Chargers thirty nine. Nicks to Devon Vale for thirty seven. 0:05:21.440 --> 0:05:23.920 Then Troy Franklin from two is twenty three to seven. 0:05:24.320 --> 0:05:26.520 This is ten minutes left in the game. Now at 0:05:26.520 --> 0:05:29.360 this point Chargers three and out, Denver sixty four yard drive, 0:05:29.440 --> 0:05:32.240 NICKX to Sutton from fifteen out, great one handed catch, 0:05:32.279 --> 0:05:35.599 twenty three to thirteen. Two point try fails, So again 0:05:35.640 --> 0:05:38.479 the spread is in question at this point, or at 0:05:38.560 --> 0:05:41.080 least now. With a two point try failing, there could 0:05:41.120 --> 0:05:44.360 have been a back door push, and Denver did get 0:05:44.400 --> 0:05:47.800 the ball back, and then Sean Payton correctly, as much 0:05:47.800 --> 0:05:49.440 as I hate to say it, because I wanted the 0:05:49.440 --> 0:05:52.360 back door push, he correctly opts for the Lutz forty 0:05:52.440 --> 0:05:54.640 yard field goal to cut it to seven with one 0:05:54.720 --> 0:05:57.160 ozho three left, destroying the hopes of those of us 0:05:57.160 --> 0:05:59.279 who were hoping for a back door push on side 0:05:59.320 --> 0:06:02.400 kick fails after they did declare it ballgame. Chargers win 0:06:02.480 --> 0:06:05.719 it twenty three to sixteen. So the Broncos go down 0:06:06.000 --> 0:06:10.000 New Orleans in what was a just complete track meet 0:06:10.120 --> 0:06:15.240 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Spencer Rattler's debut his 0:06:15.400 --> 0:06:17.919 d butt if you will Kelly as a starting quarterback. 0:06:18.520 --> 0:06:22.599 Tampa Bay went up in this game. Seventeen was a 0:06:22.720 --> 0:06:26.520 seventeen and nothing, No, pardon me, fourteen to nothing, and 0:06:26.560 --> 0:06:28.080 then no, it was they traded a field goals. It 0:06:28.080 --> 0:06:30.760 was seventeen to nothing and seventeen to three. Okay, they're 0:06:30.839 --> 0:06:32.880 up seventeen to nothing, and the Saints came right back 0:06:32.880 --> 0:06:35.360 groupe forty two yardfield gon'll make it seventeen to three. 0:06:35.839 --> 0:06:39.480 Camarta's punt was returned by Rashid Rahit pardon me, Rashid 0:06:39.520 --> 0:06:42.760 Shaheed fifty four yards. Made it's seventeen to ten, and 0:06:42.800 --> 0:06:46.080 then Baker got picked by Paulson Adebo that led to 0:06:46.080 --> 0:06:47.839 a group a twenty nine yardfield goal to cut it 0:06:47.839 --> 0:06:50.640 to seventeen to thirteen nine minutes left in the second quarter. 0:06:50.680 --> 0:06:53.560 It's already seventeen to thirteen, and then Tampa second play 0:06:53.600 --> 0:06:55.840 on the next drive, Baker picked again by Jonathan Abram 0:06:56.480 --> 0:06:58.960 and then the first play for the Saints down seventeen 0:06:59.000 --> 0:07:01.640 to thirteen. I've learned a Bob means, you have bubb 0:07:01.720 --> 0:07:02.480 means this week. 0:07:02.600 --> 0:07:04.520 No, I did not Gil, No didn't start him in 0:07:04.560 --> 0:07:08.039 the fantasy Yeah, twenty to seventeen New Orleans, erasing the 0:07:08.080 --> 0:07:09.359 seventeen to nothing deficit. 0:07:09.480 --> 0:07:11.559 There's still eight thirty seven left in the second quarter. 0:07:11.720 --> 0:07:14.040 Tampa Bay would come back with the drive Baker to Tucker, 0:07:14.280 --> 0:07:16.520 Seawan Tucker all over this game for thirty six. Twenty 0:07:16.520 --> 0:07:19.440 four to twenty Tampa and then New Orleans behind Spencer 0:07:19.520 --> 0:07:22.440 Ratler seven play seventy yards cameraon from four, big play 0:07:22.480 --> 0:07:24.960 to Foster Moroe for forty one. Right before that twenty 0:07:25.040 --> 0:07:28.280 seven to twenty four Saints as we go to the half, 0:07:28.280 --> 0:07:30.840 because Baker was picked off one more time before the half, 0:07:31.000 --> 0:07:32.160 which is just crazy. 0:07:32.640 --> 0:07:34.200 You ended up on the Bucks too. I was on 0:07:34.240 --> 0:07:36.720 the Bucks too. That felt like the most stressful first 0:07:36.720 --> 0:07:39.160 half of betting like ever, because of all that it 0:07:39.200 --> 0:07:40.880 was the Saints barely had the ball. 0:07:41.080 --> 0:07:43.640 And then it was no pressure at all because then 0:07:43.680 --> 0:07:46.120 the Bucks just tore them one in the third court 0:07:46.240 --> 0:07:48.720 in the third second half, starting in the third quarter, 0:07:48.760 --> 0:07:51.360 Tampa Bay. First time they got the ball, Baker to 0:07:51.360 --> 0:07:55.000 Godwin for fifty five. Terrible tackling on the playoff, Tampa 0:07:55.040 --> 0:07:57.520 Bay takes the lead thirty one to twenty seven. Later, 0:07:57.640 --> 0:08:00.560 New Orleans first play, fourth quarter, Rattler picked by Zine McCollum. 0:08:01.160 --> 0:08:03.320 That led to a Baker to Otton touchdown from eight 0:08:03.360 --> 0:08:05.840 out on a third and goal. The two point try 0:08:05.880 --> 0:08:09.280 would fail earlier on that drive, Bucky Irving an amazing 0:08:09.480 --> 0:08:12.480 thirty one yard run actually to start that drive, So 0:08:12.520 --> 0:08:14.760 Tampa's up thirty seven to twenty seven, three and out 0:08:14.760 --> 0:08:16.560 for New Orleans. They get it again, Irving in from 0:08:16.600 --> 0:08:18.920 one to end another drive forty four to twenty seven. 0:08:19.040 --> 0:08:21.400 Then Rattler was picked by Takee Smith, and then on 0:08:21.440 --> 0:08:24.840 the final drive up seventeen points, the Bucks just said, 0:08:24.840 --> 0:08:26.600 you know what, We're gonna give Sean Tucker the ball 0:08:26.640 --> 0:08:30.040 every time. Tucker for thirty six, Tucker for three, Tucker 0:08:30.040 --> 0:08:31.960 for zero, took her for twelve, tuk Her for eight, 0:08:32.000 --> 0:08:34.800 Tucker for five, touchdown fifty one to twenty seven. That's 0:08:34.800 --> 0:08:38.240 how it would end. The Saints gave up, because we're 0:08:38.240 --> 0:08:40.960 talking about the Saints here. They gave up five hundred 0:08:41.000 --> 0:08:43.360 and ninety four total yards of offense. 0:08:43.400 --> 0:08:44.360 Well that didn't sound great. 0:08:44.400 --> 0:08:47.000 Kill It's not really good. Five ninety four to three 0:08:47.080 --> 0:08:49.160 zero three in the total yards column. So this is 0:08:49.200 --> 0:08:51.720 Denver at New Orleans, two teams coming off a loss. 0:08:52.320 --> 0:08:57.360 This is kind of difficult. New Orleans cannot be a 0:08:57.400 --> 0:08:58.839 three point favorite in this game. 0:09:00.559 --> 0:09:01.280 This is hard. 0:09:01.440 --> 0:09:03.960 I'll say Saints minus two and a half even with 0:09:04.040 --> 0:09:06.880 the rookie, but that's up against the Denver defense. 0:09:07.080 --> 0:09:07.600 I don't know. 0:09:08.280 --> 0:09:12.360 Saints one one and a half. Oh, I'm not as okay. 0:09:11.720 --> 0:09:14.000 I was worried that I was gonna be on the 0:09:14.000 --> 0:09:14.880 wrong favorite here. 0:09:15.200 --> 0:09:17.440 Oh okay, okay, No, yeah, yeah, you're on the right 0:09:17.480 --> 0:09:21.400 favorite this. Uh man, this is a game I don't 0:09:21.400 --> 0:09:23.440 think I'll have anything to do with the bronc The 0:09:23.480 --> 0:09:26.560 Broncos have become a very tough team to handicap in 0:09:26.559 --> 0:09:29.480 my opinion, because the defense is solid and you don't 0:09:29.480 --> 0:09:31.160 know what you're gonna get from. 0:09:30.960 --> 0:09:33.600 The offense at all. And I would say that box 0:09:33.640 --> 0:09:34.319 score from this. 0:09:34.320 --> 0:09:37.559 Weekend is very misleading because of how dominant the Chargers 0:09:37.600 --> 0:09:40.120 were in the first half and whatever you're gonna give 0:09:40.160 --> 0:09:42.360 Bo Nicks, it was all in junk garbage chime in 0:09:42.400 --> 0:09:43.160 the second half. It is. 0:09:43.280 --> 0:09:45.760 It's funny you say that, because as I was watching 0:09:45.800 --> 0:09:49.320 this game, I had the thought that this is the 0:09:49.360 --> 0:09:52.400 most game script dependent team there is. 0:09:52.559 --> 0:09:52.760 Yep. 0:09:52.880 --> 0:09:56.920 In other words, if they go ahead, having that defense 0:09:56.960 --> 0:10:00.200 and having the ability to play conservatively with Nicks is 0:10:00.360 --> 0:10:02.439 just are you know, it's not a bad thing at all. 0:10:02.480 --> 0:10:04.720 You could actually make it work. But if you fall behind, 0:10:05.400 --> 0:10:08.000 Chargers are not you know, they're not the uh pick 0:10:08.080 --> 0:10:09.720 your favorite team of all time. They're not the ninety 0:10:09.760 --> 0:10:13.560 one Skins, right, They're not that great. But yet it's 0:10:13.600 --> 0:10:16.840 they're just it's they're hard pressed to come from way behind, right, 0:10:17.000 --> 0:10:18.840 And so I just feel that way about the Broncos. 0:10:18.920 --> 0:10:20.800 And so to your point pre flop, it's kind of 0:10:20.800 --> 0:10:23.160 difficult in a game like this because if I told you, 0:10:23.440 --> 0:10:25.640 and that's true of any NFL game, but specifically with 0:10:25.679 --> 0:10:28.760 these Broncos, the difference between them being up seven or 0:10:28.800 --> 0:10:30.520 down seven, let's make it up ten or down ten 0:10:30.520 --> 0:10:34.959 of the a half, it's massive. It feels monster with them. Yeah, Okay, 0:10:35.000 --> 0:10:35.760 I don't love that game. 0:10:35.920 --> 0:10:37.720 Well, yeah, we'll keep going. Let's go. We can get 0:10:37.760 --> 0:10:42.280 this one in London. Patriots versus Jaguars Patriot Can we 0:10:42.320 --> 0:10:43.719 get that in. I don't know if we can. 0:10:43.920 --> 0:10:47.800 I don't know if we really can't. Let's see, yeah, well, 0:10:47.840 --> 0:10:50.199 I mean Patriots lose to the Texans. There's not much 0:10:50.200 --> 0:10:52.959 to say about that game. Texans just they went out 0:10:52.960 --> 0:10:55.360 to a fourteen to nothing lead, and it was kind 0:10:55.360 --> 0:10:56.880 of it got to a point in that game where 0:10:56.880 --> 0:10:58.719 it was it was actually fourteen to seven at the half. 0:10:58.760 --> 0:11:01.800 It got closed for a minute, but then once Houston 0:11:01.840 --> 0:11:03.920 took a twenty seven to seven lead, they just traded 0:11:04.160 --> 0:11:06.959 touchdowns for that point. On forty one twenty one Houston 0:11:07.360 --> 0:11:09.559 Drake may not bad twenty of thirty three for two 0:11:09.559 --> 0:11:12.920 forty three, three touchdowns, two picks, He was sacked four times, 0:11:12.920 --> 0:11:15.480 did lose a fumble, but the Patriots remind us three 0:11:15.480 --> 0:11:19.480 and turnovers. And then Jacksonville. What a dud performance in London. 0:11:20.000 --> 0:11:22.320 As the Bears took a fourteen to three lead at 0:11:22.320 --> 0:11:26.120 the half, Jacksonville really, I mean then it was twenty 0:11:26.200 --> 0:11:28.439 one to three. Jacksonville only got it to twenty one 0:11:28.440 --> 0:11:32.120 to ten, and then they let Caleb go right down 0:11:32.200 --> 0:11:35.160 field twenty eight to ten. And then even after they 0:11:35.160 --> 0:11:37.719 recovered to fumble, Jacksonville Trevor was picked right after that 0:11:37.760 --> 0:11:41.040 by Josh Blackwell. It ends up being thirty five to ten, 0:11:41.320 --> 0:11:43.440 excuse me, and then thirty five to sixteen some garbage 0:11:43.480 --> 0:11:45.920 points at the end. Trevor twenty three of thirty five 0:11:45.960 --> 0:11:48.920 for two thirty four in defeat New England at Jacksonville. 0:11:48.920 --> 0:11:55.680 You're right, that's all it needed, Jacksonville having the rest. 0:11:55.800 --> 0:11:59.200 They get to stay in London. By the way, if 0:11:59.200 --> 0:12:01.360 they hadn't gotten I think Doug Peterson would have been 0:12:01.360 --> 0:12:04.560 fired because they stay there. He's okay for a week 0:12:05.280 --> 0:12:09.000 minus four Jacksonville minus four, five and a half for six. 0:12:09.520 --> 0:12:14.120 Oh wow, that's a little too much. I don't know 0:12:14.120 --> 0:12:16.360 if I have the stomach for the Patriots though. Do 0:12:16.400 --> 0:12:17.520 you want to wake up for that game? 0:12:17.960 --> 0:12:20.360 Patriots with a little lean, that's for sure. We're guessing 0:12:20.400 --> 0:12:21.280 lines next. 0:12:28.840 --> 0:12:32.520 Numbers game on VSI. These sports Vetting Network. 0:12:32.200 --> 0:12:34.080 Put the VSON experts to work for you this football 0:12:34.120 --> 0:12:36.679 season and start betting smarter with the VSON Pro subscription. 0:12:37.080 --> 0:12:38.400 Sign up on a Vson Pro. 0:12:38.280 --> 0:12:40.520 Annual subscription today get your first year for only one 0:12:40.559 --> 0:12:43.160 hundred and ninety nine dollars. Just use promo code ang 0:12:43.360 --> 0:12:45.439 That's all it takes. Get full access to everything we do. 0:12:45.679 --> 0:12:48.320 That includes daily best bets, top rated betting systems, twenty 0:12:48.360 --> 0:12:50.439 four to seven video access betting splits to show you 0:12:50.440 --> 0:12:51.880 where the money and bets are moving for every game, 0:12:51.880 --> 0:12:54.560 Plus are all new NBA Betting Guide. Remember to use 0:12:54.559 --> 0:12:56.120 promo code ANNG. 0:12:55.840 --> 0:12:59.240 Though ang like a numbers game like that to get. 0:12:59.160 --> 0:13:00.760 Your first year of Vison p ro access for only 0:13:00.800 --> 0:13:03.400 one hundred and ninety nine dollars. Side of today, Visa 0:13:03.440 --> 0:13:08.000 dot com slash subscribe. That's vsi n dot com slash subscribe. 0:13:08.040 --> 0:13:09.679 We get tweets at beating the book. Let's see what 0:13:09.720 --> 0:13:12.040 the people are talking about. Best listeners in the game. 0:13:12.160 --> 0:13:16.120 Always appreciated Los Vegas five to one, four yo. Despite 0:13:16.120 --> 0:13:18.920 the loss by our team, we have a bright future 0:13:18.920 --> 0:13:21.480 and a lot to look forward to, new franchise, quarterback, 0:13:21.480 --> 0:13:26.240 hopefully new stadium and Gil finally saying just Commander, well 0:13:26.440 --> 0:13:27.880 that last one's gonna be tough. Yeah. 0:13:27.880 --> 0:13:29.040 I was going to say, I don't know I've ever 0:13:29.120 --> 0:13:30.480 heard that much, but yes. 0:13:30.520 --> 0:13:33.520 In defeat this is and this was a heading into 0:13:33.559 --> 0:13:35.960 the Ravens Skins game, which we'll get to in our 0:13:36.000 --> 0:13:39.720 course here guessing lines I said all last week, I 0:13:39.760 --> 0:13:41.200 was like, this is the one. We won't know anything 0:13:41.280 --> 0:13:42.840 until we see them play this team and this is 0:13:42.920 --> 0:13:46.400 exactly the level that I think they are, which is 0:13:47.080 --> 0:13:49.160 they're probably on the fringe of the top ten, which 0:13:49.160 --> 0:13:51.480 is where I had them in power ratings, but they're 0:13:51.480 --> 0:13:53.640 not necessarily close. 0:13:54.120 --> 0:13:54.720 We'll see. 0:13:54.800 --> 0:13:58.640 I mean, they played very well yesterday, but defensively they're 0:13:59.120 --> 0:14:00.439 you know, they're not going to stop team like that. 0:14:00.559 --> 0:14:03.000 I think if you're a Commander's fan, even like I 0:14:03.040 --> 0:14:05.440 know this is tough to say at a loss, that 0:14:05.600 --> 0:14:06.840 was I was still impressed. 0:14:06.960 --> 0:14:09.240 Oh I was. I was still I was totally pumped. 0:14:09.280 --> 0:14:11.360 I think every Commodore's fan was. 0:14:11.920 --> 0:14:12.800 I absolutely do. 0:14:13.600 --> 0:14:16.000 Jay Kochstein, what do you think of plus of a 0:14:16.040 --> 0:14:19.280 plus money bet on Kwan or Lane Thomas to hit 0:14:19.320 --> 0:14:21.840 a home run? This series seems like an insanely good bet. 0:14:21.880 --> 0:14:24.120 To me, this series could go seven even if it doesn't. 0:14:24.440 --> 0:14:27.040 Still looks good. Uh, Jay, I will not be on 0:14:27.040 --> 0:14:28.960 that bet. I'm not saying it's good or bad. It's 0:14:28.960 --> 0:14:33.240 just not something I'll get involved with. Did anybody catch 0:14:33.480 --> 0:14:35.440 this has nothing? By the way, the we have a 0:14:35.440 --> 0:14:39.280 double header today Mets Dodgers Game two this morning, this 0:14:39.360 --> 0:14:43.720 afternoon from Chavez Ravine and then Game one of the 0:14:43.800 --> 0:14:47.320 Yankees and the Guardians, Game one of the Alcs later today. 0:14:48.760 --> 0:14:51.240 Did anybody catch the beginning of the broadcast yesterday? Matt 0:14:51.280 --> 0:14:54.160 fast Gershon's voice didn't seem correct. 0:14:54.480 --> 0:14:54.800 Really. 0:14:54.840 --> 0:14:57.440 I don't know if it was was modulated differently, or 0:14:57.440 --> 0:14:59.200 if he was sick and they were doing something with it, 0:14:59.240 --> 0:15:01.200 but he was like his voice was like two octaves 0:15:01.240 --> 0:15:05.080 lower than it normally is. It's very strange. That's odd. 0:15:05.280 --> 0:15:06.680 We love that, we love that. I don't know what 0:15:06.720 --> 0:15:07.480 they were doing with that. 0:15:07.600 --> 0:15:08.880 I was gonna I thought you were gonna say, did 0:15:08.880 --> 0:15:11.600 anybody catch actual Game five, the elimination game that was 0:15:11.600 --> 0:15:13.600 played on Saturday morning, Someone could have given me a 0:15:13.600 --> 0:15:14.960 heads up about, Oh, Guardian's Tiger. 0:15:15.000 --> 0:15:17.880 Yeah, well that that was the Lane Thomas Grand Slam 0:15:17.880 --> 0:15:20.600 that did it for the Guardians, put them ahead to 0:15:20.680 --> 0:15:23.400 stay against the Tigers in Game five. What we have 0:15:23.560 --> 0:15:26.640 today is a what has happened with the postseason? First 0:15:26.640 --> 0:15:29.200 of all, all of my matchups poof and remember every 0:15:29.200 --> 0:15:30.680 time I said I go watch this be the year 0:15:30.680 --> 0:15:32.520 that the Yankees played the Dodgers in the World Series. 0:15:33.120 --> 0:15:35.160 This has gone from a great postseason to the Dodgers 0:15:35.200 --> 0:15:37.800 making a mockery of the National League after they gave 0:15:37.880 --> 0:15:40.080 up six runs to the Padres and the third inning 0:15:40.120 --> 0:15:42.400 of Game three, Remember that was enough for the Padres 0:15:42.440 --> 0:15:44.120 to win that take a two to one lead in 0:15:44.160 --> 0:15:49.040 that series. Thirty three consecutive scoreless innings. The Dodgers have 0:15:49.120 --> 0:15:51.880 not allowed a run in thirty three consecutive scoreless innings. 0:15:51.960 --> 0:15:56.320 That matches the postseason record set by the nineteen sixty 0:15:56.360 --> 0:15:59.240 six Baltimore Orioles. The Oriols of sixty six did all 0:15:59.280 --> 0:16:02.200 of that in the World Series, but that's how dominant 0:16:02.200 --> 0:16:05.280 the Dodgers have been. Shut out the Padres after the 0:16:05.320 --> 0:16:07.600 third inning of that game, then shut them out in 0:16:07.600 --> 0:16:09.600 Games four and five, and then shut out the Mets 0:16:09.600 --> 0:16:13.240 in Game one yesterday nine to nothing. This is from 0:16:13.480 --> 0:16:15.480 NCI ninety five. Gameler I was able to get Jayden 0:16:15.560 --> 0:16:18.040 Daniels Offensive Player of the Year forty five to one 0:16:18.080 --> 0:16:21.200 at fan duel last week. He's thanking cleve Ta cleif 0:16:21.280 --> 0:16:23.840 Ta likes likes Jayden for Offensive Play of the Year, 0:16:23.880 --> 0:16:26.120 Aaron Shotz does not like a quarterback for Offensive Player 0:16:26.120 --> 0:16:29.120 of the Year. One voter's opinion, and Brian M. Peterson 0:16:29.120 --> 0:16:31.680 talking about Doug Peterson using half of his rest in 0:16:31.760 --> 0:16:34.640 London game planning, the other half looking at flats to 0:16:34.720 --> 0:16:36.600 just stay there after he gets fired when they somehow 0:16:36.640 --> 0:16:39.120 lose sixteen to thirteen. All right, we'll get some more 0:16:39.200 --> 0:16:39.920 retweets coming up. 0:16:39.960 --> 0:16:41.840 More games here. Week seven in the NFL, which got 0:16:41.840 --> 0:16:45.800 all right early window. This is one Eastern Seahawks at Falcons. 0:16:46.040 --> 0:16:48.720 Seahawks with the extra rest, they lose to the forty 0:16:48.800 --> 0:16:51.360 nine Ers. Last Thursday night, Gino was thirty of fifty 0:16:51.400 --> 0:16:53.800 two for three to twelve in defeat. They gave up 0:16:53.840 --> 0:16:56.960 four hundred and eighty three total yards to the Niners. 0:16:56.960 --> 0:16:57.320 That night. 0:16:57.320 --> 0:17:00.120 They were minus three a turnovers. Atlanta, it's a game 0:17:00.160 --> 0:17:03.080 that's sort of the late window. Yesterday was the afternoon window. 0:17:03.160 --> 0:17:06.159 Was kind of lame. Atlanta beat Carolina in case you 0:17:06.160 --> 0:17:08.320 missed it. After Carolina took a seven and nothing lead 0:17:08.720 --> 0:17:11.800 bjon In from five to tied at seven late late 0:17:11.840 --> 0:17:14.960 first quarter. Carolina then went up ten to seven. That 0:17:15.000 --> 0:17:17.800 would be their last lead because then after that it 0:17:17.840 --> 0:17:20.320 was bjon In from seven after Cousins hit Pits for 0:17:20.359 --> 0:17:23.360 fifty two. They ended up with a two point conversion 0:17:23.400 --> 0:17:26.480 because of a penalty. A low block by Carolina on 0:17:26.520 --> 0:17:29.480 the touchdown run, so fifteen to ten at that point 0:17:29.480 --> 0:17:32.120 six Zho three left in the second quarter. Carolina then 0:17:32.119 --> 0:17:35.560 got a punt blocked Cousins to London from three. After 0:17:35.600 --> 0:17:37.920 that twenty two to ten, and then Carolina was just 0:17:37.960 --> 0:17:38.600 in catchup mode. 0:17:38.640 --> 0:17:39.320 But they were close. 0:17:39.359 --> 0:17:40.879 They you know, they ended up the first half with 0:17:40.920 --> 0:17:44.879 a Dalton de Xavier Lagette seven yard touchdown pass on 0:17:44.920 --> 0:17:46.640 a seventy six yard drive to cut it to twenty 0:17:46.640 --> 0:17:49.440 two to seventeen. Then it was a field goal fest. 0:17:49.440 --> 0:17:51.480 It finally got to twenty eight to twenty. So here's 0:17:51.480 --> 0:17:53.639 the you know you talk about when did you know 0:17:53.680 --> 0:17:55.679 the game was done? Kind of thing that people used 0:17:55.720 --> 0:17:58.879 to run? Twenty eight to twenty Atlanta Carolina with the 0:17:58.920 --> 0:18:01.800 ball one score game second and eight at the Atlanta 0:18:01.840 --> 0:18:04.520 thirty two Dalton pick by a J. Terrell junior and 0:18:04.560 --> 0:18:07.080 that was it because then Atlanta went nine plays eighty 0:18:07.080 --> 0:18:10.480 five yards Algeran from two thirty five to twenty. That's 0:18:10.600 --> 0:18:13.160